8* Mariners runline (SPECIAL)

After three straight losses, including a humbling 15-4 beatdown in the opener of this series here last night, we like the Mariners to dig deep and find a way to deliver. That said, in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Note that Seattle is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Tyler Glasnow is 2-1 with a 4.45 ERA for the Rays, but we still give the battle-tested George Kirby the nod in this one, sitting at 6-7 with a 3.26 ERA. Lay the price and grab Seattle on the runline option!

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10* Alouettes (NON-CONF GOY)

Winnipeg is 2-1, but it's coming off a poor 30-6 beatdown loss as a six-point favorite at home to BC and we believe it'll stumble again here on the road. Montreal is no push over, it enters at 2-0 after destroying Hamilton 38-12 last weekend. In all, Montreal has allowed just 24 points over two games, its defense is second only to the Lions. We actually feel that this Montreal defense is very comparable to BC's and the Lions have given the Als the "blue-print" on how to counter this dynamic Bombers' offense. While the outright win is in fact possible in our estimation, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Montreal!

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10* OVER Red Sox/Jays (ASSASSIN)

Although both teams have been playing to lower-scoring affairs of late, we look for this Saturday afternoon total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Toronto has seen the total go "under" in four straight now after yesterday's 5-0 series opening loss here. Note though that the Jays have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a shutout home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Boston has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Kutter Crawford is 2-4 with a 4.01 ERA for the Red Sox, while Yusei Kikuchi is 7-2 with a 3.75 ERA for the Jays. Decent starters, but this is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time," because the overall situation, combined with the above listed trends all point to this one being an offensive slug-fest; the play is the "over!" 

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10* Rays (BLOOD-BATH)

The Rays are 56-28, including 22-18 on the road, while Seattle is 38-41 this year, including 22-19 at home. Tampa just took two of three at Arizona, cooling off a red hot Arizona side, and at this price, we absolutely think the surging Rays are worth the price of admission. Bryce Miller is a bright spot for the Mariners, who just lost two of three here at home to lowly Washington this week, as he's 5-3 with a 3.88 ERA. But Shane McClanahan has been a step above, entering at 11-1 with a 2.23 ERA. It's going to be a super hot sunny night in the PNW and we like the Rays to take advantage. Lay the price.

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10* D-Backs runline (BOB)

In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Two teams in different leagues, but each has had a similar trajectory to this point. Each just went 1-2 in their respective series this week. These starters are pretty evenly matched, as Arizona turns to Tommy Henry, who is 4-1 with a 4.31 ERA, while the home side counters with Griffin Canning, who is 6-2 with a 3.99 ERA. Good value here, lay the price and grab the visitors on the runline.

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8* Detroit (BLOWOUT)

Both teams have struggled this year, but Detroit is playing better right now. The Tigers are 35-45, while the Rockies are 32-51. Detroit just went 2-2 in Texas, while Colorado went 1-2 here at home vs. the Dodgers. But this is a starting pitching matchup that favors Detroit, and that's going to be enough to tip the scales in the Tigers' favor, as despite his 2-5 win/loss record, Michael Lorenzen owns a highly respectable 3.97 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Alex Gomber is terrible, he's 5-7 with a 7.01 ERA for the Rockies. Great value here on Detroit.

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10* Sparks (U OF THE U)

Revenge. It's a powerful motivating factor that teams, and handicappers both utilize. It's 100% the basis behind this play. LA had won two straight before falling 80-63 here two nights ago as a 2.5-point underdog. Note though that the Sparks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points, the play is indeed on LA.

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10* Red Sox (ASSASSIN)

This is a big mid-season AL East series. These teams are lagging behind the Rays, but anything is possible at this point of the season. We see this game being decided late, or even in extras, therefore we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Red Sox have lost five straight now, but note that they're 8-3 in their last 11 after five or more straight losses in a row. These starters are evenly matched, as James Paxton (3-1, 3.19 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while the home side counters with Jose Berrios (8-5, 3.60.) Everything points to a tight battle, the play is Boston on the runline option.

