Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-03-19 | Hurricanes v. Flyers -109 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Philadelphia While it's a battle of the two teams at the bottom of the NHL's Metropolitan Division, I look for the 15-19-5 Flyers to pretty much roll here against Carolina (16-17-5). I say this knowing full well Philadelphia's recent results, which include a 3-1 loss in Raleigh on New Year's Eve. Unlike Carolina, the Flyers have had to play since. They were shutout on New Year's Day, 4-0 by Nashville, thus concluding a 1-3-1 road trip and they have dropped eight of their last 11 games overall. But they'll be back on home ice tonight and the Hurricanes' incredible ability NOT to score goals will end up being their undoing. The Canes certainly average a high number of shots per game, the most in the league in fact, but they are 30th in goals scored this year. They've lost 7 of 10 and have been held to 1 or 0 goals in their last four losses. They're 0 for their last 25 on the power play. Another problem is they are 0-5 off their previous five wins and just 1-5 their last six on the road. This is a desperate spot for Philly and they'll come out highly motivated. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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12-27-18 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -159 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Capitals. These teams last met on December 14th and it was the Hurricanes who came out on top 6-5 in a shootout. We’re expecting a much more decisive victory today for the defending champs though. The Hurricanes beat the Bruins 5-3 at home on Sunday, but they’ve still won just three times in their last ten games. The Canes power play is 0-14 over the last four games and the offense is ranked 28th by allowing 2.54 GPG. The Capitals are back in first place in the Metropolitan and the offense ranks third by averaging 3.6 GPG. Note that Washington is 11-2 in its last 13 vs. a win, while Carolina is interestingly 1-5 in its last six vs. the Metropolitan. Play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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12-22-18 | Penguins -103 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We think we’re getting a great price on the underachieving Pens. Pittsburgh comes in off a quality 2-1 win at home over the Wild and we think it carries that momentum over here. Carolina enters off a deflating 4-1 home loss to the Wings. The Pens average 3.29 GPG and they allow 3.09. The Hurricanes average 2.55 GPG and they allow 2.88. Note that Pitt is still 57-36 (+4.4 units) vs. the division, while Carolina is just 24-42 (-25.2 units) vs. the division. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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12-17-18 | Bruins v. Canadiens -120 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Montreal Canadiens. We think that this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry home side. The Bruins come in off an upset loss to the Sabres at home last night, while the Habs beat the Sens 4-2 at home in their latest action. Boston averages 2.7 goals and it allows 2.6. Montreal averages and concedes 3.2. Note though that the Habs are 4-1 in their last five when playing on one days rest, while Boston is just 8-20 in its last 28 on the road and only 6-13 in its last 19 road games vs. teams with a winning home record; play on the CANADIENS. AAA Sports |
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11-29-18 | Wild v. Blue Jackets -129 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Columbus Blue Jackets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Minnesota is 0-3 (-3.6 units) after playing three consecutive home games, while Columbus is 8-5 (+2.3 units) in November and 7-4 (+1.2 units) after allowing four or more goals. The bottom line: We look for the Wild to stumble here after their extended home stand; lay the price, play on the BLUE JACKETS. AAA Sports |
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11-27-18 | Senators v. Flyers -195 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -195 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Philadelphia Flyers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Ottawa just 2-7 in its last nine when playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road as an underdog in the +175 to +225 range. The bottom line: No need to over think this one. This is the second game of a back to back for the Sens and the finale of an extended road trip. Lay the price with confidence, play on the FLYERS. AAA Sports |
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11-21-18 | Maple Leafs -108 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Toronto Maple Leafs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Toronto is 8-2 (+5.7 units) this year after a win by two goals or more, while Carolina is just 14-22 (-10 units) in its last 26 following two days of rest. The bottom line: The Leafs have been better on the road than at home this year. Look for TORONTO to come in focused on the task at hand. AAA Sports |
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11-19-18 | Jets -160 v. Canucks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Winnipeg Jets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Winnipeg is 7-2 (+3.6 units) this year vs. teams with losing records and 2-0 (+2 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest, while Vancouver is already 0-2 (-2 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses. The bottom line: After a great start, the Canucks have predictably fallen on hard times. Off a loss, look for the high-powered JETS to come in focused and to take full advantage of this favorable matchup. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Coyotes v. Penguins -205 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Pittsburgh Penguins. No need to overthink this one. Pittsburgh has lost five straight and with tough upcoming games against the Devils and Lightning upcoming, the Pens won’t be leaving anything to chance tonight. Clearly no game is a “must win” at this point of the season, but for all intents and purposes, this one pretty much is. Arizona comes in off consecutive losses, its hot start quickly fading. And with a game tomorrow night at the defending Stanley Cup Champs, there’s no doubt that this one sets up as a look ahead spot as well. Note that PITTSBURGH is 11-4 in its last 15 after five or more losses. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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11-07-18 | Predators v. Avalanche +113 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Colorado Avalanche. Colorado is desperate to break a three-game slide and with a tough game in Winnipeg on Friday night, this essentially becomes a “must win” for the home side. The Predators are 6-0 on the road, but note that they’re just 2-7 in their last nine following a three games or more unbeaten streak and just 1-4 in their last five after shutting out their opponent in their previous outing. A great situational play on the AVALANCHE. AAA Sports |
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11-05-18 | Devils v. Penguins -165 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -165 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Pittsburgh Penguins. Both teams come in off three straight losses, but we expect the home side to pull it together and come out on top here. The Devils are in Ottawa tomorrow night as well, so the possibility of a “look ahead” is clearly present. Note that the PENGUINS are 34-12 (+18.7 units) in their last 46 after a loss by two goals or more. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Stars v. Maple Leafs -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF. GAME OF THE YEAR on the Toronto Maple Leafs. Toronto has a difficult schedule ahead, with games against Pittsburgh, Vegas and New Jersey upcoming. After falling 3-1 at home to the Canes last time out, we’re fully expecting the home side to come in focused on the task at hand here (despite Matthews being out of the line-up). The Stars on the other hand are at Washington and Boston upcoming and after getting the better of Montreal last time out, we think the visitors will take a step back here (note the Stars are 5-2 at home and only 1-3 on the road.) Note as well that Dallas is just 16-31 (-22.9 units) in its last 47 after a victory by two goals or more, while Toronto is 29-17 (+9.8 units) in its last 46 after a loss by two goals or more. Lay the price, play on the LEAFS. AAA Sports |
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10-24-18 | Canucks v. Golden Knights -208 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -208 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Las Vegas Golden Knights. After a slow start the Vegas Knights have won three straight and we think they’ll carry that momentum over here. The Canucks started the year 6-2-1 and they went 4-2 to open the year on a road trip, but after a victory over Boston at home, Vancouver would finally stumble in a 5-2 loss to Washington on Monday night (we had the Caps in that one as our Oct. GAME OF MONTH). Facing another elite offensive team in this hostile environment spells doom for a Vancouver team which is trending in the incorrect direction now. The situation makes the GOLDEN KNIGHTS well worth the price of admission in this matchup in our opinion. Lay it. AAA Sports |
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10-22-18 | Capitals -141 v. Canucks | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Washington Capitals. The Canucks have so far played over their heads, coming off an Opening season successful road trip, followed by an OT win over the Bruins at home most recently on Saturday night. We don’t think there will be any upsets this evening though as Washington comes in focused in the opener of this Western swing, as it follows up with contests in Edmonton, Calgary and Montreal as well. The Capitals were last in action three nights ago, a 6-5 shootout loss at home to the Panthers. The recent home loss makes the CAPITALS come in focused on the task at hand on Monday night; lay the reasonable mid-sized price on the defending champs. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Canucks v. Flames -205 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-CHALK DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames. The Canucks got the better of the Flames on Opening night in their own barn, but we look for the young club to take a step back here in this difficult road venue and in this immediate revenge situation. The Canucks gave up 35 shots in the victory, which clearly isn’t going to cut it here. There’s no way the Flames want to go down 0-2 to open the season, especially with two quick loss to their most hated rival (other than the Oilers of course!). Note that Calgary is 7-3 in its last ten in the second game of a home-and-home scenario, while Vancouver is just 1-6 in its last seven in the second game of the home-and-home set. Lay the price with confidence, play on the FLAMES. AAA Sports |
