Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-21-17 | Michigan v. Penn State -9 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 101 h 46 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #356 Take Penn State Nittany Lions over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 7:30 pm ABC) Penn State got embarrassed last year at Michigan but they have not lost a regular season game since then. They are loaded and Michigan is still searching for answers especially on the offensive side of the football. The Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games as a favorite. Michigan still has a solid defense but this will be the best offense they have faced this season. I also believe that Coach Franklin will want to run up the score if given a chance in this game to make a statement. Michigan is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Penn State is 13-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 16 games overall. |
|||||||
10-21-17 | Idaho v. Missouri -15 | 21-68 | Win | 100 | 93 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #374 Take Missouri Tigers over Idaho Vandals (Saturday 12 pm SEC Network) Missouri has played much better the last two weeks with their offense finally getting it together and I believe they will outscore their way to a 20+ point victory in this game. Idaho led 20-0 last week against Appalachian State before giving up 23 unanswered points in a loss. Idaho is just 1-10 ATS vs Power 5 teams and Missouri tends to blowout Group of Five teams. Idaho is just coming for a check and I do not expect them to put up much of a fight. |
|||||||
10-20-17 | Air Force v. Nevada +6 | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #312 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Air Force Falcons (Friday 9:30 pm CBSSN) Nevada has put together back-to-back impressive performances in their last two weeks and I look for them to carry that over into their homecoming game on Friday night. Air Force is playing their third road game in the last four weeks and will struggle to defend the Air Raid offense of Nevada. The Pack have struggled to stop the triple option in the past but this is a new defensive scheme and I just do not see them getting run off the field at home. Air Force is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. This should be a field goal spread and getting this many points is too good to pass up. |
|||||||
10-15-17 | Bucs v. Cardinals +2.5 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 121 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #268 Take Arizona Cardinals over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) We have been very successful all season long picking teams that looked bad the previous week and we will again use that format. Arizona did not come to play last week at Philadelphia but they still have some talent on both sides of the football. Arizona blasted Tampa Bay last season by a score of 40-7 and this is a game they need in the worst way to keep their slim chances of a playoff spot alive. Arizona has yet to cover a spread this season but I feel the odds makers have over adjusted the spread in this game. Arizona should be favored since and homefield will give them a big edge in this game. |
|||||||
10-15-17 | Browns +11 v. Texans | 17-33 | Loss | -135 | 118 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #251 Take Cleveland Browns over Houston Texans (Sunday 1 pm CBS) This was supposed to be a battle of rookie quarterbacks with the same first name (different spelling) but Cleveland benched DeShone Kizer. I feel that will help the Browns on offense playing a team that suffered major injuries on defense. Houston put up a lot of points last week against Kansas City but they were never really in that game and most of those stats and points came in garbage time. Just feel Cleveland will be somewhat competitive and keep it as a one score game. Houston tends to play to their level of competition and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
10-14-17 | UCLA v. Arizona +1.5 | 30-47 | Win | 100 | 102 h 7 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #178 Take Arizona Wildcats over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 9 pm PAC-12 Network) Rich Rod deserves credit for turning around the Wildcats this season and likely saving his job. The same cannot be said for Jim Mora, as he has yet to elevate the Bruins to one of the top teams in the league. UCLA has owned this season of late but this is the final stretch over the last month of playing three road games. UCLA struggles to stop the run and that is what Arizona does best. UCLA is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. |
|||||||
10-14-17 | Northern Illinois -4 v. Buffalo | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #127 Take Northern Illinois Huskies over Buffalo Bulls (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN 3) Just do not know how much the Bulls have left in the tank after a marathon 7 overtime loss against Western Michigan last Saturday. They have a coach that appears in over his head and NIU has owned this series going 9-0 in the last 9 meetings winning by an average margin of 29 points per game (7-2 ATS). The Huskies have played a brutal schedule thus far and should find it easier to move the football against the Bulls. Northern Illinois is 33-15 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 51 road games. |
|||||||
10-14-17 | Connecticut v. Temple -9.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -120 | 93 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #130 Take Temple Owls over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 12 pm ESPNN) No play against UCONN is a bad play as they have been getting bombed on the road and today should be no different. The Owls played their best game of the season last week against East Carolina and they should win this game big as well. Temple is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. UCONN is 8-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games as an away underdog. Connecticut struggles in pass defense and I just do not believe they will be able to keep pace in this game. |
|||||||
10-08-17 | Ravens +2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 121 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #469 Take Baltimore Ravens over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) The Raiders have never been a team that seems to handle prosperity well and become a consistent playoff team. They have looked terrible on offense the last two weeks and now must play a game without their QB Derek Carr. Baltimore looked terrible last week as well against Pittsburgh but should be able to move the football better against this Oakland defense. The Raiders are never a good play as a home favorite going 11-25 in their last 36 occurrences. This was a one-point game last year with Oakland winning and I just cannot see Oakland blowing them out with E.J. Manuel behind center. Baltimore cannot play as bad on offense as they did last week, can they? |
|||||||
10-08-17 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Eagles | 7-34 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #463 Take Arizona Cardinals +6.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Cardinals have not looked impressive whatsoever to open the season but they are 2-2. Philadelphia is improved but they are not good enough to be laying this many points against a decent Arizona team. Sooner or later Arizona will put it all together and they still have weapons on both sides of the football. Arizona has covered the spread against Philadelphia in their last five meetings. This will be a game that goes down to the wire and we will cover with the underdog with whoever comes out on top. |
|||||||
10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado -6 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #372 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 8 pm PAC-12 Network) the Buffaloes have a two-game losing streak but this is a get well game for them in Boulder against a team that has a coach squarely on the hot seat. Colorado had to replace much of their talent from last year’s South Division Championship. The Wildcats have gone downhill in a big way since the Rich Rod tenure started with some early success. They do not have a quality win this season and turned over the football five times last week against Utah. CU-Boulder won this game by 25 points last year in Tucson and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a conference favorite. Arizona is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games as a conference underdog. Colorado is well coached and this is a game they must get to keep confidence high for the entire 2017 season. They will get it by double digits. |
|||||||
10-07-17 | Missouri v. Kentucky -10 | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #402 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm SEC Network) Missouri is a terrible team and we will go against them for a second straight week (Won big with Auburn in their last game). The Tigers have been blown out three straight games and only Auburn is a ranked team that they faced. Getting blown out by Purdue and South Carolina is a head scratching moment for a coach that is in over his head. This will be Missouri’s first road game and they are TERRIBLE on both sides of the football. They have nothing to hang their head on as their offense has not been able to move the football after their first game against an FCS team. Kentucky did not look that impressive against Eastern Michigan but they did hold the Eagles to just 20 yards rushing. Kentucky has a very solid rush defense and if they can make the Tigers one dimensional that should be enough to win this game big. We said two weeks ago that playing Missouri is a get-well game for the Auburn offense and the same thing will be true on Saturday for Kentucky. Missouri is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Kentucky has covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 SEC games. |
|||||||
10-07-17 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #388 Take TCU Horned Frogs over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 12:30 pm FS1) These teams are just heading in opposite directions this season. West Virginia had a replace a ton of talent from 2016 and TCU has most of their talent back. TCU has a huge advantage on defense compared to West Virginia, as the Mountaineers struggle to stop the run. Both teams are coming off a bye and TCU is 10-2 ATS when coming off a bye during the regular season. This is a consensus play among most of the weekly newsletters that come out and it has all the keys to indicate a blowout by the home team. Revenge and a weak home record in 2016 will make sure TCU has the full attention of West Virginia. |
|||||||
10-05-17 | Patriots -5 v. Bucs | 19-14 | Push | 0 | 54 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #303 Take New England Patriots over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Thursday 8:25 pm CBS) The Patriots have played just one road game this season and that was a 16 point victory at the New Orleans Saints. That is how we see this game going as well against another NFC West team. New England will put points on the board and I just cannot see the Tampa Bay Buccaneers keeping pace. Tampa Bay is missing some key players on defense and QB Tom Brady has a variety of weapons he can just to move the football. New England has god awful on defense last week against Carolina and I believe they can only go up from there. Not sure Jameis Winston can pick them apart the way Cam Newton did. New England is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
10-01-17 | Raiders v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #276 Take Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) Oakland was exposed last week and I do not believe they will challenge to be the top team in the AFC. Now they are playing on the road for a second straight week against a divisional rival. Denver has won 8 of the last 10 games against Oakland. Denver has a bye on deck and the favorite has covered 8 of the last 9 games. Denver has a much better defense than does Oakland and playing in the Mile-High air should give QB Siemian some confidence. Denver is always a tough team to beat early in the season, especially at home and they get the job done against on Sunday afternoon. |
|||||||
10-01-17 | Giants +3 v. Bucs | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 122 h 18 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #269 Take New York Giants over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Giants put forth a much better performance last week in Philadelphia but were done in by a 61 yard field goal as time expired. OBJ is getting closer to 100% and he gives the Giants a threat in the passing game that few teams in the league have. Tampa Bay is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games when they are a favorite of more than two points. Sooner or later the Giants are going to put it all together and win a game. Now is as good as time as any. Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during Week 4. New York is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during Week 4. |
|||||||
10-01-17 | Panthers v. Patriots -8 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 14 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #254 Take New England Patriots over Carolina Panthers (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Patriots have yet to look impressive at home but this is the game they will break out and win by double digits. Carolina was exposed last getting blown out by the Saints, a team New England has already beaten this season. New England is 14-5 ATS when playing at home despite failing to cover the spread in their last two home games. Carolina has yet to play anybody good this season with their first three games coming against San Francisco, New Orleans, and Buffalo. New England is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games. Carolina is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on fieldturf. |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Nevada +10 v. Fresno State | 21-41 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 25 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #203 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State Bulldogs (Saturday 10 pm AT&T Sportsnet) Fresno State is not good enough to be laying this many points against anybody in FBS. This line is more about how bad Nevada has been playing but on paper these are two equal teams. Nevada has had quarterback issues but they are starting the quarterback that gives them the best chance to win games. The home team is 0-6 ATS in this match-up the last 6 meetings. The Bulldogs have allowed 41+ points twelve times since the start of the 2015 season. Nevada will hang around in this game as we will collect with a nice underdog. |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Iowa v. Michigan State -3.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #146 Take Michigan State Spartans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 4 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off home losses but the stats in each of those game tell a different story as to how well each team played. Michigan State put up 496 yards of total offense last week against Notre Dame but were done in by three turnovers. Iowa lost the total yardage battle to Penn State, 579-273, yet was ahead until the last play of the game. Michigan State needs to clean up the turnovers and they should win this game by double digits. Iowa is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. If Michigan State protects the football they will win this game by double digits. |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Georgia v. Tennessee +8 | Top | 41-0 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #180 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Georgia Bulldogs (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) The SEC is a one team league and we have seen the other members go up and down and not be able to handle prosperity. Georgia is coming off a big win against Mississippi State and now must go on the road into hostile territory. The Volunteers have won two straight games against the Bulldogs despite trailing big in both of those games. Butch Jones is not a great coach but he has a habit of keeping the game close and he will accomplish this yet again on Saturday. The point spread has been over adjusted off Georgia’s game last week and we will take advantage of a favorable line. Georgia is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
09-29-17 | BYU v. Utah State +3.5 | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 78 h 18 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #110 Take Utah State Aggies over BYU Cougars (Friday, 8 pm CBSSN) The Cougars are coming off a bye week after getting destroyed by Wisconsin in Provo the previous week. The Aggies had a get-well game against San Jose State and that should give them confidence heading into this game. BYU is without QB Tanner Mangum and they do not deserve to be favored against anybody on the road. BYU has the 7th worst offense in the country and if Utah State does not beat themselves they will win this game straight-up. BYU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Utah State is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games played on Friday. |
|||||||
09-24-17 | Seahawks +3 v. Titans | 27-33 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #481 Take Seattle Seahawks +2.5 over Tennessee Titans (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Hawks offense has looked terrible thus far in two games, but they still do have talent and sooner or later they will have a breakout game. Seattle has a big edge in coaching, and I see Tennessee struggling to move the football on offense. Tennessee is 0-13 ATS coming off a double-digit victory in their previous game. Seattle is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games as a road underdog. This will likely be a game that goes down to the wire, but I feel Seattle will come out on top. Getting points is just icing on the cake. |
|||||||
09-24-17 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | Top | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 96 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #468 Take New York Jets over Miami Dolphins (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Jay Cutler is not David Carr and I just do not believe he will be able to pick apart the Jets like the Raiders did last week. Miami was lucky to get a win last week in San Diego needing a missed field goal as time was expiring. I usually believe that teams bounce back after getting embarrassed the week before in the NFL and expect that to be the case here. This is a tough travel situation for Miami, coming back from San Diego and they have to go to London next week. Miami is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during Week 3. |
|||||||
09-23-17 | Washington -10.5 v. Colorado | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 104 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #353 Take Washington Huskies over Colorado Buffaloes (Saturday 10 pm FS1) This is a rematch of the PAC-12 Championship Game last year and I expect a similar result to the 31 point victory by Washington last year. Washington has beaten Colorado five straight times (5-0 ATS) and their defense is much more preserved than the Buffaloes. The Huskies have rolled the last two weeks and they know they need to run the table to get back to the college football playoffs. The Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Huskies gave up a backdoor cover to the Bulldogs last week but they are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
09-23-17 | Auburn -19 v. Missouri | Top | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 101 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #373 Auburn Tigers over Missouri Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN U) SEC GAME OF THE YEAR. Missou opens the 2017 season with 4 straight home games and after Saturday they will have recorded just 1 victory. Missouri has a terrible defense and this is clearly a get-well game for Auburn. Missouri has given up 66 points the last two weeks against two bad offensive teams in Purdue and South Carolina. They fired their defensive coordinator last week and still looked terrible. Auburn looked better than their total score indicated last week moving the ball up and down the field but were down in by 5 turnovers. If they protect the ball this week they will win big. Missouri is 3-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games played in September. |
|||||||
09-23-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -11.5 | 44-31 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #384 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over TCU Horned Frogs (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) The Pokes are on a tear and one must continue to ride them until they slow down. TCU is also 3-0 but they have not looked that impressive. Their 28-7 victory at a bad Arkansas team is very misleading. Oklahoma State has blown out TCU by 20 and 25 points the last two years. QB Mason Rudolph is one of the Heisman frontrunners and sooner or later he will pick apart this defense and get up by double digits and cruise from there. TCU will have some moments on offense as well but I just do not believe they will be able to keep pace in this game. TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 lined games. Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
09-23-17 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -2.5 | 43-50 | Win | 100 | 94 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #394 Take Texas A & M Aggies over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) Both of these coaches are squarely on the hot seat but I just believe Kevin Sumlin has more talent on his side. A & M has won five straight conference games against Arkansas despite not covering the spread in many of those game. Now the spread is low and if they beat them for a six straight time the odds are they will also cover the spread. QB Kellen Mond is getting more confident since being forced into action and I expect him to play his best game of the season today. The Razorbacks have allowed 28+ points in 10 of their last 12 games. A & M is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games played during September. Arkansas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 32 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #302 Take San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (Thursday 8:25 pm NFL Network) The 49ers won just two games last year and both of those victories came against the Rams. The Rams have played a home heavy schedule opening with both of their first two games at the Coliseum. Los Angeles is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 division road games. The 49ers defense will keep them in this game and this is the weakest defense they will have faced thus far in the season (Carolina & Seattle). LA is 0-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against NFC teams. San Francisco is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against NFC West teams. San Francisco wins this game straight-up. |
|||||||
09-17-17 | Cowboys v. Broncos +2 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 122 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #284 Take Denver Broncos over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 4:24 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off home wins but we will ride the Broncos again to a hot start this year like what they did last year. New York looked lost without OBJ last week and Dallas will have a much tougher time containing the Broncos this week. Denver is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Denver is 7-0 in their past 7 home games during the first two weeks of the season. Denver has the better defense and we saw last week home far ahead the defenses are compared to the offenses in most cases. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
|||||||
09-17-17 | Bears +7.5 v. Bucs | 7-29 | Loss | -135 | 118 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #275 Take Chicago Bears over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 1 pm FOX) This is just too many points to be laying considering the Bucs have yet to play a game and the Bears put forth a respectable performance against the Falcons last week. Tampa Bay is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Some are expecting a home field bump and an emotional performance since this area is recovering from a Hurricane but that certainly did not happen last week in Houston. Mike Glennon wants to play well against his former team and I believe this game will do down to the wire and just be decided by a field goal. Tampa Bay is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played during September. |
|||||||
09-17-17 | Titans -1.5 v. Jaguars | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #261 Take Tennessee Titans -1.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The posted line tells you a great deal about this selection. Giving that Jacksonville looked like world beaters last week in Houston and Tennessee lost at home to Oakland one would expect the Jags to be a solid home favorite. That is not the case as the odds makers are begging you to take Jacksonville. Just do not believe the coach quarterback combination is good enough to win many games and this is just a 5-6 win team. Jacksonville is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games played during week 2 of the NFL season. |
|||||||
09-16-17 | Colorado State v. Alabama -28.5 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #178 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Colorado State Rams (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 2) This is the second straight MWC team the Tide will face and I expect another 30 point victory for Alabama this week as well. The Rams looked awful against Colorado and I do not see things getting any better in this game against another Power 5 team (maybe the best team in the country). Colorado State is 2-5 in their road opener the last 7 years. The Tide are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against team with a winning record. |
|||||||
09-16-17 | Oregon State +21 v. Washington State | 23-52 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #173 Take Oregon State Beavers over Washington State Cougars (Saturday 5:30 pm PAC-12 Network) I really believe that this line is inflated and at the start of the year this would have been a 11-13 point spread. We are now getting great value with a team that has disappointed through three games this season. The Beavers have won 12 of the last 17 games in this series. Washington State had to rally from 21 points down last week to beat Boise State and I just do not believe they will be able to jump on the Beavers early and put them away. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Mike Leach is never a good play as a favorite and Washington State seems to always play to the level of their competition. This is a conference game with a desperate team and I just do not see a bloodbath. Oregon State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 PAC-12 games. Washington State has failed to cover the spread in 4 straight home games. |
|||||||
09-16-17 | Wisconsin -13.5 v. BYU | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #153 Take Wisconsin Badgers over BYU Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) BYU has one of the worst offenses in the entire country. If Ty Detmer (offensive coordinator) were not a living legend at BYU he would have been replaced after the LSU game. I still believe there is a chance that may happen after this game. BYU has just produced two touchdowns the last two weeks and they came in garbage time against Utah last Saturday night. Wisconsin is coming off a lackluster performance in which they dominated the yardage (564-248) and time of possession but were did not cover the spread because of two turnovers. They will need to clean that up in this game. BYU will hold their own on defense but they will eventually wear down because of their lack of offensive efficiency. There seems to be a rift between the offense and the defense (including coaches) and this will be the best defense BYU has faced this season (Wisconsin beat LSU last year). Wisconsin has covered the spread in six straight road games. BYU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Badgers win this game by twenty points and we collect in the process as well. |
|||||||
09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 123 h 54 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #482 Take Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (Monday 10:20 pm ESPN) It is now cool to trash John Elway for his apparent lack of finding a franchise quarterback after Peyton Manning retired. Denver won 9 games last season and that was 4 more than Los Angeles did in 2016. Denver has dominated this series of late winning 10 of the last 11 meetings. Wade Phillips is now with the Chargers but nobody seems to have lasting success with this franchise. Denver is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September. Los Angeles closed on a sour note in 2016 losing five straight games against the spread. |
|||||||
09-10-17 | Seahawks v. Packers -3 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #474 Take Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) These teams seem to meet every year with the home team dominating this series (5-0 ATS last five games). The Hawks lost in Green Bay by 28 points last season and by 10 points in 2015. Green Bay is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 home openers. The Packers have the better offense and QB Rodgers has enough weapons to attack this strong Hawks defense in a variety of ways. Seattle is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of September. |
|||||||
09-10-17 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Lions | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #461 Take Arizona Cardinals over Detroit Lions (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Just never been a big believer in Jim Caldwell as a consistent winning coach in the NFL. Arizona took a step backwards last season but do well in road openers going 8-1 ATS over the last nine years. Arizona went into Ford Field in 2015 and won by 25 points. Detroit is one dimensional and that will not work against an aggressive defense like Arizona. The Lions failed to cover the spread in five straight games to end the 2016. Arizona is favored on the road against a playoff team last year. That tells me all I need to know. |
|||||||
09-09-17 | Utah -1 v. BYU | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 105 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #395 Take Utah Utes over BYU Cougars (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) Utah has dominated the Holy War in recent years winning six straight and going 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Provo. BYU looked god awful against LSU especially on offense. They will be better in this game but I just do not believe Ty Detmer is a good offensive coordinator that can work to his quarterback’s strengths. The Cougars did not look that impressive against Portland State either two weeks ago. Utah is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 nonconference games. BYU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
|||||||
09-09-17 | Toledo v. Nevada +10 | 37-24 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #370 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Toledo Rockets (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 3) The Wolf Pack did much better than expected against Northwestern last Saturday and could have won the game straight-up despite being a 24 point underdog. I believe they are again undervalued this week in the home debut of Coach Jay Norvell. The Rockets have not performed well when playing outside the eastern/central time zone going 1-7 straight-up in their last 8 games. Just not sold on the Rockets defense being able to hold up for 60 minutes. Both teams will put up points in this game by a do not see a double-digit deficit for the home team. Nevada held up well in the trenches last Saturday and they should be able to do that again on Saturday. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. |
|||||||
09-09-17 | Marshall v. NC State -24 | 20-37 | Loss | -101 | 101 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #368 Take NC State Wolfpack over Marshall Thundering Herd (Saturday 6 pm ESPN 3) We used Marshall last week and were lucky to be successful. In that game Marshall had two kickoff returns for a touchdown to go along with a pick-6. NC State dominated the yards against South Carolina but wound up with the loss. Both teams will come back to reality in this game and the result will be a 30 point victory for the home team. Marshall is 1-16 straight-up in their last 17 road openers (4-13 ATS). If they cannot move the football against Miami Oh they will not be able to move the football against a middle of the pack ACC team. Marshall is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS in their previous game. NC State is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 nonconference games. |
|||||||
09-09-17 | TCU -3 v. Arkansas | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 99 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #364 Take TCU Horned Frogs over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) It is not often a road team is favored in a true SEC home game but it is well warranted in this situation. TCU returns a ton of experience from last year and they also have revenge on their minds after blowing a late lead to Arkansas last year in Fort Worth. TCU is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road openers winning those 9 games by an average of 18 points per game. Coach Gary Patterson is too good of a coach to be down for long and I expect TCU to come close to recording 10+ wins this season. Arkansas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 nonconference games. 61% of the early money is coming in on Arkansas yet the line keeps going up. That tells me the smart money is backing the road team. |
|||||||
09-03-17 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #210 Take Virginia Tech Hokies -4 over West Virginia Mountaineers (Sunday 7:30 pm ESPN) I do not believe West Virginia is a top 25 team this season. They must replace a ton of talent on both sides of the football including their quarterback from last year. The Mountaineers are just 3-9 against the Hokies and the are facing a team on the rise. It is important for Virginia Tech to get off to a good start as they have not performed well in neutral site games of late. That changes tonight and they will win this game by double digits. |
|||||||
09-02-17 | Florida State v. Alabama -7 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 100 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #206 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Florida State Seminoles (Saturday 8 pm ABC) The Crimson Tide just seem to dominate these games and I see this one as no different. Alabama is 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 ATS in their opening neutral site games the last five years. The Tide also have an experienced quarterback for a change and that should bode well in this game for them. FSU was down big earlier to a lesser Ole Miss team in 2016 and if that happens again I cannot see Alabama letting them back into the game. Florida State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Alabama has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. |
|||||||
09-02-17 | Georgia Southern +34 v. Auburn | 7-41 | Push | 0 | 99 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #189 Take Georgia Southern Eagles over Auburn Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm SECN) The Eagles struggled last year recording only five wins after back-to-back nine win seasons. Expect them to go back to a triple option run first style and that bodes well against a big underdog since it keeps the clock running. Auburn has a trip to Death Valley on deck and I do not expect them to give away much in this game. Auburn lost five games last year and Coach Malzahn is facing adversity for the first time in his tenure at Auburn. They will win this game but it will be much closer than this inflated spread. Auburn is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during September. |
|||||||
09-02-17 | Miami-OH v. Marshall -2 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #158 Take Marshall Thundering Herd over Miami (OH) Redhawks (Saturday 6:30 pm) These two teams may appear to be heading in opposite directions but Marshall has been a traditional power whereas Miami (OH) is not. The Redhawks have lost nine straight home openers and Marshall is too good of a program to be down for long. Throw out last year and the Herd have won 33 games the previous three seasons. Miami started the season 0-6 last year and lost to Marshall by double digits twice in the last four years. |
|||||||
09-02-17 | California v. North Carolina -11 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #178 Take North Carolina Tar Heels over Cal Golden Bears (Saturday 12:20 pm ACCN) Always like going against west coast teams playing a 12 pm eastern time start on the east coast. Cal has a new coach and I expect them to struggle on both sides of the football against North Carolina. The Tar Heels are 9-1 in their home openers over the last 10 years winning by an average margin of 35 points per game. The Bears got blown out in the last four losses in 2016 and they must replace all their skill position players from 2016. The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games when they are an underdog. UNC has covered the spread in 4 straight nonconference games. |
|||||||
09-02-17 | Wyoming +11.5 v. Iowa | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #155 Take Wyoming Cowboys over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm BTN) Iowa just does not get out of the gate fast against inferior teams. Kirk Ferentz has been at Iowa forever and this does not appear to be one of his better squads. The Cowboys have the best player on the field in quarterback Josh Allen, a legitimate NFL prospect playing the MWC. Wyoming is 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games as an away underdog. The Pokes played Nebraska better than they score would indicate last year and Iowa has covered opening week just once in the last five years (against FCS team). Wyoming will move the football and I think they have a chance to win this game straight-up. Wyoming is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Iowa is 3-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 home games. |
|||||||
08-26-17 | Hawaii +2 v. UMass | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #293 Take Hawaii Warriors over UMASS Minutemen (Saturday 7 pm) These teams met in the regular season finale last year on the island and now meet a week early to open the 2017 football season. Massachusetts just appears to be a lost soul now without a conference and may be on the verge of failing out of FBS football. They won just 2 of their 12 games last year and I do not expect things to get any better for Coach Mark Whipple this season. Hawaii is going the other way under second year coach Nick Rolovich who I am a big fan of. That got three weeks of extra practices last year by beating UMASS and becoming bowl eligible and I expect them to put up a lot of points in this game. UMASS is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I feel Hawaii needs to win this game to become bowl eligible and they get it in a close hard-fought battle. |
|||||||
08-26-17 | Oregon State v. Colorado State -3.5 | 27-58 | Win | 100 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #292 Take Colorado State Rams over Oregon State Beavers (Saturday 2:30 pm CBSSN) Gary Anderson is not a top-level coach and has struggled at Oregon State after so-so results in two years at Wisconsin. He is likely coaching for his job this season in Corvallis and I just do not see many wins for him on the schedule this year. The Rams have been bowl eligible each of the first two years under Mike Bobo and have the extra motivation of opening a brand-new stadium in this game. CSU hopes this stadium can get them into a bigger conference and winning games against Power 5 teams will certainly help their cause. Colorado State is 14-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 19 nonconference. |
|||||||
02-05-17 | Patriots -3 v. Falcons | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 124 h 20 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #101 Take New England Patriots over Atlanta Falcons (Super Bowl 51, Sunday, 6:30 pm FOX) Just cannot bet my hard-earned money against Brady and Belichick. The Patriots are the more complete team on both sides of the football and will have two weeks before kickoff to devise a plan to slow down this high-powered Atlanta offense. If New England can jump on to a lead early I see them winning this game by double digits as Atlanta has not faced that much over the last couple of months. The Falcons still have a very shaky defense and if New England is balanced that will not allow their front four to just tee off on the quarterback. The current Patriots have won four of their six Super Bowls and Belichick and Brady have won 24 playoff games together. The Patriots have the No. 1 ranked defense and the defense has the advantage when playing the No. 1 offense in the Super Bowl winning five of the last six meetings. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games (0-6 ATS prior to this year). New England has covered the spread in five straight games against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 125 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #314 Take New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday 6:30 pm CBS) Neither team looked that impressive last week but playing on the road for the second straight week will eventually doom the Steelers. New England will face a lesser defense this week in Pittsburgh than they saw from Houston last week. The Patriots are almost unbeatable at home going 33-4 and 26-9 ATS (2 pushes) in the last 4 years. New England also has an advantage with rest also playing at home on Saturday night compared to Pittsburgh playing on Sunday night in Kansas City. QB Tom Brady has put up incredible numbers this season with 30 touchdowns compared to just 4 interceptions. Pittsburgh has not faced an explosive offense since November and that will be their undoing in this game. New England is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
|||||||
01-22-17 | Packers +5 v. Falcons | 21-44 | Loss | -105 | 121 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #311 Take Green Bay Packers over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 3 pm FOX) The Packers continue to get little respect from the oddsmakers and the public and us will be all over Green Bay for a second straight week. This will be a shootout as both offenses have a major advantage of the defense and it might take forty points to win this game. That being said, we will side with the franchise that has done it before in Green Bay. QB Aaron Rodgers is playing at an extraordinary level and I believe he is even better in a dome compared to playing in the elements at Lambeau Field. Atlanta is just 4-5 ATS in their 9 home games this season. This is a franchise that has not had much postseason success and I expect that trend to continue Sunday. Green Bay has already knocked off the No. 1 seed in Dallas and they also beat No. 1 seed Atlanta on their way to a Super Bowl Championship in 2010. Green Bay has covered the spread in five straight games against teams with a winning record. Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Packers +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #307 Take Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 4:40 pm FOX) The Cowboys were clearly the best team in the NFC this season but they are facing a juggernaut in Aaron Rodgers that will pick apart this Dallas defense like nobody has this season. During this seven game winning streak QB Rodgers has a 19-0 touchdown to interception ratio. Dallas was just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. If Green Bay can stop the running attack that will put enormous pressure on the Dallas coach and quarterback that have not had any postseason success (1 win against Detroit in recent years). Green Bay did not miss a beat without Jordy Nelson last week against a much better Giants defense. If Green Bay can stabilize this game early I truly believe it will go down to the wire with the Packers coming out on top. The Packers have covered the spread in 4 straight playoff games. Dallas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. |
|||||||
01-14-17 | Texans +16 v. Patriots | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -100 | 98 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #303 Take Houston Texans over New England Patriots (Saturday 8:15 pm CBS) NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR. The Texans are a huge underdog in this game despite having one of the best defenses in the league. New England is solid to good on both sides of the football but I just feel Houston is due to put forth a good performance against New England. The Texans have a lot of coaches with New England ties and they were gutless in the meeting against the Patriots this year. Only twice in their last thirteen postseason games have the Patriots won a game by more than 13 points. Houston has enough talent to hang around and I just do not see a 20+ point victory in this game. New England is 11-1 ATS since the return of Tom Brady and sooner or later the law of averages will have to even out. The same thing happened with Temple covering 12 straight games before losing outright to Wake Forest in the Military Bowl. I am not predicting a straight-up win for the Texans but I feel they can keep this game closer than the posted number. |
|||||||
01-09-17 | Clemson +7 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 151 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #151 Take Clemson Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) This is just too many points considering Clemson has the much better offense and a couple of playmakers on defense. The spread is solely based on Nick Saban and the respect everyone has for him. He is great but as we saw last week with Urban Meyer, the head coach alone cannot will his team to a victory. Alabama has yet to see an explosive offense like Clemson that can beat you on the ground or through the air. The SEC was way down this year in terms of talent on offense and Deshaun Watson will pick them apart like he did last year. He has not played very many clean games in 2016 but I believe this will be a breakout performance that will propel him up the draft board. Throw in the fact that Clemson has revenge and I really believe Clemson wins this game straight-up. Clemson has covered the spread in six straight bowl games. Clemson is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. |
|||||||
01-08-17 | Giants +4.5 v. Packers | 13-38 | Loss | -107 | 123 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #107 Take New York Giants over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 4:40 pm FOX) We have been riding the Packers down the stretch to great success but finally feel the value has gone to the other side. This is the most complete team Green Bay has seen since late October and beating up on the NFC North is just not that impressive. These two teams met on October 9th with Green Bay winning by seven points in a game that neither team played well. Eli Manning is just a different player in the postseason and has won in Green Bay twice in the playoffs. Green Bay still has major holes on defense and will struggle to run the football in this cold weather game. New York is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road playoff games. |
|||||||
01-07-17 | Raiders v. Texans -3.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #102 Take Houston Texans over Oakland Raiders (Saturday 4:35 pm ABC) We went against the Raider last week in Denver and easily collected on that ticket and will do so again in Houston on Saturday. The Raiders are limping into the playoffs and are likely using Connor Cook in this game. Houston also has quarterback issues but I still believe Brock Osweiler has some talent and will win this game at home. The Texans went 7-1 at home this season and were leading against a healthy Derek Carr in Oakland earlier this season. Oakland lost the one player they cannot afford to lose and because of this they will be a quick out in the 2017 Playoffs. Houston wins this game big and we collect in the process as well. |
|||||||
01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma -3 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 151 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #282 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Auburn Tigers (Sugar Bowl, Monday, 1/2 8:30 pm ESPN) Bob Stoops loves to beat up on the SEC in meaningless bowl games and he will get another chance to accomplish this on Monday night. Auburn was not the same team down the stretch losing two of their last three games and now they must face a team that ran the table in the Big 12. Baker Mayfield just has too many weapons on offense for Auburn to keep up. This was not a typical Auburn offense as the Tigers relied more on their defense to win game. OU wins their 10th straight game as we collect in the process as well. Auburn will have their moments but just cannot match Oklahoma score for score. |
|||||||
01-02-17 | Western Michigan v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 143 h 56 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #278 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Western Michigan Broncos (Cotton Bowl, Monday, 1/2 1 pm ESPN) Wisconsin has too much beef for this mid-major to stay within double digits in the Cotton Bowl. Wisconsin will be the best defense Western Michigan has seen all season long as they are No. 8 in the country in total defense. Some feel that Wisconsin and their fans are not excited about being in the Cotton Bowl but that is not the case. Wisconsin always travels well and they will have a good crowd in the stands come Monday. The Broncos are just average at stopping the run and expect Wisconsin to exert their strength in this area. |
|||||||
01-01-17 | Packers -3.5 v. Lions | Top | 31-24 | Win | 105 | 127 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #309 Take Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) Nobody will be giving the Lions a chance to win this game and we will be in that boat as well. Detroit has not performed well in two consecutive games and now likely face a winner take all on Sunday Night Football. The Lions have not win a division title since 1993 and they have never made it to the Super Bowl in their franchises existence. Green Bay has beaten Detroit 20 of the last 25 meetings and they are just functioning much better now. Detroit got picked apart by the Dallas passing attack on Monday night and I just do not expect their corners to be able to slow down the Packer wide receivers. Aaron Rodgers is now able to use his feet and that makes him the best dual threat quarterback in the league. Green Bay has won five straight games and Clay Matthews is playing at a high level making this one of the better defensive teams in the league. Detroit is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 divisional games. Green Bay is 23-11 ATS in their last 34 divisional games. |
|||||||
12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 101 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #274 Take Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/31 7 pm ESPN) The wrong team is favored in this game and expect Clemson to win straight-up. The Tigers have won both meetings with the Buckeyes including the 2014 Orange Bowl as an underdog like they are here. Ohio State just does not see teams as explosive as Clemson is from the Big 10. DeShaun Watson is due for a breakout game and like last year he will get it in the semi-finals of the College Football Playoff. Both teams are young but Clemson has the experience from last year to propel them onto the Championship game. |
|||||||
12-30-16 | Nebraska v. Tennessee -4 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 73 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #264 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Music City Bowl, 12/30 3:30 pm ESPN) The Vols return to Nashville looking to make amends to their loss last game out against Vanderbilt. Nebraska started off hot but as usual they folded down the stretch and there is no guarantee that QB Tommy Armstrong will play in this game. Nebraska lost three of their last five games including a blowout loss to Iowa to close out the regular season. Tennessee was one of the most underachieving teams this season but they still have talent and they blew out a Big 10 team last year in a bowl game. Tennessee has a huge edge in special teams and that will allow them to win this game by 10-13 points. |
|||||||
12-30-16 | TCU v. Georgia | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 70 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #258 Take Georgia Bulldogs over TCU Horned Frogs (Liberty Bowl, Friday, 12/30 12 pm ESPN) Not impressed with TCU at all this season. They had quarterback issues down the stretch and did not record a quality victory this season. Georgia has won all three match-ups with TCU and they are building under first year head coach Kirby Smart. TCU has been blown out in their last two losses and lost three games as a favorite over their last five games. SEC is better than the Big 12 and playing in Memphis will allow the Dawgs to pack the stands. |