Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 212 | 99-115 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
The Celtics exploded for 135 points last night in a win vs the Indiana Pacers, and no I expect a reversion to the norm from a scoring output perspective , as they will be on tired legs after running gunning last night. I expect the Celtics to revert back to their usual conservative transitory system which has resulted in the 3rd best points per game defence in the league .Im also betting they stand tall, behind a fairly methodical 19th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami a defence first team with aggressive physical traits, owns the 6th best defensive points per game ranking behind a 22nd ranked pace and 25th ranked offense and should easily help contribute to a methodical clock burning snooze fest. MIAMI is 13-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons has seen a combine average of 203.9 ppg scored. The Heat are 0-11 UNDER L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers with a combined average of 178.2 ppg scored with no game exceeding 195 points. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER as a road favorite off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average score clicking in at 185.4 ppg with no game exceeding 203 points. Play UNDER |
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01-09-19 | Bulls +9.5 v. Blazers | 112-124 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
The Trailblazers have proven themselves to be highly inconsistent this season despite of some flashes of brilliance and are just are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win which was the case vs NYK last time out. With this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days Im expecting a energy saving effort here tonight against a young Bulls side that Im sure their over looking. I know the Bulls have lost 4 straight but they have proven their competitive ability recently against top tier teams like Indiana and Toronto losing hard fought closely contested affairs by 3 and 6 points respectively, and have the ability to keep this game close as well and get us the cover via a physical defence that is improving significantly of late as is evident by holding 5 of their L/9 opponents under 96 points or less. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS and 3-9 SU off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points ad all 3 wins came by 4 points or less.The Bulls are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 off a 10+ loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and they won 10 of those games SU with only 1 loss coming by more than 9 points. CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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01-09-19 | Magic +8.5 v. Jazz | 93-106 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
The Jazz come home off a 4 game road trip on tired and legs and in an emotional letdown spot after playing the Milwaukee Bucks last time out and losing 114-102. That after putting up a solid fight for the first 3 quarters before being out scored 30-16 in the final period. Meanwhile, Orlando will be ready to compete in desperation mode after 3 straight ugly road losses. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Magic are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 The Magic are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they allowed 100+ points and it is before the All-Star break. The Magic are 8-0 ATS as a road 8+ dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with non of the 6 SU losses coming by more than 7 points. The Jazz are 0-8-1 ATS at home with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game and lost 7 of those games SU. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-09-19 | Suns +10.5 v. Mavs | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
This line according to my numbers is bloated considering the Dallas Mavs current form that has seen them lose three straight and 11 of 14 and are banged up with their star guard Luka Doncic dealing with a nagging back issue. That is not a good omen for the home team playing their 6th game in 10 nights and having struggled against Phoenix in the recent past going just 0-5 against Suns while scoring an average of just 93 points a game .DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 8-18 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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01-09-19 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 227.5 | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn a team that ranks in the bottom half of the league in ppg scored and pace at 22nd, enters this game on tired legs and will be in no shape to run and gun here tonight even though they go against a Atlanta team with the fastest pace and worst ppg allowed in the league. Note: BROOKLYN in 12 games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Because of the Nets fatigue factor Im betting this total is a on the high side and we have value with an under wager here. The Hawks are 0-17 UNDER L/17 as a road 8+ dog with no rest after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 185.9 ppg with the highest scoring game seeing 217 points go on the board. The Nets are 0-8 UNDER L/8 as a 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 174 ppg with all the games seeing at least one side stay under the 99 point output plateau. ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. Under is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 10-2 in Hawks last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-3 in Hawks last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games following a ATS win.Under is 13-6 in Hawks last 19 Wednesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn.Under is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-09-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +4 | 106-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The 76ers smashed the visiting Wizards 132-115 on Tuesday night and now the Wizards have revenge on board.Washington has won four of its past five at home and are playing their best ball there despite of being without star John Wall.Tonight Im betting they make life difficult for the 76ers and get us the cover. PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. The 76ers are 0-18 ATS and 1-17 SU L/18 when the line is within 3 of pick on the opening line off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The one victory for the 76ers came by just 2 points. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Washington Wizards to cover |
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01-08-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | 119-117 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The Thunder have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Wolves earlier this season just before Christmas here in Oklahoma City, and are also off an embarrassing home loss to Washington last time out and will want to bounce back in a way to get back some lost respect. Note: NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite are 36-5 L/5 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season. The Thunder are 9-1 SU with same season revenge for a loss vs the Wolves and a perfect 6-0 SUATS when they have a win percentage of .450 or better. The Thunder are 18-0 ATS /SU as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break with every win coming by DDs. The Timberwolves are 0-12-1 ATS 0-13 SU as a 8+ dog off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-07-19 | Lakers v. Mavs -7.5 | 107-97 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lakers like other teams Super Star LeBron James has been on in the recent past get used to him controlling their games, and when their super star quarter back is out, those teams tank. James has missed 21 games over the last few seasons , and when he's out they have proven to be bad bets going 3-18 SUATS . The Lakers proved this correct when they got completely steam rolled by Minnesota yesterday afternoon in a road game. Now on tired legs they go against a Dallas team that plays their best hoops at home, as is evident by a 15-3 record as hosts that has seen them win 13 of their last 14 here at American Airlines Center. With the Cavs having revenge on board for a DD loss the last time these teams played back in LA 114-103 on Nov 30 they look like solid bets as single digit home favs. Note:DALLAS is 8-1 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and from a league wide trend NBA teams favs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses , are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% Conversion rate for bettors.Dallas is also 9-1 SU /8-2 ATS L/10 as a host in this series. The Lakers are 0-11-1 ATS/ 0-12 SU off a loss as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road and it is before the All-Star break with the average margin of fefeat coming by 16.3 ppg. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.DALLAS is 12-4 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-07-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets -1 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Houston had a six-game winning streak come to an abrupt end this past Saturday as they lost for just the second time in 11 tilts last time out vs Portland. Meanwhile, Denver is off a DD 123-110 victory at home at the Pepsi Center last time out, vs Charlotte. Note: DENVER is 9-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season and is 7-20 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is also 8-18 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are at a disadvantage vs a Houston team that plays their best ball at home as is evident by a 13-5 and 12-6 record as hosts. The Rockets took out the Nuggets with a 109-99 win at Denver on Nov. 13 that extended Houston's winning streak in the series to eight straight. Im betting on it being 9 after tonight. The Rockets are 12-0 ATS SU/ATS as a favorite off a road game in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before and it is before the All-Star break and are 12-0 SU/ATS facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-216 L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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01-07-19 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 218.5 | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams are both trending upward on a points per game chart that I am currently using. Everything points to this being a higher scoring affairs than the lines makers are anticipating. Yes, they are lower paced teams, but their offensive efficiency and point conversion rates are above normal. Im projecting Brooklyn scores 105 + points while Bostons score 114 + points. BROOKLYN is 19-3 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored. Brooklyns L/5 games has seen a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored and in division games has seem a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Boston in their L/5 games has seen a combined average 222 ppg scored and on the season allowed an average of 105+ ppg at home and in division tits have seen a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a ATS win.Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 Monday games.Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 home games.Over is 20-6 in Celtics last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 20-7 in Celtics last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 overall.Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Nets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 9-2 in Nets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-5 in Nets last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 pointsBOSTON is 13-4 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 20-7 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 18-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.8 ppg scored in those tilts. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-06-19 | Pacers +3 v. Raptors | 105-121 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The Raptors looked very good and worked very hard in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last night on the road and notched a impressive win. However, after playing that kind of gruelling physical affair on the road and now on tired legs Im betting they will have a problem performing at an optimal level against vs the most under rated team in the NBA ( Indiana Pacers) according to my power rankings assessment charts. It must also be noted that Raptors Kawhi Leonard played 38 minutes last night, and after suffering through numerous injuries, in his career Im sure the coaching staff will be careful with his minutes tonight, and that also gives us an edge with the Pacers. In the most recent meeting in this series here in Toronto back on Dec 19 the Raps were fortunate to get the victory in a 99-96 smash mouth affair, and tonight look for the fresher legs of the visitor and their scorching defence ranked No.1 in points allowed to be the difference maker here. Also from a SRS head to head matchup scenario that tells us the Raptors are ranked 5th with a 4.80 numerical rating, and the Pacers 6th ranking 4.60 , we have a pickem situation, even with home court advantage thrown in. Add to that a fatigue factor ratio , and we have a upset situation edge. Nothings a sure bet , but I like the edge we have here getting points with this live dog. Note: SRS Is a Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Play on Indiana to cover . Indiana to cover |
