Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-11-23 | Coppin State +15 v. Mt. St. Mary's | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
8* Coppin State (SUPER BLOWOUT) No matter the sport, at the start of the season we're always looking for great situational plays. This one falls into that category. Coppin State is 0-2 SU/ATS, while Mount Saint Mary's is 0-1 SU and 1-0 ATS. The Eagles though have played two tough opponents in Virginia Tech and Towson, both which they were huge dogs. With those two games under their belts, we're expecting this undervalued visiting side to give the Mountaineers everything they can handle. They lost 68-53 to Maryland, and while they'll almost assuredly go on to win this game outright, we just can't see them covering this large spread; so grab the points, the play is Coppin State! AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Stars v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) When we bet "totals" (in all major sports), we're always looking for great "situations," and this one fall directly into that category. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to more of a defensive affair here between these clubs on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Dallas is 8-3-0-1, including 5-1-0-1 on the road. The Stars are off a 5-3 win at Columbus. Winnipeg is 7-4 and it's won three straight. The Jets have also seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. Note though that Winnipeg has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after three or more straight victories in a row; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Memphis v. Charlotte +11 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (SHOCKER) At this time of year, we're always looking for great "situational" plays. This one falls directly into the "great situational play" category. Memphis is 7-2 and 3-0 on the road, but 3-6 Charlotte won't be rolling over today. And why's that you ask? The 3-6 49ers only have three games left to become eligible. Last week Memphis held on for a 59-50 shootoutwin over USF, but with a home game vs SMU up next, we're expecting the visiting side to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Charlotte came from behind to bea Tulsa 33-26 in OT in its most recent action, and we're expecting it to be competitive here as well; grab the points, the play is indeed on Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Newcastle United -135 v. AFC Bournemouth | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
10* Newcastle (EPL GOW) Newcastle lost 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund in Champions League action most recently, but in its most recent EPL game it beat Arsenal 1-0 as a +184 dog. AFC Bournemouth on the other hand was destoryed 6-1 by Manchester City. With Newcastle pushing the pace of this one like we expect after last week's win, we have a hard time seeing this struggling AFC Bournemouth side keeping pace. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the price on Newcastle in regulation! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (MW GOY) Both teams are already eligible, but each now has bigger aspirations moving forward. Wyoming is 6-3, while UNLV is 7-2. Wyoming is led by 10th year head coach Craig Bohl. Last week the Cowboys beat Colorado State 24-15 for the Bronze Boot int he annual Border War. QB Andrew Peasley had 140 yards passing, while Harrison Waylee had 128 rushing. The Rebels are enjoying a great year under first year coach Barry Odom, who smashed New Mexico last week by a score of 56-14; QB Jayden Maiava had three TD passes. Wyoming's dual threat QB is going to keep his team in this one late; grab the points the play is on the Cowboys! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Flyers v. Ducks OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
10* OVER Flyers/Ducks (NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Friday. Philadelphia is 5-7-1-0, while Anaheim is 7-5-0-0. The Ducks have seen the total go "under" in two straight after a 2-0 loss to Pittsburgh last time out. Note though that the Ducks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss in their previous outing. The Flyers are off B2B losses including a humbling 2-1 loss at San Jose last time out. Note though that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Look for this non-conference contest to be less intense defensively, and much more wide-open offensively; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Clemson v. UAB +6.5 | Top | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* UAB (TOURNEY THROW-DOWN) We like the hungry underdog to, at the very least, keep this one close eough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Clemson is 1-0, and UAB is 0-1. Clemson is off the 78-56 win over Winthrop, while UAB enters off a tough 73-71 OT home loss to Bradley as a 4.5-point favorite. But note that the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss. UAB was competitive even in defeat and while the Blazers may not win this game outright, everything points to another "nail-biter" in our opinion; grab the points, the play is UAB. AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Wolves v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* Spurs (ASSASSIN) The Wolves are 5-2 and the Spurs are 3-5. Minnesota though is 0-2 on the road. It's won four straight SU/ATS, but note that it's still just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. With B2B games at Golden State up next, will Minnesota get caught "looking ahead?!" The possibility is there for sure obviously. The Spurs enter off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, but note that they're 3-1 ATS in their last four after three straight SU/ATS setbacks in a row. The Wolves have looked solid overall in the early going. The Spurs have shown flashes of brilliance. We think this is a great spot for San Antonio to finally bounce back in though. This is a few too many points; we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, so the official call is to grab as many points as you can with San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Morehead State +29.5 v. Purdue | 57-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Morehead State (DESTRUCTION) Purdue is the No. 3 ranked team in the country right now after beating Samford 98-45 in its opener. Four players scored in double digits, led by 16 points and 11 board from Zach Edley. The Morehead State Eagles are 1-1, most recently destroying Shawnee State 96-40, led by Riley Minix with 18 points and 15 boards (the Eagles lost 105-73 to Alabama in their opener.) The Eagles are experienced, and I think they can comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch, with the Boilermakers looking ahead to upcoming games vs. Xavier and Gonzaga. This is too many points, so grab them; the play is indeed on Morehead State! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Northern Kentucky +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Northern Kentucky (BLOOD-BATH) Are we predicting an outright upset? Don't be silly! But we do think there are enough external factors working in UNK's favor here to easily cover with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. The Norse are off a 74-57 loss to to MTSU, led by Marques Warrick with 18 points in a losing cause. Washington is 1-0 in contrast after pulling away for a comfortable 91-57 victory over Bellarmine. Koren Johnson led the charge with 25 points. Washington only averaged 69.2 PPG last year, hwile Northern Kentucky averaged 67.8. No outright here, but much closer than expected; grab the points the play is Northern Kentucky! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
10* Carolina (ASSASSIN) Carolina is 1-7 and Chicago is 2-7. These teams stink, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Carolina comes in off a 27-13 loss to Indianapolis, while Chicago comes in off a second straight loss, this time in a 24-17 setback at New Orleans. Both teams have struggled in every facet of the game, but this in our opinion is a great "situational" play. Bryce Young is the best player on the field and we feel he'll bounce back here on prime-time; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Coyotes v. Blues -111 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* Blues (CENTRAL DIVISION GOM) They say divisional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean more to the home side. We're getting great value here on a 5-5-0-1 St. Louis team that is 4-2 at home. Arizona has been better than advertised so far in the early going at 6-5-1-0, but it's still just 2-3-1-0 on the road. This play is based upon perceived value and we feel we're getting a TON of it here in this matchup; lay the short price, the play is the Blues! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Virginia v. Louisville -20 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) Typically we don't side with the public. We're contrarian at heart, but of course, that's not always the case. And of course, the public does indeed win nearly 50 percent of the time anyways. For sure here we're not expecting any upsets as we think 8-1 Louisville will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup vs. 2-7 Virginia. Virginia somehow did mange to upset a ranked UNC team on the road and then it forced overtime vs. Miami the following the week, but the Cavaliers definitely came crashing back to reality in the 45-17 home loss to Georgia Tech allowing 515 yards of offense in the humbling setback. The Cavaliers are a great defensive team on the College Basketball court, but they're terrible on the gridiron (they allow 32.4 points per game, which is last in the conference.) Virginia also only managed 351 yards of offense against a Georgia Tech defense which is conceding an average of 455.2 yards per game (overall the Cavaliers only average 23.1 points per game this season. The Cardinals do have the dissapointing loss to Pitt, but last week they blew out Virginia Tech 34-3, and that gave them consecutive wins by at least 20. We think they're going to win in similar fashion to what we saw last weekend. The Cardinals limit their opponents to just 88.8 yards per game rushing and overall they allow just 16.3 points per game (while the offense is averaging 32.9.) We think Louisville will run up the score here and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Bucks -2.5 v. Pacers | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10* Bucks (CENTRAL DIVISION GOY) We think this is a great situational spot for Milwaukee. Both teams come in off games just last night. Milwaukee is now 5-2 after a 120-118 win over Detroit, while Indiana is 5-3 after a 134-118 win here last night over Utah. Look for Milwaukee's experience to play a roll here. If this were the end of the season, we'd probably even lean towards Indiana here, but this is an important early season divisional matchup which we absolutely expect Milwaukee to take very