Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-10-23 | Florida v. LSU +1.5 | 67-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
SEC action tonight has Florida hitting the road at LSU. The Florida Gators are 8-7 S/U and 6-9 ATS on the season. The Gators are coming off a win over Georgia, 82-75, but failed to cover the 8.5-point chalk line. That makes Florida, 1-3 S/U their last four games and 4-7 ATS their last 11 vs the number. The win over Georgia was their first SEC win vs two losses. LSU was 12-1 to start the season before losing its last two games including last game at Texas A&M, 56-69. LSU has had an easy non-conference schedule, however they did have a quality win over a very good Arkansas team 60-57 at home as a 4-point dog. With the line basically a pick'em, I like LSU on their home floor. Play LSU. |
|||||||
01-10-23 | Dayton v. Fordham +7.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Atlantic 10 matchup here has the 11-5 Dayton Flyers taking on the surprising 13-3 Fordham Rams tonight. Dayton is 3-0 in conference play after their win over St Joseph's, 75-56, as a 14-point favorite. They have also covered six straight games since their crushing loss at Virginia Tech on Dec 7, 49-77, as a 6.5-point dog. Meanwhile, Fordham is coming off a win over St Joe's, 66-54, as a 4-point favorite. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Rams which included losses to Rhode Island and Davidson. Dayton shoots pretty poorly on the raod at just 36.4% and average just 56.7 ppg. Difficult to cover mid-size spread when you don't shoot well or score well on the road. I'll take the points here at home with Fordham. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Houston v. Cincinnati +10 | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
The No Houston Cougars would like to get back to the top spot but they have to play here at Cincinnati today. The Cougars have won six straight games after their last win over SMU on Thursday, 87-53. No 1 Purdue lost earlier this week so they could get back that top spot with a win here today. Houston leads the nation in offensive rebounds and it showed in their win over SMU as they held a 21-7 advantage on the offensive glass. A win here today by Cincinnati and that would do wonders for their resume. The Bearcats have won eight of their last 10 games and five of the last six. They have also covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games including eight straight covers at home. Cincy a big home dog here today and I will look for them to stay close and get inside that big number. Play Cincinnati. |
|||||||
01-06-23 | Detroit +5 v. Wright State | 85-90 | Push | 0 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Detroit Mercy looks to improve on last year's 14-16 overall record with two starters returning to this year's edition of the team. The Titans were 10-7 in Horizon League play. The Titans are just 6-9 S/U and 7-7 ATS overall this season. The Titans are coming off a home loss over Wisconsin Milwaukee, 81-84, as a 7-point favorite. This team has had to play a lot of road games thus far, nine in all. They are 2-7 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the road . Wright State returns three starters to their team this year after a 22-14 campaign last year and 15-7 and 4th place Horizon finish. Wright made the NCAA tournament, but lost in the first round. Wright State is 8-7 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Raiders are coming off a road win at IUPUI, 82-68, as a 15.5-point favorite. They failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven posted games. They are just 1-3 ATS at home overall this season. Wright State not as good as they have been in previous seasons and this year doesn't look like they have a NCAA caliber team. I'll take the points here today with Detroit. |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6.5 v. Cleveland State | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Two teams near the top of the Horizon league meet here tonight as 8-7 (3-1) Cleveland State hosts 9-5 (3-1) Wisconsin Milwaukee. The Milwaukee Panthers are 6-5 vs the number this season and look to build on their win over Detroit, 84-81 as a 7-point dog. The Panthers have won seven of the last nine games and covered five of their last eight posted games. Milwaukee had to replace all five starters off a team that was just 10-22 last year and lost in the Horizon first round. The Cleveland State Vikings returned two starters to a 20-11 team from last year. They finished tied for 1st in the Horizon with a 15-6 record and lost in the NIT first round. They are 8-7 overall this season and 7-6 vs the number. The Vikings are coming off a win over Robert Morris, 63-54, as a 2-point dog. They are 2-4 S/U and 1-4 ATS over their las five games. Milwaukee getting some decent points here today and I'll take that price. Play Wisconsin Milwaukee. |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Bryant +3.5 v. Vermont | Top | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Extra board action today has the Bryant Bulldogs looking to improve to 11 wins tonight. The Dogs are 10-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games and four of their last five including last time out over Binghamton, 82-78 as a 13-point favorite. The Bulldogs return just one starter to a team that was 22-10 last season and 16-2 in the Northeast division. The won the Northeast and then lost in the opening round of the NCAA tournament. The Vermont Catamounts are 7-8 and looking to get back to the .500 mark tonight. The Catamounts are 7-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over MD Balt County, 74-61, as a 2-point favorite. They are also 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS their last six games. Vermont also returned just one starter to a team that was 28-6 last season and finished first in the America East Conference. Like Bryant, they lost in the NCAA first round. Vermont is 3-13 ATS their last 16 games as at home vs a team with a winning road record. My own numbers had this closer to pick or even Bryant a small favorite. But I will gladly take the 3-points or thereabout that the oddsmaker is giving me. Take Bryant. |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Lindenwood v. Arkansas-Little Rock -6.5 | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lindenwood Lions are 6-9 to start their season. The Lions are 6-5-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Tennessee Tech last time out, 82-64. That win snapped a three game losing streak. Their biggest game thus far was at BYU, where they lost 61-90 as a 23.5-point dog. Arkansas Little Rock looks for their sixth win of the season here tonight. The Trojans are 5-10 overall and 7-6 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss to Tennessee State, 69-94, as a 4.5-point dog. This team is undefeated at home, going 4-0 S/U and 2-0 vs the spread and outscoring their opponents by 80.8 to 67.8 margin. I like the Trojans on their home court where they have flourished. Take Arkansas Little Rock. |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Belmont v. Illinois-Chicago +4.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins returned just one starter to a team that was 25-8 last year and 15-3 in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Bruins lost in the NIT first round last year. Belmont is 9-6 this season and 7-7 vs the spread. The Bruins had their three-game win streak snapped last game by Southern Illinois, 45-63, as a 4.5-point dog. The Bruins are just 2-4 on the road with a 2-4 spread mark in their six away games. They have also been outscored on the road by a 6.5 point margin. Illinois Chicago Flames look to hit the 10 win mark today after a 9-6 start. The Flames are also 10-4 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss at Bradley, 45-79, as a 15-point dog. The Flames are 5-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS at home and outscoring opponents by a 67-61.3 mark. The Flames play well at home while the Bruins have not played well on the road. I'll take the home club here today. Play Illinois Chicago. Illinois Chicago |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Auburn v. Georgia +7.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Two SEC powerhouses meet tonight as 11-2 Auburn takes on 10-3 Georgia. The Auburn Tigers are 11-2 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. They have played just two away games and are 1-1 S/U and ATS, but getting outscored by 10 points on the road. They have won two straight games, including last time out vs Florida, 61-58, as a 5.5-point favorite. Georgia looks to extend their win streak to four games here this evening. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over Rider, 79-72, as a 10-point favorite. The Dogs have also been perfect at home, going 8-0 S/U, but covering just three of those games. They have yet to be a home dog and here tonight they will be getting around 7 points. I'll take that with a team that hasn't lost on their home court yet. Take Georgia. |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Ball State +8.5 v. Toledo | 90-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
MAC action here today has Toledo hosting Ball State. Ball State begins conference play after a 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS mark heading into today's contest. Ball State started the season at just 4-4 before winning their last five games and covering four of their last six games. They are coming off a win over Chicago State, 70-63, as a 11.5-point favorite. The Cardinals returned three starters to a team that was 14-17 overall and 9-10 in the MAC last year. The Cardinals lost in the MAC quarterfinals and did not play in any postseason tournaments. HC Lewis played for Bobby Knight and brings a tough mentality to this team and will rely almost exclusively on a man-to-man defense. Meanwhile, high hopes for a Toledo team that returns four starters to a club that was 26-8 last year and won the MAC with a 17-3 record. The Rockets got snubbed by the NCAA and lost in the first round of the NIT tournament. The Rockets have won the MAC twice in a row and are predicted to win it again this year. They are 9-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS so far this season as they head into conference play today. They have won two straight games and four of their last five. However, they have covered just two of their last five. The dog has done well in this series, covering 16 of the last 23. That's who I am on here today, Ball State. |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
A pair of teams with identical 11-4 records meet here today as St Johns hosts Marquette. The Marquette Golden Eagles returned two starters to a team that was 19-13 last year overall and 11-8 in the Big East. The Eagles made the NCAA tournament last year but lost in the first round. They have started well with those 11 wins this year and are also 9-5-1 ATS. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS and four of the last five games. They are coming off a win at Villanova, 68-66 as a 2.5-point dog. They have played four road games and are just 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS away from home. They have also been outscored by 1.8 ppg on the road. Yet, here they are a favorite at another 11-win team. St Johns returned three starters to a team that was 17-15 overall last year and 8-11 in the Big East. The Red Storm looks to break a three game losing streak here today. They have also lost three streak vs the spread. They are coming off a road loss to Seton Hall, 66-88, as a 3-point dog. They have been good at home, going 8-1 S/U but only 3-6 vs the spread and outscoring visitors by a 82.6 to 67.1 margin. Don't really care about the spread record at home since the Storm as a dog here today. I'll take them to just win the game tonight. Play St Johns. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | West Virginia +3 v. Oklahoma State | 60-67 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The West Virginia Mountaineers look to build on an already impressive early season with a 10-3 record and 7-6 spread mark after 13 games. The Mountaineers four game win streak was snapped last time out at Kansas State, 76-82, as a pick'em. West Virginia looks well improved over a team that went 16-17 last season and just 4-14 in the Big 12. They returned just one starter to this year's edition. The moves made this year look to have improved the teams depth and better offensively. So far that looks to be just the case. Oklahoma State is 8-5 S/U and 7-6 ATS to start the season. The Cowboys are coming off a loss at Kansas, 67-69, as a 10-point dog. OK State returned four starters to a team that was 15-15 overall and 8-12 in the Big 12 last year. The Big 12 is one of the toughest conference in basketball with two National Championships in the last two years with Baylor and Kansas. Looks like West Virginia and Ok State will want to throw their respective hats into that pool too this year. I'm taking West Virginia here today. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Mt. St. Mary's +3 v. Canisius | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Mount St Mary's Mountaineers look to climb closer to the .500 mark with a win tonight at Canisius. The Mountaineers are 5-9 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They have lost three straight games after their last loss at Niagara, 55-67, as a 2.5-point dog. They return three starters to a team that finished 14-16 overall last season and 9-9 in the Metro Atlantic. Mt St Mary's was a dominant factor in the NorthEast conference before accepting a invitation to the MAAC conference this season. They lost in the NEC conference semi-finals last season. With the upgrade in conferences this season, the Mountaineers will rely on their solid defense to keep them in games. Even though they are 2-5 their last seven, none of their opponents have scored more than 69 points. Now they face the Canisius Golden Griffins who are just 2-10 S/U and 5-6 ATS on the season. The Griffins have lost eight straight games including last time out to Rider, 64-66, as a 2.5-point dog. The Griffins didn't do well last year either, going 11-21 overall and losing in the MAAC first round. Even though they returned three starters they look to be playing much worse this year. If there is a team that Mt St Mary's should be able to dominate in the MAAC, this is one of them. Play Mt St Marys. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Ohio State v. Northwestern +2.5 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup late on the Sunday schedule has Northwestern hosting Ohio State. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Buckeyes have won two straight and four of their last five games. The one loss in that group was a setback to North Carolina, 84-89 as a 2.5-point dog. This team has really only played one away game and that was at Duke in a 72-81 loss as a 5-point dog. The Northwestern Wildcats enter conference play with a 10-2 S/U and 7-5 ATS record. The Cats have won five straight games and covered three of those. That includes last time out vs Browns, 63-58, as a 13.5-point favorite. The Cats are also 7-1 S/U and 3-5 ATS at home. This will also be their first home games installed as the dog. I like Northwestern here, they have a good home record and will get a few points here today. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Tulsa +8.5 v. SMU | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Two teams looking to climb back near the .500 mark meet here today as SMU hosts Tulsa. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are just 4-8 and 1-10-1 ATS on the season. They are still looking for their first road win of the season after three losses. They have lost two straight games including to highly ranked Houston, 50-89, as a 20-point dog. This will be a AAC Conference matchup as the SMU Mustangs play their first conference game of the Year. The Mustangs are 5-8 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Hawaii, 57-58, as a 4-point dog. That snapped a 2-game win streak. Two teams having poor seasons thus far and both look to turn things around as conference play begins. I'll take the points as I think this is just too much for this SMU to be laying today. Tulsa can play as we saw them lose earlier in the season to Oregon, 70-73. Take Tulsa. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | San Jose State +9 v. Colorado State | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Two Mountain West teams face off this afternoon as Colorado State hosts San Jose State. The San Jose State Spartans are 10-4 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. The Spartans have won two straight games and four of their last five. They have covered five straight. They are coming of the upset win over UNLV, 75-72, as a 5-point dog. The Spartans are 6-1 S/U and 4-2 at home this season and have outscored opponents by a 71.,0-60.1 margin. The Colorado State Rams are 8-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. The Rams have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS, including their last game at New Mexico, 69-88, as a 6-point dog. The Rams are just 2-4 S/U their last six and 4-6 their last 10 games. In addition, they are 1-4 ATS their last five games and 3-6 ATS their last nine games. I like the Spartans here today as a nice dog. Take San Jose State. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | NC State +2 v. Clemson | 64-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
The NC State Wolfpack off to a nice start this season as we exit the holiday break. The Pack are 11-3 S/U and 6-6-2 ATS. They have won three straight games including last game vs Louisville, 76-64. They are just 1-4-1 ATS though during their last six games. The Pack returned three starters to a team that was just 11-21 last year and 4-16 in the ACC. The 21 losses was a school record. HC Keatts said they needed to get bigger, stronger and older if they were to compete this year. So far, it looks like they are doing just that. The Clemson Tigers finished last season at just 17-16 overall and 8-12 in the ACC. They lost in the ACC second round. The Tigers also looked improved as they are 10-3 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Tigers headed into the holiday break with a win over Georgia Tech on Dec 21, 79-66. That made two wins in a row and six of their last seven. Both these teams look improved over last year's editions. But I'm a bit more impressed with the big turnaround that NC State has had. I'll take them here today plus the small points. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels are 9-4 to start the season and 4-9 vs the spread. The Heels have won four straight games including last game vs Michigan, 80-76, as a 5-point favorite. This four game streak snapped a four game losing streak and a 5-game spread losing streak. N.Carolina returned four starters to a team that was 29-10 last year and lost in the NCAA Championship game. A lot is was expected of this team this year and so far it's been an up and down and up season. The Pitt Panthers returned three starters to a team that was not good last year, going 11-21 overall and 6-14 in the ACC. They lost in the first round of their conference tournament. The Panthers have almost as many wins as they did all of last year with a 9-4 record so far. They have also been very good to bettors, going 9-2-2 ATS. The Panthers have covered eight in a row and haven't lost in 10 games to the spread. The Panthers have also won three in a row and eight of their last nine games. I think the six-points as a dog are worth the shot here this morning on the Panthers. Play Pittsburgh. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +1.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
A pair of SEC basketball powerhouses meet today as 10-2 Alabama travels to Mississippi State to take on the Bulldogs who are 11-1. Alabama rebounded from their 2nd loss of the season on Saturday the 17th to Gonzaga, 90-100, with a win over Jackson State, 84-64 on the 20th but failed to cover the 29.5-point favorite line. The Tide have failed to cover the spread in three straight. Alabama returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and 9-9 in the SEC. They made the NCAA, but lost in the first round. Miss St is 11-1 S/U and 5-6 ATS. They also have failed to cover their last three games. They are coming off their first loss of the season the 20th to Drake, 52-58, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs returned two starters to a 18-16 team from last year. They lost in the NIT first round. The Dogs had Chris Jan take over the helm and he has a reputation of rebuilding teams on Junior College players and transfers. And so far that looks to be just what he has done with the Dogs now at 11-1 on the season. Basically pick the winner here tonight with the Tide a 1-point favorite. I like the home team here. Play Mississippi State. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Kentucky v. Missouri +3 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
Reason: Two teams having fine seasons meet here on Wednesday as Missouri hots Kentucky. The Kentucky Wildcats are 8-3 S/U and 4-7 ATS on the season. The Cats have won five of their last six but covered just one of those games. They are coming off a win over Florida A&M last Wednesday, 88-68, as a 37.5-point favorite. The Missouri Tigers are 11-1 S/U and 7-5 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming on Dec 10 to Kansas, 67-95, as a 3.5-point home dog. They are coming off a win over Illinois last Thursday, 93-71, as a 6.5-point home dog. Kentucky returned only two starters to a team that went 26-8 last year and 14-4 in the SEC. The Cats lost in the NCAA first round last year. Missouri had just one returning starter this year after a 12-21 campaign last year. They finished 12th in the SEC and lot in the SEC 2nd round tournament. One more win and they will have as many wins as they did all of last season. The Tigers playing very well and getting a few points at home is a nice bonus today. Take Missouri. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | USC v. Colorado State +3 | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
This is the late game on the college hoop slate tonight as Colorado State hosts USC. The USC Trojans are 9-3 S/U and 5-7 ATS on the season. USC has won five straight games, covering just two of those. They are coming off a win over Auburn, 74-71, as a 1.5-point dog. USC has played only one away game this season and that was a win at Cal, 66-51, as a 9.5-point favorite. Colorado State is 8-4 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. The Rams are coming off a big upset win at St Mary's, 62-60, as a 11.5-point dog. The Rams are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS at home this season and outscoring their opponents by 85-65.7 marching. This will be the Rams first game at home where they are installed as the dog. Colorado State only returned one starter to a team that went 25-6 last year and lost in the NCAA tournament first round. The Rams look loaded again in their back court. The Rams looking for another NCAA bid are doing their part with that big win over St Mary's. They know another win here tonight against USC will also pad their resume. I like Colorado State here tonight on their home floor. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Denver +8.5 v. Oregon State | 52-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Denver Pioneers look to rebound from their loss at Nebraska-Omaha, 66-83, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Pioneers having a decent season at 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS. They have covered four of their last five spread games. Denver returned two starters that went 11-21 last year and 7-11 in the Summit Conference. With a big step last year they are expect to finish in the top four of the conference this year and thus far they are showing worthy of that. They face an Oregon State team that really has no where to go but up after a 3-28 season last year and 1-19 PAC-12 mark. However, they return just one starter to this year's team. They have already surpassed last year with a 6-6 mark this season. They are also 5-5-1 ATS. The Beavers are coming off a win over Wisconsin Green Bay, but failed to cover the 16-point line, 65-56. The Beavers definitely a better team this year than last, but laying eight points tonight to a decent Denver team is just a bit much for me. I'll take the dog in Denver. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Auburn v. Washington +4 | 84-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
A pair of nine win teams face off tonight from Washington as the Huskies host the Auburn Tigers. The Tigers make the long trip West with their 9-2 S/U and 4-7 ATS records. The Tigers are coming off a loss at USC on Sunday, 71-74, as a 1.5-point favorite. That was the teams third straight game that they haven't covered and fifth of their last six games. Washington is 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Huskies have won two straight games including last time out over Idaho State, 90-55, as a 14.5-point favorite. Washington is 7-1 S/U at home this season and has only been a home dog once and they won that game over Colorado, 73-63. I like Washington tonight to win this game straight0up, but I'll take the points. Play Washington. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | St. John's +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The St John's Red Storm having an excellent season as they are off to a 11-1 S/U mark and 6-6 spread record. The Red Storm only loss coming at Iowa State on Dec 4, 60-71, as a 6-point dog. St John's is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Red Storm returned three starters to a team that went 17-15 last year and 8-11 in the Big East. This team has a bitter taste after last season where they lost six of their final seven games, missed out on the NCAA and didn't even get a NIT invitation. Villanova was a preseason top 25 team, but has not lived up to their expectations. The Wildcats return three starters to a team that was 30-8 last year and lost in the NCAA Final Four. They have struggled to a 6-5 S/U and 3-8 ATS mark so far this season. They have won four straight games, but covered just two of those including last game at St Joe's, 71-64, as a 13-point favorite. Villanova laying around five-points here today. I'm taking the points with a very good St John's team that has something to prove and is doing just that. Take St John's. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Air Force +3 v. Northern Colorado | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Air Force Falcons are 8-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Falcons started the season 1-3 both S/U and ATS and since have gone on a 7-1 streak both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Tarleton State, 81-67, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons also outscoring their opponents 70.3 to 61.2. The Falcons returned three starters to a team that was 11-18 last year and just 4-13 in the Mountain West. Air Force utilizes the Princeton offense which has been likened to facing a knuckleball pitcher or the Triple option in football. It seems to be working for Air Force this season. The Northern Colorado Bears return just two starters to a team that was 22-16 last year and 13-7 in the Big Sky. The went to the CBI tournament and lost in the semifinals. The strength of this team is their backcourt, considered the best in the Big Sky conference and again will be relied on heavily this season. Thus far its been a tough season for the Bears who are 5-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Colorado, 77-88 as a 15.5-point dog, covering their third in a row and fifth of the last six. One loss that stands out big this year was a loss at home to Colorado Christian College, 69-70, with no spread. They have improved since that loss, but it will be a tough task here today against a very good Air Force team. I'll take the points in this matchup. Play Air Force. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Elon +9 v. Valparaiso | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
The Elon Phoenix are just 2-9 S/U this season and 2-7 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Prebyterian, 63-69, just missing the cover at +5.5-points. Elon only returned one starter to a team that was 10-22 last year and 7-11 in the CAA. They lost in the first round of the CAA tournament. Billy Taylor took over as head coach after Mike Schrage resigned at the end of last year to return to Duke. Taylor has 11 years as a NCAA coach so he brings experience to the team. Valparaiso returns three starters to a team that was 14-18 overall and 6-12 in the Missouri Valley last year. The Beacons are 4-7 this season and 2-8 ATS on the year. They are coming off a loss to Ole Miss, 61-98 as a 15-point dog. The club has been installed three times as the favorite this year and were 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS in those games with a +2.3 point differential. Now today here they are laying around eight points to this Elon club. Neither team is very good but I don't see any way that Valpo should be laying these kinds of points. I'll take Elon here plus the points. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Alabama v. Gonzaga +1.5 | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
Marquee game here on Saturday has Alabama taking on Gonzaga. Alabama is 9-1 S/U and 6-4 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming on Nov 25 at home against U Conn, 67-82 as a 2-point favorite. They have won four games since, including last game over Memphis, 91-88, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Tide were aided by lots of Memphis foul trouble in that game. Gonzaga's 8-3 mark is considered a down season by the Zags, though very good for most teams. The Bulldogs have won three straight games, including last time out at home over Northern Illinois, 88-67, as a 32.5-point favorite. The Zags usually laying lots of points, that's partly why we see them with just a 3-8 spread record. Today will mark just the second time all season that they will be a dog in a the game. You have to go back to Nov 16 vs Texas when they were a 2-point dog and lost 74-93 for the last time. Should be a very good game, but I'm taking Gonzaga as the small dog here on Saturday. |
|||||||
12-14-22 | UCLA +1.5 v. Maryland | 87-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
UCLA made it all the way to the NCAA Sweet 16 last year before losing. They had a fine season with a 27-8 overall record and 15-5 and 2nd place finish in the PAC-12. They returned two starters to the team for this season. The Bruins looking at another excellent season as they start 8-2 this year. They are also 5-5 ATS. They have won five straight games since their back-to-back losses to Illinois and Baylor. They are coming off a win over Denver, 87-64, as a 26.5-point favorite. Maryland also is off to an 8-2 S/U and ATS start to their season. The Terrapins looking to build off a poor 2021 season that saw the club go 15-17 overall and finish 11th in the Big 10 with a 7-13 mark. They lost in the Big 10 Conference tournament 2nd round. The goal of the team this year is their high shooting percentage and to defend the 3-point line. They do lack depth though so foul trouble could be of concern for this team. Maryland started this season 8-0 but has lost its last two games to Wisconsin, 59-64 and then last game at home to Tennessee, 53-56, as a 5.5-point dog. After not scoring fewer than 71 points in any of their first eight games, they have put up back-to-back performances of less than 60 points. Their shooting percentage they so wanted to be good this year has dropped to season lows 38.28 vs Wisconsin and then their lowest of the year vs Tennessee of 32.7%. With the Terps reeling a bit of late, I'll take the visitors in this one. Play UCLA. |
|||||||
12-13-22 | Memphis +8 v. Alabama | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The Memphis Tigers returned two starters to a team this year that went 22-11 overall and 13-5 in the AAC last year. The Tigers thought they were underated last year and maybe they were. So this season they have come out of the gate with a 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS marks. The Tigers have won six straight games and covered four of those. They are coming off a home win over Auburn, 82-73, as a 1-point dog. Alabama also off to a good start at 8-1 on the season with a 6-3 spread record. The Crimson Tide only loss coming against U Conn, 67-82, as a 2-point favoirte. They are coming off a win over highly ranked Houston, 71-65, as a 8.5-point dog. That is their biggest win of the season though they could be in for a letdown here today after that upset. The Tide returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Memphis is 13-4 ATS their last 17 vs a team with a win percentage greater than 60%. They are also 18-7 ATS their last 25 games overall. Alabama is only 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games at home. I'll take the Tigers here tonight plus the points. |
|||||||
12-12-22 | Creighton v. Arizona State +3.5 | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
The Creighton BlueJays are 6-4 S/U and ATS on the season. However, the Jays started the season with six straight wins and have now lost four in a row, including their last game on Saturday to BUY, 80-83, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes two in a rows they have lost straight-up as a heavy favorite. Creighton returned three starters from a team that went 23-12 overall last year and loss in the NCAA tournament 2nd round. This team was red-hot to finish last year and many had them in their preseason top 5. They started hot this year too, but have since cooled down. Arizona State returns two starters to a 14-17 team from last year and didn't make any tournaments. This also looks to be the deepest team that ASU has had in some time. So far it's panned out too with the Sun Devils out to a 9-1 start to the season. They have won seven in a row including last game over SMU, 75-57, as a 5-point favorite. They have also covered six of their last seven games. Their biggest win so far was a win over Michigan, 87-62, as a 7.5-point dog. Still, not getting a lot of respect by the oddsmaker here at home as they have been installed as a 4-point dog. I'll take those points. Play Arizona State. |
|||||||
12-10-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne +6.5 v. Missouri State | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The IPFW Mastodons are 6-4 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games over Oakland and then last game over SE Missouri State, 89-68, as a 1-point favorite. The Mastodons have been favorites in all games but two this year. Here they are today getting 6 or 6.5-points against Missouri State. The Missouri State Bears are this big a favorite despite a 4-5 record and 4-4 spread mark. The Bears have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS, including last game at St Mary's CA, 46-66, as a 14.5-point dog. The Bears lost in the NIT first round last year after a 23-11 regular season mark and 13-5 record in the Missouri Valley conference. They only returned one starter though to this team. I just don't believe this Missouri State should be a 6-point favorite here today against a decent Mastodons team. I'll take the points. |
|||||||
12-10-22 | Boston College +10 v. Villanova | 56-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Boston College looks to improve on last year's 13-20 record as they returned four starters to the team this season. The Eagles are 5-5 S/U so far this year with a 3-7 spread record. They are coming off a loss to New Hampshire, 71-74 as a 15-point favorite. That on the heals of a loss at Duke, 59-75, where they did cover the 18-point dog line. Villanova struggled out of the gate this year, going 2-5 S/U and 1-6 ATS their opening seven games. They have won their last two games with wins over Oklahoma, 70-66, and over Penn, 70-59. The Wildcats were a pre-season top 25 pick after a 30-8 record in 2021 and a 16-4 Big East finish. They Cats also made it to the NCAA Final Four where they lost. So a lot was expected of this team this year and so far they have disappointed. This is still a top level team that has yet to meet expectations. I'm taking BC here on Saturday until I see the real Villanova show up. Take Boston College. |
|||||||
12-10-22 | Brown +16.5 v. Michigan State | 50-68 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
The Brown Bears look to improve on last year's 13-16 record. They returned three starters. The Bears are a solid team all around this year with their backcourt probably just slightly better than the rest. They are young and talented and had a lot of bad luck last year. The Bears started this year 0-3 both s/u and ATS. However, they have gone 6-1 S/U and ATS since including five straight wins. They are coming off a nice win over Rhode Island, 59-58, as a 5-point dog. They also shocked Bryant on the road with a 72-60 win as a 12-point dog. Michigan State coming off a 23-13 season last year and returns just two starters to that team. The Spartans made the NCAA tourney and lost in the 2nd round. Michigan State is 6-4 S/U and 4-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Penn State 67-58, as a 4-point dog. That snapped a two game losing streak. In fact, they have scored more than 67 point sin their last three games. That has to be concerning here today as they are laying around 16 to Brown. This Brown team has proved they can cover big spreads and I look for that again here today. Take Brown. |
|||||||
12-10-22 | Georgia Tech v. North Carolina -13 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets look to improve to 7-3 on the season as they head to Chapel Hill to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels. Tech returns two starters to a team that was just 12-20 last year overall and 5-15 in the ACC. The team looks below average in their front court and just average everywhere else. North Carolina started the season as the pre-season No 1 team, returning four of their five starters to a team that was 29-10 last year and 15-5 in the ACC. The Tar Heels made it all the way to the NCAA final before losing. The Tar Heels entered the season loaded at every position. That's why it's a bit surprising to see this team at just 5-4 so far and 1-8 vs the number. The Tar Heels have lost four straight including their last game at Virginia Tech, 72-80, as a pick'em. NCU has struggled this year but I like them to start turning thing around here today. Play North Carolina. |
|||||||
12-10-22 | Drexel +5 v. La Salle | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Early non-conference aciton here on Saturday has the Drexel Dragons taking on the LaSalle Explorers. The Dragons started the season 3-1 and have since gone on a 1-4 run S/U and 2-3 ATS run. They are coming off a loss to Princeton, 63-83 as a 2.5-point dog. Drexel has two starters back thi season and their strength is in their guard play. They finihsed last year at 15-15 overall. LaSalle also returned just two starters to a team that went 11-19 last year and finished 12th in the Atlantic 10. The Explorers are 5-4 S/U and ATS on the season and riding a two-game win streak. They are coming off a win over Buckness, 82-72, as a 6-point favorite. My own numbers have this game closer to a pick'em game. So I'll take the 4 or 4 1/2 points with Drexel today. |
|||||||
12-09-22 | Arkansas State v. Air Force -6 | 55-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams you don't usually expect to meet play at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs tonight as Air Force hosts Arkansas State. The Ark State Red Wolves are 5-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Central Arkansas, 67-72, as a 3-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak by the Wolves. The Air Force Falcons are 6-4 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have won five of their last six games including last time out vs South Dakota, 79-58, as a 4.5-point favorite. Arkansas State is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. Have to take the host here tonight. Air Force is covering spreads while Arkansas State is not. Air Force also holds opponents to just 61.2 ppg on 39.7% shooting. They are also holding opponents to just 24% from the 3-point line, fifth best in the nation. Take Air Force. |
|||||||
12-09-22 | Washington +16.5 v. Gonzaga | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Evergreen State battle here has heavily favored Gonzaga hosting their instate rivals, Washington. The Washington Huskies are 7-2 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Colorado, 73-63, as a 1-point home dog. They have now won four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile Gonzaga not looking quite as solid as they have the last few season with a 6-3 record. Especially to bettors where they have gone 2-7 on the season and lost five straight to the number. They are coming off a close battle with Kent State where they won 73-66, but never came close to covering the 15.5-point favorite line. So far this year they have straight up losses to Baylor, Purdue and Texas - all as a favorite. The Huskies have a solid offense that is comfortable on the break and a defense that allowing the 35th lowest effective field goal percentage. Washington is much improved while we are looking at a Gonzaga team that looks to be underperforming this year. I'll take the big points here tonight with Washington. |
|||||||
12-07-22 | Cleveland State +8 v. St Bonaventure | 42-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
The Cleveland State Vikings opened the season with three straight losses. However, they have since won six straight to get to their 6-3 S/U mark. They are also 6-2 vs the number and have covered four straight games. They are coming off a win over Detroit, 92-77, as a 2-point favorite. St Bonaventure lost some key starters from last year so they have to fill gaps this year after a nice NIT run at the end of last season. The Bonnies are 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS. They are coming off a loss at Buffalo last game, 66-83, as a 2-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The Vikings have covered four of their last five on the road. I'll stick with the Vikings here who have built some good momentum. Just too many points for the Bonnies to lay to a good covering Cleveland State team. Play Cleveland State. |
|||||||
12-06-22 | Yale +6.5 v. Butler | 61-71 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Ivy League heavyweight Yale is 8-1 S/U and 6-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs only loss this season coming at Colorado, 62-65, as a 9-point dog. The Dogs are coming off a win over Stony Brook, 77-72, but failed to cover the 15.5-point line. No big wins on the Yales resume though, as Hawaii is one of the few dogs they were and won, 62-59. Another Bulldog here today is the opponent in Butler. The Butler version of the Bulldogs are 6-3 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Tennessee Tech, 80-66, as a 20-point favorite. Butler has the better resume, but has lost to NC State, Tennessee and Penn State. Yale around a 6-point dog here today. I like the visitor in this one and expect them to have a shot at winning when the dust settles. Take Yale |
|||||||
12-05-22 | Kent State +15 v. Gonzaga | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Kent State Flashes are off to a excellent start at 6-2 AS/U and 7-0 ATS. The Flashes are coming off a win at home over South Dakota State, 83-68, as a 7.5-point favorite. The previous game they gave 2nd ranked Houston all it could handle in a 44-49 loss as a 19-point dog. While the Flahses shot only 23.8% in that game, they held a very talented Houston team to just 32%. Surprisingly, the Gonzaga Bulldogs alreay have three losses on the season at 5-3 S/U and just 2-6 ATS on the season. The Dogs are coming off a loss at Baylor, 63-64, as a 3-point favorite. They have now lost two of their last three games and failed to cover in four straight games. The Dogs have played a tough schedule, with losses to Texas, Purdue and Baylor. Kent State has proved they can play with the best and they have been great to bettors this year. I see no reason to change right now. Take Kent State |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Stanford v. Arizona State -4.5 | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Stanford 3-5 S/U and 2-6 ATS after eight games. They have lost two straight after dropping their last game at home to UCLA, 66-80, as a 6.5-point dog. The Cardinal have played a tough early schedule, with losses to Wisconsin, San Diego State, Ole Miss, Memphis and UCLA. Arizona State brings a 7-1 record into this evening's contest. The Sun Devils only loss coming at Texas Southern back on Oct 13, 66-67, as a 11-point favorite. The Sun Devils opened the season with three straight spread losses. Since then, they have covered their last five games. ASU is also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games. The Sun Devils are coming off a win at Colorado, 60-59, as a 4-point dog. I like the Sun Devils here today. Play ASU. |
|||||||
12-03-22 | Wofford +9 v. Vanderbilt | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
The Wofford Terriers look to build on their 5-3 S/U start this season. They have won four of their last five games, including a win last time out over Presbyterian, 76-63, as a 12.5 point favorite. The Terriers have covered three straight games and four of their six posted games this season. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. Vanderbilt is off to a disappointing start at 3-4 S/U ATS. They are coming off a loss at VCU, 65-70, as a 2.5-point dog. Vandy laying around 8.5-points today might be a tall challenge for a team that is averaging just 68.1 ppg (273rd) and also ranks 240th in 3 pointers made. Wofford averages 78.9 ppg (7-th) and allows 67.6 ppg (151st). This is too many points for a Vandy team that doesn't score a lot and also is 3-4 overall. Take the points with Wofford. |
|||||||
12-03-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Portland State | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
The Air Force Falcons look to improve on their 5-3 mark here today as they travel to the Northwest to take on Portland State. The Falcons are also 4-4 ATS on the season. After a 1-3 S/U start to the season they have won four straight and covered three of the four. That includes last game against Ark-Pine Bluff, 81-53, as a 13-point favorite. Meanwhile, the Portland State Vikings look to get over the .500 mark here today after a 4-4 start. The Vikings have won two straight games including a gimmy game against Portland Bible College in a easy, 114-31 win with no line. The Vikings have played some good competition with a win over Oregon State, 83-71, loss to West Virginia, 71-89, loss to Gonzaga, 79-102 and a win at Oregon State, 79-66. This will be a contrast of the uptempo Portland State team vs the slowdown style of the Falcons. The Falcons will also rely on their 38th ranked defense that allows just 60.8 ppg on the season. I'll take the points here today with Air Force and look for a slower game. |
|||||||
12-02-22 | Massachusetts v. Harvard +2 | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The U Mass Minutemen look to improve to 6-1 here tonight as they hit the road for a game at Harvard. They are also 4-1-1 ATS on the season. U Mass has won four games in a row since their only loss coming to Towson State, 55-67, as a 3.5-point favorite. U Mass averages 69.8 ppg while allowing 64.5 ppg. The Harvard Crimson are 6-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Holy Cross, 72-38, as a 9.5-point favorite. Harvard is averaging 69.1 ppg while allowing 63 ppg. Harvard a small home dog here tonight. The dog has done well in this series, going 5-2-1 ATS the last eight times. Should be a low scoring, close game, but I'll take the home team to come out on top. Play Harvard. |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Washington State +4.5 v. Oregon | 60-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Conference clash in the PAC-12 here tonight as Washington State looks to build on their recent two-game win streak with a road game at Oregon. The Cougars are coming off wins over Eastern Washington, 82-56, and then last game against Detroit, 96-54, as a 11.5-point favorite. The Oregon Ducks are 3-4 S/U and ATS on the season. They snapped a three-game losing streak last game against Villanova, 74-67, as a 4-point dog. The Ducks average 68 ppg while allowing 65 ppg. To make things possibly worse for the Ducks, they could be without a starter here tonight as Center N'Faly Dante is questionable with a head injury. Washington State is 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS in their last four vs Oregon. I'll take the visitor here in this late tip game. Play Washington State. |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Pacific +7 v. UC-Davis | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The Pacific Tigers look to snap a four game losing streak both S/U and ATS tonight at Cal Davis. The Tigers are coming off a loss at home to Cal Poly, 58-62, as a 7-point favorite. Pacific opened the season with a 2-1 S/U and 3-0 spread record. Pacific is averaging 79.6 ppg and allowing 78 ppg. UC Davis Aggies are 6-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS. The Aggies have won two straight games including their last game over Boston U, 81-70, as a 5-point favorite. Davis averages 78 ppg and allow 72.7 ppg. Both teams average about the same per game with Davis having the better defense. I'll take the points with the road dog here today. Play Pacific. |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Valparaiso +9 v. Belmont | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Valparaiso Beacons look to get back to the .500 mark tonight after a 3-4 start to their season. They are also 2-5 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over James Madison, 81-79, as a big 15.5-point dog. Valpo is a slower paced team and thus their offensive output ranks just 214th overall with 70.8 ppg. The Belmont Bruins come into today's contest at 4-3 S/U and ATS. They started the season with a 1-3 S/U and 0-4 mark before winning three straight both S/U and ATS. Belmont is coming off a win at Georgia State, 68-66 as a 1.5-point favorite. The Bruins are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight-up win. I like the points tonight with Valpo. Take the dog. |
|||||||
11-30-22 | New Mexico +9.5 v. St. Mary's | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The New Mexico Lobos off to a great start at 6-0 S/U and 4-1-1 ATS on the season. The Lobos are coming off a win over Northern Colorado, 98-74, as a 13.5 point favorite. The Lobos team has been scoring in bunches, averaging 84.3 ppg on the season (20th in country) and allowing just 68 ppg. They have shot at least 43.9% in each game thus far. St Mary's Gael's will rely on their 11th ranked defense here tonight. The Gaels are 6-1 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming in their last game at home to Washington, 64-68, losing as a 10-point favorite. The Gaels are averaging 72.4 ppg while allowing just 55.9 ppg. The Lobos are 10-4 ATS their last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record. We'll see tonight just how good New Mexico is. Personally, I think this is too many points to give a good offensive team like the Lobos. I expect New Mexico to hit well below their season average, but still come in under the double digit dog line. Play New Mexico. |
|||||||
11-29-22 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
ACC vs Big 10 action here tonight has Wake Forest traveling to Wisconsin to take on the Badgers. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at home to Loyola Marymount, 75-77, as a 6-point favorite. The Deacons have been installed as the favorite in all seven of their games this season. The last two 20+ favorites as they covered both. The will be the first big test and first real road game for Wake here tonight. Wake averages 81.7 ppg and allows 68.4 ppg. Wisconsin is 5-1 both S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming to No 3 Kansas in OT, 68-69, as a 7-point dog. The Badgers don't score a lot, with just 68 their highest output in their last five games. They average just 62.7 ppg but allows just 54 ppg. Should be interesting to see if the high scoring Deacons can dent the very good defense of Wisconsin. However, the 6-points or thereabout that the Badgers have to lay look to a be a bit high. I'll take Wake here tonight as a road dog. |
|||||||
11-29-22 | Baylor v. Marquette +6.5 | 70-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
The Baylor Bears are off to a 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS spread mark this season. Their lone loss coming at home to Virginia, 79-86 as a 5-point favorite. The Bears have won two straight since that loss, including last game over McNeese State, 89-60, failing to cover the huge spread of 37-points. The Bears lowest shooting percentage this year was 44.6% and that was in a win over UCLA, 80-75, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Bears are just 2-5 ATS their last seven against a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS their last seven following a straight up win. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. They have two straight games including last time out over Chicago State, 82-68, but failing to cover the 27.5-point favorite line. Marquette in the midst of some heavy competition with Wisconsin, Notre Dame and Creighton coming up in three of their next four games. Marquette averages 80.3 ppgs this year on 46.5% shooting. Marquette loves to push the ball so this should be an interesting game. Expect a high scoring game here tonight, as I look for the home dog Marquette to stay with the Bears. |
|||||||
11-29-22 | Charlotte +4.5 v. Davidson | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
The UNC Charlotee 49ers are 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. Their lone losses both S/U and ATS coming at Detroit, 49-70, as a 2-point favorite and at home to U Mass, 54-60, as a 1.5-point favorite. Both games the Niners shot 34% and 36.7%, their lows of the season by far. In their five wins their lowest shooting percentage was 43.4%. And they do have some nice wins over Tulsa, 68-65 and and their lone dog game vs Boise State, 54-42, as a 6-point dog. The Davidson Wildcats are 6-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over San Francisco, 89-80, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their lone loss of the season came at College of Charleston back on Nov 17, 66-89, as a 3-point dog. Charlotte's defense has been their backbone, as they rank 2nd in Conference USA in points allowed (55). If Charlotte can keep Davidson from pushing the pace here today, they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the road dog here, take Charlotte. |
|||||||
11-28-22 | Sam Houston State +4.5 v. Nevada | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Sam Houston State Bearkats are looking to remain perfect on the season here tonight as they sit at 6-0 overall and 4-0 ATS. The Kats are coming off a big win over South Dakota, 80-49, as a 6-point favorite. They also have a win over Utah, 65-55, as a 10-point dog and 52-51 over Oklahoma as a 16.5-point dog. The Nevada Wolfpack are 6-1 S/U and 5-1 ATS on the season. They have wins over Akron, 62-58, as a 1.5-point favorite, and 75-66 over Tulane as a 3-point dog. Their only loss coming to Kansas State, 87-96, as a 4.5-point dog. I'm very impressed with the early resume of Sam Houston with their big wins. I'll take them here today against Nevada. |
|||||||
11-28-22 | Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Northwestern | 87-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Panthers started the season 1-3 S/U and 1-2-1 ATS. However, since then they have won three straight and gone 2-0-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over William and Mary, 80-64, as a 13.5-point favorite. NOrthwestern is coming off a loss to No 13. Auburn, 42-43, as a 7.5-point dog. That was the Wildcats first loss of the season as they sit 5-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS. The Cats are just 12-25 ATS their last 37 games at home vs a team with a losing record road record. It's Big 10 vs ACC here tonight. Pitt a fairly good sized dog here today. I'll take the points with the Panthers. |
|||||||
11-28-22 | Dartmouth v. Grambling State -1.5 | 49-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dartmouth Big Green are 2-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Texas San Antonio on Sunday, 78-77, as a 4.5-point dog. Dartmouth is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. Dartmouth has average 77.4 ppg and allowed 75.8 ppg on the season. Grambling is 3-3 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. The Tigers are coming off a loss at home to Incarnate Word, 61-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have played some excellent competition, losing to Arizona State, 49-80 and beating Colorado, 83-74, as a 14.5-point underdog. Grambling has the better defense and they have played the better competition and beaten Colorado. I'll take Grambling here today. |
|||||||
11-28-22 | UC-Davis -4 v. Boston University | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
Cream City Classic here from Milwaukee Wisconsin has Cal Davis taking on Boston U. Cal Davis Aggies are 5-2 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Aggies are coming off a win over Se Missouri State, 73-71, but failed to cover the 4.5-point favorite line. They did open the season with a big win over California, 75-65, as a 5-point dog. That is their big win thus far. Davis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall games. The Boston Terriers are 4-3 S/U and 3-3 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss to Wisc-Milw 46-67, as a 4-point favorite. That makes two straight losses as a favorite, the other being Se Mo State, 52-63 as a 5-point favorite. This team has not shot well in either game with 25.9% and 31.6% respectively. Now they face a very good UC Davis squad. I don't believe this Boston U Terrier team is any good and it will show tonight. Take UC Davis. |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Belmont v. Georgia State +2 | 68-66 | Push | 0 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins are 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS so far this season. The Bruins started the season 1-4 but have since won two straight games against George Mason and then last game over Howard, 96-73, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bruins have not been good to bettors, going 3-13 ATS their last 16 games overall and 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road. The Georgia State Panthers opened the season 2-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS their first four games. They too though have won their last two games, over Texas A&M-Comm and last game over UNC-Asheville, 74-68, as a 1-point road dog. The Panthers are 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games following a straight-up win. Georgia State is a small home dog here today. I like the Panthers to win this one straight up. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | East Carolina +4.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 50-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The East Carolina Pirates out of the gate with a good 5-1 S/U and ATS start. The Pirate are coming off a win over Texas Arlington, 79-65, as a 6-point favorite. Their most impressive win was a 86-75 win over Toledo as a 12-point underdog. The Old Dominion Monarchs are 3-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Davidson, 61-66, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pirates offense is hitting well, averaging 79.3 ppg this season. East Carolina is led by Javon Small who averages over 20 ppg on the season. I like the scoring ability of East Carolina, especially as a dog here today. Take East Carolina. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Kent State +19.5 v. Houston | 44-49 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Kent State Golden Flashes off to a 5-1 start this season. They have also covered all five of their spread games. They are coming off al loss to College of Charleston, their first loss of the season, 72-74, as a 2.5-point dog. Their shooting has been very consistent this year, hitting at least 40% from the field in every game. The No 2 ranked Houston Cougars are 5-0 S/U and ATS after winning at Oregon last game, 66-56 as a 6.5-point favorite. Kent State is loaded again this year after a 23-11 campaign last year that saw them lose in the MAC Championship game. Houston lost four players from last year and is still a team that could win it all this season. Houston is great and should do well this year if they stay healthy. However, hard to lay this kind of number to a very good Kent team. I look for Kent to give them much more trouble than the oddsmaker thinks. Play Kent State. |
|||||||
11-25-22 | Vermont v. Ball State +4 | 78-73 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Early action in the Nassau Championship Tournament here today from the Bahamas with Vermont taking on Ball State. The Vermont Catamounts have struggled out of the gate, going 1-5 to start the season with a 2-4 spread record. Vermont coming off a loss at Yale, 44-73 as a 1-point favorite. That makes three straight games that the Catamounts have scored 57 or fewer points. Ball State is 3-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Indiana South Bend, 86-72 with no line. The Cardinals have scored at least 71 points in all four games. Vermont has trouble scoring while Ball State can score. Take an early gift with Ball State here on Friday. |
|||||||
11-23-22 | Kent State +2.5 v. College of Charleston | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
The Kent State Golden Flashes look to keep their perfect 5-0 record in tact tonight as they take on College of Charleston. The Flashes are also 4-0 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over Chicago State, 88-59, as a 20.5-point favorite. College of Charleston Cougars are 5-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Virginia Tech, 77-75, as a 6-point dog. They have also beat Colorado State and Davidson. Their lone loss coming to North Carolina, 86-102. The Golden Flashes are 17-5-1 ATS thehir last 23 games and 8-2 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Both teams look good thus far. I'll take the few points here with the dog. Play Kent State. |
|||||||
11-22-22 | Wright State -1.5 v. Cal-Riverside | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Wright State Raiders are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS to start the season. They are coming off a win last night over Abilene Christian, 77-61, covering the +2.5-point line. Their lone loss coming in their opening game to Davidson, 97-102, just missing the cover at +4-points. UC Riverside Highlanders won their tourney game last night over Weber State, 72-65, as a 3-point favorite. That win makes them 3-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They have losses to Colorado and Creighton thus far with wins over Occidental College and Loyola Marymount. Not impressed with the Riverside wins. They haven't done well vs the better teams being blow out by 29 and 16 points. I'm taking Wright State tonight. |
|||||||
11-22-22 | Creighton -1 v. Arkansas | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Maui Invitational Second Round action here tonight has Creighton taking on Arkansas. Both teams are undefeated with Creighton at 5-0 and Arkansas at 4-0 on the season. Creighton won their opener in this tourney last night with a 76-65 win over Texas Tech as a 3-point favorite. They hit 55.1% from the field in the win. In fact, their last four wins the team has hit at least 51.4% from the field. They also hit 45% from 3-point line last night, their high on the season. The BlueJays are 3-2 vs the spread thus far. Creighton is now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games dating back to last year. Moreover, they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven on a neutral court. Arkansas improved to 4-0 with their win over Louisville last night, 80-54 as a 14.5-point favorite. The Razorbacks had a season high 56.9% from the field. The Hogs are 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Great matchup here tonight, but I'm really impressed with the overall shooting of this BlueJays team overall on the season. I'll take Creighton here tonight. |
|||||||
11-21-22 | Mississippi State v. Marquette +3.5 | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
College hoop tourney action continues tonight with the Beach Division of the Fort Myers Tipoff. Mississippi State is 4-0 both S/U and ATS so far on the season. They are coming off a win on Thursday over South Dakota, 79-42, as a 14.5-point favorite. This will be their first game away from their home court, though not a true road game. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at Purdue, 70-75, as a 7.5-point dog. Their last game was a win over Long Island, 95-58, as a 29-point favorite. This Marquette team is 36th in the nation in scoring and tonight the Bulldogs will find it difficult to slow them down. Add to that the Bulldogs issues from 3-point arc and this looks to me like a game Marquette should take. This is the best offense that Miss State has faced and will be a big test for them here tonight. Take Marquette. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | VCU +10.5 v. Memphis | 47-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
VCU is 3-1 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS so far this season after a win over Pittsburgh last Thursday, 71-67, pushing the 4-point favorite line. Their one loss coming at home to Arizona State, 59-63, as a 4-point favorite. Today is their first time in the dog role at Memphis. The Memphis Tigers are 1-1, beating Vandy in their opening game, 76-67 and the losing last time out at St Louis, 84-90, as a 3-point dog. Memphis shot only 40% in their loss after hitting over 50% in their win. The Tigers play their first game at home here today. Both these teams excel on defense and both have played some good competition. Not sure Memphis should be a double-digit favorite here today. My numbers have them considerably less. VCU has not covered but they also haven't been a dog either. I'll take the VCU Rams here plus these generous point. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | San Jose State +5.5 v. Northern Colorado | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
The San Jose State Spartans hit the road today to take on Northern Colorado. The Spartans are 3-1 to start the season, losing their first game last time out at home to Hofstra, 76-85, as a 2.5-point dog. The Spartans led this game by 10-points at half but couldn't hold on in the 2nd half. Northern Colorado Bears are 1-2 and coming off a road loss to Baylor, 62-95, failing to cover the generous 28-point dog line. They are 0-3 vs the number thus far after failing to cover vs Houston and Texas A&M-Commerce. They lost to Houston in their opener 36-83. Spartans could easily be 4-0 if they didn't go to sleep in the 2nd half of the game against a very good Hofstra team. The Bears just too erratic thus far with some huge losses. I'll take San Jose State today. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Maryland +3.5 v. St. Louis | 95-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Hall of Fame basketball Tip Off Tourney heads into their Semi-Finals today and the early matchup has Maryland taking on St Louis. The St Louis Billikins are 3-0 to start the season after their win over Memphis, 90-84. Same goes for the Maryland Terps, a perfect 3-0 heading into today's contest. Maryland's wins not as impressive with victories over Niagara, Western Carolina and then last game over Binghamton, 76-52. Though they have covered all three games. Billikin wins have been a bit more impressive with an opening win over Murray State, 91-68, Evansville, 83-65 and then last game over Memphis as a 3-point favorite. They are 2-1 ATS in their three games. One big advantage for the Terps today will be in height and that should help them on the defensive boards where they have struggled thus far. St Louis has lost five straight to the Big 10, yet here they are a favorite today. Maryland is 8-3 ATS their last 11 games and I'll take a Big 10 team here on Saturday getting points. Play Maryland. |
|||||||
11-18-22 | Massachusetts v. Murray State +2 | 71-69 | Push | 0 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Invitational from Conway, SC has second round action here early on Friday as Murray State takes on U Mass. U Mass Minutemen beat Colorado last night in this tourney, 66-63, covering the 5.5-point dog line. That makes U Mass, 2-1 both S/U and ATS on the season. In their lone loss at home to Towson, 55-67, they shot just 34.5% from the field and 21.4% from 3-point arc. They held Colorado to just 34.2% last night in their win. Murray State Racers are 2-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS after beating Texas A&M last night, 88-79 as a 13-point dog. This was by far their best effort of the season as they shot 50% from the field and hit 45.5% of their three-point shots. U Mass a small favorite here today, but my own numbers show that Murray should be the small favorite. I'll take the points. Play Murray State. |
|||||||
11-17-22 | Towson -1 v. NC-Greensboro | 56-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Towson State Tigers look to keep their perfect record in tact as they hit the road to play at NC Greensboro. The Tigers are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season after beating Penn in their last game, 80-74, as a 3-point favorite. They have played two road games and won and covered both, outscoring the home teams by a 73.5 to 64.5 ppg average. The Greensboro Spartans are 1-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Miami, 65-79, as a 10-point dog. Their win coming at home over J&W Charlotte, 93-60. Towson has been a very good road team, going 15-4 ATS their last 19 away games. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 0-6 ATS their last six overall. Towson looks the better team here tonight. Play Towson. |
|||||||
11-17-22 | Boise State v. Charlotte +5.5 | 42-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Invitational first round here tonight from Conway, SC has Boise State taking on NC Charlotte. Boise State is 1-1 this season after winning their last game over Washington State, 71-61, as a 2-point dog. The NC Charlotte 49ers are coming of a win over Maryland Eastern Shore, 80-47, as a 12.5-point favorite. Boise State opened with a loss to South Dakota State. The 49ers look to remain perfect tonight. They have averaged 81 points through two games and hit 56.9% of their field goals and 40% from three point arc. I don't like the way the Broncos have struggled offensively through two games. Meanwhile the 49ers have been hot. It's early but I like the way Charlotte has played. Take Charlotte. |
|||||||
11-16-22 | Missouri State +10 v. BYU | 64-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
The Missouri State Bears visit Provo, Utah tonight to take on the BYU Cougars. The Bears are 1-0 while BYU is 1-1. These teams played each other last year in Missouri State with BYU winning that game, 74-68 as a 1.5-point favorite. Mo State beat Missouri Science Tech last week, 82-47. Can't take a lot away from that game though against such an inferior opponent. This early in the season offensive and defensive stats mean little against the teams they are playing. Byu beat Idaho State, 60-56, but didn't come close to the 23.5-favorite line. Then last time out the Cougars lost at No 17 San Diego State, 82-75, this time as a 11-point dog. Missouri State getting almost 10 points here tonight. Considering the BYU outcome against Idaho State, this Mo State team should do better. I'll take the points early in the season. Play Missouri State. |
|||||||
11-16-22 | SE Missouri State +2 v. Evansville | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
SE Missouri State Redhawks are 2-0 as they hit the road tonight to play at Evansville. The Hawks opened their season with a win over South Florida, 64-61, as a 11-point dog. Then came back last game against Lyon and won easily, 83-46 with no line on the game. The Evansville Aces are 1-1 on the season, beating Miami Ohio in their opener, 78-74 as a 6-point dog and then lost at St Louis last game, 65-83 as a 23.5 point dog. SE Mo looks the better team early in the season, playing well on both ends of the court. They allow just 53 ppg thus far and their defense should have little issues today with this Evansville team. Looks to me the Redhawks should have been favored in this one, but that's ok, I'll take the small points with the visitors. |
|||||||
11-16-22 | Iowa +1.5 v. Seton Hall | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes (2-0) hit the road today to Newark, NJ to take on the 2-0 Seton Hall Pirates. Iowa coming off an easy win over NC A&T, 112-71. Seton Hall coming into tonight after beating St Peter's, 8-44. Iowa also beat Bethune Cookman to start the season, 89-58. The Hawkeyes covering both spreads as 20+ favorites. Seton Hall beat Monmouth in their opener, 79-52, also covering both games thus far. Tonight will be the first good test for both clubs. Both teams put up excellent numbers against poor opposition. Iowa is 8-2 ATS their last 10 games while Seton Hall is 3-10 ATS their last 13 home games. I'll take the Big 10 team here today. Play Iowa. |
|||||||
11-15-22 | Marquette +8.5 v. Purdue | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Two very good teams meet in a marquee matchup here tonight as 2-0 Purdue hosts 2-0 Marquette. It's the Big 10 vs the Big East. Marquette opened with win over Radford, 76-69 and then beat Central Michigan, 97-73. They failed to cover vs Radford but did get the cover against Central Michigan as a 18-point favorite. Purdue opened with an easy win over Wisc Milwaukee, 85-53 and then beat Austin Peay, 63-44, as a 25-point favorite. Purdue is 3-7-1 ATS their last 11 games at home and 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 games overall. Marquette will try to push the pace in this game while Purdue looks for a half court game. Both teams haven't played anyone of consequence yet. I'm going to take the points in this one. Play Marquette. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Youngstown State +10.5 v. Notre Dame | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Youngstown looking to improve to three wins here today at Notre Dame. The Penquins have wins over Canisius and UT Martin. Not exactly in the same class as today's opponent. Notre Dame Irish had to come from behind in a shaky first start vs Radford, winning 79-76 but failing to cover the 18-point favorite line. This is a very experienced Youngstown team and are shooting a very good 47% from the field this year. Still yet to be seen if this Notre Dame team will get better on defense. We know they have the power on offense, but they will need to cover some big spreads. Once again they are laying double digits today. This should be a very good contest today and I believe Youngstown gives the Irish all they can handle. Take the points with Youngstown St. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Towson -3.5 v. Pennsylvania | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Towson Tigers off to a 2-0 start to this season will be looking for their second road win here today at Penn. The Penn Quakers are still looking for that first win after dropping their first two games. Towson is coming off a win over U Mass, 67-55 as a 3.5-point dog. Penn is coming off a loss to Missouri, 85-92 as a 12-point dog. Towson has been good defensively thus far, allowing an average of just 58.5 ppg. Penn has averaged just 67.5 ppg, though struggling on defense as they have allowed 85 ppg. The offensive struggling Quakers will play right into the defensive minded Towson Tigers today. Defense makes the difference in this one. Play Towson. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Oklahoma State v. Oakland +8.5 | 91-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Non conference battle here as the Big 12's Oklahoma State travels to Michigan to take on Horizon League's Oakland U. Ok State couldn't quite get there in in their last game at home, losing to Southern Illinois, 60-61. Oakland also coming off a loss at home to Bowling Green, 82-87. Oklahoma State struggled against a mid-major team on their home court and that loss dropped them to 1-1 on the season. The Cowboys only averaging 68.5 ppg thus far. Oakland Golden Grizzlies look to upset the Cowboys for the second straight season. The Grizzlies also dropped to 1-1 after that recent home loss. The Grizzlies are scoring though, averaging 87 ppg thus far. They are also playing well on defense, allowing just 57 ppg. Both teams looking to this game to get them back on track. For me, Oakland getting generous points at home and is able to put points on the board. Play Oakland. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Pacific v. North Dakota State -5.5 | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacific Tigers are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 road games and 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 overall games. Pacific looks to get into the win column after losing their opening game to Stanford, 78-88. ND State Bison also looking to rebound from an opening loss to Kansas, 59-82. ND State is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games. Both teams struggled early though the Bison played a very good Kansas team. Have to go against Pacific here as they just are not a good road team. PLay North Dakota State. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Arkansas State +19.5 v. LSU | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Both teams looking for their second wins of the young season after opening with wins. Arkansas State Red Wolves are coming off a dominating win over Harding, 86-55. Ark State dominated both ends of the court as they cruised to the easy win. LSU is coming off a win over Kansas City, 74-63 and was much closer then expected. Not convinced the Tigers are all that great at this juncture of the season as they struggled vs a team they should have dominated. I'll take Arkansas State plus the generous points today. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Ball State +7.5 v. Indiana State | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference battle here has the MAC and MVC bash heads. Ball State takes to the road to face Larry Bird's Alma Mater at Indiana State. The Ball State Cardinals opened with a win over Earlham College, DIV 3 foe, 109-39. Indiana State also had an easy time against Green Bay, 80-53. I look at these early contests when we are waiting to see how the talent pans out further down the season. I like that Ball State had an easy time while Indiana State had to struggle a bit more. The Confidence in Ball State should be the difference here today. Take Ball State. |
|||||||
11-11-22 | Villanova -5.5 v. Temple | 64-68 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Local battle among rivals here as a couple of Philadelphia teams battle tonight with Temple taking on Villanova. No 16 Villanova is coing off a win over LaSalle, 81-68. Meanwhile Temple dropped their opener to Wagner, 76-73. Villanova has handled Temple with seven straight wins dating back to 2014, though their last meeting was in 2020 when Villanova won, 76-56. Kyle Neptune is the new coach at Villanova and looks to get some early wins for the team. Temple looked good in the first half of their game vs Wagner, but came out of the half flat and lost the second half and the game. This is not good as they now play one of the better teams in the country in Villanova. The Cats have a great starting five and have all the edges in this game including speed and talent to blowout their intra-city rivals. Take Villanova. |
|||||||
11-08-22 | Rider +13 v. Providence | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
High hopes for both teams after very successful campaigns in 2021-22. Rider returns their top player in Dwight Murry Jr and Allen Powell. They also had several transfers come over to bolster the team. Providence went 27-6 last year and won it's first-ever Big East Regular Season title before making a run in the NCAA tournament to the Sweet 16. Providence will have to rebuild after that excellent season last year. The Friars lost all five starters. Returning experience makes a big difference early in the season and that favors Rider here today. With Providence losing all their starters from last year it might take them a bit to get this team going again. Play Rider. |
|||||||
11-07-22 | Ohio +6.5 v. Belmont | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This will be the second straight season these teams start the season against each other. Last year this was a high scoring game as the Ohio Bobcats came away with a 92-80 home win. Now the venue moves to Nashville. Nine new players will grace the Ohio roster this season. Returning will be Miles Brown and Ben Roderick from last year and a lot will be expected of them. To get his young team ready for the season HC Boals had his team to Spain for a three-game set so he could get the freshmen playing time. They lost all three games, but the minutes of experience could be invaluable early in the season. Meanwhile, Belmont moves to the toucher MVC this season and that will be a big challenge for them. Only one starter returns for this Belmont squad. Moreover, depth will be an issue for the Bruins. Both teams in rebuilding mode this year, but for me I'll take the points with Ohio. |
|||||||
11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Akron opening their season at home here tonight. The Zips finished 24-10 last year and 14-6 in the MAC. They lost two big players from that squad, Ali who avg 13.9 ppg and Bryan Trimbles who avg 10.4 ppg. The Zips won the 2022 MAC Tournament last year under 6th year HC John Groce. Akron is 3rd in the preseason MAC Poll. South Dakota coming off a great season that saw the team win 30 games and 21 games in a row. The JackRabbits lost in the NCAA Tournament to Providence in the first round. Both teams had excellent seasons in 2022 but SDK State looks pretty good getting points in this spot. Take South Dakota State. |
|||||||
04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
The NCAA Men's Final comes down to two teams that are not strangers to the Big game, North Carolina and Kansas. North Carolina is 29-9 overall on the season and after losing in the ACC Tournament has won five straight in the NCAA's. They have covered all five also after they beat Duke in the Final Four, 81-77, as a 4.5-point dog. The Tarheels have the 18th ranked efficient offense according to the Kenpom rankings. They have averaged nearly 78 points per game and allowed 68 points. In the NCAA tournament they have averaged 82.2 ppg while allowing 68.2 ppg. They are 39th in defense. North Carolina is looking for its 7th National Title and first with HC Hubert Davis. The Kansas Jayhawks were the only No 1 seed team to make the Final Four this year. They have a 33-6 record and are coming off a blowout win over Villanova, 81-65. The Jayhawks won the Big 12 Tournament this year, just the first time in their last four years. Both of these teams peaked at just the right time and both are loaded with great coaches. The one area Kansas has trouble is foul shooting, where they are just 60% in the tournament. This could prove crucial down the stretch. In a close game like this, I'll take the points. Play North Carolina. |
|||||||
04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 30 m | Show | |
The Basketball Classic Championship here tonight between Fresno State and Coastal Carolina. Fresno State lost three of their last four games to close out their season. They have hit the NIT running though, beating Eastern Washington, Youngstown State and then last game over Southern Utah, 67-48 as a 7-point favorite. Fresno not the best offensive team, as they rank just 148 in the Kenpom offensive efficiency rankings. They do better in defense though, ranking 32nd overall. The Dogs haven't done well covering against winning teams, evidenced by their 3-9 ATS mark their last 12 games. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just 19 wins on the season. Though six of those have come in the last seven games. They lost in their conference championship game to Georgia Southern and have since won three straight in this tournament. The last coming over South Alabama, 69-68, as a 1-point dog. Carolina just out of the top 100 in both. Carolina is 6-1 ATS their last seven games. Have to figure Carolina with chance to win today, so I'll take the points with them. |
|||||||
03-31-22 | Xavier +4.5 v. Texas A&M | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
NIT Championship here today from Madison Sq Garden in NY, NY. The Xavier Musketeers take on the Texas A&M Aggies. Xavier had a rough road to this final, having to beat Cleveland State, Florida, Vanderbilt and St Bonnies. The Muskateers have a very good offense, ranked 39th in the Kenpom adjusted efficiency rankings. The defense isn't bad either, ranked 79th. Xavier is now 35-14-2 ATS in their last 51 games on a neutral site as a dog. Texas A&M still smarting by being passed over for the NCAA now has 27 wins on the season. The Aggies have won four straight at the NIT over Alcorn State, Oregon, Wake Forest and Washington State. They covered three of those four. The A&M Defense is very good, ranked 27th in Kenpom. The offense, not quite as good, ranked 68th. One Achilles heal is that they are not a good offensive rebounding team, 340th in the nation. That doesn't translate into a lot of second chance points. Two very good teams here tonight but for me I like to take the points with a team I know can win outright too. Play Xavier. |
|||||||
03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M -1.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
NIT Semifinals here tonight from Madison Square Garden in NY, NY has Washington State taking on Texas A&M for the right to go to the NIT Finals. Washington State has had a very good run, starting in the PAC-12 tournament where they beat Oregon State, Oregon and Cal before losing to UCLA, 65-75. They then have won three straight in the NIT, beating Santa Clara, SMU and BYU, covering all three games. The Cougars are decent offensive team, ranked 77th in the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency rankings. They are a better defensive team, ranking 26th. Offensively they are one of the worst 2-point shooting teams in the nation, ranking 313th with a 46.2%. Texas A&M has been equally impressive as Washington State in their recent run. They beat three very good SEC teams in their tournament against Florida, Auburn and Arkansas, before losing to Tennessee in the finals. They opened NIT with a win over Alorn State, then beat Oregon and lastly Wake Forest. They have covered nine of their last 11 games. They have also won 10 of their last 11 games. The Aggies also have a very good defense, ranked 32nd in the Kenpom rankings and a slightly better offense, ranked 72nd. A&M has been a very streaky team, losing eight in a row mid-season and then closing with a nice win streak. I like A&M here tonight. |
|||||||
03-29-22 | St Bonaventure -1.5 v. Xavier | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
St Bonnys and Xavier meet here tonight in Madison Sq Garden for the right to advance to the NIT Finals. St Bonnies is 23-9 overall on the season after winning three straight in the NIT over Colorado, Oklahoma and last game over Virginia, 52-51, as a 2.5-point Dog. They covered all three games and are now 10-3 ATS their last 13 games. The Bonnies are a very well balanced team, ranking 73rd offense and 78th defense in the Kenpom efficiency rankings. The Xavier Musketeers are 21-13 overall on the season and have beaten Cleveland State, Florida and last game over Vandy, 75-73 in their three NIT Games. They are just 1-3 ATS their last four games. They are also 5-15 ATS their last 20 games. Have a hard time backing a poor covering team like Xavier. I'll lay the small line here tonight with St Bonnies. |
|||||||
03-28-22 | Southern Utah +7.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
The Basketball Classic Semifinals tonight have Fresno State hosting Southern Utah. Winner moves on to the tournament finals. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are 23-11 overall after winning three straight in this tournament. They opened with a win over Kent State, 83-79, then beat UTEP, 82-69 and last game beat Portland, 77-66, covering all three games. In addition So Utah is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. So Utah has the nation's 87th most efficient offense according to Kenpom. They are 34th in 2-point FG%. This would account for why the team has scored 71 points or more in 10 of the last 12 games. Fresno State also has 23 wins on the season after winning both of their TBC tourney games. They beat Eastern Washington, 83-74, to open the tourney and then beat Youngstown State, 80-71, last game. They have failed to cover both games as a favorite. The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-9 their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record. I'm taking the generous points here today with Southern Utah. |
|||||||
03-27-22 | St. Peter's +8.5 v. North Carolina | 49-69 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The Cinderella team of 2022 is the St Peter's Peacocks. They opened beating a very good Kentucky team, 85-79, and then upended 30+ win Murray State, 70-60, before beating Purdue in the Sweet 16, 67-64. While the Peacocks have just 22 wins on the season, they have now won 10 straight games both S/U and ATS. The Peacocks do crack the Kenpom defensive rankings, coming in at 25th overall in defensive efficiency. They are holding opponents to just 29.3% from 3-point (15th), 44.3% overall shooting (12th). The defense is so good they have held nine of their last 10 opponents to 65 points or fewer. Only first round win over Kentucky did the Cats score 79 points. North Carolina had better not look past St Peters here today as already having punched their ticket to the Final Four. Purdue made that mistake and they are all home today. North Carolina lost to Virginia Tech in the ACC Conference Tournament, 59-72. Since then they have beaten Marquette, 95-63, Baylor, 93-86 in OT, and last game over UCLA, 73-66. The Tar Heels have the 19th rated efficient offense, according to the Kenpom ratings. They also have the 42nd ranked defense. The key for me in this matchup is the very good St Peters defense holding North Carolina under 70 points. If they can do that, they will cover this game. Play St Peters. |
|||||||
03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
If not for being overshadowed by St Peters, Miami Florida would be the longshot team to make it to the Elite 8 with a chance to advance to the Final Four. Miami has beating USC, 68-66, Auburn, 79-61, and last game over Iowa State, 70-56 to advance to today's Elite 8 contest vs Kansas. Miami has covered four straight and six of their last seven games. They are also 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 games as a underdog. Miami has an excellent offense, ranked 18th overall in the country according to the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. They are also 22nd overall in the country in 2-point FG% (55.0%). They are a good but not great defense, ranked 114th overall in defensive efficiency. The Kansas Jayhawks continue in the NCAA where they left off in the Big 12, winning games. After running the table in their conference tourney, the Hawks have beaten Texas Southern, 83-56, Creighton, 79-72 and last game over Providence, 66-61. They have failed to cover their last two games. In fact, they are now 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA tourney games. Kansas has the 6th ranked most efficient offense and 23rd ranked defense, making them a very well balanced team. Kansas is the last remaining No 1 seed in the tournament and the now favorite to win it all. Miami has outscored their last two opponents (Auburn and Iowa State) by 32 points. Miami as the defense to stay close to Kansas here today. I'll take the points with Miami to cover here today. |
|||||||
03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Coach K's run toward his final season glory is still alive. Coach K retires after this year for Duke and they aren't ready to let him go just yet. After losing to Virginia Tech in the ACC, Duke has won three straight in the NCAA over Cal Fullerton, 78-61, Michigan State, 85-76, and Texas Tech last game, 78-73. They covered two of the three games. Arkansas pulled off the huge upset last round, beating top seeded Gonzaga, 74-68 as a 9.5-point dog. They held Gonzaga to just 23.8% from three-point line and 37.5% shooting overall. Arkansas has a outstanding defense, ranked 11th in the Kenpom efficiency listings. However, the height advantage definitely goes Duke's way in this game. The Blue Devils are the highest ranked offensive team left in the tournament after Purdue got ousted by St Peter's yesterday. It seems like Duke has been fortunate to advance at every level, however they are playing very well right now. I look at Duke as having all the offensive power in this game to go with their height advantage. Arkansas is the better defensive team, but I see Duke's firepower being too much here today. Play Duke. |
|||||||
03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Houston has now won six straight games after winning their own conference tournament and now winning round one and two of the NCAA tourney. They beat Illinois in round one, 68-53, as a 3.5-point favorite and then beat Arizona, 72-60 as a 1.5-point dog in round two. The Cougars defense has been the reason they are winning. They held Illinois to jut 34% from the field and then held Arizona to 33.3% from the field. At the same time they hit 46% vs Arizona and 42.4% vs Illinois. Meanwhile, Villanova has won eight games in a row and 13 of their last 14 games. The Wildcats beat Delaware in round one, 80-60, Ohio State in round two, 71-61 and then Michigan in the last round, 63-55. What I like most about Villanova is how deep their bench is. They have six players that will play a lot of minutes and their defense is excellent. I also look for Villanova to slow the pace in the game and spread the floor a lot. This is a veteran Villanova team that is no stranger to the Elite eight in the NCAA tournament. Play Villanova plus the points. |
|||||||
03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL -2.5 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Iowa State is the worst offensive team left in the NCAA tournament. The Cyclones are lucky to get out of the 50's in most games these days. In addition their offense is just the 160th ranked efficient offense in the Kenpom rankings. This offense turns the ball over a lot (294th in the country), doesn't hit 3-pointers (265th in the country) and is a poor free thrown shooting team (290th in the country). Yet, here they are in the Sweet 16. They beat LSU, 59-54, holding the Tigers to just 54 points. Then last game they beat Wisconsin, holding the Badgers to just 49 points. Bottom line for this Cyclones team is that they won't outscore anyone. So here comes Miami, a team that has scored at least 71 points in 11 of their last 12 games. They beat USC in round one, 68-66 (their only game under 70) and then last game over Auburn, 79-61, as a 6.5-point dog. I think time has run out for this Iowa State team. I'm taking Miami here tonight. |
|||||||
03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Providence Friars look to punch their ticket to the Elite 8, but it will take a upset win over Kansas today. Providence has beaten South Dakota State, 66-57, and then Richmond, 79-51, to get to the Sweet 16. They covered both those games and have covered five of their last seven games. Providence has the 31st ranked most efficient offense in the Kenpom rankings and 57th in defense. Kanas hit the 30 win mark with their NCAA tourney win over Creighton, 79-72. They did fail to cover that game as a 12.5-point favorite. The Big 12 Tourney Champion has won seven straight games. Kansas has the 6th ranked most efficient offense and the 28th ranked defense. Providence is now 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a dog. As good as Kansas is, they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA tourney games. I'm taking the points here with Providence today. |
|||||||
03-24-22 | Houston +1.5 v. Arizona | Top | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
It's the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament and we get a great matchup here on Thursday as Houston takes on Arizona. Houston advanced here by beating UAB in round one, 82-68, and then Illinois in the 2nd round, 68-53. That makes five straight wins for the Cougars both SU and ATS since they rolled through their conference tourney also. Houston is now 11-1 their last 12 games S/U and 9-2 ATS their lasts 11 games. Houston has one of the best balanced teams in college basketball, ranked 10th both in offensive and defensive efficiency by Kenpom. They also hit the boards really well, 3rd in the nation in offensive rebounds 37.7% and 8th in blocked shots. Arizona Wildcats have beaten Wright State, 87-70, and TCU, 85-80 in the NCAA Tournament. However, they didn't cover either of those games. Arizona is slightly better on offense than Houston, 7th overall, but worse in defense, 17th overall. Should be a great game to watch, but for me I'm taking the Cougars plus the couple of points. Play Houston. |
|||||||
03-24-22 | Texas Tech v. Duke | 73-78 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
Coach K looks to continue his final year as the head coach of Duke with a semifinal win here on Thursday. The Blue Devils have beaten Cal Fullerton and Michigan State to get here today. The latter was their only cover in their last six games. Duke hasn't fared well lately in the NCAA tournament, covering just one of their last eight games. They face a Texas Tech team who beat Montana State in round one, 97-62 and then Notre Dame in round two, 59-53. Texas Tech has a very good offense, ranked 45th overall in the adjusted Kenpom efficiency. However, it's their defense that stands out, No 1 in the nation in the Kenpom defensive efficiency rankings. There is very little negative you can point out about this Tech team. The few problem areas are free throws (253rd) and 3-point FG (252nd). But its the defense that will win this game today for the Red Raiders. Take Texas Tech. |
|||||||
03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan got by Colorado State in round one of the NCAA, 75-63, as a 1.5-point favorite. Then they played a near perfect game to defeat heavily favored Tennessee, 76-68, as a 7-point dog. The Wolverines weren't expected to get past Tennessee, but when you play such a exceptional game it's not hard to see why they are now in the Sweet 16. Michigan is really lucky to be in the NCAA Tournament as they have just 19 wins overall on the season. Many didn't think they deserved to even be here while other, arguably better teams were passed by. Villanova improved to 28-7 after running the Big East tourney for the Title and now rattling off two NCAA wins over Delaware and Ohio State. That makes seven straight wins for the WildCats. They are also 5-3 ATS their last eight games. The Wildcats are now 19-7 ATS in their last 26 NCAA tournament games. I believe the Michigan luck runs out here today. Play Villanova. |
|||||||
03-24-22 | Arkansas v. Gonzaga -9.5 | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
The Arkansas Razorbacks get the distinction of trying to take down top seeded Gonzaga here today. Arkansas lost to Texas A&M in the SEC tournament, but has beaten Vermont, 75-71, and New Mexico State, 53-48 in the NCAA Tournament. Arkansas has a very good defense, ranked 14th overall in the nation the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. On offense, they rank 53rd overall. Their one area of concern is 3-point shooting where they were just 30.5%, ranking them 314th in the nation. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a dog and 14-5-1 ATS their last 20 games overall. Gonzaga had troubles in its last game against Memphis. They couldn't shake Memphis as the game was within the spread almost the entire way. Gonzaga did win, 82-78, but couldn't cover the 10-point favorite line. My feeling here is that the Memphis game will serve as a wake up call for this Gonzaga team today. Gonzaga has the top ranked offensive efficiency team in the nation and is fist in 2-point shooting (61%) and 22nd in 3-point (37.4%). This offense has too much firepower for Arkansas and while Arkansas is a very good defensive team, they can't handle Gonzaga. Play Gonzaga. |
|||||||
03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 52-67 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinal action here on Wednesday has Wake Forest playing at Texas A&M. After an early exit from their own tournament, Wake Forest opened NIT action with a win over Towson State, 74-64, and then beat VCU on Saturday, 80-74. They covered both those NIT Games and four of their last five games. Texas A&M is 25-12 after winning both their NIT games over Alcorn State, 74-62, and then last game over Oregon, 75-60. They are just 1-2 ATS their last three games. Both of these teams just missed out on at large bids to the NCAA tournament. The Demon Deacons defense is the backbone of this team, ranked No35 in the Kenpom efficiency ratings. Texas A&M went all the way to the SEC title game, losing to Tennessee, 50-65. This should be the best NIT matchup yet, with both teams having felt they should have gone to the NCAA tournament. The SEC has been horrible in tournament play while the ACC has been very good. I'll take the ACC rep here. Play Wake Forest. |