Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-24-18 | Massachusetts v. George Mason OVER 147 | Top | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (613) and the George Mason Patriots (614). UMass (11-17) has lost four games in a row after their 82-78 loss to VCU on Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Minutemen allowed the Rams to make 54.2% of their shots as their play on the defensive end of the court continues to falter. UMass has allowed their last three opponents to shoot at least 50.8% from the field — and seven of their last nine opponents have made at least 50.8% of their shots. Furthermore, all eight of their last eight opponents have scored at least 82 points. The Minutemen have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, UMass has played 7 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Minutemen go back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. And while the Patriots attempt 21 shots from the 3-point line per game, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game. |
|||||||
02-22-18 | Tennessee State v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 135.5 | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee State Tigers (651) and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (652). Tennessee State (15-12) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their upset 72-59 loss to Eastern Kentucky. The Tigers allowed the Colonels to make 53.3% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last ten contests. They should play much better on defense tonight as they are holding their conference opponents to just 41.6% of their shots this season. Tennessee State also made just 37.5% of their shots in that game — but they may not improve much on that mark when considering that they are making only 40.7% of their shots on the road. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total. Tennessee State has also played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They will be looking to avenge an 87-81 loss to Tennessee Tech back on January 8th — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge for a loss at home to their opponents. |
|||||||
02-21-18 | Georgia v. South Carolina UNDER 130.5 | Top | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (705) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (706). Georgia (15-11) has won two straight games — both upset victories — with their 72-62 win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while this Georgia team has played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing two straight games Over the Total. The Volunteers committed a whopping 27 personal fouls in that game on Saturday which helped produce a 38 free throw attempts for the Bulldogs (they made 27 of these shots from the charity stripe). Georgia has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 22 personal fouls — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 27 personal fouls. Now this team goes back on the road where they are making only 41.5% of their shots. The Bulldogs have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Georgia has also seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall. The Bulldogs will be looking to avenge a 64-57 loss at South Carolina back on January 13th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. |
|||||||
02-20-18 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 138.5 | Top | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (527) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (528). Indiana (16-12) has won four games in a row with their 84-82 upset win at Iowa on Saturday as an 11-point favorite. The Hoosiers pulled that game out despite allowing the Hawkeyes to make 55.1% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last five games. Improving the play on defense for this team was priority number one for first-year head coach Archie Miller who came over from a Dayton program where he had very competitive NCAA Tournament teams predicated on strong defensive play. This team has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots. Indiana has still held their last five opponents to just a 39.8% shooting percentage. The Hoosiers are also a surprising 3rd in the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Indiana has played 19 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Hoosiers have also seen the Under go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Indiana won that game against Iowa because they made 56.1% of their shots which was actually their worst offensive effort in their last three games. Expect the Regression Gods to make an appearance tonight. Not only have the Hoosiers played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where they shot at least 50% of their shots but they have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after shooting at least 47% from the field in three straight contests. Now this team stays on the road where they are making only 44.4% of their shots this season. Indiana has seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games on the road — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, the Hoosiers have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams wit ha winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range, Indiana has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
02-19-18 | Oklahoma v. Kansas UNDER 165.5 | Top | 74-104 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (715) and the Kansas Jayhawks (716). Oklahoma (16-10) has lost five straight games after their upset loss at home to Texas on Saturday as a 7-point favorite. The Sooners shot just 30.8% from the field in that game. At times, such a poor shooting effort may be a harbinger of a visit from the Regression Gods. However, this Oklahoma team has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after failing to make more than 33% of their shots in their last game — and this includes four Unders in those last five situations. The team’s struggles on offense start with freshman sensation Trae Young who is in the midst of a terrible shooting slump. He has made only 10 of the 51 shots from 3-point land he has hoisted up during his team’s losing streak. Young tends to force his shot when his teammates are not making their shots — and this problem gets worse when they are playing on the road. Oklahoma is still averaging 87.5 PPG on 47.1% shooting. But the Sooners are scoring over 13 PPG less than their season average over their last five games while making just 43% of their shots over that stretch. Unfortunately for this Oklahoma team, that low shooting mark is just about what they are shooting on the road given their 43.8% shooting percentage. The Sooners have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Oklahoma has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Additionally, the Sooners have played 3 straight Unders after getting upset by at least ten points despite being the favorite in that game. And in their last 9 games after an upset loss to a conference rival, Oklahoma has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Sooners have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. |
|||||||
02-16-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 132.5 | Top | 76-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the IUPUI Jaguars (817) and the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (818). Milwaukee (14-14) has won two of their last three games — as well as five of their last seven contests — after their 74-73 upset win at Wright State as a 7-point favorite. The Panthers made 59.2% of their shots which was the best offensive effort in their last 27 games going all the way back to their first game of the season. The Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance with this team tonight — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% of their shots in their last game. Additionally, the Panthers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Milwaukee’s improved play has much to do with their improved play on the defensive end of the court. They have held their last five opponents to just a 40.8% field goal percentage. |
|||||||
02-15-18 | Weber State v. Portland State OVER 160.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (607) and the Portland State Vikings (608). Weber State (17-7) has won seven straight games with their 71-66 win over Northern Colorado on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Wildcats made just 43.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last five contests. This Weber State team made up for their poor shooting performance by holding the Bears to just a 34.2% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance in their last ten contests. The Wildcats have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Weber State has played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total. They also have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. And in their last 9 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less, the Wildcats have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Weber State has covered the point spread in six of their last seven games — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. And in the last 9 road games against teams with a winning record after 15 games into the season, the Wildcats have played all 9 games Over the Total. |
|||||||
02-14-18 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 208.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (719) and the Memphis Grizzlies (720). Oklahoma City (32-260 has lost two of their last three games — as well as six of their last eight contests — with their 120-112 upset loss to Cleveland last night as 3-point favorites. The Thunder saw the new-look Cavs’ made 51.1% of their shots which tied for their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Oklahoma City has then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a favorite. The Thunder have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team now goes back on the road where the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Oklahoma City has also played 4 of the last games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. Additionally, the Thunder have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. |
|||||||
02-12-18 | Clippers v. Nets UNDER 223 | Top | 114-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (705) and the Brooklyn Nets (706). Los Angeles (28-26) saw their three-game winning streaks snapped on Saturday with their 112-98 loss at Philadelphia as a 5-point favorite. The Clippers allowed the 76ers to make 47.8% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Los Angeles has played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Clippers have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 4 straight games Under the Total when on the road. They also have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. Furthermore, while the Clippers have played seven straight games Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games Under the Total. And in their last 25 games in the month of February, LA has played 17 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
02-10-18 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's UNDER 146.5 | Top | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). St. Mary’s (24-2) continues to roll as they enter this game coming off an 83-62 win at Loyola-Marymount on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. This is an excellent offensive basketball team — but they are not likely to come close to replicating their 64% shooting mark that they enjoyed against the Lions which was their best offensive performance in their last seven games. St. Mary’s has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field. And while the Gaels have made at least 50.8% of their shots in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in three straight games. St. Mary’s has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Under is also a decisive 64-29-2 in the Gaels’ last 95 games after a straight-up win. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total. St. Mary’s has also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Gaels have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 16 games in conference play, the Under is 12-3-1. |
|||||||
02-10-18 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 215 | Top | 101-90 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (507) and the Chicago Bulls (508). Washington (31-24) has lost two straight games with their 110-104 loss to Boston on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Wizards shot just 40% from the field in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last five contests. Washington has made at lest 51.8% of their shots in four of the seven games they have played since the injury to John Wall. The Over is 9-1-1 in the Wizards’ last 11 games after a straight-up loss. Washington has also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Wizards have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. And in their last 8 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, Washington has played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 212 | Top | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (501) and the Orlando Magic (502). Atlanta (17-37) has won two games in a row with their 108-82 win over Memphis on Tuesday as a 3-point favorite. The Hawks are playing better defense as of late as they held the Grizzlies to just a 43% shooting percentage from the field after holding the Knicks to a 43.6% from the field in their last game. Atlanta also made 50.6% of their shots in that game which appears to be an outlier as that was their best offensive effort in their last eleven contests. The Hawks have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Atlanta has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total against fellow Southeast Division rivals. The Hawks have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, Atlanta has played 20 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
02-07-18 | George Mason v. Fordham OVER 136.5 | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (723) and the Fordham Rams (724). George Mason (10-13) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 upset win at Richmond as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots held the Spiders to just a 38% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort of the season. George Mason has still allowed their last five opponents to make 46.9% of their shots even with that strong effort — so the Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance tonight. The Patriots have allowed at least 75 points in eight straight games — and they have then played 8 straight games Over thew Total after allowing at least 75 points in two straight games. Additionally, George Mason has played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Furthermore, George Mason has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 8 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Patriots gave played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
02-06-18 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 211.5 | Top | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Washington (31-22) is on fire since losing John Wall for six to eight weeks with a knee injury. They have won five games in a row since losing their point guard after their 111-102 win at Indiana last night. The Wizards are making 51.2% of their shots over this five-game winning streak while making at least 51.8% of their shots in four of those five games. The difference clearly seems to be a renewed commitment to passing the basketball. Washington is assisting on a whopping 73.9% of the field goals since the Wall injury. They have produced at least 27 assists in each of their last five games which is a franchise record. This is the Wizards third game in a row on the road — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games on the road. Washington has also played 28 of their last 39 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, the Wizards have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 straight road games Over the Total against a team with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 124-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (509) and the Denver Nuggets (510). Oklahoma City (30-21) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 102-96 loss to the Wizards as a 3-point favorite. The Thunder did play one of their best defensive games of the season as they held Washington to just a 38.2% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last twenty games. That was a very encouraging performance for this team that will be without their best defensive player in Andre Roberson for the rest of the season with his leg injury last weekend. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Oklahoma City has also played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against Northwest Division opponents overall. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 6 games against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Mavs v. Suns UNDER 210 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (715) and then Phoenix Suns (716). Dallas (16-35) has lost four straight games — as well as seven of their last eight contests — with their 95-88 loss to Miami. The Mavericks have then played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Dallas has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Now the Mavs go back on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Dallas has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Wyoming v. Colorado State OVER 149 | Top | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (769) and the Colorado State Rams (770). Wyoming (14-7) has won three games in a row with their 90-86 win at San Jose State as an 11-point favorite on Saturday. The Cowboys have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 44 of the last 58 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. That win over the Spartans finished well over the 141.5 point total for that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished above the number. In fact, the Cowboys have played four straight Overs — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Wyoming will be looking to avenge a 78-73 upset loss to the Rams back on January 13th — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss to their opponent. The Cowboys have also played 7 straight Overs when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. Furthermore, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against fellow Mountain Western Conference opponents. |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Long Beach State v. Cal Poly OVER 150 | Top | 87-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (557) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (558). Long Beach State (10-12) has won three of their last four games with their 81-73 win over Cal-State Fullerton last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. The 49ers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Additionally, while that game barely finished below the 156 point total, they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Long Beach State has also played 22 of their last 32 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Over is 4-1-1. |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Creighton v. St. John's UNDER 156 | Top | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (541) and the St. John’s Red Storm (542). Creighton (15-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 85-71 loss at Providence on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Jays’ defensive effort was lacking in that contest as they allowed the Friars to shoot 53.4% which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. But Creighton also shot just 39.4% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last fifteen contests. But while the Blue Jays are making 50.4% of their shots overall, they see that number drop to just a 45.4% mark when on the road — so a complete reversal of fortune on the offensive end of the court is unlikely. Creighton has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Blue Jays have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total in Big East play. Additionally, Creighton has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the month of January. Moving forward, the Blue Jays have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 6 points or less. And in their last 15 games listed in the +/- 3-point range, Creighton has played 10 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
01-22-18 | Nebraska v. Ohio State UNDER 139 | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (725) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (726). Nebraska (14-7) has won two straight games after their 72-52 upset win over Michigan as a 5-point underdog. the Cornhuskers shot 55.3% from the field which was their best offensive performance in their last fifteen games. But now this Nebraska team goes back on the road where they are making just 39.3% of their shots. The Cornhuskers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Nebraska has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games on the road, the Cornhuskers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games against fellow Big Ten opponents, the Cornhuskers have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
01-18-18 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston OVER 150 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 104 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (519) and the College of Charleston Cougars (520). UNC-Wilmington (5-13) has lost three of their last four games with their 81-77 loss to Northeastern on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Seahawks have then played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after playing a game at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. UNC-Wilmington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total. Additionally, the Seahawks have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 5 games against Colonial Athletic Conference opponents, UNC-Wilmington has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
01-16-18 | North Dakota v. North Dakota State OVER 148.5 | Top | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (547) and the North Dakota State Bison (548). North Dakota State (10-8) has won two of their last three games with their 82-64 win over Oral Roberts on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. We had the Over in that game and won that play with the number finishing around 140.5 despite the Bison holding the Golden Eagles to just a 31.7% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance of the season. North Dakota State has then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Bison stay at home for this game where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, North Dakota State has played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 234 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (715) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (716). Cleveland (716). Cleveland (26-16) has lost seven of their last nine games after their 97-95 loss in Indiana on Friday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have lost their last two games despite being the favorite — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after suffering at least two straight upset losses. Cleveland has also played 12 straight games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 33 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Now this team returns home for the first time since January 2nd after playing five straight games on the road — and they have played 9 straight home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. Cleveland has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This is a rematch of the Christmas Day game between these two teams that finished well below the 216 Total with the Warriors winning by a 99-92 score. We had a big play on the Over that day — and neither team could hit the side of a barn that day. The Cavaliers made just 31.8% of their shots along with making only 27% of their 3-pointers. They should shoot much better tonight as they have a 48.6% shooting percentage along with a 37.6% mark behind the arc when playing at home. Of course, Cleveland has since seen Isaiah Thomas return from injury — and his insertion into this rivalry should help the scoring on both sides since he is both a prolific scorer and a liability on defense because of his size. It is interesting that the Total has been installed in the 230s for this game like the Totals ended in last year’s NBA Finals — even after a combined 191 points were scored between these two teams three weeks ago. It looks easy to take the Under — and that makes me feel even more comfortable with this contrarian play. |
