The Bengals struggled in Browning's first start. He's gotten his feet wet now and will be better from the experience. He also expects to have Tee Higgins back, a luxury he didn't have against Baltimore. Browning, who did complete 19 of 26 passes for 227 yards against the Ravens, said this of Higgins: "Tee's one of the top receivers in the NFL. I don't think can really put into words how important he is to this offense ... there's just something that Tee brings the table being as big, as fast and having the experience he does, where it's always nice to have him and Ja'Marr on the outside." The Bengals are 15-7 against the spread their last 22 as underdogs. The Jaguars won by 3 last game and have only won one of their last 5 games by more than 10. Grab the points! **NFL GOW**

San Jose State hosted North Dakota State last week and won 78-65. The Spartans have since played 2 road games, losing them both. They may have some tired legs. The Bison haven't played since the loss at San Jose State. They are 6-4 straight-up the last 10 times that they played with revenge from a road loss, 62-40 their last 102. They are also 5-2 straight-up their last 7 when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games, 50-24 their last 74. They will be the fresher team. The Spartans are 6-24 straight-up their last 30 road games, 0-7 when the total was in the 135 to 139.5 range. They are 5-56 their last 61 in that spot. Bison will have their revenge! ***CBB Revenge GOY***

The Celtics humbled them 155-104 at the beginning of November and the Pacers haven't forgotten! Indiana is 9-4, both straight up and against the spread, its last 13 times in the revenge role. The Pacers lost by 4, in OT, the last time that they hosted the Celtics. The previous meeting here saw Indiana win decisively. The Pacers are averaging 128.8 points a game, most in the league. They just beat Miami 144-129 and they are 14-8 against the spread the past 22 times that they were off a game where they scored 130 or more. Grab the points! ***Eastern Conf. GOM***

These teams met in October, at Indianapolis. The Colts won. That's not surprising given that the Titans are 0-6 on the road. The Titans are an entirely different team here at home though. They're 4-1 in games at Tennessee. They have outscored teams by an average of 24.8 to 15 here. They are 4-1 against the spread the last 5 tries as a home underdog of 3 or less. The Colts recent wins have been against bad teams. They are 5-11 against the spread in divisional play their last 16. Give me Tennessee at home! **AFC South GOY**

Perhaps this isn't the most exciting game on the board but the best value is often found in the lesser known conferences. Utah Valley is projected to be a top 5 team in the WAC Conference. Utah Tech is projected to finish dead last. The Wolverines did lose a lot from last season but new coach Todd Phillips still has a lot to work with. The Trailblazers will play their first home game. They have won only 6 of 20 conference games since joining. Utah Valley won both games last year. With a 44-25 against the spread record their last 69, the Wolverines will win again. ***Road Warrior***

Knowing that they got swept by them last season, the Bulldogs will be too much for the Bears this afternoon. Missouri State hasn't faced competition this good. The Bulldogs will be on of the top teams in the Missouri Valley Conf. again this season. They began conference play by crushing Valparaiso. Their 46-29 second half will act as a springboard into today's game. Bulldogs average 83 points at home. Bears average 68 points on the road. Drake wins by 10+! ***MVC GOM***

Boise State is peaking at the right time. UNLV is not. The Broncos are off three straight convincing wins. The Rebels just lost to San Jose State. The Spartans had nearly 500 yards of offense. San Jose State arguably deserved to be here, after beating the Rebels, but a computer broke the 3-way tie. The previous game, the Rebels allowed 344 rushing yards. Broncos are 5-2-1 against the spread last 8 tried laying points. Rebels 3-7 against the spread last 10 tries as home dogs of 3 or less. Lay the small number with the better team.

Six meetings between these "rivals" since 2006, 2 in the past 2 years. The Aztecs won all six games. All 6 victories came by at least 16 points. This will be another destruction. The Tritons are off 3 straight losses and they've been getting progressively worse. Last loss came by 27 points. That loss came against a team (Washington) which the Aztecs have beaten. Lay the points with the road team and enjoy the beating. ***Road Warrior***

It's not easy to blow a team out two games in a row. Orlando hammered Washington a couple of days ago. It won't happen again! The Wizards have been at their best when off a bad loss. They're 71.4% against the spread when off a loss of 10 or more. Magic 12-15-1 against the spread last 28 when off a win of 10+. Washington coach Wes Unseld Jr: "We just have to get there with a little more urgency..." The Wizards will play with a sense of urgency and they will improve to 13-7 against the spread their last 20 tries after giving up 130+. **southeast GOY**

There's a big difference between the Pac-12 and the Big West. The Beavers will likely find things tough in their own conference. UC Davis may have more success within theirs. That makes winning this non-conference game a priority for the Beavers. They can't afford to squander opportunities against squads from lesser conferences. The Aggies are 0-3 against the spread the past 3 tries as road underdogs of 3 or fewer points. The last time that the Beavers were favored, they won by 10 points, when laying -2.5. They get it done again tonight! ***NOV GOM***

The Cowboys have been clobbering bad teams. The Seahawks aren't a bad team though and Dallas has far more trouble with better teams. Dallas is only 4-8 against the spread last 12 against winning teams. The Cowboys also have a very big game upcoming against the Eagles next week. Off their Thanksgiving Day romp and looking ahead to that game, Seattle could be overlooked. Seattle is 7-3 against the spread last 10 tries after losing 2 or more games in a row. Grab the points! ***NFC GOM***

I can understand that some bettors don't like taking a team like the Pistons. Personally, I don't like to pass up opportunities. The Pistons got blown out last night. That has allowed us to get a couple of extra points. Detroit doesn't mind playing 2 games in 2 days though. They have been in that situation 4 times this season. They won 1 game and the other 3 losses all came by 11 or less. They almost upset Denver. They are 17-13-1 against the spread in back to back situations the last 2 years. The Knicks have a division road game tomorrow night. They will be tested. Grab the points! ***Eastern Conf GOW***

The Grizzlies are going to really want this game. They're still winless at home and need to fix that. They're also 0-2 against Utah already this season. They're going to want to fix that, too. Adding to the revenge angle, the most recent of those games had some controversy. Memphis player Jared Jackson got ejected with a double-technical. Coach Jenkins said: "One of the most poorly officiated games I've ever seen," which led to him being fined $25,000 by the NBA. He went on to say: "Our team is competing their tails off, and this is what happens? The interaction right now with the officials, complete disrespect. It's unbelievable. ... I don't understand it." Grizzlies are 40-30-2 against the spread in the revenge role last 2 years, 12-8-2 against the spread when avenging a home loss. They will improve to 16-8 against the spread their last 24, after scoring 100 or less. ***Revenge GOM***

Stephen Austin has a very well-coached team and the program has a lot of pride. They beat Drake but then got blown out by Utah State. That won't sit well. Off its previous loss, SFA won its next game by 26 points. The Lumberjacks are bigger, stronger and more experienced than last year. Importantly, they're also healthier. Last season, they dealt with a lot of injury problems. That isn't an issue so far this season. The Lumberjacks are better than the Texans in the frontcourt and also in the backcourt. They're a team destined to finish near the top of the WAC, Tarleton State should finish near the basement. Texans are 1-7 against the spread last 8 tries when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest. Lay the points. ***WAC GOY***

The Rebels are 3-0 at home, 5-0 overall. The WolfPack are playing their first true road game. They are only 7-13 their last 20 away games, 0-4 SU in road games with a total of 145 to 149.5. The Rebels are finding a way to win close games. Three straight wins of 3 points or less. Wolfpack just gave up 95 points in a loss against BYU. They are 7-13 last 20 times after giving up 80 or more. Rebels keep on winning! **Tuesday Takedown**

First instalment of the ACC/SEC challenge. The Tigers have had some trouble covering as favorites but this is their first time as underdogs. They've won 4 of their last 5 and the only loss was by 1 point. The Panthers just blew out Oregon State but the Beavers are among the worst teams in the Pac-12. Before that the Panthers played an SEC opponent, as they will here, and lost by 15. Florida's defense gave the Panthers trouble and Missouri will use similar methods. The Panthers other games all came against weak opposition. The Tigers will give them fits. Grab the points. **Road Warrior**

The Bison are always a force in the Summit Conference and they've got an experienced team this season. They are more than capable of pulling off the upset tonight. The Spartans lost a lot from last season, including star player Omari Moore. They're already dealing with a few injuries. NDSU lost last game but is still 20-14 against the spread last 2 seasons on the road. They have faced Creighton on the road and they already won outright at Montana. This game will come down to the wire. Grab the points. ***Road Warrior***

Orlando has been rolling but Charlotte is also a lot better than people realize. Myles Bridges has made a big difference. The Hornets are off back to back victories, of those coming against Boston. LaMelo Ball is playing his best. Ball had 34 points, 13 assists and eight rebounds last game. That's 7 times in 9 games that he's scored 30 or more. Bridges said this of Ball: "He's playing at an unbelievable level. He's made the leap into being a superstar. He was an All-Star, but now he's a superstar. If he's not on any of the All-NBA teams I'll be surprised. He's a winner." The Hornets are 5-1 against the spread the past 6 times that they played with 3 or more day's rest. Grab the points. ***Southeast GOM***

The Longhorns will have advantages every step of the way this afternoon against Wyoming. The Cowboys haven't faced this type of quality. Off a loss against Connecticut, Texas will be ready to deliver a blowout. Longhorns are 3-0 at home and every win came by 16 or more points. Texas coach Rodney Terry said this after Monday's loss. "And over these two days, back to back, we really grew up in those areas. We grew up in an area of taking care of the basketball, too, and not beating ourselves. There's a high ceiling for this group. Once we get everybody out there on the floor playing together, it's going be a pretty deep and pretty good team." That will be on full display this afternoon. Texas wins big! ***CBB Dominator***

Ridder is back and he will have learned from his time on the sideline. The Atlanta QB commented: "You get a different perspective of not only yourself but the offense as a whole. There are a lot of things where I'd like to have gone back and done better. I could've protected the ball better, but there are a lot of (instances) where I could've done things to not be in those situations, whether it's footwork or your reads or your progressions." The Falcons are 3-1 at home this season with Ridder starting. Last season's games were both decided by 3 or less and the game here at Atlanta was decided by a single point. The Saints are only 7-15-1 against the spread their last 23 as favorites, 2-5-1 as road favorites of a field goal or less. Falcons are already 2-0 within the division. Homefield will make the difference. ***NFC South GOM***

Baylor is playing for pride. Its the Bears' last game and it means a lot. West Virginia is already guaranteed a bowl. Baylor coach Dave Aranda knows that the Bears and their fans can really use a victory: "For the team, it would be a relief. It would be validation for working hard. When anything negative happens, you fight the attachment to all the negative things of the past. We're fighting that fight right now, and to get a win would be a victory over that." The Mountaineers have been road favorites four times the last few seasons. They were 1-3 against the spread. They were road favorites once this season and lost outright at Houston. Grab the points and look for the Bears to bring it! ***Big 12 GOM***

Maryland has faced some quality opponents, including Villanova. Even so, no team has reached 70 points against the Terrapins. They allow 61.6 points a game. South Alabama gave up 102 to Alabama, in a 102-46 loss. That's bad. Even worse, the Jaguars also gave up 102 to Nicholls State! They allow an average of 79.1 points a game. Not good when you only average 58 points a game on the road. The Terrapins scored more than 90 last game. They will clamp down and dominate, this game turning into another rout. ***CBB Bone-Crusher***

Texas needs to take care of business. No leaving anything up to anyone else. The Longhorns will punctuate a strong regular season with a statement blowout. They lost at Lubbock in Overtime last year and will get revenge from that game. Red Raiders are 2-5 against the spread last 7 tries on the road with total of 49.5 to 56. Texas is 3-0-1 against the spread last four tries at home with a total of 49.5 to 56. Longhorns are also 4-2 against the spread last six as home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points, 3-1 in that role this season. Texas wins big! **REVENGE GOW**

Getting extra value with the Jets due to the QB situation. The reality is that the QB change should only help. Wilson was terrible! Boyle has something to prove. The Jets defense is better than Miami's defense. The Jets are 6-3 against the spread the last 9 times that they were off a division loss. Last meeting was decided by 5 points. Three of last 4 meetings all decided by 7 or less and the other was a big NY win. Grab the points! **AFC EAST GOW**

The Bruins are used to being good. So you know that they're going to want to get rid the taste of a blowout loss to Arizona. The Hawks showed that they should be respected when they upset WVU. Don't forget that Monmouth was only 7-26 last year though. Belmont scores more than 80 per game. Monmouth scores less than 70. Bruins are 9-3 against the spread last 12 lined games after allowing 80 or more points. Give the solid MVC team over the mediocre CAA squad. **CBB Crusher**

Motivation will play a big part. This game is bigger for the CornHuskers. Not only is it the home finale but Nebraska still needs win #6. This is the last chance. Iowa has already qualified for a bowl. With the push in their last game, the Huskers are 8-3-1 against the spread the last 12 times that they were off 2 or more consecutive losses. Iowa scores 11.3 points per road game. Nebraska scores 21.3 points per home game. Nebraska gets elusive win #6! **Eye Opener**

These teams are more equally matched that you might think. They played a close game against each other last season, NC State winning by 4. The Wolfpack are 1-4 against the spread their last 5 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5. The Commodores are 5-0 against the spread in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5. In all neutral site games, Vanderbilt is 8-2 against the spread its past 10. This will be another close one. Grab the points! ***best bet***

The Rams have their number but the Seahawks will bounce back with a big effort on Thanksgiving! Seattle has won 8 of the past 10 home meetings against San Francisco. The two losses came by an average of 6.5 points. Pete Carroll likes Geno Smith's chances of starting: “"They’re taking a look at it but they pretty much know what’s going on there. It’s just see how soon it settles down. Like I said, it’s a good sign that he’s functional so that’s not the issue, so it’s just how sore he is. He’ll make it back." SF, which has a revenge game against the Eagles on deck, is 3-2 on the road. Seattle is 4-1 at home. The 49ers might fare better in the Dec. 10th rematch but Seattle is the right way to go on Thursday. Good luck and Happy Thanksgiving!

Detroit fans have been waiting for a long time for this. A Thanksgiving Day game where they've got a good team and where they can count on a big win. That day is here! The Lions are the real deal. The Packers are not. I've had this opinion from Day 1. This is what I said prior to Detroit's 34-20 win at Lambeau in September:

Its early but this game will likely go a long way in ultimately determining the division champion. After years of suffering, Detroit and its fans desperately want this. You can't always get what you want but in this case, the Detroit faithful will finally be rewarded. The Lions have been stockpiling talent over the years and now have a better team than the Packers. That's why they're small favorites, despite the game being played at Lambeau. You may be surprised to learn that the Lions are 10-2 ATS their last 12 divisional games. They're also 3-0 ATS their past three Thursday night games. The Lions, who already won at Arrowhead, have arguably faced stiffer competition than the Packers. They'll find a way to win this game and to seize early control of the division. ***NFC North GOY

Now the Lions get to complete the sweep in front of the entire country. Their time has come. They are 16-6 against the spread their last 22 home games. They had a 211-27 edge in rushing yards in the first meeting! As they were in September, they will be too much for the Packers to handle! ***NFC North GOM

These are two good teams. Both are undefeated. Both were just involved in a 3-point game. The Miners didn't even shoot well in their win over Cal and still got it down. Their lockdown defense was the difference. Coach Joe Golding said: "What a game. We were out of whack it seems like the whole game. We were shorthanded, we got in foul trouble. We had different lineups on the floor ..." Braves are only 3-9 against the spread last 12 times they played on a neutral court. I'll take the points! ***CBB BEST BET***

The Jazz already beat this team and they will do so again tonight. Both teams played yesterday. The Jazz are healthier and deeper. They will be able to handle the back-to-back situation more effectively. The Jazz are 3-1 against the spread here the last 2 years. Points might seem attractive until you learn that Portland is a putrid 45-72 against the spread as an underdog the last 2 years. The Jazz are favored for only the 3rd time. They were 2-0 against the spread in the first two occasions. Both were big wins. Lay the points. **Road Warrior**

After playing 3 games in 4 days, the Hawks got a nice break. They are coming in rested and ready to go. After this comes Brooklyn and then a long stretch on the road. It's imperative that the Hawks make hay while the sun is shining. The Pacers can't be trusted on the road. They are getting outscored by an average score of 132.7 to 121.7 in their away games. The Hawks scored 143 against them last meeting here! They will drop a massive number on this defensively challenged team once again. Indiana will score a lot, just not enough. Let's go Hawks! ***Eastern Conf. GOM***

Last week, I won with Eastern Michigan Over the total, an easy 30-27 final score against Akron. This week, I will look to fade Eastern Michigan on the road. The Eagles are only 2-4 against the spread as underdogs. Eastern Michigan, 5-1 at home but 0-5 on the road, gets outscored by an average of 28 to 13 in away games. The Bulls beat this team 50-31 last year. The Eagles want that 6th win but they won't get it. The Bulls will show they've still got some pride and close out their season with a big win. ***MAC GOW***

Prairie View has a nice against the spread record but is outmatched in this game. The Panthes were 13-19 last season and they didn't return a single starter. The Colonels won 23 games last year and brought back most of that team. Determined to make it to the NCAA Tournament, this is the type of opponent which they can crush. They can and they will! Eastern Kentucky is 10-3 against the spread last 13 tournament games. PV is 0-5 against the spread last 5 as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. Lay the points! ***Tourney Wake and Make***

The Chiefs won when it really counted but the Eagles will exact a little revenge tonight. The Chiefs are only scoring 23.1 points a game this season. The Eagles score 28. The Eagles have only lost once all season. They were winning that game entering the 4th quarter and had a big edge in yards and first downs. The Chiefs have two losses and they've had a few close wins. Remember, the Eagles were ahead 27-21 entering the 4th quarter in the Super Bowl. They've been waiting for this day. They're 7-3 against the spread the last 10 times they were off a division win. This night will belong to them! ***MNF GOM***

The Lumberjacks will be good within the WAC and potentially could even make their way back to the NCAA Tournament. The Bulldogs are one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference though and they have looked good in winning all their games. They just narrowly missed out on a couple covers. Without having to worry about covering a big number in this one, look for Drake to finish on top and move to 3-0 straight up and against the spread, its last 3 against WAC competition. **Eye Opener**

The Aztecs are always good. Last year, they had a deep NCAA Tournament run. They're going to be a solid again. They're not unbeatable though and they're a team that doesn't always score that many points, which leads to close games. Who could forget their dramatic 1-point wins in last year's tournament. The Huskies followed up a close loss to Nevada with a close win against Xavier. Off that victory, Washington coach Mike Hopkins said afterward: "Sometimes shots don't fall, sometimes foul shots don't fall, but you got to keep fighting," "We won this game because we were tough. We rebounded. We got stops when we had to get stops and that's why we won. That's why I was so proud of these guys. They kept fighting. It wasn't perfect, but they just kept fighting." This one likely gets decided at the final buzzer. Grab the points! ***Tournament GOM***

Portland rested yesterday. OKC played against the Warriors. This will be the first time this season that the Thunder play a "road" game after having played the previous night. The Thunder got destroyed in their only previous division game. The Thunder won all 4 meetings last season. All four games were won by 9 or fewer points though and 3 of them were decided by 6 or less, 2 by 3 or less. Really close games from these division rivals! Portland has a great chance of winning this game and will at least keep it close again. Grab the points! **Northwest Div. GOY**

The Bills really shot themselves in the foot last week. What were they even doing in that close a game in the first place? Rest assured, they will emerge stronger from the experience. The Bills will be a team on a mission this week. Nobody will get in their way. Not the stumbling Jets, who scored 18 combined points in losing their last 2 games. The Jets average 16 points a game, the Bills average more than 26. The Jets are 1-4 against the spread (0-5 straight-up) in five tries when the total was between 35.5 to 42. The Bills are 5-2-1 against the spread (7-1 straight up) last 8 when up against an opponent with a losing record in the second half of the season. This will not be a friendly environment! Bills win big!

Getting points with Seattle is a nice bonus seeing as I've got the Seahawks winning this game. The Rams are getting Stafford back but they've still got a lot of issues. They are 0-8 straight-up their last 8 November games. Stafford hasn't played in some time but Geno Smith closed out last game on a high and comes in with confidence. The Seahawks are battling San Francisco and cannot afford another loss to the Rams. They will get revenge from the Week 1 loss. ***Road Warrior***

Bucks have finally gotten it going. Mavericks are at the end of a road trip. Bucks swept last year's 2 games. and they won by 9 in their home game. Bucks coach Adrian Griffin said the following after last night's big victory: "I love how we shared the ball and moved the ball and we're looking for each other. That's something we've been stressing in the last probably week or so." Mavericks are only 24-38-4 against the spread last 66 in Non-Conf action. The Bucks will get this done! ***Non-Conf GOW***

This game is bigger for the Red Wolves than it is the Bobcats. Texas State is already bowl eligible, for the first time in nine seasons. With a win on Saturday afternoon, Arkansas State will become bowl eligible for the first time in four seasons. Doing so against a Texas State team which lately always seems to narrowly defeat them will be extra sweet. The Red Wolves have been playing their best football the past few weeks. They lost at South Alabama last week. With an advantage in first downs, they covered the spread in that game. Before that, they'd won 2 games in a row by 10 and 20 points. The last 3 meetings have all been by 3 or less., each by Texas State. Arkansas State led 10-3 going into the 4th quarter last year but found a way to close. Not this year. It's payback time! ***Revenge GOY***

Nobody wants to take BYU these days. The Cougars have been blown out in 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. Stuck on 5 wins, even most BYU fans feel that they no longer have a chance to make a bowl. And now the Cougars take on big bad Oklahoma. All of the above has already been considered and factored into the line. The line on BYU is very high and the Cougars have no pressure on them. Everyone has already counted them out. This is their home finale. They've still got that to play for. The Sooners are only 4-8 against the spread their last 12 as road favorites. They've got bigger games to look forward to. Grab all the points. ***Eye Opener***

It would have been the hottest ticket in town if these teams faced each other earlier in the season. Colorado was the talk of the league and Washington State was also red hot. Everything changed. Both teams got brought down to size. Both teams will still really want this one though. Each is anxious to get back on track. That will make for a good game. Colorado still gets the hype because of Sanders. The Cougars are at home though and are the superior team. WSU quarterback Cameron Ward took some responsibility for last week's loss after he fumbled three times and had two returned for TDS. (He also threw for 358 yards and three touchdowns.) "I feel like I've grown in ball security, especially these two years once I first got here to Washington State but it showed up again that it's something that I gotta continuously work on. Any time you put your team in a situation like I did, it's hard to fight out of, and we did. We did end up doing that. But we didn't execute enough plays as a whole to win this game." Colorado is only 2-13 its last 15 road games. Ward will clean up the fumbles tonight and he will lead his team to a win and cover! ***pac 12 GOW***

The Celtics are definitely playing well but they've got a few question marks for tonight. Brown and Porzingis are questionable. Horford is probable but not 100%. Those are 3 important players to this team. Even if all 3 go, they could play at less than their usual potential. Regardless of what lineup the Celtics ultimately settle on, they are going to face a very competitive Toronto team. The Raptors just got blown out by the Bucks. They are 20-14 against the spread their past 34 times they were off a loss of 10 or more points, 21 outright wins. Over the same period, they are 49-42 against the spread in the revenge role, 54-40 against teams with a winning record. Boston is only 30-39 against the spread against losing teams over that time. Both the Celtics losses have come on the road. The Celtics allow 108.7 points on the road and the Raptors allow 108.8 at home. The last time Boston played here, it was a 2-point game. The time before that, it was a 4-point Toronto win. Grab the points! ***Atlantic Div GOY***

Michigan looked great in beating St. John's. The Wolverines are absolutely a talented team. They lost a lot from last year though and are dealing with the absence of Juwan Howard. Off the trip to MSG and with some big games coming up after this one, it won't be easy to blow out Long Beach State. Not with the talent, depth and experience that the Beach players have. They hung within 12 at San Diego State, after close games at Depaul and Portland. They will give the Wolverines trouble today! ***Road Warrior***

Nets won when these teams played at Miami on November 1. It marked the 4th loss in a row for the Heat, who were dealing with some injuries at the time. Since then, the Heat have found their groove. They've won 6 straight games since the Nets were here last. Heat are 22-14 against the spread, last 36, after playing previous 3 on the road. Brooklyn just 19-32 against the spread last 51 after allowing 105 or fewer points. Lay the small number with Miami! ***pick and roll***

Pittsburgh being favored in game tells us a lot. The Panthers have been bad all season. Pittsburgh coach Pat Narduzzi will have his worst year. So, what are the Panthers doing favored? Boston College is a fraud, that's why! The Eagles were exposed last week. They got outgained by a 600 to 262 yardage mark! That was against Virginia Tech - not a team like Georgia or Michican. Eagles are 3-9 against the spread last 12 times they were off a conf. loss. Narduzzi is 7-3 against the spread last 10 in November. Panthers will play their best game and salvage some price. ***ACC GOM***

Bonnies will win this game outright, in my opinion. Cowboys are 3-5 against the spread last 8 on a neutral court. Even with a slow start, St. Bonaventure is 9-5 against the spread last 14 in the month of November. 11 outright wins. The Bonnies played in Metro NY last season and had success. That experience will serve them well today. They are much closer to home than the Cowboys. Grab the points! ***Tourney Shocker***

Red Storm weren't ready for Michigan but they will have plenty to take on North Texas. That loss to the Wolverines wasn't fun but it will act as a wake-up AND a warm-up for the Red Storm. They will benefit from the experience. St. John's is 5-1 against the spread last 6 neutral site games, 7-2 against the spread last 9 tournament games. Pitino admitted that it will take time for his team to hit their stride. Behind the scenes he's demanding more. He will have the Red Storm ready and they will bounce back with a win and cover this afternoon. ***tourney takedown

Pacific is off a nice upset of Cal. The Tigers are only 5-13 against the spread the past 18 times that they scored 80 or more points though and Nevada is a really tough team. Already 2-0, the WolfPack just beat Washington. The Tigers are also 3-13 against the spread, their last 16 tries as road underdogs of 12.5 to 16 points. Tigers are also still only 9-22 against the spread last 31 against winning teams. Tigers get a nice 5-game homestand after this. First, they take their lumps on the road. ***wednesday wipeout***

With a cover tonight, the Grizzlies will improve to 33-17 against the spread their last 50 times up against Pacific Division opponents. They upset the Clippers last game. It seems that Davis and Lebron are permanently probable/questionable/doubtful but the Lakers do have a revenge game against Sacramento on Wednesday. Its not impossible to imagine Lebron missing tonight, after he missed last game (his first) with a calf contusion. Though still without Morant, the Grizzlies are coming together. They will surprise the Lakers tonight. ***western conf. wipeout***

The Aggies are 0-2 against the spread so far but they will fix that today. UC Davis has strong guard play. A lack of size in the frontcourt won't hurt them against a North Dakota State team which is off an 89-60 loss. In lined games, the Bison are 4-9 against the spread the last 13 times after they allowed 80 or more points. They are also 8-14 against the spread in non-conf action and 3-6 in tournament play. Lay the small number! ***Tourney Dominator***

Everything worked out for the Gauchos last year. They set school records and went back to the NCAA Tournament. They've got a good program. The Gauchos lost quite a lot from last year though and it will take time for the newcomers to gel. That showed itself in their opening game upset loss against Portland State. The Miners are excited about their team. They crushed their first 2 opponents and will rise to the occasion of hosting a team that went to the Big Dance last year. Gauchos are only 4-6 against the spread last 10 as underdogs. Lay the small number. ***Slam Dunk Club***

Denver showed up to the wrong party. The Broncos have shown some signs of life. But their season is still done. The Bills are angry from their loss at Cincinnati. They're 4-0 straight-up at home. The Bills score 26.7 points a game. The Broncos score 21.5. The Bills allow only 17.8 points a game. The Broncos allow 28.3. Better on both sides of the ball and playing at home, Buffalo will blow out the Broncos and make a statement on National TV. ***MNF MasterClass***

Suns have handled the Thunder here and they blew them out the last meeting on this floor. Though Booker is doubtful, Beal is probable. This game is projected to be high-scoring, total of 235, and those are the kind of games that suit the Suns well. The Suns are 28-12 straight-up and 25-15 against the spread the past 40 times that they played a game with a total listed at 230 or more. Only previous time this season was an opening game win against the Warriors. Suns wins. ***western conf. wipeout

If you look at the points scored and allowed, the overall numbers are pretty close. Both teams score the same amount of points. The Chargers allow about 1 more point per game. Detroit does come in fresh, as last week was a bye. The Chargers are playing their best football now though and the Lions are playing thousands of miles away from home. They were obliterated their last road game. The Charger defense has especially improved of late. They will keep rolling and pull off the upset this afternoon! ***Non-Conf GOM

Air Force just blew its undefeated season with a 23-3 loss to Army last week. Off that disappointing result and now having traveled thousands of miles, it will be hard to get up for this game. Having a big game against UNLV up next makes things even more challenging. The Warriors are off a 27-14 win and feeling better about themselves. Warriors are now 6-2-1 against the spread their last nine November games. They will provide a tough test for the Falcons tonight. ***MWC GOW

Vanderbilt has a pretty bad against the spread record this season. That's not exactly a secret. That bad record means that many bettors are sick of losing with the Commodores and that they don't trust betting on them. The books know this. Safe with the knowledge that they're still going to get South Carolina backers at any line, they can jack the line up a little higher than it really should be. That's where the value with Vanderbilt comes in. The Commodores lost by only 1 point as 19 point underdogs their last visit here. They also gave the Gamecocks a good fight last year. South Carolina only has 3 wins. Two were by 10 or less and the other was against Furman. Grab the points. ***Saturday Shocker

The line has climbed and we're getting a lot of points with a very competitive North Texas team. Since a bad loss back in Week 1, before they really got their feet on the ground, the Mean Green have been in every game. Since that Week 1 loss, their other 5 losses have all come by 8 points or less. They could easily have won some of those and are better than their record indicates. After some big wins, the Mustangs had trouble with Rice last game, winning by only 5. The Mean Green aren't as good as SMU on defense. They do score 34.8 points a game though and have shown that they can keep up with just about anyone. They're 12-5 against the spread their last 17 road games and that includes a 2-0 against the spread record as road underdogs of 14.5 to 21 points. Overall, they are 5-2 against the spread their last 7 tries as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. Better yet, the Mean Green are 8-1 against the spread the past 9 times that they were off a conference loss. With a big game at Memphis on deck, SMU could be looking ahead. Give me the points! ***AAC GOY

Turnabout is fair play. The Wizards just beat the Hornets in Charlotte. Now, the Hornets will beat the Wizards in Washington. The Wizards are only 23-33 against the spread, when laying points, the last 2 years. Hornets 2-1 ATS on the road and a respectable 45-38 (better than 54% and much better than their home against the spread statistics) Over that time, the Wizards have only 1 win in 9 tries, after scoring 130 or more points. Today, the Hornets will settle the score! ***NBA Road Warrior

Big Game and big opportunity for the Buckeyes. They are at home with a chance to take down a top 15 program. Off a close win in the first game, Ohio State coach Chris Holtmann commented: "I give our guys a ton of credit. They found a way to get some stops and make some necessary plays down the stretch in a game that could've gone either way." The Buckeye players are ready and excited for today. Zed Key: "...I know we are all looking forward to playing such a big game this early in the season. Be there on Friday." Bruce Thornton: "You look for those big games. That's one of the reasons we came to Ohio State, to play a top-15 team in the country (at home). I'm ready for Friday." Thornton and Key combined with Gayle Jr. for 51 points in the Buckeyes first game. Catching the Aggies, 13-23 against the spead their last 36 as road underdogs of 3 or less, playing their first road game, that trio will lead the Buckeyes to a victory tonight. **

Both teams won last night. The Bucks won a close one and the Pacers won a blowout. Milwaukee is better suited to play two games in two days. The Bucks' only against the spread victory came the only previous time that they played the second back-to-back games. The Pacers lost outright to Charlotte when they previously played the second of back-to-back games this season. It's only November 9th but this will already be Indiana's 6th game this month. The Bucks have played one less this month and this season. In this back-to-back situation, that extra game will contribute to Indiana's tired legs. The Bucks are 6-2 against the spread their last 8 against the Pacers, a perfect 4-0 in games played at Indiana. Go Bucks! ***Central Div GOY

James Madison somehow managed to knock off Michigan State in its opening game. Off that upset, the Dukes are walking into a hornet's next. With a 79-58 win in their home opener, the Golden Flashes extended their home game winning streak at home to 23 in a row. The Flashes are 17-7-1 against the spread when playing a game with a total in the 140 to 149.5 range, 5-1 against the spread in home games with a total of 145 to 149.5. They are also a perfect 4-0 against the number when favored at home between 3.5 and 6 points. James Madison showed it can play with anyone but tonight will belong to Kent State. ***MAC-SBC CHALLENGE WINNER!

The Kings are the much better team and they will blow out the TrailBlazers tonight. They beat Portland 138-114 last meeting and 120-80 the previous meeting. The one before that was a 17-point win for Sacramento. Portland is a terrible 43-68 against the spread in the underdog role the last 2 years. Kings are 18-7 against the spread their last 25 times that they were off 3 or more losses in a row. Sacramento in a blowout! ***western conf. GOW

Over the past 2 seasons, North Texas is 2-0 against the spread as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Mean Green have won 27 or their last 32 home games. An excellent defensive team, North Texas allowed just 53 points a game at home last season! Northern Iowa gave up 71.6 points per game on the road! Last 2 years, Northern Iowa is just 6-13 against the spread in non-conference lined games. Lay the points! ***CBB dominator

I am grabbing the points with Central Michigan. The Chippewas scored 37 points to beat Northern Illinois in their last game. They've won four of their last 6. The Broncos are also off a win. Each of their previous wins has been followed by a bad loss and a 3-game losing streak. Western Michigan is bad defensively. The Broncos allow 32.8 points a game. That's tied with Kent State for the most points allowed per game in the MAC. The Chippewas won 42-30 the last time they played here. They're 6-2 against the spread their last 8 games in November and 10-4 against the spread the last 14 times that they were underdogs. They still need to win to become bowl eligible but Western Michigan realistically gave up dreaming about a bowl weeks ago. Go CMU! ***mac GOY

The Kings struggled without Fox when these teams recently met. They've got enough to overcome his absence tonight. Davian Mitchell will draw the start again. They won't loss two in a row to the Rockets. Kings are 18-10 against the spread last 28, off an upset loss as a favorite. Rockets are 7-13-1 against the spread (3-18 money-line) after allowing 105 or less. Kings will have their revenge! ***nba road warrior

The Buffaloes have struggled to cover as favorites the last couple of seasons. The Tigers have been good at covering as underdogs. Things will change for at least today. Towson lost some important pieces. Cam Holden graduated and Nicolas Timberlake transferred to Kansas. The duo, which combined for more than 32 points per game, will be missed against a tough opponent like Colorado. The Buffaloes are for real. Deep and talented, this is one of Coach Boyle's best teams. The Buffaloes will begin their year with a big win which will bring them to 23-13-2 against the spread as -12.5 to -15 point home favorites. **Opening Day Rout

Big battle in Philadelphia! This is a heated rivalry and both teams come in hot. The Eagles have the significant advantage of playing at home. They're 3-0 here. Dallas is 2-2 on the road. The home team won both meetings last year. Cowboys by 6 at Dallas. Eagles by 9 at Philadelphia. The Cowboys are good at beating on the weak and mediocre teams. The last time they played a team currently with a winning record, they got destroyed! Heck, this team even lost by 12 at Arizona! The Eagles lost a close one against a really good Jets defense but otherwise have had no such slip-ups. Last time they took on a top level team, they throttled Miami. This season's seven wins have come by an average of more than eight points. Six of the wins were by 5 or more points and all 6 came by at least a field goal. Lay the points with the Eagles! ***nfc east goy

The Frankfurt fans get treated to a good one as both these division leaders are sitting at 6-2. Two very capable offenses but only one team which combines that with a great defense. Miami allows 25.5 points per game. Kansas City allows 16.1 points per game. The Dolphins have dominated as favorites but are only 1-2 against the spread when they find themselves in the underdog role. The Chiefs thrive in these type of games. They're 10-3 against the number the past 13 times that they played a game where the pointspread ranged from plus 3 to minus 3. They'll be the first AFC team to reach seven wins this season. ***early-bird

The Bruins have been waiting for this game as they have a score to settle. Last year, the Wildcats came to Pasadena and scored a major upset. The Bruins were ranked #12 at the time and the loss effectively eliminated any chance that they might make the College Playoff. This year's Bruins are arguably better on both sides of the ball. Arizona has a reasonably good defense but UCLA's defense is on another level. The Wildcats allow 21 points a game. The Bruins allow 15 points a game. Arizona allows 342.1 yards a game. UCLA allows an average of only 277 yards a game! On offense, UCLA averages 467.4 yards a game. Arizona averages 441.4 yards. The Bruins are a dominant 7-1 against the spread the past eight times that they were listed as road favorites. Their superior defense will be the difference. ***pac 12 goy

The Hornets have had 2 days off. They're coming in fresh. Expect a big game from Charlotte's frontline of Mark Williams and P.J. Washington against an Indiana team involved in a back-to-back spot. Recent games between these clubs have been close. Charlotte won the last by 6, an outright win as an underdog. With that result, the Hornets improved to 5-1 against the spread their past 6 against the Pacers. Give me the points. ***road warrior

Rutgers has been brilliant against the spread this season. But the Knights aren't built to come back. They'll fall behind the more talented and more athletic Buckeyes. Then, they'll be taken out of their game-plan. That happens to them against vastly superior opposition. They are 0-9 straight-up and 2-7 against the spread the past 9 times they were getting 10.5 to 21 points. They're 3-7 against the spread last 10 as home underdogs of 17.5 to 21 points. Ohio State is 9-0 all-time against Rutgers. No game has been closer. 49-10 last year. 52-13 last time at Rutgers. As they always do, the Buckeyes will throttle this team. ***road warrior

The Cowboys are an entirely different team at home than they are on the road. They've won all five at home but lost all three on the road. Those road games came at Boise, Air Force and Texas. None of those are easy places to win. Off consecutive road games, the Cowboys will be thrilled to be back home! They've beaten some decent teams here, including Texas Tech, App State and Fresno State. They will have no trouble disposing of a weak CSU club. I did back the Rams against UNLV but they've followed that up by getting crushed. They won't be ready for this difficult venue! The Cowboys won by 14 points last time they hosted CSU and by 10 before that. They win big again tonight! ***mwc gom

This is what I said before Cleveland's last game: "The Knicks beat up on the Cavaliers last night in Cleveland. As they say, turnabout is fair play. With a chance to immediately right that wrong, the Cavaliers will elevate their intensity for the rematch ... They start the new month with an upset." Sure enough. The Cavaliers delivered me an upset victory, holding NY to 89 points. Once again, they get an early chance to exact some revenge against a team which has already beaten them. The Pacers caught them in a back-to-back situation the first game but that's not happening this time. The Cavaliers won by 19 last time they were on this floor and they'll win again tonight! ***eastern conf gow

The Canucks are near the top of the Pacific Division. The Sharks are in the basement. The Sharks are definitely in for a long season. They're still going to fight hard when hosting a division rival though. Their poor record allows us the opportunity to get an extra +1.5 goals. The Canucks' last three visits here have ALL been tied after regulation. Final scores were 6-5, 4-3 and 5-4. Vancouver won them all but none by more than a goal. This will likely be another close one. ***puck-line club

This is a bad spot for the Spurs. They just stunned the Suns a couple of days ago. The Suns let them hang around and the Spurs took advantage with a last second victory. Rest assured, the Suns won't make the same mistake twice. It's a new month and these teams are going to go in opposite directions, starting tonight. The Spurs were 10-18 against the spread the past two Novembers, winning only five games straight-up. The Suns were 20-11 against the spread the past two Novembers, 26 of those resulting in outright victories. The Suns have been at their best off an upset loss the last 2 years. They're 21-11 against the spread in that situation. Expect a decisive victory! ***nov gom

Much of the talk will focus on the quarterbacks. That's obviously important. Things like the Steelers getting back Cameron Heyward are also very important but will be mostly glossed over. He makes their run defense better. TJ Watt said this: "He's a difference-maker. He really is. He's been doing it for a long time. A guy that's played in this matchup more than a few times himself, and anytime you can plug in a player like him, it's going to make a difference, no matter what." Back to the QB's. The Titans' rookie had a big debut but he will find things more difficult on a short week, on the road, at Pittsburgh. The Titans are only 1-5 against the spread their last 6 games against teams from the AFC North. The Steelers are 13-6-1 against the spread the past 20 times that the played with a line ranging from +3 to -3. The Steelers are also 4-0 their last four against against the Titans. They continue their Tennessee dominance tonight! ***tnf goy

This was a game which South Alabama had circled as soon as the schedule game out. The Trojans have owned the "Battle Of The Belt" rivalry for five years and the Jaguars are determined to put an end to that. This is an experience South Alabama team. They aren't where they want to be but a win here will go a long way. Don't forget that they went on the road and won 33-7 at Oklahoma State. The Jaguars score 33.5 points a game. The Trojans score 27.1. The Trojans are 0-2 against the spread when playing a home game with a total in the 42.5-49 point range. They are only 7-14 against the spread their last 21 in that situation. Last year's game was close the whole way. Give me the points! ***sun belt gom

The Knicks beat up on the Cavaliers last night in Cleveland. As they say, turnabout is fair play. With a chance to immediately right that wrong, the Cavaliers will elevate their intensity for the rematch. The Knicks lost their only home game this year and are just 38-47-3 ATS here the past two seasons. The Cavaliers, who won this year's only road game, were 18-9-3 ATS the past two Novembers. They start the new month with an upset. ***road warrior

The Colts and Saints each endured tough losses in their last game. They've now each dropped two in a row. The Saints are in better position to get back on the winning track. Indianapolis QB Minshew has turned the ball over 8 times in his past 2 starts. New Orleans Derek Carr hasn't been perfect but I'll gladly take him over Minshew. Carr: "We're getting better and we're going to be OK. But there's no more time. The emphasis is on now. We have a lot of hope and encouragement, but we do feel the pressure to get a win." Benefitting from a few extra days in between games, New Orleans responds to the pressure with a victory. *Road Warrior

Raptors fought really hard only to lose by a point to the Bulls last night. It was a game that they had seemingly locked up. Blowing the lead will hurt their play today. Philadelphia rested. The 76'ers won the last three meetings. Last game in Canada resulted in a 112-90 victory for the visiting 76'ers. The 76'ers are 91-34 from a straight-up perspective the past 125 times that they were favored. They're more talented than the Raptors and they'll have much fresher legs. With their coach looking to get back at his former team, the 76'er will improve on that record while also covering the pointspread. *Atlantic Div GOM

On a losing streak, the Bulldogs are exactly who the Tigers want to see. Auburn has dominated the Mississippi State in games here. Last time here, the Tigers won by 9. The previous game here, the Tigers won by 23. The game before that, the Tigers won by 39. Before that, they won by 8. The common theme is Auburn home wins of greater than a touchdown. Tigers are 18-12 against the spread the last 30x they were home favorites of 3.5 to 7 points. Bulldogs pulled off an upset last week but are still only 1-3 ATS as underdogs. Playing back-to-back road games for the first time this season will showcase their weaknesses. Last week's scores might say otherwise but the Tigers boast the better defense. They'll win this game by more than a touchdown. *SEC GOY

Grabbing all the points with the Mountaineers. The Knights gave it everything they had last week but fell just short. That's a tough pill to swallow. Knights are 1-6 against the spread their last 7 tries as home favorites falling in the 3.5 to 10 range. They've lost four straight. WVU's last 2 road games were both decided by 3 or fewer points, a 2-point loss at Houston and a 3-point win at TCU. UCF coach Malzahn knows that the Mountaineers are going to be tough: "They are No. 7 in the country in time of possession. They run the football, they get off the field, and they are good on third down. They're No. 15 in the country in penalties, so they are a disciplined team." Let's go WVU. *Road Warrior

Give me the extra +1.5 runs with Gallen and the visitors. Gallen held the Rangers to one run through 6 innings back in January. He struck out 11. Arizona won 6-3. He's allowed 3 runs or less in all 3 starts versus Texas. Eovaldi is tough but he's not unhittable. His season-long numbers are very similar to Gallen's. His first starts in the Houston series resulted in a 1-run game. These playoffs have shown us that homefield doesn't always amount to an advantage. Grab the extra +1.5 runs. *WS GM 1 Dominator.

An extra +1.5 goals is the way to go on Friday night in New Jersey. The Sabres are 3-3 last 6 with 2 of the losses coming by 1 goal. The Devils have played five 1-goal games in their last 7. Five of 10 meetings in the series were 1-goal games. Sabres off a 6-4 win. The Devils off a 6-4 loss and the Sabres are 5-0 against the money-line in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Go with Buffalo on the puck-line. *GOW

We played against the Lakers in their Opening Night loss. That was at Denver, Jokic and the defending champions were getting their rings. A home game against a Suns team expected to be without Beal is a different story. Phoenix is only 30-41 ATS last 71 after allowing 105 points or less. Lakers beat the Suns by 14 last meeting here. The home team won all four meetings by double-figures. Lebron and the Lakers get it done in front of the home fans. *Western Conf. GOM

These teams are on different levels. Every team has had a bad game or two. Buffalo included. The Bills are still a Super Bowl contender. The Bucs can't say the same thing. Tampa is pretty solid on defense. Buffalo is even better. On the offensive side, the Bucs are terrible and the Bills are great. Buffalo averages 28.3 points. Tampa averages 17.2. Speaking of the offense, Josh Allen is 5-0 on Thursday Night Football and he's got a passer rating of 107.7 in those five games! The Bucs, 2-11 ATS their last 13 Thursday games, are only 2-7 ATS their last nine as underdogs. Bills are 10-2 straight-up their last 12 against NFC teams. They'll move to 11-2 by blowing out the Buccaneers on Thursday night. *Hot Route

The Pacers haven't won a season opener since 2020. That changes this evening. The Wizards beat the Pacers here in last year''s opener. This year, Washington has gone through a major rebuild and won't be ready to compete the entire way with Indiana in this one. Wizards only 34-45-3 ATS last 82 on the road. Pacers lost the opener against the Wizards but are still 36-14 SU the last 50 meetings and they won by 10 the last time they hosted the Wizards. I've got them taking advantage of the favorable matchup and winning this one by at least that many. *Eastern Conf GOM

"Chicago got the Conor Bedard era started out on the right foot. He's going to be a special player. The Hawks will go through some growing pains this season though. Those growing pains will be evident when playing two games in two nights against a very good team like the Bruins. Last meeting here in Boston resulted in a 6-1 win for the Bruins. With that victory, the Bruins are 4-1 the last five times that they hosted the Hawks. They'll start their season with another big win tonight. Lay the -1.5 goals on the puck-line."

Things are different this time. The Hawks are at home and are not playing their second game in 2 nights. They've got some games under their belts. The Bruins are playing the 4th leg of a road trip. Chicago played hard in the first loss. It took an empty net goal for Boston to win by 2. Bruins last 3 visits here have resulted in one Chicago victory and two Boston 1-goal wins. Grab the +1.5 goals on the puck-line. *Original 6 Showdown

The Nuggets will be raising their championship banner and getting their championship rings and will not let the Lakers come in and spoil the party. When handing out championship rings, teams are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS the last last ten years. Though they may lack some depth, the Nuggets starting five is very strong. The Lakers have a lot of new faces. They should be competitive this season but they won't be ready to compete with Jokic and the champions tonight. The Nuggets are 68-27 at home the past 2 years. They pull away down the stretch for a big win. *TNT Thunder

Really like that the division-leading Lions got crushed yesterday. Combine that with the Packer loss and the Vikings should have a little boost. A win tonight now has them with the second most wins in the division and with the Lions looking vulnerable. San Francisco is good but not invincible. The 49'ers are off a tough loss. They're dealing wih the injuries and playing their second straight on the road. The Vikings are off a win, their second in three games. The lone loss came by a touchdown against the Chiefs. Since a bad New Year's Day loss at Lambeau, the Vikings have played eight games. None of those eight games resulted in a loss of more than 7 points. One big Minnesota win and another Minnesota win by eight points. The other six were all decided by seven or less. Give me the points.

The wins haven't come but the Broncos have shown signs of life. My feeling is that they will break through with a victory this afternoon. The Packers are off back-to-back losses and have dropped three of four. The only win was by a single point. Green Bay coach La Fleur summed it up: "It's just a lot of inconsistent play. It's been very choppy. We haven't been able to get into a consistent rhythm." Wilson has an 0-4 record (54.3 QB rating) at Lambeau but he's 3-0 with a 107.6 QB rating against the Packers at home. Broncos win. *Non-Conf GOW

The Atlanta offense is showing real signs of life and we can expect Desmond Ridder to pick up his first road win. The result was disappointing but the Falcons dominated time of possession and racked up more than 400 yards against Washington. They had a 25-12 edge in first downs and outgained the Commanders 402-193! They also statistically dominated Houston the previous game. My feeling is that Atlanta is a team on the rise and that Tampa is likely going the other way. The Bucs got dominated last game and their only home win was against the Bears. Tampa is 2-5-1 ATS its last eight as a home favorite of a field goal or less. Atlanta is 3-1 ATS its last four as a road underdog of a field goal or less. Grab the points. *NFC South GOY

The Rebels have been lining the pockets of bettors this season. That comes to an end Saturday. UNLV's ATS success has led to us getting extra line value with Colorado State. The Rams have beaten UNLV four straight times. They're 17-3 the past 20 meetings. Two of those three Rebel wins were by only a field goal. Not only is this always a difficult opponent for the Rebels but this is also a challenging scheduling spot. They just beat instate rival Nevada and they've got a big showdown against Fresno State up next. That game is a big deal due to both teams having such strong records. The Rams have won 3 of 4 and just beat Boise last game. Rebels 3-6-1 ATS last 10 as a home fav in the -7.5 to -10 range. Give me the points. *MWC GOY

Catching points with the superior team in this one. Baylor's only road game resulted in an outright win at UCF. Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS its last eight as a home favorite of three or less and 1-4 ATS its past five when the line fell in the +3 to -3 range. Baylor is 10-5 ATS its last 15 as an underdog, 4-1 ATS its last five as a road underdog of three or less. All four covers were outright wins. Cincinnati has last four straight and is 0-4 ATS its last four when off a conference loss. Grab the points. *Eye Opener

Two of Houston's last three games were decided by 1 run. Javier excelled (0.00 ERA, 9 K's) in his lone 2023 postseason appearance. He's 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA in his playoff career. Scherzer is an all-time great but he hasn't pitched in some time. His career postseason stats (7-7, 3.58 ERA) are rather mediocre. He also got destroyed by the Astros just over a month ago. Five of Javier's last eight starts versus Texas have been 1-run games, including each of the last two. Grab the extra +1.5 runs.

Though I respect South Alabama, I can't pass up grabbing all the points with the visiting Golden Eagles. USM was winning into the fourth quarter of last year's game and lost by 7. With the exception of a blowout loss at Florida State, no team has beaten Southern Miss by more than 18. The other four losses have come by an average of less than 11. The Jaguars haven't impressed in their two games. They lost outright against CMU and they beat an FCS opponent, Southeastern Louisiana, by 18. That game was tied at halftime. The Jaguars only 2-7 ATS the last nine times that they were off a conference victory. Give me USM.

I've picked on the Panthers so far, playing against them in each of their two losses. I've pointed out that they're missing a couple of defensemen. Now, I will reverse my position. This is still a good Florida team. The two losses are going to make the Panthers hungry. They don't want to start the season 0-3. They're 4-1 their last five visits here, 2-0 the last two. The Devils have played two games and both were decided by one goal. Grab the +1.5 goals. *Puck-Line Club