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10* Lynx (BLOOD-BATH)

Are we missing something here? Minnesota may be 5-9, but it comes in off a 104-93 win here as a four-point favorite just two nights ago. Now the Lynx are getting points in the re-match. Seattle is just 4-10 overall this year. This is just a bad matchup for the Storm and while the outright is obviously possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Minnesota!

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10* OVER Brewers/Mets (ASSASSIN)

The Brewers have played to three straight "unders" after yesterday's 5-2 win. This is the fourth game of a four-game series between the clubs and the Brewers are 2-1 so far. Note that the Mets though have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Mets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row as well. Two decent starters, but this is just a case of Adrian Houser (2-2, 4.02 ERA) and Max Scherzer (7-2, 3.95) being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." The overall situation points to this total sailing "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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8* Padres (BLOWOUT)

We're going to lay the price with confidence here as we like Joe Musgrove to get his team back into the winner's circle after four straight losses, including the first 2 in this series (note though that the Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses as a favorite vs. an opponent.) Pittsburgh is hit or miss this year. It went on a big run, but it's still five games under .500. Musgrove is 6-2 with a 3.88 ERA for the Padres, while Luis Ortiz is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA for the Pirates. We give the sliight nod to Musgrove in this matchup, and combined with the situational factors, and the above ATS trends, we're laying the price and expecting a decisive victory; the play is San Diego!

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10* Orioles (ASSASSIN)

We had a play on Baltimore yesterday and it unfortunatley came up short. We also played the Orioles in the opener of this three-game series. And now here we are back on them once again in the finale, for sure laying this price in what we feel is a mismatch on the mound for these starting pitchers. Luke Weaver (1-2, 6.86 ERA) is "hot garbage" for the Reds, while Kyle Gibson (8-5, 4.30) has been consistent for Baltimore. This line could/should in fact be much larger in our estimation; the play is Baltimore!

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10* Dream (BOB)

Outright win? Possibly, but in the opener of this home-and-home set, we're grabbing the points and expecting an all-out war until the end. ATL has lost two straight, both SU and ATS. Washington may have covered in four straight, but it's three-game win streak was snapped last time out in a heart-breaking 89-88 OT loss at New York. We say this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot here now. While the outright win isn't 100% entirely out of the question, everything points to this one coming "right down to the wire." Grab the point,s the play is Atlanta!

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8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT On the Twins RUNLINE.

We feel this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Twins to bounce back in the finale of this three-game series with, at the very least, a solid ATS cover on the runline option. Note that Minnesota is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Despite being 1-4 with a 6.86 ERA, we still Kenta Maeda the nod over his  counterpart Kolby Allard, who makes his season debut here tonight. Maeda actually returned from a two-month injury last Friday and looked dominant, going five scoreless vs. the Tigers (8 K's.) In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're grabbing the hungry visiting side on the runline option!

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10* OVER White Sox/Angels (TOTAL BOB)

Both sides have been playing to some lower-scoring affairs of late, but all signs point to this total finally eclipsing the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Angels are just 2-4 in their last six, but they managed the 2-1 win here last night in the opener of this series. They've seen the total go "under" in two straight. Chicago is just 2-3 in its last five after yesterday's setback. The White Sox have seen the total go "under" in two straight. LA hands the ball to ace Shoehei Ohtani, who is 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA, while the visitors counter with Michael Kopech, who is 3-6 with a 4.06 ERA. This is a case of these guys being in the wrong place at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Storm/Lynx (TOW)

Everything points to a shootout here in Minnesota on Tuesday in my opinion. Seattle snapped a two-game slide with an impressive 97-74 win over Phoenix last time and there's no reason not to believe the team can't keep that momentum rolling here. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" in four straight, and it's off an 89-68 loss to Connecticut last time out. Note though that Minnesota has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Seattle is 4-9, while Minnesota is 4-9 as well. These are two teams in dire need of a victory and we're expecting a faster-paced affair here. All in all, this O/U line is too low; the play is the "over!" 

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8* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Orioles.