|||||||
01-11-18 | Spurs v. Lakers OVER 210.5 | Top | 81-93 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508). Los Angeles (13-27) played their best defensive game of the season on Tuesday when they held the Kings to just 34.5% shooting in their 99-86 victory. Even with that strong defensive performance, the Lakers have allowed their last five opponents make 46% of their shots which is right in line with their 45.9% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Los Angeles did see the return of their rookie point guard Lonzo Ball who bolstered the offense with 11 assists along with pulling down 11 rebounds. While Ball’s shooting numbers have been disparaged by his many critics this season, his contributions to his team as the Floor General have been unappreciated. The Lakers have covered the point spread in two straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. Los Angeles stays at home in the Staples Center for this game where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Lakers have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
01-11-18 | Denver v. North Dakota State OVER 138 | Top | 67-61 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Pioneers (587) and the North Dakota State Bison (588). North Dakota State (9-7) has won four of their last five games with their 84-79 upset win at South Dakota as an 8-point underdog. The Bison nailed 52.8% of their shots in that win — and that momentum may very well carry over into tonight’s game. North Dakota State has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And with that game with the Coyotes ending far above the 142.5 point total in that game, the Bison have now played a decisive 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total against fellow Summit League members. North Dakota State stays at home for this contest where they are shooting a slick 52.6% from the field. The Bison have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played eight of their last nine home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Defense is an issue for this team as they are allowing Summit foes to make 47% of their shots. Additionally, North Dakota State has played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. |
|||||||
01-02-18 | Hofstra v. Northeastern OVER 149.5 | Top | 71-70 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Hofstra Pride (525) and the Northeastern Huskies (526). Hofstra (7-6) has lost three straight games after their 90-87 loss at William & Mary on Saturday as a 2-point underdog. The Pride have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now Hofstra stays on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Pride allow their home hosts to make 50.6% of their shots. That is one of the reasons why they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6 or less points. |
|||||||
12-25-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 216.5 | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
At 3:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). Over six months after last year’s NBA Finals, it is safe to give away a trade secret: I was pounding the Over in the NBA Finals because the betting public and the oddsmakers were behind on appreciating the style of play that the Cavaliers were deciding to engage against the Warriors. While I expect more of the same for this early regular season game in this marquee television matchup, too much will have changed by the time the 2018 NBA Finals rolls around to ensure near automatic Overs if there is a third sequel between these two teams. The oddsmakers set the number rather high for Game One of the NBA Finals last year at 224.5 — and the Under hit with Cleveland shooting just 34.9% from the field in a Golden State blowout. The Total dropped to 222 and we pounded the Over in what turned out to be the Warriors’ 132-113 victory. The number jumped to 226.5 for Game Three and we still took the Over and got there with Golden State’s 118-113 victory. For Game Four, the number climbed to 227 yet we kept the Over going and won easily with the Cavs’ 137-116 victory. That finally prompted the oddsmakers to traverse the 230 Total threshold with the number placed at 231. We still took the Over and were rewarded with a 129-120 score with the Warriors closing out that series. With this Total for a regular season game with a reconfigured Cavs’ roster facing a Golden State team without Steph Curry who is injured, lets still pound the Over. The Warriors side of this equation is rudimentary. Golden State (26-7) saw their eleven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday in a 96-81 loss to Denver despite being an 8-point favorite. The Warriors shot just 38.6% from the field which was their worst shooting effort in their last twenty-two games. Expect Golden State to come out firing on all cylinders. Not only has Golden State played 6 straight games Over the Total after an upset loss but they have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after an upset loss by at least 15 points as a home favorite. While the team certainly misses Curry, they still have plenty of offensive firepower with Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson along with Draymond Green and Shaun Livingston who are both listed as probable after dealing with nagging injuries. The Warriors have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
12-25-17 | Akron v. Davidson UNDER 149.5 | Top | 78-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (711) and the Davidson Wildcats (712) in the Diamond’s Head Classic. This game first consolation match on the last day of this holiday tournament in Hawai’i will be played at 7:30 AM local time to accommodate the early afternoon tipoff on the east coast for the ESPNU national audience. Expect both teams to be a bit sluggish for this one. Akron (6-4) has lost two straight games after their 64-62 loss to Princeton on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Akron has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing their second game in three days — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day or less between games. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the Mid-American Conference. And in their last 21 road games against non-conference foes, Akron has played 15 of these games Under the Total. And in their last 7 games played on a neutral court, the Zips have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
12-21-17 | Bulls v. Cavs OVER 214 | Top | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). Chicago (10-20) has been on fire since getting power forward Nikolo Mirotic back on the court after missing the start of the season due to injuries sustained when he got into a fight with teammate Bobby Portis. The Bulls are undefeated since Mirotic returned to the lineup — and they have won seven straight games after their 112-94 win over Orlando last night as a 5.5-point favorite. Chicago is scoring 111.0 PPG over their last five games while making 47.7% of their shots as they clearly are buoyed with Mirotic’s presence down low. For the season, the Bulls are scoring 99.3 PPG on a 43.5% shooting percentage so Mirotic’s impact has been impressive. The Magic shot just 39.3% from the field against Chicago which was the Bulls’ best defensive effort in their last eighteen games — so they are likely to come back to Earth tonight when facing LeBron James and company at least on the defensive end of the court. As it is, Chicago has palyed 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Bulls have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing without rest and none of their players logged in more than 29 minutes last night in their easy victory. Chicago goes on the road for this contest where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. The Bulls have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. |
|||||||
12-15-17 | Jazz v. Celtics OVER 198 | Top | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (811) and the Boston Celtics (812). Boston (24-6) has won seven of their last nine games with their 124-118 win over Denver on Wednesday. The Celtics have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a narrow win by 6 points or less. The Over is also 9-2-1 in their last 12 games when playing with one day of rest. Now this team stays at home where they are averaging 106.5 PPG — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. Boston has also played 19 of their last 25 home games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And the Over is 25-10-1 in the Celtics’ last 36 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The team is likely to get Al Horford back on the court as he is listed as probable with his knee injury. That helps them on offense — and the fact that Marcus Morris will still be out with his knee issue takes away one of their better post defenders. Boston has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Additionally, the Celtics have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total with the number set in the 190 to 199.5 point range. And in their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents, the game has finished Over the Total 4 times. |
|||||||
12-08-17 | Kings v. Pelicans OVER 209.5 | Top | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (509) and the New Orleans Pelicans (510). New Orleans (13-12) has won two of their last three games with their 123-114 win over Denver on Wednesday. The Pelicans have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. The team has been without Anthony Davis for their last three games as he is dealing with a groin injury. The Pelicans hoped he could play tonight but he has been downgraded to doubtful for this contest. His absence probably hurts New Orleans more on defense. Over their last five games with three without Davis, the Pelicans are allowing 117.8 PPG while seeing their opponents shoot 49.1% from the field as compared to the 110.2 PPG they are allowing this season along with an opponents’ field goal goal percentage of 46.2%. But New Orleans is still getting plenty of offensive production from DeMarcus Cousins, Jru Holiday and company. Over their last five games, the Pelicans are scoring 114.2 PPG while shooting 50% from the field which are both well above their 109.4 PPG and 48.3% shooting percentage for the season. Moving forward, New Orleans has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And while this will be their third straight game at home in the Big Easy, the Pelicans have played 17 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after playing their last two games at home. Additionally, New Orleans has played 5 of their last 6 games on their home court Over the Total. And in their last 5 games against fellow Western Conference opponents, the Pelicans have played all 5 games Over the Total. |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 228 | Top | 142-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (503) and the Phoenix Suns (504). Houston (11-4) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 1219-113 loss to Toronto despite being a 6.5-point favorite in that game. Chris Paul may take the court again for the Rockets which does not shape much into the rationale for this play (outside of helping this Houston team ensure they always have a potent point guard on the court since the original plan was to have one of these two stars on the court at all times this season). The Rockets shot just 41.8% from the field against the Raptors which was their worst shooting effort in their last seven games. Expect Houston to get back to their torrid shooting pace as they are scoring 119.2 PPG over their last five games while nailing 48% of their shots even with their poor performance on Tuesday during that span. But the Rockets’ style of play does allow the opposition to find easy shots on their own. Over their last five games, Houston is allowing 108.6 PPG while seeing these opponents make 48.5% of their shots. The Rockets have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Houston has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Rockets have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Houston has played a decisive 38 of their last 53 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% — and they have played 6 straight Overs against teams with a losing record. And in their last 24 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court, the Rockets have played 17 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Grizzlies v. Bucks UNDER 200 | Top | 103-110 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (705) and the Milwaukee Bucks (706). Memphis (7-5) has lost four of their last six games with their 111-96 loss at Houston on Saturday. The Grizzlies have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Despite moving on from Zach Randolph and defensive wizard Tony Allen in the offseason who were the face of their “Grit-n-Grind” identity, this Memphis team still is playing great defense. Opposing teams are shooting just 42.6% from the field this season. Now this team stays on the road for their fifth straight contest — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games on the road. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, the Under is 11-5-1 in the Grizzlies last 17 games when playing on the road. And in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. |
