Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-25-22 | Packers +4.5 v. Dolphins | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 117 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 25 CBS) These two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions. The Dolphins have lost three straight games and the Packers have won two straight games. Both teams do their damage against bad teams in the league, but the Packers offense is coming alive of late. Green Bay has won 4 of the last 5 games against Miami including a 19-point victory the last time these two teams met. The young wide receivers of the Packers are starting to make plays and Rodgers seems intent on running the table to finish out the regular season. Green Bay is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games played on grass. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games against the Dolphins. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Raiders +3 v. Steelers | Top | 10-13 | Push | 0 | 100 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #473 Las Vegas Raiders over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Saturday, December 24 NFLN) The Mike Tomlin consecutive winning seasons will come to an end in 2022. The Raiders are the much more talented team on offense, and they will win this game straight-up. Just do not believe the Steelers have the weapons to exploit this suspect Raiders defense. The Raiders went into Pittsburgh last season and won by 9 points and expect a similar performance in this game. Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Raiders and Steelers. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Patriots | 22-18 | Win | 100 | 93 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #459 Cincinnati Bengals over New England Patriots (1p.m., Saturday, December 24 CBS) Just too many weapons that Cincinnati has compared to New England. The Patriots do not have much confidence in Mac Jones, and he will be without his starting center for this game. Cincinnati dominated the second half against Tampa Bay last week and they will dominate some portion of this game as well. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December. New England is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games played on Saturday. The fans have given up on the Patriots after their debacle last week and I do not see them being competitive in this game. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Wake Forest -1 v. Missouri | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #231 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Missouri Tigers (6:30p.m., Friday, December 23 ESPN) Really like Sam Hartman and feel he can outscore Missouri and win this game. Wake Forest had a disappointing finish to the season losing 4 of their last 5 games, but it was not because of their offense. They struggled because of their pass defense and I am just not sure Missouri can take advantage of this. Wake Forest does better out of ACC play, covering the spread in 5 of their last 6 nonconference games. Missouri is 2-12 ATS in their last 12 games played during the month of December. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -108 | 100 h 44 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #328 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 18 CBS) Hard to take Tampa Bay after their showing last week in San Francisco, but this team is desperate and needs to win their remaining home games. The Bengals have been a covering machine this season, but now they are the hunted and giving points on the road is never easy. I still like the Tampa Bay defense better than the Cincinnati defense. The Bengals struggle to handle prosperity and the law of averages will bite them in this game. Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between the Bengals and Bucs. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Cowboys -4 v. Jaguars | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Dallas Cowboys over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, December 18 FOX) The Cowboys did not play well last week at home against Houston, but that gives us the value we need to make this a strong play. Jacksonville has lost 20 straight games against NFC teams. Dallas won the last meeting by a score of 40-7 and they will enter this game having won 4 straight games. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games. Jacksonville is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played in the month of December. Expect a big Dallas crowd for this game and they will see a double-digit victory for their team. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Louisville v. Cincinnati +2 | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #206 Cincinnati Bearcats over Louisville Cardinals (11a.m., Saturday, December 16 ESPN) Both teams are without their head coach, but what makes this game interesting is that Louisville’s coach is now the head man at Cincinnati. Some may think that that will inspire the Louisville players, but with so many players sitting out this game, look for Coach Satterfield to give the Bearcats the edge. He knows the players and coaches at Louisville and that will give Cincinnati the edge. Both starting quarterbacks are out for this game, but I see the backup at Cincinnati playing better between the two. Cincinnati will look to run the football with their quarterback and running backs. Louisville is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. |
|||||||
12-12-22 | Patriots -1 v. Cardinals | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 104 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #127 New England Patriots over Arizona Cardinals (8:15p.m., Monday, December 12 ESPN) This is a coaching mismatch and I feel New England does just enough this season to finish 9-8. In order to do that they must win this game, as Arizona is a sinking ship at the moment. The Patriots have beaten the Cardinals in 7 of the last 8 games. Arizona has lost 4 of their last 5 games and 10 of their last 11 home games. It might not be pretty, but the Patriots will find a way to win this game. New England is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. Finally, the Cardinals are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -3.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Seattle Seahawks over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 11 FOX) The line is low considering the Hawks have a huge home field advantage and Carolina is finishing out the season with an interim coach. Seattle is 10-4 straight up against Carolina and that includes going 2-1 against them in the playoffs. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS the last 4 years following a bye week. Geno Smith continues to impress and if his defense can stop the run they will win this game by double-digits. Carolina is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of December. Seattle is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. |
|||||||
12-08-22 | Raiders -6 v. Rams | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #101 Las Vegas Raiders over Los Angeles Rams (8:15p.m., Thursday, December 8 Amazon Prime) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, and I see a double digit victory for the visitor. The Raiders have won 3 straight games and played well last week against the Chargers, a game which was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Raiders have the much better offense with Derek Carr, Davonte Adams, and Josh Jacobs playing outstanding of late. The Rams are 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Chiefs -1.5 v. Bengals | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25 p.m., Sunday, December 4 CBS) Revenge will be served in Cincinnati on Sunday, as the Chiefs get payback from the Bengals knocking them out of the 2022 playoffs. Kansas City blew a 21-3 lead in that game, but that will not happen on Sunday. The Chiefs lead the NFL in scoring at close to 30 points per game. Kansas City also has a fourth quarter pass rush that should pay dividends in this game, especially if they are leading late. The Chiefs need to keep winning games to clinch the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC and the bye that comes with that. The Bengals are starting to get healthy, but the Chiefs are a well-oiled machine that is playing better than anyone in the league at this moment. Kansas City is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of December. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Packers -4 v. Bears | Top | 28-19 | Win | 100 | 72 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 4 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Packers are in freefall now having lost 7 of their last 8 games. But Aaron Rodgers and company own the Bears having beaten them in 12 of the last 13 meetings (10-3 ATS). Green Bay played their best game of the season against Chicago earlier this season. The Packers are 24-5 against the Bears in games Aaron Rodgers has started. The Bears are in worse shape injury wise compared to the Packers and I just do not believe Justin Fields can win this game by himself. The favorite is 20-8 ATS in the last 29 games between Green Bay and Chicago. That includes Green Bay going 23-7 ATS in the last 30 meetings and 18-5 ATS in the last 23 games at Soldier Field. |
|||||||