We had a play on the Orioles yesterday, and we feel they once again offer terrific value here at home to keep the good times rolling. After an incredible win streak, the Reds have now lost three straight. The slide continues here in Baltimore vs. Tyler Wells, who is 6-3 with a 3.22 ERA. The visitors counter with Andrew Abbot, who is an unrealistic 3-0 with 1.14 ERA for the Reds. These sparkling numbers are not sustainable any longer in our opinion and regression is imminent. Take Wells here at this price to deliver another solid performance; the play is Baltimore!

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10* Orioles (NON-CONF GOW)

The Reds' big surge is now over after back-to-back 7-6 loss at home to Atlanta over the weekend. We say Cincinnati's spiral back down into mediocrity continues here this weekend in this difficult road matchup. Baltimore took two of three from the Mariners here over the weekend and we can expect that momentum to get carried over. Brandon Williamson is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA for the Reds, while Cole Irvin is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA for the Orioles. For arguments sake, let's classify these starters as a "wash." At this price here at home, we'll back Irvin to get the better of his younger counterpart though; lay the price, the play is Baltimore!

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10* Edmonton (BEST OF BEST)

With a whopping 70% of the public money and wagers on Toronto, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with the home side. Toronto was a home dog to Hamilton in its season opener last weekend, but the Argos cruised to the 32-14 outright win. However, now hitting the road to face this desperate Elks side, I believe the visitors will have their hands full in this one. CHad Kelly looked decent at home for the Argos, but we still ahve to see how he'll do on the road. Off a 22-0 loss at BC (which doesn't look nearly as terrible now after the Lions crushed Winnipeg 30-6 on the road here in Week 3), we're expecting the home side to come out fired up here and to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire; no outright upset, but grab the points because the play is the Elks!

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10* UNDER D-Backs/Giants (ASSASSIN)

The first two games of this series flew "over" the number, but we're anticipating a much lower-scoring affair here on Saturday afternoon finally. Ryne Nelson is 3-4 with a 5.31 ERA for Arizona, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Anthony DeSclfani is 4-6 with a 4.38 ERA for the Giants and we're expecting these battle-tested starters to duel deep into the latter frames; as a result, the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* Chicago (CRUSHER)

With nearly 85% of the money and wagers on Connecticut, we're going to "go the other way" here and take Chicago to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Sky are 0-5 SU in their last five, and 0-3 ATS in their last three. That's significant to note here though as Chicago is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more ATS losses in a row. Connecticut is 11-3 SU, No. 1 in the Eastern Conference. It's coming off a 3-0 road trip, but with New York coming to town on Monday (No. 2 in the East), this sets up as a classic "let-down/look-ahead" spot for the Sun; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Chicago!

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10* Portland (MLS NON-CONF GOY)

We like Portland to dig deep here and deliver at home. NYCFC is just 4-7, most recently drawing with Atlanta 2-2. That's NYCFC's fourth straight draw in MLS action. With a week off before a game at Montreal, we finally expect the Boys in Blue to have a letdown here. Portland is 5-8 after losing to Chicago as a -125 favorite earlier in the week, but note that the Timbers are 3-1 in their last four after a home loss as a favorite in the -105 to -135 range. Look for Portland to dig deep here and deliver in this favorable spot; the play is the Timbers!

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10* AL CENTRAL GOY on the Twins.

This division is wide-open at this point of the season. No awards in MLB are handed out in June. Minnesota enters the weekend at .500 (38-38), followed by Cleveland at 36-38, then Detroit at 32-41, and then followed by the White Sox at 32-44. The good news for any of these four teams, is that they're in such a weak division right now, and that any of them that can put together a win streak and show some consistency has a real opportunity of coming out on top. That said, the Twins are still in the drivers' seat, and despite being on the road here, and no matter what the result is on Friday (releasing this pick before the Friday game goes off), we absolutely think this starting pitching matchup favors the visitors SO much, that it's now garnered a title of this magnitude. Detroit goes with Reese Olson, who is 0-2 with a 5.59 ERA. Clearly, the sample size is really small and it's difficult to draw any conclusions on Olson one way or the other, but it's still significant to note that while he's 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA on the road, he's 0-1 with an 8.90 ERA at home. So Pablo Lopez has the definite advantage here for Minnesota, as he's 3-4 with a 4.40 ERA and a 110:26 K/W ratio. Also note that while he's 2-2 with a 5.94 ERA at home this year, Lopez is 1-2 with a 2.72 ERA on the road this season. The stars and the planets have aligned and for Minnesota here on Saturday and because of that, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; the play is indeed on Minnesota!

