Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-13-24 | St. Mary's -5 v. Santa Clara | Top | 73-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Santa Clara is coming off one of its biggest wins in recent memory after defeating Gonzaga by a point on Thursday on Steve Nash Night. The Broncos snapped a 26-game losing streak against the Bulldogs and they are undefeated in West Coast Conference play after three games for the first time since the 2003-04 season. This is the ultimate letdown spot and the time to go against Santa Clara after the notorious court storm as getting back up two days later will be a challenge no matter how big the opponent this time around. St. Mary's had a rough start to the season as it opened 3-5 including a 1-5 stretch but it was against a brutal nonconference portion of its schedule. The five losses came against Weber St., San Diego St., Xavier, Utah and Boise St. but since then, the Gaels have gone 9-1 which includes a 3-0 record in the conference. With the Thursday happenings in Santa Clara, they will be fully focused on the Broncos in a great spot with one of the best defenses in the country. 10* (749) St. Mary's Gaels |
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01-13-24 | Sam Houston State v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 60-51 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. It has been a tough start to the season for Middle Tennessee St. as it is 6-10 and has had to overcome the loss of All C-USA guard Camryn Weston who suffered a season-ending knee injury a game and a half into the season. The Blue Raiders lost their conference opener on Thursday against Louisiana Tech and they have now lost five straight games against Division 1 opponents. The loss of Weston hurts but this is still a good roster and this is the get right game especially with this number as we go contrarian against their current 1-10 ATS run. While this is a play on the Blue Raiders, it is also a play against Sam Houston St. The Bearkats are in their first season in C-USA after coming over from the WAC and they have gotten off to a perfect 2-0 start with wins against Louisiana Tech and Western Kentucky but both of those were at home where they are 6-2. They now hit the road where they are 2-6 including four straight losses and playing their first road conference game. 10* (722) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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01-13-24 | Jacksonville State v. Western Kentucky -2 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our C-USA Game of the Year. Jacksonville St. has won six straight games to improve to 10-7 overall which comes after winning 13 games overall last year in its final season in the Atlantic Sun Conference. The transition to Conference USA could not have started any better as the Gamecocks have checked both boxes as they won their first ever conference game last Saturday at home against Florida International and followed that up with their first conference road win with a huge upset at Liberty on Wednesday by 10 points as an 11-point underdog. Now comes the letdown. Western Kentucky was coming off another disappointing season so a change was made in the head coach with an overhaul of the entire roster and so far it is working. The Hilltoppers were riding an eight-game winning streak to improve to 12-3 but headed to Sam Houston St., another team in its first season in the conference, on Wednesday and had their winning streak snapped in a loss by four points. They return home where they are 7-0 and laying a great price. 10* (712) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans +3 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 117 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Houston won three of its final four games and coupled with the Jacksonville implosion, the Texans won the AFC South. Their only loss over that stretch was against the Browns but that was without C.J. Stroud playing at quarterback and with a defense not close to full strength so we can toss out that matchup. Excluding Week 18, the Browns have allowed 29.4 ppg on the road compared to allowing 13.9 ppg at home so their overall DVOA of No. 2 defensively is skewed as it is No. 1 at home but a mere No. 23 on the road. And that includes the game against the Stroud-less Texans which was their best road game of the season on defense, allowing 250 yards. While the Houston offense was not at full strength, the defense was not healthy either. Houston allowed just over 20 ppg at home and while included in that was the 36 points allowed to the Browns, the defense was not close to 100 percent. This was the game where Amari Cooper went off for a franchise-record 265 receiving yards but he faced off against backup cornerback D'Angelo Ross while defensive end Will Anderson, Jr. and several other players on defense were out. Veteran quarterback Joe Flacco has been a great story for the Browns and he has playoff experience which is considered an edge over Stroud but the latter has not played like the typical rookie and he has the benefit of playing this game at home which takes a lot of pressure off. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (142) Houston Texans |
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01-13-24 | BYU -5.5 v. UCF | Top | 63-58 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Welcome to the Big 12 BYU. The Cougars were one of the most dominating teams in the country early in the season as they made it as high as No. 4 in Adjusted Efficiency Margin while starting 12-1, the lone loss coming at Utah. Since then, they lost at home against Cincinnati, another conference newcomer, and then lost their first road conference game at Baylor which is currently No. 14 in Adjusted Efficiency Margin. BYU looks to shake off those losses as it faces another Big 12 new arrival and this is a great spot. We played against UCF last Saturday as it played its first conference game and it was on the road on top of it as it got hammered at Kansas St. by 25 points. The Knights could not have had a better bounce back as they returned home for their Big 12 home opener against Kansas and won outright by five points as a seven-point underdog. It was a court storm which sets up going up against UCF in an ultimate letdown situation and against a desperate team in search of a maiden conference win. 10* (681) BYU Cougars |
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01-13-24 | Bowling Green v. Northern Illinois +1.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. It has been a tough run for Northern Illinois as it has lost eight straight Division 1 games but it has been a brutal stretch of the schedule. Five of those losses have been on the road including two against Big Ten teams and the last two in the MAC at Ohio and Western Michigan. They are back home where they are 3-3 which includes three straight losses but those where against Indiana St., Northern Iowa and Akron and now they finally catch a break as they look to break their 0-8 ATS run as well. Bowling Green won 11 games last season and has already matched that win total but unlike the Huskies, the schedule has been in its favor. The Falcons have played a slate ranked No. 351 (out of 362 teams) with two of those wins against non-Division 1 teams and despite such a soft schedule, they have not been favored like a team should be despite playing only three away games. Bowling Green is 1-2 in those games with both losses coming by double digits and the win being by only two points over 5-13 Southern Indiana. 10* (684) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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01-13-24 | Fresno State v. Wyoming -4 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Wyoming is 8-8 including a 1-2 record in the Mountain West Conference and has faced a tough schedule that is ranked No. 57. The Cowboys have lost their last two games by 17 and 24 points but those were both on the rod and they return home where they are 5-1. Wyoming added a big piece to its roster as Mason Walters became eligible six games ago and the NAIA National Player of the Year last season is already averaging 12.5 ppg. The Cowboys are on a 0-5 ATS run which adds value and makes this an auto play in this situation. Fresno St. has also dropped two straight games against two of the top teams in the conference including a 15-point loss at home against Nevada. The Bulldogs are coming off a 20-loss season with not a whole lot coming back and they have been better than anticipated at 7-7 overall but have struggled on the road. Fresno St. does own a minor upset at San Diego but its three road losses have been by 10, 20 and 27 points while two neutral court losses have been by 31 and 29 points. 10* (686) Wyoming Cowboys |
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01-13-24 | UL - Lafayette +3 v. Arkansas State | Top | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Louisiana is off to a 1-3 start in the Sun Belt Conference following a six-point loss at 4-0 Troy on Wednesday. They are 8-8 overall and remain on the road where the Cajuns are 1-6 and are on a 0-4 ATS run so we are going against the grain here in a good bounce back opportunity as they need to get things right to avoid getting into a big whole coming into the season as one of the conference favorites. Overall, Louisiana has a positive Adjusted Efficiency Margin despite playing a tough schedule that is ranked No. 123. Arkansas St. has gotten off to an opposite start as it is 3-1 in the SBC following a 4-8 nonconference record that includes a pair of good wins against UAB and Louisville but the recent run has been aided by an easy conference schedule. The Red Wolves opened with a loss against Georgia St. but has won the last three games against Georgia Southern, Old Dominion and Texas St. which are a combined 12-36 including 2-11 in the conference and now id the biggest test. 10* (677) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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01-13-24 | Bradley v. Illinois-Chicago +4.5 | Top | 77-59 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Bradley opened Missouri Valley Conference play with a pair of losses which was the beginning of a 0-5 run which came after starting the season 6-0. The Braves have since won five straight games following that losing streak including the last three wins within the conference and they have not been close, winning those by 25, 26 and 36 points. Two of those came at home with the road win coming at Valparaiso which is by far the worse team in the conference. The blowout victories are now needing to make the markets overadjust going forward which is starting here. Illinois-Chicago has lost four of its last five games and is off to a 1-4 start in the conference, the lone victory coming against aforementioned Valparaiso. The last three losses have been on the road with the one home loss being a bad one against Incarnate Word and it returns home where it is 4-3. The markets are needing to do the opposite with the Flames which started the season 6-0 ATS but have now dropped their last five games against the number. 10* (646) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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01-13-24 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M | Top | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Star Attraction. Texas A&M opened the season 5-0 but has been in a tailspin since then, going 4-6 over its last 10 games including a pair of double-digit losses against LSU and Auburn to open 0-2 in the SEC. The Aggies are now in an early needed win spot to get another Quad 1 win as they have two strong wins over Ohio St. and Iowa St. but none since late November. Texas A&M has played a rugged schedule that is ranked No. 19 in the country and returns home where it is 5-2 and brings in a 0-4 run against the number which adds value. Kentucky is on a roll as it has won six straight games since suffering a bad home loss against UNC Wilmington albeit the Seahawks are a solid team but the Wildcats should not be losing at home against a mid-major. They have covered all six of these games during the run and most impressive is that they have covered four of those when laying double digits. This is a tough spot to walk into which was similar to last Saturday at Florida where they were fortunate to come away with a two-point win. 10* (658) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-13-24 | Morehead State v. SIU-Edwardsville +5 | Top | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the SIU EDWARDSVILLE COUGARS for our CBB Early Dominator. Morehead St. is off to a 4-0 start in the Ohio Valey Conference with all four wins coming by double digits including a 26-point win at Eastern Illinois on Thursday. The Eagles are now 13-4 overall and this start is not unexpected as they won the conference championship last season and are picked to win it again this season and so far they have not missed a beat despite missing reigning OVC Player of the Year Mark Freeman who is out for the season with a wrist injury. Morehead St. has the bullseye on its back and is a publicly backed team now considering they are on a perfect 9-0 ATS run. SIU Edwardsville survived a scare from Southern Indiana on Thursday as it won by just three points at home as a 7.5-point favorite to snap a two-game losing streak and the cougars may have been guilty looking ahead to this game despite looking to get back into the win column. They remain home where they are 7-1 and need to get it done here considering they are 0-7 on the road with a pair of road games coming up. 10* (616) SIU Edwardsville Cougars |
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01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Denver is coming off a 13-point loss at Utah and is now a modest 3-3 over its last six games. The Nuggets remain in third place in the Western Conference as they are game behind Minnesota and Oklahoma City and in a group of seven teams separated by just four games. Denver returns home where it is 15-4 and pretty much remains on pace with its home success last season where it went 34-7 and for those that think the Nuggets are suffering through the NBA Title hangover, they were 26-13 through 39 games last season as well. New Orleans defeated Golden St. by 36 points on the road Wednesday night which was a solid win but this is not the Golden St. team we are accustomed to. The Pelicans have been playing well after a slow start where they were 4-6 through 10 games and have gone 19-9 over their last 28 games. Most impressive is that they have won eight straight road games including wins at Minnesota and Sacramento (twice) but it is in a tough spot here. The big three of Brandon Ingram, C.J. McCollum and Zion Williamson are all questionable. 10* (516) Denver Nuggets |
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01-12-24 | Nebraska v. Iowa -3.5 | Top | 76-94 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Nebraska is another small surprise in the Big Ten Conference with the venue having dictated its success. The Huskers are coming off another massive home win as they defeated Purdue by 16 points which was their first win over a No. 1 ranked team since 1982 and it resulted in a stormed court which is auto fade next time out. That was the third impressive home win for Nebraska as the other two victories came against Michigan St. and Indiana and now it hits the road where it is 1-2 with both losses coming within the conference at Minnesota and Wisconsin by 11 and 16 points respectively. Iowa is off to a disappointing 9-6 start to the season that included three straight losses to open conference action, two of those on the road against the two best teams in the Big Ten at Purdue and Wisconsin and a bad home loss against Michigan. The Hawkeyes got into the win column in its last game against Rutgers at home by nine points. That improved them to 8-1 at home and this is where they need to continue to take care of business as they have struggled outside Iowa City, going 1-5 including 0-4 in true road games. 10* (892) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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01-12-24 | Dayton v. Duquesne -1.5 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUQUESNE DUKES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Dayton was the preseason choice to win the Atlantic Ten Conference and it is playing up to that right now as the Flyers have won nine straight games including a pair of conference wins in their last two games. They are great offensively, ranked No. 11 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but do play at a slow pace as they are No. 357 in Adjusted Tempo and that is a tough way to cover numbers as a favorite, especially on the road, as they are 10-0 when laying points but only 5-5 against the number. Duquesne is coming off a 20-win season which came after six victories in 2021-22 and the Dukes are expected to keep it rolling. They are 9-6 that includes some very impressive mid-major wins but Duquesne has opened 0-2 in the conference with work to be done coming in as a top four team. Both of those losses were on the road however and the Dukes head home where they are 5-1, the lone loss coming against 13-1 Princeton by three points in a game they were actually favored in and now the role is reversed. Duquesne is on a 0-5 ATS run which is adding additional value. 10* (874) Duquesne Dukes |