seriously; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Bucks! AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Wizards v. Hornets UNDER 241 | Top | 132-116 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Hornets (ASSASSIN) Here's a great situational play. The Wizards are just 1-5, while the Hornets are just 2-4. Defense hasn't been a big part of either team's play style early on, but that's about to change here tonight in our opinion. The Hornets have seen the total go "over" in four straight, while the Wizards have seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. These facts though have only helped in now driving today's total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. When it's all said and done, we're expecting a much tighter and ultimatley lower-scoring defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Bowling Green -9.5 v. Kent State | Top | 49-19 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (ASSASSIN) Typically we're contrarian. When the public all goes one way, we almost always go the other. But...not ALWAYS. And that's the case here this week on Wednesday night with 5-4 Bowling Green travelling to Ohio on Wednesday to take on the 1-8 Golden Flashes. Kent State would love to play spoiler, but we just don't see the Green Falcons leaving anything to chance this weekend and we're expecting them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Flashes are 0-5 in conference play and there's no way Bowling Green wants to be the one that actually loses to this terrible team. The Falcons come in with a TON of momentum as well: after losing each of their first two conference games, they've now posted three straight wins, including last week's 24-21 victory over Ball State in which Connor Bazelak had 128 yards passing and two touchdowns. The defense though stole the show in allowing just 283 total yards of offense. Kent State is off the tight 31-27 road loss at Akrkon and we think it's definitely thrown in the towel at this point. The defense gave up 393 yards, including 298 through the air and that doesn't bode well now facing Bowling Green's offense, which is firing on all cylinders by averaring just under 30 points per game over their last three games. That momentum carries over here in this favorable spot; lay the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Western Illinois +16.5 v. SMU | 53-90 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
8* WESTERN ILLINOIS (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that. But we're definitely expecting much more of a tighter battle, especially as this one comes down the stretch, than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Western Illinois lost 78-68 in OT at UTSA on Monday. SMU beat Southwestern Assemblies of Cod 82-63. Western Illinois was competitive throughout though in its loss, actually tied at half time. SMU welcomes Texas A&M to town this weekend, and with that much more high-profile game on deck, we believe the home side also gets caught looking ahead to that one, leaving the back door open just enough for the Leathernecks to sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Western Illinois! AAA Sports |
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11-07-23 | Cal-Irvine +1 v. San Jose State | Top | 64-72 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* UC Irvine (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. San Jose State finished 21-14 last year, including going 12-3 at home; the Spartans only averaged 67.5 PPG though. UC Irvine was 23-12 overall last year, and a highly-respectable 9-7 on the road. The Anteaters also averaged 74.8 PPG last year and were much better from range, hitting 37.7 from beyond the arc, compared to San Jose State's 32.6. As stated off the top, grab as many points as you can, the play is UC Irvine! AAA Sports |
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11-07-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo OVER 43 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Ohio/Buffalo (MAC TOW) Ohio is 6-3, while Buffalo is 3-6. The Bulls would have to improbably run the table to become eligible. Likely won't happen obviously, but Buffalo won't go down without a fight. Ohio is 6-3, but the Bobcats have bigger aspirations than just becoming "eligible." One week after doing just that, Ohio fell flat in last week's 30-16 home loss to Miami Ohio as a 7.5-point favorite. But that's signficant to note here as the Bobcats have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in their previous game. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Long Beach State v. Portland +3 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* Portland (NON-CONF GOW) Here we go with another exciting CBB season. For the first couple of weeks, we'll take it easy as we try to get a "feel" for the teams again and how everything looks. To begin with, we're going to find a team that we feel is undervalued, and that's the case here with Portland being a home dog. These teams are very evenly matched, but the home court advantage will prove to be the difference-maker in our opinion. The clincher though is that nearly 80% of the early public money is on LBSU, which is always a very public team. The value in our eyes though swings the other way and while clearly the outright win is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Portland! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Jets (BLOOD-BATH) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The Jets believe they can beat anyone right now and the Chargers are going to have their hands full in our estimation. LA is just 3-4 overall, including 1-2 on the road. New York is 4-3 overall, including 2-2 SU at home and 3-1 ATS. The Jets have extreme momentum right now after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, against quality teams and in difficult situations. The Chargers lost two straight before last week's 30-13 home win over Chicago, but with a home game vs. Detroit next week, we feel the visitors will also get caught "looking ahead" here; a great "situational" play on New York! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (NON-CONF GOW) Both teams are playing great, but we feel this is a great spot for the Mavericks. Dallas is 5-1, including 2-1 on the road, while Orlando is 4-2, including 2-0 at home. After losing at Denver, the Mavericks bounced back with a 124-118 home win over Charlotte. Orlando has won two straight, most recently pulling away for a 120-101 victory over the Lakers here at home. But with a neutral court game vs. red hot Atlanta up next, followed by Milwaukee, we say the overachieving home side finally gets caught "looking past" its opponent here; grab the points, the play is the Mavericks! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) The Grizz had a ten-point lead in the fourth quarter here two night ago, but they still lost 115-113 in OT. Memphis is now 0-6, its worst start since losing 13 straight in 2002. The Grizz are without several key players right now, but the Blazers are also injured and after three straight victories, all signs finally point to a letdown here (note that Portland is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU victories in a row.) Look for the more "hungry" team here to dig deep and finally deliver on the road, while at the same time all signs do definitely finally point to major letdown for the overachieving home side; lay the points, the play is Memphis! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG GOY) After a dreadful start, the Bengals are suddenly the hottest team in the league after three straight victories and covers (4-3 overall)?! We think they're now overvalued here big time though (note that Cinncy is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) Buffalo is 5-3 after last week's 24-18 tougher-than-expected victory against Tampa. But when you look a little closer at the Bucs, they really are one of the better defensive teams. The same can't really be said about the Bengals. They did score the 31-17 upset win at San Francisco, but something is "fishy" with that 49ers offense all of a sudden, so we'll caution in reading too much into that victory. Buffalo has two favorable home games after this, so a three-game win streak is a very realistic goal for this hungry visiting side. And that's how we see this one playing out, the Bengals finally taking a step back here and the Bills finally taking a step forward; grab the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knights/Ducks (ULTIMATE) These teams are red hot. The Knights have yet to lose in regulation and the Ducks have won five in a row. Note though that Anaheim has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after five or more straight victories in a row. Each team has enjoyed a combination of great offense, combined with great defensive play. Here though we're anticipating more of a "war of attrition" between these two surging clubs, and because of that, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done on what we feel is a great "situational" play! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers -3 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
10* Packers (BLOOD-BATH) It's a big game for both of these NFC opponents, but more so for the 2-5 Packers in our opinion. LA is 3-5. The Rams have lost two straight, last week falling 43-20 at Dallas, and we think they'll have difficulty containing this now desperate home side. The only win in LA's last four games came against Arizona. At home. This is a look ahead spot as well for the Rams, who have a bye next week, followed by b2b divisional contests. It's been four straight SU/ATS losses for the Packers, and that's why nearly 80% of the early public money is all over LA here. The good news for Packers fans? There is still time to try and turn things around. It's now or never, do or die for Green Bay in our opinion and we're expecting it to step up and play like that; lay the points the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks +6 v. Ravens | Top | 3-37 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (NON-CONF GOM) Two good non-conference opponents collide in Baltimore on Sunday afternoon, and in our opinion, everything points to this one coming down to whichever of these talented sides has its hands on the ball last. Despite going 0-3 ATS in its L3, Seattle is 2-1 SU in that span, beating Arizona and Cleveland. The Hawks are 2-1 on the road as well. The Ravens are off three straight wins, but with B2B divisional home games starting next week, not only does this set up as as "letdown" spot for the Ravens in our opinion, but also a "look-ahead" position (and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game.") This spread is definitely "off." Grab the points, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | UCLA v. Arizona OVER 51 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER UCLA/Arizona. The UCLA Bruins are 6-2 and the Arizona Wildcats are 5-3. UCLA is off a 28-16 win over Colorado and it's now seen the total go "under" the number in two straight. The Wildcats are looking to become eligible here, as they're now on the cusp with five wins. They've won two straight and in fact over their last three games their offense has been "firing on all cylinders," posting a combined 112 points over those three outings (going 2-1.) The last time these teams played was last November and Arizona won 34-28, which would have sailed well "over" the posted number in this season's contest, but which stayed well below the total of 77.5 in that one last year. But that was then and this is now and when you add up all of the situational factors listed above, and taking into account all of the lower-scoring games these teams have been involved in of late, then this important Week 10 total is now for sure a little low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Stars v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 101 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Nucks (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipting more of a defensive battle between these Western Conference opponents. Dallas is 7-1-0-1, while Vancouver is 7-2-1-0. Will be an exciting game between Western Conference leaders, but an intesne defensive battle in our estimation. Dallas has seen the total go "over" in three straight after B2B 4-3 road wins at Calgary and Edmonton, but note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. After this Dallas returns home for a big game vs. the Bruins, so the visitors will have to be careful to not get caught "looking ahead." Vancouver is off a ridiculous 10-1 win over the Sharks and has has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight now; that's also important to point out here as the Nucks have seen the total go "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; it's a great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 238.5 | Top | 125-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hornets/Pacers (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Charlotte is 1-3 and Indiana is 3-2. The Hornets come in off three straight SU/ATS losses, which is significant to note in this case, as Charlotte has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That includes a 128-119 loss at Houston last time out. The Pacers snapped a two-game slide with a 121-116 win over Cleveland. The last time these teams played against each other was last year, and in that game Charlotte won 115-109. We envision a similar final combined score here this time around as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Illinois +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
10* Illinois (BIG TEN GOM) The 3-5 Illini are running out of time to become "eligible," while the 5-3 Gophers are just one win away from punching their ticket. One week after upsetting Maryland 27-24, Illinois lost 25-21 at home to Wisconsin. That was two weeks ago. With time to prepare for this one, I expect the Illini to find a way to come out on top here against the less-than-impressive Terps. Minnesota is off B2B wins, but with a game at 2-6 Purdue next week, they still have time to recover and earn a bowl if they happen to stumble here. No such luxury for Illinois though. This line is "fishy," but we're ALL over it; while the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion +121 v. Everton | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
10* Brighton (EPL GOW) This is a mismatch in every regard and overall we think we are in fact getting great value here on the road "favorite." Everton looks primed for a letdown here after only its third win of the year in a 1-0 victory over West Ham last week (and that was followed up with a 3-0 win over Burnley in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday.) Brighton enters motivated after a 1-1 draw with Fulham in its previous outing. Brighton is on a four-game winless run, but still remains in seventh-place, while the home side is in 15th. It must also be noted that these teams split two games last year, with each winning on the others' field. But note, Brighton has won the last two away meetings in this series and in our opinion, the third times a charm as well; lay the price, the play is Brighton and Hove Albion! AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets OVER 226.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
10* OVER Mavs/Nugs (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to a lot of lower-scoring games to open the season, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Denver is 4-1 and it's seen the total go "under" in all five games (note though that the Nuggets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row.) Dallas is 4-0 and it had seen the total go "over" the number in all three games to open the season, before its 114-105 win over Chicago to open the month went "under." We're expecting these Western Conference foes to battle at a faster-pace and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Devils v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Blues (NON-CONF TOY) The Devils are 6-2-0-1 and they've seen the total go "over" the number in all nine games so far. St. Louis is 3-4-0-1 and it's seen the total go 1-6-1 to the "under." These two teams come in on completely opposite spectrums as far as their O/U stats are concerned, meaning that the location of the venue becomes crucial in determining whether this one will go Over or Under the total in our opinion. NJ has played to higher-scoring games whether at home or on the road, but because this one is being played in St. Louis, we're fully expecting the home side to set the pace tonight. This number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse -2.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (ASSASSIN) Boston College has definitely been playing well, as it's now 5-3 after winning four straight. Most recently the Eagles beat UConn 21-14 as 14.5-point favorites, so didn't come close to covering the spread. Clearly, BC will be looking to keep the good times rolling needing just the one more win to become bowl eligible. But it's Syracuse that comes in super desperate now to snap a four game straight up and against the spread slide. After four straight wins to open the season, the Orange have now dropped four straight. But all four losses were against really good competition and in every case they were the underdog, losing to Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State and Virginia Tech (and the last three were all on the road.) Now back home and desperate to snap the slide, Syracuse is finally favored here, but not nearly by enough in our estimation. Boston College's four-game win streak has come against much more suspect competition, including Virginia, Army, Georgia Tech and UConn last week. Look for the more motivated home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Canucks v. Sharks +1.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
10* Sharks (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular selection is a great situational play, based upon unrealistic and lop-sided trends/numbers. The Canucks are 6-2-1-0 overall, but 8-1 to the puckline. San Jose is 0-8-0-1, including just 1-8 to the puckline. At some point the Sharks are going to win in regulation, and that could even be tonight, but at this price we think we're getting fantastic value here on the puckline option. Vancouver is clearly the better team, but with a much more exciting and difficult upcoming schedule, with games at home vs. Dallas and Edmonton, followed by an Eastern road swing, would anyone fault the overachieving Canucks for looking past their lowly opponent tonight?! It's the first matchup of the year between the teams and we're expecting a tighter than expected battle; the play is SJ on the "puckline" option! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Jets +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -175 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
8* Jets puckline (DESTRUCTION) The Las Vegas Knights are an amazing organization. The hockey fans in Las Vegas truly don't understand how "lucky" they are. They have to make a documentary about this team and organization in 20 years from now. It's remarkable what they've accomplished in less than a decade. They're 9-0-1-0. At some point though, the Knights are going to lose in regulation this season. Will that happen tonight? Perhaps! They aren't huge favorites here against the 4-3-1-1 Jets, who are 2-1-0-1 on the road. Winnipeg won three straight, but it's since dropped two straight in extra time, falling 4-3 in a shootout to Montreal, and 3-2 in OT to New York. Winnipeg has been competitive though and it plays with revenge here after a 5-3 loss at home to the Knights at the start of the season. In a contest that we see likely also going extra time, we're grabbing Winnipeg on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Titans +3 v. Steelers | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
10* Titans (AFC NON-DIV GOY) Pittsburgh is 4-3 after a listless 20-10 home loss to Jacksonville last week, while Tennessee snapped a two-game slide with an impressive 28-23 home win over Atlanta as a 2.5-point underdog. These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and now here on the short week, we're expecting those trends to continue here on Thursday night. Will Levis was 19 for 29 for 238 yards and four TD's for Tennessee last week. Zero INT's. Derrick Henry was rumbling as well for 101 yards on 22 carries. And WR DeAndre Hopkins caught four passes for 128 yards and three TD's. The Steelers lost starting QB Kenny Pickett to injury in their loss last week and Mitch Trubisky came in and finished 15 of 27 for 138 yards, one TD and two INT's. He was also sacked twice. As good as Pittsburgh's defense is, we're expecting the now "firing on all cylinders" visiting side to continue that progression here on the road; grab the points, the play is Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Duke | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Wake Forest (ACC GOM) Duke is 5-3 and needing just one more win to become "eligible." Wake Forest is 4-4 and is a big underdog here. The Deacons won't be rolling over though. That said, we're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but we're definitley expecting the visiting side to keep this one tight down the stretch. Wake Forest has dropped three of its last four and is coming in under the radar here. Duke is reeling and has lost back-to-back games. Desmon Claiborne, Mitch Griffis and company will have some opportunities here on the road, especially in the second half in our estimation. Wake only allows 25.6 PPG and as we said off the top, we're not calling for an outright upset, but this one is definitely going to be a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Wake Forest! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raptors/76ers (ATLANTIC DIV. TOM) Two teams that are really familar with each other collide in Philly tonight, and in our opinion this will be a very defensive affair. Toronto is 2-3 and Philadelphia is 2-1. Toronto is off a satisfying 130-111 home win over the Bucks just last night. Now the Raptors hit the road for just the second time all year. In their other road game they lost 104-103 in OT at Chicago, and the total still stayed "under" the posted number of 216 in that one. We don't think we'll see OT in this one, but we do expect another tight, lower-scoring defensive battle in the City of Brotherly Love on Thursday night. The 76ers have seen all three games so far go "over" the number, but note that Philly has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-01-23 | Coyotes v. Ducks +116 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 116 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* Ducks (SUPER ROUT) Here's a great situational play on the red hot Ducks. The oddsmakers are super slow in recognizing on how well the team is playing right now. They're coming off four straight road wins, all as huge dogs. Now 5-4, they're severely undervalued in this spot against the 4-4 Coyotes. Arizona has looked better of late, but we still don't trust it as a road favorite or pick-em. Either way, this pick is all about one thing, and that's: perceived value. And we feel there's a TON of it here for Anaheim! AAA Sports |
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11-01-23 | Nets v. Heat -6 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
10* Heat (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Neither team has gotten out to a very good start this year. Brooklyn is 1-2, while the Heat are 1-3. We think that basing your picks on "situations" early on in the season is a great approach, and it's one that we're using here. The Heat are also just 1-3 ATS, while the Nets are 3-0 ATS. Now we're xpecting a bit of a letdown here from Brooklyn after its big 133-121 road win at Charlotte last time out. The Heat are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. This is the start of three straight winnable home games for Miami, and we believe it'll be out to "set the tone" for the rest of the home stand with a monster beatdown effort here for the home town crowd; lay the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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11-01-23 | Kent State v. Akron OVER 38 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Kent State/Akron. Both teams are terrible. Both enter at 1-7. There's nothing to play for here, not even the role of "spoiler" etc. This is a really low total, because these teams have been consistently inconsistent on the offensive end all season. Kent State only averages 12.5 PPG, but the Flashes are conceding 30.6. On the flip-side, the Zips are conceding a whopping 36.3 PPG. Yes, these offenses have struggled all season, but they won't here. With nothing to play here for but pride, expect this faster-paced and wide-open affair to eclipse this smaller number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-31-23 | Magic v. Clippers OVER 220 | Top | 102-118 | Push | 0 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Clippers (NON-CONF TOM) Both teams for the most part have been involved in some lower-scoring games to open the season, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Tuesday night. Orlando is 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS and it's seen all three games go "under" the number (but note that ORL has seen the total go 'over' the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) Off a 106-103 loss to the Lakers here just last night, we don't think it's the offense that'll take a "hit" today, intsead it'll be the defense. The Clippers are 2-1. They're coming off a 123-83 destruction of the Spurs. Look for LA to match that offensive output here as well. With this being a non-conference game, we're also expecting it to be less intense defensively, and much more wide-open; when you add it all up, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-31-23 | Kings v. Maple Leafs -146 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -146 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Leafs (ASSASSIN) We think that Toronto is well worth the price of admission in this spot. LA is 4-2-0-2, while the Leafs are 5-2-1-0. LA is off a 4-3 shootout loss at Vegas and it has three more games to go in this difficult road trip after this. Toronto just had its three game win streak snapped in a 3-2 OT loss at Nashville. Now back home after a 3-2 trip, look for Toronto to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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10-31-23 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan OVER 45 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER NIU/CMU (MAC TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. This sets up great from a situational stand-point to be a higher-scoring affair, as this is a big game for each 4-4 side. Each team needs two more wins to become eligible for a bowl. NIU is 3-1 ATS on the road, while CMU is 3-0 SU at home. Let's steer clear of the side, and note that the Chips have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row (which is the case.) This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions UNDER 47 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raiders/Lions (ASSASSIN) We're expecting a very tight and lower-scoring defensive battle here. Detroit for the most part has looked great this year, but its two losses were really suspect. Clearly the Lions can't be feeling great about their 38-6 loss at Baltimore last weekend, but they ran into the league's No. 1 defense on the road and just weren't able to get anything going. Regardless, now back at home I'm expecting Detroit and Las Vegas to play to more of a "war of attrition" here. The Raiders are off the 30-12 loss at Chicago and we expect them to have difficulty moving the ball on the road consistently once again; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-30-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Bulls (EAST-CONF GOW) While we feel the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can. The Bulls are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. Note though that Chicago is 7-2 ATS in it last nine after three or more ATS losses in a row. Indiana is 2-0, but is now overvalued here. And with a game at Boston up next, not only does this set up as letdown spot, but also a look-ahead. As mentioned off the top, we feel the outright is a possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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10-30-23 | Ducks v. Penguins -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Penguins puckline (DESTROYER) This is a great situational play. After three straight road wins as a sizeable underdog, we're expecting the Ducks to stumble here in this difficult road venue. Note that Anaheim is just 2-6 in its last eight after a three games unbeaten streak. The Pens are just 3-5 after a 5-2 home loss to Ottawa, but note that Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last ten off a home loss as a favorite in its previous outing. We expect the Penguins to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; the play is Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Lakers +3 v. Kings | Top | 127-132 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Lakers (SIDE ROUT) Both teams are 1-1. LA stumbled in Denver on Opening Night, but no team would have stood in the way of Jokic and company getting that victory on the ring ceremony. LA looked a lot better in its 100-95 victory at home over the Suns two nights later though (granted it was without D-Book, but it was still a good bounce back victory.) Sacramento opened with a big 130-114 road win at Utah, but then it stumbled at home two nights later in a 122-114 setback to the Warriors, failing to get revenge for the playoff exit last year. Now with a game at Golden State up after this, we believe that the home side gets caught "looking ahead." The outright is possible, but grab the points; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 46 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -108 | 72 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Chiefs/Broncos (AFC WEST TOY) Here is a great situational play on the total. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Chiefs pulled away for the awkward 19-8 victory as 10.5-point favorites. KC has won six straight, but it's also seen the total go "under" the number in six straight. And why is that important?! Because note that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Denver has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Denver comes in off a season-saving 19-17 win over Green Bay here last weekend and if it can somehow pull off an upset here, it'll still be in contention before heading into its bye week. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats does indeed make the "over" the correct call in this one and qualifies as our one and only 10* AFC WEST TOY! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
8* Steelers (BLOWOUT) Jacksonville is 5-2, but we think it'll get caught "looking past" its opponent today to some time off before a November 12th matchup vs. the 49ers. The Steelers are 4-2 after beating the Rams 24-17 on the road as 3.5-point dogs last week. So far no defense has really been up to the task of slowing down Trevor Lawrence, but we expect this tough Pittsburgh defensive unit to be upt to the task. While clearly the outright is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Patriots +9 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOW) New England salvaged its season last week with a huge 29-25 home win over Buffalo as an 8.5-point underdog and now New England can take another step towards relevance with another upset here on the road against another division rival. Miami lost 48-20 at Buffalo this year, and it lost 31-17 at Philadelphia last weekend. We feel these clubs are moving in opposite directions. MIami's defense needs to be questioned here and we simply feel this is a few too many points to be giving up to this improving and desperate Patriots team; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | UNLV v. Fresno State -8 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (MW GOM) UNLV is 6-1 and its riding a five-game win streak, but we expect it tohave its hands full here on the road. Overall the Rebels average 209.6 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 14th in the country. Fresno State is also 6-1, and 2-1 in league play. Last year Fresno State won this game on the road by a score of 37-30, but we're expecting an even bigger blowout here at home. Note in UNLV's six victories, one is against a non-FBS team and the other five were ALL against sub .500 teams. In other words, we absolutely believe that UNLV's numbers, on both sides of the ball are completely "skewed." Fresno State was outgained in its 37-32 win over Utah State last week, but it won the turnover battle 2-0. It also posted 461 yards of offense. They ranks 15th in the nation in passing yards per game. UNLV's pass defense ranks 123rd in the country. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions in our estimation; lay the points the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Rangers v. Canucks +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Canucks puckline (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT) All the pundits agreed that New York was once again going to do well this season, but not many would have predicted that Vancouver would be doing as well as it is here early on. Either way, these organizations are familiar with each other and the Canucks will be gunning for the outright victory. New York is 5-2. Vancouver is 5-2 as well. The Rangers are off three straight road wins and we think they get caught looking ahead to their final game in Winnipeg on Monday, before returning home for a game vs. Carolina. Vancouver is firing on all cylinders. It closed out its road trip with B2B outright wins as a dog, then hammered St. Louis here 5-0 last night. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Vancouver on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Colorado v. UCLA -17 | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 43 m | Show |
10* UCLA (PAC 12 GOY) Colorado is 4-3, while UCLA is 5-2. With a chance to become "eligible," while at the same time handing Coach Prime and the Buffs another loss, we're expecting UCLA to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, going on to ultimately easily cover this larger spread. If recent history is any precedence, then UCLA has to be loving its chances, as it's won the last two in this series, including a 45-17 blowout road victory last year. Colorado is coming off a bye after a hugely-disappointing 46-43 double-overtime loss to Stanford in Week 7. It was Colorado's third straight defeat, and it was a terrible one as they held a 29-0 lead at half time. They allowed 399 receiving yards to the Cardinal, and now face this high-octane Bruins' offense. UCLA most recently destroyed Stanford by a score of 42-7, outgaining the Cardinal 503-292. QB Ethan Garbers threw for 240 yards and two TDs' in his first start since Week 1. Overall the Bruins are scoring 31.3 PPG, but we're expecting them to run up the score here on this terrible and completely dejected Buffs' defensive unit; lay the points, the play is UCLA! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Knicks +3.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ULTIMATE CONTRARIAN) While most everyone goes one way, we're going to go the "other" on this one! The Knicks are now 1-1 SU/ATS after last night's 126-120 win at Atlanta as 1-point favs. If this were the end of the season, or even in the middle of the season, then obviously the second game of the "back-to-back" scenario would play a big factor in this contest, but because it's at the start of the season, it's absolutely not. New Orleans beat Memphis 111-104 on the road as a 1-point dog, but with Golden State coming to town next, this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side as well; a great early season situational contrarian play on New York! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Florida State v. Wake Forest OVER 51.5 | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
10* O/U ASSASSIN FSU/Wake OVER. We have an interesting matchup here with Florida State now 7-0 after its 38-20 home win over Duke last week it was a 13.5 point favorite in that one. It's a 20-point favorite here on the road in this one. The total blasted past the posted number of 49 in that one and this game at Wake Forest is a bit higher the over/under number but it's still not nearly high enough in our estimation. Clearly, the Seminoles are in the driver's seat moving forward, as they have very winnable matchups throughout the rest of their regular season. They should in fact be favored in every game they play in now moving forward. We say for sure that FSU can keep the offensive momentum rolling here against Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are 4-3. They're 12th in the ACC and they're off the 21-17 upset home win over Pittsburgh. They still have a shot at a bowl game and they obviously won't be rolling over here. Wake has now played to five straight "unders" in a row after its most recent win, but note that the Deacons have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. When you add together the situational factors and the above listed trend, everything points to this big ACC matchup at high noon on Saturday flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Brentford v. Chelsea -149 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -149 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
10* Chelsea (EPL GOW) No upsets here in our estimation, as we look for Chelsea to post the full three points here at home in regulation. Chelsea won't be taking anything for granted here after giving up a two-goal lead in 2-2 draw with Arsenal last weekend. But with the point claimed, they've now climbed into the Top 10. This becomes an almost "must win" game as well for the Blues, with Tottenham Hotspur, champions Manchester City, Newcastle United, Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester United all up next. Also note that Brentford has won the last two games here, so the Blues definitely also have revenge on their minds. The Bees are in the wrong place at the wrong time this weekend; lay the price, the play is Chelsea! AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings -145 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
10* Kings (PAC DIV GOM) The Warriors continue to get a lot of respect, both from the oddsmakers and the general betting public as well. They're both slow in recoginizing how good Sacramento and its young core of players really are, and the home-court advantage here will prove to be just too much for GS to overcome in our opinion. The Kings return home after a 130-114 beatdown of the Jazz on the road as two-point favs. The Warriors on the other hand didn't have Draymond Green playing in their 108-104 setback to the Suns. The bottom line here though is that this payback! The Warriors eliminted the Kings in seven games in the playoffs last year, highlighted by 50 points from Stephen Curry. But now it's going to be payback; so lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Blues +1.5 v. Canucks | 0-5 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
8* Blues puckline (DESTROYER) The Blues are 3-2-0-1, while the Canucks are 4-2. Vancouver destroyed the Oilers 8-1 at home on opening night, and it's since been on the road, now returning North of the border for the first time in five games. They went 3-2 on their road trip, including back-to-back upset victories at Florida and Nashville. Now finally back in Vancouver, we're fully expecting the Canucks to "lay an egg" here in their first game back. Also note, with the Rangers coming to town tomorrow night, this also sets up as a look ahead spot for the home side for sure. The Blues are off the confidence building 3-0 road win at Calgary and we think they catch the Canucks at the exact correct moment. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time or shootout, we're grabbing the visitors on the "puckline" option! AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Thunder v. Cavs UNDER 226.5 | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
8* UNDER OKC/Cleveland (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams come into their second game of the season off high-scoring victories in their first one. We're expecting a competitive game here, but one that ultimately stays "under" the number once it's all said and done. Cleveland fell apart down the stretch in Brooklyn and had to come from behind for the 114-113 win. After that "scare," we can expect the Cavs to be much more attentive on the defensive end for all four quarter here at homee. OKC pulled away for the 120-104 win over the Bulls on the road, the most impressive part was the Thunders' tight defensive play in our estimation. With their first game of the year at home on Thurday vs. the defending champs, can anyone say "look ahead" spot?! The last time these teams played against each other, they combined for 212 points, and we're expecting a similar final combined score this time around as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte OVER 42.5 | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER FAU/Charlotte (AAC TOW) We have a really low total here. A little TOO low now in our estimation. FAU is 3-4, while Charlotte is 2-5. FAU has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four, including it its most recent 36-10 home loss to UTSA. Charlotte on the other hand has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after its most recent 10-7 win at East Carolina as a six-point dog. Previous to that the 49ers loss 14-0 at home to Navy. FAU won this game by a score of 43-13 last year, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. FAU QB Daniel Richardson had 142 passing yards but made several mistakes in the loss to UTSA, but clearly catches a break here facing the 49ers. Charlotte hasn't been terrible defesively, but with each team desperate for a victory here and pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this O/U line finally being a bit TOO low; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Sabres v. Devils UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sabres/Devils (EAST-CONF TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to open the season, but we say those trends come to an end here in what we anticipate will be a very defensive and ultimately lower-scoring affair once it's all said and done. New Jersey isn 3-2-0-1 overall, while Buffalo is 3-4. The Devils have seen the total go "over" the number in every game they've played so far this season, including in their most recent 6-4 home loss to Washington as a -225 favorite. Note though that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 off an upset home loss as a -200 or greater favorite in its previous outing. Buffalo got back in the win column with a 6-4 road victory at Ottawa. If we simply looked at offensive and defensive numbers for these teams, then 90% of the public would just add it up and be on the "over" in this one, and that's what the bookmakers are now counting on. But the overall situation, combined with the trends tell the real story. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Suns v. Lakers -120 | Top | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
10* Lakers moneyline (WEST-CONF GOM) We like the Lakers to defend home court. The general betting public has been quick to back the Suns in this one, but we're going full on contrarian for this pick. LA is off the 119-107 road loss at Denver to open the year, while Phoenix managed an upset 108-104 win at Golden State as a 3-point dog. These teams played in their final preseason contest against each other, and the Suns scored the 123-100 victory. The Lakers dropped their final three pre-season games and their opener, but we're expecting "home floor" to finally be the difference-maker for AD and company. We really respect what KD and the Suns did to the Warriors in their opener, but with three straight at home after this, we think the visitors also get caught "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is LA to win the game. AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Rangers v. Oilers +117 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Oilers (NON-CONF GOW) The Oilers prove to be one of the most frustrating teams for its fan-base. Edmonton was supposed to take another big step forward this year after a decent campaign last season, but so far Edmonton is just 1-4-1. The Rangers come to town at 4-2. Edmonton is coming off three straight losses, which is significant to take note of, as the Oilers are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. After this Edmonton has the outdoor game at a neutral location with Calgary, so Edmontno will be looking to go into that Nationally televised event with some positive momentum, and we're expecting the team to risk life and limb here to pull off the upset here at home. Because the Oilers are in fact somehow a dog here at home in this matchup. NY is off B2B road wins and has two more on the West Coast at Vancouver and Winnipeg, before heading home. Either way, the Rangers are in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" tonight; in my opinion, this represents the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Bucs +9 v. Bills | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
10* Bucs (GOW) Tampa Bay is 3-3, while Buffalo is 4-3. Both teams come in off defeats. The Bucs fell 16-13 to the Falcons in a tight division battle, while Buffalo fell 29-25 at New England. Buffalo started the year posting some crazy defensive numbers, but the unit looked pretty terrible last week, and we believe that'll leave the door open for Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield, who has 1,363 yards passing, eight TD's and four INT's. His counterpart today Josh Allen has 1,841 passing yards and 15:7 TD/INT. With a much more high-profile game at Cincinnati next weekend, the Bills could very easily be caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent here today at home. We're expecting Mayfield to fight until the bitter end; grab the points, the play is Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Senators v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sens/Isles (EAST-CONF TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter defensive battle finally here on Long Island. Ottawa is 3-3 and so far it's seen the total go "over" the number in every game but one, which "pushed." The Islanders are 2-2-1, but they come in having lost three straight. Most recently it was a 7-4 home setback to the Avalanche. Note that NY has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more losses in a row. Note that all three games between these clubs went "under" the number last season, as they combined for just 14 goals over that span. Both teams were ranked well defensively last year and we think we'll see that play out in this contest tonight; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Syracuse v. Virginia Tech OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
10* Syracuse/VT OVER (ACC TOY) Some pundits may believe that this will be a very low-scoring defensive battle, but we sure don't! These are two hungry teams looking for an outright victory here and we're expecting this extreme-sense of competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play today. Syracuse Syracuse is 4-3, while Virginia Tech is 3-4. The Hokies though are 3-1 at home. The Orange come in having lost three straight games, both SU and ATS, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as VT has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. ALSO, the Orange come in having seen the total go "under" in six straight, and despite their last game staying well under the number in their 41-3 humbling loss at FSU, note that Syracuse has also seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. These teams haven't played since 2021, but in that contest they combined for a whopping 77 points in the Orange's 41-36 road victory as a 3.5-point dog. We're not expecting that many points this time around, but we're definitely once again expecting a similar high-octane offensive affair, one that blasts past the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-25-23 | UTEP v. Sam Houston State OVER 36 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER UTEP/Sam Houston State. These teams are bottom feeders and each has struggled to put points on the board in a consistent manner this season, but we definitely feel this O/U line is much too low in this one. Sam Houston State has nothing to play for here except pride as the Bearkats enter at 0-7 after a tough 33-27 OT home loss to FIU as 5-point favs last weekend. It was the best that Sam Houston has looked offensively and we fully expect that momentum to get carried over here. UTEP is 2-6 after a 28-7 loss to New Mexico State. The Miners have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's signficiant to note here as UTEP has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Here's a great "situational" total on Tuesday night; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-24-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Warriors | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show |
10* Suns (ROUT) Neither team was "itself" last year. Each has some new faces this season. Kevin Durant has had a full off-season now to acclimate himself in Phoenix and we don't foresee any chemistry issues for the visiting side out of the gates. The Warriors had a ton of chemistry issues last year, and that could again be the case this season, with the likes of veteran Chris Paul now in the mix. The Suns added Bradley Beal and we believe they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. Note as well that Draymond Green is listed as questionable for the home side, and without him playing at 100% capacity, the Warriors usually have a hard time beating the better teams in the league; grab the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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10-24-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Red Wings -132 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* RED WINGS (ASSASSIN) The oddsmakers, and mostly the public, continue to "sleep" on the Wings this year. Detroit is good this season so far, and Seattle has for sure taken a big step back. Seattle is 1-4-0-1 overall. Last year the Kraken were one of the best in the league on the road, but we're expecting them to come back down to Earth away from friendly confines this season. Detroit on the other hand is 5-1 overall, including 3-0 at home. With incredibly tough upcoming road games at Carolina, Florida and Tampa Bay, we expect Seattle to get caught "looking ahead." This pick is based upon the good ole "eye test," and it's based also on this great line for a hot home team. And when you add those factors together, the pendulum does indeed swing in favor here for Detroit! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings +7 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ULTIMATE ROUT) The 49ers are 5-1, and are off their first loss of the year in a shaky 19-17 setback at Cleveland. Now they're once again a huge road favorite, and once again they're facing a non-conference team that's completely desperate as the Vikes enter at 2-4. Minnesota though comes in on the opposite end of the spectrum to San Francisco though, entering off a solid 19-13 road win at Chicago as a 3-point favorite. It was a crucial divisional victory, and now the Vikes have a golden opportunity to continue to gain ground today. And with a home game vs. the Bengals next, we feel that the visitors could also get caught "looking ahead" here. Look for Kirk Cousins to do more than enough to keep his team competitive down the stretch; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ALCS TOW) Game 1 went "under" the number, but since then the last five games have all flown "over" the number. Note that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row, while Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in the same position. We have two great experienced starters going for each side, with Max Scherzer getting the call for the Ranges, and the home side countering with Christian Javier; everything points to Game 7 staying "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Canadiens PUCKLINE (PUNISHER) In a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extra periods or shootout, we're going to grab the hungry visiting side on the "runline" option. Montreal is 2-1-0-1, this year, while Bufflao is just 2-3. The Habs enter off a 3-2 OT win at home over Washington, and we're expecting a similar sort of highly-competitive contest here as well. The Sabres are off a 3-1 home win over the Islanders, but all signs point to these two teams battling until the bitter end on Monday night. While the outright win is possible,the official call is to grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Montreal on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ASSASSIN) This series has seen some high-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a "duel" here in this important Game 6. Texas won the first two games here, while Houston then responded with three straight wins in Texas. Now with their backs against the wall, Texas hands the ball to its best "in form" starter in Nate Eovaldi, who is so far 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in the playoffs. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez, who has uncharacteristically struggled so far in the postseason, going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP. But we're expecting Valdez to return to form here at home. He has the experience and pedigree to match pace with his counterpart and while we have indeed seen some higher-scoring affairs to open this series, everything now sets up from a number of different angles to finally be a lower-scoring "duel" here in Houston on Sunday in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Flames v. Red Wings +118 | 2-6 | Win | 118 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Wings (DESTROYER) Despite having played just last night, we like the surging Detroit Red Wings to take advantage of home ice and to find a way to come out on top over the visiting Flames. Calgary is 2-2-0-1, including only 1-2-0-1 on the road after falling 3-1 at Columbus in its previous outing. The Wings are off a 4-2 win at Ottawa and come in on a four-game win streak, outscoring the opposition by a score of 21-7 over that span. Detroit's hit a favorable part of its schedule now, with upcoming home games vs. Seattle (which has taken a major step back this year), and Winnipeg (which never travels well.) Can anyone say major win streak possible for sure for the Wings here?! After this Calgary is in New York to play a much more high-profile game vs. the Rangers, so the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is also there for the visiting side as well. If this were the end of the season, the B2B would be an issue, but it's not right now at all; great price, the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Packers v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
10* Broncos (NON-CONF GOW) Two struggling teams collide here on Sunday afternoon in Denver, but in our estimation, the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked here in this matchup as being a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. The Packers are off their bye week, and we don't think that the extra rest is going to help here at all. Green Bay is 2-3 SU, while Denver is just 1-5. The Broncos though have yet to even cover a spread, but that's going to change here finally in our opinion. Jordan Love has never been to Mile High, and we think he'll struggle in this difficult venue. It's been a complete disaster for Sean Payton and Russell Wilson once again this year, but we can expect the veteran pivot to get the better of his younger counterpart, who has been one of the worst in the NFL in terms of completion percentage. As mentioned off the top, the outright is clearly possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots +8 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOM) The Patriots are 1-5 SU and 0-3 SU/ATS at home, but we believe those streaks of futility will come to an end here this weekend. At least the ATS streaks, as we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset. That said, it's not entirely out of the question but in a contest that we seeing a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Bills are clearly the better team here, but they've hardly been playing well at all of late, going just 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS the last two. They struggled to put away the Giants 14-9 at home last week. Now they face a division rival that's looking for any spark of positivity it can find. With a quick turn around and a game at home vs. Tampa Bay on Thursday night, not only does this set up as a letdown spot, but also a "look ahead" position for the visiting side; no outright, but closer than expected, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
10* Falcons (NFC SOUTH GOM) While we absolutely believe the outright win is very possible, in the end we're recommending to grab as many points as you can in this important early divisional contest between two hungry teams. Atlanta is 3-3 and Tampa is 3-2. The Bucs have been hit or miss this year. Last week they fell 20-6 at home to Detroit. With a short week and a game at Buffalo on Thursday night, will Tampa get caught "looking ahead" here as well? It's very possible in our estimation. Same story for the Falcons with consistency this year, but after five straight ATS losses in a row after last week's 24-16 loss at home to Washington, we're finally expecting that streak to come to an end here (as note, the Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS setbacks in a row!) As stated off the top, the outright is possible, but the official is to roll with the points; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Jets v. Oilers -165 | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
8* Oilers (BLOWOUT) It's safe to say that at 1-3, the Oilers season has not started the way the team envisioned it would. The same though can be said for the 1-3 Jets. Two struggling teams that are both super motivated to "get off the schneid" collide here, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home-ice advantage will play in this one. The Jets have a 4.75 GAA through four games. The Oilers so far have a 4.25 GAA. Edmonton though is still 5 for 15 with the man advantage, which is third in the NHL. Look for the Oilers to dig deep here and deliver in front of the home town crowd; lay the price, the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NLCS GOY) If you're watching this game, then you know the story lines of each team to this point, as well as the cast of characters on each side. Zach Wheeler has been better than Zach Gallen so far in the post-season, but honetly it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these starters to come out on top in this pressure packed situation. Gallen definitely benefits from throwing at home. Wheeler has experience, but we say this starting pitching matchup (for all intents and purposes), is a "wash." Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in the playoffs and it's one that we've found that the oddsmakers have a hard time in properly quantifying into a line at times. Arizona has definitely wrestled back the momentum in this series after going down 0-2 in Philadelphia to start and to get an extra 1.5 runs of insurance at this price is just too good to to turn down in the end; so that's the play, Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Coastal Carolina v. Arkansas State +10.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOY) We think this contest will be much more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in this Sun Belt Conference matchup on Saturday night and while we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming "right down to the wire." Coastal Carolina is a big road favorite here at 3-3, but it's just 1-2 SU on the road. Arkansas State is 3-3 as well, which includes going 2-1 SU/ATS at home. CC is off a 27-24 win at Appalachian State with a walk-off FG win and now here the Chanticleers are big favs on the road. Overall they average 30.2 PPG, while allowing 23.7. Arkansas State is off a 37-3 loss to Troy. Overall the Red Wolves average 22.2 PPG, while allowing 36.5. But those numbers are skewed because of the blowout. Strength of schedule has to be called into question for both sides heading into this one; no outright, but MUCH closer than expected so grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV UNDER 62.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER CSU/UNLV (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. Colorado State has seen the total go "over" in two straight afer its most recent 31-30 home upset of Boise State as a 7.5-point dog. Note though that CSU has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS home win as an underdog. UNLV has covered in all six games and is 5-1 SU overall. The Runnin Rebels have seen the total go "over" the number in four sraight after a 45-27 win at Nevada last time out, but note that the Rebels have still seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV's only loss was a 35-7 setback to Michigan. The Rebels can become bowl eligibile with a win here. We don't see UNLV's defense giving the Rams' any hope and believe they home side will just look to control this one without sustaining significant injuries. In our opinion, all of this will add up to a lower-scoring defensive battle in the end; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Buffalo v. Kent State +7 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 2 m | Show |
10* Kent State (MAC GOM) Buffalo is 2-5 and Kent State is 1-6. Buffalo is 1-2 SU on the road this year, but 3-0 ATS. The Golden Flashes are only 1-1 ATS at home, but we're expecting the home side to give the visitors everything they can handle in this one. The Bulls are off a 24-14 loss to Bowling Green, while the FLashes are off a 28-14 setback to EMU. Buffalo is led by Cole Snynder, who has 1,337 passing yards and an 11:6 TD:INT. Michael Alaimo has 881 passing yards and a 2:4 TD:INT for the Flashes. Kent State's offense revolves primarily around the run, keep your eyes on Gavin Garcia and Jaylen Thomas. Kent State's offensive numbers have been terrible, but we just can't give the putrid Bulls any credit here in this matchup as such a big favorite on the road. This one is more evenly matched in our estimation and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is indeed on Kent State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Arsenal v. Chelsea +0.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show |
10* Chelsea on the spread option (EPL GOW) In an important clash at Stamford Bridge this Saturday, we're expecting a very competitive battle. Arsenal is 6-0, while Chelsea is 3-3. Chelsea is 11th place in the EPL and it returns from the international break having posted B2B victories, including allowing just one goal in doing so and by hammering Burnley 4-1 in its last outing. Now back home and refreshed, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. The Gunners are off a tight 1-0 win over Manchester City and we believe they're now finally primed for a letdown here. For all the situational reasons listed above, we're on Chelsea on the spread-option! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Rutgers v. Indiana +5.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 37 m | Show |
10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOW) While we're not ruling out an outright victory, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can here with Indiana. The Scarlet Knights are just one win away from eligibility, but they're going to have their hands full here with the 2-4 Hoosiers in our estimation. Indiana is 2-1 SU and ATS at home and definitely plays a lot "better" in front of the home town crowd. The Scarlet Knights have been ATS covering machines so far this season, but now the public is overwhelmingly on Rutgers this weekend, and our contrarian ways definitely will "kick in" here and have us loving our play on the home side even more. Rutgers just doesn't blow teams away, it averges only 23.7 PPG, while being suffocating defensively so far in allowing only 18.2. Indiana is averaging 14 PPG, while allowing 33.4. After back-to-back blowout road losses, Indiana mercifully returns home to play a much more manageable opponent. At 2-4, the odds are against the Hoosiers of making a bowl berth, but clearly they aren't throwing in the towel at this point. And of all the games remaining, this home contest vs. Rutger is likely the most "winnable" of them all. As mentioned off the top, we feel the outright is obviously possible, but grab the points, because the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | Devils v. Islanders +107 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
10* Islanders (METROPOLITAN GOM) The Devils are 1-1-0-1 after three games, while the Islanders are 2-0. Home ice has so far been a big advantage for New York, and we're banking on that being the case again here today as well. Both teams have a lot of depth and talent, but New York is rested and once again undervalued here overall in our opinion. The Devils were a great team last year and they appear to have a lot of depth, but so far early on that chemistry is just not quite there yet; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | SMU v. Temple +21 | Top | 55-0 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Temple (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! We're not calling for that or anything, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to grab the points. SMU is off B2B wins, including a 31-10 victory at ECU last weekend as a big favorite, covering the 12-point spread. Now they're once again a heavy favorite on the road, but we think this spread is now just a bit too large. Temple is off a 45-14 loss at North Texas. SMU QB Preston Stone had 250 yards and three TD's in his last game, but the run game sputtered with just 58 yards. Temple is averaging 270 yards passing and 112 yards rushing per contest. The Owls will be sticking around late here and we're fully expecting the back door to be left wide open down the stretch. SMU is the better team here, but this spread is now too large in our estimation; the play is Temple! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ALCS TOY) The last three games in this series have flown "over" the number, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, and Texas has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten in the same position (also in five of its last seven in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Honestly it would not be very difficult to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game either, but these strong O/U trends do definitely tip the scales in favor of the men on the mound in this ALCS matchup. The Astros go with Justin Verlander (1-1, 1.42 ERA), while the home side counters with Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 2.08.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -115 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 52 h 12 m | Show |
10* Saints moneyline (NON-CONF. GOW) The Jaguars are now 4-2 after winning their third straight in last week's 37-20 win at Indianapolis on Sunday. The Saints come in as the more motivated side here though after getting tripped up by Houston 20-13 last weekend. The Jags swept the Colts in the season series, but note that Jacksonville is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more straight SU victories in a row. New Orleans' offense has been a work in progress all season, but Derek Carr is handling the pressure well and we expect him to move the ball here at home and the fact that this is a short week benefits the Saints as well. New Orleans defense has been great, and was the bright spot even in defeat last weekend. Look for Carr to finally have that break out game and for the Saints to indeed find a way to get the job done once it's all said and done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Jets (WEST-CONF TOM) Las Vegas is 4-0, and it's seen the total go "under" in all four games. Winnipeg is 1-2, and after its first two games went "over" the number, it's coming off its first "under" of the season in a 5-1 setback here to the Kings two nights ago. Note though that the Jets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off an upset home loss. Additionally note that the Knights have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last seven still after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We absolutely respect Adin Hill and Connor Hellebuyck, but the overall situation finally points to a wide-open "goal-fest" in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Flames v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
8* OVER Flames/Sabres (GOAL-FEST) Both teams have gotten out to slow starts, and each will be hungry to kick start its offense into high-gear because of it. We like betting on highly-motivated teams when we're betting on "overs." Calgary is 1-1-0-1 after a 3-2 shootout loss in the Nation's capital three nights ago, while Buffalo is 1-2 after a 3-2 OT win over the Lighting here two nights ago. All three games of Buffalo's have gone "under" to open the year, but note that the Sabres have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. These two teams were expected to be among the best offensive clubs in the league and while each has gotten out to a slow start offensively to begin the season, all signs finally point to a wide-open shootout in this non-conference affair in our opinion; this total flys "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Rice v. Tulsa UNDER 59 | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rice/Tulsa (ACC TOY) It's a big game, as each team comes into this one at 3-3 overall and 1-1 in league play. We're expecting a very competitive (as are the bookmakers with a spread like this!), and because of that, we're going to focus on the total and we're definitely expecting more of a defensive affair than what this larger O/U line is suggesting. The Owls are 4-2 ATS and they've seen the total go "over" the number in four of six this season. QB JT Daniels has 1,831 passing yards, 15 TDs and five INTs. The Owls have struggled defensively, but we anticipate this game to be won in the trenches and by field position this time around. Tulsa brought in all new coaching staff this year and so far so good. Tulsa has gotten the job done with tough defensive play and by running the all, as four of six games have gone "under" the number. If this one was at Rice, we'd likely be leaning to a higher-scoring game, but as it is, all signs in our opinion point to this one being a defensive battle until the end; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/D-Backs (TOP TOTAL) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in our opinion now that the venue has shifted. The D-Backs essentially have their backs against the wall here being down 2-0. Ranger Suarez (1-0, 1.04 ERA, 0.58 WHIP) gets the call for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 3.86, 1.43.) It's interesting to note as well that Arizona has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The overall situation here finally points to a more of a defensive "duel" in the NLCS; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ASSASSIN) Texas has the 2-0 series lead and is on the proverbial driver's seat in this series now back at home for three straight. One game went "over" and one game went "under." But now here in Game 3, we think this number is a bit TOO high, so we're going to recommend a play on the "under." And for us, it all comes down to the starting pitchers, who we're expecting will battle deep into this one. Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA) makes his first start for Texas since Spetember 12th after injuring himself. He's thrown a bullpen session and has been given the green light. Overall Scherzer is 5-2 with a 3.84 ERA in ten career regular-season starts vs. Houston. He's also 7-7 with 3.58 ERA in 27 career playoff appearances. The Rangers bullpen has been elite throughout the playoffs as well. He'll be opposed by the red hot Cristian Javier (1-0, 0.00) who hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. He's also 5-1 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rangers. All signs point to a classic "duel" here in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Penguins v. Red Wings +108 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 108 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* Wings (BEST OF BEST) Great value here on Detroit as a slight home dog. Both teams are 2-1, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home ice advantage will be in this one. These teams went 1-1-1 last year in the regular season. They played twice in the preseason and the Wings won both games. Pittsburgh is off a 5-2 win over Calgary at home despite getting outshot 36-29. That type of performance won't get the job done on the road here. Detroit comes in off a convincing 4-0 win over Columbus. The Wings are built to beat teams like this and the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how far that Detroit has come already this season. We say that home ice is a big factor in the final outcome of this one; the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Florida International v. Sam Houston State OVER 41 | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER FIU/Sam Houston State. Time is running out for 3-4 Florida International to become "eligible," but here's a great opportunity to move one step closer to that possibility. Sam Houston State enters 0-6, just looking for something positive and to finally "get off the schneid." Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency this year and each has been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but those facts have only helped in driving this particular total now a few points lower than it normally would/should be. We have to very motivated sides, and we're expecting that sense of competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play on Wednesday night. The Panthers average 28 PPG in their victories so far. The Bearkats have nothing to lose here, except another game. They have just nine offensive TD's this season, but here's a greart opponend for QB Keegan Shoemaker to finally have a break out performance against. Last week he was 32 of 48 for 278 yards and two TD's in the lost to New Mexico State. In our opinion, everything point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (ASSASSIN) We had a play on Arizona on the runline yesterday and where that play came up short, we're expecting this Game 2 contest to now deliver the goods in "rocking chair" fashion. We won't rule out an outright victory here obviously either, but at this decent mid-sized price, getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance is just too good to turn down in our opinion. The D-Backs go with Merrill Kelly (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.79 WHIP), while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (2-0, 1.42, 0.87.) Very evenly matched teams and clubs and in a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extras, we're indeed laying the price for Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* WKU (CONF. USA GOW) WKU is coming off a 35-28 win over Louisana Tech, while Jacksonville State enters off a 31-13 home loss to Liberty. Hilltoppers' QB Austin Reed and WR Malachi Corley are a force to be reckoned with offensively for WKU and I think they'll keep their team competitive late in this one. Jacksonville State likes to run the ball, but the Hilltoppers have been decent defensively this year in stopping the run, especially in the red-zone. The Gamecocks are led by Malik Jackson offensively, he already has 578 rushing yards. Jacksonville State has also been dominant defensively, but there are a few injury issues on offense this week, with both QB's Zion Webb and Logan Smothers listed as questionable. WKU also has a 100% redzone efficiency rate this season. Look for the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is WKU! AAA Sports |