09-29-24 |
Bengals -4.5 v. Panthers |
|
34-24 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
The Cincinnati Bengals truthfully could be a 3-0 team. They were in position to win all three of their games against the Patriots, Chiefs, and last week’s loss against the Commanders. The offense has to help their struggling defense by turning drives from field goals to touchdowns. Often times we see veteran backups step in at the quarterback position and ignite their team in their first start before a big swing the other direction. Take the Bengals to pick up their first win of the season and cover.
|
09-29-24 |
Saints +3 v. Falcons |
|
24-26 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
The New Orleans Saints must recover after a poor showing offensively in last week’s home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. With a bevy of injuries on both sides of the football the game plan is going to center on their defense. Atlanta is already 0-2 at home and there seems to be a lack of synergy to finish out a game. Take the Saints to manage through their injuries against the Falcons.
|
09-29-24 |
Jaguars +6 v. Texans |
|
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
The Jacksonville Jaguars have the daunting task of traveling on the road once again after Monday’s blowout loss to Buffalo. The good news is they will be playing a divisional rival in the Houston Texans. It’s actually the last win Trevor Lawrence had under center back in November of 2023. Look for the offense to perform better without a ballooned deficit to work out of. Take the points with the Jaguars.
|
09-28-24 |
New Mexico -9 v. New Mexico State |
|
50-40 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 24 m |
Show
|
New Mexico State has endured one of the toughest transitions from a lower level college football team. Their former coach Jerry Kill retired and they also lost transfer quarterback Diego Pavia. After leading most of their week two game against Liberty, the wheels have fallen off. Look for New Mexico to take advantage with their potent offense and get the road cover in Las Cruces.
|
09-28-24 |
Ohio State -23.5 v. Michigan State |
|
38-7 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
As is typical for the Ohio State Buckeyes they are huge road favorites even in conference play. In last week’s win over Marshall the Buckeyes were finally tested in the first half from a defensive stand point. That was the proper tune up to get the Buckeyes defense ready for conference play. They limit Aidan Chiles enough to get the road cover. Lay it with the Buckeyes.
|
09-28-24 |
Charlotte +4.5 v. Rice |
|
21-20 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
Charlotte’s lone win on the season was a narrow one point win over FCS Gardner Webb. Yet, money continues to bring down their spread today against Rice. It’s a conference opponent that has really struggled on both sides of the football, and is coming off a blowout loss as six point underdogs against Army. Look for the 49ers to lean on last year’s late season matchup in a revenge spot today. Take the underdog here with Charlotte.
|
09-28-24 |
South Florida v. Tulane -4 |
|
10-45 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
South Florida has a tough American conference opener against Tulane. They will travel on the road after facing Alabama and Miami in two of their last three games. Look for Tulane to continue to run their offense through tailback Makhi Hughes. Hughes had 128 rushing yards against Kansas State, and in last week’s win 166 yards against UL Lafayette. The ground attack and consistent offense for two halves gets the Green Wave past the number.
|
09-28-24 |
Navy -4 v. UAB |
|
41-18 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
The Navy Midshipmen are now 3-0 thank to last weeks upset over Memphis. Today is a potential let down spot in a neutral site game against UAB. UAB is off consecutive losses but gave Arkansas a battle last week. As talented as their senior quarterback is in Jacob Zeno, they struggled a season ago with just six points against Navy. Take Navy to get past the number and start the season 4-0.
|
09-28-24 |
BYU v. Baylor -3 |
|
34-28 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 5 m |
Show
|
BYU finds themselves ranked after a surprising blowout win at home against Kansas State. Now ranked, this is typically where a team falters. BYU is playing in their first game not after 5PM, and is going up against a team in Baylor that will test their defense. Look for Baylor to respond off of last week’s melt down loss to Colorado.
|
09-23-24 |
Jaguars +5.5 v. Bills |
|
10-47 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 2 m |
Show
|
Over Trevor Lawrence’s last seven starts the Jaguars are winless. But this creates a value spot on an over reaction. Jacksonville was still in both of their games thanks to their defense, in two close losses. Additionally, Jacksonville excelled in last year’s London 25-20 win over Buffalo. The defense limited the Bills to just twenty nine rushing yards, and Trevor Lawrence had one of this two 300 yard passing games on the season. Grab the points with Jacksonville.
|
09-22-24 |
Lions -2.5 v. Cardinals |
|
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
Detroit is fortunate they are not 0-2 on the season. Sometimes getting on the road for the first time can help alleviate some of the early season rust. Detroit gets to face an Arizona Cardinals team that is coming off their most lopsided victory since the 2016 season. Sell high spot here on the Cardinals, as the Lions gut out a tough road win in Arizona.
|
09-22-24 |
Broncos +6.5 v. Bucs |
|
26-7 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 58 m |
Show
|
Tampa Bay’s start to the season has featured two strong performances over Washington and Detroit. Washington featured a rookie quarterback in his first start, and Tampa Bay had familiarity in their third matchup against Detroit in the past year. As poor as Denver has played offensively, they have lost both their games by a touchdown or less. Look for Denver to fight once again and get a road cover at Tampa.