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10* OVER Riders/Stamps (WEST-CONF TOM)

We like the way this one sets up to be more of a higher-scoring shootout. Both of these Western Conference opponents are 1-1, and we're definitely expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair, rather than a slower-paced defensive one. Last week the Riders lost 45-27 at home to Winnipeg, and now Saskatchewan has to deal with another difficult offense here on the road. Both of Calgary's games have gone "under" the number, but after scoring 26 points on the road at Ottawa last week, we're expecting this offense to at least match that output here in Week 3. Both teams' QB's had huge performances last week, and all signs point to even more progression here in Week 3; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Wings/Sparks (TOTAL BOB)

Both teams have been playing several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a wide-open "shootout" here finally on Friday night on the West coast. Dallas has seen the total go "under" in two of its last three, includin gin its most recent 85-73 home win over Atlanta. Previous to that it fell 109-103 to Seattle as an 8.5-point favorite. These teams play again here in two nights, and because of that, we're expecting a faster than expected pace here in the first contest. ALso not, LA is desperate to break a string of poor play which has seen it lose three straight both SU and ATS (that's significant to note though as the Sparks have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last seven after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) Both teams push the pace and that than sends this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Hamilton moneyline (EAST-CONF GOW)

The Ticats are 0-2 SU/ATS to open the season, but a little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered for the Hamilton Ti-Cats in Week 3. Montreal held on for a 19-12 win over Ottawa as a two-point favorite. Hamilton though just faced two of the best in the league, falling 42-31 at Winnipeg, which is the No. 1 projected, and then falling 32-14 last week at Toronto, the defending Grey Cup champ. Now back at home and with an extra game under its belt, we look for Hamilton to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover!

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10* UNDER Royals/Rays.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end here tonight. Tampa comes in off the 6-5 loss last night as a -304 favorite. Note that the Rays have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. That's now four straight "overs" that TB has played to as well. KC has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. We have two battle-tested veterans going head-to-head in this starting pitching matchup and we're expecting each to battle deep. Despite his 1-7 record, Royals' starter Zach Greinke owns a more respectable 4.61 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. He'll be opposed by Zach Eflin, who is 8-3 with a 3.26 ERA and l.00 WHIP for the Rays. All signs point to runs being at a premium in this one; the play is the "under!" 

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10* WEST-CONF GOW on the Lions.

Vernon Adams Jr. has looked sharp under center for the Lions, as he so far has 600 passing yards, 46 rushing yards and four TD's. RB Taquan Mizzell is averaging 5.8 YPC. Zach Collaros has 647 passing yards for the Bombers, along with five TD's. These QB's are evenly matched, but BC's defense is probably slightly better in the early going. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is BC!

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10* Chicago Sky (CREME DE LA CREME)

"Revenge" is a powerful motivating factor, and it's the primary reason that we like this play on Chicago. The Sky have now lost four straight, including a 77-69 setback at Washington as a 4.5-point underdog last time out. Note though that the Sky are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. A great situational spot bet; the play is Chicago!

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10* OVER Mariners/Yanks (AL NON-DIV TOY)

Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Seattle's lost three straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. Note though that the M's have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. New York snapped a four-game slide with two straight wins to open this series, but the Yanks have now seen the total go "under" in four straight. We're not fans of either starting pitcher today. The Mariners turn to Bryan Woo (0-1, 7.30 ERA) out of necessity, while the home side counters with the pedestrian Domingo German (4-4, 4.30.) The overall situation, combined with the above O/U stats makes the "over" the correct call finally in this one!

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10* FC Cincinnati (GOW)

We base our selections on many different things. We play underdogs, totals, and we're never afraid to lay chalk, especially when our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's the case here. The bottom line for this one is that Toronto is still figuring out how to win tight matches, something that FC Cincinnati has perfected, and the overall depth and form of the Orange and Blue should enable them to maintain their perfect record on home soil; lay the price, the play is FC Cincinnati!

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10* UNDER D-Backs/Brewers (ASSASSIN)

Considering the quality of these starting pitchers and the red hot form in which both have started off this season, we're going with the "under" in this one. Arizona goes with Zac Gallen and he's 8-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.13 WHIP (so far he has a massive 100 to 19 strikeout to walk ratio.) And then for the Brewers you have the rejuvenated Julio Teheran, who is 2-2 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Milwaukee is struggling for wins right now and the play of Teheran has obviously been a huge bonus for the Brewers. Milwaukee's strength this year so far is its pitching with a collective 4.10 ERA (that's ranked 14th.) The Brewers only average 4.03 runs per game this year (which is 26h.) Arizona averages 5.18 runs per game (which ranks fifth), but I still think it'll have a difficult time plating too many runs here on Wednesday vs. the red hot Julio Terhan. It's going to be a classic 'PITCHERS DUEL' on Wednesday night between these two super competent and in form starters; the play is the "under!" 

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8* UNDER Orioles/Rays (SUPER TOTAL)

This is a really interesting series, as both teams are among the best in the American League and they're both from the same division. They say that divisional matchups are always the most important and that they almost always mean more to the home side. But we're going to steer clear of the side on this one and instead focus on the total. looking at these starting pitchers and we definitely think that runs are going to be at a premium in this game on Wednesday night. Baltimore goes with Tyler Wells who is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA (he has an 82 to 16 strikeout to walk ratio), while the home side goes with Taj Bradley, who is 4-3 with a 4.19 ERA (and 63 to 15 strikeout to walk ratio.) Recent form always plays a big part in our handicapping and these two guys come in on top form. Expect them each to battle deep, and because of that, the play is the UNDER.

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10* UNDER Padres/Giants (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end here this evening. San Fran has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in six straight. Despite yesterday's 7-4 extra-innings win, note that the Giants have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. SD has seen it go "over" in two straight now, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We have two battle-tested starters going head-to-head here and we're expecting a classic "duel" tonight: Seth Lugo is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA for the Padres, while Anthony DeSclafani is 4-6 with a 4.31 ERA for the Giants. The situation, combined with the above O/U ATS stats makes the "under" the correct call in this one!

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10* Astros (BOB)

We like the Astros to snap their current five-game slide against their former teammate Justin Verlander tonight. Verlander 2-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.22 WHIP for the Mets, while his counterpart Framber Valdez is 6-5 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.03 WHIP for the Astros. Houston has lost five straight, which is significant to note as well, as the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten after five or more straight losses in a row. We're taking the Astros to finally bounce-back here after last night's humbling 11-1 loss; the play is Houston!

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10* Wings (NON-CONF GOW)

Here's a great situational play. Dallas has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's significant to note here as the Wings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. These teams played here to kick off the season, and Dallas won 85-78 as a two-point favorite back on May 20th. ATL has won three straight, both SU/ATS, which is also important to take note of, as the Dream are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. New York up next, we expect the visitors to finally have a letdown here and get caught "looking ahead" as well; lay the points the play is Dallas!

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10* Twins (AL GOW)

We think the Red Sox have a classic "letdown" here after four straight victories, including three straight at home over the Yankees this weekend. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! The Twins come in disgusted with their performance over the weekend, losing three of four to the Tigers here at home. For argument's sake, we're going to classify these starting pitchers as a "wash," as James Paxton is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA for the Red Sox, while Pablo Lopez is 3-3 with a 4.27 ERA for the Twins. Boston is just 16-17 at home, while Minnesota is 21-17 at home. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Minnesota!

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10* Hamilton (EAST-CONF GOM)

The Argos are the defending Grey Cup Champs, yet they're the underdog at home here in their first game of the season?! With nearly 80% of the public money on the Argos, we're going the other way here and grabbing Hamilton. Yes, the Ti-Cats lost 42-31 at Winnipeg in Week 1, but the Blue Bombers are once again projected to be the best team in the league stat wise, and certainly offensively. The Argos have the fourth best shot at winning the Grey Cup in the early odds. But Toronto is a big step down in competition with the high turnover in the offseason. Look for the high-flying Ti-Cats to surprise the defending Champs on their own field; lay the price with confidence, the play is Hamilton on the moneyline!