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06-07-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 66 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* SCF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Las Vegas Golden Knights. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense. Clearly Las Vegas will be risking life and limb at home to try and secure a victory here and push this series back to the Nation’s capital. After winning Game 1, 6-4, this series has been all Washington. But we absolutely believe that this now sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the Capitals after three straight victories. Note that Washington is just 2-8 in its last ten after three or more consecutive wins. We’re banking on Knights’ net minder Marc-Andre Fleury returning to form and for the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on LAS VEGAS. AAA Sports |
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06-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Capitals -128 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Washington Capitals. We played the Capitals in Game 3 and if you didn’t get a chance to read that analysis, we’re going to re-post it right now, as the logic behind that selection for the most part completely pertains to this one as well: We had a play on the Capitals in Game 2 and we think the offer fantastic value in Game 3 in front of the home town crowd. For arguments sakes, let’s call these goaltenders a “wash.” Braden Holtby came up big in Game 2 for the Caps, while Marc-Andre Fleury is the main reason why the Knights are even in the Stanley Cup Finals in their first year of existence. Las Vegas has been quick to adapt its style of play throughout the postseason, but it’s running into a super hot goaltender itself, and it’s facing the most skilled players that they’ve seen all year. We’d argue that the Capitals are the “hungrier” team as well in this series. Las Vegas would love to re-write the record books, but Washington’s core group of players have been flirting with Stanley Cup success now for over five years. Alexander Ovechkin looks like a man on a mission and we’re expecting the Russian super-star to once again step up and dominate here. All things considered, we do indeed feel that this is very definition of “great line value.” Lay the price play on the CAPITALS. For the exact same reasons listed above, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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06-02-18 | Capitals -150 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 66 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Washington Capitals. We had a play on the Capitals in Game 2 and we think the offer fantastic value in Game 3 in front of the home town crowd. For arguments sakes, let’s call these goaltenders a “wash.” Braden Holtby came up big in Game 2 for the Caps, while Marc-Andre Fleury is the main reason why the Knights are even in the Stanley Cup Finals in their first year of existence. Las Vegas has been quick to adapt its style of play throughout the postseason, but it’s running into a super hot goaltender itself, and it’s facing the most skilled players that they’ve seen all year. We’d argue that the Capitals are the “hungrier” team as well in this series. Las Vegas would love to re-write the record books, but Washington’s core group of players have been flirting with Stanley Cup success now for over five years. Alexander Ovechkin looks like a man on a mission and we’re expecting the Russian super-star to once again step up and dominate here. All things considered, we do indeed feel that this is very definition of “great line value.” lay the price play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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05-28-18 | Capitals +126 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 110 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK on the Washington Capitals. We think the hungry Capitals offer great value to steal Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final. Washington jumped out to an early 2-0 lead in its Eastern Conference Finals win over the Lightning, before then needing a seventh and deciding game to claim victory. Washington won all three of its road games in that series and we believe that momentum gets carried over here. The winner of this series overall though will be whichever team’s goaltender plays better. For arguments sake, lets call Braden Holtby and Marc-Andre Fleury a “wash.” Note though that Washington is 5-2 in its last seven when playing with three days rest, while Las Vegas is just 2-3 in its last five in the same position. Two very evenly matched teams, but we think the overall depth and experience that the CAPITALS bring to the table will be too much for Las Vegas in Game 1. AAA Sports |
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05-21-18 | Lightning v. Capitals -130 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 37 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR on the Washington Capitals. It’s do or die for the Capitals. Washington jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but it’s now fallen short in three straight. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense. We just feel this is a fantastic price considering how hard the home side will be playing tonight, risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes. The Capitals know how to win at home and the Lightning’s weakness all year has been their play on the road. The stars and the planets have aligned for a blowout of epic proportions. Lay the price, play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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05-20-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets -133 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -133 | 21 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Winnipeg Jets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on “common sense.” Winnipeg has looked terrible throughout this series other than in Game 1. With their backs against the wall though, we look for the JETS to duplicate their Game 1 intensity. And on the other side of the ice, as good as Las Vegas appears to be, there’s no question that this now sets up as a classic letdown spot for the the Knights, as they’ll still have two games to wrap up this series, including Game 6 at home. When you add it all up, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. Play on WINNIPEG. AAA Sports |
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05-18-18 | Jets v. Golden Knights -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 41 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Las Vegas Golden Knights. Great value here. The Jets are desperate, but the Knights are in complete control and getting little respect. We had a play on Las Vegas in its Game 3 victory and if you didn’t have a chance to read that analysis, we believe it’s worth a look here now, because for the most part the logic behind that selection also directly pertains to this one: For ten minutes of period one in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, Winnipeg was in complete control. For the first time all year the Knights looked like a deer caught in the headlights. However, since then Las Vegas has been in complete control of this series. While the Knights lost Game 1 by a score of 4-2, they’d then calmly bounce back with a commanding all around effort in their 3-1 Game 2 victory. And now that they’ve come back home, we’re expecting Las Vegas to continue to dominate. The Jets are a deep and versatile team, but they lack defensive depth and it’s clear that they’re overmatched in this one. In our opinion, this line could/should easily be a lot larger. Play on LAS VEGAS. AAA Sports |
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05-12-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Winnipeg Jets. No one in the World would have predicted that it would have been Las Vegas and Winnipeg battling for Western Conference supremacy before the season started, but here we are. These teams are very evenly matched, with depth and skill up front, backed by superb goaltending. So where’s the advantage? For us it’s the home ice advantage which the Jets clearly enjoy. Note that both teams had great home and away records, but Winnipeg was very dominant in front of the home town crowd (36-9-2), while the Knights were 26-15-3 on the road. As mentioned off the top, we think that home ice will prove to be the difference maker in the end here. Lay the price, play on the JETS. AAA Sports |
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05-03-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -155 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Penguins stole Game 1 in Washington, but the revenge minded Capitals have taken the last two. It’s a big game for both teams, but with their backs against the wall, we look for the Pens to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night here. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched. Up front and in the net. On “any given Sunday,” either team could beat the other. So where’s the advantage? The double revenge factor comes into play here; also note that the Pens are 28-10 (+13.5 units) this year after allowing four goals or more in their previous outing. All signs point to a blowout from start to finish, lay the price on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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05-01-18 | Predators v. Jets -125 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Winnipeg Jets. We played the Jets on the PUCK LINE over the first two games, winning the first and then dropping the second. Winnipeg though enjoys one of the leagues biggest “home ice” advantages though and we expect that to be a difference maker tonight. Note that Winnipeg is 28-13 (+13.2 units) this season revenging a loss against an opponent. Play on the JETS. AAA Sports |
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04-30-18 | Golden Knights +115 v. Sharks | Top | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 36 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Las Vegas Golden Knights. We had a play on the OVER in Game 1 of this series, and then came with a call on the Knights in Game 2. We’re 1-1 so far in this series, but we think that Vegas offers great value to bounce back in this spot. Bouncing back all year quickly is a trademark of these Knights during their historic run to the Stanley Cup. Martin Jones and Marc-Andre Fleury are a “wash,” but note that Las Vegas is a perfect 6-0 (+6.6 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 14-9 (+2.8 units) after allowing four goals or more. Play on LAS VEGAS. AAA Sports |
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04-16-18 | Ducks +130 v. Sharks | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Anaheim Ducks. It’s do or die essentially for the Ducks, who dropped the first two at home to the Sharks. Desperation breeds motivation and winning has a way of leading to complacency. Note that the Ducks are 27-15 (+11.6 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while San Jose is just 2-6 in its last eight after a two game unbeaten streak. We look for the DUCKS to risk life and limb tonight getting into shooting and passing lanes. Play on Anaheim. AAA Sports |