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01-12-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana -3 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Star Attraction. The biggest surprise in the Big Ten Conference is a toss-up between 3-1 Northwestern and 3-1 Minnesota although the former is coming off an NCAA Tournament appearance while the letter is coming off a dreadful season. Minnesota has already surpassed its win total from all of last season where it went 9-22 including 2-17 in the Big Ten but the schedule has played a big part into its 10-3 start. The Gophers have played the No. 343 ranked schedule (out of 362 teams) and have gone 12-1 ATS including nine straight wins against the number and this is just the third road game of the season, the first resulting in a 10-point loss at Ohio St. and the second being a win at a broken Michigan team. Indiana is 3-2 in the conference following a loss at Rutgers on Tuesday, its second loss in two three games with both of those coming on the road. The Hoosiers head home where they are 8-1, the lone loss coming against Kansas by four points in a game they led for the majority while blowing a 13-point lead with 15 minutes left. This is a great get right spot and a perfect fade for this Minnesota team that cannot sustain this success. 10* (868) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-11-24 | Arizona State v. Washington -6.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Star Attraction. Arizona St. is the early surprise in the Pac 12 Conference as it is off to a 4-0 start and even more impressive is the fact the sun devils have won all four games as underdogs. They opened with a pair of road wins over California and Stanford, neither of which are expected to do much this season, by a combined five points. They followed those up with home victories over Utah and Colorado which are both pretty solid and expected to finish in the top half of the conference, but neither travel well. Now comes their biggest road test where they are 2-1, the lone loss coming against No. 224 ranked San Diego. Washington opened the season 8-3 that included a win over Gonzaga and there was talk of the Huskies being the surprise team in the conference but then conference play got underway with a tough early stretch. They had to travel to Colorado and Utah, losing both but only by five points each. Washington returned home and blew a big lead over Oregon and went on to lose by a bucket before rebounding against Oregon St. on Saturday. 10* (842) Washington Huskies |
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01-11-24 | Pacific v. Pepperdine -12.5 | Top | 78-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the PEPPERDINE WAVES for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Pepperdine is off to a 0-2 start in the West Coast Conference with the schedule doing it no favors as it opened against Gonzaga on the road which resulted in a 26-point loss and the Waves returned home and put up a great effort against 2-0 Santa Clara in a six-point loss. They remain home and get a break for a chance to win their first conference game against a bad team as the Waves look to improve upon their 7-3 home record with the other two losses coming against CSU Fullerton and UNLV. They match up well in the backcourt with Michael Ajayi and Houston Mallette which are averaging a combined 33.8 ppg. Pacific had a decent season a year ago as it went 7-9 in the conference which was buoyed by leading the conference in three-point shooting but the Tigers have regressed considerably in that category. They are also 0-2 in the conference as they suffered a tough overtime loss in the opener against San Francisco but could not recover in a 14-point loss at Portland two nights later. Pacific is 1-6 on the road that includes six straight losses, all by double digits. 10* (826) Pepperdine Waves |
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01-11-24 | Suns +1 v. Lakers | Top | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the fourth meeting between the Suns and Lakers with Los Angeles winning the first two scheduled meetings and then winning the In-Season Tournament matchup. Phoenix looks to break through for the first time with a fully healthy roster of the big three as it has had Devin Booker and Bradley Beal each miss two of the first three meetings. The Suns come in with two straight losses to fall to 19-18 and they are arguably the biggest disappointment in the league which has been due to injuries from the start. The Lakers were on a dreadful 2-9 run to fall two games under .500 but they have won two straight games including a narrow one point win over Toronto on Tuesday. Los Angeles got the win thanks to some questionable officiating in the fourth quarter as they went to the free throw line 23 times compared to the Raptors hitting the stripe just twice. The Lakers have been the complete opposite at home than on the road as they are 13-6 at the Crypto compared to 6-13 on the highway and while they have been solid as favorites, they are just 7-12 ATS coming off a win. 10* (577) Phoenix Suns |
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01-11-24 | Southern Miss v. Louisiana-Monroe +5 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the UL-MONROE WARHAWKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Southern Mississippi is in an awful spot on the road. After losing at Georgia Southern in its conference opener by 21 points, against an Eagles team that came into that game 0-12, the Golden Eagles bounced back with a pair of home wins over Georgia St. and James Madison. The latter handed the Dukes their first loss of the season and it was the first win over a top 25 team in 13 years so hitting the road presents a letdown. On top of that, Southern Mississippi plays at 3-0 Troy on Saturday making this a bet against sandwich spot. UL-Monroe has dropped six straight games including its first three in the Sun Belt Conference. The last two were at home for the Warhawks as part of this four-game homestand and will be catching a low focused team in a game they will try and steal. UL-Monroe cannot score as it is No. 308 in scoring and No. 317 in shooting percentage while sitting No. 327 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but it makes up for it with a solid defense and slow tempo so a low scoring game favors the significant underdog. 10* (794) UL-Monroe Warhawks |
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01-11-24 | Western Illinois v. Tenn-Martin -6 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the UT MARTIN SKYHAWKS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. UT Martin had its three-game winning streak snapped with a loss at home against surprising Eastern Illinois by seven points as a 9.5-point favorite. The Skyhawks fell to 2-1 in the Ohio Valley Conference following a pair of wins on the road at Tennessee St. and Tennessee Tech and that was also their first home loss of the season. The issue with the 5-0 home start is that four of those wins were against non-Division 1 teams with the other victory needing overtime against North Alabama which was by a bucket. UT Martin is a top contender in the conference and has a great bounce back opportunity here. Western Illinois is in its first season in the Ohio Valley Conference and things have gotten off to a great start as the Leathernecks are off to a 3-0 start which not many saw coming after being picked to finish No. 9 in the 11-team conference. The last two wins have come at home with the road win being a very good one against SIUE and overall, Western Illinois has won seven straight games to improve to 10-6 overall but now in a horrible spot. 10* (802) UT Martin Skyhawks |
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01-11-24 | Utah Valley v. Texas-Arlington -1.5 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. UT Arlington is back home after five straight losses on the road, three against Texas Tech, North Texas and Texas and the last two coming in the WAC where it has fallen to 1-3. The other conference loss came on the road against WAC favorite Grand Canyon with the one win coming at home against Abilene Christian. The Mavericks are 5-1 at home and in a great bounce back spot. One key player going forward for the Mavericks is guard Philip Russell who transferred from SE Missouri St. and finished second in the OVC in scoring. He became eligible in the second semester and immediately put up 28 points in his first game at home. Utah Valley won the WAC last season at 15-3 but was relegated to the NIT where it did make a great run. It is rebuilding time as the Wolverines lost all five starters and their head coach and they have been a little better than expected so far, going 8-7 overall including 3-1 in the WAC but all three wins have been at home where they are 6-1 and the lone loss was on the road where they are 1-5. 10* (784) UT Arlington Mavericks |
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01-11-24 | New Mexico State v. Florida International -2.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL PANTHERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Florida International lost on Saturday at Jacksonville St. for its second straight loss and that was a bad spot for the Panthers as Jacksonville St. was playing its first even Conference USA game and it was at home no less. Now the Panthers are back in Miami for it conference home opener and after an awful start to the season, they are starting to level out. Florida International opened 1-6 with six of those games taking place away from home and it has gone 4-2 in its six home games since with one of those losses coming by three points to Florida Gulf Coast. Give the Aggies credit after shutting down last season because of a sexual assault scandal. New Mexico St. is coming off a pair of wins last week but both of those were at home where the Aggies are 7-1. They snapped a three-game losing streak but they have been competitive as evidenced by their 5-0 ATS record over that stretch but in the three losses, the Aggies were significant underdogs. New Mexico St. now hits the road again where it is 0-6 in true road games and 0-8 counting neutral court games. 10* (756) Florida International Panthers |
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01-11-24 | Monmouth v. NC-Wilmington -8 | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNC WILMINGTON SEAHAWKS for our CAA Game of the Month. UNC Wilmington has lost three straight games including its first two in the Coastal Athletic Association but those three games were on the road and the Seahawks have played five straight road games and they have played only one game at home since November 14 and they will be laser focused here. They are 3-0 at home with all three wins against non-Division 1 teams but that is not a concern as this team is loaded and picked to win the regular season title. They have the best backcourt in the conference with three double digit scorers but they are led by forward Trazarien White who is averaging over 20 ppg and nearly 6 rpg. We won with Monmouth on Monday but we are fading the Hawks now as they hit the road at the wrong place and the wrong time. Monmouth rolled over Northeastern by 19 points while covering three straight games and going 10-2 ATS over its last 12 games and that is keeping the line in check. The Hawks are 1-5 on the road with the win over West Virginia which looked good at the time but not anymore. 10* (766) UNC Wilmington Seahawks |
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01-10-24 | Oklahoma v. TCU -4.5 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS for our CBB Star Attraction. TCU is coming off a very controversial loss against Kansas as it was hit with a suspect flagrant foul call in the final minute that erased a two-point lead and the Jayhawks won the game on a layup with four seconds left. It was a brutal ending for the Horned Frogs in a game that neither team led by more than six points and they return home looking to bounce back in a big revenge spot as well. TCU is 7-0 at home and while it has defeated no one, the situation sets up great for its first big win of the season. Oklahoma has gotten off to a great start as it is 13-1 following a victory at home over Iowa St. by eight points in its Big 12 Conference opener to make it three straight wins after suffering it lone loss of the season against North Carolina on a neutral floor in Charlotte. The Sooners do have solid win over Iowa, USC and Arkansas on neutral floors and this marks their first true road game of the season. While TCU has not been tested before the game against Kansas, the Sooners have been on a similar path to open the season with a schedule that is ranked No. 300 in the country. 10* (740) TCU Horned Frogs |
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01-10-24 | Boston College v. Syracuse -4 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our ACC Game of the Month. Syracuse was riding a five-game winning streak and had momentum heading to Duke last week but gave the Blue Devils little resistance in a 20-point loss. The Orange fell to 10-4 overall including 1-2 in the Atlantic Coast Conference with the other loss coming at Virginia by 22 points so the road conference struggles that have hampered them the last few years continues. Syracuse is back home in a good bounce back spot where it is 7-0 and in addition to the two ACC losses, the other two defeats came against Gonzaga and Tennessee so it has been a tough schedule which is No. 26 in the country. Boston College shook off a home loss to Wake Forest with a win at Georgia Tech on Saturday as it overcame a 16-point deficit in the second half to win by eight points. The Eagles are also 1-2 in the ACC with the other loss coming against NC State, which was also at home and Boston College comes in a surprising 3-0 on the road, the only undefeated team in the conference in road games. This is not sustainable as the other two wins came against Vanderbilt and The Citadel, both of which are ranked well behind Syracuse. 10* (738) Syracuse Orange |
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01-10-24 | Indiana State v. Drake | Top | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. We played against Drake on Sunday as it got throttled at Belmont, losing by 22 points in what was a sandwich game after coming off a 17-point win over Illinois St. and prematurely looking ahead to this game. The Bulldogs were 3-0 and tied with the Sycamores for first place in the Missouri Valley Conference at 3-0 but they are now a game back with three other teams so this is an early big game as to not fall back too soon. Drake is 8-0 at home with all but two of those wins coming by double digits and it is in position for this big test. Indiana St. shook off its 12-point loss at Michigan St. to easily win both of its conference games last week including an 11-point win at Northern Iowa on Sunday as a short favorite. The Sycamores four conference wins have all been by at least eight points, three coming by double digits and this is now their first set of back-to-back road games this season. They are 3-2 on the road with the other road loss coming at Alabama and those road defeats are the only overall ones on the season so they have won the other games it should but they go down again here. 10* (714) Drake Bulldogs |
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01-10-24 | 76ers v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 132-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Following a blowout loss at home against New York, Philadelphia played without Joel Embiid on Saturday against Utah and lost by 11 points and that was just the fourth time this season the Sixers have lost consecutive games. While they have been able to avoid three straight losses in the previous three instances, the Sixers will be without Embiid again so they are in a tough situation without one of the best players in the league and they are underdogs for a reason yet are still being bet in the public circles. Atlanta has also lost two straight games and it has been a miserable season for Hawks bettors. After opening 3-3 against the number, Atlanta is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 games and the Hawks have gone 0-7 against the number as home favorites so this is the ultimate contrarian spot. The defense has been one of the worst in the league as the Hawks are No. 27 in defensive efficiency while sitting dead last in Effective Field Goal Percentage but have a break against a limited Philadelphia offense. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (558) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-10-24 | Western Carolina v. East Tennessee State | Top | 80-66 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the EAST TENNESSEE ST. BUCCANEERS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. Three of the top four teams predicted to finish at the top of the Southern Conference standings are already there at 2-0 with Western Carolina being one of those. The Catamounts have opened with a pair of wins over The Citadel and Wofford, the former coming on the road where they are an impressive 6-2, part of their 13-2 overall record. While that is an impressive start, it has come against a relatively tame schedule that is ranked No. 241 in the country and Western Carolina is ranked No. 4 in the nation in the Luck Ratings with five of its wins coming by four points or less. East Tennessee St. has split its first two conference games, with a double digit win at home against Mercer and a double digit loss on the road at UNC Greensboro, one of those aforementioned top four teams. That was the fourth of six road losses by double digits but those were all against teams with at least 10 wins with the other two coming by five points combined. The Buccaneers return to their home floor where they are a perfect 6-0 on the season which includes an impressive win against Davidson. 10* (680) East Tennessee St. Buccaneers |
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01-10-24 | Wright State v. Robert Morris +6 | Top | 101-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the ROBERT MORRIS COLONIALS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Robert Morris is coming off a win over IUPUI which snapped a three-game losing streak while recording its first Horizon League victory. The Colonials opened the season 0-4 in the conference but three of those were on the road where they are 1-7 with the lone victory coming against St. Francis. While it has been a tough stretch to start the season overall at 5-11, they have been competitive with some close losses, four of which have been by five points or fewer. This is the most favorable stretch of the season for Robert Morris as it is in the midst of a four-game conference homestand. Wright St. snapped a two-game losing streak with a 12-point win at home against Cleveland St. and backed that up with an upset win on the road at Purdue-Fort Wayne which was the first loss for the Mastodons and this leads to a letdown spot for the Raiders which opened the season with five straight road losses. They have another big game on deck at Youngstown St. which is the first of three straight revenge games. While it has looked good the last two games, Wright St. has been too inconsistent to be trusted in this spot. 10* (686) Robert Morris Colonials |
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01-10-24 | Mercer v. Wofford -4.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the WOFFORD TERRIERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Wofford got off to a rough 2-5 start that included a five-game losing streak but was able to get back on track with a 5-1 stretch that included a win, albeit a lackluster one against VMI by just a bucket in overtime, to open Southern Conference action but lost on Saturday at Western Carolina in what was a solid effort. The Terriers are back home in a good bounce back spot where they come in at 5-0 and while they have yet to win by margin, the line is factoring that in with Wofford being favored only three times all season. Mercer is also off to a 1-1 start in the conference as after losing at East Tennessee St. by 11 points, it came back with a convincing 22-point win at VMI and the two wins over the Keydets by these two teams is going to favor the road team based on those margin of victories. The Bears are now 2-4 on the road with the other win coming at Chicago St. and it needs to be noted that the two road victories have been against teams ranked No. 302 and No. 347. While 2-0 as road favorites, they are 0-4 when getting points, covering against Georgia by a bucket as a 13-point underdog. 10* (706) Wofford Terriers |
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01-09-24 | San Diego State v. San Jose State +10.5 | Top | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. This is another big Mountain West Conference favorite that will be a big publicly bet on team. San Diego St. made that huge run in the NCAA Tournament last season and it has kept it rolling into this season as the Aztecs are 13-2 including a six-game winning streak. They are coming off a pair of conference wins at home against Fresno St. and UNLV which came after a big upset at Gonzaga so this is the letdown spot as they are back on the road. To make it tougher, San Diego St. has a game at 13-2 New Mexico on deck. San Jose St. is off to a 0-2 start in the conference following losses at Wyoming by two points and a nine-point home loss against Boise St. on Friday. The Spartans were getting 4.5 points against the Broncos and are now getting double digits with a lot of that based on public perception. The loss to the Cowboys dropped them to 0-5 on the road and prior to Boise St., the Spartans were 5-1 at home and they could not catch San Diego St. at a better time. This is a good shooting team with four double-digit scorers that can keep it close. 10* (664) San Jose St. Spartans |
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01-09-24 | Raptors v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 131-132 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers came through for us on Sunday as they snapped a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers and they need to carry over that momentum with this favorable portion of the schedule. They outshot the Clippers 51.2 percent to 39.6 percent with the latter being most important as it was the first time in 14 games where they allowed an opponent to shoot fewer than 40 percent. Keeping the defensive effort going is big in this spot against an up tempo offense but one that is ranked just No. 21 in offensive efficiency. Toronto is coming off a win at Golden St. on Sunday and has won three of its last four games but the Raptors are still far from a good team as they are 15-21 which includes a 6-12 record on the road compared to being a .500 team at home. Toronto has won back-to-back games only three times, going 3-11 following a victory and each instance involved at least one team six games under .500 or worse. While the offense has not been efficient, neither has the defense as it is also ranked No. 21 in efficiency. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 114 and 118 ppg and after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game going up against teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (548) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-09-24 | Air Force +15.5 v. Nevada | Top | 54-67 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Nevada opened Mountain West Conference action with a 15-point win at Fresno St. to improve to 14-1 overall and now its is laying a big number as it head back home. The Wolf Pack have covered six straight games but all of those were games where they were either underdogs or single digit favorites and now are being asked to win by a large margin. While it really is not a letdown spot, it is in a lookahead situation with a big game on deck against Boise St. looking to avenge a 15-point loss from last season. Air Force has lost four straight games while failing to cover any of those so it needs to get something going following a bad 28-point loss against Boise St. to open conference action. The Falcons have not played a very tough schedule but they are a team that can sneak up on teams not taking them serious. They possess three players averaging between 14.8 and 17.5 ppg so there are good scoring options and all three are lethal from long range. While this is a big test, Air Force is 3-1 on the road while five of six losses have been by single digits. 10* (659) Air Force Falcons |
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01-09-24 | Oklahoma State +9 v. Texas Tech | Top | 73-90 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Texas Tech is off to a surprising 12-2 start as it came into the season with just one starter returning and picked to finish in the bottom third of the Big 12 Conference. The Red Raiders are coming off an 11-point win at Texas on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog and while it was a big upset, the jury is still out on the Longhorns but in the mind of Texas Tech, it was huge and now it is feeling a little too good with an overinflated line. It is now seven straight wins for the Red Raiders and three straight covers in a very bad spot. Oklahoma St. was picked to finish right around Texas Tech in the conference and it has been a much slower start for the Cowboys which are 8-6. They are coming off a five-point loss at home against Baylor to open 0-1 in the conference which snapped a five-game winning streak so they did have some momentum going and can get that back here. The record could actually be a lot better as of those six losses, five have been by two or fewer possessions including their only road loss of the season by two points at Southern Illinois. 10* (639) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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01-09-24 | Rhode Island v. Davidson -5 | Top | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAVIDSON WILDCATS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Davidson was rolling along with seven straight wins but Dayton came to town last Thursday and came away with a 13-point win. That was the first Atlantic Ten Conference game for the Wildcats and they remain home with a chance to even the record and are laying a lower than expected number. Davidson was 7-0 at home prior to the game against the Flyers and there will be no lookahead with games on the road against George Washington and Fordham on deck so getting that game back is big. Rhode Island opened its conference season with an upset win at home against St. Joes to make it two straight victories following a five-game losing streak. The Rams are just 7-7 on the season and that upset over the Hawks was a bit of a surprise for a team expected to finish at the bottom of the conference. Rhode Island is back on the highway following four straight home games and this is the first road game in a month where it is 0-2 with 15-point losses to Charleston and Providence while also going 0-3 in neutral court games so they cannot win off their home court. 10* (624) Davidson Wildcats |
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01-09-24 | Houston v. Iowa State +3.5 | Top | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CBB Contrarian Closer. This line is going to put a lot of people on Houston which is No. 2 in the country with a 14-0 record and laying a very short number here but that is telling. The Cougars are coming off a 34-point win over West Virginia on Saturday at home which was their first ever Big 12 game and that was a pretty big moment. They are the No. 1 team in Adjusted Efficiency Margin but have not played the most difficult schedule and this just their second true rod game of the season which resulted in just a six-point win at Xavier. Iowa St. had its six-game winning streak snapped with an eight-point loss at Oklahoma on Saturday so it is already in a 0-1 hole in the conference. The Cyclones are back home where they are 9-0 and while this is easily their toughest test, they do own an impressive 25-point win over Iowa in Ames and this is always a tough environment for opponents. It has been a notable start considering they had only one starter back but brought in a solid transfer group and the No. 7 recruiting class and it is gelling with six players averaging between 9.6 and 14.7 ppg. 10* (634) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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01-09-24 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown +8 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGETOWN HOYAS for our Big East Game of the Month. Georgetown certainly is not a Big East Conference contender yet but the Hoyas are a very improved team. They are 1-3 in the conference and 8-7 overall and those eight wins have already surpassed the win total from last season and this can be attributed to coaching. Ed Cooley came to D.C. from Providence and has brought his winning pedigree and Georgetown is in a good spot as it remains home following a win over DePaul and while it is 0-3 ATS in its last three games, this is the time to jump. Seton Hall is in big time letdown mode as it is coming off a pair of huge wins over Providence and Marquette as underdogs by six and five points respectively. The Pirates are now 3-1 in the conference and we have already seen a letdown spot as they defeated Connecticut at home and then went on the road and lost at Xavier by 20 points. The win at Providence was a great one but they are 1-2 on the road with the two losses coming by 13 and 18 points. And Seton Hall has Butler on deck adding to the tough situation and being in the public eye. 10* (604) Georgetown Hoyas |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CFP Championship Dominator. Michigan and Washington both survived on last second stops to make it to the CFP Championship with the Huskies getting the same amount of points as it got against Texas but has a much tougher matchup. The Huskies have not played a team this physical and that goes for both sides of the ball. The formula will be simple for Michigan on offense, run the ball and keep running the ball. The Wolverines have the best 1-2 punch in the backfield in Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards who have combined for 1,518 yards and 28 touchdowns and while Michigan finished just No. 60 in rushing offense, it has a great matchup here. The Huskies are ranked No. 129 in Rush Success Rate Allowed, No. 119 in EPA per Rush Allowed, No. 132 in Line Yards, No. 128 in Stuff Rate and No. 96 in Power Success Rate Allowed. Simply put, Washington will get overwhelmed at the line of scrimmage. Shortening the game will be in the Wolverines favor and they can do it with long, sustained drives. Washington has an explosive offense as we all know but now will face a defense it has not seen this season. Michael Penix Jr. threw for 4,218 yards and 33 touchdowns heading into the Sugar Bowl and against Texas, he was 29-38 for 430 yards and two touchdowns. He worked from a mostly clean pocket but that will not be the case here. The Wolverines are ranked No. 8 in Total Pressures and No. 2 in Pressure Rate and they were in the Alabama backfield all night. This is where Penix will find some difficulties as his Adjusted Completion Percentage drops 17 percent while throwing five touchdowns and throwing three interceptions in nearly 140 pressured snaps. As for the Michigan passing defense, it is ranked No. 3 in EPA per Pass Allowed and it held Alabama to not a single explosive play which came in with 35 completions of 20 or more yards. A clean game by not giving the ball away and staying disciplined, Michigan is No. 3 in Fewest Penalty Yards, gives the Wolverines the cover. 10* (288) Michigan Wolverines |
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01-08-24 | Bulls v. Hornets +6.5 | Top | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Chicago and Charlotte with the Bulls winning at home on Friday by 13 points. We played on the Bulls there but we are switching sides as the venue switches and the line has not been adjusted correctly. We are seeing only a three-point swing which is not enough based on a normal venue switch but especially one where Chicago is horrible on the road. The Bulls are 4-12 away from home and have been favored only twice, going 1-1 in those games which were against the two worst teams in the league in Detroit and San Antonio and those lines were just 2.5 and 2 points respectively. Charlotte snapped an 11-game losing streak with a win over Sacramento but gave it right back in that loss to the Bulls. The Hornets have not been much better at home than the Bulls are on the road as they are 4-11 and while they have failed to cover all three games as favorites, they are a respectable 7-5 ATS as home underdogs. They have faced six teams at home with losing records and this is the biggest line they have seen. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points outscored by their opponents by three or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 42-13 ATS (76.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern v. Monmouth -3 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONMOUTH HAWKS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Monmouth is coming off an upset win over Towson on Thursday in its Coastal Athletic Association opener to improve to 8-6 overall. The Hawks finished tied for last place in their first season in the conference last season at 5-13 and 7-26 overall but they came into this year expected to be much better and they have already surpassed their win total from last season. Monmouth is 5-1 at home with the lone loss coming in its home opener against 13-1 Princeton and has won its five games by nearly seven ppg while covering four of those. This is a pretty important early season game with the next three games on the road against the top three contenders in the conference. Northeastern has lost two straight, four of five and six of its last eight games and it now 5-9 on the season. The Huskies also opened conference play on Thursday and it resulted in a home loss to Stony Brook by nine points as a favorite and now hits the road where they are 2-6. Northeastern has been an underdog seven times and has won only one of those games. The Huskies are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of six points or less. 10* (862) Monmouth Hawks |
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01-07-24 | Clippers v. Lakers +5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers have taken over the supremacy in Los Angeles as they are on a roll right now. After a 3-7 start to the season, they have gone 19-5 over their last 24 games and they are currently on a five-game winning streak while covering their last four games. The offense has completely turned things around as they have shot 49 percent or better in 10 of their last 14 games and have moved up to No. 8 in offensive efficiency with the public all over them tonight. The Lakers have been a mess as they have lost four straight games and are 2-9 over their last 11 games to fall under .500. They are a fringe playoff team and this is an important stretch with nine of 10 games taking place at home with the lone road game being in Utah. Los Angeles has dropped the first two games of this favorable home stretch and despite the recent struggles, it has played solid inside the arc, ranking No. 7 in two-point shooting percentage and No. 10 in opponent two-point shooting percentage. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, playing their 3rd road game in five days. This situation is 56-26 ATS (68.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (526) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-07-24 | Maryland +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Maryland opened the season 1-3 with a pair of close losses against UAB and Davidson away from home and a blowout loss at Villanova but the Terrapins responded with wins in seven of their last eight games before getting thumped at home against No. 1 Purdue on Tuesday. They are now 1-2 in the Big Ten Conference with this one all of a sudden becoming a big game with a tough upcoming stretch. They have the best player on the floor in Jahmir Young who leads the team in scoring and assists and is a lock for All Big Ten honors. Minnesota is off to a surprising 11-3 start and has already surpassed its win total from last season where it went 9-22 including 2-17 in the Big Ten but the schedule has played a big part into its start. The Gophers have played the No. 352 ranked schedule (out of 362 teams) and have gone 13-1 ATS including eight straight wins against the number. They are coming off an upset win at Michigan and now their offense will be tested as they have faced teams with an Average Defensive Efficiency ranking of No. 362, last in the nation, and now face the No. 33 ranked team. 10* (851) Maryland Terrapins |
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01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers -3 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 124 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Game of the Year. Green Bay and Minnesota caught a break last week with Seattle losing to the Steelers meaning either team would make the playoffs by winning their final two games and it was the Packers who got the job done in Minnesota with a dominating 33-10 win. After a 2-5 start with things looking bleak, Green Bay has won six of its last nine games with quarterback Jordan Love completely turning his season around. Against the Bears, he put up a passer rating of 125.3, which was the third straight game he has tallied a rating over 109 and he now has nine games where he has eclipsed the 100 passer rating. Six of these have been over the last seven games after doing so just three times in his first nine starts. Green Bay have improved to No. 9 in offensive DVOA. Recent experience is going to help the Packers here as last season, they had an identical 8-8 record with a game against a divisional foe at Lambeau Field to earn a playoff berth but lost to the Lions 20-16. Chicago has turned its season around as well which has likely saved Matt Eberflus his job. The Bears have won five of their last seven games but four of those have been at home with the lone road win over this stretch being an ugly 12-10 victory at Minnesota. Chicago has done it with a vastly improved defense and while it did shut down Jared Goff and a potent Lions offense, of their other six wins this season, all have come against offenses ranked No. 22 or worse in offensive DVOA. Quarterback Justin Fields has been better since returning from injury but has only one game with a passer rating over 100 in the six starts since coming back. Green Bay has only five turnovers in its last seven games which negates the Bears defense that has 18 takeaways over their last six games. 10* (464) Green Bay Packers |
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01-07-24 | Eagles -4.5 v. Giants | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -120 | 124 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. After opening the season 10-1 and having the inside track for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, the Eagles have lost four of their last five games and are now on pace for the No. 5 seed. They are coming off an awful loss against the Cardinals and now have to win and hope the Cowboys get upset at Washington with win the NFC East with the latter looking unlikely. The main focus now is playing a complete game heading into the playoffs no matter where they end up and that starts with the defense that has slid down to No. 27 in defensive DVOA. Whie they let a bad Cardinals offense do what they wanted, Philadelphia has a better matchup here to get right. The Eagles have failed to cover their last five games and are getting value here. In the meeting with the Giants on Christmas, they were favored by two touchdowns and we are now seeing an eight or more point line swing with no one wanting any part of them right now. The Giants put up a solid effort against the Rams as they had a chance to win but missed a last second field goal to make it three straight losses following a three-game winning streak. New York has covered its last two games and five of its last six after a 2-7-1 ATS start so the markets have tried to adjust and with an overadjustment here. The Giants have benefitted from 17 takeaways over this recent six-game stretch which has created favorable situations but that cannot be banked on here. New York remains No. 30 in offensive DVOA and have failed to reach 300 yards in eight of their last nine games. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (459) Philadelphia Eagles |
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01-07-24 | Broncos v. Raiders -2.5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 123 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Rivalry Rout. With Indianapolis, Houston and Pittsburgh all winning last week, Denver has been officially eliminated from playoff contention. We won with the Broncos last week but we expected a better effort on offense which was not the case as they tied for their second lowest scoring output of the season. Jarrett Stidham made his first start over Russell Wilson and he was not much better but he was far from awful and considering the players were likely playing harder because they knew they had a different quarterback, regression likely happens in the second game. Overall, Denver is ranked a respectable No. 18 in offensive DVOA but unlike last week facing a No. 29 ranked defense, the Raiders are ranked No. 11 in defensive DVOA, the Raiders are ranked No. 11. As for their own defense, the Broncos are No. 30 despite a solid effort against the Chargers. Las Vegas was also eliminated for a playoff berth after losing to Indianapolis but we feel there is to play for on this side. The Raiders have played well and seem to care a lot more since interim head coach Antonio Pierce took over and he is still coaching for a possibility to take over full time next year and players have been vocal about keeping him. The offense was good under Quarterback Aidan O'Connell who targeted wide receiver Davante Adams 21 times against the Colts, catching 13 of those passes for 126 yards and two touchdowns with O'Connell passing for 299 yards. The running game has been a bright spot as since moving into the lineup, Zamir White has 285 yards on 59 carries (4.6 ypc) the last three weeks. The Broncos are ranked No. 31 in rushing defense at 137.6 ypg while the pass rush is mostly nonexistent so Las Vegas can excel again while laying a short price at home. 10* (476) Las Vegas Raiders |
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01-07-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Cleveland State -4.5 | Top | 85-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Northern Kentucky got off to a 7-5 start and it went to St. Mary's and while it lost that game by 36 points, it lost something bigger as potential All Horizon League guard Sam Vinson went down with a knee injury and that is a massive loss for this team. The Norse are 1-2 since then with the lone victory coming last time out against Youngstown St. by just three points at home. They hit the road where they are just 2-6 which includes a conference win over IUPUI which is ranked No. 361 out of 362 teams in the country. Cleveland St. had its four-game winning streak snapped as it lost at Wright St. by 12 points on Thursday. The Vikings are now 3-2 in the Horizon which puts them a game out of first place with them being a true contender. Both conference losses have been on the road and they head home where they are 8-0 and have won their last five games here by at least eight points. Cleveland St. is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country and face off against a bad perimeter defense with its best defender in Vinson gone for the season. 10* (848) Cleveland St. Vikings |
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01-07-24 | Drake v. Belmont +5 | Top | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the BELMONT BRUINS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Belmont opened Missouri Valley Conference play by winning its first two games but is coming off a 10-point loss at Southern Illinois on Tuesday to drop a game under .500 on the road. The Bruins return home where they are 5-0 and this is the first game they have been underdogs on their home floor as the value has come their way with a 1-5 ATS run being a part of it. Belmont is ranked No. 32 in effective field goal percentage and No. 36 in overall field goal percentage and leads the Missouri Valley Conference in steals per game. Drake comes in 12-2 overall including a 3-0 record in the conference which is tied for the early lead with Indiana St. who happens to be its next game on deck. The Bulldogs are contenders once again after missing out on first place by one game but won the MVC Tournament but they are in a tough and unfamiliar spot with what has been a very favorable schedule. Drake is 1-1 on the road, losing to a pretty bad rebuilding UAB team and winning against Valparaiso, the worst team in the conference and currently ranked No. 316 in the country. 10* (846) Belmont Bruins |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -5.5 v. Panthers | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 120 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Tampa Bay had momentum and a favorable schedule on its side but came up small last week in its regular season home finale, losing to New Orleans by 10 points which forces it to win this week to win the division. The Buccaneers lost the turnover battle 4-0 which helped put an end to its four-game winning streak with Baker Mayfield having an efficient game but he tossed two interceptions in there, the most he has thrown this season. Despite early money coming in on Tampa Bay, the number has gone down slightly and anything under a touchdown is well within play for what is on the line, the opponent and the situation. While the Buccaneers are 4-4 on the road, two of those losses were in Buffalo and San Francisco while the other two were against playoff bound Houston or Indianapolis. Carolina was shutout at Jacksonville after scoring a season high 30 points the previous week against Green Bay and the latter was the aberration as the Panthers have failed to reach 20 points in 12 of their 16 games. They are ahead of only the Jets in defensive DVOA and they have averaged just 14.8 ppg which is nearly a touchdown less than their opponents defensive average. Quarterback Bryce Young showed signs of life against the Packers, which have a defensive DVOA of No. 28, but he regressed against the Jaguars which was more in line for his entire rookie season. The defense has performed better than the offense but not by much and Carolina brings in zero home field advantage with its severely inflated attendance numbers. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (479) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-06-24 | Texans +1 v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 104 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Dominator. The playoffs are on the line and the winner of this game not only guarantees a playoff spot but also keeps the AFC South title within reach with some help from Jacksonville. Houston shook off a loss against Cleveland as it easily took out Tennessee and had its 13th game of the season with one or fewer turnovers and that will be a factor here. The Texans welcomed back quarterback C.J. Stroud who missed two games with a concussion and he did not miss a beat, completing 75 percent of his passes, his highest of the season, for 213 yards and a touchdown and while he did not throw for a lot of yards, he did not have to as the Texans built a big lead. Houston is ranked No. 12 in net DVOA which is seven spots higher than Indianapolis and despite having a rookie quarterback, they have the edge at quarterback. The Colts have played better over the second half of the season as they have won six of their last eight games to get into this position. They have won three straight games at home and laying a short price which is going to make them a public play come later in the week. The offense has been up and down with Gardner Minshew, as since taking over as the full time starter, he has four games with a passer rating of 100 or better but also has five games with a rating of 76 or lower. One consistency has been the defense as they are No. 27 in points allowed at 24.5 ppg and gets even worse at home where they give up 25.8 ppg and 358 ypg. The Colts won the first meeting despite getting outgained but the Texans were just 1-4 inside the redzone in what was just the second game of the season for Stroud and he has clearly progressed since then. 10* (469) Houston Texans |
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01-06-24 | Ohio State v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Star Attraction. Indiana opened the season with a pair of Big Ten Conference wins against Maryland and Michigan which were considered good when they happened at the start of December but have lost some luster since then. The Hoosiers were then blasted at Nebraska by 16 points which halted a three-game winning streak and they return home where they are 7-1, the lone loss coming against Kansas by four points. The other two losses have come against Auburn and Connecticut, both top ten teams in Adjusted Efficiency Margin. Ohio St. snuck past Rutgers on Wednesday by four points and the Buckeyes are also now 2-1 in the conference. They have won four straight games following the lone Big Ten loss which was at Penn St., a team predicted to finished 13th in the 14-team conference and that has been the only true road game of the season. The only other loss this season was against Texas A&M and while the Buckeyes do own a very quality win against Alabama, the schedule overall has been lackluster, ranking No. 189 in the country. 10* (768) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-06-24 | Coastal Carolina v. UL - Lafayette -10 | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Louisiana has lost its first two games in the Sun Belt Conference, dropping a road game at Marshall and then losing at home to 13-0 James Madison on Thursday. That was the first loss at home for the Cajuns as they are now 4-1 and remain here in a great bounce back spot. They are 7-7 overall with all seven of those losses coming when they were underdogs and this is just the fourth time all season they have been favored not counting a pair of non-lined games. Overall, Louisiana has a positive Adjusted Efficiency Margin despite playing a tough schedule ranked No. 89. Coastal Carolina is coming off an upset at Texas St. to move to 1-1 in the conference and it has been a tough season. The Chanticleers are 4-9 overall despite playing the No. 327 ranked schedule and making it even worse is their -10.58 Adjusted Efficiency Margin which is pushing No. 300 in the country. The Texas St. win was just their second against a Division 1 team, the first coming in overtime by two points over South Carolina St., ranked No. 334. 10* (770) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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01-06-24 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Idaho State -1.5 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the IDAHO ST. BENGALS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. After starting the season 0-6 on the road, Nebraska Omaha won its first road game of the season last weekend at South Dakota and followed that up with a 26-point home win over Northern Arizona on Wednesday in its first of two games in the Big Sky-Summit Challenge. The Mavericks are now 8-8 on the season but half of those wins have been against non-Division 1 teams and have still struggled on offense despite facing teams with an average Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of No. 305. It has been a rough start for Idaho St. as it is 4-10 on the season including a pair of losses to open Big Sky Conference action and following a loss to Denver on Wednesday in its first Big Sky-Summit Challenge game, it ran its losing streak to six games. The Bengals have failed to cover their last eight games and they are certainly overdue to cash and based on the power ratings, they are getting value here. Idaho St. is expect to contend in the conference and needs a get right win before Big Sky action resumes. 10* (782) Idaho St. Bengals |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards +9 | Top | 121-105 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Knicks are coming off a huge win last night as they went into Philadelphia and beat the Sixers by 36 points to make it three straight wins and covers. This puts New York in a letdown spot especially facing team that it would not be up for in the first place. The Knicks are coming off their best defensive effort since late November and they are not going to match that again. New York is 2-5 straight up and against the number when playing with no rest including 1-3 both ways in the second of back-to-back road games. Washington is back home following a pair of losses in Cleveland by 39 and 24 points and this is the spot to back the Wizards. Prior to those two games against the Cavaliers, they were on a 7-2 ATS run that included a pair of outright wins at home. Washington has covered three of five games when playing with no rest and any good news from last night is the starters saw limited minutes with the game out of hand after three quarters. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 125 points or more. This situation is 40-17 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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01-06-24 | Southern Illinois v. Illinois State +2.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS ST. REDBIRDS for our MVC Game of the Year. Southern Illinois opened the season 4-1 with the one loss coming against 13-0 James Madison but then it went into Indiana St. in its Missouri Valley Conference opener and got pounded by 29 points. It was up and down after that for a few games but the Salukis have now won four straight games including the last two in conference action against Illinois-Chicago and Belmont with all four of those by double digits but all four have been at home where they are 9-1. They are 0-2 on the road with the other loss coming at Wichita St. Illinois St. is also off to a 2-1 start in the conference as it won two early games against Illinois-Chicago and Murray St. but it coming off a loss on Tuesday against Drake. That was the second straight loss for the Redbirds, the other against Kentucky, but both of those were on the road and like the Salukis, they struggle on the road where they are 1-3 but return home to improve their 6-1 record while getting excellent value in this number. 10* (756) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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01-06-24 | UCF v. Kansas State -3.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Central Florida is back on the floor for its first ever game in the Big 12 Conference. The nonconference season went very well as the Knights went 9-3 but had one of the more favorable schedules of any major conference team in the country. The schedule is ranked No. 336 and they lost both of their strongest games against Mississippi and Miami with the latter being their only true road game of the season. Central Florida has not had to leave the state of Florida up until this game and it will get a test of the Big 12 road. Kansas St. finished with one more win in the nonconference position of the season with a 10-3 record. The Wildcats also lost to Miami with the other two losses coming against USC to open the season and against a surprisingly good Nebraska team which is their only home loss of the season. They have quality wins against Providence, Villanova and LSU so Kansas St. has played a much tougher schedule so the similar Adjusted Efficiency Margins are in reality not that similar. 10* (738) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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01-06-24 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee -11.5 | Top | 64-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CBB Rivalry Rout. Mississippi is one of only three remaining undefeated teams in the country but it is the lowest ranked of the three in Adjusted Efficiency Margin and by a lot. The Rebels are ranked No. 82 with a lot of that due to the soft schedule they have played which is ranked No. 288. Their best win of the season came against No. 39 Memphis which is a very strong victory but it was only by three points on their home floor. Mississippi has played only two true road games which resulted in wins over Temple and UCF by a combined three points. Tennessee has won six straight games to improve to 10-3 and all three of those losses were consecutive right before this recent winning streak. None of those losses were bad ones as two came against Purdue and Kansas at the Maui Invitational in Honolulu and the third was a loss at North Carolina. The Volunteers own two exceptional victories over No. 8 Illinois at home and No. 13 Wisconsin in Madison and overall they have played a schedule ranked No. 22. 10* (740) Tennessee Volunteers |
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01-06-24 | Florida International v. Jacksonville State -5.5 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE ST. GAMECOCKS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Jacksonville St. is in its third conference in four years, formerly playing in the Atlantic Sun Conference for the last two years and the Ohio Valley Conference previous to that and Saturday marks its first ever game in Conference USA. The Gamecocks have been picked to finish in last place but is more because of the unknown rather than what is in place and the latter is looking pretty good. They are 8-7 which could be a lot better as four of those seven losses have been by a combined seven points with two of those at home by three points. They are riding momentum with a four-game winning streak. Florida International opened the season 1-6 but has started to right the ship by going 4-4 over its last four games. The Panthers are coming off a loss at Utah Tech and while they have backed up each of their previous four losses with win next time out, all of those follow up victories were at home. Florida International is 1-4 on the road, the only win coming against No. 356 Houston Christian. 10* (728) Jacksonville St. Gamecocks |
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01-06-24 | Duquesne +1 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUQUESNE DUKES as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Duquesne opened Atlantic Ten play with a bad loss at Massachusetts by 19 points to fall to 9-4 on the season. It was an unexpected defeat, especially by that margin, as the Dukes are expected to be contenders in the conference and this game will certainly now get their attention. They have failed to cover their last four lined games which is the point to make them a play on team and their record is stronger based on their schedule ranking of No. 102 that includes quality wins and quality losses. Loyola-Chicago has won three straight games following a win over what we now consider a bad St. Louis team to move to 9-5 on the season. The Ramblers are back home where they are 7-1 with the loss to Illinois-Chicago and while the other four losses have been away from home, they have been blowouts against quality teams. Loyola-Chicago is coming off a 10-win season and are just one win off that but the Ramblers have played a schedule ranked No. 301 with their best win coming against Boston College. 10* (691) Duquesne Dukes |
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01-06-24 | Delaware v. Hofstra -5 | Top | 71-76 | Push | 0 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOFSTRA PRIDE for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Hofstra opened Coastal play with a 12-point loss against Charleston to make it three straight losses and it is now on a 1-5 run but the other four losses were away from home against St. Louis, Duke, UNLV and St. John's. The Pride are 7-7 which seems like a regression from their 25-10 record last season but they started 7-6 and then went on to win a share of the then Colonial Athletic Association regular season title at 16-2. This is a great bounce back spot for a team that has been tested with a schedule ranking of No. 66. Delaware took care of Hampton in its conference opener by 27 points but the Pirates are once again pegged to finish at the bottom of the Coastal. The Blue Hens have actually been better on the road than at home as they are 4-1 and while that does include an upset at Xavier, the other three wins came as being favorites so those were no surprise. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 291. 10* (646) Hofstra Pride |
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01-06-24 | North Carolina v. Clemson -3 | Top | 65-55 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. North Carolina is coming off a win at Pittsburgh on Tuesday to improve to 2-0 in the Atlantic Coast Conference and that was the first true road game for the Tar Heels. That was a great matchup however as they faced a Panthers team that faced offenses with an average Adjusted Offensive Efficiency ranking of No. 197 and now they face a defense that has gone up against teams with an average ranking of No. 16 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency so this is a true test. North Carolina has won and covered three straight games which sends value the other way. Clemson suffered its second loss of the season as it got ambushed by Miami in the second half in a 13-point loss to drop to 1-1 in the conference. The only other loss was at Memphis and the Tigers return home where they are 6-0 and includes quality wins against South Carolina and Boise St. Clemson has played an overall difficult schedule as well that is ranked No. 33 and includes a game against No. 6 Alabama which the Tigers won by eight points on the road. 10* (612) Clemson Tigers |
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01-05-24 | Illinois v. Purdue -10 | Top | 78-83 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Purdue has won six straight games since suffering its only loss of the season at Northwestern which happened to also be on a Friday night and as crazy as that atmosphere was, expect even more so here. The Boilermakers have reclaimed the top spot in the AP Poll and are No. 2 in Adjusted Efficiency Margin and this has been against the No. 9 ranked schedule in the country. Purdue is 10-3-1 against the number this season which is definitely a surprise considering the Boilermakers are usually overpriced and a publicly backed team but they are actually not overpriced in this spot. Illinois has won four straight games to improve to 11-2 overall and has made its way into the AP Top Ten and now comes a real test. The Illini have been a big money maker of late as they have 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games against the closing number and that is a streak many like to ride no matter the opposition or the situation. They hit the road for the third time this season where they are 1-1, winning at Rutgers but losing at Tennessee. This is the first true road game in close to a month and more importantly, their first without Terrence Shannon, Jr. who has been suspended indefinitely and this is where his absence will show. 10* (892) Purdue Boilermakers |
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01-05-24 | Hornets v. Bulls -8.5 | Top | 91-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Charlotte is coming off a win over Sacramento on Tuesday to snap an 11-game losing streak and the Hornets still remain one of five teams in the NBA that have yet to reach double digit wins. Charlotte has not responded well to a victory as it is 1-6 following a win with that one follow up victory coming against 6-27 Washington. The Hornets have been even worse after a cover, going 1-12 straight up and 3-10 against the number. They have been horrible at both ends as Charlotte is No. 26 in offensive efficiency and No. 30 in defensive efficiency. The Bulls dropped two games in Philadelphia and New York by 13 and 16 points respectively following a solid run where they went 10-5 over their previous 15 games. Those losses dropped Chicago to 4-12 on the road and it returns home where it is a much better 11-9 which includes a 6-1 record against teams not currently in a playoff position with those six victories coming by an average of 10.7 ppg. This is a good bounce back spot, especially for the offense that shot a combined 40 percent against the Knicks and Sixers. 10* (570) Chicago Bulls |
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01-05-24 | Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 122-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Western Conf. Game of the Month. Minnesota is coming off a loss at home against New Orleans on Wednesday which was its second straight loss, the first time this season the Timberwolves have dropped consecutive games. This is the start of a five-game roadtrip so there will be plenty of focus and prior to the loss to the Pelicans, Minnesota won their previous seven games after a loss by an average of 13.3 ppg. The Timberwolves remain in first place in the Western Conference by one game over Oklahoma City. Houston has won two straight but those came against the horrible Pistons and the Nets which are mired in a 2-10 stretch and are in a tough spot here. The Rockets have been solid at home as they are 14-5 both straight up and against the number but prior to the two most recent wins, they went 1-4 in their previous five home games and catch Minnesota at the wrong time tonight. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 32-7 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (571) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-05-24 | Niagara v. Manhattan +1 | Top | 81-67 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MANHATTAN JASPERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Niagara is coming off a win at lowly Buffalo which was its third straight road game and it remains on the highway for two more games this weekend. The Purple Eagles are 2-4 on the highway with the other win coming at St. Francis which is ranked No. 346 and this is a game to avoid a 0-3 start in the MAAC as they lost their first two games in the conference, both of which were at home. Niagara has covered it last four games so it has stayed within margin but that streak is being factored into this number that is lower than it should be and lowest underdog number it has been this season. Manhattan is only a half-game better overall at 4-7 as it has dropped four straight games heading into Friday with a bad defeat last time out at home against Wagner by 12 points so that alone will have the Jaspers focused. They have played seven of their 11 games on the road and while some of those losses were ugly, they have come against Kansas, Connecticut and Fordham which has hurt their Adjusted Efficiency Margin but has given them a much tougher schedule they have faced, 180 spots higher than that of Niagara. 10* (880) Manhattan Jaspers |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS for our CBB Star Attraction. Going against Connecticut is not easy, but this is a great spot for Butler in what has turned into a big game. The Bulldogs opened Big East action with a 10-point win over Georgetown in what was a bad spot with a pair of big road games on deck and they were caught on the road, losing at Providence and St. John's by 10 and 16 points respectively. Butler is now 1-2 in the Big East Conference and 10-4 overall and returns home where it is a perfect 8-0 against some suspect opposition but the Bulldogs have been tested overall as evidenced by their No. 73 ranked strength of schedule. The value is here as they are 0-5 ATS in their last five lined games. Connecticut is 12-2 following a pair of home wins over St. John's and DePaul to move to 2-1 in the conference. The lone loss was at Seton Hall by 15 points one of two true road losses in its two home games and it will not get any easier at Hinkle Fieldhouse. The Huskies won the National Championship last season with an Adjusted Efficiency Margin of +29.86 and it is down somewhat this season to +25.71 and that is because of the defense. Connecticut was No. 3 in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and its sits No. 24 this season and against a much easier schedule coming in at No. 184. 10* (878) Butler Bulldogs |
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01-04-24 | St. Mary's v. San Diego +14 | Top | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TERREROS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. As is the case every year, St. Mary's is a contender in the West Coast Conference following a co-conference championship last season and another trip to the NCAA Tournament. The Gaels are on a roll with six wins over their last seven games which includes a very impressive win over 13-1 Colorado St. on the road but that has been the only true road game of the season and now they are laying a massive number. It is basically the same number they laid at San Diego last season with the power rating margin much bigger than it is this season and a lot of this is based on name with the Gaels being a very public team. San Diego opened the season 2-0 before a six-point loss at rival UC San Diego. The Terreros then won three straight games but then went on a 1-3 stretch with the three losses coming against Hawaii, Stanford and Utah St., all away from home, and San Diego have gotten it back together since then, winning four of its last five games heading into conference action. The Terreros are 9-1 at home, the lone loss by four points to Fresno St. 10* (824) San Diego Terreros |
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01-04-24 | North Texas v. Wichita State -2 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Wichita St. opened the season 7-1 and then the schedule caught up to the Shockers. They have lost four of their last five games but those four losses came against South Dakota St., the favorite in the Summit League, Missouri, Kansas St. and Kansas and all of those were away from home. Wichita St. has failed to cover each of the last five games and return home where they are 6-0 and have a ton of value based on that losing streak against the number to begin American Athletic Conference play. Only one of those wins came by less than what the Shockers are laying here. One of the slowest teams in the country last season, Wichita St. is No. 65 in Adjusted Tempo under new head coach Paul Mills. North Texas is 7-5 to start the season under a new head coach and clearly not the same team from last year when the Mean Green won a program record 31 games, tied the program record for conference wins with 16 and won the 2023 NIT championship. This is a step up from C-USA and they are picked as a middle of the pack AAC team. 10* (798) Wichita St. Shockers |
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01-04-24 | Minnesota v. Michigan -6.5 | Top | 73-71 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Rivalry Rout. Michigan went 7-5 last season before the calendar turned and it comes into 2024 with a 6-7 record so there is not much of a difference as it gets into the heart of the Big Ten schedule. The Wolverines have opened 1-1 with a home loss to Indiana and a road win at Iowa and overall, two losses have been in overtime and another two losses by three points so the record could be better but the big motivation here is that Michigan lost to McNeese St. at home in its last game by 11 points which matches an earlier loss against Long Beach St. as two brutal losses. The Wolverines are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and laying a shorter than expected number in what is a good get right game. Minnesota has already surpassed its win total from all of last season where it went 9-22 including 2-17 in the Big Ten but the schedule has played a big part into its 10-3 start. The Gophers have played the No. 358 ranked schedule (out of 362 teams) and have gone 12-1 ATS including seven straight wins and this is just the second road game of the season. 10* (802) Michigan Wolverines |
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01-04-24 | Oregon v. Washington -4.5 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Star Attraction. Washington was rolling to an 8-3 start to the season which included wins over Xavier and Gonzaga and the Huskies were receiving votes in the AP Poll but then conference action got underway last week. They had a tough start with games in altitude and lost both against Colorado and Utah, two conference contenders, but the losses were by just four and five points respectively so despite getting defeated, they were both solid efforts. Washington returns to Seattle for its Pac 12 home opener and its only loss here in six games came against 13-1 Nevada and we expect a big effort against a perennial contender in the conference. The Huskies have played the No. 19 ranked schedule in the country. Oregon is 10-3 which is impressive with what it has gone through. The Ducks opened Pac 12 action with a pair of wins over USC and UCLA, which both are clearly having down years, but both of those were at home. They hit the road for just the second time this season, the first coming against Florida A&M and are still down their two top players. 10* (804) Washington Huskies |
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01-04-24 | Georgia State v. Southern Miss -3 | Top | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our SBC Game of the Month. Southern Mississippi should be one of the most focused teams on the entire Thursday card. The Golden Eagles opened Sun Belt Conference action with a loss at Georgia Southern which came into the game 0-12 on the season. That was the fourth straight road game and now they have their conference home opener as they look to defend their regular season title, coming in as the favorites again. Nine of their first 13 games have come on the road and they return home where they are 3-1 and will be laser focused. Southern Mississippi is just 2-8-1 in its nine lined games, including 0-4-1 in its last five, which is helping the number. Georgia St. finished last in the conference last season and is expected to move out of the basement but there is not much talent. The Panthers are 6-6 overall including a 1-0 start in the SBC after a nine-point win against Arkansas St. and of the six wins, two are against non-Division 1 teams and the other four have come as favorites. Georgia St. is 2-5 on the road and is in a bad spot here. 10* (770) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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01-04-24 | Cleveland State v. Wright State -5.5 | Top | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Revenge Dominator. Wright St. is 6-8 including a 1-2 start in the Horizon with both losses coming on the road where it is 0-5 on the season. After winning 22 games two seasons ago, the Raiders won only 18 games last season including 10-10 in the Horizon, their worst conference record since 2016. They are the preseason favorite to win the conference as they have three starters back including two possible first team conference players highlighted by preseason Player of the Year Trey Calvin. The Raiders are 0-5 in their last five lined games and they are back home where they are 4-2 with one of those losses coming by a points against MAC contender Cleveland and have played a much tougher schedule coming into this one. Cleveland St. has won four straight games to improve to 10-5 including a 3-1 conference start including a pair of wins last weekend. The Vikings are 8-0 at home and just 2-5 on the road that includes a win over 5-10 IUPUI but did fail to cover which snapped a 5-0 ATS run. This is a double-revenge spot for the Raiders after getting swept last year. 10* (740) Wright St. Raiders |
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01-04-24 | College of Charleston v. Hofstra -1.5 | Top | 73-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOFSTRA PRIDE for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Hofstra enters Coastal play on a 1-4 run including two straight losses but the four losses were away from home against St. Louis, Duke, UNLV and St. John'. The Pride are 7-6 which seems like a regression from their 25-10 record last season but they also went 7-6 in nonconference action last season and then went on to win a share of the then Colonial Athletic Association regular season title at 16-2 with Charleston. That makes this is a big conference opener for both teams and Hofstra has the edge playing at home where it is 3-1. Charleston opened the season 1-3 but has won eight of its last nine games including five straight. Those last five games were all at home however where the Cougars are 6-0 so they are 3-4 away from which includes a 1-1 record in true road games when getting points, beating Kent St. and losing to Florida Atlantic. It has been a big turnaround at the betting window as Charleston opened 0-5 ATS but has now covered five of its last seven which is sending value the other way. 108 (758) Hofstra Pride |
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01-04-24 | Green Bay v. Detroit +3 | Top | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TITANS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. It has been a tough start for Detroit but not to this extreme. The Titans are 0-15 to open the season and they certainly will not go winless based on what we have seen and this looks to be the spot to get off that losing streak. Detroit did itself no favors with the schedule which is ranked No. 98 in the country and of its 15 games, 12 of those have been true road games including three of four to open Horizon play. The home conference loss came against a solid Oakland team while the two nonconference losses came by a combined seven points against teams comparably ranked the same as the opponent tonight. Green Bay is coming off a 3-28 season including a 2-18 conference record and it has already surpassed both of those win totals as it is 8-7 including 3-1 in the conference. The Phoenix have played a much easier schedule however, ranked No. 229 and their 3-1 Horizon record includes three home wins and they are 2-5 on the road with the two road wins by a total of three points. 10* (762) Detroit Titans |
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01-03-24 | Stanford v. UCLA -4.5 | Top | 59-53 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCLA BRUINS for our Pac 12 Game of the Month. Stanford is coming off a huge win over Arizona on Sunday by 18 points which was its second straight win at home over Arizona in as many years. The Cardinals snapped a two-game losing streak and a 2-5 run with the victory and this is now a big letdown spot as they hit the road for just the second time this season. The first road game resulted in a 14-point loss at San Diego St. and they will be tested here and will certainly be taken more serious after that big victory. This is a great shooting team but with only one road game mixed in, those numbers are skewed and they will be tested against one of the best defenses in the country. UCLA won the Pac 12 last season with an 18-2 record and went 31-6 overall on their Sweet 16 run but the Bruins have already surpassed that loss total as they are 6-7 following a loss at Oregon on Saturday. All of the losses have come down to the final minutes including losses to Marquette and Gonzaga by six combined points and in their seven games against top competition, UCLA has been favored only once showing how tough its schedule has been. The Bruins are 4-2 at home with the two losses coming in their two most recent games so they will be ready. 10* (722) UCLA Bruins |
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01-03-24 | Nets +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 101-112 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Brooklyn came up small for a us last night but we come back with the Nets here in a great value spot in a bounce back situation based on recent results. Brooklyn has lost four straight games while failing to cover its last five and going back, it is 1-10 ATS over its last 11 games after starting the season as one of the top cover teams in the league. This is another team no one will be betting on considering the fact their 2-9 run only includes two wins over Detroit. Brooklyn is now getting more points tonight against a lower ranked team that it did last night against a top ten ranked team. Houston is 19-15 following a blowout win over Detroit on Monday which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Rockets have had an amazing turnaround as they are only three wins away from matching their entire win total from last season. They are 13-5 at home but it is a tough spot as they have a back-to-back on deck against Minnesota and Milwaukee. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-6 ATS (79.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (537) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-03-24 | Clemson v. Miami-FL +2 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CBB Star Attraction. Clemson has moved up to No. 16 in the country since suffering its only loss of the season at Memphis by a bucket and it is now 11-1 on the season. This team is playing with a chip on its shoulder after getting snubbed for an NCAA Tournament spot last season but they might be feeling a little too god about things right now. Clemson does own a pair of good road wins at Alabama and Pittsburgh before the loss to Memphis and this is just the fourth true game of the season. The Tigers now have that bullseye on its back and hits the road again in what is a very difficult spot. Miami is 10-2 with a pair of blowout losses against Kentucky and Colorado but both of those were away from home. The Hurricanes followed up the loss to the Buffaloes with three wins at home where they are 8-0 on the season where they are outscoring opponents by over 26 ppg and going back to last season they are 23-1 in their last 24 home games, the only loss coming by a point against Florida St. This is an experienced team that went to the Final Four last season and this is a pretty big game considering their best win so far is against Kansas St. and that is not saying a lot. 10* (700) Miami Hurricanes |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks +2 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Oklahoma City is coming off a home underdog win over Boston last night to make it five straight wins which also includes wins over Denver and Minnesota and now falls into a tough spot tonight. The Thunder remain the biggest surprise in the NBA, with Minnesota close second, as they remain in the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference, one game behind the Timberwolves with a 23-9 record. Oklahoma City has been solid on the road at 9-4 and has covered four of six as a road favorite and the win over Boston increased its ATS record to 23-8-1 which is tops in the league. Atlanta has been the complete opposite from all aspects. The Hawks are coming off a win at Washington but failed to cover as they have now gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games and they return home where they have been throwing money away with a 1-12 ATS mark that includes 11 consecutive non-covers on their home floor. This is the ultimate contrarian play but the situation sets up perfectly especially with a number this short as Atlanta will likely be the least bet team from the entire 12-game slate tonight and we are all over that. 10* (536) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-03-24 | Bucks -3 v. Pacers | Top | 130-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Milwaukee and Indiana meet for the second time in three days with the Pacers winning that first meeting in Milwaukee which was the third win in four games this season. The Bucks struggled from the floor, shooting just 44.1 percent, and they have been a great bounce back offense as in their previous six games shooting less than 45 percent, they shot at least 51.2 percent in their next game. Damian Lillard is coming off an awful shooting night as he went 3-16 including 1-9 from long range and scored just 13 points and he too has been great in bounce back games. Indiana has now won four straight games which has followed a horrible run after the In-Season Tournament where it went on a 2-6 run after the loss against the Lakers. The Pacers moved over .500 on the road with that victory and they head home where they are just 9-7. While the offense scores a ton, the defense gives up nearly as much and Indiana is No. 26 in defensive efficiency. Here, we play on road favorites against division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. This situation is 71-36 ATS (66.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (531) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-03-24 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Louis -2 | Top | 80-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BILLIKENS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. The Billikens opened the season 4-0 which includes a solid win against Wyoming in the opening round of the Myrtle Beach Invitational but things have gone south since then. They lost the next two games in South Carolina to Vermont and Wichita St. by double digits and they have gone 3-6 overall since the perfect start including a loss at North Carolina St. in their most recent game two weeks ago. St. Louis is 6-1 at home overall with a five-point loss against a solid Utah St. team being the lone defeat. St. Louis shoots the long ball extremely well as it is ranked 33 in three-point shooting and faces a defense that cannot defend the three, ranked No. 306 in opponent three-point shooting. Loyola-Chicago has won two straight games to move to 8-5 but both of those games were at home where the Ramblers are 7-1. They have played only two road games and both resulted in losses at Tulsa and South Florida by 11 and 13 points respectively and they were slight favorites in those similar to where this line opened. Loyola-Chicago is coming off a 10-win season and are just two wins off that but the Ramblers have played a schedule ranked No. 307 compared to a Billikens schedule ranked No. 116. 10* (670) St. Louis Billikens |
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01-03-24 | Furman v. NC-Greensboro -2 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNC GREENSBORO SPARTANS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Furman is off to a 6-7 start which is just one fewer loss than all of last season when the Paladins went 28-8 and won the Southern Conference but lost a pair of players to the NBA and is now down Marcus Foster who has been out since early December. Furman has some tough losses against some good teams but it is coming off a horrible loss as it was defeated at home against Anderson University, a Division 2 team by five points. That will have the Paladins motivated for a bounce back but this team does not look equipped to stay with these quality teams. UNC Greensboro is a quality team as it is off to a 9-4 start and expected to compete in the conference once again after a 20-win season including a 14-4 record in the SoCon. The Spartans will also be very motivated as they are coming off a 35-point loss at Texas which dropped them to 1-4 on the road. They head back home where they are 5-0 and they come in having failed to cover their last six lined games so they have the value based on that and their opponents name. They are led by Mikeal Brown-Jones and Keyshaun Langley, both of which are in the Player of the Year conversation. 10* (682) UNC Greensboro Spartans |
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01-02-24 | New Mexico v. Colorado State -3.5 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Colorado St. is 12-1 to open the season with a loss against St. Mary's being the only blemish and it remains home to start conference action. The Rams continue to be ranked in the polls matching their highest-ever ranking in the AP at No. 13. Colorado St. leads the Mountain West in assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.10, assists per game at 21.2, effective field goal percentage at 60.8 percent, and field goal percentage at 53.2 percent with that also leading the country. The Rams opened MVC play last year with a 19-point loss at New Mexico so it will be out for a reversal of that heading into this season. After suffering a loss against St. Mary's to fall to 1-1, New Mexico has reeled off 11 straight wins but the schedule has been fairly easy and we have seen this before. The Lobos opened last season 14-0 but closed 7-10 down the stretch as the soft nonconference schedule caught up to them and we see it happening again. They are 1-1 on the road with the only win coming at New Mexico St. by one point as a 14.5-point favorite which happens to be their only cover loss in their last nine lined games which adds value to the Rams. 10* (652) Colorado St. Rams |
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01-02-24 | San Jose State v. Wyoming -5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. has been off for nearly two week following a win at home over Santa Clara which put a halt to a 1-4 stretch. The Spartans are 7-6 but have faced a schedule ranked No. 259 and they now open conference play on the road where it is 0-4. The Spartans have a big disadvantage down low as San Jose St. was the top rebounding team in the Mountain West Conference last season and was set to return their rebounding Robert Vaihola but he sustained a foot injury and is out indefinitely. Also on the shelf is forward Trey Anderson who has been out since early December and he is the current leader in rebounds. The Spartans are ranked No. 293 in rebounding rate. Wyoming is also 7-6 but has faced a much tougher schedule that is ranked No. 89. The Cowboys most recent loss came at BYU on Saturday by 26 points so they will be ready for an immediate bounce back at home where they are 4-1. The Cowboys lead the conference and rank No. 6 in the nation shooting 40.8 percent from behind the arc. Wyoming added a big piece to its roster as Mason Walters became eligible three games ago and the NAIA National Player of the Year last season is already averaging 13.3 ppg. 10* (638) Wyoming Cowboys |
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01-02-24 | Nets +6.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 85-112 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Brooklyn has lost three straight games while failing to cover its last four and going back, it is 1-9 ATS over its last 10 games. This comes after the Nets starting 17-5-1 ATS so it has been a complete reversal which has made the markets have to adjust. The defense has been dreadful during the three game losing streak as they have allowed opponents to shoot over 50 percent in each game and 54.4 percent combined. The Nets had allowed 50 percent or higher shooting only four times all season prior to that and Brooklyn is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 games after three straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. New Orleans has won two straight games following a win over the Lakers on Sunday by 20 points to improve to 19-14 after a 4-6 start. To their credit, the Pelicans has been solid in this role, going 8-1 straight up and against the number as home favorites but they are in a tough spot here coming off that win over Los Angeles and with a game at Minnesota on Wednesday night. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 playing a losing team, in January games. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-02-24 | Wake Forest v. Boston College | Top | 84-78 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Wake Forest has won seven straight games including a 23-point win over Virginia Tech to open up ACC play. The Demon Deacons are now 9-3 but have faced a very favorable schedule that is ranked No. 251 in the country. Each of the seven wins over this stretch have been at home and they have played only one true road game all season which was way back on November 10 against Georgia that results in a loss. Wake Forest has been successful without the services of Damari Monsanto who has yet to play this season and it not expected back until later this month. Boston College is also off to a 9-3 start to the season as it has won four straight games since suffering a loss against NC State at the start of December in its ACC opener. The Eagles are 6-1 at home with the Wolf Pack loss being the lone blemish and the other two losses coming on a neutral floor in back-to-back games against Colorado St. and Loyola-Chicago. The Eagles have an adjusted offensive ranking of No. 69 so they can match up well with the efficient offense of Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after covering the spread in three or more consecutive games. 10* (624) Boston College Eagles |
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01-01-24 | Mavs -3 v. Jazz | Top | 90-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Jazz are playing their best basketball of the season as they have won four of their last five games while going 7-3 over their last 10, covering five straight. Utah has struggled on the road with a 5-14 record but it has been solid at home, going 9-5 including three straight wins. The Jazz have had their problems against the top teams in the league as they are one of just eight teams with fewer than five wins against the top 16, going 4-12. Dallas defeated Golden St. on Saturday which snapped a two-game losing streak and it was its best shooting performance of the season, hitting 55.7 percent from the floor and it is in a stretch of shooting 50 percent over its last five games. The Mavericks have dominated the teams they should take care of, going 17-4 against teams ranked outside the top ten including a 12-2 record against teams outside the top 16. Dallas has been great in these spots, going 9-1 straight up and against the number as a road favorite including five straight wins. 10* (513) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 36 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our Sugar Bowl Annihilator. Washington proved many wrong in the Pac 12 Championship as it came in as a 10-point underdog and beat Oregon by a field goal in a game it pretty much controlled throughout. There were certainly some struggles for the Huskies as they played down to the competition a few times but that is not a worry here and stepped up in the bigger games when needed. They have a dynamic offense as they are ranked No. 5 in the country in yards per play, No. 6 in offensive EPA, No. 1 in passing yards per game, and No. 11 in scoring offense. Michael Penix, Jr. was the Heisman Trophy runner up and while his numbers speak for themselves, he counters the one big Texas strength which blitzes around 30 percent of the time. Penix gets the ball out in a hurry as he has a pressure to sack ratio of 3.2 percent and this offense will be able to pick apart the Longhorns secondary. The Longhorns have played the No. 3 ranked schedule in the country but that is a skewed ranking. They faced five backup quarterbacks this season and while the defense was very good, it was far from elite as they ranked No. 26 in yards per play and No. 13 in opponent EPA. Against the pass, they finished No. 36 in opponent yards per attempt and now faces the best quarterback it has seen all season. Texas is not a great run blocking unit and relies on explosives and it is unclear how healthy wide receiver Xavier Worthy is as he was injured in the Big 12 Championship and if he is not near 100 percent, that is huge. Quarterback Quinn Ewers is playing great but his air yards/attempt is shorter than the national average and having a big down field weapon that is not healthy makes it harder. 10* (282) Washington Huskies |
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01-01-24 | Alabama v. Michigan -1.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our Rose Bowl Dominator. It was a trying season for Michigan off the field but it overcame the distractions, and suspensions of head coach Jim Harbaugh, to roll through its season at 13-0 as it has been playing with a chip on its shoulder from day one. The one big hit against the Wolverines was an easy schedule that was No. 59 in the country but that is no fault of theirs and they got the job done. Eight of their 13 wins came against teams that went bowling so it was not all that bad. Michigan was terrific in the key areas as it was No. 1 in the nation in fewest penalties, No. 2 in turnover margin, No. 1 in scoring defense, No, 2 in total defense, No. 3 in turnovers lost and No. 4 in passing efficiency. That defense applies pressure and gets off the field on third down where it finished No. 13 in third down conversion percentage defensively. Alabama needs to be balanced but running the ball could be an issue as it will be facing a similar unit like it did against Texas A&M and finished with 23 yards on 26 carries. Alabama is very good on defense but not its typically great unit as the Crimson Tide are No. 21 in defensive EPA and No. 18 in yards per play allowed. Michigan is an above average rushing team but not elite yet should get a good push here and its key will be quarterback J.J. McCarthy who remains underrated despite being a former five-star recruit, a future first-round pick and a second-year starter. In the only loss for Alabama, Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers lit up the Tide and McCarthy finished the season No. 7 in passing efficiency and No. 2 in completion percentage. 10* (280) Michigan Wolverines |
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12-31-23 | Kings v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 123-92 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis has dropped two straight games against the Nuggets and Clippers which snapped a four-game winning streak. That run started with the return of Ja Morant to the lineup and he came out blazing but did sit out the first of the back-to-back against Denver and had a poor game against Los Angeles. He has made a huge difference but has not found his shooting touch as he is 3-25 from long range and this is the healthiest the Grizzlies have been all season as Marcus Smart has also returned after missing six weeks. They are 2-11 at home but the 1-11 start was with that depleted roster. Sacramento defeated Atlanta on Friday to snap a two-game losing streak and that win over the Hawks was just their fourth road game since November 26 as it had 11 home games sandwiched in there. The Kings are 11-5 at home compared to 7-7 on the road and while they possess a top rated offense, their defense is once again a liability as it was last season. They are No. 21 in defensive efficiency after finishing No. 24 last season. They allowed a season low 39.4 percent shooting against Atlanta but regress back. 10* (590) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-31-23 | Arizona State v. California -3.5 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. It has not been a great start for California as it is 4-8 following a 19-point loss to Arizona to open Pac 12 action but the four wins have already surpassed the win total from last season which ended up being the worst season in program history. New head coach Mark Madsen brought in a winning attitude and a winning pedigree after rebuilding Utah Tech from not much to the NIT Final Four last season. Of the eight losses, three have been by one possession, two others in overtime and another against 12-0 Mississippi so even the record is not as bad as it seems. The Golden Bears are now in a great bounce back spot. Arizona St. opened its conference schedule with a win at Stanford on Friday which snapped a three-game losing streak and a four-game non-cover streak. That was just their second true road game of the season with the first resulting in a loss at San Diego. The Sun Devils have a solid defense but the offense has struggled as they are in the 300s in all offensive categories including sitting No. 353 in free throw shooting. 10* (884) California Golden Bears |
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12-31-23 | Oral Roberts +3.5 v. Denver | Top | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORAL ROBERTS GOLDEN EAGLES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Oral Roberts is coming off an historic season where it posted 30 wins including an 18-0 record in the Summit League before a first round loss in the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Eagles knew they has their work cut out for them heading into this season with Russell Springmann taking over as head coach after six years here as the main assistant while losing their top player along with two other starters. They are coming off their first conference loss in 21 months, a 17-point loss at Kansas City, to fall to 5-7 which is two more losses than all of last season. Oral Roberts has been tested though with four of those losses coming against Big 12 teams and its 0-7 road record is actually better that what it shows. Denver is coming off a 15-point win at Omaha to open Summit action which was its third straight win. The Pioneers are 9-5 but have faced a soft schedule with four wins coming against non-Division 1 teams, all at home part of their 5-0 home record, and the five other wins against teams ranked No. 299, No. 325, No. 305, No. 256 and No. 296. 10* (879) Oral Roberts Golden Eagles |
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12-31-23 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | Top | 9-16 | Win | 100 | 47 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our Divisional Game of the Month. It took 15 games, but the Broncos finally benched Russell Wilson with the writing being on the wall for quite some time. Since a five-game winning streak, the Broncos have lost three of their last four games including a bad loss at home last week against the Patriots as a touchdown favorite with Wilson coming off his ninth sub-200 yard passing game. It will now be Jarrett Stidham taking over the offense and because of the switch at quarterback, we have seen the line drop around two points or more from the opener. This is a great spot for Stidham to fall into as there is little film for the Chargers to look at and he faces a Chargers pass defense that has allowed the third-highest quarterback rating in the league this season at 99.1. Los Angeles is coming off a hard fought loss against the Bills two points on a last second field goal which was the first game for interim head coach Giff Smith and it was the classic game of a team getting up for the new coach in his first game taking over. It has been a rough season for the Chargers and it was the end for head coach Brandon Staley and general manager Tom Telesco after they gave up 63 points in a loss to the Raiders. Los Angeles has been the underdog in six games this season, and it has failed to win any of those contests. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 50-22 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (130) Denver Broncos |
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12-31-23 | Falcons v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 44 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Chicago is coming off a win last week against Arizona for its fourth win over the last six games with both losses that could have gone the other way and it is still not yet eliminated from playoff contention albeit a slim chance. This is the final home game of the season for Chicago where it has won four straight games with the two losses prior to those coming by a combined nine points. Since Week 10, the Bears have allowed the fifth-fewest points, second-lowest passer rating and fourth-fewest rushing yards which is a recipe for disaster for the Falcons that have struggled away from home. The Falcons are coming off a season-high 29 points against the Colts where they have scored 28, 24, 25 and 29 points and even despite that output, they have scored the ninth-fewest points in the NFL this season. The reason is Atlanta has been awful away from home as it is averaging fewer than 14 ppg where it is 2-5 including losses against Carolina, Tennessee and Arizona and one win coming against the lowly Jets. The Falcons defense has been what have kept games competitive as they have allowed the eighth-fewest yards passing per game and eighth-lowest completion percentage which may surprise many but this has come against the easiest schedule in the NFL. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 65-31 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (110) Chicago Bears |
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12-31-23 | Raiders v. Colts -3.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. First off, coaching matters in this league and Antonio Pierce has come closer to winning the job in Las Vegas after being hired on October 31 as the interim head coach as he has gone 4-3 including a win last week in Kansas City as an 11-point underdog. This is the ultimate letdown spot based on that though and this also comes after a 63-21 win over the Chargers which ultimately led to the firing of Brandon Staley. The Raiders have won the turnover battle over the last two games as they were outgained last week and won the yardage battle against the Chargers by just 52 yards despite the 42-point win. In the game against the Chiefs last week, quarterback Aiden O'Connell was 0-10 over the final three quarters and comes into another tough environment. The Colts are coming off a bad loss at Atlanta which is their second loss over the last three games but both of those were on the road. This is just the third home game for the Colts since the end of October and they close out the season with the final two games at home which is a good situation to keep their playoff hopes alive. Indianapolis is currently in the No. 7 spot, one of four teams at 8-7 with one of those being Houston which comes to town in the season finale. The Colts will get Michael Pittman Jr. back after missing last week. Here, we play against teams off an upset win as a double digit underdog, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (114) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-31-23 | Cardinals +12.5 v. Eagles | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. Arizona lost to Chicago by 11 points and it remains on the road where it is 1-7. Six of those losses have come against teams that are either in the playoffs or still are not eliminated and the five games they have not covered are all against the aforementioned playoff teams. The return of Kyler Murray has improved the offense, scoring 24 points or more in three of his six starts after scoring 24 or more points only three times in the first nine games without him and he is coming off his best passer rating of his six starts. We are seeing a reverse line move here with 94 percent of the money coming in on the Cardinals but the number has gone up. Overall, Arizona has played the No. 1 ranked schedule in the NFL. The Eagles snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over the Giants last Saturday but it was still not a pretty victory. Of their 11 wins, eight have come by just one possession including five of the six at home. Philadelphia has failed to cover each of its last four games and that would normally make it a play on team but this is not a number to be laying. The Eagles regained the lead in the NFC East by one game over Dallas and still have an outside chance of the overall top seed in the conference but will need to win out and have the 49ers lose their final two games as San Francsico owns the head-to-head and conference record tiebreakers. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 94-44 ATS (68.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (119) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-30-23 | Cal-Irvine v. CS Bakersfield +10 | Top | 75-56 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the CSU BAKERSFIELD ROADRUNNERS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. UC Irvine is coming off a seven-point win against UC Riverside to open Big West Conference action and it hits the road as an overpriced favorite with a lot of that based on name and past history after winning the regular season conference championship last season. The Anteaters hit the road where they are 1-5 compared to a 4-0 record at home and while they have played some above average competition, that record is not surprising are a team picked to finish middle of the pack this season. CSU Bakersfield is coming off a 12-point loss at UC San Diego, where it has gone 0-4, to start conference play and it heads back home where it is a perfect 6-0 on the season. Potential Big West Conference Player of the Year Kaleb Higgins is coming off his worst game of the season with six points on 3-11 shooting but is still averaging 17.1 ppg with five 20-point games to his credit. The Roadrunners like to keep it slow as they are No. 342 in adjusted tempo and that is ideal when getting a big number like this at home and has covered three of four lined games off a loss. 10* (702) CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Dominator. This has turned into a big game for Dallas to have any shot at the NFC East following a pair of road losses at Buffalo and Miami as it is now 10-5, trailing the Eagles by one game. The bad news is that Philadelphia is closing with the Cardinals and Giants so the division seems unlikely but it is mostly about momentum right now. The Cowboys are locked into the No. 5 seed as they cannot drop down based on head-to-head wins over the Rams and Seahawks and one of the best parts about this spot is that it is a Saturday game meaning they do not know about the Eagles outcome so they will be out to win and win big. Despite where it is in the standings, Dallas is one of only four teams in the league that is ranked in the top ten in both offensive and defensive DVOA and a return home is just what it needs at this point. Everyone is aware of the cowboys struggles against winning teams but this is the spot to that that reversed. While it is a get right spot for the Cowboys, this is an awful spot for the Lions which are coming off a win over the Vikings which got them their first division title in 30 years. The locker room afterwords told the story and this is a tough situation to keep it going. Detroit is tied with the 49ers and Eagles with an 11-4 record but it is behind both teams in the two tiebreakers based on conference record and strength of victory and the way the schedule sets up, those two teams are not going to lose. Dallas has covered six straight games following a loss by six points or less, winning those games by an average of 19 ppg. 10* (104) Dallas Cowboys |
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12-30-23 | South Alabama v. Old Dominion -3.5 | Top | 61-59 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. The Monarchs are coming off a 1-2 trip to Hawaii in the Diamond Head Classic and is back home for its Sun Belt Conference opener. Old Dominion had lost four straight games prior to its win over Temple before losing to Massachusetts in the final game. The Monarchs are coming off a solid 19-12 season despite going through numerous uphill battles mostly due to injury and so far, they remain healthy. SBC Player of the Year contender Chaunce Jenkins is off to a great start and this is where his season ramps up. South Alabama is coming off a blowout win over Alabama A&M, which is ranked No. 354 in the country, for its third consecutive victory that has helped pad its 7-5 record that also includes three wins over non-Division 1 teams. The Jaguars have played a schedule ranked No. 284 compared to a No. 70 ranked schedule for the Monarchs and only one of their wins have come in the role as underdogs which was against No. 263 Mercer. The only other road win came against 1-12 Buffalo in its second game of the season. 10* (690) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This line stinks as the Raptors are laying fewer points tonight than they were three night ago at Washington and are now in an awful letdown spot. Toronto is coming off a hard-fought loss at Boston on Friday as it tried to rally back from a big deficit but fell just two points short. The Raptors are now 4-11 in their last 15 games and while they have been respectable at home, going 8-9 but are just 4-10 on the road. Toronto is below average on both ends of the floor as it is ranked No. 20 in offensive efficiency and No. 20 in defensive efficiency and in a game that hovers around the number, the Raptors are bad in putting games away, being the second worst free throw shooting team in the NBA. We won with Detroit on Tuesday as it covered at home against Brooklyn and then followed that up with an overtime loss at Boston on Thursday and despite 28 straight losses, the Pistons are playing hard to lose this streak. It will happen eventually and this is the perfect opportunity against a bad team coming off a game where full effort was put in late but fell short. 10* (570) Detroit Pistons |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming -3 | Top | 15-16 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our College Football Game of the Year. Motivation is one of the biggest factors when it comes to bowl games and this looks like a one-sided affair in that regard in the Arizona Bowl. Wyoming is coming off a solid 8-4 season and has a chance to get to nine wins for the first time since 1996 and it be out to do that behind 10th year head coach Craig Bohl who announced he will retire after the Arizona Bowl. The Cowboys are down only one starter due to transfer and another because of injury but other than that, the entire rest of the roster is healthy and available to play. Wyoming has not been elite in any one aspect on either side but it does bring in top 50 ranked defense across the board against a much tougher schedule and catches a break against this Rockets offense. Motivation will be paramount here. It was another great season for Toledo as it comes in 11-2 and has not had a losing season since 2009 but it is considered a disappointment. The Rockets opened with a two-point loss against Illinois before reeling off 11 straight wins to get to the MAC Championship but the perfect conference season ended with a 23-14 loss against Miami Ohio and they failed to achieve their goal. Getting up for a game after that is not an easy task especially against an opponent that is hard to get up for. Toledo was one of only three teams to outgain every opponent this season but played a schedule ranked No. 122 which is the seventh easiest schedule of teams ranked in the top 100 and second easiest of teams ranked No. 75 or better, only behind 13-0 Liberty according to Sagarin. Now the Rockets will have to work their No. 34 ranked offense without MAC Player of the Year quarterback Dequan Finn who entered the transfer portal. It was one of only two offensive players lost to the portal but a devastating one. 10* (272) Wyoming Cowboys |
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12-30-23 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tennessee State -2.5 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE ST. TIGERS for our OVC Game of the Month. Little Rock remains on the road after a win over Tennessee Tech in its Ohio Valley Conference opener and the rod has been foreign of late as this is just the third road game in six weeks. The Trojans went 2-2 on their current homestand and hit the road for just the fifth time where they have started 1-3 straight up and against the number. The road win over the Golden Eagles was a rare one as Little Rock is 5-35 in its last 40 conference games and are catching another small number is what is an early letdown spot. Additionally, the Trojans have played a schedule ranked No. 338. Tennessee St. is also off to a 7-7 start to the season but it opened its conference schedule with a home loss to Tennessee Martin by 16 points which puts it in a good spot to bounce back. The Tigers were picked to finish second in the conference with a lot of this based on the health of Christian Brown and so far so good. He missed a chunk of last season and has a summer setback but the potential OVC Play of the Year is back on track and playing great. The Tigers have gone 0-6 ATS in their last six game. 10* (664) Tennessee St. Tigers |