I love the Chiefs here in the Super Bowl.  Mahomes is just something really special and yes I know it's hard to repeat I just don't see how the Bucs can slow them down.  I will give Brady and the Bucs credit for getting here as they had to do so with 3 straight road games.  Brady if you're being honest though hasn't looked great by any stretch though.  Also these teams already met in the regular season in Tampa btw where the Super Bowl is being played and KC had their way with them.  So the final score was 27-24 but the Chiefs were up 27-3 and it felt they really just let up as they had the game in hand.  Tampa scored 2 meaningless TD's in the fourth and that's how they covered. 

We are locking this in early.  I absolutely the Packers here in this game.  Tampa was extremely lucky if you. watched any. part of the Saints game.  The turnovers left Brady with a short field and it was very misleading.  Not many times in the NFL do you see a team -4 in turnovers with still a chance to win.  Tampa and Brady dont impress me at all.  Rodgers brings something totally different to the table here this week.  The Packers defense is good enough here IMO to keep Brady and the offense in check.  They key in fact will be slowing down the running game which opens everything up for them.  I love the Packers here!!!

I just love the Saints here in this game.  Yes people will say its hard to beat a team 3 games in a row  and I understand it but its not like these series were close.  Yes, they were a while ago but were you really impressed with the Bucs last week?  I mean Washington signed a QB off the street and nearly won the game.  The Bucs defense has issues and that was shown last week.  Saints are now fully healthy which they haven't been all season.  I think we are getting a discount here. 

I will take the Packers here today.  I think too much hyper is being made from the Rams and their defense.  Yes, I know Ramsey is a stud and probably will hold Adams in check.  The only way to Rams can win or hang around is if it's low scoring and I dont that with how explosive this Packers team is.  Rams do have injury issues with Donald and Kupp who are obviously huge names to both sides of the ball.  Pack pull away here

I'm taking the Buckeyes here who I believe have a huge ship on their shoulder.  I know Bama is extremely good I'm not taking anything away from them.  I just was so impressed with Fields and company against a very good Clemson team.  There was zero doubt to who the better team was on the field that night.  I will gladly take more than a TD here as I clearly see a close game.

I think we are seeing a major overreaction in the line here.  This was Steelers favored by 3.5 and. now it's 6. because of the coaching situation.  While its not ideal I get it, but you dont think the Browns would love nothing more here?  Also people are looking at last week and thinking the Steelers rested a bunch of guys and still almost beat the Browns.  Look the Browns were favored by nearly double digits and now Pitt is favored by 6?  Give me the Browns 

I love the. Ravens in a great revenge spot from last season.  Yes, I know the narrative here is that Lamar hasn't won a playoff game but I like the way the Ravens are trending here winning 5 straight and covering 6 straight.  Also I love the matchup for Lamar as the Titans have a horrible defense and he should have a hay day moving the ball.  Titans will have to. get out of their game plan which is pound Henry and I dont think that bold well.

I just have a funny feeling here in this game.  Is there a team that is more excited or motivated to be in the playoffs than Washington?  This Washington defense is nasty and I think they will cause Brady a ton of problems and force him to make some bad throws.  Alex Smith is 5-1 as a starter so that's a plus and they are catching more than a TD? The Bucs are just 4-4 ATS on the road and sure they are 5-2 SU their last 7 but all 5 wins against non  playofff teams and. 2 losses against playoff teams.

Something is wrong with this Seahawks team you can't ignore it.  They have only scored over 30 points once in the last 8 games and that was against the Jets.  I also trust Mcvay and company here and this line smells as we see a backup QB against a former Super Bowl winner only getting a FG.  the betting public will be all over the Seahawks here.  To me it's all about the defense here and with that you have to take the Rams. 

I'm going to take the Colts here in this game.  Dont get me wrong I like what Buffalo has done and they deserve credit, however now they are favored by 6.5 in a playoff game and this it totally different waters.  Both defenses are actually pretty similar but numbers. wise the edge belongs to the Colts. Rivers has also been in plenty of playoff games. so I trust the experience factor.  I'm not saying Colts win but I dont see a blowout 

Coming later 

Coming later

It seems like the Titans are getting a ton of love because Henry and crew have gone off the last couple games.  Well those games were against the Lions and Jags two teams who are clearly done for the year.  The main thing here is that the Packers are playing for the #1 overall seed and that means a huge deal to Rodgers and them.  The Titans defense is average at best and to me I dont see how they slow down Aaron and company. 

I get that Hurts has really provided a spark to this Eagles team especially with his legs but now al of the sudden they are laying points to a division rival who is also playing well?  The Cowboys have found new life here and now all of the sudden find themselves staring down the playoffs. Cowboys D is flying around making plays creating turnovers.  I think the wrong team is favored here. 

I will lay it with the Chargers.  There is no doubt the Chargers have been one of the most frustrating teams to watch in the league this season.  They are clearly so much better than their record indicates.  Throw in the fact that the Chargers blew a huge lead @ Denver in a very gross comeback victory I think will Ladd fuel to them here.  I thought this line would be 5 or so actually so will gladly lay the short price here 

The Football is now a public team as crazy as that it to say.  Honestly though with them starting Haskins there is no way I want anything to do with him. I know the line is reflecting that he is starting but give me Teddy as the dog here.  Sharp money has came in on Carolina moving this line down.  The Panthers have lost 3 straight games by a total of just 14 points.  They have been in every game.  I think they win this one outright here.

I think too much is being made of the Giants and what they have to play for.  They were in a great spot last week and failed to show against the Browns.  Jones is a big time question as well and it doesn't matter to me if he goes or not.  The Giants offense is struggling big time as they haven't scored over 20 points in each of the last 4 games.  Baltimore on the other hand is starting to click right now scoring 37,47,40 their last 3 games.  I think they put it on the Giants here. 

I will take the points here with the Raiders.  This Miami team does have a lot to play for yes but the love they are getting is simply too much here.  The look ahead line last week here was Raiders -2 and now it has flipped 5 points.  There is no reason for that big of adjustment here.  Raiders dont have a great defense but the Miami offense isn't exactly anything to brag about.  Carr is playing and I trust Gruden here not letting this team totally collapse down the stretch. 

I just dont understand this line at all.  We have a 3rd string QB starting for the Niners who are one of the most injured teams in the league that literally have nothing to play for and the Cardinals on the other hand have everything to play for.  Clearly this line doesn't make much sense as it should be higher.  Cards offense lead by Murray I think will have a field day while I see the Niners really struggling on the offensive end.

I just dont get the love for the Bucs.  This team quite frankly doesn't pass the eye test at all.  They were very lucky last week as the refs gave them a couple huge calls and yet they still couldn't pull away from the Vikings.  The Bucs are laying the same number the road as they were. last. week and this is a division rival.  Falcons would love. nothing more than to spoil the Bucs season.  I know Atlanta hasn't been great but they clearly better than their record indicates.  Also Jones their RB is out for the game as well 

There is zero reason right now for the Niners to be favored especially on the road.  They have had two great spots back to back and came up short big time.  The Niners season is now lost following those two bad losses hard to imagine where their head is.  I think all the injury issues as well is a huge concern.  The Cowboys here I will take my chances as they are. coming off a win on the road.  Dallas losing to Washington and Baltimore recently doesn't look quite so bad now either.  I think there is still some fight left in this team.  

I really like the Seahawks here in this spot for several reason.  First, the love for Washington is pretty high right now as they have won 4 straight games.  The thing is though Smith is banged up and probably won't play and Haskins is clearly a guy that no one trusts at all.  Seattle still can win their division and definitely wont be looking past this red hot team.  I really feel like we are getting a good discount here with them because of Washington's success.  

I will take the Texans here in this game.  Colts off a big road win over Raiders and Texans off an ugly loss vs Bears.  2 weeks ago though people are quick to forget that the Texans should have won the game outright if it wasn't for a fumble on 1st and goal inside the 5 yard line.  Texans get Cooks back at WR so that is a big help.  I think they still have a sour taste in their mouth from that game and this is too many points.  The Colts also missing some defensive players including Slay their best corner and Leonard their best all around player on defense who really makes them go.

I think this is a discount here with the Vikings.  Yes, they didn't cover last week but their kicker was 0-4 in the game which had a huge part to do with it.  Also the refs really cost them twice on crucial plays in the game giving the Bucs points both times.  Bears getting a lot of love for their performance last week.  I had them over the Texans but that game in an outlier as it was their best showing all season.  I like to fade teams off their best effort.  Vikings much better overall team 

I think everyone is falling in love with Bama and I get it.  However, this number is just absurd to me here as Florida has a ton of playmakers across the board.  This is the type of team that generally gives Saban fits.  I think Florida was clearly looking ahead last week as they laid an egg losing to LSU outright.  As a whole the offenses in the SEC are flat out terrible and especially the teams Bama has faced which has inflated their numbers.  I think Florida hangs around this team averages over 40 ppg they will score it will all come down to turnovers. 

I really like Denver here in this spot.  The Bills are going to be extremely popular here and are getting a little too much love for my liking right now.  Buffalo is off a huge home run win over Pitt and now a big travel spot.  This Denver team clearly hasn't quit at all on the season and it showed again last week with a nice road win as a dog.  I think they will be able to run the ball here muck it up a little.  I also think Bills D is overrated and I see Lock playing a very good game. 

So yes maybe this is just a bigger adjustment, but I dont think oddsmakers could have made this 13 or so either.  Let's face it Clemson with their backup QB had Notre Dame dead in the water before ND scored with less than a minute to take the game into OT and ultimately win in OT.  I'm not going against Dabo and Lawrence in a big time revenge game at all.  This defense will be flying and they have the best defensive coordinator in the country.  

Late Add

I'm going to lay it here with Ohio St.  Yes, this is a huge number but boy do the Buckeyes have all the motivation in the world.  I guarantee this team is pissed because all of the talk about them not deserving to be here and they are going to make a big statement to leave no doubt.  Northwestern has 1 good win and that was @ Iowa by 1.  Well how good is Iowa? extremely overrated as all their wins have came against teams with a losing record.  Ohio St large here

This is a revenge game for Oklahoma I get it.  Oklahoma definitely passes the eye test here recently especially on offense.  Iowa St has played this Oklahoma team very tough the last 3 seasons with clearly not as much talent.  Campbell is proven why he is such a great coach and his name will be mentioned all over the place.  Purdy and company are rolling as well and their defense is much better than Oklahoma.  This is also the first time in literally decades Iowa St has played for something like this.  I think they hang around and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright again 

I will take my chances here with Tennessee.  Yes, they have had a down year but I think they would love nothing more to play spoiler here.  I also thin A&M is being very over valued due to the fact they only have one loss and it's against Bama.  The Vols have covered the last two weeks showing me that that haven't gave up on the year.  

Coming Later 

This series for whatever reason has always been close.  I think the Lions are definitely live here.  They will get back Swift and Golliday who are crucial for this team.  Prior to the Packers covering earlier this season Detroit has covered every game going back to 2017.  This series is just close like mentioned and this is too many points.  Detroit can hang some points here now with Stafford and a healthier squad.  

I'm going against the grain here for sure with the Eagles.  Simple here for me as I think Hurts will provide a spark to this team in general.  Wentz has flat out put this team in horrible positions with all his turnovers.  I know the Saints D is good but I also wonder how much interest they have here with the Chiefs on deck.  Philly's D is underrated and Im still not blown away with Hill at  QB.   I like the Eagles to keep it close here

I will take the Chiefs here in this game.   I think the betting public will now be writing them off since they. haven't covered for over a month.  Yes, they have a huge game next week but with their red zone performance. last week I think they will get it right.  Miami has been on a hot run sure but most of that is because of their defense.  I don't see Mahomes giving them any gifts like they have been getting.  Miami has struggled on offense, look last week playing a horrible defense in Cincy and can't get to 20 points.  I think this is a statement game and the Chiefs are back in the hunt to claim the 1 seed for the AFC

I will take Denver here.  I think both of these teams are very equal and Carolina has been a favorite twice this season and both of those meeting they lost outright.  Carolina is dealing with players being out like McCaffrey, Samuel, Moore.  They are thin at RB and WR.  They are getting respect because of their bye week.  Denver I had last week vs the Chiefs and they covered.  The week before you throw out because they didn't have a QB.  But 2 games ago they beat the red hot Miami Dolphins.  I think this team is still playing hard.  

I think USC is a tad over valued here in this game.  They were very lucky to win the first two games of the season and their other 2 they had a huge turnover advantage which lead to bigger wins.  I'm not impressed with USC at all.  Chip Kelly is finally starting to turn this thing around.  They are 3-2 but 4-1 ATS.  Their two losses were to an undefeated Colorado team and a close loss @ Oregon by 3.  I think UCLA wins this game outright 

I will trust Leach and company here wanting to finish the season in his first year on a high note. Rogers this freshman QB for Miss St has been awesome since taking over for Costello.  5 TD's his last 3 games with zero INT's and a completion rating over 70% every game.  Auburn is off two big time games vs Alabama and Texas AM I think this is a great spot to back Miss St.

I'm on the Badgers here this weekend.  This is crazy to me how they were laying 14 against a very good Indiana team but now are a PK at Iowa?  I just think this Iowa team is one of the most overrated teams in the country.  The teams they have beat all 5 of them have horrible losing records. They still have inconsistent QB play.  I think this is a great buy low spot on Wiskt as if this game were played a few weeks ago there is no doubt the Badgers are laying a TD or more here.  I will take Wisconsin.

We are seeing something crazy in college football with this Coastal Carolina team.  All they do is cover and I understand going against them has cost people a lot of money.  I have only been against them once but I really like the spot here.  Coastal last week added BYU to make ends meet in a weird scheduling spot and they were 10 point dogs and won outright but they were outgained in that game.  Too many points here I will take Troy 

I will take Missouri here as they seem to have found their stride.  They have won 5 of their last 6 games and their only loss was @ Florida and they were the same type of dog in that game but on the road.  That tells me this line is inflated here.  Missouri has really found success in the air recently and I believe that is where they can get in the Bulldogs defense here.  Georgia has only covered one game in their last 5.

A little too much love here on the Patriots.  So yes they embarrassed the Chargers but should we really upgrade them for that?  Cam is really struggling right now and lets face it the Patriots offense is going to struggle against maybe right now the best defense in the league.  I trust Mcvay and company here to get it done.  This team is looking to win their division so they have plenty of motivation.  

I like Denver here in this spot Sunday night.  First, I could make the case they they are the most motivated team in the league following what took place with with them and the league last week with their QB situation.  I think that really fires them up for this especially against a division rival.  Also worth noting last week when the Broncos faced the Saints with a WR at QB the line was just a couple more points than now.  Chiefs are clearly a public team and I would make the case this is a let down spot for them following two big road game vs Raiders and Tampa now with two big ones on deck with Miami and Saints.  The total here is also 50.5 which everyone will be betting the over giving me more confidence the books know the low score here providing extra value with Denver 

I like the Cardinals here as now they opinion of them has changed here.  The look ahead line here was a PK and now both teams lose but the Rams get the love and are favored by 3?  I'm not buying this type of reaction.  I think Murray is healthy this week and the Cardinals were pretty unlucky last week @ New England or else I think they are favored here.  This game matters to the Cardinals more here as both teams would have the same record if AZ won.  I know both teams are motivated but to me these teams are equal and I will take AZ

I will take the Browns here in this game.  The Browns are in a role I much prefer them in and that is as a dog.  I think the narrative here is that they are a overrated 8-3 team and while I do believe that I think the Titans though you could make the same case about.  Titans off a huge road division win.  Also the Browns bring in the best running game in the league and I fully think they can control this game.  Also what do the Titans love to do is run the ball as well making less possessions favoring the big dog here.  Browns get Garrett back and we all know the difference he makes on that DL.

So the Raiders here were flat out embarrassed last week scoring just 3 points and got blown out by the Falcons.  I think this is a great bounce back spot for them here as they are very much alive in the playoff race for the AFC.  The Jets were in a great spot last week getting Darnold back and facing a division rival but flat out laid an egg.  Raiders have been a much better road road team this season with a 4-2 record SU and ATS.  Raiders in a great spot and I think we do see the effort following the horrible performance last week

I like the Dolphins here really to put the hammer down the Cincy.  The Bengals had a kickoff return last week and a late one after Jones went out for the Giants.  The fact that they covered they are getting some respect.  I know book makers wouldn't make Dolphins a 2 touchdown favorite but I don't think we all know how bad this Cincy team is now.  Their season is shot and quite frankly you will see their lines get bigger and bigger.  

I'm taking the Colts here in this game.  I think they will be extra motivated here following an ugly loss to the Titans who clearly had revenge on their mind.  The Colts here have a great advantage of running the ball and also return players from the Covid list last week.  Texans lost some key players in Roby on defense but their biggest player outside of Watson in their WR Fueller.  He meant so much to that offense I dont think they are adjusting enough for his loss.  

This ASU team should be extremely hungry here as they have only played one game this season.  In that game they were impressive as they were double digit underdogs @USC and really should have won that game.  UCLA has covered 3 straight now and they are getting respect because of their great performance at Oregon.  I'm just strictly siding with the more motivated team here with the Sun Devils ready to play game number 2.

This is just too many points here in this game.  I think it's clearly inflated because Washington all. of the sudden is now ranked.  This team lost a ton but wins over Oregon St Arizona and Utah put them up.  I'm not buying it now with them laying this number.  They laid the some number against Arizona who is so bad.  Stanford was unfortunate in week 1 @ Oregon as their QB couldn't play and was a later scratch.  They played tough to Colorado who is vastly improved and got their first win last week @ Cal.  I think Stanford hangs around and dont be shocked if they win

I will take all the points I can get here.  I dont think Indiana will lay down despite their QB being out for the season now.  They have a replacement who was a 4star and will be just fine.  This line would have been maybe 4 or so with that QB healthy but adjusting this much is crazy.  Once again do we know how good Wisky is?  I dont think so and Indiana's defense is good. 

I like Iowa St here this week.  I think most are going to look at them in a let down but I seem this totally different.  This team is pumped up and wanna end this on a high note and make a statement entering the Big 12 Championship team.  WVU is a team that has is 6-2 ATS and they have had a nice season themselves.  WVU has played 3 road conference games and have lost them all and only covered one which was pretty lucky @ Texas.  I love the momentum of the Cyclones here and believe they take care of business.  

I think it's fair to say that Oklahoma St has been a pretty lucky team to say the least.  They have some very narrow wins over Iowa St by 3 and Kansas St by 2 in which they could have easily lost both games.  Also with this line not moving at all I think odds makers are telling you a story here.  TCU has won 3 of their last 4 games and their loss was at West Virginia and they were 3 point dogs in that game and now they are roughly getting the same here.  Oklahoma St has failed to cover in 4 straight games.

So this is a strict fade of Texas as last week was a dream crusher to them.  With them losing to Iowa St they wont be able to play for the Conference Championship which is major let down for them and quite frankly why do they care about this game?  Kansas St has played well in this series going 4-1-1 ATS the last 6 meetings.  Kansas St has lost 4 straight games but they are 6-3 ATS this season

This will definetly be a sharp vs public type of game here.  Everyone now has teen Tom Brady in two prime time games simply wet the bed. They will for sure run to grab the Chiefs here based on those. results.   The Chiefs just aren't as good as anyone is making them out to be.  They have now survived back to back close games to the Panthers and Raiders and really could have easily lost both of those.  Chiefs are just 3-2 ATS on the road.  Also the Chiefs don't present a rush defense like the Rams did where Brady will have more time to pick them apart. 

I like the Broncos here in this spot.  They showed me something last week facing a red hot Dolphins team.  Yes, the Saints won and covered as the Falcons and Ryan were an absolute no show. However, I wasn't extremely impressed with Hill at all and just think since they covered this line is inflated.  The Saints only scored 24 on a very bad Falcons defense.  Denver is much better here and also the Saints have the Falcons again next week.  Weird spot for the Saints to be in here, I will take the points with Denver.

yea, the Cardinals haven't looked great the last few weeks and were extremely lucky against the Bills.  I think though we are getting a very cheap price here with them.  Murray is still having a great year and with the Patriots result last week it tells me they have thrown in the towel on the season.  That Texans team is flat out horrible and the Patriots were a no show.  Cardinals have a lot riding on their season and following a Thursday night loss with extra time to prep here I think they win this one and cover the short number.

I am really shocked this opened this low.  Last week the Vikings opened up a 7 point favorite vs the Cowboys and I had Dallas as they won outright.  Well now you're telling me that this Panther team without McCaffrey and possible a backup QB are better than Dallas?  No way I'm buying that at all.  Cook is going to have a field day against one of the worst rushing defenses in the league.  I know Thelin is on the Cover list but it shouldn't matter.  I really love this bounce back spot for Minnesota as they still have a legit chance at the playoffs. 

I had the Colts last week as they won and covered against the Packers in OT.  The Titans also won and covered abasing the Ravens in OT.  I really like these quick division revenge games.  These teams met just two games ago on a Thursday and the Colts really took it to them.  I think everyone will jump back on board them here.  The Titans still put up 157 on the ground vs this good Colts defense so I think the score was pretty misleading.  Tannehill played a horrible game which is what cost them.   This is a FG either way at most and wouldn't be shocked if the Titans won at their place this time around 

Alright the Chargers finally got win and now. lets back them here.  Every single game they have lost has been one possession.  The Chargers you could make the case for here that they are the best 3-7 team ever.   This team has talent across the board and I think will present problems for the Bills and their weak defense.  Buffalo coming off their bye probably feeling pretty fat and happy right now with a 7-3 start.  Their whole division just lost last week so giving them more cushion.  This isn't a Bills team I think should be laying near touchdowns to many teams at all.  They also play a. ton of close games as 6 of their. last 7 have been by one possession.  

I'm taking the Jets here in this game.  If you have watched the Dolphins since Tua has been starting you know they have been pretty lucky since a lot of their touchdowns have came fro their defense.  Tua got benched last week but now are starting again.  There. is plenty of film out and I think with this being a division game the Jets will be motivated.  Jets were also skinned 24-0 in the first meeting which I think provides a little extra edge as well. 

I believe the Aggies here will be able to name their score.  This LSU team brings in one of the worst defenses in the country and I think Jumbo would love to run it up on them.  The main reason I believe that is because last year LSU did that to them winning 50-7.  You better believe they wanna return the favor.  Also LSU has some injuries on defense in the secondary which is a huge concern.  The Aggies have been rolling since the loss to Bama. I think they put their foot down.

I will take Ole Miss here in the Egg Bowl.  You know Lane would love nothing more than to make a big time statement win at home vs new head coach Leach as well.  I just think the talent is clearly on the Ole Miss side here.  Their offense is tough to stop if you remember they scored 48 on Bama.  Granted their defense isn't great but they do make enough plays and any turnover they make you pay for it.  I trust Lane to pull out all the tricks here for a big time win for this team. 

This is an ugly game for sure but does Northwestern really deserve to be laying this many points on the road?  They are off a huge win over Wisconsin which I did back them last week in that win.  This sets up for a let down here especially given the fact that Michigan St has looked bad.  I will give them a bump here because they are coming off their bye and surely will have a different type of gameplay here going forward.  I dont see NW really scoring a ton as they only have one game over 27 points.  If they get to that number I love Michigan St to hang tough here.

I will take my chances here with Texas St getting all these points against everyones favorite team right now.  Coastal has covered every game so far this season and the betting public can't get enough of them.  They had a late pick six last week in order to. cover.  Texas St is off a nice win as an underdog over Arkansas St.  In fact Arkansas St have covered 4 straight games.  Also this game last year was Coastal -7 at home vs Texas St.  This line is clearly inflated.  Give me Texas St.

Here is another situation where I wonder how hard it will be for Oklahoma St to bounce back from.  They didn't just lose to Oklahoma last week they were beat down.  Those losses can have a big effect on a team.  Texas Tech is an interesting team as they have played a tough schedule.  They lost @Iowa St and Kansas St and were smaller dogs in both those games.  I think both those teams are better than Oklahoma St and that was a healthy K St team before they lost their QB.  Oklahoma St escaped wins vs Iowa St and Kansas St or else this could easily be a team that has lost 4 straight.  I think they are overrated.  

I like Maryland here in this spot.   This team will be extremely hungry as they haven't played for the last two weeks.  I think we. dont know how improved this. team is.  They won. as 17 point dogs and 25 point dogs vs Minnesota and Penn  St.  Granted neither of those teams are great but they still won outright.  Indiana is coming off their Super Bowl facing Ohio St last week and they gave it their all only losing by 7.  I just think for. them to get back up here is extremely difficult.   Also Indiana has a major look ahead next week @ Wisconsin.

I just think this line is crazy.  Nebraska goes from a two touchdown favorite to a two touchdown dog?  That is a big time. overreaction.   I'm not saying they dont have their issues but really?   Iowa's offense isn't exactly lighting up the scoreboard as they have benefitted big time in their last 3 games from turnovers.  This is a big rivalry game. and I think Frost will have them ready to  play.  Iowa will. look to. dominate on the ground like always.   This line was only.  3.5. last season and Iowa had a better team than they do. now.

I was on the Cowboys last week as they beat the Vikings straight up as a 7 point underdog.  The thing here is now Dalton is back healthy and more comfortable.  This  Cowboys team still has a ton of talent and that was on full display.  They beat literally one of the hottest teams in the league and that says something.  This Cowboys team still believes they can win this division and why not. I'm going to ride the momentum here of that win and believe it carries over here.  Dallas had their worst game of the season vs the. Football Team in scoring 3 points.  Cowboys out for some revenge on Thanksgiving.

I really like the Chiefs here in this spot Sunday night.  They have had this game circled on the schedule since they lost to them.  In. fact it has been the only. team to lose as a double digit favorite this season.  We all know Andy Reid is by far the best coach in the league or world for that matter off the bye.  The. Chiefs will be taking big time shot down the field to. expose that Raiders secondary.  I think they build a lead and that changes the Raiders gameplay as they want to control it on the ground again.  Mahomes and company make a statement win.

I like the Colts here in this game.  This is a team I really haven't looked to back much because of Rivers, but I think they are underrated right now.  This defense can flat out play and they are playing with a ton of confidence.  I think the Packers are extremely overrated and it proved last week as they struggled with a horrible Jags team.  Their defense is an issue but in large part it hasn't been shown because of their level of competition.  Indy can control the game on the ground here which I think is the key.  Also give me the way better D ,Colts win this game and cover the short number.

I like the spot here for the Cowboys.  yes, their defense is awful but I believe this is the ultimate sell high spot on the Vikings right now.  They have won and covered 3 straight games and all of these were against division teams.  Cowboys are off the bye now and do have some players healthy on defense.  I could really see the Vikings struggling out of the. gate here on the short week.  This is also one of those games that a lot of people will be picking in survivor pools.  If you follow that closely you know that in recent weeks teams that will be most selected have flat out struggled big time win the game example Packers last week.  Cowboys are a live dog 

I know Darnold is out in this game but I the Chargers laying double digits?  This is simply just too many points here. The Jets have covered 2 of their last 3 games and I have to question where the heads of the Chargers are after yet another single digit loss and essentially being eliminated from the playoffs last week.  Also the Chargers were favored by 8 over the Jags and covered but that was extremely misleading as the Jags lead that game late in the 3rd.  I wouldn't be shocked here if the Jets did something crazy and won this game.  They dont wanna be that team that has zero wins so I still think they will put forth an effort.

I'm adding the Football team here in this game today.  Cincy was in a great spot last week off their bye and flat out failed to show. Yes, the Football team got down. @ Detroit by 21 but clearly there is a lot of fight left in them and that is what you're looking for with these kind of teams. late in the season.  They fought back tied it and had a chance to win.  Also worth noting is the fact that the Football team has such a much better defense and they will be coming at Burrow left and right as he has one of the worst OL in the league

let's take Oklahoma here.  I just think this is a discount on them and in this series.  This has also been a big rivalry that has been extremely lopsided.  Oklahoma has won 5 straight and 7 of the last 8 in this series.  Oklahoma St has only covered twice during that span.  I think OU is now finding their speed as their offense woke up scoring 53,33,62,62 the last 4 games.  I'm not saying they will get that high but they clearly are clicking and this will by far be the best offense that the Cowboys have seen so far.  Oklahoma St has been outgunned 3 games that they have won outright.  I think their record is a little misleading given that.  OU rolls here

Grab this one now as I think we see sharp money move this as the week goes along.  Everyone will love Liberty here as they are ranked and undefeated and catching points.  Everyone will also remember the fact that they went on the road @ Va Tech and pulled the upset as a 14.5 point dog.  Well clearly now they are getting some respect.  NC played at Va Tech also and was only a 6.5 point dog so based on those lines this one should be 8 so we are getting a discount because of Liberty's undefeated record.  Also the fact that NC St won't be looking past them because of that win over Va Tech

I can't believe this line at all.  Tennessee is 2-4 and have lost 4 straight but that has them extremely undervalued here.  They lost to Georgia and Bama in 2 of those games so you can't fault them there.  I also think this Auburn team is overrated as they won two games vs Arkansas and Ole Miss that they shouldn't of based on calls.  They are getting a ton of respect because of. their most recent performance vs LSU.  Auburn has Bama on deck which is their biggest game of the year every year.  Tennessee is a live dog here

I like Iowa St here.  I know this a role that Campbell hasn't great in being favored by double digits.  I just think Kansas St wills struggle here with their. backup QB who. has 5. TD's and 5 interceptions. since. stepping in.  He clearly isn't anything special and I believe struggles big time against this Iowa St defense.  Both teams are off the bye.  Iowa St will be motivated here still playing for. the conference title hopes and also a. revenge game from last season.  

All I have heard all week is how Wisconsin is going to just beat down Northwestern.  When I hear these types of statements it always makes me look the other way.  First, do we actually know how good Wisky is by beating Illinois and Michigan?  Second odds makers are saying that Northwestern and Michigan are even based on the two lines this week and last.  There is no way I believe that at all.  This has been a series dominated by the dog going 6-1 ATS the last 7 meetings.  Badgers 1-5 ATS L6 games @ Northwestern

I will take the points here but I also dont mind Penn St on the ML.  I know most will question how much Penn St will have any interest but I still think Franklin will get them to play hard here.  This team outgunned Nebraska by over 200 yards and lost another game as they did the same vs Indiana.  If you have. watched Iowa you can't trust Petras their QB at all here.  He has 3 TD's to 4 INT's this season which is horrible considering who they have played.  Penn St defense is just outside the top 25 against the run which is what Iowa likes to do.  Wrong team is favored here

I normally don't look to play teams laying this big of number but I can't pass Nebraska up here.  I think Frost knows the importance here of rally opening up the playbook and really try and put it on Illinois.  I think this because of Mccaffrey running the show now and he just brings something different to the table that Martinez doesn't.  The team clearly responded with him and I think that is huge for them going forward.  We see them open it up here build some confidence and put it on this bad Illinois team. 

Coming later

So we are seeing the lowest total on the board this week and getting a dog of more than touchdown?  Yes, we. can all agree the.  Patriots are down and they needed a. comeback against the Jets as. everyone witnessed.  Alright, flip this situation and ask yourself. do you like what you. have seen from Baltimore on offense so far? I think it's safe to say that Baltimore can score around mid 20's.  To me if that's the scenario, then worst case that the Patriots are live for a back door even if they only have 14 points.  I trust Bellichick here in a prime time game to have his team ready

I like the Bengals here in this spot.  We all can clearly agree that Pitt is no where. near as good as their undefeated record.  Last week they struggled big time. against a pathetic Cowboys defense.  The Steelers offense has scored over 300 the last 3 games and I think this is difficult here for them coming off three 3 straight road games as well.  Cincy is fresh off their bye and had a big win going into their. bye week.  I look for the momentum to carry them. here.  Burrow is the real deal and he will move the. ball on them.  

Everyone right now seems to love the Dolphins.  Yes, they have been a nice surprise to say the least.  I. just think now we are seeing them in a role that they are use to being in.  This will only be the 2nd time all season that they have been favored and it was against the Jets the first time.  Yes, the Chargers have lost several close games but I think they rise to the occasion here.  Miami has multiple injuries at RB and WR.  I also think the fact that Miami keeps scoring defensive TD's has them inflated.

Alright this is a big time bounce back spot here for Detroit.  They  have lost.  back to back games but right now IMO they are playing the worst team in football in the Football team with the. fact that Alex Smith is now their starting QB.  This offense is just brutal and while. Smith's comeback story is nothing short of phenomenal but he has looked flat out terrible and simply isn't mobile.  Detroit here isn't eliminated from playoff contention yet and I think they bounce back with a big one in a great spot.

So this is a classic type of game here.  San Jose St historical has been one of the worst teams over the last how many years now.  Well they. are now 3-0 SU and ATS and getting all sorts of love right now.  This is the first time in like 40 years that San Jose St has been 3-0.  Their starting QB is also in question here which is worth noting.  UNLV. has yet to win a game and also yet to cover.  I think that has them extremely under valued here.  UNLV is now catching more point to a worse team than they have played so far.  I like all these points here

Boy this line sure is a weird one.  South Carolina was just catching less points against a legit top 15 in Texas AM.  This is a huge overreaction especially given the fact that Ole Miss has the worst defense in the league and they only have two wins as well.  I trust South Carolina here in a great bounce back spot vs a bad team here.  

Here is another spot where we have a unranked home favorite vs a ranked road dog.  I know SMU is a solid team and Im not. taking anything away from them.  I think people don't trust Tula simply because they haven't played as many games only 4.  They are coming off another bye week as well. Remember when they were suppose to play Cincy they were -3 favorites.  We all know how good Cincy is so I feel like we are getting a discount here with Tulsa.  Tulsa has won 4 of the last 6 in this series and the two they didn't win they still covered. 

This one is a head scratcher to me.  Northwestern is now ranked but they have beat Maryland, Iowa and Nebraska and the Iowa and Nebraska game were both coin flips.  I think the wrong team is favored here.  Purdue didn't play last week so they. have extra time to prepare here.  Also Purdue might be without. their  stud Moore but they. already. beat Iowa without him week 1.   I like Purdue to get the win outright here

This is the biggest let down of the season and probably will be throughout the season with Notre Dame here.  We all saw everyone storm the field last week after they took down Clemson in OT.  It was a pretty lucky comeback as they scored TD with under a minute left.  This BC team is the real deal here.  They are 5-3 SU and ATS.  It was no surprise that last week they barely won against Cuse as they were looking ahead to this game.  Also worth noting that BC QB is a Notre Dame transfer.  Talk about motivation. 

I like Sparty here in this game as Indiana is definitely very fat and happy.  Who would have thought just two weeks that the Hoosiers would be laying a TD on the road. here?  This seems to. be a big time overreaction here.  Sparty got blown out last week @ Iowa as it was a get right game for Iowa.  I'm buying Indiana at all here if you remember game 1 they were outgunned big time by Penn St and should have lost that game.  I think Sparty is live here to. win outright

I love the Bucs here Sunday night.  They clearly had this game circled as we saw their no show performance on Monday night against the Giants.  I love this spot for the Bucs because they have this game circled as. they lost week 1 and it was Brady's fault as he threw. the pick 6 that sealed the game.  I also think the betting public will love that. Thomas and Sanders will be back this week so they think the Saints will score well I dont it see it that way.  The Saints O and Brees check downs dont scare the Bucs.  I trust Bucs in the revenge game 

I like the Cardinals here in this game.  I like people are going to big time overreact to what they saw vs the Rams last week.  The Dolphins were very lucky having multiple defensive/special teams touchdowns.  The offense couldn't get over 200 total yards for the game.  Now, they dont have a running game at all with cluster injuries at that position.  AZ coming off the bye week and the look ahead line last week was 6.  There is no reason to downgrade the Cardinals for not playing.  I think they roll here in this spot.  

I think the betting public will love them some Raiders here this week.  Yes the Raiders have surprised a lot of people this season but I also think they are over valued here as the look ahead line was the Chargers -3 last week.  So with Vegas winning and Chargers losing in horrific fashion no one will want the Chargers who could easily be above 500 here.  I think this is the ultimate rally the troops game as the coaches will be preaching they still have a chance at the playoffs if they win this game which they do.  A loss here would mean season over.  max effort here for the Chargers. 

I like the Panthers here in this game.  First, they return their stud CMC and he clearly matches up very well against the Chiefs here as they struggle against the run.  The Chiefs I doubt are that interested here as their bye week is looming.  Carolina and Teddy will take. care of the ball which is. why he covers. so well as a dog.  They have the longer week to prepare here coming off Thursday night.  I see Carolina scoring in the 20's which will be enough to cover here easily.  

I like the Titans here which won't be a popular pick by any means.  Let's look at it as the Bears are 5-3 and 5-3 ATS and everyone loves their defense as it keeps them in games.  I think oddsmakers are clearly tilting their hand here to what they feel about the Bears.  The Bears also have big time cluster injuries on their OL that is already one of the worst in the league.  Titans are undervalued here and they do score 30 ppg.  With the Titans losing to the Bengals last week everyone will write them off.  I love them this week.  Bears also off an OT loss which is more difficult 

I know I missed a better number here with Stanford but I still like them at this price.  I think. people just tend to think Oregon is this high flying scoring offense.  This team lost Herbert and we see how good he is now in the NFL and I just think it's tough for them to replace him.  Also Oregon has a lot of key players sitting out this season because of COVID so they have inexperience everywhere for a team laying this many points.  They also have a new OC as well.  I trust Stanford and Shaw here in a nice bounce back season.  

I think now is the perfect time to fade the Razorbacks here.  They area perfect 5-0 ATS this season and now are being over valued plain and simple.  Their two wins are against Ole Miss and Miss St who are both ugly teams.  The Vols have lost 3 straight and that has them extremely underrated.  However, two of those losses were against Georgia and Bama so you can't fault them here.  I expect a motivated Vols team here off the bye 

Every year we see this Clemson team really play down to their competition and that is the wake up. call they need.  Well last week their stud Lawrence has COVID backup QB now in and they were missing several key starters on defense.  Well they had this huge look ahead and just won the game but didn't look pretty.  Notre Dame will be a popular dog pick this weekend based on everything I mentioned.  I think they are highly overrated and have escaped some ugly teams so far.  This Clemson D is legit and Book for. ND won't know what hit him.  Clemson wins easy