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04-06-18 | Blues -150 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the St. Louis Blues. This is the second game of a home and home set and the Blackhawks stole the first one 4-3 in St. Louis. The Blues have now lost four straight, but they’ll need to win tonight and their next one in Colorado to make the playoffs, sitting just a half-game back of the eighth spot in the West. Clearly the motivation levels will be high for Chicago to play spoiler here, but note that the Blues are 36-15 in their last 51 against clubs with losing records, while Chicago is just 3-13 in its last 16 following a victory. With their season “on the line,” we expect the BLUES to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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04-02-18 | Avalanche v. Kings -175 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the LA Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Colorado is just 2-4 (-2.7 units) in its last six in the second game of a back to back (was in Anaheim last night), while the Kings are 6-3 (+2.7 units) in their last nine after scoring one goal or less in their previous contest (lost 2-1 in OT to Anaheim.) The bottom line: LA takes advantage of a dog-tired Avs team that played just last night. As mentioned off the top, this line could easily be a lot larger. Play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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03-25-18 | Predators v. Jets -116 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Winnipeg Jets. Nashville was smashed 4-1 in Minnesota just last night and we believe they’ll have another letdown here against the red hot Jets. Winnipeg plays with revenge as well after falling 3-1 in Nashville a couple of weeks ago. And with the rematch against Minnesota at home on Tuesday, its not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead here as well. The Jets are 28-7-2 at home this year and come in having won four straight. With a game against Boston on Tuesday, followed by a lengthy road trip, Winnipeg won’t be leaving anything to chance tonight. No upset here, lay the price with confidence. Play on the JETS. AAA Sports |
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03-23-18 | Ducks v. Jets -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Winnipeg Jets. Two red hot teams collide in Winnipeg on Friday night. Anaheim has won seven of its last ten, including three straight. It started off its road trip with a 4-0 win in Calgary and after this it’s in Edmonton and Vancouver. The Jets play with revenge though after falling 4-3 in a shootout in Anaheim in late January. Winnipeg has also won seven of its last ten and three straight, most recently a 2-1 OT victory at home over the Kings. With upcoming games against Nashville, Boston and then at Chicago and Toronto, the road ahead doesn’t get any easier for the Jets. Note that the Ducks are already just 2-5 (-4.7 units) after a three-game unbeaten streak, while the Jets are 20-13 (+5.3 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. We’re banking on the home side to treat this one like a playoff game and to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes as it looks to avenge the earlier setback. Play on WINNIPEG. AAA Sports |
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03-11-18 | Islanders v. Flames -170 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -170 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL BIG-CHALK DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames. We don't mind laying chalk sometimes. We had Calgary as our GAME OF THE MONTH in its victory in Buffalo, a win which snapped a three-game slide. The Flames then carried that momentum over into another 2-1 win at Ottawa. Calgary is in a dog fight for the final playoff spot, with three teams in the 7, 8 and 9 spots separated by just two points with 16 games to go. The road ahead is a difficult one for the Flames as well, with equally as hungry Edmonton at home up next, followed by games against San Jose, and then at Vegas and Arizona. The Islanders have lost eight straight, including three straight in OT. With three whole nights off before a home and home set with Washington, we think the visitors are going to simply go through the motions tonight. CALGARY can’t take the foot off the gas and we expect it to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the price. AAA Sports |
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03-09-18 | Ducks v. Stars -144 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Stars. The Ducks come in off a deflating 4-2 loss in Nashville just last night. After this evening’s contest Anaheim enjoys two whole nights off before an extended home stand. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a classic letdown here. Dallas plays with revenge after falling to the Ducks 2-0 in late February. Dallas has lost three of its last four, including two straight, most recently 2-0 defeat to the Predators. With a tough upcoming Eastern road trip, starting off in Pittsburgh on Sunday, clearly the home side can’t leave anything to chance this evening. Note as well that Anaheim is just 16-19 (-1.8 units) this year against clubs with winning records, while Dallas is 13-7 (+4.8 units) following a loss by two goals or more. Play on DALLAS. AAA Sports |
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03-08-18 | Sabres v. Senators -145 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Ottawa Senators. A couple of bottom feeders going head-to-head in this one, but all signs point to a home side blowout in our opinion. We played against the Sabres last night as well and they came out flat in their 5-1 setback to the Flames. Everything lines up for another letdown here as well. Ottawa’s been a disaster this year, but it won’t be rolling over here. In fact, the Sens remain competitive, returning home with two whole nights off after winning 3-2 in OT in Dallas in their latest action. With playoff bound Calgary coming to town tomorrow night, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for prideful Ottawa. Note that Buffalos is just 12-32 (-15.9 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Ottawa is 3-1 (+2 units) in its last four after a road OT victory. Great overall value, play on the SENATORS. AAA Sports |
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03-07-18 | Flames -145 v. Sabres | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Calgary Flames. Calgary is still very much in the thick of the playoff picture, but it’ll be desperate tonight to break a four-game slide. The Flames are still 32-25-5-5 overall, including 18-10-2-4 on the road. Note that Calgary also has the extra motivation of “revenge” here after inexplicably falling to the Sabres 2-1 in OT at home back in January. The Sabres have been playing better hockey, with four wins out of their last six games, but note that they’re still just 21-34-10-1 overall, including a poor 10-18-3-1 on home ice. Additionally note that Calgary is 4-1 (+3.4 units) in its last five after three or more consecutive losses, while Buffalos is just 2-9 (-5.5 units) this year after a win by two goals or more. Lay the price, play on CALGARY. AAA Sports |
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03-05-18 | Coyotes v. Oilers -149 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Edmonton Oilers. Arizona comes in off a 2-1 home win over Ottawa and has won seven of its last ten. The Oilers have lost three straight, most recently a humbling 3-2 defeat at home to a depleted Rangers team. Clearly the Oilers are going to be risking life and limb this evening to try and get off the schneid. The Coyotes have been playing a lot better of late, but note that they’re still a horrible 4-15 (-10.9 units) against the division, while Edmonton is 12-8 (+4.8 units) against the division. For all the reasons listed above, play on the OILERS. AAA Sports |
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03-02-18 | Senators +231 v. Golden Knights | Top | 5-4 | Win | 231 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Ottawa Senators. One of these teams had defied the odds and become the best expansion team in the history of sports, while the other has failed miserably to meet expectations. Regardless of those facts, we think the hungry Senators offer tremendous value as a big road dog tonight. After back-to-back losses to the Kings, we think the Knights have another letdown here against their lowly non-conference opponent. Las Vegas heads out on a lengthy East Coast road trip starting on Sunday and all signs point to the team getting caught looking ahead to that one. Ottawa plays with revenge here as well after a tight 5-4 OT loss to the Knights in early November. The Senators have lost five straight, but they’ve been competitive. They’ll be playing an equally as hungry Coyotes team tomorrow night, so clearly they can’t leave anything to chance to here. The conditions are certainly right for an upset. Play on the SENATORS. AAA Sports |
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03-01-18 | Blackhawks v. Sharks -155 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the San Jose Sharks. The Sharks had lost three straight before a convincing 5-2 win over Edmonton in their most recent action. San Jose acquired Evander Kane from the Sabres and the Sharks will still have hopes of catching Vegas, who currently sits seven games ahead of it for the Pacific Division lead. This marks the second game of an extended home stretch for San Jose, which is already 18-9-2-1 at the Shark Tank this season. Note that the Sharks play with revenge here as well after falling to the Hawks 3-1 just last week. That marked Chicago’s second straight victory, but the Blackhawks were unable to maintain that momentum in a 3-2 loss at Columbus a week ago. Rest leads to rust here for the visitors in our opinion. Also note that the Hawks are already just 2-6 (-4.6 units) this year when playing with three days of rest, while San Jose is 11-7 (+4.2 units) this season following a victory by two goals or more. This line could/should easily be a lot larger in our opinion. Play on the SHARKS. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Bruins -180 v. Canucks | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -180 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* CASH BOMB on the Boston Bruins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is interestingly 4-1 (+3 units) in its last five after playing to three or more consecutive OVERs, while Vancouver is just 1-5 (-4 units) in its last six after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. The bottom line: These teams couldn’t be on further ends of the spectrum, as the Canucks have dropped seven of ten, including two straight, most recently a 4-1 setback to the Sharks. Boston has won eight of ten, including two straight, most recently a 5-2 win over the Flames. This is the opening game of a tough five-game swing for the Bruins though, with upcoming stops in Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto and Buffalo. We don’t foresee the surging BRUINS looking past this opportunity and we absolutely expect Vancouver’s inconsistencies to carry over here. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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02-12-18 | Panthers v. Oilers -140 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -140 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Edmonton Oilers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Florida is just 2-4 (-2.3 units) already this year after playing three consecutive home games and a horrible 6-13 (-7.8 units) when playing with two days of rest, while despite all of its struggles this season, Edmonton is a superb 7-3 (+4.3 units) this year after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Edmonton has lost three straight. After tonight’s game it enjoys two nights off before a three-game swing, starting off in Las Vegas. The Oilers clearly do not have the luxury to “look past” their opponent tonight. The Panthers had their four game win streak snapped in a 3-1 loss at home to the Kings and we think they’ll suffer a classic letdown in the opener of this extended Western road swing. In our opinion, this line could/should easily be a lot larger. Play on EDMONTON. AAA Sports |
