Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-06-21 | Clemson v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Year. Clemson is finally coming off its first cover of the season and in unlikely fashion but it got into the ATS win column and now comes in overpriced on the road. The Tigers offense remains a work in progress despite playing eight games as the Tigers are ranked No. 114 in total yards at 330.6 and No. 113 in scoring at 21.3 ppg. Taking away that fumble recovery and overtime scores and Clemson has averaged 17.5 ppg over its last six games on offense. The defense has kept this team respectable but even that unit is down a notch from the previous years although the Tigers have done a good job of keeping points off the board. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Louisville is coming off a loss at NC State despite outgaining the Wolfpack and the Cardinals are now 1-3 away from home. They are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Virginia by a single point on a last minute touchdown. Overall, they are No. 30 in total offense and can get things rolling again at home. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Louisville Cardinals |
|||||||
11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | Top | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Portland is coming off a miserable east coast roadtrip at it lost all three games at Charlotte, Philadelphia and Cleveland and the Blazers were favored in all of those games. They are now 3-5 on the season which includes a 0-4 record on the road but they head home where they are 3-1 and that includes three straight wins by an average of 22.7 ppg against the Suns, Grizzlies and Clippers. Despite the struggles, the offense has been fine as they are averaging 111.0 ppg which is seventh best in the NBA and at home, Portland is averaging 120.5 ppg, second best in the league as is its shooting from long range at 41.4 percent. Damian Lillard is averaging just 19.5 ppg as he has been ice cold from the floor but a breakout here is in the cards. The Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing straight up record. The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but both of those wins came at home and they are winless on the road at 0-4. The Portland offense should once again flourish here as Indiana comes in with the second worst defense on the road as it is allowing 120.3 ppg which is the second most in the league. The Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two or more consecutive unders, in a game involving teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (550) Portland Trail Blazers |
|||||||
11-05-21 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +3 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CFB Friday Night Lights. After a 4-0 start, Boston College has lost four straight games which has put it at the bottom of the ACC Atlantic Division at 4-0. Three of those losses came on the road while the only home game in that stretch came against 6-2 NC State. The Eagles have an above average defense as they are ranked No. 42 overall and No. 33 in scoring defense and will be facing a very inconsistent offense. They are No. 14 in the nation in third down defense, and third in the ACC behind NC State and Pittsburgh. Additionally, Boston College has allowed an ACC-low seven touchdown passes. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. Virginia Tech was on a three-game losing streak and was able to put that to a halt with a win over Georgia Tech this past Saturday to even its record at 4-4. The Hokies are coming off their best offensive game of the season but that came against a Yellow Jackets defense that is ranked No. 105 in the country in yards allowed. They have been outgained in five of eight games and will face a substantially better defense as they hit road for the second straight game on a short week. They have struggled to defend the run as they are ranked No. 12 in the conference with 179.6 ypg allowed. Virginia Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers. Here, we play against road team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boston College Eagles |
|||||||
11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10.5 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Colts are coming off a tough loss against Tennessee on Sunday in overtime as they blew a 14-0 lead and had some costly turnovers down the stretch. They now trail the Titans by three games in the AFC South and they have some work to do to get back into the playoff picture. This is a big two-game home stretch against the Jets and Jaguars and they have to win both and they also need to dominate to get some confidence back before facing the Bills and Buccaneers. The Colts are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. After getting outgained in six of their previous seven games, New York outgained the Bengals by 193 total yards in a 34-31 win. While it was a solid Jets win, it can considered a bad Cincinnati loss as they still seemed to be relishing in their win over Baltimore the previous week. New York is 0-3 in true road games and has failed to cover any of those and has been outgained by close to 200 ypg while getting outscored by 24 ppg. Quarterback Matt White had a game for the ages as he threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns but he comes back down to earth here. In the four major statistical categories, total yards, rushing yards, passing yards and points per game, the Jets are ranked No. 27 or worse in six of eight of those eight categories on offense and defense. Conversely, Indianapolis is ranked No. 15 or better in those categories. The Jets are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams allowing 235 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing between 18 and 23 ppg and after scoring 30 points or more last game going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
|||||||
11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat -7 | Top | 95-78 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Boston snapped a three-game losing streak thanks to a 33-6 run that blew open a tight game but that was Orlando and now the Celtics face one of the hottest teams in the NBA. Boston held Orlando to 79 points on 32 percent shooting, both season lows, but the Magic have one of the worst offenses in the NBA and one game is not going to turn the Celtics defense around. They are second to last in points allowed, barely ahead of Charlotte, and they will be facing a sneaky good offense from a team that is getting headlines for its defense. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Miami is 6-1 to start the season and it has won and covered five straight games. The Heat possess the best defense in the NBA as they are allowing just 98.9 ppg and 39.7 percent shooting from the floor. On the other side, they also lead the league in scoring at 115.6 ppg and they are averaging 119.7 ppg in their six wins. The Heat are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite and are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home teams off two or more consecutive road wins, in November games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Miami Heat |