|
09-21-24 |
Arizona State v. Texas Tech -3.5 |
|
22-30 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
Arizona State goes into Big 12 conference play with a surprising undefeated record. Their turn around is the real deal but this is a tough conference opener for the Sun Devils. This is their first time slot of the season that is not a night game. They also struggled in their first true road game of the season at Texas State, digging a 21-7 hole. Look for the Texas Tech Raiders to continue their potent offensive scoring that has scored 52 and 66 points at home. Take Texas Tech.
|
09-21-24 |
Kansas +1.5 v. West Virginia |
|
28-32 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
Mid-week my initial thoughts were to take the West Virginia Mountaineers. They are coming off a tough loss blowing a ten point lead last week late to the Pittsburgh Panthers. As down as the Jayhawks have played they are to potent to continue miscues offensively. Expect quarterback Jalon Daniels to finally exhibit two halves of solid play, and for the team to pick up their energy on the road. Take the Jayhawks as the slight underdogs.
|
09-20-24 |
San Jose State +12.5 v. Washington State |
|
52-54 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 13 m |
Show
|
Washington State has had back to back upsets over Texas Tech and Washington to put themselves on the map. Friday expect a test from San Jose State who have one of the top wide receivers in college football. 25 year old Nick Nash has 485 yards receiving and six touchdowns. Quarterback Emmett Brown also has a chance to defeat his old team as he was a backup quarterback at Washington State last season. Take the Spartans to hang within the double digit spread plus the points.
|
09-15-24 |
Steelers v. Broncos +2.5 |
|
13-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh showed their defensive might in week one on the road against Atlanta. The offense did not have to show much, and now will have to go on the road for a second consecutive week. Denver’s rookie quarterback Bo Nix did not have a good first game, but stuck with it and got the Broncos into the end zone on their final drive. Take Denver at home to clean up the offense and battle defensively against the Steelers.
|
09-15-24 |
Bucs v. Lions -7.5 |
|
20-16 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 39 m |
Show
|
The Detroit Lions will be sizable favorites every week, and showed that with an enormous line move before Sunday night football last week. Now instead of a 3.5 point favorite they have ballooned double the number against Tampa Bay. This is a rare spot I don’t mind backing the big number. This is the third matchup between the Lions and Buccaneers over the last two seasons, and Tampa Bay has always been an untrustworthy team off a big win. Lay it with the Lions
|
09-14-24 |
Appalachian State v. East Carolina +1 |
|
21-19 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 24 m |
Show
|
East Carolina has started the season 2-0, and will now face Appalachian State for the third time in the last four years. For Appalachian State it was not the fact that they lost to Clemson last week, but the fact their defense gave up fifty six points in the first half. In last year’s matchup the Pirates led 28-22 in the third quarter before unraveling. Look for East Carolina to finish off the job this season.
|
09-14-24 |
Washington State +6 v. Washington |
|
24-19 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
Last season the Washington State Cougars nearly tripped up the Washington Huskies undefeated season, in a close 24-21 loss. This year both teams are different as the Huskies replaced Michael Penix with Will Rogers. In his first two games the Huskies faced Eastern Michigan and Weber State. A different caliber team in the Cougars who should be able to hang around similar to last season. Take the points.
|
09-14-24 |
LSU -6 v. South Carolina |
|
36-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
Through their first two games the South Carolina Gamecocks point spreads have been way off. Their first game as nearly three touchdown favorites against Old Dominion they were almost upset, and last week they trounced Kentucky as nine point underdogs. Look for LSU to show up on both sides of the football as they finally showcase their true potential, and the number to be off on Gamecocks games for a third straight week.
|
09-12-24 |
Arizona State v. Texas State +1.5 |
|
31-28 |
Loss |
-120 |
20 h 11 m |
Show
|
We have seen a swift adjustment twice on the Arizona State and Texas State matchup. Arizona State has had the exposure in nationally televised games and won in a big way over Wyoming and Mississippi State. Yet, their tailback Cam Skattebo carried a heavy work load of 33 carries for 262 yards. His durability could be in question on a short week. Additionally, Texas State has an uncanny ability to put up points that is going to test ASU’s defense. Take the home team here in Texas State.
|
09-09-24 |
Jets +4.5 v. 49ers |
|
19-32 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
The New York Jets throughout most of the summer were +5.5 against San Francisco, now we have seen the number bounce around to 3.5, now back to 4.5. This is a key number to grab early in the AM as this likely will come down again. This is a 49ers team similar to Cincinnati that has had distractions with their premier wide receiver in Brandon Aiyuk, tackle in Trent Williams, and Christian McCaffrey is dinged up going into the season. Not to mention Brock Purdy was shaky in the preseason. Take the Jets plus the points.
|
09-08-24 |
Commanders +4 v. Bucs |
|
20-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
The Washington Commanders are another team that have a new Coach in Dan Quinn and a new OC with Kliff Kingsbury. They got their rookie quarterback with Jaylen Daniels who is going to bring a versatile element that’s unexpected week one. Expect the Commanders to be ready on both sides of he football from a prep stand point. Take the Commanders.
|
09-08-24 |
Raiders v. Chargers -3 |
|
10-22 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
I’m a proponent of backing a team with a new coach. For the LA Chargers they not only brought in John Harbaugh as coach, but they shifted a lot of personnel. No longer is Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler. Still defensively, they’ve had success against the Raiders including Khalil Mack having a monster sack game. Take the Chargers as Harbaugh comes out victorious on the small number
|
09-08-24 |
Titans v. Bears -3.5 |
|
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 4 m |
Show
|
The Chicago Bears have heightened new expectations even with a rookie quarterback in Caleb Williams. Last year the Tennessee Titans were one of the more frustrating teams because of their inability to compete in second halves. That’s a trait I don’t expect Will Levis to shake in week one against a strong Bears defense. Take the Bears to win by four points or more.
|
09-08-24 |
Vikings -1 v. Giants |
|
28-6 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 4 m |
Show
|
The Minnesota Vikings have veteran Sam Darnold leading the team with rookie JJ McCarthy out for the year. With all the issues the Vikings had the second half of the season at the quarterback position, the Vikings could be getting decreased attention from oddsmakers in week one. The New York Giants will be better than most anticipate offensively, but expect the rust to show for Daniel Jones who is as turnover prone as any starter in football. Take the Vikings.
|
09-07-24 |
Mississippi State v. Arizona State -5.5 |
|
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
After week one the books adjusted the win total of Arizona State from three to six wins. That’s as drastic of a shift as you will see, and that means bigger spreads as favorites for the Sun Devils. The students are back in Tempe, as last week’s student section crowd set a record since 2010. Look for the crowd to be fired up once again, as Arizona State starts off the season a surprisingly 2-0.
|
09-07-24 |
Oregon State v. San Diego State +6 |
|
21-0 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
San Diego State is a team that has very little expectations for 2024. Yet, being a six point home underdog is a bit to high in my opinion against Oregon State. The Beavers have had a lot of moves including their former coach heading to Michigan State. Take the Aztecs to have a ball control game plan under quarterback Danny O’Neil.
|
09-07-24 |
UTSA v. Texas State -1 |
|
10-49 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
Both Texas State and UTSA had close calls in their week one games. The Roadrunners nearly blew a double digit lead against Kennesaw State, and Texas State defeated Lamar by just a touchdown. Expect Texas State to clean up the issues they had defensively in the second half against Lamar. Led by quarterback Jordan McCloud look for the Bobcats to pile up the yards in the win.
|
09-07-24 |
Iowa State +2.5 v. Iowa |
|
20-19 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
|
Each of the last four seasons the road team has won in the Iowa-Iowa State series. Additionally, the games are typically low scoring by the nature of both teams styles. Expect the Cyclones to focus on limiting the Iowa rush attack, as they limited Kaleb Johnson to just twenty eight yards on fifteen carries last season. Grab the points here with Iowa State.
|
09-07-24 |
Texas v. Michigan +7 |
|
31-12 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
The season for the Michigan Wolverines at one point may hit a wall. Their offense has a lot of work to do, but in week two they can still live off their defense. A defense that has given up just 9.5 points over their last eight home games. Going into Ann Arbor is always tough, and will give the Texas Longhorns problems. Back the Wolverines.
|
08-31-24 |
North Alabama v. Memphis -36.5 |
|
0-40 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 60 m |
Show
|
There are offenses that you can depend on even with a susceptible defense in week one. That’s the case with the Memphis Tigers who should be good for a range of 50-55 points with their potent offense. In last season’s opener they won 56 to 14. Expect a similar result that would get us the cover once again. Take Memphis.
|
08-31-24 |
North Texas v. South Alabama -6 |
|
52-38 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
South Alabama is entering a new era as former starting quarterback Carter Bradley is now in the NFL. That gives us a bit of line value in the Jaguars season opener against North Texas. New quarterback Gio Lopez has been with the program and capable of leading an explosive Jaguars offense. This is a case where a strong second half will pull away from the number here. Take South Alabama.
|
08-31-24 |
Old Dominion v. South Carolina -21 |
|
19-23 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
South Carolina is a three touchdown favorite in their first game against Old Dominion. The Monarchs as a team and quarterback Grant Wilson had mixed results a season ago. They played competitively as big underdogs against James Madison and upset Appalachian State. Yet, facing South Carolina is too tall of a task even with the Gamecocks transitioning from Spencer Rattler. Lay the three touchdown spread with the Gamecocks.
|
08-31-24 |
Kennesaw State +24 v. UTSA |
|
16-28 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
In collegiate sports I love the angle of attacking a team making the step up to division one. Last season I used the angle for both Jacksonville State and Sam Houston as they covered in their week one matchups. I’ll do the same today with Kennesaw State against a UT San Antonio team making their transition without long time quarterback Frank Harris. Look for one down quarter of play to be enough on a large spread. Grab the points with Kennesaw State.
|
08-31-24 |
Miami-OH +3 v. Northwestern |
|
6-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 28 m |
Show
|
We have already seen the Big Ten struggle in week one matchups from an ATS stand point, this includes Wisconsin having issues against MAC opponent Western Michigan. Look for Miami Ohio to give Northwestern problems as well. The RedHawks were an excellent defensive team last season, and defeated Northwestern on the road just two seasons ago. Grab the points here with Miami Ohio.
|
08-30-24 |
Florida Atlantic +13.5 v. Michigan State |
|
10-16 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
The Michigan State Spartans bring in a new era with Coach Jonathan Smith. He over hauled the Spartans roster with high end transfers including bringing over quarterback Aiden Chiles. Florida Atlantic also has a new quarterback in Cam Fancher that is eager for a fresh start after a woeful season with Marshall. Likely a double digit result here for Michigan State but on the low end closer to ten points. Grab the points here with Florida Atlantic.
|
08-29-24 |
North Carolina v. Minnesota +2 |
|
19-17 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
When one thinks of a college football revenge game, it’s typically related to conference matchups. Yet, early in the season there are several repeat matchups from a season ago. One includes Minnesota who was embarrassed last season 31 to 13 against North Carolina. On their home field look for their defense to fare better this season, and newcomer at quarterback Max Brosmer to deliver. Take the home underdog in the Gophers.
|
08-29-24 |
North Dakota State +10.5 v. Colorado |
|
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
Colorado closed out last season with a steep decline by losing their final six games. Expectations are much different going into this season, and the pressure is on Coach Deion Sanders. They’ll be improved but this spread has rose far to much for an opening season game. Take the points with North Dakota State now getting a double digit spread.
|
08-29-24 |
Western Carolina +32 v. NC State |
|
21-38 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
Early in the season there are just matchups that are far to high on a point spread. We saw it in week zero where both lopsided spreads fared to the underdog, in Delaware State and Nevada. That is the case for Western Carolina, who will face an NC State team working in a top level transfer quarterback in Grayson McCall. McCall did not finish out last season with an injury so there will be rust in week one and likely the first few games for NC State. Grab the points with Western Carolina.
|
08-24-24 |
SMU -27 v. Nevada |
|
29-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
104 h 35 m |
Show
|
In week zero we know that there is going to be a bit of sloppy football on display. That does not bode well for the Nevada Wolf Pack who have won two games each of the last two seasons. Last season Preston Stone in his first year as starting quarterback began the season slow, but in his final six games the Mustangs scored an average of fifty points per game. Take SMU as the big road favorite.
|
01-14-24 |
Rams v. Lions -3 |
|
23-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
Most of the week I was leaning towards the Rams side. But something about home field advantage typically carries over in the postseason. We saw this in both of yesterday’s postseason openers. On a small number I trust the Detroit potent offense to push the football down the field on a young Rams defense. Close game but Detroit cashes ATS.
|
01-08-24 |
Washington v. Michigan -5 |
|
13-34 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
Several times this season the Washington Huskies have side stepped the naysayers via the spread as underdogs, and on the field. Undefeated they have won their last two games outright. Today it ends as Michigan completes their task after a thrilling comeback win over Alabama. Grab the Wolverines.
|
01-07-24 |
Bills -3 v. Dolphins |
|
21-14 |
Win
|
102 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
With the Jaguars trailing at halftime now is where I see a bit more value on the Buffalo Bills side. Even with the Bills likely to be in with a Jags loss, they still want the momentum of closing out their season strong. Additionally, they could win the division with a win over Miami. Grab the Bills.
|
01-07-24 |
Chiefs +3 v. Chargers |
|
13-12 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 48 m |
Show
|
We have seen two scenarios so far where resting starters has led to an easy victory for the opposition. We saw Pittsburgh pull away from Baltimore, and Cincinnati blow out Cleveland. With Kansas City, I expect a different outcome. Blaine Gabbert is a long time veteran, and the Chiefs have filled their roster with complimentary players versus a couple of stars. Grab the Chiefs.
|
12-31-23 |
Packers v. Vikings |
|
33-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
Kevin O’Connell has got a few wins simply by rotating quarterbacks. It started with Josh Dobbs, and although they did not win Nick Mullens had success with the offense. Look for Hall to have similar success but to cut out the turnovers. Green Bay is thin in their skill positions. Take the Vikings to complete the season sweep over Green Bay.
|
12-31-23 |
Saints +2.5 v. Bucs |
|
23-13 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
Buy the half point on the market here with the Saints. I’ve been big on the Buccaneers during their hot streak, but facing a divisional opponent is where team weaknesses can be exposed. The Bucs needed a last minute touchdown to escape in a recent win over the Falcons, and I believe they’ll be in for a true battle Sunday. Take the points on a sell high spot after Tampa Bay’s blowout over Jacksonville.
|
12-26-23 |
Bowling Green +3 v. Minnesota |
|
24-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
I’ve shied away from the early bowls due to so many opt outs, but see an opportunity today. Bowling Green from the MAC is getting discredited today based on facing a Power Five school. While Minnesota has had a stingy defense at times, their offense is subpar at best. A five win team that should not be in a bowl, take Bowling Green.
|
12-24-23 |
Patriots +7.5 v. Broncos |
|
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
New England’s season of high losses is likely to to continue tonight against Denver. Yet, I think the spread is to high here. New England has been a bit better defensively, and Russ Wilson is showing a bit of an end of season slide. Take the points here with the Patriots.
|
12-24-23 |
Jaguars v. Bucs +2 |
|
12-30 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
Jacksonville has been dynamite on the road with a 5-1 record, but they did lose at Cleveland and are on a three game losing streak. Tampa Bay has opened up the offense a bit more and Baker Mayfield surprisingly has found a home. Jacksonville may get the early lead here but look for Tampa Bay’s strong end of season to continue. Take the Bucs.
|
12-17-23 |
Cowboys v. Bills -1.5 |
|
10-31 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
Buffalo has taken care of business on their home field this season. Their issues have been on the road and in Europe. While Dallas projects as the better team I see this as a spot where the Bills continue their push. Look for their new way of grinding out wins to payoff as they handle the Cowboys. Grab Buffalo.
|
12-17-23 |
Texans v. Titans -3 |
|
19-16 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
Late in the season we see teams start to over acheive for the following season. The Tennessee Titans could be in that boat with quarterback Will Levi. Houston has had issues with their own quarterback injuries, and depth issues. Take the Titans even on a short week Sunday.
|
12-10-23 |
Vikings -2.5 v. Raiders |
|
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
Post bye week I expect the Vikings to have corrected issues with quarterback Josh Dobbs, who is still adjusting after being traded. The Vegas Raiders are going to also have success but this boils down to the Vikings being in a must win situation. Look for Coach O'Connell to utilize his tail backs more and get the play making needed to pull out the win. Grab the Vikings.
|
12-10-23 |
Lions v. Bears +3.5 |
|
13-28 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
|
Quick write up here but the Bears strength on stopping the run should limit a Lions team offensively. Justin Fields tends to have some of his better games through the air in the division as well. Take the home underdog in the Bears.
|
12-03-23 |
Browns +4 v. Rams |
|
19-36 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
To be down to an emergency starting quarterback in Joe Flacco is a rare site in the NFL. The veteran will step in for a team that did not do well offensively as a small road underdog last week against the Broncos. Still, this is a team that has managed to overcome a lot and has not folded multiple weeks in a row. Take the Browns plus the points.
|
12-03-23 |
Cardinals +7 v. Steelers |
|
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 37 m |
Show
|
It is common knowledge that Arizona does not want to win as they try and keep their chances high for a top draft pick. Traveling to face a Pittsburgh team that is rejuvenated offensively is a tricky spot. Still, I expect a good effort more to the tune of what we saw a couple of weeks ago against Houston. Take the big number underdog Cardinals here.
|
12-01-23 |
Oregon -9 v. Washington |
|
31-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
Washington has had an unblemished season but today could be trouble against Oregon. Their prior matchup in mid-October was a game that Oregon let get away late. A late game decision to go for it on fourth down did not pan out, and a missed field goal prevented overtime. Look for Oregon to play as the team that should be undefeated and to take it out on the Huskies. Grab Oregon.
|
11-26-23 |
Jaguars v. Texans +2 |
|
24-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
Jacksonville has had just one blemish and that was acceptable since it came at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers. For the Texans this is a chance to show that they are more than an up and coming young team. Look for the Texans to step up to the challenge and sweep the Jaguars this season.
|
11-25-23 |
Ohio State v. Michigan -3.5 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
105 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
Both Ohio State and Michigan will look to keep their undefeated seasons going Saturday. For all the controversy surrounding Michigan they have continued to not make excuses on the field. Look for a great game from both teams, but the execution to be just a little bit better on the Wolverines side. Grab Michigan as the home favorite.
|
11-25-23 |
Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Duke |
|
19-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh has not won consecutive games all season, but don’t rule out a strong showing Saturday. Quarterback Nate Yarnell made the necessary plays against Boston College, and has confidence going into the Panthers regular season finale. Duke may be bowl eligible but they have faded losing four of their last five games. Grab Pittsburgh.
|
11-24-23 |
UTSA +3 v. Tulane |
|
16-29 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
Tulane has the stout resume of a season record of 10-1. In fact, their lone loss occurred against a top fifteen team in Ole Miss. Yet, three of their last four wins have been decided by three points or less. With UTSA healthy with quarterback Frank Harris they present a completely different challenge for Tulane. Grab UTSA.
|
11-19-23 |
Cardinals +6 v. Texans |
|
16-21 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
The surprise element to a team can provide a spark no matter how down the season has been. We have seen this with the Raiders and for one week with Arizona and Kyler Murray. Houston has been potent with their offense but they are 0-3 ATS this year against NFC opponents in the Bucs, Panthers, and Falcons. Grab the points here with Arizona.
|
11-18-23 |
Washington v. Oregon State |
|
22-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
At this point of the season Washington has showcased they are a great team. They’ve survived close calls and showed the ability to stay with it last week against USC. Tonight though Oregon State should be ready for this moment. A win and they are a top ten team and play spoiler to Washington’s season. Grab Oregon State at home.
|
11-12-23 |
49ers -3 v. Jaguars |
|
34-3 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
A game of importance will be the San Francisco 49ers versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. This is the game many will be watching to see if the Jaguars are the real deal. At 6-2, this could catapult them to a serious AFC postseason threat. Yet, I like the 49ers to come out of their bye week with the mindset they’ve had in the prior years. Take the 49ers to pull out a close road win and cover the number.
|
11-12-23 |
Packers +3.5 v. Steelers |
|
19-23 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
The Green Bay Packers have been a hard team to watch. Even with a clear advantage at home last week against the Rams they struggled to move the football. They closed the door finally and in the NFL all it takes is one win to regain a teams confidence. On the road take the points here with the Packers.
|
11-11-23 |
Iowa State v. BYU +7.5 |
|
45-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
BYU has continued to fade in their first season in the Big 12. They’ve lost consecutive games in blowout fashion and scored a grand total of a mere thirteen points. Yet, they do return home where they are 4-0 on the season. They’re also back in their familiar time slot playing in a late game. Iowa State gets the win but BYU covers on the number.
|
11-11-23 |
Cincinnati +3 v. Houston |
|
24-14 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
It has been a tough year for Cincinnati as they are 0-6 in conference play. Throughout the struggles the team has stuck with multi-transfer quarterback Emory Jones. Today, he should have some opportunities against a Houston defense that gives up close to 32 points per game. I like the Bearcats in this spot to have a chance to pull off the small upset, but grab the points.
|
11-11-23 |
New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -4 |
|
38-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
New Mexico State has ripped through Conference USA play thus far with five straight wins. Their performance on the field has been sharper than their 2-3 start to the season, but also lined up with easier opponents. Look for the Hilltoppers to have the edge today led by quarterback Austin Reed. This could also be a look ahead spot as New Mexico State faces Auburn next.
|
11-05-23 |
Giants v. Raiders -1 |
|
6-30 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 45 m |
Show
|
The Raiders made a long overdue switch by firing Josh McDaniels. A move of this sorts typically ignites a team which has been solid at home. They won tight games against both the Packers and Patriots. While the talent is going to need an overhaul look for the Raiders to play inspired football and beat the Giants.
|
11-05-23 |
Bucs v. Texans -2.5 |
|
37-39 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 20 m |
Show
|
Throughout the NFL we are seeing teams make a change at the quarterback position. Tampa Bay appears they may be headed in that direction as well. Baker Mayfield had several opportunities against the Falcons and could not deliver and struggled for much of the game against the Bills. Take the Texans on a buy low spot coming off a loss to Carolina.
|
11-04-23 |
Miami-FL -6 v. NC State |
|
6-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Miami Hurricanes will face an NC State team that has had a season of ups and downs. A problem for quarterback MJ Morris has been the ability to avoid mistakes. In his first start against Marshall he had three interceptions, and also struggled against Duke. Look for the Hurricanes to put him in disadvantage situations defensively and pull off a decisive road win. Take Miami.
|
11-04-23 |
Georgia Southern +3 v. Texas State |
|
24-45 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
Texas State began the season with a 4-1 record. Over their last three games they have failed to cover the spread. They blew a lead against UL Lafayette and let a sloppy fourth quarter blow open a close game last week against Troy. Look for late game situation miscues to continue even in their third straight home game.
|
11-04-23 |
Coastal Carolina +1 v. Old Dominion |
|
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
Old Dominion may be playing at their peak of their abilities. As a home underdog two weeks ago they upset Appalachian State. Then this past Saturday as near three touchdown underdogs they nearly defeated James Madison. Look for today to be a letdown spot against a Coastal Carolina team that is playing inspired football with backup quarterback Jarrett Guest. Take the road team here in Coastal Carolina.
|
11-04-23 |
UL-Lafayette -7 v. Arkansas State |
|
17-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
UL Lafayette has a chance to win consecutive games for the first time in conference play. To get it done they will need to win on the road as they did last week against South Alabama. Arkansas State has a knack for hanging in games but UL Lafayette is going in a strong direction upward with freshman quarterback Zeon Chriss gaining confidence. Take UL Lafayette.
|
11-02-23 |
TCU v. Texas Tech -2.5 |
|
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
It’s rare to see a team that played in last year’s BCS be on the cusp of falling below .500. TCU has been a completely different team since their starting quarterback Chandler Morris went down. They’ve dropped three of their last four games including a 41-3 loss to Kansas State. Take Texas Tech as the small favorite.
|
11-01-23 |
Ball State +5.5 v. Bowling Green |
|
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
Bowling Green comes into today’s matchup against Ball State with consecutive victories and wins in three of their last four matchups. Yet, in the first set of early Mac-tion games look for a bit of sloppy play tonight. Ball State’s ground attack should offset any issues with the passing game. Look for a battle here with Ball State covering the number.
|
10-29-23 |
Vikings v. Packers +1 |
|
24-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
The Packers have not had a home game since late September. As a result they have lost some close calls to the Raiders and Broncos. Facing a resurgent Vikings team look for the Packers to get off to a better start. Protecting their first year starter should be a bit easier at home, and look for the Vikings miscues to occur. Take the Packers.
|
10-28-23 |
Troy -6.5 v. Texas State |
|
31-13 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
One of the top matchups outside of the power five conferences comes between Troy and Texas State. Both teams are 5-2 and rested as they have not played since October 14th. Yet, prior to their bye weeks both teams trajectory was changing. The Bobcats had struggled in close matchups in consecutive weeks, while the Trojans had elevated their play. Take Troy as the big road favorite.
|
10-28-23 |
Marshall -3 v. Coastal Carolina |
|
6-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
Coastal Carolina’s Grayson McCall is doubtful today after a scary hit late in last week’s victory over Arkansas State. This is an opportunity for Marshall to over ride poor play over the last three week’s that’s resulted in all losses. I expect the Thundering Herd to come out with much more aggression after an embarrassing nationally televised loss against James Madison. Take Marshall
|
10-28-23 |
UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. South Alabama |
|
33-20 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
South Alabama had two straight complete blowout victories before their bye week. The margin of victories were not expected by oddsmakers to that degree, but the competition had a combined conference record of 0-8. Look for the Jaguars to still play solid football but to face a different level of a team in UL Lafayette. Take the underdog here.
|
10-28-23 |
Duke +6.5 v. Louisville |
|
0-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
Duke is coming off an ineffective game offensively as they lost by eighteen points against Florida State. They’ll face a Louisville team that is off extra rest after having a bye week. That combined with Duke’s Riley Leonard’s uncertainty has inflated this line slightly. Grab Duke plus the six.
|
10-28-23 |
Connecticut +14.5 v. Boston College |
|
14-21 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 11 m |
Show
|
The UConn Huskies have played better over the last three weeks. They lost by just a point against Utah State, defeated Rice, and lost by three points against South Florida. Saturday’s opponent in Boston College has won three straight games but also has had issues of playing up or down to the competition. Five of their seven games have been decided by three points or less. Grab the points here with the Huskies.
|
10-25-23 |
UTEP v. Sam Houston State -3.5 |
|
37-34 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
Sam Houston has had a tough start to their debut of division one football. They are winless at 0-7, but have come close to breaking through. They gave conference leader Liberty their toughest battle of the season, and have had two overtime losses. Today, look for the Bearkats to break through against a UTEP team that scores just sixteen points per game. Lay it with the Bearkats.
|
10-22-23 |
Steelers v. Rams -3 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 42 m |
Show
|
The LA Rams are going through a plethora of injuries at the tailback position. It’ll certainly be a challenge against a Pittsburgh Steelers fanbase that travels well and has a hard nosed defense. Yet, Matthew Stafford is playing elite level football and has some big time weapons to throw to. With the Steelers struggles offensively, the Rams will pull out a victory as a small home favorite. Take the Rams.
|
10-22-23 |
Browns -3 v. Colts |
|
39-38 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
Often times we have seen a backup quarterback be successful in spots when his name is called. Yet, when the job becomes his the issues come to the fore front. Gardner Minshew has starter experience but will be in a very tough spot against the top defense in football. Look for Cleveland to survive an ugly offensive game to deliver on the road.
|
10-22-23 |
Falcons +3 v. Bucs |
|
16-13 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
Young teams are going to have issues with consistency. That has been the case for the Falcons but there has also been promise. Even with last week’s issues with Desmond Ridder’s turnovers they were still in the game. They have a knack for keeping it close and Tampa Bay appears to be in an offensive rut with a lack of a ground game. Take the Falcons
|
10-21-23 |
Coastal Carolina -8.5 v. Arkansas State |
|
27-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
Coastal Carolina should be in an advantageous spot today against Arkansas State. At just .500 they are playing in their third straight road game. That’s giving us a bit of value on the spread led by experienced quarterback Grayson McCall. McCall is coming off a season high 373 passing yards and should limit his turnovers in this spot. Take Coastal Carolina over Arkansas State.
|
10-21-23 |
Appalachian State -5 v. Old Dominion |
|
21-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
Appalachian State has been a team on the cusp of making a run. First year starter Joey Aguilar is coming off his first turnover free game over his last four outings. Additionally, the Mountaineers are well rested after last playing on Tuesday October 10th. After three straight games decided by three points or less this will be a much cleaner showcase. Take Appalachian State.
|
10-21-23 |
South Carolina v. Missouri -7 |
|
12-34 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
Each season there are teams that hit a wall in SEC play. At the mid point of the season that appears to be the case for South Carolina. They have lost three of their last four games, and road spots have caused problems. They lost to Tennessee by twenty one points and Georgia by ten. Take Missouri with their octane offense that will give the Gamecocks problems.
|
10-19-23 |
James Madison v. Marshall +4.5 |
|
20-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 60 m |
Show
|
Marshall has lost consecutive road after beginning the season 4-0. For the Thundering Herd they have to correct a defense that has surrendered forty one points per game over their last three outings. On a short week and with James Madison coming off their best effort and win of the season, buy stock in Marshall in what should be a competitive game.
|
10-15-23 |
Eagles -6 v. Jets |
|
14-20 |
Loss |
-120 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
The Eagles at 5-0 continue to be a bit of a conundrum. They have not won in easy fashion like last year, and are coming off a road game in LA. Still, this is the right matchup for them against a Jets team that has over achieved ATS in multiple weeks against the Chiefs and Broncos. Grab Philadelphia in what will be more of a fluid game than what we have seen.
|
10-15-23 |
Patriots +3 v. Raiders |
|
17-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
The Patriots poor loss last week to the Saints was one of the all time lows during the Belichick era. Poor quarterback play and a lack of talent offensively is assuredly going to make it one of the worst seasons in quite awhile for the Patriots. Yet, I’m not buying the Raiders just yet. Jimmy G’s arm strength is not there which should let the Patriots play safe defensively. Take New England to bounce back on the road.
|
10-14-23 |
NC State +3.5 v. Duke |
|
3-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
Duke may be on upset alert this week against NC State. The Wolf Pack made a change at quarterback last week by starting MJ Morris. After issues early on with turnovers he got dialed in and led the Wolf Pack to a seven point victory. Duke may also be a little sloppy early after a bye week and the taste of letting their last game slip away against the Irish. Take NC State.
|
10-14-23 |
Miami-FL +3 v. North Carolina |
|
31-41 |
Loss |
-125 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
Sometimes a catastrophic loss becomes a rallying cry for a team. No loss could be as severe as what happened to the Miami Hurricanes last week against Georgia Tech. Expect the coaches and players to sense the moment this week on the road against North Carolina. Additionally, with last year’s poor Hurricanes team they held tough to just a three point loss against the Tar Heels. Take Miami.
|
10-14-23 |
UL-Monroe +18.5 v. Texas State |
|
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
UL Monroe was an absolute no show in last week’s home loss against South Alabama. Now they must travel on the road against a Texas State team that may be a little shell shocked. They let a sizable lead slip away as they lost late last week against UL Lafayette. This is just a case where you want to play the number and grab a huge amount of points. Take UL Monroe.
|
10-14-23 |
Georgia Southern v. James Madison -5.5 |
|
13-41 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
James Madison has begun the year with a 5-0 record. After a bye week they will now enter the heart of Sun Belt conference play with a gauntlet of tough matchups. Expect the Dukes to be better prepared for Georgia Southern’s pass attack after being lit up for a conference high forty five points last season. The loss also knocked out James Madison from the top twenty five. In a revenge spot take James Madison.
|
10-11-23 |
Sam Houston State +3.5 v. New Mexico State |
|
13-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
Sam Houston State may be winless but they’ve also been in the majority of their games. The Bearkats last two conference games they played conference leader Liberty tough and had a heart break loss against Jacksonville State. New Mexico State has not played sound football all year and has followed up a win with a loss each instance. Off their home win against FIU, this is a letdown spot tonight. Take Sam Houston State.
|
10-11-23 |
UTEP +3 v. Florida International |
|
27-14 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
Florida International has stumbled considerably over the past two weeks. They were blown out by Liberty and had a poor second half last week against New Mexico State. Now at .500 they will face a UTEP team that has had extra preparation following a bye week. We want Gavin Hardison to start but if he is unable to I still expect a close game. Take UTEp plus the points.
|
10-08-23 |
Chiefs v. Vikings +3.5 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
Kansas City may very well be the team that gets back to the Super Bowl, but they are in a tough spot. They’re on the road against a Minnesota team that tasted a victory that shouldn’t have happened against Carolina. Their simplified offense with Cam Akers and Allie Mattison should help propel Kirk Cousins out of his rut. Take the home dog in the Vikings.
|
10-08-23 |
Eagles -3.5 v. Rams |
|
23-14 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
The Eagles are an attraction undefeated and should be as a road favorite week five against the Rams. Los Angeles has been over valued with early season ATS cashes against the 49ers, Seahawks, and last week against the Colts. Matthew Stafford took some hits and seemed to be grimacing late against the Colts, and this is where we see the shift of their season take place. Grab the Eagles to run away and go 5-0 on the season.
|