12-03-22 | Kansas State +2.5 v. TCU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 94 h 11 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #307 Kansas State Wildcats over TCU Horned Frogs (12p.m., Saturday, December 3 ABC) Just do not feel TCU can win every close game in route to an undefeated season. This line is begging you to take the Frogs, but Kansas State has revenge in this game. The Wildcats are on a 3-0 ATS run winning by 48 combined points in those game over the posted number. K-State lost their quarterback in the first meeting, but the backup has been playing a lot recently and been good. The Wildcats have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games against the Horned Frogs. |
|||||||
12-02-22 | Utah +3 v. USC | 47-24 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #305 Utah Utes over USC Trojans (8p.m., Friday, December 2 FOX) The Trojans have a lot of the line in this game, as a win will vault them into the College Football Playoffs. The Utes travel well and it will not surprise me if they have a home crowd edge in Las Vegas for this game. USC is 0-3 ATS in the PAC-12 Championship Game and they already lost to Utah once this season. The Trojans still have a suspect defense and Utah has the edge at a variety of positions in this game. The underdog has covered the spread in 4 straight games between Utah and USC. Utah is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a victory in their previous game. USC is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Enough said, Utah is a backet buster for the college football playoffs in 2022/23. |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5 | Top | 40-34 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #266 Seattle Seahawks over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 27 CBS) Just have no confidence in the Raiders to win back-to-back road games. Seattle is coming off a bye after playing in London last time out against Tampa Bay. Look for them to come back strong on Sunday, as they are 3-1 at home this season. Seattle has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC teams. The home team has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings between Las Vegas and Seattle. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Nevada +12.5 v. UNLV | 22-27 | Win | 100 | 114 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #197 Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (6p.m., Saturday, November 26 MWN) The underdogs have dominated this rivalry played every year for the Freemont Cannon. UNLV lost their chance to become bowl eligible last week at Hawaii. Nevada has had a lost season as well and has had a few weeks to point towards this game, as it is all they have left to play for. The betting underdog has won 6 of the last 9 meetings straight-up. Look for this game to remain in single digits and thus we will cover this spread. UNLV just does not deserve to be this big of a favorite against anyone on the schedule. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -3 | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #186 Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 26 ESPN) The Battle for the Ax takes place Saturday afternoon at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI. Minnesota has not fared well against the better teams on their schedule. The Badgers want to win this game badly and then make Jim Leonard their permanent coach. Playing at home will be the difference in this game. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Badgers take back the Ax and we collect in the process as well. |
|||||||
11-25-22 | Wyoming +15.5 v. Fresno State | 0-30 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #137 Wyoming Cowboys over Fresno State Bulldogs (10p.m., Friday, November 25 FS1) The Bulldogs have already clinched a spot in the MWC Title Game at Boise next Saturday. They do not have any chance to be the group of 5 team to make a New Year’s Six Bowl and thus I just do not see the motivation for them in this game. Wyoming is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when they are a double-digit underdog. The road team has covered 4 of the last 5 games between the Cowboys and the Bulldogs. Finally, Wyoming is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games played on Friday. |
|||||||
11-24-22 | Giants +9.5 v. Cowboys | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 49 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #107 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 24 FOX) This is just a lot of points to be laying for a short week divisional game. The Giants have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games. The Cowboys have not performed well in this game in recent years losing 3 straight and two of them have come against bottom feeder teams this century in the Raiders and Commanders. The Giants are coming off a bad loss to the Lions last Sunday and Dallas played their best game of the season pounding Minnesota. Look for both teams to regress to the mean and this divisional matchup will go down to the wire. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Bengals -4 v. Steelers | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 Cincinnati Bengals over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 20 CBS) This game was flexed out because of the Steelers. The Bengals have revenge on their minds after blowing their first meetings against the Steelers in embarrassing fashion. Just feel the Bengals are much better on offense and the Steelers will struggle to keep up with them on the scoreboard. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Just do not believe this Pittsburgh team is good enough to beat Cincinnati twice in one season. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Utah v. Oregon -3 | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 82 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #394 Oregon Ducks over Utah Utes (10:30p.m., Saturday, November 19 ESPN) Just do not see Oregon losing back-to-back home games in conference play. They got burned by QB Penix last Saturday, but I just do not believe Utah has the same explosive offense that Washington does. Utah has not risen to the occasions on many big games this season, especially when they are playing on the road. Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning home record. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | TCU v. Baylor +2.5 | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #398 Baylor Bears over TCU Horned Frogs (12p.m., Saturday, November 19 FOX) It end’s tonight! TCU’s magical season comes to an end on Saturday in Waco, TX. The Frogs are coming off an impressive win on Saturday at Texas and now must go on the road again to play Baylor. Back-to-Back road games is always a tough bill to overcome and this will be one of the best defenses they will face in 2022. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between TCU and Baylor. The Bears are 21-4 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -3 | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 Green Bay Packers over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Thursday, November 16 Amazon Prime) The Packers got a much-needed win last time out and now get to face a team decimated by injuries. Throw in the fact that this is a short week road game for Tennessee and expect Green Bay to win this game by close to double digits. The Packers have been running the football tremendous of late and if that continues, QB Rodgers will pick is spots with the deep ball. Tennessee is 8-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 road games against teams with a losing home record. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on Thursday. |
|||||||
11-16-22 | Western Michigan +12 v. Central Michigan | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 33 h 11 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #307 Western Michigan Broncos +11 over Central Michigan Chippewas (8p.m., Wednesday, November 16 ESPNU) I refused to believe that Central Michigan can blowout Western Michigan with a freshman quarterback that struggles to throw the football. The Broncos need to stop his running ability and if they do that, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The visitor has dominated this series winning 7 of the 9 last games and is a perfect 9-0 ATS. Look for the Broncos to keep the scoring low and that makes this a strong play with the double-digit underdog. Western Michigan is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on Wednesdays. Central Michigan is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. This is a rivalry game and should be competitive. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Cowboys -5 v. Packers | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 54 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #261 Dallas Cowboys over Green Bay Packers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 13 FOX) The Packers are in freefall at the moment having lost 5 straight games. 4 of those losses came against so-so teams and now they must face a real team with a strong defense. Green Bay has a ton of injuries and I just do not see many playmakers for Aaron Rodgers to use in this game. Cowboy Coach Mike McCarthy will get his revenge in this game because he has the much better and much healthier team. Dallas is 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #251 Cleveland Browns +3.5 over Miami Dolphins (1 p.m., Sunday, November 13 CBS) We will grab the points in this game and feel Cleveland has a good chance to win this game straight-up. Miami does not have much of a home field advantage, and Cleveland has a lot of playmakers outside of the quarterback. The Browns are well rested and played their best game of the season last time out against the Bengals. Cleveland beat Miami the last time these two teams met by 17 points. Cleveland needs this game, and I think they will be able to take it down to the wire. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Wisconsin -1 v. Iowa | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #209 Wisconsin Badgers over Iowa Hawkeyes (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 12 FS1) Both teams are coming off impressive wins, but I will take Wisconsin in this game. The Badgers are the better offensive team and I just do not believe the Hawkeye’s will be able to take advantage of Wisconsin’s defense. Iowa has been terrible on offense for most of the season and I do not see things getting better on Saturday. Wisconsin has beaten Iowa 5 of the last 6 games. The Badgers have gotten life under new coach Jim Leonard and look for him to get the job come December. Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #212 Arkansas Razorbacks +3.5 over LSU Tigers (12 p.m., Saturday, November 12 ESPN) This is a tough turnaround for LSU, and the Tigers never seem to perform well in 11 a.m. starts. They got killed by Tennessee in this situation, and look for Arkansas to beat them as well. The Razorbacks are coming off a bad loss against Liberty but before that dominated two decent opponents in BYU and Auburn. LSU is coming of a win against Alabama, and I just see them letting down in this game. The Razorbacks have dominated the Bayou Bengals ATS wise in recent years, going 10-4 ATS (1 push) in the last 15 games and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Arkansas. |
|||||||
11-09-22 | Buffalo +1.5 v. Central Michigan | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #109 Buffalo Bulls +1 over Central Michigan Chippewas (7p.m., Wednesday, November 9 ESPN2) Buffalo laid an egg last week against Ohio but they still in position to win the MAC East, but must win this game to stay in the race. The Bulls have won two straight games against the Chippewas (2-0 ATS) including a 23 point victory the last time these two teams met. Central Michigan is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 home games. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | BYU v. Boise State -7.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -106 | 100 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #370 Boise State Broncos over BYU Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 5 FS2) BYU is a sinking ship at the moment having lost 4 straight games including 3 of them that were home or neutral site games. Boise State has found on offense led by former coach Dirk Koetter. He has given this team life and the Broncos enter this game having won 4 straight games, 3 of them coming by 20+ points. Playing on the blue turf is never an easy task and this game wants to pound the Cougars, a team that left the MWC and will be in the Big 12 soon, a conference the Broncos have wanted to join. BYU is a sinking ship going 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games. Boise State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing road record. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Maryland v. Wisconsin -5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 93 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #356 Wisconsin Badgers over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 5 BTN) I learned my lesson about fading Wisconsin two weeks ago at home. Look for them to come off their bye week with another double-digit win, this time coming against Maryland. The Badgers have showed some life under interim Coach Jim Leonard. The Terrapins have been terrible against the Big 10 West going 1-8 straight-up, 1-8 ATS, and are 0-2 ATS in 2022. Maryland is a lot like Purdue and that final score was not indicative of how dominating Wisconsin was in that game. Maryland is 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a bye. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Raiders -2 v. Saints | Top | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #255 Las Vegas Raiders over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, October 30 CBS) The Raiders are a better team than their 2-4 record would indicate and now they get to play a team with major issues at quarterback. Las Vegas has won 2 straight games against New Orleans. Not a fan of hiring Dennis Allen and he needs to right the ship, as the Saints have lost 5 of their last 6 games. I do not look for it to happen in this game, as the roster of the Raiders is just better on both sides of the football. The Saints are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Raiders are 11-4 ATS over the last 15 games during Week 8 of the regular season. |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Illinois v. Nebraska +8 | 26-9 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #118 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Illinois Fighting Illini (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 29 ABC) Illinois is in unfamiliar territory now as the hunted instead of doing the hunting. I do not think any team in the Big 10 West is any good and thus we will grab the points with this home underdog. The Cornhuskers covered last time out against the Boilermakers, and they will keep this game in single digits as well. Illinois has not been a road favorite in the Big 10 since 2018. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games between Illinois and Nebraska. Take the points in this game. |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +1 | 21-25 | Win | 100 | 98 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #146 UCF Knights over Cincinnati Bearcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 29 ESPN) The Knights laid a dud last week at East Carolina, but they are a much better team at home. 4 turnovers did them in despite putting up 426 yards of offense. Cincinnati is not the same team as they were in 2021 and they are just 2-5 ATS this season. They have struggled to put away bad teams and now they must face a team with a strong offensive scheme that they have not seem all season long. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between the Bearcats and the Knights. UCF is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Jets v. Broncos -3 | Top | 16-9 | Loss | -108 | 123 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #466 Denver Broncos over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 23 CBS) The Jets are winning games with smoke and mirrors I do not see them winning this game unless Denver helps them. Playing back-to-back road games is always tough in the NFL and Denver is desperate for a victory today. Denver has won 5 of their last 6 games against New York including a 26-0 victory last season. The Jets were just 1 for 11 on third down last week and had just 278 total yards. Denver is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. New York is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. This is a must win game for Denver and they get it by close to double-digits. |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Purdue +2.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -104 | 99 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #401 Purdue Boilermakers over Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 22 ESPN) Big 10 Game of the Year These two teams are heading in opposite directions. This is the time that Big 10 West teams can get their revenge on Wisconsin, a team that has dominated this west division since the inception. The Badgers have played two terrible teams the last two weeks and gone 1-1. Both Michigan State and Northwestern have terrible defenses and that is not the case with Purdue. The Boilermakers have won 4 straight games and could easily be 7-0 on the season. They have a much better passing game and have a defense that can stop the running attack of Wisconsin. This play is more about going against Wisconsin, a team that fired their coach 2.5 weeks ago and has a coaching staff that does not get along well the uncertainty of their coaching futures. Two more Badger players entered the transfer portal this week and I do not see things getting any better down the stretch. They will win some game because the Big 10 West is bad, but you just cannot count on them to win game against similar or better talented teams. Wisconsin has scored over 17 points just 6 times dating back to last year and they are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Purdue is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games in Madison. Purdue is the second-best team Wisconsin will have played this season and loss No. 5 will happen on Saturday. The road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 games between Purdue and Wisconsin. The Badgers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
