Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-02-22 | Eagles -3 v. Washington Football Team | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 74 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Philadelphia moved into the No. 7 spot in the NFC with its win over the Giants and the Vikings loss to the Rams last week. The Eagles are playing their best football of the season and they can improve their playoff percentage here that is currently set at 65 percent. The Eagles have won three straight games and six of their last eight, and while only one of those opponents currently has a winning record, they get another one this week. Philadelphia has scored 27 or more points in five of its last six games and overall, it is No. 9 in scoring offense at 26.5 ppg. The defense has performed just as well as the Eagles have allowed 18 points or fewer in five of those six games well and they have improved to No. 5 in the NFL in total defense. The Eagles are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Washington playoff hopes took a big hit with the shellacking it took last Sunday night against the Cowboys to fall to 6-9 on the season. That dropped the Football Team to a six percent chance of making the postseason as they have three teams to move past to jump in. A win here keeps them alive but after last week and the body language on display, it is hard to see Washington being able to find a way to regroup after that performance. The defense was playing at a low level and it hit a new low last week and Washington is now No. 28 overall and No. 30 in scoring defense and this is not an ideal situation facing a red hot offense. The offense is ranked No. 20 or worse in three of four offensive categories including No. 24 in scoring offense. The Football Team are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg, after scoring 30 points or more last game. this situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (113) Philadelphia Eagles |
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01-01-22 | Warriors +5.5 v. Jazz | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This game sets up very similar for Golden St. with its game against Phoenix on Christmas. It is not often you see Golden St. as an underdog this big but here the Warriors are. Golden St. is coming off a loss to Denver but has won six of eight and eight of 11 games and they still have in the NBA Pacific Division. The Warriors lead Phoenix by a half-game and they now possess the best record in the NBA. Obviously, Steph Curry has been the main focal point of the Warriors success, but they rely on balance after that and the return of Andrew Wiggins provides more offensive pop. The offense remains potent as they are ranked No. 8 in scoring offense and No. 5 in shooting offense while the defense is still the top ranked unit in the league. The Warriors are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Utah is coming off a win over Minnesota on Friday to make it six straight wins but the opposition was below average as the best win came against Dallas at homer by four points. Utah is 26-9 overall and has actually been better on the road with a 12-3 record while going just 14-6 at home. The Jazz are the highest scoring team in the NBA and they are No. 1 in shooting offense while sitting at No. 6 from behind the arc and while the defense is not quite at that level, they are No. 8, No. 8 and No. 3 in those categories respectively so they are an all-around solid team but are overvalued here. The Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against favorites after scoring 120 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game. this situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) Golden St. Warriors |
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01-01-22 | Utah +4.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 75 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our CFB Game of the Month. Utah closed the regular season with five straight wins to get into the Pac 12 Championship where it dominated Oregon for the second time in three games so it showed that it can slow down a potent offense as it allowed a combined 17 points to the Ducks. The Utes could be one of the most underrated teams in the country as it dominated most opponents and the run down the stretch brings in a ton of momentum into the Rose Bowl. They are making their first trip to the Rose Bowl but they will not be starstruck as it will be business as usual and while this line may seem low, it is not at all as the matchup involved has brought this number down despite the majority of the money and bets are on Ohio St. the Utes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Ohio St. lost out on a chance for a spot in the College Football Playoff after getting manhandled by Michigan as its 10 wins were bookended by losses. The Buckeyes were dominated on the offensive and defensive lines when they played Michigan and Utah brings a similar type of physical play and can make life just as difficult. Ohio St. is ranked No. 1 in the country in both total offense and scoring offense so it will not be easy for the Utes but you know have been breaking down that Michigan tape. The Buckeyes are going to be without two of their top receivers as Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson have opted out which is surprising considering the magnitude of this game. They are on the opposite end of the motivation here. The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. this situation is 50-17 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (281) Utah Utes |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | Top | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS for our CBB Game of the Week. Providence is coming off a pair of big wins over Connecticut and Seton Hall to improve to 12-1 on the season. The Friars have now won seven straight games and are ranked in the top 25 thanks to a solid defense but the offense is still lagging behind. Providence is averaging 69.8 ppg which is No. 237 in the country and the issue has been long range shooting where it is just No. 233, hitting at a 32.5 percent clip. They are 2-0 on the road with the wins coming over the aforementioned Huskies as well as Wisconsin and this could be a tough game to get up for in what might be considered a letdown spot. The Friars are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. DePaul is coming off a tough loss against Butler but it is still off to a solid 9-2 start that includes wins over Rutgers and Louisville in non-conference play. The Blue Demons have played three straight road games and this is their first home game since December 7. They are 7-1 at home with the only setback being a four-point loss to Loyola-Chicago so they will be fired up to be back on their home floor. DePaul is ranked second in the Big East in scoring offense as it is averaging 79.5 ppg being led by Javon Freeman-Liberty who has averaged 20.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg and four apg. Overall, they are No. 42 in the country in scoring so they have the firepower to take control of this game against a below average offense. A win will snap a six-game losing streak against ranked opponents as the last win over a ranked team was a 79-66 decision against No. 5 Butler on January 18, 2020. The Blue Demons are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four home games. 10* (654) DePaul Blue Demons |
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01-01-22 | Kentucky -2.5 v. Iowa | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 71 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Iowa closed the regular season with four straight wins before getting smoked by Michigan in the Big Ten Championship 42-3 and while that should provide motivation, it also provides that the Hawkeyes can be exposed. While the offense showed some resurgence over the last three games of the regular season, this unit is still very bad as Iowa is ranked No. 123 in total offense and No. 96 in scoring offense. To make matters worse, leading rusher Tyler Goodson declared for the draft and has opted out this game. Their success can be attributed to their defense but even that unit tailed off at the end and will be facing an underrated offense that had success in the tough SEC. The Hawkeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Kentucky is 9-3 coming into the Citrus Bowl as it started the season 6-0 before three straight losses but closed the season with three straight victories. The Wildcats defense allowed 22.1 ppg which was good for No. 32 in the country but it was the offense that took a major step forward as Kentucky averaged 33.3 ppg which was No. 30 in the nation. They will face a tough Iowa defense but the Hawkeyes were scorched against Michigan and allowed 21 or more points in six of their last seven games. According to Pro Football Focus, Kentucky has the second-best offensive line in the nation this season so this is a good spot as many teams were not able to contain the Iowa defensive front. The Wildcats are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 82-37 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (279) Kentucky Wildcats |
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01-01-22 | Memphis v. Wichita State | Top | 82-64 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. It has been a decent start for Wichita St. which is 9-3 on the season but one of those losses came against North Texas at home and now it starts conference play. The Shockers have the best player on the floor in Tyson Etienne who is the reigning 2020-21 AAC Player of the Year and is off to a good yet unspectacular start. The Shockers have three starters back including Morris Udeze and Dexter Dennis on top of Etienne. Dennis was on the 2019-20 AAC All Freshman Team and Wichita St. also has another player who earned that honor last season with Ricky Council IV so not only is there great experience but talented experience. Wichita St. is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games after scoring 95 points or more. Memphis opened AAC action on Wednesday and it resulted in a one-point loss at Tulane as a 6-point favorite. The Tigers were once a top 10 team but have now lost five of their last six games and while the schedule has not been easy, the tough road continues here in another tough environment. They are 0-3 on the road with the losses coming by a combined eight points and those close defeats are providing a great number with the home team. The defense remains the big issue as they are allowing 70.6 ppg which is No. 232 in the country. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem after a loss by six points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game. this situation is 155-94 ATS (62.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (608) Wichita St. Shockers |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 77 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our CFB Orange Bowl Winner. The College Football Playoffs begin on Friday and the second game has Georgia going up against Michigan in the Orange Bowl. The Bulldogs had the inside track for the No. 1 spot but fell to Alabama in the SEC Championship 41-24 but the game was closer as an Alabama interception for a touchdown early in the fourth quarter broke it open. We expect a big bounce back here especially from the defense as the 41 points allowed against the Tide was more than its previous five games combined. One of the concerns with the Georgia defense throughout the season was its pass defense as the front-seven has been great, but the Bulldogs did not have to face an offense with a lot of firepower, until Alabama. The Bulldogs do not have to worry about that here. The Bulldogs are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS loss. A tough loss against Michigan St. was the only blemish for Michigan this season as it closed the season with a home win over Ohio St. and then a rout of Iowa in the Big Ten Championship. The Wolverines play a different style of offense compared to the Tide as Michigan has run the ball 547 times through 13 games, more than any team Georgia has faced. Even though their rushing game is ranked No. 10 in the country with one of the top offensive lines, this is a much better matchup for Georgia. Defensively, the Wolverines are solid but not spectacular in one area as they are ranked No. 21 in rushing defense and No. 22 in passing defense. They will be facing one of the better offenses they have seen as the Bulldogs are No. 7 in the country in scoring. The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games as an underdog. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 3.25 or less rushing ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (269) Georgia Bulldogs |
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12-31-21 | Bulls v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 108-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Chicago has won five straight games to move to 22-10 overall and it now sits in second place in the Eastern Conference, one game behind Brooklyn but it is also only 2.5 games out of fourth place. The Bulls are a solid 10-6 on the road but they are just 1-2 over their last three on the highway with the lone win coming against Atlanta. They remain shorthanded with seven players on the NBA health and safety protocol list including Lonzo Ball who has made an immediate impact for Chicago in his first year with the team. They have been one of the better offensive teams, ranking No. 8 in points scored and No. 3 in shooting offense but their defense remains a very average unit. Indiana has lost two straight games and is now seven games under. 500 for the season. The Pacers have been one of the worst road teams in the league where they are 3-13 but they are a much more respectable 11-8 at home where they have won five of their last seven with one of those losses coming against Golden St. by just two points and includes solid wins over Dallas, New York and Washington.. They are outscoring opponents by close to four ppg on their home floor where they are shooting 46.9 percent from the floor. Malcolm Brogdon was placed on the health and safety protocol list on Thursday but this is not an issue considering he has already missed the last three games with an Achillies injury. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 31-10 (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Indiana Pacers |
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12-31-21 | Northeastern -8 v. William & Mary | Top | 70-71 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Typically, we do not lay this many points on the road but this is a great spot for Northeastern. William & Mary opened the season 0-12 before pulling off an upset on Wednesday against Hofstra by one point as a 17-point underdog. The early season nonconference schedule was not easy but it was far from difficult as some of those losses came against Hampton, Navy, Radford, Howard, Norfolk St. and American. This certainly presents a letdown spot for the Tribe after their maiden win of the season and while you can argue momentum is on their side, we will be banking on the opposite against a quality team that is hungry for a victory. William & Mary is ranked No. 314 or worse on offense in scoring, shooting, three-point shooting and free throw shooting. The Tribe are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a losing road record. Northeastern opened Colonial League action with a three-point loss at Elon, its second straight loss following a three-game winning streak. The Huskies are projected to be a top team in the conference once again so this is actually a big early season game that they should be able to take care of easily. Northeastern has yet to win on the road as it is 0-4 but this is the best opportunity to end that before heading home for a pair of conference games against College of Charleston and UNC-Wilmington next week. The offense is significantly better than that of the Tribe while the defense is better in three of the four key categories. The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (857) Northeastern Huskies |
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12-30-21 | Arizona State v. Wisconsin -6 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our CFB Blowout of the Month. Wisconsin had a seven-game winning streak snapped in its regular season finale against Minnesota which cost it a berth into the Big Ten Championship game. Instead, the Badgers finished in a three-way tie for second place at 6-3 and finished 8-4 overall. This Wisconsin team is not much different than most we are accustomed to as it has a strong rushing game and a defense that does not give up much. The Badgers finished No. 16 in the country with 215.3 ypg on the ground and defensively, they were No. 1 in the country in total defense, allowing just 241.4 ypg while finishing No. 6 in scoring defense, yielding only 16.4 ppg and this came against the No. 7 ranked schedule in the country. The Badgers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Arizona St. also finished 8-4 but the very weak Pac 12 played a big role in that and the Sun Devils will have their hands full here especially with a lot of key players not making the trip because of opt outs and transfers. Arizona St. will not have its top two running backs, Rachaad White and Deamonte Trayanum, its top two cornerbacks, Chase Lucas and Jack Jones and its best linebacker, Darien Butler. The Sun Devils will lean even more heavily on quarterback Jayden Daniels who is a duel threat but without his two best rushers behind him, he could find it difficult to find a lot of success against the stout Wisconsin defense. Arizona St. does have a strong defense but again, it is missing key players and Arizona St. beat only one team with a winning record. The Sun Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 3.25 or less ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (262) Wisconsin Badgers |