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10* UNDER Giants/Dodgers.

Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to finally end here. San Fran has won six straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in four straight. Note though that the Dodgers have seen the the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. The Dodgers fell 15-0 yesterday, which is also signficant to note here, as LA has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge a loss of ten or more runs vs. an opponent. Logan Webb is 5-6 with a 3.15 ERA for the Giants, while Tony Gonsolin is 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA for the Dodgers. Expect them to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay well "under" once it's all said and done!

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10* Padres (ASSASSIN)

The Rays are a great team, but we think they get caught "looking ahead" here to a day off, followed by a long stretch at home. The Padres are looking to make up ground and to win this series off yesterday's victory. Yonny Chirinos and Joe Musgrove have similar numbers, but we give the slight nod to Musgrove at home here. Look for San Diego to build off yesterday's win and lay this price with confidence!

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10* OVER Elks/Lions (WEST-CONF TOY)

Both teams come in off low-scoring Week 1 contests, but we're anticipating a much more wide-open contest here in BC this weekend. Edmonton fell 17-13 at home to Saskatchewan as a 2.5-point favorite. Including the two pre-season games, the Elks are 0-3. BC enters off a 25-15 road win at Calgary as a 2.5-point underdog. The total stayed well "under" the number of 50.5 in that one. Note though that BC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off an upset road win as an underdog. Talor Cornelius wasn't horrible in a losing cause for Edmonton last week, finishing with 202 yards passing, one TD and two picks. Eugene Lewis was unstoppable though with 148 receiving yards. Last year Edmonton allowed an average of 33.3 PPG, so the Week 1 result was in fact a huge improvement, but that said, that was at home. Now on the road, we're expecting a letdown. BC looked sharp in its 25-15 road win at Calgary. We should see Vernon Adams have an even stronger performance this week, as he finished 27 of 35 for 288 yards, two TD's and an INT. We're expecting a more wide-open affair here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER NYCFC/Columbus (EAST-CONF. TOY)

New York City FC comes in desparate to break its longest winless urn in MLS regular-season play since 2015. Last week the Pigeons managed a 0-0 draw with Real Salt Lake, pushing their winless run in MLB to eight games. The Columbus Crew come in on the other end of the spectrum, having won three in a row and off an impressive 2-1 win over the Chicago Fire. The Boys in Blue have picked up back-to-back domestic fixture wins and they'll now look to translate that into success here in MLS. New York has had plenty of success against Columbus in the past and in a contet that we see having a much "faster pace" than anticipated, we look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Saskatchewan (BLOOD-BATH)

Both teams enter 1-0 SU/ATS. Winnipeg held on for a 42-31 win over Hamilton at home as a 4.5-point favorite, while Saskatchewan looked impressive as well in a 17-13 defensive victory at Edmonton as a 2.5-point underdog. Ultimately we think that Winnipeg's offense will be a little less effective on the road, and especially facing this improved Riders defensive units. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be an understatement after the Blue Bombers swept the season series with Saskatchewan last year. But the Bombers looked poor down the stretch last week, as they actually had a 32-4 lead with five minutes into the third quarter only to hold on for the 42-31 win. We expect the home side to make a game of this one. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset though; grab the points, the play is the Roughriders!

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10* Rangers RUNLINE (VALUE POW)

Here's two teams in need of a win. That said, home field advantage can't be overlooked here in this particular matchup between two good pitchers that have been struggling of late. Toronto has lost four of its last six, including two of three at Baltimore earlier this week, while Texas has lost six of eight. Kevin Gausman (5-3, 3.12 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Martin Perez (6-2, 4.67) toes the slab for the home side. Perez has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts, but we expect him to settle down here. Note that he's 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA over his last four starts here at Globe Life Field. Gausman got rocked in his last outing as well, allowing six runs off seven hits with four walks over just four innings. Overall we feel we're getting great value here on grabbing the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Texas on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* Phoenix/Washington OVER (ASSASSIN)

