Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +5 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Raiders rough travel schedule continues as they hit the highway again against the Packers. This is not overly difficult however as they are coming off their London game followed by a week off and the team actually took the entire week off so they are well rested. At 3-2, Oakland is one of the early season surprises especially coming off that win over Chicago and even with the week off, it brings in some solid momentum on both sides of the ball. Green Bay was fortunate to walk away with a win against Detroit on Monday as it was aided by a couple late flags to improve to 5-1 on the season. Prior to that, the Packers defeated Dallas by 10 points but were outgained by 228 total yards and on the season, they have been outgained in three of their six games. Overall, they are getting outgained on average for the season. Here, we play against favorites after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (459) Oakland Raiders |
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10-19-19 | Air Force -2.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 56-26 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. Hawaii got roughed up last week at Boise St. and that was with the Broncos losing their starting quarterback. The Warriors are 3-0 at home but playing against the Warriors in Hawaii has been a mixed bag and while it is widely thought of that they are profitable at home, they are a below average 31-38 ATS since 2012. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Air Force is coming off a win last week against Fresno St. as the defense came up strong again. The triple option rushing game is averaging 296.5 ypg which is good for second best in the country and Hawaii has not had any extra time to prepare for this unique attack. The Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more rushing ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 to 4.8 ypc), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 80-36 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (423) Air Force Falcons |
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10-19-19 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -6.5 | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. This is the first game of a back-to-back set with heavy playoff implications as the winner will take a significant step towards first place in the West Division. Calgary was able to snag a playoff spot last week with its win over the Roughriders and it is now 5-1 over its last six games. When you break down the remaining schedules of the Stampeders, Blue Bombers and Roughriders it becomes pretty obvious that Calgary needs to run the table to lock up first in the CFL West Division. Bo Levi Mitchell has looked increasingly better with every game he gets under his belt since returning from injury. He nearly completed 80 percent of his passes for 298 yards and two throwing majors against Saskatchewan last week and this is the perfect time for him to start to peak. Winnipeg is coming off a win for us last week as it defeated Montreal by 11 points which snapped a three-game losing skid. The Blue Bombers are not in a good spot as they are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Meanwhile, Calgary is 26-8 ATS in its last 34 games against teams allowing 75 or fewer rushing ypg. 10* (688) Calgary Stampeders |
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10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. We played against Baylor last week as it failed to cover the number but it still won in overtime to improve to 6-0 on the season. Three of the last four games have been decided by one possession however so the undefeated record is a bit skewed. This will be the biggest test on the road as the first two road wins came against Rice and Kansas St. The Bears are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Texas Tech two weeks ago so it has the benefit of facing the Bears coming off their bye week. The offense is again off the charts as the Cowboys are averaging 528.3 ypg which is good for No. 8 in the country. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in the series including last year so revenge is in play this week. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record while going 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (390) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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10-19-19 | Central Michigan -10.5 v. Bowling Green | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Central Michigan is coming off a pair of wins against Eastern Michigan and New Mexico St. by a combined 40 points so it carries a lot of momentum into this Saturday. The Chippewas are 0-3 on the road but two of those losses came against Wisconsin and Miami Fla., the latter coming by just five points. The Chippewas are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Bowling Green is coming off an upset win over Toledo 20-7 as a 26.5-point home underdog. It was the first win for the Falcons against a team with a winning record since the 2015 MAC Championship against Northern Illinois. The Falcons are 4-18 ATS in their last 22 home games. Here, we play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 61-24 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (335) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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10-19-19 | NC State -3 v. Boston College | 24-45 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. NC State improved to 4-2 with a win over Syracuse last Thursday and it also snapped a four-game losing streak against the number. The Wolfpack hit the road where they are 0-2, compared to 4-0 at home, but they catch a solid break here against a banged up Boston College team. The Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. On Monday, Boston College announced starting quarterback Anthony Brown had suffered his second season-ending knee injury. In its last game against Louisville, the Eagles allowed a season high 428 yards through the air. On the season, Boston College ranks 117th in the country and next to last in the ACC against the pass. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. This situation is 49-20 (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (341) NC State Wolfpack |
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10-19-19 | Florida -4.5 v. South Carolina | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Florida suffered its first loss of the season as it went toe-to-toe with LSU as the game was tied at 28 late in the third quarter but the Tigers were able to pull away for the 14-point win. Getting up for this game following that defeat is a question by some but the season is far from done. The Gators control their own destiny to win the SEC East so a trip to the SEC Championship is still very much in play and it starts by not losing here. The Gators are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. South Carolina is coming off the biggest upset of the season as it defeated Georgina on the road last week in double-overtime. The fact the Gamecocks pulled out that win is shocking considering they were outgained by 171 total yards. They have been outgained by at least 112 total yards in four of five games against FBS teams. This is a big letdown spot for South Carolina and head coach Will Muschamp is 6-17 ATS in home games in the second half of the season in all games he has coached. 9* (373) Florida Gators |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Syracuse is playing its second straight weeknight game, losing last Thursday at NC State. The Orange could not get out of their own way in the first half with six straight punts to open the game but ended up in NC State territory four of the next five drives but managed only 10 points as a missed field goal and a missed fourth down killed them. Syracuse is back home where it is 2-1, the lone loss coming against Clemson and going back, the Orange are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams averaging 120 or fewer rushing ypg. Pittsburgh has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and the Panthers have been cashing, winning four of their last five against the number. That is a big reason they are favored on the road in this one. Pittsburgh is coming off an impressive win over Duke two weeks ago as a road underdog and now the roles switch despite Syracuse and Duke being fairly even in the power rankings. The Panthers are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 55-21 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (312) Syracuse Orange |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 | Top | 30-6 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. After opening the season 0-4, the Broncos have won their last two games as the defense has really stepped up, allowing just one touchdown over that span and recording their first shutout since 2017 last week. Part of the reason for this recent success on defense is that the Broncos have five takeaways the last two weeks after having none in their first four games. New head coach Vic Fangio a defensive guy so his system looks to be finally taking hold. Denver has been a bit unlucky along the way as it has outgained four of six opponents and three of the four losses were by one possession including as pair by just two points. Denver is +31.5 ypg in yardage differential while the Chiefs are -15.8 ypg and both have played similar ranked schedules. Kansas City has dropped two straight games as it has on the negative side of time of possession by a combined 77:03-42:57 so the secret could be out. Denver has the ability to smash it and can keep control of the ball. The public is all over Kansas City which comes as no surprise being a high profile team that has dropped two straight games yet the line has come down, going from as much as -5.5 down to -3. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (304) Denver Broncos |
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10-17-19 | UL-Lafayette -6 v. Arkansas State | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Louisiana is coming off a tough loss against Appalachian St. last week but all is not lost in the conference. The Cajuns are in the West Division where they are 1-1 and trail UL-Monroe by just a half-game so they can control their own destiny for a rematch with the Mountaineers in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. Arkansas St. is 3-3 following a loss against Georgia St. by 14 points that was actually worse than that as the Red Wolves were outgained by 301 total yards. Louisiana has huge advantages on both sides of the ball in this matchup. The Cajuns are outgaining opponents by 147.5 ypg while Arkansas St. is getting outgained by 106.5 ypg. The Red Wolves have an atrocious defense as they are allowing 537.3 ypg which is second to last in all of college football. Louisiana is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite while the Red Wolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a scoring defense allowing 35 or more ppg, after two straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Louisiana Ragin Cajuns |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers -3 | Top | 22-23 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. First place is on the line tonight in the best division in football which is the only one in the NFL that boasts four winning teams. Detroit suffered its first loss of the season two weeks ago against Kansas City and that defeat is looking worse now with the Chiefs having lost their last two games, both coming at home. We think the Lions are a little overrated at this point as they are ranked No. 21 in the current power rankings. After sweeping the season series the last two years, Detroit has won four in a row against Green Bay for the first time since the 1982 and 1983 seasons and that certainly has the attention of the Packers. Green Bay is coming off a big win over Dallas last Sunday to remain in first place in the NFC North. The lone loss came here against the Eagles in a game where it actually outgained the Eagles by 155 total yards. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems that are averaging 5.8 or more yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Green Bay Packers |