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01-06-19 | Wizards v. Thunder -10 | 116-98 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Washington is just 4-17 SU on the road this season, dropping eight consecutive games away from Capital One Arena and while I rarely ever lay DDs with any team, the odd circumstance offers up value. With that said, this tilt here in Oklahoma City is one of them. The Wizards continued road futility, and a banged up lineup makes them fade material even on a DD line. Note: The visitors are playing without key cog John Wall ( out for season) arguably the teams best player and are also saddled with the absence of power forward Markieff Morris who is also out with an injury. Streaky super star Westbrook broke out with a 32 point performance last time out, and will be licking his chops with anticipation here . Oklahoma City matches up very well vs the Wizards as was evident in a 134-111 beatdown win by the Thunder as road 3.5 point road dogs on Dec 11 of this season. Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City. WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season Opp. 123.2 Wizards 106.6 for a consistent DD trend presenting itself and is is 3-11 ATS overall as a road underdog this season with the average point differential margin clicking in at 13.5 ppg. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are just 1-25 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average margin of defeat coming by 11.1 ppg. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-05-19 | Warriors v. Kings +7.5 | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have in the recent past played closely contested affairs, with both meetings this season decided by scores of 130-125 and 117-116 home and away, and Im betting on another hard fought affair here with the getting points our very best option. GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.he Warriors are 0-9 L/9 ATS on the road with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points . The Kings are 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The lone loss came to Golden State by a 130-125 loss as 5 point dogs. NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-05-19 | Hornets v. Nuggets OVER 218 | 110-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver despite of slightly below average points output owns the 7th ranked offensive effecincy in the league, despite of being a slow paced squad and are capable of lighting opponents up in a hurry with shabby defences like the Hornets as is evident by a 112.3 ppg offensive output at home. Meanwhile, the Hornets, are ranked in the bottom 15 teams in the NBA in defence, and allowing 115.1 ppg on the road this season, but ranked 9th overall in offensive output and 10th in efficiency and have scored 125 or more points in 3 of their L/5 games, and are 113.1 ppg on the road this season. My projections estimate that Charlotte will put at least 106 points on the board, while Denver will score 114 points. Note: DENVER is 14-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 15-4 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. DENVER is 27-10 OVER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 20-8 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored. Hornets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points and it is before the All-Star break with the average combined score clicking in at 236.3 ppg. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 35-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City (24-13) might have a better record than the Blazers,( 22-16) but from a matchup perspective , the Blazers according to my head to head systems ratings offer up a huge amount of trouble for the Thunder. The Thunders top player Westbrook has has hands full going against Portland's Damian Lillard, who is having a career season offensively. He ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field, 39.4 percent from 3-point range and 89.5 percent from the foul line, and Thunder also must contend with Portland center Jusuf Nurkic, who is coming off the best game of his career in a 113-108 overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday. Note:The Trailblazers are 17-3 ATS and 16-4 SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had overtime which happened last time out. Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Trail Blazers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 home games.PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Thunder are 0-10 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after a win in which they trailed after the third which was the case last time out.The Trailblazers are 10-1 ATS/SU at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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01-04-19 | Knicks +8 v. Lakers | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Lakers are a banged up team, with their key super star LeBron James out with an injury, and will will also go without Kyle Kuzma ( back) and Rajon Rondo. I know the Knicks wont inspire bettors, but they actually have an opportunity to compete and pull off an upset here vs this short handed group tonight according to my current matchup projections based on both teams existing lineups. It must also be noted that the Lakers took part in a gruelling 107-100 loss last time out where numerous lead changes took place and will now be in an emotional letdown situation, and probably less than motivated taking on a lower tier team, that they could easily overlook. Note: The Lakers are 3-19 ATS L/21 and 2-20 SU with rest off a loss as a home dog after a game that was tied 5+ times and 0-8 ATS SU L/8 at home off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times. LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are 2-10 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS L/6 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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01-04-19 | Jazz v. Cavs UNDER 209 | 117-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland enters this game ranked 28thin in scoring in the NBA behind a slow down system that ranks 29th in pace having scored 94 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games overall and Im betting will have problems breaching that plateau again vs a physical Jazz defence that is ranked 7th in ppg allowed and 5th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, on the flip side, Utah has averaged only 105 ppg on the road this season and rank 21st in the league in points ouptut in the league, and 22nd in offensive efficiency behind a average pace ranked 14th overall. Also previous to going over in their L/2 trips to the hardwood they had gone under 8 straight times in grinding fashion. Note: The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a road game when the line is at least 10 points lower than their last game and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score clicking in above 201 ppg, with the average combined score registering at 185.1 ppg. Bottom line : The Jazz will happily grind away on a Cavs team with very little fire power, in a game that I expect will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. The Cavaliers are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with the average combined score coming in at 198.4 ppg. The Cavaliers are 0-8 OU L/8 as a 8+ dog off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored with non of the tilts exceeding this posted total. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - a offense that scores (+102 PPG) against a sub par defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 90-46 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play under |
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01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs -1.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Toronto has been erratic in their play of late, especially as far as converting for their betting backers is concerned as they are just 5-14 ATS L/19 overall including 1-4 SU/ 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road. Injuries have played a role in the Raptors current state, as key contributor Kyle Lowry remains sidelined and is not expect to play tonight, and also some bloated lines because of their obvious big time superiority on the east. Do not get me wrong, the Raptors are still a talented team with a lot of depth, but here tonight on the road, vs a up trending San Antonio side that has cashed 11 of their L/13 overall Im betting the Dinos are in trouble. San Antonio is 17-4 L/21 here vs the Raptors and 2-0 SU/ATS here in Texas in their most recent meetings and get the nod again. Im not going to delve into the Kawhi Leonard / DeMar DeRozen trade because these teams, because I don't believe it will be a deciding factor for which side wins here tonight. SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots this season and 13-4 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 15-69 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate fro bettors. NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on San Antonio. to cover |
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01-02-19 | Magic v. Bulls -1.5 | 112-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Chicago is playing some competitive basketball of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up while covering 4 of those games. Now tonight vs a Orlando team expected to play without starting point guard D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathon Simmons after each sustained ankle injuries they are at a disadvantage here on the road. Ever since Coach Jim Boylen, took over the team from the fired Fred Hoiberg, the Bulls are playing a physical grinding style of offense that is led by guard Zach LaVine, averaging 23.5 points per game and must not be underestimated in their new system. HC Boylen was QUOTED:"We're playing the way I think we have to play for us to have a chance to win. We are going to get a defensive mentality in this program first, and then we're going to work on the rest of it. And as we grow together, we get healthy together, I'm confident the offense will come"END QUOTE:. With that said, I like the way the Bulls matchup here and Ill lay the short chalk in their support. Chicago is 6-0 SU L/6 at home in this series dating back to the 2015 season. ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 220 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota is on a 8 game OVER streak, and Boston has gone over 6 straight times and the linesmakers know this, so they have bumped this number up , and have not based this Total on the current matchup but on the streak itself, which according to my projections gives us value with an under wager on this offered total. Teams that have gone over in at eight or more straight games are 75-91-1 UNDER since the 2013/14 season. NBA team (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 224-142 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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01-02-19 | Mavs +1.5 v. Hornets | 122-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Mavericks despite of playing much improved hoops this season , are a team currently struggling desperate for a win away from home . With that said, Im betting they will be hell bent on trying to snap a nine-game road losing streak in a place Charlotte where they have covered their L/2 visits . Note: The road team has snatched five of the last six in the series, with Dallas earning a 115-111 win at Charlotte last season. All good bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting the Mavs current run of road futility ends tonight. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.( the Mavs lost vs Ok St last time out by DDs )Mavericks are 19-0 ATS/18-1 SU when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a underdog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break with the only loss coming by just 1 point. DALLAS is 20-6 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons Hornets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-01-19 | 76ers +3 v. Clippers | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Sixers looked flat without Joel Embiid in the lineup last time out in at lopsided loss to Portland and will look to bounce back with him expected to play tonight despite of a questionable status. He is really a game changer and a difference maker for the Sixers. The 76ers are 9-0 ATS/SU in franchise history off a road loss in which Ben Simmons had a plus/minus at least ten points better than the team which happened in that game vs Portland last time out. Just like the Sixers, the Clippers will enter Tuesday's game coming off a loss losing 122-111 to the San Antonio Spurs, in a game when Williams was held to 16 points . Their energy levels looked weak which is a troubling factor for them going forward and especially tonight. 76ers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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01-01-19 | Blazers v. Kings UNDER 231.5 | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Sacramento loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but Portland knowing this will not allow them to flow, and will look to slow this game down. Blazers road games have seen a combined average of 222.1 ppg scored, but have recently played much better defensively which has resulted in 4 straight unders overall. None of the 4 most recent meetings in this series dating back to last season have seen more than 218 combined points scored and Im betting on this this one staying under the total as well. The Trailblazers have gone under 12 straight times as a road favorite with rest after a game in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with the average combined score clicking in at 185.5 ppg with non of the 12 games seeing more than 210 ppg. PORTLAND is 18-8 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 201.1 ppg.PORTLAND is 27-12 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/26 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over dating back to last season have seen a combined average score of 219.2 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-01-19 | Pistons +10.5 v. Bucks | 98-121 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Detroit is desperate for a win, after a heart breaking loss to Orlando on a last second buzzer beater. Following a previous loss to the Pacers -- a 125-88 beatdown -- the Pistons had a players-only meeting to clear the air and hopefully find a way to get on track. Now with them at their very lowest point, Im expecting an extremely motivated effort vs a strong Milwaukee side that wont be overly motivated to take them on. DETROIT is 14-6 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.MILWAUKEE is 23-48 ATS L/71 as a favorite of 10 or more points. Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. The Bucks are 0-19 ATS as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home , they were 14-5 SU in those games but none of the victories came by more than 8 points. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Pistons |
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12-31-18 | Magic v. Hornets -7.5 | 100-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
The Magic wrapped are off a 109-107 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon, and will now be in a letdown spot here on the road vs a Charlotte team, that is averaging 113.4 points-per-game , the seventh-best output average in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Magic have scored more than 100 points just 19 times in their 35 games, which is not a good omen here as they shot just 38.3 percent in the first meeting.vs the Hornets this season, and have now lost six straight in Charlotte and been held under 100 points in four of those games. With that said, Im betting the Hornets romping to a comfortable victory here tonight. Orlando F Jonathon Simmons left the win over Detroit with a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Monday. ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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12-30-18 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
We are getting a cheap line here, because super star LeBron James is expected to remain sidelined with a groin injury and the Lakers are 0-2 without him and also because their playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. However, in contrarian fashion, Im going against the Kings, as Im not liking their current form, and their consistent slow starts despite of notching wins. Note: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are actually good long term bets going 66-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Los Angeles was also without LeBron James when they lost 117-116 at Sacramento on the 27th of this Month, and competed fine without James, and actually had a DD lead, before getting lazy and falling apart. Now with a fire lit underneath their proverbial butts,Im betting they bounce back in the rematch here at home. Note:The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU L/14 on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game like the Lakers. LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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12-30-18 | 76ers -1 v. Blazers | 95-129 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Sixers are an upward trajectory team, that seems to just keep getting better with experience and jell as a unit. I can see a dominant type of confidence creeping over this side since the king of egos Jimmy Butler has arrived. making them extremely dangerous for all comers in this league. Since Butler has arrived Philadelphia have been performing optimally especially against top tier opponents winning 7 of 10 against .500 or greater opposition. With that said, Im betting on a the Sixers continuing their climb to elite status in the East with another win tonight vs a side they have revenge against for loss thye suffered here last season by a 114-110 count. With the Trail Blazers off two consecutive hard fought back to back tilts against defending champion Golden State, and on tired legs after playing last night I expect the home team will be at a disadvantage vs a top tier side. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Philadelphia is 76-43-1 ATS in its last 120 non-conference games under head coach Brett Brown.PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons. Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.76ers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.76ers are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are just are 37-152 for a go against 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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12-30-18 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 204 | 107-109 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
My head to head systems and performance charts are indicating a low scoring affair here this afternoon. When these teams met on Nov 7 they combined for 199 points in a 103-96 Pistons win. Im betting on a similar output here that remains on the low side of the number. DETROIT is 33-16 L/49 UNDER after allowing 120 points with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored. Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT) - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are124-76 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-29-18 | Knicks +13 v. Jazz | 97-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
New York has won just two games in December and carries a six-game losing streak into Salt Lake City after losing back-to-back games against Milwaukee on Tuesday and Thursday and because of that form we are getting decent value here on a slightly bloated line. vs an inconsistent Jazz side. The Knicks swept the season series with the Jazz last season and have a recent history of playing well against Utah as is evident by going 23-3 ATS in this series, including 12-1 ATS at Salt Lake City. Its never easy backing a side like NYK, but I have enough line value here to warrant a solid investment recommendation. Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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12-29-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Grizzlies | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Celtics have won the last five in this inter conference rivalry vs Memphis, limiting the Grizzlies to 93 and 98 points in last year's two-game season-series sweep and have the edge again here tonight as I expect the Celtics behind their top tier D will be primed to rebound off a 127-113 loss in Houston on Thursday night. Yes, the Celtics have struggled of late, but they are a resilient bunch, as far as providing their betting backers with profits as the clovers, are 13-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. OSTON is 23-8 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 15-0 SUATS as a road favorite with rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes which happened last time out vs Houston. Play on Boston to cover |
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12-29-18 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | 126-130 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights , which Im betting translates into them playing at a slightly less elevated tempo , which will effect the total projected score to be much lower than the linesmakers expect. With the Wizards John Wall still out the flow of the home side will also being effected, as has been the case of late as the Wizards have been unable to produce more than 95 points 3 straight games. I know the Hornets will come at the wounded Wizards hard, but the visitors have not been very good on the road this season going just 4-10 overall away from home, and have proven they are less than capable of controlling pace in most of their games on the road. The Wizards are 0-16 UNDER off a home game when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score exceeding 219 point plateau with the average combined score clicking in at 192.6 ppg. Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-28-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -4 | 99-102 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This will be the Spurs fourth game in a week, with their last game coming on Dec 26th in San Antonio when they beat this same Nuggets group 110-103. Now the Nuggets wth revenge on board and on fresher legs playing only their second game in 6 days, and 3rd in 10 days, look to have an edge here in the thin air of the Mile High City especially as the game goes into the 2nd half. DENVER is 16-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games this season. SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Popovich is 10-22 ATS in road games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-2 SU L/3 seasons for a 92% conversion rate going back father these teams are 49-5 SU 91% going back 5 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Also Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with a point differential of 12 ppg. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-28-18 | Mavs +5 v. Pelicans | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Im not a big fan of New Orleans HC Gentry and when he goes against a top tier coach like Randy Carlisle I look for variables that make fading Gentry a viable investment wagering opportunity. Currently the Pelicans are not performing well, as Super Star Anthony Davis is banged up and not operating at 100% efficiency. Anthony has also said, that hes not committed to the Pelicans in the longterm no matter how much money he gets, and trade is now on the table and also a distraction. That kind of thing in itself has a negative energy sucking effect on a team. With that said, look for the Mavs to be competitive here tonight and get us the cover. DALLAS is 31-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 22-11 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 106-82 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of DALLAS. NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 3-15 ATS after playing a road game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-28-18 | Hawks +9.5 v. Wolves | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Minnesota is coming off a DD win last time out vs Chicago , and for whatever reason, its seems HC Thibodeau, cannot inspire his troops to fire on all cylinders in consecutive tilts as he is just 8-22 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 and during that lifetime 30 game sample size the point differential click ins in at at just 2.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the young Atlanta Hawks desoite of still being inconsistent, are showing some flashes of brilliance, and have won 3 of heir L/4 SU and been mostly competitive on the road covering 3 of their L/5 as visitors. Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 43-20 ATS L/5 seasons. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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12-28-18 | Nets v. Hornets -4.5 | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets will be out looking for revenge vs the Brooklyn Nets tonight on their own home court after the Nets shocked the Hornets 134-132 in two overtimes Wednesday night. When Hornets coach was asked about the loss he responded with this : QUOTE: We'll see this team again on Friday night," Hornets coach James Borrego vowed to reporters afterward. "We'll play hard on Friday night. I expect our guys to respond." END QUOTE I like backing motivated teams and Charlotte is very motivated tonight. The Hornets are 11-0 ATS SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes with none of the wins coming by less than 5 points. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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12-28-18 | Pistons v. Pacers UNDER 205 | 88-125 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Indiana really gets physical against run and gun uptempo teams like the Detroit Pistons especially at home. Note:I NDIANA is 11-1 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average 199.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season which happened last time out with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored.NDIANA is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 36-12 UNDER L/5 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-27-18 | 76ers +5 v. Jazz | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
This is the second meeting between the teams this season. Philadelphia won 113-107 on November 16 and matchup well vs the defensive minded Jazz. Philadelphia also swept the season series a year ago. Utahs key defensive stalwart Gobert will have his hands full with Sixers center Joel Embiid. The Sixers top tier group of Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons play a style of hoops that could easily exhaust the Jazz giving us an edge here taking points in what should be a closely contested affair. Getting points with a up trending team like Philadelphia is a good long term wager. Brown is 32-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents as the coach of PHILADELPHA and is 42-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons which happened at Boston last time out in OT. UTAH is 8-18 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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12-27-18 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 113-127 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Both these teams played back forth exhausting games on Christmas day and could easily feel the effects of that this Thursday in a tilt that I have pegged to stay under the set total. Houston ranks 28th in pace while Boston ranks 18th in pace and 3rd overall in defensive efficiency in the league. Under is 19-7 in Celtics last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 40-19-1 in Rockets last 60 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. D'Antoni is 36-10 UNDER L/36 when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. Long term these two franchises have a history of playing low scoring games with 15 of the L/19 staying under the total. Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Houston. HOUSTON is 19-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored.HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 55-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.2 ppg. Play the UNDER |
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12-26-18 | Kings v. Clippers -5 | 118-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Sacramento has been flirting with disaster in their L/2 games before the Christmas break and came back from being down by DDs in those home tilts vs Memphis and New Orleans for wins. I like Sacramento and their upward overall performance trajectory , but their recent issues with slow starts are an ominous sign in my opinion tonight against a run and gun opponent here in hostile territory. With that said, Im betting the Kings are in trouble vs a Clippers team that is offensively explosive especially at home where they have averaged just under 117 ppg on the season. The Clippers have won 8 of the L/9 meetings in this series. My projections estimate that LA will score 117 or more points here tonight, vs a side that allows an average of 117.2 ppg on the road this season. Note: SACRAMENTO is 13-33 ATS when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 19.7 ppg. Also the LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a point diff of 6.9 ppg. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 68-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 215.5 | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Both visiting Denver Nuggets and their hosts the San Antonio Spurs return from a five-day Christmas break for a contest at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. Both are slower paced teams but both are obviously on fresh legs and Im betting they will be energized and ready run and gun here tonight just like of it were the beginning of the season. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 12-5-1 in Nuggets last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. These teams have gone over in their 2 most recent meetings last season, with a combined average of 231 ppg scored. Note: Denver looked defensively deficient last time out , as they suffered a 132-111 setback at the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. Note: DENVER is 21-7 OVER in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored and 15-5 OVER in road games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.4 ppg going on the board. Spurs home games have seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-25-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The Celtics opened the season with a 105-87 victory over the Sixers in Boston, but now the Sixers have Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and should be more competitive. However, Im still betting the Celtics have an edge here at home as short chalk vs a Sixers. side that is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON is 22-8 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Sixers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Boston and have lost 7 of 8 SU. .76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games. BOSTON is 12-3 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 season. The Celtics are 16-0 SUATS L/16 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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12-25-18 | Thunder v. Rockets -1.5 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
Houston has had some inconsistent stretches during this season, but right now they are in top form after having won 6 of their L/7 games overall SU/ATS. With that said, Im betting they continue their top tier play vs the Oklahoma City Thunder with a win here at home where they are 10-5 SU this season .The Rockets have won 5 of the L/6 head to head battles vs the Thunder here deep in the heart of Texas are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 overall home games and get the nod again. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 63-105 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 16-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and 10-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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12-23-18 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 208.5 | 107-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lakers held the Grizzlies to 88 in a 23-point win Dec. 8 in Memphis. Im betting the Lakers keep a Memphis team that has failed to score more than 99 points in 8 straight and 10 of their L/11 to under the century mark again . Meanwhile, the Grizzlies behind the 30th ranked pace, and the 2nd best ppg allowed average to fight back in a methodical way, in effort to end a current cycle of 5 straight losses. This Im betting will see a muted combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Walton is 11-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight game are 47-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-23-18 | Mavs v. Blazers OVER 215.5 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas lost a hard fought 120-116 tilt at Golden State Saturday night. That was the Mavericks 5th straight loss and their 4th straight game going over the total, with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored . Now in desperation mode, and still reved up after that fairly fast paced affair, Im betting this well conditioned group behind Slovenia rookie Doncic come out running and gunning. Meanwhile, Portland enters the Mavericks game coming off its most one-sided home loss in 14 years, a 120-90 beatdown at the hands of Utah Jazz on Friday and now rank 18th in defensive efficiency. The threes were raining down on the Blazers, and Im betting in their current form , nothing will change defensively. I do however, expect a much better bounce back offensive effort and a spirited affair that goes over the set total. DALLAS is 21-8 OVER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 11-2 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg. Over is 14-3 in Trail Blazers last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home.Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-23-18 | Pelicans v. Kings +1 | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Pelicans had eight scorers record double figures in a 149-129 home win over the Kings during the first week of the season in October. Now the Kings will play this game with revenge in mind and Im betting they get vs a poor traveling Pelicans side that have lost 13 of their 17 road games this season. Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.SACRAMENTO is 13-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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12-22-18 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 215.5 | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bucks are off exerting alot of effort in last nights start to finish win vs Boston. They were a team on a mission from the outset as they wanted badly to break the 6 game losing streak in Boston and get some revenge for last years play off series loss. Now in a bit of emotional letdown state Im betting they wont have the same energy as last night as they are now also on tired legs. What Im betting on here is for Miami in their usual physical fashion to control the pace of this game on their own home court , as they will have no choice but to be diligent defensively against one of the leagues most explosive teams. Miami owns the 24th ranked offense in the league and the 9th best D, and they run at a 99 pace which ranks in the bottom 3rd of the league at 20. MIAMI is 11-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored. Those two wins were also defensive gems not allowing Houston or New Orleans to breach the 99 point plateau. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 49-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-22-18 | Suns v. Wizards UNDER 230 | 146-149 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Suns enter this game on a 4 game win streak, thanks to a much better brand of transitional basketball and overall defensive play, allowing two of the 4 opponents to 99 or less points. Now against a Washington side, that they are not built to run in gun with ranking 26th in the league in offence Im betting they will continue their diligent play and try to slow this game down behind their 17th ranked overall pace. Note: PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER L/19 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER vs. struggling rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 209.1 ppg scored. NBARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings -2 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Right now entering this game Memphis is struggling and have not scored more than 99 points in a tilt in 7 straight trips to the hardwood. To make matters worse their top player and the energy behind this team Mike Conley is hobbled with a hamstring injury. He is expected to play but is less than 100%.The Grizzlies had no such offensive issues in their 112-104 home win over Sacramento last month, but things have changed since then and Sacramento will have revenge on board. Here at home the Kings have the advantage. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Kings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Kings are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 6-19 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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12-21-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -4 | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Spurs were defeated by a 128-89 count at Minnesota back on November 28 and now have revenge on board for that loss. Thats not good news for the Wolves, as the Spurs have now won 4 straight games by 25 points or more behind the league's best 3-point shooting conversion rate of 38.2 %. Note:MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 10-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Spurs are 10-0 SU L/10 at home in this series with every win coming by 4 points or more. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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12-21-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -1 | 120-107 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
The Celtics try to bust out of a two game losing run as they host the Bucks this Friday night in a game that Im betting favours the home side. I know the Bucks are now considered a NBA power house and hell bent on taking out a Celtics team that beat them in last years play offs, but Im betting the Clovers have got what it takes to get the win here at home tonight, and extending a 6-0 SUATS home run in this series. ( Boston won the last meeting here on Nov 1 by a 117 -113 count ) BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 31-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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12-21-18 | Pacers -2 v. Nets | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
Brooklyn enters this game red hot winning 7 straight , while the Pacers are off a loss to the very good Raptors team by 3 points last time out. Im betting Indiana will be ready to put that defeat behind them with big time victory on road vs Brooklyn here tonight and show their doubters that they are a team on the rise. Pacers are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the nod to cover here. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Pacers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-20-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Clippers | 121-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Dallas's DeAndre Jordan takes on his old team the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center on Thursday for . the first time since he signed with the Mavericks as a free agent this past offseason. In the first meeting at home in Dallas on Dec. 2, the Mavs came away with a 114-110 victory and according to my power rankings match up very well vs the Clippers. Tonight Im betting Jordans tough D, and rebounding circus act will be one of the the difference makers for a Dallas cover. Quote: "(Jordan) is one of the best rebounders in the land," Clippers head coach Doc Rivers said at practice Wednesday. "We know there are some things you have to do with D.J. to at least try to keep him off the glass. He's tough. END QUOTE: DALLAS is 7-0 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.DALLAS is 30-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 0-10 SUATS at home off a loss in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS /8-1 SU with rest off a game as a dog in which they allowed 55%-plus shooting from the field. the lone SU loss came by 2 pts. NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 66-35 SU L/5 seasons . Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-19-18 | Warriors v. Jazz +3.5 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
The Jazz and the Warriors enter this game playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. But despite of that Im betting he Jazz will be ready for a top tier team they handle well as is evident by winning 3 of the L/4 meetings with the only loss suffered last time out by a 124-123 score here in Salt Lake City on Oct 17 of this season. It must also be noted that there are many ebbs and flows to a NBA season, and current form does not always indicate how a game will be played out. Matchup discrepancies, system vs system, and coaching consistencies trump form in a league that can see performance charts change over a short period of time and game to game. With that said, Im backing the slumping Jazz to right their ship tonight vs the defending champion Warriors here in their own backyard. NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 23-4 L22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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12-19-18 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 218 | 103-108 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Golden State enters this game doing what they do best and that is put points up on the board in bunches, as is evident by their 3rd overall ppg output of 115.9 ppg and 1st overall offensive efficiency. You have to be able to score to compete with the Warriors, and they will actually force their opponent to playing a more wide open style of basketball under most circumstances. With that said, Im betting the defensive minded Jazz will be forced to ratchet up the pace here tonight and convert more consistently vs the Warriors 15th ranked D, as was the case when they lost to the Warriors in a hard fought 124-123 effort back on Oct 19 of this season here in Utah. Im bettong on a similar type average combined offensive output in tonight Salt Lake City rematch. Note: My projections estimate both sides will score 109 or more points in this tilt. UTAH is 12-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 14-1 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. UTAH is 14-4 OVER after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 222.1 ppg going on the board. UTAH is 7-0 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.3 pig scored.GOLDEN STATE in their L/25 road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 228.7 ppg go on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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12-19-18 | Spurs v. Magic +1 | 129-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
San Antonio has been playing better hoops of late after a slow start to their campaign, but in the past being in top form than going on the road has not always been a profitable situation for their betting backers as they are just 1-9 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons Meanwhile, Orlando after struggling with defence early on the season, are now playing a more physical and methodical brand of basketball that has seen them hold 4 of their 7 opponents under 91 points, and has resulted in them winning 2 straight games thanks to their more responsible defensive stances. As a result the Magic have played some low scoring tilts of late, which have in the past translated in positive ATS results for them and their backers as ORLANDO is 10-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Tonight Im betting the home team, takes the Spurs offensive flow away, and systematically slows their opposition down on their way to a win, much like they did when they met the Spurs back on Nov. 4 in Texas taking out the Spurs by a 117-110 count. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-8 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 4-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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12-18-18 | Wizards v. Hawks +3.5 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Washingtons been harping on playing better D , and they acquired two way stalwart Trevor Ariza to help them out in that department. However, for now Im betting it will take their own flow away and hinder them more than help at least for now. I know Atlanta does not inspire bettors, but this young team has endless energy and can grind away at an opponent with non stop energizer bunny type of hoops. With that said, Im betting on Atlanta covering here tonight, vs a Washington team that has played its absolute worst hoops on the road this season where they are 4-12 SU/ATS. WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season and is 0-9 ATS in road games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games this season is 0-8 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. ( Beat LAL 125-110 last time out). WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more of their shots are 1-10 SU this season. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-17-18 | Grizzlies v. Warriors UNDER 210 | 93-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
Memphis has not breached the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games and 7 of their L/8 overall and are ranked 28th in the league in offensive output averaging 102.5 ppg behind the 30th ranked pace. The Grizzlies saving grace is their defence that is ranked 2nd in points per game allowed ( 102.1 ppg). Needless to say the Grizzlies are methodical in their approach to their games, and will be even more so, here this evening vs a explosive Golden State Warriors team, that when pushed can out run and gun anybody in this league, but to this point in the season, have preferred a more systematic approach and rank just 11th in pace. Tonight Im betting the Grizzlies do everything in their power to make this a ugly grinding affair, and for this to result in a a lack of flow which results in a total score that remains on the low side of the offered Total. Under is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 12-4 in Warriors last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 18-8 in Warriors last 26 vs. Western Conference.Under is 15-7 in Warriors last 22 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and 7-3 UNDER L/10 here in Oakland.Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with combined average 191.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-17-18 | Bucks v. Pistons +4 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Detroit's ended a six-game losing streak this past Saturday night by defeating the Boston' Celtics and ending their opponents eight-game winning streak with a 113-104 victory at Little Caesars Arena. With momentum on their sides, I now expect the Pistons to give the Bucks a team that has won 3 of their L/4 a fight for their money in their spot. Detroit is 3-1 SU l/4 at home in this series, and are 4-1 in division games this season! DETROIT is 13-3 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are 103-185 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% SU conversion rate foe bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, first half of the season are 14-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Detroit Pistons to cover |
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12-16-18 | Raptors v. Nuggets +3 | 86-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Sunday night's key prime time matchup in the NBA features the top teams in the Eastern and Western Conferences. Both teams are banged up, and missing players. But one key players that Im betting makes a difference here tonight will be hard to replace for the Raptors and that is center Jonas Valanciunas, who just underwent surgery and is out for extended period of time.It must also be noted that Raps Forward Kawhi Leonard also just recently missed two games with a hip injury, and is less than 100% and guard Kyle Lowry is listed as questionable for Sunday's game with a thigh injury.The Nuggets snapped the Raptors' eight-game winning streak with a 106-103 victory on Dec. 3 and I know the Raps will be out looking for revenge, but you don'T always get what you want as the Nuggets matchup well vs this type of opponent. Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and are 3-8 ATS L/11 in Denver.Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall Denver is 14-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. Denver is 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Toronto. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 43-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-16-18 | Heat +7 v. Pelicans | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
I'll start off by saying that I am not much an admirer of the Pelicans and HC Gentry system. I know he has hands full trying to find stablemates and side kicks for super star Anthony Davis, but this team, runs on Davis's energy, and when he's not 100% , which he's not, the team is also less than 100% The Pelicans have not won back to back games since mid November , and just don't have any real consistency. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Heat, are a well coached team behind, Spoelstra who knows how to deal with teams like the Pelicans going 16-5 ATS L/21 in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game. Miami despite of not having a super star like Davis in their lineup work hard, and Im betting they get us the cover in this spot via their usual blue collar efforts. Spoelstra is 22-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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12-15-18 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 226.5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Clippers have struggled to score consistently of late and have scored 99 points or less in 4 of their L/5 games. Im betting their offensive woes will continue tonight vs a Thunder team that ranks 5th in defensive efficiency. This will translate in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers estimate.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 203.2 pig scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg and is 54-31 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 3 season s with a combined average of 211.9 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-15-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Pistons | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Boston (18-10) has won eight straight, including a 129-108 victory over Atlanta on Friday night and enter this game against their hosts the Pistons with a full head of steam, and despite of a heavy schedule still lookalike very viable options to cover vs a team they matchup well against. Note: NBA Favorites SU (BOSTON) - after 8 or more consecutive wins, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are good long term bets going 43-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 10.5 ppg making this a viable cover situation for the Celtics . BOSTON is also 12-1 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics have already beaten the Pistons twice this season. They smashed them at Little Caesars Arena 109-89 on Oct. 27, then beat them in Boston 108-105 three nights later. Note: The Pistons are just 0-6 ATS L/6 vs the Celtics with same season double revenge . DETROIT is 2-12 ATS in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 4 ppg. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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12-14-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets +2 | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs the Thunder and beat them SU the last time they met in Oklahoma City back on Nov 28 this season winning 105-98 as 6 point rod dogs.and according to my matchup power rankings are still the superior side when comparing system vs system output projections. I know the Thunder who are currently playing top tier hoops will be out to revenge that loss, but it must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is just 9-21 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and is 6-18 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season, which was the case last time out, in a 105-99 win vs Memphis 3 days ago. Bottom line here. Is that Denver is well rested and matchup well vs the Thunder. especially considering this will be the Thunders 5 road game in their L/6 outings. Also after a ha rd fought affair and loss on Wednesday night in New Orleans and now playing in the thin air of the Mile High City I wont be surprised if the Thunder run out of gas as this tilt moves into the 2nd half. Advantage Denver. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 42-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +8.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
Golden State after the tremendous success they have had over the last few seasons, are not playing with alot of intensity of late and are showing signs of complacency. That was evident when the Raptors came into Oakland and clobbered the defending champions by a 113-93 count this past Wednesday night. Now the sometimes lethargic looking champs go into Sacramento to play a young high energy Kings team playing inspired hoops and is up trending. The Kings on most nights are handful to handle, and nothing Im betting changes tonight. So if Golden State does get the win Im betting it will not come easily making getting points here with the home dog golden in my opinion. Note: Golden State held off Sacramento 117-116 at home on Nov. 24. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be a high probability event again. Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. GOLDEN STATE is 12-25 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Kings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. NBA home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous gamePlay on the Sacramento Kings to cover are 51-14 SU L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings OVER 235.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Sacramento behind the 3rd ranked pace is feeling confident of late with a run and gun take no prisoners style of play. The last time the Kings had 33 or more fast break points in a previous game, which they did in their last win, they continued to ratchet up their speed and shot taking, as they took part in a 132-112 win vs the Rockets in the followup back on Nov.17. Tonight Im betting they fiercely come right at the Golden State Warriors and the Dubs will have no problems coming right back at a home team ranked 27th in points allowed with some explosive offensive fireworks of their own. This one has the making off a all star like show stopping point fest. Golden State owns the 3rd ranked offense and the 15th ranked D. Over is 9-0 in Kings last 9 vs. Western Conference.Play OVER
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12-14-18 | Bucks v. Cavs OVER 218.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Milwaukee ranks first in the NBA in offensive output ( 118.1 ppg) and the 4th fastest pace and a defence, that ranks 11th in the league allowing 109.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Cleveland their opponents tonight rank 30th in the league in defensive efficiency (115.8 ppg) and are susceptible to being lit up like a Christmas tree vs a explosive offensive team like the Bucks. With that said, I expect the Milwaukee to do what they do best and that is run and gun, and for the Cavaliers to do what they do best, and that is chase the scoreboard from a negative output perspective. This Im betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect. MILWAUKEE is 20-9 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors wit a combined average of 227 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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12-14-18 | Pacers +4 v. 76ers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Pacers are a fine team, big and athletic and probably one of the best in the NBA . Indiana has won five straight, including a 16-point win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. I know Philadelphia is very talented , despite of some recent down efforts, but from a matchup perspective the Pacers matchup very well against them and must be respected here as underdogs even though they are on the road. With With Victor Oladipo back from a knee injury that sidelined him 11 games, Indiana is back at a full strength and the are according to power rankings the beast of the east. INDIANA is 9-1 ATS in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Pacers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pacers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 0-13 ATS and 1-12 SU with rest off a home loss that was tied five-plus times and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by just 2 points. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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12-13-18 | Clippers v. Spurs UNDER 222.5 | 87-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Spurs are currently up trending and have won 3 straight, and are showing increased defensive efforts and efficiency especially In their L/2 games, holding the Suns to 86 points the Jazz to 97 points. Im betting they will continue to play a tougher brand of defense first basketball here tonight against a Clippers team that despite of playing good hoops this season, have scored 99 points or less in 3 of their L/4 outings. Considering both sides current form I expect a lower scoring game than the lines makers are estimating. Under is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/SPURS /LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 40-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 32-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80%conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-13-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Rockets | 111-126 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Lakers (17-10) have won six of seven games and are now fourth in the Western Conference. Their defense, has been particularly strong while up trending, as they have recorded a 101.4 defensive rating , ranked third in the NBA . Tonight Im betting they have a ATS advantage vs a host team ( Houston) that can't find consistency and constantly 2nd guessing themselves and their overall approach. Needless to say the host team is far from being stable at the moment and weak favorites even here on their own home court. HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Lakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference. Rockets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game NBARoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers |
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12-12-18 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 211 | 84-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Slow starts on offence have been common of late as Utah in back-to-back losses to San Antonio and Oklahoma City averaged just 41.0 first-half points in the two games. Im betting the Jazz who ranked 24th on offence ( 107.2 ppg) have problems consistently putting points on the board tonight again vs a Miami side that currently playing some of their best defence of the season allowing 101.6 ppg in their L/6 overall while holding 3 of those opponents to 100 points or less. ( 5 of those 6 games failed to eclipse the total) The Heat rank 9th in the league defensive efficiency, and own the leagues 22nd ranked offence. These team played a tight 102-100 game earlier this season, and another similar style physical game looks to be tonights agenda. MIAMI is 13-2 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of just 193 ppg scored. Miami in their L/23 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 207 ppg go on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a close loss by 3 points or less are 75-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-12-18 | Thunder v. Pelicans OVER 231.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
We have a high total here but it's completely justified. The last time these teams played the Thunder won 122-116 at home on Nov.5th this season, and according to the way both teams systems and players matchup another high scoring affair will be on tonights bayou agenda.This tilt for the Pelicans against Oklahoma City will be New Orleans' eighth game in 15 days. The Pelicans have not had more than one day between games since Nov. 8- and are now on tied legs and will be in no way ready to play D, and with that said, I am betting the tThunder will light them up offensively, but thanks to a group of talented shooters averaging 49% FG at home , the the Birds will keep up in what will be a high scoring game according to my projections. Note: New Orleans home games have seen a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored. . Note: NEW ORLEANS I in 20 games where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season have seen a combined average 241 ppg go on the board. My estimates are higher than the +105 point plateau that this trend uses, giving us alot of value with a over wager here as associated with those outputs. Play OVER |
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12-12-18 | Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Pacers, have won four games in a row, and are very ready to take on a very good Milwaukee Bucks team here tonight. The Pacers have been playing well without key cog Oladipo and because of their never say die attitude and very physical athletic team, are never to be discounted . Especially at home where they are 9-4 this season, behind their No.1 ranked defence. Milwaukee took out the Pacers back on Oct 19 and now the host team has revenge on board. Note INDIANA is 11-2 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 29-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 16-64 SU last 22 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential clicking in at 8.9 ppg. Indiana to cover |
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12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers +4 | 123-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The Raptors enter this game against the Clippers struggling. Even a very good team like the Raptors go through slumps, and Im betting thats what thy are in the midst of right now as they are scoring just 105 points per game, while going 1-3 over their last four trips to the hardwood. With that said, I look for the Clippers to be very competitive here tonight on their own home floor where they have won 9 of their L/11 overall this season. Clippers are 2-0 SU L/2 as hosts in this series and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings overall. The Clippers are 10-0 ATS/SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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12-11-18 | Suns v. Spurs UNDER 218.5 | 86-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
HC Popovich of the Spurs , has been trying to make sure there has been a balance in the way his team is playing at both ends of the court. He has wanted to see an uptempo attack and concerted defensive effort in transition. Its been a work in progress, but last time out against Utah the Spurs finally played a complete game , winning as underdogs and holding their opponent to just 97 points. That was the Spurs second straight win as pups. With that success, and confidence on their sides, I once again expect for a strong defensive effort here vs a Suns team that has been held under 99 points in 6 of their L/7 overall, thanks in part to top scorer Devon Booker being out. With that said, Im betting the combined score here does not eclipse this number. SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog with a combined average of 178.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 31-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | 103-111 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Rockets are not the same team they have been the last couple of season and have a lot of weaknesses that are becoming obvious. The Rockets defence is ranked 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions (112.2) and their week under the offensive glass ranking 29th in defensive rebounding rate (68.5 percent) and ahead of only the Washington Wizards. The Rockets are playing uninspired ball, and showing very little cohesiveness as a team and as a result have ,lost 7 of their L/9 games. Meanwhile, Portland after an extended slump, have come to life lately with two consecutive wins, and will be primed to continue to jump start themselves here by ending a 4 game road losing streak , which has me recommending we go o take here with the visitors in this spot. HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS versus teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 5-14 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-4 ATS L/5 season for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-10-18 | Kings -2.5 v. Bulls | 108-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bulls are a mess and have lost 12 of their L/14 games. Meanwhile, Sacramento had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, losing to a very good Indiana side. Wha tIm betting on here tonight is for Chicago hoops team to continue to struggle in rebuilding mode, and for the Kings to be keen on taking care of business vs a lower tier team. In their last two road games vs sub par competition the Suns and the Cavaliers the Kings came out of those tilts with DD victories and more of the same kind of one sided action looks to be on their agenda tonight .SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-09-18 | Hornets v. Knicks +6 | 119-107 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks in their current form don't inspire bettors, but my projections estimate this line to be bloated, making the Hornets fade material in this spot. Also the Hornets are off a hard fought win vs Denver last time out. I watched part of that game and you could tell this Charlotte team was working hard and playing with intensity, which Im betting will have them in a natural letdown situation here today vs a side that not only does not inspire bettors, but their opposition as well. CHARLOTTE is 11-29 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Knicks are 6-1 ATS L/7 overall in this series and 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 here at home in MSG. Play NY Knicks to cover |
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12-09-18 | Jazz -3 v. Spurs | 97-110 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Im very surprised at how badly the San Antonio Spurs have performed this season, and how atrocious their defence has been overall. With that said, and from a matchup perspective when factoring in player vs player and system vs system, Utah matches up very well vs their hosts and get my support here based on some long standing strategies I've had success with over the years from a long term perspective. Note: The Jazz set a franchise record with 20 three-pointers made in Monday's win over San Antonio, shooting 60.6 percent (20-33) from beyond the arc on their way to their 34-point win. I know the Spurs showed some life last time out coming from behind to win 130-122 vs the Lakers, but they exerted a great deal of energy in that game, and could suffer the effects of that hard work here vs a physical Utah Jazz team.Note: The Spurs, haven't won back-to-back games since winning four straight in an eight-day span Oct. 27-Nov. 3 and Im betting they falter here today. Utah is off a 118-91 win vs Houston last time out. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 70-13 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average point differential clicking in at 9.8 pg. NBA Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 15-45 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-09-18 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Pistons | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Pelicans and Anthony Davis come into Motown to play a banged up group of Pistons hobbled by injuries. Davis loves to play against the Pistons as is evident by averaging 30.4 points in 10 games against them, his highest career mark against any opponent. Im betting he will flourish again against a team that will have rotational issues with player personal adjustments expected. DETROIT is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 19-38 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. The Pistons are own a ugly 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS record in this series, including 1-5 SUATS the last six at home. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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12-08-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -2 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This game features Western Conference competitors vying for future play off positioning, and Im expecting a hard fought game with home court advantage being the difference maker for the home side Portland. I know the Wolves have played good ball since Jimmy Butler was traded, and that the Blazers have been less than consistent, but after playing some decent ball in their last trip to the hardwood allowing the Suns just 86 points in a victory. I expect the Blazers to use the momentum of that tilt to buoy them into this tilt. Note: PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Portland is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 87-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-08-18 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -2 | 111-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Both these combatants played last night. The Lakers exhausted four starters upward of 36 minutes Friday night in a 133-120 loss at San Antonio that snapped a four-game winning streak, but now will have very little left in the tank tonight to face a physical hardworking Memphis team playing at home. Meanwhile, The Grizzlies, played no one more than 35 minutes and took a 107-103 win at New Orleans. The Grizzlies now have an advantage. Note: MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning recorder 14-64 SU l/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 22-553ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks UNDER 220.5 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Nets pulled out a 106-105 overtime win over the Eastern Conference-leading Toronto Raptors on Friday night, and will now be on tired legs, and be less than ready to run and gun vs the NY Knicks here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks off shooting 39.6 percent shooting from the field in the loss, are a team that is struggling mightily to be consistent offensively. What was horrendous was the Knicks allowed the Celtics to shoot better than 53% in that loss, and now HC Fizdale will demanding his squad play better D, and to be more methodical with their approach. The above combinations Im betting will see this total combined score stay on the low side of the total. NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a below .500 team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 206.3 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 28-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-08-18 | Kings v. Pacers UNDER 222.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana is a big strong athletic team that bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and are allowing just 97.5 ppg at home this season. On the season they are ranked first in ppg allowed and 2nd in defensive rating. I know the the Kings run and in gun in with reckless abandon, but Indiana has the ability to dictate the pace here especially at home. The Pacers are ranked 26th in pace in the NBA and are methodical in their approach and nothing changes here today. INDIANA is 9-0 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 15-5 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.5 pig scored.INDIANA is 12-4 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 200.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 39-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-08-18 | Rockets v. Mavs +3 | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston rolls in here looking for revenge for a loss they suffered to the Mavericks 128-108 at home last week, and despite of wanting revenge are not showing much of a winning touch or any consistency of late, losing 6 of their L/8 overall. In their current form they look less than viable road chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a dismal effort in their last trip to the court a 132-106 beat down at the hands of the Pelicans , have shown a historical propensity for a top tier bounce back effort, as is evident by HC Carlisle 10-1 ATS record off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Note: Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 13-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in home games this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-07-18 | Warriors v. Bucks UNDER 240 | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light the scoreboard up, but when quality teams like this get together, a more physical brand of basketball is not unusual. GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 UNDER L/40 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average score of 224.6 ppg scored. Also HC Kerr is 20-8 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. Golden State allowed Milwaukkee to smash them 134-111 at home in their last meeting an now Im betting on them playing down lock down defence and responsible transitional basketball. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more 38-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-07-18 | Lakers v. Spurs OVER 225.5 | 120-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
San Antonio are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th game in 10 days and enter this game ranked 29th in the league in defensive efficiency and 11th in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Lakers rank 9th in ppg in the league, averaging 113.1 ppg and 17th in ppg allowed at 111.1 ppg. When considering both sides current form, and system vs system analysis and player matchup trends, my projections estimate a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 OVER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored. These teams combined to put 235 ppg on the board in LA 2 days ato in their last meeting, which was a back and forth affair, and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Friday games.Over is 5-0-1 in Spurs last 6 games following a straight up loss.Over is 8-0 in Spurs last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1-1 in Spurs last 12 overall.Over is 9-1-1 in Spurs last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 18-7-1 in Spurs last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 74-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-07-18 | Thunder v. Bulls +9 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The struggling Bulls lost 96-90 vs the Indiana Pacers last time out, but played well against a top tier team, and look to be ready clean things up with new HC Boylen on the side lines. The Bulls have now lost seven straight and 11th in their last 12 contests, but now coming off an extended road trip will be ready to compete here at home. Note:Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Bulls are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We all know how well the Thunder are playing, but covering 9 points here on the road, in what will be their 3rd game in 5 nights vs a very hungry team Im betting is asking for to much. With that said, there is value here taking the Bulls to cover. Donovan is 9-24 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-32 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in December games are 19-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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12-07-18 | 76ers v. Pistons +2.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I like the way new HC Casey has the Pistons playing and despite coming off back to back losses including Milwaukee last time out, look like viable bets here vs a visiting Philadelphia team off a disappointing loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Note: Pistons HC Casey is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. Meanwhile, the 76ers despite of being talented have lost 8 of their L/12 road games this season, and now in a letdown situation vs a Motown crew that has played their best ball at home posting a 9-4 record their in trouble, and false favorites in my opinion. Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. 76ers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 76ers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz -2 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz recorded a season high for points in their last trip to the hardwood and Im betting they use the momentum of that explosive offensive effort to take out the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday. The hard working never say die Jazz has won four of their last six games and converted on a franchise-record 20 3-pointers in Tuesday's 139-105 beat down of the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Look for more of same action here at home vs a Rockets side that has been highly inconsistent this season, and have lost 5 of their L/7 games overall. Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season are 69-115 ATS for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-06-18 | Knicks v. Celtics OVER 217.5 | 100-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Boston has been really lighting up the scoreboard of late, scoring 124,128, 118 in their L/3 trips to the floor. Tonight I expect they will continue to roll against a less than consistent NYK defence, that ranks 27th in D efficiency and 26th in points allowed ( 114.4 ppg). What Im betting is that for the Knicks to have no choice but the chase the Celtics and try to post some explosive offensive fire works of their own or be blown off the court in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair the eclipses this Total. My projections estimate that Boston will score within 115 to 121 points. Note: NEW YORK is 10-2 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons ands 11-2 OVER after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 28-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-05-18 | Spurs +8.5 v. Lakers | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
Im a gluten for punishment, as I take the Spurs plus the points here on the road again tonight vs LAL, after losing my recommended wager on them taking points last night in Utah. I know San Antonio does not inspire bettors in their current form, but according to my power rankings they matchup well vs the Lakers. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. NBA team (LA LAKERS) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite, off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 4-23 ATS L/22 seasons, for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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12-05-18 | Mavs +6.5 v. Pelicans | 106-132 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The Mavericks enter this Bayou tilt having won nine of 11 overall after a 111-102 home victory against Portland on Tuesday. That gave them three wins in four games against West contenders in the last week and has them playing with confidence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are banged up with a fair amount of walking wounded including starting point guard Elfrid Payton, and have now lost six of their last eight games. Note: Pelicans Nikola Miratic has also been off, and is suffering from an illness of some type. Advantage Mavericks. DALLAS is 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and is 15-7 ATS in the first half of the season this season.DALLAS is 13-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
The matchup pairs the NBA's fourth-leading defense (Grizzlies, 103.1 points per game) against the third-leading offense (Clippers, 117.7). Im betting defense as well as home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. The Grizzlies are 17-0 SU/ATS when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. Memphis Grizzlies ( LATE STEAM) |
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12-05-18 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 232 | 131-117 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Washington is on a two game win streak thanks to paying better attention to defence, and being much more careful in transition.WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta continues to struggle to score consistently, with the 30th ranked offensive efficiency despite of procuring the No 1 pace in the league . Im betting despite of Hawks trying to run and gun , their efficiency , thanks to missing one of their key offensive players Prince will see their flow thwarted as well as their total output. Meanwhile, the Wizards will remain steadfast in their wish to play a better controlled brand of basketball. What Im betting on here is a lower scoring game than the hefty number might indicate. WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. struggling rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 22-7 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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12-04-18 | Spurs +7.5 v. Jazz | 105-139 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
San Antonio came out of a lethargic state last time out by beating Portland 131-118 on Sunday. Im betting the momentum of their last victory will carry on into this game vs their host Utah, a team on tired legs after playing 6 games in 10 days. and overall have played 10 of their L/12 games on the road Note: NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 26-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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12-04-18 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 208.5 | 90-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Bulls take the court against the Pacers, with associate head coach Jim Boylen taking over as head coach after Hoiberg was tied yesterday. QUOTE "You might see a bit different style of the offensive end as we get going," Boylen told reporters at his introductory press conference Monday. "You got to put your hand print on it and make it yours. But you have to realize there's a level of shock that the players have to deal with." END QUOTE The shock that Boylen is speaking about Im betting will see the Bulls play a more methodical game plan, that will help keep this game slower paced then their used to and will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers expect. With Indiana on 3 days rest after a west coast road trip I expect they will be fresh enough to play some strong D, something the coaching staff have been emphasizing of late. Chicago has gone under in 10 of their L/13 games. Indiana has gone under in 3 straight. CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored.INDIANA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board.INDIANA is 20-5 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after playing 3 consecutive road games, playing with 2 days rest are 51-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-03-18 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 228 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Washington topped New York 108-95 earlier this season at home, and Im expecting the same type of lower scoring affair once again . NEW YORK is 29-16 UNDER L/45 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 208.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 18-6 UNDER in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. HC Fizdale is 12-2 UNDER in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 60-20 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 25-4 UNDER for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NYK/ WASHINGTON) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%)are 24-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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12-03-18 | Warriors v. Hawks +11 | 128-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
While the defending champion Warriors have Steph Curry back in the lineup another key cog is still out as Draymond Green has missed the last eight games with a right toe sprain and also Alfonzo McKinnie has missed the last eight games with left foot soreness. Needless to say their still not at 100%. Note: The Warriors have not been very profitable for their backers of late as they are 2-9 ATS L/11 overall, and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 as favourites. Long termGOLDEN STATE is 55-69 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Golden State won 110-103 when it hosted the Hawks on Nov. 13, and the young men from Atlanta proved they can hang with the big boys in that game, and Im betting they will primed to compete again here at home. Historical Trends value also favours this Hawks here as extreme lined home teams (double digit dogs or over 15 pt. favorites) off of a loss like the Hawks are 185-105-5 63.8% ATS with outliners included) Also teams averaging 103 or more ppg are 268-205-8 ATS 57% after a game where they were behind 15 points or more at the half. GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 16-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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12-03-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +1 | 110-83 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons are proving their a team that must be respected after taking out Golden State SU as 5 point home dogs last time out for their 5th straight home vicotry. Now their listed as underdogs again vs visiting Oklahoma City. The Motown reserves are standing tall, and showing the teams depth and Im betting they won;t bow down today, vs another deep team, especialy on their own court, where they have an edge. Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit. CITY is 7-20 ATS in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-48 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are just 96-176 L/22 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-02-18 | Blazers +1 v. Spurs | 118-131 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Alot has changed in San Antonio, as they are now showing a lot of defensive holes and deficiencies. Popovich's team has seen the last two opponents combine to make 40 3-pointers in 95 attempts and they are off a ugly 128-89 loss to the Minnesota Wolves last time out. Im betting their fortunes wont get much better tonight vs a Portland side, that shot 53.6 percent while defeating the Spurs 121-108 at home on Oct. 20, showing their ability to matchup well vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs need to desperately bounce back, but like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones have said before, You don't always get what you want. PORTLAND is 36-21 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |