Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-13-21 | Bucks v. Celtics | Top | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH (Celtics PK) I love the Celtics at a pick at home against the Bucks tonight. The betting public is going to be all over Milwaukee with how well the Bucks have been playing. Milwaukee has won 12 of their last 14. They have gone 7-3-1 ATS over their last 11 and are off a blowout win and cover against the Knicks last time out. The key here is the spot. The Bucks win over New York came on Sunday and now have to go to Boston on no rest. It's also their 3rd road game in 4 nights. On the flip side, this Boston team is undervalued coming into this game off 3 straight losses. Reason to believe the Celtics will be better here coming off 2 days of rest and are expected to get back a big piece to their offense in Jaylen Brown. Give me the Celtics PK! |
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12-12-21 | Magic +11.5 v. Lakers | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money ATS KNOCKOUT (Magic +11.5) I will roll the dice with the Magic as a double-digit road dog against the Lakers on Sunday. The Lakers come in off a dominating 116-95 win at OKC on Friday, which was quite the turnaround from the night before when LA lost 95-108 at Memphis. I just don't think one good showing doesn't mean this Lakers team is anything to write home about. This is a team that has struggled to bring the intensity against bad teams and this is one of those spots where I think they let a bad Magic team hang around and make a game of it. It will certainly help if LA is without one of their best players in Anthony Davis, who is questionable with a knee injury. The big problem with the Lakers not treating every game the same, is the fact that they almost always get the best out of whoever they play. So while it's not the most ideal scheduling spot for the Magic, I expect them to give it all they got. Lakers are just 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season and 16-30 ATS in their last 46 at home dating back to last year. LA is also a mere 2-15 ATS last 17 after allowing 95 or fewer points and 6-21 ATS in their last 27 off a win by 10 or more. Give me Orlando +11.5! |
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12-12-21 | Oregon v. Stanford +1 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Stanford +1) I will back the Cardinal at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Ducks. This Oregon team has been one of the most overvalued teams in the country early on. The Ducks have been a favorite in every game but one (+5 on neutral vs Houston) and yet are just 5-4. They have gone just 2-7 ATS and are 0-4 ATS away from home. Stanford is a perfect 4-0 SU at home this season and that's not a big surprise, as they have one of the best home court advantages. Eventually the books are going to price the Ducks based on the talent they have this year and not what they have done in the past, but until they do they have to be a team you look to fade. Give me the Cardinal +1! |
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12-11-21 | Rockets +8 v. Grizzlies | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Public Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets +8) We took a brutal beat on the Rockets Friday, as Houston was outscored 33-19 in the 4th quarter to lose by 9 when we had them at +8. As tough as that is to swallow, I got to go right back with Houston as a similarly priced dog at Memphis on Saturday. Not only are we getting a great price on a Rockets team that is playing way above their current record, but this a huge flat spot for Memphis. The Grizzlies just pulled off a big upset on Thursday, as they defeated the Lakers without both Morant and Brooks. You could see how much that game meant to Memphis. It's going to be near impossible for them to play with that same energy against a team like Houston that no one is getting up to play. Not to mention this will be the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 nights. The legs just aren't going to be there. Give me the Rockets +8! |
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12-11-21 | Jazz v. Wizards +5 | 123-98 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Wizards +5) I'll roll the dice with the Wizards as a 5-point home dog against the Jazz on Saturday. Most will look to lay the short number with Utah, as the Jazz come into this game having won 6 in a row and last time we saw Utah they destroyed the 76ers 118-96 as a mere 3-point road favorite. I just think it's a bad spot for the Jazz, who will be playing their 4th straight on the road and this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. It's also the last time they will play on the road until after Christmas, so there's reason to be excited about getting this one over and getting on a plane back home. I know the Wizards have slowed down some from their great start to the season, but they snapped a 3-game losing streak last time out and are as healthy as they have been this season. I actually think they win this game outright. Give me Washington +5! |
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12-11-21 | St Bonaventure v. Connecticut -3.5 | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (UConn -3.5) I will gladly lay the 3.5-points with UConn on a neutral floor against St. Bonaventure. I really like this Huskies team and I think we are getting them in a good buy low spot after a loss last time out at West Virginia. Morgantown is one of the toughest places in the country for opposing teams to play, so I'm not worried about that result, especially since they only lost by 3. The only other loss for UConn is a 4-point loss to Michigan State on a neutral floor. No disrespect to St Bonaventure, who has been impressive in their 7-1 start, but this is by far the best team they will have played this season and I just think the talent gap will be too much for them to overcome. Give me UConn -3.5! |
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12-11-21 | Drake +2.5 v. Clemson | Top | 80-90 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Drake +2.5) I love Drake as a 2.5-point dog against Clemson on Saturday. This game will be played on a neutral site at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. My numbers actually have the Bulldogs as the team that should be favored in this matchup. Drake came into the season as a legit NCAA Tournament caliber team and while it's not a sure thing after their slow start, this is still one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Bulldogs could easily be 7-1 and even 8-0. They had a 5-point loss to Belmont, 9-point loss to Alabama and a 3-point loss to North Texas. Clemson started out the season 4-0 behind a soft schedule and as the competition has picked up they have faded. The Tigers have lost 4 of 5. Clemson's struggles continue. Give me Drake +2.5! |
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12-11-21 | Arkansas v. Oklahoma -1.5 | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Oklahoma -1.5) I will roll the dice with the Sooners as a slim 1.5-point against Arkansas. This is all about the line, as we got an unranked Oklahoma team listed as the favorite against the undefeated and No. 12 ranked Razorbacks. I'm not dissing Arkansas and their 9-0 start, but you can't look at their strong start without looking at the fact that they have played the 316th easiest schedule in the country so far. The only two teams they have played that are ranked in the Top 100 are No. 66 K-State and No. 69 Cincinnati. They won both but didn't dominate either game. Oklahoma comes in at No. 43 and could easily be 9-0 themselves, as they have a 3-point loss to Utah State and a 4-point OT loss to Butler. Give me Oklahoma -1.5! |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -4.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Early Bird ATS MASSACRE (Ohio State -4.5) I will gladly lay the 4.5-point at home with Ohio State at home against Wisconsin. I love to back home teams as a short favorite or dog in the Big Ten, as I think there's just a massive home court edge in that conference. Ohio State didn't get off to the best of starts, but it feels like that big come from behind win over Duke a couple weeks back really sparked this team. The Buckeyes opened up Big Ten play last Sunday with an impressive 12-point road win over Penn State. I like this Wisconsin team, but I don't love the spot at all. Badgers played a big game last Saturday at home against Marquette and then opened up Big Ten play at home against Indian a on Wednesday. Wisconsin won and covered against the Hoosiers in a 64-59 win as a 4.5-point favorite, but really should have lost that game outright. I think they struggle here on the road on just 2 days of rest. Give me the Buckeyes -4.5! |
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12-10-21 | Celtics +5.5 v. Suns | 90-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics +5.5) I will gladly roll the dice with Boston catching 5.5 on the road against the Suns in Friday's last NBA game on the board. It's not so much that I want to bet the Celtics right now, as it is I want to bet against Phoenix. The Suns instantly became one of the bigger public plays when they went on that ridiculous 18-game win streak. While that streak was snapped in a loss at the Warriors, they did get right back in the win column the next game, beating the Spurs 108-104 at home. However, they didn't cover in that spot as a 7.5-point favorite and despite being 11-1 SU in their last 12 games, they are just 4-8 ATS during this run. The other big thing is this is not the same Suns team that went on that big win streak with their best player, Devin Booker, out with a hamstring injury. I feel good about the Celtics showing up here and wouldn't be shocked at all if they won outright. Give me Boston +5.5! |
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12-10-21 | Bucks v. Rockets +8 | Top | 123-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockets +8) I love the Rockets catching 8 at home against the Bucks on Friday. I just think this is a tough spot for Milwaukee. Even with Houston coming into this game on a 7-game win streak, it's going to be hard for the Bucks to get up for this game. I think even more so with a game against the Knicks on deck at Madison Square Garden (Sunday). On the flip side of this, I think you got to ride out the hot streak with the Rockets until they give us a reason not to, especially if they keep getting priced like they are one of the worst teams in the league. They just beat the Nets 114-104 as a 3.5-point home dog in their last game. Milwaukee is just 3-7 ATS last 10 games vs a team that's got a winning percentage under 40%. Rockets have covered 5 in a row as a dog and are 4-0 last 4 at home when catching points. Give me Houston +8! |
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12-10-21 | Kings v. Hornets | 123-124 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS MASSACRE (Kings PK) I like the Kings quite a bit as a pick'em on the road against the Hornets. Sacramento's not a team you want to be backing a lot on the road at this kind of price, but it's just too good a spot to pass up. Charlotte is decimated right now because of Covid. They got 5 guys out, including 3 starters in point guard LaMelo Ball, shooting guard Terry Rozier and center Mason Plumlee. They are also out back-up point guard Ish Smith and Rozier is the guy listed third on the PG depth chart. I just think because they were able to cover back-to-back games at home against the 76ers without those guys has created some false hope. Philly's playing better with Embiid back, but they are far from playing their best basketball. Sacramento has been up and down this season and the important thing right now is they are on the upswing. Kings have won and covered each of their last 3 games and a big part of that is they are healthy. Give me Sacramento PK! |
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12-09-21 | Iowa -3.5 v. Iowa State | 53-73 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa -3.5) It's one thing to see an unranked team laying points against a ranked opponent when they are at home. It's another when it's on the road. The betting public is flocking to back undefeated an No. 17 ranked Iowa State in this game, yet Iowa is the favorite at -3.5. I will gladly fade the public in this spot and lay it with the Hawkeyes. No question this Cyclones team is WAY better than expected. This is more about the matchup and the fact that I think this Iowa team is also WAY better than everyone expected. As far as the matchup. The Cyclones have lived off of their defense to their 8-0 start. They have been outstanding at forcing turnovers (at least 14 in every game, 20+ 4x). Couple things with that. Out of the 8 teams ISU has played, 7 hace come against teams who rank outside the Top 25 in offensive TO%. The Iowa Hawkeyes rank No. 1 in that department. ISU's defense has also not been tested by even a good 3-point shooting team. Prior to this game the best 3P% offense they have faced is Grambling St at No. 119. The Hawkeyes come in at No. 44. Iowa also by far has the best player on the floor in Keegan Bradley. This guy has done the near impossible and filled the massive shoes left by Luka Garza. One weakness Iowa has is post defense, which we saw in the Illinois game. ISU doesn't have a guy like Kofi Cockburn. Give me the Hawkeyes -3.5! |
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12-09-21 | Lakers -3 v. Grizzlies | 95-108 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Lakers -3) I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a slim 3-point road favorite against a Grizzlies team that is still playing without Ja Morant and will be in the second leg of a back-to-back. Not only are they on no rest, it's their third game in 4 nights. Lakers were off on Wednesday and their only game since last Friday is a home game against the Celtics on Tuesday. It will be just LA's 2nd game in 6 days. That's a huge rest edge this time of a year. This also feels like a rare time the public perception is down with this team. Lakers are still a big public play when they are bad, there's just not the hype we normally would see that would result in this line being a lot more. LA is not only rested, but they are also as healthy as they have been all year and have been playing better, winning 3 of their last 4. Offensively this team is rolling, shooting 50% or better in 5 straight. Give me the Lakers -3! |
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12-08-21 | Marquette v. Kansas State -1 | 64-63 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas St -1) I like the value here with Kansas State as a slim 1-point home favorite against Marquette. The Golden Eagles got off to that great start with wins over Illinois, Ole Miss and West Virginia, but they have since lost by 16 on a neutral site to St Bonaventure and by 13 at Wisconsin. K-State is coming off an impressive win over Wichita State on the road and their only two blemishes came to Arkansas and Illinois, who are both ranked in the Top 25. Neither of those were at home, where the Wildcats have one of the bigger home court edges in the country. I like the Wildcats to win this one. Give me K-State -1! |
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12-08-21 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -3.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -3.5) I'll take my chances with Memphis laying 3.5 at home against the Mavs. The Grizzlies aren't a better team long-term without Ja Morant, but there's no denying they have played some of their best basketball since he was lost to a knee injury. Memphis comes in having won and cover 5 in a row. Hard to not like the Grizzlies in this spot, as they couldn't be catching the Mavs at a better team. Dallas is in a major shooting slump, having scored fewer than 100 points in 3 straight and not shot better than 41% from the field in any of those games. Mavs will be playing on no rest after laying it all on the line in a 99-102 loss at Brooklyn last night. It will be the second back-to-back for Dallas in the last 6 days and they have to deal with the travel to Memphis after playing at home last night. Give me the Grizzlies -3.5! |
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12-08-21 | Bulls v. Cavs -2.5 | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Cavs -2.5) I'll take my chances with Cleveland as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Bulls. Chicago was able to win and cover shorthanded at home against the Nuggets, but I don't think they are going to be able to replicate that on the road against what has arguably been the most underrated teams in the Cavs. The main guy the Bulls won't have is DeMar DeRozan, but they also are without 3 key reserves in Alex Caruso, Javonte Green and Coby White. They also continue to play without starter Patrick Williams. Cavs are 17-6 ATS on the season, which tells you just how little respect this team has been getting. Cleveland has covered 7 of their last 8 and are a perfect 2-0 ATS this season when they do get that respect and are listed as a favorite. Give me the Cavs -2.5! |
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12-08-21 | Connecticut v. West Virginia -2.5 | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (W Virginia -2.5) I will gladly lay the short number with West Virginia at home against UConn. The books are telling you all you need to know with this one. You have the No. 15 ranked Huskies as a dog agaisnt an unranked Mountaineers team. This is all about home court for me, as well as the fact that the Huskies are not at full strength. West Virginia's only blemish on the record is a neutral site loss to Marquette in a game where they played with no ret. Give me the Mountaineers -2.5! |
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12-08-21 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -4.5 | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Big Ten PLAY OF THE MONTH (Wisconsin -4.5) I'll take the Badgers as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. Home court is huge in the Big Ten and I just think the Hoosiers are getting a little too much love after their 7-1 start. Indiana's only road game was at Syracuse, which they lost in 2OT. The Badgers are a much better team than the Orange and are going to be extremely motivated here in their Big Ten opener. I just don't trust that Indiana offense on the road against a top tier team like Wisconsin. Give me the Badgers -4.5! |
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12-07-21 | Villanova -8.5 v. Syracuse | 67-53 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Villanova -8.5) I'm going to lay it with Villanova against Syracuse at Madison Square Garden. The betting public is all over Syracuse in this game and I'm more than willing to fade a public dog, especially in a big game like this that we know is getting a lot of action. I get Syracuse comes in off back-to-back wins over Florida State and Indiana, but I'm not so sure either of those teams are as good as what we thought and they were lucky to win both.I just think the Orange are really limited on the defensive end. THis team has given up 80 or more in 4 of their last 6. Now they face a Villanova offense that ranks No. 4 in the country in offensive efficiency. Syracuse can score, but not enough to keep it close. Give me Villanova -8.5! |
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12-07-21 | Knicks v. Spurs +2.5 | 121-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Spurs +2.5) I'll take my chances with the Spurs as a 2.5-point home dog against the Knicks. Public will be all over New York at this price, which definitely makes San Antonio that much more enticing. This just feels like a flat spot for New York in their schedule. They just played a bunch of big games and have to go play the Spurs, Pacers, and Raptors on a 3 game road trip before returning home to host the Bucks and Warriors in consecutive games. As for San Antonio, the Spurs have finally put together an extended stretch of strong play. SA has gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS over their last 5 games. I like them to find a way to win this game outright. Give me the Spurs +2.5! |
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12-07-21 | Texas Tech v. Tennessee -3.5 | Top | 57-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Tennessee -3.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Vols as a slim 3.5-point favorite against Texas Tech, as the two face off in New York at Madison Square Garden. I really like what I've seen out of this Tennessee team early on. They had a bad showing against Villanova, but have since beat up on the likes of UNC (89-72) and Colorado (69-54). I think this team is the real deal. I don't think the same of the Red Raiders, who had started out 6-0 before losing at Providence last time out. I just think this team is a bit overvalued based on what they did under former head coach Chris Beard, who is now calling the shots at rival Texas. Prior to losing to Providence, Tech's 6-0 start was aided by playing 6 teams ranked outside the Top 240. Give me the Vols -3.5! |
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12-06-21 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Bulls | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Nuggets +4.5) I like the value we are getting with the Nuggets as 4.5-point road dog against the Bulls tonight. This is a bad spot for Chicago coming off that big win at Brooklyn, where they outscored the Nets 32-25 in the 4th to win 111-107. Not only is this a big flat spot for the Bulls, they won't have one of their top bench players in Alex Caruso. He can really be the spark that gets this team through these bad scheduling spots. I also think it's a good time to buy low on Denver. Nuggets are just 2-7 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games, but have won 2 of 3 on their current 7-game road trip. Both times winning outright as dogs at Miami and most recently at the Knicks 113-99 as a 2.5-point dog. Give me Denver +4.5! |
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12-06-21 | Illinois v. Iowa -2.5 | 87-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa -2.5) This is too good a price to pass up with the Hawkeyes at home. This Iowa team is way better than expected after not only losing the player of the year in Garza (NBA), but also second and fourth leading scorers in Wieskamp (NBA) and Fredrick (transferred to Kentucky). They had started out 7-0 before losing Friday at Purdue 70-77. While a loss is a loss, that was without their best player in Keegan Murray, who has been one of the most productive players in the entire country. That's also against a Purdue team that is a legit Final Four caliber team. The game before they put up 75 on the road against Virginia in a win. The key here is Murray is expected to play and with him I think they are going to have no problem winning this game at home against an Illinois team that I don't think is as good as what people thought they would be. Give me the Hawkeyes -2.5! |
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12-05-21 | Arizona v. Oregon State +12 | 90-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oregon State +12) I'll take my chances with the Beavers as a 12-point home dog against Arizona. I just think we are getting too good a price to pass up with Oregon State as they are being way undervalued due to the fact that they are 1-7 and have lost 7 straight since opening their season with a win over Portland State. Big thing is most of these losses for the Beavers have come against quality teams and several of those games could have went their way. This team is due for a breakout win and while I don't if they get it here, I think they are going to give Arizona all they can handle. Wildcats are sitting at 6-0 and have looked impressive to this point, but they will be playing their first true road game of the season. Not only that, but I think we could see a bit of a sloppy showing here from Arizona. The Wildcats only game in the last two weeks was a cupcake game against No. 311 ranked Sacramento State last Saturday. Give me the Beavers +12! |
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12-05-21 | Jazz v. Cavs +4.5 | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +4.5) I'll take my chances with the Cavs as a 4.5-point home dog against the Jazz on Sunday. Cleveland continues to be way undervalued by the books. Cavs come into this one having won 4 straight and covered 6 in a row, improving their overall ATS record to 16-5 on the season. They have covered 7 of 10 at home. I not only think they cover here against Utah, but I like them to win the game outright. Jazz have looked great in their last 3 games, especially offensively, but all 3 of those games came at home against teams who are not exactly playing great defense. Cavs have been out to prove something against the better teams and are 10-2 ATS when facing a team with a winning record. Give me Cleveland +4.5! |
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12-04-21 | Clippers v. Kings | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS KNOCKOUT (Kings PK) I will gladly take my chances with the Kings as a pick'em at home against the Clippers. Not only do I love that this line is begging the public to take LA, but we are also getting the Clippers in a great fade spot. This is a huge letdown spot for Los Angeles after last night's thrilling 119-115 win over the Lakers. There's not a team the Clippers want to beat more than their cross-town rivals and it meant that much more with James playing for the Lakers. I expect to see a very flat Clippers team on no rest against a very hungry Kings team that is trying to get their season on track. Sacramento just won 124-115 at the Clippers on Wednesday. LA is 0-3 ATS this season in the second game of a back-to-back and 1-6 ATS when revenging a loss this season. Give me the Kings PK! |
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12-04-21 | Iowa State v. Creighton -4.5 | 64-58 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR (Creighton -4.5) Not a lot to think about with this one. Iowa State comes into this game 7-0 and ranked No. 19 in the country and are a 4.5-point dog on the road against an unranked Creighton team. You got to lay it with the Bluejays in this spot. It's been an impressive start to the season for the Cyclones, who caught everyone's attention in the NIT Tip-Off with their two big upset wins over Xavier and Memphis. Clearly this team is better than expected, but I wonder if some of that wasn't those teams overlooking the Cyclones. You can bet those two wins and national ranking will have the attention of Creighton and I just think it's a tough spot for ISU. They play really hard defensively, but the offense is not great and this Bluejays team knows how to put the ball in the hoop. This is also the first true road game for the Cyclones, which is never easy. Give me Creighton -4.5! |
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12-04-21 | Bulls +3.5 v. Nets | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Prime Time ATS SLAUGHTER (Bulls +3.5) Got to take a shot with the Bulls in this one. As good as Chicago has been, the betting public can't help themselves when they see Brooklyn as a short favorite, especially at home. I know we are just outside the parameters, but I think it speaks to the play. Nets are 3-5 ATS this season with a line of +3.5 to -3.5 and 0-3 ATS at home in this spot. What the public overlooks with Brooklyn in this spot is the fact that they are playing this game on no rest after a hard fought 110-105 win at home against the Timberwolves last night. Chicago was off Friday and are playing just their second game in the last 5 days. Also, while the Bulls are playing their second straight on the road, there's basically no travel involved with New York to Brooklyn. I just think with the poor bench that the Nets have to work with, it's going to be hard for them to match the intensity of this Bulls team, who feels like they got something to prove every time they face one of the perceived top teams in the league. Give me Chicago +3.5! |
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12-04-21 | USC v. Washington State -1 | 63-61 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE (Wash St -1) What more do you need to know that the Cougars are the smart bet here than the books have an unranked Washington State team listed as the favorite against undefeated No. 20 USC. Winning on the road is not easy in CBB and the Pac-12 always seems to have a strong home court edge. I also like what I've seen out of this Washington team, who has went from starting out the season ranked No. 63 at KenPom to currently sitting at No. 48. The Cougars are a great defensive team that can really make it tough to score inside. While they don't shoot it great all the time, they are Top 15 in the country in offensive rebounding and are very good at getting to the free throw line. USC has a lot of strengths, but they are one of the worst in the country at forcing turnovers and dreadful at free throws. As a team they are shooting 56.4%! Cougars in comparison shot 75% from the charity line. Give me Washington State -1! |
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12-04-21 | Tennessee v. Colorado +5.5 | 69-54 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Colorado +5.5) I will gladly take my chances with Colorado as a 5.5-point home dog against the Vols today. I just think we are getting great line value with Buffalo because of the fact that Tennessee comes in ranked #13 and the Buffaloes are not in the Top 25. I think Colorado has a very underrated team this year and we saw some flashes of that in their last game when they went on the road and only lost by 12 to a really good UCLA team. The big difference with this game, is they get a good Tennessee at home. Colorado has one of the best home court advantages in the country and this will be the Vols first true road game of the season. Would not surprise me at all if the Buffaloes won this game outright. Give me Colorado +5.5! |
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12-04-21 | Memphis v. Ole Miss +1 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Early Bird ATS BLOWOUT (Ole Miss +1) This line is screaming to the public to take No. 18 Memphis as a mere 1-point road favorite against an unranked Ole Miss team. I'll gladly go the other way and back this Rebels team at home. This is a good Rebels team under head coach Kermit Davis. They are off to a 6-2 to start with their only two losses coming on the road against Marquette and Boise State, who are two teams ranked inside the Top 80. Memphis came into the season with a lot of hype, but they have lost their last two, falling 59-78 to ISU and 79-82 to Georgia. The Tigers like to play fast, but they also play sloppy. They rank 349th in TO%. Ole Miss in comparison ranks 48th. Hard to win on the road when you lose the turnover battle. The other big thing is the Rebels have a great interior defense, as they are 24th in the country in 2P% defense. Memphis isn't a big 3-pt shooting team. If the Rebels can get back and not let the Tigers run, they should make it really tough on Memphis to score. Give me Ole Miss +1! |
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12-03-21 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Mavs | 107-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +7.5) We cashed an ugly play on the Pistons +13 last night, as we faded the Suns off that big win over the Warriors. It's not quite the same with this play, but I like the Pelicans catching 7.5 in this one. These two teams just played at New Orleans on Wednesday and the Mavs won that game in a blowout 139-107. Not only did they win big, they set a franchise record for shooting, connecting on 68.7% of their shot attempts. That's absurd good and any time a team has a record-setting performance like that, it's really hard to live up that hype in that next game out. I also think them playing the same team they just annihilated takes away some competitive fight, while it gives a little more motivation to the Pelicans with revenge on the table. Mavs are just 3-12 ATS the last 2 seasons priced as home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and 7-20 ATS last 27 at home off a road win. Give me the Pelicans +7.5! |
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12-02-21 | Pistons +13 v. Suns | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money Vegas Insider (Pistons +13) This is a plug your nose play, as this Pistons team is awful, but I just have to bet against the Suns at this price in this spot. Phoenix is in a MASSIVE letdown spot. In their last two games they have went on the road and beat the Nets and then returned home to beat the Warriors. The most impressive in the win over Golden State is they did it with their star, Devin Booker, leaving the game early. Booker won't play in this game and I just think it's going to be really tough for the Suns to get up for this game against this Detroit team. As bad as the Pistons are, they have covered 4 of their last 5 when catching double-digits and I think they will be up here with that Suns win streak in play. Give me the Pistons +13! |
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12-02-21 | St. Mary's v. Utah State +1.5 | 60-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE (Utah St +1.5) We cashed a couple of home dogs last night on the college hardwood and I think we are going to do the same here with the Aggies as a small home dog against St. Mary's. I just think this Gaels team is bit overvalued after their 7-1 start. The Gaels got what looks like a couple of impressive wins on a neutral floor against Notre Dame and Oregon, but neither of those teams have looked that great to start the year. This will also be their first true road game of the season, which I think is a tricky spot, especially when it's against a quality team. I believe Utah State is that. The Aggies had a bad loss at home to UC Davis to open the year, but have won 6 straight since and two of those wins are against Richmond and Oklahoma. I think the wrong team is favored. Give me Utah State +1.5! |
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12-01-21 | Michigan v. North Carolina +2.5 | 51-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (UNC +2.5) I'll take my chances with the Tar Heels as a slim 2.5-point home dog against the Wolverines. I'm just not so sure the Wolverines should be favored on the road here. I just think Michigan was viewed so highly coming in, that they still are the team trust more. I see them as equals. UNC's only two losses are to Purdue and Tennessee on a neutral floor. The Boilermakers look like one of the best teams in the country and the Vols only loss is to Villanova. Michigan's also 4-2, but their two losses aren't nearly as good. They lost at home to Seton Hall and got destroyed on a neutral site by Arizona. Give me the Tar Heels +2.5! |
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12-01-21 | Florida v. Oklahoma +1 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Oklahoma +1) I will take my chances with the Sooners as a short home dog against the Gators. I think home court has proven to be a big thing in these bigger non-conference games and I'm not so sure Oklahoma isn't the better team. I know they lost on a neutral site to Utah State, but it was by just 3 points and that's a good Aggies team. Florida is 6-0 and have what looks like two big wins over FSU and Ohio State. I'm not sold on either of those teams being as good as what people think and that's with the Buckeyes big win over Duke last night. This will be there first true road game of the season in one of the tougher places to play. Give me Oklahoma +1! |
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12-01-21 | Northern Iowa -4.5 v. Bradley | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 41 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Missouri Valley PLAY OF THE MONTH (UNI -4.5) I love the Panthers laying a mere 4.5 points on the road against Bradley. It couldn't have been a much worse start to the season for UNI, wh lost 3 of their first 4. We knew this team was better than that and they showed some of that in their 13-point loss to Arkansas (led 75-72 with 4:25 left in the 2nd half). They then went on the road in a true road game and beat a really good St. Bonaventure team 90-80. I just feel like now is the time you want to be on this team. Bradley is definitely a team they can not just beat, but handle pretty easily. The Braves are 2-5 with their two wins coming against a non D-I school in Missouri S&T and No. 349 ranked Maine. They got no business making a game of it. Give me UNI -4.5! |
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12-01-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Heat | 111-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money SHARP STAKE (Cavs +6.5) I'll take my chances with the Cavs as a 6.5-point road dog against the Heat. When Cleveland has been at or close to full strength, they have really played well. They have been one of the biggest moneymakers of the season going 14-5-2 ATS. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their 10 road games and just won 114-96 as a 6.5-point dog at Dallas. This is a hungry young team that wants to show they belong and I see them really being up for this game against Miami. As for the Heat, they all kinds of injury problems. Both Adebayo and Butler are questionable and it just feels like Miami is going thru a stretch where they are just going through the motions. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after starting out 12-4 ATS in their first 16 games. Give me the Nuggets +6.5! |
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12-01-21 | Nuggets v. Magic +7.5 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Magic +7.5) I'm going to take the 7.5 with the Magic at home against the Nuggets. This just feels like too many for a Nuggets team that isn't playing great to be laying on the road. Denver did just beat the Heat 120-111 on the road, but Miami didn't have Butler or Herro. Prior to that win the Nuggets had gone 0-6 SU and 0-6 ATS. Denver won't have Austin Rivers, have lost Michael Porter Jr and PJ Dozier for the season and are still waiting on Jamaal Murray to make his season debut. As bad as the Magic have been, they did show some fight in their last game, only losing by 5 at Philly and they are getting back one of their best players in Cole Anthony from injury. Give me the Magic +7.5! |
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11-30-21 | Warriors +2.5 v. Suns | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Situational ATS NO-Brainer (Warriors +2.5) This was going to be a big game when these two played no matter what. It was going to be the Warriors first crack at the defending Western Conference Champs. It's just been taken to another level with how well these two teams are playing. The Suns haven't lost since losing to the Kings on Oct. 27th. They have won 16 in a row. The Warriors are 14-1 over their last 15 games. I like this Suns team, but I like the Warriors a lot more. I think Golden State will be the team to beat come the playoffs, assuming Klay Thompson makes a healthy return. I'll take the points with what I feel is the better team, especially knowing we are going to get the Warriors' best. Other big key here is that it's not a horrible scheduling spot. Warriors did play at LA on Sunday, but they were home for the previous three and this is just their second game in four days. Give me the Warriors +2.5! |
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11-30-21 | Northwestern v. Wake Forest -1 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Wake Forest -1) I'll take my chances with the Demon Deacons as a slim 1-point home favorite against Northwestern. I just think when you dissect this Wildcats team, they are probably a little overvalued right now. Northwestern is 5-1 and ranked No. 40 in KenPom, but what have they done. They started out 4-0 against a bunch of bad teams (all ranked 266th or worse), lost 72-77 to Providence (trailed 37-55 11:22 left in 2nd half) on a neutral floor and beat a bad Georgia team. Wake Forest is 6-1 and only ranked No. 90. They too started off with an easy schedule, but they did get a neutral site win against Oregon State and lost to a really good LSU team. I also think Wake has one of the best home court advantages in not just the ACC but the country. Give me the Demon Deacons -1! |
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11-30-21 | Knicks +6.5 v. Nets | Top | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Knicks +6.5) I'll take the 6.5 with the Knicks against the Nets. I just think the number is a little high. Brooklyn being such a public team plays a part. So does the fact that the Knicks are just 4-5 over their last 9 and the news with this team is centered around how Kemba Walker is all but done in the Big Apple. Thibs benched Walker in place of Alec Burks in their last game and they went on the road and beat the Hawks 97-90. Keep in mind Atlanta was arguably playing their best ball coming in, as they had won 7 straight. They also hadn't scored fewer than 110 in any game during that stretch. I don't know about taking him out of the rotation completely, unless they feel pretty good about trading him and they might, but I do think it makes the Knicks better in the short-term. Walker only averaging 11.7 ppg and 3.1 apg. Burks is also a big upgrade defensively and I think we saw that against the Hawks. The Nets are a good team, but they just seem to come up short in the big games against the better teams in this league. We just saw it in their last game at home against the Suns. Not saying they won't win, but I think this a game the entire way. Give me the Knicks +6.5! |
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11-29-21 | Montana v. Oregon -13 | 47-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Oregon -13) I think this is the perfect spot to buy low on the Ducks as a mere 13-point home favorite against Montana. Oregon has lost 3 of their last 4 and failed to cover in all 4 games, making them a very difficult team for the public to trust right now. Thing is, it's not like they have been losing to bad teams. The losses have come against BYU, St Mary's and Houston. All of which rank in the Top 40 in the country. I get they weren't exactly competitive in those games, but that doesn't mean they can't have their way with a team like Montana. You know the Ducks are going to give everything they got to get back in the win column and this is not a good Montana team. The Grizzlies are 4-2, but all 4 wins have come against a Non Div. I team or a team ranked outside the Top 225. They lost to No. 330 ranked North Dakota and lost by 37 at Mississippi St, who is ranked just 10 spots better than the Ducks. Give me Oregon -13! |
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11-29-21 | Blazers +8 v. Jazz | 107-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Blazers +8) I think this is just too good a price to pass up with the Blazers as a 8-point dog against the Jazz. While Portland does come in off two straight losses, where they failed to cover the spread, they weren't far off in either game and one of those losses was to the Warriors, who are winning and covering on everyone. Prior to these two games the Blazers had won and covered 4 in a row. The biggest thing for me in buying into this Portland team right now, is Damian Lillard is finally starting to play up to his potential after really playing poorly to start the year. I also think Utah's kind of going through the motions right now. The Jazz had failed to cover 3 straight prior to blowing out the Pelicans on Saturday, but keep in mind that was after they lost outright to New Orleans the night before as a 13-point favorite. In the two games prior they only won by 6 as a 12.5 pt favorite vs OKC and lost outright to Memphis as a 11-point favorite. Give me the Blazers +8! |
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11-28-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 | 118-100 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE (Pacers +2.5) I'm going to take the Pacers as a 2.5-point home dog against the Bucks. The betting public will be all over Milwaukee at this price. I'll gladly fade the public and side with the books in this one. Yes, the Bucks have been playing better. They have won 6 straight, but they are just 6-10 ATS over their last 16 and are just going to be a team all season that is overvalued as the defending champs. It hasn't exactly been the toughest stretch for Milwaukee and they still aren't fully healthy with Lopez and DiVincenzo still out. Pacers are as healthy as they have been all season and are 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games with the only loss coming in OT. Indiana has also gone 6-3 SU and 6-3 ATS at home this year. Give me the Pacers +2.5! |
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11-28-21 | Evansville -6.5 v. Eastern Illinois | 70-54 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Evansville -6.5) I think we are getting big time value with the Purple Aces laying single digits against this awful Eastern Illinois team. Evansville comes into this game having lost 4 straight and are just 2-6 to start the season. A lot of that is the schedule. They have 3 losses against teams ranked in the Top 80 at KenPom (Cincinnati, Belmont, UCF). The other 3 are all against quality teams who are ranked between 100 and 160. The Panthers from Charleston are ranked No. 345 out of the 358 teams that are ranked. Eastern Illinois is 1-5 with their only win coming against a smaller division opponent in Rockford. The only time they haven't lost by more than 20 is when they have faced an opponent that is also ranked outside the Top 300. Evansville is currently sitting at No. 232, but I believe are better than that. I still think their closer to their preseason rank of No. 170. Either way, they should win here by at least 10 points. Give me the Purple Aces -6.5! |
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11-27-21 | Suns v. Nets -1 | 113-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Nets -1) I will gladly take Brooklyn at basically a pick'em at home against the Suns. The Nets have been playing much more like the team we expected to see right from the start, as James Harden is finally playing up to his potential. After how bad this team lost at home to Golden State recently, I see the Nets being at their best for this matchup against a Suns team that hasn't lost since October. Not to say Phoenix isn't playing well, but the schedule has set up nicely for them during this win streak. There's also no question it has them overvalued right now by the oddsmakers. I also don't love the spot for the Suns, who are playing the final game of a 4 game road trip, they got the Warriors on deck and this will be their 5th game in the last 7 days. Give me the Nets -1! |
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11-27-21 | UCLA v. UNLV +10.5 | 73-51 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Public Money ATS SLAUGHTER (UNLV +10.5) I'll take my chances with the Runnin' Rebels catching 10.5 at home against UCLA. There's been so much hype around this Bruins team and rightfully so, that loss to Gonzaga isn't going to keep the public from laying big numbers with this team. I just think we are getting value with an inflated number. I also like what I've seen out of this UNLV team. While they are just 4-2, two of those losses came against NCAA Tournament caliber teams in Michigan and Wichita State. They were competitive in both. They lost by 13 to the Wolverines and by just 1 to the Shockers. I don't know if they can win this game outright, but keeping it within the number shouldn't be a problem. Give me the Runnin' Rebels +10.5! |
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11-26-21 | Kings +7.5 v. Lakers | 141-137 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR (Kings +7.5) I cashed on the Kings as a short home dog in Wednesday's 125-121 win over the Blazers and I will gladly take a shot on Sacramento as a 7.5-point dog against a Lakers team that is still trying to figure things out. Betting public loves to bet LeBron and the Lakers, especially off a win and cover. Books know this and will inflate the numbers. We see this in the fact that LA is a mere 19-35 ATS last 2 seasons off a win. Lakers are also just 15-27 ATS last 42 as a home favorite. Give me the Kings +7.5! |
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11-26-21 | Raptors v. Pacers -3.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -3.5) I'll take my chances with the Pacers laying just 3.5-points at home against the Raptors. Toronto had a great comeback win on the road against Memphis on Wednesday, as they went from trailing 59-71 at the half to winning the game 126-113. It always takes a little more out of you playing from behind and I just don't trust this Raptors team to play well in this spot against what should be a hungry Pacers team that just lost in OT at home to Lakers. I really think Indiana is on the upswing right now and if it wasn't for LeBron going off, they would have beat LA. Even with that win at Memphis, the Raptors are just 3-7 SU and 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games and are in a bit of a flat/tired spot playing their 6th and final road game of a road trip that started with 4 games on the west coast. Give me the Pacers -3.5! |
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11-26-21 | Xavier v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | 59-58 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money ATS DESTROYER (Va Tech -2.5) I'll lay it with the Hokies as they take on Xavier in a matchup between two teams that lost their first games of the NIT Season Tip-Off special. It was just much different showings from these two teams. The Musketeers lost by double-digits to a very mediocre ISU team as a near double-digit favorite. Va Tech more than held their own in a 71-77 loss to a really good Memphis team. It really looked like the Cyclones defense got to Xavier, which is really bad news for them because Va Tech is a much better defensive team than ISU. I just think the number here is too low. Give me the Hokies -2.5! |
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11-24-21 | Blazers v. Kings +3.5 | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational Late Night MASSACRE (Kings +3.5) This is a bit of a plug your nose bet, but I'm going to take my chances with Sacramento catching points at home against the Blazers. I know the Kings have been bad of late, going just 1-8 SU and 1-8 ATS over their last 9 games. A stretch that recently resulted in head coach Luke Walton getting fired. While they lost their first game after Walton was fired 94-102 at home to a depleted 76ers team on Monday, they did show me something in that game. Sacramento held Philly to just 42.4% from the field and were up 9 in the 4th quarter. They just couldn't buy a basket in the final 10 minutes. I think we see this team come out inspired here and I really think it's a good spot to fade the Blazers. Not only is Portland playing the second of a back-to-back on the road, they got a showdown with Steph Curry and the Warriors on deck Friday. You also got to look at how different Portland has been at home compared to on the road, which I think is big here after the Blazers just played 4 straight at home. Portland is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS at home compared to just 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS on the road this season. Give me the Kings +3.5! |
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11-24-21 | Raptors v. Grizzlies -3.5 | 126-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -3.5) I will lay the 3.5 at home with Memphis against the Raptors tonight. I think this Grizzlies team is on the upswing right now and are certainly going to be coming into this game with a lot of confidence after going on the road and beating the Jazz 119-118 as a 11-point dog in their last game. Memphis has won and covered 3 of their last 4 and are 6-3 SU and 6-3 ATS at home, compared to just 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS on the road. The other big key here is this is not a great spot for the Raptors. While Toronto is playing on 2 days of rest, this team has really been playing some bad basketball over the last few weeks. Raptors are just 2-7 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. They are playing their 5th straight on the road (10th road game in their last 13 overall). They are not shooting the ball well and are really playing poorly on the defensive side (allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 49% or better). Give me Grizzlies -3.5! |
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11-24-21 | Bulls -8.5 v. Rockets | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Bounce Back PLAY OF THE MONTH (Bulls -8.5) I love the Bulls to go on the road and easily cover the 8.5-point spread against an awful Rockets team. I think the biggest thing you got to make sure of when playing against Houston is that the team you are backing is motivated to play well, because this is definitely a team that is so bad that it can be really easy for teams to overlook. I'm confident the Bulls will be motivated, as Chicago is coming off easily their worst performance of the season in Monday's 77-109 loss at home to the Pacers. It was simply a massive letdown spot for the Bulls. Chicago had just played a 5-game west coast trip and in their first game back had a big revenge game against the Knicks. Not a surprise they didn't have it against Indiana in the second leg of a back-to-back. Houston hasn't won a game since beating OKC back on Oct. 22nd and are losing on average by 11.2 ppg. Give me the Bulls -8.5! |
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11-24-21 | Xavier -8 v. Iowa State | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Xavier -8) I will gladly lay the 8-points with the Musketeers as they take on Iowa State in the NIT Season Tip-Off in Brooklyn. I just think this is a much bigger mismatch than what the books are suggesting. Xavier comes in ranked 33rd in the KenPom rankings and have started out 4-0. They didn't play great in their opener against Niagara, but have looked really good in 3 games following. They rolled a quality Kent St team 73-59, beat Ohio State at home 71-65 and crushed Norfolk St 88-48. Iowa State is also 4-0 and I believe that record is what really has the number lower than it should be. The Cyclones have played 3 teams who rank outside the Top 290 and the one impressive win came at home against Oregon State, who had to travel quite a ways to play in a very tough environment at Hilton Coliseum. That's also an Oregon State team that has started just 1-4 with their only win against Portland State and have lost to the likes of Samford at home. I still think this is an ISU team that is closer to the team that went 2-22 last year than what their 4-0 start would lead you to believe. Give me Xavier -8! |
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11-23-21 | Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Mavs +5.5) I will take a shot here with the Mavs catching 5.5 on the road against the Clippers, as these two teams will face off in a rematch from Sunday in LA, which the Clippers won 97-91. LA only won that matchup by 6, despite them shooting 48% from the field and the Mavs only shooting 41%. Dallas also played that first game with their best player in Luka Doncic. While Doncic is listed as questionable, there figures to be a good chance he plays. He was close to coming back on Sunday and was seen taking part in scrimmages during Monday's practice. Even if the Mavs decide to sit him a 4th straight game, I still think Dallas is the play here. Mavs are 37-18-1 ATS last 56 on the road vs a team with a winning home record and 9-4 ATS last 13 off a SU loss. Clippers are just 3-7 ATS last 10 off a game where they covered the spread. Give me Dallas +5.5! |
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11-23-21 | Rice v. Oakland -1.5 | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
50* (CBB) Situational MAX UNIT Top Play (Oakland -1.5) I'm a little surprised that we are getting such a great number here with Oakland. Both of these teams won their first game in the Gulf Coast Showcase that's taking place in Estero, FL on Monday. Might seem like an even handicap in terms of rest, but that's not the case. While Oakland had a battle in a 63-61 win over a good Vermont team, the Owls played 15 extra minutes in a 109-104 3OT win against Evansville. Rice had 4 of their 5 starters log at least 40 minutes, with senior guard Carl Pierre logging 51 minutes. While 5 guys played off the bench for the Owls, three of the 5 logged fewer than 10 minutes, as Rice essentially used a 7-man rotation. I also think you got look at what these two teams have done early. Rice is 4-1, but all 4 wins have come against teams ranked outside of the Top 200 at KenPom. Oakland is just 3-2, but all 5 of their games have come against teams ranked in the Top 120, with 3 of the 5 coming vs teams in the Top 50 (W Virginia, Oklahoma St and Alabama). Give me the Grizzlies -1.5! |
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11-22-21 | Providence +2.5 v. Northwestern | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Providence +2.5) I think the wrong team is favored in this neutral site matchup between the Big Ten's Northwestern and the Big East's Providence. Both of these teams come into this game 4-0, but only one of these two teams has been tested. The Friars went on the road and beat a very good Wisconsin team 63-58. Northwestern on the other hand has just feasted on bad teams. All 4 of the Wildcats' wins have come against teams ranked outside the top 240 in KenPom's rankings and 3 of the 4 have come outside the Top 315! The Friars worst team they have faced is ranked 290. I think it's going top be tough for Northwestern to travel out to Newark, NJ and play well in a big step up game like this. I also think there's going to be a lot more Providence fans in attendance, which will make it feel more like a road game. It's a 2 hour flight for Evanston and less than a 4 hour drive from Providence. Give me the Friars +2.5! |
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11-22-21 | Hornets v. Wizards -3.5 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Wizards -3.5) I love the Wizards as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Hornets. Washington is going to come into this game feeling really good about themselves after they pulled out a 103-100 win at home over the Heat in a game they trailed by 16 in the 3rd quarter and by 10 with just 4:42 left to play. I also think any kind of letdown from that big come from behind win is negated by the fact that Washington had a day off on Sunday to recoup and there being no travel between games. It's a much different story for the Hornets, who just had their 5-game SU and ATS win streak snapped in a 105-115 loss at Atlanta on Saturday. While Charlotte also had Sunday off, they had to travel from Atlanta to Washington and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. You also have to look at how well the Wizards have played at home. Washington is 7-1 SU and 7-1 ATS at Capital One Arena this season. Hornets are just 13-24 ATS last two seasons as a road dog, where they are losing by an average of 8.6 ppg. Give me the Wizards -3.5! |
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11-21-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -5 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Bulls -5) I'll take my chances with Chicago cashing as 5-point home favorite against the Knicks. Bulls are in a bit of a tricky spot playing their first game back after a length west coast trip, but I don't see them having any problem getting up for this game. These two teams don't like each other and the Bulls certainly haven't forgot about a 103-104 loss to New York at home back on Oct. 28th. The good news is the Knicks come into this game not playing well and are in a tough scheduling spot of their own. New York is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 and 3-8 ATS over their last 11. They were trailing in the 2nd half of last night's game at home against the Rockets, a team that has no business even being within single digits. Look for Chicago to make a statement at the United Center tonight. Give me the Bulls -5! |
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11-20-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers -7 | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -7) I'll take my chances here with Indiana laying it on the Pelicans and covering here as a 7-point home favorite. Both of these teams are going to be playing in the second game of a back-to-back and coming off very different results. New Orleans knocked off the Clippers 94-81 as a 4.5-point dog, while the Pacers lost 118-121 as a 1-point road favorite at Charlotte. In a game where fatigue figures to be a big factor, playing at home will be a huge edge for Indiana. You also got to look at how bad the Pelicans have been away from home. New Orleans is just 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS away from home, where they are losing on average by 12.9 ppg. I also think this is a big bounce back spot for the Pacers, who have lost 3 straight. Each of the last two losses have come as favorites. Indiana is 6-1 ATS last 3 seasons after losing back-to-back games as a favorite. Pelicans are 0-8 ATS last 8 on the road against teams who are allowing 108 or fewer points/game. Give me the Pacers -7! |
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11-20-21 | Richmond v. Drake -4 | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR (Drake -4) I think we are getting a great price here with the Bulldogs as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Spiders. Drake is absolutely loaded this year. The Bulldogs return all 5 starters from last year's NCAA Tournament team. They have all the pieces in place to be even better this year. Richmond returns 4 starters, but I just haven't been impressed with what I've seen out of the Spiders early on. They beat a bad NC Central team by just 10 in their opener and lost outright 74-85 as a 6.5-point favorite to Utah State. Drake is simply the better offensive and defensive team in this matchup and just aren't getting enough respect at home. Give me the Bulldogs -4! |
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11-19-21 | Raptors v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 108-89 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings -3.5) I really like the price and the spot for the Kings, who are just 3.5-point home favorites against a struggling Raptors team. Sacramento is coming off a very disappointing 1-3 road trip against the Spurs, Thunder, Pistons and T-Wolves. Veteran big man Tristan Thompson voiced his frustration with the lack of intensity his team showed in this trip and I just think we are going to see an inspired effort from the Kings here at home. I know Sacramento is just 2-4 at home, but 3 of the 4 losses have come against 3 of the best teams in the West in the Warriors, Jazz and Suns and all 3 of those were by 8 or fewer. Toronto has not been playing well for a couple weeks now. The Raptors are 1-6 SU and 1-6 ATS over their last 7 games. They are shooting the ball poorly and not playing together on defense. They have allowed each of their last 3 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and one of those teams was the Pistons. I just don't see them snapping out of this in what will be their 3rd road game on a west coast trip, especially in the 2nd of a back-to-back after a game last night in Utah. Give me the Kings -3.5! |
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11-19-21 | Oakland +16.5 v. Alabama | 59-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Oakland +16.5) I'll take a shot here with Oakland catching 16.5 points on the road against the Crimson Tide. I just think this is a classic case where you have a ranked Alabama team (No. 14) being overvalued against an unranked opponent. This is far from a pushover for the Crimson Tide. This Oakland team is legit. They have already played two teams ranked in the Top 50 of KenPom's rankings in West Virginia and Oklahoma State. They lost by just 7 as a 17.5-point dog on the road to the Mountaineers and beat Oklahoma State 56-55 as a 17-point dog on the road. They also covered their other game with ease, knocking off Toledo 80-59 as a mere 2-point favorite. I also think this could be a bit of a tricky spot for Alabama, as it's their last game before they get ready to go to Orlando for a Thanksgiving Tournament that will likely end up with a showdown against Kansas. Give me the Golden Grizzlies +16.5! |
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11-18-21 | Wyoming +1.5 v. Washington | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Wyoming +1.5) I'll take my chances with the Cowboys cashing as a slim 1.5-point road dog against the Huskies. Wyoming is talented team that I think is flying a bit under the radar to start the year. The Cowboys went just 14-11 last year in the first year under new head coach Jeff Linder, but this guy has a great track record. He had a 15-win jump from year one to year two in his last sting at Northern Colorado. What I think has them ready to take that next step is the emergence of 6'9 sophomore Graham Ike. He was limited to just 12 games last year and averaged just 11.2 ppg. He's put up 20+ in each of Wyoming's first two games this year. He gives them a potent 1-2 punch with senior point guard Hunter Maldonado, who many considered one of the top returning players in the MWC. The other big thing for me, is I think Washington isn't very good. The Huskies have started 2-1, but lost outright in their opener to Northern Illinois 64-71 and that's a Huskies team that is ranked outside the top 310 in the country at KenPom. They only beat Northern Arizona 73-62 and Texas Southern 72-65. Both of those teams are outside the Top 220 with Northern Arizona ranked even lower than Northern Illinois. Give me Wyoming +1.5! |
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11-18-21 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +1.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Vegas Insider MAX UNIT Top Play (Grizzlies +1.5) I really like Memphis as a small home dog against the Clippers tonight. Memphis has finally gotten healthy with the return of Dillon Brooks. He's that second scoring option this team has been lacking behind Morant. In the 3 games (2 starts) Brooks has made, he's averaged 19.7 ppg. With the Grizzlies coming into this game on a full two days of rest with no travel between games, I really like them to play well. On the flip side of this, I think this is a great sell high spot with Los Angeles. The Clippers come into this game having gone 8-1 SU and 6-2 ATS over their last 8 games. Thing is, LA has played their last 6 at home and the only two on the road during this stretch were against a bad Timberwolves team. Lot of people forget the Clippers were just 1-4 SU prior to this recent run. Give me the Grizzlies +1.5! |
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11-18-21 | Marquette v. Ole Miss -3.5 | 78-72 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Ole Miss -3.5) I will gladly take my chances with Ole Miss as a slim 3.5-point favorite against Marquette. This game will be played on a neutral site at TD Arena in Charleston, South Carolina. I really like what Kermit Davis is doing in Oxford and I think he's got a very underrated team coming into the year. This is a team that a lot of people have closer to the bottom than the top in the SEC in their predicted standings and I think they got the goods to compete. On the flip side of this, I think Marquette is getting way too much respect from their last game, where they upset No. 10 ranked Illinois 67-66 as a 8-point dog. Keep in mind that's an Illini team that hasn't exactly looked great early and were without one of the best players in the country in Kofi Cockburn. That game was also played on Monday, so just a two day turnaround sets up a possible letdown. Ole Miss on the other hand has been off since whooping Charleston last Friday. Give me the Rebels -3.5! |
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11-18-21 | Ohio State -2 v. Xavier | 65-71 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Smart Money ATS MASSACRE (Ohio St -2) I will gladly take a shot here with Ohio State as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Musketeers. I think we are getting a great price with the Buckeyes do their lackluster ATS start. Ohio State barely beat Akron 67-66 as a 16.5-pt favorite and then only beat Niagara 84-74 as a 20-pt favorite. They did bounce back in a big way in their next game, beating Bowling Green 89-58 as a mere 16-pt favorite. I just think because the game is being played at Xavier and the Musketeers are 2-0 to start the year, we are getting a great price with the Buckeyes in this matchup. Very similar to last night, when Michigan State was laying such a short number against Butler and wound up winning 73-52. Other big thing with the Musketeers is they are still without big man Zach Freemantle, who was one of the top big men in the Big East last year, averaging 16.1 ppg and 8.9 rpg on 51% shooting. I think they are going to really miss him against a big, strong and athletic front of Ohio State, especially with how Xavier has struggled from deep (shooting 25% from behind the 3-pt line). Give me the Buckeyes -2! |
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11-17-21 | St. John's v. Indiana -4.5 | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Indiana -4.5) I just think this is too good a price to pass up with the Hoosiers at home. Not to take anything away from St. John's, who figures to finish in the top half of the Big East this year, but I think there's a pretty big gap in the Big East after the top teams of Villanova and UConn. So while Indiana is picked by many to finish middle of the pack in the Big Ten, I think they are clearly the better team and there's not enough being factor into this line for how tough it is to win at Assembly Hall. I think the atmosphere could really prove to be a problem for a St. John's team that endured a lot of turnover from last year. Give me the Hoosiers -4.5! |
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11-17-21 | Detroit v. Mississippi State -15.5 | Top | 64-77 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Mississippi St -15.5) I love Mississippi State as a mere 15.5-point home favorite. I really like what Ben Howland is doing in Starkville and I've been impressed with how good the Bulldogs have looked to start the year. This is a team that added in some big time talent to already talented roster in the transfer portal. They brought in Rocket Watts from Michigan State, D.J. Jeffries from Memphis, Garrison Brooks from North Carolina and Shakeel Moore from NC State. They are scoring 80.5 ppg on 50.4% shooting from the field and 46% from behind the 3-point line. They absolutely destroyed North Alabama and Montana in their first two games and have another cupcake here in Detroit, who is giving up 83 ppg on 52% shooting and that's against the likes of Wyoming and Toledo. Give me the Bulldogs -15.5! |
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11-17-21 | Celtics v. Hawks -4 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Blockbuster ATS NO-BRAINER (Hawks -4) I will gladly take my chances with the Hawks as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Celtics. Atlanta has really been a Jekyll and Hyde team this year when it comes to where they are playing. The Hawks are 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS on the road compared to 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS at home. Their only home loss came against the Jazz in the 2nd of a back-to-back after they played at Brooklyn against the Nets the night before. Boston has been hit or miss all year and are just not a team I can trust on the road against a quality team without one of their best players in Jaylen Brown. They also could be without talented big man Robert Williams, who is questionable to play after leaving their last game with a knee injury. Give me the Hawks -4! |
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11-17-21 | Wizards v. Hornets | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS MASSACRE (Hornets PK) I will gladly take a shot with the Hornets as a pick'em at home against the Wizards. I just feel like now is the time to sell high on Washington. The Wizards have shocked everyone by jumping out to the best record in the Eastern Conference at 10-3 and with all the big media outlets starting to talk about them, I think we are seeing the books finally make an adjustment on them. Now I'm not saying the Wizards aren't greatly improved and a playoff contender in the East, but there is reason to be pessimistic with their strong start. While they do have some decent wins over the likes of the Bucks, Celtics, Hawks and Raptors, their only win against a team who currently has a winning record is a 3-point win at Cleveland, a game they had no business winning. Hornets come in having won and covered 3 straight and have been a much stronger team at home than on the road. Charlotte is definitely going to be up for this one and I think they could win this going away. Give me the Hornets PK! |
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11-17-21 | Pacers -6.5 v. Pistons | 89-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money ATS ANNIHILATOR (Pacers -6.5) This definitely falls into the category of a so-called "square play," but I don't care. This Pistons team is awful. Detroit is just 3-10 SU and have gone 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS in their 4 division games this year. In those 4 games they have been outscored by almost 20 ppg, losing on average by a final score of 84.2 to 101.5. Making matters even worse for Detroit is they just recently lost one of their best players in Kelly Olynyk. Not that he's great, but he's the only player with a PER (individual player rating) better than 16 at 19.06. I also love the spot for the Pacers, who you have to think are itching to get back on the floor after what took place in Monday's 84-92 loss at the Knicks. Indiana got outscored 23-10 in the 4th quarter of that game. They shockingly only made 2 FGs in the 4th quarter. Prior to that poor showing the Pacers had covered 6 of their previous 7 games. Give me Indiana -6.5! |
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11-17-21 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Butler | 73-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Michigan St -2.5) I just think the books have made a big mistake here with making the Spartans a mere 2.5-point road favorite against the Bulldogs. Butler has fallen off quite a bit since LaVall Jordan took over. They haven't made the NCAA Tournament in 3 years and even with 5 starters back, they have the looks of the middle of the pack team in the Big East this year. Butler has started out 3-0, which I think is definitely playing into the number being lower than it should be. Thing is, the 3-0 start is nothing to write home about. They have beat IUPUI, Central Arkansas and Troy. All 3 of those rank outside the Top 200 teams in KenPom's ranking with two of those outside the Top 325. Michigan State is a big step up in competition and the Bulldogs just don't have the coaching or talent to win this game. Give me the Spartans -2.5! |
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11-16-21 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Michigan | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Seton Hall +8.5) This is just too good a price to pass up with the Pirates as a 8.5-point road dog against No. 4 ranked Michigan. The Wolverines are a good team, but them being ranked in the Top 5 and Seton Hall not being ranked in the Top 25 has this line inflated. Pirates did lose some big pieces from last year, but they have looked outstanding in their first two games. They won 93-49 over Farleigh Dickinson as a 27-point favorite and 80-44 as a 11.5 point home dog to Yale. They are getting scoring from just about every player who steps on the floor. We saw Michigan struggle with a good Buffalo team at home in their opener and I think we could potentially see the Wolverines go down in this one. Give me Seton Hall +8.5! |
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11-16-21 | St. Louis +10.5 v. Memphis | 74-90 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (St Louis +10.5) This is just too many points to pass up with St Louis, as they are catching double-digits on the road against No. 11 Memphis. The Tigers are a big public team and are simply being overvalued here. The Billikens are off to a strong 3-0 start and are a team that I think can not only contend in the A-10 but has a legit shot at making the NCAA Tournament. In their two lined games they have covered with ease, beating Central Arkansas 96-61 as a 22 point favorite and Eastern Illinois 86-44 as a 21-point favorite. With how they play defense, it's not out of the question they could win this game outright. Give me the Billikens +10.5! |
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11-16-21 | Miami-FL -7 v. Florida Atlantic | 68-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Miami -7) I think we are getting a great price here with the Hurricanes as a 7-point favorite at FAU. Good buy low spot on Miami after losing outright 89-95 as a 3-point favorite at home to UCF. That's a much improved UCF team that returned all 5 starters and the Knights couldn't miss in that game. FAU put up 92 points in their opener and lost. That tells you a lot about this team. They like to play fast, but also don't play any defense. They gave up 99 points on 53% shooting to a rebuilding New Mexico team. Unless FAU shoots lights out, the Hurricanes should win this game by double-digits easy. Give me Miami -7! |
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11-15-21 | Suns -3.5 v. Wolves | 99-96 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Suns -3.5) I'll lay the 3.5 with the Suns on the road against the Timberwolves. Phoenix is one of the hottest teams in the league right now. Suns have won 8 in a row and covered each of their last 7. Each of their last 3 wins have come by double-digits. Minnesota is the exact opposite. Timberwolves are just 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. Of the 7 losses during this stretch, 5 have come by double-digits. The big knock on the Suns in this game, is the fact that they will be playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road after yesterday's 115-89 win at Houston. With that being such an easy win and guys didn't have to play big minutes, I don't think it takes from their performance tonight. This is also far from an ideal spot for the Timberwolves, who could be dealing with some jet lag after playing 4 straight on the road, with the last 3 of those being played in California (Warriors, Lakers, Clippers). They got yesterday off, but will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Suns -3.5! |
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11-15-21 | Buffalo v. North Texas | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Buffalo PK) I think we are getting some big time value here with the Bulls as a pick'em against the Mean Green. I really like this Buffalo team this year. The Bulls got multiple guys who can score the ball and we saw that in full display in their 76-88 loss in a cover at Michigan to open the season. North Texas was a great story last year, winning 4 games in 4 days to win the C-USA tournament to make the NCAA Tournament, where they went on to upset Purdue in OT. This is just not the same team for the Mean Green, who lost their best player in Javion Hamlet (15.7 ppg), as well as two other double-figure scorers in James Reese (10.9 ppg) and Zachary Simmons (10.0 ppg). Give me the Bulls PK! |
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11-14-21 | Nets v. Thunder +9.5 | 120-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Thunder +9.5) I'll gladly take my chances with OKC as a near double-digit home dog against the Nets. Brooklyn is a huge public team and are being asked to way a few too many in this spot. The Nets are playing the final game of a 6-game road trip that has seen them go up and down the east coast. I think they will have a hard time getting up for this game, as they have to be counting down the hours until they get to get on that plane back home. Even more so with a massive home game looming Tuesday against the Warriors. The other big thing here is the Thunder are playing their best basketball of the season coming into this game. OKC has won 4 straight. They have also covered each of their last 5 games and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8. They are playing exceptional defense during this stretch as they have held each of their last 6 opponents under 42% shooting from the field. Give me OKC +9.5! |
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11-14-21 | South Dakota v. Drake -16 | 50-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Drake -16) I'll lay the big number here with Drake at home against South Dakota. The Bulldogs won their season opener over Coe College 87-61. They shot 53% from the field and connected on 12 of 23 (52%) from behind the 3-point line. This Drake team is one of the best the MVC has to offer this year, as they returned all 5 starters from a team that received an at-large bid to last year's NCAA Tournament. South Dakota brings back 3 starters, but they lost their two best players from last year's team in Stanley Umude (21.6 ppg) and A.J. Plitzuweit (19.0 ppg). Umude transferred and Plitzuweit suffered a bad injury last February that will have him sidelined for this season as well. No other player averaged in double-figures last year for the Coyotes. South Dakota won their opener over Air Force 59-53, but failed to cover as 7-point favorites. That's a Falcons team that is picked by many to finish near the basement of the Mountain West. They shot just 36.2% from the field in that win. This has blowout written all over it. Give me Drake -16! |
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11-13-21 | Texas +7.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-86 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Late Night MAX UNIT Top Play (Texas +7.5) I've had this game circled for a while now. No way should this Texas team being catching this big of a number against any team in the country. Gonzaga is just way overpriced after what they did last year and coming into this season as the consensus top team. I get they brought in some great guys and have some good players back, but losing a player like Suggs and asking this team to be as good as they were last year, is asking a lot. As for the Longhorns, they made an absolute great hire with Chris Beard and few teams worked the transfer portal better than the Longhorns. I not only think Texas covers the big number, I like them to win outright. Give me the Longhorns +7.5! |
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11-13-21 | Davidson v. San Francisco -6.5 | 60-65 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE (San Francisco -6.5) I will gladly take my chances here with the Dons as a 6.5-point home favorite against Davidson. These are two teams I got very different views on coming into the 2021-22 season. I really like this San Francisco team, which returns 4 starters from a talented team that just could never get the chemistry right last year. They probably don't have enough to dethrone Gonzaga in the WCC, but I think they could surprise and finish much higher than the middle of the pack, where most have them pegged. As for Davidson, I'm way down on the Wildcats this year and it's all centered around the loss of their best player in Kellan Grady. He was their top scorer last year at 17.1 ppg. He left in the transfer portal to go play at Kentucky. Replacing him will be a tall task and I just don't see the Wildcats having a good showing on the other side of the country in their first road game of the season. Give me San Francisco -6.5! |
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11-13-21 | Celtics v. Cavs +2.5 | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Public Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +2.5) I'll take my chances with the Cavs as a home dog against the Celtics on Saturday. Boston has been playing better of late, going 3-1 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games, but this is a really tough spot for the Celtics. Boston just put everything they had into last night's 122-113 OT win over the Bucks in a prime time game on ESPN. They had 4 different guys log over 40 minutes with all 5 starters playing 30+ minutes. I think it will be tough here for them to bounce back on no rest (also 3rd game in 4 days) in the first of two straight games in Cleveland against the Cavs (two play again in Cleveland on Monday). Cavs have been one of the biggest money makers early on. They are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games after destroying the Pistons 98-78 as a mere 5-point home favorite on Friday. Books just haven't made the proper adjustments on this team and until they do, they are going to be a team to keep backing. Give me the Cavs +2.5! |
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11-13-21 | Georgia v. Cincinnati -9.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Cincinnati -9.5) A lot of people are wanting to grab the near double-digits with Georgia and I just don't get it. The Bulldogs lost 4 of 5 starters from last year's team and figure to be at or near the bottom of the SEC standings when it's all said and done. I thought they made a good hire in Wes Miller to be their new head coach and they got a lot come back from a team that didn't live up to their potential last year. Cincinnati has a great backcourt and depth. They are also a really good defensive team. They beat Evansville 65-43 as a mere 11.5-point favorite in their opener. The Bearcats held the Purple Aces to just 25.9% shooting, forced them into 15 turnovers and were +7 on the boards. Cincinnati's Williams Arena is also very tough place to play for opposing teams. I'm not buying the Bulldogs can make a game of this. Give me the Bearcats -9.5! |
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11-12-21 | Bulls v. Warriors -5.5 | 93-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Warriors -5.5) I really like this Bulls team and have made a bunch of money backing them early on this season. With that said, I hate this spot for Chicago. The Bulls will be making their first trip out west to face the hottest team in the league in the Warriors, who are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS. Warriors could be without Draymond Green, who is questionable with a thigh bruise (think there's a decent chance he plays), but the Bulls will be without their big man in Nikola Vucevic due to Covid. I just don't think Chicago is going to be able to do enough offensively against a very good Golden State defense to keep this close enough to cover. Books just haven't adjusted enough on this Warriors team. Give me Golden State -5.5! |
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11-12-21 | Mavs v. Spurs +2.5 | 123-109 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs +2.5) This Spurs team burned me in their last game with arguably their best showing of the season in a blowout win over the Kings. I think I might have been a little too low on this San Antonio team. I'll gladly take a shot here with the Spurs as a short home dog against an overrated Mavs team. Dallas has gotten way too much respect from the books to start the season and are just 3-7 ATS as a result. The other big thing here for me, is these two teams have already played twice and both times the Mavs were able to squeak out a win. Dallas won 104-99 at home and then 109-108 on the road. Spurs are going to want this game bad and I think they get the job done. Give me San Antonio +2.5! |
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11-12-21 | Kings -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings -4) We took the Kings as a slim 1-point dog at the Spurs on Wednesday and got absolutely burned with San Antonio cruising to a 136-117 win. Not only did Sacramento not play with the effort needed to win on the road, the Spurs shot lights out in that game. Watching that game, I had a pretty good feeling I was going to be right back on the Kings against the Thunder tonight and I was actually expecting to lay a couple more than we are being asked to. This is a Kings team I have made some decent money on early and I fully expect them to bounce back with a big effort and easy cover tonight. Give me Sacramento -4! |
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11-12-21 | UMKC v. Iowa -19.5 | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Iowa -19.5) I was mad at myself for not taking the Hawkeyes -20 against Longwood in their opener. Iowa went on to win and cover that game easy 106-73. Most of the starters barely had to play in the 2nd half they were so dominant early (led 56-29 at the half). I just think the Hawkeyes are way undervalued coming into this season, as everyone is down on them after not just losing the National Player of the Year in Garza, but also their second best player in Wieskamp. Both of which were taken in the NBA draft. Thing is, this is a deep and talented Iowa team that has more than enough talent to compete for a top spot in the Big 10. They have an emerging star in Keegan Murray and a veteran presence and outstanding 3-point shooter in Jordan Bohannon. They are also a much better defensive team and able to get out faster in transition without Garza. They take on a Kansas City team that just lost by 15 on the road to an awful Minnesota team that lost all 5 starters and are in the first year of a new head coach. It would take a really bad game for the Hawkeyes to not win this game by 20+ points. Give me Iowa -19.5! |
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11-12-21 | Western Kentucky -2.5 v. Minnesota | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (W Kentucky -2.5) I'm way down on this Gophers team and I'm not giving this Minnesota team any respect for covering a mere 6.5-point line at home against Kansas City. The same Kansas City team that is a 20-point dog to Iowa tonight. That result combined with the fact that WKU only beat Alabama State 79-74 as a 25.5-point favorite will have a lot of people left scratching their head at how the Hilltoppers can be favored here on a neutral site. Looking back I probably should have been on Alabama State in that game vs WKU. The Hornets had 4 of 5 starters back and are an extremely long and athletic team. Either way, it should serve as a great tuneup for WKU for this game and it also should have them 100% locked in after not playing up to their potential. Minnesota is all but a lock to be the worst team in the Big Ten this year. They didn't bring back a single starter from last year, are in the first year of a new head coach. Give me the Hilltoppers -2.5! |
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11-11-21 | Raptors +3 v. 76ers | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors +3) I think we are getting a good price here on the Raptors as a slim road dog against a depleted 76ers team. The value with Toronto stems from the fact that they will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back, while Philly had yesterday off. Raptors also haven't looked good of late, losing their last 3 games, including an ugly 88-104 setback at Boston last night. As tough as it is to play on no rest, I see this as a much worse spot for the 76ers, who we know are going to be without Joel Embiid and Matisse Thybulle. They could also be missing Tobias Harris and Seth Curry. Not to mention they still are playing without Ben Simmons. Siakam will be out for Toronto to rest after just recently coming back from injury. I think that's not necessarily a bad thing. Siakam is still shaking off some rust and it felt like his return kind of threw off the chemistry this team had going, as they had gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their previous 5 before the 3-game skid. Give me the Raptors +3! |
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11-11-21 | Sacred Heart +15.5 v. Providence | 64-92 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Sacred Heart +15.5) I will gladly take 15.5 with the Pioneers as they go on the road to face Providence. Both of these teams opened their season with a win on Tuesday, but only one of them covered. That was Sacred Heart, who went on the road and beat LaSalle 86-81 as a 7.5-point dog. The Friars failed to cover as 15-point favorites in a 80-73 victory against Fairfield. While I didn't play it, I wasn't surprised to see the Pioneers cash a winning ticket. They got back all 5 starters from last year. It's rare for Sacred Heart to not lose some guys to the transfer portal, as they have watched a lot of their top guys leave in previous offseasons. With that much experience back and a coach that always seems to get his team to exceed expectations, it's not out of the question they could make a run for the Northeast title. Note that the Fairfield team that just covered against Providence also had 5 starters back from last year and they are picked to finish middle of the pack in the MAAC. As for the Friars, they get back 4 starters, but they lost the engine that made their offense work in David Duke, who averaged 16.8 ppg and 4.8 apg. He was also their biggest 3-point threat. They also lost two other key rotation players in Greg Gantt and Jimmy Nichols. I just think this is a few too many. Give me Sacred Heart +15.5! |
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11-11-21 | Vermont v. Northern Iowa -1.5 | Top | 71-57 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNI -1.5) I love Northern Iowa at basically a pick'em at home against Vermont. Most will look to fade the Panthers after watching them just lost outright 58-62 as a 14.5-point home favorite to Nicholls State, but UNI couldn't have shot it any worse in their opener. The Panthers were a dreadful 15 of 50 (30%) from the field, going just 3 of 23 (13%) fromb ehind the 3-point line. I'm confident they will have a much better time shooting the ball, as this is a team that's talented enough to win the MVC this year. UNIT gets back all 5 starters, including their star guard AJ Green, who averaged 22.3 ppg before his season was ended just 3 games into last year. Vermont is one of the top teams in the America East and get back 4 starters, but this is a big step up in competition for the Catamounts and they did lose one of their top players to the transfer portal in Stef Smith. I also think there's an edge for UNI having already played a game, while Vermont is playing their first game. Give me the Panthers -1.5! |
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11-10-21 | Kings +1 v. Spurs | 117-136 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Kings +1) Sacramento should not be a dog in this game. The Kings have one of the more misleading records right now. They are just 5-6, but this is more a result of the brutal schedule they were dealt to start the year. I actually think Sacramento is one of the more improved teams. The same can't be said for the Spurs. San Antonio is just 3-7 and there's nothing fluky about their record. The Spurs just aren't a very good team. Two of their three wins have come against arguably the worst team in the league in the Magic and the other was against a depleted Bucks team on the road. Prior to last night's win against a depleted 76ers team, Milwaukee had lost 5 of 6. Give me the Kings +1! |
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11-10-21 | Mavs v. Bulls -3.5 | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Bulls -3.5) I will gladly take my chances with Chicago as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Mavs. I just think this is a really good price to back the Bulls at home. Chicago put those two losses to the 76ers behind them with a 118-95 win over the Nets on Monday. They did so in fashion, outscoring Brooklyn 42-17 in the 4th quarter. The Bulls are now 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS. This is without question one of the most improved teams in the league and while the betting public is starting to take notice, I think the books have been a little slow to inflate the numbers on them, which is why they continue to show value. As for the Mavs, I just haven't been all that impressed. They too are off to a 7-3 SU start, but are just 3-6-1 ATS. Their largest margin of victory all season is just 10 points and that was against the Rockets at home. I really like Lonzo Ball being able to make it difficult for Doncic and if Luka is great, I have a hard time seeing Dallas keeping this close. Give me the Bulls -3.5! |
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11-10-21 | Lehigh v. Rutgers -19.5 | Top | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Opening Week PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rutgers -19.5) I'm shocked the Scarlet Knights are only a 19.5-point favorite at home against the likes of Lehigh. I think it's a bit ridiculous that not only is Rutgers not in the Top 25 in the AP or coaches poll, they aren't even one of the 10+ teams that are getting votes. This has the looks of Steve Pikiell's best team yet and I think the lack of respect the Scarlet Knights are getting will have them extremely motivated to make a statement in their opener. Things could look a lot different for Rutgers if Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. had decided to leave early for the NBA, but both opted to return after testing the waters. They will be up against a Lehigh team that went just 4-10 last year playing a conference only slate in the Patriot League. So while they get back 4 starters, that doesn't mean a whole lot when matched up against a Power 5 program like Rutgers. Give me the Scarlet Knights -19.5! |
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11-09-21 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona -25 | 52-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Arizona -25) I got no problem laying the big number with Arizona at home against Northern Arizona. I thought the Wildcats made an outstanding hire by bringing in Gonzaga assistant Tommy Lloyd. I know there's some sanctions that they will have to overcome, but there's more than enough talent on hand, as the Wildcats bring back 4 of 5 starters. Last year, Arizona annihilated the Lumberjacks 96-53. This year's Northern Arizona team looks to be down a notch, as their top two players, Cameron Shelton and Luke Avdalovic both left via the transfer portal. Shelton averaged 19.2 ppg and Avdalovic averaged 10.8 (one of their top 3-pt shooters). Those two had 31 of the 53 points scored against Arizona last year. Give me the Wildcats -25! |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Clippers -3) I will lay the 3-points at home with the Clippers, as they host the Blazers in the second game of Tuesday's TNT double-header. I just don't get why this Portland team is getting so much respect on the road. The Blazers are 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS away from home this season and are getting outscored on average 115.2 to 101.5 on the road. The Clippers got off to an ugly start, but seem to have figured it out. LA has won 4 straight to move to 5-4 (first time this year over .500). While we know this team will take it to another level once Kawhi comes back from injury, they are the more than good enough to cover this short number at home against a Blazers team that is not getting the production they need out of their star player in Damian Lillard. After ranking 3rd in the league last year at 28.8 ppg, Lillard is 35th at a mere 18.5 ppg. Give me the Clippers -3! |
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11-09-21 | Cal-Irvine v. New Mexico State -4.5 | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Opening Night VEGAS INSIDER (New Mexico St -4.5) I will take my chances with the Aggies making a statement in the first game of the 2021-22 season. Last year was completely out of the norm for New Mexico State, as they failed to win either the WAC regular-season or conference tournament title since 2011. Even with the down year, head coach Chris Jans still has a 95-25 record in 4 years with the program. Jans knew he needed to improve the talent on this team to get them back where they are accustomed and he did just that. New Mexico State brought in a plethora of talented transfers from both the JUCO level and Power 5 programs. I just don't think people realize how talented this team is and we are getting a great price to back them at home. Give me the Aggies -4.5! |