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10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -3 | 20-7 | Loss | -119 | 49 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is similar to the Cleveland/Seattle matchup as we have one team with extra rest going up against a team playing on short rest. The difference here is that the team playing on short rest has to travel, albeit not very far and the extended rest team does not have to travel. The Rams are coming off a tough loss against Seattle and they have now lost two straight games. They are a game and a half behind San Francisco so that makes this a huge game for Los Angeles. The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The 49ers are coming off a thumping of the Browns on Monday night to improve to 4-0 and while they have been dominating, this is their biggest test on the road against a desperate team. Going back, the 49ers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 9* (266) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-13-19 | Falcons -1 v. Cardinals | 33-34 | Loss | -128 | 49 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Atlanta got crushed at Houston last week as the defense got gashed for 592 total yards. The public is very low on the Falcons now 1-4 which includes three straight losses so this is a perfect time to buy low. Additionally, last week was the first time Atlanta got outgained so the record can be considered skewed. Atlanta is 9-0 in its last nine road games following a road loss of 21 or more points. The Cardinals picked up their first win of the season last Sunday against Cincinnati, the third to last ranked team in the NFL. It was also just the opposite for Arizona as it was outgained in each of its first four games before last week against the Bengals. The Cardinals are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 255 or more passing ypg, after allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa in three straight games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 9* (267) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-13-19 | Texans v. Chiefs -4 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -103 | 46 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC Game of the Year. All week, the media has been crushing Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes following the poor performance against the Colts and when elite teams are coming off games like that, bounce back efforts happen more often than not. The Chiefs were outgained by just seven yards against Indianapolis so there is no reason to take the loss from last week too serious. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Houston put up 53 points last week against Atlanta which was 43 more points than what they put up in their previous game against Carolina. The feedback is the opposite of Kansas City as everyone is gushing about Houston now. The Texans hit the road and going back, they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. Remember, no team is as good as it looked or as bad as it looked in its previous game. 10* (258) Kansas City Chiefs |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 32-28 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is coming off a big divisional win over the Rams last Thursday and while they have had extra time to prepare, this presents a letdown opportunity. Even more so, west coast teams traveling east for an early game. The Seahawks are 4-1 on the season despite getting outgained in two of their wins including a one-point win over lowly Cincinnati. The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Cleveland will be an unpopular play this week based on its awful performance Monday night as well as the fact it will have had for less days than Seattle to get ready. The Browns outgained three of their first four opponents so the game against the 49ers is an aberration and a dropped to touchdown pass by Antonio Calloway, who was rusty following a four-game suspension, impacted the game completely. The Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. 10* (256) Cleveland Browns |
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10-12-19 | Texas Tech +11.5 v. Baylor | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Baylor is a perfect 5-0 and has entered the AP Top 25 for the first time since last 2016. It is surprising considering the Bears were 1-11 just two seasons ago but give head coach Matt Rhule for turning this program around, at least for now as the schedule has been very easy. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. This is the first time that Texas Tech has ever opened Big 12 play with three consecutive games against Top 25 teams. They were blown out by Oklahoma but rebounded last week by beating Oklahoma St. Red Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs that are averaging 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 144-87 ATS (62.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (165) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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10-12-19 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -3.5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal heads to snowy Winnipeg for the second meeting this season and one that the home team is eager to take. There is revenge in play today for Winnipeg from a game it surely has not forgotten about. The Alouettes orchestrated the largest come-from-behind victory in franchise history when they defeated the Blue Bombers 38-37 on a touchdown in the game's final seconds. They overcame a 24-point deficit, the largest comeback in team history. While both teams must play in the snow, the Blue Bombers practiced in it Thursday and Friday, while the Alouettes were experiencing mild conditions in Montreal. Winnipeg has dropped three straight games but quarterback Chris Streveler has played well with the exception of some costly interceptions. He is 76-104 (73 percent) over this stretch so things should have been better. Montreal is coming off an upset win over Calgary but it was outgained by 262 yards. The Blue Bombers are 6-1 at home this season with two games remaining. The last time they posted seven wins at home came in 2007, when they were 7-2. Here, we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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10-12-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston +7.5 | Top | 38-23 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. Since suffering a 42-0 loss against Ohio St., Cincinnati has won three straight games and has climbed into the AP Top 25 for the first time this season. The Bearcats are coming off an upset win over UCF but were outgained by 82 total yards and we are finding out that this Knights team is overrated when being compared from the last two years. The Bearcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Houston snapped a two-game losing streak with a 46-25 win over North Texas two weeks ago so it has the advantage here of having an extra week of preparation. The Cougars were outgained as they scored touchdowns on both punt and kickoff returns. The Cougars are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a road win. 10* (172) Houston Cougars |
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10-12-19 | Washington State +1 v. Arizona State | 34-38 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Washington St. opened the season 3-0 but then came the debacle against UCLA where it blew a 49-17. The Cougars could not recover from that as they went to Utah and lost 38-13 but they are coming off a bye week which will help their cause here. Head coach Mike Leach is 12-2 ATS in road games off a conference loss by 21 points or more. Arizona St. is also coming off a bye week following an upset win at California. They lost their previous game at home against Colorado and while their marquee win is against Michigan St., they were outgained by 188 yards. The Sun Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams off a loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. This situation is 63-29 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1992. 9* (147) Washington St. Cougars |
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10-12-19 | Northern Illinois +7 v. Ohio | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Northern Illinois and Ohio have had great success in the MAC over the years but both teams come into this game with losing records. The Huskies have lost four straight games but three of those were against Utah, Nebraska and Vanderbilt, three Power 5 teams, and in the seven-point loss to Ball St. last week, they actually outgained the Cardinals by 120 total yards. Hitting the road again is not an issue as the Huskies are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a losing home record. Ohio had lost three straight games before a fortunate overtime win against Buffalo as the Bulls missed the PAT. The Bobcats have been outgained in all four of these games and by an average of 122 ypg. The only game they won the yardage battle was against Rhode Island of the FCS. Going back, the Bobcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record. 9* (161) North Illinois Huskies |
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10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Memphis heads into Philadelphia with a perfect 5-0 record but it has not been as dominant as the scoreboard has shown. The Tigers are coming off double-digit wins over Navy and UL-Monroe but they were outgained in both of those. Memphis is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games after scoring 50 points or more last game. Temple has won two straight games to improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at Buffalo where turnovers were the difference. Temple has outgained all five opponents so it I playing at a very high level. The Owls are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 51-20 (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Temple Owls |
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10-11-19 | Colorado v. Oregon -21 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We lost with Oregon last Saturday as it won but failed to cover against California as the Ducks shot themselves in the foot too many times. They turned the ball over in Golden Bears territory in their first three possessions and then missed a field goal late in the second quarter to get shut out in the first half. Give credit to the California defense as it stepped up when needed to keep the game close but Oregon does not have to worry about that on Friday and it is not laying many more points than last week. Colorado is coming off a loss against Arizona as it led for much of the game but gave up the winning touchdown with just over six minutes left. The Buffaloes are 1-2 following a 2-0 start and both of those losses came at home. They did upset Arizona St. in their lone road game on the season but they will be facing a much more difficult task here. Colorado is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game while Oregon is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games against teams allowing 275 or more passing ypg. 10* (114) Oregon Ducks |
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10-10-19 | Giants +17.5 v. Patriots | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. This is the ultimate contrarian play as the Giants are now up to a 17-point underdog against New England as they looks to bounce back from a poor effort against the Vikings following a two-game winning streak. Many are pointing to injuries for New York as it will be without Saquon Barkley once again and will also be missing wide receiver Sterling Shephard and tight end Evan Engram. With the struggles of the Giants defense, Tom Brady is going to put up some points and Daniel Jones is going to have to hang with him. This is the fourth time already this season New England has been favored by more than two touchdowns which tells us one of two things. The Patriots are exceptionally good or the schedule has been exceptionally soft. We can all it a mix of both as New England has covered two of the three big spreads but those were against awful teams and taking out the game against the 4-1 Bills which they easily could have lost, the Patriots four other opponents are a combined 1-17. Here, we play against teams averaging 27 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 23-27 ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (103) New York Giants |
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10-10-19 | Syracuse +4.5 v. NC State | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. After suffering two straight blowout losses, the Orange have record a pair of blowout wins to get back on track and move back over .500 on the season. Granted, the most recent came against Holy Cross of the FCS to close out September but it was a needed win for momentum and now Syracuse looks to jump out of a 0-2 hole in the ACC. The Orange are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. NC State is coming off a loss at Florida St. and it has not been in good form after opening with a pair of blowout wins against East Carolina and Nicholas St. The Wolfpack were dominated by West Virginia and then were outgained at home against Ball St. despite pulling out the win. The Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we plat against home favorites allowing between 16-21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 21-28 ppg, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (107) Syracuse Orange |
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10-09-19 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +1 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAFAYETTE RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday High Roller. This has been one of the crazy line moves of the week as Lafayette opened as a one-point favorite on Sunday night, got bet up to as high as -3 -108 the next day only to go to +1 -106 early Tuesday. It once again shifted at the Cajuns were laying small chalk and again this morning, it shifted the other way in what is a big revenge game on National TV. Wednesday is a rematch of the first-ever Sun Belt championship game, which Appalachian St. won 30-19 at home. The Ragin Cajuns feature a powerful ground-oriented offense that poses plenty of problems for a Mountaineers defense that has allowed an average of 29 ppg. Lafayette leads the Sun Belt, averaging 314 rushing ypg while only surrendering five sacks all season, which also tops in the conference. While this is not considered a rivalry, it does pair the two best teams in the conference from the last few years and the Cajuns have never been on top, losing all six meetings and all coming by at least 10 points. So it comes as no surprise the public is feasting on the road team tonight. Lafayette is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games after gaining 475 or more total ypg over their last three games. Here, we play against road teams that are outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 80-39 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (102) Lafayette Ragin Cajuns |
