Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -7.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs responding in a big way from that ugly performance in Game 1. Indiana went into Cleveland and laid it on the Cavs right from the git go, as they led 33-14 after the 1st quarter. Cleveland could never recover and will not make that mistake twice. Keep in mind that after allowing 33 points in the 1st quarter, the Cavs defense allowed 22, 18 and 25 over the final 3 periods. As for Cleveland's atrocious offensive performance, that was simply a bad night at the office, as they shot just 38.5% from the field and 23.5% from long distance. The Pacers primary goal was to get a split in the first two games at Cleveland and they accomplished just that. Look for them to struggle to match the intensity of the Cavs in Game 2, as they will be treating this like a Game 7 to avoid falling behind 0-2. Give me Cleveland -7.5! |
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04-17-18 | Bucks +2.5 v. Celtics | 106-120 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks +2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bucks getting points in a game I expect them to win outright. Milwaukee really came out flat in Game 1, scoring just 17 points in the 1st quarter. For them to fight back from that start and force OT is a great sign for the rest of the series. As much respect as I have for this Celtics team, mainly head coach Brad Stevens, they are really behind the 8-ball right now without Irving to shoulder the load offensively when things aren't going their way. Milwaukee's got the best player on the court and it's not even close. Give me the Bucks +2.5! |
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04-17-18 | Wizards +7 v. Raptors | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wizards +7) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards covering in Game 2. Washington ended up losing by 8-poitns in Game 1 at Toronto, but that could have went either way. The Wizards had the lead at the half and trailed by just 1-point going into the 4th quarter. Had it not been for the Raptors catching fire from long-distance (16 made 3-pointers) they likely lose that game. I expect to see a similar contest in Game 2 and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Washington won this game outright. Take the Wizards +7! |
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04-16-18 | Spurs +10 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA "SPURS/WARRIORS" ATS KNOCKOUT (Spurs +10) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio to keep this within single digits. Simply put the Spurs didn't play well in Game 1 and the Warriors shot lights out, hitting 54.3% from the field and 45.5% from deep. I know Golden State is a great offensive team, but they are still playing without Steph Curry and the Spurs know how to play defense. Look for Popovich to make some adjustments here and catch the Warriors a bit flat off that easy win in Game 1. An outright victory for San Antonio is not out of the question. Give me the Spurs +10! |
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04-15-18 | Wolves +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves +11.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Minnesota as a double-digit dog in Game 1 of their series against the Rockets. I think this is a tricky spot for Houston, as they pretty much cruised to the finish line with the best record in the NBA. They haven't had to play a real meaningful game in quite some time. I just think they could come out a bit flat here. As for the Timberwolves, the playoffs started for them on the final night of the regular season, as it was win or go home against the Nuggets. A game they pulled off in overtime. I look for Minnesota to carry over that momentum an at least give the Rockets a scare. Give me the Timberwolves +11.5! |
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04-15-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -4 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Thunder -4) I'll take my chances here with OKC as a short home favorite against the Jazz. I got nothing by respect for Utah and the turnaround they had this season, but their best player is a rookie and there's a good chance he struggles on the road in his first playoff game. On top of that, I just don't think the Thunder are getting enough respect on their home court. OKC was 27-14 at home, where they outscored teams by 5.4 ppg. Utah was just 20-21 on the road this season. I wouldn't be shocked here if the home team won every game in this series. There's that big of home court edge for both sides here. Give me the Thunder -4! |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Blazers | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers. I've really been impressed with how well New Orleans has been playing since losing Cousins and despite how good Lillard has been playing, the Pelicans have the best player on the court in Davis. I expect Davis to dominate and it's just a matter if he gets enough help. I think Rondo is built for the playoffs and will be the difference maker in not only the Pelicans covering, but winning this game outright. Give me New Orleans +5.5! |
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04-14-18 | Wizards +8 v. Raptors | 106-114 | Push | 0 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards +8) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a decently priced dog against the Raptors. Washington is a much better team than what they showed down the stretch and a big reason for that is they were trying to get the No. 7 seed to face the Celtics in the first round. It didn't work out, but this is also the last team the Raptors wanted to face. Toronto has lost nine straight Game 1's in the postseason and I just think all the pressure is on them to play well here. I don't know if Washington will have enough to win this game outright, but they should be able to keep it close enough to cover. Give me the Wizards +8! |
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04-11-18 | Bucks v. 76ers -6.5 | Top | 95-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the 76ers winning and covering this big spread. Most people are aware what's at stake for Philadelphia, a win here and they lock up the No. 3 seed in the East. That would be huge, as it would get them a favorable 2nd round matchup against either No. 2 Boston or whoever ends up at No. 7. As for the Bucks, they are currently 6th, but would prefer to lose. Milwaukee loses their 1st round pick if they finish No. 6, but would keep it if they end up at No. 7 or No. 8. They would still need some help to fall back even with a loss, but there's simply zero incentive for the Bucks to play well here. Look for reserves to see a lot of action in this one. Give me the 76ers -6.5! |
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04-09-18 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -4) I'll take my chances here with Denver covering the small number at home. I think a lot of people look at this game for Portland and expect them to come out giving it their all to try and secure the No. 3 seed over the Jazz. However, regardless with a win or loss in this game, chances are the Blazers will have to win their finale at home over Utah. I just don't see them matching the intensity of the Nuggets in this one. Denver is basically in a do-or-die situation, as they are currently tied with the Timberwolves for the 8th and final spot, but also just 1-game game of 5th place New Orleans. Denver has won 5 straight and I'm counting on them to make it 6 straight and cash another ticket. Give me the Nuggets -4! |
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04-08-18 | Pacers v. Hornets +2.5 | 123-117 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets +2.5) I'll take my chances her with Charlotte as a home dog against the Pacers. This is more of a play against Indiana than anything. The Pacers are 2-games back of Cleveland for 4th with just 2 to play and the Cavs final 2 are against the Knicks, so their chances of catching Cleveland are slim to none. On the flip side, Indiana can't fall any lower than 5th, so there's essentially nothing to play for right now. I believe the primary focus for the Pacers will be to cut back on their key guys minutes and make sure they are ready to roll for the playoffs. Charlotte showed some fight in their last game, as they destroyed Orlando on the road by 37-points, despite nothing to play for. With this being their final home game of the season, I look for another big effort here from the Hornets. Give me Charlotte +2.5! |
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04-07-18 | Nuggets -2 v. Clippers | 134-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Nuggets -2) I'll take my chances here with Denver as a short road favorite against the Clippers. Both teams are still on the outside looking in for the playoffs in the west, but it's the Nuggets that really only have a shot. The Clippers are 2.5-games out of 8th with just 3 to play. They clearly looked like they threw in the towel on their chances in their last game, as they got blown out of the gym in a 95-117 loss at Utah. Nuggets can move into a tie with Minnesota for 8th with a win here. Denver has won 4 straight and I wouldn't be shocked if they ran away with this one. Give me the Nuggets -2! |
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04-06-18 | Bulls +10.5 v. Celtics | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls +10.5) I think we are getting a great price here to back the Bulls against the Celtics. Chicago hasn't been very good down the stretch, but have won 3 straight, which is a pretty good sign that they aren't just tanking the rest of the way. However, this is more a play against Boston, who is coming off a crushing loss to the Raptors in their last game, which was a game they really wanted, as they were trying to catch Toronto for the No. 1 seed. Now that that's out of the picture, they have nothing to play for over their final 4 games. On top of that, the Celtics just got some devastating news regarding point guard Kyrie Irving. The hope was that Irving would be able to return for the playoffs, but that's no longer the case as he's undergoing another procedure on his knee and has been ruled out of the postseason. I not only think they struggle to win here by double-digits, but I wouldn't be shocked if they lost outright. Give me the Bulls +10.5! |
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04-05-18 | Nets +9 v. Bucks | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +9) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nets as a near double-digit dog against the Bucks on Thursday. Milwaukee can finally take a sigh of relief, as the Pistons loss last night to the 76ers clinched a playoff spot for the Bucks. Now it's all about positioning themselves for the playoffs and most importantly, getting guys rested up for the postseason. Right now Milwaukee is sitting in 8th and while they might not come out and say it, I think they would prefer to stay in the bottom two spots and take their chances with Toronto or Boston in the first round and avoid having to face LeBron James and the Cavs, which would be their likely opponent if they kept winning and crept up to the No. 6 spot. Brooklyn has been competitive and have thrived in the role of a road dog, covering 23 of their last 35 away from home when getting points. I wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me the Nets +9! |
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04-03-18 | Spurs v. Clippers +1.5 | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Clippers +1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers as a home dog against the Spurs tonight. I think we are seeing San Antonio way overvalued here. Yes, the Spurs have won 8 of their last 10, but all 8 of those wins came at home. Both losses were on the road, where San Antonio is a miserable 14-24 on the season. While the Spurs aren't officially in the postseason just yet, they are sitting 4th in the west right now. As for LA, this is a game they can't afford to lose, as they are 2-games out of 8th place with just 5 to play. Look for Los Angeles to lay everything on the line at home and come away with a much-needed win. Give me the Clippers +1.5! |
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04-03-18 | Pacers v. Nuggets -3 | 104-107 | Push | 0 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver as a short home favorite against the Pacers. The Nuggets pulled off one of the most improbable wins of the season last time out, as they erased an 18-point deficit in the final 7 and half minutes and went on to win the game in OT. The Nuggets are now just 1-game back of the Pelicans for the 8th and final spot in the west playoff race. Indiana has been playing well down the stretch. The Pacers are riding a 5-game winning streak, but I think they will struggle here in the final game of a 4-game road trip with a much bigger game on deck at home against the Warriors on Thursday. Denver is the last place you want to play with tired legs and less than 100% focus. Give me the Nuggets -3. |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
50* MICHIGAN/VILLANOVA SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan +7) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Wolverines as a big dog against Villanova in the title game. If you listen to the major media outlets, there's really no point in even playing this game, as most experts on TV/Radio are already claiming Villanova as the winner. I love teams that are considered to have no chance of winning in big games. I not only think the Wolverines can keep this close enough to cover, but I give them a good shot at winning this game outright. Michigan is much better equipped than Kansas was to defend the 3-pointer and are a better offensive team than they have shown in their last two games against FSU and Loyola. Sure, if Villanova hits 50% from long distance they likely win this game going away, but given how well the Wolverines defend the 3-pointer, I don't see that happening. Michigan is the better defensive team and defense wins championships. Give me the Wolverines +7! |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5.5 | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB FINAL FOUR ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines covering the 5.5-point spread against the Ramblers. Loyola-Chicago is this year's Cinderella team and it's been quite a run for this program, but I think they are in for a rude awakening in the Final Four. There' have been multiple No. 11 seeds reach this point and none have been able to reach the finals. The thing you can't overlook with the Ramblers making it this far is just how lucky they have been. They won their first two games on a last second shot and their first 3 wins came by a combined 4 points. They also played in a region where all the top teams went out early, as they got to take on No. 7 Nevada in the Sweet 16 and No. 9 Kansas State in the Elite 8. Michigan is by far the best team they have played to this point and the Wolverines should win here going away. Give me Michigan -5.5! |
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03-27-18 | Bucks v. Clippers -3 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers as a short home favorite against the Bucks. I think the perception here is that both teams desperately need a win here, but I don't think that's the case at all. The Bucks are sitting 7th in the east, but are a solid 5.5-games up on 9th place Detroit with only 9 games to play. It's really just about whether they finish 6th, 7th or 8th. As for the Clippers, they absolutely have to have this game. LA is currently 10th in the west, but are definitely still in the mix. They are only a 1/2-game back of 9th place Denver and 2 back of 8th place Minnesota. Clippers have won 2 of 3 with the only loss at Indiana and the two wins upset victories over the Raptors and these Bucks. You could argue that Milwaukee will be out for revenge, but the Bucks simply aren't playing well and I don't see them winning on the road here. Give me the Clippers -3! |
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03-27-18 | Spurs v. Wizards +2 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +2) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a home dog against the Spurs. The Wizards are in a prime bounce back spot here. They come in having lost 3 straight and the most recent was an embarrassing home loss to the Knicks. On top of that, Washington will be out for revenge, as this 3-game skid started with a loss at San Antonio last Wednesday. The Spurs have won 6 of 7, but lost their last game at Milwaukee. Note that the 6 game winning streak that proceeded this all came at home, where the Spurs have lost just 8 times all season. San Antonio is just 14-23 on the road and I just feel they are getting way too much respect here. Give me the Wizards +2! |
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03-27-18 | Western Kentucky v. Utah +2 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NIT SEMIFINAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Utah +2) I'll take my chances with the Utes in Tuesday's semifinal action of the NIT against Western Kentucky. Utah didn't make the NCAA Tournament, but there's no denying that this team was playing their best basketball down the stretch and likely could have made some noise in the Big Dance. The Utes closed out the regular season 9-3 over their final 12 games. They lost a heartbreaker in their only game in the Pac-12 tournament, falling 66-68 to Oregon, despite shooting 51.2% from the field and limiting the Ducks to a mere 37.7% shooting. Utah responsded with 3 straight impressive wins over UC-Davis, LSU and St. Mary's to get a chance to play at Madison Square Garden. WKU has also played great, but I think they benefited quite a bit from playing teams like USC and Oklahoma State, who were bubble teams that got left out and weren't all that interested in making a deep run in the NIT. I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Utes +2! |
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03-25-18 | Duke -3 v. Kansas | Top | 81-85 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ELITE 8 GAME OF THE YEAR (Duke -3) My money is on the Blue Devils to cash in a winning ticket and cover the small spread in Sunday's Elite 8 action against Kansas. Duke didn't play all that well in their last game and had to grind out a 69-65 win over Syracuse as a 11-point favorite. While Kansas ended up not covering in their 80-76 win over Clemson, that was a much more lopsided affair than the final score would suggest. The Blue Devils shot just 39.3% against the Orange, as they struggled to crack Syracuse's zone defense. While Kansas isn't a horrible defensive team, I think this is a really tough matchup for the Jayhawks. I just feel that Duke is the better team and will find a way to win this game. Give me the Blue Devils -3! |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech +6.5 v. Villanova | 59-71 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB ELITE 8 ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a decently priced dog against the Wildcats. Nothing against Villanova, but I think the Wildcats are getting a little too much respect here against a very good Texas Tech team that just beat a strong Purdue team by 13 points on Friday. Villanova ended up covering in a 90-78 win over West Virginia, but that was far from a comfortable win, as they actually trailed by 6 with just over 11 minutes to play. I think that game took a lot out of Villanova and now they have to go up against a Texas Tech team that can lock you down defensively. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Red Raiders pulled off the upset. Give me Texas Tech +6.5! |
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03-24-18 | Florida State v. Michigan -4 | Top | 54-58 | Push | 0 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ELITE 8 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -4) I was all over the Wolverines in Thursday's complete annihilation of Texas A&M. One of the big reasons I like Michigan so much, was they just weren't themselves in their first two games and I thought a big reason for that was the long lay-off from the Big Ten Tournament being played a week earlier than it had in the past. As expected, we saw a completely different team against the Aggies. As impressive as FSU looked in their win over Gonzaga, they did catch some breaks. For one, the Bulldogs were without a key piece to their rotation in 2nd leading scorer Killian Tillie. The Seminoles also benefited from Williams and Hachimura got in early foul trouble. Let's not forget the game before against Xavier, they benefited from a big collapse by the Musketeers, who had a 12 point lead with around 10 minutes to play. Simply put, I think FSU is extremely fortunate to have made it this far and will be outclassed by Michigan. Give me the Wolverines -4! |
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03-24-18 | Pelicans v. Rockets -8.5 | 91-114 | Win | 102 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -8.5) I'll take my chances here with Houston winning by double-digits at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in having won 4 straight and I think that's keeping this number a lot lower than it should be. I have to tip my hat to the Pelicans, who just won 3 straight games at home in 3 days starting with Tuesday's win over the Mavs and concluding with Thursday's win over the Lakers. Note they played a back-to-back set and had just 1-day off prior to the 3 games in 3 days. This will be their 6th game in the last 8 days. I just don't see how this team will have enough left in the tank to go on the road against an elite team like the Rockets, who can bury you in matter of minutes if you aren't on your game, and keep it respectable. Give me Houston -8.5! |
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03-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Kansas State -1 | 78-62 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB ELITE 8 NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas St -1) I'll take my chances with Kansas State to come out victorious against Loyola-Chicago. The Ramblers have been this year's Cinderella story outside of No. 16 UMBC. Loyola has won 3 games in the tournament in about as dramatic a fashion as you could envision. They took out Miami and Tennessee on last second shots and barely escaped with a 1-point win over Nevada. The Ramblers are built around a strong defense that looks to frustrate opponents and really take them out of their game. That plays right into the hands of the Wildcats, who look to beat you in the exact same way. I just feel that Kansas State is the far superior team and when you look at what the Big 12 has done in this tournament, I don't understand how they aren't getting more respect. Give me the Wildcats -1! |
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03-23-18 | Texas Tech +2 v. Purdue | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
50* NCAAB SWEET 16 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas Tech +2) I have a lot of respect for this Purdue team, but I just think they are behind the 8-ball after losing big man Isaac Haas. He was such a difference maker inside and really forced defenses to collapse, creating wide open looks on the perimeter. They were very fortunate to get past Butler in their last game, escaping with a 76-73 win. Luckily for them Butler isn't a great defensive team, at least not on the level of what they will face tonight with Texas Tech. A lot of people forget this Red Raiders team was playing as well as anyone to start the year before the injuries started to mount up. They are finally back to full strength and aren't just a team capable of winning this game, but making the Final 4. I think their ability to lock down the Boilermakers on the defensive side of the ball will be the difference. Give me Texas Tech +2! |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia v. Villanova -5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS NO-BRAINER (Villanova -5) There's no denying that West Virginia is a difficult team to prepare for with their unique style of play, especially if you haven't seen it. It's really a difference maker when you have just that 1-day off between the first and second round, which I believe explains the annihilator of Marshall in the Round of 32. While these two programs haven't played each other since 2011, Villanova is one team that I think can handle the pressure. They are an experienced bunch with outstanding guards, which you have to have to beat this Mountaineer team. West Virginia might be able to hang around early, but I see Villanova winning here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -5! |
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03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers -3 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Clippers on Friday. LA had a team meeting and responded with a 127-120 win at Milwaukee, snapping their 4-game losing streak. I'm just not buying it. The Clippers caught a massive break in that game, as Antetokounmpo hurt his ankle and played just 17 minutes. Had he not got hurt, I think the Bucks win that game, as they still managed to shoot 54.9% from the field. That's now 3 straight games where the Clippers have allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. I also love this spot for the Pacers, who need to get something going after suffering their 3rd loss in their last 4 games in Wednesday's 92-96 defeat at New Orleans. Give me Indiana -3! |
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03-23-18 | Nuggets v. Wizards -2.5 | 108-100 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -2.5) My money is on the Wizards to cash in as small home favorites on Friday. I think this is a great spot to jump on Washington, as they will be eager to get back in the win column after losing 90-98 at San Antonio, a loss that simply came down to their inability to make shots on the road against a good defense. Look for the offense to get back on track at home against a Nuggets team that hasn't been great defensively and figure to have some tired legs playing their 4th straight on the road. Denver does come in off an impressive 23-point win at Chicago, but you shouldn't read into that win at all. The Bulls are in full on tank mode and basically had their "C" squad out there for that game. The Nuggets are simply not a good road team. In their previous 4 road games they lost outright to the likes of the Mavs, Lakers and Grizzlies. Give me the Wizards -2.5! |
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03-23-18 | Clemson +5 v. Kansas | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson +5) I'll take my chances here with the Tigers as a decently priced dog. I'm just not a believer in this Kansas team and while they have made it this far, I haven't been all that impressed. I know Azubuike was able to play 22 minutes in their last game against Seton Hall, but he's still not 100% and Seton Hall's Delgado really had his way inside, scoring 24 points and grabbing 23 rebounds. This Clemson team has been way undervalued ever since they lost Grantham for the season, but have continued to play at an extremely high level. I thought their 84-53 win over Auburn was one of the most impressive wins in the first two rounds, yet no one is talking about this team or giving them much of a chance to win this game. I really like their chances to pull off the upset, but will gladly take the points as some added insurance. Give me Clemson +5! |
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03-22-18 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -6 | 75-60 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS KNOCKOUT (Gonzaga -6) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs. It feels like this game is flying under the radar in Thursday's Sweet 16 lineup. I'm not sure why. Either way, I see some decent value here with Gonzaga, who I think was one of the most underrated teams in the tournament. On the flip side of this, I'm not a believer in the Seminoles. Sure they took out No. 1 seed Xavier, but was it really a big surprise to see the Musketeers bow out early. Let's also not forget that it was more Xavier collapsing than it was FSU being the better team. The Musketeers blew a 12-point lead late in the 2nd half. I also think there's a massive edge here in coaching with Gonzaga's Mark Few going up against the Seminoles Leonard Hamilton. Give me the Bulldogs -6! |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 72-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SWEET 16 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -2.5) My money is on the Wolverines as a short favorite here against the Aggies. Michigan got off to a slow start and barely covered their opener against Montana and then needed a 3-pointer at the buzzer to escape with a 64-63 win over Houston. I think because they didn't dominate, all the buzz around this team has taken a hit and I believe it has them undervalued here. That Houston team was way better than most people realized. On the flip side of this, Texas A&M is getting all kinds of love right now after their dismantling of North Carolina (won by 21) in the Round of 32. That was impressive, but let's not forget they barely got by Providence in their first game. I also think Michigan wasn't in top form after the long layoff from the Big Ten Tournament and will be a different team when they take the court tonight. Give me the Wolverines -2.5! |
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03-21-18 | Wizards v. Spurs -5 | Top | 90-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs -5) My money is on the Spurs laying a short number at home against the Wizards. Washington has played better than anyone expected without John Wall, but even with back-to-back wins are just 4-5 in their last 9. I just think this team is getting way too much respect here against a Spurs team that is finally playing up to their potential. San Antonio has won 4 straight and despite a mediocre 41-30 overall record by their standards, they are a dominant 27-8 at home this season, where they have gone 21-13-1 ATS. Give me the Spurs -5! |
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03-21-18 | Raptors +1.5 v. Cavs | 129-132 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors +1.5) My money is on the Raptors to go into Cleveland and get a win over the Cavs on Wednesday. Toronto is playing exceptional basketball right now and are going to relish in the opportunity to send a message to the Cavs, who are still widely considered the favorites in the east, despite the fact that Toronto owns the best record in the conference by 5 games over the Celtics and 11.5 over Cleveland. The Cavs have won 2 straight and 3 of 4, but two of those wins came against tankers in the Bulls and Suns. The other was a 7-point win over a Bucks team that isn't playing well and they won by just 7-points despite LeBron James going off for 40 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists. For LeBron to have that kind of a game and they only won by 7 at home, speaks volumes to just how far this team has to go before the playoffs start. Keep in mind the Cavs aren't healthy right now and are still working on their chemistry as Love just returned after a 21-game absence. Give me the Raptors +1.5! |
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03-21-18 | Grizzlies +12.5 v. 76ers | 105-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +12.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a big dog against the 76ers. The Grizzlies have been a complete mess for most of the 2nd half. A big reason for that was injuries to key players, as they just don't have a ton of depth. They are as healthy as they have been in a long time and have covered their last 2, which includes an impressive 101-94 win at home over a Nuggets team that is fighting for the playoffs. I think we get another big effort here in this one and more than anything I think the books have drastically inflated this line in favor of the 76ers. Give me the Grizzlies +12.5! |
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03-20-18 | Thunder -3 v. Celtics | Top | 99-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC as a short road favorite against the Celtics on Tuesday. Boston is a great team and would be favored if they were at full strength, but that's not the case here. The Celtics are really hurting right now. They won't have Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart or Jaylen Brown for this game and this simply isn't a great team without Irving on the floor. Sure they could beat some of the mediocre and bottom feeders without Irving, but asking them to take down the Thunder is asking too much. Especially with how well OKC is playing right now. The Thunder have won 6 straight and just went on the road and snapped the Raptors 11-game winning streak. With how tight things are in the west, this game means a lot more to Oklahoma City. Give me the Thunder -3! |
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03-19-18 | Western Kentucky +5 v. USC | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NIT LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Western Kentucky +5) I'll take my chances here with Western Kentucky and the points on the road against USC. The Trojans were one of the bigger snubs for the NCAA Tournament and I just don't think playing in the NIT means a whole lot to this team. They certainly didn't play up to their potential in their first round game, as they needed double-overtime to escape with a win over UNC Asheville. It's a lot easier for these smaller schools to find motivation in these NIT games and this Western Kentucky team is no joke. The Hilltoppers had wins over Purdue and SMU in non-confernece play. They also played Villanova tough in a mere 8-point loss as a 22.5-point dog. It's not out of the question that WKU is the better team here, especially with USC being without the likes of Bennie Boatwright and Chimezie Metu. Give me the Hilltoppers +5! |
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03-19-18 | Lakers v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Lakers. This is a big bounce back spot for Indiana who dropped their last two. It's also a revenge game for the Pacers, who lost by 13 at LA in a game where they were horrific on offense, scoring just 86 points on 38% shooting (2 for 25 on 3-pointers). As for the Lakers, I think they are overvalued here because of their recent 6-1 run. They have since dropped their last 3 and I think the injuries are catching up to them. Brandon Ingram is still out with a hip injury and Kyle Kuzma is playing at less than 100%. Give me the Pacers -4.5! |
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03-18-18 | Florida State v. Xavier -5.5 | Top | 75-70 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Xavier -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Musketeers as what I feel is a great price given the circumstances. Xavier might not have deserved a No. 1 seed, but that doesn't mean this isn't one of the best teams in the country. I think all the people doubting them has them playing with a chip on their shoulder. I give FSU credit for their win over Missouri, but I wonder if the Tigers wish they wouldn't have brought back Michael Porter Jr. While he's a great player, I think it really messed with the chemistry this team had going. The Seminoles suffered a massive blow in that win, as arguably their most important player, Terance Mann, suffered a groin injury and is doubtful to play. Even with Mann I thought this FSU team was going to struggle to keep pace with the explosiveness of the Xavier offense. Now I give them little to no shot. Give me the Musketeers -5.5! |
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03-18-18 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Kansas State -10 | 43-50 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas St -10) My money is on the Wildcats to not just win but blow the doors open against UMBC. The Retrievers pulled off the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history on Friday, as they laid it on No. 1 overall seed Virginia in a 74-54 win. As impressive as that win was, it has UMBC in the biggest of all letdown spots and we often see this big double-digit seeds struggle to play well in the Round of 32 after a big upset. People just don't understand the emotional toll a win like that takes on a team. Players likely didn't sleep much on Friday and have been all over the media. Kansas State isn't an elite team and I know Dean Wade is questionable, but I don't believe it's going to matter here, as this team won't overlook the Retrievers like Virginia. Give me the Wildcats -10! |
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03-18-18 | Syracuse v. Michigan State -9 | 55-53 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan St -9) I'll take my chances here with the Spartans winning by double-digits over the Orange. There's no denying that Michigan State is one of the most talented and well-coached teams in the country. While the game wasn't as close as the final score would lead on, Izzo isn't going to be happy about a mere 4-point win over Bucknell in the opener. He's going to be on his team about playing a full 40 minutes. Syracuse proved a lot of people wrong getting this far, as most thought they didn't deserve to even be in the field, but due to having to play a play-in game they are now playing their 3rd game in 5 days. I just don't think there's going to be enough gas left in the tank to compete with Michigan State and this is a team that has had their struggles against the top teams in the ACC, especially away from home. Give me the Spartans -9! |
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03-17-18 | Houston v. Michigan -3 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ROUND OF 32 GAME OF THE YEAR (Michigan -3) I have the Wolverines making the Final 4 and absolutely love the value here with them laying just 3-poitns against Houston. Michigan came out extremely flat in their first game, as they let Montana get out to a 10-0 lead. The Wolverines found their stride and went on to cover in a 14-point win. The thing to keep in mind, is Michigan hadn't played in over a week with the Big Ten Tournament being played a week earlier this year. They clearly weren't in sync to start that game, but should be a full go here against the Cougars. Houston is a quality team and won't go down without a fight, I just think this Michigan team is playing as well as any team in the country right now and are a very difficult team to prepare for on just 1-day of rest. Give me the Wolverines -3! |
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03-17-18 | Florida +1.5 v. Texas Tech | 66-69 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Florida +1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Gators as a short dog against the Red Raiders on Saturday. Florida is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. They really looked good in their first game, defeating St Bonaventure 77-62. The Gators really brought the defensive intensity, as they limited the Bonnies to just 35.4% shooting. I had high hopes for this Texas Tech team early in the year, but injuries really got them off track. They aren't playing anywhere close to their potential right now and that's evident by the fact that they are 0-7-1 ATS over their last 8 games. I just don't think the Red Raiders have the offensive fire-power to pull this one out. Give me the Gators +1.5! |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +9.5 v. Auburn | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS SHOCKER (Charleston +9.5) I'll take my chances here with the Cougars, who I think has an excellent shot of not only covering the spread but winning this game outright. Charleston has three big time scoring options in Riller, Brantley and Chealey, who all average at least 17 ppg. The Cougars will make Auburn work for every basket with their 3-quarter court man defense that often leads to opponents taking bad shots late in the shot clock. Charleston also rarely turns the ball over and do an outstanding job of getting to the free throw line and racking up easy points. Auburn was a great story and are a solid team, but they went just 4-5 down the stretch and really padded their record with a pretty easy non-conference schedule. Keep in mind this team desperately needed a win or at least show well in the SEC Tournament and they came out and got rolled by Alabama 81-63. I just don't trust the Tigers here. Give me the Cougars +9.5! |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada -1 | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 69 h 43 m | Show |
50* SOUTH REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nevada -1) I'll take my chances here with the Wolf Pack at basically a pick'em against the Longhorns. Nevada ran into a buzz-saw in the MWC Tournament and lost by 17 to San Diego State. The fact that they still made it as an at-large tells you just how good this team was during the regular season and I think the Wolf Pack could be a major cinderella story this year. People just don't realize how much talent Nevada has on this roster, but a quick look at their non-conference schedule tells you all you need to know. The Wolf Pack knocked Rhode Island and Davidsona nd lost by just 6 at Texas Tech and by only 4 to TCU on a neutral court. Keep in mind the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs were two of the hottest teams in the country to start the year. Texas isn't a bad team, but they are limited on the offensive end and could easily shoot themselves out of this game early. As for Nevada, they got 3 big time playmakers on offense, plus they take exceptional care of the ball and can strike from long-range (12th in the country at 39.8% from deep). Give me the Wolf Pack -1! |
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03-16-18 | Marshall +12 v. Wichita State | Top | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 66 h 42 m | Show |
50* EAST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marshall +12) My money is on the the Thundering Herd to cover the big spread against the Shockers. While I really like this Wichita State team and think they could go on a deep run, I think they are getting way too much respect here. Marshall caught fire and won the C-USA tournament to secure an automatic bid to the tournament. They finished up 10-2 over their final 12 games and are easily playing their best basketball when it matters the most. The Thundering Herd are led by head coach Dan D’Antoni who is the older brother of Houston Rockets head coach Mike D’Antonio. Just like his younger brother does with the Rockets, D’Antoni has Marshall’s offense built around the 3-point shot. Just about every player in the rotation is capable of knocking down a 3-pointer and that’s evident by the fact that they have 7 players who shoot 33% or better from long distance. That outside shooting is why I think Marshall will be able to hang around with the Shockers, as one of the weaknesses of Wichita State is their 3-point defense. They allowed the 3rd highest 3-point percentage of every team in the AAC this year. Give me the Thundering Herd +12! |
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03-16-18 | Providence v. Texas A&M -3.5 | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 64 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHER (Texas A&M -3.5) Money money is on Texas A&M, as I think the matchup here really favors the Aggies. Offensively Providence likes to play at a slow-tempo and look to steal points by drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. No team had a better free throw rate in the Big East than the Friars. Texas A&M does a good job of not fouling, allowing the 4th lowest free throw rate in the SEC, so they don’t figure to have a big edge there. The Friars also aren’t a great 3-point shooting team. They shot just 32.1% from deep and only average 6 made 3-pointers a game. Texas A&M ranked in the top 15 nationally in 2-point field goal defense. Defensively Providence has been really good, thanks in large part to their ability to defend the 3-point shot and create turnovers. The teams they have struggled with are the teams that excel at scoring in the paint. That’s where I feel this game will be won for the Aggies, who have a ton of size, led by future NBA 1st round pick Robert Williams. Give me Texas A&M -3.5! |
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03-15-18 | Montana v. Michigan -11 | 47-61 | Win | 100 | 77 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -11) I'll take my chances laying the 11.5-points with the Wolverines against Montana. Michigan went on an absolute tear to close out the regular season. They won their final 9 games, including 4 games in 4 days to take home the Big Ten Tournament title. Doing so by knocking off Michigan State 75-64 in the semifinals and Purdue 75-66 in the championship game. Montana won both the Big Sky regular season and tournament titles to punch their ticket, but I don’t think they are any match for the Wolverines. The Grizzlies are a team that relies a lot on their half court pressure to force turnovers and are much better at defending in the paint than they are on the perimeter. That plays right into the strength of the Wolverines who take exceptional care of the ball and are deadly from the outside. Montana is the exact opposite offensively. Unlike most teams now a days they aren’t all that interested in jacking up 3-pointers. They instead want to beat you inside. That’s a good recipe for success in the Big Sky, but it makes it really hard to beat a top tier team like Michigan, especially when that team is so good defensively. Give me the Wolverines -11! |
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03-15-18 | Cavs v. Blazers -4.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a short home favorite against the Cavs on Thursday. Portland has been playing lights out of late and a big reason for that is the elite play of point guard Damian Lillard. The Blazers have won 10 straight and are a 9-1 ATS over this stretch. Cleveland has been up and down since making all those big trades, but are consistently overvalued because of the fans love for betting LeBron James. Until the Cavs get healthy, I don't see them playing up to the level needed to win games on the road against a team like Portland. Cleveland is still without Love and Thompson, while both Hood and Nance Jr. are listed as questionable. Give me the Blazers -4.5! |
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03-15-18 | Raptors v. Pacers +4 | 106-99 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Pacers +4) My money is on the Pacers as a home dog against the Raptors on Thursday. Toronto comes in having won 9 straight and are 16-1 in their last 17 overall. The public is going to be all over the Raptors at this price, but I think the value is with the Pacers. One of the reasons Toronto has been so good during this stretch is the schedule, as they haven't had to play a lot of top tier teams on the road. The Pacers might not be viewed as an elite team, but they are playing some of their best basketball right now. Indiana is 6-1 in their last 7 and have gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13. Pacers are also a really good team at home, where they are 23-12 on the season. Give me Indiana +4! |
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03-15-18 | Iona +20 v. Duke | Top | 67-89 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 30 m | Show |
50* MIDWEST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iona +20) My money is on the Gaels to make the Blue Devils sweat in the opening round. Iona didn't play the toughest of non-conference schedules, but they did travel to both Syracuse and Rhode Island. While they lost both games, the margin of defeat was in the single-digits. Like previous versions of the Gaels teams that we have seen, Iona can light it up from all over the floor. They have 5 games who average double-figures and just as many that can knock down the open 3-pointer. The Gaels also like to push the pace and get out in transition, which is not something Duke has defended all that well. The Blue Devils are also playing a lot more zone defense, which can be a recipe for disaster against a quality shooting team like the Gaels. As good as Duke is, 20-points is a lot for them to win by against this quality of an opponent right out of the gate. Give me Iona +20! |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island -1.5 | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 68 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Rhode Island -1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Rams at basically a pick'em against the Sooners on Thursday. I think Oklahoma was fortunate just to get in and if it wasn't for all the hype around Trae Young I don't know if they would be in the field. Either way this is not the same Sooners team that caught the country by surprise back in November and December. After starting out 12-1 the Sooners have gone a mere 6-12 over their final 18 games. Young is no longer putting up video game like numbers and I just don't see Oklahoma flipping a switch and returning to their old form in the NCAA Tournament. Teams that can keep Young from going off have had all kinds of success against this team and Rhode Island has one of the deepest backcourts in the country and can really get after teams with their pressure (ranked 3rd in the nation in forcing turnovers). On the flip side they have plenty of offensive fire-power to have their way with a very poor Oklahoma defense. Give me the Rams -1.5! |
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03-14-18 | UC-Davis v. Utah -12.5 | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Utah -12.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Utes covering this big number at home against UC-Davis. This was a bit of a transition year for Utah, but they still managed to go 19-11 and were a rock solid 13-3 on their home floor. They closed out the year winning 6 of their final 8 games, which included a 5-game winning streak. UC-Davis is simply outclassed here and will struggle to keep this within 20-points. Note that the Aggies lost Chima Moneke, their best player, in early February. They just don't have enough fire-power without Moneke to compete against the big boys. Give me the Utes -12.5! |
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03-14-18 | UL-Lafayette +4 v. LSU | 76-84 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NIT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Lafayette +4) Most are going to just jump on the small number here with LSU at home, but I'll take my chances with the Ragin' Cajuns in this one. These two teams are both from Louisiana and that adds a little more to this game, especially for Lafayette, who will be extremely motivated to play here against the Tigers. This Ragin' Cajuns team is no joke. They won 27 games and can light it up on the offensive end, as they averaged 83.4 ppg on the season. I think they simply will want this one more. I'll take the points as some added insurance, but I expect them to win this one outright. Give me Lafayette +4! |
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03-13-18 | North Carolina-Asheville +16.5 v. USC | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NIT BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (NC-Asheville +16.5) My money is on the Bulldogs to cover this big spread against the Trojans. This is simply a play against USC, as teams who just miss out on the NCAA Tournament typically have a hard time getting up for their NIT matchup. However, because the perception is that the Trojans are the vastly superior team, they are overvalued. Making matters even worse for USC is they might not have Chimeze Metu, which would be a massive blow given they are already without Bennie Boatwright. Look for Asheville to give the Trojans a big scare in this one and maybe even win this game outright. Give me the Bulldogs +16.5! |
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03-13-18 | Southeastern Louisiana +14.5 v. St. Mary's | 45-89 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NIT BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (SE Louisiana +14.5) My money is on the Lions to keep it close enough to cover against St. Mary's on Tuesday. In fact, I think there's a decent chance SE Louisiana wins this game outright. That's because I don't see the Gaels being all that excited about playing in the NIT, as they were one of the last 4 teams left out of the Big Dance. Keep in mind one of the strengths of St. Mary's is their defense, which only allowed 64.5 ppg. Motivation is a key component of playing good defense, so look for a few more holes in the Gaels stop unit tonight. St. Mary's last game was against BYU in their conference tourny and they lost by 13 points. The Gaels are a 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games off a conference loss by 10 or more. They are also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Give me the Lions +14.5! |
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03-13-18 | Pistons v. Jazz -8 | 79-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Jazz -8) *Analysis Coming* |
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03-13-18 | Hampton +20.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 63-84 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hampton +20.5) My money is on the Pirates to give the Fighting Irish a much bigger scare than the books are expecting. The biggest thing here is I just don't see Notre Dame being excited at all about playing this game. The Irish came into the season thinking they had the talent to be a legit Final 4 contender, but injuries to star players like Bonzie Colson put those hopes to rest. Winning the NIT isn't going to make them feel any better about how this season went and I don't expect them to be around long. Take Hampton! |
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03-13-18 | Hornets v. Pelicans -4.5 | Top | 115-119 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -4.5) I'll take my chances with the Pelicans laying a short number at home against the Hornets on Tuesday. New Orleans had their 10-game losing streak snapped last Friday in a loss at home to the Wizards, but were without Anthony Davis. He returned for their next game against Utah, but as you would expect for a team that just suffered their first loss after a long winning streak, they came out flat and lost by 17. Now the Pelicans are in a major bounce back spot at home against the Hornets, who I think are getting way to much love right now. Charlotte won their last game at home against the Suns, but only won by 7 as a 12.5-point favorite and are now just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Give me the Pelicans -4.5! |
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03-13-18 | Wolves v. Wizards -3.5 | 116-111 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Wizards -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a small home favorite against the Timberwolves. Minnesota comes in off a win over Golden State to snap a 3-game skid, but that was a Warriors team that was playing without Steph Curry, as well as some other key pieces. I think it has the Timberwolves getting way to much respect here against what should be an extremely motivated Wizards team that will be looking to bounce back from an awful showing in their last game at Miami. Give me Washington -3.5! |
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03-13-18 | Northern Kentucky +8 v. Louisville | 58-66 | Push | 0 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NIT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Northern Kentucky +8) My money is on the Norse to cash in here as a decently priced road dog against Louisville on Tuesday. The Cardinals played their way out of the NCAA Tournament by going just 4-8 over their final 12 games and simply put this is not a program that is use to not being in the field of 68. It can be extremely hard for programs like Louisville to get up for a tournament like this. I not only think the Cardinals will fail to cover the spread, but I think Northern Kentucky has a great shot at winning this game outright. The Norse are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. Give me Northern Kentucky +8! |
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03-12-18 | Heat +7.5 v. Blazers | Top | 99-115 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Miami as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers on Monday. The Heat won't have Whiteside or Wade, but I don't see that keeping them from making a game of this against Portland. Miami is playing with a ton of confidence right now, as they are 6-2 in their last 8 and fresh off 2 impressive wins at home over the 76ers and Wizards. This Heat team has relished in this role of a road dog, as they are 18-8 ATS as a road dog this season. They are also 15-4 ATS in their last 19 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Portland has won 9 straight and are playing extremely well, but they have a big game on deck against the Cavs and will be playing just their 2nd game in the last 6 days. I think the Blazers come out a bit flat here and wouldn't be shocked if the Heat put an end to their winning streak. Give me Miami +7.5! |
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03-11-18 | Rockets v. Mavs +9.5 | Top | 105-82 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +9.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Dallas as a near double-digit home dog against the Rockets on Sunday. I just think this is an ideal spot to go against Houston. The Rockets aren't expected to have James Harden or Ryan Anderson. I think they are also in a very underrated letdown spot after having their 17-game winning streak snapped in their last game. I think most people just assume is going to rebound after a loss when they have won so many in row, but that first game after a loss following a lengthy winning streak can be very difficult to get up for. I think not having Harden only magnifies the chance the Rockets don't play well. I know Dallas is in tank mode, but this is one where they should show up. Give me the Mavs +9.5! |
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03-10-18 | USC v. Arizona -3 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Arizona -3) My money is on the Wildcats here as a short favorite against the Trojans. There's been so much negative talk around this Arizona team that I think it has them undervalued, despite the fact that they are playing some of their best basketball. I feel like all the off the court crap has actually been a positive for this team and they are using the negative talk as motivation. The Wildcats are also an elite team with two of these best players in the country. Great teams win in March and I expect a very motivated Arizona team here. USC has been playing well, but are short-handed and that should play a big factor here in what will be the Trojans 3rd game in 3 days. Give me Arizona -3! |
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03-10-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia -4.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Virginia -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Virginia taking down the Tar Heels and covering the spread in Saturday's ACC title game. For whatever reason the Cavaliers continue to be underrated, which isn't easy to do for a team that's sitting No. 1 in the country. They just don't play a style of basketball that draws attention to them and the public typically struggles to get on board with teams that rely so much on their defense. Not only do I think Virginia is the better team, but I also think this is a really tough spot for North Carolina. They invested a ton in yesterday's rubber match against their biggest rivals in Duke. Beating Virginia won't bring the same satisfaction as that victory over the Blue Devils and I think they struggle to bring the energy needed here to take down this Cavaliers team. Give me Virginia -4.5! |
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03-10-18 | Wizards v. Heat -4.5 | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Heat -4.5) I cashed in on the Wizards yesterday as a short road favorite against the Pelicans. That was simply a great spot for Washington, as New Orleans was without their best player in Anthony Davis and were way overvalued after winning 10 straight. Now it's the Wizards in a tough spot, as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set against a Miami team that will be chomping at the bit to get this game underway. The Heat are going to be out for revenge from a 113-117 overtime loss at Washington on Tuesday. It's a spot they have been excellent in, as they are 30-15 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a same season loss. Give me Miami -4.5! |
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03-09-18 | Arkansas v. Florida -3.5 | Top | 80-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Gators laying a short number against the Razorbacks. Florida had a brutal stretch where they went just 3-6 over a 9 game period, but they closed out the year with 3 straight wins. They knocked off Auburn at home 72-66, one ton the road and routed a good Alabama team 73-52 and closed things out with another big win in a 80-67 victory over Kentucky. I think the Gators are primed to carry over that success here against a pretty average Arkansas team that had to scratch out a 69-64 win yesterday over South Carolina. While the Razorbacks were in a dog fight, Florida had a bye and that rest edge should be huge in the outcome. Give me the Gators -3.5! |
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03-09-18 | Wizards -3.5 v. Pelicans | 116-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying a short number on the road against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in having won 10 straight, but the most recent victory over the Kings was costly, as Anthony Davis injured his ankle and that's going to keep him out of this game. He's the one guy this team can't afford to lose, as he's one of the elite players in the game and makes everyone else around him better. Washington has a brutal schedule over the next couple of weeks and should be highly motivated to take advantage of this opportunity to get the Pelicans without their best player. Give me the Wizards -3.5! |
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03-08-18 | South Carolina v. Arkansas -3 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Arkansas -3) My money is on the Razorbacks to cover this short number against the Gamecocks on Thursday. South Carolina was able to escape with a 85-84 win over Ole Miss in the opening round of the SEC Tournament yesterday. The Rebels are the worst team in the league, so that's nothing to get excited about. South Carolina is still just 4-8 SU in their last 12 games and lost both meetings against the Bulldogs during the regular season. I don't see any reason to expect anything different, especially with Arkansa playing on rest and the Gamecocks on no rest. Give me the Razorbacks -3! |
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03-08-18 | Suns +10 v. Thunder | 87-115 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Suns +10) I'll take my chances here with the Suns catching double-digits against the Thunder on Thursday. I think this is a great spot to go against OKC off that massive game just two days ago against the Rockets. It's not easy coming off a game like that and playing a bad team like Phoenix, especially when you just recently beat that team on the road (won at Phoenix on 3/2). The Suns haven't been winning games, but the offense is playing extremely well and I think they have enough fire-power here to keep this within the number. Give me Phoenix +10! |
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03-08-18 | 76ers v. Heat +1 | 99-108 | Win | 102 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +1) My money is on the Heat to cash this ticket at home against the 76ers. There's no denying that Philadelphia is a team on the rise, but the public has been all over this team and I believe their recent success has them overvalued here. Miami is no pushover and just don't get the respect they deserve. My numbers have this closer to the Heat favored by 2 and they were 1.5-point favorites at home back in late February. Give me Miami +1! |
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03-08-18 | Tulane +5.5 v. Temple | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Tulane +5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Green Wave at least keeping it close enough to cover against Temple in Thursday's AAC Tournament play. Tulane comes in just 2-10 in their last 12 games, but they haven't played as bad as the record would suggest. Of those 10 defeats during this rough stretch, 6 came by 7 ore fewer points. The Green Wave won at Temple earlier this year by double-digits and kept it close in the rematch. I wouldn't be surprised at all of they won this game outright. Let's not overlook the Owls haven't been playing great either down the stretch, as they are just 1-4 in their last 5. Give me Tulane +5.5! |
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03-08-18 | LSU v. Mississippi State -1.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Mississippi St -1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs taking out the Tigers in the SEC Tournament. Mississippi State did just lose at LSU in the regular season finale by 21-points. Needless to say they will be out for revenge from that embarrassing showing. The thing with that outcome is LSU is simply a different team on their home floor and the Bulldogs were coming off a much bigger game against Tennessee at home. The Tigers finished 11-4 at home compared to just 4-9 on the road. LSU is also just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 off a conference home win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a conference win by double-digits. Give me Mississippi State -1.5! |
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03-08-18 | Texas v. Texas Tech -5.5 | 69-73 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders knocking off the Longhorns and covering this spread. Texas Tech got a huge win in their regular season finale over TCU, snapping a 4-game skid. However, I still think this team is undervalued because of the fact that they are just 1-4 in their last 5. A big reason for the poor stretch was injuries. Texas Tech got back Keenan Evans in that last game against TCU and he responded with 23 points in the 2nd half. Texas barely scraped by ISU in the opening round last night are going to be without Eric Davis Jr and possibly Mohamed Bamba. Give me the Red Raiders -5.5! |
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03-08-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -2 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR (Kansas -2) My money is on the Jayhawks to cash in with an easy win over Oklahoma State. This will be the 3rd meeting between these two teams this season and surprisingly the Cowboys won both games. The most recent game in the regular-season finale, where Oklahoma State routed Kansas by 18-points. To say the Jayhawks will be motivated for revenge here is an understatement. Let's not forget that blowout loss to Oklahoma State in the finale came right after Kansas had secured the regular-season conference title. No disrespect to the Cowboys, but they are going to be outmatched here, especially after having to play yesterday in the opening round against their in-state rivals in Oklahoma. Give me the Jayhawks -2! |
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03-07-18 | Cavs +3 v. Nuggets | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +3) I'll take my chances here with the Cavs catching points in Wednesday's showdown at Denver. These two teams just played at Cleveland on Sunday, which the Nuggets were able to pull off the upset 126-117. While Denver is a better team at home, I think the revenge angle here is going to be the key factor in the Cavs not just covering but winning this game outright. Keep in mind the Nuggets are off a bad showing in a loss at Dallas last night, where they shot just 41.3% from the field. I think this is a legit flat spot for Denver in the 2nd game of a back-to-back off a 3-game road trip. Give me the Cavs +3! |
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03-07-18 | DePaul v. Marquette -5.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Marquette -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Golden Eagles covering this number against the Blue Demons. Marquette is the far superior team here. They went a respectable 9-9 in Big East play, while DePaul was a mere 4-14. I think a big reason why we are getting such a favorable number here is the fact that the Blue Demons did knock off the Golden Eagles 70-62 at home recently on 2/24. They also lost by 18 on the road at Marquette and keep in mind that last meeting was a tough spot for the Eagles, who were playing on just 2 days of rest and their 3rd game in a week span. The Blue Demons are a mere 1-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a neutral side underdog. Give me Marquette -5.5! |
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03-07-18 | Notre Dame -2 v. Virginia Tech | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Notre Dame -2) I'll gladly back the Irish here as a short favorite against Va Tech. I just feel like this line represents the Notre Dame team that struggled in ACC play, when they are a much better team right now with Bonzie Colson back in the lineup. I also think we are seeing the Hokies overvalued because of a 9-3 ATS run over their last 12 games. I'm not saying Va Tech won't make a game of this, I just don't think they are good enough defensively to win this game. Give me Notre Dame -2! |
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03-06-18 | Pelicans v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Clippers laying a short number at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans is simply overvalued right now due to the fact that they have won 8 straight, but a lot of that has to do with a favorable schedule that has had them facing off against a lot of bad teams and teams not playing well at the moment. LA on the other hand isn't getting the respect they deserve, as just about everyone wrote off this team once they traded away Blake Griffin. The Clippers have won 9 of their last 12 with their only 3 losses being road defeats at Philadelphia and Golden State and a home loss to the Rockets. I think LA wins here and should have no problem doing so by more than this small line. Give me the Clippers -2.5! |
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03-06-18 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -4.5 | 64-73 | Win | 101 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Orange laying what I think is a short number here in the opening round of the ACC Tournament. Syracuse comes in off a huge 55-52 home win over Clemson to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive, but the Orange are still firmly on the bubble and need to take out the Demon Deacons. I think that win over the Tigers was huge for the morale of this Syracuse team and I look for them to blow Wake Forest out of the gym today. The Demon Deacons are not a good team. They are a mere 3-13 in their last 16 games with the only road win a mere 6-point win at Pitt, who is hands down the worst team in the conference. Wake is just 3-11 ATS this season as an underdog and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games with a lower total in the range of 130 to 139.5. Give me the Orange -4.5! |
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03-05-18 | Celtics v. Bulls +8.5 | Top | 105-89 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +8.5) I like Chicago in this spot even before the news that Boston is planning on resting star point guard Kyrie Irving. The Bulls are clearly in full-on rebuilding mode, but there's still a lot of fight in this team and I expect a big effort here at home against one of the top teams in the conference. As for the Celtics, I think this is a big letdown spot off that crushing 120-123 loss at Houston on Saturday. Boston played their hearts out in that game and had a 6-point lead with 4 minutes to play. I think they struggle to get up here for this game and while they still might win without Irving, I think Chicago keeps it close. Give me the Bulls +8.5! |
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03-05-18 | Pistons v. Cavs -6 | 90-112 | Win | 102 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs -6) It's been a rough go of things for Cleveland since returning from the All-Star break. The Cavs are just 1-3 with 3 home losses to the Spurs, 76ers and Nuggets. The lone win came against the lowly Nets. I just feel like this is a great spot for the Cleveland to get back in the win column. Detroit's trade for Blake Griffin has completely back-fired. The loss of Tobias Harris doesn't get enough talk, as the Pistons don't offer near the same threat from behind the 3-point line. They ranked in the Top 5 with him and are now 20th without him. Detroit is just 2-8 in their last 10 and both wins came at home. During this stretch they have shot better than 44% from the field just twice. In comparison, the Cavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 7 of their last 10 games. I just don't think the Pistons have enough offense to keep this close on the road. Give me Cleveland -6! |
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03-04-18 | Pacers +4 v. Wizards | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +4) I'll take a shot here on the Pacers as a road dog against the Wizards. I think the public perception here is this is a favorable line to get Washington in what they see as a big bounce back spot after losing their last two games against two of the best teams in the league in the Warriors and Raptors. I don't see it that way. I think Washington has a tough time here playing well off those two hard fought losses. It's not easy getting up for 3 straight games, especially when that 3rd game is against the weakest of the 3 opponents in the stretch. As for the Pacers, this is a team I think is still flying a bit under the radar. They just went on the road and beat the Bucks 103-96 as a 3.5-point dog and I see a similar type of outcome here. Give me the Pacers +4! |
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03-04-18 | Michigan v. Purdue -3 | 75-66 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
40* BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP ATS KNOCKOUT (Purdue -3) It's been a great run here for the Wolverines to get to the Big Ten Tournament title game, but my money is on Michigan struggling to finish off the job against the Boilermakers. I really like this Purdue team and they are rolling right now, having won 5 straight. A stretch in which they have been ridiculously efficient from the field. During this 5-game run the Boilermakers have shot 52.9% from the field, while averaging 82.6 ppg. They have not only played 1 fewer game to get to the title contest, but I also think it's going to be tough for Michigan to bounce back and play as well as they just did yesterday in their upset win over in-state rival Michigan State. Give me Purdue -3! |
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03-04-18 | Suns +3 v. Hawks | Top | 112-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE MONTH (Suns +3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Phoenix as a live dog against the Hawks on Sunday. I just think this is an awful spot for Atlanta, who is clearly not trying to be any good this season. The Hawks just laid everything they had into their last game at home against the Warriors and nearly pulled off the upset. I look for them to have a difficult time getting up for this game against the Suns. Phoenix isn't a great team and I wouldn't trust them on the road at this low of a price against most teams, but I think they have a big advantage here. I also think now is a great time to buy on the Suns with how well Devin Booker is playing, he's scored at least 27 in each of his last 6 games, which includes a 34, 39 and 40 point performance. Give me the Suns +3! |
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03-03-18 | Celtics +8.5 v. Rockets | 120-123 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Celtics +8.5) I just can't pass up on getting this many points with the Celtics on Saturday. I just think Houston is way overvalued right now due to the fact that they have won 14 straight, covering each of their first 4 games out of the break. The thing is, Boston has also been playing lights out out of the break. The Celtics have gone 4-0 with all 4 wins coming by double-digits. The way this team can defend and make things difficult for Houston should be more than enough to keep this within the number. Keep in mind that the Celtics defeated the Rockets at home earlier this season. They are also 10-2 ATS as an underdog this season, while Houston is a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Give me the Celtics +8.5! |
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03-03-18 | Louisville v. NC State -3 | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE YEAR (NC State -3) This is every bit a play on the Wolfpack as it is a fade of the Cardinals. NC State comes in off an ugly 75-78 loss at Georgia Tech and that should have them 100% locked in for what will be their final home game of the season. On the flip side of this, Louisville is coming off about as gut-wrenching of a loss as you will see. The Cardinals had a 4-point lead with less than 1 second to play in a near upset of No. 1 Virginia and somehow lost the game 66-67. It's hard enough bouncing back from any kind of close loss, but almost impossible to rebound from a loss like that, especially with only 1 day off between contests. Give me the Wolfpack -3! |
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03-03-18 | TCU v. Texas Tech -6.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders righting the ship at home against the Horned Frogs in their regular-season finale. Texas Tech is in the ultimate bounce-back spot, as they come in having lost 4 straight after opening up 10-3 in Big 12 play. The biggest thing has been the schedule during this run, as 3 of the 4 were on the road and the other was at home against red-hot Kansas. Note that the Red Raiders were competitive in all 4, as each defeat came by 10-points or less with two of the 3 by less than 3 points. TCU comes in having won 4 straight and a favorable schedule has played a big part in that, as 3 of the 4 were at home and the lone road contest was at lowly Iowa State. Let's also not forget that Tech whooped up on the Horned Frogs at TCU earlier this season 83-71 as a 3.5-point dog. I think we see another double-digit win and easy cover. Give me the Red Raiders -6.5! |
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03-03-18 | Creighton v. Marquette -2 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Marquette -2) My money is on the Golden Eagles to take care of business at home against the Bluejays. Marquette has been playing well here down the stretch. They are 4-2 in their last 6 games and 5 of those 6 contests were on the road. I think we are going to get a max effort here from the Golden Eagles on senior day against a top tier opponent. Creighton comes in off back-to-back wins, but both of those wins came at home. The Bluejays are just 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS in road lined games this season. The other big key here is just how well Marquette matches up with the Bluejays. The Golden Eagles won 80-86 at Creighton in mid February as a 6-point dog and are now 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. The Bluejays are also just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 as an underdog and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a home win by 10 or more. Give me Marquette -2! |
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03-03-18 | Clemson +1.5 v. Syracuse | 52-55 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson +1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Orange this Saturday. Most will be looking to lay the short number with Syracuse at home on senior day, but I just don't like how this team is playing down the stretch. The Orange come in having lost 3 straight and are just 3-6 SU in their last 9 overall. As for Clemson, I think the Tigers continue to be undervalued because of the season-ending injury to Donte Gratham. This team has continued to play extremely well without him. The only hiccup came when starting point guard Shelton Mitchell got hurt at FSU and missed the next two games. They lost all 3 of those contests, but since Mitchell's return have won 2 straight. To top it off we got a great system in play here. Road dogs off 2 straight wins at home against an opponent off 2 straight road losses by 10 or more are 38-15 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me Clemson +1.5! |
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03-02-18 | Warriors v. Hawks +13 | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks +13) I'll take my chances here with the Hawks catching a big number at home against the Warriors. If Golden State wanted to they could win here by 20+, but I don't think we get a very interested Warriors team in this contest. Atlanta simply isn't a team to get the juices flowing and that's going to make it tough for them to show up here, especially with this being the final game of 5-day east coast trip. While the Warriors will likely have a difficult time getting up for this game, we can be confident that the Hawks are going to lay it all on the line in their first meeting against the defending champs. Do I think Atlanta has a shot to win? No, but I think they give Golden State a minor scare here. Give me the Hawks +13! |
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03-02-18 | Pistons v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic +2.5) I think this line really says it all. Orlando comes in having lost 7 straight, while the Pistons are coming off their best game in weeks, defeating the Bucks at home 110-87. What will get overlooked with that win over Milwaukee is the Bucks were in a brutal spot. They not only were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd game in 4 days overall, but they were also fresh off a crushing 104-107 home loss to the Wizards. I think there's a good chance Detroit goes right back to their losing ways (mere 1-6 in previous 7 games). Give me the Magic +2.5! |
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03-02-18 | Penn State v. Ohio State -2.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ohio St -2.5) My money is on the Buckeyes laying a short number here against the Nittany Lions. I just don't understand why this Ohio State team doesn't get more respect than they get for going 15-3 in the Big Ten with a 16-point home win over Michigan State and road win at Purdue, the consensus two best teams in the conference. I was on Penn State yesterday in their game against Northwestern, but that was more of because of how bad the Wildcats were playing. I think the Nittany Lions are going to run into a serious problem here, as this Ohio State isn't going to take this game lightly after losing both regular-season meetings. The Buckeyes get their revenge when it matters the most. Give me Ohio State -2.5! |
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03-01-18 | 76ers v. Cavs -3 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs laying a short number at home in the opener of Thursday's double-header on TNT. This might seem like it's too good to be true, but Cleveland has failed to cover 3 of 4 out of the break, which includes outright home losses to both the Wizards and Spurs. I'm still very high on this team after the trades and it's only a matter of time before they go on a serious run. I also think we are seeing the 76ers get some love here for their recent play. While they have lost their last 2, they had won 7 straight before that. I just think this is a tough spot off that crushing loss at Miami. It's also worth noting that the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in the series and Philadelphia is a mere 0-4-1 ATS in their lsat 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Cavs -3! |
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03-01-18 | Virginia v. Louisville +4 | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Louisville +4) I'll take my chances here with the Cardinals as a home dog against Virginia on Thursday. I just think this is going to be a tough spot for the Cavaliers to match the intensity of Louisville. Virginia has already locked up the regular-season ACC title and a loss here wouldn't keep them from a No. 1 seed. The Cardinals on the other hand are no sure thing to make the NCAA Tournament. They are currently one of the last teams in as a No. 11 seed. A win here would secure a spot and there's every reason to believe they can pull off the upset. Louisville gave the Cavaliers all they could handle in a 10-point loss at Virginia and did so by shooting 50% on the road against one of the best defenses in the country. The Cardinals are even better offensively at home, where they are 11-1 this season. Give me Louisville +4! |
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02-28-18 | Syracuse v. Boston College -1.5 | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Boston College -1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home against the Orange. While Syracuse rolled over BC 81-63 on their home floor earlier this season, the Eagles are simply a different team at home than on the road. Boston College is 13-3 at home this season compared to just 3-10 on the road. Add in the extra incentive here for the Eagles to play well on senior night in their final home game and I think we are getting some big time value. Keep in mind that Syracuse is in a bit of a letdown spot here. They just lost at Duke, which concluded a brutal 3 game stretch where they had to go at Miami, host UNC and go to Duke. They lost to the Blue Devils by 16 and are a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games off a road loss by 10 or more points. Give me the Eagles -1.5! |
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02-28-18 | Texas A&M v. Georgia -1 | 61-60 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUST ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgia -1) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs at basically a pick'em at home against the Aggies. Georgia comes in playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. That's definitely a positive, but the real key here is where the game is being played. The Bulldogs are 11-3 at home this season and will be extra motivated here with this being their final home game of the season. Another key here is Georgia has owned Texas A&M of late. They are 5-1 in the last 6 with the lone loss coming at Texas A&M by 1-point. Aggies are also a mere 1-7 ATS this season in games with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Bulldogs -1! |
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02-27-18 | Kansas State +6.5 v. TCU | Top | 59-66 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St +6.5) I'll gladly back the Wildcats here as a big road dog against the Horned Frogs, as I actually think there's a good chance Kansas State wins this game outright. TCU has won and covered their last 3 games, but it's far from an impressive run with two of the wins at home against Oklahoma St and Baylor, with the other a road win at ISU. K-State did lose last time out at Oklahoma, but that's won of the toughest places to play in the country. The Wildcats have only lost back-to-back games twice all season. The first being a 2-game set against West Virginia and Texas Tech. The other being Kansas and West Virginia. K-State has racked up 4 road wins already in Big 12 play. It's also worth noting that even with the recent run they are on, TCU is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win. Give me the Wildcats +6.5! |
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02-27-18 | Miami-FL +10 v. North Carolina | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Miami +10) I think the price is right here to take a shot on the Hurricanes as a double-digit dog against the Tar Heels. Miami is a young team that can sometimes come out flat/not give a lesser opponent the respect they deserve, but this team has consistently shown up against the top tier teams in the ACC and I expect nothing but their best effort here, as a win would all but secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. As for North Carolina, I know they have won 6 straight, but I think the books have finally adjusted here. Keep in mind they were a similarly priced 10.5-point home favorite against Notre Dame just a couple weeks ago and Miami is a far superior team than the Irish right now. While it is senior night, with no shot at winning the ACC and their resume for the Tournament a sure thing, I think they have a hard time not looking ahead to this Saturday's rematch with Duke. Give me the Hurricanes +10! |