|||||||
11-03-21 | Knicks +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. The Knicks are coming off a bad loss against Toronto which snapped a three-game winning streak to fall to 5-2 on the season. They attempted a season low 76 shots but still had a 15-point lead at one point but obviously let that go. They hit the road where they are 3-0 and that includes a win over Chicago which is the Bulls only loss of the season. New York is third in the NBA in road scoring at 116 ppg and its 49.2 percent shooting is good for second best. The Knicks easily lead the league from long range at 46.6 percent and should be able to once again take advantage here. The Knicks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Indiana snapped a four-game losing streak with a 13-point win over San Antonio which has gotten off to a horrible start. The defense remains an issue however as the Pacers allowed 118 point in the victory and they are allowing 113.3 ppg which is No. 27 in the league. It is not a pace issue as Indiana allows opponents to shoot 45.9 percent, which is No. 24 in the NBA and this includes allowing 38.8 percent from long range, No. 26 overall. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 85-47 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) New York Knicks |
|||||||
11-03-21 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 47-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Northern Illinois has won five straight games including the last four in the MAC to build a two-game lead in the MAC West Division. The Huskies have covered four of those five games and in the four MAC games, they have been outgained overall with all four being decided by one possession including two by a combined three points. Five of the Huskies eight games have been decided by a touchdown or less and Northern Illinois won the Georgia Tech, Toledo and Central Michigan games by scoring in the last minute of play. Northern Illinois leans on its strong rushing attack as it is averaging 232.8 ypg which is No. 10 in the country and while that would normally be a big edge, Kent St. is not far behind. Northern Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. The Golden Flashes average 220.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 17 in the country and should feast on the Huskies defense. They are one of the youngest units in the nation with 10 second year freshmen and three true freshmen playing key roles across every level. Kent St. has won three of its last four games to sit in a first place tie with Miami Ohio in the MAC East Division. The Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 84-42 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
|||||||
11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2 | Top | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Miami has won and covered four straight games and with the Chicago win and New York loss on Monday, the idle Heat are a half-game out of first place in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are one of five teams in the early going that are ranked in the top ten in both offensive and defensive shooting and they lead the way in the latter at 39.1 percent while allowing a league-low 97.0 ppg. Miami has held the last four opponents to under 42 percent shooting in each game while giving up an average of 39.2 percent shooting across those. This is nearly unheard of where the NBA is heading but the hard work is paying off. Following three straight wins, Dallas got thumped at Denver by 31 points before bouncing back with a win against Sacramento on Sunday. The Mavericks have picked up their game defensively as well as after allowing 119.5 ppg in their first two games, they have given up 101.0 ppg over their last five games on 43.4 percent shooting. Additionally, they are ranked No. 9 in opponent true shooting percentage which is a measure of shooting efficiency that takes into account field goals, three-point field goals, and free throws. While going 1-2 on the road, Dallas is 3-0 at home and going back, the Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against road teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 41 percent or better on the season, after 4 straight games allowing 42 percent or less from the floor. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Dallas Mavericks |
|||||||
11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Toledo is coming off an upset win over Western Michigan to move into a tie for second Place in the MAC West, two games behind 4-0 Northern Illinois. Catching the Huskies is unlikely as they lost the meeting but getting bowl eligible is the goal now and they are two wins away. The 4-4 record could be a lot better as three of those losses came by three, two and three points against Notre Dame, Northern Illinois and Central Michigan respectively and those three teams are a combined 17-7. The strength for the Rockets is their defense as they are No. 25 overall and No. 15 in scoring. Toledo is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 home games after a win by 17 or more points. Eastern Michigan is ranked fifth in the MAC and No. 79 in the country in total defense, allowing 393.3 ypg. The Eagles have been good against the pass but their rushing defense has been horrible as they allow 184.1 ypg which is No. 101 in the nation and they allowed 17 rushing touchdowns which is near the botto4 across all teams. The offense has been below average as they are No. 90 in total offense and No. 109 in rushing offense. Eastern Michigan is dead even in turnover margin at 10-10 while Toledo is 11-4 and that +7 differential is tied for No. 11 in the country. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Toledo Rockets |
|||||||
11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Kansas City has lost two of its last three and four of its last six games to fall to 3-4 overall which has the Chiefs in last place in the AFC West. They have struggled within the conference but at 2-0 against the NFL, both coming against NFC East team Washington and Philadelphia and by a combined score of 73-43 and this is a statement game to close the first half on a positive before hitting a tough stretch of three straight games against division leaders. The offense has not lost a step but turnovers have been an issue. They led the NFL in total offense in 2020, averaging 414.7 ypg and this year, they are averaging 419.3 ypg, third in the NFL behind Dallas and Tampa Bay. The defense has been dreadful but in the four losses, Kansas City has faced offenses ranked No. 4, No. 5, No. 11 and No. 12 and the Giants are well below those rankings. New York continues to be ravaged with injuries at the wide receiver position so it will be hard pressed to take advantage of the Chiefs defense. They did put up 25 points against Carolina last week but managed only 302 total yards and while the defense played well, it came against the Panthers which have the eighth worst offense in the NFL. The Giants had a top-10 defense last season under coordinator Patrick Graham but this year, they were a bottom 10 unit and are allowing 25.7 ppg. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 1-8 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. 10* (278) Kansas City Chiefs |
|||||||
11-01-21 | Raptors v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Atlantic Game of the Month. New York has won three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and it holds a one-game lead over Philadelphia in the Atlantic Division. The Knicks are ranked second in the NBA in scoring at 117.0 ppg while their 46.5 percent shooting is good for No. 5 in the league. They are one of only two teams that are shooting more than 40 percent from long range. When looking more at the analytical side, New York is No. 2 in effective field goal percentage after finishing sixth worst last season. While the offense is humming, the defense is playing at a high level also as the Knicks are ranked No. 9 in effective field goal percentage defense and their 42.3 percent shooting allowed is No. 5 in the league. The Knicks are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. The Raptors are starting to turn the corner but we are not sold on them. Toronto is now 4-3 on the season following three straight wins but the early schedule has played a big role in this. The four wins have come against Boston, Orlando and Indiana (twice) and those three teams are a combined 4-16 while the three losses are against teams a combined 14-4. The defense has been playing well but the offense is No. 22 in scoring and No. 24 in shooting percentage. The Raptors are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage of .75 percent or better off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. 10* (540) New York Knicks |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Blazers -1 v. Hornets | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start to the season following a 15-point loss at Miami on Friday. The Hornets do own a solid win over Brooklyn but overall, their four wins have come against teams that are a combined 8-19. They still lead the league in scoring offense at 117.5 ppg but the defense remains a work in progress as Charlotte is No. 27 in scoring defense, giving up 115.7 ppg while allowing opponents to shoot 47.9 percent from the floor which is second highest in the league. While the perimeter defense has been good, the Hornets are allowing a league worst 59.7 percent from inside the arc. The Hornets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog. Portland has won two straight games to move over .500 on the season and it has done so with a solid defense, allowing just 43.3 percent shooting which is No. 9 in the NBA. They are No. 8 in defensive rating compared to finishing No. 29 last season and have gone up against good offenses that includes three teams that finished in the top 10 in offensive rating last season. The offense is a notch below from last season and a lot of that is due to the slow start from Damian Lillard who is off to a slow start but is coming off his most complete game of the season. The Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road loss, that had a winning percentage between .400 and .499 last season. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (525) Portland Trailblazers |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -1.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Tennessee is coming off its second straight big win as it followed up its win against Buffalo with a victory over Kansas City last week. Both were far from dominant as the Titans outgained Kansas City by just 35 yards and were outgained by Buffalo by 55 yards. Both of those were at home and Tennessee has struggled on the road. They are 2-1 on the highway, with two games going into overtime and the third being a win over Jacksonville where they were actually outgained by 86 yards. The Colts defense has been playing at a high level with the exception of late in the game against Baltimore. Tennessee is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. The Colts have won two straight games to move to 3-4 to get back into the playoff picture. While the defense has been playing better, quarterback Carson Wentz is again playing at a high level. He has posted four straight games with a passer rating of 106.3 or better with last week being the most impressive against a tough 49ers defense in awful weather and he has tossed eight touchdowns and no interceptions over this stretch. The Colts are 1-2 at home but the two losses came early in the season when they were banged up and both were one possession games. Four of the previous five games were on the road and with the Jets and Jaguars on deck at home, getting to 6-4 is more than likely. Indianapolis 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games against teams averaging 350 or more ypg. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Indianapolis Colts |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans +5.5 | Top | 123-117 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. New York has won two straight games to move to 4-1 on the season to remain in a tie for first place in the Eastern Conference with three other teams. The Knicks have been doing it with offense as they are third in the NBA in scoring, averaging 115.8 ppg but a lot of that is due to pace as they are just No. 15 in shooting at 45.6 percent. This is the second of a back-to-back set for New Orleans as it looks to continually improve as the season progresses without the services of Zion Williamson. The Pelicans 1-5 record does not look great, but their performance Wednesday following their first win of the season marked progress compared to how they played in their first three games when they looked out of sorts in a blowout home loss to the Sixers and road losses to the Bulls and Timberwolves. They lost Friday to Sacramento but it was another solid effort and the free throw line made the difference. They have been solid defensively, allowing 108.2 ppg and their 44.1 percent shooting defense is good for No. 8 in the NBA. New Orleans is 3-1 ATS as an underdog of five or more points and going back, it is 5-0 ATS in its last five games playing with no rest. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games in the first six games of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This situation is 37-16 ATS (69.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) New Orleans Pelicans |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Saskatchewan +1.5 v. Montreal | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Saskatchewan last week as it defeated Calgary, snapping a two-game losing streak against the Stampeders. The Roughriders now have a game and a half lead over Calgary for second place in the West Division and this is a big stretch for them. A winnable game against Montreal is followed by a back-to-back set against 2-7 Edmonton so this is a good shot at getting some breathing room. They can actually lock up a playoff berth this week as a win here coupled with losses by either the B.C. or Calgary combined with a loss by Edmonton. The Roughriders are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Montreal has won four straight games to improve to 6-4 which is good for a tie for first place in the East Division with Toronto although two of those came against the worst team in the CFL. 2-9 Ottawa. It will be strength against strength. The Alouettes lead the CFL in rushing yards with 1,553, rushing attempts at 261 and with 6.0 ypc. The Roughriders have held teams to a league-low 738 rushing yards, fewest rush attempts at 168 and lowest average gain per rush with 4.4 ypc. The Alouettes are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive straight up wins, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (675) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -19 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Game of the Year. This might be considered a steep number but Oklahoma should come out with a huge sense of urgency. The Sooners defeated Kansas last week and they clearly did not show up as they trailed 10-0 at halftime and while they rallied to win by 12 points, it was their worst game of the season. The Sooners dropped in the ranking because of their uneven effort and with games against Baylor, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St, all of which are ranked and are right behind the Sooners in the Big XII, this is a big game to get right. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Red Raiders have dropped three of their last five games, including a 25-24 home loss to Kansas St. last week where they were held scoreless after halftime. That led to a change on the sideline as Sonny Cumbie was named the Red Raiders interim coach Monday after Matt Wells was fired in the middle of his third season at the helm. Texas Tech has won two road games on the season but those came against West Virginia and Kansas which are a combined 1-7 in the conference. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg after a loss by three or fewer points going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (188) Oklahoma Sooners |
|||||||
10-29-21 | Hornets v. Heat -6 | Top | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Southeast Game of the Month. Miami is coming off a 13-point win to move to 3-1 on the season, the lone loss coming in overtime at Indiana. The Heat made themselves stronger in the offseason with the additions of Kyle Lowry and P.J. Tucker and already an excellent defensive team, they have upped it even more. Miami leads the NBA in scoring defense at 95.0 ppg and shooting defense at 39.2 percent and it is second in three-point shooting defense at 28.6 percent. This would typically be a game the Heat could look past but Charlotte has their attention and they will keep their momentum rolling here. Lowry did miss that game against Indiana and while he has struggled offensively out of the gate, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo have made up for it, averaging a combined 63.6 ppg. This will be their biggest test on offense. The Heat are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Hornets are off to a surprising 4-1 start and they have been clicking on offense led by Myles Bridges who is averaging 26.2 ppg which is over double of his career high in a season. The schedule has not been very imposing as their four wins have come against teams a combined 7-13. While the offense has been solid, the Hornets are allowing 116 ppg which is No. 27 in the NBA. The Hornets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. here, we play against road underdogs averaging 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after allowing 100 points or fewer in two straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Miami Heat |
|||||||
10-29-21 | Navy v. Tulsa -10.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Tulsa opened the season 0-3 including a questionable loss against Cal Davis in its first game but the other two losses came against Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., both on the road, and the Golden Hurricane were outgained by just seven yards against Ohio St. and actually outgained Oklahoma St. by 34 yards. They have won three of their last four games and while the last victory was by just a point over South Florida, they outgained the Bulls by 267 total yards but three turnovers kept it close as South Florida returned an interception for a touchdown and on top of that, returned a kickoff 100 yards for another score. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. Coming off a bye, they will be fresh and ready to go. Navy is coming off one of its best games of the season as it left it all on the field in a tough seven-point loss against No. 2 Cincinnati. Obviously this was its biggest game of the season and that will be tough to recover from and now the Midshipmen have to travel a good distance for just their third road game of the season. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 28 and 34 ppg. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
|||||||
10-28-21 | Spurs +6 v. Mavs | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. After a season opening loss against Atlanta by 26 points, Dallas has won its last two games over Toronto and Houston and it has a half-game lead in the Southwest Division over Memphis. The Mavericks have struggled on offense as they are ranked No. 26 in scoring offense and have had issues shooting the ball as they are dead last in the NBA at 40.4 percent and from long range, they are hitting just 30.5 percent from behind the arc which is No. 28. While listed as questionable, power forward Kristaps Porzingis is expected to miss the game against the Spurs due to a back injury. The Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Despite a 1-3 record, the Spurs have been efficient with the ball as they have a 2.07 A/TO ratio which is second best in the NBA while their 47.6 percent shooting is tied for second in the league. The backcourt duo of Dejounte Murray and Derrick White is very underrated and Murray is coming off one of the best games for a Spurs players as he had 21 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds as he became the first player in San Antonio history with 20 or more points, 10 or more rebounds and 15 or more assists in a game. The Spurs are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on teams after two or more consecutive losses in the first six games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost six or more of their last eight games. this situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) San Antonio Spurs |
|||||||
10-28-21 | Packers +6 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Publisher. Green Bay has won six straight games to keep pace in the NFC and this could be a preview of the NFC Championship. The Packers have covered all six of these games, winning their lone game as underdogs and this number has gone up which is adding value even though the offense looks like it could be down a key player. The Green Bay offense took a hit early in the week as Davante Adams tested positive for COVID and is likely out but could be in the lineup as long as he registers two negative tests 48 hours apart. The return of Marquez Valdes-Scantling would be huge in case Adams is definitely out. Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season except the season opener against the Saints and on the season, he has 15 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Arizona is the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL as it is off to a surprising 7-0 start with both sides of the ball playing great. The Cardinals are No. 4 in the league in scoring offense and No. 7 in total offense and tied for first in scoring defense and No. 4 in total defense. Quarterback Kyler Murray has 17 touchdown passes this season to go with five interceptions and is a mid-season MVP candidate. The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (107) Green Bay Packers |
|||||||
10-28-21 | Troy +18.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. Troy is 4-3 this season following a pair of close wins in its last two games. The Trojans are coming off a bye week which is a huge edge here to prepare for this big game against a team playing on a short week and they come into this game part of a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt East Division. The first loss came against Liberty by eight points, the second came against ULM but turnovers did them in as they outgained the Warhawks and the third came against South Carolina from the SEC. On the season, it has been favored five times and the two times it has been an underdog, it was by single digits so we are not only playing the situation, but the number as well. Coastal Carolina is coming off its first loss of the season as it went down at Appalachian St by a field goal but the game was not that close as it was outgained by 229 yards and was able to keep it close thanks to four Mountaineers turnovers. The Chanticleers will come out to avenge that loss last week and while the offense is potent, they will be facing the No. 7 ranked defense in the country and that will be a big part for Troy in covering this big number. Coastal Carolina and Troy have played the No. 143 and No. 140 ranked schedules respectively. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (109) Troy Trojans |
|||||||
10-27-21 | Kings v. Suns -8 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. It has been a slow start for Phoenix after its run into the NBA Finals last season and it got a bad break by having to play in a 3-4 situation to open the season. The Suns lost to Denver in their season opener but rebounded with a 10-point upset against the Lakers on the road only to get blown out at Portland by 29 points a night later. They will be seeking their first home win after shooting just 41.4 percent in their lone home game against the Nuggets. No player scored more than 16 points and all five starters finished with a negative +/-. They are struggling on both ends of the floor and currently have the worst defense in the league, allowing 49.1 percent from the floor. The Suns are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games following an ATS loss. Sacramento opened the season with a win at Portland but dropped its last two games at home. and it is in a tough spot here. The offense has been showing flashes but the defense is still a liability after posting a 116.5 defensive rating last year, the worst in the league and the highest in in the NBA ever. They are currently ranked No. 26 in defensive efficiency so this is a perfect situation for the Suns to get the offense going and play with more consistency. Sacramento is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games after two or more consecutive losses. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game committing 13 or more turnovers than opponent. This situation is 71-30 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (544) Phoenix Suns |
|||||||
10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks +1.5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Philadelphia has won the last 15 meetings in this series as the last win for New York came back in April of 2017 and that was by just a single point. This is a different team however even though the Knicks are coming off a horrible loss against Orlando on Sunday s they lost by six points as a 12-point favorite. This after winning at Orlando by 25 points two nights earlier which shows anything can happen on any given night. It was a miserable offensive showing for New York as it shot just 37 percent from the floor and while the defense was solid overall, allowing Orlando to shoot only 41 percent, giving up 36 points in the fourth quarter is not going to win any games. New York is 19-3 ATS in its last 22 home games when the line is +3 to -3. Philadelphia is coming off a 12-point win at Oklahoma City to move to 2-0 on the road but those were against two teams a combined 0-6. The Sixers never trailed even though they were outshot by the Thunder and this is a tough travel spot. The Sixers are still without Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid is listed as questionable with right knee soreness and while he likely will go, he might not be 100 percent which is a not so good thing as they are averaging just 43 rpg. Andre Drummond missed the Sunday game with a sprained ankle and is likely not to go again. Philadelphia is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 road games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. 10* (520) New York Knicks |
|||||||
10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +4.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is off to a 3-2 start following a win over Washington and the Saints are coming off a bye which means they could get some key pieces back. But they are still banged up in some key areas and this line has risen since opening which is more fading Seattle because of no Russell Wilson. New Orleans did beat Green Bay in its season opener 38-3 but the Packers simply did not show up and since then, the Saints have been outgained in each of their last four games and by an average of 96.8 ypg and that is not a favorable differential heading out against a desperate team in need of a win. The Saints have failed to cover four of their last five Monday night games and are an overpriced favorite here. Seattle is coming off a big second half against the Steelers to send the game into overtime before losing by three points. The Seahawks were getting 5.5 points in Pittsburgh and are now getting roughly just a point less at home and that line differential makes no sense as the value is clearly on the home underdog. This will be the second game for Geno Smith to have a full week of preparation and he was pretty good with the exception of a lost fumble as he went 23-32 for 209 yards and a touchdown with no picks. The Seahawks are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks |
|||||||
10-25-21 | Pelicans +6 v. Wolves | Top | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. New Orleans and Minnesota square off for the second time in three nights at the Target Center in a strange scheduling situation but that is an edge for the Pelicans as they did not have to travel. New Orleans has lost three straight games to open the season, the first two being blowouts and then a closer game in the first game of this back-to-back. The Pelicans are still without Zion Williamson but this is still a talented roster but they could not shoot on Saturday as they shot just 35 percent from the floor on 31-89 shooting including only 22 percent from long range. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Minnesota is off to a 2-0 start with wins over the Rockets and Pelicans. The Timberwolves shot just 41 percent from the floor against New Orleans after a 48 percent effort against Houston. The big two of Karl-Anthony Townes and Anthony Edwards have gotten off to great starts and while D'Angelo Russell is chipping in 17 ppg, he has not been taking great care of the ball. The Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 from last season playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 from last season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) New Orleans Pelicans |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Celtics -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. It has not been a good start to the season for Boston as it opened with a loss to the Knicks in overtime and then fell to Toronto by 32 points. And that was on their home floor which is not exactly how you want to start in front of your fans. The Celtics shot just 39 percent from the floor including 32 percent from long range and they went to the free throw line only 11 times. They certainly did not take care of the ball as they had 25 turnovers compared to 19 assists and no team can overcome that. They hit the road again and against an opponent where they should be able to bounce back and the next six games are all very winnable where they should be favored in all of those games. Houston bounced back from an 18-point loss to Minnesota with a 33-point win over Oklahoma City on Friday. The Rockets never trailed, jumped out to a 32-point lead at halftime and won every quarter. Looking at that would make you think that Houston looks like a good team but in reality, it is not because Oklahoma City is just that bad with its first two losses coming by more than 20 points. Houston shot 51 percent from the floor after shooting 45 percent against Minnesota and turnovers have been issue as the Rockets are averaging 20.5 tpg through the first two games. Houston is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a home underdog of six points or less. Here, road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (573) Boston Celtics |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Bengals +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 92 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Month. The Bengals are 4-2 on the season with both losses coming by just three points each. The Ravens were able to fluster Justin Herbert last week but while he struggles versus the blitz, Joe Burrow flourishes against it as he is second in the league in passer rating (136.8) against the blitz. Cincinnati has built its offense around Burrow, which produced significant ripple effects. He has four touchdown passes of 30+ air yards this season, most in the NFL. The Bengals can also beat teams on the ground, as running back Joe Mixon ranks fourth in the league with 480 rushing yards. Baltimore has won five straight games but three of those have been decided by a total of nine points and this will not be a dominant win like it has been recently in this series. Statistically, these two match up pretty well as the Ravens are seventh in the league at 28.3 ppg while the Bengals 11th at 24.7 ppg. On the other side, Cincinnati is fifth in the NFL with 18.5 ppg allowed and Baltimore seventh with 20.5 ppg allowed. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) Cincinnati Bengals |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Calgary | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan and Calgary are set to meet for the third time in four weeks and this will be the third straight game against the Stampeders for Saskatchewan which is coming off a bye last week. The Roughriders have dropped the last two meetings by a possession each but are getting some big help on offense this week as two receivers are ready to open it up as Shaq Evans will be back after missing the last seven games with a broken foot and Duke Williams is expected to be available for his first game this season. Saskatchewan is 24-7 ATS in its last 31 games revenging two straight close losses by seven points or less. Calgary has now won three straight games following a 39-10 victory over B.C. last week but it won the yardage battle by just 40 total yards as they benefitted from a kickoff return for a touchdown as well as an interception return for a touchdown as well. The Stampeders are now 5-5 on the season and have moved into second place in the West Division. The Stampeders are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss as a favorite. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (667) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Mavs -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Saturday Trifecta. Dallas is coming off a clunker, literally, as it lost its season opener in Atlanta by 26 points. The Mavericks shot just 33 percent from the floor including only 30 percent from long range on 13-43 shooting. The big two of Luke Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis scored 18 and 11 points respectively and they were surprisingly dominated down low, getting outscored 46-26 in the paint. Dallas was outrebounded 55-50 but have a better matchup here against a smaller Toronto lineup. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Following a blowout loss at home against Washington in its season opener, the Raptors took their frustrations out on the Celtics last night as they dominated Boston leading by as many as 36 points in a 32-point win. Not much is expected from Toronto this season with the loss of defensive stalwart Kyle Lowry and the shoulder injury to Pascal Siakam, who has averaged 22.2 ppg and 7.3 rpg the last two seasons, as he will be out until next month. Last night, they shot only 42 percent from the floor including 29 percent from long range which was pretty much the same as Boston but the Celtics committed 25 turnovers. The Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (557) Dallas Mavericks |
|||||||
10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Year. This is definitely the game of the week in the Mountain West Conference as 6-0 San Diego St. travels to Colorado Springs to take on 6-1 Air Force. The Falcons have won and covered four straight games, following its lone loss of the season, a 49-45 defeat against Utah St. Air Force brings in the top ranked rushing offense in the nation, averaging 336.4 ypg and this triple option is a tough offense to defend. The Saturday 24-17 victory over Boise St. on the Blue Turf made the Falcons the winningest team in the Mountain Division, where Colorado St. and Utah St. are the only other teams with winning conference records. The Falcons are averaging 37 minutes in time of possession, second only to Army. The Falcons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Diego St. remained unblemished but got a scare against San Jose St. last week as it won in overtime and was actually outgained by 105 total yards, the third time in six games it has been outgained. The Aztecs have the best defense in the country against the run so something will have to give. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (406) Air Force Falcons |
|||||||
10-22-21 | Pelicans +7 v. Bulls | Top | 112-128 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with Chicago as it took down Detroit on the road by six points thanks to a huge game from Zach LeVine who finished with 34 points on 11-17 shooting including going 11-11 from the free throw line. Other than LeVine, the Bulls looked pretty average and they got just 10 points from their bench. Overall, Chicago shot just 43 percent from the floor including 30 percent from long range so there is not a whole lot to be excited about just yet with newcomers DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic and Lonzo Ball still trying to get into a rhythm. New Orleans got thumped at home by 20 points against Philadelphia and will look to rebound from that effort. The Pelicans were tied at halftime before Philadelphia broke it open in the second half. After three solid season in Memphis, Jonas Valanciunas could not get anything going inside against the Sixers interior as he finished with just nine points on 3-19 shooting. Two bright spots were Brandon Ingram who scored a team high 25 points and second year guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in 23 points after coming on strong late last season. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games in first six games of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This situation is 36-15 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (545) New Orleans Pelicans |
|||||||
10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with an 18-point win over Navy this past Saturday to move back over .500 on the season. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road compared to 3-1 at home and they are now catching a pissed off team Friday night. This is a solid team on offense but the one thing that they do not do is utilize the legs of its quarterback which has hurt a few times this season for the UCF defense as it has struggled against mobile quarterbacks. The focus is now the big play receivers. The Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. UCF is coming off a blowout loss at Cincinnati on Saturday which was its third loss in four games and the Knights have now failed to cover four straight games. They are 3-0 at home which includes an impressive win over Boise St at the start of the season. The Knights are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) UCF Knights |
|||||||
10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Denver has come back down to earth following a 3-0 start as the Broncos have lost their last three games, all as favorites. They have actually been favored in all six games this season so this marks their first game as underdogs. It has to be noted that those three wins to open the season came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets which are a combined 3-14 and none of which have more than one victory. To their credit, the defense has been playing at a high level overall but that success is during those first three games where they allowed an average of 8.7 ppg but Denver has allowed an average of 28.0 ppg over its last three games. The Browns opened 3-1 both straight up and against the number, but they have dropped two straight against playoff bound teams. Injuries are mounting for Cleveland as the list keeps getting longer but come Thursday, they should be in better shape. Running back Nick Chubb has been ruled out so the running game is thin but Baker Mayfield said after the loss Sunday that he expects to play through his injury and be ready for Thursday. Instead. Case Keenum will get the start which is actually the better move. The defense has been a huge disappointment over the last two games but those offenses are both ranked in the top 11. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams forcing 1.25 or fewer tpg, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
|||||||
10-21-21 | Bucks v. Heat +3 | Top | 95-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Miami opens the season at home against the defensing NBA Champions and the Heat will be fired up for some revenge. The Bucks swept the Heat pretty easily in the playoffs last year in the first round and Miami has higher expectations this season. They averaged just 95.4 points per 100 possessions, the worst mark for any team in any series in the last five years. Miami has been one of the best defensive teams over the past decade and it should be better this season with the addition of Kyle Lowry and P.J. Tucker who will be facing his former team. Milwaukee opened the season with an easy win over Brooklyn which was without Kyrie Irving and now the Bucks hit the road to begin a three-game roadtrip. They are the favorites to win the Eastern Conference and will be facing a slightly different Miami team and one that will matchup well. Jrue Holiday exited the game on Tuesday early, so if he is unable to go, that would be a huge benefit for Miami as well. Obviously, Milwaukee will have the bulls-eye on its back when hitting the road and even more so in this case with the Heat looking for some payback. 10* (530) Miami Heat |
|||||||
10-21-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers |
|||||||
10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
|||||||
10-20-21 | Bulls -3 v. Pistons | Top | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 80 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Chicago will be aiming for the playoffs this season after falling two games short a year ago. The Bulls added two key players in Lonzo Ball and DeMar DeRozan so this is now a legit starting five as those two join Zach LaVine, Patrick Williams and Nikola Vucevic. Williams will be replaced by Derrick Jones Jr. for the first few weeks. LaVine is coming off of a career-high in scoring at 27.4 ppg, while DeRozan has averaged over 20 ppg in eight consecutive seasons so with Ball being the true point, they should flourish. Things will be getting better in Detroit but not anytime soon. No. 1 pick Cade Cunningham takes his place on a Pistons team that has some good young pieces but it will take a while for this team to come together, if they ever do. Isaiah Stewart and Saddiq Bey showed promise as rookies last season and while the future does and while the future does look bright, they are a few years away. Detroit finished with the worst record in the NBA last season and will be in the hunt again for that dubious spot. 10* (507) Chicago Bulls |
|||||||
10-19-21 | Nets v. Bucks +1 | Top | 104-127 | Win | 100 | 103 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. This is a rematch of the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals from last season which Milwaukee took in seven games. The Bucks are coming off their NBA Championship season with high hopes as they improved themselves with some solid offseason moves. The Bucks are hoping Semi Ojeleye can replace what they lost with P.J. Tucker defensively with his physical stature and a knack for guarding elite players. Another big offseason signing was George Hill who replaces Jeff Teague in the second unit. Milwaukee traded for Grayson Allen and he should make an immediate impact with Donte DiVincenzo who is out with a foot injury. There is a lot of drama in Brooklyn heading into the regular season as the Nets will not allow Kyrie Irving to play or practice with them until he is vaccinated. While they still have superstars Kevin Durant and James Harden, the absence of Irving is a big one and he always has to potential to put up 30 or more points on any given night. He missed the final three games of the series against Milwaukee and his absence was notable although Harden missed time as well. This will be an electric atmosphere as this will be first time fans will have seen their team in a year and a half. 10* (502) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo will be out for road revenge following a 42-16 loss last season and while the Bills are better this season, this is a tough spot following a 4-1 start including a big road win last week at Kansas City. They have covered all four games and they have not been close as the cover margins have been +31.5, +14.5, +21.0 and +20.5. in the loss last season, Bills quarterback Josh Allen finished 26-41 for 263 passing yards, throwing for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo has done a good job of limiting Derrick Henry over the last three matchups but he could be due for a breakout. Henry leads the league with 640 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns and 34 rushing first downs. Last year, the defense limited Henry to only 57 rushing yards but allowed touchdowns on all six red zone possessions. In addition to having the 10th best total offense averaging 389.2 ypg and 10th best scoring offense averaging 26.4 ppg, Tennessee is averaging 25.4 first downs per game which bis good for third in the NFL. Here, we play against favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 450 or more ypg over their last three games. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Tennessee Titans |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 96 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. New England snapped a two-game losing streak with a less than impressive effort against Houston as it held on for a three point win as an eight-point road favorite. Now, the Patriots return home as a home underdog and justifiably so but we feel the spot is good as early money has been pouring in on Dallas and has already moved this line two points. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and the road team is 5-0 in their five games and the streak looks to be broken this week. The Cowboys have won four straight games following an opening loss against Tampa Bay and they are a perfect 5-0 against the number and that is a contrarian spot we love to go against. The offense has been rolling, averaging 40.3 ppg over their last three games, all coming at home. They will be facing a sneaky good defense as the Patriots are ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 5 in scoring defense. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog while the Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) New England Patriots |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +7 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Calgary v. BC -1 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan came into Week Nine with a 5-2 record but lost two games against Calgary which improved to 4-5 on the season to get back into the playoff race. B.C. is a half-game ahead of the Stampeders so this is a big game for the Lions to gain some space. Both teams are in a battle for third in the West, but a Lions win could see them pull into a tie with Saskatchewan for the No. 2 seed. The Lions possess the number two scoring defense in the West Division while Calgary has the second lowest scoring offense in the league. Calgary backup quarterback Jake Maier has COVID-19 and he will be in isolation until further notice so Michael O'Connor will back up Bo Levi Mitchell until his return to the roster and while it should noy be an impact, an injury to Mitchell would be catastrophic for Calgary. B.C. is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while the Stampeders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) B.C. Lions |
|||||||
10-15-21 | Clemson -14 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers |
|||||||
10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFC Thursday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia sits at 2-3 following a 21-18 win at Carolina on Sunday. The Eagles have actually played better than the record shows as they have outgained three opponents and the two games in which they were outgained, they were just by 10 and 13 yards against Kansas City and Dallas respectively. The Philadelphia passing defense has been very average but came up big against the Panthers as they held Sam Darnold to just 177 passing yards, with three interceptions and three sacks. Darnold is no Tom Brady but after coming off his best game of the season, expect some regression here. Tampa Bay has been rolling with a 4-1 record but two of those wins came by just two points apiece. Since the start of last season, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS with just a +4.3 cover average. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. While the Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after averaging 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Philadelphia Eagles |
|||||||
10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama opened the season 3-0 but has dropped its last two games. The Jaguars could easily be 5-0 though as the two losses came by two points each including a loss at Texas St. in overtime this past Saturday. They have outgained their opponent in four of five games including two times of over 100 total yards. Part of the success has been the offensive line where four of five starters returned and overall, they bring back 17 starters to go along with key transfers at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Georgia Southern is 2-4 halfway through the season and it has covered three straight games which gives some value to South Alabama here. The Eagles are 0-3 on the road while getting outscored by 12.4 ppg and they are averaging just 13.3 ppg on offense. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (112) South Alabama Jaguars |