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12-30-21 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech -6.5 | Top | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Louisiana Tech is off to a 9-3 start as it enters C-USA action on Thursday. It dies not have any great wins, Santa Clara on the road being the best, but its three losses came against Alabama, NC State and LSU and the Bulldogs are back in action after eight days off. They are 7-0 at home and overall, they have won 15 straight home games going back to last season. Louisiana Tech is ranked third in C-USA and No. 32 overall in the country in scoring offense at 80.7 ppg. The Bulldogs also rank first in the conference and No. 37 in the nation in assist/turnover ratio at 1.38. The Bulldogs are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a losing road record. Marshall is 7-6 on the season and is riding a three-game losing streak heading into Thursday. All three losses were by double-digits and while their nine days off should help to try and get them back together, they come in with a 1-4 record on the road with three of those losses coming by at least 10 points. The Thundering Herd were averaging 83.1 ppg during their first 10 games, but have averaged just 62.7 ppg during their three-game losing skid. The Thundering Herd are 0-7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points shooting between 45 and 47.5 percent going up against teams shooting between 42.5 and 45 percent, after a game where they made 55 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 80-42 ATS (65.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (794) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -2.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 56 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. The Panthers head to the Peach Bowl following a 45-21 win over Wake Forest in the ACC Championship but they are not the same team going into this game. Pittsburgh finished the regular season No. 3 in total offense and No. in scoring offense but things are going to be a lot different on Thursday. Following the decision by quarterback Kenny Pickett to opt out and prepare for the NFL draft, Nick Patti has been named the starter. He has made one start, back in 2019 against Delaware, so this offense will be taking on a whole new look. Additionally, tight ends coach Tim Salem is serving as interim offensive coordinator after Mark Whipple left for Nebraska. The defense was an above average unit thanks to finishing No. 6 in rushing defense but the passing defense was awful, finishing No. 107 in the country. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Michigan St. finished the regular season 10-2 and after a 2-5 season last year, this was the biggest single-season turnaround in program history. The Spartans hope to be as close to healthy as they have been thanks to the month off so they are in better shape than when the regular season ended. The Michigan St. defense has been better this season but also struggled at times, especially against the pass where it finished last in the country but it catches a break with Pickett sitting out. Michigan St. also lost a key player as running back Kenneth Walker III opted out for draft prep but his absence can be made up a lot easier than the quarterback situation for Pittsburgh. The Spartans passing game should be able to have success here as the Panthers passing defense is one of the worst that the Spartans will have faced this year as only Maryland and Rutgers were worse against the pass than Pittsburgh. The Spartans are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. 9* (260) Michigan St. Spartans |
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12-29-21 | Tennessee v. Alabama -2.5 | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. We won with Tennessee in its most recent game as it defeated then undefeated Arizona at home to improve to 9-2 on the season. The Volunteers are ranked No. 15 in the country as they hit the road for the second time this season with the first road win coming at Colorado where they were favored by 5.5 points so this is the biggest toad test so far. The Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Alabama is off to a 9-3 start with all three losses coming away from home which does include a poor one against Iona on a neutral floor. The best win of the season is obviously the nine-point win against Gonzaga and the Tide followed that up with another impressive win over Houston so they can play against elite teams. Alabama is 6-0 at home where it has outscored opponents by 14 ppg. The Crimson Tide are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Wednesday games. Here, we play against road teams averaging 76 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after leading their last three games by five or more points at the half. This situation is 112-62 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (698) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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12-29-21 | SMU -2.5 v. Tulsa | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. SMU has won six straight games to move to 9-3 on the season and the last three were all solid wins over New Mexico on the road, Dayton and Vanderbilt. The Mustangs only other road game resulted in a big loss at Oregon which was not a huge surprise. They play their second straight on the road and should have no problem here and open up AAC action with a victory at a relatively short price. The Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. Tulsa has won two straight games, albeit against nobody of significance, following a three-game losing streak and the Golden Hurricane are now 6-5 on the year. They are 5-2 at home with the losses coming against Air Force and Loyola-Marymount where they were favored in both which shows even more inconsistencies that have plagued them all season and now comes the first real home test. The Golden Hurricane are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Here, we play against home teams as an underdog or pickem playing with 7 or more days rest, in December games. This situation is 93-49 ATS (65.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (689) SMU Mustangs |
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12-29-21 | LSU v. Auburn -4 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. Since a loss in overtime against Connecticut, Auburn has won eight straight games to improve to 11-1 on the season and opens SEC action at home in an early season battle of ranked teams. The Tigers are 6-0 at home as half of their games have been off campus so they have looked good in what has not been a cakewalk schedule and are in a good spot as a small chalk. The Tigers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. LSU is off to a perfect 12-0 start and is ranked No. 16 in the country as it has outscored opponents by over 25 ppg. The Tigers have played a handful of neutral site games and this is their first true on campus road game and they are certainly being thrown into the fire out of the gate. These are the spots to go against, especially this far into the season. The Tigers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a cover as a double digit favorite, with two more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (660) Auburn Tigers |
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12-29-21 | Maryland -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 54-10 | Win | 100 | 45 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CFB Wednesday Pinstripe Bowl Winner. Maryland is in its first bowl games since 2016 so it should be pretty fired to finally get back to the postseason. The Terrapins finished 6-6 which was rather disappointing after starting the season 4-0. But five of the next seven games came against ranked teams and one of the others was now 8-4 Minnesota. The Maryland offense is the best unit on the field in this game as it finished No. 33 in the nation in total offense and it will go up against a below average Virginia Tech defense that is missing key players. On the other side, the Terrapins have been below average as well but their strength is stopping the run and they will likely see a lot of that based on the Hokies personnel changes heading into the bowl game. The Terrapins are 5-1 ATS in their last six nonconference games. The Hokies also finished 6-6 highlighted by a season ending win against rival Virginia to become bowl eligible. It was considered a down year and that led to the dismissal of head coach Justin Fuentes so they will have a whole new coaching staff in place and that can be an issue. The personnel changes referred to is that Virginia Tech is down three key players on offense, quarterback Braxton Burmeister and its leading two receivers. They are also down their best cornerback and their top pass rusher so they could very well struggle against the pass. Overall, the offense is ranked No. 90 while the defense is ranked No. 72 and obviously those rankings are now skewed based on what they lost heading into Wednesday. The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-17 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (249) Maryland Terrapins |
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12-28-21 | Fresno State v. Boise State -4 | Top | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our MWC Game of the Month. MWC play tips off for Fresno St. and Boise St. on Tuesday. Fresno St. is coming off a blowout win over Weber St. last Wednesday which was its first road win of the season following three straight losses. The Bulldogs are 10-3 overall and that solid record is keeping this line relatively low. The Bulldogs allow 54.9 ppg and 38.2 percent shooting, ranking No. 3 and No. 23 in the nation, respectively. Of course, that has come against a relatively easy schedule so even though the Bulldogs have made a big jump in the power rankings, those defensive rankings are skewed. The Bulldogs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Boise St. has won six straight games to improve to 9-4 on the season. The Broncos have two wins over Power Five Conferences, including a 10-point win over Mississippi, and neither of those came at home. The Boise St. offense has struggled at times but it has gotten hot during the winning streak, as it is shooting 48.5 percent from the floor and 39.8 percent from three-point range. The Broncos have also picked it up on the defensive side as they have allowed 60 or fewer points in all six games while allowing opponents to shoot 36.5 percent from the floor including 28.6 percent from behind the arc. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg, after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 100-53 ATS (65.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (616) Boise St. Broncos |
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12-28-21 | Lakers -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Lakers are floundering with five straight losses with three of those coming against elite teams in Chicago, Phoenix and Brooklyn. This is the perfect opponent to break the streak even though they are short-handed with Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook out with a knee injury and health and safety protocol respectively. This means it will be the LeBron James show and he will have Carmelo Anthony alongside to provide some scoring punch. While the offense has been below average during the losing streak, the defense has been horrible the last two games, allowing 138 and 122 points. They have gone just 12-22 ATS this season so there is value in the number based on that as well. Houston has lost three straight games, all on the road where the Rockets are 3-16, and they head home where they are a much more respectable 7-7. Because of that and the Lakers struggles, we are seeing some early money coming in on Houston. The Rockets have struggled defensively as they are No. 28 in scoring and No. 21 in scoring defense so even though the Lakers are short-handed with their stars, they can take advantage of this unit. They are better offensively but are still in the bottom half of the league and the worst part is that Houston is the third worst free throw shooting team in the NBA at 70.6 percent. The Rockets are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on road favorites after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-28-21 | Louisville v. Air Force +1.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Louisville and Air Force square off in the First Responder Bowl on Tuesday and the Falcons have some big edges here yet come in as the underdog. Air Force is the top rushing team in the country, averaging 341.5 ypg which no surprise, it also leads the nation in time of possession. Another reason is the fact that the Falcons have no problem keeping drives going as they have the fourth-most fourth down attempts in the country with 40 and they convert 77.5 percent of those which is third best in the nation. On the other side, the Falcons play strong defense as they are ranked No. 5 in total defense, trailing only Wisconsin, Georgia, Oklahoma St. and Minnesota, and they are ranked No. 7 in rushing defense. The Falcons are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Louisville does have a solid offense as it is No. 21 overall and No. 39 in scoring but it is nothing special and the Cardinals will be without two of their top four receivers. They have scored more than 24 points only three times in their last six games and those three came against non-bowl teams. Overall, Louisville went 1-6 against bowl teams. The Louisville defense will be a liability here as the Cardinals have struggled to stay off the field. They are ranked No. 84 overall including No. 77 against the run which will be a real issue here. They have outrushed the majority of their opponents but they have faced nothing like this. Forcing turnovers will be key but that is unlikely against the disciplined Falcons. The Cardinals are 11-27-1 ATS in their last 39 games against teams with a winning record. Here we play on neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (240) Air Force Falcons |
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12-27-21 | Jazz -6 v. Spurs | Top | 110-104 | Push | 0 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Revenge Game of the Month. Utah has won three straight games following a two-game losing streak that included a home loss against San Antonio as an 11.5-point favorite. The Jazz have gone five straight games without a cover which may be giving us some value here even though it is a big number in what might be considered a contrarian play despite the disparity in records between the teams. Utah is 23-9 overall and has actually been better on the road with a 10-3 record. The Jazz are the highest scoring team in the NBA and they are No. 2 in shooting offense while sitting at No. 4 from behind the arc and while the defense is not quite at that level, they are No. 7, No. 9 and No. 3 in those categories respectively. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a losing home record. The Spurs have won two straight games and are 5-3 over their last eight games to move to 13-18 on the season. San Antonio is a better road team than at home as well as it is 6-9 on its home floor and has been able to compete with some the better teams going 9-3 ATS against winning teams. While that is the case, this is not a good spot playing a team with revenge even though the Jazz are without Donovan Mitchell and that is a reason the line is lower than we would normally see. The Spurs are pretty solid on offense, ranked No. 6 in scoring and No. 4 in shooting but the defense has been the letdown as they are No. 24 in scoring, shooting defense and three-point defense. The Spurs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on favorites revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven or more going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 30-6 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (553) Utah Jazz |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins -3 v. Saints | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is coming off a 9-0 win over Tampa Bay making this a letdown spot and on top of that, the Saints have been hit hard with players being placed on the COVID list. The offensive situation is not good as both Trevor Siemian and Taysom Hill are on the COVID list, so Ian Book will start at quarterback so the already poor offense will struggle even more. The Saints defense has carried this team all season because of the poor offense but this is not a good matchup with the Dolphins despite Miami having its own struggles on offense because the Saints have a tough time containing the underneath pass. Additionally, the Saints have allowed 402 ypg at home which is worst in the NFL. The Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. The Dolphins are one of the hottest teams in the NFL with six straight wins and at 7-7, it is still alive in the AFC Wild Card race. Miami has not been great on offense this season but it has played better of late and its strength counters the Saints weakness of defending the short pass. Miami likes to get the ball out quick and they can use that to their advantage here. The Dolphins total defense is right in the middle of the pack as is the scoring defense so they should have to problem containing the New Orleans offense. The schedule has been soft for the Dolphins during the winning streak but that is not a concern against this team. We have seen a complete flip with this line but it is justified. The Dolphins are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams averaging between 4.9 and 5.4 yppl going up against teams allowing between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (481) Miami Dolphins |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan -7 v. Nevada | Top | 52-24 | Win | 101 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Quicken Lane Bowl Winner. Nevada had high hopes heading into the Quicken Lane Bowl but things have changed as the Wolf Pack are severely depleted which caused this massive line shift. Overall, they lost 16 players to the transfer portal so the 8-4 regular season takes on a whole new meaning. The offense has been hit the hardest as Nate Cox, will be the starting quarterback, and he will be without the top six wide receivers from the regular season, all of which left the roster. The defense was not hit as hard but considering they finished No. 83 in total defense, it will not make a difference. The new starters have had little time to gel so the offense will find it difficult to find any cohesion. The Wolf Pack are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Western Michigan finished 7-5 with all five losses coming against bowl teams including one against Michigan. The Western Michigan offense will be hard to stop as they finished No. 15 in the country in total offense led by quarterback Kaleb Eleby who threw for 3,115 yards and 21 touchdowns and running back Sean Tyler who rushed for over 1,000 yards. The Broncos outgained all but two opponents this season and not only because of the offense, but the defense finished No. 29 in the country so they are solid on both sides. This is essentially a home game for Western Michigan as the game is being played in Detroit and the body clock for the Wolf Pack will be affected by the 11:00 start time. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (233) Western Michigan Broncos |
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12-26-21 | 76ers -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. The Sixers have not hit expectations this season with a 16-16 record and they are coming off a horrible loss to a depleted Hawks team that just got blown out by the Knicks so Philadelphia is in a great bounce back spot against Washington on Sunday. The Sixers have actually been a better road team than at home which has not been the case in years past as they are 10-8 on the highway compared to being just 6-8 at home. The defense has been decent but the offense has let them down as they are No. 25 in scoring offense and No. 15 in shooting which is not horrible but the rebounding is the issue but they could have an advantageous matchup here. Washington got off to a great start but the wheels have fallen off even though it has won two straight games including an impressive win at Utah. Prior to that, the Wizards dropped eight of their previous 10 games and currently they are 8-4 at home yet come in as an underdog. Red flag. Well, that is because Bradley Beal and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope have been put on the health and safety protocol list and that takes over 34 points away from the offense so the value has turned to the Sixers which have lost four of five games. The Wizards were No. 22 in scoring offense so that is not in play anymore while the defense has been average all season. Washington is 1-10 ATS when playing three or less games in 10 days while going 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (533) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-26-21 | Broncos v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Denver is coming off a home loss against Cincinnati to fall to 7-7 and it has alternated wins and losses over its last six games. The Broncos are 3-3 on the road with the three losses coming against Kansas City, Cleveland and Pittsburgh. They are still alive for a playoff berth but the chances are slim as they are at 8 percent which is at the bottom of the AFC mainly because they have the Chargers and Chiefs to close out the season. Denver can hand its hat on its defense which is ranked No. 5 overall and No. 2 in scoring. This will be a big edge here even though the offense is relying on Drew Lock at quarterback so the rushing game will need to keep up its pace where it is ranked No. 8. The Broncos are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Raiders have lost three straight games against the number while dropping five of their last seven games straight up. The defense is the exact opposite of Denver as they are No. 25 against the run and No. 30 in scoring defense. They have shored it up in two of their last three games but other that those games against Washington and Cleveland, it has been garbage. Las Vegas cannot run the ball on offense as it is ranked No. 29 in rushing offense and while it is No. 3 in passing offense, it faces a Broncos defense that is No. 7 in passing defense. The Raiders are slightly ahead of Denver in playoff probability, it is by the slimmest of margins so there is no edge. Las Vegas is 1-8 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive losses against the spread. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 37-6 AYS (86 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Denver Broncos |
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12-26-21 | Bucs -9.5 v. Panthers | Top | 32-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
This is s play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFC South Game of the Month. Tampa Bay is coming off a 9-0 loss against New Orleans to fall to 10-4 on the season and now sits in third place in the NFC. The shutout loss was just the third ever for Tom Brady, his first since 2006 and the fact the Saints did it should come as no surprise. He is 0-4 against New Orleans since joining Tampa Bay and it happens to be his only four game losing streak against any in his career. He is in a foul mood and that is not good for the Panthers. The injuries on the offense to Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette are a concern but the Buccaneers are getting Antonio Brown back and Ronald Jones is not far behind Fournette so this offense will be fine. The Buccaneers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Carolina is trash despite a 5-9 record as the offense has brought it down, ranked No. 28 overall and No. 25 in scoring offense. Head coach Matt Ruhle indicated that Cam Newton will start but Sam Darnold will see time as well so things could go from bad to worst with a lack of chemistry going through the whole offense. The Panthers have lost four straight games including a 17-point loss to Buffalo last week and they have been outgained in seven of their last 10 games. They have been solid defensively or should we say were as they have allowed 30 ppg during the four-game losing streak. This is not a good sign against a pissed off Brady who gets to face Carolina twice in the last three games. Carolina is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 home games after one or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage after having lost four out of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 36-15 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (457) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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12-26-21 | Lions v. Falcons -6.5 | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off a blowout win over Arizona last week as the 31-point cover was one of the largest in NFL history. The Lions have won two of their last three games and have covered five of their last six games which is keeping this number within reason for the Falcons. Detroit will be without starting quarterback Jared Goff as well as other top weapons on offense and Tim Boyle will be making another start after throwing for 77 yards and two interceptions against Cleveland back in Week 11. The Lions have yet to win on the road, although they did tie in Pittsburgh, and they are getting outscored by nearly nine ppg on the highway. The defense is ranked No. 25 or worse in all four categories. The Lions are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. While the Lions have failed to win on the road, the Falcons have yet to win at home bur four of those losses came against playoff contenders including defeats against Tampa Bay and New England in the last two. It has been another tough year for Atlanta which expects to clean house after the season is over but the 6-8 record is at least respectable even though most of those wins have come against awful competition and Detroit sure fits that bill. Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan has been strong when throwing downfield and while he has not done it much, he has the chance to do it here. The Falcons are 5-8 against the number which is another there is value. The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of .250 or worse after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (464) Atlanta Falcons |
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12-25-21 | Warriors +6.5 v. Suns | Top | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. It is not often you see Golden St. as an underdog this big but here the Warriors are. Golden St. has won two straight, five of six and seven of its last nine games but has lost the lead in the NBA Pacific Division. The Warriors trail Phoenix by a half-game and they now possess the second best record in the NBA. Obviously, Steph Curry has been the main focal point of the Warriors success, they rely on balance with five players averaging between 6.7 and 8.4 ppg and with Alan Wiggins out, that balance will become more key. Curry has averaged 35.3 ppg over his last three games and in these spotlight games, this is where he steps it up even more. The Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Phoenix is on a five-game winning streak with the latest being a 113-101 win over the Thunder on Thursday. The Suns came into the season as contenders for the NBA Title after making the Finals last season and they are proving they are worthy once again. Led by Devin Booker and Chris Paul, the Suns are No. 3 in scoring and No. 2 in shooting offense but face a Warriors defense that is ranked No. 1 in both of those categories. One difference between these two teams in that while Phoenix is 9-0 against the Eastern Conference, it is 17-5 against the West while the Warriors are 14-3 against the Western Conference. Phoenix is just 1-3 ATS at home against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against home teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. This situation is 63-31 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (589) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-25-21 | Browns +7.5 v. Packers | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Cleveland has alternated wins and losses over its last nine games and it has won its last four games following a previous loss. Can the Browns win here following a loss against the Raiders? They definitely can but the line has gone from 4 to 7.5 in some spots so all we need is a close game. We will get a full effort from Cleveland as it needs to win out and get some help for a playoff spot. Green Bay had a top-10 run defense for most of the season but has struggled of late as it has allowed 143 yards and 137 yards to the Ravens and Bears respectively over their last two games. Cleveland will look to exploit this with its No. 4 rushing offense. The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. The Packers have clinched their third straight NFC North title and have a one game lead in the conference to try and secure a first round bye so this is a big game for them also. Winning here will not be easy for the Browns as Green Bay has yet to lose at home while outscoring opponents by over 13 ppg. Only two of the six wins have come teams with a shot at the playoffs so facing a desperate team puts them in a tough spot. The Packers will not have injured LT David Bakhtiari or CB Jaire Alexander, even though they have been practicing. While the Cleveland run game needs to flourish, so does the defense and we think the unit steps up. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 25 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (453) Cleveland Browns |
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12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | Top | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our Camillia Bowl Winner. Georgia St. comes into the Camellia Bowl on a three-game winning streak including a win over Costal Carolina to open the streak. The Panthers finished 7-5 including a 6-2 record in the Sun Belt Conference which was good for a second place tie in the East Division. Their success has relied on a strong running game that is ranked No. 8 in the country, averaging 225.4 ypg and they face a pretty average Ball St. rushing defense and this part of the game is a reason while this line has climbed from 3.5 to 6. Despite the winning record, Georgia St. was outgained during the regular season including over 100 yards through the air. The Cardinals were able to secure a bowl berth with a 20-3 win over Buffalo in their season finale. It was an up and down season and the win over the Bulls stopped a rather poor end to the season. The Cardinals finished with just two wins in their final five games, but one of those defeats was a one-point loss at Northern Illinois and another coming against Miami, which is coming off a 13-point win in the Frisco Football Classic yesterday, by just a touchdown. The Ball St. passing offense is far from potent but it can take advantage of a weak Panthers passing defense. The Cardinals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season. This situation is 38-19 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (231) Ball St. Cardinals |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our Christmas Afternoon Dominator. The first game of the Christmas quintuple-header has the Hawks heading to New York to face the Knicks. Atlanta is coming off a win at Philadelphia despite being ravaged by the NBA health and safety protocol and tonight, the Hawks are down another starter as Onyeka Okongwu has been added to the list. They are already without Trae Young, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari, and Lou Williams so the fact they beat the Sixers was surprising although Philadelphia has been one of the bigger disappointments in the league. While facing another struggling team Saturday, pulling off another feat like that will be tough. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win. New York is coming off a loss to Washington on Thursday to fall to 14-18 on the season which includes a dismal 6-11 record at MSG. It is in much better shape though health wise though than the Hawks and that includes a big part of its offense potentially returning. The Knicks could have RJ Barrett back today after missing six games after he was placed on the list as well as Immanuel Quickley possibly returning but it seems unlikely. Kemba Walker missed nine games as a healthy scratch but scored 44 points in the loss to the Wizards and he should make an impact again in a depleted backcourt. The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win as an underdog, playing four or less games in 10 days. This situation is 82-53 ATS (60.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (586) New York Knicks |
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12-23-21 | 49ers -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We have two teams going in opposite directions that square off on Thursday night. San Francisco has won two straight games and five of its last six to improve to 8-6 and is sitting in the No. 6 spot in the NFC. The 49ers are projected at 83 percent to make the playoffs and while this game will not be easy, the momentum is on their side. The offense has improved to No. 12 overall and No. 13 in scoring while the defense in No. 6 overall and face a Titans team that is still hurt by injuries. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Tennessee has lost three of its last four games with the lone win coming against Jacksonville. The loss last week knocked them from the top spot in the AFC down to the No. 3 spot. The Titans have turned the ball over 13 times in those three losses while quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been sacked 41 times which is second most in the NFL. Defensively, the Titans are No. 10 0verall and No. 16 in points allowed so while they are above average, they face a surging offense and have seen only one decent offense over their last five games. The Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams averaging between 4.9 and 5.4 yppl going up against teams allowing between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-22-21 | Clippers -7 v. Kings | Top | 105-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Clippers have lost three straight games to fall to 16-15 overall and are now 9.5 games behind Golden St. in the Pacific Division. Their defense remains strong as they are No. 8 in scoring and No. 9 in shooting and the offense will have to get going as they are No. 25 in scoring and No. 21 shooting from the floor. The Clippers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. Sacramento is coming off a loss at Golden St. and has now lost five of its last seven games to drop six games under .500 on the season. The Kings are two games under .500 at home and have yet to cover a game against a winning team. The offense is ranked No. 6 in scoring but the defense has been the liability as they are No. 29 in points allowed and No. 25 in shooting defense. The Kings are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on road teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) Los Angeles Clippers |
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12-22-21 | Missouri v. Army -6.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Game of the Week. Both Missouri and Army are coming off losses in their regular season finales and square off in the Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth. The Tigers have just on win this season against a team above .500 and that was against Central Michigan in their season opener. Missouri comes in very average on both sides of the ball and it is its inability to stop the run will play a huge factor. Missouri is ranked No. 125 in rushing defense, allowing 229.3 ypg and will face an Army offense that is ranked No. 2 in rushing offense at 286.9 ypg. Additionally, Army is second in the country in offensive time of possession at 35:59 so the ball control will also play a big part. Making matters worse, the Missouri defense will be without a trio of starters including their leading tackler as well as Akayleb Evans who decided not to play to get ready for the NFL draft. The Tigers are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss. The Army defense also has an edge here as the Black Knights are ranked No. 15 overall including No. 14 against the run. They have allowed 17 points or less in their last five games and their overall scoring defense is skewed because of the one game where they allowed 70 points to Wake Forest which has the No. 5 scoring offense in the country. The Black Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (226) Army Black Knights |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee -1.5 | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CBB Wednesday Star Attraction. Arizona is off to an 11-0 start and hits the road for the third time this season and this is another tough test after going to Illinois and salvaging a four-point win. The Wildcats continue to lead the nation in offense, averaging 91.0 ppg but pace could be an issue here as it was against the Illini. Both three-point shooting and free throw shooting continue to be well below average which is a disadvantage in this matchup. Arizona was 32-70 from the floor in that Illinois game and it likely not get that many attempts here as Tennessee has not allowed more than 67 attempts to any opponent this season. The Wildcats are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog. The Volunteers have won two straight games following an overtime loss against Texas Tech and their only other loss came against Villanova in Connecticut. They are 6-0 at home while outscoring opponents by over 30 ppg and while this is their biggest test, they have the team that can knock off an unbeaten. Tennessee is ranked No. 20 in scoring defense and No. 22 in shooting defense so it can lock down the Wildcats offense. The Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (752) Tennessee Volunteers |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. San Diego St. is coming off a loss against Utah St. after four straight wins and is getting a good line here after that 33-point loss. The Aztecs rely on a strong defense that is ranked No. 14 overall and No. 17 in scoring defense and can definitely slow down the Roadrunners. The Aztecs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. UTSA is coming off a win over Western Kentucky after suffering its first loss of the season against North Texas. They have scored over 40 points in six games this year, though they will be without running back Sincere McCormick after he opted out to focus on NFL Draft prep. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 outscoring opponents by 7 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. This situation 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (223) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Tuesday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia is coming off its bye week and catches Washington in a vulnerable situation. The Eagles need this win to remain in the NFC Wild Card race and are now catching a much better number than what was on the board a few days ago. A win here would push them straight into the final wild-card spot with a little help. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Washington is coming off a loss to the Cowboys last week and it is now dealing with a ton of issues. The team has over a dozen players on their COVID-19/reserve list, including starting quarterback Taylor Heinicke and now seven coaches are in the protocol. Washinton had won four straight games prior to the Dallas loss but the last three were just one possession games. They are No. 20 in total offense and No. 20 in scoring offense but it is the other side that has been hit the worst with the defense needing to sign players from other practice squads to fill in. Washington is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games following a straight up loss. 10* (340) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-20-21 | Vikings -6.5 v. Bears | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Minnesota is at 6-7 following a win over Pittsburgh and its playoff hopes are very much alive. The Vikings will move up to the No. 7 spot if they beat the Bears tonight, and they will stay there if Washington loses Tuesday to the Eagles. They are ranked No. 4 in total offense and No. 9 in scoring offense and face a Chicago defense that is decimated with injuries so they should have their way here. The Vikings have put up more than 400 yards in seven games, including three of the last four and Kirk Cousins is again under scrutiny despite having one of his best seasons. The Bears have lost two straight games and seven of their last eight with that lone win coming against the Lions. With everything that has happened this week, Chicago has also been hit as of Sunday night, the Bears had 14 players on the COVID list, and all three coordinators also were in COVID safety protocols. The Bears are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, against division opponents. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (331) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa v. Old Dominion +9 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CFB Monday Enforcer. Old Dominion has won three straight games including a win over SMU is its last game which can be considered a quality win and now the Monarchs are getting a huge number here. The Monarchs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Tulsa is still favored by a big amount despite having their coaches heading out and while that might not be a big factor to some, it is. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more. This situation is 61-23 ATS (72.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (220) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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12-19-21 | Saints +11.5 v. Bucs | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans had lost five straight games before beating the Jets last week and now at 6-7, the Saints are still alive for a Wild Card spot in the NFC. This is the first time they have been double-digit underdogs since 2006 and obviously the first time with Sean Payton as head coach. Considering more of the betting tickets are on New Orleans, most of the big money is on Tampa Bay and that is why this line has ballooned to where it is. Beating the Jets is no great achievement but it gives the Saints something they have not had in a while. The Saints are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning home record. Tampa Bay is coming off an overtime win over Buffalo to make it four straight wins and while this is arguably the best team in the NFC, laying this number is hard to swallow. Tampa Bay is ranked No. 1 in total offense and scoring offence but they are facing a defense that is healthy in the first time in a long time. The Buccaneers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (329) New Orleans Saints |
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12-19-21 | Texans +5 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Jacksonville is playing its first game without head coach Urban Meyer and that could fire this team up after that toxic environment but laying this many points is too aggressive. The Jaguars have lost five straight games and they have scored 17 points or less in seven straight games and while they might be rejuvenated here, they cannot be laying this amount. They have been favored just once all season and failed to cover that number and while Houston is not a good team, in a divisional game with two similar teams, it should not be over a field goal. The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Houston is not a good team plain and simple but this is a winnable game and players at this point of the season are playing for contracts so there is no giving up. Davis Miles is not a good quarterback but he is facing a defense that is ranked No. 26 in points allowed and the rushing offense can have success here. Houston is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed no turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (319) Houston Texans |
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12-18-21 | Loyola Marymount v. Nevada -6 | Top | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Nevada has won four straight games to improve to 5-4 after a rough start where the Wolf Pack were away from home for five straight games. They are back home for their third strid straight game and are catching a good number here. They are ranked No. 39 in total offense and are expected to once again to make a run in the MWC and this is a game where they cannot afford to lose. The Wolf Pack are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. The Lions are coming off a loss against New Mexico St. at home and have won both road games this season which is a good spot to go against them here. The offense has struggled as they are ranked No. 248 in scoring offense, averaging just 69.1 ppg. Loyola Marymount has been turnover prone this season, giving the ball away 16 tpg, which is No. 29 most in the nation. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss going up against an opponent off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (714) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. The Patriots have won seven straight games and that has helped to create value in this number which has come down from the opener. New England has been a public team for years and this one is no different as we are seeing that money come in on them. What they did last week was a thing on genius but now they are in a dome and will have to rely on both sides against a team fighting for a playoff spot. The Patriots defense has been the strength and while they are No. 3 overall, they are just No. 18 against the run and that is a big issue here going up against Jonathan Taylor. The Patriots are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Colts are coming off a 31-0 win over Houston to move to 7-6 and is in good position for a Wild Card spot in the AFC. They are just 3-4 at home but do have some edges in this matchup that cannot be discounted. The Colts lead the NFL in takeaways, turnover differential and ypc on offense at 5.1 ypc, while Carson Wentz has been playing great with just five interceptions. Defensively, Indianapolis is No. 13 overall while being No. 16 against the run and No. 9 in points allowed. The Colts are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against teams off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, when playing on a Saturday. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-18-21 | UAB +6.5 v. BYU | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Game of the Week. BYU is on a five-game winning streak, including wins against Washington St., Virginia, and USC but it is overpriced here on a neutral field. The Cougars played a tough schedule and were still able to win 10 games but this is an opponent that matches up well. The BYU defense is below average at No. 73 overall which includes No. 77 against the pass and No. 63 against the run so as a sizable favorite, the underdog has the edge in a possible back and forth game. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. UAB comes in off a win in its last game and has won three of its last four games to move to 8-4 on the season. The Blazers have faced a ton of good running backs this season and had success in stopping them so they can do it again against Tyler Allgeier who has been one of the best. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last four game against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 60-23 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (211) UAB Blazers |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Northern Illinois +11 | Top | 47-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Northern Illinois is coming off a win over Kent St. to make in three wins in four games. The Huskies finished the season 9-4, but they were six points away from finishing 11-2. The Northern Illinois offense averages 30.8 ppg and 409.5 and ypg and they lead the nation in 4th down conversion percentage at 84 percent. The running game is the strength as they are ranked No. 4 in rushing offense with 229.5 ypg. Northern Illinois is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. Coastal Carolina finished 10-2 following an overtime win over South Alabama to close the season but after a great start, the Chanticleers slowed down with a pair of losses with two of their last four wins coming by one possession. The offense was on high octane but they put up over a touchdown less in the second half of the season than the first. The defense finished well, being a respectable No. 18 overall and No. 19 in scoring defense but the rushing defense should be an issue here as the last time they faced a potent running game, they were outgained by 173 yards on the ground. The Chanticleers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. 10* (204) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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12-17-21 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss against Dayton in its last game to fall to 7-4 on the season but faces a short line here in a good spot. The Hokies have relied on a great defense this season, allowing just 57.2 ppg which is No. 14 in the country against a pretty tough schedule. St. Bonaventure is also coming off a loss, falling to Connecticut following three straight wins but those were all at home. The Bonnies are ranked No. 138 in total offense and No. 148 in total defense so they are doing nothing special with their 8-2 record. The Bonnies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against neutral court teams as an underdog with a winning percentage of .800 or better playing a team with a winning record, on Friday nights. This situation is 42-20 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (852) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Chargers are coming off a win over the Giants to make it two straight victories and they have a chance to move into a first place tie with the Chiefs if they get a win tonight. The offense has been rolling as they have scored 37 or more points in three of their last four games and in home games, they are averaging 408.4 ypg which is near the top of the league and have a chance to expose a defense that has been playing above their heads of late. Los Angeles is just 4-3 at home but all three losses were by one possession and all against playoff contenders. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Kansas City has won six straight games to remain in the lead in the AFC West but this offense is still playing uneven despite the game against the Raiders and they face a tough road test here. The Chiefs have leaned on their defense over this stretch which is something we never would have said in September and October. They have allowed nine points or less in four of their last five games but were outgained twice and outgained the Giants by just 68 yards as well as outgaining Las Vegas by just 87 yards despite the lopsided score. After playing five of their last six games at home, this situation is not ideal. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 70-35 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-16-21 | Chicago State v. IUPU-Indianapolis -2.5 | Top | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the IUPUI JAGUARS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. IUPUI has lost three straight games and is 1-8 on the season but is in a good spot here as it is favored for the first time at home. The Jaguars are just 1-6 against the number over their last seven games but this is a game to get back on track. They have two starters back from last season and this is not a horrible thing as they were bad in efficiency a year ago. Chicago St. comes in at 3-7 which includes seven losses over its last eight games. The Cougars are 0-5 on the road while getting outscored by 23 ppg and it is not like they have played a tough schedule with the toughest opponents being Pacific and bowling Green. They are ranked No. 332 in scoring and No. No. 342 in shooting offense so if there is a team that IUPUI can hang with, this is the one. Chicago St. is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games after playing two consecutive home games. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss by 10 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (754) IUPUI Jaguars |
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12-15-21 | CS Bakersfield v. Abilene Christian -9.5 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS for our CBB Game of the Week. Abilene Christian has won six straight games following a 0-2 start with those two losses coming against Texas A&M and Utah with the former coming by just one point in overtime on the road. The Wildcats made noise last season with a win against Texas in the NCAA Tournament and have brought back 10 of their top 13 players including three starters. They are deep with nine players averaging at least 13 minutes per game and are led by a powerful backcourt of Coryon Mason and Mahki Morris but this team is again about defense that has allowed just 59.7 ppg during its winning streak. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. CS Bakersfield has won three straight games and it also has stepped up defensively including allowing just 39 points against Boise St. the problem is with the offense though as the Roadrunners are averaging only 68.5 ppg on the season and that is No. 256 in the country and they have scored 64 points or less in three of their last four games. They beat Boise St. by scoring 46 points and that will not get it done here and while the Wildcats are no UCLA, a nearly 40-point loss is telling. The Roadrunners are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after six or more consecutive wins. This situation 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (672) Abilene Christian Wildcats |
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12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +5.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Alabama has won four straight games including a huge win over Gonzaga 10 days ago and is now 8-1 on the season. The Tide are now ranked No. 6 in the country and they hit the road for the first time this season which puts them in a tough position as a road favorite. Ideally, this is a good spot but not on the road against a hungry team that is potentially just as good. Alabama is ranked No. 266 in scoring defense which is horrible heading to their first road game of the season. The Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite. After going into the top 10 earlier in the season, the Tigers have lost four straight games, including a 74-72 home loss to Murray St. that put them with their longest losing streak in nearly five years. The last three losses against Georgia, Mississippi and Murray St. were by a combined nine points so now they are undervalued at home and need a big win to put on their resume before conference season starts. The Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. 10* (634) Memphis Tigers |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The NFC playoff picture is jumbled but the Rams are in position for the top Wild Card spot and are still alive for the NFC West division title. They are two games back with a chance to cut that in half despite losses in three of their last four games. They are coming off a 30-point win over Jacksonville and while that might not say much, it brought back some much needed confidence heading into the final five games of the season which will not be an easy stretch. The Rams remain a top rated offense as they are ranked No. 6 overall and No. 5 in scoring offense and Matthew Stafford looks to be fully healthy after a couple rough games because of injury. The Rams are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games against the NFC. The Cardinals are also healthy again with Kyler Murray and Deandre Hopkins back in the mix and at a short price in a divisional game, the public is all over them. They have won two straight games, both on the road, and they are back home where they are 3-2 on the season compared to a 7-0 record on the highway. While their 10-2 record is the best in the NFC, they have not played a great schedule as it is ranked No. 24 in the league. the defense has done its job but even though the first matchup resulted in a 17-point win, the Cardinals were outgained by 64 yards and they have been outgained in three of their last six games with two of the positives coming against Houston and Jacksonville. The Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (129) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-13-21 | Cleveland State +12.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Cleveland St. has won six straight games following a 0-2 start and while this will be the biggest test of the season, the Vikings are well prepared. Following a season where they went 19-8 including a 16-4 record in the Horizon League, they have all five starters back and they are balanced and deep with nine players averaging at least 11 minutes per game. Fourteen players on the roster return as letter winners from last season while four transfer players join as well. The Vikings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cowboys are coming off a loss against Xavier which was their second straight following five straight wins. Thid team is solid defensively as Oklahoma St. has forced opponents into committing turnovers on 26.8 percent of all possessions this year, the 10th-highest rate among all Division I teams but the Cowboys have struggled on offense. They are No. 138 overall in total offense and they are shooting just 28.8 percent from long range which is No. 320 in the country. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Here, we play against home teams as a favorite or pickem off an upset loss as a home favorite, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (875) Cleveland St. Vikings |
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12-12-21 | Mavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss at Indiana on Friday which was its fourth loss in five games. The Mavericks have been huge underachievers all season but are just three game behind Memphis in the NBA Southwest Division and this should be a great opportunity to gain ground. The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss against the Lakers following a pair of road wins bit it sits at 8-17 on the season and it is in a tough matchup here. The Thunder are 4-8 at home and have lost four straight here heading into Sunday. The Thunder are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost two of their last three games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 61-29 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (571) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-12-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Following a big second half surge against Syracuse, Villanova has now won four straight games while covering three of those. The Wildcats are 1-1 on the road, the one victory coming against Penn but that should be considered a neutral court game as it was at the Palestra and now face their toughest test with UCLA coming in a close second. Villanova shoots a ton of threes but teams are shooting just 28.8 percent against Baylor from behind the arc as its perimeter defense is solid. The Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Baylor has not let off the gas after the championship last season as it is 8-0 including impressive blowout wins over Stanford, Arizona St. and Michigan St. The Bears are among the top teams in the country in most shooting categories including top 20 in True Shoring Percentage and that is big here based on fast break points. Baylor is the second best team in the country in forcing turnovers as it averages over 19 per game and that leads to easy baskets. The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after seven or more consecutive wins. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (748) Baylor Bears |
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12-12-21 | Cowboys -4 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFC East Game of the Month. The NFC East pretty much comes down to this game and if the Cowboys win, it is theirs. They have lost two of their last three games but are coming off a win in their last game on Thursday against New Orleans so they have had ample rest heading into Sunday. Because their last two games have been on a Thursday, they have had a good schedule break that has now gotten them to the healthiest they have been this season, especially on the defensive side. The Cowboys are an explosive team with the kind of playmakers on offense and defense that can get in gear and make a last month run into the playoffs. Dallas is 7-0 ATS against conference opponents this season while going 6-0 ATS after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game this season. Washington has won four straight games to go from 2-6 to 6-6 but this run has been a little suspect with the last three coming by just one possession. Washington, currently the No. 6 seed in the NFC, can shrink the Cowboys NFC East lead to one game with a victory and if Washington wins out, it takes the division but we just do not see that happening. This team needs Taylor Heinicke to continue his impressive play if they hope to win but it will difficult against this defense that is nearly back to full strength. The defense stepped up but COVID has again dealt a blow with Montez Sweat placed on the protocol. This team is overmatched on both sides and the Washington run comes to an end. The Football Team are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the NFC East. 10* (117) Dallas Cowboys |
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12-12-21 | Raiders +10.5 v. Chiefs | 9-48 | Loss | -121 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders followed up their Thanksgiving win with a 17-15 loss to Washington to fall to 6-6 and now the challenge is there again with another tough road game. Las Vegas is tied for third place in the AFC West but is only two games behind Kansas City so a win here puts them in a good spot but the upcoming schedule is pretty tough with two more road games and a season finale against the Chargers, if it will even matter. We are more concerned with the spread as they are getting double-digits in some spots as the love is going back to Kansas City. They were shellacked in the first meeting which was part of a 1-4 stretch for the Raiders and they know the stakes in the rematch. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. Kansas City has won five straight games to take over the division lead but this offense is still playing uneven and has not been able to get on its roll. The Chiefs have leaned on their defense over this stretch which is something we never would have said in September and October. They have allowed nine points or less in three of their last four games but were outgained twice and outgained the Giants by just 68 yards. Their offense is still just No. 26 overall and the Raiders have the offense to keep this one a lot closer than that first meeting. Kansas City has been favored by double-digits only once which was against New York and we are not sure if they deserve that here. The Chiefs are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (105) Las Vegas Raiders |
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12-11-21 | Kentucky v. Notre Dame +4.5 | Top | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our CBB Game of the Week. After a season opening loss to Duke, Kentucky has won seven straight games, all of which came at home and against some suspect competition. The Wildcats were favored by 23 points or more in six of those and now they hit the road for the first time this season as the game against Duke was on a neutral floor. Their offense has been potent as Kentucky is ranked No. 23 in scoring offense and No. 35 in shooting but again, it has come against a schedule that is ranked No. 354 in the country, which is fourth worst. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Notre Dame has gotten off to a rough start as it is 3-4 including three straight losses but it has been tested and the schedule has been not on its side. The last five games have been away from home and this is its first home game in over three weeks. Defensive struggles have been a concern for the Irish, who has now have now allowed 70 or more points in their last three games but a return home will help. This is a great contrarian spot that can get a big win over a top 25 team. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off three or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off a road loss scoring less than 60 points. This situation is 72-37 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (678) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois +1 | 83-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. Arizona is off to an 8-0 start and hits the road for the second time this season and this is the biggest test thus far. The Wildcats continue to lead the nation in offense, averaging 91.6 ppg but pace could be an issue here. They had no problem with that against Wyoming in their last game, which we went against, but now on the road in a tough environment should be a different story. Both three-point shooting and free throw shooting are well below average. Last season was a great one for the Illini as they finished one game behind Michigan in the Big Ten, finished No. 2 in the final AP Poll entering the NCAA Tournament and this season is expected to be just as good even though they already have two losses. Those came against Marquette and Cincinnati however and they have won five straight games since then including going 2-0 to start the Big Ten season, the last being a big win at Iowa. They are the third best rebounding team in the country including grabbing offensive rebounds at a 41.3 percent clip. The Illini are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road teams after beating the spread by more than six points in three consecutive games going up against an opponent after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 54-22 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1997. 9* (672) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7.5 v. Army | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 51 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Saturday Top Play Winner. Army heads into the annual rivalry with an 8-3 record and will be going to its second straight bow game and fifth in the last six years. This coincides with this game as Army will try to beat Navy for the fifth time in the past six years, after losing 12 straight in this series, and capture their fourth Commander-in-Chief Trophy in the last five seasons. The Black Knights are ranked No. 2 in the country in rushing offense with 301.7 ypg, its sixth straight year of putting up at least 273 yards on the ground. The numbers are a bit skewed though as three of those games came against UMass, Bucknell, and UConn as they put up a total of 1,409 yards in those three games. Army is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games against teams averaging 4.5 or less yppl. Navy comes into the game with a 3-8 record which is the second straight season it comes in with the worse by at least three games. The Midshipmen will miss their second straight bowl game after making a postseason appearance in seven of the previous eight years. The season could have been a lot better but close losses doomed Navy as four of its eight losses were by one possession. Navy is ranked No. 7 in the country in rushing at 228.2 ypg so the Midshipmen have been solid in running the ball and can have success here. Army is the 11th bowl bound team Navy will face as the Midshipmen have played the third toughest schedule in the country while the Army schedule is ranked No. 93. The Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (103) Navy Midshipmen |
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12-10-21 | Cavs v. Wolves +1 | Top | 123-106 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Minnesota was on a roll but it has lost four straight games to fall three games under .500 but those losses came against some of the best teams in the NBA including Utah, Brooklyn and Washington. The last two losses came at home where they are now 7-8 but this is a great line in a rebound spot where they are still outscoring their opponents. The defense has been the fault yet they were great on that end of the floor during their run where they went 7-1 in an eight-game stretch. The Timberwolves are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Cleveland is coming off a win against Chicago on Wednesday to snap a two-game losing skid which came after a four-game winning streak. The Cavaliers are two games over .500 on the season and three games over .500 on the road which is definitely playing into this line. The road record includes three solid wins over Dallas, Miami and Washington but have gone down to the opposition occasionally this season and they are catching a team that is desperate for a win. The Cavaliers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games as a road favorite. Here, we play on home underdogs averaging between 104 and 108 ppg going up against teams allowing 104 or fewer ppg, after allowing 125 points or more. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (542) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-10-21 | Loyola-Chicago -4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-CHICAGO RAMBLERS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Loyola-Chicago is coming off another great season as it followed up its 2018 Final Four trip with a run into the Sweet 16 last year 25-6 season that resulted in another MVC Championship. The Ramblers lost one of the top players in the conference but have four starters back along with some elite transfer additions. They are off to an 8-2 start that includes wins over Arizona St. and DePaul while the two losses came against Auburn and Michigan St., the latter coming by just a bucket. They face another power team tonight but one that is not expected to do much in the SEC. They are shooting 51 percent from the floor including 41.7 percent from long range, both of which are No. 8 in the country behind another balanced offense. The Ramblers are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road favorite. Vanderbilt is 5-3 to open the season with losses in its last two games against a good SMU team by 12 points and a weak Temple team by four points in overtime. The Commodores finished last in the SEC last season at 3-13, winning only nine games overall and they have only two starters back. They brought in two highly touted transfers but neither have yet to see the floor this season. Vanderbilt is averaging just 70.9 ppg which is No. 211 in the country but worse off is that it is shooting only 40.4 percent from the floor which is No. 312 in the nation. Scottie Pippen Jr. is a great player but the Commodores have only one other double-digit scorer and only one other player averaging more than 6.6 ppg. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss going up against an opponent off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 87-46 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (875) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The public reaction should see more money coming in on Pittsburgh after we closer to gametime following the Steelers upset win over Baltimore and the Vikings loss to Detroit. Pittsburgh improved to 6-5-1 and is now a game and a half behind the Ravens in the AFC North. The Steelers did it with stingy defense as they allowed 19 points after giving up 41 points in consecutive games prior to that. The difference this season has been the home/road splits as they are allowing 27 ppg on road compared to 21.6 ppg at home. The offense has scored 17 points or less in three of their last four road games and will face a defense that should be embarrassed by their performance last week. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing record. Minnesota fell to 5-7 with the loss to the Lions and while it is well out of the division race, a Wild Card spot is still in play. The Vikings are a game back for the final spot and they have to take advantage of home games where they are 3-2 and finish the season with three home games over their last five and they still get to face Chicago twice. A lot of the heat is on Kirk Cousins which always seems to be the case but he is having a great season as he has completed 68.4 percent of his passes for 3,353 yards while tossing 25 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Again, it will up to the defense and stop the running game and make Ben Roethlisberger beat then and that will be hard for him to do. The Vikings are 42-19 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-09-21 | Purdue v. Rutgers +13 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. After a 3-0 start to the season, Rutgers dropped three straight games by a combined seven points. Two of those were on the road and while a home loss against Lafayette was inexcusable, they did bounce back with a home win against Clemson but then travelled to Illinois and got destroyed by 35 points. The situation will not get any easier here but being back home in one of the most underrated home arenas is a big edge. Rutgers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season and won its first tournament game since 1983. Rutgers is 32-7 in its last 39 home games. Purdue comes in as the No. 1 team in the country following a hard-four seven-point win over a tough Iowa team. That was the Boilermakers first non-cover as a five-game win streak against the spready and while they are clearly the better team here, this is a letdown spot despite this being a revenge from last season that saw Rutgers win by five points. Making things more difficult, this is the first true road game for the Boilermakers and they are the last in the Big Ten to play a road. Some standings show a 1-0 road record but that game was played at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. Purdue is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games after four straight games outrebounding opponent by six or more. Here, we play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better after having covered five or six of their last seven games against the spread. This situation is 151-94 ATS (61.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (854) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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12-08-21 | Magic v. Kings -6.5 | Top | 130-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Wyoming +16 v. Arizona | Top | 65-94 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CBB Nonconference Game of the Month. Wyoming was the 15th least experienced team in the country last season but managed pretty well with a high potent offense that carried the Cowboys to 14 wins overall including seven in the MWC. They were the highest scoring team in the conference and they ranked No. 68 in the country in offensive efficiency. They have continued the high scoring offence this season as they are averaging 82.3 ppg which is No. 29 in the country and they are No. 18 in offensive efficiency to jump out to an 8-0 start. The schedule has not been great but Wyoming does own a pair of solid road wins at Washington and CSU Fullerton. The Cowboys are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. Arizona is also undefeated at 7-0 to start the season and this is a tough spot laying this many points. The Wildcats are coming off a win against Oregon St. to open up conference play and they have a big game at Illinois on deck. Arizona is the highest scoring team in the country but this will be the toughest offense it has faced even taking pace into consideration. Arizona is ranked No. 12 in the country in pace while Wyoming is No. 289 and that greatly benefits the underdog, especially a big one, when it is efficient on that side of the ball. Wyoming is No. 5 in the nation in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and No. 3 in Opponent True Shooting Percentage. The Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play against favorites off a road win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 87-42 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (729) Wyoming Cowboys |
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12-07-21 | Villanova -9 v. Syracuse | Top | 67-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Syracuse is coming off a pair of wins against Indiana and Florida St. and now faces its toughest opponent of the season going to MSG. The Orange have one of the worst defenses in the country as they are allowing 79.1 ppg which is No. 333 in the country and while that is a little bit skewed by the Indiana game that went to double overtime, they have allowed 84 points or more in four of their last six games including giving up 100 points to Colgate. Their three losses have come by 12 points or more with the last two coming on a neutral floor. The Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Vilanova has won three straight games, all coming in the five-game rivalry in Philadelphia. The Wildcats find themselves ranked No. 5 overall in the country in the analytics standings despite two early losses but they were quality ones against UCLA and Purdue, one coming against the former in overtime. Four of the Wildcats five starters average double-digit ppg this year so balance is again a big factor. The Wildcats are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 neutral site games as a favorite. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two straight wins by three points or less going up against an opponent after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (639) Villanova Wildcats |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo is coming off a win at New Orleans on Thanksgiving so it has had an extended break in getting ready for its biggest game of the season. The Bills are 7-4 and trail the Patriots by a half-game in the AFC East with a chance to leapfrog New England in the division. This is just their second home game in a month with the other one being the beatdown they took from the Colts, getting defeated 41-15 as Jonathan Taylor went off. Buffalo still possesses the top ranked defense in the NFL and faces a pretty average offense tonight that does not carry a rushing threat like Indianapolis or Tennessee, the two times it was hit hard by the run. On the other side, the Bills are No. 4 in total offense and they are a top 10 team in both phases which the Patriots have not seen during their winning streak. The Bills are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. New England has won six straight games to be where they are but the schedule has been on its side with only one win coming against a team that is over .500 and that came against the Titans which were without Derrick Henry. The defense is ranked No. 1 in scoring defense and they have allowed a solid 7.8 ppg in five wins during their winning streak against those five teams that are not offensively efficient and the other one was against the Chargers where they gave up 24 points. This game has a lot of similarities as the game against a balanced Dallas team where they lost in overtime while getting outgained by 235 yards. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (476) Buffalo Bills |
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12-05-21 | Ravens v. Steelers +4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our AFC North Game of the Month. We were on the Steelers last week and they got smoked against the Bengals and it is pretty much do or die time as they return home against their biggest rival in what is essentially a Week 13 playoff game. Pittsburgh is 5-5-1 which still has them in the mix in the AFC but there is little for error and at this number, the Steelers are getting no respect which maybe they should not be. They have been average on offense as they are ranked No. 22 in both total offense and scoring offense but they do have a good matchup here against a Ravens team that does not take the ball away and allowed 31.3 ppg prior to playing the Bears and Browns. The Steelers are 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog. We played against Tennessee two weeks ago pointing to the fact they were the most overrated team in the AFC at the time and Baltimore has moved into tat category. Of their eight wins, five have come by three points or less or in overtime and another by just one possession which certainly explains their +23 point differential which is the fewest margin of any divisional leader in the NFL. The Ravens have been outgained in three of their last five games and we are going to see a lot of blind bets again despite another bad turnover game with a lot of this being how the Steelers have been over the last month. The Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. Here we play against favorites forcing 1 or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (470) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Washington has won three straight games to move to 5-6 on the season and actually controls its own destiny in the NFC East but that is not going to happen. They are coming off a win over Seattle on Monday night as the Seahawks once again struggled on offense and now they head to the west coast on a short week. This is a very average team that is ranked No. 19 in total offense, No. 20 in scoring offense, Mo. 18 in total defense and No. 25 in scoring defense. They are even worse on the defensive side than those rankings indicate as Washington is allowing 5.9 yppl which is No. 20 overall and it is second the last in DVOA and the Raiders possess an offense that can take advantage. Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog. The Raiders have been off since Thanksgiving and that should give them a solid edge here heading back home. Las Vegas broke out of an offensive slump in the 36-33 victory in Dallas largely because it diversified its attack. This is obviously key for any team but especially the Raiders as they can do it with the passing and rushing games as long as they go with both. Starting quarterback Derek Carr leads the NFL in passing with 3,414 yards but the balance was key against the Cowboys as keeping them on their heels with a lot of play action looks. Running back Josh Jacobs had a season high 22 carries which he turned into 87 yards and his production will again be key. The Raiders are just one game behind Kansas City in the AFC West and in this clogged division, every game is meaningful at this point. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (468) Las Vegas Raiders |
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12-04-21 | USC v. Washington State | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. USC is off to a 7-0 start including a victory in its conference opener over Utah at home by 20 points. The Trojans made a trip to the Elite Eight last season but after losing its two top scorers, it looked to be a rebuilding project early on but the schedule has been on their side to be able to et off to get off to their undefeated start. History is on their side here with 10 straight wins in this series against Washinton St. but this is the best Cougars team they have faced over that stretch and the line is telling us this with this line being the lowest over this stretch. USC has won both road games but those came against Temple and Florida Gulf Coast and going back, the Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Washington St. went just 7-12 in the Pac 12 last season but good things are expected this year with four starters back and a huge incoming transfer after making a first round exit in the conference tournament last March. The Cougars also won their conference opener as they defeated Arizona St. by 22 points as they held the Sun Devils to only 29 points on the road. Call it great defense or just poor shooting by Arizona St. but either way, it was a great way to start and they head home where they are 4-1, the lone setback being against Eastern Washington which can be dialed up to a lookahead game. They are shooting over 17 percent better from the free throw line than the Trojans and the Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (680) Washington St. Cougars |
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12-04-21 | Houston +10.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Championship Winner. This has the opportunity to be one of the best championship games of the weekend and Houston is catching a great number and is flying under the radar with Cincinnati being right in the middle of the CFP positioning. The Cougars opened the season against Texas Tech and after a 21-7 halftime lead, they allowed 31 unanswered second half points as quarterback Clayton Tune threw four interceptions which is his total over his last 11 games combined. Houston has gone 11-0 since then and absolutely dominated, getting outgained only once over that stretch. Obviously, the schedule has not been great or overpowering but the same can be said for the other side and it that first game went different, there would be a lot more on the line for both sides. The Cougars are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog. It is simple for the Bearcats, as if they win they are in. Cincinnati started the season as undervalued and rolled to a 5-1 start against the number including a big win against Notre Dame but then it hit a stretch of four straight spread losses and while those lines were all -22 or more, none of those teams match up with Houston. They are coming off a big win against East Carolina to remain undefeated but it was not easy with the Pirates remaining within in two possessions up until a late touchdown sealed it for the Bearcats. While both offenses have been potent of late, both of these defenses are ranked within the top 10 in the country and being able to grab an underdog as this price with that scenario is big. Here, we play on road underdogs that are outgaining their opponents by 75 or more ypg, after outgaining their last opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 96-53 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (313) Houston Cougars |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 46-13 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Game of the Week. San Diego St. won its last four games to take the MWC West Division title and its 11 victories are the most in program history. With a win, the Aztecs keep their hopes of an invite to a New Year's Six Bowl alive if Cincinnati goes down against Houston. Thanks to the better record, that get to host the conference championship and they have won six of seven home games, the lone loss coming against Fresno St. which was their last game they were outrushed and the line of scrimmage will be a big factor here. With Utah St. allowing 163.8 ypg on the ground, which is 8th worst in the conference, San Diego St. will use its strength where it is averaging 177.6 ypg rushing. On the other side, the Aztecs defense allowed just 78.7 ypg rushing, the best in the conference and No. 2 in the nation. The Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Utah St. won its season finale against New Mexico to claim the MWC East Division thanks to a tiebreaker with a head-to-head win over Air Force. The Aggies like to run an up-tempo offense but protection could be a problem. While they are averaging 304.8 ypg passing, San Diego St. gets to the quarterback well. Keeping Logan Bonner upright has been a challenge, as he has been sacked 20 times and the offensive line has allowed numerous quarterback hits. The Aggies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (324) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-03-21 | New Mexico State v. UTEP +1.5 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our CBB Game of the Week. UTEP has won three of its last four games to move to 4-2 on the season and is now hosting the second of two rivalry games in the Battle of I-10 against New Mexico St. The Miners lost the first meeting by six points and will be out for revenge with a full roster. They played their last game without Souley Boum and Christian Agnew who were out on COVID protocol and the former is their leading scorer at 20.0 ppg so this is a big edge for their backcourt. UTEP is 3-1 at home with the lone loss coming against UC Riverside where they managed only 40 point with Boum being a huge absence in that game. The Miners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. For New Mexico St., it is its second rivalry game this week after losing to New Mexico on Tuesday 101-94. The Aggies are now 5-2 on the season with the other loss coming against Utah St. by 27 points. They are averaging 77.7 ppg so they like to run but their defense pays the price as well as they are allowing 72.1 ppg which is No. 252 in the country which is not a good thing coming against a weak schedule. This is the first true road game for New Mexico St. which is a big concern as the Aggies have just one starter returning and playing in a hostile environment is a cause for concern. The Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 55 points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 175 points or more. This situation is 98-49 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (864) UTEP Miners |
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12-03-21 | 76ers v. Hawks -1.5 | Top | 98-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. Atlanta has caught fire after a slow start to the season as it has won eight of its last nine games to get to two games over .500 and move two games behind Washington in the NBA Southeast Division. The offense has been rolling with an average of 119.7 ppg during the winning streak. The Hawks are outscoring opponents by 9.5 ppg at home and they are ranked No. 7 in the league in Effective Field Goal Percentage which is 10 spots ahead of Philadelphia. The Hawks are also No. 2 in three league in three-point percentage and going against the No. 23 ranked three-point defense. The Hawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. We won with Philadelphia last time out as it fell to the Celtics by a point in a big rivalry game and has now lost three of four games to go back to .500 on the season. They have been decent on the road at 5-5 but are in the bottom half of the league in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and ride into a tough game against a hot offense. The Sixers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-03-21 | Western Kentucky -1 v. UTSA | Top | 41-49 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our C-USA Championship Winner. A magical season ended abruptly for UTSA as it brought a perfect 11-0 record into its season finale and got housed by North Texas in a game that was not even as close as the final 22-point deficit. The Roadrunners came out of the gates by covering eight of their first nine games but then they came back to earth with a 10-point win over 3-9 Southern Mississippi as 32.5-point favorites, a three-point win over UAB and then the loss to the Mean Green. For having such a good record, UTSA has been overly average on the field as it is ranked No. 36 in total offense and No. 41 in total defense and that was against a schedule ranked No. 124 in the country. Taking nothing away from winning but the overrated Roadrunners could be in for a long night here. Western Kentucky has been absolutely rolling as it has won seven straight games following a 1-4 start that saw three one-possession losses that was culminated with a loss at home against UTSA so revenge is in play here. The Hilltoppers offense nearly unstoppable as they are ranked No. 1 in the country in total offense and has averaged 45.3 ppg during its winning streak but it is the defense that could be the deciding factor here. They have allowed only 18.9 ppg over these last seven games and while they did allow 52 points against UTSA prior to that, they outgained the Roadrunners by 106 yards but penalties a couple costly turnovers did then in. The Hilltoppers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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12-02-21 | Texas-San Antonio +14.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Grand Canyon is 6-1 to open the season but it does not deserve to be laying a number like this which is right on plane with a pair of early season wins over North Florida and Prairie View but this is a step up and are actually laying more tonight. The Lopes won the WAC last season and earned a trip to the NCAA Tournament but things are different with a big transition of trying to replace four starters and they were the top four scorers on the team. They have covered four of six games but this is a massive number to try and get over tonight. The Roadrunners are coming off a win to move to 5-3 on the season but at times there was little ball movement and UTSA would struggle for stretches at a time. UTSA will have to rely on their defense and rebounding to help jump-start things offensively and they are in a good matchup here. This is the lone game they play in a week which means they no chance for a lookahead and the focus will be there on the road for the first time since playing at Oklahoma but they are not playing the Sooners tonight. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (771) UTSA Roadrunners |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas is coming off a loss on Thanksgiving as it fell in overtime against the Raiders in a penalty filled game that could have gone either way. The Cowboys have lost two straight and three of their last four games and have seen their lead in the NFC East shrink to two games over Washington. Obviously this is a big game for Dallas but it is big for both sides and the public perception is still on the Dallas side despite a 1-3 ATS stretch that followed up a 7-0 run against the number to open the season. The offense is still ranked No. 1 in the league but the defense remains a liability as it is now No. 26 in the NFL and might have another tough time here against a quarterback that has seen limited action but gives them a whole different look. The Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Saints are also coming off a Thanksgiving loss as they were hammered by the Bills which prompted the quarterback change to Taysom Hill after a bad recent run. New Orleans is now 5-6 following four straight losses yet it is still alive in the Wild Card in the NFC with eight teams having five or six wins vying for a spot. As of this week, the Rams and 49ers are the favorites for the first two spots and the Saints in the lead for the third slot over Minnesota. The offense could get a boost with Alvin Kamara back in the lineup but it is the defense that needs to regroup after the Bils game and they should with a lot on the line. The Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites averaging 4.5 or more rushing ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 111-63 ATS (63.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) New Orleans Saints |
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12-02-21 | Bucks -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Bucks have won eight straight games to move to into a tie for second place in the Eastern Conference. It took a while and it is hard to go against a team like this especially playing a struggling team. Milwaukee has moved up in all categories including on the road where it is now 7-4 and is in the top ten in both Effective Field Goal Percentage. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Toronto has struggled with three straight losses to fall to 9-13 and while the offense had a nice run, the Raptors have struggled with three straight games of going under 100 points in their last three straight games. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 playing a winning team. This situation is 55-26 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-01-21 | Michigan v. North Carolina +2 | Top | 51-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. North Carolina opened the season 3-0 before suffering a pair of back-to-back losses against Purdue and Tennessee in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament. The Tar Heels bounced back with a victory against UNC-Asheville and now hosts Michigan in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge looking for its first cover of the season as they have gone 0-6 against the number. They have three starters back along with a mix of highly touted transfers to get them back in the mix in the ACC in the first season with head coach Hubert Davis after a couple subpar seasons. Through six games, they have five players averaging double-digits in scoring and three of those are grabbing 6.3 rpg or more which given them a big edge down low. North Carolina is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games. Michigan is in a transition year after winning the Big Ten Championship last season with a 14-3 record and advancing to the Elite Eight. The Wolverines brought back just two starters and it has been an uneven start at 4-2. An early loss to Seton Hall was not a bad defeat but a recent loss against Arizona by 18 points exposed a defense that can be vulnerable to good offenses and that is what it will be facing here. They are coming off a win over Tarleton St. which should have been a blowout but it was just by 11 points and now Michigan hits the highway for its first true road game of the season. The Wolverines are shooting just 66.9 percent from the free throw line which is No. 268 in the country. Michigan is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outrebounding opponents by seven or more rebounds per game, after a game outrebounding their last opponent by 20 or more. This situation is 53-23 ATS (69.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (728) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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12-01-21 | 76ers +3 v. Celtics | Top | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month. Philadelphia is coming off a win over Orlando which is not saying much especially when it came by just five points against a team that is now 4-18 on the season. The Sixers are a game over .500 and are four games behind Brooklyn in the NBA Atlantic Division while sitting on the outside looking for the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. They have been dominant at home over the last few years but are just 5-5 this season on their floor and have actually been better on the road with a 6-5 record and will be looking to break their 0-4 divisional record tonight. Joel Embiid had a rough game against Orlando, going just 4-16 from the floor and had only 16 point following up a 41-point performance in his first game back after missing 11 days because of COVID. The Sixers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Boston is coming off a win at Toronto which snapped a two-game slide and it is also 11-10 heading into tonight. The Celtics had won three straight prior to that and while it included a win over the Lakers, the other two came against Houston and Oklahoma City, which are a combined 10-30 on the season. The Celtics are seventh worst in Effective Field Goal Percentage at home and while their defense has always been a strength, they are on that same ranking at home and they could be without Jaylen Brown who is still listed as questionable for tonight. The Celtics are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play against home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .500 on the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (545) Philadelphia 76ers |
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11-30-21 | Pistons v. Blazers -9.5 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Home court has not been more important than any other team than Portland as the host has gone 19-2 in the Blazers 21 games this season. The Blazers are 9-1 at home and just finished a 0-3 roadtrip by losing to Utah by 22 points on Monday. The defense was once again atrocious as they allowed 124 ppg and they remain dead last in the NBA in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage on the road at 59.1 percent but that comes down to 52.0 percent at home where they allow 104.4 ppg which is a respectable No. 10 in the league. On offense, Portland is No. 3 in the NBA in Effective Field Goal Percentage at home and its True Shooting Percentage is also No. 3 in the league. The Blazers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Detroit is 4-16 and has dropped its last six games, including a 110-106 loss to the Lakers on Sunday. The Pistons are 2-8 both at home and on the road and the away numbers have been awful. They are third to last in both Effective and True Shooting Percentages on the road on offense while sitting fourth to last in both categories on defense. Detroit has covered the last two on the road but those were big lines and while this one is on the cusp, this is an awful spot with Portland heading back home after the blowout from last night. The Pistons are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win. Here, we play on teams off three or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (538) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-30-21 | Clemson v. Rutgers -1.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. After a 3-0 start to the season, Rutgers has dropped three straight games by a combined seven points. Two of those were on the road and while a home loss against Lafayette was inexcusable, it should provide some big motivation with this being its first home game since that defeat. The lass loss was especially tough as the Scarlet Knights blew a 15-point lead with under 10 minutes left and lost on a three-pointer at the buzzer by Massachusetts. Rutgers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season and won its first tournament game since 1983 and it happened to come against Clemson so while there is revenge for the Tigers, doing it on the road is a different story. Rutgers is 31-7 in its last 38 home games. The Tigers are 5-2 and coming off a blowout win over Charleston Southern to improve to 4-0 at home. They went 1-2 on a neutral floor at the Charleston Classic and this will be their first true road game of the season. Clemson leads the ACC and is third nationally in three-point shooting at 44.1 percent so the perimeter defense of Rutgers will be tested but should be fine as it is allowing just 30.3 percent from long range at home. One huge deficiency is that Clemson is shooting just 66.4 percent from the free throw line which is No. 281 in the country. Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams after two straight losses by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 85 points or more. This situation is 65-30 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (630) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks +1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has lost two straight and five of its last six games but three of those came against three of the top four teams in the NFC and most of those were without Russell Wilson who is back for his third game and should be healthier. The Seahawks have scored just one touchdown since his return but they do face a defense that has struggled this season especially against the pass where they are ranked No. 30, allowing an average of 270 ypg. The Seahawks cannot afford another loss, as dropping to 3-8 would most certainly knock them out of any playoff hope. This offense is too good to be held down and the absence of Chase Young is a big one as the offensive line is in a better spot. Seattle is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 road games after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Washington finds itself on a two-game winning streak, including an upset of the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers. They had lost four straight prior to that and while they can build off this recent run, we are not sure which team to buy at this point. This line has been bet down considerably and the majority of the action remains on Washington as everyone is down on the Seahawks at this point. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has been playing well but may be without two of his top receivers behind Terry McLaurin with Curtis Samuel and Adam Humphries listed as questionable. Heinicke had a passer rating of 84.3 in the first eight games of the season before catching fire but we are not sure if this is sustainable. Washington is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 home games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl and after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl. This situation is 22-6 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-29-21 | Pacers v. Wolves -3 | Top | 98-100 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota is coming off a double overtime win at Philadelphia on Saturday and the Timberwolves have now won six of their last seven games to get back to .500 at 10-10 overall. They are now three games behind Utah in the NBA Northwest Division while sitting tied for seventh place in the Western Conference, two games out of fourth place. Minnesota is 6-6 at home yet has won four straight here following a three-game losing streak at the Target Center but those losses came against the Clippers twice and the red hot Suns. The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The Pacers went 1-2 at home leading up to tonight, the most recent decision a 118-100 loss to Milwaukee on Sunday. They are coming off a win in their most recent road game at Chicago to snap a three-game losing streak on the highway and they are just 3-9 on the road this season. Indiana has struggled from long range all season as it is hitting at a clip of just 33.4 percent and the challenge will be difficult here as the Timberwolves are allowing an average of 31.9 percent from behind the arc which is third-best in the NBA. Indiana has failed to cover three of its four road games this season following a loss. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-29-21 | Iowa v. Virginia +2 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Virginia opened the season with a stunning eight-point loss at home against Navy as a 15-point favorite and while a team from the ACC, especially with this pedigree, should never lose a game like that, it was a situation that was not overly surprising. The Cavaliers had another great season last year but they were bumped in the first round of the NCAA Tournament and brought back only one starter from 2020-21. After the Navy loss, Virginia did bounce back with a win but then were blown out by a very good Houston team. Since then, the Cavaliers have won four in a row including impressive wins over Georgia and Providence and they now seem to have the rhythm in play as it took a few game for new players to gel. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Iowa is off to a 6-0 start and while it too is dealing with a lot of attrition, notably losing one of the best players in program history in Luka Garza, it has had the benefit of playing a very easy schedule. All six wins were at home so this is the first road game for the Hawkeyes and they come in with a schedule ranking of No. 353 out of 358 teams so this is clearly their biggest challenge of the season. The Hawkeyes are just one of four remaining undefeated teams in the Big Ten but their counterparts have played more daunting schedules so the fact Iowa possesses the highest scoring in the nation is skewed based on who it has played and now faces a real defense. The Hawkeyes are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games following three or more consecutive home games. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (806) Virginia Cavaliers |
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11-28-21 | Fresno State +2.5 v. California | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Fresno St. is off to a 5-0 start, its best mark to start a season since 2015-16, following what was rough year last season where it never got on track because of numerous stoppages. The Bulldogs have all five starters back and are picked to contend in the MWC after going 9-11 with one of the youngest teams in the country. The Bulldogs are led by center Orlando Robinson who is averaging 19.4 ppg and 9.4 rpg and has scored at least 16 points in every game. He is a big part of the reason they are +9.8 in rebounding margin which is one of the best in the country. Additionally, Fresno St. has assists on 39 of 62 field goals (62.9 percent) during its past three games. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. California is coming off pair of losses in Fort Myers albeit against top 25 teams and they are in a tough matchup here once again. The Golden Bears averaged just 9.0 turnovers per game in their first three games, but have given it up 14.7 times over the past three games on average. After just three conference wins last season, they are again picked to finish last in the Pac 12. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 55 points or less in two straight games, with two or more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (733) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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11-28-21 | Browns +3.5 v. Ravens | 10-16 | Loss | -101 | 55 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Cleveland is coming off another lackluster effort as it defeated winless Detroit by a field goal as a two-touchdown favorite after getting clobbered by the Patriots the previous week. This is the first of two straight games against the Ravens which are sandwich in-between its bye week and a win here puts the Browns right back in the race in the AFC North. They are now 6-5 and have actually played better than that record as they are ranked No. 12 in total offense and No. 4 in total defense and turnovers have been the issue and not from the offense. The defense has forced only 10 takeaways which is eighth fewest in the league. Injuries have also played a part but things are better and continue to do so. The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. The Ravens are coming off another close win although doing it without Lamar Jackson was a big accomplishment. He will be back this Sunday and the line has gone down considerably despite that and the public is lining up on Baltimore. Of their seven wins, five have come by three points or less or in overtime which certainly explains their +17 point differential which is the fewest margin of any divisional leader in the NFL. The Ravens have been outgained in three of their last four games and we are going to see a lot of blind bets here based on name and public perception and we are still catching an underdog in a divisional game getting a good number. The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a point differential between + and - 3 ppg, after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 40-11 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (271) Cleveland Browns |
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11-28-21 | Eagles v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFC East Game of the Year. The Eagles have won their last two games and coupled with the Dallas loss on Thursday, they are now just two games behind the Cowboys in the NFC East. They hit the road where they are 4-2 on the season which is the best road record in the NFL besides the three top teams in the NFC West which have killed it on the highway. Philadelphia continues to run the ball effectively as it has outgained its last five opponents on the ground while putting up an average of 201 ypg over that stretch. Despite the recent road success, the Eagles have struggled in the first of consecutive road games and going back Philadelphia is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games in the second half of the season against teams who give up 24 or more ppg. New York is coming off a forgettable game in Tampa Bay which led to the firing of offensive coordinator Jason Garrett and a new look, even though it is Freddie Kitchens, could provide a needed spark. The Eagles defense has been below average as they are allowing 23.6 ppg so New York can be effective with the offense remaining healthy. On the other side, The Giants rushing defense has been adequate and they are coming off a good game where they allowed only 94 yards against Tampa on just 3.5 ypc and it was a game where the Buccaneers ran the ball than normal. The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having won two out of their last three games, a playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (256) New York Giants |
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11-28-21 | Steelers +4 v. Bengals | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Steelers nearly pulled off the upset last week in Los Angeles but allowed a 53-yard touchdown with just over two minutes left in what was one of the wildest fourth quarters we have seen in a while. Pittsburgh is now 5-4-1 and are two games behind Baltimore in the win column making this a big divisional game with a game against the Ravens on deck so it cannot ill afford a lookahead. Considering a 24-10 home loss to the Bengals in September, they will not be looking past this one. Ben Roethlisberger went 28-44 for 273 yards and three touchdowns last week and while he is listed as questionable with a pectoral injury, all signs point to him taking the field. Pittsburgh 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more. The Bengals came out slow last week in Las Vegas but put up 19 points in the fourth quarter to win by that same amount despite putting up just 288 yards of total offense. Cincinnati has lost two straight games at home prior to its bye week and it has been all over the place, getting outgained in half of its games while winning the yardage battle by more than 79 yards only twice when it has done so. After defeating Pittsburgh in the first meeting, a win over Baltimore was a solid one but two other wins came against Jacksonville and Detroit while the Bengals also lost to the Jets. They just have not been good over the last three games, allowing 88 points and that does not bide well here. The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points revenging a home loss against opponent, off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (263) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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11-27-21 | Tulane v. Memphis -5.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Memphis has lost three of its last four games making this a must win to become bowl eligible as it is 5-6 heading into the season finale. Those three losses came against Houston, East Carolina and UDF which are a combined 24-9 so none of those were bad losses but it does put the Tigers in a spot they should not even be in. They started the season 3-0 so it has been a bit of a falloff but they have their home finale where they are 4-2 on the season that includes a win over Mississippi St. The losses came against East Carolina, which is 7-4, by a point and Texas-San Antonio by three points as time expired and those Roadrunners are a perfect 11-0 heading into the final week. The offense rolls here. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Tulane is going nowhere with just two wins on the card and the Green Wave are basically coming off their bowl game as it was their final home contest and they snapped an eight-game game losing streak with a 31-point blowout against South Florida. The Bulls are 2-9 and that win was the first one over an opponent from the FBS as the other victory came against Morgan St. of the FCS. The defense of Tulane has actually been pretty decent in two of the last three games but it is still ranked No. 102 overall and No. 116 in scoring. The Tigers have the No. 18 passing offense in the country and should be able to toss it around all day. While the Tulane defense is bad overall, it is worse on the road, allowing 529.2 ypg while getting outscored by 20 ppg. The Green Wave are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 9* (218) Memphis Tigers |
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11-27-21 | Penn State v. Michigan State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 121 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Game of the Year. Michigan St. is coming off an absolute disaster of a game as it went to Columbus and got shellacked by Ohio St. 56-7. The Spartans allowed 655 total yards and 36 first downs while getting outgained by a total of 431 total yards. This game was over a minute into the second quarter as Ohio St. built a 28-0 lead and it scored a touchdown on its first seven possessions. The Spartans can either carry that over or be highly motivated to bounce back and we are expecting the latter after the embarrassment this past Saturday. Despite the effort, the Michigan St. offense has improved by over 14 ppg and the defense has improved by close to 10 ppg from the 2-5 record from last season. While a bowl game was out of the question last season when these teams met in the season finale, Michigan St. will be out for revenge after blowing a 21-10 lead at halftime, getting outscored 29-3 in the second half in the 39-24 defeat. The Spartans are 5-0-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Penn St. had lost three of four games and then recorded its best defensive effort of the season as it shut out Rutgers while giving up only 160 total yards, 67 yards on the ground and 93 yards through the air while allowing just 10 first downs. That was the Nittany Lions final home game of the season and now they hit the road where they are 2-2 on the season. Penn St. is getting outgained 387-359 away from home and the big problem has been the running game as it has averaged only 71 ypg on 2.5 ypc on offense. The Nittany Lions are dealing with the flu going through the roster which could have an effect going into the final regular season game. There is not a ton at stake for Penn St., which at this point is likely headed to either the Music City Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl or the Pinstripe Bowl, certainly not what it was looking for when it opened the season 5-0. Penn St. is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. 10* (224) Michigan St. Spartans |
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11-27-21 | Wake Forest -4.5 v. Boston College | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Wake Forest opened the season 8-0 and were a top 10 ranked team before a tough loss at North Carolina shattered any sort of CFP dreams. The Demon Deacons bounced back with an impressive win over NC State before hitting a buzzsaw at Clemson last week. The Tigers offense was pretty much non-existent for most of the season yet put up 543 yards on Saturday but Wake Forest does not have to worry about that here. There is still plenty of motivation though as Wake Forest can still clinch the ACC Atlantic Division with a win over Boston College and get into the ACC Championship game against Pittsburgh. The Eagles were able to gain bowl eligibility with a pair of wins over Georgia Tech and Virgnia Tech and came up just short against Florida St. last week as they nearly rallied from a 26-3 deficit. This is the fifth straight season that the Eagles have registered six win so it will not be easy for Wake Forest but has factors going its way. The Boston College program has been up and down recently and it has struggled against the better teams as the last win for the Eagles against an AP Top 25 team was a 37-31 victory over USC back in 2014 and it has lost 23 consecutive game since then. The Eagles are dealing with a flu outbreak, as a reported 15 players have been hit by the virus according to head coach Jeff Hafley. Here, we play on road conference favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging between 140 and 190 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. this situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (161) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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11-26-21 | Oregon State +4 v. Wake Forest | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Game of the Week. If this line were posted at the beginning of the season, it would be flipped and the Beavers could be favored even more than that but early season records are altering the number. Oregon St. is off to a disappointing 1-4 start and it is not hard to forget that the Beavers were an Elite Eight team last season. They finished 20-13 so they were no juggernaut and because of that, they tend to be forgotten. The Beavers are expected to be better this season despite the loss of leading scorer Ethan Thompson as the backcourt of Jarod Lucas and Gianni Hunt has the potential to be one of the best in the conference and with Warith Alatishe down low, this is a solid team despite the early season struggles. They have failed to cover any game and are coming off a pair of one-point losses but with four days in-between games, this is a new start. The Beavers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Wake Forest is 5-0 and yet to leave its home floor until now. The five victories are one short of their season total from all of last season and turnaround is skewed for sure. The best teams they Demon Deacons have played is maybe William & Mary based on it was the lowest spread in all games and they have been favored by at least 15 points in all five games. Through yesterday, they have played the No. 358 ranked schedule in the country and putting this in perspective, there are 358 Division I teams. While the confidence might be there, the step up in competition is a bigger factor and Wake Forest will have it hand full for the first time this season. 10* (875) Oregon St. Beavers |
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11-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +3 | Top | 118-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Suns are coming off a win at Cleveland on Wednesday pushing their winning streak to 14 straight games and they still trail the Warriors by a game in the NBA Pacific Division. They improved to 7-1 on the road with the victory over the Cavaliers and while this streak is impressive, they have not exactly dominated, going 1-5 ATS over their last six games and with a pretty low number here, the public is riding Phoenix yet again. Phoenix has been one of the most surprising teams going back to last season while making a trip to the NBA Finals and this will be a tough spot as they have a game at Brooklyn tomorrow, the top team in the Eastern Conference. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Knicks defeated the Lakers last time out and while they have been somewhat inconsistent after a red hot start, a couple days off following the Los Angeles win is a benefit as they have following up their last five wins with losses. New York is 3.5 games out of first place in the conference and a win here would be big with a pair of road games upcoming against the Hawks and Nets. The Knicks are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning % above .600. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive wins, a playing teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 63-30 ATS (67.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (540) New York Knicks |
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11-26-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -14.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 10 m | Show |
this is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Friday Game of the Month. Arkansas is coming off a tough loss against Alabama as it fell by a touchdown and at 7-4 it will be looking for its most regular season wins since 2011. The Razorbacks have already matched their win total from the three previous years combined and will be playing their first bowl game since 2016. Three of the Razorbacks four losses have come against ranked teams (Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss) and the other came against Auburn, its only home loss of the season. Arkansas has a strong offense that is ranked No. 29 overall including No. 14 in rushing offense, averaging 222.7 ypg on the ground and it will be able to take advantage in this matchup. Arkansas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Tigers are coming off a one-point victory over Florida in overtime which got Missouri bowl eligible and it has now posted at least a .500 record in five straight years. They have won two straight games but both of those came at home and the Tigers are just 1-3 on the road with the only win on the highway being a 37-28 victory at Vanderbilt which enters this week with a 2-9 record. Despite the winning record, the Tigers are ranked next-to-last in the SEC in scoring defense; allowing 34.7 ppg which is only ahead of the Commodores. The biggest weakness for Missouri is the rushing defense that is dead last in the conference, which as mentioned, is the Arkansas strength on offense. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on conference favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in the first half of the season that are averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (132) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | 35-13 | Loss | -108 | 71 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES for our CFB Friday Enforcer. There is a lot on the line for Cincinnati as a win for the Bearcats and a victory in the AAC Championship and they likely punch their ticket into the final four spots in the CFP. They are coming off an impressive win over SMU which pumped up the resume but they remain overpriced as they failed to cover their previous four games. While those spreads were all over three touchdowns, they all came against teams with losing records and while the number is less here, this is a dangerous spot. Overall, the Cincinnati schedule has been tame as it is ranked No. 94 in the country which is the lowest of any team ranked in the top 30 of the latest power rankings. The defense has been one of the best in the country but they face an offense that is playing at a high level. The Bearcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. East Carolina comes in with a 7-4 record including 5-2 in the AAC and this is one of the biggest home games in a long time. The Pirates have won four straight games and prior to that, while they were just 3-3, the three losses were by 14 combined points and they were against South Carolina, UCF and Houston which are a combined 23-10. East Carolina has outgained seven straight opponents and that includes the games against Houston and UCF and both of those were on the road. East Carolina is 4-1 at home and while this will be the biggest test of the season, there is no pressure as the Pirates are locked into a bowl game for the first time since 2014. East Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (156) East Carolina Pirates |
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11-26-21 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Friday Afternoon Dominator. We played against Texas last week as it has now lost six straight games after a 4-1 start and no bowl is in the future for the Longhorns. This is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss against Kansas two weeks ago, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. There is no motivation for this team right now and while it is the last home game, with a 12:00 game, this place will not be overly energized. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 39.3 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 107 in total defense and No. 105 in scoring defense. The Longhorns have failed to cover any of the six games during this losing streak. Kansas St. had won four straight games with a potent offense that put up 31.3 ppg but managed only 10 points last week in a 20-10 home loss against Baylor. The Wildcats gained only 263 total yards which was their lowest since a game against Oklahoma St. back in September and the Cowboys own the No. 3 total defense in the nation. The offense has been up and down but should have success against the Longhorns and it is the other side of the ball that should flourish. Heading into the final game of the regular season, the Wildcats are No. 3 in the conference in scoring defense, No. 2 in rushing defense, No. 5 in passing defense, and No. 3 in total defense. The Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 35 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (121) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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11-25-21 | Bills -4 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 75 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo got manhandled at home against the Colts for its second loss in three games as Jonathan Taylor went off by rushing for 185 yards and scoring five touchdowns. The Bills are now in second place in the AFC East, a half-game behind the Patriots with a home game against New England on deck so there is definitely a sense of urgency to bounce back from that loss. The 26-point defeat was bit deceiving as mistakes killed Buffalo as it lost the turnover margin 4-0 and that is not recoverable. Buffalo still is near the top of the league on both sides of the ball as it averages 391.7 ypg on offense and allows 283.7 ypg on defense., No. 5 and No. 1 in the NFL respectively. Buffalo is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 road games after allowing 35 points or more last game while going 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. New Orleans has now suffered three straight losses to fall to 5-5 and it recent surge up the playoff ladder has taken a big step back. The normally strong rushing defense was gashed for 242 against the Eagles and they have a better matchup here but the Saints will have trouble slowing down the Buffalo passing game especially with Josh Allen coming off a rough game in some poor weather. The injury list is a long one for New Orleans and Trevor Siemian has struggled for the most part and shows he has trouble leading this offense with a passer rating of 88.9 while completing only 56.9 percent of his passes. A return home would seem to be an edge but the Saints are just 1-2 in the dome this season. New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 45-13 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (109) Buffalo Bills |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss +1.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Mississippi has won three straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and with a win here, the Rebels will post the highest regular-season win total in school history. They are coming off a lackluster effort against Vanderbilt but they were just going through the motions looking forward to this game. They have the best player on the field in quarterback Matt Corral who is 233-345 for 3,100 yards passing and 19 touchdowns with just three interceptions while rushing for another 10 touchdowns and he has become a Heisman candidate. It is just not about the passing however as Mississippi has rushed for 231.1 ypg, and have had six games of more than 250 yards including four in the SEC. The Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Mississippi St. has won four of its last five games to become bowl eligible for the 12th straight season although last season comes with an asterisk as the Bulldogs were 4-6 but with COVID, they were able to get into the Armed Forces Bowl because of a lack of teams. The Bulldogs have a solid quarterback of their own as Will Rogers has averaged 390 ypg over his last four games but he has a tough test here. Mississippi has given up an average of 259 ypg through the air in SEC games and has only allowed more than 300 yards just once this season. In a Mike Leach offense, the Bulldogs passing game is no surprise but they could use some balance here yet that is unlikely. Mississippi St. had just its second 100-yard game on the ground last week but that was against Tennessee Tech of the FCS. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) Mississippi Rebels |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys -7 | 36-33 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss against Kansas City, its second loss in three games to fall to 7-3 on the season and with the Eagles win on Sunday, its lead in the NFC East is 2.5 games so this is an important game for the Cowboys with three straight road games on deck. The Dallas offense is still No. 1 in the NFL despite putting up 276 and 290 yards in those two losses and prior to that, it had gained at least 419 total yards in six of seven games. The defense shut down Atlanta two games back while holding the Chiefs to just 19 points on Sunday and overall, the Cowboys are No. 8 in the NFL in scoring defense. They have been opportunistic with 19 takeaways which is tied for fourth in the league and they are No. 7 in turnover margin. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. The Raiders have dropped three straight games and are 2-5 over their last seven games following a 3-0 start. All of the distractions off the field are affecting the play on the field and of those five losses, four have come by at least 11 points and by an average of 15.2 ppg. The problem has mainly been the offense as Las Vegas has scored 16 points or less in the five defeats as the unbalanced offense has been a real concern. While the Raiders have played well at times on the defensive, they give up 26.2 ppg which is No. 25 in the league. This team has headed in the wrong direction and playing on a short week with travel involved is far from the ideal situation to get things turned back around. The Raiders are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 95 and 125 rushing ypg. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (108) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-24-21 | Heat +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Minnesota on Monday as it took care of New Orleans, jumping out to a 26-point lead and never looking back but things get tougher here at home. Part of the reason we played the Timberwolves was because of their success against the poor teams in the league and after that victory Minnesota is 1-6 against the top 16 in the league while now 7-3 against teams below that. Minnesota has won four straight games to move a game under .500 and this includes a 5-6 record at home. The Timberwolves are 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Miami is coming off a win over Detroit last night and it has now won five of its last six games to keep its lead in the Southeast Division lead by a half-game over Washington. The Heat defense has picked things up after a bit of a lull as they have allowed fewer than 100 points in four of their last five games and are now allowing 101.8 ppg overall which is second best in the NBA. They are ninth in the league in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and this is easily the best defense that the Timberwolves have faced over this recent winning streak. Playing on a back-to-back has been no issue for Miami as the Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games playing on no rest. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Miami Heat |