Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-25-23 | Northwestern +6 v. Illinois | 45-43 | Win | 100 | 51 h 39 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. Game 221. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. For the life of me guys I cannot understand why Illinois is nearly a touchdown favorite in this matchup. They are just 5-6 this season overall, going 3-8 ATS. This does include a Conference record of 3-5 SU. This is not the same Fighting Illini team that we have seen over the last few seasons. Their once-feared defense is allowing over 28.0 points per game this year and has gotten beaten equally on the ground and in the air. Offensively, they are one of the poorest scoring teams in the Conference. And their offense has committed eight turnovers, while their defense has just five takeaways. The Northwestern offense is just as lackluster. But they rank number one in the nation in turnovers. They have committed just one turnover this season. They don't make many mistakes. That's for sure. They are a smart, well-coached team that comes into each contest prepared. Defensively, they can counter their opponents 45th ranked passing offense with the nation’s 13th ranked passing defense. I think they win this game outright. This game will certainly be a lot closer than the pointspread dictates. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-24-23 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes. Game 121. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Iowa has already locked up the Big Ten West Division Title and a spot in the Conference Title game on December 2. And normally I would shy away from playing a team like this in this situation. We all know that Nebraska needs this win to become Bowl-eligible. However, Iowa, despite all their accolades and playing in the Conference Title game, is still ranked 17th right now. Let's face it, that they won three in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 9-2 this season. And yet they're not getting the respect that they deserve. Yes, I know their “O” is stagnant. But when your defense yields just 12.4 points per game against some of the best offenses in the country, let's face it, you don't need an explosive offensive unit. This is one of the strongest stop-units the Cornhuskers have faced this season. And just over the last several games, their offense has sputtered. They put up 17 points against the Spartans, 10 points against the Terrapins, and 17 points against the Badgers: all games that they lost and failed to cover. The matchups heavily favor the Hawkeyes here. What's funny about Iowa is their defense is so strong, they get their opponents offense units off the field very quickly thus allowing their opponents defensive units to become tired from overwork. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers -6.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 56 h 18 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 109. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, currently following the Monday Night contest, the Eagles possess the best record in the NFC, at 9-1, followed by the Detroit Lions at 8-2, then at 7-3, sits the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers started off the season winning their first five outings, covering four of the five. Then they suffered a three-game slide in which they were crushed by injuries. I don't think it's a coincidence that as they’ve gotten healthy, they've won their last two games. This is a team that I feel is one of the best in the National Football League. After this week, they take a little hiatus until a December 3 meeting on the road at the Philadelphia Eagle's. I don't see them overlooking the Seattle Seahawks or being in a lookahead spot at all. They must take this game very seriously. They have to. They have a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare for their biggest matchup of the season in their next game. I know the Seattle Seahawks are getting some money put on them here in Vegas (as of post). For the life of me, I don't see why. They were beaten in their last outing by the Los Angeles Rams, 17-16. They allowed Los Angeles to put up 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose the game very late. This isn't just a reflection of their roster and personnel, it is a reflection of the coaching staff as well. Please understand that the 49ers have won both of their divisional games this season. They took both NFC West games in 2023 thus far: on the road at the Rams in mid-September, then a few weeks later at the beginning of October at home against the Cardinals. As far as the Seahawks go, their quarterback, Geno Smith, banged up his elbow in Sunday's loss. As of Tuesday morning, posting this play, he is questionable. I feel he's going to play. Whether he does or it's back up, Drew Lock, I don't think it matters. They will be going to go up against the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense. San Francisco allows just 15.7 points per game and have already snagged 19 takeaways. That does not bode well for a Seattle offense that's already coughed up the ball 11 times. Let's face it, their offensive unit is mediocre at best. They are horrible at running the ball and middle of the pack at throwing the ball. But either way, they are overmatched with a fast, ferocious, and furious San Francisco stop-unit. On the defensive side, they are facing a top-10 offense, both on the ground and in the air. Let's face it, the 49ers offensive unit has gotten healthy and are truly dangerous. I feel this team should be a favorite of nearly double-digits. So, laying right now less than a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Oh, by the way, San Fran took all three meetings last season, both SU and ATS. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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11-21-23 | Pacers +4 v. Hawks | 157-152 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers. Game 521. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. My friends, Indiana is playing some very solid basketball. Offensively, they lead the NBA in scoring, averaging over 125.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, in just about every offensive category, they rank in the top-10. Granted, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their rebounding core is strong on the stop end of the court. On the other hand, Atlanta is struggling. Right now, they sit at 6-6 and to be quite honest with you, they are point spread poison, failing to cover five of their last six outings. I remember a time when the Hawks were money at home against the number. Not anymore. They have failed to cover their last four games played at the State Farm Arena. This is a team that can score, but is getting manhandled on the boards. Particularly on the offensive glass. So, they aren’t getting too many second-chance opportunities. Defensively, they are in big trouble here trying to stop the deadly, seventh-ranked three-point shooting team of the Pacers. I just don't see the Hawks. Keeping pace here (No pun intended). I really think the wrong team is favored. So, take Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-21-23 | Bowling Green -130 v. Western Michigan | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Bowling Green Falcons on the moneyline. Game 103. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Both Bowling Green and Western Michigan have been good against the spread the season, covering seven of their 11 contests in 2023. However, I don't think there's any question that the Falcons are deeper and stronger on both sides of the ball than the Broncos. There is a question mark on running back, Terion Stewart. He has an able back up in Ta’ron Keith. So, I wouldn't be too worried about that. The big difference in this matchup is on the defensive side of the ball. Bowling Green has a monster defense. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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11-21-23 | Colorado -4.5 v. Florida State | 71-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. Game 647. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. At 4-0, Colorado is off to their best start since the 2019/2020 season. The team is ranked 18th in the nation right now. Not only are they winning, but they are covering, going 3-1 ATS. This is a team that beat some very good opposition a season ago, including some very solid, non-conference foes. If you recall, last November, they took down Tennessee outright as a 15.0 point ‘dog and Texas A&M outright as a 6.5 point ‘dog. I feel Florida State is not on the same level at all. If you recall last year, they began the campaign off going 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread. They lost to teams they should've beaten; Stetson, Central Florida, Troy, and Siena. As the season progressed, things didn't get too much better for the Seminoles. Offensively, the Buffaloes possess better scorers, both inside and out. As a matter fact, they're hitting just shy of 50% from downtown. They're also a lot stronger from the line And I do believe this game will get physical. Oh, by the way, on the defensive side, they are feisty and own the better rebounders. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Vikings +2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. Game 473. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Guys, I've worked in every facet of this business. I spent several years working in line services. And even worked alongside the original Vegas odds makers. I'm pretty good at creating lines for games. And yet, for the life of me, I just don't see the line the odds makers put on this game. It looks like a trap to me. I have the Minnesota Vikings 1.0 to 1.5 points favorites here. This is currently the hottest team in the NFL, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. As a matter fact, they have covered 5 straight road games. Is this all because Kirk cousins is out? My friends, he's been out for quite a while. Joshua Dobbs has done a very good job filling in at the helm. And their defense has certainly been much-improved. Maybe the odds makers made the line what it is because the Broncos are riding their own three-game win and cover streak. But let's face it, they beat a subpar Packers opponent, happen to catch the Chiefs at the right time, and come off a road win against the struggling Bills. Granted, two of those three teams are known as NFL elite. But I think they have just been very lucky. I feel Dobbs is going to have an enormous amount of success in the air here. I also feel they're going to establish the run against the NFL's worst rush defense. You know overall, the once-feared Denver “D” ranks dead last in points allowed this season, getting plowed for over 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, offensively, I don't see them moving the chains as easily as they have against their last few opponents. Please remember that prior to the current win streak, the Broncos failed to cover their first five games of this season. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | Top | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Game 472. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. Where to begin...hmm. For starters, this is definitely a disappointing season for the Buffalo Bills. They sit in second place in the AFC East at 5-5. This was a team touted to definitely be in the AFC Title game. Having said that, they began the 2023/2024 campaign off with a big nationally television broadcast loss back on September 11 on the road at the New York Jets. This was a very well publicized game. If you recall, Aaron Rodgers went down in the first series for New York. Everybody gasped, everybody said that's it for the Jets, and everybody said the Buffalo Bills will crush them here tonight. Well, that didn't happen. Following that loss, the Bills then rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But have since gone just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS. They come off an embarrassing home defeat to the Denver Broncos. This is a team that does not take a losing lightly. This is a team that especially does not losing in front of their loyal fans. They must kickstart the season with the win here, or they are in dire straits. So, this brings me to my next point...revenge. They don't like losing period. They furthermore don't like losing to Conference opponents. And to go one further, they especially do not like losing to Division opponents. They've had this rematch circled since the opening season lost. The New York Jets are horrible. They lost their last two and failed to cover their last three. Their offense is nonexistent. To be quite honest, they haven't scored a touchdown in 36 straight drives as quarterback Zach Wilson has only thrown one touchdown in his last five games. Over the last two contests, they have zero touchdowns, while Wilson has been sacked 10 times. This does not bode well as they face a very angry Bills defense looking for a little redemption. You know overall the Buffalo's stop-unit still ranks fifth in points allowed, yielding just 18.4 PPG. Offensively, they still score quite a bit, ranking eighth and averaging over 26.2 points per game. If Buffalo is going to get their season back on track, they must start with a big revenge win here. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Nets | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Game 555. 12:10 PM PST/310 PM EST. Like many teams in NBA Philadelphia has dominated. But there might not be a team they have flexed their muscles more against than the Brooklyn Nets. The 76ers have taken eight in a row in this series straight up, going 7-1 against the spread. They enter today's match up sitting in second place in the Eastern Conference, just 1.0 game behind the Celtics at 9-3. They can further distance themselves from the third place team in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks. Let's face it, Philadelphia does not like Brooklyn, at all. They take an enormous amount of enjoyment in beating the Nets. The 76ers are significantly healthier than their counterpart this evening as the Nets will be without Ben Simmons and Cam Thomas once again. On a sidenote, as a big basketball fan, it seems like the 76ers are also enjoying success even more without James Harden on the roster. On both sides of the court, they possess significantly stronger statistics. They are all so much stronger at both ends of the court on the boards. But where I feel you are going see the biggest advantage for the visitor, is at the free-throw line, where they top the NBA, ranking first, hitting over 86.3%, while Brooklyn ranks 21st, making a mere 76.2% of their free throws. Take the 76ers. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Georgia -9 v. Tennessee | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
Georgia Bulldogs. Game 329. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The top-RANKED Georgia Bulldogs cannot take their foot off the gas HERE. With only a few games remaining in the regular season, they have Tennessee up here, then a road game at Georgia Tech, and then finish the season on neutral ground against Alabama in the SEC Title game. There are a few other undefeated teams that round out the top-five in Ohio State, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington. This week a few of those teams have tough conference competition. And next week the No. 2 and No. 3 teams, the Buckeyes, and the Wolverines square off against one another. So, if the Bulldogs keep their foot on the gas, run the gauntlet and stay perfect, they guarantee themselves a spot in the CFP. Even if they drop the game against Alabama and win everything else big time, they should still be in that CFP. The Volunteers just got spanked a week ago at the hands of the Tigers, 36-7. There is no way they could face this weeks opponent on either side of the ball as they are outclassed. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Clemson | 20-31 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
North Carolina Tar Heels. Game 341. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. North Carolina possesses one of the most well-balanced and explosive offenses in college football. They average 39.9 points per game behind a solid quarterback, and a devastating ground attack. Offensively they don't make too many mistakes, only committing two turnovers. Now I do understand that their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their offense is so well-balanced and they have such a good ground game, that they will keep the Clemson defense on the field. Please remember that when they're on “D”, there stop-unit has already grabbed 12 take away's already. That does not bode well for a Tigers “O” known to be mistake-prone, committing 11 turnovers. I just think this is way too many points to give a team like UNC. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Illinois v. Iowa -150 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes on the moneyline. Game 360. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Yes, it's true. Iowa owns an offense that ranks 123rd in scoring, accounting for a measly, 18.8 points per game. But they also have a defense that ranks third in the nation, allowing just 12.3 points per game. As a matter fact, the Hawkeyes are on track to play in the Conference title game. They need another big win here to ensure that. Let's face it, Illinois does not have a very explosive offense to begin with. And going up against this opponent, is going to be one of the toughest tests so far this season for the team. They have yet to face a defense this ferocious. Maybe the last time they faced any sort of defense that comes near this was a mid-September meeting at home against Penn State, in which they were thumped, 30-13. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Louisville v. Miami-FL | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Louisville Cardinals. Game 333. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Guys, the Cardinals should be at least a three-point favorite in this match up. They are stronger on both sides of the ball, come in here with momentum, and are playing for a big-time Bowl spot. Miami has lost their last two straight up and two of the last three against the spread. I keep hearing how good the Hurricanes defense is. But in consecutive outings, they've allowed 23, 41, 20, 26, 20, and 27 points. Offensively, they leave a lot to be desired and they make a lot of mistakes. They're running into perhaps one of the strongest defenses they've had to go up against in quite some time this week. The Cardinals only allow 17.1 points per game and have snagged 11 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. We’ve seen Miami struggle offensively. But we've also seen their defense give up a lot of points. That is not a good combination against this week's opponent. Take Louisville. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +3 | 15-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. Game 352. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. One more win and the Wildcats become Bowl-eligible. They enter this matchup getting bettors paid, covering four straight games. This is a feisty bunch that really don't match up well for the Purdue Boilermakers. Purdue just got off a four-game slide, beating Minnesota. The balloon will pop my friends, as they plummet back down to Earth. If you recall, Northwestern got their top quarterback back from injury last week as they took down Wisconsin, 24-10. That's a big win for the team. They get another big one here and earn Bowl-eligibility. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Oklahoma -24.5 v. BYU | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
Oklahoma Sooners. Game 371. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. You know, folks, Oklahoma is not happy about missing the CFP. This is the team that was running perfect through the end of October. Then losses on the road at Kansas and that Oklahoma State snuffed out any chance they had at the CFP. They did follow that up with an annihilation, 59-20 over West Virginia. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. This is a team that had high expectations this season. One thing for sure, they still have a chance at the Conference title. But they must win their last two games. Please remember they have covered point spreads of 37.0, 16.5, 28.0, 13.5, 20.5, and 13.0. Not only do they have to win, they have to absolutely annihilate the remaining opponents. That starts with BYU this week and finishes with TCU next week. Trust me when I tell you, they will crush both. The Cougars have had a hard time this season. As a matter fact, since the end of September things have gotten very hard for the team. It just so happens that coincided with Conference play. BYU was just 2-5 straight up in Big 12 action. And have only covered three of their 10 outings this season overall. That does include just two games in Big 12 play. Just over the last three outings, they lost by 31 at the hands of the Longhorns, 31 at the hands of the Mountaineers, and 32 at the hands of the Cyclones. Don't think that they have any dreams about even making a bowl. They just want to get this season over and done with. Their offense is atrocious. Their defense is atrocious. They have no team leadership. And let's be honest, their coaching is horrible. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly outclassed. This game will get ugly. Take the sooners. Thank you. |
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11-17-23 | Colorado +4.5 v. Washington State | 14-56 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. Game 317. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. I think it's safe to say that both Colorado and Washington State fell a little short of their expectations this season. Now if this would've been an early season matchup, this would've been one of the most exciting matchups on the board. But it isn’t. While both teams are 4-6 overall, and both teams own identical 1-6 Conference records, to us bettors, this isn’t about which team wins, this is about which team covers. And the Buffaloes have been covering. They are on a three-game ATS cover streak. This is a team that plays very close games. Meanwhile, the Cougars are not only riding a six-game straight up losing streak, they've only covered one of those six outings. A few items to please keep in mind here; Deion Sanders is a prideful man. And I believe he's going to give his all and have his team ready to make a good showing on television this evening. Something else to keep in mind: Washington State has a lawsuit against the Pac 12. Now, I'm not saying the referees are going to be on the side of Colorado. But I am saying that WSU may not get many very favorable calls this evening. I just feel the Buffaloes have played a lot of competitive games and are covering the point spread. Deion Sanders will have his team revved up and ready to go. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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11-12-23 | Lions -3 v. Chargers | 41-38 | Push | 0 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 257. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. There's still a lot of questions surrounding the Detroit Lions around the league in around the sports betting industry. People are deciding whether they are a contender or a pretender. In my opinion, they are a contender. They own the second-best record in the NFC at 6-2. Believe it or not, the same questions surround the Los Angeles Chargers. They certainly have a solid roster of talent. But each time they're asked to step up in class, they lose, and they fail to cover. Sure, they can beat teams like Minnesota, Las Vegas, Chicago, and New York. But this season, they took losses against Miami, Dallas, and Kansas City. Don't kid yourself, Detroit deserves to be put in the same class as those teams. They are equally good at home as they are on the road. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense is only allowing 20.6 points per game. I feel the major mismatch between the leagues sixth-ranked passing attack going up against its 32nd ranked pass defense is going to be the factor here. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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11-12-23 | Texans v. Bengals -6 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals. Game 246. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The early season funk of the Cincinnati Bengals is now in the past. This is a team looking as strong as we expected them to be this season. I think we all know that a few injuries, especially to quarterback, Joe Burrow, not being 100% to kick off the campaign was the reason why they fell short of expectations early. However, over the last month, they have won and covered all four games against some formidable opponents; on the road in Arizona, at home against Seattle, on the road in San Francisco, and at home against Buffalo. Not only has their offense have gotten it done, but their defense has stepped up. While the Houston Texans certainly have talent, and in my opinion, the best young quarterback playing today, this team just falls short overall. They don't have a ground assault to complement the passing game. It hurts them offensively. On defense, while they have played well overall, they rank 24th against the pass, and that does not bode well as they go up against the Burrow and the surging aerial assault of the Bengals. I do believe this is the game in which Cincinnati establishes their ground assault behind the legs of Joe Mixon. Remember, the Bengals are tied for second place in the AFC north, along with the Browns and the Steelers. A big win today and they can certainly move up a notch. Overall, they could notch another AFC victory. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -15.5 | 27-36 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 42 m | Show | |
Oregon. Game 186. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. The Ducks are making all opponents pay since their sole defeat a while back. They know they must close out the regular season strong. With huge lopsided wins throughout, OU can make a case for the CFP. Trojans are vulnerable. By the way, USC have not covered a game this season as a guest while the Ducks are 4-1 ATS at home in 2023. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Iowa State -8 v. BYU | 45-13 | Win | 100 | 32 h 59 m | Show | |
Iowa State. Game 171. 7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST. The Cyclones come off a loss. The last time that occurred, they rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. The Cougars are outmanned and overmatched. A win here, and Iowa State becomes Bowl-eligible. Look for their swarming stop-unit to completely shut down the BYU erratic offense. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Washington State +2.5 v. California | 39-42 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
Washington State. Game 175. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. The Cougars have won and covered the last two meetings with the Golden Bears. After a 4-0 start, WSU has now dropped their last five. They know they dominate Cal and this their shot to earn a well-needed, ego-boost, and get back on track. Washington State steps up huge here. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Tennessee v. Missouri +3 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Missouri. Game 196. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. A win here and the Tigers out some distance between the rest of their SEC East reaps, and take a stronghold in the Conference as the second-place team, behind the Bulldogs. Missouri matches up well with Tennessee, makes fewer mistakes on offense and has the talent to win this one outright. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Utah +9.5 v. Washington | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
Utah. Game 177. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The matchups just favor the Utes here. The Huskies are an outstanding team. But they have started to show cracks and thew long season has taken its toll on the squad. Utah can and will exploit those weaknesses and keep this contest much closer than the number. Take the Utes. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | New Mexico State +4.5 v. Western Kentucky | 38-29 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
New Mexico State. Game 211. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The Aggies are on a five-game win and cover streak. The Hilltoppers are killing bettors, failing to cover their last three outings. NMSU can and will control the clock with their powerful ground game on offense and do possess a much more balanced defense. They have also covered their last four as a guest. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +1.5 | 48-22 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
Boston College. Game 134. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. The Eagles are surging at the right time, riding a five-game SU winning streak. And to add to their advantage, Boston College had and extra day to rest, heal, and prepare. The Hokies have yet to win an away game this season, going 0-4 SU on the road, and 1-3 ATS as a visitor. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan -4 v. Penn State | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
Michigan. Game 149. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Yeah, yeah, yeah…we have all read the news about Michigan not having been tested thus far this season. But can you blame them? Just because the opposition has been less than stellar, it doesn’t take away from the fact the Wolverines are the strongest team in the nation. Despite the off-the-field news, they will go out of their way to crush a Nittany Lions foe that gave the Buckeyes all they can handle. Just like Michigan hasn’t faced solid teams, Penn State fell short when they went up against a strong adversary. This is the Wolverines opportunity to make a statement. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Maryland v. Nebraska +2.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
Nebraska. Game 218. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. It’s not about which team wins. It’s about which team covers. Right now, the Terrapins are sliding, riding a four-game lose and no cover streak. With Michigan on deck, I see Maryland in a lookahead spot here and Nebraska, matches up well with them. Winning five of their last seven SU against some formidable foes will give the Cornhuskers the momentum and the motivation to win this one. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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11-10-23 | UCF +10 v. Miami-FL | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
UCF. Game 827. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. This is just way too many points to give a very capable, very feisty, and very underrated, Central Florida squad. The Knights are motivated by the preseason prediction of finishing last in the Conference. They will come out here with something to prove and make a statement. Take UCF. Thank you. |
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11-08-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -145 | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets moneyline. Game 579. 7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST. With all respect to the Golden State Warriors, which are playing outstanding basketball, this will be their fourth consecutive game played on the road just since November 3. I believe their legs will be tired. Please remember they're not youngsters anymore on this starting roster. And even Superman had a weakness with kryptonite (LOL). On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets are on a three-game win and cover streak, which have all been played at home. These two teams don't like each other. And yes, the warriors might have a little revenge on their minds, getting swept last season by this team, three games to none (and by the way, they failed to cover all three last year as well), I just don't see this team having enough gas in the tank to run back-and-forth all night. Please remember the Nuggets play a very aggressive, very frustrating defense. I think there's a mismatch here tonight. And I do think Golden State will be tired. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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11-08-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Bulls | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Phoenix Suns. Game 561. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Obviously, at 3-4 the Phoenix Suns aren't looking like the team they were just a season ago. However, injuries are a big part of that. When you don't have all-universe, players, like Booker and Beal on the floor, it’s going to show in the record. On the other hand, the Chicago Bulls, at 3-5 are exactly where many thought they would be at this point. This is not a very good team. So, this is a perfect opportunity for the Suns to flex their muscles. They have had an extra day off to prepare and rest for this match up. They have also covered three of four road games this season. On the other hand, the Bulls have covered just one of their four games played at home in 2023. And to say Phoenix has had their way in this series would be an understatement. Just going back the last few seasons, they have taken seven in a row straight up, covering five of the seven meetings. They need a big ego boost and this is the situation they get it. Take the Suns. Thank you. |
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11-08-23 | Jazz v. Pacers -6.5 | 118-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers. Game 556. 4:10 PM, PST/710 PM EST. The Indiana Pacers offense is proving to be one of the most explosive in the NBA thus far. As a matter fact, they top the league in scoring, averaging over 124.9 points per game. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, facing an opponent like the Utah Jazz isn't going to be a problem this evening. The Jazz have a mediocre offense and a defense that's allowing a league-ranked, 26th, allowing 120.1 points per game. It is ridiculous. They are going to get lit up like a Christmas tree in November. Look for a little payback from the Pacers as they lost their last two outings against the Jazz last December and this past February. But these are two different teams this season. As you know, Utah is on a 0-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. They just don't have what it takes to keep pace on the scoreboard here. Taking Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
New York Jets. Game 476. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 EST. Very simply, I feel the wrong team is favored here. On my two sets of power ratings, I have New York a 2.0-point favorite at a 4.3-point favorite. For starters, the Chargers are not the best road team. They have won just one game straight up on the road since January 1. They've also covered just one game on the road since January 1. They have to face a Jets team that have won three in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering their last four outings. During their current win streak, their defense has allowed just 15.0 points per game, while their offense has stepped up to account for 21.3 points for game during the hot streak. Zach Wilson is showing significant signs of improvement and leadership, which does not bode well for a Los Angeles defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass. Meanwhile, the erratic Chargers offensive unit, which solely relies upon the pass, lines up against the League’s fifth-ranked, pass defense and it's eighth overall stop-unit in points allowed. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, I think the wrong team is favored in. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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11-06-23 | Georgia v. Oregon -5 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 768. 1:30 PM, PST/4:30 PM EST. The Georgia Bulldogs seriously underwhelmed a season ago. They also lost several key players, including their three-top scorers. As a matter of fact, they do not return a single player that averaged double-digits a season ago. On the other hand, the Oregon Ducks are expected to be one of the best teams in the Pac-12. They return their top-scorer. Overall, three of their four top-scorers from last year's roster are back. While the Bulldogs haven't been to Sin City, since Tom Crean was on the sidelines, the Ducks are a fan-favorite here. And are certainly used to the bright lights on the Strip, playing in Las Vegas the last six seasons. They have a lot to prove in the season-opener. This is a team that should've won the Conference Title season ago. And when they went to play in the postseason in the brackets, won and covered against UCI and UCF, but lost a heartbreaker to Wisconsin. They have a lot to prove here and they will. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Cavs | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Crash the Boards Game 521. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. Guys, there is no alternate universe that the Cleveland Cavaliers should be a favorite over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have taken the last 10 meetings in a row straight up, going back to June, 2018, covering nine of the 10 meetings. They enter this matchup red hot, winning their last five outings, which includes all four away games thus far this season. They are also 3-1 ATS as a visitor in this short season. Guard, Klay Thompson is listed as questionable here. That's going to be closer to a gametime decision. Obviously, we would want him on the floor. But please remember this team is deep with talent and have one of the smartest coaching staffs in the League. The Cavaliers are just 2-4 on the season straight up, covering just one of their six contests. They have lost and failed to cover all three games played at home so far. They possess a very low-scoring, lackluster offense, averaging nearly 12 points per game less than tonight's opponent. That would be bad enough, but the Warriors enter this match up with a top-10 defense as well. Oh, by the way, look for one of the sharpest-shooting outside teams in basketball to absolutely shred the Cavaliers from beyond the arc as well. They Golden State. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 142 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys/Eagles OVER. NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK. Games 471/472. Sunday, November 5, 2023. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Giants v. Raiders UNDER 37.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
Under in the NYG/LV matchup. Games 469/470. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys +3 v. Eagles | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. This may sound crazy my friends. But despite possessing the best record in the NFL, I just don't feel the Philadelphia Eagles are in sync yet. They have looked vulnerable, fatigued, and at times, outclassed this season, despite their league-best record. Their defense, which tops the NFL against the rush, ranks 26th against the pass and 19th in points allowed. Guys, just over recent weeks they allowed the Washington Commanders to twice put up 31 points on them. They also let the Jets post 20 points on them. Guys, elite defenses don't allow teams like that to put up that many points. They must face the NFL’s third-ranked scoring unit in the Dallas Cowboys "O". The problem for the Eagles is that the Cowboys offensive unit is equally good in the air as well as on the ground. They account for over 28.0 points per game. And as far as a home field advantage goes, Philadelphia does not have one when it comes to covering the spread. They have covered just one game at home this season. Statistically, this is the best defense they've had to face this season. On both sides of the ball. They are in for a very tough battle here. Stepping up in class is going to hurt them. Personally, I think this line should be about to pick him. I will take the Dallas Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Colts -135 v. Panthers | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts on the moneyline. Game 467. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. This is the ideal situation for Indianapolis to get off their three-game slide. The well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Gardner Minshew, and running back's Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss will be too much for a Carolina defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in points allowed, getting plowed for over 28.4 points per game. Despite their current losing streak, the Colts are still averaged 28.3 points per game during their slide. I see the offense absolutely lighting up the scoreboard here. By the way, the Panthers have covered just one game since last January. Take Indianapolis on the money line. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Washington -143 v. USC | 52-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Washington Huskies on the moneyline. Game 371. 4:30 PST/7:30 PM EST. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 on the season, which does include a 5-0 Conference record. Believe it or not, they need to keep their foot on the gas if they want to take the Pac-12 regular season crown. There are two teams in the rearview, the Trojans at 5-1 in Conference play and the Ducks at 4-1 in Pac-12 action. If they can put USC to bed here, they have some tough, but beatable opponents on deck in Utah, Oregon State, and Washington State. Not only could they go perfect during the regular season, but they can make a big argument for the Conference Football Playoffs. Especially if they destroy their remaining opponents. With two losses, the Trojans can't be in the CFP. My friends this team is seriously overvalued, as they have failed to cover six consecutive games. Everyone they are faced, outside of the three earliest games of the season with pushovers, San Jose State, Nevada, and Stanford, have put points up on them. Look for the nation’s 112th-ranked defense to get beat badly. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -142 | 28-21 | Loss | -142 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa State Cyclones on the moneyline. Game 380. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Iowa State has had their way with Kansas, taking seven of the last eight meetings straight up, and covering five of those eight contests. I expect the Jayhawks to be in a serious letdown mode, following last week’s outright win over the Sooners. This team has failed to cover their last seven games played away from home. My friends this includes all three road games this season. Something happens when they travel. Meanwhile, the Cyclones have won and covered their last three outings over the Horned Frogs, the Bearcats, and the Bears. They have an amazing quarterback at the helm, and one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the country. And when it comes to turnovers, their offense doesn't make too many, and their defense snags a ton. The difference in this game will be defense and turnovers. And both of those point to Iowa State. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Missouri v. Georgia -15 | 21-30 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
Georgia Bulldogs. Game 402. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. There are five undefeated teams at the top of the nation’s polls. Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington rank in the top-five, and are all 8-0 overall. While there aren’t any easy opponents in the SEC, the Bulldogs certainly need to keep their foot on the gas, as the number one and number three ranked teams, the Buckeyes and Wolverines, will face one another in a few weeks. The number five team, the Huskies have a big matchup this week against the Trojans. Georgia cannot ease up at all. Not only do they need to win, but style-points mean quite a bit right now. While Missouri is 7-1 straight up, I just don't see them being in the same class as Georgia. The Bulldogs have taken the last nine meetings in this rivalry, straight up, I've got a tell ya’, they have been major favorites in most of them. Last year's meeting was a little too close for comfort as the Bulldogs pulled it out with a four-point victory. Trust me when I tell you they will not take this game lightly here. They can't. They have yet to allow any opponent this season to post more than 21 points. They will completely shut down the Tigers offense. On the opposite side of the ball, I just don't see Missouri's defense doing anything but getting flattened here. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | UTSA v. North Texas +8.5 | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green. Game 388. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. Guys, in my opinion, UTSA shouldn't be anywhere near better than a touchdown favorite against North Texas. Yes, I know they've won four in a row, going 3-1 ATS. But the Mean Green have made a lot of green for those who bet on them, covering four straight, and five of their last six outings. They play some very solid competition. And my friends, they cover the point spread. No, they are not going to win the National Title. And no, they are not going to win the Conference Title either. But they continuously get undervalued. They have a well-balanced offense that can and will own the time of possession here, keeping the Road Runners defense on the field and their offense off of it. Take North Texas. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Nebraska -150 v. Michigan State | 17-20 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers on the moneyline. Game 343. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. One more win, and Nebraska is Bowl-eligible. With Maryland, Wisconsin, and Iowa up next, this is their one chance at a pushover game. Let's face it, everyone that has faced Michigan State has more or less manhandled them. The team has dropped six in a row straight up, and five of those six against the spread. They are absolutely getting crushed. Meanwhile, the Cornhuskers are riding a three-game SU win streak. They have the momentum and the personnel to not just win, but cover, and become Bowl-eligible. Take the Cornhuskers. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. Game 405. 9;00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Yes, it's true, the Longhorns have taken the last six meetings over the Wildcats, straight up. And despite being 7-1 this season SU and 4-1 in Conference play, Texas is showing signs of weakness and fatigue. This is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State to leapfrog them and stay in the Conference regular-season Title hunt. My friends, there are five teams at 4-1 in the Big 12, the Sooners, the Cowboys, the Cyclones, the Longhorns, and the Wildcats. Several of these teams will be playing each other over the final weeks of the regular season. So, this is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State jump ahead this week. The Wildcats are on a three-game win and cover streak. Meanwhile, the Longhorns, haven’t faced an opponent of this caliber in a few weeks since their loss at home against the Sooners. They faced the Cougars of Houston and the Cougars of BYU their last two outings. Both defenses here are quite good. But the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing attack of Kansas State along with their offense that makes very few mistakes, will be the difference in this matchup. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-03-23 | Mavs +7 v. Nuggets | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks. Game 573. 7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST. The Denver Nuggets are an amazing team. They will definitely be there at the end of the regular season to defend their NBA title, barring a major injury. However, they haven't played the best of the best yet. And I get it, coming off their first defeat of the season, they should look strong this evening. However, Dallas matches up quite well with them. They are also 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS so far. Granted, they haven't played the best of the best in the league yet either. But they have covered four of the last six meetings in this series, winning four of those last six straight up as well. Kyrie Irving is listed as questionable this evening. Even without him on the floor (check status), they still are deep enough to run in this match up. Way too many points to give them. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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11-03-23 | Wizards +9 v. Heat | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Washington Wizards. Game 571. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Guys, Miami is certainly off to a disappointing start at 1-4 so far this season. This is a team that won 44 games a season ago. But please take note, only 13 wins were by the margin of 10 or points or more. This is a lot of points to lay for this team. The Heat aren't known to be the best scorers in the league…by far. And to add insult to injury lol, they are just 1-4 ATS this season as well. This is just way too many points for a team that is in crisis to give. Take the Wizards. Thank you. |
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11-03-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -5.5 | 105-110 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks. Game 566. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Milwaukee suffered not just a big defeat, but an embarrassing ass-whooping at the hands of Toronto on the road a few nights ago. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. They will bounce back here against an inferior opponent. The Bucks have had their way with the Knicks, winning and covering six consecutive meetings going back to November, 2021. I just don't see New York's lackluster offense keeping peace on the scoreboard here with a team that is looking to redeem themselves. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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11-02-23 | TCU +3 v. Texas Tech | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
TCU. Touchdown. Game 311. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Sports fans, neither of these teams have really impressed too much this season. Both have some key players that are listed as questionable or out (check status). But coming off an embarrassing loss on the road at Kansas State, 41-3 will certainly motivate Texas Christian to bounce back here. They only have four games left in the regular season. And after this week, they have to face Texas, Baylor, and then Oklahoma on the road. They need every win they can get to at least become Bowl-eligible. On the other hand, Texas Tech has lost and failed to cover their last two outings, both as a favorite: at home against Kansas State, and on the road at BYU. It's highly unlikely that his team could earn a Bowl spot as they have three games remaining in the regular season: obviously this week against the Horned Frogs, then go on the road to face the Jayhawks, and then finish the regular season as a visitor against the Longhorns. In my opinion, they threw in the towel already. Oh, by the way, TCU has won and covered the last four meetings in this series. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you. |
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11-01-23 | Nuggets -125 v. Wolves | Top | 89-110 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets MONEYLINE. Crash The Boards play. Game 545. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Denver is looking to remain unbeaten as they are 4-0 this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 14.3 points per game. Minnesota is a talented team. But they just don't look to be in sync as of yet. Once again, this season, the Nuggets possess one of the most aggressive defenses in the NBA. I just don't see the sputtering Timberwolves offense, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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11-01-23 | Pacers +11.5 v. Celtics | 104-155 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers. Fast Break play. Game 539. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. The Boston Celtics are an outstanding basketball team. They are only one of three teams in the NBA currently that are still undefeated. But after tonight's contest, they have to go on the road to play Brooklyn, Minnesota, and Philadelphia. I'm not saying they're gonna’ take it easy this evening, but they are certainly going to be in a lookahead mode. Please understand that the Indiana Pacers are 2-1, both straight up and against the spread this season. Not only that, but they have covered four of the last five meetings with the Celtics. They play them very competitively, and I just don't see them getting this many points. Taking Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-01-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Raptors | 111-130 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks. Slam Dunk play. Game 531 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. These two teams normally play each other very competitively. However, this season they look to be going in opposite directions. The Bucks are going to settle for nothing less than an NBA title. Meanwhile, the Raptors are just trying to stay alive. Milwaukee started the season 2-1, while Toronto is 1-3. They are on a three-game losing streak, failing to cover their last two outings. They have some grit on the team, they just don't have the personnel to contend with Milwaukee. They've only faced one solid upon thus far, and yet are averaging just 99.5 points per game. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the Bucks here. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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10-31-23 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Toledo | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bulls. Game 301. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Toledo owns the best overall record in the MAC. They are also the only undefeated team in the Conference. Having said that, they could coast through the rest of the regular season and not worry. Buffalo, despite a 3-5 overall record, is 3-1 in MAC play. They won and covered the last three meetings in this Conference rivalry, including last year's, 34-27 victory. They enter today's contest covering four of their last five. And do matchup well with tonight's opponent. While the bobcats possess one of the best rushing units in college football, they also turn the ball over quite a bit. This doesn't bode well as the Bulls defense have already snagged 10 takeaways this season. I just think the circumstances prompt us to side with an underdog getting better than two touchdowns. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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10-30-23 | Pistons +6 v. Thunder | 112-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Detroit Pistons. Game 511. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Guys, I'm not going tell you, I expect the Detroit Pistons to win the NBA Championship this season. But I will tell you, as far as sports betting goes, look for them to be an under-the-radar, ATS, cover machine, particularly in the beginning of the campaign. They have already gone 3-0 ATS in their three outings this season. They have actually won two of the three SU. They went on the road to Charlotte as an underdog and won outright, 111-99. Then at home a few nights ago, they crushed the Bulls as a 2.5-point underdog, 118-102. Oklahoma City is a good team. They are really a decent team… but not world beater. And I don't see them laying this many points to anyone, especially a team that matches up well with them. Last night, they hosted the defending NBA Champions, Denver Nuggets and took a beating, 128-95. Not only will they come in here with tired legs, I believe they are going be outmuscled. As I mentioned earlier, I don't expect the Pistons to win the NBA title. But they are playing very unselfish ball, playing tough in the paint, and their defense has certainly stepped up a bit. This game is going to be a lot closer than the point spread. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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10-30-23 | Mavs -135 v. Grizzlies | Top | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks MONEYLINE. Game 513. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. I'm Sicilian folks, I know a lot about revenge (lol). Let's put a pin in that and come back around to it in a moment. I will tell you that if this number was higher, I would be apprehensive. But I think it's a very short price to lay. The oddsmakers know the Mavs are a fan favorite, so they inflate the number on them often. However, this is a low number and I feel it is an off number. Let's face it, the Memphis Grizzlies are a good team. However, at 0-3 straight up and 1-2 ATS so far this season, we are seeing them suffer due to the fact they are banged up with injuries. We all know all-universe player; Ja Morant is out until the end of December due to a suspension. They have quite a few supporting cast members also out. But I think the biggest key absence is going to be at center, with Steven Adams. Without him in the paint this team is getting manhandled. Last March, the last time these two teams met, the Grizzlies took down the Mavericks, 3-0. They took them down on March 11, March 13, and March 20. Luka Dončić does not like losing folks. He is surrounded by a supporting cast of playmakers. In the back court, Kyrie Irving is averaging nearly 20 points per game (19.5), while Tim Hardaway Jr. is right behind him at 18.o points per game. Joining Luka Dončić, upfront, Dereck Lively II is one of the most pleasant surprises so far in this young season. Throw in the mix, Williams, Green, and Kleber, and this team is just way too much for tonight's opponent. As I mentioned earlier, revenge is a dish, best served cold. Look for Dallas to exact same revenge from last year's March meetings. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -105 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
Arizona Diamondbacks. World Series Game 3 Winner. Game 946. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. You may not realize this, but these two teams, through the regular and postseason have met six times in 2023. Guess what folks? Arizona has taken four of the six meetings. Granted, it's a whole different monster when the playoffs arrive. And to take it further, the pressure is even thicker when the World Series is upon us. As respected as the Rangers team is, the Diamondbacks play them very tough. It took extra innings for Texas to prevail in Game 1. Game 2 saw Arizona absolutely shred them. Game 3’s scheduled starters are Max Scherzer and Brandon Pfaadt. There is no question the Rangers right-hander is going to go down as one of the most competitive pitchers of the past era. Let's face it, he is a 3X Cy Young Award winner. He is also a 4X wins leader. However, I think we would all agree, he isn't the same pitcher he once was. The team has dropped four of his last seven starts. And his numbers do soar when he's away from home. In his last two outings, he has lasted a combined 6.2 innings pitched and yielded seven earned runs. Overall, Texas has also dropped four of their last seven. Winning five of their last seven, Arizona is playing solid baseball. The Diamondbacks right-hander doesn't have the greatest numbers at home this season. But over the last three turns, he is 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA, as the team has won five consecutive outings he has started. As a matter of fact, going back to those last five starts, he has allowed a total of five earned runs in over 21 innings pitched. If you just look at his last three outings, against the Dodgers once and the Phillies twice, he has been solid against two of the most explosive lineups in baseball. Playing at home will definitely benefit ‘Zona here. Take the Diamondbacks. Thank you. Thank you. |
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10-30-23 | Bulls v. Pacers -150 | 112-105 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers MONEYLINE. Game 502. 4:10 PM PST for 7:10 PM EST. The Indiana Pacers are averaging an NBA-best 136.3 points per game already. I know this season just began, but this team can star in their own highlight reel. Not only that, but they have won and covered both of their outings, this season, one at home and one on the road. As far as the Chicago Bulls are concerned, they are absolutely atrocious. They have failed to cover any outing this season, going 0-3 ATS, and eked out a one-point win for their sole victory at home against Toronto a few nights ago. The Pacers have won and cover the last three meetings with the Bulls, going back to January of 2023. Look for the much-improved, Indiana defense contain Zach Lavine, who does come off a good performance, the other night, but, as we all know, rarely can string together, back-to-back solid outings. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs -7 v. Broncos | 9-24 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC West Game of the Week. Game 271. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. Granted, these two teams met just a few weeks ago as the Chiefs prevailed at home, 19-8. They did get the win and cover there. Speaking of covering, this is a team that is 5-2 ATS this season. And going back a little bit further, have covered seven of their last nine outings. Playing in Denver is no benefit to the Broncos anymore. I remember a while back when the Broncos were a “gimmee” at home folks. But this team has covered just one home contest going back to last January. The Chiefs are rolling. Granted they have a meeting on deck with the Dolphins. But I don't see this team falling in the trap of being in a look ahead mode. They know how to stay focused on the task at hand. Let's face it, Denver has a lackluster offense that turns the ball over a lot (11 turnovers) and a defense that ranks 32nd points allowed, 32nd in rushing yards allowed, 30th in passing yards allowed, and 32nd in total yards allowed. I look for quarterback, Patrick Mahomes to have his best performance yet this season. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Bengals v. 49ers -5 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Afternoon Bailout. Game 274. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The number in this game has been going up and down since it came out. Every time somebody comes in on one side, the line gets pulled back on the other side. Granted, the Cincinnati Bengals have one back-to-back games for the first time this season. They've also covered their last two as well. However, they line up against a 49ers opponent that just might be the most complete team in football. To make matters worse for the Bengals, the 49ers have lost and failed to cover their last two games. Please take a note that both of those games are played on the road and in both outings, they were without some key personnel. Several guys are expected to be back for San Francisco here at home in front of their faithful fans. They are certainly further along I believe than Cincinnati. Brock Purdy (check status) is expected to be on the field. Christian McCaffrey is a monster. And let's face it, they have more superstars on both sides of the ball than just about any other team in the NFL. Many people out there thought that these two teams might be competing down the road in the Super Bowl. And anything can happen between now, and then, my friends. However, I just don't see the Bengals defense containing Purdy and his arsenal of weapons. On the flipside, I do see the NFL’s third-ranked stop-unit of San Francisco, getting pressure on Joe Burrow. FYI, the 49ers have covered 10 straight on their home field. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Jets -2.5 v. Giants | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
New York Jets. Best Bet. Game 263. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In a battle for New York, the New York Jets are certainly in better shape at this point in the season than the New York Giants. They enter this matchup winning their last two games; on the road at the Denver Broncos, and at home against the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only that, but they've covered three consecutive outings. No let down situation here as this team has had some extra time off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are expected to see the return of two of their starting defensive secondary stars. That's spells doom for the New York Giants, which will be without starting quarterback, Daniel Jones. That leaves the offense in the hands of Tyrod Taylor. Granted, the Jets passing unit is one of the worst in football. But so is the Giants passing unit. At least the Jets have a monster running back to rely on in ball-carrier, Breece Hall. They also possess a much stronger stop-unit, yielding just 19.8 points per game. I expect their defense to put pressure on Taylor and create turnovers. Please remember you'll see as many green jerseys in the stands as you will blue jerseys. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline. NFC NORTH GOM. Game 267. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM ET. It may be just the end of October, but my friends, this game has serious implications down the road. The Detroit Lions are in first place in the NFC North at 5-2. They have a Monday Night matchup at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. Sitting in second place is the Minnesota Vikings at 3-4. Third place sees the the Green Bay Packers at 2-4. And bringing up the rear at 2-5, is the Chicago Bears. If Minnesota wins, they pick up a few games on Green Bay. If Green Bay wins, they leapfrog Minnesota. Having said all that the Vikings are starting to stride. They have won and covered their last two outings: on the road at the Bears, the game wasn't as close as their 19-13 victory. Then at home last week as an underdog, they manhandled the 49ers. That game gave them their third ATS cover over their last four contests. Meanwhile, Green Bay is now riding a three-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The Vikings are also looking for a little payback here. They're looking for revenge from last January’s, 41-17 beat down at the hands of the Packers. Granted, Green Bay has a pretty good best defense. However, not too many have been able to slow down, let alone, stop the third-ranked passing unit of Minnesota. On the flipside, the mistake-prone Jordan Love (seven INT's) is in trouble here as he goes up against the very stingy, very nasty, defense of Minnesota that has already snagged 10 takeaways. This line is going up and down a little bit. Just the err on the side of caution, take the Vikings on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State -3 v. Arizona | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
Oregon State. PAC 12 PAYDAY. Game 175. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. Sports fans, I looked at this game up and down and inside and out, and I just can't figure the line being this short. These two teams haven't met since 2019, when the Beavers took down the Wildcats, 56-38. Oregon State enters this match up on a win streak. Yes, 6-1 straight up this season, and going back to last season, on a 10-1 straight up run. And guys, when it comes to covering the spread, they are even more impressive. They are actually on a 16-1 ATS run. Let's face it, they get the bettors paid. Yes, Arizona is pretty good against the spread, covering six of seven this season. But the matchups just don't seem to be very kind here for the home team. They do put up some pretty good numbers on both sides of the ball. However, their numbers do not compare to the numbers Oregon State is showing. OSU averages just about seven points per game more on offense and do yield a little bit less on defense. They make less mistakes offensively, and have a lot more takeaways, defensively. I also like the more well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Uiagalelei, and running back, Martinez. 'Zona has a question mark on their starting QB, de Laura again. Even if back up, Fifita, who had a good game last week against Washington State, takes the helm, I'm just not in love with this kid. And their running back, Coleman is good, but not good enough to keep the very hungry Beavers defense at bey. Oregon State has covered five of their last six away from home. Take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Purdue v. Nebraska -1 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Nebraska. TD PLAY. Game 158. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Sorry, Boilermaker fans, but Purdue is absolutely horrible. They are 2-5, both straight up and against the spread this season. But going back a little bit further, they are a dismal, 2-7 both SU and ATS their L9 outings. They really haven't looked too good at all this season. They're only solid performance was over the “Jekyll and Hyde”, Illinois Fighting Illini. Meanwhile, Nebraska enters this match, hot, winning four of their last five straight up, including the last two. And by the way, they are less than a field goal away from covering those last two outings. They took down the same Illinois opponent three weeks ago, 20-7. I like the matchups for the home team here laying less than a FG, for sure. Purdue has a very lackluster offense. Outside of getting caught off guard earlier in the season by the very surprising, Colorado Buffaloes, and the shellacking at the hands of one of the top teams in the country, in the Michigan Wolverines, the Nebraska Cornhuskers have not allowed a single opponent to break 20 points, going back to last November. They've got a very strong defense, my friends. They are going to completely shut down the Boilermakers offense, meanwhile look for the nations 21st ranked rushing attack to absolutely dissect the Purdue defense. This game will get out of hand. I think it's one of the biggest mismatches on the board. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Iowa State -150 v. Baylor | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
Iowa State on the moneyline. BIG 12 GOM. Game 187. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The Big 12 is once again, shaping up to be one of the most competitive Conferences in college football. Oklahoma is the only undefeated team at 4-0 in Conference play. Meanwhile Iowa State is one of four teams sitting into second place right now at 3-1. Needless to say, they need every victory they can get. Meanwhile Baylor has fallen. It was only two short years ago that this was one of the best teams in the country. Now they are 3-4 overall, including a 2-2 record and Big 12 action. Yes, it's true, they have had their way in this series, straight up and against the spread. They've taken seven of the last 10 straight up and six of the 10 against the spread. This does include wins and covers the last two meetings. However, I really do like the way Iowa State is playing. Now their offense does leave a lot to be desired. But when your defense allows 20.0 points per game, you're going to be competitive. Think of it guys, as the Big 12 is one of highest-scoring Conferences in college football. And yet this team allows just 20.0 PPG. The Bears have a very solid passing attack. However, they are absolutely atrocious at running the ball. Without that well-balanced offense to keep defenses honest, they are in trouble. The Cyclones counter with a 33rd ranked pass defense in the nation. Guys ISU also ranks number one in college football with zero turnovers on offense, and number three nationally with 12 takeaways on defense. You can expect this team to cause some turnovers here. I just think they are too much overall for the home team. Take Iowa State. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +3 | 45-21 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan. MAC GOM. Game 150. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, it doesn't have to be a Power Five Conference matchup for us to make money in it. And believe me, we're gonna’ make money in the MAC this Saturday. Personally, I think the wrong team is favored. On my two different sets of power ratings, I have Eastern Michigan -1.0, and Eastern Michigan -1.5. My friends, the Eagles have won and covered four consecutive meetings in this Conference rivalry. They enter this matchup covering their last four outings. While both offenses are "less than stellar", in my opinion, this game will come down to defensive play. And you cannot ignore the fact that Western Michigan's defense has gotten plowed this season for over 34.3 points per game, while Eastern Michigan allows under 20-points per game (19.5 PPG). I think they win outright. But I'll take the points with the home ‘dog here for sure. Take Eastern Michigan. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Indiana v. Penn State -31 | 24-33 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State. OM play. Game 156. 9:00 AM PST/12;00 PM EST. With Michigan and Ohio State facing each other on the last regular season matchup (Nov. 25), one of them has to lose, obviously. Anything can happen between now and that as well. This means Penn State must keep their foot on the gas throughout the regular season. They have a match up with Michigan in a few weeks, and you never know what can happen. At the very least, this team has a chance at a Major Bowl game. Having said that, getting this team off their first defeat of the season is huge. They must come back and make a statement. And what better team to face to do just that, than Indiana. The Hoosiers are winless in Conference play and own an overall record of 2-5. They have failed to cover a single game over their last four outings. Obviously, the Nittany Lions have had their way in this series, taking eight of the last nine straight up, including six of the nine against the spread. This does include wins and covers in the last two meetings: 24-0, and 45-14. PSU allowed 20 points to OSU last week. That was the most allowed since January of last season. This is a team that yields just 9.7 points per game, equally good against the pass and the rush. They will completely shut down the lackluster, IU offense. On the flipside, expect their explosive ninth-ranked scoring “O” to completely steamroll, an Indiana defense that has gotten decimated by just about every opponent this season. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you. |
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10-27-23 | Thunder +3 v. Cavs | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. Fast Break. Game 537. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Guys, I had Cleveland on the moneyline the other night, to get us all paid on the road at Brooklyn. And I expect great things from the Cavaliers this season. I really do. While Oklahoma City is certainly an improved team, I feel that many out there, including the odds makers and the general public don't feel they going to be able to compete too well this season. Well, that would be a big mistake my friends. I do feel they are going to be able to compete. I feel especially this time of the campaign, so early, we could take advantage of some lines that might be a little bit off. And I feel this line is certainly off. For starters, they've covered seven of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma City. They are also a very unselfish team. I watched this team in their season-opener on the road in Chicago, absolutely beat the Bulls in every aspect of the game, including tallying over 30 assists. They match up well here. And I think giving them this many points, is a mistake. Take the Thunder. Thank you. |
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10-27-23 | Heat +9.5 v. Celtics | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Crash The Boards. Game 541. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Guys, the Boston Celtics are monster team, no doubt about that. Their season-opener, was a tough one. They visited Madison Square Garden to face their archrival, New York Knicks, and believe me, the game was even closer than the 108-104 score. They did not cover the game as it landed on the number. Going back a bit, this team gets seriously overvalued. They've only covered two of their last eight coming into tonight's matchup. And by the way, their opponent tonight is a very good team. As a matter fact, they've covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry. You can expect a very physical game this evening. And I think that definitely benefits the road team here. Miami can play very physical basketball, especially down low. I think they're going to come in here a little better rested than the Celtics. These two teams know each other very well. And as I mentioned earlier, I expect a very physical game. I just think this is way too many points for the Celtics to lay against a very formidable foe. Take the Heat. Thank you. |
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10-27-23 | Nuggets -5.5 v. Grizzlies | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Slam Dunk. Game 535. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Guys, if this was a different situation, I would look at this match up very differently. These two teams, over recent seasons have played one another very competitively. However, having said that, the Nuggets will take out some revenge over the Grizzlies here tonight. We all know that Ja’ Morant is going to be sidelined for a while. That's bad enough. But now without, center, Steven Adams, I just don't see Memphis competing in the paint here at all. The Nuggets have been money on the road covering, their last five a season ago as a visitor. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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10-25-23 | Kings -120 v. Jazz | 130-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Sacramento Kings on the ML. Above the Rim. Game 523. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Sacramento was one of winningest teams during the regular season in the Western Conference a season ago. Unfortunately, Utah was not very successful last year. Not much is expected of the team either this year. The Kings certainly beefed up their roster, which does help this team as they are very fast-paced. They also took three of four meetings straight up last year against tonight's opponent. I expect a lot from them this season. And so should you. Take them on the money line tonight. Thank you. |
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10-25-23 | Cavs -112 v. Nets | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers on the ML. Crash The Boards. Game 513. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Guys, I'm not looking to take anything away from the Brooklyn Nets. They are a good team. They won 45 games in the regular season last year, then got swept in the first round by the Philadelphia 76ers. They have a lot of new faces, both on the sideline, and on the court at the beginning of this season than they had at the beginning of last season. But I really do feel their overmatched in this season opener. It will take time for the team to mesh, for sure. Cleveland is a monster team themselves. They come off their first 50-win season without LeBron James on the roster since the ‘92/’93 campaign. They are one of the higher ranked squads to take the Eastern Conference Title. This is a team that can play defense, they have big men up front, and they've got some new additions that I really feel will help bolster their lineup even further. Starting the campaign off with a big win over a team like Brooklyn, would certainly help kick start Cleveland right here. Take the Cavaliers on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-24-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Warriors | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show | |
Phoenix Suns. Fast Break play. Game 503. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Last season, both of these teams left the playoffs a lot earlier than they expected. They enter this season the second and third choice (at most books) to win the Western Conference Title. The Suns have taken four of the last five meetings over the Warriors, which includes three of four a season ago. There's a lot of underlying storylines going on here like Kevin Durant taking the floor in a Phoenix uniform against his former team. Plus, his old buddy, Chris Paul is now sporting a Golden State uniform. However good, Steph Curry and company is, especially at home, it is going to be an uphill battle for the Warriors in this matchup as they face a bolstered front line of Durant, Booker, and Beal. As in any game, always do your due diligence and check injury reports…especially in the NBA. I expect a faster start out of the gate by the Suns this season. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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10-24-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Slam Dunk play. Game, 502 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Of course, there is no love lost between these two teams. The Nuggets ousted the Lakers from the postseason last year. Not only that, but they really had their way with them the entire season. Denver took six of the eight meetings last season over Los Angeles. There was a lot of talk this off-season about revenge. Both teams lost a few players and both teams game the few players. However, age has certainly caught up with the nucleus of the Lakers. Meanwhile, depth and talent are certainly on the side of the Nuggets. They must come out and make a statement here on the opening game of the season. To add to their motivation, unveiled during this game will be their Championship banner. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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10-24-23 | Liberty -4.5 v. Western Kentucky | 42-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
Liberty Flames. C USA GOM. Game 103. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Liberty isn't just a perfect 5-0 in Conference play; they are also 70 overall. And to be quite honest, after they put Western Kentucky to bed here this week, they can easily run the gauntlet and go perfect, facing remaining opponents, Old Dominion and Massachusetts. They have a real chance at a respected Bowl game. Not only that, but they are a covering machine. As a matter fact, when laying 10 or less points, they have covered six in a row, which includes all five in that situation this season. They possess a 1-2 punch of a great quarterback and an outstanding ball carrier. They rank second in the nation as a matter fact, in rushing, averaging over 274.6 yards per game on the ground. Western, Kentucky by the way, ranks 129th against the rush. Not only that but defensively this team does not allow a lot of points. The Flames defense yields just 19.7 points per game and are equally good against the pass as well as the rush. They also t0p the nation in takeaways, accumulating 15 snags already. The Hilltoppers are in way over their heads here. Take liberty. Thank you. |
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10-24-23 | New Mexico State +2.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
New Mexico State. Contrarian play. Game 101. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. I know as of posting this play, most of the money is coming in on Louisiana Tech. And in all sincerity guys, I just don't see why. I have made money for all of us quite a few times on the Aggies this season. I mean folks, they are a half-point away from covering five straight outings. They enter this matchup with a very talented, dual-threat quarterback at the helm in Diego Pavia. They have a well-balanced offense. They don't make many mistakes. And they have a solid defense. Louisiana Tech comes in here dropping their last two games, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, they played a couple of tough teams this season. But I just don't see why everybody's playing them here. They are basically mediocre on both sides of the ball. Yes, they're pretty good against the pass. But they ranked 125th against the rush. And they must go up against the 18th ranked ground attack in college football here. New Mexico State will control the clock and the tempo, move the chains, and win this game outright. But I'll take the points here, folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers -7 v. Vikings | 17-22 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 473. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My friends, the line is a little bit short here and for a good reason. The 49ers have several key players that are either out or listed as questionable as of posting this play. However, you cannot deny that this team is loaded on both sides of the ball. They rank second in scoring and second in points allowed. They rank in the top-10 in just about every major offensive and defensive category. On top of that, they don't turn the ball over at all. They come off their first loss of their season and must bounce back here, for sure. I know they have the Bengals on deck. And if Cincinnati was the team that we had thought they were going to be at this point in the season, I might look to go against San Francisco this evening. But they are not the team that we figured them to be and I don't think the 49ers will be in a look ahead spot. Minnesota cannot run the ball at all. And without a solid ground game to keep the San Francisco defense honest, I just don't think they're going to be able to pull up too many points on the board here. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Houston Astros. Game 934. 5:05 PM PST/8:05 PM EST. It's no secret that the away team has won each of the games in the series. But the tide is gonna’ turn here tonight. In ta game 7 matchup at home with Scherzer and Javier on the mound, everything points us towards the Astros. They have so much postseason experience, it is uncanny. Not only that, but the once reliable, Scherzer just might be a little past his prime. The team has lost three of his last four starts. And let's face it, in two of those starts, he gave up a total of 12 earned runs in just 7.0 innings pitched. On the other hand, Javier has pitched very well, as the team has won four of his last five outings. And to be quite honest, he hasn't had a poor performance in quite some time. We all know that come to playoffs, it's a whole different monster. And there are very few teams in the League, if any they have the postseason experience that Houston possesses. Take the Astros. Thank you. |
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10-23-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -165 | 5-1 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Phillies. Game 932. 2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST. My friends, this is certainly a lot of juice to lay on Philadelphia. But a win is a win. This team has played the best baseball at home this month by far. Let's face it, in the games they’ve won in this series, they’ve won with authority. In the games they've dropped, they’ve been competitive in both. They have a chance to become the first team to win back-to-back N.L. pennants since the Dodgers did it in the 2017/2018 seasons. Philly took Games 1 and 2 at home by a combined score of 15-3. The pitching matchup of Merrill Kelly, and Aaron Nola certainly favors the home team here. The team has won Nola's last six outings. And by the way, he has allowed two runs or less in each of those six turns. Too many factors point towards Philadelphia. Take the Phillies. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers v. Chiefs -5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC West GOW. Game 468. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. I know there's money coming in on the underdog here. I know last year’s meetings were each separated by three-points. But football and sports betting are each based on situations. Let's face it, Los Angeles isn't the greatest road team, while Kansas City is a monster team at Arrowhead Stadium. Since they dropped their season-opening game by one-point to the Lions, the Chiefs have rattled off five consecutive straight up wins, going 4-1 ATS. And if you're keeping records, they have also won 12 straight Division games, straight up. Not only do they like to win games, they particularly enjoy beating AFC West opponents. Patrick Mahomes must be salivating, knowing the second-ranked passing offense in the NFL is going to line up against the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the League. Now that the Chiefs offense is starting to click, let's face it they are the most-complete team in football right now. Their defense has been outstanding, ranking second in points allowed, yielding just 14.7 points per game. I see they're LB corps spending more time in the Chargers backfield than the Chargers players lol. I look for Kansas City to make a statement here. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Packers -120 v. Broncos | Top | 17-19 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers on the moneyline. BEST BET. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Does anyone remember when the Denver defense was feared? It seems like years have passed since those days. But it all sincerity, they were supposed to be a force to be reckoned with this year. And yet this team is 1-5 SU, failing to cover a single outing yet in the 2023/2024 campaign. Not only that, but their so called, “stop- unit” ranks dead last in the League. That's right, they are 32nd in points allowed (33.3 PPG), 30th in passing yards allowed (268.0 PY), 32nd in rushing yards allowed (172.3), and their offense has twice as many turnovers as their defense has takeaways (11/5). Because their “D” is so overworked and tired, their “O”, which was never a great offense, let's face it, is absolutely horrible. They rank in the bottom half in the NFL in every major category. Mind you, Green Bay, at 2-3, isn't all that great either. But I think we can all agree that they’ve been a bit more competitive this season, than many thought. And for us, sports bettor's, they have covered three of their five outings. The status of starting running back, Aaron Jones is still uncertain as of this post (check status). However, if he does not play, AJ Dillon has proved he can step in and contribute without missing a beat. And let's face it, as I mentioned earlier, the Denver defense ranks dead last against the run. The ability to move the chains on the ground will certainly open up the passing game for Jordan Love. Russell Wilson's numbers are horrible, ranking 27th in a league with a QBR of 39.8. He will have another long day here, going up against the much-improved, ninth-ranked pass defense of Green Bay. In my opinion, the Packers should be a favorite in this matchup of anywhere from 1.5-3.0. If you recall in the beginning of this breakdown, I mentioned about anybody remembering when the Broncos defense was feared. Here's another question I post to you; does anyone remember when playing at home was a must play on Denver? It seems like it was just yesterday that playing at Mile High was a definite play on the home team. Well, this team has failed to cover all three games played at Empower Field this season. Take Green Bay on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Lions +3 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. High Roller Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I admit it folks, I am drinking the Kool-Aid. Just from a sports betting point of view, the Lions are money. Going back to last season, they are on a 14-2 ATS cover streak. And when an underdog, they have covered seven straight. On the other hand, Baltimore is just 3-9ATS their last 12 games when laying a field goal or more. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Very quietly, Detroit's offense ranks in the top-10 in every major category. I know the Baltimore defense is a true force. But they haven't faced a team this complete in quite a while, my friends. On the opposite side of the ball, the Lions stop-unit tops the League against the run. If they could at least slow down Lamar Jackson and the rushing offense of the Ravens, this game can surely get out of hand. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Utah +7 v. USC | 34-32 | Win | 100 | 44 h 48 m | Show | |
Utah. Pac-12 Payday. Game 381. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. All season long the Trojans have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. They are just 2-5 ATS this season, failing to cover the last four outings. To make matters worse, their defense has been bleeding all season long. Last week against the Fighting Irish, their weaknesses were unveiled. I do not expect a big revenge game here as the Utes handed them not just their only regular season loss, but also took them down with authority in the Conference Title game, last year. Utah's offense isn't so flashy, for sure. But their defense is outstanding. In their five victories this season, they have not yielded more than two touchdowns. FYI, and although they have Oregon on deck, I don't see a look ahead situation for the team. They can run the ball and they can stop the run. Not only that, but they make very few miscues on “O”, while forcing and snagging a lot of turnovers on “D”. This is way too many points for USC to lay. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Michigan -24 v. Michigan State | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
Michigan. BIG TEN GOM. Game 337. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. It's no secret that Michigan State has dominated this rivalry for quite a while now. After taking the two previous meetings, both straight up has underdogs, the Spartans got routed last year by the Wolverines, 29-7. The worm has turned my friends. And this year, these are very different teams. MSU is only four-game straight up losing streak, only covering one of those outings. And after last week’s, 27-24 loss on the road Rutgers, blowing a 24-6 lead, there is no way they could get up for this contest. With Ohio State playing Penn State early this morning today, no matter the outcome, Michigan must rev the engine, and turn it up here. After this game, they have an off week before they go home and face Purdue. The following week they go on the road at Penn State. They also go on the road after that to face Maryland. Then it is their regular season finale at home against Ohio State. As I mentioned earlier, they cannot take their foot off the gas here. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly stronger, without question the strongest opponent Michigan State has faced yet this season. The mistake-prone Sparty offense is going to turn the ball over quite a bit. And Michigan will capitalize. Over the last few weeks, the Wolverines have covered as favorites of 17.5, 19.0, and 31.5 against conference opponents. Lay the wood with Michigan. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Toledo v. Miami-OH +2 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 48 m | Show |
Miami-Ohio. MAC GOM. Game 362. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Oddly enough, these two MAC teams haven't met in over a decade. Both teams hold 3-0 records in Conference play as well as 6-1 overall marks. But when it comes to covering the spread, that's where they differ. Toledo is on a 0-5 ATS no cover streak. But checking our stats going a little further, they are also 0-8 ATS when coming off of a win as a favorite as well as 2-11 ATS their last 13 overall as a favorite. Meanwhile, Miami Ohio has not just won their last six games straight up, they've also covered their last six games as well. The Redhawks are a little more well-balanced on both sides of the ball. The wrong team is favored here. Take Miami-Ohio. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State -4.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 7 m | Show | |
Ohio State. Contrarian GOM. Game 326. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Everybody and their mothers are playing Penn State here. And why not? They are perfect 6-0 this season, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last season, the Nittany Lions have covered 13 straight outings. The team possesses some of the best statistics in the nation on both sides of the ball. But folks, look at their schedule thus far; West Virginia, Delaware, Illinois, Iowa, Northwestern, and Massachusetts. They haven't been less than a 14-point favorite over any opponent this season. Let's be honest, my friends, not one of those adversaries possess a solid offensive unit. And only one of them owns a decent defensive unit. They haven't been tested yet. They're going to come into this match up with a false sense of self-worth to face the third-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes, which have faced some solid opposition already. Offensively, Ohio State has the depth and the talent to move the chains. Defensively, they rank fourth against the pass, 23rd against the rush, seventh in total yards allowed, and third in points allowed. After this week, Ohio State doesn't have another formidable foe until their regular season finale on the road at Michigan. They cannot afford to take their foot off the gas here. This is a low number. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Rutgers -5 v. Indiana | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 53 m | Show | |
Rutgers. TD play. Game 343. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Coming back and winning the game against Michigan State the way they did last week, shows a lot about this Rutgers team. They enter this matchup with momentum and motivated. At 5-2, the Scarlet Knights need another win to become bowl eligible. My friends, after this contest, they have matchups against the Buckeyes, the Hawkeyes, the Nittany Lions, and the Terrapins. To put it lightly, they must win here. Indiana comes in here losing their last two games, both on the road, by a combined 96-24. They are also riding a three-game ATS no cover streak. Look for Rutgers running back, Kyle Monangai, who leads the Conference in rushing, to absolutely steamroll the Indiana run defense. Lay the short price here with the road favorite. Take the Scarlet Knights. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida v. Oklahoma -17 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
Oklahoma. Consensus GOM. Game 390. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. UCF Head Coach, Gus Malzahn stated starting quarterback, John Rhys Plumlee is close to 100% and is expected to see action here (check status). In my opinion, although the play-caller is talented, it will not matter. His numbers weren’t all that great when he was on the field. The Knights are on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. They have failed to cover all three of their road games this season. And going back to last season, failed to cover six in a row away from home. Normally, I would look to fade Oklahoma following the Red River Rivalry. But this team is playing on another level. Following their road win and cover as an underdog to Texas, they had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are not just 6-0 straight up this season, they are 6-0 against the spread as well. The Sooners have a real chance to run the gauntlet and go undefeated during the regular season and make a case for the CFP. Oklahoma quarterback, Dillon Gabriel is salivating here. He has a chance to go up against his former team, and show them why he left. The Knights defense has allowed 44, 36, and 51 points in consecutive contests. The Central Florida offense solely relies upon their ability to run the ball. This doesn't bode well as Oklahoma's stop-unit ranks 32nd in the nation against the rush. The Sooners have already covered pointspreads of 13.5 and 20.5 over Conference foes. This game gets ugly. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
Over in the Mississippi State/Arkansas matchup. Total of the MONTH. Game 395/396. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Trust me, when I tell you, my friends, the total in this matchup is way too low. Both of these teams are looking for their first Conference victory. And both will fight to get it. Mississippi State comes off a bye last week and Arkansas returns home after several weeks. Starting with the basics: these two teams have combined to play eight overs, four unders, and one push this season. The Bulldogs enter this matchup on a four-game over run, while the Razorbacks have played to four overs in their last five outings. Going back the last eight matchups, six of them have gone over the total, this includes four of the last five, and the last two meetings, the last two seasons. Neither offense is particularly exciting. But they do combine for over 60 points per game. Makes you think, doesn’t it? I just don't see this being a low-scoring contest. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Under in the Jax/NO matchup. Games 311/312. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis, short and sweet, (lol). As of posting this play, the status of Trevor Lawrence is still uncertain. My friends, whether he plays or not, I feel this is the contest Jacksonville will feel a little jet leg and suffer the consequences of a time difference. As we all know the Jaguars spent several weeks in London, beating both the Falcons and the Bills. They came back to the United States last week, and took care of business at home against the Colts. I believe that was on shear strength and momentum. This week they're going to feel a little jetlagged and certainly feel the difference between time zones. They face a Saints team that are a mediocre, 3-3 this season. Defense has been the reason why they still have a chance at making 2023 successful. Going back to last season, this team has played to 12 consecutive unders, which includes all six outings this season. And when, facing the AFC South, five consecutive contests have gone under the total. On the flipside, let's face it, their offense just can't score behind the shakiness of quarterback, Derek Carr. With a game at Pittsburgh 10 days from this outing and then going home two weeks after that, well rested to face San Francisco, I can expect the Jacksonville to take their foot off the gas a little bit here. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-19-23 | James Madison -3.5 v. Marshall | 20-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
JMU Dukes. Money Maker. Game 313. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. James Madison is on a nine-game straight up winning streak going back to last November. This season, they are on a four-game ATS cover streak. They do pretty well on the road for us as well, my friends, covering their last two as a guest. Meanwhile, not only has Marshall dropped their last two games in a row straight up, they have failed to cover their last three overall outings. Their defense, which was respected earlier on the season, has now allowed a combined 124 points over the last three. Just for the record, that's 41.3 points per game. The Dukes are accounted for over 34.5 points per game on their well-balanced offense that rarely turns the ball over. Meanwhile, although their pass defense leaves a lot to be desired, they are actually the top team in the nation against the rush, allowing a mere, 42.8 yards per game on the ground. And they have already taken away 10 turnovers. I think those two items will be the key here. Take James Madison. Thank you. |
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10-19-23 | Phillies -116 v. Diamondbacks | 1-2 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Phillies. Game 905. 2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST. Short and sweet, folks. Philly has had their way with Arizona, taking both Games 1 and 2 of this series by a combined score of 15-3. Going back a bit, the Phillies have taken five in a row over the Diamondbacks. Actually, you've got to give it to Philadelphia, which is on an 8-1 run overall, taking down all opponents recently, including New York, Miami, and Atlanta. Just over the last four games, they have crushed 15 home runs, which is a record by a team in a four-game span in Major League postseason history. While, I think the pitching matchups are solid here. You can’t ignore the fact Brandon Pfaadt, Arizona’s starter today, has allowed 22 home runs in 96 innings pitched during the regular season. Despite a couple of rough outings, the team has one Ranger Suárez' last five starts. The left-hander has done quite well as a guest this season, going 3-3 with a 2.75 on the road in 2023. The Phillies pitching has been outstanding, allowing three runs or less than eight of their last nine outings. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys -125 v. Chargers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 55 h 15 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE. OM play. Game 277. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Coming off a bye week, following back-to-back wins, with the expected return (check status) of running back, Austin Ekeler, and getting points at home, makes Los Angeles a very enticing play. But as in life, sometimes things can seem too good to be true. That is the case here. Getting Dallas coming into this matchup, seeking redemption and vengeance after last Sunday’s demoralizing, 42-10 loss at San Francisco is a huge betting angle. For that alone, I would back to Cowboys. But the icing on the cake, they are 8-0 ATS their last eight games played following a loss. By the time they take the field on Monday, the Chargers would have been idle for 15 days. Can you say “Stale, Flat, & Rusty? Dak Prescott had his ugliest outing last week: 153 yards passing, 1 TD, 3 INT’s. He lines up across the NFL’s 32nd ranked pass defense here, a unit that has yielded over 26.0 PPG. Guys, Dallas is a good team. They are not a team to dwell on a past defeat, letting it linger. One big win, on national TV here, sets them back on track. Oh, BTW, my numbers have them a TD favorite in this matchup. Take the Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE (Just to err on the side of caution. But, we ain’t gonna’ need it. The line, while I was posting this, dropped a bit. So I saw value in the extra few pennies on the ML. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Cardinals v. Rams -7 | Top | 9-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 272. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Covering their first three games of the season, Arizona was shaping up to be an under the radar ATS moneymaker. But when October arrived, the Cardinals fell back down to Earth, going 0-2, both straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 14.5 and 3.0 points. On the other hand, the Rams just might be the best sub .500 team in the League right now. And if they're going to take it up a notch, this is the matchup to kick it off. They have dominated their division foe, taking eight of their last 10 meetings, both SU and ATS. Arizona's only true offensive weapon, running back, James Conner is out, dealing a critical blow to the team. Reports are L.A. star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will be a major factor here in his second game back from injury. Kupp, in his first game back from injury, a week ago, had eight receptions for 118 yards. The cobwebs have been shaken off now. Expect the Stafford/Kupp connection to pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of ‘Zona in one of my highest-rated plays on the board this week. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Eagles -6 v. Jets | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Consensus play. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Only one of two undefeated teams left this season, Philadelphia is truly scary. Why? Because we still haven't seen their "A" game. With a meeting with Miami, up next, you can expect them to stay focused here. Granted, New York has a stellar rushing attack, behind running back, Breece Hall. But the Eagles counter with the No. 1 "D" in the NFL vs. the run. With a potentially limited ground game to crutch on, quarterback, Zach Wilson and the 32nd ranked passing "O" of the Jets is in real trouble here. They will not be able to exploit the Eagles, shaky secondary. Philly is money on the road, with a 3-0 ATS mark as a guest this season. In a huge mismatch, the 2nd ranked rushing attack of the Eagles, will shred the NFL’s 29th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Yes, overall, the NY stop-unit owns some solid statistics. But when facing well-balanced offenses (Dallas 30, Kansas City 23) they are very beatable. FYI, I give a “mulligan” to Buffalo on that first game of the season against NYJ (lol). Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Over SEAHAWKS/BENGALS. No Limit. Games 257/258. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this Sunday in pro football. As a capper, I thought it was very difficult to predict which team would triumph. But one thing I had no problem predicting is on the total. The Seahawks offense has come to life over recent weeks, accounting for a combined 108 points during the current three-game win streak. The problem is, their defense has been atrocious all season long. They have only held one opponent to under 27 points scored this season. And that was their last game against the lowly, Giants. The Bengals finally looked like the team we expected them to be this season in last week’s road win at the Cardinals, 34-20. Quarterback, Joe Burrow had his best performance this season. No surprise this coincides with him looking healthier than in previous weeks. Their struggling offense matches up very well here. I expect Burrow to have another stellar showing here as he lines up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. The Burrow/Chase connection is rolling. Look for a high scoring game. So much so they may have to replace the bulbs on the scoreboard afterwards. Taking over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins OVER 47.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Over in the Panthers/Dolphins. HIGH ROLLER. Game 265/266. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. There is no question the number one scoring offense in NFL of the Miami Dolphins will pick apart the 28th ranked scoring defense of the Carolina Panthers. If you're concerned about the absence of starting running back, Devon Achane, don't be. Raheem Mostert has accounted for over 314 yards on the ground, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Oh, and by the way, he leads the team in touchdowns with seven. I know the Carolina team is 0-5, the only winless teams left in the League. And they possess an “O” ranking towards the bottom of the barrel. But as good as the Dolphins are, there hasn't been too many teams that haven't been able to score easily on them. They rank 26th in the League, allowing over 27.0 points per game. To be quite honest, going back to even last season, their defense has gotten steamrolled. It’s only due to their explosive offense they keep winning. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Ravens v. Titans UNDER 43 | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Under Ravens/Titans. AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Game 2517252. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. Both, Baltimore, and Tennessee aren't exactly where they hoped to be at this point in the season. Both offenses are struggling to put points on the board. However, both defenses have been outstanding. These two squads match up pretty well. Coming into this match up, the Ravens and Titans have played to eight unders in their 10 combined games this season. Over there four most recent meetings, three have gone under the total. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -3.5 | Top | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 48 h 58 m | Show |
Oregon State. PAC 12 PAYDAY. Game 190. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. All I keep reading is how good the Bruins defense is. However, they stepped up in class once this season and got spanked a few weeks back against Utah. On the other hand, Oregon State has looked strong against solid opposition. They are 5-1 straight up, going 4-2 against the spread. They opened the season against a couple of pushover foes, earning wins and covers. Then they took their foot off the gas winning, big but not covering a huge pointspread against San Diego State. I'll give them a mulligan in their heartbreaking three-point road loss against rival, Washington State a few weeks back. However, they bounced back and took control of their destiny beating Utah at home and Cal on the road, with authority. By the way, they covered both of those outings too. This is a team that gets us sportsbettors paid at home, covering 14 of their last 15 contests at Reser Stadium. Quarterback, DJ Uiagalelei has matured quite nicely, and found a home as the head of this team. They possess a solid ground attack. Defensively they're holding teams to under 20 points per game and I've already snagged four takeaways. I believe they're going to make it a very long day for Dante Moore, UCLA’s freshman quarterback that only has five games under his belt as a starter. With a more experienced quarterback, a significantly stronger rushing attack, a smart head coach, and playing at home, we must take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | Auburn +11.5 v. LSU | Top | 18-48 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
Auburn Tigers. TD play. Game 159. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Whispers around the Las Vegas sportsbooks are that there's going to be some serious money coming in on LSU this Saturday. And why not? They rank 22nd in the nation. And following their road loss to Mississippi, they bounced back last week and took down Missouri as a visitor too. They return home to face an Auburn opponent riding a two-game straight up losing streak. But my friends, sportsbetting is about situations and matchups. And the situation here tells me the Tigers of Auburn are going to catch the Tigers of LSU at the right time. First of all, Auburn has covered the last four meetings in this series, winning two of those matchups straight up. The other two matchups, they lost by three and four points. They play LSU tough, my friends. Guys, Louisiana State was supposed to have an awesome defense this season. But to be quite honest, every halfway decent opponent they went up against, has put up points on them; Florida State 45, Arkansas 31, Mississippi 55, and Missouri 39. They certainly have a very talented quarterback at the helm, and a solid running back in the backfield. But Auburn owns some pretty good statistics as well, ranking 25th in the nation in points allowed, yielding just 18.2 points per game. They're equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. And offensively they possess one of the most complete rushing units in college football, ranking 19th, and averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground. It is this area that I feel benefits Auburn the most. They will run the ball a lot, wear down the LSU defense, control the clock, and keeping the LSU defense on the field, while keeping their offense off it. Giving Auburn double-digits as they look to rebound from two straight up losses, and had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare is a mistake. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois v. Maryland -13 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 34 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. No Limit. Game 128. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Facing Maryland, following their first loss of the campaign, will prove to be fatal for Illinois. The Terrapins have too much fire power for the "not so" Fighting Illini. Maryland has played some solid football this season. And as far as covering the spread, following a couple of pushover opponents to start off the season, in which they pulled starters, and took the foot off the gas late in the games, they then covered three straight against the likes of Virginia, Michigan State, and Indiana. To be quite honest, last week’s loss at Ohio State was a lot closer than the score. Speaking of covering the spread, this team is 6-1 ATS their last seven as a home favorite of eight or more points. Meanwhile, Illinois has failed to cover any of their six contests in 2023. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover any outings in the calendar year of 2023, failing to cover seven straight games, going back to last season. Turnovers have been an issue for the Fighting Illini, and facing a Terrapins opponent here that has not turned the ball over offensively, and yet has snagged eight takeaways defensively, will be the nails in the coffin here. I'm both sides of the ball, Maryland outclasses Illinois. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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10-13-23 | Tulane v. Memphis +5 | 31-21 | Loss | -112 | 34 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis. Friday Night Lights. Game 122. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Guys, this might be one of the most exciting games on the board this weekend, believe it or not. There's a lot of drama surrounding this game. Both teams are 4-1 straight up. And believe it or not, even though we're about halfway done with the regular season, this match up has serious implications down the road for a New Year's Six Bowl possibility. Having said that, the home team has covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. I want to talk about last year's matchup. Tulane was at home in a sold-out stadium, leading 35-0 at halftime. Memphis rallied back, but unfortunately lost the game, 38-28. I'm sure that left a very bad taste in the Tigers mouth. Both teams beat teams they should've beaten already, while both have also lost to teams that on paper, they were inferior than. Looking at each teams loss this season, the Green Wave took a bit of a beating at home against the Rebels. Meanwhile, the Tigers held on very tough on the road at the other Tigers (LOL) of Missouri. While both teams possess able quarterbacks and decent running backs, there is no question that Memphis owns a much stronger offensive unit. They average over 36.6 points per game, nearly seven points per game more than does Tulane. Defensively, the Green Wave puts up some very good numbers. But they're facing a very well-balanced offensive unit. One more item my friends that I feel is very significant; Tulane has turned the ball over seven times already. They make a lot of mistakes. This is a big matchup, lots of pressure, that they are playing on the road. I think the wrong team might be favor to hear. That's why I'm prompted to take Memphis plus the points. Thank you. |