Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-25-24 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal -3.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
At 7:30 ET, my Flea-Flicker selection is on Montreal. The Alouettes have the advantage of playing at home. The Alouettes also have a strong scheduling advantage. Montreal was last in action on July 11. Saskatchewan just played on July 19th, less than a week ago. The Alouettes struggled the last time they played at Saskatchewan. but they have owned the Roughriders here in Montreal. The last meeting here was 41-12 for Montreal last summer. The previous game here was also a blowout victory for the Alouettes. they won 37-13. The Alouettes have the best defense in the league this season, allowing the fewest number of yards and the least number of points. Play on Montreal. |
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07-25-24 | Colombia W v. France W -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
AT 3:00pm ET, my selection is on France (women). For the men, Columbia just fared better than France in their respective tournaments. Columbia went all the way to the Copa America Finals and nearly defeated Argentina. France was bounced by Spain in the semi-final of the Euros. The French women will restore some pride for their nation today. France has the advantage of playing this match on home soil. The French also have the vastly superior quality on the pitch. In my estimation, they will win this match by at least 2 goals. Play on France. |
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07-25-24 | Orioles -1.5 v. Marlins | 7-6 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
At 12:10 ET, my Early Riser selection is on Baltimore on the run-line. This game has everything in place to be a big-time blowout. Baltimore lost its 3rd straight game yesterday. The Orioles are going to be mad. Today, they have Corbin Burnes on the mound. He's one of the best pitchers in the big leagues and he's ultra reliable. Miami counters with Roddery Munoz. Who? Exactly. Burnes is 10-4 with a 2.38 ERA and Munoz is 1-5 with a 5.14 ERA. Burnes has a 1.95 in 6 appearances against the Marlins in his career. Play on Baltimore -1.5. |
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07-20-24 | FC Cincinnati +0.5 v. New York Red Bulls | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:30 ET, my MLS Eastern Conf. GOM is on Cincinnati. The visiting Red Bulls won 2-1 when these teams played at Cincinnati. Going with the visiting team will be the way to go again on Saturday evening. Cincinnati has the best road record (9-1-1) in the entire MLS. New York is a modest 6-5 at home. Cincinnati should win, if anybody does. A draw is also a real possibility, as the Red Bulls are off 4 straight draws. As a matter of fact, 6 of their last 7 matches have been draws. The last 5 h2h meetings have been 2 wins for Cincinnati and 3 draws. Play on Cincinnati. |
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07-19-24 | Edmonton Elks +2 v. Ottawa | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:00pm ET, my CFL Non-Conf. GOM is on Edmonton. The Elks and the Redblacks just faced each other at Edmonton last week. Ottawa won outright as an underdog. With a chance at some insta-revenge and also at earning their first victory of the season, the Elks will return the favor. The reality was that Ottawa was a little fortunate to earn the victory last week. At the very least, the Elks had a real chance at winning,. That's 4 very close losses for the Elks now. The last time that these teams played each other in consecutive weeks was in 2022. The road team won both games, the underdog Elks winning 30-12 at Ottawa. Grab any points being offered but expect the Elks to break through with their first victory. Play on Edmonton. |
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07-17-24 | St. Louis City v. Seattle Sounders FC -0.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:30pm ET, my MLS GOW is on Seattle. The Sounders own St. Louis. As a matter of fact, Seattle is the only opponent which St. Louis has faced more than once that they've never earned at least a point against. The Sounders won 2-1 and 2-0 at St. Louis and they won 3-0 in the match at CenturyLink Field. Wednesday's game will bring another victory for the Sounders as St. Louis is bad right now. St. Louis has only 1 win its last 10 matches and has been outscored 8-2 in losing its last 2. Seattle has found its form. The Sounders have won 4 straight and have recorded consecutive clean sheets. They are undefeated in their last 6 matches. This match will be one-sided. Play on Seattle. |
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07-14-24 | Colombia +0.5 v. Argentina | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my Copa America GOY is on Columbia. Argentina has Messi. Argentina has a big name goal-keeper. Argentina are world champions. Of course, they are going to be favored. Yet, if you've watched the tournament with an unbiased eye, Columbia has every right to feel confident. Undefeated in the tournament, the Columbians outplayed Brazil to earn an important draw in that game. They defeated a strong Uruguay squad. They crushed Panama, Paraguay, Costa Rica and Bolivia by a combined score of 13-1. Argentina didn't play teams as difficult as Brazil or Uruguay. They had 2 matches against Canada and they also faced Peru, Chile and Ecuador. Chile gave them trouble and Ecuador took them to penalties. Even Canada had moments where it carried the play. I'll gladly take the half goal with the team which has faced stiffer competition and which is playing better football. Play on Columbia. |
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07-11-24 | Toronto +6.5 v. Montreal | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 49 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:30 ET, my CFL Eastern Conference GOY is on Toronto. One of the many things I like about the CFL are the unique scheduling opportunities. In the NFL, teams play on Monday and Thursday. Playing off a Monday game isn't that big a deal though and the whole world knows about it. Playing on a Thursday is a short week but both teams are in the same boat. The CFL is different. Take this game, as an example. Toronto last played on July 4th. The Argonauts have had a full week in between games. Not so for Montreal. The Alouettes played on July 6th. They have had 2 less days in between games. The Argos are missing some players but the Alouettes' injury list is longer. The Argos are 3-0 their last 3 games played here. They will be determined to get revenge from a June loss. Play on Toronto. |
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07-11-24 | Pirates v. Brewers +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
At 2:10 ET, my Early Riser is on Milwaukee-run line. The legend of Paul Skenes continues to grow. The highly touted rookie has lived up to his very big expectations. He's still only barely 22 and he's got the All Star Game on the back of his mind. Impressive as Skenes may be, he's over-priced at the moment. The Brewers are the better team and Civale is going to really want a big performance. His first start as a Brewer was on the road against the Dodgers. A home game against Pittsburgh is a much better matchup. Civale has a 2.61 ERA his past 2 starts against the Pirates. As a matter of fact, when still pitching with Tampa, Civale already won 3-1 in a h2h matchup against Skenes last month. Play on Milwaukee. |
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07-10-24 | England v. Netherlands | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 55 h 23 m | Show |
At 3:00pm ET, my Euro Cup GOY is on England. I am 100% perfect with my selections involving these teams in the Euro Cup, including wins both for (versus France) and against (versus Austria) the Netherlands. So, I feel that I've got a good read on each team. England's talent will be too much for the young Dutch team. When I played against Netherlands in the Austria match I said this: "I've been a fan of Dutch football since the 1970s. During the 1970s, the Dutch were a team which embodied "Total Football" reached the World Cup Final in 1974 and 1978. They are considered one of the best teams to never win the WC. This year's team has everyone excited and remembering those glory days. Netherlands is good but its important not to get caught up in the hype. They beat a weak Poland team which played without its best player. Then they earned a draw against France which also played without its best player." The Netherlands are coming in over-valued and the opposite is true of the English. The pressure is off of England as they were already moments away from going home. They will play their best football and punch their ticket to the finals. Play on England |
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07-10-24 | Aces -4.5 v. Storm | Top | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
At 3:00pm ET, my WNBA GOW is on Las Vegas. The Aces are laying less points at Seattle than they would be if the game was in Las Vegas. That's offering us a lot of line value. With the Storm ahead of Las Vegas in the standings, it might be tempting for some to back the home underdog. Don't do it. Road teams are hitting 55.1% versus the spread in the WNBA this season. Road favorites are covering 55.8% of the time. The last time that the Aces played at Seattle, they were favored by 16.5 points. They won by 16. A much smaller point spread will be easier to beat. Off a 19-point win, the Aces have won 7 of their last 8 games. Every victory game by more than 10. They will cover this small number. Play on Las Vegas. |
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07-08-24 | Guardians v. Tigers +1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
At 6:40 ET, my AL Central GOM is on the Detroit Tigers run-line. Keider Montero delivered quality in a victory at Minnesota last game. He conceded 2 runs in 6.1 innings. It was Montero's first win and he's going to have new found confidence against Cleveland from it. Gavin Williams missed the first part of the season with an elbow injury. In his first start back, he didn't show that he was ready. He struggled with command and gave up a lot of hits. He has an 11.25 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. He might be better but trusting him as a road favorite is a stretch. Asking him to win by more than a run is an even bigger one. Play on Detroit. |
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07-06-24 | New England v. Seattle Sounders FC -1 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:30 ET, my MLS Non-Conf GOY is on Seattle. The Sounders are playing their best right now. A visit from an inferior and extremely depleted New England squad will result in a big win. Off back to back wins and undefeated in their last 4 matches, Sounders head coach Brian Schmetzer said of his team: "This team doesn't quit. We've got quality on this team." New England coach Caleb Porter admitted his squad is thin right now and that this is going to be a difficult match: "It does take pressure off winning against Atlanta on Wednesday; we look at it as bonus points. We took a few more injuries, so we're looking at all options to fill our bench. Seattle are in good form, and it's obviously a long trip across the country. It's not going to be easy, since they're usually very good at home ... we just don't have much depth right now." The Sounders are healthier, fresher and playing at home in front of their passionate fans. The injuries and travel will catch up to New England. Play on Seattle |
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07-04-24 | Ecuador v. Argentina -1 | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
At 9:00 ET, my Copa America Super Smash is on Argentina. Will Messi play? I'm sure that he could but I'm not going to rely on it. I'm not worried about it. Even without one of the game's greatest players of all-time, Argentina has numerous matchup advantages over Ecuador. Argentina made it here easily and didn't concede a single goal in 3 matches. Ecuador was fortunate to survive and get a draw against Mexico. Argentina is 3-0, winning by a combined margin of 9-1 in its last three appearances in the quarter-finals of this tournament. Argentina has never lost to Ecuador at this tournament either. They won the 2021 quarter-final meeting against them by a score of 3-0. Argentina hasn't trailed in a Copa America match since the 2019 semi-finals. They will win this match by multiple goals. Play on Argentina |
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07-04-24 | Orioles v. Mariners +1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
At 4:10 ET, my AL GOY is on Seattle run-line. After losing 4 straight games and going 2-7 their last 9, the Mariners are in danger of being swept. Worse, their lead over the Astros has dwindled down to 2 games. It's time for them to make things right! Corbin Burnes goes for Baltimore. He's a really good pitcher. He's not unhittable though, as we saw with the 9 hits he allowed last game. He's also a big name and has become quite expensive every time that he pitches. He's been better at night than in the day and he's been much better at home than on the road. Today, he's on the road for a day game against an angry division leader. Bryce Miller loves pitching at home. He has a 1.99 ERA in 9 starts here this season, much better than Burnes' road ERA. That comes with a 0.86 WHIP and a .167 opponent's batting average. Really good numbers, indeed. The Mariners are 6-2 his last 8 starts here. Due to Burnes' price tag, we are able to take +1.5 runs with the Mariners, a nice and valuable luxury to have in a game which will be close. Play on Seattle. |
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07-03-24 | Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 v. Minnesota United | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:30 ET, my MLS Western Conf GOY is on Vancouver. The WhiteCaps are off a comeback 4-3 victory against St. Louis on Saturday. This is another important match against a team which is 1 point ahead of them in the standings. The will carry the momentum from the St. Louis win into this big game at Allianz Field in Minnesota. The Loons are off a loss at Portland, a match which they led at halftime. They are really struggling and have dropped 4 straight. Only 1 of their last 8 matches has resulted in victory. Vancouver won 3-2 the last h2h match. Four of 13 all-time meetings, including the last at Minnesota, have resulted in draws. So, getting the extra 0.5 goal here could come into play. Playing better football right now, at the very least, the Caps come away with the draw! Play on Vancouver. |
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07-01-24 | Astros v. Blue Jays +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
At 3:07 ET, my Home Run Club is on Toronto on the run-line. The Blue Jays home record (20-21) isn't anywhere close to where it should be. It's better than the Astros (18-22) road record though and the Jays can get to .500 here with a victory this afternoon. The Astros had to wait for a nearly 3-hour rain delay yesterday before winning in extra innings. (Seven pitchers were used) Off that lengthy emotional win, they had to come to Canada. The Jays are finally getting good at bats from some of their big guys. Toronto's Vladimir Guerrero is on a 7-game hitting streak which has seen him bat .484 (15-for-31) with five doubles, five home runs and 19 RBIs. Former Astro, George Springer 10-for-16 (.625) with 10 RBIs over his past five games. In front of the big Canada Day crowd, Guerrero, Springer and the Jays will be fired up. The Jays are 3-0 the past 3 meetings here, the past 2 were both 1-run games. Play on Toronto. |
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07-01-24 | Slovenia +1.5 v. Portugal | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
At 3:00pm ET, my Golden boot is on Slovenia. A lot of people might be anticipating a blowout along the lines of Spain versus Georgia. Slovenia isn't Georgia though. Portugal actually lost to Georgia last match and the Portuegese are going to have their hands full one again. Undefeated in the group stage, Slovenia earned draws against Denmark and England. Having beaten Portugal 2-0 in March, Slovenia is coming in full of confidence. As a matter of fact, Slovenia has lost just once in 15 games over the past year. That loss was by 1 goal. Play on Slovenia. |
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06-30-24 | Ecuador v. Mexico | Top | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my Copa America GOM is on Mexico. Everyone is really down on Mexico. That's provided value with the #15 ranked team in the world. These teams are tied in their group but Ecuador has the tie-breaker edge, based on goal-differential. Mexico needs a win. Ecuador is #30 in the world. The game being played in Glendale Arizona, the stadium is going to be filled with Mexican supporters. Mexico's Johan Vásquez said: "Sometimes you also have to know how to play with that pressure. A teammate, a couple of years ago, told me it's a privilege to have this type of pressure that not many have, and it made an impression on me.. For us ... in short, it's do-or-die and knowing how to play with that pressure." Mexico coach Jaime "Jimmy" Lozano added: "The pressure, this is fortunate pressure. Fortunate because we are in the best place that a Mexican soccer player, that a Mexican coach, could be." Lazono's team will rise to the occasion and surprise a lot of people with a win. Play on Mexico. |
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06-30-24 | Hamilton +1.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:00pm ET, my CFL Eastern GOM is on Hamilton. The Tiger Cats have played better than their 0-3 record. A game against the Redblacks, a team which they have completely owned, will get them off the schnide. Hamilton has beaten this Ottawa each of the past 10 meetings, going 8-2 versus the spread. For today's game, we don't even have to worry about covering any points. Ottawa is already dealing with injuries and the Ti-Cats will take advantage. Play on Hamilton. |
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06-29-24 | St. Louis City v. Vancouver Whitecaps -0.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 10:30 ET, my MLS GOW is on Vancouver. Both 2023 meetings were won by the home team. The Whitecaps won 3-0 at Vancouver, after losing 3-1 at St. Louis. Homefield is again going to be a factor. The 'Caps are off back-to-back road losses but they won 2-1 their last home game. St. Louis has only scored 1 goal total its last 4 matches. City is winless (0-5-3) in 8 matches away from St. Louis. Play on Vancouver. |
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06-29-24 | Twins v. Mariners +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -164 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
At 10:10 ET, my Saturday Super Smash is on Seattle on the Run-Line. Yesterday's game was decided in extra innings. The Mariners prevailed with a 2-1 victory. This one has the look of another close one. To be clear, I expect Seattle to win this game "outright," or I wouldn't be playing. But having an extra +1.5 runs on our side is never a bad thing for a Seattle team which tends to play a lot of close, low-scoring games. The Mariners rank in the top 3 in the American League for ERA. Today's starter Bryce Miller has a 1.82 ERA in 8 home starts, Seattle winning 6 of those. Two of his last 3 starts here were 1 run games. Seattle relievers are superb at home. Lopez has an ERA above 5. Play on Seattle. |
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06-28-24 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
At 6:20 ET, my NL East GOY is on Philadelphia run-line. The worst team in the division beat the best team yesterday. It's not going to happen again! Miami is now 29-52. Philadelphia is 53-29. Philadelphia starter Christopher Sanchez isn't a household name but he has a 2.67 ERA in his 15 starts. In 8 home starts, he is 4-1 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.98 WHIP! The Phillies are 6-2 in those games. The Phillies won 4-1 and 9-2 in his last 2 starts. Sanchez allowed 1 earned run in 14 innings! In his 15 starts, Sanchez has only allowed 1 home run. That was back in April. The Marlins are 4-24 versus left-handed starters. The Phillies are 33-13 against right-handed starters. It looks like Harper (and Schwarber) may not be available. That would hurt if it was a long-term thing but it won't stop the Phillies from winning this one with relative ease. Play on Philadelphia. |
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06-27-24 | Guardians v. Royals +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
At 8:10 ET, my Cakewalk selection is on Kansas City run-line. The Royals won yesterday. The Guardians finally lost. Wacha is pitching much better than his record indicates. He has a 2.76 ERA and 0.86 WHIP his past 3 starts. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 straight, posting a 2.55 ERA in those games. Three of Lively's past 5 starts have been 1-run games. He gave up 10 hits when he faced the Royals last June. Wacha is 2-0 with a spectacular 1.02 ERA in 3 appearance versus Cleveland, his team winning all 3. Play on KC. |
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06-25-24 | Canada v. Peru | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
At 6:00pm ET, my Golden Boot selection is on Canada. This is the 2nd match for both teams. Canada lost to Argentina in its opener. Peru earned a draw against Chile. Though Peru picked up a point. if you watched the matches, Canada was more impressive. There were stretches where Canada carried the play against the world champions. Peru only had 35% possession and was fortunate to earn a draw. Canada kept Argentina scoreless for a half and the Canadians battled France to a 0-0 draw in their previous match. They are going to be difficult to score against and will take it to Peru in this match. Play on Canada |
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06-25-24 | Serbia v. Denmark | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
At 3:00 pm ET, my Cakewalk selection is on Denmark for the first half. The Allianz Arena in Munich is the venue for this critical Group C match, as Denmark and Serbia fight for the right to qualify for the last 16. With everything on the line, Denmark's superior quality will come to the forefront. Danish FA (DBU) director of football Peter Moeller said this this game will define the current team and management. "If we go out, it will be two major tournaments in a row where we don't progress from the group stage, but conversely we have the chance to progress without having lost a game, which we haven't done at the Euros for 20 years." Moeller said. He continued: "This is a very important game, both now and for the future. Therefore it's perhaps much better to focus on this championship to begin with, and to prepare ourselves for this game," he said. We are back, we are hard to play against and hard to beat. If we can maintain the attitude we had against England, then we are in a good place." Denmark's day of destiny gets off to a strong start with the Danes enjoying early success and a first half victory. Play on Denmark (1st Half) |
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06-25-24 | Austria +0.5 v. Netherlands | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
At 12:00 ET, my Early Riser selection is on Austria. I've been a fan of Dutch football since the 1970s. During the 1970s, the Dutch were a team which embodied "Total Football" reached the World Cup Final in 1974 and 1978. They are considered one of the best teams to never win the WC. This year's team has everyone excited and remembering those glory days. Netherlands is good but its important not to get caught up in the hype. They beat a weak Poland team which played without its best player. Then they earned a draw against France which also played without its best player. They are already ensured of advancing to the next round and that could lead to some complacency. Austria is a sneaky good team and they need this one more than Holland. Another draw is in the cards. Play on Austria. |
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06-24-24 | Italy v. Croatia +0.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
At 3:00pm ET, my Golden Boot selection is on Croatia. Croatia is disappointed with its performance here. In need of victory, we will see a better showing from the Croatians this afternoon. Croatia have already had more shots and more attempts on target at Euro 2024 than it did in 3 group stage games at the last Euro Cup. Italy attempted its fewest shots in a European Championship game to date in its loss against Spain. The Italians will progress with a draw. Italy hasn't beaten Croatia since 1942. Play on Croatia. |
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06-21-24 | Sun v. Aces -5.5 | Top | 74-85 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm ET, my WNBA Non-Conf GOY is on Las Vegas. The Connecticut Sun have a 13-1 record, best in the WNBA. Yet, the Sun find themselves underdogs. That's because the world champion Las Vegas Aces are back! Las Vegas turned the corner with Wednesday's wire-to-wire win over the Seattle Storm. Five Las Vegas players scored in double-figures. Jackie Young led the Aces with 32 points. A'ja Wilson had 27. Wilson goes over 20 every game and averages 29 points per game. When she gets that of help from Young and the rest of her teammates, the Aces are nearly impossible to beat. The Sun have been beating bad teams but when they faced NY, they lost by 7. The Aces have won 3 of the past 4 h2h meetings and the last 2 games here were wins of 14 and 18 points. Play on Las Vegas. |
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06-21-24 | France v. Netherlands +0.5 | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
At 3:00pm ET, my Golden Boot selection is on the Netherlands. France has the big names and is a very strong team. Netherlands doesn't have the same household names but is also very strong. We saw 2 of 3 games end in a draw yesterday and this could be another one. Both teams are in good position to advance from Group D. Victory is better but a draw wouldn't hurt either of them. Getting +0.5 is great value. Mbappé may not play after breaking his nose in the first match. Even with him playing, the French have had trouble scoring recently. They only got 1 against Austria and they drew 0-0 versus Canada before that. A late March match against Germany resulted in a 2-0 defeat. Netherlands scored 2 in its first match and had beaten Iceland 4-0 in its previous match and Canada 4-0 before that. Play on Netherlands. |
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06-17-24 | Mavs v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-106 | Win | 100 | 50 h 23 m | Show |
The Celtics won the 2 games here at Boston by an average of 12.5 points. They have beaten Dallas 4x in a row here. All 4 victories came by 7 or more and they came by an average of more than 16. The Celtics responded to each previous playoff loss with a blowout victory in their next game. They are 16-4 the last 20 times that they were off a loss and the wins have come by an average of 12.7 points. This will be another big victory. Play on Boston. |
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06-13-24 | Winnipeg -6.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 7:30 ET, my selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. This is a case of the best team in the league against the worst one. It's even better than that though. We also get the best team having already played a game against the worst team playing its first game. Poor Ottawa is still going to working things out and making first game mistakes. Winnipeg has already been there, done that. The Blue Bombers lost their opening game, a Grey Cup rematch. They've been tremendous at responding to losses. Its' been more than 2 years since they were defeated twice in a row. Further, the Bombers have a score to settle since the Redblacks upset them here in Overtime last season. Winnipeg got outscored 19-0 in the 4th quarter. That's not happening again! Lay the points in a game which will be a mismatch from start to finish. Play on Winnipeg. |
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06-12-24 | Phillies v. Red Sox +1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
AT 7:10 ET, my selection is on Boston on the run-line. If you just bet the Phillies every day, you'd be doing pretty well. It doesn't work like that every day though and today is one of those days that it will not. Pivetta gets the ball for the home team. He's been ultra-sharp for some time now. Last game, Pivetta recorded 9 strikeouts for the 2nd straight start. He held Atlanta batters to just 1 hit through 7 scoreless innings! He's allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his past 5 starts. Sanchez has been good. But because the Phillies are big money-line favorites, we can get Boston with an extra +1.5 runs with the run-line. With Pivetta dealing, it will be tough to beat the Sox by more than 1 run. Sanchez has been involved in 1-run games in 5 of his past 7 starts, 4 of his past 5. Play BOSTON on the run-line. |
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06-11-24 | Yankees v. Royals +1.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
At 8:10 ET, my American League GOM is on Kansas City on the run-line. The Yankees are favored on the money-line. That provides us the opportunity to take an extra +1.5 runs with the Royals on the run-line. I don't believe that that we will need them but its still a very nice luxury to have. The Yankees are a great team but the Royals have been playing great all season. With a 24-12 home records, the Royals have won more home games than any other American League team. In the majors, only the Phillies have won more games. Singer has been a big part of the Royals' success at home. The Royals are 6-1 in his home starts and Singer has a 2.16 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in those games. Singer also has an ERA of 1.38 and 19 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Yankees since 2022! Stroman wasn't very sharp in his last start as he allowed 5 earned runs in 4.67 innings. Though they lost by 2 yesterday, 5 of the Royals' last 10 games have been decided by 1 run. Play KC on the run-line. |
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06-09-24 | Mavs +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 54 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:00 ET, my NBA Playoff GOY is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Celtics made it look easy in Game 1. They led the entire way and won by a wide margin. Things will be a lot more difficult in Game 2. We've already seen Boston lose Game 2 against Miami and Cleveland. In both cases, the Celtics won big in Game 1. The Mavericks are still 34-17 versus the spread on the road. They are 15-8 ATS off a loss by 10 or more, 32-19 ATS in that situation the past 3 years. They are also 9-4 ATS after scoring 100 or less, 33-17 ATS their last 50 tries in that situation. The Celtics are only 3-6 versus the spread when leading in a playoff series. This game will be close! Play on Dallas. |
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06-08-24 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks -2.5 | Top | 29-21 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:00 ET, my CFL GOM is on the Edmonton Elks. The Elks a favorite? It doesn't happen that often. Only 3x since the middle of last July. The Elks won 2 of those 3 games. The once proud franchise has gone through some lean years recently. The Elks are favored for a reason on Saturday though. They still aren't likely Grey Cup contenders but the Elks are an improving team. Saskatchewan appears to be headed the other direction. These teams met in the preseason. The Roughriders scored 2 TDs directly off turnovers, a pick-6 and a fumble-recovery. That helped them earn a 1-point win. Take away those 2 plays and the Elks dominated most statistical categories. Though many of the veterans didn't play, its still telling that Edmonton had a 26-12 edge in first downs and a 411-191 advantage in total offense. On Saturday, the Elks will have the statistical edge again and this time they will turn it into a win and cover. Play on Edmonton. |
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06-08-24 | Phillies v. Mets +1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
At 1:10 ET, my Early Riser is on the NY Mets on the run-line. A trip across the pond will take some wind out of the Phillies' sails. Philadelphia has been playing great all season but the Mets are also hot right now. They've won 3 in a row. They scored 23 runs in those 3 games. They're ready for this challenge. Only one of Suarez's last 6 starts against the Mets resulted in a win of more than 1 run. Only one of Manaea's last 8 starts overall resulted in a loss of more than 1 run. Manaea has made 2 starts against the Phillies. One was a 1-run loss. One was a 6-3 win. Manaea and the Mets have a great shot at the win this afternoon. A 1-run game is also a distinct possibility. The Phillies record allows us to get the 1.5 runs without having to pay a premium. Play on New York. |
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06-06-24 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -7 | 27-12 | Loss | -106 | 74 h 5 m | Show | |
At 8:30 ET, my CFL Opening Night Crusher is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Alouettes scored a monumental upset against the Blue Bombers in the Grey Cup last November. Winnipeg was the better team all season and in the first half of that game. But Montreal got hot at the right time and stunned the Bombers in the 2nd half. Thursday night's rematch is at Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg and the Blue Bombers will earn some revenge. The Grey Cup game was played at Tim Hortons Field in Hamilton. The Bombers were favored by more in that game than they've opened up for this one, despite this game being played at Winnipeg. That's a lot of line value for a stacked Winnipeg team which has won 8 straight games here, going 6-0 versus the spread the last 6 here. The last time that Montreal played here was a 47-17 victory for the Bombers. This will be another blowout. Play on Winnipeg. |
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06-05-24 | Lynx v. Sparks +8 | Top | 86-62 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
At 10:00 ET, my Western Conf. GOM is on the LA Sparks. Presently, the Lynx (6-2) have the best record in the Western Conference. The Sparks (2-6) have the worst. The gap isn't as wide as you might think though and a big number is offering us a whole lot of value with the home underdog. Games between these teams are almost always close. Eight straight meetings have been decided by single-digits. The last 7 meetings were all won by 7 points or less. The Sparks' last 3 home games were all decided by 5 points or less. They lost by 1 to Dallas their last game here. This will be another close game and I recommend taking the points. Play on LA. |
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06-04-24 | Liberty -6 v. Sky | Top | 88-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my WNBA GOM is on the New York Liberty. The Liberty smashed Indiana over the weekend. The 36-point destruction has New York feeling good. Now the Liberty can go about the business of getting their revenge from a shocking upset home loss on May 24th. New York was favored by 16.5 points on that day but Chicago won 90-81. The Liberty followed up the loss to Chicago by losing at Minnesota 2 days later. They have since won 3 in a row and have found their groove. The same Indiana team which New York just crushed had beaten Chicago the previous day. The Sky have now dropped 3 of their last 4. NY was favored by 9 points its last game here and won by 17. This will be another blowout and the lower line is offering exceptional value. Play on New York. |
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06-03-24 | Orioles v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -156 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:07 pm ET, my AL East GOY is on the Toronto Blue Jays, on the run-line. Sometimes, you take the extra +1.5 runs with a team on the run-line and you don't end up needing them. That was the case with last night's run-line play on the Cardinals. They won 5-4, in extra innings. Though we didn't need the +1.5 runs, it was a close game throughout and they easily could have come into play. Both the Blue Jays and the Orioles were also involved in 1-run games yesterday. The Blue Jays won 5-4 against Pittsburgh and the Orioles lost 4-3 to Tampa. Now we get a chance, in what will likely be another close contest, to take +1.5 runs with the Blue Jays, a team which has started to play its best baseball. With victories in 5 of their last 6 games, the Blue Jays are heating up. The Blue Jays know this is their chance to gain important ground on Baltimore. They are 2-0 in Gausman's last 2 starts, winning 7-2 and 9-1. They are also 5-2 in Gausman's last 7 starts. Those 2 losses? Both came by a single run! He's allowed 1 run or less in 6 of his last 8 starts! The Orioles are 2-3 in Rodriguez's last 5 starts. Rodriguez faced Toronto 3x last season. Two losses and a 1-run win. Play on Toronto (+1.5) |
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06-02-24 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:10 ET, my NL GOM is on the St. Louis Cardinals on the run-line. Lance Lynn and Taijuan Walker once went head-to-head. The final score was 3-2. Lynn has made one start against the Phillies in 2024. The final score was 4-3. Walker's last 2 starts against the Cardinals had scores of 6-5 and 4-3. Can you see the pattern? All 1-run games! Lynn had a 2.65 ERA his last 3 starts. Walker has a 6.43 ERA and 1.929 WHIP his last 3. Lynn held the Phillies to 2 runs (both were unearned) on only 1 hit earlier in the spring. His last start at Philadelphia was a 5-0 victory. He has a 3.00 ERA in 2 career road starts vs the Phillies, a 5-0 win and a 1-run loss. Walker gave up 5 runs last start against St. Louis. Play on St. Louis on the run-line! |
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05-31-24 | Mystics v. Liberty -13.5 | Top | 79-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
AT 7:30 ET, my Eastern Conf. GOM is on the New York Liberty. A week ago, I said this about Las Vegas: "The defending champions have yet to play up to their full potential. Now that they have a few games under their belts, we will see a more complete performance." Since then, the Aces have been annihilating their opponents. Today, I will say the same thing about New York: "The defending Eastern Conference champions have yet to play up to their full potential. Now that they have a few games under their belts, we will see a more complete performance." The Liberty won a close game the last time that they were on the court. They were up by 13 at halftime but allowed Phoenix to come back and make a game of it. They will learn from the experience and keep the intensity level at full throttle the whole game tonight. The Mystics are really bad right now. they have lost all 7 of their games. Their last road game was a 32-point loss. They will get crushed by the Liberty tonight. Play on New York. |
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05-30-24 | Mavs +5 v. Wolves | Top | 124-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:35pm ET, my Western Conf. Finals Game Of The Year is on Dallas. The Mavericks don't want to drag this thing out. The Celtics are already waiting for them and the longer this series goes, the harder the Finals are likely to become. Games have been very close in this series. Getting this many points in a game where Dallas has an excellent chance of winning outright is offering us great line value! The Mavericks have only lost 2 games over the last 3 weeks and both losses came by 5 or less. They are 14-3 versus the spread their last 17 tries, when off an upset loss. Doncic and Irving both took the blame for the Mavericks' loss in Game 4. It was the first time that both of them shot less than 35% in the playoffs and they still lost by only 5. Both superstars are determined to improve tonight. Irving is still 14-1 in close out games. Play on Dallas. |
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05-29-24 | Aces -4 v. Lynx | Top | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my WNBA Western Conf. GOM is on the Las Vegas Aces. The Minnesota Lynx are temporarily on top of the Western Conference. I use the word temporarily as the Aces will take over that spot once they win tonight's game. At the moment, Minnesota is 4-1 and Las Vegas is 3-1. The Aces found their groove last game. The 99-80 pounding of Indiana saw the champions regain their swagger. They are 8-1 the last nine meetings with Lynx. Seven of the 8 wins came by 6 or more points. The last 2 games at Minnesota saw the Aces win by 18 and 24 points. Still the superior squad, they will cover this small number. Play on Las Vegas. |
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05-27-24 | Celtics -7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 105-102 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my Conference Finals Game Of The Year is on the Boston Celtics. The Pacers have really given it their all. They nearly won Game 1, only to get blown out in Game 2. They also nearly won Game 3. It was a rather heroic effort, as the Pacers were playing without Haliburton. They shot amazingly well and had a large lead. Just like Game 1, it was not meant to be. Boston stormed back and handed them a very disappointing loss. The series is now 0-3. In other words, it's over. There's no coming back from a 3-0 deficit. Not in this series. To a certain degree, the pressure is off the Pacers. They may shoot the ball well again. It's going to be hard to match the intensity of the Celtics for a full 4 quarters though. Boston doesn't want to extend this series. The Celtics are experienced and know that the time to go for the throat and finish this series is right now. Just like the Game 1 loss was difficult to bounce back from for the Pacers, the bitter Game 3 result will be the same. The Celtics are 31-12 (straight up) as away favorties and they've won those games by an average of 9 points. They will win by at least that many today! Play on Boston. |
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05-25-24 | Fever v. Aces -15.5 | 80-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
At 9:00 ET, my Cakewalk selection is on the Las Vegas Aces. The defending champions have yet to play up to their full potential. Now that they have a few games under their belts, we will see a more complete performance. The Fever are outmatched to begin with. They also played last night, winning at Los Angeles. This will be 2 games in 2 days and 3 road games in 4 days. Las Vegas is not the place you want to play when you've got tired legs! Indiana got blown out by 21 at Connecticut and by an average of 23.5 in the two games when facing NY. This will be another cakewalk. Play on Las Vegas. |
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05-22-24 | Mavs +4.5 v. Wolves | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
At 8:30pm ET, my Top Of The Ticket selection is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Timberwolves are playing great. You've got to give them credit. Actually, everyone is. They're the talk of the town. Dallas isn't getting nearly as much recognition. Yet, the Mavericks are also playing extremely well. Minnesota beating Denver was impressive but so was Dallas defeating OKC. That will all change with a win tonight, but it is my opinion that the Mavericks are flying under the radar a little bit at the moment. Anderson may be the player of the moment but the dynamic due of Doncic and Irving is not to be taken lightly. Doncic will benefit from the extended break and come in refreshed. The always ultra-talented Irving is playing unselfish basketball and has bought into playing defense. The Mavericks are 31-16 versus the spread on the road. The Wolves are 3-7 versus the spread after allowing 90 points or less. Play on Dallas. |
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05-21-24 | Pacers v. Celtics -9.5 | 128-133 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
At 8:00 pm ET, my NBA Showtime play is on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have treated me well. They're going to be exhausted from their 7-game war against the Knicks though and the Celtics are going to show them no mercy. With the Game 7 win, Indiana is still 22-25 on the road. Did you know that the Pacers are also a horrible 18-31-1 (36.7%) their last 50 tries against the spread, when they were off an ATS victory? Indiana will be dealing with fatigue but the Celtics are going to be refreshed and ready to go. Boston is 4-1 versus the spread when playing with 3 or more days rest. The Celtics four home playoff wins have come by 20, 34, 25 and 15 points. This will be another double-figure destruction. Play on Boston. |
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05-20-24 | Padres +1.5 v. Braves | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
At 12:20 Eastern, in Game 1 of the DH, my Early Riser selection is on the San Diego Padres on the run-line. The Padres pounded the Braves last night. Atlanta has now lost 3 straight games, getting outscored by a 19-3 score. Things don't get any easier in Game 1 of today's double-header, as they're up against Dylan Cease. Braves fans will remember losing 8-1 to Cease last summer. Now Cease is backed a better team and he's catching the Braves when they are struggling. Cease has allowed 3 runs or less in 12 of his past 13 starts. He went 5.67 innings last game after going 6 or more innings in each of his previous 7 starts. Lopez has gone 5.33 innings or less in each of his past 3 starts. Two of his past 4 starts were 1-run ball games. The Padres are 5-2 in Cease's last 7 starts. This should be a close one. Play SD on the run-line. |
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05-17-24 | Knicks v. Pacers -6 | Top | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
The Knicks have a 3-2 lead. I've successfully played on both teams in the series and I had the Knicks on Tuesday. The Pacers are a different beast on their home floor and they will make sure they get a chance to play a Game 7. The Pacers are 3-0 straight up and versus the spread after scoring 100 or less. The Pacers are also 14-5 straight up and versus the spread after a loss of 10 or more points. Homecourt has been the difference in the series. The Pacers won by 32 last game here. They won't let their fans see them eliminated tonight. Lay the points! |
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05-17-24 | Napoli v. Fiorentina | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Only 1 point separate these clubs in the standings. Fiorentina has the superior goal differential and is in far better shape at this time. Playing at Artemio Franchi in Florence will provide an advantage. Napoli is riding a five-game winless streak in top-flight action. Its last Serie A match was a 2-0 loss to Bologna. Napoli will be without its star striker, Victor Osimhem for this match. Fiorentina has won 3 of its last 4 Serie A matches, going 2-0 its last 2 at home. They won those 2 home matches by a combined score of 7-2. They beat Napoli 3-1 in the last h2h match and this will result in another victory. |
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05-16-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves -2.5 | Top | 70-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This hasn't been a typical series. Minnesota won the first 2 games at Denver. Easy wins, both of them. Then, the Nuggets won the next 2 at Minnesota. The defending champions made it 3 straight with a win in Game 5, at Denver. The Timberwolves can't be too pleased. They were up 2-0 and heading home. Now, they're down 3-2. Tonight, they will regroup and force a Game 7. The Nuggets are only 8-16 versus the spread their last 24 tries, after winning 3 straight games. They are also 1-3 ATS the past 4 times that they were leading in a series. The Timberwolves are 13-7 versus the spread their last 20 tries, after 3 or more consecutive losses. They are also 10-1 straight up their past 11 tries, after a loss of 10 or more points. Bring on Game 7! |
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05-15-24 | Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 v. Colorado Rapids | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
The Whitecaps claimed a 2-2 draw in their last visit here. With that result, Vancouver has posted a 3W-1L-3D record in their last seven matches in Colorado. That's 6-1 for our purposes, as we are playing at +0.5 a goal. Both clubs are off a loss last game. The Whitecaps have been more consistent overall though. They are 3-2-2 their last 7. Vancouver has lost only one of the last 5 head-to-head meetings overall. The last 2 were both draws. With both teams looking to return to form, this one has the look of another draw. Take the extra +0.5 goals with the Whitecaps. |
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05-14-24 | Pacers v. Knicks -2 | 91-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Unlike tonight's Western Conference series in Denver, homecourt has meant everything in the Pacers/Knicks series. The Pacers are off consecutive victories at Indiana. Before those games, the Knicks had won back-to-back games on their home floor. The series is shifting back to New York for this one and that will swing advantage back in favor of the Knicks. New York is 31-15 at home. Indiana is 22-25 on the road. Did you know that the Pacers are also a horrible 17-30-1 (36.2%) against the spread when they were off an ATS victory? The Knicks are 23-12 (65.7%) ATS off a SU loss. Lay the small number! |
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05-14-24 | Bruins +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Florida is clearly a very strong team. The Bruins are not to be underestimated though. Not even down 3-1 in a series. This is a team with a great deal of heart and resiliency. They are 8-2 their past 10 tries, after 3 or more consecutive losses. Over the same period, the Bruins are 62-34 against divisional foes. After 3 lopsided scores to begin the series, the last game was much closer. The final score was 3-2. With the Bruins giving everything they've got, this is also going to be a close battle, one which could easily be decided in Overtime. Grab the +1.5 goals with the Bruins on puck-line! |
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05-12-24 | Knicks v. Pacers -5.5 | 89-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
These games have going the way of the home team. That trend will continue this afternoon. The line is lower than it was for Game 3. In that game, the Pacers were being asked to lay -7 points. Now, they have the confidence to know that they can win and they are also laying a smaller number. The Pacers outscore teams by an average of 124.9 to 115.7 when they are home favorites. Haliburton is worse for wear but so is Brunson. Also, the Knicks are still without Anunoby, Randle, Robinson and Bogdanovic. Pacers pull away and win this one big! |
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05-12-24 | Twins v. Blue Jays +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -134 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Yesterday could prove to be a turning point in the Blue Jays season. A costly error had them playing catch-up from the onset. Before they knew it, the Blue Jays were down 7-1. It looked like another ugly loss was on the way. But that didn't happen. Toronto stormed all the way back for a 10-8 victory! Baseball is a momentum game and now the Jays have some. Manoah has had some tough times. It wasn't so long ago that he was thought to be the Toronto ace though. He has some misfortune in his first start but will be better in this one. He allowed 2 earned runs in both previous starts against the Twins, the Blue Jays winning each of them. Ober has a 6.10 ERA in 4 road starts. Go with Toronto on the Run-Line! |
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05-11-24 | Thunder v. Mavs -2.5 | 101-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm going to lay the short number with the Mavericks this afternoon. The Thunder made it look easy in Round 1 and then again in Game 1 of this series. They got a reality check in Game 2 though and now they're in unfamiliar territory. They haven't been tied in a playoff series in years. Dallas is 5-1 versus the spread in that situation the last few years, 2-0 already in these playoffs. The Thunder are 6-9 versus the spread off an upset loss. The last time that they played here they lost by 35 points. The Mavericks will seize control of the series, at least for now. Let's go Dallas! |
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05-11-24 | Crystal Palace v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
There is only pride on the line in this one. Wolverhampton is at home and is ahead in the standings. Crystal Palace is playing much better football right now though. Palace just pounded Manchester United 4-0 last match and has 4 wins and a draw its last 5. Wolverhampton is off a 5-1 loss and has only one victory in its last 8 matches. Palace has won 5 of 6 h2h matches since 2021. They will continue their strong play with another victory. |
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05-09-24 | Cavs +13.5 v. Celtics | Top | 118-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
After last night's win by the Knicks, most are fully anticipating a Boston vs. New York Eastern Conference Final. That may well come to pass. But there's still a long way to go. Indiana was right there in both its games and could have won either of them. Cleveland was not as the Cavaliers got blown out in Game 1. Thats still only 1 game though and the Cavaliers were off a hard 7-game series versus the Magic against a rested Boston team. Now the teams play with the same amount of rest. Boston slipped up in the second game of its first round series against Miami. It can happen again. This Cleveland team is better than many still realize. Maybe not good enough to win this series but absolutely good enough to give Boston a real battle tonight. Cleveland coach J.B. Bickerstaff said. "Facing a team like Boston, I think it's good to be able to play them and see them, and then play them again because you're not used to the speed, the spacing, the shooting -- all those things -- until you get up against them. Especially coming from the series that we just came from (against Orlando) that was more of a half-court slugfest. ... We'll learn from it and we'll be better on Thursday." Donovan Mitchell said: "They came out here and did what they were supposed to do. Now we have to find a way to steal Game 2." Grab the points! |
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05-06-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 106-80 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
Anthony Edwards is a very impressive player. He was the best player on the floor in Game 1. Jokic, the best player in the world, is going to have something to say about that in Game 2. The Nuggets are 6-2 versus the spread their last 8 tries, revenging a home loss. This is unusual territory for the world champions as they are used to getting a lead in each series. The Nuggets haven't lost 2 in a row since March. They are 4-0 straight up the past 4 tries, off a loss. The average margin of victory in those games was 19.5 points. They'll respond with a double-figure blowout! |
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05-04-24 | Barcelona FC v. Girona | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -122 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
Girona has never finished higher than 10th before. This is just its 3rd season in Spain's top league. So, the fact that Girona is in 3rd place is quite the accomplishment. They are already guaranteed of at least a spot in the Europa Cup but they're destined to finish in the top 4 and get a spot in the Champions League. Girona will be looking to guarantee that Champions League spot this weekend but will have to wait. Barcelona is still the class of Catalonia and they will remind their Catalan rivals of that on Saturday. Though mathematically still alive for top spot, Barcelona knows thats not happening. Real Madrid will finish 1st. There is still plenty of motivation for the still reigning La Liga champs to avenge a 4-2 loss in the reverse fixture. Barcelona is off a 4-2 victory over Valencia, Robert Lewandowski recording a hat-trick. Girona will fight hard but Lewandowski and company will be too much! |
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05-03-24 | Clippers +8 v. Mavs | Top | 101-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Give me all those points with the Los Angeles Clippers! Down 3-2 in the series, the Clippers are in a must win situation. When previously trailing in the series, they responded with an outright 116-111 road win in Game 4. Though its perhaps not quite as close as the NY/Philly series, most of these games have also been extremely close. Including that 5-point win by the Clippers in Game 4, we've see 3 of the 5 games in this series decided by 5 points or less. Bear in mind that LA is 27-16 on the road and that Dallas is 26-17 at home. The Mavericks only outscore teams by an average of 3.6 points here. The Clippers have come back from down 3-2 to the Mavericks before and still believe that they can do it again. Harden will be better than he was in Game 5 and they will keep this one close the whole way. An outright upset is entirely possible. Grab the points! |
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05-02-24 | Bucks v. Pacers -8.5 | Top | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
The Bucks prolonged the inevitable in Game 5 but this series ends tonight. Milwaukee hasn't been quite right all season. The mid-season coaching change didn't exactly fix things. No matter who suits up tonight, the Bucks are far from healthy. The Pacers have been strong all season. They are ready to take the next step. The Bucks are 5-11 versus the spread the last 16 times that they were off an upset win as an underdogs. The Pacers are 13-5 versus the spread off an upset loss as a favorite. The Pacers are also 26-13 ATS versus teams which 116+ points/game. Haliburton said: "We've just got to understand that they're a team that's on the brink of their season being done ... we've just got to be better top to bottom." Knowing that they want nothing to do with a Game 7, the Pacers will be better from top to bottom and they will blow the Bucks out of the building! |
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04-29-24 | Celtics v. Heat +10.5 | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
I backed Miami in Game 1 and Boston in Game 2. In Game 3, I played the total. Tonight, I'm back on the underdog Heat. The Celtics are only 7-10 versus the spread their last 17 tries after allowing 100 points or less. The Heat are 10-3-1 versus the spread revenging a home loss vs opponent. The Heat are also 4-1 ATS their last 5 when trailing in a playoff series. The Heat have a lot of heart and have won 10 of 16 games outright, off a loss of 10 or more. Nobody else believes in them but the Heat still believe that they can win this series. will fight until the bitter end and have a real shot at the outright upset. Grab the points! |
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04-28-24 | Knicks +5 v. 76ers | Top | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
It was a gutsy performance by Embiid and the 76ers to get back in the series with a big win last game. Doing it again will be much harder. Embiid still is far from healthy. The Knicks are 10-6 versus the spread after a loss of 10 points or more, 12 of those were outright victories. On the season, the Knicks were 22-10 straight up and 21-11 versus the spread, when off a loss. This NY team rarely plays consecutive bad games. You saw what happened in the 2nd game at MSG. It was a wild final 30 seconds of a game decided on the final play. This 2nd game at Philadelphia may also be decided at the buzzer. Grab the points! |
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04-26-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4.5 | 126-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are up 2-0 and that doesn't surprise me. They had a great season and are better than a lot of people still realize. Winning on the road against a desperate and loaded Phoenix team is going to be a lot harder! Minnesota isn't as good defensively on the road. Winning at Phoenix is never easy for them. The Suns are 6-0 both straight up and versus the spread the past 6 meetings here. All 6 of those victories came by 7 or more points. The Suns are also 5-2 straight up and versus the spread after scoring 100 or fewer points. They will not be held back again. Suns win big! |
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04-25-24 | Brewers v. Pirates +1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -156 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Back to back 1-run games in this series and this could easily be another. The Pirates won 2-1 on Tuesday and the Brewers responded with a 3-2 win yesterday. The Pirates have won 2 of Keller's last 3 starts. He went 6 or more innings in each. He's allowed 4 earned runs or less in 6 straight starts. Peralta has been really good but 2 of his 3 April starts have been 1-run wins. His last start was a 2-1 final and his first of the month finished at 6-5. Four of Peralta's last 6 starts against Pittsburgh were 1-run games. His last two starts against the Pirates finished at 4-5 and 7-8. He's given up home runs in each of his last 4 starts against Pittsburgh. Play the Pirates on the Run-Line! |
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04-24-24 | Heat +14.5 v. Celtics | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
In game 1, I mentioned that the Celtics played well with 3 or more days rest. Both teams are equal in the rest department for Game 2 though. Miami has thrived when playing with 2 days rest in between games. The Heat outscore teams 114.4-107.8 when playing with 2 days off, winning 9 of 12 games outright. The Heat are now 7-4 versus the spread their last 11 first round playoff games. They are 3-1 ATS when trailing in a playoff series. The Celtics are 7-9-2 ATS after allowing 100 points or less and 5-8 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. Grab the big points with the visitors! |
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04-22-24 | Bologna v. Roma | 3-1 | Loss | -148 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
Both clubs are in the top 5 in Serie A standings. Bologna sits in 4th and Roma is in 5th. Bologna won the reverse fixture 2-0 at home, in December. This match will be played at Stadio Olimpico which will give Roma the edge. Roma won the last h2h meeting here by a 1-0 score. Bologna is very tough at home but only has 4 Serie A victories on the road. Roma has 11 of 16 home matches in Serie A this term. Roma is also unbeaten in eight of its last nine home matches against Bologna. Bologna hasn't beaten Roma in both matches in a season since way back in 1967. Roma gets it done on Monday! |
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04-21-24 | Heat v. Celtics -13.5 | 94-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Home teams were 4-0 both straight up and versus the spread yesterday. All 4 wins were by double-figures and this will be another blowout win for the home team. This isn't a fair fight. The Heat are a well-coached, playoff-tested team. The problem is that they're missing their heart and soul in Jimmy Butler (and others) and they're up against a superior opponent. The Celtics outscore teams by more than 15 points per game here. They are 7-3 ATS and 8-2 straight up their last 10 tries in the first round of the playoffs. They are also 10-6-1 ATS their last 17 tries, when playing with 3 or more days rest. They won the regular season meeting by 18 here and this will be another blowout. Lay the points! |
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04-21-24 | Lightning +1.5 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Tampa could easily win this game. I've got it as a coin-flip. So, if you're inclined to do so, you might consider a small amount on the money-line. I'm taking the +1.5 goal option on the puck-line though as this game has OVERTIME written all over it. The Lightning have loads of playoff experience. They've eliminated the Panthers in 2 of the last 3 postseasons, going 8-2 in the process. They won Game 1 in both cases, one of those was 1-goal game. They enter this series off a 6-4 win over the Maple Leafs. They won 5-3 here the last time that these teams met. Tampa goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is 50-27 in the playoffs and he has two Stanley Cup titles. Grab the +1.5 goals! |
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04-20-24 | Islanders +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 1-3 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
If you're a hockey fan, you'll probably remember these teams meeting in the first round of last year's playoffs. The Islanders limped into last year's playoffs but they still gave Carolina a good fight. Four of the 6 games were decided by 1 goal and 2 of the games went to Overtime. This year, the Islanders enter the playoffs on a winning run and feeling good about themselves. They know what to expect and are going to be ready for a battle. The past 6 meetings in Raleigh had scores of 5-4, 5-4, 3-2, 4-3, 4-3 and 2-1. Did you notice what all the games had in common? Of course, you did. They are all 1-goal games. The Islanders won the last 3 of those games here. Grab the +1.5 goals with the Islanders on the Puck-Line! |
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04-20-24 | Suns v. Wolves -1.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show |
The Suns soundly beat the Timberwolves to close out the regular season. When it really matters, on April 20th, we will see a much different result. The Suns are 9-17 versus the spread after a win by 10 points or more. The Timberwolves are a perfect 10-0 their last 10 tries, both straight up and against the spread, when playing with revenge from a home loss. Minnesota is also 9-4 ATS And 11-3 SU after an upset loss. Minnesota allows the fewest points in the entire NBA. The Wolves were 30-11 at home and only allowed 103.7 points a game here. Lay the small number! |
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04-20-24 | Brentford -0.25 v. Luton Town | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
Luton Town is facing relegation and is off a 5-1 loss. The Hatters are one of the weakest teams in the league and have only one victory in their last 10 matches. Brentford is off a 2-0 victory over Sheffield and is undefeated in its last 4 league matches. Six of Brentford's last seven meetings with Luton have seen the Bees earn a victory, including a 3-1 home win in December. The last meeting here at Kenilworth Road resulted in a 3-0 victory for Brentford. That was in English Championship League play, on Halloween in 2020. The Hatters are dealing with major injury concerns on their back-line. Their chances of staying in the top league will take another hit on Saturday. Brentford wins! |
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04-17-24 | Oilers v. Coyotes +1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Oilers have much bigger games ahead. For the Arizona Coyotes, there will never be a bigger game. In case you haven't heard, the Coyotes are expected to leave the desert for greener pastures of Salt Lake City. This game marks the end of an era in Phoenix and the Coyotes want to go out on top. Arizona has won 4 of its final 6 games. "We want to play our last game with class, with respect and give the best effort that crowd can expect," Coyotes coach Andre Tourigny said after Tuesday's practice. "We want to make sure we are remembered as a group who fought with every last ounce we have in our body." Arizona is off a 1-goal loss and 3 of the past 4 meetings have been 1-goal games. Edmonton plays Colorado tomorrow. Play the Coyotes on the puck-line! |
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04-17-24 | Hawks +3 v. Bulls | 116-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
They may have ended the year on a down note but the Hawks have a very dangerous team. They're still not completely healthy but they've got Trae Young back. The Bulls are only 9-14 versus the spread as home favorites. They lost 12 of those 23 games outright. One of those 12 outright losses came against Atlanta on the first day of this month. I feel a lot better," Young said. "I'm just trying to make sure I can play at least close to my minutes that I played in the regular season in the play-in game." With Young complemented by players like Murray and Bogdanovic, the Hawks have the weapons. The Bulls are missing a number of players themselves. They will struggle against an Atlanta team with more recent postseason experience. |
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04-16-24 | Warriors v. Kings +3 | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
The Kings have long been in the shadow of the Warriors but they will have a great chance to step out from them on Tuesday night. Golden State knocked them out of the playoffs last season, Curry getting 50 in Game 7. Now it's Sacramento's turn. The Kings aren't the same team that lost to the Warriors last year. They are older and wiser and they have had a taste of the playoffs. Last year, was their first time there in 16 years. They are also better defensively than last year's team. Kings guard Davion Mitchell said: "It’s exciting. We get to get a little payback for last year ... We’re playing a home game and it’s going to be loud. It’s going to be physical, but I think we’re ready for it. I think the whole year, we’ve prepared ourselves for it, playing physical on both ends of the floor, and I think we’ll be ready." Last 3 meetings were all decided by 1. Kings will win outright. Grab the points. |
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04-16-24 | Atletico Madrid +0.5 v. Borussia Dortmund | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Here's what I said prior to the first leg: "Dortmund has suffered three successive quarter-final Champions League eliminations. The German squad looked bad against Stuttgart and will have trouble scoring today against a rested Atletico Madrid squad which doesn't concede often at home. Go with Atletico Madrid." Atletico Madrid won 1-0. Now the second leg will be played at Dortmund's Signal Iduna Park. With the venue shifting from Spain to Germany, we are now able to get an extra half goal with the visiting Spanish squad. In a match which has a great chance at resulting in a draw, that extra half goal may easily prove to be the difference. Look for Atletico Madrid to earn at least a draw and to advance to the semi-finals of the Champions League once again. |
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04-15-24 | Wild +1.5 v. Kings | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Kings are priced as if they need to win this game. They don't. Kings interim coach Jim Hiller said. "...we just want to be feeling good. Whether that's winning or playing well and maybe not quite getting it done, just feeling good going into the playoffs." The Kings rested Kopitar last game. The Wild are giving some of their young players well and they're contributing. Off a 6-2 win last game, they've got some excitement generated going into tonight's game. The Kings have humiliated them this season and they will have something to say about it tonight. Take the extra +1.5 goals on the puck-line. |
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04-14-24 | Bucks v. Magic -4.5 | Top | 88-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This is the biggest game of the season for Orlando. The Magic have their sights set on a top 6 position which would mean avoiding the play-in round. A win over the Bucks gets them there. "We control our destiny in this situation," said Orlando coach Jamahl Mosley, "so the way in which we have to play, the focus we have to have, and the attention to detail in how we start games and how we finish games is going to be very important." "We just need one win and we're good," Magic forward Franz Wagner said. "One more game and we have to focus on that one and get a win." The Bucks are still without Giannis Antetokounmpo and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. A win gets them the #2 seed but they don't seem overly concerned about it. "You're going to play somebody good in the playoffs no matter what. There is no easy path. We learned that in the past before -- winning it and also losing it. The Magic are 25-11 versus the spread, when favored. They've had a great season and they will finish it strong. Lay the points! |
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04-12-24 | Suns v. Kings +5.5 | Top | 108-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a lot of points to be giving a desperate home underdog. The Kings are playing with 0 days rest but the last time that they did that, they lost by only 1 point at Boston. This is a Sacramento team which badly needs to get on track before its too late. They will fight with everything they've got. The Suns are 8-9 in division games, the Kings are 10-6. The Kings are 9-4 versus the spread after allowing 130 points or more. The Suns are 9-16-1 versus the spread off a win by 10 points or more. The Suns are also 8-20 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. The Kings are 17-10 ATS as underdogs. Grab the points! **Pacific Div. GOM** |
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04-10-24 | Phillies v. Cardinals +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
We may not need them but I will be happy to take an extra +1.5 runs with the Cardinals this afternoon. Nola was much better last start after he got pounded in his first one. He still walked 4 batters and has a 6.30 ERA through 2 starts. Nola's last start against the Cardinals was a 1-run game. On the same day, that Nola was getting hammered by the Braves, Lynn blanked the Dodgers through 4 innings. He has 12 strikeouts against 2 walks so far this season. Lynn had some good years here earlier in his career and the Cardinals are 2-0 in his 2 starts this season. Lynn's teams are 6-1 his last 7 starts and 11-3 his last 14. Play the Cardinals on the Run-Line. |
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04-09-24 | Tigers +1.5 v. Pirates | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
The Pirates got off to a hot start last year and then cooled right off. They are off to a hot start again this season. Once again, they will begin to cool off. On the surface, Perez's 2.45 ERA looks pretty good. He's only faced the Marlins and Nationals though and if we take a closer look, we find that he's got a 1.545 WHIP. Remember that Perez has been around a long time and that he had previously pitched in the American League his entire career. Washington and Miami weren't familiar with him but Detroit is! Mize had been out for a long time so it was important that he get that first start out of the way. "I’m certainly proud to get back here. This is a good checkpoint, obviously, in a really long and tough process, and I’m proud of the work that I put in and people have done for me. I owe a lot of people a lot of thanks for getting me back to where I am, but I think it would be a disservice to them if I just took it all in and did it once or whatever. So got to keep going, got to keep pushing for more, and continue to get better. And I feel really good about being able to do that.” Mize outpitched Perez when the two opposed each other in the spring of 2021, the Tigers winning a 1-run game. Grab the extra +1.5 runs with Detroit on the Run-Line. |
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04-08-24 | Marlins +1.5 v. Yankees | 0-7 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Marlins bats came to life yesterday. Miami belted out 13 hits and scored 10 runs. Hitting is contagious and the Marlins will bring it with them into Monday's series opener at Yankee Stadium. A look at the starting pitching finds that the Yankee hurler is allowing far more baserunners. Miami's Luzardo has a 0.968 WHIP through 2 starts. New York's Cortes has a 1.700 WHIP through 2 starts. Both starters have already been involved in a 1-run game. Yankees have been nothing special (35-34 L3 Years) in IL play in recent seasons. Grab the +1.5 runs with Miami! |
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04-07-24 | Rockets +8.5 v. Mavs | Top | 136-147 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
The Houston Rockets can't afford any losses. The Rockets are four games behind the Warriors with only five remaining in the regular season. That obviously doesn't give them much of a chance. They have fought all year though and they are going to continue to battle until the bitter end. Rockets coach Ime Udoka: "Just finishing on the right step, on the right foot and playing the right way." Dallas isn't entirely healthy and wants to make sure it it for the playoffs. Doncic missed the Mavericks last game and is questionable. So is Kleber. Those guys would play if this was a playoff game but they may not for this one. Rookie sensation Lively is out. Green remains out. The Rockets are 7-3 versus the spread after 3 or more consecutive losses. Grab the points! **Southwest GOY** |
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04-06-24 | Oilers v. Flames +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -165 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Battle of Alberta is always a big deal for both teams. Tonight's game may mean more to Calgary though. Edmonton won big again last night, an impressive 6-2 win over Colorado. That was a big game against an elite opponents and the Oilers also have big playoff games ahead of them. For the Flames, this is as big as it gets. They will be fired up! The Oilers aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at Edmonton. They lost their last road game 5-0 and their previous one was a 1-goal win. They've only been mediocre when playing with 0 days rest, 14-13 their last 27. Last time in a back-to-back saw them lost 5-3 at Ottawa. The Flames beat the Oilers 6-3 in the last meeting and they are going to bring it again tonight. Go with Calgary on the puck-line. |
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04-06-24 | 76ers -12.5 v. Grizzlies | 116-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
The 76ers were minus their big guns last month at Memphis. Embiid was out but Maxey was also absent. The Grizzlies might argue that they have been dealing with missing players all season. They've done well, all things considered. But they do remain extremely short-handed and now the 76ers are healthier. Memphis will have no answer for a Philly team hell-bent on revenge and now being led by their stars. The 76ers are 56-40-1 versus the spread their last 97 tries in the revenge role. They are 28-19 ATS when laying points this season. The Grizzlies are only 4-8 versus the spread when playing 2 games in 2 days. Their tired legs won't be ready for what the 76ers will throw at them. Lay the points! |
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04-06-24 | Marlins +1.5 v. Cardinals | 1-3 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
The Marlins have gotten off to a terrible start. He wasn't great but Rogers wasn't "terrible" in his first outing. He allowed 4 earned runs, striking out 6. Given that he only made 4 starts last season, after a full workload in 2021 and 2022, it was a somewhat encouraging effort which he can build from. He was also really sharp in his only career start at St. Louis. In 6 innings, he allowed 1 run on 3 hits. He struck out 6 and walked 0. The final score was 2-1 for the Cardinals. The Cardinals lost a 1-run game in Matz's first start this season. Matz's last start versus Miami was an 8-4 loss in which he gave up 9 hits and 6 runs. His team starts are 4-2 his last 6 against the Marlins but 2 of the wins were by 1 run. The Cardinals have struggled in day games so far and they will get all that they can handle from Miami on Saturday afternoon! Play the Marlins on the run-line. |
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04-05-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Seattle has no business being favored by this much on the road right now. The Kraken are off a 5-2 loss. They are 3-10 their last 13 games. They are also 9-16 in 25 tries after allowing 4 or more goals. Now they have to go the road and win by 2 or more to beat us. Its not happening. The Ducks are feeling good about themselves as they are off a 5-3 win at Calgary, to close out their road trip. Seattle is 3-2 here all-time but all 3 victories were by 1 goal. Grab the extra +1.5 goals with Anaheim! |
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04-04-24 | Warriors v. Rockets +4.5 | Top | 133-110 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
The Rockets have many factors in their favor tonight. They are playing with Double-Revenge with the Warriors having won both of this season's previous meetings. Golden State has been strong on the road this season but the Rockets are even better at home. The Warriors need wins but the Rockets need them even more! The Warriors play at Dallas tomorrow night. Its a really big game and a rematch from Tuesday. If there is a game to look ahead to, its a game against Luca Doncic and the Mavericks! The Rockets have been underestimated all year. They are 13-7 versus the spread as home underdogs and they won 11 of those game outright. They are 12-3 ATS against Pacific Division teams and they will have their revenge on Thursday night! |
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04-04-24 | Marlins +1.5 v. Cardinals | 5-8 | Loss | -150 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
It's an understatement to say that this season has started badly for the Marlins. They're 0-7. Since they weren't getting anything right at home, heading out on the road is probably a good thing. The Cardinals played on the West Coast yesterday. Their 3-2 loss was their 3rd 1-run game in their past 5. Weathers made one start against the Cardinals and his team won 5-3. Lynn's last 3 starts against the Marlins saw his team lose all 3. Scores were 11-4, 9-3 and 5-2. In last season's start against Miami, Lynn gave up 8 earned runs. The Marlins hit three home runs. The Cardinals are winless in day games. Play Miami on the run-line! |
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04-02-24 | Utah v. Indiana State -2.5 | Top | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
Indiana State has a far superior record and is the better team here. Inside or outside their conference, the Sycamores have handled their business. The Sycamores were 19-4 against Missouri Valley Conference opponents and 12-2 in non-conference play. Utah was only 10-12 within its conference. The Pac-12 has some good teams but so does the Missouri Valley. The level of competition doesn't account for such a large discrepancy in records! The Utes are 0-3 versus the spread their last 3 tries as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick. They were only 4-7 ATS as underdogs this season. They won only 5 of their 12 road games. The Sycamores are 20-11 ATS as favorites. They are 30-14 ATS their last 44 tries after scoring 80 or more. Lay the small number! |
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04-01-24 | Blazers v. Magic -15.5 | 103-104 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
In case you haven't been paying attention, the Trail Blazers are terrible right now. They have lost 9 straight. The last loss came by 60 points! The Trail Blazers are 1-6 versus the spread against Southeast division opponents. The Magic thrive as favorites. They are 24-7 versus the spread in the role of the favorite. As a home favorite of more than 12 points, they are 2-0 ATS. This Magic team makes short work of weaklings. They are 24-5-2 ATS against losing teams, 14-3 ATS their last 17. That level consistency comes from quality coaching. They don't let down. They beat Memphis by 30 last game and this will be another cakewalk! |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 66-72 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
Zach Edey is a different kind of player. He changes the game. You have to worry about him when you're on both offense and on defense. Worry too much about him on offense and he'll mess up your shot, if he hasn't blocked it. Worry too much about him on defense and he'll kick it out to Purdue's capable 3-point shooters. So far, that formula has worked for the Boilermakers. That was before they had to contend with the Tennessee Volunteers! Purdue hasn't faced a defense like this one in this tournament. Tennessee allowed 49 and 58 points its first 2 games! Excellent on both sides of the ball, the Volunteers are peaking at exactly the right time. They got a taste of Purdue in the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers pulled away late for a 4-point win. The experience of having faced Edey once will help Tennessee in Sunday's rematch. The Volunteers know what he's all about. They know they could have won that game. They know that they've improved since then. The Boilermakers average more than 80 points a game but the Volunteers are 7-1 their last 8 tries versus the spread against teams which average 77 or more per game. Grab the points! |
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03-30-24 | Bucks v. Hawks +4 | 122-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Who needs Trae Young? The Atlanta Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season. They have won 4 in a row and 2 of those wins came against Boston! The Hawks are 20-17 at home and the Bucks are 17-20 on the road. The Bucks are off a loss and they are missing Lillard. And we still get points with Atlanta! The Hawks are 10-5 versus the spread their last tries against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 8-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. The Bucks scored only 100 last game and Atlanta has scored 120 or more in 4 straight. The Bucks are 2-4 versus the spread after scoring 100 or less. Grab the points! |
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03-30-24 | Illinois +9 v. Connecticut | 52-77 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Huskies have been impressive but this is the game they finally get tested and this is way too many points. The Illini have also impressed. The stats aren't that far enough. Not far enough to warrant such a big number. The Huskies did win a few more games and they do allow fewer points. The Illini played in a tougher conference though and they also score more points. Its important to recognize that NONE of Illinois' 8 losses has been by more than 9 points. The Illini do not get blown out. They're 7-0 their last 7 games, 10-1 their last 11. The only loss was by 6 against Purdue. With a 6-1 ATS record, as an underdog, grab the points with Illinois! |
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03-29-24 | Duke v. Houston -3.5 | Top | 54-51 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 54 m | Show |
Houston versus Duke. In the past, you'd expect the Blue Devils to be favored over the Cougars. Those days are over. The Cougars are the better team, as they were last year. Duke still carries the name and the tradition though and that has helped in preventing this line from being even higher. The Cougars are 12-7-1 against the spread in 20 tries with 3 or more days rest. The Cougars only allow 57.7 points a game. Their defense is for real. The Cougars are 10-2 versus the spread their last 12 tries, a perfect 12-0 straight up, in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5. The Blue Devils are only 2-5 versus the spread their last 7 tries as an underdog. They found themselves in that role twice this season and went 0-2 ATS with losses against Wake Forest and UNC. This is the end of the road for the Blue Devils! |
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03-29-24 | Blazers v. Heat -14 | 82-142 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
It's important to put the schedule to work for you. This is the 4th and final game of a 4-game homestand for the Heat. They play their next game at Washington and then they have 2 more difficult games at home, followed by 3 on the road. They are already 1-2 in the first 3 games. They are also 6-1-1 versus the spread in 8 tries, after playing their previous 3 games at home. If you add it all up, the Heat absolutely need to take advantage of this easier opponent. Its the largest pointspread which they've been asked to cover all season and there is a good reason for that. The Trail Blazers, 1-5 versus the spread against Southeast Division teams, are really bad. They are 19-54 on the season. The Heat have had 2 days off and the Washington game isn't until Sunday. They won by 10 at Portland and this will be an even bigger "cakewalk!" |