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10-07-19 | Browns +5 v. 49ers | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. San Francisco is off to a 3-0 start it is not overly impressive. The 49ers have defeated a poor Tampa Bay team, a winless Cincinnati team and a Pittsburgh team without its starting quarterback. Overall, those teams are a combined 3-12 and the strength of schedule is ranked No. 24. Even coming off a bye week, they are banged up. The 49ers suffered a significant loss in their latest win with a foot injury that will sideline cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon for at least a month. The other major injury the 49ers are dealing with is at left tackle, where veteran Joe Staley will miss at least six weeks with a broken leg. Cleveland is now 2-2 following its big win in Baltimore last Sunday and a win here is necessary to remain in first place in the AFC North which is now just a two-team race with Cincinnati and Pittsburgh out of it. This line opened at -3 and has steadily increased throughout the week so we are getting some great value. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 370 or more ypg on offense going up against a team with a defense allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (477) Cleveland Browns |
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10-06-19 | Colts +11.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Kansas City is rolling along again as it is off to a 4-0 start although it did fail to cover for the first time last Sunday against the Lions. The Chiefs have now scored 25 points in all 23 games he has been under center which is pretty extraordinary when you think about it. The problem is, Kansas City has not had a defense for him. That is the case again this season. Over the last two games, the Chiefs had Baltimore subdued but allowed a couple late scores to make things more interesting and needed a last minute touchdown last week after giving up 30 points to the Lions. Over the last two seasons, the Chiefs have been double-digit favorites only twice, both last year, going 1-1 ATS but those were against Arizona and Oakland, two of the worst teams in the league at the time. Indianapolis is not a bad team and this line is simply too high. In the playoff game last year, the line was -4 so this line is saying Andrew Luck is worth seven points and that is a bit inflated. 10* (475) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 52 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Why is everybody so high on Baltimore? The Ravens opened the season with a 59-10 win over the Dolphins and we know what they are made of. They then struggled to beat the Cardinals, fell down big against Kansas City before a couple late scores and were blasted by Cleveland. The defense has been awful as they have allowed 500 yards in two straight games for the first time in franchise history and the 40 points allowed last week were the second most under head coach John Harbaugh. Offensively, Lamar Jackson has digressed since the first two games as last week, a 50-yard touchdown in the final minute skewed his numbers. The Steelers picked up their first win of the season over the Bengals as quarterback Mason Rudolph led a very efficient offense. There have been critics about how much he checked down but he got the job done and he will air it out more downfield against a banged up secondary. Pittsburgh has had trouble running the ball but Baltimore cannot stop the run, allowing 4.9 ypc which is fifth worst in the NFL. 10* (452) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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10-06-19 | Vikings -4.5 v. Giants | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 52 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Daniel Jones has turned some heads by posting a pair of wins for the Giants. He was incredible against Tampa Bay but he put up a 78 passer rating last week against a bad Redskins defense and now he faces the sixth best defense in the league. New York is expected to get Saquon Barkley back earlier than expected but this week will not be that week. Wayne Gallman had a decent game in his place against Washington but that same success will be hard to come by here. The Giants defense played well last week, holding Washington just three points, but again, it was the Redskins which have the fifth lowest offensive output in the league. Minnesota has not done much better on offense but the three bad games came against defenses ranked in the top ten in the NFL. Kirk Cousins has been getting a lot of flack but this is the type of game he can flourish in, similar to his most recent solid outing against the Raiders. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs can both go off against the Giants suspect secondary. 9* (459) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford +16.5 | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Stanford snapped a three-game slide with a win at Oregon St. last week and the Cardinal hope to build off that as they head home. The Cardinal amassed four sacks and pitched a first-half shutout against Oregon St., but the final four drives of the game for the Beavers ended in touchdowns, making what was a comfortable affair in Corvallis a 31-28 nail-biter for the Cardinal. Stanford's defense isn't quite as stingy as it has been in the past. They're currently 92nd in total defense and 127th in third-down percentage defense but that is a big reason they are getting over two touchdowns at home. Additionally, Stanford has played the toughest schedule in the country. Washington took care of USC last week and it has now won three straight games following its lone loss of the season, a one-point setback at home. In their only other road game, the Huskies were favored by 6.5 points at BYU and this line is telling us the Cougars are 10 points better than Stanford? No way. The defense is looking excellent and always, and the offense is doing fine but this is a tough environment in a night games. 10* (352) Stanford Cardinal |
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10-05-19 | Toronto +9.5 v. BC | Top | 8-55 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. British Columbia has on three straight games, blowing out Ottawa twice and then then narrowly defeating Montreal last week. The Lions are still fighting for a playoff berth but their chances are slim like the Argonauts. Toronto got hammered by Saskatchewan last week which was its first non-cover since August 16 so it has been competitive for the most part despite the poor record. The Argonauts are in the midst of a two-game slide and will be trying for a split of the season series following a narrow 18-17 loss to the Lions in Week Four. The Argonauts are 2-11 but still have a mathematical chance at making the playoffs as it would require a collapse by either Edmonton or Montreal. They got a piece of that last night with Edmonton getting blown out by Hamilton. Their issue has been getting down early and not being able to fight back, On the flip side, the Lions have only led after the opening 15 minutes in five of their 14 games and scored a total of 68 points in first quarters. That makes this line a very juicy one. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 385 or more total ypg, after being outgained by 70 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (687) Toronto Argonauts |
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10-05-19 | California v. Oregon -17.5 | 7-17 | Loss | -112 | 74 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Oregon is 3-1 on the season and very well could be 4-0 had Auburn not come back from a big deficit in the season opener. The Ducks have had an extra week of rest and preparation for Cal thanks to an early bye week. They are led by quarterback Justin Herbert who returned for his senior year rather than turning pro early last offseason. He has already tossed 14 touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Going back to last season, he has 43 touchdowns and eight interceptions. The offense is firing on high cylinders right now but the Oregon's defense also ranks statistically as one of the nation's best after holding each of their last three opponents to six points or less. California is coming off its first loss of the season, a touchdown loss at home against Arizona St. While they did start 4-0, the Golden Bears were outgained by all three of their FBS opponents and now to make matters worse, they are without starting quarterback Chase Garbers and will turn to Devon Modster who was dreadful last week, going 5 of 14 for 23 yards with an interception during the second half. The defense is solid but this will be the toughest test to date. 9* (350) Oregon Ducks |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State +21 v. Ohio State | 10-34 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Ohio St. is off to a 5-0 start including four straight covers and they have not even been close as the Buckeyes have covered all of those by at least 25 points. We are stepping in front of this run this week however as they face their toughest opponent to date although many consider Michigan St. a team on the decline. Quarterback Justin Fields has 16 touchdowns and 1,092 yards through five games so he is the real deal no doubt but this will be a test. The Spartans defense is allowing just 254.4 ypg which is exactly only 30 more ypg than what the Buckeyes give up. Michigan St. gets criticized for its offense but it has been better of late. With wins over Northwestern and Indiana, the Spartans opened conference play 2-0 for the first time in two years, largely due to better execution. Michigan St. gained over 770 yards of offense, while going 4 of 4 in the red zone last Saturday against the Hoosiers. Brian Lewerke is showing he is fully healed from last season's shoulder injury, ranking fourth in the Big Ten with 265.0 passing yards per game and throwing 10 TDs with just one interception. 9* (391) Michigan St. Spartans |
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10-05-19 | Tulsa +13 v. SMU | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 74 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. We played against SMU last week and it took care of South Florida and now the Mustangs head home as one of only three teams without a blemish at the window. They are a perfect 5-0 ATS and the public is loving them once again yet the line is back to where it was after going down a point and a half earlier in the week because of sharp money. This is a fun team to watch with an offense that is averaging 44.4 ppg but it will face a defense that has been stingy at times. The Mustangs are in the AP Top 25 for the first time since 1986 and 5-0 for the first time since 1983. Tulsa is in a great position here for its conference opener as it has had two weeks to prepare for SMU which is a big deal against a high-powered offense. Head coach Philip Montgomery said Tulsa started the week focusing on itself, especially taking advantage of the time to rest and heal minor injuries. Quarterback Zach Smith has shown improvement each game. With the run game halted in its last game against Wyoming, Tulsa had its best day through the air this season as Smith passed for 354 yards and two touchdowns. 9* (353) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-05-19 | Illinois +14 v. Minnesota | Top | 17-40 | Loss | -109 | 70 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our Big Ten Game of the Year. Minnesota has been getting it done but it has been far from dominant. The Golden Gophers are just two games short of bowl eligibility at 4-0 despite the fact they are 1-2-1 ATS, with their first cover coming last week in a 38-31 win at Purdue. They have won those games by an average of 5.0 ppg, have won all four by seven points or less and now are being asked to lay two touchdowns. Purdue ran it pretty well on Minnesota last week, and the Boilermakers had not previously been able to run it all on anyone and this is good news for Illinois which averages 182 ypg and 4.6 ypc. The Illini are 2-2 and while the wins were against two poor teams, the losses were against decent teams and by a combined seven points. Illinois has scored 30 or more points in each of the first four games this season, and Brandon Peters is the best quarterback Lovie Smith has had in Champaign. The Illini are coming off their bye week and while Smith did not get into too many specifics about what Illinois focused on most during its off week last week, the team earned a few extra practices to gameplan for the Gophers. 10* (357) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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10-05-19 | TCU v. Iowa State -3 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 68 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. TCU bounced back from its first loss of the season against rival SMU with a blowout win over Kansas. The offense has put up a ton of points but it is not because of spectacular quarterback play. Alex Delton and Max Duggan have split time and are completing just 52 percent of their passes combined. The defense is solid as ever but this will be a solid test against a quality quarterback. Iowa St. is coming off a tough 23-21 loss against Baylor as it fell in the final seconds on a Bears made field goal. Now at 2-2, the Cyclones other loss came against rival Iowa by just one point. One can look at their overtime win over Northern Iowa as a bad win but they outgained the Panthers by 201 total yards as a fumble recovery for a touchdown kept the game close for Northern Iowa. Much like TCU, Iowa St. has staked its claim on being a strong defensive team. The Cyclones have not allowed more than 21 points in regulation this year and have yet to give up a fourth quarter touchdown. The Cyclones have only two three-and-outs all season long and their 100 first downs are eighth most in the country among teams that have played only four games. 9* (374) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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10-03-19 | Rams +2 v. Seahawks | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. This line opened at a pickem and has been driven up a couple points as everyone is down on the Rams now after their pathetic defensive performance against the Buccaneers last Sunday. Los Angeles still outgained Tampa Bay by 54 total yards but they were undone by four turnovers that included three interceptions by Jared Goff. The Rams are now 3-1 on the season as they have outgained all four opponents. The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. A lot of people are sold on Seattle but we are not one of those. The Seahawks beat a bad Cincinnati team by one point, beat a Pittsburgh team that lost Ben Roethlisberger, lost to New Orleans and beat a bad Arizona team. Many will talk about how Seattle has the distinct rushing advantage here but that is not the case based upon the ypc model. Based on ypc averages, the Rams have a better ypc average on offense, allow fewer ypc on defense and have a positive differential between its offense and defense. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-03-19 | Temple -11.5 v. East Carolina | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Temple enters Thursday with a 3-1 record which includes a pair of win over ACC teams in Georgia Tech and Maryland. The Owls have outgained all four opponents thanks to a stingy defense once again as Temple is ranked No. 19 in total defense. The Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game while going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. East Carolina has won two straight games and it is 3-2 on the season. The problem is two of those wins came against teams from the FCS while the third win came against 1-3 Old Dominion last week by just three points. Do not be fooled by the winning record as the Pirates strength of schedule is No. 150 in the country. East Carolina is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 home games after playing two straight non-conference games while going 0-8 ATS in its last eight games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa in three straight games, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (305) Temple Owls |
