Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (+100)

The Los Angeles Angels broke out at the plate last night in a 11-3 victory over the Texas Rangers.  They should stay hot at the plate tonight and win this game by two runs or more due to their big advantage on the mound.

Shohei Ohtani is a MVP favorite in the American League for what he has done at the plate and on the mound.  Ohtani is 5-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  He has been dynamite of late, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.700 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has won both of his starts against the Rangers this season by 4 and 5 runs.

Kolby Allard is just 1-9 with a 5.98 ERA in 11 starts for Texas this season.  That includes 0-3 with a 13.14 ERA and 2.028 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 18 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings.  Allard has posted a 5.40 ERA in two career starts against the Angels as well.

The Rangers are 0-10 in Allard's last 10 starts with a total of 8 to 8.5 and losing by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Texas is 0-14 in its last 14 games vs. a starting pitcher with better than a 70% winning percentage.  The Rangers are losing by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Angels on the Run Line Wednesday.

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15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-105)

The San Francisco Giants are 10-2 against the Arizona Diamondbacks this season.  But they are coming off a rare loss last night in this head-to-head series to Madison Bumgarner, who has pitched very well since returning from injury, so there's no shame in that loss.

Look for the Giants to bounce back in a blowout victory tonight behind Kevin Gausman.  The right-hander is 9-5 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Gausman owns the Diamondbacks, going 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in six career starts against them.

Gausman is 4-0 with a 1.44 ERA in his last four starts against Arizona, allowing just 4 earned runs in 25 innings.  He'll be opposed by Zac Gallen, who is 1-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.359 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Gallen is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA in his last three starts against San Francisco, allowing 11 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings.

Gallen is 1-10 at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 over the last three seasons, losing by 2.9 runs per game on average.  Arizona is 1-21 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.05 WHIP or better this season, losing by 5.0 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)

The Toronto Blue Jays have the type of potent offense that makes them worth a bet on the Run Line.  They rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS.  They will give the Indians at beating today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Look for the Blue Jays to jump on Jean Carlos Mejia early and often in this one.  Mejia is still in search of his first victory this season.  He is 0-6 with an 8.55 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 10 starts, allowing 38 earned runs and 10 homers in 40 innings.

Steven Matz has held his own for the Blue Jays, going 8-6 with a 4.58 ERA in 18 starts, including 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA in his last three.  Matz has never lost to the Indians, going 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Indians are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.  Cleveland is 7-17 in its last 24 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Toronto is 5-1 in its last six games overall with all five wins coming by two runs or more.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +136

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 43-33 in their last 76 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are being overlooked as home dogs to the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 of this series Wednesday.

The Red Sox come in struggling with five straight losses.  They are 1-6 in their last seven games overall and scoring just 2.6 runs per game during this stretch.  It won't get any easier against Detroit's Casey Mize, who is their ace and one of the most underrated starters in baseball.

Mize is 6-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in nine home starts.  He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriquez, who is 7-6 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Mize beat the Red Sox on May 5th by allowing just one earned run in 6 innings of a 6-5 victory.

Mize is 11-7 (+10.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.  Detroit is 12-2 in its last 14 home games.  The Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.  Take the Tigers Wednesday.