Our selection is on the Connecticut Sun @ New York Liberty game to finish OVER the total on Sunday at 3:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Connecticut is 1-5 and won't have too much of a chance today.

It has one of the worst defenses in the WNBA, allowing more than 87 points a game.

The Sun are hoping that things turn around and that they can score 75 points today.

New York scores a lot, averaging more than 90 points a game.

The Liberty are going to score 90 points again today against this bad defense.

The total is too low for today's game, we're taking the OVER.

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Our selection is on the New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever game to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

New York has scored more than 90 points in both of its games this season.

The Liberty are looking to repeat that again today against another high scoring opponent.

Seven of the L9 games between these two teams have finished OVER the total.

Since last year, 14 of the L21 Indiana home games have went OVER the total.

We think that another OVER will take place today.

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We like the Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty game to finish OVER the total on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

These were the best two teams during the regular season, and a big part was their offenses. They love to score.

New York averaged 85.6 points per game during the regular season. Minnesota averaged 82.0 points per game.

In their last nine meetings against each other in New York, the total has gone OVER in seven of them. (12 of the past 17 overall have gone OVER as well.)

The Lynx have seen five of their last seven games exceed the total, while the Liberty have seen four of their last five do the same thing.

Minnesota is small and Brenna Stewart will be able to take advantage. Don't expect them to go down without a fight though. The Lynx are speedy, tough and they have lots of ability from beyond the arc. Play on the OVER.

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We like Seattle and Las Vegas to go over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

1. Las Vegas scores 86.4 points per game. That's the most in the league.

2. Known for defense, Seattle is also very capable offensively. The Storm average 83.25 points per game, 5th in the league.

3. After a run of unders, the Aces last game flew over the total. Las Vegas scored 98 points. Seattle scored 89 in its last game.

4. This O/U line is lower than any O/U line was for the last 10 h2h meetings.

5. Las Vegas played some low-scoring 4th quarters during its under streak. The Aces get a lead and then lock down. But with this being a playoff game, the losing team is going to fight right up until the final whistle.

We respect the defenses but feel that this number is too low. We see both teams getting at least their regular season averages which will mean the final score goes over rather comfortably.

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The 27-10 Connecticut Sun are on the road to take on the 24-13 Aces, and in our opinion, this one has "O-V-E-R" written all over it! The Sun play with the revenge factor after a recent 72-67 home loss, and that's significant for us to take note of, as Connecticut has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Las Vegas is off back-to-back victories and it's seen the total go "under" in five straight, but note that the Aces have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Also, those 5 straight unders have kept this o/u line lower than it could be. The total was 164.5 when these teams met on Sept. 6th and has been more than 160 for each of the past 10 meetings. The last 2 LV games had totals close to 180! Kelsey Plum had 27 points for the Aces in the win over the Sun a couple of weeks ago, and you'll definitely want to keep your eyes on her here again tonight. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

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10* OVER Dream/Storm (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now expecting much more of an offensive affair here on Thursday. ATL has seen the total go "under" in four straight after beating Indiana 82-73 at home last time out. Seattle has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in its lastest 81-69 loss to Connecticut here at home last time out. The Storm lost 85-75 at Atlanta in July, and while that total also stayed "under" the number, the overall situation now points to tonight's O/U line being just a little lower than it normally would/should be; the value now swings the other way as far as the total is concerned, the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Sparks/Mystics.

We base our picks on many different things. This particular one sets up fantastic from a "situational" stand-point. LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight games after its 79-77 loss here just two nights ago (but note, the Sparks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row.) LA has lost three straight, but the Sparks have also seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after three or more SU losses in a row. Washington snapped a 3-game slide with the much-needed victory, but barely held, unable to even cover the small 3-point spread on Friday night. Expect the Mystics to push the pace and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* OVER Connecticut/Indiana (U OF U)

We're expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one. Connecticut is 4-1 in its last five, but it's coming off a lower-scoring 79-69 win over Minnesota. Indiana has seen the total go "under" in four straight after its narrow 72-71 home win here over Phoenix on Monday. A whole lot of collective "unders," but that fact has only helped in driving today's number a few points lower than it normally would/should be. These teams played a competitive game in Connecticut at the start of the season, with the Sun holding on for the 81-78 victory. All signs point to another competitive game, but one that flies well "over" the posted number once it's all said and done!

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10* OVER Liberty/Sparks.

Both sides have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on the West Coast on Tuesday night. These teams just played here two nights ago and the Liberty came out on top by a score of 87-79. It was the Sparks third straight "under," but note that LA has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. New York leads the East and it enjoys a couple days off after this before a big matchup in Minnesota vs. the red hot Lynx. In what we anticipate will be a very fast-paced affair, expect this total to fly well "over" the number before the final buzzer sounds!

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10* UNDER Mystics/Wings (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams are 1-1 in the season series so far, but both games went "under" the number. We're expecting a similar defensive affair here as well now in the third matchup. Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, and note that the Wings have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington has been trading high-scoring contests, with lower-scoring "unders" over its last six games, and off a 97-92 loss last time out, we're expecting this pattern to continue; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Fever/Sparks (ASSASSIN)

This one sets up great from a situational stand-point to be a higher-scoring shootout in our opinion. The Fever play with revenge after a tight 79-78 loss here just two nights ago, and note that Indiana has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. LA broke an 8-game slide with that victory, and we're expecting it to come out play at a faster-pace here tonight as well to keep the momentum rolling. As stated off the top, a great situatinoal call for this rematch to fly "over" the posted total sooner, rather than later!

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10* OVER Aces/Sky (WNBA NON-CONF TOW)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we don't expect a lot of defense to played in this one on Tuesday night, and ultimatley we look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. These teams played in Las Vegas back on June 11th, and while the Sky earned the cover in the 93-80 setback as 13.5-point dogs, the total flew "over" the posted number of 168. We're expecting a similar style pace and similar final combined score here as well once it's all said and done; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* UNDER Sparks/Lynx (NON-CONF TOW)

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of a defensive affair here finally. The Sparks enter having lost six straight, both SU and ATS, but note that LA has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 still after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Lynx are desperate for a win here as well, as they've lost three in a row SU/ATS (but once again, that's significant for us to take note of here as Minnesota has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) Everything points to a very defensive battle; the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Mystics/Suns (EAST-CONF TOM)

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair here between these Eastern-Conference opponents. Washington is 10-7 and third in the East after beating Indiana 96-88 as a 1-point dog last time out, while Connecticut is 13-5 and No. 2 in the East after a 93-73 win at home over Seattle earlier in the week. Note though that they Mystics play with revenge here after an 88-81 home loss to the Sun back in May, and that's big time significant for us to take note of here, as Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. All signs point to a much more defensive affair here in the rematch; the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Sparks/Dream (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

Here's a great situational play, as we're expecting a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. LA has seen the total go "over" in two of its last three after back-to-back losses at Chicago this week. Atlanta has seen the total go "over" in three straight after a 94-89 win over Washington, but note that the Dream have seen the total go "under" in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. All signs point to a very tight, defensive lower-scoring "under!"

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10* OVER Storm/Lynx (TOW)

Everything points to a shootout here in Minnesota on Tuesday in my opinion. Seattle snapped a two-game slide with an impressive 97-74 win over Phoenix last time and there's no reason not to believe the team can't keep that momentum rolling here. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" in four straight, and it's off an 89-68 loss to Connecticut last time out. Note though that Minnesota has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Seattle is 4-9, while Minnesota is 4-9 as well. These are two teams in dire need of a victory and we're expecting a faster-paced affair here. All in all, this O/U line is too low; the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Wings/Sparks (TOTAL BOB)

Both teams have been playing several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a wide-open "shootout" here finally on Friday night on the West coast. Dallas has seen the total go "under" in two of its last three, includin gin its most recent 85-73 home win over Atlanta. Previous to that it fell 109-103 to Seattle as an 8.5-point favorite. These teams play again here in two nights, and because of that, we're expecting a faster than expected pace here in the first contest. ALso not, LA is desperate to break a string of poor play which has seen it lose three straight both SU and ATS (that's significant to note though as the Sparks have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last seven after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) Both teams push the pace and that than sends this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Phoenix/Washington OVER (ASSASSIN)

Washington has seem the total go "under" the number in six straight after their most recent 87-66 loss at Indiana as a 4-point favorite. Note tough that the Mystics have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite. Washington is 5-4, but Phoenix is just 2-6, most recently falling 83-69 at home to Seattle as a 6.5-point favorite. That's also signficant to note, as the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Two teams in dire need of a victory are going to get out and push the pace in this one from start to finish, and as a result, we expect this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" 

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10* UNDER Dream/Liberty (TOY)

These teams played last week and New YOrk won at Atlanta by a score of 106-83. The total went well "over" the number of 165, but we're expecting a more defensive affair here in the rematch. Note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. ATL has lost three straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that the Dream have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for a much more methodical pace here; the play is the "under!"

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10* UNDER Connecticut/Atlanta (SUPER TOTAL)

These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Connecticut is 7-2 after splitting a home two-game series with Las Vegas most recently. Both games went "over" the number. Atlanta is just 2-4 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 106-83 setback at home here to New York. That though is important for us to take note of, because ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a home loss in which it allowed 100 or more points in. This is in fact the opener of a home and home set between these clubs, and all signs point to this first game being a tight, lower-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Phoenix/Dallas (TOW)

These teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Mercury will be hungry to get back in to the winner's circle after starting the season just 1-4. That includes an 84-79 loss here at Dallas just two nights ago. While Phoenix did cover with the 5.5-point spread, the total went "under" the number of 167.5. Note though that the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Dallas is 4-3. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note, as the Wings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We're expecting a much more efficent, and overall faster-paced affair here in the second game of the B2B scenario between these clubs; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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This is a 10* on the OVER

Sue Bird and the Seattle Storm are one win away from a 4th WNBA title. Standing in their way is the Las Vegas Aces, whom they’ve already beaten 93-80 and 104-91 in the first two games. The Aces face a daunting task having to beat the Storm three times in a row, but will undoubtedly be “ready to go” in Game 3. All five Seattle starters were in double figures in Game 2, led by Breanna Stewart’s 22, but what really caught our eye was the Finals’ record 33 assists the team dished out. What has to be disheartening for Las Vegas is that they shot 52.0%, scored 91 points and still lost by double digits. (Seattle shot 57.1% in Game 2 after shooting 50.0% in Game 1). But Aces coach Bill Laimbeer (yes, him!) rightly pointed to the fact his team shot only FIVE free throws in Game 2). During the regular season, LV averaged 23 FT’s per game. WIth Laimbeer being vocal about the FT disparity in the last game, expect his team to get more attempts from the charity stripe tonight. The first two games of this WNBA Finals have obviously been very high scoring (especially the last one) and we don’t see any reason why Game 3 should be any different. Play on OVER

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This is a 10* play on the OVER

The two coldest teams in the WNBA meet Tuesday night in Atlanta as the Dream host the Lynx. The hosts have lost seven in a row to fall to 5-17 on the year, which is the worst record in the league. Minnesota isn't accustomed to being this bad, but has lost four in a row. They're favored to win this game, but the better bet is to play this one Over as Atlanta is having major problems stopping other teams from scoring while Minnesota hasn't been much better in that department. The Lynx have allowed an average of 83.5 points/game during their losing streak and just gave up more than that in a road loss to a bad Indiana team on the road over the weekend. Atlanta allowed 87 points in its last game. Minnesota turns the ball over more times per game than any other team in the league, so that should help Atlanta's scoring. The last time these teams played, it was the lowest scoring game of the season as Atlanta won 60-53. The rematch will be much different. Play OVER Minnesota-Atlanta

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This is a 10* play on the OVER in New York-Seattle

Seattle has been hit with a ton of adversity this year, from injuries to coach Dan Hughes being diagnosed with cancer. Initially, the reigning WNBA Champs were able to persevere, but now it looks as if everything is starting to catch up with them. They just lost at home for the first time all year as Phoenix beat them 69-67 on Sunday. With starters Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart (last year's MVP!) still out, as well as guard Jewell Lloyd, things may only continue to get worse before they get better.  Defense has kept the Storm afloat, but don't be surprised to see them allowing more points moving forward. Today they host the Liberty, who come in averaging 79.2 points per contest. But if there is one silver lining for the Storm it's that the Liberty are also allowing a league-high 82.7 points per contest and that number jumps to 86.8 on the road. Play OVER New York-Seattle

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This is a 10* play on the OVER

Seattle leads the Western Conference with an 8-5 overall record and they are 5-0 at home. They are giving up the fewest points per game in the league too (72.1), helpful because they actually haven't been scoring that much. Their last result, a 79-76 win over Chicago, snapped a string of five straight Unders. Tonight they face the team they opened the season against, Phoenix. The Storm beat the Mercury back on May 25th, 77-68. We look for this to be a higher scoring affair. The total for the rematch is several points lower than the first go around, which makes sense. Seattle is without several key players, but keeps trudging along. The Over is 7-2-1 the past 10 meetings here in Seattle. Phoenix is off a win in which it scoring 91 points. They are 8-3 Over off a straight up win. Play OVER Phoenix-Seattle

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This is a 10* on the OVER

Seattle is 2-0 since coach Dan Hughes returned from cancer treatment. A third straight win here would be a season best streak. Las Vegas is the closest team to the first place Storm in the West, just two back in the win column. The Aces get to play host Tuesday night for what we figure will be a pretty high scoring affair. LV was a part of our *10* Total of the Week play on Thursday, which came through with flying colors as they allowed Washington to score 95 points in an ugly loss. They have since bounce back to defeat Dallas 86-68. The Aces trail only the Mystics in points per game. They've scored at least 80 in six of their nine games. Seattle games have been lower scoring on average as they've held the last two opponents to an average of 61.5 points/game. But those were also home games. The Storm have allowed at least 71 points the last five times they've played on the road (81, 71, 82, 78, 83). So look for them to give up the most points since Hughes' return. Play OVER Seattle-Las Vegas

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This is a 10* play on the OVER

Both teams enter this game on long Under streaks. Washington has gone Under in four straight games while Las Vegas has done them one better with a five-game streak. But look for those streaks to end tonight even as the total is in the same range as most of the teams' recent games. Washington doesn't have any trouble scoring, that's for sure. They put up 81 points in their last game, a 29-point win over Los Angeles, who shot just 29.9% from the field. It was easily the Mystics best defensive effort of the season and won't be repeated here. They are giving up 75 points/game while at the same time scoring 84.4 points/game. That's tied for the highest scoring average in the entire league ... with Las Vegas! The Aces have scored at least 80 in five of their seven games, including 100 in their most recent game at home. Washington also hit 100 in a game earlier this year and has scored at least 80 in five of their games as well. Play OVER Washington-Las Vegas

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This is an 8* play on the OVER

Las Vegas is off its best game of the season. The Aces clobbered New York by a score of 100-65, easily their largest margin of victory in any game this season. (But all three wins have been by at least 13 points). Despite scoring 100 points, the game still stayed Under, which was the fourth straight Under for LV. Here they're matched up against a Minnesota team on a three-game losing streak, which you don't see all that often. The Lynx are usually one of the league's better teams, but they're giving up a lot of points in 2019. The last two home games have seen them allow at least 85. Las Vegas is allowing 81 PPG on the road. The Over is 7-3 the last 10 meetings here in Minnesota. Number is too low for this Sunday night affair. Play OVER Las Vegas-Minnesota

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This is a 10* on the OVER

Connecticut has started the season red hot as they're 6-1. Minnesota is just 4-3 after dropping back to back decisions to New York and Los Angeles (both losses by 6 points or less). What's been most impressive about the Sun's strong start to the season is that it's come despite them shooting below 40% from the field. There was a game last week in Atlanta where they shot 28.4% and still won (65-59). We look for a much higher scoring game today vs. the Lynx. Not only has Connecticut scored 80 or more five times this season, but the last time Minnesota played at home, they scored 85. Of course, they also gave up 89, which makes our belief in the Over even stronger here. The Sun scored 50 in the second half of Tuesday's 83-75 win over Washington. The Over is 8-2 the last 10 times the Sun have been off an ATS win. Play OVER Connecticut-Minnesota

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This is a 10* play OVER SEATTLE-INDIANA

Indiana did not have a good 2018 season. They won only six games (lost 28!) and finished in last place in the league. Just five game into 2019, they've already won half as many games as they did a year ago and now have a chance to finish 3-1 on this homestand if they can beat Seattle Tuesday night. The Storm come into this one at an even 3-3 and are off a poor performance as they never led in a 78-71 loss to Chicago. We expect them to shoot a lot better here, especially from three-point range. They were just 3 of 18 from behind the arc in Chicago. Scoring really hadn't been an issue before that, even without injured stars Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird, as the Storm had scored at least 79 points in each of the three games prior. Defensively though, things are a bit of a mess. They've given up almost 80 PPG the last three games. Indiana just gave up 94 points in its last game. But they've scored at least 77 in every game this season. Play OVER Seattle-Indiana

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This is a 10* play OVER Los Angeles-Minnesota

Minnesota is 4-1 straight up, but has gone 0-2-1 ATS the last three games including the lone SU loss, which was in Seattle. The Lynx are the top defensive team in the WNBA right now as they are giving up 67.8 points/game. But they were shredded in that lone loss, letting the Storm shoot almost 60 percent and score 84 points. Thursday was a nice bounce back as the Lynx allowed only 56 points in a two-point win over Phoenix. We look for this to be a lot higher scoring than that game. The Sparks are Minnesota's long time rival and have scored at least 70 points in all four of their games. Problem is they've also allowed at least 70 in every game. Twice they've given up more than 80. They allowed a season-worst 89 in Thursday's loss to Connecticut. Play OVER Los Angeles-Minnesota

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