12-17-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets +3 |
|
105-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Nuggets +3 Bottom Line: Denver is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games versus winning teams. It is 8-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons versus very good teams that outscore opponents by 6.0 points or more per game. It has won these games by an average of 7.3 points. The Nuggets are even 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage greater than .600. Denver is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the loss coming by only 2 points.
|
12-17-13 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 |
Top |
119-116 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs +5 Bottom Line: The Blazers are being overvalued on the road against a Cleveland club that is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 home games. The Cavs have had 2 days to gear up for this game while Portland will be playing on the road for the 3rd time in 4 days. This kind of a stretch is difficult enough, but it was made more difficult by getting taken to OT by the Pistons Sunday. The Cavs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Blazers with the losses coming by 6 points and 1 point. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus winning teams. Pound the Cavs.
|
12-16-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Detroit Lions -6.5 |
Top |
18-16 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Monday Night Football GAME OF THE MONTH on Lions -6.5 Bottom Line: The Detroit offense has been unstoppable at Ford Field where it is averaging 477.0 yards and 31.7 points per game. It should be able to move the football almost at will against a Baltimore defense that has struggled on the road. The Ravens are 1-5 on the road, largely because the defense is allowing 26.8 ppg on the highway. The defense isn't solely to blame as it has had to spend way too much time on the field because of an offense that is among the worst in the NFL. Baltimore's only hope is to come up with some takeaways, but it has been among the least opportunistic teams in the AFC all season. The Detroit offense couldn't do much of anything in Philly last week in harsh conditions. However, the Lions are on a 25-6 ATS run after being held to 4.0 yards or less per play in their previous game. Pound the Lions.
|
12-16-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Boston Celtics +2 |
Top |
97-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +2 Bottom Line: This is a difficult spot for Minnesota, which is playing the second game of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. Boston is also 15-4 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. It has defeated these teams by an average of 10.6 points.
|
12-16-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Atlanta Hawks -6 |
|
100-114 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hawks -6 Bottom Line: The Lakers upset the Bobcats last game but are 2-11 ATS in road games after an upset win the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 10.6 points in this spot. LA's lack of back court depth will be a major issue tonight against an Atlanta team with some very capable guards (Teague, Williams, Korver, Mack).
|
12-15-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 |
|
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major SNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Steelers +3 Bottom Line: The Bengals haven't had near the success on the road where they are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8. The Bengals have also been a poor investment in division play at 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 versus the AFC North. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the AFC North and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 versus the Bengals. Roethlisberger is playing well, completing 63.0 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns and no interceptions over his last 4 games, and he has a great track record versus Cincy (14-6 lifetime). Cincy has defeated the Steelers by more than 3 points just twice in the last 14 meetings. That's a 12-2 trend leaving no doubt we're on the right side. Bet the Steelers.
|
12-15-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
Top |
111-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: Portland's 139-point outburst in Philadelphia places it in fade territory as it is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game. We saw this trend in action recently as the Blazers dropped 130 on Utah and then lost to Dallas the next night. The Pistons played the Blazers tough in Portland earlier this season, losing by only 6 points despite shooting 3 of 14 from 3-point range. Look for them to avenge that loss at home as the home side is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
12-15-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings +6.5 |
Top |
91-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +6.5 Bottom Line: The Kings have been at their best at home against good teams. Recently, they have played the Clippers, Warriors and Thunder to within 6 points or less, and they beat the Mavs. In fact, the Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team that has a winning record on the road. The Rockets are a soft 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 away games versus clubs with a losing mark at home.
|
12-15-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. St. Louis Rams +7 |
|
16-27 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major NFL *PUBLIC MASSACRE* on Rams +7 Bottom Line: New Orleans isn't the same team on the road, period. I know this game will be in a dome, but the Saints struggled to win at the Georgia Dome Nov. 21 and also lost by double-digits as a 13.5-point favorite the last time they visited the Edward Jones Dome. The Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. The Rams are 6-0 ATS in home games versus good teams that outscore opponents by an average of 6.0 points or more per game over the last 3 seasons. St. Louis is also 7-0 ATS in the second half of the season under Fisher versus good offensive teams that average 5.65 yards per play or more. Additionally, playing against favorites off a win of 14 or more points against an opponent off 2 straight losses of 10 or more points has resulted in a 26-9 ATS record the last 10 seasons.
|
12-15-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders +5.5 |
|
56-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
74 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major AFC West *DIVISIONAL DOMINATOR* on Raiders +5.5 Bottom Line: Playing underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that trailed by 14 points or more at halftime of their last game has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record since 1983 if they're up against a team that has scored 25 points or more in 3 straight games. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 6.7 points on average but have lost by only 2.2 points on average. This system tightens up to 8-2 ATS over the last 5 seasons. The Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus the AFC West while the Raiders are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the AFC West. The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the dog is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 matchups.
|
12-15-13 |
Buffalo Bills -1 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NFL Blowout Game of the Year on Bills -1 Bottom Line: Buffalo defeated Jacksonville 34-18 last season while outgaining the Jaguars 344-236. I fully expect the Bills to dominate again in what is a highly-motivated spot. Buffalo held a closed-door meeting following last week's ugly loss at Tampa Bay. That means this team is serious about finishing the season strong. Buffalo has shown what it is capable of with nice wins over the Panthers, Ravens and Dolphins - teams with winning records. The Bills also nearly pulled off wins against the Patriots and Bengals and outgained the Chiefs 470-210. The Bills have been a tremendous investment when coming off a road loss, going 9-1 ATS in this situation the last 2 seasons. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Playing road teams after the first month of the season if the line is +3 to -3 and they are off a road defeat has resulted in a 70-36 ATS record the last 10 seasons. Pound Buffalo.
|
12-14-13 |
Houston v. UL-Lafayette -8 |
Top |
76-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on UL-Lafayette -8 Bottom Line: Playing on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - an excellent offensive team (averages 76 or more ppg) against an average defensive team (allows 67-74 ppg), after a combined score of 165 points or more, has resulted in a 51-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons. ULL is on a 10-2 ATS run after a game where it shot 43% or lower and allowed 57% or higher. The Ragin' Cajuns are also 8-1 ATS after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games under coach Bob Marlin. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, winning these by 16.3 points on average. Pound ULL.
|
12-14-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3 v. Charlotte Bobcats |
Top |
88-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +3 Bottom Line: Expect the Lakers to respond following last night's embarrassing loss in Oklahoma City. L.A. is 0-3 since Kobe Bryant's return and that can't be sitting well with the future Hall of Famer. Look for a big-time performance from Bryant here. The Bobcats lost a tough one in Indiana last night, a game they led late in the fourth. I believe they'll still be hanging on to that one. The Lakers are a strong 14-4 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Pound LA.
|
12-14-13 |
Army +13 v. Navy |
Top |
7-34 |
Loss |
-104 |
72 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAF *PUNISHER* on Army +13 Bottom Line: The Midshipmen have been a poor late-season investment at 0-4 ATS in their last 4 December contests. They have also been a poor play following a bye at 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. Army is one of the top rushing teams in the nation. Because of the respect Navy must give to the run, it will be left susceptible to a big play or two through the air. The Midshipmen are 0-6 ATS lifetime under coach Niumatalolo when playing away from home after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game. The Middies are also 3-11 ATS under Niumatalolo after 2 or more consecutive covers. Army is 8-1 ATS under Ellerson after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half and 10-2 ATS under his watch after allowing 42 points or more last game. Pound Army.
|
12-13-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Detroit Pistons -5.5 |
|
99-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pistons -5.5 Bottom Line: The Pistons are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 versus NBA Atlantic division foes and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Playing against road teams that are looking for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more has resulted in a 93-53 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided they have a win percentage of 25% to 40% and their opponent has a losing record.
|
12-13-13 |
New York Knicks +4.5 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
86-90 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Knicks +4.5 Bottom Line: New York lost by 41 at home to Boston Sunday, but it has proven time and time again that it will respond following such defeats. Consider that the Knicks are 24-7 ATS when out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more since 1996. They have won these games straight up by an average of 3.6 points. New York is also 24-11 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has won these games straight up by an average of 2.5 points. The Knicks have shine under the bright Friday night lights, going 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. Pound the Knicks.
|
12-13-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats +12.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
94-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Bobcats +12.5 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that are off a home win and playing on Friday night has resulted in a 47-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Playing road underdogs of 10 or more points on Friday night has resulted in a 91-50 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system tightens up to 73-33 ATS if they are coming off a defeat.
|
12-12-13 |
San Diego Chargers +10.5 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Chargers +10.5 Bottom Line: San Diego played Denver to an 8-point game in the first meeting despite getting off to a terrible start. It was able to come back behind a defense that held the Broncos to a season-low 397 yards and an offense that ranks 4th in the league. In a game San Diego absolutely must have to hang on to its slim postseason hopes, I expect it to give the Broncos a game. Denver is on a 5-15 ATS skid after scoring 30 points or more in 3 straight games. The Broncos are also on a 9-22 ATS skid when playing against teams with a win percentage of 40-49%. They are just 9-22 ATS in their last 31 games in the second half of the season versus teams that complete 64% or more of their passes. The road team is on a 5-0-1 ATS run, and the Chargers are 5-0-4 ATS in the last 9 matchups in Denver. Pound San Diego.
|
12-12-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Brooklyn Nets +3 |
Top |
93-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +3 Bottom Line: The Clippers won't have much left in the tank following last night's hard-fought win in Boston. This will be their 6th road game in 9 days. Brooklyn has shown signs of life with back-to-back wins, and it will be the fresher side as this will be just its 3rd game in 6 days. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings overall and 1-12 ATS in the last 13 road meetings in the series. The Nets are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 home meetings in the series. They are also 13-1 the last 14 times they have hosted the Clippers. Pound the Nets.
|
12-11-13 |
Utah Jazz +7.5 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
122-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Jazz +7.5 Bottom Line: Sacramento has been playing well, but I expect the addition of Rudy Gay and company to disrupt its rhythm momentarily. Sac is 3-13 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Utah is 13-3 ATS after failing to cover 4 of its last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.
|
12-11-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Boston Celtics +6.5 |
|
96-88 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Celtics +6.5 Bottom Line: The Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover while the Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a cover. The Clippers have defeated Boston by more than 6 points just 1 time in the last 11 meetings. I'll grab the points in what should be a close game as Boston draws added motivation from a visit from its former coach.
|
12-11-13 |
Orlando Magic +6.5 v. Charlotte Bobcats |
Top |
92-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +6.5 Bottom Line: I'm not ready to trust the Bobcats laying this many points considering they are a dismal 31-53 ATS at home over the last 3 seasons. Off a rewarding win over Golden State, I anticipate a letdown. Consider that Charlotte is on a 5-17 ATS slide coming off an upset victory, losing by an average of 7.9 points in this spot. Pound Orlando.
|
12-10-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +1 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
121-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Situational *SUREFIRE* on T-Wolves +1 Bottom Line: Great spot for a well-rested Minnesota squad against a Detroit club playing its 3rd game in 4 days. Playing all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are off a home loss has resulted in a 63-28 ATS record since 1996 if they are playing for the 3rd time or less in 10 days. This system is 6-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The T-Wolves have also won 6 straight against Detroit by an average of 11.5 points.
|
12-10-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Atlanta Hawks +5.5 |
Top |
101-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +5.5 Bottom Line: Playing underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins has resulted in a 49-22 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are playing for just the 4th time or fewer in 10 days. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 6.0 points on average but have lost by just 2.7. Atlanta has won 3 straight at home with 2 of the wins coming against good Dallas and LA Clippers teams. The Thunder are just 3-3 in their last 6 on the road with 1 of the wins coming by just 2 points over a poor Sacramento team. The Hawks have won 2 of their last 3 against OKC. Pound Atlanta.
|
12-10-13 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers -3 |
|
84-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Pacers -3 Bottom Line: The Pacers are 9-0 at home this season and have won 2 straight at home against the Heat by 7 and 14 points. Indiana has also won 4 of its last 5 home games against the Heat. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 1 day of rest. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
12-09-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears +1.5 |
Top |
28-45 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bears +1.5 Bottom Line: Playing December home underdogs or pickems that are off 2 or more consecutive losses ATS has resulted in a 93-52 ATS record since 1983. Additionally, playing all teams (Chicago) when the line is +3 to -3 that average 5.7 yards or more per play has resulted in a 55-28 ATS record the last 10 seasons if they have allowed an average of 400.0 yards or more in their last 3 games. The Cowboys have struggled late in the season, going 11-15 in Romo's December starts. They are also just 6-16 ATS in games played in the second half of the schedule over the last 3 seasons, including 0-7 ATS during this stretch when matched up against an excellent offensive team that averages 375 or more yards per game. Dallas is only 9-20 ATS when laying points under Garrett. Pound Chicago.
|
12-09-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Washington Wizards +2 |
Top |
75-74 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +2 Bottom Line: Can't see the road-weary Nuggets getting past a Washington squad that is 5-1 in its last 6 at home. This will be Denver's 5th road contest in 7 days while the Wiz will be playing at home and for just the 2nd time in 7 days. Big edge for Wash in terms of fresh legs. The Wizards went 2-0 SU and ATS versus Denver last season and are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 versus the Western Conference. Pound Washington.
|
12-08-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
|
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major SNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Saints -3 Bottom Line: Look for New Orleans to bounce-back strong at home where they are on an 18-5 ATS run. The Saints haven't lost consecutive games in a single regular season under coach Sean Payton since 2009, and they are 8-1 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 21.4 points in this spot.
|
12-08-13 |
Oregon v. Ole Miss -1 |
Top |
115-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* (ESPNU) on Ole Miss -1 Bottom Line: Look for the Rebels to hand Oregon its first defeat of the season. Ole Miss is an impressive 13-6-2 ATS in its last 21 home games, 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games versus Pacific-12 opponents. Since Andy Kennedy took over the Rebels, they are 13-5 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. They are also 23-12 ATS in home non-conference games, 26-12 ATS versus teams with a win percentage greater than .800 and 32-10 ATS versus teams scoring 77+ points/game under his watch.
|
12-08-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers -2.5 |
|
17-19 |
Loss |
-115 |
75 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major Late Afternoon *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on 49ers -2.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Seahawks following their huge MNF victory over the Saints. Seattle is on a 3-12 ATS slide in road games after a win by 21 or more points, losing by an average of 5.4 points in these games. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
12-08-13 |
NY Giants v. San Diego Chargers -3 |
|
14-37 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major Late Afternoon *SUREFIRE* on Chargers -3 Bottom Line: The Chargers have dropped 4 of 5 but have been on the road 3 times during this stretch and have played some good football teams (Denver, KC, Cincy). They'll rebound here against a Giants squad that has dropped 4 of 6 on the road. The Giants are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after being held to less than 15 points in their previous game and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss.
|
12-08-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Cincinnati Bengals -6 |
Top |
28-42 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NFL Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Year on Bengals -6 Bottom Line: Cincy rolls at home against the struggling Colts. Indy is not the same team that has wins over the 49ers, Seahawks and Broncos. It is 3-2 over its last 5 games but could have been 0-5 during this stretch despite playing just 1 team that currently has a winning record. It hasn't been able to protect Luck, and the constant pressure has taken a toll as he has two touchdowns, five interceptions and a 66.7 passer rating over his last four contests. He's been sacked 29 times this season and was dropped a season-worst five times last week. He will face more pressure here against a Cincy team that has recorded 18 sacks over its last five games. The Bengals are 5-0 SU and ATS at home this season, winning these games by an average of 16.4 points. Pound Cincy.
|
12-07-13 |
Brooklyn Nets -140 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
Top |
90-82 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -140 Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for Milwaukee which will be playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 4th in 5 days. The Bucks went to OT last night so they will really be feeling the effects of fatigue. The Bucks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Brooklyn has been brutally embarrassed in its last two games, but I believe it responds here. The Bucks are 5-15 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 5-17 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons. Pound Brooklyn.
|
12-07-13 |
Stanford v. Arizona State -3 |
|
38-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
51 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Major Pac-12 Championship *PUNISHER* on Arizona State -3 Bottom Line: I like ASU to avenge an early season loss at Stanford. The Sun Devils are 7-0 at home this season, and teams that are led by coach Todd Graham are 25-11 ATS when playing with revenge. The Sun Devils are also a tremendous 14-5 ATS as chalk under Graham.
|
12-07-13 |
Villanova v. St. Joseph's +5 |
Top |
98-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Week on St. Joseph's +5 Bottom Line: The Villanova Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 20 points and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Atlantic 10 opponents. The Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Look for Nova to struggle in its first true road game of the season as it goes up against a St. Joe's squad that will be hungry to avenge last season's 4-point loss.
|
12-07-13 |
Missouri +2.5 v. Auburn |
Top |
42-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
49 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Conference Championship Game of the Year on Mizzou +2.5 Bottom Line: The old saying "it's better to be lucky than good" certainly applies to Auburn, which followed up its "Immaculate Deflection" victory over Georgia with a miracle win over two-time defending national champion Alabama. However, I believe Auburn's luck finally runs out here. Mizzou is one of the best run-stuffing teams in the country. It will dare Auburn to pass the football, and I don't see Auburn being good enough through the air to win this game. Another big key is how well Missouri takes care of the football. It has just 12 turnovers all season and is 8-0 ATS this season after a game where it committed 1 or less turnovers. Pound Mizzou.
|
12-07-13 |
Marshall v. Rice +6.5 |
|
24-41 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major C-USA Championship *BLOOD BATH* on Rice +6.5 Bottom Line: Big advantage for Rice playing this game at home where it is 7-0 ATS under coach Bailiff versus good offensive teams that average 31.0 or more points per game. The Owls have defeated these teams by an average of 9.1 points. Rice is also on an 11-0 ATS run at home versus excellent passing teams like Marshall that average 275.0 or more passing yards per game. It has defeated these teams by 7.4 points on average.
|
12-06-13 |
Utah Jazz +11.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
Top |
98-130 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +11.5 Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for the Blazers coming off big wins over Indy and OKC. Playing against Friday night double-digit home favorites that are off a home win has resulted in a 43-17 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by just 8.9 points on average so there's plenty of line value here. Pound Utah.
|
12-06-13 |
Toronto Raptors +4.5 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
97-106 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Fool's Gold on Raptors +4.5 Bottom Line: The Suns are 13-5 ATS this season but have done the majority of their damage as an underdog. They are just 5-16 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and 3-15 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with 2 of these in Phoenix.
|
12-06-13 |
Bowling Green +5 v. Northern Illinois |
Top |
47-27 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Bowling Green +5 Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with Bowling Green as it has an excellent chance to win this game outright behind a stop unit that ranks 5th in the country in points allowed per game. Last week, Bowling Green held Buffalo to just 7 points on the road. Dave Clawson's Bowling Green teams have been fueled by such dominant defensive performances, going 9-1 ATS following a game where they held their opponent to 9 points or fewer. This trend tightens up to a perfect 6-0 ATS this season. Pound BG.
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12-05-13 |
Houston Texans v. Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jaguars +3.5 Bottom Line: I was on the Texans last week as they covered a big spread in New England while giving the Patriots all they wanted and more. That tough loss sets them up for letdown here, playing on the road in a very short week. The Texans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a game in which they covered the spread. Houston has consistently played to the level of its competition under Kubiak, going 1-9 ATS in games played in the second half of the schedule versus poor defensive teams that give up 27 points or more per game. They have lost to these teams by 2.3 points on average. Pound the Jags.
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12-05-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers +1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
101-81 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers +1.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers went down in Atlanta last night but are a lucrative 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games when playing without a day of rest. They will have no problem getting up for this one because they have lost 5 straight to the Grizzlies going back to last season's playoffs. You know that isn't sitting well with Chris Paul and company, and I expect them to bring the skid to an end tonight. The Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games, and the Clippers have won three of their last four regular-season games at Memphis.
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12-05-13 |
Louisville v. Cincinnati +3.5 |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
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4* Major AAC *SUREFIRE* on Cincy +3.5 Bottom Line: I'll take the points with Cincy at home as it is 4-1 SU and ATS in the last 5 meetings with the loss coming by only 3 points in OT at Louisville last season. That defeat will provide the Bearcats with plenty of motivation on senior night. The Cardinals are on a 0-4 ATS slide versus winning teams. The Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they are on a 34-13 ATS run versus good teams that outscore their opponents by an average of 10.0 points or more per game.
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12-04-13 |
Miami (Fla) v. Nebraska -4.5 |
Top |
49-60 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy Big Ten/ACC Challenge *BEST BET* on Nebraska -4.5 Bottom Line: Nebraska has been an awesome investment at home where it is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 home games. Additionally, playing against any team in the first 10 games of the season with 1 or no starters returning that has been held to 65 points or less in 4 straight games has resulted in a 53-23 ATS record since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by 11.1 points on average. Pound Nebraska.
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12-04-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 |
Top |
105-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Month on Bucks +4.5 Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Detroit following last night's win over the Heat. Meanwhile, this is a revenge spot for Milwaukee as it was embarrassed by 19 in Detroit 1 1/2 weeks ago. Playing any team that has lost 12 or more of its last 15 games ATS, provided that team has is playing 6 or more games in a 10-day span, has resulted in a 90-50 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 3.5 points on average but have lost by just 0.2 points on average. Pound the Bucks.
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12-04-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 |
|
88-98 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Cavs +4.5 Bottom Line: Playing underdogs that have lost 12 or more of their last 15 games ATS has resulted in a 54-23 ATS record since 1996 if they're taking on a team that has won 3 of their last 4 ATS. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by just 2.8 points on average. Value lies with Cleveland.
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12-03-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7 |
|
97-95 |
Win
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100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Kings +7 Bottom Line: OKC gets caught looking ahead here as it has a big showdown in Portland tomorrow. The Kings have lost 4 in a row but played the Clippers to a 1-point game and a 6-point game and played the Warriors to a 2-point game during this stretch. The Kings are an impressive 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.
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12-03-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Dallas Mavericks -8 |
Top |
82-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Mavs -8 Bottom Line: Mavs will be extremely motivated following back-to-back losses and 4 defeats in 5 games. They'll be ready to take their frustrations out on a Charlotte squad they are 9-0 lifetime against at home with a 12.9-point average margin of victory. Pound Dallas.
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12-03-13 |
Illinois v. Georgia Tech -125 |
Top |
64-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy Big Ten/ACC Challenge *BEST BET* on Georgia Tech -125 Bottom Line: The Yellow Jackets lost by 13 points at Illinois in last year's Big Ten/ACC Challenge, and they will have their revenge tonight. Georgia Tech brings almost everyone back from last year's team while Illinois returns only two starters and lost its top two scorers. The Fighting Illini are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound Tech.
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12-02-13 |
Cal-Irvine v. California -6.5 |
Top |
56-73 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* Blowout on Cal -6.5 Bottom Line: With or without Richard Solomon, I expect Cal to roll tonight at home where it is 37-6 in non-conference games under Mike Montgomery and 5-0 all-time versus Irvine. It's last 3 home wins in the series have come by an average of 18.7 points. If you want to beat Cal at home, you better be able to force some turnovers. That's something Irvine hasn't been able to do. The Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams that force 12.0 turnovers or less per game under Montgomery, winning by an average of 21.6 points in these contests.
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12-02-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5 |
Top |
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Seahawks -4.5 Bottom Line: Seattle ranks No. 2 in the NFL in both total and scoring defense as well as No. 1 against the pass. With this defense, it has dominated good offensive teams like New Orleans, especially in the latter part of the season. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in the second half of their schedule over the last 3 seasons versus teams that average 24.0 points or more per game. They have crushed these teams by an average of 11.5 points. Seattle is also 6-0 ATS in the second half of its schedule the last 3 seasons versus teams that average 5.65 yards or more per play. It has blasted these teams by an average of 18.4 points. Seattle is 6-0 ATS in the second half of its schedule the last 2 seasons versus teams that complete 61% or more of their passes (17.2-pt avg. margin of victory in these games) and 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams averaging 7.0 yards per pass or more (5.8-pt avg. winning margin in these games). The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in home games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards per play in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Last but not least, Seattle is 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 26.7 points in these games. Pound Seattle.
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12-01-13 |
NY Giants v. Washington Redskins +1.5 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 1 m |
Show
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4* Major NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Redskins +1.5 Bottom Line: Tom Coughlin's NFL teams are just 3-12 ATS lifetime following an upset loss at home to a divisional opponent. The Giants are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games, and they've struggled against Washington. The Redskins are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings, winning 3 of these straight up as an underdog.
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12-01-13 |
Oregon St v. DePaul -135 |
Top |
81-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on DePaul -135 Bottom Line: I like DePaul against the spread but am taking it on the ML for insurance as I really like it to win this game. Playing against road underdogs or pickems after a combined score of 175 points or more with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season has resulted in a 70-39 ATS record since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by an average of 13.5 points. The Beavers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. The Blue Demons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 versus Pac-12 foes.
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12-01-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets -120 |
|
23-3 |
Loss |
-120 |
46 h 31 m |
Show
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4* Major Divisional Dominator on Jets -120 Bottom Line: The Jets are 4-1 SU and ATS at home this season with wins over the Patriots and Saints. The Dolphins are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last 3 road games, and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Dolphins are also just 8-20-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in the series. Look for the Jets to continue their strong play at home against a Miami squad that has struggled on the road.
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12-01-13 |
New England Patriots v. Houston Texans +9 |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 31 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NFL Letdown Game of the Year on Texans +9 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot if I've ever seen one for the Patriots as they hit the road, where they are 0-3 in their last 3, after an improbable comeback win against Denver. Playing against any team with a winning record that is off an upset victory at home has resulted in a 149-78 (65.6%) ATS record the last 30 seasons. This system is 6-1 ATS this season. Additionally, playing underdogs of pickems in the second half of the season that are riding a losing streak of 6 games or more has resulted in a 122-71 (63.2%) ATS record the last 30 seasons. This system is 4-0 ATS this season. Pound Houston.
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11-30-13 |
Clemson +3 v. South Carolina |
Top |
17-31 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NCAAF Rivalry Game of the Year on Clemson +3 Bottom Line: Clemson will want this game just a little bit more as it sets out to snap a 4-game losing streak in the series. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 2 seasons. It is also 8-0 ATS after 3 consecutive games where it committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Playing road teams when the line is +3 to -3 seven games or more into the season has resulted in a 50-15 ATS mark the last 10 seasons if they are an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 ypc) going against an average run defense (3.5 to 4.3 ypc allowed. This system is 4-0 ATS on the season. Pound the Tigers.
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11-30-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards -157 |
Top |
101-108 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -157 Bottom Line: I still like the Wizards against the spread but am taking them on the ML for insurance as I love their chances of winning this game. Washington is 17-6 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. It is also 18-7 ATS when playing the second game of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons. The home team is 5-1-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Hawks are 0-3-2 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Washington.
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11-30-13 |
Boston College v. Syracuse +3 |
|
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
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4* Major ACC Game of the Week on Syracuse +3 Bottom Line: Playing against a road team in a game involving two average defenses that allow 21-28 ppg following a win of 6 points or less has resulted in a 57-26 ATS record the last 10 seasons. This system tightens up to 21-8 ATS the last 3 seasons. Additionally, BC is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons, losing them by an average of 13.8 points.
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11-30-13 |
Baylor v. TCU +15 |
|
41-38 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
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4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week on TCU +15 Bottom Line: While Baylor has said it still has a lot to play for, I'm not buying that sentiment. This team had its dreams crushed last week at Oklahoma State and now it faces a TCU squad that has had an extra week to prepare. TCU isn't going bowling so it will treat this game as its bowl. TCU is 8-0 ATS in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest under coach Patterson.
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