10-16-22 | Jaguars v. Colts -1 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 117 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #256 Indianapolis Colts over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, October 16 CBS) It end’s today. The Colts have not had much success against Jacksonville in recent games, but they are just a better team not to beat them at home. Indianapolis has extra rest for this game, and they are 2-2-1 on the season despite not playing very well. That will change and QB Ryan will start to move the football through the air in this game. Jacksonville is coming off a bad loss to Houston last time out and they have not looked the same since a hot first quarter against Philadelphia two games ago. The home team is 7-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 10 games between Jacksonville and Indianapolis. The Jaguars are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games played during the month of October. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Nebraska +14 v. Purdue | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 99 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #143 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Purdue Boilermakers (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 15 BTN) We will grab the points in this game, as we feel Purdue is being overvalued. This team does not handle prosperity well and already has two close game losses on the season. Nebraska got down early to Rutgers last week but rallied for a confidence building victory. Nebraska has won 5 of the last 9 games against Purdue and they are also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games as an underdog. With Wisconsin on deck for Purdue, expect them to just go through the motions and win this game by 7-10 points. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Nebraska and Purdue. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Alabama v. Tennessee +7.5 | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 95 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Tennessee Volunteers over Alabama Crimson Tide (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 15 CBS) Never like to bet against Alabama, but this will be their toughest test of the 2022 regular season. Alabama has already had close calls with Texas and Texas A&M. This one should go down to the wire as well, as Tennessee has a quick tempo offense that is hard to stop. Tennessee is averaging close to 550 yards per game and QB Hooker can hold his own against QB Young, assuming that the later plays in this game. Alabama did not score in the final 28 minutes last week at home against Texas A&M and if they go on a drought like that this week they will lose straight-up. College Gameday is in town to get the crowd going early and this is a watershed moment for Tennessee. They will prove they belong as one of the elite teams in college football. The Crimson Tide are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
|||||||
10-09-22 | Dolphins v. Jets +3 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 95 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #466 New York Jets over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, October 9 CBS) The Dolphins are in turmoil after the handling of QB Tua the last two weeks and now just travel on the road to take on the Jets. New York is riding high coming back from Pittsburgh last Sunday to 2-2 on the season. The Jets have yet to win a home game this season, but I look for that to end on Sunday. Miami is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Look for this game to go down to the wire and the Jets to pull in out. |
|||||||
10-08-22 | Washington State +13.5 v. USC | 14-30 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #365 Washington State Cougars over USC Trojans (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 8 FOX) Just not sold on USC in the first year of a complete rebuild. Washington State has a better win on the season thus far and should be able to keep this game low scoring and cover the spread. Wazzou can move the football and put up points on this defense. USC is just 3-9 in their last 12 PAC-12 games. The road team is 7-2 in the last 9 games between Wazzou and Southern Cal. The Cougars are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of October. |
|||||||
10-08-22 | East Carolina +3.5 v. Tulane | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take ##379 East Carolina Pirates over Tulane Green Wave (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 8 ESPNU) The Pirates can score points and put up 52 last season against the Green Wave. Tulane has some impressive wins this season as well beating Kansas State and Houston, but they have quarterback issues and needed to play their third string quarterback last week. Tulane had not business winning last week looking at the stats and that will catch up to them in this game. East Carolina is a kicker away from being undefeated this season. East Carolina is 11-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Getting points with the better team is too good to pass up. |
|||||||
10-07-22 | Colorado State v. Nevada -3.5 | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Nevada Wolf Pack over Colorado State Rams (10:30p.m., Friday, October 7 FS1) This game is under the radar but means a lot to Nevada, as Jay Norvell left them for Colorado State, a team in the same conference. He also took a bunch of Nevada coaches and players and things could not have gone any worse for them so far in 2022. The Rams are 0-4 and have not been competitive in any game played this season, including games against Middle Tennessee State and Sacramento State. They have had several starters leave the team and they will he lucky to win more than 1 game this season. Nevada will take care of the football and not beat themselves and that should be good enough to win this game by double-digits. Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Colorado State. The Rams are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games. |
|||||||
10-02-22 | Broncos v. Raiders -2.5 | Top | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 99 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take 274 Las Vegas Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 2 CBS) It ends tonight! The Raiders will notch their first victory of the season and move to 1-3 and 1-1 in the division. The Raiders have been competitive in all 3 of their games this season and they just seem more buttoned up then the Broncos are at the moment. Las Vegas has won 4 straight games against Denver and the Broncos have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 7 games. Denver has been bad on offense most of the season, especially in the red zone. Denver is 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games against AFC West teams. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games in this series. |
|||||||
10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons | 20-23 | Loss | -118 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #269 Cleveland Browns -1 over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, October 2 CBS) Just feel the talent of the Browns is much stronger around their quarterback compared to the talent around Marcus Mariota. Cleveland has won 4 of the last 5 meetings which is shocking compared to how bad this team has been in this century. The Browns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against NFC teams. Atlanta is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games played during October. Atlanta’s ATS winning streak in 2022 comes to an end on Sunday. |
|||||||
10-01-22 | Illinois v. Wisconsin -7 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Wisconsin Badgers over Illinois Fighting Illini (12p.m., Saturday, October 1 BTN) Wisconsin got run over by Ohio State last Saturday night but playing Illinois should be much more to their likely. The Badgers have dominated this series winning 15 of the last 17 games. Coach Chryst seat is getting warm, and he needs a dominating performance against a former Wisconsin coach to tone down the fan base. Wisconsin fans still hate Bret Bielema and want to see a double-digit dominating win. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Wisconsin and Illinois. Finally, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games as well. |
|||||||
09-24-22 | Wisconsin +18 v. Ohio State | 21-52 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 47 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #341 Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (7:30p.m., Saturday 24 ABC) Just do not see a rout in this game. Wisconsin has the defense to slow down this Ohio State offense and look for them to keep them in check. QB Mertz has been playing better this season despite losing to Washington State and he will need to be effective in this game for Wisconsin to sustain drives. Ohio State has not played a team this good and I look for Wisconsin to implement that Notre Dame gameplan. The Buckeyes are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Big 10 games. |
|||||||