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09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 3-27 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. A few years ago this would have been a marquee Monday night game but now last place is on the line. Ben Roethlisberger's season-ending right-elbow injury and a defense that's been unable to get critical stops has Pittsburgh facing just its second 0-4 start in 1968. Not much was expected of Cincinnati this season and that has proven to be correct as the Bengals are also 0-3 but they have been more consistent of the two teams. Cincinnati had a chance last week against Buffalo but allowed a late touchdown to remain winless. It also could have won the season opener against Seattle but lost by a point despite outgaining the Seahawks by 197 total yards. The Bengals have lost eight straight and 11 of 12 against the Steelers but of course there is no Roethlisberger this time around. The Bengals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams that are getting outrushed by their opponents by 40 or more ypg on the season, after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (277) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 52 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas looks like one of the top teams in the league right now after starting the season 3-0 straight up and against the number. Digging deeper however shows this might not be the case. The Cowboys are ranked No. 8 in the Sagarin power rankings and this is due to the schedule they have seen as they have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have faced teams that are a combined 1-8. Certainly, this is not their fault but because of the record, they are being overvalued and that is the case here being listed as road favorites in one of the toughest environments in the league. New Orleans is 2-1 on the season which includes an impressive win over Seattle last week to conclude a two-game roadtrip. The stats were not pretty but things will get better. The Saints are entering their second full game with quarterback Teddy Bridgewater taking first-team snaps in place of the injured Drew Brees and expect to see progress from a unit that gained 265 yards and accounted for three of the Saints' five touchdowns. In those same Sagarin power rankings, New Orleans is actually one spot higher than Dallas which again proves the wrong team is favored. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 5.7 or more yppl, after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (276) New Orleans Saints |
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09-29-19 | Jaguars v. Broncos -3 | 26-24 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Broncos are off to a surprising 0-3 start following a loss in Green Bay last week. We played on Denver last week but failed to get the cover despite getting outgained by just two yards. The Broncos lost by eight points at Oakland in the season opener but outgained the Raiders and two weeks ago, they lost at home by two points against Chicago yet still outgained the Bears.. another surprise is that the Broncos are still seeking their first sack and first takeaway even though Von Miller and Bradley Chubb have played 96 percent of the snaps. This is just the second home game of the season where the Broncos notoriously have a big advantage. Jacksonville is coming off its first win over the season as it defeated Tennessee at home last Thursday night and while it has the edge because of the scheduling that comes with extra rest, the situation is not good at all. The Jaguars were outgained by 48 yards against the Titans and were outplayed for three quarters after building a 14-0 lead after the first quarter. Denver is in desperation mode right now by having gone 8-23 over its last 31 games which is the worst stretch in half of a century and we feel the home team comes through here at a short price, Jacksonville is 9-24 ATS in its last 33 road games after a win by 10 or more points. 9* (274) Denver Broncos |
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09-29-19 | Panthers v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Game of the Month. The world got a taste of Kyle Allen last week in place of Cam Newton and he was great by going 19-26 for 261 yards and four touchdowns but that came against one of the projected worst defenses in the NFL. Additionally, there was not much tape on Allen so Arizona was prepared for what was coming but Houston has the luxury of a pair of game tapes. The Panthers put up a season-high 38 points last week and that output is keeping this line in check as the Texans are giving just a point and a half more than the Cardinals laid and there is no way those two teams are a difference of a point and a half. The Panthers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Houston is off to a 2-1 start following an upset win at Los Angeles last week over the Chargers. They could and should be 3-0 but allowed the Saints to drive downfield in under a minute to kick the game winning field goal. This is the first of two straight home games and Houston could take early charge in the AFC South with a sweep. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems coming off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 141-87 ATS (61.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (252) Houston Texans |
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09-29-19 | Chiefs v. Lions +7 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. It comes as no surprise that the largest of amount of the money is on the Chiefs this week at 67 percent yet this line has not budged. Bettors will not be stepping in front of this Chiefs train with the exception of us as there is too much value based on what we have seen from each side. Kansas City is coming off a big emotional win over Baltimore last Sunday and with a pair of big home games against Indianapolis and Houston so the Chiefs are in a tricky spot here. Detroit should also be 3-0 but allowed Arizona to come back from an 18-point deficit that resulted in a tie in its season opener. The Lions are coming off a pair of upset wins against the Chargers and Eagles and this makes it three straight games where they are the underdog. The victory over the Chargers snapped a three-game losing streak at home going back to last season and we think the winning culture that Matt Patricia brought over from New England is finally taking over. Kansas City is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games after gaining 450 or more ypg over its last three games and here, we play on home teams coming off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of 75 percent or higher. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 9* (262) Detroit Lions |
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09-28-19 | Montreal v. BC -6.5 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. The Lions season is all but done at 3-10 yet they come into Saturday as significant favorites and we are behind them here. B.C. has won two straight games, albeit against the struggling RedBlacks. Despite that, they were able to hold Ottawa to a single sack over those games while getting to the quarterback six times on defense. The record is deceiving as the Lions have a positive yardage differential overall as they are +17.4 ypg on the season. Montreal has had a surprisingly good season and can clinch a playoff berth with a win here but it will be shorthanded tonight as quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. has been suspended for this game after an altercation against Winnipeg last week. Matthew Shiltz will start at quarterback for the Alouettes which are now in a tough spot. Montreal is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games against teams with a losing record and here, we play on favorites after allowing nine points or less last game. This situation is 94-54 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) British Columbia Lions |
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09-28-19 | Mississippi State +10.5 v. Auburn | 23-56 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Auburn is off to a 4-0 start but it has been a non-dominating 4-0 as a couple of those games could have gone the other way. The Tigers rely on a stout defense and with the exception of a game against a weak Kent St. team, the offense has not looked very good behind freshman quarterback Bo Nix who is completing just 53.8 percent of his passes while averaging 5.5 ypa in the other three games. Auburn is also a perfect 4-0 ATS but now it is laying its biggest number against a high quality opponent. Mississippi St. is 3-1 and very well could also be 4-0 as in its game against Kansas St., the Bulldogs took a 24-17 lead but allowed the Wildcats to return the ensuing kickoff for a touchdown and then allowed a late touchdown. Quarterback Tommy Stevens remains questionable but he did not play last week and backup Garrett Shrader was great in the win over Kentucky. Shrader had 305 yards of total offense (180 passing, 125 rushing) in his starting debut. Here we play against, home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points committing one or fewer turnovers per game, after three consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 9* (167) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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09-28-19 | New Mexico +7.5 v. Liberty | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 58 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CFB Revenge Game of the Year. New Mexico is coming off a win over rival New Mexico St. 55-52 in a game that should not have been that close. The Lobos outgained the Aggies by 109 total yards to improve to 2-1 with the lone loss coming at Notre Dame which is no surprise. They now hit the road as significant road underdogs against a team that should not be laying a number this big in just its second year in the FBS. Liberty is 2-2 coming off a pair of home wins against Buffalo and Hampton. The Flames were actually getting six points against the Bulls and Buffalo is a comparable team to New Mexico yet there is over a two-touchdown line differential. Additionally, they only outgained the Bulls by 31 total yards. The revenge factor comes into play, even on the road in this situation, after Liberty won in Albuquerque by nine points despite the Lobos winning the yardage battle. Four interceptions did them in and that was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (181) New Mexico Lobos |
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09-28-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia Southern +3.5 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -102 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana last week but the rushing game was too much for Ohio as the Bobcats surrendered 285 yards on the ground in a 45-25 loss. The Cajuns hit the road for the second straight week and it happens to be their conference opener and against a team that has proven to be able to stop the run. It also helps that Louisiana has played the No. 92 ranked schedule in the country. Georgia Southern is coming off a bye week which gives it the situational edge here. Prior to that, the Eagles lost a tough one in Minnesota by just three points. They have played the No. 19 ranked schedule in the nation which also includes a game at LSU. Back to the rushing defense, in the two games against Power Five teams, Georgia Southern has allowed a total of 215 rushing yards on 81 carries (2.7 ypc)\. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games while going 6-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 230 or more rushing ypg after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in two straight games going up against a team allowing 100 or less rushing ypg. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (140) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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09-28-19 | SMU v. South Florida +8 | 48-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. We played against SMU last week and lost despite TCU winning the yardage battle as three fumbles did the Horned Frogs in. That play was made mostly on the matchups and the edges TCU had but this go against is based on the situation. The Mustangs snapped a seven-game losing streak in the battle for the Iron Skillet so this presents a big letdown for SMU let the linesmakers do not think that based on this line. This is rare territory for the Mustangs which are 4-0 for the first time since 1984. Going back, the Mustangs have won just three of their last 16 games when coming off a win as an underdog. Additionally, they are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games coming off a win by three points or less. South Florida is off to a 1-2 start as it opened the season getting shutout against Wisconsin and then lost a close one at Georgia Tech by four points despite winning the yardage battle against the Yellow Jackets. The Bulls rolled in their last game over South Carolina St. to right the ship heading into their bye week so the extra week of preparation is big here against a quality offense. The Bulls are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (122) South Florida Bulls |
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09-28-19 | Florida Atlantic +1.5 v. Charlotte | 45-27 | Win | 100 | 49 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. After two very tough tests against Ohio St. and UCF, South Florida went on the road and defeated Ball St. before heading home last Saturday to easily take out Wagner. This is a big game for both sides but there will be plenty of extra motivation for the Owls. They hit their season finale last year needing a win to because bowl eligible and were hosting Charlotte as 16.5-point favorites. The result? A 27-24 49ersc victory which kept Florida Atlantic out of the postseason. Charlotte got hammered at Clemson last Saturday which came as no surprise to fall to 2-2 on the season. We played on the 49ers two games back as they won and covered against Massachusetts, arguably the worst team in the country, with the other victory coming against Gardner Webb of the FCS. The offense was trucking along before facing Clemson and while the 49ers are averaging 38.0 ppg, we think that is inflated based on who they faced in the first three games. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost two out of their last three games. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (171) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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09-28-19 | Virginia +12.5 v. Notre Dame | 20-35 | Loss | -103 | 49 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Notre Dame put forth an inspired effort last Saturday in a tough environment in Georgia as it lost by six points and was outgained by only 20 total yards. Seeing the Irish go eye-to-eye with one of the top five teams in the country will make many steer clear of Virginia, especially when they also saw the Cavaliers struggle with Old Dominion. This is a big letdown spot for Notre Dame after the close call last week and while winning is a very good possibility, they are laying a big number to a quality team. Virginia is getting half of the public action yet the line has risen a point and a half since opening. We played against the Cavaliers because of this game and the lookahead factor and it came to fruition as they came very close to losing that game if not for an interception returned for a touchdown and two scores in the fourth quarter. They were also coming off a big win over Florida St. but this week, it is full focus. Here, we play against home favorites off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 60-26 ATS (69.8 percent) since 1992. 9* (173) Virginia Cavaliers |
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09-28-19 | Northern Illinois v. Vanderbilt -6 | 18-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Vanderbilt is off to a 0-3 start and has been destroyed on the stat sheet, getting outgained by an average of 177 ypg but the schedule has played a big role in this as the Commodores have played the toughest schedule in the country. Having to face Georgia and LSU out of the SEC in their first three games is completely unfair where a team like Alabama has not had to face quality opponent through four games. The fact that Vanderbilt is 0-3 ATS is keeping this number at a reasonable one and despite 79 percent of action on the home team, the juice has actually come down in most cases with the number standing firm at -6.5 as of Thursday morning. Northern Illinois is off to a 1-2 start as it too has played a tough schedule facing the likes of Utah and Nebraska and getting hammered in both of those games. The Huskies do get the scheduling edge here coming off a bye week but this is the third straight road game leading up to their conference opener next week at home against Ball St. the Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (162) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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09-27-19 | San Jose State v. Air Force -18 | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -114 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday High Roller. We played on Air Force two weeks ago as it won in Colorado in overtime but it failed to follow up with a win as lost in Boise by 11 points to the Broncos. The Falcons actually outgained Boise St. but a costly interception midway through the fourth quarter set up the Broncos for a short 27-yard touchdown drive. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS in home games under Troy Calhoun in games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. San Jose St. is coming off a massive upset as it defeated Arkansas on the road by a touchdown as a 20-point underdog. The Spartans should not have won that game as they benefited from five turnovers that took a lot of yards and long drives away from the Razorbacks. San Jose St. got thumped by Tulsa by 18 points and it was outgained by 191 yards in its previous game when it was heading to a bye week prior to playing Arkansas. The Spartans are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while the Falcons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (110) Air Force Falcons |
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09-26-19 | Eagles +5 v. Packers | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We love this spot for the Eagles on Thursday night. They have dropped two straight games by a combined seven points including a loss at home against Detroit this past Sunday despite outgaining the Lions by 86 total yards. Dropping to 1-3 will not completely kill their season, but it will not help matters as it is still a sizeable hole to climb out of. Only 27 teams that started the season 1-3 have made the playoffs so it is a challenge. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record. Green Bay is off to a perfect 3-0 start and it is being led by the defense that is allowing just 11.7 ppg which is second best in the NFL. The issue is the Packers have been fortunate to keep the points off the board as they are No. 13 in total defense, allowing 328.3 ypg. A big reason for this variance is that Green Bay is +6 in turnover differential and this positive uptake will not last throughout the season. The Packers are getting outgained by 41.7 ypg which is not a good sign but the fact they are 3-0 straight up and ATS is putting the public behind them and in a big way. 10* (101) Philadelphia Eagles |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +5.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. The Bears go into Monday night's matchup with the third-worst offense in the NFL through the first two weeks of the season. Chicago's offense has produced just one touchdown through two games, a one-yard-run by David Montgomery last week, and Mitch Trubisky is a combined 42 of 72 for 348 yards and an interception. They do get to face the third worst defense in the NFL and while some of that can be attributed to bad play, facing the Eagles and Cowboys the first two weeks did not help. On the other side, we know all about the stout Bears defense but the Washington offense has been pretty solid as Case Keenum has done his part, throwing for 601 yards and five touchdown passes with no interceptions. The Redskins have been solid in these spots are they are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against winning teams when coming off a pair of losses. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that allowed 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 34-13 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (490) Washington Redskins |
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09-22-19 | Broncos +7.5 v. Packers | Top | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Denver is 0-2 for the first time since 1999 but it has played better than that 0-2 record indicates. The Broncos lost by eight points at Oakland in the season opener but outgained the Raiders and last week, they lost at home by two points against Chicago yet still outgained the Bears. Joe Flacco has been criticized but he has been very good with 280 ypg while tossing two touchdowns and just one pick. Green Bay is off to the opposite start with a 2-0 record but it has also been opposite in the stats. The Packers were outgained by both Chicago and Minnesota and coming of a pair of divisional wins, they are in for a letdown as well as a lookahead to the Eagles on a short week as they face Philadelphia next Thursday night. The line is way too big as records alone cannot dictate a line. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 78-37 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (461) Denver Broncos |
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09-22-19 | Bengals +6 v. Bills | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 44 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Bills are off to a 2-0 start for the first time since 2014 but we have to pump the breaks here. The wins came against the Giants and Jets, arguably two of the worst rosters in the NFL and they caught a break with the travel of the two road games. Both were played at MetLife Stadium so they actually stayed in town between games and did not even have to move hotels so those were two very unique back-to-back road games. The Bengals are 0-2 after getting pounded by San Francisco last week. They did play very well in their opener as they lost in Seattle by just a point and outgained the Seahawks by 197 yards. This is another overinflated line based on records that are not really indicative of the teams as coming into the season, Buffalo was a three-point favorite in this game. Here we play against home favorites that had a losing record last season, in conference games. This situation is 149-91 ATS (62.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-22-19 | Jets +23 v. Patriots | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Plug your nose for this one. New England is once again the best team in the NFL as it is off to a 2-0 start by a combined score of 76-3. Not many will want to step in front of this team but laying over three touchdowns in the NFL is pretty much unheard of. Since 2003, there have been five favorites of 20 or more points and those teams went 0-5 ATS and coincidentally, New England was involved in four of those. The Jets are 0-2 which includes a loss last Monday against the Browns as Sam Darnold was ruled out during the week with mono and then having Trevor Siemian get injured early in the game. Luke Falk played really well going 20-25 for 198 yards and that was with never practicing with the starters. Here, we play against teams after two straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1983. Also, we play on divisional road underdogs heading into their bye week. This situation is 44-19-1 ATS (69.8 percent) since 2002. 9* (473) New York Jets |
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09-22-19 | Ravens v. Chiefs -5.5 | Top | 28-33 | Loss | -100 | 44 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Chiefs head back to Kansas City for their home opener after posting a pair of double-digit wins on the road. Playing Jacksonville and Oakland helps but those are not horrible teams. Patrick Mahomes has been sensational with 821 passing yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions. They have looked very impressive as expected and this has been a very odd line move as the number has come down from initial opening. The Chiefs are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win. The line movement is due to the start of the Baltimore Ravens which are also off to a 2-0 start. Their level of opposition has been much worse though that has definitely played into the record. Lamar Jackson has been a pleasant early surprise but the jury is still out as facing the Dolphins, with the worse roster in the league, and the Cardinals, with the worst passing defense in the league last season, has played a role. Here we play on home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, team that had a winning record last season. This situation is 37-12 (75.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-21-19 | Old Dominion +29 v. Virginia | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 53 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. We often see fans storm the court in college basketball following a big win but we do not see if as much in college football however we saw it this past week in Charlottesville. The Cavaliers defeated Florida St. and a big celebration ensued but the Seminoles are not a good team so it was a big overreaction considering Virginia won by seven as a seven-point favorite. The Cavaliers are 3-0 and are favored by close to as many points as they were favored against William & Mary. Old Dominion is coming off a bye week following a solid performance against Virginia Tech where it was a one possession game in the fourth quarter. The Monarchs were outgained by just 78 yards. The Monarchs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. With Virginia travelling to Notre Dame next week, this is a brutal sandwich spot. 9* (329) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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09-21-19 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | Top | 37-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal is playing some of the best football in the league despite just a 6-3 record over its last nine games. However, those three losses came by a combined 12 points and the Alouettes won the yardage battle in two of those. Montreal is 3-2 at home and going back, the Alouettes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week which is good and bad. It kills some momentum from its 4-1 run but did allow quarterback Chris Streveler to get some more work in. Despite the latter, he is no Matt Nichols and despite sitting atop the West Division, the Blue Bombers have been outgained in four of their last six games with the two positive outings being by just a combined 40 yards. Here, we play against all teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread, good team, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-21-19 | Wyoming v. Tulsa -3 | Top | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Game of the Month. While this is a play on Tulsa, it is also a play against Wyoming. The Cowboys are arguably the worst 3-0 team in the country as their three wins have come by a combined 20 points and those wins were against Missouri, Texas St. and Idaho. Making matters worse, they were outgained in all three games two of which were by 148 and 151 yards. Tulsa is 1-2 but its losses came against Michigan St. and Oklahoma St. The loss to the Cowboys last week came by 19 points but the game was a lot closer than that as the Golden Hurricane actually led at halftime but were done in by a 90-yard touchdown pass. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss while the Golden Hurricane are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (370) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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09-21-19 | Temple v. Buffalo +14 | 22-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. We won with Temple last week as it upset Maryland as a home underdog and it heads into this week as a double-digit road favorite. We liked the Owls situation last week as they were coming off a bye and facing an overrated team but the situation is not nearly as good as it hits the road for the first time this season and then faces Georgia Tech next week. The Owls are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against the MAC. Buffalo is coming off a pair of losses on the road which came after a season opening home win over Robert Morris. The road losses were not nearly as bad as the scores indicate as the Bulls actually outgained Penn St. by 72 yards and they were outgained by Liberty by just 31 yards. Expectations are down on the Bulls mainly because of the loss of quarterback Tyree Jackson but this team has the 25th most experienced offensive line in the country. The Bulls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. 9* (326) Buffalo Bulls |
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09-21-19 | Washington -6 v. BYU | 45-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Washington bounced back from a loss to California by a point with a blowout win over Hawaii last week. The Huskies hit the road for the first time this season and while that can be a tricky endeavor when laying points but they go to Provo in a good situational spot. The Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. BYU has won two straight games, both in overtime by three points as an underdog. The Cougars were catching 4.5 points at home against USC last week and are getting just two points more this week and Washington is more than two points better than the Trojans. Despite a 2-1 record, BYU has been outgained in all three games and going back, it is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 home games against teams averaging 450 or more ypg. 9* (349) Washington Huskies |
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09-21-19 | SMU v. TCU -9.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. SMU comes in with a 3-0 record and has dominated the opposition so getting this many points seems surprising but it is this big for a reason. The Mustangs have piled up the points this season but those games were against teams with porous defense and they take a big step up in class on Saturday. SMU has not defeated a ranked opponent since 1986 and the Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. TCU is off to a 2-0 start as it followed up a bye week with an impressive blowout win over Purdue on the road as a short chalk. The Horned Frogs held the highly-productive Purdue offense to just 256 total yards and 13 points. TCU heads back home where it has dominated this series with seven straight wins, the last six coming by at least 19 points. The Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. 9* (380) TCU Horned Frogs |
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09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Ohio -3 | 45-25 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Ohio has dropped its last two games but both were legit as the first came against Pittsburgh by just 10 points and the second last week against Marshall by just two points, both of which were on the road. The Bobcats head back home where they have won 10 straight games going back to the 2017 season. Going back further, they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games with the lone loss coming by just three points. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Lafayette is coming off a 77-6 blowout win over Texas Southern where they outgained the Tigers by 512 yards which came on the heels of a 35-14 win over Liberty. Sitting at 2-1 overall, the Cajuns hit the road for the first time this season and going back, they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 9* (322) Ohio Bobcats |
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09-21-19 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse -4.5 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Coming off a pair of big losses, expect Syracuse to come out with fire Saturday and the fact it is an early kickoff, it helps the Orange as taking the field as early as possible benefits them emotionally. The loss to Maryland was a surprise, more so by the final score while the loss to Clemson was expected and now is the time to rise to the challenge. The Orange are 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games against the MAC. Western Michigan is off to a 2-1 start but the two wins came against Monmouth and Georgia St.. The only real team they faced was Michigan St. who has shown to be offensively challenged but put up 51 points on the Broncos. The Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 10* (340) Syracuse Orange |
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09-19-19 | Titans -1 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. We would normally take a look at the home underdog in a primetime game but not in this case as the Jaguars are a mess right now. They are down to their second string quarterback and last week, Jalen Ramsey got into a sideline fight with Doug Marrone and has now demanded a trade. From a matchup standpoint, the defenses should decide this game. Jacksonville is allowing 119.5 rushing ypg through two weeks, and with the Titans being a team that relies heavily on their running game, that is good news for Tennessee. On the other side, the Titans ranked eighth in the league in defense last year, and through two games in 2019, they have allowed just 32 points, and they have played some potent offenses. Offensively, look for Marcus Mariota to target tight end Delanie Walker and wide receiver Adam Humphries more than last week, especially on third down. Here, we play on road teams against division opponents, first month of the season, non-playoff team from last season who won four or more of their last five games. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Tennessee Titans |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. We won with Houston last week as it covered against Washington St. but the Cougars are in a brutal spot here. They go from playing against a prolific passing team to facing a spread option team so getting ready for this game is a challenge, especially on a short week. Tulane is 2-1 with the lone loss coming against Auburn which was a one possession game late in the third quarter. Since making a quarterback change last season, the Green Wave are 7-2 with Justin McMillan under center. they are coming off a big win over Missouri St. and going back, Tulane is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following a win by 28 or more points. This is the third time in four games that Houston has played on a non-Saturday and that really messes up the preparation schedule. Here, we play on teams after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game, with eight defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Tulane Green Wave |
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09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams -1 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is the rematch of that controversial NFC Championship Game and while the word revenge will be tossed around leading up to the game, we are not a fan of road revenge in this spot. The Rams are coming off a win in Carolina last Sunday by three points and while the offense did not look very good, we can expect a bounce back this week against a Saints defense that allowed 414 total yards against the Texans. New Orleans defeated Houston on Monday Night Football but we still cashed on the Texans and the Saints are now on a 1-10 ATS run in the first two weeks of the season the last six years. The Saints now hit the road for the first time where they were excellent last season but going back, they have failed to cover four straight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home favorites that outscored opponents by 4.0 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (284) Los Angeles Rams |
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09-15-19 | Bears -2.5 v. Broncos | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Road Warrior. The Bears hit the road following their disappointing home loss to the Packers last Thursday night. The offense looked pretty bad, especially the rushing game where they managed only 46 yards on 15 carries (3.1 ypc) but Chicago faced a vastly improved Packers defense. The rest advantage is a huge edge going from a Thursday game and facing a team coming off a late Monday night game. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Denver did not look good either as it lost in Oakland with the secondary getting lit up by Derek Carr. Joe Flacco did have a good debut for the Broncos but he faces a defense that is on a different level. The Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams that allowed 7.0 or more passing ypa last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (285) Chicago Bears |
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09-15-19 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | Top | 28-26 | Loss | -111 | 70 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Game of the Week. Pittsburgh got hammered in New England last week by 30 points as the offense managed a mere field goal on 15 first downs. Playing that New England defense can do that to a team and we expect the Steelers to come out with a lot more fire than they showed last week. Returning home certainly helps where the Steelers are 23-9 over the last four seasons. Seattle is coming off a one-point win over Cincinnati at home and it did not look good in doing so. The Seahawks were outgained by 196 total yards and Ben Roethlisberger is licking his chops after Andy Dalton threw for a career high 418 yards. The public is down on the Steelers and is rushing to grab the points with Seattle as fast as they can. However, we have actually seen the line move to -4 in some places even though 75 percent of the bets are backing Seattle. Here, we play on teams that lost their opening game on the road and are back home in Week Two. This situation is 41-25-1 ATS (62.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys v. Redskins +6 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Dallas looked great last week, falling behind 7-0 only to outscore the Giants 35-3 before allowing a late touchdown. The Cowboys were actually -2 in first downs and outgained New York by just 24 total years to it was a skewed final score. Taking a look at this line shows that Dallas would be an 11.5-point favorite at home and it was favored by 7.5-points over the Giants last week and the Redskins are four points worse than the Giants. Washington blew a 17-0 lead against Philadelphia and got a fortunate backdoor cover with a touchdown with just a few seconds remaining. Despite nearly 90 percent of bets laying the points with Dallas, we have seen a steady flow of sharp Redskins money hit the market, causing big reverse line movement that dropped the line down to 4.5 early in the week. Washington falls into a simple yet very effective situation as we play against road favorites off a home win, in September games. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (272) Washington Redskins |
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09-14-19 | Texas Tech -2 v. Arizona | 14-28 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. This is a bad matchup for Arizona, similar to the one we exploited when the Wildcats faced Hawaii and were gashed for 595 total yards by the Warriors. Arizona possesses the worst secondary in the Pac 12 and that was evidenced even last week against Northern Arizona where it allowed 373 yards passing to the Lumberjacks. They were 5-7 last season and there is not expected to be much improvement this season. Texas Tech possesses an even more explosive offense than what Arizona has seen as it has put up 1,104 yards through its first two games, albeit a pair of cupcakes. Matt Wells is the new coach here so there is a reason the offense has not gone down as his offense was great in his time at Utah St. here, we play against home underdogs after allowing 37 points or more last game going up against an opponent after two straight wins by 28 or more points. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) since 1992. 9* (197) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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09-14-19 | UMass v. Charlotte -20 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 54 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Massachusetts scored 21 first quarter points against Rutgers but it has been all downhill since then. The Minutemen have been outscored 86-20 over their last seven quarters including an embarrassing 45-20 home loss against Southern Illinois last week. This is arguably the worst team in the country and not many people would contend that. They have only 10 starters back from the 4-8 team from last season and even that record was skewed. Charlotte opened its season with a big win against Gardner Webb and actually played better than the 15-point loss against Appalachian St. last week. The 49ers outgained the Mountaineers by 68 yards and were down by just one score before allowing a touchdown on a kickoff return. This is one of the best defenses in the nation that finished No. 11 against the run last season so last week was an aberration against the best team in the Sun Belt Conference and the 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 9* (170) Charlotte 49ers |
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09-14-19 | Colorado State +10 v. Arkansas | 34-55 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Colorado St. is coming off a win over Western Illinois by 25 points and winning the yardage battle by 370 total yards. While it did come against an FCS team, it was a big win following a disappointing 3-9 season. It their first game of the season, the Rams lost to Colorado by 21 points but they outgained the Buffaloes by 30 yards. It was just a one possession game midway through the fourth quarter but losing the turnover battle did them in. Arkansas is coming off a 14-point loss in its SEC opener against Mississippi as it was outgained by 122 yards. Prior to that, they defeated Portland St. by just a touchdown as the Razorbacks benefited from three interceptions by the Vikings. Here, we play on road teams after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 102-47 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (155) Colorado St. Rams |
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09-14-19 | East Carolina v. Navy -7 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 52 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. It was a disaster for Navy last season as it went 3-10, its worst finish since 202 when it went 2-10. The schedule is an interesting one as Navy is coming off a win over Holy Cross, had a bye, has East Carolina this week and then another bye. That puts the Midshipmen in a great motivational spot this week in their AAC opener. East Carolina is expected to be better than its 3-9 team from last season but we are not sure how much better. The Pirates rolled over Gardner Webb last week but that does not tell a true story. Their 34-6 loss against NC State where they were outgained by 236 yards tells a better story. They made a great hire in Mike Houston who comes over from James Madison but he never faced a triple option team in his five years there. The Midshipmen are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (140) Navy Midshipmen |
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09-14-19 | Air Force +5 v. Colorado | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. Colorado is off to a 2-0 start following a dramatic win in overtime over Nebraska where it tied the game in regulation with less than a minute left after rallying from a 17-0 deficit. The Buffaloes may be a little inflated however as they were outgained in both games. The defense remains suspect and Colorado will be challenged facing the Air Force option. The Falcons rolled over Colgate in their opener and had a bye last week. Air Force brings back 14 starters from a disappointing 5-7 team from last season and the Falcons are expected to be a sleeper in the MWC. Here, we play on road underdogs that averaged 400 or more total ypg last season, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 49-24 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (125) Air Force Falcons |
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09-14-19 | Maryland v. Temple +7.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 48 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. The country is going crazy over Maryland right now following two wins by scoring 79 and 63 points in its first two games, the latter breaking a school record for most points scored against a ranked foe. The linesmakers have taken notice as this line opened at -4 last Sunday and was bet up to -8 so the public is big into the Terrapins. While they may be improved, they are not as good as they have shown and will regress against the best defense they have seen. Temple is coming off a bye following a blowout win over cupcake Bucknell and that week off is big facing an improved program. The Owls have 14 starters back, seven on each side, and will again be in contention in the AAC. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that averaged 400 or more total ypg last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (116) Temple Owls |
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09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston +9.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. This line opened at under the key number of seven and is now well over a touchdown. This is considered a neutral site game but it is being played at NRG Stadium so it is basically a home game for the Cougars. They bounced back from a season opening loss against Oklahoma with a blowout win over Prairie View A&M. Washington St. is coming off a pair of wins over patsies New Mexico St. and Northern Colorado and both of those were at home so now the Cougars are playing their first game on the road. While they have played no one, they have still benefitted from a +6 turnover advantage. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more total ypg, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 52-21 ATS since 1992. 10* (108) Houston Cougars |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. It was a disappointing opening week for both Carolina and Tampa Bay as both lost at home in Week One. The Buccaneers were the bigger disappointment however as they lost to San Francisco in a bad way, committing four turnovers in the two-touchdown loss. The Panthers rallied from a 13-0 deficit to within three points on two different occasions but fell short against the Rams. After a sloe start, the offense moved the ball great in the second half under the new Norv Turner offense and we expect that to carry over into Thursday on a short turnaround that favors the home team. Carolina is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games after allowing 30 points or more last game and it falls into a great situation as we play on NFL division home teams on Thursdays coming off a home loss. This situation is 12-4 ATS (75 percent) since 1980. 10* (102) Carolina Panthers |
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09-09-19 | Texans +7 v. Saints | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. A lot of talk is about how New Orleans will be extremely motivated following the controversial playoff loss from last season against the Rams. That shows the short memory these people have considering the Saints lost on a last play against the Vikings in the playoffs two years ago and opened last season with a home loss against Tampa Bay. Houston is no less motivated to get the season off to a positive start as it is also coming off a playoff loss following an 11-2 end to the regular season. This line is severely overinflated for the Saints against a team that has one of the best overall rosters in the league. Here, we play against home teams that allowed 7.0 or more passing ypa last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (479) Houston Texans |
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09-08-19 | Giants +8.5 v. Cowboys | 17-35 | Loss | -125 | 52 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas has been in the news for a while now with all of the contract issues and with Ezekiel Elliott now signed, there are Super Bowl talks. That coupled with the Giants downward spiral has inflated this line. This also fits with the buy bad and sell good. Here, we play on opening-week road teams that won between four and six games the prior season. This situation is 41-16-4 ATS (71.9%) since 2004. Additionally, we play on Week One divisional road teams that won six or fewer games the prior season. This situation is 24-8-1 ATS (75 percent) since 2001. 9* (475) New York Giants |
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09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 51 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. You have heard the term buy low and sell high and a similar term exists in handicapping where you buy bad and sell good. The bad in this case is the retirement of Andrew Luck and the public completely going against the Colts now. This line opened at Chargers -3.5 then went off the board with Luck retiring and it re-opened at Los Angeles -7. Is Andrew Luck worth 3.5 points? Possibly but that is a big jump in the NFL and Jacoby Brissett is more than capable to run this offense with one of the best rosters around. 9* (473) Indianapolis Colts |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 48 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Game of the Week. The public are victims of recency bias and are inclined to back the Rams because of their Super Bowl trip. They opened as three-point road favorites and despite nearly 80 percent of bets backing Los Angeles, the line remained frozen. Late this week, the line has actually come down which makes this the perfect case of reverse line movement. Cam Newton is healthy and feels better than ever. Here, we play against the defending Super Bowl loser if on the road in the season opener in non-conference games. This situation is 14-1 ATS (93.3 percent) since 1990. 10* (468) Carolina Panthers |
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09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7 | Top | 59-10 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Miami fire sale continued this past week and the betting markets are making their adjustments. The Ravens opened as 3.5-point road favorites and they are receiving nearly 90 percent of bets, making them the top public play of Week One. This massive backing pushed Baltimore all the way to -7 midweek. As bad as Miami is considered to be, Baltimore is not a touchdown better, especially on the road. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that allowed 385 or more total ypg last season. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (460) Miami Dolphins |
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09-07-19 | Minnesota v. Fresno State +3.5 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 55 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Minnesota survived a scare last week against South Dakota St. as the Jackrabbits had 23-17 first down and 367-308 yard edges including 174-132 on the ground. Minnesota benefited from a 43-yard interception return for a touchdown to start the second half and had to rally to score the winning touchdown with just over five minutes left. We played against Fresno St. last week and got hit with the loss as the Bulldogs were able to backdoor the cover by scoring the final ten points of the game. Now they are back home where they went 7-0 last season and have won nine straight games. 10* (390) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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09-07-19 | Tulane +18 v. Auburn | 6-24 | Push | 0 | 52 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Auburn is coming off a dramatic victory last week over Oregon as it trailed 21-6 late in the third quarter but scored the final 21 points including the game winning touchdown with just nine seconds remaining. That sets up for a big letdown this weekend against a team the Tigers could take for granted. Tulane is no perennial powerhouse but this is a very solid team. The Green Wave destroyed Florida International in their opener to build off their 5-1 finish from last season which included a 41-24 win over Louisiana in the Cure Bowl, their first bowl appearance since 2013. They had 28-16 first down and 545-267 yard edges over the Golden Panthers. 9* (371) Tulane Green Wave |
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09-07-19 | North Texas +3.5 v. SMU | 27-49 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CFB Saturday False Favorite Mismatch. We feel the wrong team is favored here. SMU is coming off a win at Arkansas St. by a touchdown as Texas transfer Shane Buechele was impressive in his debut for the Mustangs. This is not a great team so we cannot take much from that win. The Mean Green crushed Abilene Christian 51-31 to open their season. They have a senior quarterback in Mason Fine that is the school's all-time leader in yards and passing touchdowns. A win over SMU in Dallas will not resonate nationally like its victory over Arkansas last year did, but make no mistake, a victory would mean a ton to the North Texas program. 9* (355) North Texas Mean Green |
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09-07-19 | Toronto +5.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 46-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Toronto has continued to improve over the last month. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has tossed for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 games this season and he has not been picked off in his last four starts. The Argonauts have outgained four of their last seven opponents and going back, the Argonauts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Ottawa has just one more win than Toronto and has been playing much worse as the RedBlacks have been outgained in their last nine games. The issues is having the worst offense and the seventh worst defense in the league. Ottawa is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 games against teams allowing 300 or more passing ypg while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games against teams allowing 430 or more ypg. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (683) Toronto Argonauts |
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09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri -13.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. With West Virginia winning and Missouri losing their respective season openers, not many will be backing the Tigers here but those were two deceiving outcomes. The Mountaineers defeated James Madison from the FCS but were outgained in doing so which shows that the rebuilding season in Morgantown is already being shown. Missouri lost at Wyoming by six points but outgained the Cowboys by 148 yards as they were undone by losing the turnover battle 3-0. Quarterback Kelly Bryant, the transfer from Clemson, looked really good with the exception of one pick. Missouri will be out to bounce back from that defeat in a game it should have won. 9* (320) Missouri Tigers |
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09-07-19 | Cincinnati +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 0-42 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 60 m | Show |
09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +19.5 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We played on Wake Forest last week as it pulled off a miracle win against Utah St. as it scored on a fourth and two with a minute remaining to win by three points. The Demon Deacons now hit the road where they won their final three games but not at this price. They have not been a road favorite this big since 1997 and it is not because Wake Forest is suddenly a powerhouse. It is implied Rice is going to be bad again as it has gone 3-22 over the last two seasons but this is an improving team. The Owls played very well in a seven-point loss against Army and while they bring back a lot of experience, they also brought in seven graduate transfers from winning programs. 10* (302) Rice Owls |
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09-05-19 | Packers +3 v. Bears | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Season Opening Enforcer. The 2019 NFL season kicks off with the oldest rivalry as Green Bay takes on Chicago. The Packers have a new head coach in Matt LaFleur and he can rev up an already potent offense. As the offensive coordinator in Tennessee last season, the Titans finished No. 7 in rushing offense, as the offense coordinator for the Rams in 2017, they averaged 29.9 ppg, more than doubling their average from 2016 (14.0 ppg) and in 2016, he tutored Matt Ryan who led the league in passer rating and was named NFL MVP. Aaron Rodgers has a new coach for the first time in his NFL career and even though last season was disappointing, Rodgers was exceptional. He has been one of the best at avoiding interceptions, and last season he only threw two picks. He ended up with the lowest interception percentage, 0.3, in the history of the NFL. He had one of his best games here in the opener last season as he rallied Green Bay from a 20-point deficit. Rodgers is 16-5 against the Bears during the regular season with a 45-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio with one loss coming in 2013 after he left the game with an injury after the first series. Green Bay added a lot of new names over the offseason, most notably to the defensive side of the ball as they focused on the pass rush and revamped the safety position. While we know the Bears defense is the strength, the offense showed signs of improvement but they could have trouble against a revamped Packers defense. In Week One, division underdogs are 17-4-1 (81 percent) since 2014. 10* (451) Green Bay Packers |
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09-02-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary -3 | Top | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. This is the time that Calgary needs to get going and things are going in their favor starting today. The Stampeders have not played since August 17 where they lost 40-34 in overtime at home to the Montreal Alouettes to fall to 5-4 on the season. To put that into perspective, Calgary lost just five games all of last season. Part of the struggles are because of the lack of execution at quarterback but after missing the last seven games with a torn pectoral muscle, Stampeders quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is expected to start against the Eskimos. Edmonton is also coming off a loss in its last game as it fell at home against Winnipeg to snap a two-game winning streak. The Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record while the Stampeders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 105-61 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1996. 9* (694) Calgary Stampeders |
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09-02-19 | Toronto +13 v. Hamilton | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. Hamilton got away with it yet again as it won at British Columbia last week despite getting outgained by 106 total yards. That was the sixth time over the last seven games the Tiger-Cats have been outgained and yet they are 8-2 on the season and that record is obviously skewed. Five of the eight wins have come by just one possession, Hamilton has been outgained seven times and is getting outgained by an average of 21.6 ypg which may not seem like much but that is a lot for a double-digit favorite. Toronto is coming off a loss against Montreal which was the exact opposite situation where it was defeated by six points yet outgained the Alouettes by 157 total yards. It was the fourth time in the last six games the Argonauts have won the yardage battle but they were able to come away with the victory only once. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems with a poor passing defense that is allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (691) Toronto Argonauts |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma -22.5 | Top | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Sunday Star Attraction. This line opened at -26 and has settled in at -23 across most places which is big under the key number 24. Oklahoma is again in the National Championship discussion even after losing No. 1 draft pick Kyler Murray to the NFL. The Sooners new quarterback is Alabama transfer Jalen Hurts, who started the 2016 and 2017 seasons and led Alabama to a 26-2 overall record. He lost the starting job to Tua Tagovailoa in 2018 but still played in 13 games. He adds to a rushing offense as well that should be one of the best in the country. Houston lost its best defender in Ed Oliver from a unit that was already bad in the first place. The Cougars collapsed down the stretch, allowing 37.2 ppg last season. They gave up 45, 59, 52, and 70 points in four of their final five games of the year and in the bowl game against Army, they allowed 507 yards on the ground. The Houston offense is legit and in years past, that would give Oklahoma fits but we expect things to be better this season as new defensive coordinator Alex Grinch is unleashing what promises to be an attacking defense. The Sooners bring back eight starters on defense which makes the learning curve of a new scheme a lot easier to translate. Houston has a new head coach in Dana Holgorsen who comes over from West Virginia and he never could solve Oklahoma, going 0-7 straight up while failing to cover five straight. The Cougars are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games while the Sooners are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games. 10* (216) Oklahoma Sooners |
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08-31-19 | Fresno State v. USC -13.5 | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. It was a dreadful season for USC last season by its standards. The Trojans had their first losing season since 2000 and had a 19-game home winning streak snapped. They actually lost their last three home games, albeit by a combined 11 point so playing their first game in 2019 at home is a huge factor. The offense is the most anticipated one in a while as new offensive coordinator Graham Harrell comes over from North Texas and is bringing in the Air Raid offense. Quarterback JT Daniels had his moments last season but should make a big jump after taking over for Sam Darnold and he gets his top three receivers back. Normally this could be a big edge for Fresno St. considering it had a good amount of extra practices leading up to its bowl game while USC had none but the Bulldogs lost so much that it is not an edge at all here. They have just nine starters back including only three on offense and they have to replace quarterback Marcus McMaryion who had an exceptional final season as he threw for 3,629 yards on a 68.6 percent completion rate while tossing 25 touchdowns and just five picks. He also added 294 yards rushing and eight touchdowns. Fresno St. is second to last in the country on the experience chart, ahead of only Massachusetts. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in the first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with three or more straight wins. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (214) USC Trojans |
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08-31-19 | Virginia -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 74 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Game of the Month. The Cavaliers are starting to take big steps under head coach Bronco Mendenhall as they finished 8-5 to make it to their second straight bowl game, culminating with a blowout shutout over South Carolina 28-0. Virginia returns 14 starters, which is tied for No. 34, and this includes eight starters on a defense that finished in the top 20 in the nation last season. Also back is quarterback Bryce Perkins who is a duel threat as he finished with 2,680 yards through the air and 923 rushing yards. Last season could have been even better as three of the five losses came by four points or less including two in overtime. One of the other losses came at home against Pittsburgh by 10 points so payback will be in play. The Panthers won the ACC Coastal last season which was a surprise to many especially after getting outgained and outscored on the season. Pittsburgh should take a big step back this season as it returns just 11 starters which is tied for No. 90. The Panthers do bring back quarterback Kenny Pickett but he was far from efficient last season with a 58.1 percent completion rate while tossing only 12 touchdowns and throwing three picks. The offense especially bogged down late in the season, averaging a mere 8.7 ppg over their final three games. The experience factor and revenge factor are big time in play which is why we are not shying away from the road chalk. 10* (203) Virginia Cavaliers |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky is coming off one of its best seasons in recent memory but the Wildcats are expected to take a step back this season. They were 10-3 last season that included a win over then No. 12 Penn St. in the Citrus Bowl but they lost a lot of key pieces to that team as no longer around are all-time leading rusher Benny Snell and top 5 NFL Draft pick defensive end Josh Allen. They lost a lot more as well as they come in as the No. 103 ranked team in experience. That makes this number pretty large given the fact Kentucky is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite. Toledo had an average season last year where it went 7-6 but the offense is expected to be better. The Rockets averaged 40.4 ppg and went over 50 points six times and while none of those came against powerful teams, they have an explosive offense that can take advantage of the short-handed Kentucky defense. The Wildcats offense was bad so they were fortunate the defense was so strong and that offense only returns for starters, the same as the defense. That helps out of porous Toledo defense that should be better or at the very least equivalent. Here, we play on road teams that allowed 400 or more total ypg last season, with five defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season. This situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1992. The fact this is a 12 PM ET start helps the road team also as it takes away the rowdy SEC crowd. 10* (171) Toledo Rockets |
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08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3.5 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Head coach Dave Clawson has done a great job at Wake Forest as he has taken the Demon Deacons to three straight bowl games, all resulting in wins which is the first time that has happened in program history. They were forced to use three different quarterbacks last season and the quarterback that led them to two underdog wins in the final two games, Jamie Newman, won the job this season. Overall, this is a pretty experienced teams, ranked No. 47 in the country, and this is a big factor early on as mentioned in prior analysis. Utah St. is coming off a very successful 11-2 campaign that included a 10-game winning streak as well as a 9-1 ATS run. That could be playing into this number and while it is as low as it is. Another reason could be the return of quarterback Jordan Love who was responsible for 39 touchdowns last season. The only problem with that is that he gets just other starter back in his offense so it could be rough early on. Overall, the Aggies are ranked No. 123 in experience and looking at the ever important offensive line, Utah St. is ranked dead last in the nation with only 15 starts along the line compared to 82 for Wake Forest which is No. 31. Wake Forest lost 120 player-game because of injury so Clawson led a total upheaval in training techniques that forced them to rebuild the Fall Camp process from the ground up which resulted in a significant reduction in injuries. 10* (148) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |