At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (513) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (514) in Game Seven of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Indiana (64-39) forced a climactic Game Seven to determine the NBA champion with a 108-91 upset victory as a 5.5-point underdog on Thursday. Oklahoma City (82-22) had won the last two games in this series before dropping Game Six.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: It is not as if the Pacers shot the lights out in Game Five. They missed their first eight shots in the game — and their final 41.3% field goal percentage was the worst shooting mark in their last seven contests. Head coach Rick Carlisle’s defensive game plan was sound — and the Thunder did not look up to the task to close the series out. Indiana has played 11 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 11 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after an upset victory. Tyrese Haliburton deserves credit for gutting out in Game Six — but he was not his usual self as he scored 14 points on 5 of 12 shooting and only got to the free throw line once in his 22:52 minutes. His injury has been described as one that would require seven to days of rest if it was in the regular season. I think it is fair to assume Haliburton will not be close to 100% for Game Seven. The Pacers have an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 109.7 on the road in this series —  even with Haliburton at full strength in two of those games — far below their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 115.4 during the regular season. What Carlisle will emphasize to his team to once again limit turnovers — they only turned the ball over 10 times which led to just 13 points for the Thunder. If Oklahoma City is not scoring points on the fast break nor making their 3-pointers, they become a mediocre half-court scoring team. They entered the fourth quarter with three made shots from behind the arc in 20 shot attempts before improving to a 27% clip for the game from distance with an 8 of 30 mark (after nailing 5 of their final 10 shots from behind the arc in garbage time). The Thunder only scored nine points for a 13:54 minute stretch in the middle of the game — and that explains Indiana taking a 30-point lead heading into the fourth quarter. Indiana is doing a great job of taking away their 3-point opportunities. OKC only took 16 shots from behind the arc in Game Four — and they made just three of those shots. While I was not expecting another 18.8% effort from 3-point land in Game Six, I certainly did not expect Oklahoma City to nail 14 of their 32 shots from behind the arc for a 43.8% clip. Those were the most made 3s for the Thunder in the entire series. They also enjoyed an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 121.4 which was their highest in the series. But in Game Six, Oklahoma City made only 41.9% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort in their last five games. Even worse, their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 90.1 was their worst performance of the season — and their turnover rate of 20.8% of their possessions was the worst of the entire season. The Thunder turned the ball over 21 times which resulted in 19 points for the Pacers — and that is not likely to happen again which will impact Indiana’s scoring opportunities. And while I don’t the Thunder are destined for another season-low offensive effort, I do think the Pacers have done a few things to neutralize their scoring attack. Oklahoma City’s analytics-driven scoring attack that ranked third in the league in the regular season by scoring 119.2 points per 100 adjusted possessions has not been the same in the postseason where they are scoring 114.4 points per 100 adjusted possessions, which would fall to 11th in the NBA if applied to the regular season. Much of this decline comes from their drop in 3-point shooting. After leading the NBA in the regular season by nailing 37.4% of their shots from behind the arc, they rank 13th of the 16 playoff teams with a 34.8% mark from 3-point range. What is also striking is Oklahoma City’s decreased reliance on shooting 3s. After averaging 38.8 shots per game from behind the arc in the regular season, they are taking 34.8 shots per game from 3-point range in the postseason. In this series, they are only taking 27.7 shots per game from distance and trending strongly in the south direction in that category. Credit goes to the Indiana defense which is doing a great job in swarming defenders to push the Thunder away from the 3-point line. After ranking ninth in the NBA in opponent 3-point shot attempts per game, the Pacers rank sixth in the postseason by surrendering only 33.5 shots from behind the arc per game — and they rank fifth in the playoffs with their opponents making only 34.1% of these shots.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has a 222-204 Over mark in the 426 games with Mark Daigneault as their head coach including a 55-48 Over clip this season — but those trends flip in the postseason as they have 19 of their 33 playoff games Under the Total with Daigneault including four of their six postseason games when the series was tied. In Carlsile’s 12 games in the NBA Finals he has coached in his career going back to his championship with the Dallas Mavericks, 8 of those games finished Under the Total. 10* NBA Indiana-Oklahoma City ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (513) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (511) and the Indiana Pacers (512) in Game Six of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (82-21) took a 3-2 series lead with a 120-109 victory against the Pacers as a 9-point favorite on Monday. Indiana (63-39) has lost three of the last four games in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Game Sixes in the NBA Finals have finished Over the Total in 7 of the last 10 occasions since 2005 — but the Over then drops to 7-5 since 2003. On the other hand, the Under is on a 27-13-1 run in the NBA Finals including an 11-2 streak despite Game Five finishing Over the Total. We were on the wrong end of that one. I was persuaded to expect a lower-scoring game in large part because of the negative trends with the Thunder regarding their 3-point shooting. They only too 16 shots from behind the arc in Game Five — and they made just three of those shots. While I was not expecting another 18.8% effort from 3-point land in Game Six, I certainly did not expect Oklahoma City to nail 14 of their 32 shots from behind the arc for a 43.8% clip. Those were the most made 3s for the Thunder in the entire series. They also enjoyed an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 121.4 which was their highest in the series. I expect some regression in that category especially on the road where they have only made 13 of their 38 shots from behind the arc in this series for a 34.2% mark. It remains the case for Oklahoma City that their analytics-driven scoring attack that ranked third in the league in the regular season by scoring 119.2 points per 100 adjusted possessions has not been the same in the postseason where they are scoring 115.6 points per 100 adjusted possessions, which would fall to tenth in the NBA if applied to the regular season. Much of this decline comes from their drop in 3-point shooting. After leading the NBA in the regular season by nailing 37.4% of their shots from behind the arc, they rank 13th of the 16 playoff teams with a 34.4% mark from 3-point range. What is also striking is Oklahoma City’s decreased reliance on shooting 3s. After averaging 38.8 shots per game from behind the arc in the regular season, they are taking 35.0 shots per game from 3-point range in the postseason. In this series, they are only taking 28.5 shots per game from distance and trending strongly in the south direction in that category. Credit goes to the Indiana defense which is doing a great job in swarming defenders to push the Thunder away from the 3-point line. After ranking ninth in the NBA in opponent 3-point shot attempts per game, the Pacers rank sixth in the postseason by surrendering only 33.7 shots from behind the arc per game — and they rank sixth in the playoffs with their opponents making only 34.4% of these shots. OKC only generated 109.5 adjusted points per 100 possessions in Games Three and Four on the road in Indiana in this series. They have also played 9 of their 14 playoff games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 15 road games Under the Total against teams winning 60-70% of their games. For Indiana, the right calf injury to Tyrese Haliburton is potentially devastating. In the regular season, they scored -9.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possession when Haliburton was off the court. In the playoffs, they are scoring -14.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when he is off the court. On defense, the Pacers surrendered -4.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions in the regular season. In the playoffs, that flips slightly with them giving up +0.7 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when he is off the court. If Haliburton plays but is limited, his loss of effectiveness will probably hurt his offensive performance more than his ability to still play solid defense. He is their leading scorer — and don’t underestimate his 9.2 Assists-Per-Game average. Indiana has played 11 of their last 17 home games Under the Total against teams from the Western Conference.

FINAL TAKE: I am not smart enough to guess as to how head coach Rick Carlisle will respond to the challenge of playing this game with best player far from 100%. I suspect his game management will strive to somehow keep this game competitive so they can perhaps steal the game late in front of their home crowd — and emphasizing defense seems integral to that strategy. In the 11 games he has coached in his NBA career going back to his championship with the Dallas Mavericks, 7 of those games finished Under the Total. 8* NBA Oklahoma City-Indiana ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (511) and the Indiana Pacers (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (509) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (510) in Game Five of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Indiana (63-38) has lost two of their last three games after their 111-104 loss at home to the Thunder as a 6-point underdog on Friday. Oklahoma City (81-21) evened this series at 2-2 with the victory.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This has been a lower-scoring series than expected — and I think the books and/or the market continue to be too slow to react. Granted, Game One of this series saw the Total in the 231-point range — but that was largely based on regular season numbers that do not seem nearly as applicable now in June, especially in a Game Five of a championship series that is tied at two games apiece. Three of the four games in this series have finished Under the Total with the only Over resulting from 230 combined points. The other three games of this series have seen 221, 223, and 215 combined points scored — all below the number set for Game Five. For Oklahoma City, the analytics-driven scoring attack that ranked third in the league in the regular season by scoring 119.2 points per 100 adjusted possessions has not been the same in the postseason where they are scoring 115.3 points per 100 adjusted possessions, which would fall to tenth in the NBA if applied to the regular season. Much of this decline comes from their drop in 3-point shooting. After leading the NBA in the regular season by nailing 37.4% of their shots from behind the arc, they rank 13th of the 16 playoff teams with a 34.0% mark from 3-point range. No one embodies this step back in production more for the Thunder than Chet Holmgren who may be playing through an injury at this point of the season. After shooting 49.0% from the field with a 37.9% clip from behind the arc in the regular season, he is only making 30.1% of his 3s in the postseason. In this series, Holmgren is hitting only 40.9% of his shots and has made only 1 of his 11 attempts from distance. What is also striking is Oklahoma City’s decreased reliance on shooting 3s. After averaging 38.8 shots per game from behind the arc in the regular season, they are taking 35.2 shots per game from 3-point range in the postseason. In this series, they are only taking 26.6 shots per game from distance and trending strongly in the south direction in that category. After taking 30 and 36 shots from behind the arc in Games One and Two, they only took 22 shots from 3-point land in Game Three before bottoming out with a 3 of 16 performance on Friday. Credit goes to the Indiana defense which is doing a great job in swarming defenders to push the Thunder away from the 3-point line. After ranking ninth in the NBA in opponent 3-point shot attempts per game, the Pacers rank sixth in the postseason by surrendering only 33.8 shots from behind the arc per game — and they rank fifth in the playoffs with their opponents making only 33.9% of these shots. Oklahoma City pulled out Game Four by outscoring Indiana by +14 points in the paint. They also got to the line 38 times and converted on 34 of those shots — led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who made all ten of his free throw attempts. The Thunder got some friendly whistles in Game Four — and that is not likely to play out the same in Game Five. It is telling that OKC has generated only 109.5 adjusted points per 100 possessions in the last two games of this series. What should continue is the Thunder’s outstanding play on the other end of the court. After leading the league with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 106.6, they have been even better in the postseason with a 105.7 mark. They have held their playoff opponents to 43.5% shooting which has resulted in just 107.0 Points-Per-Game. Head coach Mark Daigneault’s fourth quarter adjustment on Friday was to shift Lu Dortz on to the primary Indiana ball-handler — and that helped to limit the Pacers to just 17 points in the final 12 minutes. Oklahoma City has played 23 of their last 37 home games Under the Total after a win on the road. They have played 18 of their 31 playoff games Under the Total since Daigneault took over — and they have played 4 of those 5 playoff games Under the Total when the series was tied. Indiana has played 4 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Another reason that the Thunder’s scoring is down is because the Pacers are not giving them as many fast break scoring opportunities in transition off of turnovers where OKC thrives. After turning the ball over 24 times in Game One, Indiana has just 15, 13, and 15 turnovers in the last three games. Head coach Rick Carlisle has done a fantastic job in forcing the Thunder into being a half-court offense that is not shooting 3s. Maybe Oklahoma City can still win the championship with that approach and win two more games like they won Game Four — but that is not the formula for games to see 220 or more combined points. Granted, Carlisle will want his team to continue to push the pace to wear out what is becoming a shorter Thunder rotation. But Indiana only scored 109 PPG in the first two games of this series at Oklahoma City which is more than six points below their 115.1 PPG scoring average in the postseason. Role players tend to not shoot as well in hostile environments — especially in the playoffs — so getting another 27-point effort from Benjamin Mathurin as he did in Game Three at home or even Obi Toppin’s 17 points in Game Four at home is probably not in the cards to help out Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam.

FINAL TAKE: In Carlisle’s head coaching career, his teams have played 16 of their 24 Game Fives of a playoff series Under the Total — including all three games with Indiana when playing on the road. Carlisle’s teams have also played 19 of their 32 playoff games Under the Total when the series was tied — and his teams have played 7 of their 10 games Under the Total in the NBA Finals. 25* NBA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (509) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (555) and the Indiana Pacers (556) in Game Six of the Eastern Conference finals. THE SITUATION: New York (61-38) has won two of the last three games in this series after their 111-94 victory at home as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday. Indiana (60-36) still leads this series by a 3-2 margin.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Knicks’ head coach Tom Thibodeau initially thought it would be a good idea to embrace the Pacers' fast pace and run up-and-down the court with them in this series. They lost Game One in overtime by a 138-135 score. But after dropping the first two games at home in this series, Thibodeau has finally come around to the notion that he needs the Knicks cannot simply try to outscore Indiana to win this series but that his team will have to do some things on defense. He expanded his rotation by getting Delon Wright and Landry Shamet into the mix — they both have played at least 20 combined minutes in the last three contests after neither played in Game Two and Wright was on the court for just 26 seconds in Game One. Wright and Shamet are both solid contributors on the defensive end of the floor who do not offer much offensively. But Thibodeau needs them out there to not exhaust his top-seven man rotation — and he is desperate for defensive help with Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns on the court together since they were getting torched with Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 150.0 when playing together in the first two games of this series. Thibodeau also inserted Mitchell Robinson in the starting lineup for Josh Hart in Game Three to switch the rotations up to get more defense on the court when Brunson and Towns are playing together. The defensive adjustments continued in Game Five with the Knicks (finally) picking up on Tyrese Haliburton closer to half court to offer more harassment against him and coax him to pass the rock. Haliburton only took seven shots on Thursday with just two of them coming from behind the arc. New York is also more aggressively defending Haliburton after made shots on the offensive end of the court to stop Indiana from responding quickly by pushing the ball up the court. The Knicks held the Pacers to 40.5% shooting and just a 33.3% mark from behind the arc as they continue to find schematic answers for what Indiana wants to do with the ball in their hands. And Thibodeau seems to appreciate that a slower pace better serves his team’s interests. New York has held Indiana to 100 and 94 points in two of the last three games in this series — and two of the last three games have seen just 205 and 206 combined points scored. The Under is 3-1 in the last 4 games in this series. Thibodeau’s teams have played 8 of their 13 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the series including three of the four games as head coach of the Knicks. New York made 49.4% of their shots on Thursday which was their best shooting effort since Game One of this series. But don’t underestimate this Pacers defense that ranked ninth in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency since January 1st through the end of the regular season. Haliburton should play better after his off-night. But Aaron Nesmith playing through an ankle injury may continue to be limited offensively after missing seven of his eighth shots from the field in Game Five. Indiana has played 4 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total when playing a team winning 60-70% of their games.

FINAL TAKE: In the last 57 games in the NBA Conference Finals with the Total set at 216.5 or higher, 34 of these games finished Under the Total. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (555) and the Indiana Pacers (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (549) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (550) in Game Five of the Western Conference finals. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (78-19) has won four of their last five games after their 128-126 victory on the road against the Timberwolves as a 3-point favorite on Monday. Minnesota (58-38) trails in this series by a 3-1 margin.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder nailed 50.5% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last nine contests. They also made 16 of their 37 (43%) shots from behind the arc. Oklahoma City has played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a win by six points or less including seven of those 10 games this season. They have also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow Northwest Division rival including five of those six games played at home. Minnesota played their worst defensive game in their last 16 contests by allowing the Thunder to make 50.5% of their shots. These two teams have played the last three games in this series Over the Total — but the Timberwolves have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row including seven of those nine games this season. They have also played 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row including four of those five games this season. Minnesota shot 57.3% and 51.2% in their two games at home in this series — and they nailed 18 of their 41 shots (44%) from behind the arc in Game Four. But on the road in Game One and Two of this series, the Timberwolves only made 34.9% and 41.4% of their shots from the field. The Thunder should certainly play better on defense back at home where they are holding their opponents to 43.4% shooting including a 34.2% clip from behind the arc which has resulted in just 106.3 Points-Per-Game. The Timberwolves have played 5 of their 7 road games in the postseason Under the Total. They have also played 9 of their last 14 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. And in their last 4 playoff games when facing elimination, they have played 3 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Timberwolves have played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing with revenge including nine of those 14 games this season. After three straight Overs in this series and a Game Four when both teams shot 50% or better from the field and 40% or better from behind the arc, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NBA  Conference Finals Total of the Year with  Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (549) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (539) and the New York Knicks (540) in Game Two of the Eastern Conference finals. THE SITUATION: Indiana (58-34) has won three games in a row and seven of their last eight contests after their 138-135 overtime upset victory as a 4.5-point underdog on Wednesday. New York (59-36) has lost two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Indiana wants to push the pace — not only is that who they are but an edge they have in this series is their bench depth against a Knicks team that usually has only a seven-man rotation. New York obliged as the score was flying Over the 225 or so total for Game One even before the wild finish and then overtime. The game went into overtime after a 125-125 score after regulation. The Knicks looked gassed in the waning moments of the fourth quarter — they blew a 14-point lead with just two minutes left. The Pacers ranked seventh in the regular season in pace of play. They scored 125 points in regulation despite Tyrese Haliburton missing three of his five open shots from behind the arc (when the closest defender was four to six feet away from him) and four of his six wide-open shots from behind the arc (when the closest defender was six feet or farther away from him). He only converted on 4 of his 12 shots from downtown despite 11 of those 12 shots being deemed open or wide-open. Indiana has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring 136 or more points in their last game. They stay on the road where they have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 20 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 220s. They have also played 7 straight road games Over the Total against teams winning 60-70% of their games. Additionally, Indiana has played 7 of their 10 games in the playoffs this year Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Over the Total when leading in the series. They have also played 5 straight Game Twos Over the Total under head coach Rick Carlisle. It’s a head-scratcher why New York head coach Tom Thibodeau thought it was a good idea to try to beat the Pacers at their own game by engaging at the blistering pace in Game One. You would think he would want to slow things down now — but handicapping how a head coach will react can be a Fool’s errand. He does want his team to attack in transition. And slowing down this Pacers team is easier said than done. The Knicks are still going to get to the free throw line after making 28 of their 40 shots from the charity stripe on Wednesday. Jalen Brunson got to the line 14 times himself — and his ability to draw fouls and score points when the clock is not ticking will continue. So too will continue Karl-Anthony Towns taking advantage of Myles Turner. Towns scored 35 points on 11 of 17 shooting with 10 of those points coming against Turner on 5 of 6 shooting. Turner has a long history of failing to slow down KAT. New York has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring 136 or more points. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss by six points or less — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss at home. They have played 8 of their last 13 games at home in the playoffs Over the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 25 home games Over the Total after playing their last game at home.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against each other. 10* NBA Indiana-New York TNT O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (539) and the New York Knicks (540). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (527) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (528) in Game One of their Western Conference finals series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (57-35) has won four games in a row after their 121-110 victory against Golden State as a 9.5-point favorite to close out that series in five games last Wednesday. Oklahoma City (75-18) has won three of their last four games after their 125-93 win against Denver in the seventh game of that series as an 8.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Since December 7th, the Timberwolves have been one of the best offensive teams in the league by generating 117.9 points per 100 possessions. They come into this game with fresh legs after nailing 62.8% of their shots to overwhelm the Warriors to end that series. Now they travel to Oklahoma City where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total. They have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Additionally, Minnesota has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams who are winning 70% or more of their games including four of those five games played on the road. And while the Thunder are outscoring their opponents by +12.7 Points-Per-Game, the Timberwolves have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +3.0 or more PPG. Minnesota will not be intimidated by the moment after facing Dallas in the Western Conference finals last season — and 4 of those 5 games finished Over the Total. Oklahoma City has played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total at home after winning at home by 20 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 100 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Thunder have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when playing for no more than the sixth time in the last 14 days (their series with Denver began on May 5th). They have also played 16 off their 21 home games Over the Total when playing for the second time in five days (and there were two days between Game Six and Game Seven against the Nuggets). The Thunder are a great defensive team — but they play at a fast pace fueled by their desire to get out in transition where they are scoring 27.2 Points-Per-Game in this postseason. They are also leading all teams in the playoffs by forcing turnovers in 17.6% of their opponent’s possessions — and the T-Wolves are vulnerable in this department as they rank 13th of all 16 playoff teams by turning the ball over in 15.8% of their possessions. Oklahoma City ranks third in the playoffs by scoring 117.0 points per 100 possessions. The Thunder have played 18 of their last 24 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. They have also played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total when facing a team that is winning 60-70% of their games.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular season games with Minnesota upsetting Oklahoma City in their building the last time they played on February 24th by a 131-128 score as an 11.5-point underdog. The Thunder have played 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* NBA Minnesota-Oklahoma City ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (527) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (509) and the New York Knicks (510) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Boston (67-25) has won two of their last three games after their 127-102 victory at home as a 5-point favorite on Wednesday. New York (58-35) can still close out this series tonight with their 3-2 series lead.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Without Jayson Tatum who is out a year after suffering an Achilles injury in Game Four, the Celtics made 52.4% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. They also converted on 22 of their 49 shots (45%) shots from behind the arc. But Boston has then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow Atlantic Division rival at home. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total after a victory against a division opponent. Now they go back on the road where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 11 of their last 17 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 8 of their last 12 road games Under the Total in the postseason. They are scoring 108.2 Points-Per-Game in these playoffs which is -7.2 fewer PPG below their season average. Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the Total set from 200 to 209.5. They have also played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when trailing in the series. New York played their worst defensive game in their last 13 contests by allowing the Celtics to make 52.4% of their shots. The Knicks have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by 20 or more points. They return home where they have played 9 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams who are winning 70% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: New York has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when avenging a loss of 20 or more points including five of those eight games played on the road. 10* NBA Boston-New York ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (509) and the New York Knicks (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508) in Game Six of their Western Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (74-17) has won three of their last four games after their 112-105 win at home against the Nuggets as a 10-point favorite on Tuesday. Denver (56-37) looks to stave off elimination trailing 3-2 in this best-of-seven series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder lead the NBA in the regular season with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 106.6 — and they have been even better in the postseason with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 101.1. They are holding their playoff opponents to 40.8% shooting which has resulted in just 103.6 Points-Per-Game. But Oklahoma City is scoring -4.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions in the postseason — and that still accounts for two outlier performances when they scored 131 points in their opening game against Memphis last round and Game Two in this series against Denver when they scored 149 points. Like with the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Boston Celtics, these 3-point-reliant teams are seeing their efficiency from behind the arc decline in the postseason. While the Thunder made 36.7% of their 3-pointers in the regular season, they are only making 31.8% of their shots from behind the arc in the playoffs. Oklahoma City has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win by six points or less including nine of those 12 games played on the road. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after a win against a fellow Northwest Division opponent. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 8 of their last 13 road games Under the Total when favored by six points or less. And in their last 10 road games against teams winning 60-70% of their games, they have played 7 of these games Under the Total. The Nuggets played their worst defensive game in the last three games in this series by allowing Oklahoma City to make 50% of their shots. After shooting 50% from the field in the regular season, Denver is making only 45.2% of their shots in the playoffs which is resulting in 107.4 PPG which is -11.8 PPG below their average in the regular season. But they are also surrendering -5.1 PPG in the postseason while playing at a slower pace. The Nuggets have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up loss to a divisional rival. They have also played 7 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams winning 70% or more of their games. Additionally, Denver has played 10 of their last 13 home games Under the Total in the postseason — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games in the second round of the playoffs.

FINAL TAKE: The Thunder have played 12 of their last 18 playoff games Under the Total including seven of those nine games played on the road. They have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total in the second round of the playoffs. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (577) and the Golden State Warriors (578) in Game Four of their Western Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (55-35) has won five of their last six games after their 102-97 victory as a 5.5-point favorite on Saturday. Golden State (54-39) has lost the last two games of this series to fall behind by a 2-1 margin.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Minnesota continues to play outstanding defense in the postseason as they held the Warriors to just 43.2% shooting on Saturday. They are holding their opponents to the playoffs to just 43.3% shooting which is resulting in 98.9 Points-Per-Game. After ranking sixth in the NBA in the regular season in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they are third in that metric in the postseason while surrendering -4.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. But the Timberwolves are making only 44.3% of their shots in the playoffs which is resulting in only 105.5 PPG. Minnesota has played all 4 of their games in the postseason Under the Total. They have also played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after a win by six points or less. Additionally, the T-Wolves have played 10 of their last 13 road games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days (Minnesota closed out their first-round series with the Lakers on April 30th). Golden State only managed 97 points despite getting 33 points from Jimmy Butler and a surprising 30 points from Jonathan Kuminga. Frankly, they were not a dynamic scoring team even with Stephen Curry leading the way. In their two games since his hamstring injury in Game One, the Warriors have posted an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency number of 100.0. For comparison's sake, Washington was last in the NBA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and that number was 105.8. With Butler on the court in this series, they are registering an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 104.7 — below the Wizards in the regular season. The loss of Curry is devastating — the Warriors had an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 105.0 in the regular season when he was off the court which was -13.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions than when he was on the court. But on the other hand, Golden State had an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 105.1 in the regular season when Curry was off the court which was -7.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions than when he was on the court. In their last five games in the playoffs, the Warriors are holding their opponents to 43.9% shooting which is resulting in 102.2 PPG. But they are only making 43.0% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in just 99.8 PPG. Golden State has played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss at home — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They have also played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game including seven of those 11 games played at home. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: In the 19 playoff games under head coach Steve Kerr when Golden State was trailing in the series, they have played 13 of those games Under the Total. 25* NBA 2nd Round Playoff Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (577) and the Golden State Warriors (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (569) and the Golden State Warriors (570) in Game Three of their Western Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (54-35) has won four of their last five games after their 117-93 victory at home against the Warriors in Game Two of this series on Thursday. Golden State (54-38) had won two games in a row before that loss.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves shot 50.6% from the field on Thursday which was their best shooting effort in their last six contests. But their half-court offense can bog down — they are only making 44.4% of their shots in the postseason which is resulting in just 106.0 Points-Per-Game. Minnesota has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points including four of those five games played on the road. Golden State’s offense was ineffective without Stephen Curry in Game Two as they only made 44.7% of their shots. Jimmy Butler does not look 100% due to the pelvic injury he suffered last round — he only scored 18 points. But the Warriors should play better defense back at home as the 50.6% shooting clip for the T-Wolves was their worst defensive effort in their last four contests. Golden State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by 20 or more points. They have also played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 13 games at home Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Warriors have played 6 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total as an underdog of up to six points. 10* NBA Minnesota-Golden State ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (569) and the Golden State Warriors (570). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Boston Celtics (554) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (55-33) advanced to the second round of the Eastern Conference playoffs by defeating the Pistons on the road in Detroit by a 116-113 score as a 1.5-point underdog last Thursday. Boston (65-22) has won six of their last seven games after taking care of Orlando in five games with their 120-89 victory against Orlando as an 11-point favorite last Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Knicks have 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total after pulling off an upset victory including eight of those 12 games played on the road. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing with three or more days of rest — and they have played 13 of their last 22 games Over the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. New York’s strength is their scoring attack — but they only rank 15th in the league with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 113.7. That may spell trouble against this Celtics offense that ranks second in the NBA with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 119.4 this season. Under head coach Tom Thibodeau, the Knicks have played 4 of their 6 opening games of a new playoff series Over the Total. Boston has played 11 of their 18 games under head coach Joe Mazzula Over the Total when playing with three or more days of rest. They closed out their series with the Magic by holding them to 37.5% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 33 games. They also enjoyed their best shooting performance of the season by nailing 56.6% of their shots. I do not expect regression on the offensive end of the court after dealing with the outstanding Orlando defense that ranked second in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Celtics return home where they have played 18 of their 27 games Over the Total with the total set in the 210s with Mazzula as their head coach — and they have played five of their last seven home games Over the Total with the Total set from 210 to 219.5. And while the Knicks are outscoring their opponents by +4.0 Points-Per-Game, Boston has played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opens by +3.0 or more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Over was 3-1 in the four meetings between these two teams this season after the Celtics’ 119-117 upset win at New York as a 1-point underdog on April 8th. All four games saw at least 223 combined points scored — and that was the lone Under with that Total set at 232. The Knicks have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games on the road Over the Total when avenging an upset loss at home. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Boston Celtics (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (529) and the Golden State Warriors (530) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Houston (54-33) extended this series to a sixth game with their 131-116 victory at home against the Warriors as a 4-point favorite on Wednesday. Golden State (52-36) had won two games in a row but still can close things out given their 3-2 lead in the series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After shooting only 44.3%  and scoring 101.8 Points-Per-Game in the first four games of this series, the Rockets’ offense exploded with a 55.1% shooting clip on Wednesday in what was the best shooting effort in their last 12 games. They have only enjoyed a better shooting percentage five times this season — and they have scored more than 131 points just seven times this season. They nailed 13 of their 30 shots from behind the arc — and that 43% shooting slip from 3-point range was well above their 35.4% clip with 3-pointers this season. I am expecting a visit from the Regression Gods. As it is, Houston has played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after scoring 111 or more points in their last game. They have also played 10 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Rockets go back on the road, where they have played 12 of their last 20 games under the total against teams that have won 51-60% of their games. Head coach Ime Udoka has seen his teams play 17 of their 29 games in the postseason finish Under the Total including four of their five games when facing elimination in the series. The 131 points that Golden State surrendered is tied for the fourth most points they have given up all season. They have only let five opponents shoot better than 55.1% from the field all season. Head coach Steve Kerr should tighten things up on defense tonight. After the All-Star break, his team ranked third in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency to close out the regular season. The Warriors have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. They return home where they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total. Additionally, Golden State has played 13 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-70% of their games. And while the Rockets outrebound their opponents by +6.0 Rebounds-Per-Game, the Warriors have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams who are outrebounding their opponents by +3.0 or more RPG. Despite the Over on Wednesday, these two teams have played 11 of their last 17 meetings Under the Total including five of the last seven games played on Golden State’s home court.

FINAL TAKE: The Warriors have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing 126 or more points in their last game. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing a game where they allowed their opponent to make 52.4% or more of their shots from the field. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (529) and the Golden State Warriors (530). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (579) and the Miami Heat (580) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals Series. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (67-18) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series with their 124-87 win against the Heat as a 5-point road favorite on Saturday. Miami (39-48) has lost three games in a row as they look to stave off elimination tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers nailed 53.5% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last 13 contests. Cleveland now attempts to close out this series on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total in April including four straight games this month. They have also played 10 of their last 15 road games Under the Total against teams who are winning 40-49% of their games. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total in the opening round of the playoffs including five of those last six games on the road. And in their last 4 games on the road when leading in a playoff series, they have played 3 of those games Under the Total. Miami played their worst defensive game in their last 20 contests by allowing the Cavs to make 53.5% of their shots. The Heat should play better on defense tonight — but they just lack options when it comes to the other end of the court. Miami is scoring only 99.7 Points-Per-Game in this series. The Heat have played 7 of their last 8 games at home Under the Total when playing for the second time in five days — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games at home when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. They stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total at home as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5. point range. Miami has also played 4 straight Unders at home in the playoffs.

FINAL TAKE: Miami has played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by 20 or more points. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (579) and the Miami Heat (580). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 p.m. ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (555) and the Milwaukee Bucks (556) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Indiana (52-32) has won nine of their last ten games after a 123-115 victory at home against the Bucks as a 4-point favorite on Tuesday. Milwaukee (49-36) had won eight games in a row before falling behind 0-2 in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pacers shot 50.6% from the field on Tuesday to take the second game of this series. Indiana has played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in five days. Now they go on the road where they have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total as an underdog from 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog in that range. Additionally, the Pacers have played 13 of their last 17 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Milwaukee got Damian Lillard back on the court after he was out for a lengthy period of time with an injury — but he only converted 4 of 13 shots from the field and just 2 of his 8 shots from behind the arc en route to 14 points. He should play better tonight now that he has knocked some of the rust off. The Bucks have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. As it is, they are nailing 50.1% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in 122.8 Points-Per-Game. But they are also letting their last five opponents make 48.0% of their shots which is resulting in 120.6 PPG. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 18 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 22 of their last 32 home games Over the Total when favored. They have also played  21 of their last 21 games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points including 14 of those 19 games played at home. They have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total when favored by six points or less. And in their last 5 home games against teams winning 60-70% of their games, they have played 4 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 15 of their last 23 opportunities for revenge Over the Total. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (555) and the Milwaukee Bucks (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (545) and the Memphis Grizzlies (546) in Game Three of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (70-15) took a 2-0 lead in this series with their 118-99 victory as a 14.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Memphis (49-37) has lost five of their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies managed to hold the Thunder to just 43.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last eight contests. Their play on defense remains inconsistent since Tuomas Iiasalo took over as the interim head coach in late March. In the 13 games he has been the head coach, Memphis has surrendered at least 117 points eight times — and they have given up 131 or more points in four of those contests. Perhaps more importantly to get back into this series, the Grizzlies have to shoot better than the 42.9% they shot on Tuesday. That was an improvement over their 34.4% field goal percentage in Game One of this series. Returning home should help where they are making 49.0% of their shots which is resulting in 123.4 Points-Per-Game. The Grizzlies have played 7 of their last 11 home games Over the Total after losing on the road in their last game. They have played 4 straight Overs on their home court since Iiasalo took over — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 220s. Additionally, Memphis has played 22 of their last 32 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Oklahoma City has played 14 of their last 23 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 100 points in their last game. The Thunder have played three straight Unders — but they have played 25 of their last 36 games Over the Total after playing three or more Unders in a row under head coach Mark Daigneault including 10 Unders in those last 13 situations. Oklahoma City is making 48.0% of their shots this season which is resulting in 120.1 PPG — and they have nailed 48.7% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in 126.8 PPG. The Thunder have played 14 of their last 23 road games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Grizzlies have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total when avenging a loss. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (545) and the Memphis Grizzlies (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Denver Nuggets (524) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-33) had been on an eight-game winning streak before their 112-110 loss in overtime as a 3-point road underdog on Saturday. Denver (51-32) has won four games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets allowed the Clippers to make 50% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last nine games. After four games under interim head coach David Adelman, some interesting trends are beginning to emerge. He replaced Michael Malone because the team was slumping and not seeming to listen to his messages any longer. The effort on defense seems to have improved. In their four games with Adelman leading the way, Denver ranks 13th in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency which is an improvement over their season ranking of 22nd. They are surrendering -2.5 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions in these four games versus the entire season. The 20 turnovers they forced in Game One of this series speak to their improved work rate on that end of the court. The Nuggets have not given up more than 116 points in their last four games — and their last three opponents have scored just 109, 110, and 111 points. But the efficiency on offense has dropped a bit despite Adelman having the reputation of being a bright offensive-minded coach. Despite ranking fourth in the league in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency this season, they drop to 16th in their last four games while scoring -5.9 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions during that span. I’m not sure if Adelman has called for changes to help the play on defense or if this is just noise from a small sample size — but it does make me reconsider Over plays with the Nuggets. Denver has played 5 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when playing for the second time in five days — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. The Under is 2-2 in Adelman’s four games as a head coach — but both of their games played at home were Unders. The Nuggets have played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total in the playoffs including four straight Unders in the first round of the postseason. They have also played 5 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. The Clippers held the Nuggets to just 43.6% shooting on Saturday which is a feat they can continue since they rank second in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams winning 60-70% of their games. Additionally, they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range including eight of those 11 games played on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams from the Northwest Division — and the Nuggets have played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams from the Pacific Division. 10* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Denver Nuggets (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (515) and the Houston Rockets (516) in Game One of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Golden State (49-34) has won eight of their last 11 games after their 121-116 win against Memphis as a 6.5-point favorite in their Play-In Tournament game on Tuesday. Houston (52-30) has lost three games in a row after their 126-111 loss at home to Denver as a 6.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors rank seventh in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but since the All-Star break, they have risen to third in that metric thanks to the acquisition of Jimmy Butler. They have held their last five opponents to 46.0% shooting which has resulted in just 107.0 Points-Per-Game. This is Golden State’s fourth game since April 11th — and they have played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total when rested and playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games on the road Under the Total when listed as an underdog of up to six points — and they have played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Rockets outrebound their opponents by +6.0 Rebounds-Per-Game — and the Warriors have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams who outrebound their opponents by +3.0 or more RPG including four of those five games played on the road. Houston has played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home after a straight-up win at home. This is just their fifth game in the last two days — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the sixth time in the last 14 days. The Rockets are an elite defensive team that imposes their will from a very physical style of play. Amen Thompson, Dillon Brooks, and Tari Eason are elite defensive talents. Houston ranks fourth in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 10th in steals, 11th in deflections, and 13th in blocks. On their home court, they are limiting their guests to 44.9% shooting which is resulting in just 107.5 PPG. The Rockets have played 5 of their last 8 games at home Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams just played on April 6th in a game that had a playoff atmosphere since seeding in the Western Conference remained very much at stake. Houston pulled off a 106-96 upset victory as a 5-point underdog on the road — and Golden State has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss. 25* NBA Sunday TNT Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508) in Game One of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (49-33) has won three games in a row as well as eight of their last nine contests after their 116-105 victory against Utah as a 23-point favorite last Sunday. Los Angeles (50-32) had won two games in a row before their 109-81 loss at Portland as a 5.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Led by rim protector Rudy Gobert, the Timberwolves are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. They rank sixth in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they improve to fifth in that category when playing on the road. They also play at the sixth-slowest pace in the league by averaging only 97.95 possessions per game. With the week off while the Play-In Tournament took place, they will begin this series rested and ready. Minnesota has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road when playing with three or more days of rest. They have also played 5 of their 7 games this month Under the Total. The Timberwolves lost in the Western Conference Finals to Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks last postseason — and head coach Chris Finch has had almost a year to reconsider how to defend against Doncic if given the opportunity again. Doncic torched the T-Wolves by scoring 32.4 Points-Per-Game while nailing 43.4% of the 10.6 shots from behind the arc he averaged in that series. But Minnesota should be in a better position to defend Doncic this year since the Lakers lack the size that Dallas had in that series. The Timberwolves should defend Doncic coming off the pick-and-roll better this time — and Gobert should have more free reign to protect the rim. Since joining the Lakers, Doncic is not attacking the rim as much as he did with the Mavericks — and his shooting percentage has dropped from 46.4% with Dallas this season to 43.8% with Los Angeles. The addition of Doncic has not made a significant impact on their efficiency on offense. Since the All-Star break, they are only scoring +0.7 more adjusted points per 100 possessions than their season average. Trading away Anthony Davis has contributed to the Lakers becoming a mostly jump-shooting team. They rank only 17th in the NBA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home since the All-Star Break. Trading Davis for Doncic has not impacted Los Angeles' play on defense — they are surrendering -0.2. fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions since the All-Star break when compared to their season-long Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. At home, the Lakers rank tied for ninth in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Lakers have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with three or more days of rest. They have also played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. Los Angeles also plays at the 11th slowest pace in the NBA — so this should be a lower-scoring game.

FINAL TAKE: Only 213 combined points were scored in the last meeting between these two teams in a 111-102 victory for the Lakers at home at Crypto.com Arena. Minnesota has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NBA Saturday Night ABC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (577) and the Orlando Magic (578) in the NBA Play-In Tournament. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (40-42) has won three games in a row after their 117-105 upset victory against Orlando as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. Orlando (41-41) saw their five-game winning streak snapped with that loss on the final day of the regular season.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The line is telling us a lot for this game since it is just the third game all season for the Hawks when the Total was below the 220 mark. Since Quin Snyder took over as their head coach, Atlanta has only had 5 games on the road with the Total set in the 210s — and 4 of those games finished Under the Total. The Hawks are not a good defensive team — they allow their opponents to make 48.2% of their shots which is resulting in 119.3 Points-Per-Game that they are giving up. But much of their issues on defense is simply an issue of effort as their group prefers to try to win shootouts. Look for their effort and energy on defense to be better now that they are in the postseason — and they have been playing better on that end of the court lately. They have held their last five opponents to 46.2% shooting which has resulted in 115.4 PPG which is -3.9 fewer PPG than their season average. They allowed the Magic to make 45.5% of their shots on Sunday which was the worst defensive effort in their last three games. Atlanta has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after pulling off an upset victory. Orlando has played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after losing at home in their last game. They have also played all 5 of their games Under the Total after an upset loss to a fellow Southeast Division rival since Jamahl Mosely took over as their head coach. The Magic are an outstanding defensive team that ranks second in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they also rank second in that metric since the beginning of March. They also lead the league in defensive rebounding and second in second-chance points allowed per 100 possessions. Orlando has played 20 of their last 33 games at home Under the Total with the Total set in the 210s. The Hawks score 118.2 PPG — and the Magic have played 22 of their last 29 games Under the Total against teams who score 116 or more PPG. Orlando has also played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total against teams who are giving up 116 or more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: I don’t want to read too much into Sunday’s game between these teams since nothing was at stake and both head coaches rested their key starters. But the Magic did allow Atlanta to make 53.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 17 games. I expect Mosley to use that effort to refocus the defensive commitment of his team tonight. In the 11 games in his tenure when Orlando was avenging an upset loss on the road, 9 of those games finished Under the Total. 25* NBA Southeast Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (577) and the Orlando Magic (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (569) and the Golden State Warriors (570). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (49-32) has won seven straight games after their 101-100 victory at Sacramento as a 7.5-point favorite on Friday. Golden State (48-33) has won two of their last three games after their 103-86 victory at Portland as a 15.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: On the final day of the NBA regular season, this is the contest that has the most at stake for both teams as the winner clinches a spot in the top six in the Western Conference playoffs and avoids the play-in tournament. The Clippers have raised their level of play on the defensive end of the court. Los Angeles leads the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last 15 games. They have not allowed more than 106 points in five of their last seven games — and four of those opponents did not score more than 100 points. Their last five opponents have scored just 105.8 Points-Per-Game. The Clippers have played 12 of their last 18 games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as an underdog of up to six points. Golden State leads the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency since they picked up Jimmy Butler at the trade deadline. They have not allowed more than 106 points in four of their last five games as well as six of their last nine contests. They have held their last five opponents to 45.4% shooting which has resulted in 101.0 PPG. The Warriors have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win on the road. They return home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total against who are winning 60-75% of their games including six of those nine games played at home. The Clippers have played 12 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (569) and the Golden State Warriors (570). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (527) and the Denver Nuggets (528). THE SITUATION: Memphis (47-33) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in a 141-125 loss at home to Minnesota last night. Denver (48-32) ended their four-game losing streak with a 124-116 victory at Sacramento as a 4.5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last two days. This is their third game since Tuesday — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when playing for the third time in four days. They will be without Brandon Clarke tonight who is out the rest of the season with a knee injury. Memphis loses a little when he is off the court as their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drops from 116.5 adjusted points per 100 possessions to 115.5 adjusted points per 100 possessions — but the defense suffers even more. The Grizzlies have a 108.2 Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with Clarke on the court — and they allow +4.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when he is off the court. Memphis goes back on the road where they have played 16 of their last 19 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have played 20 of their last 31 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 230s. And while the Nuggets are outrebounding their opponents by +4.0 Rebounds-Per-Game, the Grizzlies have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are outrebounding their opponents by +3.0 or more RPG. Denver is surrendering 117.0 Points-Per-Game this season — and Memphis has played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total against teams who give up 116 or more PPG including six of those eight games played on the road. Denver held the Kings to 46.7% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last three games. It was the first game since ownership fired both head coach Michael Malone and general manager Calvin Booth yesterday. Assistant head coach David Adelman takes over as the interim head coach for the rest of the regular season and their postseason run. Adelman is considered the architect of the Nuggets’ offensive attack. He is replacing Malone because the players stopped responding to their veteran head coach’s messages. There were a few subtle changes in the Nuggets’ approach against Sacramento. Nikola Jokic was empowered to take more of a leadership role in huddles regarding who the offense would operate. Adelman also played Jalen Pickett for more than 31 minutes — and while he scored 18 points, he was targeted by the Kings on the defensive end of the court. Adelman also only had Russell Westbrook on the court for 16:45 minutes despite him being one of their best defensive players. Denver lacks the personnel to play significantly better right now — and it does not help that Jamal Murray remains questionable with his hamstring injury. The Nuggets have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.9% of their shots which is resulting in 122.4 PPG. Denver has played 26 of their 40 games Over the Total this season — and they have played 10 of their 14 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. The Grizzlies are allowing 117.1 PPG this season — and the Nuggets have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams who are giving up 116 or more PPG including six of those nine games at home. And while Memphis is scoring 121.7 PPG, Denver has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams who are scoring 116 or more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets won the last meeting between these two teams by a 122-110 score as a 6-point underdog at Memphis on November 19th — and the Grizzlies have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 10* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (527) and the Denver Nuggets (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (569) and the Sacramento Kings (570). THE SITUATION: Denver (47-32) has lost four games in a row after their 125-120 loss against Indiana as a 6-point favorite on Sunday. Sacramento (39-40) has won three games in a row after their 127-117 upset victory at Detroit as a 6-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have suffered four straight upset losses — and that prompted ownership to fire both head coach Michael Malone and general manager Calvin Booth yesterday. Assistant head coach David Adelman takes over as the interim head coach for the rest of the regular season and their postseason run. Bettors have jumped on Denver with the Nuggets opening as a 1.5-point road favorite but now pushed up to a 4.5-point road favorite. The bump after a head coach firing in the NBA has not been a reliable angle for several years now. Instead, I expect the reaction by the Denver players to help the Over. Adelman is considered the architect of the Nuggets’ offensive attack. He is replacing Malone because the players stopped responding to their veteran head coach’s messages. The personality of this team when facing adversity is to play higher-scoring games — so that is how I expect them to respond to the coaching change with Adelman tweaking the offensive schematics. Denver has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row. They have played 5 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three or more games in a row. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road when playing with two days of rest. The Nuggets’ offense has been operating at a high level. In their loss to the Pacers, they made 53.8% of their shots which was still their second-lowest field goal percentage in their last six games. The problem has been the play on defense. Denver has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record including nine of those 12 games played on the road. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams winning 40-49% of their games including all three of those games played on the road. Jamal Murray has been downgraded to doubtful due to the hamstring injury that has kept him on the shelf recently. But the Kings have posted both Keegan Murray and Malik Monk as doubtful to injuries as well — and the loss of Monk, in particular, takes away one of their best interior defenders. Sacramento has allowed nine of their last 17 opponents to make at least 51.9% of their shots. But after nailing 53.7% of their shots against Cleveland, they converted on 51.6% of their shots against the Pistons on Monday. The Kings have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total after a win on the road. They have covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. This is their third game since Sunday — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when playing for the third time in four days. Sacramento returns home where they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog. The Nuggets are outscoring their opponents by +3.6 Points-Per-Game — and the Kings have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +3.0 or more PPG. And in their last 18 games against teams who are winning 51-60% of their games, Sacramento has played 12 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Kings have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points — and Denver has played 8 of their last 13 road games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10* NBA Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (569) and the Sacramento Kings (570). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (553) and the Phoenix Suns (554). THE SITUATION: Golden State (46-32) had won five games in a row before their 106-96 upset loss at home against Houston as a 5-point favorite on Sunday. Phoenix (35-43) has lost six games in a row after their 112-98 loss at New York against the Knicks as a 9.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Warriors’ head coach Steve Kerr needs his team to get back to playing better defense after the Rockets made 48.4% of their shots against them. That came on the heels of Denver nailing 54.1% of their shots in their previous game. Golden State still ranks sixth in the NBA in their last 15 games in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. With Gary Payton II back in the mix after getting injured along with Jimmy Butler’s defensive commitment and an increase of playing time of Kevon Looney, the Warriors have several good defensive players to complement Draymond Green who is playing at his Defensive Player of the Year level right now. Golden State has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss at home. They have also played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss including eight of those ten games played at home. The Warriors have also played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game. Phoenix only made 42.4% of their shots on Sunday as they continue to struggle to make baskets with Kevin Durant injured. He has missed the last three games — and the Suns have only scored 201 combined points in their last two games. Bradley Beal has played those last two games since returning from his injury — but after going 0-7 from the field and scoring one point on Friday against Boston, he only scored 16 points against the Knicks as he does not appear healthy enough to take on being the team’s primary scorer. They are scoring only 108.4 Points-Per-Game in their last five games which is -5.6 PPG below their season average. Phoenix has played 7 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total after losing on the road in their last game. After playing their last three games on the road, they return back home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Suns have played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 8 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (553) and the Phoenix Suns (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:50 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (701) and the Houston Cougars (679) in the National Championship Game of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida (35-4) has won 11 games in a row after their 79-73 victory against Auburn as a 2-point favorite in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday. Houston (34-4) has won 18 games in a row after their 70-67 upset victory against Duke in their Final Four game on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: We were on Duke against the Cougars on Saturday — and despite getting that call wrong, much of my concern about this Houston team played out as  I expected. As I wrote for that Report: “Houston’s offense can still go cold because of their inefficiency inside the arc.” Sure enough, the Cougars only made 13 of their 39 shots from inside the arc for a rough 33.3% shooting percentage. Houston ranks 292nd by making only 48.0% of their shots inside the arc — and that mark drops to a 46.1% clip on the road which ranks 283rd. They are scoring -2.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. But the Cougars are one of head coach Kelvin Sampson’s best scoring teams because they lead the nation by nailing 39.9% of their shots from behind the arc — and they nailed 10 of their 22 shots from behind the arc against the Blue Devils at a 45.5% clip. Can they come close to that tonight? The Gators rank sixth in the nation by holding their opponents to 29.5% shooting from behind the arc. The other area where Houston dominated was on the offensive glass as they pulled down 18 offensive rebounds on a remarkable 46.2% of their missed shots — despite Duke’s significant size edge. Credit goes to box-out fundamentals this team has been taught —  but the Cougars once again are at a size disadvantage since the Gators have four players in their forward rotation that are taller than 6’8 which is how big Houston gets on their front line from their regulars. Florida ranks 133rd in the nation with their opponents rebounding 29.0% of their missed shots — but that number is reflective of head coach Todd Golden’s desire to play at a fast pace and get up-and-down in transition from their opponent's missed shots. Given what the Cougars did to Duke, Golden may have his team focus more on limiting second-chance opportunities. They limited Auburn to pulling down only 25% of their missed shots despite the Tigers ranking 50th in the nation in offensive rebounding (34.2%). In the SEC Tournament Championship Game, they held Tennessee to rebounding only 17.4% of their missed shots despite the Volunteers ranking 23rd in offensive rebounding (35.6%). Clearly, Florida can frustrate great offensive rebounding teams if they want to — but the choice to do it requires them to slow the pace of the game down. Houston’s scoring can dry up if their 3s are not falling and they are not getting second-chance looks. In their regular season loss to Auburn, they made only 41.4% of their shots which resulted in 69 points. In their last overtime loss against the Crimson Tide who play at the fastest pace in the nation, they only made 36.9% of their shots. In their loss to San Diego State, they only made 37.1% of their shots. In their narrow 62-60 victory against Purdue in the Sweet 16, they only made 37.7% of their shots. A theme is emerging: if Houston is missing their shots, they can be beaten — and they did not make more than 42.1% of their shots in 11 of their games this season after only making 37.7% of their shots against Duke. On the road, the Cougars' 3-point shooting drops to a 38.0% clip which ranks 15th in the nation (still great, but no longer the best). To compound matters, they do not make things easier for themselves by getting to the free throw line — they rank 327th in the nation in getting to the free throw line. Just not enough easy shots spell trouble — and they were fortunate to get past the Blue Devils with some fortunate whistles late in the game. But Houston stole that game because they held Duke to only eight points in the final eight minutes of the game and just 39.6% shooting (and 67 points) despite the Blue Devils leading the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Cougars lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. They have also played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are winning 80% or more of their games. Florida allowed the Tigers to make 43.9% of their shots which was the highest opponents’ field goal percentage in their last three contests. The Gators' offense does take a step back if they get stuck in a half-court slog. They rank second in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they drop to 24th with their effective field goal percentage of 55.1% while ranking no higher in 29th in their 2-point/3-point shooting splits. The half-court offense does not create enough catch-and-shoot scoring opportunities which is critical when facing this Cougars defense. They only had 11 of those catch-and-shoot chances against Auburn and missed eight of those shots. But Florida’s half-court defense remains elite. They rank ninth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank fifth with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.6% while ranking in the top 22 in both 2-point/3-point defensive shooting splits. The Gators can get caught in slogs. There were only 64 possessions in their 64-44 loss to Tennessee on February 1st. South Carolina slowed them down in conference play as well in a 70-69 victory for Florida with only 65 mutual possessions.

FINAL TAKE: Sampson wants to slow this game down to a crawl — and I think he will win the tempo battle. The Cougars rank 350th by averaging 19.7 seconds per possession — and they rank 360th with their games averaging 61.7 possessions per game. The Gators hold their opponents to 40.1% shooting — and Houston has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting including eight of those 12 games played on the road. 25* College Basketball Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (701) and the Houston Cougars (679). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (527) and the Denver Nuggets (528). THE SITUATION: Indiana (46-31) has won three games in a row after their 140-112 win against Utah as a 17-point favorite on Friday. Denver (47-31) has suffered three-straight upset losses after their 118-104 upset loss at Golden State as a 1-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pacers held the Jazz to 37.5% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last eight games. Indiana has played 5 of their last 8 road games Over the Total after scoring at least 136 points in their last game. Now after finishing up their three-game home stand, they go back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing three or more straight games at home. They have played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. They have also played 17 of their last 27 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record including eleven of those fifteen games played on the road. The Pacers will not have the defensive services of Pascal Siakam tonight who is out with an elbow injury. Denver made 54.1% of their shots against the Warriors which was actually the second-lowest shooting percentage for them in their last five games. Jamal Murray is questionable to play with a hamstring injury — but he has missed the previous four games and the Nuggets still made at least 54.1% of their shots in three of those contests. Denver has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after an upset loss as a road favorite. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing two gamers in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three or more games in a row. They return home where they have played 25 of their last 39 games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 14 of their last 18 games at home Over the Total with the Total set in the 230s.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference including 12 of those 14 games played at home. Indiana has played 9 of their last 14 road games Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. 10* NBA Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (527) and the Denver Nuggets (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (681) and the Auburn Tigers (682) in the Semifinals of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida (34-4) has won ten straight games after their 84-79 victory against Texas Tech as a 7-point favorite in their Elite Eight game last Saturday. Auburn (32-5) has won four games in a row after their 70-64 victory against Michigan State in their Elite Eight game in the Big Dance last Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Gators only shot 43.9% from the field against the Red Raiders which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. That they still managed 84 points because head coach Todd Golden’s team emphasizes shot volume when they have the basketball. They rank 59th in the nation by only turning the ball over in 15.5% of their possessions — and they rank fifth in the nation by pulling down 38.9% of their missed shots. Florida also plays at a very fast pace — they average 16.3 seconds per possession and their games average 69.8 possessions per game with those marks ranking 43rd and 59th in the nation. Overall, the Gators rank second in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. In their 12 games played on a neutral court, they are scoring +4.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home or true road games. But when playing away from home, they are also surrendering +5.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home. Florida has played 14 of their last 22 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games on the road Over the Total when favored. The Tigers hold their opponents to 40.6% shooting — and the Gators have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting. Auburn outrebounds their opponents by +6.0 Rebounds-Per-Game — and Florida has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams who outrebound their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG. The Gators are outscoring their opponents by +14.0 Points-Per-Game — and Florida has played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total against opponents who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG including 12 of those 17 games played on the road. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court. Auburn held the Spartans to 34.4% shooting which was their best defensive effort in their last 15 contests. The Tigers have played 12 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after winning their previous game. They have also played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row including nine of those 13 games played on the road. On the road, they are scoring +5.8 more adjusted points per 100 possessions — but they are also surrendering +5.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions in those games. They rank third in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and Johni Broome claims he is 100% for this contest after injuring his wrist late in the game on Sunday. Florida takes 63 shots per game — and Auburn has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams who generate 62 or more shots per game. The Tigers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 10 of their 13 games Over the Total on a neutral court as an underdog of up to six points or as a pick ‘em with Bruce Pearl as their head coach. And while the Gators are outscoring their opponents by +15.7 PPG, Auburn has played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Tigers want to avenge a 90-81 loss to the Gators playing at home as an 11-point favorite on February 8th — and they have played 12 of their 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss with Pearl as their head coach. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (681) and the Auburn Tigers (682). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (571) and the San Antonio Spurs (572). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (61-15) has won five of their last six games after their 124-105 victory against New York as a 10-point favorite on Wednesday. San Antonio (32-44) snapped their five-game losing streak with their 113-106 upset victory at Denver as a 2-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers held the Knicks to 44.4% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last three games. Despite that effort, their last five opponents have made 44.1% of their shots against them which has resulted in 117.4 Points-Per-Game which is +5.2 PPG above their season average. They also are making 50.2% of their shots in those last five games which has resulted in 123.8 PPG. Cleveland has played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total including 10 of those 15 games played on the road. They go back on the road where they have played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total on the road with the Total set at 230 or higher. Furthermore, the Cavaliers have played 24 of their 28 games this season Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. San Antonio held the Nuggets to just 39.6% shooting on Wednesday which was the best defensive effort in their last six contests. Despite that surprising effort, they have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.9% of their shots which has resulted in 123.0 PPG. Playing without their best defensive player Victor Wembanyama who is out the season due to injury, defensive performances like that are likely to be rare outliers. The Spurs have played 9 of their last 12 games on the road Over the Total when playing for the third time in the last four days. They have played 20 of their last 32 games Over the Total when the Total is set at 230 or higher including 12 of those 16 games played at home. They also also played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference including nine of those 12 games played at home. This is just the third game at home this season for the Spurs when they were an underdog getting 12.5 or more points — both of those two previous games finished Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Cavaliers lead the NBA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and while San Antonio is making 46.5% of their shots this season, Cleveland has played 29 of their last 39 games Over the Total against teams who are making 46% or more of their shots including 15 of those 18 games played on the road. 10* NBA Friday Night O/U Discounted Deal with the Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (571) and the San Antonio Spurs (572). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (673) and the UC-Irvine Anteaters (674) in the Championship Game of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Chattanooga (28-9) has won 16 of their last 17 games after their 80-73 upset victory against Loyola-Chicago as a 2.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the NIT on Tuesday. UC-Irvine (32-6) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 69-67 upset victory against North Texas a 1-point underdog in their semifinal match in this tournament on Monday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.  

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Anteaters made 49.0% of their shots in their upset victory against the Mean Green which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. UC-Irvine ranks just 169th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and they are making only 45.4% of their shots on the season. The Anteaters have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. They have also played 14 of their last 21 games on the road Under the Total against teams outside the Big West Conference. They are holding their opponents to -4.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road which is the 46th biggest drop off in the nation. In their six games played on a neutral court, they are holding their opponents to -6.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions which is the 12th biggest drop in the nation. Led by 7’1 rim protector Bent Leuchten, UC-Irvine ranks 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rise to 14th in that metric when playing on the road. The Anteaters thrive with their half-court defense by ranking seventh in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.8% — and they rank second in the nation by holding their opponents to a 42.8% shooting percentage inside the arc. This contest will be strength-versus-strength since Chattanooga is an outstanding pure-shooting defense that ranks 10th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.6% — and they rank ninth in the nation with a 57.9% mark inside the arc. Leuchten’s presence down low should frustrate much of what the Mocs want to do on offense. Chattanooga’s scoring attack is led by two small guards, Trey Bonham and Honor Hoff, who draw out defenders because they shoot a ton of 3s. This opens up space for Bash Wieland to freely slash to the basket — but Leuchten will be waiting for him tonight. The Mocs rank 44th in the nation by making 36.7% of their shots from behind the arc — but that mark drops to 34.9% when they are on the road which ranks 92nd in the nation. Chattanooga ranks 54th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they do score -5.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 73rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on the road — and their net drop off in offensive efficiency is the 291st worst in the nation. But the Mocs so play better defense on the road. They rank 262nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency overall — but they improve to 154th in that category on the road by surrendering -11.8 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions which is the fifth-best improvement in the nation. The Anteaters are outscoring their opponents by +9.2 Points-Per-Game — and Chattanooga has played 5 of their last 7 games on the road Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: UC-Irvine has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games in tournament settings Under the Total. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (673) and the UC-Irvine Anteaters (674). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (511) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (512). THE SITUATION: Chicago (33-41) saw their four-game winning streak snapped in a 120-119 upset loss at home against Dallas as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Oklahoma City (62-13) has won nine games in a row after their 132-111 victory against Indiana as a 9-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulls held the Mavericks to 46.5% shooting which is just below their 46.7% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season — but it was also the best defensive effort in that metric in their last five games. They rank 24th in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Chicago is making 50.9% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in 128.2 Points-Per-Game — that is +10.8 PPG above their season average. They rank fourth in the NBA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in those last five contests. The Bulls have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road — and they have also played 19 of their 31 games on the road this season Over the Total. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 14 games on the road Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Oklahoma City has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win at home by 20 or more points. They are making 48.7% of their shots at home which is resulting in 122.6 PPG. In their last five games, they are nailing 50.0% of their shots which is resulting in 124.4 PPG. Overall this season, they rank fourth in the league in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Thunder have played 9 of their last 12 games at home Over the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. They have also played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Furthermore, they have played 13 of their last 21 games at home Over the Total when favored by double-digits.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City won the last meeting between these two teams on October 26th by a 114-94 score on October 26th. The Bulls have played 12 of their last 19 games on the road Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (511) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (647) and the Houston Cougars (648) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Tennessee (30-7) has won six of their last seven games after their 78-65 victory against Kentucky as a 4.5-point favorite in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. Houston (33-4) rides a 16-game winning streak after their 62-60 victory against Purdue as an 8-point favorite in their second-round game in the Big Dance. This game is being played on a neutral court at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Tennessee allowed the Wildcats to make 49% of their shots in that game which was the worst opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 12 games. But head coach Rick Barnes had his team hyper-focused on taking away Kentucky’s 3-point shooting which had burned them in their two previous losses against them this season. The Volunteers limited the Wildcats to a season-low 15 shots from behind the arc which mitigated the power of their 40% shooting percentage on those shots. Tennessee also made 50.9% of their shots in that double-revenge game which was the best shooting effort in their last six contests. The Volunteers have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row which includes six of their eight games played on the road. Tennessee is once again an elite defensive team that ranks third in the nation on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also rank fourth on the road with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.6.%. They present a very tough matchup for the Cougars. Head coach Kelvin Sampson’s team is outstanding at making 3s — they lead the nation by making 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc. That mark does decline to a 37.8% clip when playing away from home, ranking 17th. The Volunteers have an elite perimeter defense that ranks second in the nation on the road by holding their opponents to 28.7% shooting from deep. Tennessee also ranks 24th in the nation by limiting their opponents to 47.4% shooting inside the arc — and this is an area of vulnerability for the Cougars. Houston ranks 289th in the nation by only making 46.7% of their shots inside the arc — and they are scoring -3.8 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. The Volunteers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who are making 37% or more of their shots from behind the arc. They have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams outside the SEC — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total on a neutral court. They have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams winning 80% or more of their games including five of those seven games on the road. Houston holds their opponents to 38.4% shooting — and Tennessee has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are not making more than 42% of their shots. The Cougars make 45.5% of their shots — and the Volunteers have played 11 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total against teams who are shooting at least 45% from the field. Houston only made 37.7% of their shots from the field in their two-point win against the Boilermakers. That effort continues a disturbing trend as they are only making 42.0% of their shots in their last five contests. J’Wan Roberts may not be close to 100% since returning from injury — he only scored 5 points against Purdue on Friday from 2 of 5 shooting. The Cougars have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. They remain the number one team in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, although they are “only” second in that metric when playing on the road. They rank 22nd in the nation on the road with their opponents making only 46.9% of their shots inside the arc — and they rank second by holding their opponents to 29.6% shooting from behind the arc. They are holding their opponents to 38.4% shooting which is resulting in just 58.4 Points-Per-Game. Tennessee has only one reliable 3-point shooter in Chaz Lanier — but if Sampson can draw up a scheme to take him away, the Volunteers are likely in trouble to score baskets. Houston also has an advantage in crashing the offensive glass by ranking 11th in the nation by pulling down 36.6% of their missed shots — and getting second-chance scoring opportunities lowers the number of overall possessions in the game, especially when considering Houston’s slow pace of play (more on that below). The Volunteers rank 199th in the nation in defensive rebounding with their opponents pulling down 30.0% of their misses — but that number does speak to Barnes’ stylistic preference to eschew protecting the defensive glass for fast break opportunities. There have been times this season when he commits to stop the opponent’s offensive rebounding. but those numbers also reflect head coach Rick Barnes’ preference to sacrifice defensive rebounding for being aggressive for getting out on the fast break when they pull down the basketball 70% of the time. Tennessee held Auburn — and a comparable offensive rebounding team to Houston— to pulling down only 26.5% of their missed shots in the SEC tournament. Longer offensive possessions for the Cougars or fewer fast break chances for the Volunteers — either way, it helps the Under. Houston has played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total when favored. They have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big 12. And in their last 20 games against teams who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting, they have played 13 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: If styles make fights, then this game could quickly devolve into a rock fight since both teams play at such a slow pace. Tennessee ranks 280th in the nation by averaging 18.4 seconds per possession — and they rank 280th with their games averaging 63.6 adjusted possessions. Houston ranks 345th by averaging only 19.6 seconds per possession — and they rank 360th with their games averaging just 61.6 adjusted possessions per game. But the money stat regards their opponent’s average length of possession since it tends to reflect their opponent’s frustration for settling for a bad shot. The Volunteers and Cougars rank 351st and 354th with their opponents averaging 18.7 seconds per possession. 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (647) and the Houston Cougars (648). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:09 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (637) and the Houston Cougars (638) in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Purdue (24-11) has won three of their last four games after their 76-62 victory against McNeese State as a 6.5-point favorite last Saturday in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. Houston (32-4) rides a 15-game winning streak after their 81-76 victory against Gonzaga as a 5-point favorite on Saturday in their second-round game in the Big Dance. This game is being played on a neutral court at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars made 46.8% of their shots against the Bulldogs which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. More surprisingly, they saw Gonzaga make 50% of their shots against them which was the worst defensive effort in their last 12 contests — and just the fourth time all season that an opponent made 50% or more of their shots against them. Houston remains the number one team in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank fourth in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.0%. They rank fifth in the nation with their opponents making only 44.3% of their shots inside the arc — and they rank 23rd by holding their opponents to 30.6% shooting from behind the arc. They are holding their opponents to 38.4% shooting which is resulting in just 58.4 Points-Per-Game. On the road, they are surrendering -2.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. But they are also scoring -4.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. The Boilermakers are a tough matchup for the Cougars’ scoring attack. The teams that give Purdue trouble can pound them inside given their lack of size. The Boilermakers rank 341st in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 56.2% of their shots inside the arc. But Houston does not have a regular rotation of players taller than 6’8 — and they rank 272nd in the nation by making only 48.8% of their shots inside the arc. On the road, they only make 47.2% of their 2-pointers which ranks 271st in the nation. Head coach Kelvin Sampson’s team is outstanding at making 3s — they lead the nation by making 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc. That mark does decline to a 37.7% clip when playing away from home, ranking 19th. Purdue has a very good perimeter defense that ranks 33rd in the nation by holding their opponents to 31.0% shooting from deep. The Cougars also crash the offensive glass by ranking 11th in the nation by pulling down 36.6% of their missed shots — and getting second-chance scoring opportunities lowers the number of overall possessions in the game, especially when considering Houston’s slow pace of play (more on that below). The Cougars have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when the total is set in the 130s including playing eight of those nine games played on the road. They have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Purdue has played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. Of concern in the Boilermakers’ win against McNeese State was that All-American point guard Braden Smith committed eight turnovers against the Cowboys’ pressure defense. He is turning the ball over in 18.5% of his touches. Now here comes a Houston defense that ranks 18th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.5% of their opponent’s possessions. They are as aggressive as any team in the country in trapping the ball-handler on ball screens with double-teams — and that will force Smith to execute at a high level in getting the ball to Trey Kaufman-Renn. Purdue does rank eighth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are scoring -6.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. Their 48.8% shooting percentage drops to 45.5% on the road which is resulting in 71.5 PPG which is -6.2 PPG below their season average. The biggest drop-off comes from their 3-point shooting. While they rank sixth in the nation by making 41.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home, they only make 35.5% of their 3s on the road which ranks 66th in the nation. The Cougars make 45.7% of their shots — and the Boilermakers have played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams who are making at least 45% of their shots. They have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total against teams winning  80% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: This game could quickly devolve into a rock fight since both teams play at such a slow pace. Purdue ranks 304th by averaging 18.8 seconds per possession — and they rank 299th with their games averaging 65.1 adjusted possessions. The Cougars rank 345th by averaging only 19.5 seconds per possession — and they rank 360th with their games averaging just 61.6 adjusted possessions per game. 25* CBB Sweet 16 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (637) and the Houston Cougars (638). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (619) and the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (620) in the Quarterfinals of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Kent State (24-11) has won five of their last six games after their 77-75 upset victory at Stanford as a 7.5-point underdog on Sunday. Loyola-Chicago (24-11) has won five of their last six contests after their 77-76 upset victory at San Francisco as a 5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Flashes allowed the Cardinal to make 45.0% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. Kent State led the Mid-American Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Golden Flashes had not played since Tuesday of last week before Sunday’s game — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. Kent State is an excellent offensive rebounding team — they rank 24th in the nation by pulling down 35.6% of their missed shots. Their second-chance opportunities reset the shot clock — and longer possessions are a great recipe for Unders. They also defend the perimeter by ranking 49th in the nation by holding their opponents to 31.3% shooting from behind the arc — and the Ramblers led the Missouri Valley Conference by hitting 36.7% of their 3s. The Golden Flashes amp up their play on defense when playing on the where they hold their opponents to 39.4% shooting which is resulting in 65.9 Points-Per-Game — and they are holding their opponents to a whopping -14.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 16th in the nation on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank 24th by limiting their opponents to 47.2% shooting inside the arc — and they rise to seventh in the nation on the road with their opponents making just 29.0% of their shots from behind the arc. But they are only scoring 41.3% of their shots on the road which is resulting in 69.4 PPG. They rank 223rd in the nation on the road in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -6.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions away from home. Kent State has played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. Loyola-Chicago makes 45.7% of their shots from the field — but the Golden Flashes have played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Under the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots. And while the Ramblers hold their opponents to 41.7% shooting, Kent State has played 5 straight Unders on the road against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage no higher than 42%. Loyola-Chicago has played 13 of their last 20 games at home Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Ramblers only made 40% of their shots on Sunday which continues a disturbing trend as they are only making 41.7% of their shots in their last five games. But they held the Dons to 37.5% shooting — and their last five opponents have made only 36.9% of their shots resulting in 64.6 PPG. Loyola-Chicago returns home where they are surrendering -3.5 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. The Ramblers have played 17 of their last 27 home games Under the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have also played 13 of their last 19 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. And in their last 8 home games against teams winning 60-80% of their games, they have played 6 of those games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Loyola-Chicago has played 10 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams outside the Missouri Valley Conference — and the Golden Flashes have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams outside the MAC. 25* CBB NIT Quarterfinals Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (619) and the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (557) and the Denver Nuggets (558). THE SITUATION: Chicago (31-40) has won three of their last four games after their 146-115 upset victory in Los Angeles against the Lakers as a 9.5-point underdog on Saturday. Denver (45-27) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 116-111 victory at Houston as a 7-point underdog yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets held the Rockets to 43.8% shooting in what was the best defensive effort in their last 16 games. Their last five opponents are still making 49.1% of their shots against them. Denver nailed 50.6% of their shots in the win despite being without Nikola Jokic for the fourth straight game due to an ankle injury. They have shot 50% or better from the field in four of their last six contests. The Nuggets have played 3 of those 4 games without Jokic Over the Total. They have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest including five of those seven games played at home. Additionally, Denver has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win by six points or less. The Nuggets return home after their four-game road trip where they have played 22 of their last 34 games Over the Total. This is their sixth game since March 15th — and they have played 15 of their last 18 home games Over the Total when playing for the sixth or mortise in the last ten days. Furthermore, Denver has played 21 of their last 27 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record including 12 of those 15 games played at home. They have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference including 10 of those twelve games at home. Chicago has scored at least 120 points in three straight games — and they have made at least 52.3% of their shots from the field in those three games. Over that stretch, they are making 55.1% of their shots. In their last five games, they are making 50.9% of their shots which has resulted in 124.0 Points-Per-Game which is +6.9 PPG above their season average. The Bulls have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring 136 or more points in their last game. They complete their six-game road trip tonight playing for the third time since Thursday — and they have played 5 straight Overs when playing on the road for the third time in five days. Chicago has played 14 of their last 22 road games Over the Total as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-70% of their games. They have also played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total in non-conference play including nine of those thirteen games played on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Bulls play at the third-fastest pace in the NBA while the Nuggets play at the sixth-fastest tempo — and this may explain why these two teams have played 8 of their last 9 meetings in Denver Over the Total. 10* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (557) and the Denver Nuggets (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (863) and the Michigan State Spartans (864) in the Round of 32 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: New Mexico (27-7) has won five of their last six games after their 75-66 upset victory against Marquette as a 4.5-point underdog in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday. Michigan State (28-6) has won nine of their last ten games after their 87-62 victory against Bryant as a 17-point favorite in their first game in the Big Dance on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Rocket Mortgage Field House in Cleveland, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lobos made 47.3% of their shots on Friday which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. But New Mexico ranks just 81st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are scoring -1.9 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road than at home. The Lobos have played 11 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road when playing for the second time in eight days. This team ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road where they are surrendering -3.9 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. New Mexico has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog. Michigan State makes 46.1% of their shots — and the Lobos have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots. The Spartans outscore their opponents by +11.3 Points-Per-Game — and New Mexico has played 5 of their last 6 games on the road Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. Michigan State has played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. And in their last 15 games when playing for just the second time in eight days, they have played 10 of these games Under the Total. Michigan State ranks sixth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they are surrendering -1.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions — but they are also scoring -1.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. The Lobos make 46% of their shots — and the Spartans have played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams who make at least 45% of their shots. New Mexico is outscoring their opponents by +10.5 PPG — and Sparty has played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total against opponents who outscore their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. The Lobos also outrebound their opponents by +4.0 Rebounds Per-Game — and Michigan State has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams who outrebound their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Lobos have played 7 straight Unders on the road with the Total set in the 140s — and the Spartans have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Round of 32 NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (863) and the Michigan State Spartans (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Liberty Flames (801) and the Oregon Ducks (802) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Liberty (28-6) has won five games in a row after their 79-67 victory against Jacksonville State as a 5.5-point favorite in the Conference USA Tournament Championship Game last Saturday. Oregon (24-9) had their eight-game winning streak snapped in a 74-64 loss to Michigan State as a 6-point underdog in the Quarterfinals of the Big Ten Conference Tournament last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Flames nailed 60% of their shots against the Gamecocks to claim that title — and it was the fifth straight game where they made at least 50.9% of their shots. Liberty has made 55.1% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 83.4 Points-Per-Game. They are one of the best shooting teams in the nation. They are second in the country with an effective field goal percentage of 58.4% — and they rank 11th or better in the nation in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. What is striking about this Liberty squad is that their shooting numbers go up when playing away from home. They lead the nation on the road with a 59.8% effective field goal percentage. They rank third in the nation on the road by making 40.3% of their shots from behind the arc and 59.2% of their shots inside the arc respectively. While they rank 68th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency overall, they rise to a rank of 36th in that metric when playing on the road — and they are scoring +10.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road. Their 50.3% field goal percentage on the road is resulting in 75.5 PPG. On defense, the Flames rank 42nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with their opponents making 40.1% of their shots which is resulting in 62.9 PPG — but their last five opponents are scoring 69.6 PPG against them. Liberty surrenders +4.1 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than at home. The Flames have played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 6 straight games Over the Total in March. And in their last 8 games played on a neutral court, Liberty has played 6 of those games Over the Total. Oregon has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing their last game. The Ducks rank 52nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency with a generic style of play where they do not thrive in any one area — but they are above average in all the key categories. Head coach Dana Altman has a significant matchup advantage in this contest that he is likely to continually exploit. At 7’0, Nate Bittle is scoring more than 14 PPG — and he should be able to score at will against the Flames’ center Owen Aquino who is only 6’8. On the road, Oregon improves their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency ranking to 40th in the nation while scoring +1.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions. They also surrender +1.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. The Ducks have played 4 straight Overs when the Total is set in the 130s. They have also played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting — and they have played 6 straight Overs against teams who do not allow more than 64.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: In Altman’s tenure at Oregon, the Ducks have played 22 of their 30 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court with the Total set in the 130s. They have also played 12 of their last 17 games in the first round of a tournament Over the Total with Altman as their head coach — including 5 of their 7 Round of 64 games in the NCAA Tournament. 25* CBB Round of 64 NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Liberty Flames (801) and the Oregon Ducks (802). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Furman Paladins (719) and the North Texas Mean Green (720) in the first round of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Furman (25-9) had won six games in a row before their 92-85 loss against Wofford as a 1-point favorite in the Southern Conference Tournament on March 10th. North Texas (24-8) has lost two of their last three games after their 66-56 loss to UAB as a 2.5-point favorite in the American Athletic Conference Tournament.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Paladins have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing 85 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss including 5 of their 7 games this season. They travel to Denton for this opening round game — and they rank 208th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road where they are surrendering +2.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions. They are also scoring +5.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road based on very good shooting. They rank 17th in the nation in effective field goal percentage on the road with a 55.6% mark. They rank in the top 43 on the road in both 2-point and 3-point shooting including a rank of 26th by making 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc. Furman has played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road. They have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog including six of those nine games this season. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. The Paladins come into this game hot with their shooting — they have made 50.4% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in 84.6 Points-Per-Game. Furman has played 7 straight Overs in March going back to last season. And while the Mean Green holds their opponents to 41.0% shooting, the Paladins have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road against teams who do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 42%. North Texas only made 32.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last 28 games. The Mean Green has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. They earned the right to host this game with a two-seed in the NIT. They are scoring 48.0% on their home court which has resulted in 71.8 PPG — and they are scoring +7.4 adjusted points per 100 possessions on their home court. While they rank 47th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they plummet to 130th in that metric when playing on their home court — and they are surrendering +9.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions at home. North Texas has played 18 of their last 27 games at home — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s. They have played 7 of 10 their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. And while the Paladins make 45.7% of their shots, the Mean Green has played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: North Texas has played 6 straight Overs at home when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. 25* CBB NIT First Round Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Furman Paladins (719) and the North Texas Mean Green (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (671) and the San Diego State Aztecs (672) in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: North Carolina (22-13) saw their two-game losing streak snapped in a 74-71 loss against Duke in the Semifinals of the ACC Tournament as a 7-point underdog on Friday. San Diego State (21-9) has lost two of their last three games after their 62-52 loss to Boise State as a 1.5-point underdog in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: San Diego State is a very good defensive team — but this game should go Over the Total for two primary reasons: North Carolina plays at a very fast pace and they can’t play defense. The Tar Heels average 70.4 adjusted possessions per game while averaging 16.3 seconds per possession — those marks rank 34th and 40th in the nation. And they are an elite offensive team that is playing its best basketball on that end of the court right now. They score 80.8 Points-Per-Game and rank 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rise to 12th in the metric in their last ten games. In their last nine regular season games, they ranked ninth in the nation in effective field goal percentage — they made 42.6% of their shots from behind the arc and 55.3% of their shots inside the arc. But in the last month of the regular season, North Carolina ranked 262nd in opponent effective field goal percentage with those foes making 39.3% of their shots from behind the arc which ranks 338th in the nation. They also play the 20th-worst defense in terms of Points-Per-Possession against the ball handler coming off screens in the pick-and-roll. The Tar Heels rank 70th in the nation on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they surrender +1.8 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. The Aztecs do hold their opponents to 37.8% shooting — but North Carolina has played 7 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Additionally, they have played 26 of their last 36 games Over the Total against teams outside the ACC including 18 of those 22 games played on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games this season against non-conference opponents Over the Total including six of those seven games played on the road. San Diego State mostly played teams in the Mountain West Conference that played at slow paces — only Fresno State and New Mexico averaged 69.2 or more possessions per game. In those four games, the Aztecs scored 75.5. PPG. They only made 38.3% of their shots in their loss to the Broncos which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine contests. San Diego State has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss including four of those five games played on the road. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after losing to fellow Mountain West Conference opponents including all three of those games played on the road. They have also played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. This Aztecs’ team is not as good defensively as some of head coach Brian Dutcher’s recent squads. They rank 290th in putting their opponents on the free throw line — and I like Overs in games when a team will score their share of points when the clock is stopped. And while the national average for 3-point shot attempts per field goal attempt is 39.0%, they rank 354th in the nation with their opponents launching 47.3% of their shots from behind the arc. San Diego State’s strong interior defense may compel the Tar Heels to rely on their good outside shooting. The Aztecs also rank 347th when playing on the road by allowing their opponents to pull down 35.6% of their missed shots. They are surrendering +3.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. But they are also scoring +2.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing away from home.

FINAL TAKE: Despite their good defenses under Dutcher, San Diego State has played 8 of their last 13 games in tournament play Over the Total. North Carolina has played 16 of their last 24 games on a neutral court Over the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games on a neutral court when favored by up to six points or as a pick ‘em. The Tar Heels have also played 6 of their last 9 games in the Big Dance Over the Total. 25* CBB First Four NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (671) and the San Diego State Aztecs (672). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (635) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (636) in the Championship Game of the Big West Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: UC-Irvine (28-5) has won six games in a row after their 96-78 victory against Cal-Poly as a 10.5-point favorite in the semifinals of this tournament last night. UC-San Diego (29-4) has won 14 games in a row after their 69-51 win against UC-Santa Barbara as an 11-point favorite last night. This game is being played on a neutral court at Lee’s Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Anteaters nailed 55.7% of their shots last night which was actually their worst shooting effort in their last three games — but now they face a Tritons team that had held them to just 38.8% and 38.2% shooting in their two previous meetings this season. UC-Irvine has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest with seven of the eight games played on the road finished Under the Total. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on the road for the second time in three days or less. The Anteaters rank just 152nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — so those 96 points last night were an outlier despite them playing at a fast pace. UC-Irvine is one of the best defensive teams in the nation as they rank 16th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank second in the country by holding their opponents to just 43.0% shooting inside the arc. They also rank fourth in the nation in defensive free throw rate. On the road, they improve their ranking to tenth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering -6.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road rather than at home. They rank third in the nation on the road by holding their opponents to 44.3% shooting inside the arc — and they also rank eighth by limiting their opponents to pulling down 24.2% of their missed shots. UC-Irvine has played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road. We were on UC-San Diego last night — and they rewarded us by holding the Gauchos to just 26.7% shooting in a 69-51 victory. The Tritons rank 31st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they led the Big West Conference in that metric in the regular season which was even better than the Anteaters’ mark. They held conference opponents to just 39.3% shooting — and they have held their last five opponents to 35.9% shooting which has resulted in only 59.4 Points-Per-Game. UC-San Diego combines this outstanding half-court defense with elite ball-hawking skills to limit their opponents’ scoring opportunities as they rank second in the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponents’ possessions — and they lead the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponents’ possessions when playing on the road. On the road, they are surrendering -2.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They also score -0.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. The Tritons have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total when favored. UC-Irvine does make 45.8% of their shots — but UC-San Diego has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots. The Tritons shoot 46.5% from the field while holding their opponents to 39.7% shooting overall this season. The Anteaters have played 6 of their last 8 games on the road Under the Total against opponents who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting — and they have played 4 straight games on the road Under the Total against teams who shoot 45% or better and hold their opponents to 42% or worse shooting.

FINAL TAKE: I mentioned above about UC-Irvine’s struggles to make baskets in their two previous games against UC-San Diego. The Tritons enjoyed an outlier shooting effort by making 53.7% of their baskets in an 85-67 victory against the Anteaters on February 8th — but they only made 31.1% of their shots in a 60-52 loss against them on January 11th. UC-San Diego ranks 271st in the nation by averaging only 65.7 possessions per game — and they have been successful in winning the pace battle against UC-Irvine who did not score than 67 points in either game. Lastly, the Tritons have played 4 straight games Under the Total on a neutral court. 25* CBB Big West Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (635) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (811) and the Dayton Flyers (812) in the Quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Saint Joseph’s (21-11) has won six of their last seven games after their 75-70 victory against LaSalle as a 12.5.-favorite yesterday in this tournament. Dayton (22-9) has won four straight contests after their 79-76 upset victory at VCU as a 10-point underdog last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Hawks only made 37.5% of their shots yesterday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 10 contests. For that matter, they held the Explorers to just 41.9% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last three contests. Saint Joseph’s has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a conference rival. They rank second in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Even after yesterday’s subpar shooting effort, they are still scoring 81.0 Points-Per-Game in their last five contests — but they are also giving up 73.0 PPG in that span. On the road, they are scoring +3.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home — but they are also surrendering +1.7 more adjusted points per 100 possessions in those games. The Hawks have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 4 straight Overs when playing in March. They should find plenty of success scoring close to the basket against the Flyers. Saint Joseph’s ranks second in the Atlantic 10 by making 53.8% of their shots inside the arc. This is an area of vulnerability for Dayton — they rank 244th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 52.3% of their 2-point shots. The Flyers have been even worse in conference play with their A-10 rivals making 54.2% of their shots inside the arc against them, ranking 13th in the conference. Dayton has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a fellow conference opponent. This is their second game since last Tuesday — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in eight days including all five games Over the Total that were played on the road. The Flyers rank 42nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rise to 18th in that metric when playing on the road. They rank 17th in the nation by making 37.8% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on the road. They are scoring +7.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Dayton ranks 136th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they drop to a ranking of 175th in that category when playing on the road. They are surrendering +3.4 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. Their interior defense is the main culprit as they are allowing their opponents to make 56.3% of their shots inside the arc when playing on the road which ranks 316th in the nation. The Flyers have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played six of those seven games on the road Over the Total. They have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games including five of those seven games played on the road. They have also played  15 of their last 21 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Dayton won the lone meeting between these two teams back on January 24th by a 77-72 score — and Saint Joseph’s has played 9 of their last 10 revenge opportunities Over the Total. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (811) and the Dayton Flyers (812). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Revolutionaries (809) and the George Mason Patriots (810) in the Quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: George Washington (21-11) has won three games in a row after their 88-81 victory against Fordham as a 6.5-point favorite in this tournament yesterday. George Mason (24-7) has won three of their last four contests after their 64-60 victory at Richmond as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Revolutionaries made 51.8% of their shots against the Rams which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. And even Fordham’s 44.8% shooting clip was the worst defensive effort for George Washington in their last three contests. The Revolutionaries rank third in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they also rank 111th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. George Washington has played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total after beating a fellow Atlantic 10 rival. On the road, they drop to 172nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -2.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. The Revolutionaries have played  8 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road. They play at a slow pace which should mean fewer possessions in this game — they rank 210th in the nation with 66.9 adjusted possessions per contest. George Washington has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in March. And while the Patriots shoot 45.4% from the field, the Revolutionaries have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are making at least 45% of their shots. George Mason has played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after winning their last game. This is their second game since last Wednesday — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight or more days. The Patriots have not covered the point spread in six straight contests — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not covering the point spread in three or more games. This is a team that also plays at a slow pace — they rank 322nd in the nation by averaging 64.6 adjusted possessions per game. George Mason ranks 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 216th in the nation and 10th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, they are making only 41.9% of their shots from the field resulting in 64.1 Points-Per-Game which is -6.7 PPG below their season average. They are often their worst enemy on the road given a turnover rate of 21.5% of their possessions which ranks 347th in the nation. But they rank 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road while giving up -1.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. The Patriots have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played four of these five games on the road Under the Total. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in March.

FINAL TAKE: George Washington wants to avenge a 53-50 loss at home against George Mason on February 5th. The Revolutionaries have played 10 of their last 14 opportunities for revenge Under the Total — and they have played six of those seven games on the road Under the Total. They have also played 5 straight Unders when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponent. 10* CBB Friday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Revolutionaries (809) and the George Mason Patriots (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Davidson Wildcats (723) and the Saint Louis Billikens (724) in the second round of the Atlantic-10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Davidson (17-15) snapped their four-game losing streak with their 69-65 victory against Richmond as a 6-point favorite in the opening round of this tournament yesterday. Saint Louis (18-13) has won four of their last five games after their 90-88 victory against Duquesne as a 6.5-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats nailed 47.9% of their shots yesterday which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow Atlantic-10 rival. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total as an underdog. Davidson is scoring -0.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road — and they are surrendering -0.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road. Saint Louis made 59.3% of their shots to close out their regular season last week which was the best shooting effort in their last 17 contests. But they also allowed Duquesne to make 50% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 20 contests. The Billikens have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win against a fellow Atlantic-10 rival. This is their second game since last Tuesday — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. On the road, Saint Louis is scoring -7.9 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. The Billikens have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set in the 140s. Furthermore, they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on February 25th in the Billikens’ 57-56 upset victory as a 1.5-point underdog — and the Wildcats have played 8 of their last 13 opportunities Under the Total. 10* CBB Davidson-Saint Louis USA Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Davidson Wildcats (723) and the Saint Louis Billikens (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida International Panthers (697) and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (698) in the Quarterfinals of the Conference USA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida International (10-22) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 64-61 upset win against Western Kentucky as a 5-point underdog in the opening round of this tournament yesterday. Jacksonville State (20-11) has lost two of their last three games after their 74-70 upset loss as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the von Braun Center in Huntsville, Alabama.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Panthers only made 31.6% of their shots yesterday but eked out the win by holding the Hilltoppers to a 35.9% shooting percentage. FIU is only making 37.8% of their shots in their last five games — but they have held their last five opponents to just 40.5% shooting in those contests. They rank 354th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, they are only making 42.1% of their shots — and they are scoring -6.1 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They also rank 352nd in the nation on the road by making only 24.9% of their shots from behind the arc. The Gamecocks hold their opponents to 40.9% shooting — and the Panthers have played 8 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total against opponents with an opponents field goal percentage no higher than 42%. FIU has also played 13 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road against teams who are winning 60-80% of their games. Jacksonville State plays for just the second time since March 1st — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. They are making only 37.7% of their shots in their last five games resulting in just 66.8 Points-Per-Game. They rank eighth in Conference USA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. The Gamecocks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: The Panthers want to avenge an 84-79 loss to Jacksonville State as a 3-point underdog on March 1st — and FIU has played 5 straight Unders on the road when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Wednesday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Florida International Panthers (697) and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (698). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (631) and the Montana Grizzlies (632) in the Semifinals of the Big Sky Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Idaho (14-18) has won two of their last three games after their 80-70 upset victory against Portland State as a 4-point underdog in their Quarterfinals of this tournament yesterday. Montana (23-9) has won 12 of their last 13 games after their 74-65 victory against Northern Arizona as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vandals held the Vikings to just 37.5% shooting yesterday in what was their best defensive effort of the season. But Idaho has played 4 straight Overs on the road after pulling off an upset win in their last game. That was an outlier performance for a team that ranks 347th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they maintain that ranking when playing on the road. Their opponents are making 48.1% of their shots on the road this season which is resulting in 77.8 Points-Per-Game — and they are surrendering +4.4 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. The biggest problem is their interior defense as they rank 289th in the nation on the road by allowing their opponents to make 55.2% of their shots inside the arc. But they also are scoring +5.8 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 82nd in the nation on the road by making 35.2% of their 3-pointers — and the Grizzlies rank 344th in the nation on the road with their opponents making 38.7% of their shots from behind the arc. Idaho has played 11 of their last 17 games on the road Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Montana held the Lumberjacks to 38.7% shooting on Sunday which was their best defensive performance in their last three games. They still rank 256th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Grizzlies have played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games away from home Over the Total after winning their last game. They have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a win against a fellow Big Sky Conference rival. On the road, they are allowing their opponents to make 48.2% of their shots which results in 79.2 PPG. They drop to 278th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering +10.9 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. But they also make 49.0% of their shots on the road while ranking 12th in the nation on the road with an effective field goal percentage of 55.3%. Montana ranks ninth in the nation on the road by making 57.1% of their shots inside the arc — and they also rank 26th in the nation on the road in getting to the free throw line (and I like investing in Overs when a team scores points when the clock is not running). They are making 50.8% of their shots in their last five games — and they are making 51.5% of their shots in conference plays. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have played 11 of their last 18 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Idaho wants to avenge a 72-67 loss on the road to Montana as a 5-point underdog on January 20th — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (631) and the Montana Grizzlies (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.

 At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (757) and the Troy Trojans (758) in the Quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Old Dominion (15-19) has won four games in a row after their 61-56 upset victory against Appalachian State as a 7.5-point underdog on Friday. Troy (20-10) has won three games in a row after their 70-58 victory at Southern Mississippi as a 9.5-point favorite last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Monarchs have stepped things up significantly on the defensive end of the court recently. They held the Mountaineers to 34.6% shooting last night. After allowing Marshall to shoot 57.7% from the field against them on February 25th, Old Dominion has not allowed their last four opponents to make more than 37.1% of their shots including in the last three days of this tournament. The Monarchs have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. But Old Dominion can’t shoot. They have only made more than 40% of their shots once in their last six games. For the season, they rank 359th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.4%. They only make 45.2% of their shots inside the arc and 28.6% of their shots from behind the arc — those marks rank 346th and 350th in the nation respectively. On the road, they are scoring -1.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home. They are giving up -5.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road as well. The Trojans hold their opponents to 41.0% shooting — and the Monarchs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42.0% shooting. Old Dominion has also all 6 of their games on a neutral court this season Under the Total. Troy has played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row. The Trojans rank 34th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are surrendering -8.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Their interior defense is particularly tough on the road as they rank eighth in the nation by limiting their opponents to just a 45.4% shooting percentage inside the arc. But Troy scores -10.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than at home. The Trojans have played 13 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total. Troy does pound the offensive glass — they rank fourth in the nation by pulling down 39.0% of their missed shots and that mark rises to 40.0% in conference play. For that matter, Old Dominion ranks second in the Sun Belt by rebounding 36.6% of their missed shots. Contests between two good offensive rebounding teams help our Under since both teams are likely to extend their possession with second or more scoring chances — and that is a formula for fewer overall possessions in the game.

FINAL TAKE: The Monarchs have played 7 straight games Under the Total when the Total in set in the 130s — and four of these games were played away from home. The Trojans have played 6 straight Unders when playing on the road with the Total set in the 130s. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (757) and the Troy Trojans (758). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (863) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (864) in the fourth round of the Sun Belt Conference. THE SITUATION: Old Dominion (14-19) has won three games in a row after their 64-61 upset victory against Texas State as a 6.5-point underdog in the first round of this tournament yesterday. Appalachian State (17-130 has lost three games in a row after their 75-57 loss at Marshall as a 3-point underdog last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Monarchs held the Bobcats to just 37.1% shooting which was actually the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last three contests. But they only made 35% of their shots yesterday which was the third time in their last five games where they failed to shoot better than 35% from the field. They are only making 36.6% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in only 65.6 Points-Per-Game. Old Dominion ranks 300th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 359th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.3%. The Monarchs have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. On the road, they are scoring -2.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions — but they are also surrendering -5.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. Old Dominion has played 5 straight Unders when playing on a neutral court — and they were an underdog or a pick ‘em in four of those contests. Appalachian State only made 36.0% of their shots last Friday against the Thundering Herd — they have a 39.5% field goal percentage in their last five games which has resulted in 63.8 PPG. They rank 270th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Mountaineers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road after losing their previous game. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in the last eight days. They only make 41.5% of their shots on the road which is resulting in 62.4 PPG — and that mark is -5.8 fewer PPG than their season average. They are scoring -4.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road. But they are also giving up -4.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when away from home. Appalachian State is an outstanding defensive team in the half court — they rank 15th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 46.1% They rank 16th in the nation with their opponents making only 29.8% of their shots from behind the arc. The Mountaineers have played 13 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight games on the road Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored on the road — and they have played 7 straight Unders on the road against teams with a losing record. And while Old Dominion is making only 39.9% of their shots this season, Appalachian State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who are not making more than 42% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: The Mountaineers want to avenge a 78-77 upset loss at home against the Monarchs as a 10.5-point favorite back on January 29th. Appalachian State has played 4 straight Unders when playing with revenge. 8* CBB Friday Daily O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (863) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Murray State Racers (849) and the Bradley Braves (850) in the Quarterfinals of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. THE SITUATION: Murray State (16-16) has won two of their last three games after their 74-53 win against Evansville as a 5.5-point favorite in their opening round game in this tournament yesterday. Bradley (24-7) has won three games in a row and six of their last seven contests after their 73-56 win against Northern Iowa as a 4.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Enterprise Center in Saint Louis, Missouri.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Murray State held the Purple Aces to just a 34.7% shooting percentage last night in what was the best defensive effort in their last six contests. But the Racers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after playing a game where they did not allow more than 55 points. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total after beating a Missouri Valley Conference opponent. This is a team that ranks 19th in the nation in getting to the free throw line — and I do like investing in Overs when dealing with a team that scores baskets with the clock stopped. The 73.0 Points-Per-Game they are scoring on the road is above their season average — and they are scoring +3.7 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Murray State has played 13 of their last 19 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog or pick ‘em. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s. And in their last 14 games against teams winning 60-80% of their games, they have played 10 of these games Over the Total. Bradley held the Panthers to just 37.5% shooting on Sunday which was the worst defensive effort in their last six contests. The Braves have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road after a straight-up win. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. This team leads the nation by nailing 40.9% of their shots from behind the arc — and they make 40.4% of their 3s when playing away from home which ranks fifth in the nation. They also rank sixth in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 57.2% — and they remain sixth in the nation in that metric when playing on the road. They are scoring +2.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road — but they are also surrendering +4.1 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. Bradley has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, they have played all 4 of their games on a neutral court Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Racers want to avenge an 85-83 loss at Bradley as a 7-point underdog back on February 22nd — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Friday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Murray State Racers (849) and the Bradley Braves (850). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (785) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (786). THE SITUATION: Long Beach State (7-23) has lost 13 games in a row after their 70-60 loss at UC-Irvine as a 16.5-point underdog on Saturday. UC-San Diego (26-4) has won 11 games in a row after their 100-55 victory against CS-Fullerton as a 27-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Tritons made 52.9% of their shots on Saturday — they are shooting 49.0% from the field in their last five games which is resulting in 85.2 Points-Per-Game. UC-San Diego has played 5 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total after a win against a fellow Big West rival. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. Additionally, they have played 6 straight Overs after playing a game where they did not allow more than 55 points. The Tritons lead the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They also rank third in the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponent’s possessions — and Long Beach State ranks 350th in the nation by turning the ball all over in 21.8% of their possessions. That should lead to many easy-scoring opportunities for the Tritons. They are scoring +2.1 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home. They rank second in the Big West by both making 57.5% of their shots inside the arc and by nailing 38.1% of their shots from behind the arc. Overall, they are shooting 47.5% from the field when playing at home which is resulting in 85.0 Points-Per-Game. They are also given up +1.7 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home — so UC-San Diego is not a team that seems a dramatic drop-off in their opponent's scoring when they are playing on their home court. The Tritons have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total at home — and they have 4 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite. And while the 49ers are getting outscored by -6.7 PPG, UC-San Diego has played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams who are getting outscored by -6.0 or more PPG. Long Beach State has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a loss to a Big West rival — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games on the road Over the Total after a loss to a fellow conference opponent. They rank 321st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are giving up +2.0 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Their opponents are making 47.5% of their shots when they are on the road resulting in 76.1 PPG. One of their problems is that they rank 327th in the nation on the road with their opponents making 37.6% of their shots from behind the arc. They also rank 360th in the nation on the road with their opponents rebounding 39.5% of their missed shots. The 49ers are also scoring +2.0 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. Long Beach State has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road. The Tritons make 47.0% of their shots and hold their opponents to 40.5% shooting — and the 49ers have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total against teams who make 45% of their shots and hold their opponents to no higher than 42% from the field.

FINAL TAKE: Long Beach State wants to avenge an 80-54 loss at home against the Tritons on January 16th — and they have played 6 of their last opportunities for revenge Over the Total. 25* CBB Big West Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (785) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (786). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacred Heart Pioneers (719) and the Manhattan Jaspers (720). THE SITUATION: Sacred Heart (14-15) has won three of their last four games after their 83-62 win against Fairfield as a 6-point favorite on Sunday. Manhattan (15-12) has won two games in a row after their 85-79 win against Niagara as a 1.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pioneers have played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference rival. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points — and they have played 5 straight Overs after a victory on their home court by 20 or more points. Sacred Heart plays at one of the fastest paces in the nation. They rank 45th in the nation by averaging only 16.3 seconds per possession — and they rank 46th in the nation by averaging 70.4 possessions per game. In conference play, they rank second in both those categories. The Pioneers rank second in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they also rank 295th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they drop to 345th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are allowing +11.2 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Their opponents are making 46.6% of their shots when they are playing on the road which is resulting in 79.5 Points-Per-Game — and they rank 327th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 55.8% in their games away from home. But they also rank 25th in the nation by making 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on the road. Sacred Heart has played 9 of their last 14 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Additionally, the Pioneers have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Manhattan has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Jaspers lead the MAAC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they also rank 324th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They stay at home where they drop to 350th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they also lead the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on their home court. Manhattan is surrendering +4.1 more points per 100 possessions when at home as opposed to being on the road. The Jaspers have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: The Jaspars look to avenge a 74-72 loss at Sacred Heart on February 2nd — and they have played 9 of their last 13 opportunities for revenge Over the Total. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Sacred Heart Pioneers (719) and the Manhattan Jaspers (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (543) and the Denver Nuggets (544). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (32-28) has won four games in a row after their 122-98 victory on the road at Dallas as a 2.5-point favorite on Monday. Denver (39-22) has lost two of their last three games after their 110-103 loss at Boston as a 5.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings made 52% of their shots against the Mavericks on Monday — they are shooting 52.1% of their shots from the field in their last five games while making at least 50.6% of their shots in each of those games. Now they travel to Denver to face a Nuggets team that makes 50.8% of their shots on the season — and Sacramento has played 11 of their last 16 games on the road Over the Total against teams who are making at least 45% of their shots. Additionally, the Kings have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points — and five of those Overs came when they were on the road. Denver has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. They return home where they are making 50.8% of their shots which is resulting in 122.8 Points-Per-Game. The Nuggets have played 19 of their last 29 games Over the Total at home. They have also played 10 of their last 16 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. The Kings are making 47.8% of their shots this season — and Denver has played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams who are making 46% or more of their shots. And while Sacramento allows their opponents to make 46.6% of their shots this season, the Nuggets have played 12 of their last 17 home games Over the Total against teams who are allowing their opponents to make 46% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: The Kings have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games on the road Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Nuggets have played 6 of their last 9 games at home Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range. 10* NBA Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (543) and the Denver Nuggets (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Le Moyne Dolphins (306567) and the Central Connecticut Blue Devils (306568) in the Quarterfinals of the Northeast Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Le Moyne (9-22) has lost four games in a row after their 85-79 loss at Stone Hill as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday. Central Connecticut (23-6) has won 12 games in a row after a 55-48 victory at Wagner as a 7-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blue Devils are the top seed in this conference riding the nation’s longest active winning streak — and this bestowed them the right to host all of their games as long as they advance in this tournament. They only made 37.8% of their shots last Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. But Central Connecticut has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of those 8 games following a victory Over the Total when playing at home. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win against a fellow Northeast Conference rival — and they have played 5 of these 6 games Over the Total when playing at home following a win against a conference opponent. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total following a win on the road. They return home where they are making 49.8% of their shots which is resulting in 78.3 Points-Per-Game. They are scoring +5.6 more PPG when playing at home — and they lead the Northeast Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are scoring +2.5 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home — but they are also surrendering +5.7 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. The Blue Devils have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. They have played 6 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have played 6 straight Overs as a double-digit favorite. Le Moyne has played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after losing three games in a row. They have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss to a conference rival — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total on the road after a loss to a Northeast Conference rival. And while they have played nine straight Overs, they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. The Dolphins rank 359th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they are a solid offensive team that has made 48.1% of their shots in their last five games. Le Moyne leads the conference in both getting to the free throw line and their 54.2% effective field goal percentage. The Dolphins have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Le Moyne wants to avenge an 84-75 loss at Central Connecticut as a 12.5-point underdog on February 27th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Northeast Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Le Moyne Dolphins (306567) and the Central Connecticut Blue Devils (306568). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (643) and the Colorado State Rams (644). THE SITUATION: San Jose State (13-17) has lost five of their last six games after their 77-71 loss to UNLV as a 2.5-point underdog last Tuesday. Colorado State (20-9) has won five straight games after their 93-66 victory against Utah State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans rank ninth in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 49.8% of their shots which has resulted in 79.4 Points-Per-Game. San Jose State has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Now they go back on the road where they rank 272nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering +6.6 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They rank 283rd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.5%. They are allowing their opponents to make 47.7% of their shots when playing on the road which is resulting in 75.7 PPG. The Spartans do score +4.6 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road — and they rank 41st in the nation by nailing 36.7% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road. San Jose State has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total as an underdog getting 12.5 to 18 points. They have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total as an underdog overall. Furthermore, they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Colorado State has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win against a Mountain West Conference rival — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games at home Over the  Total after a victory against a conference rival. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home after a win by 20 or more points. They rank second in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are making 53.4% of their shots in their last five contests. They stay at home where they rank 51st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring +10.1 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They are making 49.9% of their shots on their home court which is resulting in 80.3 PPG. The Rams have played 10 of their last 15 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.

FINAL TAKE: San Jose State looks to avenge a 72-50 loss at home against Colorado State back on December 31st — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. They have also played 4 straight Overs when avenging a loss of 20 or more points. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (643) and the Colorado State Rams (644). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (865) and the Houston Cougars (866). THE SITUATION: Kansas (19-10) saw their two-game winning snapped in a 78-73 upset loss against Texas Tech as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Houston (25-4) has won eight games in a row after their 73-64 win against Cincinnati as a 13.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jayhawks allowed the Red Raiders to make 45.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last three games and second worst defensive effort in their last six contests. Kansas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss. Now they go back on the road where they rank third in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are giving up -4.7 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road than they are at home. But the Jayhawks are also scoring a whopping -14.9 points per 100 possessions when away from home. They are only making 43.5% of their shots away from home which is resulting in 69.5 Points-Per-Game which is -6.3 PPG below their overall scoring average. This squad lacks a reliable second-scoring option after big man Hunter Dickinson — and it does not help that they rank 359th in the nation in getting to the free throw line. Kansas has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are winning 80% or more of their games. Houston leads the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are holding their opponents to just 38.2% shooting which is resulting in a mere 58.0 PPG. The Jayhawks have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams who are not allowing their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams who are not giving up more than 64 PPG. Houston enjoyed their second-best shooting performance of the entire season going back to their first year game of the year back in November by nailing 53.6% of their shots against the Bearcats. They also saw Cincinnati make 44.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Cougars have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home after a straight-up win at home. They stay at home where they also lead the nation with the lowest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when assessing home court play. They are surrendering -5.1 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home — and their guests are shooting just 36.9% from the field resulting in 52.9 PPG. Houston ranks seventh in the nation by forcing turnovers in 24.4% of their opponent’s possessions. Like Kansas, the Cougars do not get the free throw line — they rank 338th in free throw rate. They also only make 51.9% of their shots inside the arc when playing at home which ranks 208th in the nation. They do thrive at home by hitting their 3s at a 42.4% clip which is the second-highest clip in the nation — but the Jayhawks hold their opponents to just a 31.1% shooting percentage behind the arc when they are playing on the road. Houston has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total at home. They have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 6 of those 9 games Under the Total when at home. They have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. The Jayhawks hold their opponents to just 39.2% shooting — and the Cougars have 6 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas wants to avenge a 92-86 loss in double overtime at home to Houston on January 25th — and they have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Kansas-Houston ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (865) and the Houston Cougars (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (847) and the UTSA Roadrunners (848). THE SITUATION: Rice (13-16) has lost five of their last six games after their 84-72 loss at Memphis as a 12-point underdog on Wednesday. UTSA (10-17) has lost six games in a row after their 96-89 loss at East Carolina as a 7.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Owls only made 41.4% of their shots against the Tigers which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Rice has played 6 straight Overs after losing on the road in their last game. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing to a fellow American Athletic Conference rival in their last contest. The Owls are 10th in the nation in getting to the free throw line — and now they face a Roadrunners team that ranks 355th in the nation in opponent free throw rate so Rice should get the charity stripe plenty of times in this one. Points being scored when the clock is stopped is a great formula for the Over. The Owls stay on the road where they actually lead the nation in getting to the free -hrow line. They rank second in the American Athletic Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They also lead the conference by making 38.5% of their shots from behind the arc. But Rice also ranks 11th in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. One of their biggest problems on defense is they rarely force turnovers which means their opponents are usually getting shots off against them. They rank 339th in the nation by forcing turnovers in just 14.1% of their opponent’s possessions — and they are only forcing turnovers in 11.9% of their opponent’s possessions in conference play. The Owls have played 6 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog of up to six points. Additionally, they have played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning percentage in the 20-40% range — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. UTSA allowed the Pirates to make 52.6% of their shots last Sunday. The Roadrunners’ last five opponents are making 47.8% of their shots against them which is resulting in 80.6 Points-Per-Game. They rank 10th in the American Athletic Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UTSA has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home after a straight-up loss. They have also played  8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after losing three games in a row. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. The Roadrunners return home where they are scoring 80.3 PPG fueled by nailing 39.2% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play which is the second-best mark in the conference. But UTSA also ranks 327th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. Additionally, they rank 352nd in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 35.2% of their missed shots. Rice is a good offensive rebounding team that ranks 60th in the nation by rebounding 33.8% of their missed shots. The Roadrunners have played 16 of their last 25 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total when favored by up to six points or listed as a pick ‘em. They have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. And in their last 10 games against teams winning 40-49% of their games, UTSA has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Rice is avenging a 90-84 upset loss at home against the Roadrunners on January 14th as a 4-point favorite — and they have 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (847) and the UTSA Roadrunners (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (541) and the Memphis Grizzlies (542). THE SITUATION: New York (38-20) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 110-105 win at home against Philadelphia as a 10-point favorite on Wednesday. Memphis (38-20) has won two of their last three games after a 151-148 win against Phoenix as an 8-point favorite on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKLE OVER THE TOTAL: Despite holding the 76ers to 44.3% shooting, New York has still allowed their last five opponents to make 48.8% of their shots which has resulted in 124.8 Points-Per-Game. The Knicks have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after beating a fellow Atlantic Division rival. They go back on the road where they are making 49.3% of their shots which has resulted in 117.7 PPG. New York has played 16 of their last 26 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 4 straight Overs on the road as an underdog or pick ‘em. And while the Grizzlies are making 48.3% of their shots which is resulting in 123.3 PPG, the Knicks have played 6 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams who are generating 116 or more PPG — and they have played 18 of their last 29 games Over the Total against teams who are making 46% or more of their shots. New York has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams who are winning 60-75% of their shots. Memphis has allowed their last five opponents to make 48.5% of their shots which has resulted in 127.2 PPG. The Grizzlies have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home -- and they have played 8 of their last 10 games at home Over the Total after a straight-up win at home. They have played 9 straight Overs after a win by six points or less. And in their last 10 games when playing with two days of rest, they have played 7 of these games Over the Total. Memphis stays at home where they are making 49.1% of their shots which is resulting in 124.4 PPG. The Grizzlies have played 10 of their last 13 games at home Over the Total after playing their previous game at home. They have played 7 of their last 11 home games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Against teams from the Eastern Conference, Memphis has played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games at home Over the Total in non-conference play. Additionally, the Grizzlies have played 16 of their last 25 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-75% of their games.

FINAL TAKE: The Grizzlies want to avenge a 143-106 victory on the road against the Knicks on January 27th. Memphis has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by 20 or more points. 10* NBA Friday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (541) and the Memphis Grizzlies (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Delaware Blue Hens (767) and the College of Charleston Cougars (768). THE SITUATION: Delaware (12-17) has lost four straight games and nine of their last ten contests after their 78-65 upset loss at home against Hofstra as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Charleston (21-8) had their two-game winning streak end in a 64-55 upset loss at Drexel as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blue Hens made 47.2% of their shots in what was their third straight upset loss on Saturday — and that was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. They are making 47.0% of their shots on the season which is resulting in 76.7 Points-Per-Game. They also allowed the Pride to make 52.6% of their shots although that was the best defensive performance in their last three contests. Their last five opponents are making 50.2% of their shots against them. Delaware ranks 343rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Blue Hens have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss at home. They have also played 4 straight Overs after suffering an upset loss. They go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 46.4% of their shots resulting in 80.0 PPG. They drop to 354th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are giving up +6.9 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road rather than at home. But Delaware is one of the better offensive teams in the country. They rank 52nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.4% — and that clip rises to 54.9% in conference play. They also rank 36th in the nation by making 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc. They are scoring +8.1 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than when at home. The Blue Hens have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when on the road. They have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. And in their last 9 games with the Total set in the 150s, Delaware has played 6 of these games Over the Total. Charleston only made 37.0% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 11 games. The Cougars have (somehow) only played 4 games at home in the last three seasons following a loss — and they have played 3 of these games Over the Total. They return home where are making 46.7% of their shots resulting in 82.9 PPG. They rank seventh in the nation by making 41.2% of their shots from behind the arc — and they are scoring +7.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. But they are also giving up +2.5 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. Charleston has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total — and they have played 18 of their last 26 home games Over the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points — and they have played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. They have also played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a fast pace. Charleston ranks 79th in the nation by averring only 16.7 seconds per possession — and the 70.5 adjusted possessions per game that they average ranks 45th most in the country. Delaware ranks 41st in the nation by averaging 16.2 seconds per possession — and the 70.7 adjusted possessions per game mark ranks 37th in the nation. When two teams meet who like to play fast, the pace often gets even quicker as they look to out-run each other. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Delaware Blue Hens (767) and the College of Charleston Cougars (768). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (665) and the San Diego State Aztecs (666). THE SITUATION: New Mexico (22-5) had their eight-game winning streak snapped in an 86-78 loss at Boise State as a 4.5-point underdog last Wednesday. San Diego State (18-7) saw their three-game winning streak end in a 79-71 loss at Utah State as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lobos nailed 50.9% of their shots against the Broncos last week which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. They also allowed Boise State to make 48.1% of their shots which was the second-worst defensive effort in their last 17 contests. New Mexico has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up loss to a Mountain West Conference opponent. They are a very good defensive team that ranks 26th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they rise to 16th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency where they are giving up -2.3 fewer points per 100 possessions than at home. They are also scoring -2.9 fewer Points-Per-Game on the road than at home. The Lobos have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog. The Aztecs are outscoring their opponents by +8.2 PPG — and New Mexico has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. And while San Diego State is holding their opponents to 37.3% shooting which is resulting in 63.1 PPG, the Lobos have played 4 straight Unders against teams who are not allowing more than 64.0 PPG. The Aztecs rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 119th in the country and sixth in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They return home where they drop to 217th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -5.8 fewer points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They are also surrendering -1.3 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home. San Diego State has played 8 of their last 12 games at home Under the Total. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s including all four of those games this season. Furthermore, the Aztecs have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego State leads the Mountain West Conference in offensive rebounding rate — but New Mexico ranks 24th in the nation by limiting their opponents to pulling down just 25.8% of their missed shots. And while the Lobos outrebound their opponents by +5.0 Rebounds-Per-Game, the Aztecs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who outrebound their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (665) and the San Diego State Aztecs (666). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Morgan State Bears (306527) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306528). THE SITUATION: Morgan State (11-15) has lost three of their last four games after their 87-81 loss at home to Howard as a 1-point underdog on Saturday. Norfolk State (19-8) has won seven straight games after their 79-63 victory at Coppin State as a 13-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after alloying 85 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 51.9% of their shots which is resulting in 92.2 Points-Per-Game. They rank 362nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering +9.3 more points per 100 possessions when on the road versus when playing at home. Morgan State has played 8 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Norfolk State has played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total after winning their last game. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. And in their 8 games this season played with one day of rest, they have played 5 of these games Over the Total. They return home where they are making 53.5% of their shots which is resulting in 87.6 PPG — and they are scoring +1.6 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. But they are also surrendering +7.1 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. Norfolk State has played 5 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: The Spartans are making 49.0% of their shots this season — and the Bears have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots from the field. 8* CBB Monday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Morgan State Bears (306527) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (761) and the Northern Colorado Bears (762). THE SITUATION: Idaho (12-15) has won two of their last three games after their 83-78 upset victory at home against Northern Arizona as a 3-point underdog on Thursday. Northern Colorado (20-8) has won three of their last four games after their 95-76 victory against Eastern Washington as an 8.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vandals held Northern Arizona to just 40.9% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 13 contests. But Idaho still ranks 349th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after an upset victory. They stay on the road tonight — and they have played 12 of their last 14 road games Over the Total after playing their previous game on the road. They rank 348th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home where they are surrendering +4.5 more points per 100 possessions than at home. They are allowing their opponents to make 47.5% of their shots when on the road which is resulting in 77.6 Points-Per-Game. But the Vandals are a good offensive team that ranks third in the Big Sky in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank 95th in the nation in effective field goal percentage — and they rains 3-point attempts by ranking 18th in the nation by taking 48.0% of their shots from behind the arc. On the road, they rank 66th in the country by making 35.6% of their shots from downtown. Idaho has played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their 15 games away from home this season Over the Total. Northern Colorado nailed 66.7% of their shots on Thursday — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after making 55% or more of their shots in their last game. They have also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 85 points including five of their six games this season. Furthermore, the Bears have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win on their home court. Northern Colorado is a dynamic scoring machine that leads the Big Sky in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank 14th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.6% based on them making 58.5% of their shots inside the arc which is the ninth-highest mark in the country. At home, they are making 54.5% of their shots which is resulting in 86.1 PPG — and they score +5.8 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They lead the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 60.3% with them ranking 10th by nailing 40.6% of their 3-pointers and ranking eighth by making 61.5% of their shots inside the arc. But the Bears may get lackadaisical on defense when playing at home where they rank 320th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They give up +11.2 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. Their guests make 55.9% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 340th in the nation. More importantly against this Vandals team, they allow their visitors to make 36.3% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 301st in the nation. Northern Colorado has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. They have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Idaho has allowed their last five opponents to make 48.4% of their shots which has resulted in 78.4 PPG — and they allow their opponents to make 46.6% of their shots for the season. The Bears have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams who allow their opponents to make 45% or more of their shots including six overs in those eight games this season. The Vandals have played 13 of their last 20 games on the road Over the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Colorado is avenging a 77-76 loss at Idaho as a 4-point favorite back on January 23rd. The Bears have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (761) and the Northern Colorado Bears (762). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). THE SITUATION: New York (37-18) has won three games in a row after their 113-111 win against Chicago as an 11.5-point favorite last night. Cleveland (45-10) has won nine of their last ten games after a 110-97 victory at Brooklyn as a 13-point favorite last night.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Knicks only made 43.0% of their shots last night which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games and second lowest in their last 11 contests. But they also held the Bulls to a 39.8% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last ten contests. Josh Hart is doubtful and O.G. Anunoby is questionable tonight — and while they are both solid two-way players, their potential absence on defense takes away two of their better defenders. As it is, New York has played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing the second game in two days. They go back on the road where they have played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 straight road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. They have played 6 straight games Over the Total as an underdog. Cleveland only made 42.6% of their shots last night which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games and second-worst in their last 12 contests. But they also held the Nets to 40% shooting in what was tied for their best defensive performance in their last four contests. The Cavaliers have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up win on the road. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing the second game in back-to-back days. They return home where they have played 18 of their last 29 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games at home Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Knicks want to avenge a 110-104 upset loss at home against the Cavaliers as a 3-point favorite back on October 28th. New York has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home to their opponent. 8* NBA New York-Cleveland ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (737) and the Utah State Aggies (738). THE SITUATION: San Jose State (12-15) has lost three games in a row after their 73-58 victory as a 7.5-point underdog last Friday. Utah State (22-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in an 82-79 loss at New Mexico as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans only made 38.8% of their shots last Friday which was the second-worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. San Jose State has played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total after losing their last game. And while this is their second game since last Tuesday, they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last eight days. San Jose State struggles on the defensive end of the court where they rank 210th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and ninth in the Mountain West Conference. On the road, they are allowing their opponents to make 46.9% of their shots which is resulting in 73.8 Points-Per-Game — and they drop to 256th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when on the road by surrendering +5.1 more points per 100 possessions than when they are playing at home. On the road, they are also scoring +5.7 more points per 100 possessions than at home — and while they rank just 195th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency at home, they improve to 70th in that metric when playing on the road. They are nailing 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road, ranking 23rd in the nation — and the Aggies struggle in defending the perimeter when playing at home as will be shown below. The Spartans have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Utah State has allowed their last five opponents to make 46.5% of their shots which has resulted in 79.4 PPG. They rank 117th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 18th in the nation and tops in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. At home, they improve to 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency where they score +5.6 more points per 100 possessions than on the road. They are making 51.1% of their shots at home resulting in 87.9 PPG. The Aggies thrive inside the arc where they rank seventh in the nation by making 58.8% of their shots -- and they make 60.2% of their 2-pointers when playing at home. They also lead the Mountain West Conference by making 37.5% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play. But Utah State allows their guests to make 54.6% of their shots from inside the arc and 35.9% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 328th and 289th in the nation respectively. Their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency drops to 190th in the nation when playing at home where they give up +7.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home than on the road. The Aggies have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total when the Total is set in the 140s. They have played 5 straight Overs against teams with a losing record — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when favored by double-digits. And while the Spartans allow their opponents to make 45.1% of their shots, Utah State has played 5 straight Overs against teams who allow their opponents to make 45.0% or more of their shots from the field.  

FINAL TAKE: San Jose State wants to avenge an 85-78 loss at home to the Aggies as a 9.5-point underdog back on January 7th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total when playing with revenge on their minds. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (737) and the Utah State Aggies (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Central Arkansas Bears (306547) and the Queens University-Charlotte Royals (306548). THE SITUATION: Central Arkansas (7-20) snapped a four-game losing streak with an 84-83 upset win in overtime at home against North Florida as a 9-point underdog on Saturday. Queens University-Charlotte (16-11) has lost two of their last three games after their 86-80 loss in overtime at Eastern Kentucky as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears held North Florida to 37.3% shooting which was their second-best defensive effort in their last 24 contests. Central Arkansas has played 4 straight Overs on the road after pulling off an upset victory. They have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home. The Bears are one of the worst defensive teams in the nation that ranks 323rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and 12th in the Atlantic Sun Conference in that metric. Now they go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 49.5% of their shots which is resulting in 82.4 Points-Per-Game which is +5.0 more points per 100 possessions than what they are allowing at home. In conference play, they are allowing their home hosts to make 42.9% of their 3s and 62.6% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 11th and 12th in the Atlantic Sun. They are also scoring +8.7 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. While they do not shoot the ball well, they do rank third in the conference by pulling down 34.6% of their missed shots. Central Arkansas has played 19 of their last 29 games on the road Over the Total including eight of their last 13 games this season. They have played 18 of their last 29 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Queens University has scored 80 or more points in four of their last five games — and while two of those games went into overtime, they scored at least 72 points in regulation time in those two games. In their last five games, they are making 50.4% of their shots which has resulted in 80.6 PPG. The Royals have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss including seven of their last 10 games Over the Total this season. They have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games at home Over the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss in conference play — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss on the road to an Atlantic Sun rival. And while Queens has played three straight Overs, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. They return home where they are making 45.8% of their shots resulting in 82.3 PPG which is +5.5 more PPG than their season average. They rank third in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency at home against Atlantic Sun rivals. But they also rank eighth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency against conference opponents — and they are giving up +4.3 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home. The Royals have played 15 of their last 22 games at home Over the Total including seven of their last 10 games. They have played 8 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when favored or a pick ‘em — and they have played 4 straight Overs at home with the Total set in the 140s. Central Arkansas surrenders 77.4 PPG this season — and Queens has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who give up 77 or more PPG. They have played 8 straight games at home Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Bears want to avenge a 64-47 loss at home to Queens back on February 5th in an outlier low-scoring game for both teams. The Royals’ lone game in their last five where they did not score at least 72 points in regulation or 80 points overall was that contest. And those 47 points were the fewest that Central Arkansas scored all season — they only made one of their 21 shots from behind the arc in that game. The Bears score 70.0 PPG this season — and they should make more 3s tonight against this Queens' team that ranks 10th in the Atlantic Sun by allowing their guests to make 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc. The Bears have played 9 of their last 13 games on the road Over the Total when avenging a loss — and they have played 5 straight Overs when avenging a same-season loss. 25* CBB Atlantic Sun Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Central Arkansas Bears (306547) and the Queens University-Charlotte Royals (306548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Delaware State Hornets (306529) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306530). THE SITUATION: Delaware State (13-10) has won five games in a row after their 90-69 victory against Howard as a 1-point favorite on Saturday. Norfolk State (17-8) has won five games in a row and eight of their last nine contests after their 75-63 victory at Maryland-Eastern Shore as a 13-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Delaware State has made 48.5% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in 91.4 Points-Per-Game during that stretch. Now they go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which is resulting in 78.3 PPG which is +6.9 more points than their season average. They rank 309th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are surrendering +8.9 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They are also scoring +2.8 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than at home. The Hornets have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Part of Delaware State’s problems on defense is that commits too many fouls. They rank 319th in the nation in opponent free throw rate. They should get plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities tonight. The Hornets pull down 35.9% of their missed shots in conference play — and the Spartans rank 344th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 34.6% of their missed shots. Norfolk State has played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a win on the road against a fellow Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference rival. They lead the MEAC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and in their last five games, they are making 51.1% of their shots which has resulted in 84.0 PPG. At home, the Spartans are making 53.4% of their shots which has resulted in 86.8 PPG. They are scoring +2.4 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home. They rank 312th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home — and they are surrendering +7.9 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home versus on the road. Norfolk State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home. And while they have an opponent’s field goal percentage of 41.1%, the Hornets have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams who are not allowing their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Delaware State wants to avenge a 73-64 loss at home against Norfolk State on January 6th. The Hornets have played 5 of their last 7 revenge opportunities Over the Total — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home. 25* CBB Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Delaware State Hornets (306529) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306530). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (679) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (680). THE SITUATION: Troy (16-9) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 74-56 victory at UL-Lafayette as a 10-point favorite on Thursday. Arkansas State (19-7) ended their two-game losing streak with a 101-67 victory against Southern Mississippi as a 15-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road after winning their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 6 gamers Under the Total after a win of 15 or more points. Troy ranks third in the Sun Belt Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they stay on the road where they rank 37th in the nation in that metric. They are holding their opponents to -5.9 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 18th in the nation by holding their opponents to 46.2% shooting inside the arc when playing on the road. They are holding their opponents to 41.3% shooting on the road which is resulting in just 63.7 Points-Per-Game. But they are only making 40.6% of their shots on the road which is resulting in 64.8 PPG. They only make 27.3% of their shots from behind the arc on the road, ranking 350th in the nation — and their effective field goal percentage of 46.8% on the road ranks 288th. The Trojans have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 straight Unders on the road as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Troy does lead the nation by pulling down 41.1% of their missed shots when playing on the road — and that serves to slow the game down since they extend their possession with a reset shot clock more than two times per five possessions. Arkansas State has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win against a Sun Belt Conference rival — and they have played 5 straight games at home Under the total after beating a conference opponent. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They rank fourth in the Sun Belt in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they also rank 40th in the nation in that metric when playing at home. They are holding their guests to just 38.2% shooting when playing at home which is resulting in 63.8 PPG — and they are giving up -7.3 fewer points per 100 possessions when at home versus playing on the road. The Red Wolves rank 18th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.8% — and that mark improves to a 43.2% percentage when they are playing on their home court, ranking 11th in the nation. They hold their visitors to just a 25.6% shooting percentage from behind the arc when playing at home, ranking fifth lowest in the nation. But this team possesses just a 49.9% effective field goal percentage on offense this season which ranks 276th in the nation. Arkansas State has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing at home — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when favored.  

FINAL TAKE: These two played on January 11th when the Red Wolves made 9 of their 23 shots from behind the arc and the Trojans nailed 10 of their 25 shots from 3-point range in Arkansas State’s 84-78 victory. Look for the Regression Gods to appear with both teams not shooting as well from distance tonight. The Trojans have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams who are winning 60-80% of their games. And while the Red Wolves are outscoring their opponents by +9.5 PPG, Troy has played 5 straight Unders against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. Arkansas State has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 25* CBB Saturday ESPN2 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (679) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (680). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Marist Red Foxes (221) and the Siena Saints (222). THE SITUATION: Marist (16-5) has lost two games in a row after their 75-71 upset loss against Iona as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. Siena (11-13) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in a 61-59 upset loss at Rider on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Saints have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road against a fellow Metro Atlanta Athletic Conference rival — and they have played 4 straight Overs at home after a loss to a conference foe. Siena returns home where they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. The Saints rank 254th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are surrendering 73.0 Points-Per-Game when playing at home — and they are giving up +2.4 more points per 100 possessions at home as opposed to on the road. They are scoring 77.6 PPG when playing at home — and they are scoring +5.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home versus on the road. They lead the MAAC in getting to the free throw line — and that dynamic should extend the length of this game since the Red Foxes rank ninth in the conference in defensive free throw rate. Siena has played 5 straight games Over the Total when playing at home and is listed in the +/- 3-point range. Marist has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Red Foxes rank 188th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 40th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 53.4% when playing on the road based on the strength of their 3-point shooting. They rank 23rd in the nation by nailing 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on the road. Marist has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Saints are attempting to avenge a 72-67 loss at Marist back on January 31st — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Marist Red Foxes (221) and the Siena Saints (222). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dayton Flyers (703) and the Fordham Rams (704). THE SITUATION: Dayton (16-8) saw their two-game losing streak snapped in a 73-68 loss to VCU at home as a 1-point underdog on Friday. Fordham (11-12) has won three of their last four games after their 80-79 upset win against Rhode Island as a 1.5-point underdog last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Flyers held the Rams to 36.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 11 games and tied for their best defensive performance in their last 20 contests. They also only made 37.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine games. Dayton has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their 7 games after a loss this season Over the Total. They have played 5 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total after a straight-up loss. They go back on they go back on the road where they are giving up 74.7 Points-Per-Game which is +5.7 more PPG than their season average. While they rank 145th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency overall this season, they fall to 174th in that metric when playing away from home. They are surrendering +3.8 more points per 100 possessions on the road — and they are also scoring +4.3 more points per 100 possessions when on the road. The Flyers rank 53rd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency overall this season — and they improve to ranking 27th in that metric when playing away from home. They lead the Atlantic 10 Conference by making 36.0% of their shots from behind the arc — and they rank 20th in the nation by making 38.2% of their 3-pointers when away from home. The Rams struggle with their perimeter defense when playing at home where they rank 327th in the nation by allowing their guests to nail 37.9% of their shots from behind the arc. Fordham also ranks 13th in the Atlantic 10 in defensive free throw rate — and Dayton ranks third in the Atlantic 10 in getting to the free throw line. The Flyers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when favored. They have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing away from home — and they have played 5 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total played in February. Fordham only made 43.5% of their shots last week which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. The Rams have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight Overs after an upset victory. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total after a straight-up victory. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with five or six days of rest — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. Fordham stays at home where they are scoring 81.9 PPG which is +6.1 more PPG than their season average. They are scoring +3.4 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. And while the Rams rank 14th in the Atlantic 10 and 225th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they fall to 243rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. They are giving up +2.3 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home as opposed to on the road. Fordham has played 20 of their last 28 games at home Over the Total including 9 of their last 11 games at home Over the Total this season — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games at home Over the Total against teams with a losing record. In conference play, the Rams are allowing their opponents to make 47.6% of their shots which is resulting in 79.9 PPG. While the national average for possession length is 17.6 seconds, Fordham ranks 27th in the nation with their opponents averaging only 16.7 seconds per possession — a hidden metric that helps explain why they have played three straight Overs. The Rams have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row.

FINAL TAKE: Fordham has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Dayton has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dayton Flyers (703) and the Fordham Rams (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (655) and the Texas A&M Aggies (656). THE SITUATION: Georgia (16-8) has lost six of their last eight games after their 76-75 upset loss against Mississippi State as a 1-point favorite on Saturday. Texas A&M (18-5) has won five of their last six games after their 67-64 upset victory as a 4-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs allowed Mississippi State to make 55.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort of the season. Georgia has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up loss.  They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss on their home court. They go back on the road where they are only making 40.9% of their shots which is resulting in 65.0 Points-Per-Game which is -11.0 fewer PPG than their season average. They are scoring -8.7 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road as opposed to on their home court. The Bulldogs turn the ball over in 19.2% of their possessions ranking 296th in the nation. Now they face an Aggies team that ranks 33rd in the nation by forcing turnovers in 20.8% of their opponent’s possessions. Texas A&M nailed 45.3% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last nine contests. This is the Aggies' second game since February 1st — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in eight or more days. They return home where they rank 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on their home court. They surrender -2.1 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home.

FINAL TAKE: Texas A&M has played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em — and Georgia has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog. 8* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (655) and the Texas A&M Aggies (656). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (505) and the Atlanta Hawks (506). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (28-22) snapped a four-game losing streak with a 112-102 victory at Charlotte as a 10.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Atlanta (23-28) has lost nine of their last ten games after their 126-125 loss at home against San Antonio as a 4.5-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks held the Hornets to just 43.2% shooting from the field which was the best defensive effort in their last five games. That performance was an outlier as Milwaukee has allowed their last five opponents to make 48.8% of their shots which has resulted in 125.6 Points-Per-Game which is +13.7 PPG above their season average. The defensive chemistry of this team has been disrupted after trading away Kris Middleton. They did bring in Kyle Kuzma in that three-way deal but he is a game-time decision tonight. The Bucks have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning their previous game on the road. This is their eighth game in the last two weeks — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing for the eighth or more time in the last 14 days. They have also played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when favored by up to six points. Atlanta traded away one of their best defensive players this week with DeAndre Hunter dealt away. Bogan Bogdanovich was also traded away — and Caris LeVert is a game-time decision after he was acquired this week. But the season-ending injury has impacted the Hawks' defensive play as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 52.5% of their shots which has resulted in 125.0 PPG which is +5.8 PPG above their season average. The Spurs made 50.5% of their shots against them on Wednesday which was actually the best defensive effort for Atlanta in their last five games. And after making 51.9% of their shots against Detroit on Monday, they nailed 52.7% of their shots against San Antonio on Wednesday. Atlanta has played four straight Overs — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. They have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total at home. And while this is their eighth game in the last two weeks, they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing for the eighth or more time in the last 14 days. They stay at home where they have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total. They have also played 11 of their last 17 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Hawks are attempting to avenge a 110-102 loss in Milwaukee against the Bucks on December 14th — and they have played 21 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing with revenge on their minds. They have also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 10* NBA Friday Daily O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (505) and the Atlanta Hawks (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (701) and the James Madison Dukes (702). THE SITUATION: Troy (15-7) has won four games in a row after their 87-50 victory against UL-Monroe as a 16-point favorite on Saturday. James Madison (14-9) has won four games in a row after their 68-54 victory against Old Dominion as a 10.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dukes have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win on their home court. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home against fellow Sun Belt Conference rivals. They stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total at home when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. James Madison is scoring -1.1 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home — and they are holding their guests to -10.4 fewer points per 100 possessions on their home court. Furthermore, the Dukes have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Troy has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up victory. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after beating a fellow Sun Belt Conference rival in their last contest. They go back on the road where they are scoring -4.1 fewer points per 100 possessions than at home — but they are also holding their opponents to -2.0 fewer points per 100 possessions when on the road. The Trojans have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total as an underdog or a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: The Trojans have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and the Dukes have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 8* CBB Wednesday Daily O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (701) and the James Madison Dukes (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (627) and the Mississippi Rebels (628). THE SITUATION: Kentucky (15-6) has lost three of their last four games after their 89-79 upset loss to Arkansas as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. Mississippi (16-6) has lost four of their last five games after their 92-82 loss at home against Auburn as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats allowed the Razorbacks to make 55.2% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine games. Head coach Mark Pope should get his team to tighten things up on the defensive end of the court tonight. Kentucky has played 6 straight Unders after allowing 85 or more points this season — and those six opponents averaged only 71.8 Points-Per-Game with four of those teams shooting no better than 41.8% from the field and only one shooting better than 43.9%. Going back to his previous tenure at Utah, Pope’s teams have played 8 of their 10 games in his coaching career Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots. Pope’s focus is mostly on the offensive end of the court — but he does have this Kentucky team playing good perimeter defense. The Wildcats rank 22nd in the nation by holding their opponents to 29.7% shooting from behind the arc — and they are even better on the road where they are holding their opponents to 27.6% shooting from behind the arc which is the tenth-best mark in the country. Kentucky does not have a proven true point guard healthy for this showdown tonight with LaMont Butler doubtful with an injury — he is scoring 13.2 Points-Per-Game and adding 4.8 Assists-Per-Game. Kerr Kriisa would be the backup point guard but the former West Virginia and Arizona transfer is also out with an injury. The Wildcats are shooting 48.5% from the field this season which is resulting in 87.2 PPG — but those numbers drop to 43.0% shooting on the road which is resulting in 76.1 PPG. They score -8.4 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home — but they do at least give up -1.4 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road. Kentucky has played 7 of their 11 games this season Under the Total with the Total set in the 150s — and this includes all 4 games on the road Under the Total with the Total set in the 150-159.5 point range. In Pope’s 21 games on the road in his coaching career with the Total set in the 150s, 14 of those games finished Under the Total. Ole Miss allowed the Tigers to make 48.4% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst defensive effort in their last 15 contests. The Rebels have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Ole Miss ranks 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they stay at home where they are holding their guests to 39.8% shooting which is resulting in 64.4 PPG. They are giving up -2.2 fewer points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They are also scoring -13.7 fewer points per 100 possessions at home than on the road — and they may be undermanned tonight as well. Senior guard Matthew Murrell is questionable with an injury — he is their second-leading scorer with his 11.2 Points-Per-Game clip. As it is, the Rebels rank just tenth in the SEC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Mississippi has played 8 of their 10 games at home this season Under the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Ole Miss’ Chris Beard is known as a defensive guru in his nine seasons as a head coach — and this is just his ninth game in his career when the Total was set in the 150s in a home game. In those 8 home games with the Total set from 150 to 159.5, 5 of them finished Under the Total. 25* CBB Tuesday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (627) and the Mississippi Rebels (628). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (853) and the St. Thomas Tommies (854). THE SITUATION: North Dakota State (16-7) had their five-game winning streak snapped in a 72-63 upset loss to South Dakota State as a 2.5-point favorite on Thursday. St. Thomas (17-6) has won two games in a row and seven of their last eight contests after their 86-71 victory against Oral Roberts as a 13-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bison only made 37.7% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 18 contests. That performance was truly an outlier for a team that tanks second in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.4%. North Dakota State leads the nation by nailing 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc — and they are no slouches inside the arc where they rank 24th by making 56.8% of their shots. But on the other end of the court, they rank just 280th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Bison have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after an upset loss. They have paled 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss on their home court — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. On the road, they are making 48.0% of their shots — including 42.5% of their 3-pointers which also leads the nation — resulting in 81.5 Points-Per-Game. More importantly, they are scoring +6.9 more points per 100 possessions on the road than they are at home. They are also allowing their opponents to make 45.1% of their shots when playing on the road which is resulting in 75.1 PPG. They are surrendering +3.8 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. North Dakota State has played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. They have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. St. Thomas made 57.1% of their shots last Wednesday which was the 12th time this season when they made at least 50% of their shots. The Tommies rank third in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.4%. They are making 39.0% of their shots from behind at the arc and 56.3% of their shots inside the arc, ranking eighth and ninth in the nation. But like their opponents this afternoon, they are a below-average defensive team that ranks 251st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. St. Thomas has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. They stay at home where they are making 51.3% of their shots resulting in 91.3 PPG. They rank second in the country by making 43.4% of their shots from behind the arc. They are scoring +4.6 more points per 100 possessions on the road than they are at home — but they are also surrendering +9.0 more points per 100 possessions in their home games. Their guests are nailing 38.0% of their shots from behind the arc which is the 330th worst mark when assessing home court splits. The Tommies have played 17 of their last 28 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total in February. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: In their last 22 games against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field, St. Thomas has played 15 of these games Over the Total — and they have played seven of their last nine games Over the Total under these circumstances. 25* CBB Sunday CBS Sports Network Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (853) and the St. Thomas Tommies (854). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (561) and the San Antonio Spurs (562). THE SITUATION: Miami (23-23) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in a 126-106 loss to Cleveland as a 6-point underdog on Wednesday. San Antonio (21-24) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 144-118 win against Milwaukee as a 2-point underdog on last night.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat are once again playing with Jimmy Butler who got himself suspended again for blowing off another practice. That divorce is imminent with him making trade demands. Miami plays at a much faster pace without him since his offense is dependent on slowing things down to post up in the half court offense. In the Heat’s six games without Butler with the Total set at 223.5 or higher this season, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. Miami has allowed at least 116 points in four of their last five games — and their opponents are making 47.1% of their shots during that span which is resulting in 116.6 Points-Per-Game which is +5.9 PPG above their season defensive average. The Heat have played 6 of their last 9 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 220s. They have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total as an underdog of up to six points. They have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range including four of their last five games Over the Total when playing on the road. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams winning 40-49% of their games. San Antonio scored at least 140 points for the second time in their last four games with their win against the Bucks last night. They held Milwaukee to 43.0% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 12 contests. The Spurs have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after an upset victory. This is their third game since Wednesday — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when playing for the third time in four days. And while they have played nine straight Overs in a row, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. They are making 49.0% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in 121.0 PPG. But they are allowing their last five opponents to nail 49.1% of their shots which has resulted in 124.0 PPG. San Antonio stays at home where they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when favored by six points or less.

FINAL TAKE: The Spurs are allowing 119.5 PPG against Eastern Conference opponents while making 47.1% of their shots to score 118.0 PPG in t hose contests. San Antonio has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total in non-conference play including four straight Overs when playing at home. 10* NBA Saturday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (561) and the San Antonio Spurs (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (773) and the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (774). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (14-8) has lost three games in a row after their 62-58 upset loss at home against UL-Monroe as a 15.5-point favorite on Thursday. UL-Lafayette (6-15) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 70-61 upset victory at Texas State as an 11.5-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars got upset by the Warhawks in two straight games despite being a double-digit favorite in both contests. Dissecting what happened in those losses is straightforward. Head coach Richie Riley has two main ways for his team to generate offense: fast break opportunities coming off turnovers and 3-point shooting. South Alabama leads the Sun Belt Conference by forcing turnovers in 20.8% of their opponent’s possessions — and they maintain that clip for all their games which is the 38th-best mark in the nation. The Jaguars matched that 20.8% mark in their first meeting with UL-Monroe last Monday which resulted in 14 turnovers — but they only made 10 of their 39 (25.6%) shots from behind the arc in a 77-66 loss. In the rematch, South Alabama made 40.4% of their shots overall which was the best shooting effort in their last three contests — but they still only made 5 of their 25 (20%) shots from 3-point range. Perhaps even worse, they only forced eight turnovers from just 12.9% of the Warhawks’ possessions in scoring just 58 points. The Jaguars have not scored more than 66 points in four straight games. But they do play good half-court defense when not forcing turnovers. UL-Monroe shot 38.3% from the field in Thursday’s game which was the best shooting effort against South Alabama in their last six games. The Jaguars rank 20th in the nation by holding their opponents to 45.3% shooting inside the arc. They lead the Sun Belt Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are second in the conference by holding their opponents to just 28.5% shooting from behind the arc. South Alabama has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. They go back on the road where they are holding their home hosts to just 37.2% shooting which results in 62.3 Points-Per-Game. In terms of adjusted efficiency, they are giving up -6.8 fewer points per 100 possessions when away from home than at home. But they are only making 40.4% of their shots on the road which is generating only 66.0 PPG. Furthermore, they are scoring -2.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when away from home. They rank eighth in the nation by attempting 50.1% of their shots from behind the arc this season — but on the road, they are only converting on 31.0% of these shots which ranks 252nd in the nation. The Jaguars have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total away from home — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in hostile environments this season. They have played 8 of their last 12 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, South Alabama has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams winning 20-40% of their gamers. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in February. UL-Lafayette made 43.4% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last eight contests. The Ragin’ Cajuns have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Like UL-Monroe, UL-Lafayette should limit the Jaguars' scoring opportunities on the fast break. They rank second in the Sun Belt by only turning the ball over in 13.7% of their possessions in conference play. They also do a good job of defending the perimeter. When playing at home, their guests make only 31.2% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 122nd, but they do an even better job of getting their opponents off the 3-point line. They rank 35th in the nation by limiting their visitors to taking just 33.1% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home. South Alabama is vulnerable against good outside shooting teams — they allow their opponents to take 59.2% of their shots from behind the arc which is the third-highest mark in the nation. But the Ragin’ Cajuns only make 31.5% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home which ranks 276th in the nation. In their 12 games at home, they are making just 39.3% of their shots resulting in 64.6 PPG. UL-Lafeyette has played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total on their home court including eight of their 11 games this season. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home as an underdog or pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: This game should be played at a slow pace which should contribute to what shapes up as a rock fight. South Alabama’s games average 63.2 adjusted possessions per game which ranks 345th in the nation. Their half-court defense makes it tough on their opponents who are averaging 18.9 seconds per possession which is the sixth-highest rate in the country. The Ragin’ Cajuns rank 204th in the nation with their games seeing 66.6 adjusted possessions — and their opponents are averaging 18.2 seconds per possession which ranks 327th. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (773) and the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (774). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (533) and the Charlotte Hornets (534). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (27-20) has won three of their last four games after their 128-116 win at San Antonio as a 3.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Charlotte (12-32) has lost two games in a row as well as four of their last five contests after a 104-83 upset loss at home against Brooklyn as a 1-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hornets shot a season-low 33.7% from the field against the Nets. While I often consider low shooting efforts like that simply an outlier due for a visit from the Regression Gods, in this case, I suspect it is a canary in the coal mine given the injuries that this team is enduring right now. Brandon Miller is already out the season with a wrist injury — he was scoring 21.0 Points-Per-Game. Now LeMelo Ball is out with an ankle injury — he is scoring 28.2 PPG and adding another 7.3 Assists-Per-Game. To compound matters, Mark Williams is also out with a foot injury which takes away his 15.5 PPG scoring average. The Hornets simply lack reliable scoring threats. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game. They have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a loss at home. The Hornets stay at home where they are only making 42.1% of their shots which is resulting in 105.7 PPG — but they play solid defense on their home court by holding their opponents to just 108.7 PPG. They have played 18 of their last 23 home games Under the Total — and they have played 8 straight Unders at home against teams with a winning record. Additionally, Charlotte has played 25 of their last 38 games Under the Total as an underdog. Los Angeles nailed 52.7% of their shots against the Spurs which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. They also allowed San Antonio to make 48.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last six contests. The Clippers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win on the road. This is their third straight game on the road since Monday — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing for the third time on the road in five days. On the road, Los Angeles is scoring only 108.5 PPG — and they have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road. The Hornets are getting outscored by -5.0 PPG this season — and the Clippers have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams getting outscored by -3.0 or more PPG.  

FINAL TAKE: In 13 games, the Clippers are holding their Eastern Conference opponents to just 42.2% shooting which is resulting in 101.8 PPG. They have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total in non-conference play. The Hornets have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams from the Western Conference — and they have played 7 straight Unders at home in non-conference action. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (533) and the Charlotte Hornets (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Longwood Lancers (306563) and the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (306564). THE SITUATION:  Longwood (16-6) has won three games in a row after their 80-54 win against USC Upstate as an 11-point favorite last Saturday. Gardner-Webb (8-12) has lost three of their last four games after a 61-53 upset loss against UNC-Asheville as a 1-point favorite last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Longwood played their best defensive game in their last nine contests by holding USC Upstate to just 37.0% shooting — and the 54 points they surrendered were the fewest of the season. But the Lancers had given up at least 74 points in five straight games before that performance. Longwood has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a victory by 15 or more points. The Lancers are scoring 78.6 Points-Per-Game — and they have scored at least 77 points in six straight contests. Now they go back on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to nail 50.8% of their shots which is resulting in 76.2 PPG which is +5.5 PPG above their season average. They are also scoring 107.0 Points Per 100 Possessions away from home which is +5.9 Points Per 100 Possessions above their scoring rate at home. Longwood has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total away from home. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in January. The Lancers scoring attack is at their best when they are getting to the free throw line — they rank fifth in the nation in free throw rate. The Runnin’ Bulldogs pressure the basketball — they rank 21st in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.7% of their opponents’ possessions. But the flip side of this aggressiveness is that they rank 254th in defensive free throw rate. When these styles of teams clash the result is either a turnover or a foul over 50% of the time — and that means plenty of scoring opportunities either on the fast break or at the charity stripe (when the clock is stopped). Gardner-Webb only made 32.0% of their shots last week which was the worst shooting effort of the season. They also held UNC-Asheville to 36.4% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 13 contests. The Runnin’ Bulldogs have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last eight days. They stay at home where they are making 47.7% of their shots resulting in 77.4 PPG. They are also scoring +5.7 more Points Per 100 Possessions when playing at home as opposed to playing on the road. Gardner-Webb has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog. And while they are making 46.2% of their shots on the season, the Lancers have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Longwood has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total in games with the Total set in the 140s — and Gardner-Webb has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Big South Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Longwood Lancers (306563) and the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (306564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Panthers (877) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (878). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (14-7) has won three of their last four games after their 95-79 upset win against Wright State as a 2-point underdog on Wednesday. Northern Kentucky (9-11) has lost four games in a row after their 78-70 upset loss at home against Wright State as a 1.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Panthers allowed the Raiders to make 50.0% of their shots which was the worst defensive performance in their last 19 contests. Milwaukee still ranks third in the Horizon League in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are holding their opponents to 44.7% shooting when playing on the road in hostile environments. The Panthers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road as an underdog. They stay on the road where they are holding their opponents to -4.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions than they are giving up when they are playing at home. But they are scoring -8.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions in hostile environments than at home. They are scoring 74.5 Points-Per-Game on the road which is -4.6 fewer PPG than their overall scoring average. Milwaukee has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games when favored or a pick ‘em including all four of those games this season. They have also played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in January. The Panthers lead the Horizon League by pulling down 42.5% of their missed shots in conference play — and second-chance opportunities contribute to lower-scoring games since both teams end up with fewer overall possessions. Milwaukee also leads the conference in getting to the free throw line — but the Norse lead the Horizon League in defensive free throw rate so the Panthers are not likely to reach the 24 shots per game from the charity stripe they average. Northern Kentucky has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite to a Horizon League rival. This is their second game since last Wednesday — and they have played 4 straight home games Under the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. They stay at home where they are holding their guests to just 41.4% shooting which results in 65.7 PPG. They give up -5.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions at home versus on the road in hostile environments. The Norse has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with the Total set from 130 to 139.5. But scoring is an issue for this Northern Kentucky team that makes only 42.2% of their shots resulting in 69.3 PPG — and they are only scoring 71.7 PPG when playing at home. They rank ninth in the Horizon League in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in conference play.

FINAL TAKE: The Panthers are only making 30.6% of their shots from behind the arc this season — and the Norse have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are not making more than 31% of their 3-pointers. 25* CBB Horizon League Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Panthers (877) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (575) and the Golden State Warriors (576). THE SITUATION: Chicago (19-25) snapped a five-game losing streak with a 112-99 upset victory as a 6.5-point underdog on Monday. Golden State (21-22) has lost two games in a row and four of their last six contests after their 123-117 loss at Sacramento as a 7.5-point underdog last night.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors need to tighten things up on defense after allowing the Kings to make 50.6% of their shots last night. They continue to play without the injured Draymond Green which does not help on that end of the court. But they are also without Jonathan Kuminga who is their second-leading scorer averaging 16.8 Points-Per-Game. Steph Curry is questionable with his ankle injury — but he is expected to play which likely explains why the Total has been pushed up a handful of points later in the day. Golden State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing the second game in back-to-back days. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They return home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog. They have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total as an underdog in all situations. Chicago is playing better defense lately — they held the Clippers to 39.4% shooting on Monday. The Bulls have held their last five opponents to 44.2% shooting which has resulted in 113.2 Points-Per-Game which is -6.8 PPG below their season average. They may be without point guard Coby White who is questionable with an ankle injury — he is scoring 18.2 PPG and adding 4.7 Assists-Per-Game. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after winning on the road in their last game. Furthermore, the Bulls have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when on the road as the favorite. Additionally, they have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total in January.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago is giving up 120.0 PPG this season — but the Warriors have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who are giving up 116.0 or more PPG. 10* NBA Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (575) and the Golden State Warriors (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (737) and the Mississippi Rebels (738). THE SITUATION: Texas A&M (14-4) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 68-57 victory as a 10.5-point favorite on Saturday. Mississippi (13-3) saw their four-game winning streak end in an 84-81 loss in overtime at Mississippi State as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Aggies made only 42.6% of their shots against the Tigers — but that was still their best shooting effort in their last three games after only making 39.0% and 38.9% of their shots in their previous two contests. They did get Wade Taylor back on Saturday — he joins Zhuric Phelps in a dynamic one-two scoring punch. But Texas A&M’s offense can stagnate after that with no other players averaging double-digits in points. The Aggies get much of their scoring from crashing the glass — they lead the nation by pulling down 42.9% of their missed shots. Extending offensive possessions with offensive rebounding tends to lead to lower-scoring games since both teams end up with fewer overall possessions. On the road, Texas A&M only makes 39.3% of their shots which results in 72.5 Points-Per-Game which is -3.9 fewer PPG than their season average. They rank 56th in the nation with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 113.6 when playing away from home — and that represents a drop of -2.6 points per 100 possessions versus their 116.2 overall Adjusted Offensive Clip. Head coach Buzz Williams’ team plays outstanding defense. They rank 11th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their opponents to just 39.0% shooting. On the road, they rank 19th in the nation with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 94.3. This is the Aggies second game since last Tuesday — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in the last eight days. They have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total in January. Mississippi allowed the Bulldogs to 44.6% shooting which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Rebels rank 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their opponents to 40.5% shooting. Ole Miss has played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. They return home where they are holding their opponents to just 38.7% which is resulting in 60.5 PPG. But while the Rebels rank 12th in the nation with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 122.6, they drop to 188th in the nation when playing at home with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 106.0. Ole Miss has played 6 of their 8 games at home Under the Total this season -- and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored. Furthermore, they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total with the Total set from 140 to 149.5.

FINAL TAKE: The Rebels have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots — and the Aggies have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots. 10* CBB Texas A&M-Ole Miss ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (737) and the Mississippi Rebels (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (535) and the Denver Nuggets (536). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (15-26) has lost six games in a row after their 123-109 loss at Milwaukee as an 11.5-point underdog on Sunday. Denver (26-16) has won two games in a row and six of their last seven contests after a 113-100 victory at Orlando as a 7.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets played their best defensive game of the season two days ago by holding the Magic to just 37.3% shooting. Now returning home as a double-digit favorite against a banged-up Sixers team, their attention to detail on defense may not be as sharp tonight. But Denver should continue to flex their muscles on the other end of the court where they are clicking on all cylinders. They made 51.9% of their shots on Sunday which was actually the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. They have made at least 51.7% of their shots in six of their last seven games. The Nuggets are healthy right now — and Jamal Murray is probable to play tonight despite a nagging calf injury. Denver has played 13 of their last 20 games at home Over the Total. They have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have played 13 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference. The 76ers are allowing their opponents to nail 48.9% of their shots — and the Nuggets have played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 46% or higher. And while Philly only scores 107.5 Points-Per-Game, Denver has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams who are not scoring more than 108 PPG. The 76ers allowed the Bucks to make 49.4% of their shots which was actually their best defensive effort in their last four games. Their three previous opponents all made at least 53% of their shots against them. Philadelphia is banged up with Joel Embiid and Jared McCain out tonight with injuries — and Paul George is listed as questionable. Not having Embiid as a rim protector hurts the Sixers’ defensive efforts. In their last five games, their opponents are making 52.0% of their shots which is resulting in 117.0 PPG which is +5.4 PPG above their season average. Philadelphia has played 13 of their last 22 games Over the Total on the road. They have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. And while the Nuggets are outscoring their opponents by +4.6 PPG, the 76ers have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +3.0 PPG — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road against teams outscoring their opponents by +3.0 or more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog — and Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as a favorite laying 10 or more points. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (535) and the Denver Nuggets (536). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (547) and the Chicago Bulls (548). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (9-28) has won two of their last three games after their 117-112 win at Utah as a 5.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Chicago (18-23) has lost three games in a row after their 110-94 upset loss against Atlanta as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hornets nailed 52.9% of their shots against the Jazz which was the best shooting effort in for them all season. They are only making 42.7% of their shots on the road this season — and they may be without Brandon Miller who is listed as questionable with a wrist injury. He is scoring 21.0 Points-Per-Game this year — so the Regression Gods may be making an appearance for their scoring especially if they do not have Miller tonight. Charlotte has played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Bulls are scoring 117.5 PPG — and the Hornets have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams who score 116 or more PPG. Chicago has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss at home — and they have played 6 straight games at home Under the Total after losing at home in their last game. They have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They stay at home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, the Bulls have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in January — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams not winning more than 25% of their games.

FINAL TAKE: The Hornets are looking to avenge a 115-108 loss at home against the Bulls on December 30th. Charlotte has played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home. 10* NBA Friday Daily O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (547) and the Chicago Bulls (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Providence Friars (879) and the Villanova Wildcats (880). THE SITUATION: Providence (9-9) had won two games in a row before their 84-64 loss at Creighton as a 9-point underdog on Tuesday. Villanova (11-7) has lost two games in a row after a 69-63 loss at Xavier as a 3-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats made only 43.1% of their shots against the Musketeers — and their 63 points were the second-fewest that they have scored all season. Now after playing their last two games on the road, they return home again for the first time since January 8th. They are making 51.2% of their shots on their home court which is resulting in 81.2 Points-Per-Game. They are also nailing 43.1% of their shots from behind the arc at home. Villanova lives by-the-3 and dies by-the-3 — and things shape up for them very well tonight to score a pile of points. They rank fourth in the nation by making 41.1% of their 3-pointers — and now they host a Friars team who ranks 320th in the nation away from home with their opponents making 38.1% of their shots behind the arc. The Wildcats have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em. They have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total after playing their last two games on the road. Furthermore, they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when favored. Villanova ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are only 169th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Providence ranks 106th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — so they are not likely to slow the Wildcats down tonight. They allowed the Bluejays to make 51.6% of their shots which was the second bad defensive game they have played in their last four games after UConn made 56.3% of their shots against them less than two weeks ago. But the Friars only made 38.2% of their shots against Creighton which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. Providence has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss on the road to a Big East rival. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by 15 or more points. The Friars should score their share of points by crashing the glass tonight. They rank 39th in the nation by pulling down 35.2% of their missed shots — and this is an area of vulnerability for the Wildcats. Villanova ranks 117th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 28.6% of their missed shots — and their Big 12 opponents have pulled down 29.2% of their misses. Providence has played 10 of their last 15 games away from home Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total as a dog this season. Additionally, they have played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. And in their last 12 games in January, they have played 9 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Friars are holding their opponents to 41.5% shooting this season — but Villanova has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are holding their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting from the field. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Providence Friars (879) and the Villanova Wildcats (880). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (521) and the Los Angeles Clippers (522). THE SITUATION: Brooklyn (14-26) snapped a five-game winning streak with a 132-114 victory at Portland as a 4-point underdog last night. Los Angeles (21-17) ended a two-game losing streak with a 109-98 victory against Miami as an 8.5-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nets come off their best shooting performance of the season by making 54.4% of their shots last night against the Trail Blazers. Their 132 points was their second-highest mark of the season. Cam Johnson scored 24 points last night be he is out tonight with what is being labeled an ankle injury. He is scoring 19.6 Points-Per-Game. Cameron Thomas is also out with a hamstring after not playing last night — he is scoring 24.7 PPG. D’Angelo Russell and Nicolas Claxton are also questionable to play tonight. As it is, Brooklyn has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in back-to-back days. This is the Nets’ sixth game since last Monday — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing for the sixth or more time in the last ten days. Los Angeles made 48.3% of their shots on Monday in their win against the Heat which was the best shooting mark in their last three games and second-best clip in their last seven contests. The Clippers have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total after a win at home in their last contest. They stay at home where they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210s.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home against teams from the Eastern Conference. 10* NBA Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (521) and the Los Angeles Clippers (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Portland Trail Blazers (518). THE SITUATION: Utah (7-21) had won two games in a row before their 124-113 loss at Cleveland as a 14-point underdog on Monday. Portland (9-20) has lost eight of their last nine contests after their 132-108 loss at Dallas as a 12.5-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jazz made only 41.3% of their shots against the Cavaliers which was the worst shooting effort in their last five contests. Utah has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total off a loss on the road. They stay on the road where they have played 11 of their 15 games Over the Total this season. Additionally, the Jazz have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220s — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road with the Total set in the 220s. Portland allowed the Mavericks to nail 53.3% of their shots on Monday. Six of their last nine opponents have shot at least 51.8% of their shots. The Trail Blazers have played 5 of their last 8 home games Over the Total after a loss by 20 or more points. They have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Portland returns home where they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total this season — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 220s.

FINAL TAKE: The Trail Blazers have played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total in December — and the Jazz have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in December. 10* NBA Thursday Late Show O/U  Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Portland Trail Blazers (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (593) and the Golden State Warriors (594). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (16-13) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 117-114 upset loss at home against Detroit as a 6-point favorite on Monday. Golden State (15-13) has lost four of their last five games after their 111-105 upset loss against Indiana as a 6-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lakers nailed 54.1% of their shots on Monday which was the highest shooting effort in their last 15 games. But they allowed the Pistons to make 51.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last seven contests. Despite that subpar defensive performance, Los Angeles has still held their last five opponents to just 43.8% shooting which resulted in 104.6 Points-Per-Game which is -9.2 fewer PPG than their season average. But the Lakers are only making 45.3% of their shots in their last five contests resulting in 106.6 PPG which is -5.6 fewer PPG than their season average. Rookie head coach and former podcaster J.J. Reddick was supposed to be an offensive guru for this team after espousing so many philosophies on the subject in his previous job (such as “shoot more 3” — so cutting edge!). But after posting an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 115.4 last year, that mark has dropped to 111.5 for Los Angeles this season. On the road, the Lakers are making only 45.2% of their shots resulting in 107.4 PPG which is -3.8 fewer PPG than their season average. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games on the road Under the Total with the Total set in that range. They have played 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their contests. Furthermore, they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. They are relatively well rested after the NBA Cup time off two weeks ago with this being their fourth game since December 15th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. Golden State is playing for just the fourth time since December 15th as well — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. The team acquired Dennis Schroder to boost their scoring attack — but he has been a dud so far by averaging just 7.7 PPG and not even reaching double digits once in his first three games with the team. Steph Curry may be starting to show his age — in two of his last three games against Indiana and Memphis, he scored only 12 combined points on 2 of 20 shooting with 13 missed shots from behind the arc on 15 attempts. In their last five games, the Warriors are only making 43.4% of their shots resulting in 106.8 PPG which is -6.0 PPG below their season average. Head coach Steve Kerr is getting good defensive play from his team that ranks ninth in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also rank seventh in half-court defensive efficiency. Golden State has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Lakers are allowing their opponents to make 47.6% of their shots — and the Warriors have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 46% or higher. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (593) and the Golden State Warriors (594). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (539) and the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Finals of the NBA Cup. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (14-11) has won three games in a row as well as ten of their last 12 contests after their 110-102 win against Atlanta as a 3.5-point favorite in the Semifinals of the NBA Cup on Saturday. Oklahoma City (20-5) has won five games in a row as well as nine of their last ten contests after their 111-96 victory against Houston as a 5.5-point favorite in their Semifinal match in the NBA Cup on Tuesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bucks stepped up their play on defense against the Hawks by holding them to 42.7% shooting. Head coach Doc Rivers has this group playing better on the defensive end of the court. While they rank 13th in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they rise to eighth in the league in that metric over their last 15 games. Led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, they will have a size edge in this contest. With $500K on the line in a game that will not count in the regular season standings, look for another strong effort on defense from this team. It is telling that Milwaukee had played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 70% or higher. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Bucks have also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total away from home against teams from the Western Conference. Oklahoma City held the Rockets to just 36.5% shooting on Saturday. They lead the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They will not make it easy on the Milwaukee shooters. They give up the fewest points in the paint per 100 possessions — and the Bucks rank just 26th in the league in creating points in the paint. The Thunder also does a great job in defending the pick-and-roll which Milwaukee leans heavily on with Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard — they give up the fewest 3-point attempts in those situations. They also surrender the fifth fewest made 3-pointers in the NBA. Oklahoma City wants to make this a track meet and generate scoring opportunities in transition — but they are not very efficient in those situations as they rank just 23rd in effective Field Goal percentage (eFG). Rivers knows this and will have his team focus on protecting the basketball and making this a half-court game. The Thunder rank just 14th in eFG when playing in the half-court. Oklahoma City has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total following a straight-up win. This is their third game since December 8h — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. They have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total away from home. And in their last 8 games as an underdog or a favorite of up to 5.5 points, they have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: In the knockout games in the NBA Cup this season, the average combined score has been only 208.9 points — and all five games played on a neutral court in Las Vegas in the Semifinals or Finals of this tournament going back to last year have finished Under the Total. 25* NBA Cup Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (539) and the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Finals of the NBA Cup. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (521) and the Los Angeles Clippers (522). THE SITUATION: Portland (8-13) has lost three of their last four games after their 137-131 loss at home to Dallas as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday. Los Angeles (13-9) has won two of their last three contests after their 126-122 upset victory against Denver as a 3-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers nailed 58.3% of their shots against the Mavericks which was their best shooting effort all season — but they also allowed Dallas to make 55.2% of their shots which was the second-worst defensive performance of their season. I am expecting a visit from the Regression Gods. Portland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 135 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 4 straight Unders on the road with the Total set in the 220s. Los Angeles allowed the Nuggets to make 58.0% of their shots on Sunday which was the worst defensive effort of their season. The Clippers have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win by six points or less. They stay at home where they have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles has also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers will be motivated to avenge a 106-105 upset loss at home against the Trail Blazers as an 8-point underdog on October 30th -- and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a home favorite. 8* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (521) and the Los Angeles Clippers (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Dallas Mavericks (554). THE SITUATION: New York (10-7) has won five of their last six games after their 145-118 upset win at Denver as a 3.5-point underdog on Monday. Dallas (10-8) has won five of their last six contests after their 129-119 upset victory at Atlanta as a 2.5-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Knicks scored the most points in the regular season that did not go into overtime since 1980. After nailing 60.9% of their shots against the Nuggets, it is reasonable to expect the Regression Gods to appear — but the drop-off should not be significant because this New York scoring attack is cooking. The addition of Karl-Anthony Towns is opening up scoring lanes for his teammates. They have many scorers who can create their own shot. O.G. Anunoby scored 40 points on Monday — he is scoring 19.1 Points-Per-Game from 52.4% shooting and a 42.2% mark from behind the arc. Jalen Brunson is finding the right balance between being a scorer and a distributor. They have made at least 56.0% of their shots in three of their last four games — and they have scored 134 or more points in three of their last four games. Overall, the Knicks rank second with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 117.9. Only Cleveland and New York rank in the top-three in the league in both 2-point shooting and 3-point shooting. They rank third in midrange shooting. They also maximize their possessions by leading the NBA with the lowest turnover margin. So, yes, I think the high-scoring is sustainable — and they have scored 123 or more points in five of their last seven games. The Knicks have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after an upset win — and they have played 6 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after an upset victory. They have also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after pulling off an upset win on the road. This is their fourth straight game on the road and third game since last Friday — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing the third game on the road in the last five games. They have also played 7 of their 10 games on the road Over the Total this season. Dallas made 50.0% of their shots against the Hawks on Monday — it was the third time in their last four games that they shot 50% or better from the field. They have scored at least 118 points in five straight games. But they have also given up 119 or more points in four of their last five contests. They are putting up these offensive numbers despite being without Luka Doncic has missed the last three games due to injury. Head coach Jason Kidd has his team playing a faster tempo without Doncic who prefers a slower style of play to set up his isolation game on offense. In their last three games, they have an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 115.3 — but they also have an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 112.8. Naji Marshall has been a pleasant surprise by scoring 20 or more points in all three of those games. Dallas will want to continue to push the pace tonight with the hopes of creating switches so Kyrie Irving is being defended by Brunson. On the other hand, the Knicks will push the pace as well to create the opposite matchup with Brunson being guarded by Irving. The Mavericks are playing for the third time since Sunday — and they have played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total when playing for the third time in four games. They have also played all 7 of their games this season Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Mavericks are outscoring their opponents by +5.7 Points-Per-Game — and the Knicks have played 8 of their last 12 games on the road Over the Total against teams who are getting outscored by +3.0 or more PPG. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Dallas Mavericks (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (565) and the Los Angeles Lakers (566). THE SITUATION: Denver (8-6) has lost three of their last four games after their 123-120 upset loss against Denver as a 5-point favorite last night. Los Angeles (10-5) had won six games in a row before their 119-118 upset loss at home against Orlando as a 5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lakers nailed 50.6% of their shots in a losing effort against the Magic — they are shooting 49.9% from the field in their last five games. They have scoed at least 118 points in five of their last six games. Los Angeles has played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a loss at home., They have also played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by six points or less. They stay at home where they are making 51.0% of their shots which is resulting in 121.6 Points-Per-Game — and those marks are +2.6% and +4.6 PPG above their season average. The Lakers rank fourth in the NBA with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 118.3 — and they rise to third in the league with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 122.2 when playing on their home court. But they also rank 26th in the NBA with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 117.4. Los Angeles has played 5 of their 7 home games Over the Total as a favorite this season — and they have played 13 of their last 22 home games Over the Total when favored by six points or less. Denver has played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a loss by six points or less. They have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest including both of those games so far this season. They have played 6 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total when playing the second game in back-to-back days. The Nuggets rank just 16th this season with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 112.8 — and they have given up 120 or more points in four of their last seven contests. They have scored 120 and 122 points in their last two contests. Denver goes back on the road where they have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have played 8 of their 10 games this month Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets are scoring 116.8 PPG — and the Lakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams scoring 116 or more PPG. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 230s. 10* NBA Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (565) and the Los Angeles Lakers (566). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (525) and the Golden State Warriors (526). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (7-8) has won three of their last four games after their 109-108 upset win at Sacramento as a 3.5-point underdog on Monday. Golden State (10-3) had won three games in a row before their 102-99 upset loss in Los Angeles against the Clippers on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors defense has taken a step back lately. They have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which has resulted in 117.8 Points-Per-Game — that is +3.3% and and +7.7 PPG above their season defensive averages. Their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 107.3 ranks 15th in the NBA in their last five games which is a big drop off from their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 107.3 for the season which is the fourth-best mark in the league. But Golden State ranks fifth in the NBA with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 116.7. And with head coach Steve Kerr using his entire bench this season, the Warriors are pushing the pace and rank fifth in the league by averaging 101.76 possessions per game. It is telling that Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games at home Over the Total after an upset loss. The fast pace they are engaging in has played a big role in their playing 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total this month. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total when laying 6.5 to 12 points. They have also played 10 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. The Hawks are shooting 46.7% from the field — and Golden State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are making at least 46% of their shots. Atlanta is getting healthier as they have Bogdan Bogdanovic and Kobe Bufkin back from injury — and those additions should help their offensive output moving forward. The Hawks have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a win by six points or less including all four of those circumstances this season. This will be their third game on the road since last Friday — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total when it is their third game in five days. Atlanta plays at the third-fastest pace in the league with 103.57 average possessions per contest. They also rank just 22nd in the NBA with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 115.6. The Hawks have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, they have played 32 of their last 51 games Over the Total as an underdog including six overs in their eight games as a dog this season.

FINAL TAKE: The Warriors are outscoring their opponents by +9.4 PPG — and Atlanta has played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +3.0 or more PPG. Golden State has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams winning 40-49% of their games. With both of these teams playing at a fast pace, expect a high-scoring game. 10* NBA Wednesday Night O/U Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (525) and the Golden State Warriors (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (4-10) has lost seven of their last eight games after their 104-99 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers as an 8-point underdog on Saturday. Dallas (7-7) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 121-119 upset win at Oklahoma City as a 7.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks were without Luka Doncic against the Thunder — but they did get back P.J. Washington in that game who is one of their best defensive players who they were without due to injury during their four-game losing streak. Dallas nailed 11 of their 27 shots from behind the arc for a 41% shooting percentage — and it was the first time they shot better than 33% from 3-point range in their last seven games. They were also very fortunate to get to the free throw line 36 times from which they scored 30 of their points. The Mavericks have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after an upset win — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road. They have also played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a win by six points or less. Doncic is questionable again tonight with his right knee contusion — and head coach Jason Kidd may elect to rest him against the M*A*S*H unit that is this Pelicans team right now. For the purposes of this play, I am assuming Doncic goes — but I will be more than content if he does not play. Dallas scores -5.7 fewer points per 100 possessions when he is off the court this season — and they allow +0.4 more points per 100 possessions when he is on the court. The Mavs rank eighth in the league with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 111.0 — and they improve to third in the league when playing at home with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 104.8. Dallas has played 8 of their 10 games at home Under the Total this season — and they have played 9 of their last 14 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s. They have also played 8 of their 10 games Under the Total this season when favored. New Orleans does not have healthy guards on their active roster right now. Overall, they are without Zion Williamson, C.J. McCollum, DeJounte Murray, Jose, Alvarado, Herb Jones, and Jordan Hawkins. Head coach Willie Green’s response to the lack of ball-handlers and play-makers is to slow the pace down. They are averaging only 93.70 adjusted possessions per game in their last five games which is the slowest rate in the NBA. Brandon Ingram is the primary ball-handler with the burden of the offense on his shoulders. They rank 29th in the league with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 102.8 in their last five games. But the play of their defense has improved with the slower pace. While they rank 28th in the NBA with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 117.2 this season, they rank 12th with a 112.2 Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last five games. Their last three games have seen no more than 203 combined points — and two of those three games saw no more than 195 combined points scored. The Pelicans have played 5 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a straight-up loss at home. They have played 12 of their last 19 road games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total in November.

FINAL TAKE: The Mavericks have seen the Under go 20-10-1 in their 31 games as a double-digit favorite with Kidd as their head coach including 9 Unders in their last 12 games at home when laying ten or more points. 25* NBA Southwest Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (559) and the Milwaukee Bucks (560). THE SITUATION: Detroit (5-7) has won two of their last three games after their 123-121 upset win in overtime as a 1.5-point underdog last night against Miami in the NBA Cup. Milwaukee (3-8) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 99-85 victory against Toronto as a 9-point favorite last night in their opening game in the NBA Cup.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pistons are challenged with the dreaded back-to-back which requires travel to Milwaukee today — and they enter this game undermanned. Both Tim Hardaway, Jr. and Simone Fontecchi are expected to suit up tonight. Losing Hardaway in particular takes away one of their best scoring threats from the outside. As it is, Detroit has played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing for the third time in four days. The Pistons allowed the Heat to make 46.5% of their shots last night which was actually their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Consistent effort and better play on the defensive end of the court have been the primary focuses of first-year head coach J.B. Bickerstaff taking over a team that was too often lax in both areas last season. Detroit ranks a solid 14th in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rise to fifth in the league in that metric in their last six games. In their five games on the road, the Pistons are holding their home hosts to just 44.9% shooting which is resulting in only 102.8 Points-Per-Game. Detroit has played all 5 of their road games this season Under the Total. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. However, scoring remains an issue for this club. They rank 20th in the NBA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and on the road, they are making only 45.6% of their shots which is resulting in just 103.4 PPG. Milwaukee shot a season-low 40.4% from the field last night and they will be without Damian Lillard tonight as he recovers from a concussion. The Bucks will miss the 26.0 PPG and 6.6 Assists-Per-Game he is generating this season. The Bucks offense is struggling — they rank 21st in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Too often, the movement is not as crisp as it could be and the effort has been less than 100%. Bobby Portis’ decline symbolizes their problems. He is scoring only 12.5 PPG this season from 45.4% shooting and a 26.7% clip from behind the arc are all the lowest marks in his five seasons with the team. But after starting the season with only one win in their first six games, they are starting to play better in their last four contests with the biggest improvement being from their defensive effort. After holding Boston to 40.7% shooting in their previous game, they held the Raptors to 34.9% shooting last night. They rank 17th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency for the season — but in their last four contests, they rank fifth in the league while holding three of their four opponents to no better than 42.9% shooting. All four of those games finished Under the Total — and Milwaukee has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing three or more Unders in a row. Furthermore, the Bucks have played 4 of their 5 games at home this season Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 9 of their last 14 games against each other Under the Total when playing in Milwaukee. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with UUnder the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (559) and the Milwaukee Bucks (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (523) and the Portland Trail Blazers (524). THE SITUATION: Golden State (0-0) begins their regular season following a 46-36 record in the regular season last year. Portland (0-0) finished 21-61 in the regular season last year.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: It is a new era for the Warriors with the team not resigning Klay Thompson nor Chris Paul. I suspect head coach Steve Kerr will want this new-look team to return to their defensive roots that served as the foundation for their NBA championships. Draymond Green remains an elite defender. Kerr plans to use Andrew Wiggins and Jonathan Kuminga on the court together more frequently which will give that unit three versatile defenders who can take on multiple assignments. Golden State played very good defense in the preseason as they held their opponents to scoring just 96.1 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors played 25 of their last 42 road games Under the Total last season. They have also played 15 of their last 20 road games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when favored by six points or less. They face a young Trail Blazers team that struggled to score last season. Portland ranked 29th in the league by scoring just 108.2 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time last season.  Much of the problem was poor execution. They were last in the NBA by only making 60.3% of their shots at the rim. But some of the problem is being too reliant on midrange shooting. Portland took 32.4% of their shots from the midrange last season which was the seventh-highest mark in the league — and 10.5% of their shots were long midrangers which was the fifth highest in the NBA. They ranked last in the league by converting on just 39.2% of these midrange shots. The Trail Blazers have played 20 of their last 34 home games Under the Total as an underdog of up to six points.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total — and Portland did not score more than 106 points in three of their four meetings last season. Lastly, in the last 9 games involving West Conference teams making their season debuts, when the road team is favored, the game finished Under the Total 7 times. 10* NBA Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (523) and the Portland Trail Blazers (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508) in Game Four of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (79-20) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this best-of-seven series with their 106-99 upset victory as a 3-point underdog on Wednesday. Dallas (62-40) has lost four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 205 combined points scored in Game Three were the most points scored in this series. The Celtics have not allowed the Mavericks to score more than 99 points in the first three games in this series. Boston’s diversity of defensive talent is making things very difficult on Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. Nothing is coming easy for Doncic who has been guarded primarily by Jaylen Brown or Derrick White — although Jrue Holiday and Jayson Tatum have both defended him at times. Head coach Joe Mazzulla has been comfortable not double-teaming him when he is coming off pick-and-rolls given the good defensive players he has on the court. Irving comes off his best game in the series by scoring 35 points, yet Holiday and White had been doing a great job slowing him down. He made only 35.1% of his shots in Games One and Two without a made 3-pointer. The Celtics are also doing a great job defending the perimeter and taking away 3-point shots. Dallas has not taken more than 27 shots from behind the arc which was in Game One — and critics were concerned even then since taking only 32.6% of their shots from 3-point range had been their lowest percentage in the playoffs. But then the Mavericks took 26 shots from behind the arc in Game Two before attempting 25 shots from 3-point land in Game 3. The Celtics are doing a particularly good job taking away corner 3s. After taking 13% of their shots from the plum corner spot behind the arc in the playoffs coming into this series, the Mavs have taken only 4.9% of their shots from the field from the corner 3 spot. Dallas has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in two straight games. They have played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210s — and they have played 37 of their last 53 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210-219.5 point range including their last six games at home. The Mavericks have also played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Boston has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. While the Celtics are playing great defense, they have not exploded on the other end of the court. Credit Dallas’ play on defense that has not given up more than 107 points in this series. The Mavericks did rank second in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency after acquiring P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford at the trade deadline. Boston has won ten games in a row —  and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after winning seven or more games in a row.

FINAL TAKE: The Mavericks have played 14 of their last 20 home games Under the Total when avenging a loss to their opponent. 25* NBA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (505) and the Dallas Mavericks (506) in Game Three of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (78-20) has won nine games in a row after their 105-98 victory at home against the Mavericks as a 7-point favorite on Sunday. Dallas (62-29) has lost three of their last four games while trailing in this series by an 0-2 margin.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston held the Mavericks in check despite allowing them to make 47.5% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last three games. The Celtics have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning eight or more games in a row. They go back on the road where they have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Dallas has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 205 combined points were scored. The Mavericks have also played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the third time in the last ten days — and they have 7 of their 8 games this season Under the Total under those circumstances. Dallas returns home where they have played 36 of their last 52 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210s. The Mavs have also played 12 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams winning 60-70% of their games — and Dallas has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams winning 70% or more of their games. 8* NBA Wednesday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (505) and the Dallas Mavericks (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (503) and the Boston Celtics (504) in Game Two of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (62-38) has lost two of their last three games after their 107-89 loss on the road against the Celtics as a 6.5-point underdog on Thursday. Boston (77-20) has won eight straight games while taking a 1-0 lead in this best-of-seven series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks trailed at halftime by a 63-42 score — and they have played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total after trailing by 15 or more points at halftime in their last game. Dallas was ice-cold in Game One as they only made 41.7% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. They only hit 7 of 27 shots from behind the arc — and those 27 shot attempts from 3-point land were their second fewest all season. Their 26% shooting percentage from 3-point range was their worst shooting percentage from deep in the postseason — and their players not named Luka Doncic only made 3 of their 15 shots from downtown. The offensive effort will be better in Game Two. Kidd has called on more player movement and more ball movement to get Doncic and Kyrie Irving from getting lulled into playing one-on-one isolation ball. Dallas only had nine assists in the game — and they assisted on just 22.5% of their made field goals. Irving led the team with a mere two assists. The Mavericks assisted on 59.6% of their made baskets in the regular season — so they should be much better in this area in Game Two. The Celtics played Doncic and Irving straight up without offering help when they switched off pick-and-rolls. If Dallas can simply attack this approach with more aggressiveness, they should get better scoring opportunities for Doncic and Irving — and that will open up more 3-point shooting. Dallas has played 11 of their last 18 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. And in their last 7 second games in a playoff series, they have played 5 of these games Over the Total. Boston played their best defensive game in their last nine contests by holding the Mavs to 41.7% shooting. The Celtics have not allowed more than 105 points in two straight games — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 105 points in two or more games in a row. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in the last seven days. They stay at home where they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210s.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 or more points. 10* NBA Dallas-Boston ABC-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (503) and the Boston Celtics (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502) in Game One of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (62-37) has won six of their last seven games after their 124-103 upset win at Minnesota as a 4.5-point underdog that ended that series in five games last Thursday. Boston (76-20) has won seven straight games after completing their four-game sweep against Indiana with a 105-102 win on the road as a 7.5-point road favorite back on May 27th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Celtics only shot 44.9% from the field to close out their series with the Pacers which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven games. They did hold Indiana to 46.0% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last five games. Boston has played 25 of their last 29 games Over the Total after holding their previous opponent to no more than 105 points — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game where both teams scored 105 or fewer points. They have also played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning six or more games in a row. The Celtics get big man Kristaps Porzingis back for Game One tonight after he missed extended time with a calf injury. While no one knows how effective he will be on the offensive end of the court, he will draw attention from the Mavericks’ defenders which should open up even more space for the Boston scorers and 3-point shooters. With the extended time off, both teams may be rusty — but both teams will have fresh legs so missed shots will create fast break scoring opportunities. The Celtics have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with three or more days of rest. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the opening game of a new playoff series. They return home to TD Garden where they have an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 121.7 in the postseason — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total at home in the playoffs. Boston has also played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210s. Dallas played their best defensive game in their last three contests by holding the Timberwolves to 42.7% shooting last Thursday. The Mavericks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They stay on the road where they have an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 115.1 in the playoffs this season. Dallas has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: Boston won both regular-season meetings between these two teams after their 138-110 victory at home as an 8.5-point favorite on March 1st — and the Mavericks have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss where they gave up at least 110 points. 10* NBA Dallas-Boston ABC-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (511) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (512) in Game Five of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (61-37) had won five games in a row before their 105-100 upset loss at home to the Timberwolves as a 1.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Minnesota (65-32) still trails by a 3-1 margin in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Dallas should play better defense tonight after allowing the Timberwolves to make 52.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive performance in their last 12 games. The Mavericks allowed Minnesota to make 50.6% of their shots in Game Two — but they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. Additionally, Dallas has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game. Minnesota played their best defensive game in this series by holding the Mavs to 42.0% shooting. This improved play on that end of the court may be sustainable with head coach Chris Finch making the adjustment to move Jaden McDaniels off Luka Doncic and onto Kyrie Irving. Anthony Edwards and Kyle Anderson have been doing a better job defending Doncic — and McDaniels has had success slowing down Irving. The Timberwolves also enjoyed their best shooting effort in their last 22 games by making 52.7% of their shots on Tuesday. Minnesota has played 4 straight games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. They have also played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. The T-Wolves had failed to cover the point spread in three straight games before their upset win in Game Four — and they have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games.

FINAL TAKE: The Mavericks have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing a game where no more than 205 combined points in their last game. 8* NBA Dallas-Minnesota TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (511) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508) in Game Four of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (64-32) has lost six of their last eight games after their 116-107 loss on the road against the Mavericks as a 1.5-point underdog on Sunday. Dallas (61-36) has won five games in a row and seven of their last eight to take a 3-0 series lead. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks took Game Three despite allowing the Timberwolves to make 50.6% which was the worst defensive effort in their last 11 contests. But they also nailed 55.9% of their shots which was their best shooting performance in their last 44 games. Dallas has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a game where they shot 55% or more of their shots. The Mavs are due a visit from the Regression Gods regarding their shooting in this series. While they are making 58.1% of their shots, their expected field goal percentage which measures their shot location relative to league shooting averages is just 53.0%. The Mavericks have played 19 of their last 27 home games Under the Total after winning on their home court in their last game. Additionally, they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning five or more games in a row -- and they have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total at home after winning six or seven of their last eight contests. They have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. Furthermore, they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210s -- and they have played 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total at home with the Total set in the 210-219.5 point range. They have also played 33 of their last 50 home games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Minnesota played their worst defensive game in their last six contests by allowing the Mavericks to make 55.9%. of their shots. They did nail 50.6% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting performance in their last nine contests. The Timberwolves have not covered the point spread in this series -- and they have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. All three games in this series have finished Over the Total -- and Minnesota has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. 

FINAL TAKE: The Timberwolves have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). Best of luck for us -- Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (505) and the Indiana Pacers (506) in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (75-20) has won six games in a row after their 114-111 victory on the road as a 7-point road favorite on Saturday. Indiana (55-44) has lost four of their last six games while dropping the first three games in this series. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This decision is largely a contrarian reaction to the fact that both of these teams have played five straight Overs coming into this Game Four. But there is more. ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported at 5 PM ET that he thinks that it is “unlikely” that Tyrese Haliburton will attempt to play tonight with him being listed as questionable with a hamstring injury. While Haliburton wants to play, management sees the big picture with their franchise player and will unlikely want to risk a more serious injury with this series all but decided. We were on the Pacers in Game Three despite not having Haliburton play. They made 50.5% of their shots and built a 15-point lead. They had an eight-point lead late in the game — but they managed to blow that advantage to lose for the third straight time in this series. Losing their best player is bad enough, but the other resulting concern is that Indiana’s shot profile is simply unsustainable to score 111 points (even when playing at a fast tempo). Haliburton plays a critical role in the spacing in their half-court offense for their 3-point shooting. They only made 4 of 20 shots from behind the arc on Friday — not only is a 20% clip not going to get it done, but neither is taking only 21% of their shots from the field from 3-point range in 2024. The Pacers took 46% of their shots from midrange — and only 32% of their shots came at the rim. Overall, the Pacers only took 54% of their shots either at the rim or behind the 3-point line. They stayed competitive in the game because they shot 59.2% inside the arc — but that is simply not sustainable especially when not attacking the rim. Boston has arguably been outplayed in two of three games in this series. They need to use this game to play harder on defense. Indiana has shot at least 50.5% from the field in each game in this series. The Celtics have allowed four straight opponents to shoot 48.1% from the field — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing four or more straight opponents to make at least 47.5% from the field. Boston has played five straight Overs — but they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing five or more Overs in a row. They have also played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total on the road after a point spread loss. 

FINAL TAKE: The Celtics are outscoring their opponents by +11.1 Points-Per-Game this season — and that helps trigger an empirical angle supporting the Under that has been 76% effective. In games with the Total set at 220 or higher, when a team is outscoring their opponents by at least +6 PPG and has played five or more Overs in a row, that game finished Under the Total in 32 of these last 42 situations. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (505) and the Indiana Pacers (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (555) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (556) in Game Two of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (59-36) has won five of their last six games after their 108-105 upset victory as a 4.5-point underdog on the road against the Timberwolves on Wednesday. Minnesota (64-30) has lost four of their last six games. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks caught the Timberwolves tired and off their defensive game in the first half of Game One of this series — they nailed 24 of their 33 shots inside the arc in the first 24 minutes for a 73% field goal percentage which is a likely anomaly against the team with the best defensive 2-point field goal percentage in the NBA. Dallas has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after an upset win — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win on the road by three points or less. Additionally, they have played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 105 points in their last game. The Mavs have won three straight games — and they have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row. They have also covered the point spread in four of their last six games — and they have then played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Minnesota allowed the Mavericks to make 49.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last three games. Head coach Chris Finch should make some adjustments including accepting the fact that Jaden McDaniels cannot slow down Luka Doncic. The Timberwolves have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by three points or less. And while Game One finished Over the 207-point Total, they have also played 31 of their last 45 home games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total in their last game. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 12 of their last 15 second games of a new playoff series Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Timberwolves have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss — and they have played 21 of their last 33 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed 100 or more points. 10* NBA Dallas-Minnesota TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (555) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.