Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-24 | Houston -5 v. Texas | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
*BIG GAME WINNER* HOUSTON COUGARS/TEXAS LONGHORNS WINNER. Houston Cougars. Game 883. 6:00 PM PST. The Cougars aren't just a top-10 ranked team. They've also been money to us, bettors, covering 11 of their last 16 outings. They rank in the top-25 in both offensive and defensive rebounds, and possess the top defense in the nation. Let's face it, they only allow 51.9 points per game on 35.1% shooting from the floor and 28.3% shooting from downtown. They will frustrate the Texas offense, create turnovers, and capitalize on them. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-29-24 | Wolves v. Thunder -132 | 107-101 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. Best Bet play. Game 546. 5:10 PM PST/810 PM EST. Yes, I will admit the Timberwolves are a decent road team, at 15-10 away from home this season. However, they just can't seem to beat the Thunder. Oklahoma City has won and covered both meetings, this season (one at home and one on the road). And enter this matchup off a tough road loss at Detroit (of all teams), following a five-game straight up win streak, in which they went 4-1 against the spread. OKC is a very talented team and they are monsters at home (17–5). They will bounce back here and get back on the winning track and take down a team they have dominated this season. Take the Thunder. Thank you. |
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01-29-24 | Suns +3.5 v. Heat | 118-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Phoenix Suns. Slam Dunk Play. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Following a seven-game straight up win streak, the Suns have now dropped their last two outings. What better team to face than the struggling Heat, which are riding a six-game straight up slide and have failed to cover seven in a row. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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01-29-24 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +3.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech Hokies. Game 882. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Blue Devils, they lose a little luster when they travel. They are just 3-2 on the road this season. Oh, by the way, they are also point spread poison, failing to cover their last four outings in a row and five of their last six overall. On the other hand, the Hokies are rolling, winning and covering their last three contests. They have also won and covered two of the last three meetings in this conference rivalry. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 32 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 322. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm gonna’ keep this analysis a lot like me, very short and extremely sweet (LOL). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid several times this season winning a few and dropping a few with the Lions. This is a very good team. Don't get me wrong. They are certainly deserving of their postseason spot. But could we possibly be jumping the gun here and maybe more wanting them to wins than thinking they're going to win? Let's start with the elephant in the room. As of posting this play, the status of Deebo Samuel is uncertain. However, please remember that that situation is already included in the current number. In my opinion, if he plays this number should be closer to -9 or -10. And that's only so they don't get overwhelmed with underdog bets. If he plays, great. If he does not, it will not significantly affect the offense. This squad is loaded with playmakers. They've got an arsenal of receivers, one of the best tight ends in the game, and let's not forget in the backfield, one of the most valuable players to their team playing today. I feel Brock Purdy and the fourth-ranked passing offense of San Francisco will totally pick apart the 27th ranked pass defense of Detroit. Let's be honest guys, just about every opponent the Lions have faced since early-November, has put a lot of points up on them. While they own solid, stop-unit against the rush, they haven't faced too many offenses that is as loaded at every key position as they're going to face here this weekend. A big part of their success offensively, is there ground game. Once again, they're lining up against the second-ranked run defense in the league. As far as the passing game goes, there is no question. Jared Goff has put up some very impressive numbers. However, look at their schedule and you will see that when the quarterback has faced defenses that are strong in the middle of the field with good linebacking corps, he has put up his five worst performances this season. I'm happy for the Detroit fans. They certainly deserve some excitement. But maybe they're a little overexcited and come in here overconfident. One more item my friends, big games usually come down to big plays by quarterbacks and mistakes. Brock Purdy makes very few mistakes. As a matter fact, the offense has done very well not turning the ball over too often. The same can't be said for Detroit. They have committed 23 turnovers on offense this season. That does not bode well when you're going up against the team that's already snagged 27 takeaways. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | SMU -5 v. Wichita State | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
SMU Mustangs. Revenge Game of the MONTH. Game 857. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. SMU has been dominated by Wichita State, losing seven consecutive meetings, going back to February of 2018. Last season’s two matchups were separated by a total of four-points. This season these are two very different teams. The Mustangs are 13-6, which includes a 4-2 record in conference play, while the Shockers are 8-11 and own the worst record in the AAC at 0-6. As a matter fact, Wichita state is on an eight-game straight up losing streak and have only covered one of their last 10 outings. They are points spread poison. SMU outclasses their opponent here. They also possess a top-10 defense in most major categories. They're going to frustrate the Shockers and force some real turnover issues. Oh, by the way, they are also far superior at both end of the court on the boards. Lay the short price here with the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC Championship Game Winner. Game 319. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-27-24 | TCU v. Baylor -4.5 | 105-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. BIG 12 BB. Game 712. 1;00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Uncharacteristic for the Bears, but they are riding a two-game losing streak. There is an enormous amount of urgency for them to bounce back here and get back on track. While the Horned Frogs are no pushover, they have not done well in this conference rivalry, dropping six of the last eight straight up, and only covering two of the last nine matchups. Baylor is a perfect 10-0 at the Paul and Alejandra Foster Pavilion this season. I see them bouncing back here big time at home and getting back on track in conference play. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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01-27-24 | Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Miami-FL | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Pitt Panthers. ACC Annihilator. Game 667. 11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST. While Miami has had their way in this conference rivalry over the years, and do enter this matchup scoring almost 81.9 points per game, they have had problems dealing with pesky defenses. And Pittsburgh has just that, a very pesky defense that is yielding just 66.6 points per game. The Hurricanes rely heavily upon their outside shooting. But the Panthers possess one of the best three-point shooting defenses in college basketball. To add to our reasoning, Pitt are monsters are the offensive glass, and will get a lot of second-chance opportunities. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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01-27-24 | Nebraska +5.5 v. Maryland | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers. Early winner. Game 603. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST This is way too many points to go to Nebraska team, which took down Maryland last year in overtime. And enters this matchup on back-to-back wins over Northwestern and Ohio State. With the conference’s top-team, the Badgers on deck, the Cornhuskers have to get in sync in this matchup before that matchup. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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01-23-24 | Boise State -5.5 v. Fresno State | 72-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Boise State Broncos. MWC Money Maker. Game 661. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. These two conference rivals enter this matchup on opposite side of the spectrum. Just outside the bubble of the top-25 rankings, Boise State is 13-5 overall, which does include a 4-1 record in the Mountain West. They are currently in second place, one-game behind Utah State. They are red-hot, winning eight of their last 10 straight up, and going 7-2 against the spread the last nine. Meanwhile, Fresno State is struggling. They have dropped six of their last eight straight up, failing to cover seven of their last nine. They own an overall record of 8-9, and are just 5-11-1 against the spread this season. They are near the bottom of the barrel in the MWC, at 1-4 in conference play. To make matters worse, the Broncos have had their way with the Bulldogs, taking five of the last six straight up, and five of the less seven against the spread, this includes three consecutive SU victories in this rivalry. The team is healthy, motivated, and certainly are a step up in class for Fresno State. I believe Boise State will dominate at both ends of the court both, down low and on the glass. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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01-23-24 | Knicks -4 v. Nets | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Slam Dunk Play. Game 519. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. New York is one of the season’s most pleasant surprises. The Knicks currently sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, at 26-17. On the other hand, to say Brooklyn has been disappointing, would be an understatement. They sit in 11th place in the East, at 17-25. The Knicks have dominated the Nets, winning and covering all three meetings just in the last 11 months. They also enter tonight's matchup rolling, winning nine of their last 11 SU, and eight of those 11 ATS. They've had an extra day to rest, heal, and prepare for tonight's crosstown matchup. Brooklyn is on a 4-15 straight up run, in which they have only covered three of those 19 contests. They are a little more banged up, and in my opinion, are inferior at both ends of the court. Speaking of both ends of the court, look for the Knicks to dominate the boards, as they rank third on the offensive glass and second on the defensive glass. Take New York. Thank you. |
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01-23-24 | Kentucky -4.5 v. South Carolina | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. SEC Smash Play. Game 627. 4:00 PM PST should 7:00 PM EST. The new rankings just came out, and the Wildcats are sitting in sixth nationally. They are tied for second place in the conference at 4-1, along with the Volunteers and the Crimson Tide. Of course, the Tigers of Auburn are a perfect 5-0 in SEC action. The Gamecocks are a respectable, 3-2 in conference play so far. And are an equally respectable, 15-3 overall. Kentucky (11-6 overall) has dominated South Carolina, taking seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering six of those 10 matchups. They enter today's contest red-hot, winning eight of their last nine straight up, and covering seven of those nine against the spread. Meanwhile the home team here, since starting to step up in class, has fallen a bit short, splitting their last four games, both SU and ATS. This is a big game for the Wildcats. And one thing they know how to do is prepare for a big game matchup. I look for them to come out and flex their muscles and show the rest of the conference exactly what they are made of. By the way, they lead the nation in scoring and are in the top-10 in both, field goal percentage overall and three-point percentage. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 317. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster. I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-20-24 | Washington State -130 v. California | 75-81 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Washington State Cougars on the moneyline. Best Bet play. Game 745. 2:00 PM PST 5:00 PM EST. The line is way off here, my friends. For starters, the Cougars have had their way with the Golden Bears, taking eight consecutive meetings, straight up. The lowest margin of victory of those eight wins was four points. They have dominated their conference rival. Cal enters this matchup just 6-12 overall, which does include a 2-5 Pac 12 record. I know that in some of these conferences, home court advantage plays a part. But this team is just 5-5 at the Haas Pavilion this season. Washington State is on a three-game win and cover streak, which does include two straight up victories as a visitor on the road at USC and Stanford. Sandwiched in between those two wins was a very solid home victory over the very respected, Arizona. Defensively, I look for the Cougars to stifle the very lackluster, Golden Bears offense. I see the visitor dominating the boards at both end of the court and truly frustrating the home team here. Just to err on the side of caution, because I don't know where this line will fall before gametime, take Washington State on the money line. Thank you. |
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01-20-24 | Clemson v. Florida State +2.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles. ACC Annihilator. Game 720. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. There is no denying Clemson has had their way over the last three or four years in this rivalry. They have taken five of the last seven meetings straight up, going 4-2-1 against the spread. But this season, these are two very different teams. The Tigers enter this matchup losing four of their last five, both SU and ATS, en route to an overall record of 12-5. They are just 2-4 in ACC play thus far. To be honest with you, when they hit the road, things go from bad to worse as they are just 2-3 in true road games this season. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Seminoles are rolling. They have won five in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, and are red-hot ATS, covering five consecutive games. They have played some very good opponents since the New Year started and have taken down all of them in the: Yellow Jackets, the Hokies, the Demon Deacons, the Fighting Irish, and the Hurricanes. Mind you, a couple of those games that were underdog. Speaking of underdogs, I feel the wrong team is favored here. I feel this game should be a pick ‘em or even Florida State a slight one-point fav. Take the Seminoles. Thank you. |
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01-20-24 | Baylor +3 v. Texas | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Early Winner. Game 615. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. These two teams are certainly both looking for a victory here today. The ninth-ranked Baylor Bears are a monster team, my friends. They are tied with the Kansas Jayhawks, the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and the Kansas State Wildcats, atop, the conference, all at 3-1. Meanwhile, the Texas Longhorns are just 1-3 in Big 12 play this season. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. The line should be closer to a pick ‘em as far as I am concerned. The Bears have dominated this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 straight up and covering seven of those 10 meetings. Following a five-game win streak, in which they went 4-1 ATS, they come off, a tough loss on the road at the Wildcats, just four days ago. Meanwhile, the Longhorns are struggling. They are on a 1-3 straight up run. And they have covered only one of their last five outings. Going back a little further until the beginning of December, they are on a 3-7 ATS cold streak. Both teams are about the same defensively. However, you must be in awe of the explosiveness of the Baylor offense which ranks 14th in the nation in both points (84.8) and field goal percentage (49.6%). That would be enough for me to side with the underdog here. However, they are also one of the best in college basketball from downtown, ranking third nationally, hitting over 40.4% from beyond the arc. I just don't see the Texas “D”, which is allowing over 33.5% from three-point land, even slowing down the sharp shooting squad here. Even further, the Bears rank 12th in the nation on the defensive glass. I don't see Longhorns getting too many second-chance opportunities. Take the underdog. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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01-19-24 | Nuggets v. Celtics -6 | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Slam Dunk play. Game 536. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. You may not realize this because it's so early in the regular season, but this game is a big matchup. Very possibly, these two teams can face each other come the NBA Finals. Trust me when I tell you, each wants to win this contest. However, there's a few things that certainly compels me to take the home team here. First of all, the Denver Nuggets, although they are very good, are 17-4 at home, but just 11-10 on the road. As a matter of fact, when it comes to covering as a visitor, their numbers aren't very impressive at all, failing to cover their last four games played as a guest. On the other hand, the Boston Celtics are 20-0 at home this season and have covered three of their last four as host. But going even further into this, the last time these two teams met was last New Year's Day, January 1, 2023 in Denver when the Nuggets bested the Celtics, 123-111. That stopped a six-game Boston straight up win streak in this rivalry. By the way, the Celtics still covered six of the last eight meetings, going back several seasons. Boston certainly is one of the most complete teams in the NBA at both ends of the court, ranking in the top-five and most major categories. They are excellent from beyond the arc, which will be a big advantage for them as Denver ranks 16th in the league at defending the “3”. Two other major factors really urge me to side with the “green and white” here. First, they are the best in basketball on the offensive glass, which means they're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. And secondly, they are significantly stronger from the free-throw line. You can expect this game to get very physical. The Celtics hit over 80.6% from the line, while the Nuggets are just 75.2% from the line. This might be a lot of points, but it doesn't scare me. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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01-18-24 | Oregon +6.5 v. Colorado | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. PAC 12 PAYDAY. Game 839. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. Even with the absence of one of their big men (out since November), I still don't see the Pac 12's top team, the only undefeated team in the conference, getting this many points here. I know Colorado is a decent team. However, they’ve dropped three of their last four straight up and five of their last six against the spread. I know they are a lot better at home than they are on the road. But Oregon is no slouch when playing visitors, themselves. The Ducks are 3-0 in true road games this season. And they are riding an amazing, six-game win streak, in which they have played and beaten some solid opposition. I know the Buffaloes are pretty good at both ends of the court. But they aren't good enough to lay this many points against a team which doesn't want to lose a game in Pac 12 play. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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01-18-24 | Illinois -145 v. Michigan | 88-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Illinois Fighting Illini on the moneyline. BIG TEN BLOCKBUSTER. Game 799. 5:30 PM PST. The No. 14th ranked Illinois Fighting Illini has dominated the Michigan Wolverines, winning five in a row straight up, and just a point away from covering all five of those matchups. They come into this matchup following their worst defeat of the season, a 76-67 loss at home against the Maryland Terrapins, a team in which they were favored by nine-points. Prior to that, the last time they failed to cover was back in mid-November. They have been money. They also don't like losing conference matchups. I expect them to bounce back with the authority today and make a statement against an opponent they really don't like. Speaking of Michigan, this is a team that's just 7-10 SU, only covering six of their 17 outings this season. Let's face it, they got a win over Ohio State in their last contest a few days back. That was their first win since mid-December and their first cover since the second week of December. They just don't match up well here. This game is going to get ugly. But just to err on the side of caution, take Illinois on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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01-16-24 | Baylor +1.5 v. Kansas State | 64-68 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Big 12 Money Maker. Game 639. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. I am aware of the fact Kansas State won and covered both of last year's meetings in this rivalry. However, prior to that Baylor had taken seven in a row. The Bears enter this matchup with a top-10 ranking (ninth), winning five in a row straight up, and covering four of those five. The Wildcats are a good team, don't get me wrong. And they are a respectable 2-1 in conference play. However, the Bears are a perfect 3-0 against Big 12 opponents this season. And let's face it, they want to stay undefeated in the conference. They are running hot, are relatively healthy, own a top-10 scoring offense, and are the best squad in the nation from beyond the arc. I believe that's where this game will be won. Oh, by the way, they are also monsters on the defensive glass. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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01-16-24 | Richmond +4.5 v. Duquesne | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Richmond Spiders. Best Bet. Game 611. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Guys, the wrong team is favored here. I have the Spiders favored on all of my power ratings by at least one-point. They come in here hotter, winning six in a row straight up and covering five of those six. And they have had the Dukes number, for sure. Richmond has taken eight of the last 10 meetings in this conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those 10 meetings. This team is playing very good basketball. Meanwhile, Duquesne is riding a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. As a matter fact, they've been point spread poison of late, covering just once since mid-November, riding a 1-8 no cover streak. The Spiders possess a frustrating defense and shoot lights out from downtown. Those two factors will be the difference. Take Richmond. Thank you. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. WC CONSENSUS GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 152. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. You would think that this time of year in the playoffs Philadelphia would be the play. I'm here to tell you they are a go against. This is not the same Eagles team we have come to watch over the last several seasons. Let's face it, they backed into the postseason, losing five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover seven straight and eight of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have been a surprise, earning a postseason spot, winning five of their last six SU, and covering seven of their last 10 ATS. Momentum plays a big part come the postseason, my friends. And to be honest with you, Tampa Bay wasn't expected to be here. And a team with nothing to lose is very dangerous. The Philadelphia defense has gotten shredded for over 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 30th in points allowed. While their offense still has a lot of weapons, they also make a lot of mistakes, turning the ball over 28 times this season. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has a solid run defense, ranking fifth in the league, which can and will neutralize the rushing attack of Philadelphia here. They will cause a lot of three-and-outs thus putting the Eagles “D” on the field a little more than they would like to be. I believe 4000-yard passer, Baker Mayfield (check status) will have a very good day here lining up against the 31st ranked pass defense of Philly. I expect him to play, folks. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-15-24 | Bulls v. Cavs -3.5 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers. Slam Dunk. Game 560. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Cleveland comes into tonight's matchup, both with momentum and well rested. The Cavaliers have won their last four games, covering three of the four. They will have fresh legs to boot, having not taken the floor since January 11. Granted, Chicago has won four of their last five, straight up. But they have failed to cover their last few games. And as we all know the Bulls lose a little something when they travel. They are just 6-12 on the road this season, and have only covered one of their last four as a guest. To say Cleveland has had their way in this rivalry would be an understatement. They have taken five in a row, both straight up and against the spread over Chicago. This does include a 109-95 win and cover on the road in the only meeting this season, back at the end of December. The Bulls certainly have some talent. But facing a Cavaliers team on the road, that is well rested, riding a win streak, and that has had their number will be fatal for the team. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Sunday WILD CARD BEST BET. Game 148. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. I am aware the Packers have won covered the last four meetings with the Cowboys, going back to 2017. I am also aware they have won three in a row straight up, covering their last two, coming into the playoffs. But if there is any team in the NFL that has a significant home-field advantage, it is Dallas. They are on a 16-game win streak at AT&T Stadium. They are a perfect, 8-0 on their own field this season. They also know they can't let their guard down here in this round. You know this stadium is going to be loud and crazy as the loyal fans of the Cowboys are going to watch their first home playoff game since 2018. Please remember that although Green Bay is a good team. They haven't been consistently good this season. They are also at a big disadvantage as the Dallas Cowboys head coach knows the Green Bay Packers team inside and out. On both sides of the ball, the home team here is one of the most complete in all of the NFL. I see their rushing attack moving the chains and allowing Dak Prescott to open up the passing attack. I don't see the Cowboys letting their foot off the gas here. They will leave no doubt. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Alabama +2.5 v. Mississippi State | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Alabama Crimson Tide. SEC Slam Dunk. Game 779. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I feel Mississippi State is going to come in here a little overconfident following their first victory over a top-five opponent since 2002. They took down the fifth-ranked Tennessee team the other night. Granted, this team is playing some good basketball, at 12-3 overall. But Alabama is a pretty darn good team too. And giving them points, I believe as a mistake. The Crimson Tide are 10-5 and are riding a four-game win streak, in which they went 3-1 against the spread. They have dominated this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 SU. The Bulldogs have a good defense, no doubt about that. But the Crimson Tides offense is explosive, averaging over 90.6 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the floor and 39.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Too much firepower here on the visitor. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Saturday Wild Card Best Bet. Game 144. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. When this line first came out, I will admit I leaned towards the ‘dog. However, looking at the injury report and recent performances has compelled me to take the favorite here. The story of the Dolphins this season was a very good story. However, they have dropped three of their last five games, both straight up and against the spread, including their last two coming into the postseason. Momentum means a lot this time of year, my friends. Their once once powerful offense has tallied a total of 33 points the last two outings, while their defense has gotten flattened for 77 points. Something you may find very strange is this team has only averaged a mere 19 points per game against the six fellow playoff teams they faced this season. By the way, they lost five of those games. What does that tell you? It tells you this team can put up some numbers, but when they have to step up in class, they fall short. Kansas City was struggling for sure. But they still made it to 11 wins this season. Their offense started to step up a bit. And it's hard to go against Patrick Mahomes at home in the month of January. But I believe it will be their defense that will shine in this matchup. You may not realize this, but this defense ranks second in the league in point scored, allowing only 17.3 points per game. I know the Miami offense tops the NFL in passing yards per game. However, they are going up against one of the best pass defenses in football. Oh, by the way, as I mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are going to be without quite a few starters on the defensive side of the ball. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Houston -3.5 v. TCU | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Houston Cougars. Big 12 MONEY MAKER. Game 737. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. Facing a Houston team, following their first loss of the campaign will prove to be fatal for the undermanned and outclassed TCU squad. I know the Horned Frogs are 8-0 straight up at home this season. But facing the No. 1defense in college basketball is going to be an impossible task for the home team here. That's right, the Cougars allow just 50.3 points per game on 34.6% shooting from the floor. I just don't see TCU putting up too many points. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 92-97 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. Odds Makers Mistake Play. Game 657. 11;00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. The wrong team is favored here. I have the Wildcats a slight favorite of -1.5. The team will record its seventh consecutive victory along with its seventh consecutive cover here. This team is on fire, and they've had the Aggies number, taking eight of the last nine straight pp covering six of those nine meetings. Speaking of Texas A&M, they are ice cold, dropping two in a row, and four of their last six straight up, failing to cover five of those last six. I just don't see Texas A&M keeping pace on the scoreboard offensively with the second-ranked scoring offense in college basketball. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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01-12-24 | Minnesota +5 v. Indiana | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Minnesota Golden Gophers. Big Ten Blockbuster. Game 867. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Minnesota is on fire, winning seven consecutive games straight up and covering their last nine. They are in second place in the conference, tied with Northwestern and Illinois at 3-1. Overall, this team is a very respectable, 12-3. Granted, Indiana has had their way in this rivalry, but these are two very different teams this season. The Hoosiers are just 11-5, which includes a 3-2 record in Big Ten play. At both ends of the court, I see the Golden Gophers far superior. They're averaging over 78.9 points per game, on a whopping 48.9% shooting from the floor. Defensively, they have been very stingy, allowing a mere 66.3 points per game. I also see them far better on both ends of the court on the boards. I really feel the line is off here only because the oddsmakers are giving the Hoosiers too much credit for being at home. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. National Championship Game Winner. Game 288. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
Detroit Lions. NFC North Game of the Month. Game 478. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFC South Game of the Month. Game 479. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-06-24 | Texans -125 v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
Houston Texans on the Money line. NFL Consensus Game of the Week. Game 469. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. It seems as though every year during the last week of the regular season, you need graphs, charts, and diagrams to understand which teams need victories, which teams are eliminated, and which teams could certainly better their playoff situation. This game is very simple, a win and you will be in the postseason. Now there is a game being played earlier in the Jaguars/Titans matchup. If the Jaguars win, they take the division. If they lose, and the Texans win, Houston will take the division. Let me start off with something that really stuck out to me…the Texans are 7-0 ATS their last seven division road games. That is huge my friends. Quarterback, CJ Stroud has led this team to their first winning season since 2019. Now they want a playoff berth. In last week’s, 26-3 win at home against the Titans, the offense showed no signs of rust as Stroud made his return. The offensive line also looks very sharp, only allowing one sack. I see the Rookie of the Year candidate putting up some of his best numbers of the season here against a very vulnerable, Colts secondary. Indianapolis also ranks 27th in the league against the rush. That means Devin Singletary will get a lot of touches here and move the chains on the ground with his legs, opening up Stroud and the passing game. Defensively, Houston matches up well here with Indianapolis. I see a real mismatch in this contest. Oh, one more item, the Texans also have revenge as a motivator as they dropped the first meeting with the Colts back in mid-September at home. The line is moving between a -1.0 and a -1.5. So just err on the side of caution, take Houston on the money line. Thank you. |
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01-06-24 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Florida | 87-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. SEC Early Winner. Game 615. 9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST. Kentucky and Florida know each other very well. Trust me when I tell you they don't like each other too much either. However, the Wildcats have taken nine of the last 10 meeting straight up, covering eight of those 10 meetings, which includes four straight in both of those areas. Both squads have bounced back following early-season losses to start rolling. However, I feel Florida just isn't exactly where they want to be at this point in the season. I feel Kentucky is a little more in sync, a little deeper, and a lot hungrier. Let's not forget they also rank second in the nation from beyond the arc, hitting over 41.6% from downtown. This is a major mismatch as Florida allows over 34.1% defensively from the arc. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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01-05-24 | Illinois +10.5 v. Purdue | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Illinois Fighting Illini. Illinois/Purdue Winner. Game 691. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I'm not going to ruffle any feathers and say Purdue isn't deserving of their top-ranked college basketball status. This is an amazing team. And they have taken the last three meetings in this series. But Illinois is playing some very good basketball this season, at 11-2 overall, winning four in a row straight up, and nine in a row against the spread. By the way, they have covered all four games they have played away from home this season. The Fighting Illini possess a very deep roster with one of the best starting back courts in the land. They have speed, they have height, they have muscle. Obviously, the Boilermakers are a monster squad. Arguably, they have the best player in college basketball at the helm. But these two teams mirror one another statistically. They both score north of 80 points per game, while both defenses allow under 70 points per game. I do feel college basketball’s second-best offensive rebounding core of Illinois will be the difference. They're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. I just think this is way too many points. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you. |
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01-05-24 | Rider v. Quinnipiac -4 | 84-88 | Push | 0 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Quinnipiac Bobcats. Under the Radar play. Game 590. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Bobcats have dominated this conference rivalry, taking six in a row, and eight of the last nine straight up, and eight of the last 10 against the number. While both teams will be making their first appearance of the New Year here, Quinnipiac certainly comes in hotter and possessing a much better record. Overall, they are 9-4, including 1-1 in conference play. They return home to the M&T Bank Arena, where they are 5-1 this season. Rider is struggling, dropping 10 of their first 13 overall games and both contests played in the Metro Atlantic conference. They are also just 1-7 on the road this season. Granted, neither team puts up impressive numbers, but the Bobcats are certainly stronger at both ends of the court. And as expected, this game will be physical, which benefits them as well as they hit nearly 79% from the line. Take the home team here with Quinnipiac. Thank you. |
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01-04-24 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Michigan | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Minnesota. Michigan has certainly had their way in the series, taking eight of the last 10 straight up. However, Minnesota has covered six of those 10 meetings. And my friends, the worm has turned this season. The Golden Gophers enter this matchup with a 10-3 overall record, winning five in a row SU. Meanwhile, they are one of the best covering teams in college basketball right now, going 12-1AT. And just FYI, they've covered both of their Conference matchups thus far. On the other hand, the Wolverines are a disappointing 6-7 straight up, only covering five of their 13 outings this season. At home they are just .500, at 3-3. To make matters worse, they've only covered two of their last 10 games. Both teams possess high-powered offenses. They both average over 80 points per game. But there's no denying Minnesota's rebounding superiority. They are also a little tougher on the defensive end of the court. Giving this team this many points, especially the fact that they are a covering machine this season, is a gift. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you. |
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01-04-24 | Oregon +4.5 v. Washington | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Oregon. I know Washington has taken the last two meetings over the last two seasons in this Conference rivalry. But prior to that, Oregon took six straight. This season these teams are on opposite sides of the Pac-12. The Ducks are tied atop the division with three other teams at 2-0 in Conference play, possessing an overall record of 10-3. The Huskies are towards the cellar at 0-2 against Pac-12 opponents, owning an overall mark of 8-5. The visitors are certainly hotter as I mentioned earlier. While Washington puts up a few more points on offense, they also are allowing a lot more points on defense. I think that's where this game will be won. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks | Top | 138-141 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML. Best Bet play. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Don't look now, but the Thunder possess the Western Conference’s second-best overall record and the NBA's fourth-best overall mark. This team is playing some great basketball, my friends. Last night they took down the team with the best overall record in all of pro basketball, the Boston Celtics, at home, 127-123. They are now on a five-game win and cover streak. Going back a little further, they have won and covered eight of their last nine contests. They go into State Farm Arena to face a very disappointing, Atlanta Hawks opponent here. Overall, Atlanta is just 13-19, losing four of their last five straight up and riding a five-game no cover slide. I remember a day when the Hawks were money at home. However, they have failed to cover 11 consecutive games on their own court this season, and overall, 12 of 13 games played at the State Farm Arena this campaign. They can still score points on offense. But their defense is absolutely atrocious. They've become a league doormat, allowing over 122.7 points per game, which ranks them 27th in scoring. To make matters worse, they are allowing 50% shooting from the floor, which ranks 28th, and 37.9% from downtown, which ranks them 24th. In today's league that still wouldn't be that bad but they are horrible on the defensive boards as well. They face one of the leagues best scoring offenses. Not only does the Thunder average over 121.5 points per game, they rank in the top-three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and if the game gets physical, they are also the best team in basketball from the free-throw line. They've got a pretty frustrating defense as well. This game will get out of hand. But I am posting this very early, so just to err on the side of caution, take Oklahoma City on the Moneyline. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | St. Joe's -5.5 v. Rhode Island | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph's Hawks. Slam Dunk play. Game 671. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Hawks have taken the last two meetings in this conference rivalry over the last two seasons, both straight up and against the spread. They enter this season's matchup running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight straight up, and seven of their last nine against the spread. They have played very competitively against the likes of Kentucky. But they have won some matchups with such notables as Villanova, Temple, and Princeton. The Rams have not done so well. The only bright spot they have this season was starting to campaign off 3-0. But since then, they have dropped seven of 10 straight up, and eight of 10 against the number. On both sides of the court, St. Joe’s outclasses Rhode Island. The Rams already have trouble putting points on the board, and now they have to face a very frustrating hawks defense, that is putting up impressive numbers in every major defensive category. Take Saint Joseph’s. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | Fordham v. George Washington -3.5 | 119-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
George Washington Revolutionaries. Atlantic 10 Annihilator. Game 676. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, in my opinion, GW should be a favorite of at least seven or eight points here. This line just doesn't make sense to me. This is a team that is tied with George Mason for the best overall record in the Conference, at 11-2. They are 9-0 at home this season. And they are riding a five-game win streak. Fordham is off to a very lackluster, 6-7 start. This is a team having trouble putting points on the board, averaging just 72.9 points per game on 41.1% shooting from the floor. To make matters even worse, they hit just 30.8% from downtown, and a dismal, 65.1% from the line. Their defense isn't that much better. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the sharpshooting, explosive offense of George Washington, which is averaging over 80.8 points per game and shoot lights out from beyond the arc, hitting over 37.3%. They are also monsters on the offensive glass, which means they will get a lot of second-chance opportunities. That would be enough for me to decide with this team at home. However, they also allow just 38.6% shooting on defense. The line is way off here. Let's make the oddsmakers pay for their mistake. Take the Revolutionaries. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 237 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 279. 2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST. With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Iowa v. Tennessee -5.5 | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Game 276. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I am well aware Tennessee lost their starting quarterback, Joe Milton III, who opted out of the Citrus Bowl. We all know how good the Iowa defense has performed once again this season. However, the offense is absolutely atrocious. They can't put up too many points on any opponent. The one thing Tennessee has, is depth. They have enough talent to not just get a win here, but get the cover for us. Take the Volunteers. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon -18 | 6-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 278. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In all sincerity, the Oregon Ducks were just a few points away from a College Football Playoff invitation. Losing to the Washington Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship game by three-points, dropped this team to the No. 5 spot and a New Year's Day Bowl. There is nothing this team wants more than to exact a little revenge and show the nation that they deserved to be in the CFP. Bo Nix, who is without question one of the greatest college football quarterbacks of all time, will be playing in his last game at the collegiate level. Trust me when I tell you he wants to go out on a high note. They don't just want to win this game; they want to crush the Liberty Flames. Speaking of which, the Flames finished the campaign off at 13-0 and have some impressive numbers on both sides of the ball. They rank fifth in the nation in scoring and 46th on defense. That's all well and good. However, they haven't faced a top tier team. For goodness sake, they haven’t even faced a medium tier team. While there is a lot of talent on this squad, I just don't see them competing with the Mighty Ducks (LOL). What better way to go out for Nix and the Oregon team, then to annihilate the Flames, giving them their first loss of the season and giving the pollsters something to remember. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -5.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 11 m | Show |
Play LA. Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
Play Dallas. Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss v. Penn State -4.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Play PSU. As of posting this play, by far, Penn State will be affected less significantly than Mississippi as far as opt out or transfer portals. But more than that, the Nittany Lions were hoping for a New Year's day Bowl for sure. They feel a little short-changed here because they suffered two losses. But this is a team on both sides of the ball that are loaded with playmakers, and guys that are starters, which are coming back next year. They want this game. They want this Bowl. Take Penn State. Thank you. |
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12-29-23 | Clemson -4 v. Kentucky | 38-35 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Play Clemson. Despite rumors that Kentucky's early NFL draft entrants are going to play and some of Clemson’s are not, it reflects in the number still. The Tigers want and more over need this win. This is a team for more than a decade dominated college football. And yet they're just 8-4 this season. But please remember they finished strong, winning of covering their last four games. They want to win this Bowl game and finish out the year on a high note. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Oklahoma. Game 2056. 6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST. There are certainly a lot of good stories in this matchup. Oklahoma begins a new era at the quarterback position. And they narrowly missed playing in a New Year's Bowl Six matchup. I mean playing in the Conference they play in and going 10-2 is pretty darn respectable, in my opinion. On the opposite Sideline, Arizona is trying to match their longest winning streak in 25 years. And they were certainly one of college football's biggest surprises this season. But the line is off my friends. I understand quarterback, Dillon Gabriel will not be at the helm here. This is truly a big loss. I also understand that overall, the Sooners rank 100th in pass defense. But they have a smart coach and a long tradition of winning Bowl games. This is a very well-balanced team that is truly deep at every major position. They had one of the best rushing attacks in the country and average over 43.2 points per game, which is good enough for being the third highest-scoring team in the nation. Defensively, they rank second in takeaways, snagging 19 turnovers. Oh, by the way, they only allow 22.3 points per game in a Conference known for some of the most explosive offenses. The Arizona defense is good, but they're not very good at creating turnovers. They're also not very good against the pass either. And trust me when I tell you, backup quarterbacks in Oklahoma can start for just about any other team in the country. The line is off here. Take the Sooners. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | NC State +2.5 v. Kansas State | 19-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
NC State. Game 253. 2:45 PM PST/5:45 PM EST. Several of the teams this Bowl season lost starters, and yet still played very well. Trust me when I tell you Kansas State will not be one of those teams. Losing quarterback, Will Howard and the teams second-leading rusher, running back Treshaun Ward, it's a big blow for this offense. This is a good team, don't get me wrong. But you just can't fill the shoes so easily of an on-the-field general and leader like Howard. Especially against the team like NC State, which ended the season with five consecutive wins and covers, four of which they were a ‘dog. Brennan Armstrong should be back at the helm here (check status). But I don't think it matters, because this team and their success solely revolves around their defense. And their defense is intact. They only allow 20.2 points per game. And have snagged over 17 takeaways already this season. Whoever is at the helm for the Wildcats, is going to be in for a long day. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers v. Miami-FL +2 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Miami Florida. Game 252. 11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST. With word starting quarterback, Tyler Van Dyke, and back up, Emory Williams, not playing here, oddsmakers have the line at Rutgers -1.5 (as of post). Please remember, this team was a solid team this season. They were only a handful of points away from 10 wins. Yes, they finished 7-5. But three of their losses were by a touchdown or less. I just don't see Rutgers, which ended the season on a four-game lose and no cover streak, competing with them. Yes, the Scarlet Knights have a very strong rushing attack. But they're going up against the 11th-ranked run defense in college football. Offensively, overall, the Scarlet Knights average a mere, 22.2 points per game. Yes, I see their defense overall played well. But please remember that those numbers are skewed as some of the teams they thumped were teams like the Owls of Temple and the Seahawks of Wagner. When they went up against strong defensive units, they folded like a chief suit as they will hear today once again. Let’s not forget they are riding a four-game slide, both SU and ATS Take Miami. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | SMU -10.5 v. Boston College | 14-23 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
SMU. Game 249. 8:00 AM PST/11:00 AM EST. My friends, with no major opt outs in this Bowl game, it seems like we are in uncharted territories (lol). What amazes me is the fact that SMU, which finished first in the AAC at 11-2, is only a 10-point favorite over BC, which finished 10th in the ACC at 6-6. I know, I know, I know, there are some mismatches between these Conferences during the Bowl season. But I don't think this is one of them. The Mustangs enter this match up on a nine-game straight up winning streak, going 6-3 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Eagles finished their campaign on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, Boston College has a quarterback and a running back that put up some impressive numbers, facing the SMU very stingy defense is going to be a tall order for the team. The ‘Stangs allowed just 17.4 points per game this season against some very good offensive units. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. Because their defense is so good it allows their offense to tire out opponents defensive units and put points on the board as they average over 40.6 points per game, offensively. I think there's a major mismatch between their 36th-ranked, rushing attack and the Eagles 125th ranked run defense. This game is going to be won by more than two touchdowns. Take SMU. Thank you. |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State -150 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State. Game 248. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.
There is so much going on between the coaching staff and the players for Texas A&M, with so many big names, opting out on the field, as well as a good portion of the coaching staff going on to bigger and better next season. There is no question Oklahoma State is a little more intact. And the trio of Bowman, Gordon, and Presley, all of which are expected to play, is one of the best offensive arsenals in the country. For once I think the general public has it right. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
West Virginia 2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST.
Very simply, West Virginia is one of the most complete teams in the Bowl season, with only a few players opting out here. Meanwhile, North Carolina lost their entire offense. Quarterback, Drake Maye will be going to the draft. The dual-threat QB was their on-the-field at general. The combination of the nation’s third-ranked, rushing attack on offense, and a very stout intact defense, tells me West Virginia is the play here. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane +10.5 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Tulane. Game 242. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. This time of year, it seems more about the transfer portal and opt outs than it does the actual players that are playing. While the team lost a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel, please remember the Green Wave wasn't about the offense this year. They are about the defense. Their stop-unit allows just 18.9 points per game and earned them victories over such teams as South Alabama, Memphis, and UTSA. They will completely shut down the Hokies ability to run the ball, thus taking away their entire offense. On the flipside, Tulane does have a solid ground attack and that is certainly a weakness for the West Virginia defense. And allows the Green Wave to control the clock. Take Tulane. Thank you. |
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12-26-23 | Bowling Green +3.5 v. Minnesota | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Bowling Green Falcons. Game 235. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Money was originally coming in on the underdog here. But the last few days the general public has been playing the favorite. My friends, I have the line here way off. My two sets of power ratings have Bowling Green a slight favorite of 1.5 points. Yes, I know Minnesota plays in a stronger Conference. But this is a team that was a doormat in Big Ten play. And they finished the season on a four-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. They have to take the field without their starting quarterback, Athan Kaliakmamis, who started every game this season, but has entered the transfer portal. They turn the reins over to Cole Kramer, making his first start. This is already a lackluster offense, averaging just 20.2 points per game, even when they had their first string QB at the helm, ranking 126th in passing and just 79th in rushing. The Falcons have a seasoned quarterback in Connor Bazelak, and a couple of strong rushers in the backfield. But is there defense that will shine here. They're one of the best in the nation in takeaways (16), only allow 23.5 points per game, and are equally strong against the pass as well as the rush. They will spend more time in the Minnesota backfield then the Minnesota players themselves (lol). Let's not forget this team comes in here red-hot, winning and covering five of their last six games. And they are not intimidated by their opponent. As the last time they faced one another, they beat the Golden Gophers, 14-10, just two years ago. Take Bowling Green. Thank you. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -121 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 44 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins on the moneyline. Game 472. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys, I think the Dallas Cowboys are a good team. However, there's a few things that really stand out in my mind about this team. For starters, it seems each time are asked to step up, they fall short. Their last three losses this season were against San Francisco, Philadelphia and Buffalo. Sure, they can be teams like the Jets, the Chargers, the Giants, and the Panthers. But each time they have to step up in class and face an NFL elite team, they fall short. Secondly, they might be 7-0 at home, but they are just 3-4 on the road this season straight up. They have failed to cover four of their last six on the road in 2023. And lastly, I really don't think Dak Prescott is a big game quarterback. While he'll put up statistics and numbers, etc., he folds like a cheap suit in big game situations. And this is a big game situation. The Dolphins are a monster team, the number one scoring offense in football, averaging over 31.5 points per game. They are equally good in the air as they are on the ground. And defensively I like the way they match up here. Yes, the Cowboys own the number two scoring offense in the league. However, they face a defense here that matches up well with them as Miami’s stop-unit ranks 10th against the pass and forth against the rush. The dolphins are 6-1 SU at home this season, going 5-2 ATS. Being at home in front of a friendly crowd, I feel the Dolphins are the play here. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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12-24-23 | Colts +2.5 v. Falcons | 10-29 | Loss | -100 | 41 h 47 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, I understand that Atlanta is playing at home. But I still think the wrong team is favored here. The Falcons have dropped five of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread, including the last two games coming into this matchup. Meanwhile the Colts have been much more consistent, winning and covering five of their last six games coming into this contest. Taylor Heinicke has been named starter here. I could just leave the analysis at that and I think we'd all know what we should do (LOL). But I'm not crazy about this kid. I don't like the way he calls a game, and I don't think he's a leader. At least not yet. I see the 1-2 punch of Minshew and Moss moving the chains offensively for Indianapolis and wearing down an already-fatigued Atlanta defense. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
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12-23-23 | Bengals -150 v. Steelers | 11-34 | Loss | -150 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals on the moneyline. Game 453. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. Very simply, the Bengals need wins. Yes, the Steelers need wins too. But I think we can all agree, Cincinnati is starting to run at the right time, winning and covering their last three outings, while Pittsburgh is ice-cold losing and failing to cover their last three contests. These two teams certainly know each other well and don't like each other. The Bengals have taken four of the last six both straight up and against the spread in the series and have revenge on their minds, because they did drop a November 26 meeting at home against the Steelers, 16-10. The Pittsburgh offense is non-existent. During their current three-game slide, they have accounted for an average of 13.6 points per game, while their defense has gotten blown up for 75 points during their skid. Good teams rise to the occasion. And Cincinnati is a good team. Take the Bengals on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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12-23-23 | James Madison -116 v. Air Force | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
James Madison Dukes on the MONEYLINE. Game 225. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm asking you to take this game on the money line only because I see the line ping-ponging around a bit, and I want make sure we don't get hooked somewhere. Personally, I have the line much higher than the oddsmakers. I feel the Dukes should be favored by at least a touchdown or more. Having said that, this is James Madison's first ever Bowl appearance. And trust me when I tell you, they've been waiting for this moment for years. I know the Sun Belt isn't recognized as one of the strongest conferences in college football. However, this team is 11-1 straight up this season, covering eight of their 12 games. My friends this is no fluke. If you go back five years, this team has accumulated an overall record of 52-9. That's pretty impressive. This season their only setback was at the hands of Appalachian State in a heartbreaking, three-point loss. If you look at some of their opponents, they beat some very good teams; Virginia, Troy, Utah State, South Alabama, Georgia Southern, Marshall, Georgia State, and Coastal Carolina. That's just a few of the good teams they took down. I know Air Force is known to have a phenomenal rushing attack. But this is a team, after starting the season 8-0, that has dropped their last four outings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back to the rushing attack, it is quite impressive. However, take into consideration James Madison ranks No. 1 in the nation against the rush. They have allowed a mere, 61.5 yards per game of the ground this season. And if you want to go on further and say the Falcons are better than some of their opponents this season on the ground, the Dukes had extra time to prepare for their ground game here. They also come in here allowing just 18.5 points per game, and snagging 13 takeaways. This is a problem for Air Force as they tend to turn the ball over quite a bit. The Falcons are also going to be in for a long day defensively, although they are good against the run, the Dukes are an amazing team on the ground, and balance it out with the 17th ranked passing attack in college football. Take James Madison here for sure. Thank you. |
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12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -120 | 45-22 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies on the moneyline. Game 228. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Despite both of these teams, being 6-6 this season, there are a lot of disparities. Georgia State plays in the Sunbelt, while Utah State plays in the Mountain West. You cannot compare the two conferences. As most teams in college football this time of year, both of these teams were affected by the opt outs and transfer portals. But the Aggies were only slightly bit, while the Panthers have taken a significant loss. Georgia State also enters this matchup losing five in a row straight up and four of those five against the spread. Utah State has won three of their last four straight up and split out those ATS. As I mentioned earlier, the Panthers took more of a loss in opt out than did the Aggies. On both sides of the ball, I see Utah State dominating. Offensively, they will steamroll the Georgia State defense with a very well-balanced offense averaging over 34.1 points per game and only committing six turnovers. This is a big mismatch. Take Utah State. Thank you. |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -3.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams. Game 452. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Despite both the Saints and the Rams possessing identical, 7-7 records, Los Angeles is in the seventh seed while New Orleans is in the ninth seed in the NFC. The Saints come off back-to-back wins and covers against the Panthers and the Giants. However, facing Bryce Young and Tommy DeVito are far cry from facing Matthew Stafford. Neither Carolina’s, Chuba Hubbard, or New York's, Saquon Barkley could do anything on the ground either. It's not because the New Orleans run defense is so good. It was because those running offenses are so bad. Tonight, they must face a very solid ground attack of Kyren Williams. Prior to their last two games, the Saints defense got thrashed for 27, 24, and 33 points against the likes of the Vikings, the Falcons, and the Lions. I expect them to get thrashed again this evening, facing the leagues ninth ranked-scoring offense. Speaking of Los Angeles, they enter this matchup winning four of their last five straight up, and their last four consecutive against the spread. This team is rolling. And they are rolling at the right time. They need victories to better their situation for a postseason opportunity. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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12-20-23 | North Carolina v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 81-69 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Oklahoma Sooners. Game 688. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Very simply, the Tar Heels have not looked good against strong opponents this season. While this is not a true home game for North Carolina, it is still being played in Charlotte, in front of some friendly fans. However, that does not negate the fact Oklahoma is 10-0 this season straight up covering eight of the 10 outings against the spread. They have looked very good against solid opponents at both ends of the court. Their average margin of victory this season has come by 23.1 points per game. There are equally strong offensively as well as defensively, and are far superior on the boards in this matchup. I really feel the only reason why Tar Heels are favored in this game is due to it being played in North Carolina. Take the Sooner. Thank you. |
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12-20-23 | Hawks v. Rockets -147 | Top | 134-127 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Houston Rockets on the ML. Game 544. 5:10 PM, PST/810 PM EST. I don't think there's a team in the NBA so far this season that has been more “Jekyll and Hyde” than the Houston Rockets. Outside of the Detroit Pistons, the Rockets own the poorest road record in the league. However, they own the best home record in the NBA as well. That's right, they are 11-1 at the Toyota Center this season. The last time they failed to cover a home game was in their home opener back on October 29. They come off back-to-back road losses and return home tonight in front of a friendly crowd to face an Atlanta Hawks opponent that has been less than stellar overall, at 11-15 straight up. Talk about pointspread poison…the Hawks have covered just one game since November 25, going 1-10 ATS. Granted they possess an explosive scoring offense. However, they are going up against the NBA's second-best scoring defense. As a matter fact, the Rockets rank in the top-five in every major defense category. On the offensive side of the ball I look for Houston to get an enormous amount of second-chance shots with a very strong, very big, rebounding core, ranking sixth in the NBA averaging over 45.5 rebounds per game on the offensive of glass. If Atlanta tries to shoot from the perimeter, they are once again going to be in trouble as Houston possesses the top three-point shooting defense in basketball. I think this line is off. Take the Rockets. Thank you. |
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12-19-23 | Virginia +3.5 v. Memphis | 54-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Virginia Cavaliers. Game 617. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Tonight's contest between Virginia and Memphis is going to certainly move one of the teams up and rankings, while dropping the other probably out of the top-25. The Cavaliers are 9-1, while the Tigers are 8-2. Both have faced solid opposition thus far in this short season. I think asking Memphis to face Virginia and their frustrating defense following consecutive games against Virginia Commonwealth, Texas A&M, and Clemson, is way too much to ask of the team. They have gotten to be running a bit ragged because all of those contests I just mentioned were very tight games. But none of those were against defenses as solid as they're facing here tonight. The Cavaliers are allowing just 53.3 points per game, while holding opponents to just 35.9% shooting. They're also one of the best in the country against the “3”. On the other hand. They are also pretty darn good at shooting the “3”. I know their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But your defense is so frustrating, I just feel Memphis is in way over their head here tonight. They can score points, but their accuracy from either the floor or beyond the arc isn’t anything to brag about. And if it gets physical, they are also not too good from the free-throw line. Take Virginia. Thank you. |
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12-18-23 | Wolves -121 v. Heat | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Minnesota Timberwolves on the ML. Game 507. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Minnesota possesses the best record in the Western Conference at 19-5. And yet they are coming into Miami to face a Heat opponent with a line opening at pick ‘em. With all respect to the Heat, they have been point spread poison, failing to cover four of their last five, and overall on the campaign, have covered just 11 of 26. Once again, Miami is being overvalued. Meanwhile, Minnesota enters tonight's matchup winning nine of their last 10 straight up and six of their last nine against the spread. They have been money on the road, covering four of their last five in the visitor role. These two teams have met only once this season as the T-Wolves downed the Heat at home, 106-90 back at the end of October. However, going back a bit, they have dominated this series taking eight of the last 10 SU, covering seven of those 10 meetings ATS. The Heat are the best three-point shooting team in the NBA right now. But not to worry my friends, because the Timberwolves rank second in three-point defense. But they do rank No. 1 in both points allowed and field goal percentage allowed. I just don't think the lackluster offense of Miami will succeed against this defense. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 56 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. Game 324. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Following their three-game straight up win streak, Los Angeles lost a heartbreaker last week on the road at Baltimore, however, extending their ATS cover run to three consecutive outings. The Rams sit at 6-7 and need wins right now. After this week’s matchup with the Commanders, they have a home game against the Saints, before finishing up the regular season on the road at the Giants, and then the 49ers. This is a team that certainly controls its own destiny. As far as Washington goes, they have now dropped four in a row straight up, and three straight against the spread. Possessing the NFL's worst defense in total yards, passing yards, and points allowed, it is evident that this game will be a nightmare. During their four-game slide, the commanders have allowed 29, 31, 45, and 45 points. Look for Matthew Stafford, who has accounted for 10 TD’s and just one INT over the last three games, to light up the leagues poorest secondary, while Kyren Williams keeps the Washington defense honest on the ground. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Falcons -2.5 v. Panthers | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta Falcons. Game 307. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The NFC South has three teams tied at 6-7 and one team bringing up the rear, at 1-12. With last week’s loss at home against Tampa Bay, Atlanta dropped from the number four seed in the NFC, all the way down to the number 10 seed. The Falcons need every victory they can get right now. And what better team to face than the Panthers. Carolina is only one of two teams in the NFL eliminated from any chance at postseason play. possess the worst record in all the football at 1-12. And as far as sportsbetting is concerned, they've only covered two games in 2023. Atlanta comes into this matchup a little angry and looking for a vengeance after letting their two-game win and cover streak come to an end a week ago. Surely, they are very confident here, knowing they took down Carolina back in early September, 24-10. I just don't see the Panthers, which rank 30th in the league in scoring, and during their current six-game slide has averaged a dismal, 11.6 points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. It's just might be Atlanta’s biggest offensive output this season. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Jets v. Dolphins -8.5 | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 41 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins. Game 320. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. If you looked at this game and did your due diligence, you will see the Dolphins are the play. Money came in on the Jets early then bounced back on the ‘Fins. In your research, you had to have checked the remaining regular season games for Miami. Following this contest, they have Dallas at home, Baltimore on the road, finishing the regular campaign up with Buffalo at home. That is a tough slate to end the season. This is a must win for the team and sincerely, the only real pushover for the Dolphins. The Jets have only won one game since November began and only covered one outing since mid-October. They won last week and got their “face-saving” victory behind them. Now New York comes back down to Earth. No way their laughable offense, which has posted 13 or less points in five of their last six outings, can match up with the angry, redemption-seeking, second-ranked scoring offense of Miami here. This game gets ugly. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech -3 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Texas Tech Red Raiders. Game 212. 6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST. It's been reported the Red Raiders are expected to be without better than a dozen players for this contest. Don't overthink this. The Golden Bears will also be without quite a few playmakers. I know Cal ended their campaign winning and covering three straight. But going up against Texas Tech, coming off a loss, their first loss in November, an embarrassing defeat at the hands of Texas, will prove to be fatal for California. The Red Raiders are riding a Bowl hot streak, earning back-to-back outright upset wins over the last two seasons, beating the Mississippi State Bulldogs as a 10.0-point underdog in 2021, and ‘Ole Miss as a 4.5-point underdog last season. While, Texas Tech on paper is going to be shorthanded, offensively, expected to play is quarterback, Behren Morton, and running back, Tahj Brooks. Morton had a 61.8% completion rate, passing for 1,498 yards, with 12 TD’s and just seven INT’s, while Brooks tallied over 1,447 yards rushing and nine scores. There's also a significant advantage in turnovers, both offensively and defensively for the Red Raiders. Take Texas Tech. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | Broncos +5 v. Lions | 17-42 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Denver Broncos. Game 311. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My numbers have the line here closer to 1.0 or maybe 1.5. Detroit, which was one of the most exciting stories this season, has dropped two of their last three straight up, and three of the last four against the spread (which includes their last two games played at home). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid for a while. But it seems every time the Lions are asked to step up or play big, they fall short. Denver is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning six of their last seven straight up, and covering five of those seven outings against the spread. Since mid-October, their stop-unit has been one of the toughest in football. Coincidentally, when their defense stepped up, so did their offense. Looking at the history between these two squads, the Broncos have dominated, winning and covering the last three meetings going back eight seasons. With each of these teams completing the regular season on January 7, after this week, the Broncos certainly have a smoother ride, playing at home against the Patriots and Chargers before going on the road to face the Raiders. However, the Lions path is a lot tougher. After this week, they play visitor to both the Vikings and the Cowboys, before finishing the regular season at home once again against their division rival, Minnesota. The statistics are obvious. Detroit should have success on the ground against the NFL’s poorest run defense. However, that is a ranking that comes from the regular season, overall. And to say the Broncos "D" has significantly improved, would be an understatement. Look for quarterback, Russell Wilson to put up some of his best numbers so far in 2023. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | New Mexico State -3.5 v. Fresno State | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
New Mexico State Aggies. Game 207. 2:45 P PST/5:45 PM EST. Both teams here will be missing some key players due to the usual opt outs this time of year. However, it looks like the Bulldogs have been hit a little bit harder with this issue than the Aggies. Following an eight-game win and cover streak, New Mexico State took a loss against Liberty on December 1. I expect this team to bounce back with a vengeance and earn a big Bowl victory here. This is a team that can put up points on just about any opponent, with a well-balanced offense. But it will be their ground game, which ranks 12th in the nation that will absolutely devour the 98th ranked rush defense of Fresno State. We are all well aware the Aggies secondary is vulnerable. I doubt this will be a problem, as the Bulldogs are having serious concerns at the quarterback position. Fresno State has also crushed bettors, covering just one of their last eight contests. Take New Mexico State. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | Temple +9.5 v. VCU | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Temple Owls. Game 617. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Temple took last season’s matchup with VCU at home, 83-73. They enter this contest winning their last two games straight up. And winning and covering both road games this season. They've already stepped up in class and beat the likes of Drexel outright, a tough LaSalle foe, while covering but not getting the win against Mississippi with a heartbreaking, one-point loss. Meanwhile, the Rams have already taken outright losses against the McNeese State Cowboys and the Norfolk State Spartans. This certainly raises a red flag for me, my friends. Giving the Owls this many points is a huge mistake. Take Temple. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | Baylor -155 v. Michigan State | 64-88 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Game 625. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST The sixth-ranked Baylor Bears are a perfect, 9-0 this season and come into this matchup, well-rested, following an 11-day break from competition due to final exams. But this is a very smart, well-coached team. S Io have no worries about cobwebs or rust. They will come in here confident, knowing they have dominated every opponent they have faced this season. They have covered all one outing. And have already taken down such notables as Auburn and Florida. I know the Michigan State Spartans are college basketball royalty. However, they are a mess. They are just 4-5 straight up and have only covered three outings this season. They come into today's contest, losing and failing to cover their last two games against Wisconsin and Nebraska. Take note, they were favorites in both, and took beatings in both as well. The Bears are hitting over 52% from the field, 43% from downtown, and are accounting for over 91.1 points per game, while dominating the glass at both ends of the court. The Spartans don't stand a chance. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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12-14-23 | Nets +10 v. Nuggets | 101-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Brooklyn Nets. Game 525. 6:10 PM, PST/910 PM EST. With all respect to the defending world champion, Denver Nuggets, they are not the same team they were a season ago. At least not yet. Right now, they sit in fourth place in the West at 16-9. This is a respectful record. But I think we can all agree they are just not in sync. Something isn’t clicking on the Nuggets, and it is showing. Yes, they are a good team. But they are not good enough to lay double-digits against just about any opponent in the NBA, especially the surging, Brooklyn Nets. The Nets have won seven of their last 10 straight up and eight of their last 10 against the spread. They are playing superb basketball. They have covered three of their last four as a visitor, and have given the Nuggets all they can handle in recent matchups. At both ends of the court, they are playing so0lid basketball. They are the best team in the NBA on the offensive glass. So, second-chance shots are huge here. And there is a big mismatch between their third ranked three-point shooting offense, and the Nuggets 14th ranked three-point defense. Giving Brooklyn this many points as an early Christmas present. Take the Nets. Thank you. |
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12-13-23 | Lakers -130 v. Spurs | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Lakers on the moneyline. Game 511. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Lakers achieved a goal they wanted in winning the in-season tournament. Then in their first game back in regular season play on the road last night, they lost 127-125 at the hands of the Dallas Mavericks. Losing doesn't sit well with LeBron James and company, that's for sure. What better team to face to get back on the winning track than the San Antonio Spurs. Los Angeles has won and covered the last four meetings in this rivalry going back to November of 2022. Not only that, but it is well publicized San Antonio is riding a 17-game SU losing streak. During their current slide, they have only covered five contests. The Lakers have turned it up on both ends of the court as their offense is scoring points, and their defense has become quite frustrating. I see them really lighting up the Spurs here and taking out a bit of frustration carried over from last night’s defeat. Take Los Angeles on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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12-13-23 | Arkansas State v. Louisville -3.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Louisville Cardinals. Game 634. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Last year was head coach. Kenny Payne's first season at the helm for the Louisville Cardinals. And to say it was a disastrous season would be an understatement. The team went 4-28. Now, I'm not saying this team is going to compete for the conference title. But one more victory and they surpassed last season's win total. This is a very big, very emotional game for this team. Arkansas State is less than a formidable opponent, for sure. They are winless on the road and an overall 3-7. They have played three power conference squads already, and got outscored by a total of 67 points at the hands of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Alabama, all resulting in losses. Although Louisville is not as strong as those teams, they are still a step up in class here. I expect the Red Wolves to fold like a cheap suit. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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12-12-23 | California Baptist v. Oregon -11.5 | 55-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 620. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Following back-to-back straight up losses to USC and Alabama, Oregon is now back on track winning and covering their last few games against Michigan and UTEP. As a matter of fact, the team is 5-3 ATS this season already. At home. They are perfect at 4-0 and what better team to face to continue their win streak than Cal Baptist. With all respect to the Lancers, they don't pose too much of a threat here tonight against the Ducks. This is a team that's already suffered losses at the hands of the Portland State Vikings and the Utah Tech Trailblazers. I know several of the Oregon big 0names have been sidelined. But this team is stacked deeper and higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast establishment. Granted, California Baptist possesses a statistically solid defense. But they haven't played any decent opponents yet, let alone the caliber offense that accounts for over 80.8 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the line and 37.6 shooting from beyond the arc. Take the Ducks. Thank you. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -115 | 133 h 49 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Game 127. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, there is no question that these are two of the best teams in football. They just happen to both be NFC representatives. And also, both share the NFC East division. This game has serious implications down the road, for sure. The Philadelphia Eagles own an NFL-best, 10-2 record. The Dallas Cowboys are at 9-3. There are only two other teams in the NFC at 9-3, the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. As far as us sports bettors go, Philadelphia is 6-3-3 ATS this season, while Dallas is 8-4 overall against the number on the campaign. The Eagles are money on the road, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. But it's hard to ignore the fact the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 straight up at AT&T Stadium this season, covering five of their six games played as host. But even more than that, Dallas is riding a 14-game straight up home winning streak, which happens to be the second-longest in franchise history. Philly took a November 5 meeting at home over Dallas, 28-23 to give the team two wins and covers over the last three meetings with their division rival. The Eagles, who got caught, looking in a mid-October contest on the road at the New York Jets, just suffered their most embarrassing defeat in quite a while, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on national TV. This isn't a team that takes losing lightly, sports fans. I expect them to bounce back here and make a statement against a team they know very well. Not only that, this victory would certainly give them control over the Division. Remember, this is a team chock full of talent on both sides of the ball. Put a pin in that we're gonna’ come back around to it in a moment. They have manhandled just about every opponent they have faced this season, including some of the NFL elite (Miami, Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo). As far as Dallas goes, they have been one of the most exciting teams in the 2023 regular season. They're currently riding a four-game SU hot streak, covering three of the four. However, I've got to tell you, a lot of their wins have been against subpar opponents. Looking at their schedule thus far, they beat all the teams they should've beaten. But a late-September road loss at the hands of Arizona, throws up a red flag to me. And they did get embarrassed a few weeks later on the road at San Francisco. Other than the 49ers and the Eagles (games they both lost), they haven't faced too many of the Leagues powerhouse opponents. During their current hot run, they took down the New York Giants, the Carolina Panthers, and the Washington Commanders (a combined record of 9-28) before last week’s, 41-35 squeaker over the Seattle Seahawks. As far as injuries, both teams are relatively healthy at major positions as of this post. Both quarterbacks are seasoned, both possessing the luxury of an arsenal of receivers, and both running backs are outstanding. Statistically, the Cowboys own better numbers, both offensively and defensively. And on paper, they look like the better team. However, I think we can all agree that football is not played on paper. It is played on the gridiron. The Cowboys have an explosive passing attack and can exploit the sometimes, leaky Eagles secondary. However, Dallas’ offensive success relies upon their ability to run the ball to open up the passing game. And they're going to have a lot of problems here, moving the chains on the ground against the NFL’s stout, fourth-ranked rush defense. And at times on defense, the Cowboys stop-unit struggles come the second half against solid ground attacks. And the Eagles certainly have a solid ground attack. They rank eighth in the League, averaging over 126.0 yards per game on the ground. A combination of the Cowboys not facing a high-level of opponents this season along with the Eagles needing to bounce back and make a statement after last week’s loss, and throw in the fact, I just don't like Dak Prescott in big game situations, compels me to take the points here. Jalen Hurts has proven he can succeed in must-win games, while Prescott has not. Speaking of the points, the +3.5 is huge here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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12-10-23 | Lions -3 v. Bears | 13-28 | Loss | -120 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 109. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit is tied for the second-best record in the NFC at 9-3. They have won five of six road games this season straight up, and are 6-2 SU in conference play. As far as the NFC North goes, they are 2-1 SU against Division opponents this season. As far as covering on the road, they have gotten sports bettors paid, going 5-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. They have taken the last three meetings against Chicago SU, going 2-1 ATS. I am well aware the Bears are rested, coming off a bye week. But I think we can all agree they really aren't too much of a team. With all respect to Chicago fans, this team is downright atrocious. And my friends, they've only covered one game at Soldier Field this season. Things have changed for sure for them as they have no more home field advantage. Granted, they do lead the NFL against the rush, defensively. Looking at their schedule, you will see the defensive numbers are skewed, having not lined up against too many solid running attacks. Detroit ranks third in the NFL in rushing, averaging over 137.7 yards per game on the ground. The ground assault will keep the Bears defense honest, and open up their passing game, which ranks fourth in the football. That is the mismatch that really caught my eye here. Because Chicago is one of the worst defensive teams against the pass in the League, ranking 25th. They have given up a ton of yards in the air to every decent quarterback they have faced. I see the 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jared Goff, and running back, David Montgomery, putting up their best numbers of this regular season here. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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12-09-23 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. Washington | 73-78 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Game 743 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The No. 7 Bulldogs have dominated the Huskies, winning seven consecutive meetings straight up, going back quite a while. This contest will be the seventh matchup just over the last eight years for the two West Coast squads. Gonzaga, has gotten the bettors paid, covering all but one. Since suffering their lone defeat back on November 20, at the hands of Purdue, the Zags seem to be on a mission, riding a five-game straight up hot streak, taking down such notables as Syracuse, UCLA, and USC. Washington is struggling, with three losses already. It is obvious the Huskies beat the beatable opponents, while get beat up by the solid ones. Granted, losing to Nevada, San Diego State, and Colorado State isn’t something to be ashamed of, but they seem to fold when facing strong competition. And folks, Gonzaga is just about as strong as it gets (LOL). No matter how you look at it, the Bulldogs are far superior here. Take Gonzaga. Thank you. |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy +3 | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 31 m | Show | |
Navy Midshipmen. Game 104. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. We all know these teams know each other very, very, well. For many years, Navy dominated this rivalry. Then in 2016, Army began their first of three consecutive wins in this historic rivalry. However, over the last four years, they have alternated wins, both straight up and against the spread. If you recall, a season ago, the Black Knights bested the Midshipmen, 20-17 in overtime. Now that's not enough reason for me to side with Navy here. But it certainly peaked my curiosity. Both teams are known as rushing powerhouses. However, this season both tried to open up their passing games with a little more success than they have had in previous years. There are a few key items that prompt me to take the Midshipmen here. For starters, they are much stronger against the rush than their counterpart. As a matter of fact, they rank 30th nationally against the run, yielding just 121.9 yards per game on the ground. Army allows 178.4 yards per game on the ground, ranking 114th. Turnovers are big, especially in matchups like this. And there is no question that the Midshipmen are better on both sides of the ball in that category. Army turned the ball over 11 times on offense, while their defense has only snagged eight takeaways. Meanwhile, Navy has just seven offensive turnovers, while their defensive unit snagged 10 takeaways. Also, on defense, although they both allow about the same amount of points, the Midshipmen have blanked three opponents this season. At times yes, it is true, they have allowed several solid opponents to put up numbers on them. But those three shutouts really mean a lot coming into this matchup, in my opinion. Outside of an early- season contest against Delaware State, Army has allowed every single opponent to score on them. Going back to the revenge factor, the last dozen meetings in this series, the avenger is 10-2 ATS. Take Navy. Thank you. |
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12-07-23 | Pelicans v. Lakers -125 | 89-133 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Lakers on the moneyline. Game 504. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. This is very interesting matchup that definitely favors Los Angeles, my friends. For starters, the Lakers know, are very familiar with, and are very comfortable playing just a short trip away from their hometown in Las Vegas. They also have a huge fan base here. And I expect a lot of purple and gold in the stands for this contest. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. However, a season ago, Los Angeles took two of three matchups with New Orleans, both straight up and against the spread, which includes the two most recent. Both teams are winning and covering. However, on this platform in Las Vegas, and just one win away from the in-season tournament final, I see King James and company coming out victorious. Please remember that this is the first time the in-season tournament has ever taken place. While LeBron James is a 19-time All-Star, with four regular season MVP’s, four championship rings, and is the all-time leading scorer in the history of the league, this would be another feather in his illustrious cap. Take Los Angeles on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -160 v. Eagles | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 467. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Without question, these are certainly two of the best teams in football. This game will also have some serious implications down the road. Having said all that, we all know that San Francisco is 8-3, while Philadelphia is an NFL-best, 10-1. But there's a few items I would like you to remember. For starters, the last time these two face one another was in late-January, a season ago when the Eagles ousted the 49ers, and then went on to the Super Bowl. San Francisco has had this game circled since the schedule came out. Not only are they a smart, well-coached team, but they are perhaps the most-complete team in the NFL on both sides of the ball. Their offense is clicking on all cylinders, ranking at top-10 in every major category. And their defense is the best in football. I don't think the matchup favors the Eagles here at all. I'm not looking to take away anything from their success. They've earned all of it. But their defense at times, has shown flaws. And I believe those flaws will be exploited here in this matchup. I know they're one of the best in football against the rush. But they rank 29th against the pass. Going back to the 49ers stop-unit, it is the best “D” Philly has faced this season. The Eagles rely upon their ability to move the ball on the ground, thus opening up the passing game. However, this is the second-best run defense in the League. And I think they're going to get very frustrated here and add to their 16 offensive turnovers. One more item I would like you to keep in mind; the next few opponents for San Francisco are definitely beatable. However, coming on deck for the Eagles is the Cowboys on the road. They might be caught in a little bit of a lookahead situation as well. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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12-03-23 | Lions -4 v. Saints | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 453. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Detroit Lions have a nice cushion in the NFC North and are currently tied for the third seed in the NFC at 8-3. They come off a disappointing, Thanksgiving Day loss at home against the Green Bay Packers. The first time they dropped the game this season in mid-September, they followed it up with four consecutive wins and covers. They lost their next game in late-October, following that defeat up with three consecutive straight up wins, going 2-1 ATS. This is a team that bounces back very well. They are also 4-1, both straight up and against the spread as a visitor in 2023. Meanwhile, New Orleans is just 5-6 overall on the season, covering just two games on the campaign. At home, they split out at 2-2 straight up, failing to cover all four on their home field. They are riding a two-game straight up losing streak, failing to cover their last three outings. On both sides of the ball, the Lions outclass the Saints. They own a top-10 offense, averaging over 26.7 points per game. And what better team to face to change things around for their leaky defense. The Saints offense is mediocre at best. They are in for a very frustrating day here. Defensively, they can't stop the rush at all, which is not good in this matchup. I just look for the Lions, which are a well-coached, talented team to bounce back here and get back on track and start getting some victories to close out the season. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville v. Florida State -118 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles on the moneyline. Game 322. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Louisville Cardinals, they are not perfect. Do you know who is perfect? The Florida State Seminoles are at 12-0 this season. I know they lost starting quarterback, Jordan Travis. But they have an able back up that has played in seven games this season, throwing for 510 yards, five touchdowns, and zero interceptions, in Tate Rodemaker. This is a team that runs the ball with great success and has one of the best defenses in the country. That's right, they own the nation’s 11th ranked stop-unit, yielding just 16.8 points per game, equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. I know the Cardinals are a good team. But the Seminoles and their dual-threat offense can pound the ball on the ground to open up the passing game, while they are defense certainly contain the Louisville offense. By the way, the Cardinals have only covered one road game this season. And this is certainly one of the most-complete teams they have had to face in 2023. Take FSU on the moneyline just to err the side of question. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Santa Clara -140 v. California | 69-84 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Santa Clara on the moneyline. Game 681. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I understand that Santa Clara plays in the West Coast Conference, while California plays in the PAC 12. But there is no universe in our solar system that the Broncos shouldn't be favored by several baskets over the Golden Bears here. For starters, Santa Clara is 7-11 straight up, taking down such notables as Stanford and Oregon. This is a good team, my friends. Meanwhile, despite covering three in a row, Cal has dropped four straight outings, mostly against teams they should've beaten. Granted, they come off a loss on the road at San Diego State. But prior to that, they took losses against Montana State, UTEP, and Tulane. They've also lost this season against Pacific and eked out a narrow victory over Saint Thomas. The Broncos have a lot to prove. And getting a big victory here over a Pac12 opponent, would certainly get them going on their way to achieve their goal. They have a very good outside shooting team, are excellent on the offensive boards, and are pretty frustrating on the defensive side of the court as well. Take Santa Clara on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 318. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Georgia Bulldogs, Nick Saban doesn't lose too many big games. Not only that, but as far as us sports bettors are concerned, the Alabama Crimson Tide has covered eight of their 12 outings this season, while their opponent has only covered five of their 12 contests in 2023. Quarterback Jalen Milroe has matured this season, better than just about any other player in college football. He proved he can lead, he can win, and he can win in big games. The situation is very simple, Alabama beats Georgia and they could jump into the four-team College Football Playoff. The early season loss to Texas stunned many people, including the Tide themselves. But they went on a 10-game straight up winning streak, covering seven of the 10. And last weeks late comeback victory on the road at the Tigers showed me exactly what Milroe and the Alabama team are made of. I think the line in this matchup should be a lot closer to two or maybe even a field goal. But no higher than that. And that's only because Georgia is undefeated this season. I'm not sold on Kirby Smart in big game situations. This is the most complete team the Bulldogs have gone up against this season. It is a big step up in class for them. and I think they're going to come in here overconfident and underestimating their opponent. Take the points and Roll Tide! Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Boise State v. UNLV +2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
UNLV Rebels. Game 314. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. While three teams were tied at 6-2 for the best Conference record, the team with the most wins overall in the MWC was the UNLV Rebels at 9-3. Not only that, but they were monster moneymakers for sports bettor’s, covering 10 of 12 contests this season. While Boise State is a good team, there were just 7-5 overall on the season and covered just six of their 12 games on the campaign. By the way, they only covered one of their five away games in 2023. The Rebels possess quite a few of the Conference’s best players for sure. And believe it or not, they own the nation’s 19th ranked scoring offense, averaging over 35.5 points per game. They're offense makes very few mistakes, while their defense snagged 13 takeaways. Not to take anything away from the Broncos, but I feel quarterback, Jayden Maiava is going to have his best performance of the season going up against the 117th ranked pass defense in college football. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Take UNLV. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Memphis v. Ole Miss | 77-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Memphis on the moneyline. Game 619. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Memphis has some very high expectations this season, led by Coach, Penny Hardaway. The team is already taken down such notables as Missouri, Michigan, and Arkansas. But come off their first loss of the campaign over a week ago at the hands of Villanova. I expect them to rebound here and come back and make a statement against Mississippi. Granted, the Rebels are undefeated at 6-0 straight up. But they are just 1-5 against the spread so far, and they really haven't faced the cream of the crop. This is a big step up in class for them. And I don't see them coming out of it with a victory. The Tigers have height, speed, depth, and some serious rebounders. Take Memphis on the money line. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Toledo | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks. Game 311. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. The line here is a little skewed, because the RedHawks are without their starting quarterback, Brett Gabbert. But backup QB, Aveon Smith has filled in quite nicely in his absence, winning all four of his starts since Gabbert went down. My friends, this offense does not revolve around the passing game. They are a ground and pound attack that wears down defenses. Speaking of defense, Miami (Ohio) possesses the nation’s eighth-ranked stop-unit, yielding just 16.3 points per game. While the Toledo Rockets have a pretty solid offensive unit, the matchups heavily favor their opponent here in this contest. The Rockets do not have the same type of defense. Although they are good, they have sprung some leaks lately yielding quite a few points to some less than stellar offenses. By the way, the RedHawks have also covered nine of their 12 outings this season. Take Miami (Ohio). Thank you. |
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12-01-23 | Purdue -5 v. Northwestern | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Purdue Boilermakers. Game 875. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. And right now, the No. 1 team in the nation, the Purdue Boilermakers have had this game circled since the schedule came out. If you recall a season ago, the Northwestern Wildcats took them down, 64-58. Last season, Purdue went 15-5 straight up in Big Ten play to win the Conference regular season title. They then followed that up by winning the Big Ten Tournament. But that loss against Northwestern will motivate them here tonight, not just to win, but to win big. They were ranked No. 1 last season when they did take the loss to the Wildcats. The Boilermakers are a monster team, with arguably the best player in the country, owning an explosive offense, and a frustrating defense. They have already taken down such notables as Gonzaga, Tennessee, and Marquette. They have done quite well so far possessing an unblemished 7-0 record straight up, while going 6-1 against the spread. While Northwestern is a formable opponent, they just don't have the personnel to stack up here. They enter this match 5-1 SU, but just 2-4 ATS. And to be honest with you, they haven't faced anyone near the caliber of opponent as they're facing here tonight. The boilermakers get their revenge. Thank you. |
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11-30-23 | Texas State v. Texas -19 | 58-77 | Push | 0 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas Longhorns. Game 756. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Following their only loss of the season at the hands of defending National Champion, UConn Huskies, the Texas Longhorns, crushed the Wyoming Cowboys, 86-63 at home. They continue to stay at the Moody Center where they are perfect this season at 4-0 SU. I think that loss at the hands of the Huskies motivated this team to keep their foot on the gas. After this matchup, they have a pushover opponent in Houston Christian before playing a neutral site game against LSU. So, this is their final last few games to get in sync and work out any kinks. What better opponent to face than the Texas State Bobcats. They have taken the last 12 meetings in this series. Just going back, the last 10, they have one by an average margin of 24.9 points per game. They seem to take a lot of enjoyment in beating up on their in-state rival. Lol. Outside of the Sooners, which they were annihilated, 93-54, the Bobcats haven't faced any teams of the caliber as they are facing here tonight. Let's face it, the Longhorns average over 82.0 points per game, while allowing just 67.2 points per game. They hit over 51.4% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, while making over 72.2% of their free throws. They're also monsters on the boards. None of these matchups will benefit the visitor here. Take the home team Texas. Thank you. |
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11-29-23 | Clippers v. Kings +2 | 131-117 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Sacramento Kings. Game 570. 7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST. This line might be a bit skewed here, due to the fact that Kings played last night in a barnburner, eking out a one-point victory over the Warriors at home. But let's face it, this team is playing some great basketball. They have won eight of their last 10 straight up, riding a momentum wave for sure. On the other hand, the Clippers are certainly struggling. They were highly touted this season. Meanwhile, they are just 7-9 straight up. And as far as covering your spread goes, they are atrocious, going 6-10 ATS. They struggle went on the road as well where they are just 2-6 straight up away from home. And by the way, overall, just 2-6 ATS their last eight in the role of a favorite. Many out there might think they're in for a bounce back situation here tonight after getting embarrassed a few nights ago at home against the Denver Nuggets. I don't see it. This team is not built to bounce back the way they are currently struggling. I just don't see them keeping pace offensively on the scoreboard in this matchup. Take Sacramento. Thank you. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens -3 v. Chargers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. Game 271. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. With the Miami Dolphins victory the other night, prior to this Sunday's contest, the Baltimore Ravens share the AFC’s top-spot with them at 8-3. They have an opportunity to take sole possession of the top-seed in the Conference with a victory here. They had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this meeting. After this game, they will be idle with a bye week prior to a December 10 home game against the Rams. This team is running hot, winning five of their last six games straight up, covering four of those six. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Chargers dwell in the AFC West cellar, at 4-6, and own the Conferences 13th spot. They have lost and failed to cover their last two outings, while only covering one of five home games in the 2023 regular season. The Chargers offense certainly can be dangerous. However, running into the NFL's second-ranked defense is going to be a problem. That's right, the Ravens allow a mere, 16.1 points per game, ranking 30th against the pass and 13th against the run. But I think it will be on the other side of the line of scrimmage that will prove to be fatal for Los Angeles. They ranked 31st in total yards allowed, 32nd in passing yards allowed, and 25th in total points allowed defensively. Dual-threat quarterback, Lamar Jackson will light up the scoreboard, both on the ground, and in the air here. If you recall, he heads up the NFL’s top-ranked rushing offense, while sitting at fourth in the League in points scored, accounting for over 27.6 points per game. Justin Herbert was listed as questionable with a left finger injury. Guys, I expect him to play (check status). But the point is moot, as he must lineup against one of the toughest defenses in the NFL, particularly against the pass. Oh, by the way, the Baltimore stop-unit is by far and away the best in pro football at sacking the quarterback, leading all teams with 44.0 sacks. This game gets ugly. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers -125 v. Bengals | Top | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers om the moneyline. Game 259. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Pittsburgh has a chance to better themselves in the Division, while putting some distance between them and the disappointing, AFC North’s last-place squad, the Cincinnati team. They have done well when facing Division opponents this season, going 2-1 SU, while the Bengals have failed to win any meetings against AFC North opponents thus far in the 2023 regular season. The Bengals have had a few extra days to rest and prepare. But it won't matter. There is certainly a fire under the Steelers backsides, as this week, head coach, Mike Tomlin fired offensive coordinator, Matt Canada, and replaced him with Eddie Faulkner. Quarterback, Kenny Pickett will be at the helm, with the luxury of Najee Harris, heading up the ground attack. Say what you want about Pittsburgh’s statistics, but you can't argue with the 60.5% completion rate for the QB, or the fact he heads an offense that ranks second in the league, committing just eight turnovers. This will be the game that Pickett will put up his best numbers, facing the League’s, 27th ranked pass defense. But it won't stop there as the ground game will be very successful lining up against the NFL’s 30th ranked rushing defense. We all know Jake Browning will be the starter for the Bengals. He took his first significant snaps more than a week ago in a loss on the road at Baltimore. Despite having a solid workhorse in the backfield in Joe Mixon, the offense ranks 30th in the League on the ground. Without a solid, rushing attack, the Cincinnati offense is in real trouble here. Pittsburgh will exact a bit of revenge as they have lost and failed to cover four of the last five meetings in this heated rivalry. I know the Steelers are on the road and laying a small number here. I believe they will dominate this contest. But just to err on the side of caution, take the Steelers on the money line. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Kansas -6 v. Cincinnati | 49-16 | Win | 100 | 55 h 4 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 145. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Kansas, despite being Bowl-eligible had higher expectations than a 4-4 Conference record this season. They are a respectable, 7-4 overall. And they have covered six of their 11 outings this season. However, two losses in a row over the last two contests compels this team to bounce back here against the Conferences poorest representative. That's right, the Cincinnati Bearcats are 1-7 in Big 12 play this season, and tan overall, 3-8. To make matters worse for the team, they have absolutely crushed any supporters, going just 2-7 ATS their last nine outings. Their defense has gotten steamrolled. The matchup here heavily favors the visitor, for sure. Kansas averages over 32.2 points per game with one of the most dominating rushing attacks in the nation. They are just as good in the air, too. This does not bode well as I see Cincinnati experiencing the same issues they have experienced all season long against Conference opponents…and that is getting steamrolled on defense. The Jayhawks seriously wants to earn eight victories this season and this is the opponent to accomplish their goal. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Florida State -6.5 v. Florida | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 54 h 22 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles. Game 153. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friend, the money this week has been coming in on Florida. I understand why. They are at home, and Florida State has quarterback issues. However, so does Florida. Having said that I want you to know that the Seminoles need this win badly. They are one of only five undefeated teams in college football right now and they round out the top-five as a number five team in the country. They need to keep their foot on the gas here. Georgia is going to have a tough time coming up with Alabama in the SEC Title game next week, Ohio State and Michigan square off on Saturday and Washington has a tough game as well. They have a chance to sneak into the top-four, for sure. Having said that, I'll tell you why I like FSU so much. It's not just because they are perfect 11-0. I understand the quarterback issue is a major issue. However, this team possesses a solid ground attack, and one of the best defenses in the country. Those two reasons alone make me side with them here. However, they also do have an arsenal of receivers for their backup quarterback to connect with. Let's face it, the gators are horrible. They started off the season good enough. But over the last month have lost four in a row, failing to cover three of the four. They have also failed to cover three of their last four on their own field. They have their own quarterback problems. But they don't have a solid ground attack or a smart backup like their counterpart does. And their offense makes a lot more mistakes while their defense is mediocre at best. The Seminoles keep their foot in the gas and run the score up to make a point to the pollsters. Take Florida State. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -13 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 213. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The only way Alabama will stay in the College Football Playoff hunt is with an annihilation of Auburn this Saturday. You may not realize this, but since their September 9 surprise loss at home against Texas, this team has rattled off nine consecutive straight up victories, going 7-2 ATS. They have gone out of their way to crush every Conference opponent they have gone up against. Let's face it, they have had Auburns number. This is a team that has taken seven of the last nine meetings in this Conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those nine against the spread. This does include three consecutive wins, by an average of 17.6 PPG. The Tigers, at 6-5 are Bowl-eligible and really don't need to keep their foot on the gas here at all. They just want to get away with their lives. The Crimson tide quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured very nicely this season. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal and a solid ground attack as well. He has not made many mistakes at all this season. Thus, why the “O” ranks 16th in scoring, averaging over 36.5 points per game. But it has been their defense that has been solid and stellar all season long, ranking 14th in the nation, allowing a mere 17.4 points per game. If Auburn has a weakness, and trust me, they have more than one weakness, it is going up against aggressive defenses. They don't have a passing game. They solely rely on their ground game. So, Alabama can and will key on this. And I promise you, their linebackers will spend more time in the Auburn backfield, and the Auburn players themselves. The Crimson Tide as I mentioned earlier doesn't just need a win, they need a big win. They will get it. Take Alabama. Thank you. |