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02-08-18 | Flames v. Devils -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the New Jersey Devils. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics, the revenge factor and common sense: As note that Calgary is just 10-12 (-2.7 units) this year against teams with winning records, while New Jersey is already 18-15 (+5.8 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Calgary is 27-18-3 overall, including an awesome 14-5-1 on the road. New Jersey is 27-17-4 overall and 15-8-2 at home. The Flames though look poised for a letdown here after back-to-back victories over the Blackhawks. And with a tough game tomorrow night in The Big Apple, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to that one either. The Devils fell 5-4 in OT in Calgary back in early November. New Jersey’s three-game win skein came to an end in a 5-3 loss at Ottawa in its most recent action, but with a night off to regroup, I believe New Jersey finds a way to get the job done tonight. In the end, we think this is fantastic value. Play on the DEVILS. AAA Sports |
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02-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Penguins -119 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense and value. We think this is a great line on the defending champs. The Golden Knights have truly been unbelievable this year, but there’s no way they should be getting this much respect. The Pens had their four-game win streak snapped with a 3-1 loss at New Jersey in their most recent action, so not only will they be looking to start their new win streak, but note that they also play with revenge here after falling 2-1 in Vegas in mid December. When you add it all up, we absolutely believe that this line could/should easily be a lot larger. Play on the PENGUINS. AAA Sports |
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02-03-18 | Red Wings v. Panthers -141 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Florida Panthers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on scheduling and common sense: As note that is in Carolina for a tough matchup on Friday night. With two whole nights off before a game at home against Boston, this sets up as letdown and also a look-ahead spot for the visitors in this one. The Panthers on the other hand have been playing better and come back home after winning two straight and with two nights off before a home game against the lowly Canucks, the home side has nothing to “look past” tonight as it also looks to avenge a 4-2 setback to Detroit on January 5th. In our professional opinion, this line could/should easily be much larger. Play on FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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01-23-18 | Blue Jackets +144 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Columbus Blue Jackets. We think this is a good spot to pull the trigger on the underdog. The Blue Jackets have had three nights off since beating Dallas 2-1 in a shootout at home. Note that Columbus is 11-6 (+5.2 units) in its last 17 when playing with three or more days rest. Vegas has clearly been the surprise of the league this year and it’s been especially tough at home by going 18-2-1. Everyone has been waiting for the decline to happen and so far it simply hasn’t occurred, but note that the Knights have in fact split their last four games, most recently coming off a 5-1 win at Carolina. Vegas now returns home and then welcomes the Isles to town on Thursday. We’ll call the goaltending a “wash,” but ultimately feel that the Blue Jackets have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. Great value on the underdog, play on COLUMBUS. AAA Sports |
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01-20-18 | Canucks v. Oilers -173 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Edmonton Oilers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Vancouver is just 6-10 (-3.2 units) this year against teams with losing records, just 4-9 (-3.8 units) against the division and only 1-2 (-1 unit) when playing with three or more days rest, while Edmonton is 8-2 (+6 units) against the division and 6-3 (+3.3 units) after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: We think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Oilers come out of their bye week rested and focused and off two straight quality victories, including at Las Vegas in their latest. The Oilers have underwhelmed to this point, but they’ll look to reverse their fortunes now with one last big effort. Edmonton also plays with revenge here after falling to the Canucks 3-2 in early October. Vancouver comes in primed for a letdown here, off back-to-back road victories and also looking ahead to its game in Winnipeg tomorrow night. When you add it all up, we feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, play on the OILERS. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Stars v. Blue Jackets -111 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Columbus Blue Jackets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Dallas is just 8-9 (-4.4 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous outing and only 7-8 (-4 units) after a win by two goals or more (Dallas looks poised for a letdown here after back-to-back wins, most recently a 4-2 victory at Detroit), while Columbus is 10-6 (+4.2 units) in its last 16 when playing with three or more days rest and 10-4 (+4.4 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. The bottom line: With a much more “winnable” game at Buffalo on Saturday, we think the visitors get caught “looking ahead.” Columbus on the other hand returns fully rested from its bye week after back-to-back losses, including 3-1 at Buffalo and 5-2 at home to Vancouver. With four more nights off before an extended road trip, Columbus has nothing to look past here either. This line could/should be a lot higher in our opinion. Great value on the rested home side, play on COLUMBUS. AAA Sports |
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01-15-18 | Sharks v. Kings -125 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the LA Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that San Jose is just 6-8 (-2.6 units) this year against clubs with winning records, while the Kings are 3-1 (+1.2 units) this season after three or more consecutive losses (also 12-9, +2.6 units in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.) The bottom line: LA comes in having lost three straight, most recently a 4-2 setback at home to the Ducks. The Kings are still 11-7-3 at home, while the Sharks are 9-7-3 on the road. LA does indeed play with revenge here after falling 2-0 to the Sharks just before Christmas. LA sports the best defense in the league and we think the situational and trend based factors working in its favor proves to be the difference in this one. This line could/should easily be a lot larger in our opinion, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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01-13-18 | Jets v. Wild -140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Minnesota Wild. We almost never “flip flop” on a team (take a team one night and then go against them the following night), but that’s going to be the case here with this selection. Winnipeg ran out of gas in last night’s 2-1 loss in Chicago and we think the team has another predictable letdown here as after tonight the Jets enjoy their bye-week. Minnesota on the other hand has a potentially dangerous game against the Canucks tomorrow, while also playing with revenge after falling to the Jets 7-2 in Winnipeg in late November. The situation clearly favors the home side and we expect it to make the most of it. Lay the price with confidence, play on the WILD. AAA Sports |
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01-04-18 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -148 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -148 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Carolina is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four after allowing five goals or more in a loss that occurred in OT, while Pittsburgh is 3-1 (+2 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (Pens most recently fell to the Canes 2-1 on December 29th.) The bottom line: The Pens have been scuffling with just three wins in their last ten games. Pittsburgh most recently broke a two-game slide with a convincing 5-1 in Philadelphia, but with a tough game tomorrow night at Long Island, followed by home games against Boston, Detroit and the Rangers respectively, there’s no question that tonight’s game takes on added importance. The Canes are hungry as well, as they come in having lost two straight themselves, but this is simply a horrible spot for them in our opinion. We feel this line could easily be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, play on the PENGUINS. AAA Sports |
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12-30-17 | Bruins -145 v. Senators | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Boston Bruins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is 5-3 (+1.7 units) this year already against division opponents, 6-4 (+1.8 units) after allowing four goals or more in its previous outing (the Bruins had their five game win streak snapped in a 4-3 OT loss to Washington last time out) and 10-5 (+3.6 units) against clubs with losing records, while Ottawa is just 3-7 (-4.4 units) against the division and only 8-13 (-7.2 units) against teams with winning records. The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one. Ottawa snapped a four-game skid with a very satisfying 5-4 win at home over Columbus just last night. After that exhausting victory and with three whole nights off after this evening’s contest, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic letdown/trap for the Senators. We’re banking on the BRUINS taking full advantage. Lay the price. AAA Sports |
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12-28-17 | Flames v. Sharks -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
ANALYSIS COMING SOON |
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12-28-17 | Golden Knights v. Kings -147 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -147 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is 10* MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the LA Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that the Kings are 11-6 (+5.2 units) in revenging a loss against an opponent this season. The bottom line: Las Vegas has defied the odds and will head into its mid-way point as a legitimate playoff contender. The Golden Knights are a good team, but there’s no way we can classify them as a “great” team at this point. Vegas comes in off a very satisfying 4-1 win in Anaheim just last night though and we think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. And with a high-profile New Years Eve game at home against the Leafs, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead here as well. The Kings on the other hand are rested, having had four whole nights off. They play with revenge after falling to the Knights 4-2 in mid November. This is also the final home game before an extended trip, putting added emphasis on “getting the job done” tonight. When you add it all up, we believe this line could/should in fact be a lot larger and in our professional opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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12-23-17 | Canadiens v. Oilers -170 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Edmonton Oilers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Montreal is a poor 4-13 (-12.4 units) in non-conference games this year and already only 3-5 (-2.6 units) in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Edmonton is now 2-1 (+1.1 units) in its last three after a three-game unbeaten streak. The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one. The Oilers have looked a lot better on both ends of the ice of late and they’ll look to close strong here before their Christmas break against a Habs side that comes in off a very satisfying 3-2 win in Calgary just last night. When you add it all up, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. Play on the OILERS. AAA Sports |
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12-19-17 | Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs -125 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Toronto Maple Leafs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Carolina is just 7-11 (-4.9 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and only 4-6 (-2.8 units) when playing with two days of rest, while Toronto is 2-1 (+1 unit) this season after playing three consecutive road games and 2-0 (+2 units) when playing with three or more days of rest. The bottom line: Toronto will be by far the “hungrier” team today as it comes in off three straight road losses. And with a big road trip starting tomorrow night in Columbus, the rested Leafs will be leaving everything they have on the ice this afternoon as they try to secure the victory on home ice. Carolina does play with revenge after falling 5-4 to the Leafs in late November, but after three straight wins, including a very satisfying 2-1 home victory over Columbus on Saturday, we absolutely expect the visitors to have a predictable letdown here. When you add it all up, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. Play on TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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12-16-17 | Ducks v. Capitals -147 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Capitals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Anaheim just 6-11 (-2.8 units) in its last 17 against clubs with winning records, while Washington is 7-4 (+2.2 units) against clubs with losing records. The bottom line: The Ducks have won three of their last four, but with upcoming games at New Jersey, New York, Long Island and Pittsburgh, we believe that Anaheim has a letdown in the Nation’s capital. Washington has won two straight, but with two whole nights off before an extended road trip, we fully expect the CAPITALS to risk life and limb tonight in trying to secure the victory in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price. AAA Sports |
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12-13-17 | Predators -140 v. Canucks | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Nashville Predators. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Nashville is already 6-5 (+1 unit) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 7-3 (+3.4 unit) after allowing four goals or more (Preds lost 4-3 in a shootout to Vegas last time. Nashville has had four whole days off since that game and plays with revenge after falling to Vancouver 5-3 back on November 30th), while Vancouver is just 6-11 (-3.1 units) this season against clubs with winning records. The bottom line: With a tough game at suddenly surging Edmonton tomorrow night, the Predators can’t afford to “look past” this opportunity. The Canucks have been better than most thought they’d be this year, but they’re still just 5-6-2 at home this season. Vancouver has lost three straight and will be desperate itself, but we think the rested and focused PREDATORS find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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12-11-17 | Capitals v. Islanders -116 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK on the New York Islanders. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washington is already just 1-2 (-1.5 units) this year after a three game unbeaten streak, while New York is 8-5 (+3.5 units) in its last 13 after a three game losing streak, 4-1 (+3.6 units) already this year after a loss by two goals or more and 5-4 (+1.9 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The Isles will be desperate here as they do indeed come into this one having lost three straight, most recently a 3-1 setback to Boston. New York also plays with revenge after falling 4-3 to the Capitals on November 2nd. Washington has won four straight, most recently 4-2 win over the Rangers at home. With a much more “winnable” game at home tomorrow night against the Avs, we think the visitors “get caught looking ahead.” In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the ISLANDERS. AAA Sports |
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12-10-17 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks -235 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Chicago Blackhawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Arizona is an atrocious 4-9 (-2.6 units) this year already in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Chicago is 7-5 (+1.5 units) this year against clubs with losing records and 9-5 (+3.5 units) after a non-confernece contest. The bottom line: The Coyotes come in off a hard-fought 1-0 loss in Columbus just last night and we believe they’ll falter here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Chicago won’t be taking anything for granted here, it just broke a five-game slide with a tough 3-2 OT win over the Sabres. With CHICAGO putting its full focus onto the ice tonight, that makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. AAA Sports |
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12-08-17 | Sabres v. Blackhawks -180 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Chicago Blackhawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Buffalo is just 3-8 (-5.6 units) this season when playing on two days rest, while Chicago 8-6 (+1.4 units) in non-conference games and 4-2 (+1.7 units) after allowing four goals or more. The bottom line: Chicago is a mess, it’s lost five straight and its just 12-11-4 on the year overall. It’s still 6-5-2 at home though. Buffalo’s just 7-17-3 on the year, including only 4-8-3 on the road. The Sabres come off a highly satisfying 4-2 win at Colorado, breaking a four-game slide, but we think they have an immediate return to mediocrity here. The numbers and the conditions both favor the Blackhawks and it makes this a price that we have no issues at all in laying. Play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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12-05-17 | Islanders v. Lightning -180 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Tampa Bay Lightning. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New York is just 1-3 (-1.3 units) in its last four in the second game of a back-to-back after scoring five goals or more in OT or the shootout in a victory the night before, while Tampa is 6-1 (+5.2 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The Isles come in off an exhausting 5-4 shootout victory in Florida last night. The Lightning come in rested and out to avenge a 5-3 setback to the Islanders earlier in the season. When you add it all up, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. Play on the LIGHTNING. AAA Sports |
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12-04-17 | Sharks v. Capitals -132 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Washington Capitals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that San Jose is just 14-17 (-9.1 units) in its last 31 after playing three consecutive road games, while Washington is 8-5 (+2.1 units) against clubs with winning records this season. The bottom line: San Jose had won three straight, including two straight on the road before suffering a 5-2 loss in its most recent outing. With two nights off, before a “cream puff” against the Hurricanes at home, we think the Sharks have another letdown here. This is Game 3 of a five game stand for Washington, with tough upcoming ones against Chicago and the Rangers still to come. But the Capitals have been playing better of late, winning four of their last five, including a tough 5-4 win over Columbus in their most recent action. Washington catches the Sharks at a good time here. All things considered, a very fair price. Play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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12-01-17 | Golden Knights v. Jets -180 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-CHALK DESTRUCTION on the Winnipeg Jets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Vegas is already just 2-3 (-1.2 units) this year after a loss by two goals or more, while Winnipeg is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in its last six after giving up three goals and losing in OT in its previous game. The bottom line: The Knights just lost 4-2 in Minnesota just last night. The Jets come in off a 3-2 OT loss at Colorado and play with revenge after falling 5-2 in Vegas in early November. All signs point to a blowout, so lay the price with confidence on the JETS. AAA Sports |
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11-30-17 | Coyotes v. Flames -205 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-CHALK BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames. The Flames can’t be happy, they’ve lost three of their last four, including a 4-1 defeat to Toronto at home in their most recent action. With a tough game against Edmonton on Sunday, Calgary won’t be lacking for motivation tonight. The Coyotes come in off back-to-back losses, most recently a disheartening 3-2 OT setback to the Oilers. Calgary is tough at home and it’s 3-1 already this year following a defeat in which it’s scored one goal or less. I’m banking on the Flames being the hungrier team tonight and i look for them to lead from start to finish. Lay the price, play on CALGARY. AAA Sports |
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11-28-17 | Canucks v. Islanders -170 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New York Islanders. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note, despite its recent success, with road wins over Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, before falling in New Jersey in a shootout, the Canucks are still just 4-8 (-3 units) this year against clubs with winning records, while note that the Isles are 8-5 (+2.9 units) against teams with losing records (also 4-2, +2.1 units this season when playing with two days of rest.) The bottom line: With a tough one at Nashville to end this gruelling road trip on Thursday, we think the Canucks have another letdown here. The Isles have won three straight and have had two days off to prepare for this one. We’re expecting a rout from start to finish. Lay the price, play on the ISLANDERS. AAA Sports |
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11-27-17 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -172 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER BLOWOUT on the Chicago Blackhawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Anaheim is just 3-4 (-1.6 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous game, while Chicago is 14-9 (+3.1 units) this season after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: With a tough game in Nashville tomorrow night and after three straight road games (a trip in which it went 2-1, including a relatively simple 4-1 win in Florida on Saturday), we expect Chicago to leave everything on the ice tonight. The Ducks are riddled with injury and getting sub-par goaltending. And with tough road games in St. Louis, Columbus and Nashville upcoming, all signs point to a letdown here here for Anaheim. Lay the price with confidence, play on the BLACKHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-15-17 | Rangers v. Blackhawks -133 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Chicago Blackhawks. New York is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, as it comes in having won six straight. It’s last three wins have all come at home and now the Rangers head out on a tough Western road swing. Chicago will be super motivated here. It’s lost three of its last four, including a 7-5 setback against the Devils at home in its most recent action, a contest in which it had an early 2-0 lead. With a couple nights off before a big Eastern road swing (starting against the defending champs on Saturday night), we expect the home side to leave everything on the ice tonight. Note that New York is just 4-11 (-10 units) in its last 15 when playing with three or more days rest, while Chicago is 18-13 (+1.2 units) in its last 31 when playing on two days rest. Letdown for New York here, play on the BLACKHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-10-17 | Islanders v. Stars -125 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Stars. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that New York is just 30-36 (-10.1 units) in its last 66 after playing a non-conference game, while Dallas is 37-17 (+22 units) in its last 54 after a loss by two goals or more (including 3-1/+2 units this year.) The bottom line: The Stars enter off a 4-1 home loss to Winnipeg and will be looking to take advantage here of this final home game before a tough three game road trip. This is the opener of a daunting back-to-back for the Isles, who are in St. Louis tomorrow night. This line could/should easily be a lot larger, play on the STARS. AAA Sports |
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11-09-17 | Red Wings v. Flames -165 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Calgary Flames. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is still just 11-15 (-3.8 units) in its last 26 after playing three consecutive road games, while Calgary is 33-28 (+10.4 units) in its last 61 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game (including 3-1, +2 units this year.) The bottom line: A great situational/spot bet in our opinion. Detroit has played six of its last seven games on the road and enters it final game of the trip having won two straight, most recently a 3-2 win at Vancouver. There’s no doubt that this sets up as a letdown for the visitors today. Calgary had its three game win streak snapped in a loss to Vancouver last time out, but enjoys a couple nights off before a game at home against St. Louis on Monday. All signs point to a comfortable home victory, play on the FLAMES. AAA Sports |
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11-08-17 | Bruins v. Rangers -136 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the New York Rangers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Boston is just 24-30 (-18.3 units) in its last 54 after a win by two goals or more (including 0-2, -3.5 units this season), while New York is 53-32 (+6.1 units) in its last 85 against clubs with losing records and interestingly, 23-9 (+8.2 units) in its last 32 “November” games. The bottom line: Two teams which are hungry for a win and which have looked better of late. Tukka Rask and Henrik Lundqvist are pretty evenly matched here, but the numbers/trends clearly point to the RANGERS as the savvy move in our professional opinion. AAA Sports |
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10-26-17 | Capitals -148 v. Canucks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -148 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Washington Capitals. Vancouver returns home off a much better than expected lengthy road trip, while Washington has had considerable time off after last falling to Florida. With the high-powered Capitals looking to kick off their Western road swing on the “right foot,” the Canucks are the perfect opponent to beat up on. Vancouver won four of five on its opening season road trip, most recently beating Minnesota 1-0. Jake Viranen got the loan goal in that one. Vancouver though was outshot 29-25 in that one. Goaltender Anders Nilsson made 29 saves and has looked good in the early going. Note that that Nilsson is 0-3-1 against the Capitals with a 3.64 GAA, while Jacob Markstrom is 0-5-0 with a 3.51 GAA against Washington. The Capitals will be eager to start their new big win streak as they come into this one with a pedestrian 4-4-1 record. Alex Ovechkin has ten goals and 11 points overall for the Capitals this season, while goaltender Braden Holtby is 4-2-0 on the year with 2.31 GAA (note that Holtby is 3-1 with a 1.76 GAA lifetime against the Canucks.) The Capitals are 6-1 in their last seven following a home loss of three goals or more, while Vancouver is a horrible 6-21 in its last 27 home games against a club which has a winning road record. It’s a classic “trap” game for the young and over-achieving Canucks, who return home in a major letdown spot. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for Washington as it puts its full focus onto the ice tonight. Play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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10-24-17 | Panthers v. Canadiens -125 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Montreal Canadiens. The Habs have been horrible this year, returning home having lost seven straight. So has Carey Price forgotten how to play hockey? Are the Canadiens really as bad as their record would indicate after the first month? Clearly the answer is “no.” Montreal may not be as good as it was last year, but it’s not as bad as what it’s shown to this point. Price has the pedigree and track record to bounce back strong. Florida snapped a three-game slide with a 4-1 win at Washington, but with an extended five-game home stand up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to that more favorable part of their schedule. All things considered, we feel this is a great price on the desperate CANADIENS. AAA Sports |
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10-09-17 | Devils v. Sabres -121 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -121 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Buffalo Sabres (3:00 EST). We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that New Jersey is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four after holding its previous opponent to one goal or less in its previous contest (beat the Av’s 4-1 on Opening Night), while the Sabres are 4-2 (+1.7 units) in itheir last six after two or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: The Devils come off a satisfying home win, but get caugth looking past Buffalo here to their game at Toronto and against Washignton on the the horizon. The SABRES on the other hand have three days off before embarking on a long Western Conference road trip. We like the “hungrier” team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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10-05-17 | Flyers v. Kings -169 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the LA Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that the Flyers are just 1-4 (-2.7 units) in their last five after scoring five goals or more in the first game of a back-to-back scenario. The bottom line: Philadelphia comes in off a highly satisfying 5-3 road win in San Jose last night and looks primed for a big letdown here. The Kings got off to a slow start last year, so will be looking to get off on the “right foot” this season. All things considered, this line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our opinion. Value swings to the home side, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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06-05-17 | Penguins v. Predators -128 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Nashville Predators. We played on Pittsburgh in Game’s 1 and 2 and then took the Predators in Game 3. If you didn’t get a chance to read the analysis on our Game 3 pick, we feel that its worth a quick look now as for the most part, the logic behind that selection also directly pertains to this one: We’ve taken Pittsburgh over the first two games of this series and feel a bit fortunate for the Game 1 victory obviously after the Pens managed just 15 shots on net in the 5-3 win. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne had the best GAA in the playoffs before heading to the Finals, but he’s stumbled to this point. We think the all-star netminder will finally return to form in front of the home town crowd tonight though. It’s do or die for the home side and we think it answers the challenge. The home side: It’s still “do-or-die” for the home side tonight as well, as a 3-1 hole with the series heading back to Pittsburgh would almost assuredly be too much for the Predators to climb out of. Nashville looked like an entirely different team at home and so too did Rinne. All signs point to a blowout, play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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06-03-17 | Penguins v. Predators -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 57 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Nashville Predators. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Pittsburgh is just 2-4 (-2.3 units) this year after playing three consecutive home games, while Nashville is 6-4 (+2 units) in its last ten when trailing in a playoff series and 13-7 (+5 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. The bottom line: We’ve taken Pittsburgh over the first two games of this series and feel a bit fortunate for the Game 1 victory obviously after the Pens managed just 15 shots on net in the 5-3 win. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne had the best GAA in the playoffs before heading to the Finals, but he’s stumbled to this point. We think the all-star netminder will finally return to form in front of the home town crowd tonight though. It’s do or die for the home side and we think it answers the challenge. Play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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05-29-17 | Predators v. Penguins -163 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Nashville is just 3-6 (-3.9 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Pittsburgh is 6-2 (+3.2 units) in the same position. The bottom line: Nashville owns the No. 1 defense in the playoffs and the Pens sport the No. 1 offense. They say “defense wins champions,” but we’ve always thought that that addage has pertained more to the gridrion than to either the hardwood or on the ice. We think rest leads to rust for the visitors and expect the defending champs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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05-19-17 | Penguins -110 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Pittsburgh is already 14-6 (+7 units) this year following a loss by two goals or more and 5-2 (+3.8 units) in its last seven when trailing in a playoff series, while Ottawa is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four following a win by two goals or more. The bottom line: Pittsburgh’s offense has been a no-show over the first three games, managing just a single goal in each. However, we’re expecting that to change this evening. Look for the defending champs to make some line-up changes as to shake things up. The PENGUINS responded with a big effort after losing Game 1 of this series and that’s exactly what we expect to happen here in Game 4 as well. AAA Sports |
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05-18-17 | Ducks v. Predators -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Nashville Predators. We had a play on the Predators in Game 3. Here is an excerpt from the analysis on that selection: The Ducks were a decent road team, but the Predators have been dominant at home. Nashville is ranked as the No. 1 defensive team in the playoffs by conceding just 1.76 GPG. Look for Pekka Rinne to outduel John Gibson between the pipes tonight and lay the price with confidence. Anaheim has historically performed well when down in a playoff series over the last few years, but we think that this Nashville team is something special as it continues to get little respect from the oddsmakers. The PREDATORS will be one game away from the Stanley Cup Finals after they win tonight! AAA Sports |
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05-17-17 | Penguins -123 v. Senators | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -123 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Pittsburgh is 5-2 (+2.6 units) in its last seven when tied in a playoff series, while Ottawa is just 3-8 (-6 units) after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Pittsburgh has had trouble scoring in this series so far, but we expect that trend to end tonight. Sidney Crosby is 100% again and the Pens have had a lot of success on the road already in the playoffs. We think the defending champs are being severely undervalued in this spot. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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05-16-17 | Ducks v. Predators -143 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Nashville Predators. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Anaheim is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three after a win by two goals or more, while Nashville is 2-1 (+1 unit) in its last three after a loss by two goals or more. The bottom line: The Ducks were a decent road team, but the Predators have been dominant at home. Nashville is ranked as the No. 1 defensive team in the playoffs by conceding just 1.76 GPG. Look for Pekka Rinne to outduel John Gibson between the pipes tonight and lay the price with confidence. Play on NASHVILLE. AAA Sports |
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05-14-17 | Predators v. Ducks -114 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 32 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Anaheim Ducks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Nashville is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three after holding its opponent to two goals or less in its previous contest, while Anaheim is 26-16 (+6.7 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: So far the Predators have looked pretty awesome in the postseason. We just think this sets up as a bit of a natural letdown spot for Nashville, which has already accomplished the split. For the Ducks, it’s do or die basically. All things considered, we feel we’re getting a great price here, play on ANAHEIM. AAA Sports |
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05-10-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -120 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Anaheim Ducks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Edmonton is just 4-8 (-6.2 units) this season when playing with two days off, while Anaheim is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in its last four in the same position. The bottom line: This has been a back-and-forth series. It’s been difficult for many of the pros to get a complete “feel” on this one. As good as the Oilers looked in Game 6 though, we feel that the Ducks are being extremely undervalued in this spot. We think ANAHEIM finally gets off the schneid, advances past the second round and uses its veteran leadership to its advantage. AAA Sports |
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05-05-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Anaheim Ducks. So far home ice advantage hasn’t meant anything in this series, as Edmonton jumped out to the early 2-0 lead in Anaheim, before the Ducks returned the favor North of the border in Game’s 3 and 4. Anaheim’s veteran leadership, combined with goaltender John Gibson’s dominating play has completely shifted the momentum in this series. The Oilers’ offense is stalling and now their defense is starting to struggle as well. And in our opinion, that doesn’t bode well with the series once again shifting back to Anaheim. Note that Edmonton is just 8-9 (-2.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Anaheim is 16-12 (+2.6 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous game. All things considered, we feel this is a great price, play on the DUCKS. AAA Sports |
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04-29-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -141 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -141 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Capitals. We had a play on the UNDER in Game 1. The Pens had to hold on for dear life in that one and managed the 3-2 victory in the end. This is essentially do-or-die for the Capitals though and we find it almost impossible that the team wastes this opportunity. Note that Washignton is 22-11 (+6.6 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of great line value. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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04-28-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on the Anaheim Ducks. Edmonton scored the minor upset in Game 1 and we think it’s going to come into this one very content with the split. Conversely, after sweeping the Flames the Ducks were the ones that came out flat to open this series. But with that one out of the way, we look for normally sure-footed Anaheim to regroup and get the job done in its own barn. Besides, note that Edmonton is a poor 6-9 (-5.2 units) already this year after a three-game unbeaten streak, while Anaheim is 15-3 (+12.6 units) this season after allowing four goals or more. Lay the price with confidence, play on the DUCKS. AAA Sports |
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04-28-17 | Predators +105 v. Blues | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE DESTRUCTION on the Nashville Predators. The Predators continue to get no respect. After steamrolling the Blackhawks in four games, they came out and beat the Blues 4-3 in OT in Game 1 of the Western Conference semi-finals. St. Louis needed five games to get past the Wild and didn’t look nearly as impressive in doing so. Nashville has been getting fantastic goaltending, but for agruments sake, lets call the netminders equal in this matchup. “Momentum” is a very real, tangible factor in the playoffs and it’s often one which we believe the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. And that’s definitely the case here in our opinion. Also note that Nashville is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in its last three after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while St. Louis is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) after giving up four goals or more. Play on NASHVILLE. AAA Sports |
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04-22-17 | Oilers v. Sharks -138 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -138 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
**NOTE: WRONG PLAY CHOSEN. This is a play on the UNDER. Sorry for any confusion. Correct analysis posted below: This is a 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the UNDER between the Edmonton Oilers and the San Jose Sharks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Edmonton has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of 20 this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while San Jose has seen the total go UNDER in eight of 13 this season after allowing four goals or more. The bottom line: It’s do-or-die for the Sharks, as the Oilers can wrap up the series with another victory. We’re expecting the defensive minded home side to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes. The trends and the overall situation lend themselves to a lower-scoring UNDER. AAA Sports |
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04-19-17 | Capitals -138 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Capitals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Washington is 21-10 (+7 units) this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Toronto is just 17-19 (-3.8 units) after scoring four goals or more. The bottom line: Toronto has the firepower to match pace with Washington, but its defense was ranked in the lower half, while Washington finished No. 3 overall in that department. We’re expecting a return to the norm tonight and look for the Presidents Cup Trophy winners to lead from start to finish. Lay the price with confidence, play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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04-17-17 | Ducks v. Flames -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST). We stated from the start that home ice would be crucial in this series and so far it has, with Anaheim somehow managing to win both Games 1 and 2 in its own barn. Now it’s time for the Flames to reciprocate. The home team is 52-17 the last 69 in this series. We’ll call the goaltenders a wash, but note that Anaheim is just 2-3 (-2.4 units) in its last five after a three-game unbeaten streak, while Calgary is 25-16 (+10.5 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Lay the price, play on the FLAMES. AAA Sports |
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02-28-17 | Kings v. Flames -105 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames. REASONING: We’re having a hard time figuring out what the heck the oddsmakers are thinking with this one? The Kings are coming off a tough 5-4 road loss in Minnesota just last night and now transition North of the border to take on the red hot Flames and in our professional opinion, Calgary isn’t getting nearly enough respect in this spot. The Flames have won four in a row, riding the hot play of goaltender Brian Elliot, who is 7-2-1 in his last ten appearances with a 2.50 GAA. Note that LA is just 5-7 (-1.1 units) this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Calgary is 20-11 (+10.3 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. This is the very definition of “great line value,” play on the FLAMES. AAA Sports |
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02-24-17 | Flames v. Panthers -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Florida Panthers 7:35 EST. REASONING: We’re primarily a “situationally” based handicapping service. We are constantly on the look out for great “situations” to exploit and there’s no doubt that this one fits the bill. So much so in fact that it’s been elevated to our absolute strongest non-conference side of the season. First off, the Flames played just last night in Tampa Bay and managed to hold on for the tough 3-2 victory. You could almost see Calgary expending all of its energy in that one, knowing that it would have a difficult task in the second game of the back to back scenario. So here comes Florida, it enters off a frustrating 4-3 home loss to Edmonton. Clearly the Panthers will be eager to get back on track after that setback, but they also do in fact play with revenge after falling 5-2 in the first matchup with the Flames earlier in the season. Note that Calgary is just 3-7 (-3.2 units) this season when playing on back-to-back days and only 3-5 (-3.1 units) after playing three consecutive road games, while Florida is 13-6 (+7.5 units) this year after allowing four goals or more. Florida has won eight of its last ten and all signs point to another big victory tonight. Lay the price, play on the PANTHERS. AAA Sports |
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01-10-17 | Bruins v. Blues -111 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -111 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE YEAR on the St. Louis Blues. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Boston is a poor 7-10 (-4 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and only 6-10 (-4.4 units) against teams with winning records, while St. Louis is 31-15 (+10.4 units) in its last 46 when playing with two days rest and 10-7 (+2.5 units) in all non-conference games. The bottom line: The Bruins have struggled in non-conference games this year, going just 5-7 (-4.4 units). We expect all of these strong trends to continue and all things considered, we believe this to be the very definition of “great line value.” Play on ST. LOUIS. AAA Sports |
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12-28-16 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -126 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -126 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Florida Panthers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Toronto is just 5-12 (-6 units) when playing with three or more days rest and only 3-6 (-3.6 units) following a victory by two goals or more, while Florida is 57-48 (+14.1 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 6-3 (+2.8 units) this year after allowing four goals or more. The bottom line: The Panthers return from the break on a two-game slide and they’re also out to avenge a brutal 6-1 loss to the Leafs in mid November. We think the visitors get caught looking ahead to their game in Tampa Bay tomorrow night and all things considered, we do indeed feel we’re getting great line value in this one. Play on FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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12-19-16 | Predators +113 v. Flyers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Nashville Predators. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Nashville is 4-2 (+1.8 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous game and 6-3 (+2.3 units) following a non-conference game, while Philadelphia is 11-15 (-4.6 units) in its last 16 after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Philadelphia just had its nine game win streak snapped in the final game of its five game road trip. This sets up nicely as a letdown spot for the Flyers in their first game back home. Nashville also plays with revenge today. Great spot bet, play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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12-09-16 | Oilers v. Wild -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on the Minnesota Wild. REASONING: Any momentum that the upstart Oilers had at the start of the year has basically been lost, Edmonton comes into the finale of its three-game road trip just 24 hours after losing a disheartening 6-5 game in Philadelphia. It’s hard to imagine the Wild “looking past” the Oilers today, who return home after finishing a five-game trip in which they went 2-1-2, ending with consecutive victories over the Oilers (2-1) and the Leafs (3-2). Devan Dubnyk is expected to get the call in net for the home side tonight and he’s 7-1-0 with a tiny 1.23 GAA lifetime against Edmonton. Minnesota is tenth in the league in scoring at 2.76 GPG, but is No. 1 on the defensive end, allowing only 2.04. Note that the Oilers are just 11-46 in their last 57 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Wild are 6-2 in their last eight home games following a road trip of seven or more days. We’re expecting a rout from start to finish, play on MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Ducks v. Flames +102 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 102 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH on the Calgary Flames. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics, the “revenge factor” and common sense: The Flames fell to Anaheim, 4-1 on November 6th. Calgary has won back-to-back games and looks to keep the momentum rolling here before embarking on a road trip. Anaheim is coming off a loss in Edmonton just last night and now faces a revenge minded Flames team that is already 9-7 (+4.4 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The bottom line: Also note that the Ducks are just 6-7 (-2.3 units) this year against teams with losing records. Great situational play on CALGARY. AAA Sports |
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10-17-16 | Senators v. Red Wings -134 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Detroit Red Wings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based on common sense. We’re primarily a situationally based handicapping service and there’s no question that this one sets up perfectly for us. And the price is definitely fantastic considering how motivated Detroit will be here. The Wings have opened the season with two straight losses, a 6-4 setback at Tampa Bay, followed by a 4-1 loss in Florida. Now Detroit returns home in a foul mood and looking to take out their frustrations on the Senators. Ottawa on the other hand comes in contented after its 2-0 start. First the Sens beat the Leafs 5-4 in OT on opening night, then they held on for a 4-3 shootout victory over the rival Habs three nights later. Now the team hits the road for the first time this season and will try to not get caught “looking ahead” to its game at home against the Coyotes tomorrow night. The bottom line: The stage is set for a convincing lop-sided victory from wire-to-wire. Play on the RED WINGS. AAA Sports |
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06-06-16 | Penguins v. Sharks -130 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 32 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD BATH on the San Jose Sharks. We had the Sharks in Game 3 and obviously feel a bit lucky to have earned the win after Pittsburgh outshot San Jose 41-27, but with that victory under its belt, we look for the home side to keep the momentum rolling and to produce its best effort of the series. It could be the Sharks with the 2-1 lead at this point, as all three games so far have been decided by a single goal. And all three have been decided in the final three minutes of regulation or in OT. The bottom line is, these teams are very evenly matched, but note that San Jose is already 2-1 (+1 units) this postseason when trailing in a playoff series. Momentum is a funny thing and with another victory, the Sharks will be rolling as this series shifts back to Pittsburgh. In our opinion, the value is just too good to turn down on the home side, play on SAN JOSE. AAA Sports |
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06-04-16 | Penguins v. Sharks -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 57 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* NHL GAME OF THE MONTH on the San Jose Sharks. If you’re wagering on the NHL at this time of year, then you likely already know all about these teams. Pittsburgh was the hottest club from the half-way point on and has pretty much looked unstoppable throughout the postseason, although it would need seven games to dispatch the Lightning in the Conference round. The Pens would take Game’s 1 and 2 in front of the home town crowd, so now the onus has fallen onto San Jose to respond in kind. The Sharks have also looked fantastic in the postseason, and there’s no reason not to think that they won’t bounce back here. We primarily base our picks on “situations” and “motivation.” This is a great situational play, as Pittsburgh is set up for a classic letdown after two straight 1-goal victories at home. Conversely, it’s do-or-die for San Jose, clearly a 3-0 hole would be too much for it overcome. And for us it’s as simple as that, this is a great price on a team which will literally be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to try and secure the victory. Play on the SHARKS. AAA Sports |
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05-20-16 | Penguins -140 v. Lightning | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -140 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Lightning steam-rolled their way over the New York Islanders in five games in the last round, as they got some superb goaltending from Ben Bishop, as well as some production from all of its lines to cap off the commanding series victory. Tampa Bay took Game 1 of this series despite being outshot, but has since dropped back-to-back contests to the surging Penguins and all signs point to another letdown tonight. The Lightning are expected to once again be without the services of goaltender Bishop due to injury as well as regular season leading scorer Steven Stamkos (if they do somehow miraculously suit up to play, clearly neither will be at 100% capacity). The Pens depth will be just too much for the wounded Bolts to handle today and with Matt Murray posting a 2.00 GAA in the playoffs, all signs point to the visitors finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Note that Pittsburgh is already 4-2 (+1.4) units in the playoffs when leading in a series, while Tampa Bay is just 6-8 (-2.7 units) this season when revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |