04-12-15 |
Charlotte Hornets +8 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
77-116 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
04/12 12:35 PM NBA (705) CHARLOTTE HORNETS VS (706) DETROIT PISTONS edit
Take: (705) CHARLOTTE HORNETS
Reason: Play Charlotte plus 8 The Bobcats have had two poor performances against the Raptors and Hawks. Two potent offensive teams that torched the unbalanced Bobcats. Detroit is not the caliber of either the Raptors or Hawks. To see the line movement jump from 6 to 8 would have to do with the poor performances of the Bobcats. This is where I'll back the underdog Bobcats against a young Detroit team that Stan Van Gundy is still trying to mold.
|
04-10-15 |
Toronto Raptors v. Orlando Magic +6 |
|
101-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
04/10 04:05 PM NBA (701) TORONTO RAPTORS VS (702) ORLANDO MAGIC edit
Take: (702) ORLANDO MAGIC
Reason: Play Orlando Magic plus 6 In theory the Magic should not be playing for much and the Raptors have all to gain as they look to play in top form before the playoffs. That's not the way I'm going to handicap this play. The Raptors defeated a Bobcats team in blowout fashion the other day and the Magic came from behind against a Bulls team that scored against them with no problem. The Magic are getting solid play from their young players and I expect them to hang in this game at home. Grab the six points.
|
04-08-15 |
Houston Rockets v. San Antonio Spurs -6 |
|
98-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
04/08 05:35 PM NBA (717) HOUSTON ROCKETS VS (718) SAN ANTONIO SPURS edit
Take: (718) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Reason: Play San Antonio -6 The Spurs are starting to look like the "Best in the West" at an opportune time yet again. With the playoffs lurking they're playing their best basketball. Houston is also playing well. This seems to be a high spread considering how offensively balanced the Rockets are. I expect the Spurs momentum to carry-over to tonight and would not be surprised to see a double digit win here.
|
04-08-15 |
New Orleans Pelicans +5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
74-110 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
04/08 05:05 PM NBA (715) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS (716) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES edit
Take: (715) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS
Reason: Play New Orleans plus 5 The Pelicans showed they're not going away, with a great effort and win last night against the Warriors. Memphis is always a tough place to play but I like the young leadership Anthony Davis is showing right now. Each time these teams play scoring has been a premium. With scoring low--I'll take the points even in a back to back game situation for the Pelicans.
|
04-08-15 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 |
|
104-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
04/08 05:05 PM NBA (713) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (714) MILWAUKEE BUCKS edit
Take: (714) MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Reason: Play Milwaukee Plus 8 LeBron and the Cavs are getting towards that **asterisk** playoff mode. This team has had two waves this season. Before LeBron sat out at the end of December no one knew the direction of this team. After his return they've played fantastic with new additions. At this point their second seed is all but locked and I expect this game to be a bit of a challenge. Jason Kidd's Bucks play with toughness each time on the court, and I look for them to cover the large number of eight.
|
04-04-15 |
Michigan State v. Duke -5 |
|
61-81 |
Win
|
100 |
90 h 39 m |
Show
|
04/04 03:05 PM CB (823) MICHIGAN STATE VS (824) DUKE edit
Take: (824) DUKE
Reason: Play Duke -5 A Final Four is a great achievement and a major advancement for Michigan State. Two months ago they were not even on the bubble. They've done just enough seemingly every game to squeeze out wins. Duke has been a different team defensively and offensively since their back to back losses early in conference play to NC State and Miami. Michigan State does not have the personnel to contend with this Duke team. There is always fight from a Tom Izzo team but I expect the second half to belong to Duke in strong fashion. Grab Duke -5, and hats off to Michigan State for a superb run.
|
03-31-15 |
Miami (Fla) +1 v. Temple |
|
60-57 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
03/31 04:00 PM CB (769) MIAMI FLORIDA VS (770) TEMPLE edit
Take: (769) MIAMI FLORIDA
Reason: Play Miami +1.5 Miami has had a season of ups and downs. Their high point came when they defeated Duke on their home floor to end their high streak of home wins. But low points have been plentiful with the juggernaut conference of the ACC. They likely should have exited the NIT against Richmond but found a way to fight back from a double digit deficit. I like Miami's three guard lineup to give Temple troubles. Manu Lecomte, Sheldon McClennan, and Davon Reed seem to have all been playing better with Angel Rodriguez out. While Temple has the defense to hang in this game I do not believe they have the offense. Grab Miami plus the point and a half.
|
03-28-15 |
Notre Dame +11 v. Kentucky |
|
66-68 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
03/28 05:45 PM CB (511) NOTRE DAME VS (512) KENTUCKY edit
Take: (511) NOTRE DAME
Reason: Play Notre Dame plus 11 Kentucky just came off a clear outmatched game against West Virginia. 1. The Mountaineers could not make a shot 2. Their press was incapable of disrupting Kentucky, and 3. They fouled too much. Notre Dame does not have size on the interior but has four quality guards with size/shooting. Notre Dame likely will have to make at least 8-10 three pointers to stay in this game competitively, and catch Kentucky on a night where they shoot in the 40% range. Grab the points in the Elite 8 of plus 11.
|
03-26-15 |
Xavier v. Arizona -10.5 |
|
60-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 2 m |
Show
|
03/26 07:15 PM CB (807) XAVIER VS (808) ARIZONA edit
Take: (808) ARIZONA
Reason: Play Arizona -10.5 In the tournament picking which teams to back when laying double digits can be awfully tough. Xavier is left in the field because of favorable second and third round games. They faced an Ole Miss team that could not match the up tempo style of Xavier. It was an uphill battle for Ole Miss combined with poor defense throughout the game. Georgia State actually played a competitive game in terms of landing a spread cover. Free throw disparity and off the charts shooting from Xavier led to the slight cover for Xavier. Xavier versus Arizona is a clear over-match on paper. I expect Arizona to halt Xavier's strength of half court offense. Defensively Xavier would be one of the bottom ranked teams left in the tournament. This should be one of the highest spread covers from closing line to actual result in the tournament.
|
03-26-15 |
West Virginia +13.5 v. Kentucky |
|
39-78 |
Loss |
-103 |
28 h 29 m |
Show
|
03/26 06:45 PM CB (803) WEST VIRGINIA VS (804) KENTUCKY edit
Take: (803) WEST VIRGINIA
Reason: Play West Virginia plus 13.5 Kentucky has not covered in the tournament and I don't think they will here either. West Virginia plays a similar style to Cincinnati but adds better offense to the table. Bob Huggins has been in this position before when they defeated a John Wall led Kentucky team in the tournament. This game will likely not feature an upset but I see it falling in similar fashion to games that Kentucky has been challenged in the SEC. A hard fought game that Kentucky pulls away from down the stretch. That will grab the Wildcats a victory but won't be enough to cover a high number of 13.5.
|
03-26-15 |
North Carolina +6.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
72-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 27 m |
Show
|
03/26 04:45 PM CB (809) NORTH CAROLINA VS (810) WISCONSIN edit
Take: (809) NORTH CAROLINA
Reason: Play North Carolina plus 6.5 North Carolina could have been a top ten team all season` if they had grasped the ability to play 48 minutes and prevent ill-advised turnovers. Every year in the field there are teams that finally grow in March. Kentucky was a young team that grew a season ago and I believe this North Carolina team fits that label this season. Wisconsin is a veteran team that has reached its ceiling. They very well still could be a final four team but their true value has been seen over the last two seasons. Of the eight sweet sixteen games, this would be the only money-line value play I'd risk. I fully expect North Carolina to have a lead early in this game and likely into the second-half. They've been in this position before and have let leads whittle away. We'll see the true growth of this team Thursday. Grab the points and put 20 percent of your wager on the money line.
|
03-26-15 |
Wichita State -2 v. Notre Dame |
|
70-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 53 m |
Show
|
03/26 04:15 PM CB (805) WICHITA STATE VS (806) NOTRE DAME edit
Take: (805) WICHITA STATE
Reason: Play Wichita State -2 It was a surprise to initially see Wichita State favored in this matchup. Notre Dame has had impressive wins to close out the regular season and defeated North Carolina, Louisville, and Duke soundly down the stretch. Expect plenty of lead changes in this game. In the end though I like Wichita State's ability to score in bunches over Notre Dame. Notre Dame plays a lot of close games and in tournament play that comes to haunt you eventually. Grab Wichita State to advance.
|
03-22-15 |
Northern Iowa v. Louisville +2.5 |
|
53-66 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 15 m |
Show
|
03/22 06:40 PM CB (735) NORTHERN IOWA VS (736) LOUISVILLE edit
Take: (736) LOUISVILLE
Reason: Play Louisville plus 2.5 Sometimes an ugly win in the tournament can cause an over reaction from sports-bettors. Louisville has the look of a team that should not make it the sweet 16. They have a limited bench and lost a key starter in Chris Jones after he was dismissed from the program. But they still have one of the best coaches in college hoops in Rick Pitino. Northern Iowa is a sound basketball team but if there is a flaw, it is that pesky guards give them problems. They lost to Evansville, VCU, and Wichita State this season. They're not a team that is going to shoot the lights out and score a lot of points--which bodes well for Louisville. But the key factor will be with Terry Rozier and Snider who has started to emerge. The opening line was a pick and jumped to 2.5 on N Iowa's side. It's the wrong line movement. Play Louisville.
|
03-22-15 |
Iowa +6.5 v. Gonzaga |
|
68-87 |
Loss |
-103 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
03/22 04:10 PM CB (737) IOWA VS (738) GONZAGA edit
Take: (737) IOWA
Reason: Play Iowa plus 6.5 The line has moved on this game mainly because of the location of this game in Seattle. In the tournament I think that's a bit inflated sometimes. The Hawkeyes are a confident group that matchup well with Gonzaga. This game should feature multiple runs but remain a close game throughout. The Zags are setup similar to Villanova. They come from a conference in the WCC that isn't a true measure to a major conference. Iowa will put the scare in the Zags, play the 6.5.
|
03-21-15 |
Butler +5 v. Notre Dame |
|
64-67 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 37 m |
Show
|
03/21 06:40 PM CB (515) BUTLER VS (516) NOTRE DAME edit
Take: (515) BUTLER
Reason: Butler plus 5 This game should likely be closer to a 1.5 to 2 point spread, but based on Notre Dame's seeding and five losses is a bit higher. Butler is one of those rare tournament teams that just matches up well for the big dance. They've made two runs over the years and I believe they'll be set up for another appearance to the Sweet 16. Notre Dame has not faced a caliber defense of Butler's in the ACC besides Virginia's. This is a market value play on a game with too many points.
|
03-20-15 |
Oklahoma State +2 v. Oregon |
|
73-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
03/20 03:50 PM CB (847) OKLAHOMA STATE VS (848) OREGON edit
Take: (847) OKLAHOMA STATE
Reason: Play Oklahoma State plus 2 I've liked this matchup all week and will not change it with the results of yesterday's Big 12 disappointments. Sometimes the drawing just shapes up for a failure in the tournament and that's what happened with Baylor/Iowa State. Here I like Oklahoma State to have a game plan ready to halt Oregon's motion offense. Oregon had one of the better runs in college hoops to finish the last three weeks but before were a vulnerable team. Look for Oklahoma State to attack weaknesses and finally represent the Big 12.
|
03-19-15 |
Eastern Washington +8 v. Georgetown |
|
74-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 31 m |
Show
|
03/19 06:55 PM CB (735) EASTERN WASHINGTON VS (736) GEORGETOWN edit
Take: (735) EASTERN WASHINGTON
Reason: Play Eastern Washington plus 8 Eastern Washington has the look and feel of a team that will give Georgetown nightmares Thursday night. Georgetown has faded down the stretch, in what has become a pattern for the Hoyas program. Some of the young players that emerged early in conference play have faltered, along with Josh Smith who may be reeling from his first full season in quite some time. They're over-seeded and you just can't ignore how they've finished the season. Grab Eastern Washington plus the points.
|
03-19-15 |
Wofford +7.5 v. Arkansas |
|
53-56 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 32 m |
Show
|
3/19 06:50 PM CB (709) WOFFORD VS (710) ARKANSAS edit
Take: (709) WOFFORD
Reason: Play Wofford plus 7.5 Twelve seeds always seem to be the spotlight special for upsets each and every year. This game may be one but I'm more intrigued with the points. Wofford is a team to me that has grown as the season has stretched onward, and quite possibly could be a team under-seeded in this tournament. And that's why a 12th seed can be so dangerous coming from a smaller conference. Wofford has a deep roster that has added the dimension of offense that was missing from last year's team that lost to Michigan in the tournament. That combined with their solid defense is going to make this game against Arkansas interesting. Grab the points as another 12 seed should give us a true great game in the tournament.
|
03-19-15 |
LSU v. NC State -2 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-109 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
03/19 06:20 PM CB (723) LSU VS (724) NORTH CAROLINA STATE edit
Take: (724) NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Reason: NC State -2 Four days ago this matchup was a pass in my estimation. But upon further review I believe NC State holds an edge in this game. LSU is the type of free flowing team that thrives against teams that do not provide resistance defensively. When challenged though they're athletic team tends to falter a few notches on the offensive end. The Wolf Pack have a better group of player's from last year's limited roster and I expect them to grab a win over LSU.
|
03-19-15 |
Northeastern +11.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
65-69 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 58 m |
Show
|
03/19 09:15 AM CB (717) NORTHEASTERN VS (718) NOTRE DAME edit
Take: (717) NORTHEASTERN
Reason: Play Northeastern plus 11.5 Notre Dame has the flare to catch people's eyes after defeating both Duke and North Carolina in the ACC tournament. They played great in those games but the Irish are a team that can be beat on any given night. Northeastern will be a solid matchup for the Irish as they have senior leadership and a similar style of play to match. 11.5 is too many points and I'll gladly take Northeastern.
|
03-18-15 |
Atlanta Hawks +6.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
|
95-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
03-13-15 |
South Carolina +3 v. Georgia |
|
62-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
03/13 06:30 PM CB (849) SOUTH CAROLINA VS (850) GEORGIA edit
Take: (849) SOUTH CAROLINA
Reason: Play South Carolina plus 3 The SEC will not have many representatives in the big dance but believe there are still important factors on the line right now for a lot of these teams. Coaches are planning key decisions with their rosters whether that be adding an extra JUCO player or whatever that may be. I like the way South Carolina is playing and the extra edge from an ATS perspective with Frank Martin. It's rare that teams get a 3 game sweep but I believe South Carolina gets it done
|
03-13-15 |
UCLA v. Arizona -11 |
|
64-70 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
03/13 06:10 PM CB (875) UCLA VS (876) ARIZONA edit
Take: (876) ARIZONA
Reason: Play Arizona -11 Just a few weeks ago when Arizona struggled to fend defeat UCLA, it jumped out at you because they still won by ten points, 57-47. It's the way Arizona wins. They may not look like they're going to run away with a game but with one stout stretch offensively/defensively they seem to get it done ATS. On the road against Utah they won by six after being down in the final five minutes, yesterday against California after a tight first half they won and covered by a wide margin. UCLA has shown vast improvements down the stretch but their run and gun system doesn't bode well against Arizona. Arizona should be able to clamp down defensively and improve upon a woeful performance offensively last time out against UCLA.
|
03-13-15 |
Houston v. Tulsa -9 |
|
51-59 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
03/13 04:00 PM CB (839) HOUSTON VS (840) TULSA edit
Take: (840) TULSA
Reason: Play Tulsa -9 Tulsa are one of those tournament teams that likely has to win multiple games to get a bid into the big dance. Some teams of that caliber fold right off the bat in the first game. I do not expect Tulsa to do so against Houston. Houston is riding wins over Tulane and South Florida and playing better as of late. Still, in both matchups Tulsa has shown the ability to limit Houston for durations of five plus minutes. Expect Tulsa to have an even higher elevated play of defense and to get a double digit win and cover.
|
03-13-15 |
North Carolina +4.5 v. Virginia |
|
71-67 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 48 m |
Show
|
03/13 04:00 PM CB (859) NORTH CAROLINA VS (860) VIRGINIA edit
Take: (859) NORTH CAROLINA
Reason: Play North Carolina plus 4.5 This is one of those line movements you typically see on NFL Sundays. A line jumps two to three points and ends up being the wrong line movement. You can say it was a low opening line for a team with minimal losses and ranked #2 in the country. But there just is something not right with this Virginia team. I'm anticipating their second loss in as many games against a North Carolina team that plays up to the level of their competition. They have similar athletes as Virginia and the typical droughts Virginia has showcased over the last three weeks are not going to beat a North Carolina caliber of a team.
|
03-12-15 |
Colorado v. Oregon -3 |
|
85-93 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
03/12 06:10 PM CB (571) COLORADO VS (572) OREGON edit
Take: (572) OREGON
Reason: Play Oregon -3 Sometimes in handicapping one can get caught in what they've seen last. For Colorado they've finally strung together some solid on-court play that have resulted in some cash wins. But unfortunately it doesn't mask the entire season. Oregon on the other hand has risen as the season has gone on and looks like a strong team to make some noise next season in the Pac-12. Colorado is a veteran team and they won't go away easily but Oregon should get the 50/50 extra points off of turnovers, free throws, and a couple of extra made three pointers. Grab Oregon
|
03-12-15 |
UNLV +6 v. San Diego State |
|
64-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
03/12 06:00 PM CB (579) UNLV VS (580) SAN DIEGO STATE edit
Take: (579) UNLV
Reason: Play UNLV plus 6 San Diego State by name alone is getting the gratification of a six point spread here. Just a week and a half ago UNLV lost by a bucket to this same team. It was a game that neither team brought their A game, but from a basketball standpoint the ceiling for improvement is actually higher from UNLV's standpoint. San Diego State is not an offensive minded team and just is not the same caliber of SD State squads were use to seeing. UNLV may have the best talent in the Mountain West but under performed to everyone's expectations. This is the time of year where young teams grow and start to mature. Six points is a bargain here. Grab the Rebels and put a little on the money line.
|
03-12-15 |
NC State +8.5 v. Duke |
|
53-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
|
03/12 04:00 PM CB (523) NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS (524) DUKE edit
Take: (523) NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Reason: Play NC State plus 8.5 NC State is just a matchup that gives Duke problems. They're one of the few teams in the ACC that have length inside combined with stingy defensive minded guards that can shoot. In the first meeting in which NC State upset Duke they did so with better shooting than Duke. This time around I expect NC State to dig deeper defensively. They need another resume win to get in the tournament and I wouldn't be shocked to see them get it.
|
03-12-15 |
Tennessee +3.5 v. Vanderbilt |
|
67-61 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
03/12 04:00 PM CB (555) TENNESSEE VS (556) VANDERBILT edit
Take: (555) TENNESSEE
Reason: Play Tennessee plus 3.5 Vanderbilt has had one of the highest reversals from subpar starts at the beginning of conference play to strong finishes in conference play. They've done it in all types of ways but mainly with outstanding floor balance and scoring. It hasn't been one key scorer carrying them. A matchup against Tennessee should be a tougher challenge. The Volunteers play tougher defense and have length to disrupt a couple of scorers for forty minutes. Grab the Volunteers
|
03-12-15 |
Creighton +7 v. Georgetown |
|
55-60 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
03/12 04:00 PM CB (531) CREIGHTON VS (532) GEORGETOWN edit
Take: (531) CREIGHTON
Reason: Play Creighton plus 7 Georgetown has had the tendency to wear down as season's go on, and that's what is happening now. Creighton was a woeful team in December but slowly coaching has rounded this team into a formidable nightly opponent. This is a scary spot for the Hoyas with the confidence and balanced offense that the Blue Jays have. Grab the 7.
|
03-11-15 |
Akron v. Western Michigan +1.5 |
|
58-45 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 3 m |
Show
|
03/11 06:00 PM CB (759) AKRON VS (760) WESTERN MICHIGAN edit
Take: (760) WESTERN MICHIGAN
Reason: Play Western Michigan plus 1.5 These two teams split the regular season series matchup and this game should be another close affair. Western Michigan has the better group of starters and that's what I look for in a tournament game. They've played close games all season and this is where that experience should pay dividends. Grab Western Michigan.
|
03-11-15 |
USC +7 v. Arizona State |
|
67-64 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
03/11 02:30 PM CB (743) USC VS (744) ARIZONA STATE edit
Take: (743) USC
Reason: Play USC plus 7 This is a six point line drop from just a few weeks ago when both of these teams played. USC nearly pulled off the upset at ASU and played neck and neck with the Devils until the last five minutes. ASU just is not the same team on the road as they are at home, and have not displayed the same fire power that they had during mid-conference play. USC should play another close game against the Sun Devils. Back the Trojans plus 7.
|
03-09-15 |
Manhattan +3.5 v. Iona |
|
79-69 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
03/09 06:00 PM CB (885) MANHATTAN VS (886) IONA edit
Take: (885) MANHATTAN
Reason: Play Manhattan plus 3.5 Iona has the lure of great fire power and the two marked wins over Manhattan this season. Manhattan has more losses but several were by close margins. Besides Iona's flurry yesterday against Monmouth they've struggled a bit down the stretch. Manhattan's playing better basketball and I'd expect either another close loss or for them to finally overcome the Gaels.
|
03-08-15 |
East Carolina +4 v. Houston |
|
54-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
03/08 01:00 PM CB (821) EAST CAROLINA VS (822) HOUSTON edit
Take: (821) EAST CAROLINA
Reason: Play East Carolina plus 4 Houston is coming off an overtime win against Tulane but is clearly with South Florida as the bottom teams of the American conference. East Carolina has the shooting and solid enough defense to attack a Houston team that lacks focus for 40 minutes on the defensive and offensive end of the floor.
|
03-08-15 |
USC Upstate +5 v. North Florida |
|
57-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 46 m |
Show
|
03/08 11:30 AM CB (851) USC-UPSTATE VS (852) NORTH FLORIDA edit
Take: (851) USC-UPSTATE
Reason: Play USC Upstate plus 5 This likely will be one of the best games on Sunday. In the smaller conferences already we are seeing some fantastic finishes. North Florida has the better resume in conference play but USC Upstate is one of those teams that just battles. They swept the season series over North Florida and even though it's hard to do it three times, I'll side with Upstate here. They've had a tournament look all season and I believe they'll continue the trend of the Atlantic Sun having success in March; Gulf Coast/Mercer.
|
03-07-15 |
Vanderbilt +5 v. Ole Miss |
|
86-77 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
03/07 06:00 PM CB (637) VANDERBILT VS (638) MISSISSIPPI edit
Take: (637) VANDERBILT
Reason: Play Vanderbilt plus 5 This young Commodores team has obviously shown the signs of a team maturing down the stretch. Ole Miss has been as sporadic as a team can be with the quality of talent of their players. In this spot I'll ride the value of a team with confidence even on the road, versus a team that has shown to be untrustworthy and vulnerable ATS. Grab the Commodores plus five.
|
03-07-15 |
Utah -13.5 v. Washington |
|
68-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
03/07 01:30 PM CB (583) UTAH VS (584) WASHINGTON edit
Take: (583) UTAH
Reason: Play Utah -13 There may not be a team amongst the power conferences that looks and is playing as worn down as the Washington Huskies are. They're coming off a night game less than 48 hours ago in which they struggled to score 50 points against Colorado. Virtually all of their offense is coming from the guard play of Andrew Andrews or Nigel Williams-Goss. That's a recipe for disaster against a Utah team that has played a top ten caliber of defense all season long. Grab the Utes.
|
03-07-15 |
Tulane v. South Florida -1 |
|
67-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
03/07 01:00 PM CB (571) TULANE VS (572) SOUTH FLORIDA edit
Take: (572) SOUTH FLORIDA
Reason: Play South Florida -1 South Florida has had a rough go of it all season long. They lost Chris Perry to injury and just recently lost Corey Allen Jr via suspension. Sometimes losing a few key players boosts the overall team play. Against Central Florida that was the case as the offense ran fluid. Defense has not necessarily been the problem for South Florida, it's been the offense. Tulane is the type of team that struggles against physicality and hard-nosed man to man defense. Expect South Florida to carry over the momentum of a blowout win against Central Florida, and finish their regular season with another win.
|
03-07-15 |
St. John's +12 v. Villanova |
|
68-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
03/07 11:00 AM CB (543) ST. JOHNS VS (544) VILLANOVA edit
Take: (543) ST. JOHNS
Reason: Play St. Johns plus 12 This may be the highest level of play you're going to find in college basketball based on the play of seniors. Both Villanova and St. John's boast senior talent. Villanova is coming off a choppier game than many expected with a close win over Creighton. Challenges have been very few in the Big East conference. St. John's has been a team that has had their moments this season but faded out of the top 25 quickly with a poor stretch. Lately though they've got back into focus with quality wins over Xavier, Georgetown, Seton Hall, and Marquette. They may not get the win in this win against Nova but laying 12 is a high price. Duke was just a 6.5-7.5 point favorite and Gonzaga 6.5 as comparable top ten teams. Yes those games were at the Garden but a five to six point rise is a bit much.
|
03-07-15 |
Butler v. Providence -2.5 |
|
68-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
03/07 09:00 AM CB (529) BUTLER VS (530) PROVIDENCE edit
Take: (530) PROVIDENCE
Reason: Play Providence -2.5 These two teams are mirror images of each other as far as the style that they play with. On the court though Providence has the edge based on sheer talent. Earlier this season Providence grabbed the win at Butler and I believe they'll do it again as slight home favorites. On both the offensive and defensive end Butler lacks the ability to attack or defend Kris Dunn or LaDontae Henton. Friars get another win at home and get more momentum heading into the Big East tournament.
|
03-05-15 |
Memphis v. Connecticut -7.5 |
|
54-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 10 m |
Show
|
03/05 06:00 PM CB (537) MEMPHIS VS (538) CONNECTICUT edit
Take: (538) CONNECTICUT
Reason: Play UConn -7 buy the hook UConn's done this same tune before. Kevin Ollie has his team playing with confidence with two solid wins over East Carolina and over SMU. More importantly both games they covered. Memphis defeated UConn at home earlier in conference play but have had a tough time in the final five minutes of the first and second half lately. UConn is also getting more scoring from freshman Daniel Hamilton, sophomore Rodney Purvis, and sophomore Amidah Brimah. This newfound offense from UConn could help them propel for a solid run in the AAC tournament. At home I expect UConn to continue their momentum against a Memphis team that is faltering down the stretch.
|
03-05-15 |
USC Upstate +4 v. Florida Gulf Coast |
|
63-62 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
03/05 04:00 PM CB (581) USC-UPSTATE VS (582) FLORIDA GULF COAST edit
Take: (581) USC-UPSTATE
Reason: Play USC-Upstate Florida Gulf Coast has the name recognition and two wins over USC-Upstate this season. One game was competitive and the other a solid win for Gulf Coast. This time around I expect USC-Upstate to rise to the occasion for this semi-final round of the Atlantic-Sun. They're an efficient basketball team and I see them as the better long-term Atlantic Sun team to represent the conference for March Madness over Gulf-Coast. Grab the points and put a little on the ML.
|
03-03-15 |
Western Michigan +2 v. Northern Illinois |
|
63-65 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
03/03 05:00 PM CB (535) WESTERN MICHIGAN VS (536) NORTHERN ILLINOIS edit
Take: (535) WESTERN MICHIGAN
Reason: Play Western Michigan plus 2 In the prior matchup Western Michigan lost the cover at home against Northern Illinois due in large part to missed free throws. They went 21 of 32 from the free throw line. At the time they were also a non-confident team losing five of six. The Northern Illinois win has sparked a run of four of five wins for Western Michigan. I like the momentum that Western Michigan is starting to build. Getting them as a slight underdog bodes well as I believe they sweep the series vs Northern Illinois.
|
03-03-15 |
North Carolina v. Georgia Tech +5.5 |
|
81-49 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
03/03 04:00 PM CB (515) NORTH CAROLINA VS (516) GEORGIA TECH edit
Take: (516) GEORGIA TECH
Reason: Play Georgia Tech plus 5.5 It wasn't too long ago that UNC thumped Georgia Tech on their home floor on a early afternoon Saturday. Georgia Tech played their worst game of the season in that one. Tonight at home I expect them to come out with a higher intensity and to stay competitive throughout. UNC has had issues of late. Making them a high favorite on the road after winning one against Miami is not the way to go. Take Gtech
|
03-03-15 |
Youngstown State +9 v. Detroit |
|
67-77 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
03/03 04:00 PM CB (551) YOUNGSTOWN STATE VS (552) DETROIT edit
Take: (551) YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Reason: Play Youngstown State plus 9 Detroit has swept the season series against Youngstown State. They won the first matchup in overtime by six points and the recent game at Youngstown State by thirteen points. In that game they shot the lights out at near 70% for the game. Youngstown State has been a scrappy team all season long even though they've been losing. They'll put up another good effort against a poor perimeter defensive team in Detroit. Grab the points of plus 9.
|
03-01-15 |
Arizona State +2 v. Colorado |
|
81-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 5 m |
Show
|
03/01 05:30 PM CB (833) ARIZONA STATE VS (834) COLORADO edit
Take: (833) ARIZONA STATE
Reason: Play Arizona State plus 2 This game likely would be a pick if ASU had not been blown out as poorly as they were against Utah the other night. The game before that they struggled to defeat USC. The Sun Devils are a young team that overachieved a bit in the early portion of February. But playing down to the level of Colorado should be an advantage for the Devils. Colorado continues to lack the discipline of a power conference team in college basketball. Shooting has been sporadic and defense blatantly non-existent. The team basketball of ASU should bode to an ATS cover and advantage for Devils backers Sunday.
|
03-01-15 |
SMU v. Connecticut |
|
73-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
03/01 11:00 AM CB (817) SMU VS (818) CONNECTICUT edit
Take: (818) CONNECTICUT
Reason: Play UConn Pick Just a few weeks ago UConn was ran out the gym by SMU on their home floor. A ten point lead vanished within a few minutes and the game pretty much got out of hand from that point on. It was one of the few games this season where UConn's defense more than their offense caused them to lose . Nic Moore had his way and UConn could not get any type of transition offense going because SMU's offense was running so fluid. I expect the defensive intensity to be at an appropriate Kevin Ollie level and for the Huskies to get an avenging home win over the Mustangs.
|
02-28-15 |
Tulsa v. Memphis -2.5 |
|
74-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
02/28 05:00 PM CB (659) TULSA VS (660) MEMPHIS edit
Take: (660) MEMPHIS
Reason: Play Memphis -2.5 buy the hook to -2 These two teams faced each other in the early portion of conference play, which was a rout by Tulsa. Tulsa enjoyed a nice run in the AAC but have stumbled down the stretch. Their defense to offensive success has stumbled as their new conference opponents have been able to have more film and have seen the Golden Hurricane. Memphis has been competitive lately even though they have zero chance to enter the tournament this season. They narrowly defeated UConn and stayed right in their last game with SMU. Many people would expect a let down here after their loss just a few days ago to SMU. But the way they were blown out by Tulsa earlier this season should be more than enough motivation at home to grab the W.
|
02-28-15 |
Texas-San Antonio +13 v. Louisiana Tech |
|
66-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
02/28 04:00 PM CB (631) TEXAS SAN ANTONIO VS (632) LOUISIANA TECH edit
Take: (631) TEXAS SAN ANTONIO
Reason: Play Texas San Antonio plus 13 You have to wonder how focused Louisiana Tech will be for this game out the gate. They just destroyed UTEP and their next game is against lowly Southern Miss. Their focus may be looking ahead to the conference tournament. Plus earlier in conference play Texas San Antonio led at halftime against Louisiana Tech by a small margin before losing by twelve in the second half. The number is a bit higher this time around and I can see a similar scenario happening with a halftime lead for UTSA. Look for UTSA to learn a bit from the last outing and hold Tech under the number of 13.
|
02-28-15 |
Northern Iowa v. Wichita State -6 |
|
60-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
02/28 11:00 AM CB (547) NORTHERN IOWA VS (548) WICHITA STATE edit
Take: (548) WICHITA STATE
Reason: Play Wichita State Both of these teams should represent the Missouri Valley well in the NCAA tournament here in a few weeks. Northern Iowa has just entered the top ten and has done so with great defense. Lately their offense has not been as fluid as it has been the majority of the season. The early wave that the Shockers typically get at home may be too much for Northern Iowa to overcome. I do not think they have the offense to dig themselves out of an early hole. Grab Wichita State and get ready for a third exciting match in the Missouri Valley tournament.
|
02-25-15 |
Florida State +7.5 v. Miami (FL) |
|
77-81 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 17 m |
Show
|
02/25 06:00 PM CB (783) FLORIDA STATE VS (784) MIAMI FLORIDA edit
Take: (783) FLORIDA STATE
Reason: Play Florida State plus 7.5 As great as Miami looked in the first half against Florida State a month ago, they blew the lead and lost by a point. That's how they've played all season, with inconsistencies for forty minutes. Florida State has started to get more balance on the offensive end of the floor and should give Miami another good game. Getting 7.5 is a value spot here with Florida State.
|
02-25-15 |
Connecticut -4.5 v. East Carolina |
|
60-49 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
02/25 04:00 PM CB (731) CONNECTICUT VS (732) EAST CAROLINA edit
Take: (731) CONNECTICUT
Reason: Play UConn -4.5 The Huskies have been a disastrous team ATS this season. Oddsmakers have inflated their lines due to last year's championship win and the unexpected play of their AAC counterparts. East Carolina has played fairly well over the second half of AAC play but I do not believe they can contend with a strong defensive team like UConn. UConn is getting better play inside from Brimah and has the defensive play from all guard positions to win this with defense alone. Look for the Huskies to win this ATS spot and limit East Carolina's offense
|
02-25-15 |
VCU -1.5 v. Richmond |
|
63-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 8 m |
Show
|
02/25 04:00 PM CB (747) VA COMMONWEALTH VS (748) RICHMOND edit
Take: (747) VA COMMONWEALTH
Reason: Play VCU -1 VCU has had two waves of challenging issues in conference play. The first portion they struggled from self-issues. The havoc defense was being beat because the A-10 is a much stronger conference than in years past. Then came a few injuries including losing Briante Weber for the season. The third wave of the conference season has seen VCU start to blossom. Their younger players are starting to look more comfortable and offense isn't a major issue as it was four weeks ago. That was the main reason they lost at home to Richmond as they just could not put the basketball in the hoop. Richmond has a bit inflated ATS value currently. They've had some strong wins but could easily be an under .500 team right now, as they've won several games by short margins. VCU gets the revenge in this one and wins by double figures.
|
02-22-15 |
USC +11.5 v. Arizona State |
|
59-64 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
02/22 05:30 PM CB (851) USC VS (852) ARIZONA STATE edit
Take: (851) USC
Reason: Play USC plus 11.5 I've stated many times this season that ASU head coach Herb Sendek is having an under the radar noteworthy coaching season. Their body of work recently has shot this point spread up exponentially from where it would have been ten to fourteen days ago. USC has not won many Pac-12 games but have represented themselves well in contests. The efficiency of ASU's offense as of late would exceed any coaches wildest dreams while their defense has still been subpar. Grab the points as this should be tighter than anticipated.
|
02-22-15 |
Indiana v. Rutgers +7 |
|
84-54 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
02/22 02:15 PM CB (819) INDIANA VS (820) RUTGERS edit
Take: (820) RUTGERS
Reason: Play Rutgers plus 7 The Big Ten has some of the best draws Sunday in college hoops. Two of the four games currently have a one point spread and the other always draws attention no matter what sport in Ohio State and Michigan. From a handicapper perspective I see the best value in this matchup between Indiana and Rutgers. Rutgers has been a money burner for backers all Big Ten season as they adjust to their new conference. They did pull off an upset of Wisconsin which is likely far far back in bettors minds. In this matchup against Indiana I like Rutgers inside/outside guard and forward play to matchup well against Indiana. Indiana is also coming off a loss to Purdue. As a young team on the bubble there is going to be individual and team pressure put on the Hoosiers for a win here. A loss to Rutgers would all but end their tournament chances barring a Big Ten title run. This is a value play on Rutgers performing better than they have all of February and Indiana feeling the pressure of this game on the road. Grab the points
|
02-22-15 |
Memphis -7 v. Central Florida |
|
75-65 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
02/22 11:00 AM CB (825) MEMPHIS VS (826) CENTRAL FLORIDA edit
Take: (825) MEMPHIS
Reason: Play Memphis -7 The American conference may be the one of the best stable conferences to handicap. The top/middle/bottom tier have all stayed pretty consistent all season. Central Florida is likely a season away from rising from the tier in between bottom and mid. They're on a three game win streak but won against South Florida, Houston, and Tulane---none to write home about. They lack the defense to go up against Memphis in half court sets and will cause transition issues defensively with the amount of three pointers they take. Memphis scored a season-high 99 points in their first meeting and should get a solid ATS cover again against Central Florida.
|
02-21-15 |
Cincinnati -7.5 v. Houston |
|
63-53 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 47 m |
Show
|
02/21 06:30 PM CB (651) CINCINNATI VS (652) HOUSTON edit
Take: (651) CINCINNATI
Reason: Play Cincinnati -7 This is a matchup where Houston's inefficiency on the offensive end will aid the Bearcats immensely. Houston lacks an inside presence and therefore forces a lot of poor shots from the perimeter. After 8-12 minutes of the first half I'd expect the Bearcats to clamp down defensively and take a lead going into halftime. Houston does not have the proper personnel to make necessary adjustments at halftime to get back into the game. Expect Cincinnati to carry a slight halftime lead into a sizeable margin in the second half.
|
02-21-15 |
Tennessee +8 v. Ole Miss |
|
57-59 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
02/21 04:30 PM CB (623) TENNESSEE VS (624) MISSISSIPPI edit
Take: (623) TENNESSEE
Reason: Play Tennessee plus 8.5 There are different angles to gain added ATS edges at this point of the season. One I'll look at here is the Volunteers veteran leadership. Last year they went on a big run and snuck into the NCAA tournament and did well advancing to play against Michigan. That's not possible this season but just because the NCAA tournament is a lost cause does not mean players want their season to end in the regular season. The NIT is a goal and led by Josh Richardson I think they'll get it done. This is a steep line against an up and down Ole Miss team. Tennessee did a solid job against Kentucky but was wore down by their sheer size advantage. Look for the Vols to cover this steep number on the road.
|
02-21-15 |
UNLV +3.5 v. New Mexico |
|
76-68 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 48 m |
Show
|
02/21 03:00 PM CB (595) UNLV VS (596) NEW MEXICO edit
Take: (595) UNLV
Reason: Play UNLV plus 3.5 I don't think there is a team in the country spiraling downward worse than New Mexico. New Mexico did win a close tight game throughout against UNLV 71-69 earlier in conference play. They did so with better than expected interior defense and extended use of their bench. Currently the Lobos depth has become there issue. No one is responding and playing well. This is a spot where bettors may blindly bet for the "this-is it" game for New Mexico. The eye test says that will not be the case. Look for UNLV to attack the paint aggressively with Christian Wood and Goodluck Okonoboh that missed the prior meeting against New Mexico.
|
02-21-15 |
George Washington +5.5 v. Richmond |
|
48-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
02/21 01:00 PM CB (579) GEORGE WASHINGTON VS (580) RICHMOND edit
Take: (579) GEORGE WASHINGTON
Reason: Play George Washington plus 5.5 It's not often you will see a twelve loss team as this size of a favorite against a team with a better record than them. But the reason for this line disparity has more to do with recent flaws from George Washington. They've looked a bit sluggish on both ends of the floor. I'm not going to overreact to that as I believe the A-10 is an underrated conference from top to bottom compared to even some of the elite power conferences. In their first matchup George Washington controlled the game for the most part against Richmond but a second half run by Richmond ended up making it an overtime affair. It was one of the poorer performances by George Washington this season in my estimation. I expect them to play like a veteran team and cover the number Saturday against Richmond
|
02-21-15 |
San Francisco v. Pepperdine -3 |
|
56-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 26 m |
Show
|
02/21 01:00 PM CB (565) SAN FRANCISCO VS (566) PEPPERDINE edit
Take: (566) PEPPERDINE
Reason: Play Pepperdine -3 Here are two teams that oddsmakers have been unable to gauge their last five to six games. Pepperdine finally ended a poor ATS streak with a cover against Santa Clara. The line in that game opened at 9 and shot down to 6.5. San Francisco on the other hand has played better as of late but the resume of Pepperdine is clearly better. They defeated BYU twice and St Mary's on the road. They also had a horrid stretch in conference play having to go on the road six of eight games. Grab the value on Pepperdine as they look to maintain the fourth seed in the WCC with just two regular season games left.
|
02-21-15 |
Florida +4 v. LSU |
|
63-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 11 m |
Show
|
02/21 10:00 AM CB (533) FLORIDA VS (534) LSU edit
Take: (533) FLORIDA
Reason: Play Florida plus 4 Even though Florida is without a couple of key players, I still like the value on this game. We're talking about a 14.5 point swing from the prior matchup earlier this season, in which Florida was favored by 10.5 points at home. LSU won that going away but sometimes you have to take a specific game into context. Florida played there worst defense of the season in that game while LSU shot and ran their offense the best it has this season. I like the play Florida has been receiving as of late from their younger players. Grab Florida plus the points
|
02-21-15 |
Pittsburgh v. Syracuse -4.5 |
|
65-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
02/21 09:00 AM CB (515) PITTSBURGH VS (516) SYRACUSE edit
Take: (516) SYRACUSE
Reason: Syracuse -4.5 The thoughts of bettors when Syracuse gave themselves a self-imposed ban was that they would not be motivated for the rest of the season. The eye-test is that the team has responded better. With a young group of players that will only lose departing senior Rakeem Christmas, suddenly Syracuse is growing as a team. Without the worry of being on the bubble Syracuse is playing much looser. As a result the young players are playing Jim Boeheim's patented zone defense better. Offensively the inside/outside combination of Michael Gbinje and Christmas may be the hottest in college basketball right now. Isolation post plays from Christmas are not being stopped, and Gbinje is getting to the rim or making open three pointers. On top of that Syracuse is getting more contributions from Kaleb Joseph and Tyler Roberson. Pittsburgh has had a nice stretch in the ACC but with the way Syracuse is growing right now I think the Orange get it done in the Carrier Dome.
|
02-18-15 |
Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan +1 |
|
78-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
02/18 04:00 PM CB (737) BUFFALO VS (738) EASTERN MICHIGAN edit
Take: (738) EASTERN MICHIGAN
Reason: Play Eastern Michigan plus 1 The line opened in this one with Eastern Michigan as two point favorites but has swayed to Buffalo being the road favorite by a point. This is a case where bettors are eyeing the glitz of Bobby Hurley's style. His team looks solid when out on the floor with a couple of key talented players. But where they have lacked all season is strong defense. Eastern MIchigan is one of the few teams in the MAC that relies on strong defense to carry their success. At home against a vulnerable Buffalo defensive team I think they should be able to win the battle and keep this game in the 60-68 point range that they want.
|
02-16-15 |
Seton Hall +16 v. Villanova |
|
54-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
02/16 04:00 PM CB (701) SETON HALL VS (702) VILLANOVA edit
Take: (701) SETON HALL
Reason: Play Seton Hall plus 16 There are many variables in this game that have Villanova a whopping 16 point favorite against Seton Hall. One they've been a cash cow against the books in both non-conference and conference play. They've had five to six games alone where they've beat the book by a point or two. Secondly, Seton Hall has had Villanova's number as of late. Winning against them in the Big East tournament last season and in this season's first matchup. Last, Seton Hall is without guard Sina who decided he was leaving the team. Every type of sports handicapper jargon angle is in play here. Revenge, key player left the team, etc, etc. But on the floor Seton Hall still has a talented young team. One much improved from the team a year ago that defeated Villanova. Villanova is a sound balanced team but has been prone to let large leads evaporate quickly. Jay Wright will not leave his star players in the game with a large lead. Instead he'll put in his second unit which is not as sound defensively as the first. In the end this number is too steep and deserves attention on the Pirates side of things.
|
02-16-15 |
Clemson v. Georgia Tech -2.5 |
|
52-63 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 33 m |
Show
|
02/16 04:00 PM CB (705) CLEMSON VS (706) GEORGIA TECH edit
Take: (706) GEORGIA TECH
Reason: Georgia Tech -2, buy the hook Here are two teams that backers just can't get a hold of. Both have been hot potatoes and is the reason why they both have mediocre records. Georgia Tech is on a woeful slide in conference play but have been in the majority of their games. Similar to Northwestern's plight in the Big Ten, the reversal is bound to turn in Georgia Tech's favor. This should be a good spot for Tech as they face a Clemson team extremely limited offensively. Games they've had success offensively they've largely done so due to a size advantage inside. That's not the case against Georgia Tech. Look for the Yellow Jackets to finally snap out of their ACC skid and put a "W" in the ATS column.
|
02-15-15 |
Rider v. Niagara +6 |
|
69-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
02/15 11:00 AM CB (891) RIDER VS (892) NIAGARA edit
Take: (892) NIAGARA
Reason: Play Niagara plus 6 These two teams play again in just six days in the MAAC. Rider was the clear MAAC favorite a few weeks ago but recently have looked vulnerable because of poor shooting and half-court offense. Niagara is a young group after losing the majority of their core team from prior seasons including Antone Mason of Auburn. Yet they're showing the type of signs young teams transitioning do towards the end of the season. Expect them to play this game as a forward-thinking game for growth into next season. Grab the plus 6 with Niagara.
|
02-14-15 |
Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan -6.5 |
|
65-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
02/14 01:30 PM CB (507) NORTHERN ILLINOIS VS (508) WESTERN MICHIGAN edit
Take: (508) WESTERN MICHIGAN
Reason: Play Western Michigan -6 buy the hook Last week we caught a nice win against Western Michigan with Bowling Green. That was the last time Western Michigan has taken the court. They're a team that likely has had one of the toughest weeks of practice in the country. They've dug themselves their own hole by losing five of their last six games; four by less than six points. That portion of their schedule was the class of the MAC. Now Western Michigan gets to finish the season with the easier portion. I expect them to respond strong at home and get a nice ATS cover for us Saturday.
|
02-14-15 |
NC State v. Louisville -11 |
|
74-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
02/14 01:00 PM CB (563) NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS (564) LOUISVILLE edit
Take: (564) LOUISVILLE
Reason: Play Louisville -11 A couple of games ago I stated now is the time to get on the Pitino and Louisville ATS bandwagon. We will stay on them until the lines adjust appropriately. Louisville is just a poor matchup for the NC State. NC State has shot the ball poorly most of conference play and will face an aggressive defensive team--especially at the guard positions. Aggressive defenses have given NC State trouble. They lost to Clemson by 11, Virginia twice, Wofford as a ten point favorite, and Cincinnati by 16 points. Their latest cover against Virginia looks great for backers seeing this steep line but had more to do with Virginia trying to find their offense without Justin Anderson than NC State. Louisville can score without issues and I expect the signs we have seen of Louisville turning the corner to continue to blossom Saturday.
|
02-14-15 |
Wake Forest v. Virginia -17.5 |
|
60-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
02/14 11:30 AM CB (541) WAKE FOREST VS (542) VIRGINIA edit
Take: (542) VIRGINIA
Reason: Play Virginia -17.5 Danny Manning has done a superb job with Wake Forest this season but one thing they do lack is toughness on the defensive end. Their tallest player is forward Devin Thomas at 6'9. Virginia's weakness has been on the interior and has been where ACC teams lately have been attacking them. Wake Forest does not have that advantage and I expect their man to man defense to flourish against an undersized Wake Forest team. These two teams meet again in 11 days in a matchup that might be better the second time around
|
02-14-15 |
Central Michigan +6.5 v. Buffalo |
|
75-74 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
02/14 11:00 AM CB (525) CENTRAL MICHIGAN VS (526) BUFFALO edit
Take: (525) CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Reason: Play Central Michigan plus 6.5 In the earlier matchup between these two Buffalo stormed out to a commanding double digit lead in the first half and into the second half. Central Michigan went on one quick spurt and did not look back and won 84-73. This looks like a revenge spot as the line has jumped from 5 to 6.5. Buffalo's defense just is not sound enough for me to back them against a great offensive team like Central Michigan. Central Michigan spreads the floor well and is the ranks in the top ten in points and top thirty for field goal percentage in the country. Grab Central Michigan.
|
02-12-15 |
Tulsa +3.5 v. Connecticut |
|
45-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 1 m |
Show
|
02/12 04:00 PM CB (511) TULSA VS (512) CONNECTICUT edit
Take: (511) TULSA
Reason: Play Tulsa plus 3.5 Tulsa enters this game against UConn off their first loss in the American conference. SMU came into that game with an edge after losing to Cincinnati for the second time. UConn just is not the juggernaut they were a season ago. It has a lot to do with the non-development of the entire team offensively. They rely solely on Ryan Boatright and have had nothing but inconsistent play from the rest of the team. Grab Tulsa as they have had a strong defensive showing all season long. They should cover the 3.5
|
02-12-15 |
Western Carolina v. Mercer -8 |
|
58-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 0 m |
Show
|
02/12 04:00 PM CB (571) WESTERN CAROLINA VS (572) MERCER edit
Take: (572) MERCER
Reason: Play Mercer -8 People that have followed me this season now that I've grown to like Mercer in the Southern conference. While Western Carolina may have the more experienced players they've struggled all season to pick up where they left off last year. They lost too many key seniors and the upper classmen left just are not capable. Mercer on the other hand continues to show growth on both ends of the floor and may even make a conference tournament run against Wofford. Grab Mercer as they grab yet another cover ATS against Western Carolina.
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02-11-15 |
Pittsburgh v. Louisville -11 |
|
56-69 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
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02/11 05:00 PM CB (769) PITTSBURGH VS (770) LOUISVILLE edit
Take: (770) LOUISVILLE
Reason: Play Louisville -11 Louisville has already won in this matchup against Pittsburgh just a couple of weeks ago. Over Louisville's last few games we're starting to see this team blossom like a true Coach Pitino team. He has cut the rotation down and Louisville is starting to play much better defense as well. Offense has still been an issue but Pittsburgh is the type of team that struggles with consistency offensively. This is the type of game where Louisville should be able to convert turnovers into points and get enough points with their transition offense to roll over Pittsburgh. Expect an ACC rout tonight in Louisville.
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02-10-15 |
Western Michigan v. Bowling Green -5 |
|
49-65 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 56 m |
Show
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02/10 04:00 PM CB (523) WESTERN MICHIGAN VS (524) BOWLING GREEN edit
Take: (524) BOWLING GREEN
Reason: Bowling Green -5 As much of a must-win game this is for Western Michigan, they just are not playing efficient basketball for me to back them on the road against Bowling Green. Western Michigan has lost four of five games. All they could have won but just can't find a way to pull off the close games. Bowling Green is the class of the MAC currently in a tight race amongst four to five quality teams. I think they handle a shaken Western Michigan team reeling and defeat Western Michigan at home and grab the cover.
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02-10-15 |
Notre Dame v. Clemson +3 |
|
60-58 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 54 m |
Show
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02/10 04:00 PM CB (531) NOTRE DAME VS (532) CLEMSON edit
Take: (532) CLEMSON
Reason: Play Clemson plus 3 Many will expect Notre Dame to bust through after their lopsided loss to Duke on Saturday and defeat Clemson handily. The spread opened at 2 and is now up to 3. But if you look at Notre Dame's schedule this season it has not been one filled with challenges. They had a very soft non-conference schedule. They beat Michigan State in overtime by a point and lost to Providence by a point. In conference play they defeated a North Carolina team that was woefully cold in that game and narrowly defeated Georgia Tech twice. Clemson will be a challenge for Notre Dame as a team to score effectively. At home Clemson is a totally different ball club offensively. Look for Clemson to keep this game tight until the end and get the slight cover on 3 points or win outright.
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02-08-15 |
San Antonio Spurs -1.5 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
82-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
02/08 04:05 PM NBA (813) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (814) TORONTO RAPTORS edit
Take: (813) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Reason: Play San Antonio -1.5 San Antonio is starting to make their move up the standings by design from Coach Poppovich. Toronto has been great at home but also has some head scratching losses this season. With the way the Spurs are playing currently this is a good spot to grab them in basically a win the game and cover spot. Buy the hook if necessary.
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02-08-15 |
Maryland +6 v. Iowa |
|
55-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 19 m |
Show
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02/08 12:15 PM CB (825) MARYLAND VS (826) IOWA edit
Take: (825) MARYLAND
Reason: Play Maryland plus 6 Maryland hit a bit of a wall in the teeth of the Big Ten. Teams defended them tighter and better than they were use to in the ACC a year ago and non-conference this season. But Iowa is a Big Ten team that lacks focus on defense. Maryland should finally be able to get open looks with Dez Wells and Melo Trimble and also cause problems for Iowa's big men as Evan Smotrycz and Jake Layman can both cause havoc on the perimeter. Grab the points with Maryland.
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02-08-15 |
Rhode Island +4.5 v. Richmond |
|
79-74 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 47 m |
Show
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02/08 11:30 AM CB (823) RHODE ISLAND VS (824) RICHMOND edit
Take: (823) RHODE ISLAND
Reason: Play Rhode Island plus 4.5 Richmond has been on a tear after looking like a lost team just three weeks ago. At home they tend to be a much different team. Rhode Island is 15-5 and has a chance to ascend up the A-10 standings with this win. Both teams have solid pressure defense but I think the edge hails on Rhode Island's size. They have better athleticism and a bit more size. Grab the points here on the road.
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02-08-15 |
Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
108-131 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
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02/08 10:00 AM NBA (801) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (802) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER edit
Take: (801) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Reason: Play Clippers +4.5 The LA Clippers are in need of a big game before the All-Star break. They've taken their lumps against the Cavaliers twice and in a few other matchups recently. OKC has played well against the Clippers in the past but this time around I believe the Clippers have the advantage in terms of extra motivation. Take the points in this early game spot.
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02-07-15 |
Louisville +7 v. Virginia |
|
47-52 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 11 m |
Show
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02/07 04:00 PM CB (613) LOUISVILLE VS (614) VIRGINIA edit
Take: (613) LOUISVILLE
Reason: Play Louisville plus 7 Winning ugly in any sport is a sign of a team turning the corner. Louisville did so in their latest game against Miami and came from behind and did so against North Carolina. Virginia has lacked offensive synergy of late and this is where you have to give the coaching edge to long time great Coach Pitino. His team struggled a month ago but now Pitino has shortened his bench and each player knows his role to a T. Virginia's lack of interior play and inconsistent guard play should favor to Louisville's side ATS. Grab the Cardinal
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02-07-15 |
UC-Irvine v. Long Beach State -4 |
|
56-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 24 m |
Show
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02/07 04:00 PM CB (669) CAL IRVINE VS (670) LONG BEACH STATE edit
Take: (670) LONG BEACH STATE
Reason: Play Long Beach State -4 Irvine is coming off a poor performance in which their guards shot the ball poorly. That's the strength of the Irvine team which I think bodes well for Long Beach State Saturday. Long Beach State had a difficult non-conference schedule against formidable teams. This is where that experience should pay dividends. They'll need to show true defensive intensity and utilize their size inside on the offensive and defensive end. Grab LBSU as the home favorite here.
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02-07-15 |
Mercer -5 v. Furman |
|
74-68 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 54 m |
Show
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2/07 01:00 PM CB (697) MERCER VS (698) FURMAN edit
Take: (697) MERCER
Reason: Play Mercer -5 This is a rematch in the Southern conference from an earlier season win by Mercer of 67-64. In that game Mercer got a bit sluggish at home, relenting a double digit lead and allowing Furman back in late. Some people will look at that result and back Furman with the home advantage this time around. Especially since this is Mercer's third straight road game. Instead I think we're getting value on Mercer's side here. This is a young team that continues to grow each game. Three to four weeks ago it was their offense that grew exponentially from it's rust in non-conference, and now it's their defense. They limited Wofford to just 49 points in a loss and Citadel in their latest matchup to just 51 in a rout on the road. This is a confident team that has the talent edge over Furman. Look for Mercer to grab their third straight ATS cover on the road.
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02-05-15 |
CS-Northridge +3.5 v. Cal State Fullerton |
|
53-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 13 m |
Show
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02/05 07:00 PM CB (557) CS NORTHRIDGE VS (558) CS FULLERTON edit
Take: (557) CS NORTHRIDGE
Reason: Play CS Northridge plus 3.5 Both of these teams have taken their lumps in conference play. CS Fullerton is still searching for their first win in-conference. They all but had it in their last meeting against Long Beach State but faded and lost in overtime. Cal State Northridge has five upper classmen in their starting lineup and should match up well against a CS Fullerton team that just can't put it together for forty minutes. Take the points with Northridge.
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02-05-15 |
Cincinnati v. SMU -6 |
|
62-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
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02/05 06:00 PM CB (543) CINCINNATI VS (544) SMU edit
Take: (544) SMU
Reason: Play SMU -6 Cincinnati won the first meeting this season in this contest by a score of 56-50. SMU allowed Cincinnati to dictate and impose their style of play and it resulted in a Bearcat win. This time around SMU should be prepared and offer more of an output offensively to combat the Bearcats defense. Getting out ahead of the Bearcats is one of the safer leads you can have in college basketball. When they are out of their element the Bearcats have a tough time adjusting and playing any other style. SMU should get the cover in this one.
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02-05-15 |
Tulsa -5.5 v. Houston |
|
57-44 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
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02/05 04:00 PM CB (519) TULSA VS (520) HOUSTON edit
Take: (519) TULSA
Reason: Play Tulsa -5.5 We may be getting a few extra points here after Houston upset UConn as 8.5 point underdogs in their last matchup. Unlike UConn, Tulsa can score on the offensive end. Houston is an extremely vulnerable team when they're forced to score with their half court offense. Tulsa should be well prepared to replicate their original game plan from a few weeks back and to grab their tenth win in the AAC.
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02-04-15 |
Chicago Bulls +3.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
90-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
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02/04 05:05 PM NBA (709) CHICAGO BULLS VS (710) HOUSTON ROCKETS edit
Take: (709) CHICAGO BULLS
Reason: Play Chicago +3.5 In their last meeting the Bulls used the Rockets game plan against them. Houston played their normal run and gun style to build a double digit lead for three quarters. In the fourth quarter though the Bulls were able to clamp down defensively and score with ease on the offensive end. The Bulls are starting to resemble the Eastern conference team people anticipated as the season began. Grab the Bulls tonight.
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02-03-15 |
Boston Celtics +1.5 v. New York Knicks |
|
108-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
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02/03 04:35 PM NBA (503) BOSTON CELTICS VS (504) NEW YORK KNICKS edit
Take: (503) BOSTON CELTICS
Reason: Play Boston plus 1.5 The Knicks have caught the attention of bettors eyes lately with some ATS wins including one on Sunday against the Lakers. But the flaws of scoring are still there. Boston struggled themselves on Sunday against a much more defensive minded team in the Heat. I expect them to be able to find their offense in the Garden and to pull this one out.
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02-03-15 |
Northern Iowa v. Indiana State +5.5 |
|
61-51 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
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02/03 04:00 PM CB (515) NORTHERN IOWA VS (516) INDIANA STATE edit
Take: (516) INDIANA STATE
Reason: Play Indiana State plus 5.5 Northern Iowa is coming off a thumping win over Missouri Valley perennial Wichita State. The target has moved to them and I think Indiana State has the personnel to match up well at home versus Northern Iowa. Grab the points in this Missouri Valley matchup tonight.
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02-02-15 |
Iowa State +7 v. Kansas |
|
76-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
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02/02 06:00 PM CB (721) IOWA STATE VS (722) KANSAS edit
Take: (721) IOWA STATE
Reason: Play Iowa State plus 7 The two Big 12 rivals face each other for the second time as Kansas looks to get revenge on a loss two weeks ago. Both of these teams have potent offenses but a seven point differential is a bit steep in my estimation. Iowa State has the floor spacing and balance to put a second solid effort against the Jayhawks. Look for Coach Hoiberg to have his team ready to play for 40 minutes. This is a crucial game for seeding purposes in a month. Expect a good game and get the points on value.
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02-01-15 |
Miami (FL) v. Florida State +2 |
|
54-55 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
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02/01 09:30 AM CB (805) MIAMI FLORIDA VS (806) FLORIDA STATE edit
Take: (806) FLORIDA STATE
Reason: Play Florida State +2 Miami grabbed headlines with a resounding win over Duke this season but has had their fair share of issues this season. Size and athleticism has given the Hurricanes problems. Providence, Green Bay, Eastern Kentucky, Notre Dame, and their latest loss to Georgia Tech. Florida State is not going to back away from this game even though they are having a down season. They're scoring at a better rate as of late offensively and I like their athleticism to cause problems for the Hurricanes. Grab Florida State.
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01-31-15 |
Mercer +7 v. Wofford |
|
46-49 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 38 m |
Show
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01/31 04:00 PM CB (723) MERCER VS (724) WOFFORD edit
Take: (723) MERCER
Reason: Play Mercer plus 7 Wofford has been in cruise control against their conference foes of late. Crushing opponents and delivering four straight covers. Mercer may be 12-10 but they are one of those type of teams that have grown from non-conference to conference play. They're a young group that has balance to give Wofford a game. Expect them to cover this line of seven points.
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01-31-15 |
Detroit -1.5 v. Wisconsin Milwaukee |
|
74-78 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
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01/31 02:00 PM CB (613) DETROIT VS (614) WISC MILWAUKEE edit
Take: (613) DETROIT
Reason: Play Detroit -1.5 These two teams played at the beginning of conference play and Detroit won by 16 points. Milwaukee has been playing much better basketball but just does not have the talent to sustain a full forty minutes of solid basketball. They can do it for stretches which has caused several collapses with leads including against Oakland and Cleveland State. Detroit just has the better balance and should sweep the series against Milwaukee.
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01-31-15 |
Wisconsin Green Bay v. Cleveland State +2 |
|
62-76 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
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01/31 11:00 AM CB (571) WISC GREEN BAY VS (572) CLEVELAND STATE edit
Take: (572) CLEVELAND STATE
Reason: Play Cleveland State plus 2 The records may fool some bettors in this game as Green Bay has a wide margin of difference from Cleveland State. On court though this is going to be a tight game. Green Bay has a much more free flowing offense that tends to boost their lackluster defensive effort. Cleveland State on the other hand is aggressive defensively and makes timely buckets on the offensive end. I expect Cleveland State to play their A game Saturday at home against the class of the horizon. Grab Cleveland State Saturday.
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01-30-15 |
Kent State v. Buffalo -6 |
|
55-80 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
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01/30 07:00 PM CB (841) KENT STATE VS (842) BUFFALO edit
Take: (842) BUFFALO
Reason: Play Buffalo -6 Even though Buffalo has more MAC losses and overall losses than Kent State, Buffalo should be right in contention for the automatic tournament seeding for March Madness for the MAC. This is a big game for them at home after two road losses and a come from behind win in their latest outing. They need to show balance out the gate on the defensive end to match their offense. They should get it done. Grab Buffalo minus the points.
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01-30-15 |
Quinnipiac v. Canisius -4 |
|
57-63 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
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01/30 04:00 PM CB (833) QUINNIPIAC VS (834) CANISIUS edit
Take: (834) CANISIUS
Reason: Play Canisius -4 Canisius has not fully recovered from losing graduating senior Billy Baron from last year's team, but are making gradual strides with increased production from several players. Quinnipiac is not a team that is going to win against a quality opponent by matching a team bucket for bucket. They are unlike most MAAC teams because they try to excel on defense. This is a good spot for a Canisius team that faced a stronger defense in their last opponent in Rider, to show that they learned from that poor outing and answer strong at home
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01-29-15 |
Maryland +8 v. Ohio State |
|
56-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
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01/29 04:00 PM CB (511) MARYLAND VS (512) OHIO STATE edit
Take: (511) MARYLAND
Reason: Maryland plus 8 Ohio State is on a roll offensively. They've piled up points against Indiana recently and are averaging 16th in the country with 80 points per game. I don't believe Maryland will let Ohio State play to that style. The Terrapins lost in a game with such pace against Indiana recently. A solid B effort defensively from Maryland will keep this within range of the 8. Expect the ranked Maryland team that has swept Michigan State, beat Oklahoma State on the road, and has had other solid wins.
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01-29-15 |
Youngstown State +9.5 v. Detroit |
|
87-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
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01/29 04:00 PM CB (523) YOUNGSTOWN STATE VS (524) DETROIT edit
Take: (523) YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Reason: Play Youngstown State plus 9.5 This is the classic case where bettors will be trying to pounce against Youngstown State after they grabbed their first Horizon league win against UIC. Detroit has found a bit of offense lately but I'm not sure they have the perimeter defenders to lock down Youngstown State's 3 point shooting. Youngstown State is averaging six three's a game. If they get to that number or higher they should grab this cover with ease.
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01-28-15 |
Duquesne +12.5 v. Richmond |
|
55-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
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01/28 04:00 PM CB (727) DUQUESNE VS (728) RICHMOND edit
Take: (727) DUQUESNE
Reason: Play Duquense plus 12.5 This line has dropped a full point for good reason. The last game by Duquesne had more to do with not having recovered from an overtime loss to St. Bonaventure. A game they held a big lead and let get away. They played against George Washington less than 48 hours later and were not recovered as a team. Still they fought hard in a lopsided game against George Washington to nearly get the spread cover. Richmond is a great home team but does not have the consistent offense for this large of a spread. Look for Duquesne to keep this under ten.
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01-27-15 |
Ohio v. Eastern Michigan -5 |
|
40-76 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
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01/27 04:00 PM CB (525) OHIO VS (526) EASTERN MICHIGAN edit
Take: (526) EASTERN MICHIGAN
Reason: Eastern Michigan -5, Eastern Michigan has vastly underperformed in MAC play. They are coming off two road losses against quality opponents in Central Michigan and Bowling Green. Two teams playing solid basketball right now. Before their two game road stretch they lost several close games in conference. Look for Eastern Michigan to finally balance their defense with some offensive output and get a spread cover and win at home against Ohio.
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