|||||||
06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 230.5 | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (709) and the Golden State Warriors (710). Cleveland (64-35) made a huge withdrawal from the Bank of the Regression Gods on Friday by collecting on the plethora of missed open shots in the first three games of this series en route to their epic 137-116 victory over the Warriors. The Cavaliers broke a host of NBA Finals records including most points in the first quarter (49), most points by halftime (86) — and their 115 points after three quarters were more than they what they had scored in any of the first three games of this series. Cleveland made 59.1% of their uncontested shots in Game Four after making host 38.4% of their uncontested shots in the first three games of this series. And most of those shots were from behind the arc — the Cavaliers became the first team in NBA Finals history to take more 3-point shots than 2-point shots. That is the simplest way to dissect why Golden State has a 3-1 lead in this series. In Game Four, Cleveland players not named LeBron James or Kyrie Irving combined to make 14 of their 25 (56%) 3-pointers. It is that simple. Golden State (82-16) scored 116 points on their losing effort despite shooting just 44.8% from the field which was their second worst shooting performance in their last nine games. The Warriors also made just 11 of 39 shots from downtown (28.2%). Draymond Green’s 16 shots were more than both Stephen Curry (13) and Klay Thompson (11). And after averaging 33 PPG in transition in the first three games of this series, the Warriors managed only 7 points in transition. So while it would be foolish to expect the Cavs to come close to replicating their offensive performance from Game Four, it is very reasonable to expect Golden State to play much better on offense and surpass the 116 points they scored on Friday. In a series that is fast-paced with plenty of 3-point attempts and plenty of trips to the charity stripe, I still don’t think the oddsmakers adjustment to (finally) place the Total in the low-230s is high enough. After four games, Cleveland is 77 of 100 (77%) which translates to a 19.3-25 FT/FTA per game average. Golden State has made 82 of 100 free throws for a 20.6-25 FT/FTA per game average. These teams are combining to tack off 40 points from the Total just from the charity stripe. The 3-point numbers are even more fascinating (as I tweeted out this morning). Cleveland has made 55 of 149 shots from behind the arc for a 36.9% average. Golden State has made 57 of 148 shots from the 3-point line for a 38.6% mark. Both teams are averaging 13.8 and 14.3 made 3s per game on 37.3 and 37 shots per game from behind the arc. In this closeout game which should see both teams starters on the floor until the waning moments even if one team is dominating, expect another high-scoring affair. |
|||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 228.5 | Top | 116-137 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (707) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (708). Cleveland (63-35) finds themselves on the brink of elimination after blowing a 6-point lead late in the 4th quarter in their 118-113 loss on Wednesday as a 3-point underdog. With the second straight game where at least 231 combined points were scored, the Total has risen to the 228 range. With a number that high, it does not take much defense or slowing of the pace to produce an Under. But do not expect the Cavaliers to mail-in this effort. Cleveland will be playing for pride on their home court — and the opportunity to ruin the Warriors attempt to make history with the NBA’s first perfect 16-0 playoff mark should ensure a fast start for the underdogs. While this series can be dissected to death, my primary take is quite simple: Cleveland is not making baskets. On Wednesday, they shot only 44.4% from the field while making just 12 of their 44 shots from the 3-point line (27.3%). In Game One, the Caves made only 34.9% of their shots while making 11 of their 31 shots from the 3-point line for a 35.5% mark that turned out to be their best so far in these playoffs. In Game Two, Cleveland shot 45% from the field (their best mark in this series) but made only 8 of 29 of their 3-pointers (27.6%). Credit the Warriors’ defense — but keep in mind they are primarily focused on stopping LeBron James and Kyrie Irving who combined for 77 points on Wednesday. There is no question that Zaza Pachulia and the rest of the Warriors have completely neutered Tristan Thompson. But the Cavaliers’ supporting cast continue to miss open 3-point shots which has been the biggest difference in this series. In Game Three, they made only 3 of their 18 corner 3-point attempts while making just 7 of their 30 uncontested 3-point shots! Now with the pressure off this team facing a near-impossible 0-3 deficit to overcome, I do expect some of the 3-pointers to find the net rather than the rim. I won’t re-quote the analytics entering this series for the Cavaliers that I have referenced previously — but suffice to say that their Offensive Efficiency and effective field goal percentage was not just better than the Warriors this postseason but the best mark in the NBA Playoffs over the last forty years. That 44.4% mark in Game Three was their second worst offensive performance in their last twelve games — with the worst being Game One of the NBA Finals when they were playing off the rust of six days rest. This remains a team that shoots 48.6% on their home court while also making 39.1% of their shots from behind the arc. The Cavs’ open jumpers — and 3-pointers — are bound to fall sooner rather than later. |
|||||||
05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 217.5 | Top | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 9:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (725) and the San Antonio Spurs (726). San Antonio (69-28) decided to play small-ball on Saturday in Game Three of this series which resulted in them being at their most competitive against the Warriors since losing Kawhi Leonard to his left ankle injury. However, the Spurs still lost that game by a 120-108 score as a 9-point underdog. Kyle Anderson was inserted into the starting lineup — and while he is not a prolific scorer per se, he did help San Antonio score points through his athleticism. San Antonio forced 21 turnovers which instigated 25 points — and they also scored 23 points on the fast break. With LaMarcus Aldridge still struggling on offense being very uncomfortable in the role of the team’s primary scorer, look for head coach Gregg Popovich to continue to play small ball with perhaps Aldridge seeing more time on the bench. Small-ball means faster play and more offense for the Spurs (and the Warriors) — and that helps our Over even if Aldridge and his disastrous play on defense is on the bench. As it is, San Antonio has played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Spurs have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. San Antonio has also played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when avenging a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Spurs have played 5 straight games on their home court Over the Total. And while San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. |
|||||||
05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218 | Top | 130-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). Boston (61-35) was emotionally flat in the first half of the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics missed all eight of their open 3-point shots in the first-half en route to making only 12 of 38 shots from behind the arc (31.8%) in a 117-104 loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday as a 3.5-point underdog. Isaiah Thomas scored only 17 points in that game. Expect this Boston team that makes 36.1% from the 3-point line on their home court to shoot better from behind the arc. The Celtics should also come out with much more energy tonight considering the urgency they will face in needing to win this game before traveling to Cleveland to play Games Three and Four. Boston can exploit the Cavaliers who were last in the regular season in transition defense. The Celtics have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. And in their last 16 home games, the Over is 12-3-1 — and that includes being a perfect 7-0 in these playoffs. |
|||||||
05-06-17 | Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:35 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (509) and the Utah Jazz (510). Golden State (73-15) has now won seven straight games with their 115-104 win over the Jazz on Thursday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Warriors have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. Golden State has also played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, while the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in the first two games of this series, they have then played a decisive 42 of their last 60 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Golden State has won their last three games by at least 12 points — and they have then played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight gams by double-digits. And while the Warriors have scored at least 106 points in seven straight games, they have then played 13 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games. Additionally, Golden State has played 25 of the last 35 road games Under the Total which includes twelve of their last seventeen games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 26 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 19-6-1. |
|||||||
05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 219 | Top | 89-116 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (505) and the Washington Wizards (506). Boston (59-31) shot 51.1% from the field for the second straight game to rally from a late hole to force overtime and defeat the Wizards by a 129-119 score. Isaiah Thomas was unstoppable in the 4th quarter and overtime by scoring 29 points during that span and 53 points overall — and this Washington team that ranked a lowly 20th during the regular season in Defensive Efficiency. As it is, the Celtics are 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Boston has also played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last game — and they have played 4 straight Overs after scoring at least 125 points in their last contest. And while the Celtics have covered the points spread in six straight games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight contests. Furthermore, the Over is 9-4-1 in Boston’s last 14 games when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Celtics have played 5 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (733) and the San Antonio Spurs (734). Houston (60-28) nailed 22 shots from behind the arc on Monday en route to their 126-99 win over the Spurs to take a 1-0 lead in this series as a 6-point underdog. The Rockets have then seen the Over go 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after a point spread win. Houston will want to push the pace as fast as possible again tonight in Mike D’Antoni’s system as they hope to tire out this aging San Antonio team. The Rockets scored 112.8 PPG in the first-round of the playoffs while proudly being a beacon for the analytics community with 84% of their shots either being inside of 3-feet to the basket or from 3-point land. And Houston made only 28% of their 3-pointers against the Thunder — so the ceiling is high for this team if they can get closer to their 36% shooting mark from behind the arc. The Rockets have now won six of their last seven games — and they have played 24 of their last 36 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. The Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against familiar Southwest Division opponents. And in their last 8 games in the Western Conference Semifinals, Houston has played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
04-28-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 195 | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (507) and the Utah Jazz (508). Utah (54-33) has significantly upped its game on the defensive end of the court with the return of their rim protector Rudy Gobert. The Jazz held the Clippers to just 42% shooting on Tuesday en route to their 96-92 victory as a 3-point underdog to help them take a 3-2 lead in this series. That came on the heels of holding Los Angeles to just 44% shooting in the fourth game of this series. Gobert is one of the top candidates to win Defensive Player of the Year honors this season after holding opponents to just a 43.9% shooting clip at the rim with contested shots during the regular season. Now with the Jazz having the opportunity to close this series out on their home court, expect a lower scoring contest with the stakes so high. Utah has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. But this can be a team that struggles to score points. They were 27th in the NBA during the regular season with a 100.7 PPG scoring average. Quin Snyder’s team also plays the slowest pace in the league. Furthermore, in the Jazz’s last 75 games as a favorite in the 3.5-9.5 point range, Utah has played 46 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
04-24-17 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 211 | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (519) and the Atlanta Hawks (520). Washington (51-34) allowed the Hawks to shoot 49.4% from the field on Saturday in their 116-98 loss in Game Three of this series. That was the Wizards’ second worst defensive effort over their last seven contests. This team must increase their pressure on the Hawks’ point guard Dennis Schroder who has averaged 25 PPG in this series after registering 27 points in his team’s Game Three victory. Washington also shot just 41.6% from the field in their first road game in this series. Furthermore, the Under is supported by a historical angle that has been 71% effective since 1996. This is Washington’s just fifth game in the last fourteen days — and in games with the Total set at least at 200 involving a road team with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range playing no more than their fifth game in fourteen days now facing a team with a winning record, these games finished Under the Total in 46 of the last 65 situations where these conditions applied. |
|||||||
04-20-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 188 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (713) and the Memphis Grizzlies (714). San Antonio (63-21) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Monday with their 96-82 win over the Grizzlies as a 10.5-point favorite. The Spurs have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
04-18-17 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 194 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (525) and the Toronto Raptors (526). Toronto (51-32) lost their ninth straight opening game to the postseason on Sunday with their 97-83 loss to the Bucks as a 7.5-point underdog. Scoring was a problem for this team as they shot just 36% from the field while managing only 32 points in the second half. This Milwaukee team is underrated on the defensive end of the court particularly with Khris Middleton healthy and contributing. The Raptors must get back into this series by playing harder on the defensive end of their end. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 28 points in the victory with the Raptors head coach Dwane Casey declaring that his team must get back in transition to limit the Greek superstar’s offensive fireworks. With the acquisitions of P.J. Tucker and Serge Ibaka at the trade deadline, this Toronto team is significantly better on defense. After allowing 106.0 points per 100 possessions before they both arrived, that number dropped to allowing 102.3 points per 100 possessions which was 5th best in the league over that final span of games. The Raptors should comeback with a strong defensive effort. They have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Moving forward, the Raptors have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, Toronto has played 7 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
04-17-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 189 | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (519) and the San Antonio Spurs (520). San Antonio (62-21) trailed by 13 points in the first quarter on Saturday — but this team stepped up their level of play to go on a 19-0 run to close out the 3rd quarter and begin the 4th quarter to pull away for an easy 111-82 victory. The Spurs have then played 16 of their last 20 home games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. With the Grizzlies missing their defensive spark plug in Tony Allen, the Spurs were able to shoot 53.2% from the floor. Allen remains out in this series with his leg injury so San Antonio should continue to have their way on offense. They have now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against Western Conference opponents. |
|||||||
04-10-17 | Pacers v. 76ers UNDER 211.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Indiana (40-40) shot 59.3% from the field — the best offensive effort for them this entire season — en route to their 127-112 win in Orlando on Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. Regression on the offensive end of the court for this team is very likely. The Pacers score only 102.9 PPG when on the road on 45.3% shooting. They have played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field. Indiana has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. And in their last 17 games after a point spread win, the Pacers have played 12 of these games Under the Total. This team still has plenty to play for — they are one game behind the Bucks in the 6th spot in the Eastern Conference playoff hunt but only one game ahead of both the Bulls and the Heat who both own the tie-breaker against them if they do end up with the same record after Wednesday. So this Indiana team could still manage to be on the outside looking in with these playoffs. Moving forward, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home, the Pacers have played 7 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
04-04-17 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 141-118 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Brooklyn (18-59) has won two straight games with their 91-82 win over Atlanta on Sunday. The Nets have then seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Brooklyn has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Nets team is playing better basketball as of late fueled by improved play on the defensive end of the court. The have the best statistical defense in the entire league over the last two weeks while allowing their last five opponents to shoot just 41.3% from the field. But this Brooklyn team is also making only 29% of their 3-point shots over that span. Moving forward, the Nets have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Brooklyn has also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. |
|||||||
04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina UNDER 153.5 | Top | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:45 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (813) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (814). Oregon (33-5) held Kansas to just 35% from the field en route to their 74-60 win last Saturday. The Ducks flexed their defensive muscles in that game by holding a potent Jayhawks offense that had averaged 96 PPG in their three previous Tournament games to scoring just those 60 points in 64 possessions. In the Ducks’ four tournament games, they have averaged 66 possessions so it is likely that head coach Dana Altman will look to slow this game down where both teams do not have more than 65 possessions apiece — and that makes the Under look rather appetizing with the Total set in the low 150s. Oregon has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 150-159.5 point range. The Ducks have also played 12 of their last 14 games played on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150-159.5 point range. And while the Tar Heels average 66 shots per game, Oregon has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams that average at least 62 shots per game — and that includes 7 straight Unders when those games are the road. |
|||||||
03-31-17 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 231.5 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (521) and the Golden State Warriors (522). Houston (51-24) looks to bounce-back from their 117-101 loss in Portland last night as a 1-point favorite. The Rockets have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. This is a depleted team with Ryan Anderson out with an ankle and Nene resting which more pressure on James Harden who will play but is nursing a wrist injury. As it is, the Under is 7-1-1 in Houston’s last 9 games on the road. And in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Under is 5-0-1 for the Rockets. |
|||||||
03-30-17 | Georgia Tech v. TCU UNDER 134 | Top | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (711) and the TCU Horned Frogs (712). Georgia Tech (21-15) held Cal-State Bakersfield to just 35.0% on Tuesday en route to their 76-61 victory as 3.5-point favorites to put them in the Finals of the NIT. The Under is then 5-2-1 in the Yellow Jackets’ last 8 games after a point spread victory. Josh Pastner’s team is playing outstanding defense in this tournament after finishing 2nd in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But this Georgia Tech team can struggle to find baskets after finishing last in the ACC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. This team shot just 43.3% from the field against the Roadrunners. Moving forward, the Yellow Jackets have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. Georgia Tech has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 26 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Under is 19-6-1. |
|||||||
03-29-17 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 208 | Top | 110-98 | Push | 0 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (515) and the San Antonio Spurs (516). Golden State (60-14) won their eighth straight game (all without Kevin Durant) with their 113-106 upset win at Houston as a 1.5-point underdog last night. The Warriors have then played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Golden State has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Warriors have played 7 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. And in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, Golden State has played all 4 games Under the Total. |
|||||||
03-28-17 | Suns v. Hawks UNDER 222 | Top | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (767) and the Atlanta Hawks (768). Phoenix (22-52) has dropped eight straight games with their 120-106 loss in Charlotte on Sunday as a 13-point underdog. The Suns are playing out the string out of the playoff hunt and decimated with injuries. Phoenix has lost both Tyson Chandler and Brandon Knight to season-ending injuries — and now Leandro Barbosa is questionable with a hamstring injury tonight. The Suns shot 50.6% from the field in their defeat two days ago — but they look to be a prime suspect for a flat effort when considering this is their sixth straight game on the road. As it is, Phoenix has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Suns have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Phoenix has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
At 6:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (513) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (514). Gonzaga (35-1) held West Virginia to just 26.7% on Thursday in their 61-58 victory. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Gonzaga is playing outstanding defense in this tournament as their three opponents are shooting just 33.3% from the field while scoring at just a 0.85 Points-Per-Possession rate. Most impressively, the Bulldogs are holding their opponents to just 37% shooting inside the arc. Gonzaga needs their defense to continue to be outstanding when considering that they are shooting just 29% from behind the arc in this tournament. Moving forward, the Bulldogs have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total against teams outside the West Coast Conference. And in their last 8 games played on a neutral court, Gonzaga has played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky UNDER 167 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UCLA Bruins (875) and the Kentucky Wildcats (876). UCLA (31-4) held the Cincinnati Bearcats to just 44.8% shooting to advance to the Sweet 16 with their 79-67 victory as a 4-point favorite. The Bruins have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The defensive struggles of this team is a tired meme that continues to offer us great value with the Under for Steve Alford’s team. This UCLA defense has improved since Alford installed a tricky 3-2 zone that presents opponents a challenging unique look. Save for their two games against Arizona and what the Bearcats shot against UCLA was their worst defensive performance in ten previous contests. The Bruins have seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against teams outside the Pac-12. And in their last 7 games played on a neutral court, UCLA has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
03-22-17 | Illinois v. UCF UNDER 130.5 | Top | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (767) and the Central Florida Knights (768). Illinois (20-14) advanced to the Quarterfinals of the NIT with their 71-56 win over Boise State on Monday as an 8-point favorite. The Fighting Illini have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team has also played 8 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win on their home court. Now the Illini go on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Fighting Illini are the favorites in this game. Illinois has also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as the favorite when laying less than 7 points. |
|||||||
03-20-17 | George Washington v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 149 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (629) and the Illinois-Chicago Flames (630). George Washington (20-14) won their opening game in the College Basketball Invitational with their 73-69 win over Toledo last Wednesday as a 6-point favorite. The Colonials have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. George Washington has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Colonials go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 Over the Total. GW has also played 4 straight games on the road Over the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points. |
|||||||
03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA UNDER 154 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 9:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (731) and the UCLA Bruins (732). UCLA (30-4) enters this game coming off a hot shooting night where they nailed 62.7% from the field in their 97-80 victory over Kent State. The Bruins have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. UCLA has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Steve Alford’s team has the reputation for having a mediocre defense — but they have held their last five opponents to just a 42.5% shooting mark. The Bruins will be facing a Bearcats team that will be looking to slow the pace of this game way down — and they hold their opponents to just 60.8 PPG. UCLA has played 17 of their last 22 road games Under the Total against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG. The Bruins have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. And while both teams have scored 75 points in the last two games for UCLA, that helps place the Under in a historical angle that has been 79% effective since 1997. In games played on a neutral court, when teams who score at least 76 PPG (UCLA: 90.6 PPG) who have played two straight games where both teams scored at least 75 points and now faces a team that does not allow more than 63 PPG, these games then finished Under the Total in 42 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. |
|||||||
03-17-17 | Rhode Island v. Creighton UNDER 141.5 | Top | 84-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (843) and the Creighton Bluejays (844). Rhode Island (24-9) has won eight straight games to win the Atlantic-10 Tournament with their 70-63 win over VCU on Sunday. The formula for success for this team now when facing the offensive juggernaut which is this Bluejays’ team is to slow the pace of the game, force bad shots on defense and crash the boards on offense — just like how they slowed down the Rams in their last contest. While that game finished just above the 132.5 point total, Rhode Island has still played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when played on a neutral court. These Rams have also played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140-149.5 point range. Rhode Island has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams outside the A-10. Head coach Dan Hurley will try to make this game a slog. Creighton scores 82.1 PPG while throwing 22 shots from behind the arc per game. The Rams have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 77 PPG — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game. |
|||||||
03-15-17 | North Carolina Central v. UC-Davis UNDER 132.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
At 6:40 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina-Central Eagles (621) and the UC-Davis Aggies (622). UNC-Central (25-8) won the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference on Saturday with their 67-59 win over Norfolk State as a 7-point favorite after holding the Spartans to just a 35.4% shooting percentage. The Eagles were 3rd in the MEAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UNC-Central needed this defensive effort as they only shot 39.3% from the field themselves. The Eagles have seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 boarded games after a point spread victory. UNC-Central was rewarded with their automatic bid by a trip to Dayton to play in the First-Four — and the Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games played on a neutral court. This Eagles team has also played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points — and the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 boarded games on a neutral court as the favorite. Additionally, UNC-Central has played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against a non-conference opponent. |
|||||||
03-11-17 | New Mexico State v. CS Bakersfield UNDER 127.5 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). New Mexico State (27-5) has won four straight games with their 78-60 win over Missouri-KC as an 8.5-point favorite. The Aggies held the Kangaroos to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was the third time over their last four games that they have held an opponent to no better than a 36.7% shooting mark from the field. New Mexico State sot a blistering 55.8% from the field themselves which was their best shooting performance over their last nine games. Expect the Aggies to come back to Earth with their shooting considering that they make only 45.1% of their shots away from home. New Mexico State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Aggies have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Western Athletic Conference opponents. Moving forward, New Mexico State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as a favorite. The Under is also 24-7-1 in their last 32 games when playing on a neutral court. |
|||||||
03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova UNDER 141.5 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Villanova (30-3) has won four straight games with their narrow 55-53 win over Seton Hall yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Villanova has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, the Wildcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They face a Bluejays team that does nail 51% of their shots this season — but Villanova has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field. |
|||||||
03-11-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 124.5 | Top | 48-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Northwestern (23-10) has won two straight games with their 72-64 win over Maryland as a 2-point underdog yesterday. The Wildcats shot a sizzling 55.3% from the field in that game which was the third time over their last four games where they made at least 52.9% from the field. Regression is likely for this team that makes just 43.8% of their shots this season — and that number drops to only a 43.2% mark when away from home. As it is, Northwestern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Under is 9-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 12 games as an underdog. And in their last 13 games played on a neutral court, Northwestern has played 10 of these gams Under the Total. Now they face this Badgers team that outscores their opponents by +10.8 PPG — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG. |
|||||||
03-11-17 | Alabama v. Kentucky UNDER 136 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Kentucky (26-5) has won nine games in a row with their 71-60 win over Georgia yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats held the Bulldogs to just a 33.3% shooting percentage but they shot just 38.3% from the field themselves. John Caliper has slowed the pace down for this team after engaging a blistering pace earlier in the season. There were 72 possessions in that game yesterday which was actually the highest total for the Wildcats over their last four games. Kentucky has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points. |
|||||||
03-10-17 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central UNDER 139.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). MD-Eastern Shore (15-19) has three straight games in Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference play after their 68-66 win over Hampton yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. That game finished far below the 143.5 point Total which made it there 4 boarded game in a row that MD-Eastern Shore has played a game Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. The Hawks have also played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, MD-Eastern Shore has played 8 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range. |
|||||||
03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB UNDER 150 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Charlotte (13-16) has lost five of their last seven games entering the Conference USA Tournament with their 74-67 loss at UTEP last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. The 49ers committed only 10 turnovers in that game which made it the thirteenth straight time that they did not commit more than 14 turnovers in a game. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least three straight contests. Now the 49ers stays on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 7 games as an underdog, the 49ers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, while the Blazers shoot 46.5% from the field, Charlotte has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams that shoot at least 45% from the field. |
|||||||
03-06-17 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 207.5 | Top | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (513) and the Charlotte Hornets (514). Indiana (32-30) has won three of their last five games with their 97-96 win at Atlanta yesterday as a 3-point underdog. The Pacers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Indiana has played 5 straight games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 9-2-1. |
|||||||
03-06-17 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Northern Illinois (15-16) has lost three straight games entering the first-round of the Mid-American Conference Tournament with their 87-82 loss at Ball State as a 5.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Northern Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. Now the Huskies begin on the road in this tourney where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Northern Illinois has also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5-6 points. |
|||||||
03-03-17 | Canisius v. St. Peter's UNDER 135 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
At 9:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (889) and the St. Peter’s Peacocks (890). Canisius (18-14) advanced in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference last night with their 77-73 win over Marist as a 9-point favorite. Despite the victory, the Golden Griffins have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Canisius has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Golden Griffins have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral court. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Under is 3-1-1. |
|||||||
03-03-17 | Columbia v. Brown OVER 152 | Top | 68-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbia Lions (843) and the Brown Bears (844). Brown (12-16) has lost six of their last seven games with their 77-58 loss at Harvard as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. The Bears have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. This Brown team has the Ivy League’s worst Defensive Adjusted Efficiency in conference play. For the season, they allow their opponents to shoot 49.6% from the field with this number a higher 52.1% mark in Ivy League play. The Bears return home where they have okayed 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 9 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points, Brown has played 8 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
03-02-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 129.5 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (743) and the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (744). UC-Santa Barbara (5-21) has won two of their last three games with their 68-61 win over UC-Riverside last Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Gauchos have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while that game went Under the 123.5 point-Total, UC-Santa Barbara has still played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big West play. Now the Gauchos go back on the road where they shoot only 35.8% which explains why the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road as an underdog. UC-Santa Barbara has also seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 games as an underdog. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 4-1-1. |
|||||||
03-01-17 | Kansas State v. TCU UNDER 135.5 | Top | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (555) and the TCU Horned Frogs (556). Kansas State (17-12) has lost two straight games with their 81-51 blowout loss at Oklahoma on Saturday. The Wildcats shot just 25% from the field but that does not look like much of an aberration considering that they have shot 36.7% or less in three of their last five contests. Kansas State has then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Wildcats have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big 12 play after that game with the Sooners fell below the 138 Total. Kansas State stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Wildcats have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
02-28-17 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky UNDER 150 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (745) and the Kentucky Wildcats (746). Vanderbilt (16-13) has won four games in a row with their 74-48 blowout win over Mississippi State as a 7.5-point favorite. The Commodores held the Bulldogs to just a 29.8% shooting mark — and that appears to not be an aberration considering that they held Tennessee to just a 29% shooting mark in their previous contest. Vanderbilt has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Commodores have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. And in their last 8 games after allowing no more than 50 points in their last game, Vandy has played 6 of these games Under the Total. The Commodores have also played 5 straight games on the road Under the Total. |
|||||||
02-26-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State OVER 155 | Top | 49-87 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (823) and the Wright State Raiders (824). Illinois-Chicago (14-16) has lost three straight games with their 90-82 loss at Northern Kentucky on Friday. The Flames have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Illinois-Chicago now stays on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Flames have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. And in their last 5 games agains teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Illinois-Chicago has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
02-18-17 | South Florida v. Tulane OVER 145 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (533) and the Tulane Green Wave (534). South Florida (7-18) enters this game coming off a 68-54 loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday as a 20.5-point underdog. The Bulls have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Now South Florida goes back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog of less than 7 points. And in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Bulls have played 13 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
02-14-17 | Richmond v. George Mason OVER 150 | Top | 70-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Richmond Spiders (709) and the George Mason Patriots (710). Richmond (15-9) has won four of their last five games with their 64-52 win at Lasalle as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. The Spiders have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days as they are doing here. Richmond has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a favorite. And while the Patriots hold their opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage, the Spiders have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. And while Richmond is looking to avenge an 82-77 loss to George Mason back on January 22nd, they have then played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. |
|||||||
02-13-17 | Spurs v. Pacers UNDER 206 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (509) and the Indiana Pacers (510). San Antonio (41-13) saw their two-game winning streak snapped yesterday in their 94-90 loss at New York against the Knicks. The Spurs allowed the Knicks to shoot 50% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight games. Expect a better defensive performance tonight. San Antonio has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. And while the Spurs have failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 28 of their last 43 games Under the Total after only covering the point spread once in their last four games. Additionally, San Antonio has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 43 road games as a favorite of 6 points or less, the Spurs have played 28 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 130.5 | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (857) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (858). Virginia (18-5) has won two of their last three games with their 71-55 win over Louisville last Monday as a 6-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then seen the Under go 21-7-1 in their last 29 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 19-6-1 in Virginia’s last 26 games after a point spread victory. The Cavaliers lead the ACC with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 96.3. Virginia also holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting. Moving forward, the Under is 20-7-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 29 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Under is also 5-2-1 in Virginia’s last 8 road games as a favorite of less than 7 points. |
|||||||
02-11-17 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 153.5 | Top | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (529) and the Bowling Green Falcons (530). Buffalo (12-12) has won three straight games with their 65-45 win over Northern Illinois. Despite that strong defensive effort where they Bulls held the Huskies to just a 32.1% shooting percentage, they have still played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Buffalo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against Mid-American Conference opponents. Furthermore, in their last 6 road games as a favorite, the Bulls have played 5 of these games Over the Total. |
|||||||
02-10-17 | Monmouth v. Manhattan UNDER 151 | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Monmouth Hawks (883) and the Manhattan Jaspers (884). Monmouth (20-5) has won ten straight games with their 74-69 win at Rider on Monday as an 8.5-point favorite. The Hawks won that game despite shooting 36.4% from the field. The held the Broncs to just a 44.3% shooting mark on the other end of the court — and that was actually their worst defensive effort in their last eleven games. Monmouth holds their conference opponents to shooting just 39.9% from the field. Expect a tighter defensive effort tonight. Not only have the Hawks played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but the Under is 27-12-1 in their last 40 games after a point spread victory. Monmouth has also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Hawks now stay on the road where they have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total. Monmouth has also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range. The Hawks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 7 games against conference opponents, Monmouth has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
02-08-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 170 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana-Purdue University Jaguars (585) and the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks (586). IUPUI (10-14) snapped a three-game losing streak with an 86-81 win over North Dakota State as a 2-point underdog. Their defense field goal percentage of 44.6% was their best defensive performance in their last nine games. But regression on the defensive end of the court is likely for this Jaguars team that allows their home hosts to shoot 49.0% from the field. IUPUI has played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Jaguars go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. IUPUI has also played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog. |
|||||||
02-04-17 | UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 134.5 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cal-Davis Aggies (693) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (694). UC-Santa Barbara (3-17) has lost five in a row in a lost season after their 79-53 loss to Cal-State Fullerton on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Under is then 8-1-1 in the Gauchos’ last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The biggest problem for this team is on offense. UC-Santa Barbara is last in the Big West with Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of .876 — and this team is last in both 3-point and 2-point shooting which results in an effective field goal percentage of 39.2% which is also last in the conference. Moving forward, the Gauchos have played 7 straight home games Under the Total. This team has also played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total when the underdog — and when UC-Santa Barbara is getting less than 7 points, then they have seen fifteen of these eighteen home games finish below the total. |
|||||||
01-31-17 | Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M UNDER 135 | Top | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (749) and the Texas A&M Aggies (750). Vanderbilt (10-11) has won two of their last three games with their 84-78 win over Iowa State on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Commodores have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while Vandy nailed 13 shots from behind the arc in their victory over the Cyclones, they have then played 14 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after hitting at least 13 shots from 3-point land. Moving forward, the Commodores have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 23-9-2 in Vanderbilt’s last 34 road games as an underdog of under 7 points. |
|||||||
01-30-17 | Rider v. Canisius UNDER 157 | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (531) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (532). Rider (12-10) has lost five of their last six games with their 80-67 loss at Niagara on Saturday as a 1-point favorite. The Broncs have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Rider has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Broncs shot just 36.8% in that game which does not bode well for them as they stay on the road where they shoot only 41.6% from the field. That helps explains why Rider has played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 11 road games as an underdog of under 7 points, the Broncs have played 9 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
01-29-17 | Virginia v. Villanova UNDER 126 | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (849) and the Villanova Wildcats (850). Virginia (16-3) has won five games in a row with their 71-54 win at Notre Dame as a 2-point underdog. The Cavaliers have then played 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 53-19-1 in Virginia’s last 73 games as an underdog of under 7 points. And in their 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 19-7-1. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 221.5 | Top | 98-144 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (507) and the Golden State Warriors (508). Los Angeles (30-17) has lost three of their last four games with their 121-110 loss at Philadelphia on Tuesday as a 4.5-point favorite. The Clippers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. The Clippers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Without the injured Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, this team is limited on offense. But expect head coach Doc Rivers to demand a better effort on defense tonight after seeing the 76ers shoot 50% from the field on Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 173 | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Central Michigan Chippewas (619) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (620). Central Michigan (13-7) has won three of their last four games after their 82-76 win over Bowling Green as a 6-point favorite on Tuesday. The Chippewas held the Falcons to just a 30% shooting percentage from the field which was their best defensive effort in their last eleven contests. Except regression from this team considering that home teams shoot at a 47.2% clip against CMU. As it is, Central Michigan has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, the Chippewas have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 4 games as an underdog of less than 7 points, CMU has played all 4 games Over the Total. |
|||||||
01-26-17 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
At 10:35 on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Utah Jazz (708). Los Angeles (16-33) has lost seven of their last eight games with their 105-98 loss in Portland last night as an 8-point underdog. The Lakers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Over their last two contests, the absence of D’Angelo Russell is impacting this team on the offensive end of the court as they are shooting only 38.9% from the field and a mere 28% from behind the arc. Additionally, in the last 14 games in the second-half of the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range, the Lakers have played 12 of these games Under the Total. |
|||||||
01-22-17 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 206 | Top | 73-122 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (833) and the Dallas Mavericks (834). Los Angeles (16-31) has lost five straight games after their 108-96 win over Indiana on Friday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Lakers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a points spread victory. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Now the Lakers go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota UNDER 132 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (601) and the Minnesota Golden Gophers (602). Wisconsin (15-3) has won two straight games with their 68-64 win over Michigan on Tuesday as a 10.5-pont favorite. The Badgers have then played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Wisconsin has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while that game barely finished above the closing 131.5-point Total, the Badgers have still played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against Big Ten opponents. Moving forward, Wisconsin has played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 7 points or less. |
|||||||
01-05-17 | Connecticut v. Memphis UNDER 129 | Top | 61-70 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (717) and the Memphis Tigers (718) on ESPN2. UConn (5-8) has lost three straight games with their 61-59 loss at Tulsa on Saturday. This struggling Huskies team shot just 40.4% from the field — but they are still playing tough defense for head coach Kevin Ollie as they held the Golden Hurricanes to just 36.1% shooting. UConn has then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight up loss. The Huskies have also played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road. Additionally, UConn has played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Huskies have played all 4 games Under the Total. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Thunder v. Celtics UNDER 213 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (709) and the Boston Celtics (710). Oklahoma City (17-12) has won two of their last three games with their 121-110 win at New Orleans on Wednesday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Thunder have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. OKC will be playing this game once again without Victor Olidapo who is out indefinitely with a wrist injury. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. OKC has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
12-20-16 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). San Antonio (22-5) has won four straight games with their 113-100 win over New Orleans on Sunday. The Spurs now go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 25 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, not only has San Antonio has played 26 of their last 39 road games as the favorite of 6 points or less, they have played eleven of their last thirteen road games when favored by 3 points or less. Furthermore, the Spurs have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Southwest Division opponents. And while the Rockets score 113.1 PPG, San Antonio has played 27 of their last 41 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 103 PPG. |
|||||||
12-16-16 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 203.5 | Top | 95-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (509) and the Chicago Bulls (510). Milwaukee (12-12) looks to pull the sweep over the Bulls tonight in their home-and-home series after they defeated them by a 108-97 score last night in a pick ‘em game. The Bucks have then played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Milwaukee has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. This team will likely be without Michael Beasley again tonight who is dealing with a foot injury. Backup Mirza Teletovic stepped up in his absence last night by scoring 13 points on 50% shooting which included three 3-pointers. Do not hold your breath for a repeat performance on the road. The Bucks have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against Central Division opponents. |
|||||||
11-30-16 | Pistons v. Celtics UNDER 201.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (505) and the Boston Celtics (506). Detroit (9-10) has won three of their last four games after their 112-89 win at Charlotte last night. The Pistons won that game despite their defensive wizard Andre Drummond being ejected from that game in the second quarter. Drummond was not suspended for tonight’s contest so Detroit will have his shot-blocking presence down low. The Pistons have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits — and they have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Detroit has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Pistons look to avenge a 94-92 loss at home to the Celtics back on November 19th. Detroit has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss at home. The Pistons have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
11-18-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 204 | Top | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). Cleveland (9-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday in a 103-93 loss at Indiana in a game where LeBron James took the night off. Expect the return of The King to inspire his teammates to play harder on the defensive end of the court. The Under is then 4-1-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 6 games after a straight-up loss. The Under is also 8-3-1 in Cleveland’s last 12 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, while the Cavs are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games, they have then played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Furthermore, Cleveland has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. |
|||||||
11-11-16 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 213.5 | Top | 87-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (709) and the Boston Celtics (710). New York (3-4) held their first opponent to under 100 points in their 110-96 win over Brooklyn on Wednesday as an 8-point favorite. Defense is certainly an area of emphasis for Phil Jackson who has installed Kurt Rambis in charge of the defense. For better or worse, at least this sends the message to the team that effort on that end of the floor is to be valued. The Knicks have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. New York has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Furthermore, the Knicks have played 21 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 21 games after scoring at least 100 points, New York has played 16 of these games Under the Total. Moving forward, the Knicks have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
|||||||
10-26-16 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 212.5 | Top | 113-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (717) and the Phoenix Suns (718). Sacramento (0-0) closed out last season playing 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when on the road. The Kings have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. Additionally, Sacramento has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against their fellow Pacific Division foes. |