09-19-22 | Vikings +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 57 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #291 Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (8:30pm., Monday, September 19 ABC) The Vikings looked impressive in their season opening game dominating Green Bay for the majority of that 60 minute game. Now they travel on the road to face a team that many believe will be the NFC East winner come January. Always tough to trust the Vikings on a consistent basis, but that have a new coach and just are the more talented team in this game. That includes the quarterback position. Minnesota needs to stop the run in this game and make Jalen Hurts beat them through the air. Philadelphia is 3-13 in their last 16 games played during Week 2 of the regular season. Getting rid of the negative Mike Zimmer energy will help the Vikings immensely. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | Fresno State v. USC -11.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 78 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #202 USC Trojans over Fresno State Bulldogs (10:30p.m., Saturday, September FOX) Fresno State is a good program but they are a mid-major California school compared to USC. The Trojans are rolling on offense, and I believe they can outscore their way to a double-digit victory on Saturday night. USC has won 4 straight games against Fresno State, and they are 34-1-1 straight-up against MWC teams. With a total in the seventies, I look for USC to pull away late and win this game by around 20 points. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #193 UTSA Roadrunners over Texas Longhorns (8p.m., Saturday, September 17 LHN) Just feel this is a tough spot for Texas coming off an emotional loss to Alabama last Saturday. Throw in the face Texas has quarterback issues with their top two on the depth chart and I feel this game could be in single digits. UTSA is pretty good for a mid-major program with an explosive offense and can score points and backdoor this game if needed. With the opening of Big 12 play on deck expect this classic sandwich game to go down to the wire. UTSA is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games. Texas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | Purdue v. Syracuse -1 | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 67 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Syracuse Orange over Purdue Boilermakers (12p.m., Saturday, September 17 ESPN2) Just do not trust Purdue to win games like this on a consistent basis. Syracuse has had a revival through two games this season with a coach that came in on the hot seat to open 2022. The Orange have blown out two opponents to go 2-0 this season including a win over Louisville as an underdog. Garrett Shrader is a top 5 quarterback in passing this young season and he works nicely with RB Sean Tucker to give them a 1-2 punch. Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games. |
|||||||
09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 121 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #482 Seattle Seahawks over Denver Broncos (8:15p.m., Monday, September 12 ESPN) The Hawks are not expected to contend this season as they traded away their quarterback to Denver. But the fan base will be excited for this game, and it is one of the toughest tickets in town. Look for Seattle to rise to the occasion and take this game down to the wire. Denver gave up a ton of capital to get Russell Wilson and they were not a very good team last year. Seattle is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC teams. The Hawks are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games when they are an underdog. Seattle has won 9 of their last 10 home games. Too much emotion for Russell Wilson to blow out Seattle and expect this game to go down to the wire and we will come out on top either way. |
|||||||
09-11-22 | Steelers +7 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 90 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #461 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, September 11 CBS) We will grab the points in this divisional rivalry. People are starting to bury the Steelers, but one must remember that Mike Tomlin has never had a losing record in his coaching career. Pittsburgh has the better defense in this game and that should allow them to keep this game as a one score game. The Steelers lost both games to the Bengals last year but have owned this series in the last two decades. Pittsburgh is 21-10 ATS in the last 32 meetings (1 push) and 16-5 ATS in the last 23 games played in Cincinnati (2 pushes). |
|||||||
09-10-22 | Kent State v. Oklahoma -33 | 3-33 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Oklahoma Sooners over Kent State Golden Flashes (7p.m., Saturday, September 10 ESPN+) Not sure who thought it would be a good idea for Kent State to play three buy games in one season. But that is what has occurred in 2022 with road games against Washington, Oklahoma and Georgia. The Golden Flashes lost by 25 points last week to Washington and the score in that game could have been much worse. Kent State pulled most of their starters in the second half to protect them for the MAC Conference games and they will do the same thing in this one as well. Oklahoma wants to show they are still one of the top teams in the Big 12 and they pounded UTEP in their opening game. This will be another victory likely by 40+ points. The Golden Flashes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 straight home games. |
|||||||
09-10-22 | Washington State v. Wisconsin -17 | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #356 Wisconsin Badgers over Washington State Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 10 FOX) Wisconsin has the best defense in the Big 10 and I just believe Wazzou will struggle to move the football and score points in this game. It may not be a dominating performance but the cumulative effect on a strong running game and a defense that can rush the passer will allow Wisconsin to win by 20+ points. The Badgers were able to hold some things back last week playing an FCS school. Wazzou played an FCS school as well and they were in a dog fight for 60 minutes and trailed 10-0 in that game. |
|||||||
09-03-22 | Louisville -4 v. Syracuse | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #169 Louisville Cardinals over Syracuse Orange (8p.m., Saturday, September 3 ACCN) Just do not see much hope for Syracuse and Dino Babers turning things around. He is 3-15 in the ACC the last 2 years and is facing a team that has had his number of late. Louisville has covered the spread against Syracuse in 7 of the last 8 meetings. That included winning 41-3 last year and their margin of victory in the last 8 games is 31 points. Louisville picked up some key transfers this season and Syracuse has a new offensive coordinator that might not fit their skill players system. The favorite has covered the spread in this game 8 straight meetings. |
|||||||
09-03-22 | Texas State v. Nevada | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 54 h 8 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #208 Nevada Wolf Pack over Texas State Bobcats (5:30p.m., Saturday, September 3 local) This line has moved too far the other way and now the value lies with Nevada. The Wolf Pack did not look good on offense last Saturday but having a game under their belt will help them in this one. This is the home opener with a popular coach and expect Nevada to win this game. Texas State has never made a bowl game since becoming eligible. The Wolf Pack are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. |
|||||||
09-01-22 | West Virginia v. Pittsburgh -7.5 | 31-38 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 Pittsburgh Panthers over West Virginia Mountaineers (7p.m., Thursday, September 1 ESPN) The Backyard Brawl is back for the first time in over a decade. West Virginia has taken a step back and look for Pittsburgh to have another successful season in the ACC. Pittsburgh brings back a lot of talent and Coach Narduzzi will not take this game lightly. West Virginia has become forgotten once they left the Big East and has not been very strong in Big 12 play the last couple of seasons. West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against ACC teams. Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Look for the Panthers to come out strong and win this game by double digits. |
|||||||
08-27-22 | Vanderbilt -7.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 63-10 | Win | 100 | 80 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #311 Vanderbilt Commodores over Hawaii Warriors (10:30p.m., Saturday, August 27 CBSSN) This is more a play against Hawaii instead of liking the worst team in the SEC. The Warriors are in a major rebuild having lost their coach due to off the field issues. Now former quarterback Timmy Chang is the head coach, and he will struggle to keep this team competitive in 2022. Hawaii returned just 6 starters and only 2 of them are on defense. Vanderbilt has the better defense and running game and that should be good enough to win this game by double digits. They lost to an FCS team in their opening game last year and need to avoid a similar fate to open the season this year. Vanderbilt is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Hawaii is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. |
|||||||
02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 78 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 Cincinnati Bengals over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 13 NBC) The Bengals have a knack for hanging around in games and I expect them to take this game down to the wire as well. The Rams have all the pressure on them for this game, as they are playing at home and have a team full of stars. The Bengals have the better quarterback and if given time to throw the football he will pick apart this Rams secondary. The 49ers had the Rams on the rope and should have won that game if they could have made a play on either side of the football in the fourth quarter (dropped interception and two 3 and outs). The Rams were just 10-9 ATS (1 push) this season, whereas the Bengals are 12-6 (2 pushes) on the season. Take the points as this game like most of the NFL Playoffs games this season should go down to the wire. |
|||||||
01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 79 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #323 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (6:40 p.m., Sunday, January 30 FOX) The 49ers have had the Rams number under Kyle Shanahan and will enter this game having beaten them 6 straight games (5 as an underdog). The 49ers had a ton of fans at SoFi Stadium during Week 18, and expect a similar occurrence on Sunday. The Rams were hanging on for dear life last week at Tampa Bay, and I do not see them blowing out the 49ers in this game. These are divisional opponents, and both teams are very familiar with what the other teams is trying to do. The underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the 49ers and Rams. The Rams are 6-13 ATS in their last 20 home games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of January. |
|||||||
01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -130 | 76 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #322 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (3:05 p.m., Sunday, January 30 CBS) The Chiefs got a break with Tennessee losing last week, and Patrick Mahomes and company get to play at home yet again in the AFC Playoffs. Cincinnati won the earlier meeting this season, but that was in the Queen City and this game will be at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have been unstoppable during the postseason, putting up 84 points in two games. They also have a pass rush that should lead to issues for QB Joe Burrow, as he was sacked 9 times last week on the road. Despite covering their last two games, the Bengals are just 2-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 playoff games. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between Cincinnati and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
|||||||
01-23-22 | Bills +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 36-42 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #317 Buffalo Bills over Kansas City Chiefs (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 23 CBS) All the experts in sports handicapping like Buffalo in this game and getting points is too good to pass up. Buffalo has a strong offense that already won in Kansas City this season by 18 points. The Kansas City defense is improved but they have not faced many explosive offenses like they will see on Sunday night with Buffalo. Buffalo did not punt once in their game last week against New England and scored a touchdown on every possession that did not kneel. Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. |
|||||||
01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers -5.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #304 Green Bay Packers over San Francisco 49ers (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 22 FOX) The 49ers will be playing their second straight road game and this time they will be facing a much stronger team. Green Bay finished in the top 10 on both sides of the football and were undefeated at Lambeau Field this season (7-1 ATS in those games). The 49ers do not enter this game healthy with key injuries last week especially on the defensive side of the football. Green Bay has a major edge at the quarterback position in this game and the line has been going up since it opened at 4.5 on Sunday night. |
|||||||
01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -3 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #302 Tennessee Titans over Cincinnati Bengals (4:30p.m., Sunday, January 22 CBS) The Titans are starting to get healthy, and they have the defense to be able to contain Joe Burrow and company. Burrow has been making up for a subpar offensive line, but I do not believe he will be able to do that in this game. The Titans have won 3 straight games entering Saturday and might have the coach of the year on their sidelines. Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 playoff games. Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. |
|||||||
01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -100 | 123 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #148 Dallas Cowboys over San Francisco 49ers (4:30p.m., Sunday, January 16 CBS) The 49ers have the Rams number but that is not the case with the Cowboys. Dallas is the No. 1 scoring offense averaging close to 30 points per game. Dallas has beaten San Francisco 5 of the last 7 postseason meetings. San Francisco went 4-5 straight-up against teams with a winning record. The 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games. Dallas is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games. Both teams come in hot, but the different in this game will be the Cowboys offensive firepower. |
|||||||
01-15-22 | Patriots +4 v. Bills | 17-47 | Loss | -109 | 103 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #143 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 15 CBS) Weather may play a role in this game as it will be bitterly cold with a chance of snow. That reminds me of the first meetings between these two teams, when the Patriots won despite hardily throwing the football. The Patriots have the No. 1 scoring defense in the league, and they just need QB Jones to make timely plays with his arm. New England is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Buffalo is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game. This is a divisional game, and we expect it to go down to the wire and be decided by 3 points or less. |
|||||||
01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 151 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #287 Georgia Bulldogs over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Monday, January 10 ESPN) This line is begging you to take Alabama, but we feel that Georgia is favored for a reason. Both teams dominated their semi-final games against inferior competition, but Georgia is the healthier team in this game, especially on the offensive side of the football. An assistant coach finally beat Nick Saban during the regular season this year and his second lost to an assistant coach will come in this game. Beating a team twice in a season is always a tough task and I just believe Georgia is the more motivated team. Alabama has a major edge at quarterback, but I like Georgia and basically every other position on the field. Georgia is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as a favorite. Alabama is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of January. |
|||||||
01-09-22 | Chargers -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -114 | 127 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #481 Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:20p.m., Sunday, January 9 NBC) The Raiders have played better of late to stay in the hunt for a wild card berth, but this franchise has not won many games like this during the 21st century. Los Angeles dominated the first meeting of the season winning by 14 points. Las Vegas is just 4-4 at home with losses to Chicago and Washington part of those 4 losses. Los Angeles has better playmakers on both sides of the football, and they will march onto the playoffs next weekend. The road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the Chargers and the Raiders. Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
|||||||
01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles +7.5 | 51-26 | Loss | -118 | 103 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 8 ESPN) This spread is high considering neither team has that much to play for in this game. Dallas is not getting the No. 2 seed and Philadelphia is locked into a wild card road game. The Eagles have won 4 straight games and they have a first-year head coach that will likely play this game all out. Dallas is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of January. |
|||||||
01-08-22 | Montana State +8 v. North Dakota State | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308911 Montana State Bobcats over North Dakota State Bison (12p.m., Saturday, January 8 ESPN2) This line has been trending down and with this long of a layoff I expect his to be a low scoring competitive game. The over under in this game is just 42 points and that is a low total for a team to cover more than a touchdown spread. NDSU is solid on both sides of the football but their offense is not as dynamic as it has been in previous seasons. The Bobcats have the more impressive resume in 2021 with a ton of skill players. Montana State is starting a freshman quarterback but he has the ability to beat you with his legs and arm. Expect this to be a defensive battle and we will grab the points in this championship game. |
|||||||
01-02-22 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -5 | 25-22 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #110 Dallas Cowboys over Arizona Cardinals (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 2 FOX) Arizona is in freefall at the moment and will travel to AT&T Stadium having lost 3 straight games. Their offense is not what is was earlier in the season and Dallas has a strong defense that can create turnovers. Dallas is coming off a dominating win last week against Washington and look for another double-digit victory Sunday afternoon in what will be a high scoring game. Arizona is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against NFC opponents. |
|||||||
01-02-22 | Lions +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 29-51 | Loss | -102 | 118 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #125 Detroit Lions over Seattle Seahawks (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 2 FOX) Seattle is coming off a bad loss to the Bears and the reality of a bad season is starting to set in with them. They have make major changes in the offseason and they do not even have their first round draft pick in 2022. Detroit has been more competitive of late winning against Arizona and should have won against Atlanta last Sunday. Detroit is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of January. Seattle has too many issues on both sides of the football to be this big of a favorite. |
|||||||
01-02-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -5.5 | 13-34 | Win | 101 | 118 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Los Angeles Chargers over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 2 CBS) Denver has seen their playoff changes fall apart, losing 3 of their last 4 games. They now must play back-to-back road games and they will get an angry Chargers teams. Los Angeles is coming off a bad loss to Houston, but in typical Charger fashion expect them to win this game big. Denver has quarterback issues, and their head coach is fighting with players. Denver is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 divisional games. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games played during the month of January. |
|||||||
01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #119 Miami Dolphins over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, January 2 CBS) Both teams are coming off impressive wins, but the Dolphins are the hottest team in the league having won 7 straight games. Tennessee still is not the same team without Derrick Henry and I do not see them blowing out red-hot Miami team in this game. The Dolphins are 20-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 29 games as an underdog. The Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the Dolphins. |
|||||||
01-01-22 | Kentucky -2.5 v. Iowa | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 91 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #279 Kentucky Wildcats over Iowa Hawkeyes (1p.m., Saturday, January 1 ABC) CITRUS BOWL Iowa got exposed for playing in the Big 10 West and expect Kentucky to beat them at their own game on Saturday. Kentucky has a better offense this year than they have had in past years and do not have to win games via a defensive struggle. Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Kentucky is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games. |
|||||||
12-31-21 | Georgia v. Michigan +7.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 Michigan Wolverines over Georgia Bulldogs (7:30p.m., Friday, December 31 ESPN) ORANGE BOWL Georgia dominated a weak SEC East and they were exposed by Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. Michigan passed both of their tests in the last two games of the regular season, and they are playing with confidence entering this game. Georgia will need to run the football to take pressure off Stetson Bennett, as I do not believe he will be up for this big of a game. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up loss in their previous game. Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win in their previous game. |
|||||||
12-30-21 | Arizona State +6 v. Wisconsin | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Arizona State Sun Devils over Wisconsin Badgers (10:30p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) LAS VEGAS BOWL All season long the metrics have overrated this Wisconsin team. Their quarterback struggled much of the season and if opponents can stop the run this team struggles to move the football. Jayden Daniels is playing in this game and he can beat you with his arm and his legs. Both teams are missing key players and thus I expect this to be a defensive battle that goes down to the wire. Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Arizona State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Big 10 teams. |
|||||||
12-30-21 | Purdue v. Tennessee -4.5 | Top | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 215 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #257 Tennessee Volunteers over Purdue Boilermakers (3p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) MUSIC CITY BOWL Just believe Purdue underachieved this season and now will be without David Bell and George Karlaftis for this game. Throw in the face this game is played in Nashville giving the Volunteers a big home field advantage and I expect Tennessee to win this game by double-digits. Purdue was in this same bowl in 2018 and got run over by a so-so SEC team and that same situation presents itself on Thursday. Tennessee held their own in the SEC West and has a first year head coach that wants to finish off the season the right way. They have won 3 of their last 4 games (only loss to Georgia) and should be able to outscore Purdue in this game. Purdue struggles to score points and they need their defense to create situations for their offense. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. |
|||||||
12-27-21 | Western Michigan v. Nevada +7 | 52-24 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #234 Nevada Wolf Pack over Western Michigan Broncos (11a.m., Monday, December 27 ESPN) QUICK LANE BOWL This line has swung two touchdowns with Nevada being without their coach and quarterback. But this is still an early start again and is just an average team from a weaker conference. Nevada has a coaching staff that wants to make a name for themselves and I believe they can make this game competitive. Western Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. |
|||||||
12-26-21 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #477 Denver Broncos over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) Both teams must win this game to keep their playoff changes alive, but I just trust the Broncos more in this game. Denver will likely have Drew Lock as quarterback, but I do not see much off a drop-off with him compared to Teddy Bridgewater. Las Vegas is just 3-4 at Allegiant Stadium this season and Denver is 6-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 road games. Denver has not had good success against Las Vegas in recent years, but they will turn the tide on Sunday. Las Vegas is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
|||||||
12-26-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bengals | 21-41 | Loss | -105 | 116 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Baltimore Ravens over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) The AFC North continues to be bunched up and Baltimore cannot afford to get swept by Cincinnati in 2021. Baltimore has lost 3 consecutive games by a total of 4 points and I feel this game will go down to the wire as well. Cincinnati is banged up at linebacker and I like how the Ravens defense played against Aaron Rodgers last week. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between Baltimore and Cincinnati. The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
|||||||
12-26-21 | Bills v. Patriots -2 | 33-21 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) Just do not believe Buffalo is mentally tough enough to win this game. New England already won at Buffalo by hardly throwing a pass in that game and I feel they will sweep the season series against the Bills. Buffalo is both on both lines of scrimmage and I feel that will be the difference in this game. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. The Patriots take control of the division and win this game by double-digits. |
|||||||
12-25-21 | Colts v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #257 Tennessee Volunteers over Purdue Boilermakers (3p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) MUSIC CITY BOWL Just believe Purdue underachieved this season and now will be without David Bell and George Karlaftis for this game. Throw in the face this game is played in Nashville giving the Volunteers a big home field advantage and I expect Tennessee to win this game by double-digits. Purdue was in this same bowl in 2018 and got run over by a so-so SEC team and that same situation presents itself on Thursday. Tennessee held their own in the SEC West and has a first year head coach that wants to finish off the season the right way. They have won 3 of their last 4 games (only loss to Georgia) and should be able to outscore Purdue in this game. Purdue struggles to score points and they need their defense to create situations for their offense. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. |
|||||||
12-20-21 | Vikings v. Bears +3.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -100 | 148 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #332 Chicago Bears over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 20 ESPN) Just do not trust the Vikings in this situation on the road. Minnesota is 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games at Soldier Field. Chicago looked good against the Packers in the first half before falling apart in the second half. QB Cousins usually does not play well in primetime games and I see this one going down to the wire as well. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games played on Monday. Chicago is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday. |
|||||||
12-19-21 | Panthers v. Bills -10 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 117 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308 Buffalo Bills over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 19 FOX) The Bills have been struggling of late but Carolina should allow them to get back on track. When Buffalo wins games this season it tends to come via blowouts and today should be no different. Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Carolina has lost 3 straight games and 8 of their last 10 overall. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come by at least 15 points, over today’s posted number. |
|||||||
12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 Indianapolis Colts over New England Patriots (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 18 NFLN) The Patriots have been on a roll and will enter this game having won 7 straight games. But I believe that the right team is favored, as Indianapolis needs this game more. RB Taylor has been on quite a roll of his own, scoring a touchdown in 10 straight games. The Colts have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. New England is not going to run the table the rest of the regular season and a loss here might do them some good in the long run. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between New England and Indianapolis. |
|||||||
12-18-21 | UAB +7 v. BYU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #211 UAB Blazers over BYU Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 18 ABC) BYU is the better team and had the better season, but that does not mean much in these lesser bowl games. The Cougars are disappointed to be playing in this bowl game and I just do not believe their players and staff are motivated to be playing in Shreveport, LA. BYU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of December. UAB will have the crowd edge and should be able to take this game down to the wire. |
|||||||
12-18-21 | UTEP +12.5 v. Fresno State | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #209 UTEP Miners over Fresno State Bulldogs (2:15p.m., Saturday, December 18 ESPN) Fresno State likely believes they belong in a better bowl game, but the MWC has agreements with a lot of bad bowl games. Throw in the fact they lost coach and some staff to Washington, and we will grab the points in this game. UTEP did not finish up the regular season well, but some time off will do them good in this game. Fresno State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 120 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 12 CBS) Buffalo is coming off a bad loss to New England on Monday Night Football and now must travel to face one of the top teams in the league. The favorite is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between the Bills and Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 12-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 17 games played during the month of December. The Bills chances of winning the NFC East are low and this team will be lucky to make the playoffs as a wild card. |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -9.5 | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 116 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Kansas City Chiefs over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 12 CBS) The Chiefs are rolling right now having won 5 straight games including the last three by double digits. That includes a 41-14 win against the Raiders in Sin City. The Raiders have scored 16 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games and all four of those games were losses. Las Vegas is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between Las Vegas and Kansas City. Sooner or later the Chiefs offense will get going and it will start on Sunday. |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Seahawks v. Texans +7.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -109 | 116 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #120 Houston Texans over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, December 12 FOX) Just do not believe that the Seahawks should be favored by this many points, especially when the game is taking place on the road. Seattle is 3-8 in their last 11 games and are not very good on either side of the football. Houston has been playing better defense of late and if they can keep Seattle in the teens or low twenties, they should be able to cover this spread. Seattle is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Houston is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. |
|||||||
12-09-21 | Steelers +3.5 v. Vikings | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #101 Pittsburg Steelers over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 9 AMAZON) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Lions that greatly damaged their playoff chances for this season. They also have injuries for this short week game and I do not see them blowing out the Steelers on Thursday night football. Coach Tomlin has never had a losing record and I do not see that occurring in 2021 either. Minnesota is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when the are favored. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games played on Thursday. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. |
|||||||
12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | Top | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 148 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #475 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Monday, December 6 ESPN) First place in the AFC East is on the line in this game as New England travels to Buffalo to take on the Bills. New England will enter having won 6 straight games and if they can keep it close they will likely win it straight up. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come via blowouts. That means if New England can keep it close early, Buffalo will likely find a way to lose it. The road team is 22-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 32 meetings between New England and Buffalo. |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Ravens -4 v. Steelers | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Baltimore Ravens over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) Just have no confidence in Pittsburgh at this moment, especially on the offensive side of the football. Baltimore struggled on offense last week against Cleveland, but I feel they are better on both sides of the football in this game. The Steelers defense is not what it appears to be, as they rank close to the bottom in a bunch of defensive categories. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Baltimore and Pittsburgh. The Ravens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of December. |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Vikings v. Lions +7 | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 117 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Detroit Lions over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) Minnesota is coming off a loss last week to San Francisco and playing on the road for a second straight week will doom them in. This was a 2 point game when these teams met earlier this season and I think this game will go down to the wire as well. Detroit has extra rest and playing a familiar division foe should allow them to be competitive for 60 minutes. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Eagles -6.5 v. Jets | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 117 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #461 Philadelphia Eagles over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) No play against the Jets is a bad play and they are facing a team that has won 2 of their last 3 games. Philadelphia cannot afford to lose to both New York teams in consecutive weeks. The Jets have never beaten the Eagles going 0-11 lifetime. The Jets have quarterback issues and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC teams. Philadelphia will take care of the football and win this game by double digits. The Eagles have covered the spread in 5 straight games against the Jets. |
|||||||
12-04-21 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 96 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #318 Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (4p.m., Saturday, December 4 CBS) Georgia has the best defense in the country but they have not played a quarterback like Bryce Young. Alabama will be able to move the football and put-up points against this defense and I am not sold on how Georgia will respond when that occurs. Stetson Bennett is a game manager, and I was not impressed with him last season. He has been efficient this season but has not faced any pressure. Alabama needs this game to make the college football playoff and Georgia will still make the playoff even if they lose this game. That is a big difference and will allow Alabama to win this game straight-up. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Georgia and Alabama. The Crimson Tide is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah -2.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 76 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Utah Utes over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Saturday, December 4 FOX) Rematches can be tricky but I just believe Utah has the better quarterback and the better all-around team. Utah beat Oregon 38-7 two weeks ago and the Utes will enter having won 5 straight games. The Utes are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 conference games. Oregon is 8-20 ATS in tier last 28 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Utah wins the PAC-12 and heads to Pasadena. |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Browns v. Ravens -3.5 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 103 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Baltimore Ravens over Cleveland Browns (8:20 p.m., Sunday, November 28 NBC) Cleveland is in disarray at the quarterback position, as Baker Mayfield continues to play poorly and is also injured. Baltimore survived last week without their starting quarterback and should play much better this week with Lamar Jackson back behind center. Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games prior to a bye and had to hang on for dear life last week against the winless Lions. Cleveland is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against the NFC North. Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Cleveland. |