Washington has seem the total go "under" the number in six straight after their most recent 87-66 loss at Indiana as a 4-point favorite. Note tough that the Mystics have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite. Washington is 5-4, but Phoenix is just 2-6, most recently falling 83-69 at home to Seattle as a 6.5-point favorite. That's also signficant to note, as the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Two teams in dire need of a victory are going to get out and push the pace in this one from start to finish, and as a result, we expect this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Aces (BOB)

For us, this is a great "situational" play, set up by some strong ATS stats. Seattle is coming off an 83-69 win at Phoenix as a 6.5-point favorite, but note that the Storm are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road win as an underdog. The last time these teams faced off, Las Vegas won by a score of 105-64, and that's what we're expecting here tonight as well. Las Vegas is 8-1, and while it's just 1-4 ATS in its last five, we absolutely feel that the value has now finally swung the other way for the Aces. We expect Las Vegas to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Aces!

AAA Sports

10* Rangers (AL GOM)

Texas broke a three-game slide with a convincing 6-3 win last night, and we're expecting the home side to now close out this series with another victory, despite the Angels going with their ace Shohei Ohtani. He's 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA, but he's lost his last four starts in Texas. Nathan Eovaldi is having a huge season and we expect him to keep that momentum rolling here, coming in at 9-2 with a 2.49 ERA. LA is now 8-2 in its last ten, but we're expecting the visiting side to have another letdown here. Eovaldi is in fact 8-0 with a 1.65 ERA over his last ten starts; in our humble opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is Texas!

AAA Sports

10* Redblacks (ASSASSIN)

Both teams are 0-1 to open the season. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Ottawa will have Nick Arbuckle under center, and Calgary has Jake Maier starting. Maier and the Stamps got squashed at home 25-15 by the BC Lions, who aren't expected to do much this season. Maier had 166 yards, 1 TD and I INT. Ka'Deem Carey had just 39 rushing yards. Ottawa fell 19-12 to Montreal. Arbuckle had three INT's and was 19 of 35 for 175 yards. Let's be honest, both teams looked shaky. But we're expecting Arbuckle to improve here, and Ottawa's defense looked pretty good overall. The outright upset?! Anything's possible, but we're not calling for that; grab the points, the play is indeed on Ottawa!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Houston/LA FC (MLS TOW)

LA FC is on a terrible run right now, having gone five straight matches without a win across all leagues. They also fell 4-0 to Houston on Sunday in MLS action, breaking their four-game unbeaten streak in MLS (note though that LA FC has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent.) LAFC was at one point unbeaten over its first eight matches in the MLS. Houston will have to be careful not to have a letdown here after a superb performance against Chicago in the US Open Cup last week to cement their spot in the Semi-Final with Real Salt Lake. Note as well that in eight away MLS matches, Houston has taken just two points. This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

AAA Sports

10* Diamondbacks (ASSASSIN)

This was an interesting series matchup before it started on Monday, as each team came into the series really hot. Arizona win won the opener 9-8, but Philadelphia bounced back wiht a big 15-3 victory last night. However, we think this is a starting pitching matchup that does favor the D-Backs here, and at this price at home, we expect they can keep the momentum rolling. The Phillies are still just 14-23 on the road, while Arizona is now 21-15 at home. The visiting side hands the ball to the lefty Ranger Suarez, who is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. He's so far been consistently inconsistent and we don't see things changing here in this difficult road venue and also especially going up against Arizona Ace Merrill Kelly, who is 8-3 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Kelly has admittedly been better on the road than at home, he's 5-0 with a 2.12 ERA on the road, and 3-3 with a 3.56 ERA at home. But, despite that, we still think at this price here at home that Kelly is for sure the VALUE PLAY; lay the short price, the play is Arizona!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Marlins/Mariners (TOTAL BOB)

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Mariners 9-3 win last night. Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the M's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Miami has also seen the total go "over" in three straight, which is also important for us to take note, as the Fish have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two red hot starters going head to head, and that's another reason this total is so low, but still not low enough in our estimation. Eury Perez is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA for the Marlins, while Luis Castillo is 4-4 with a 2.70 ERA for the M's; all signs finally point to a lower-scoring "under" in this one!

AAA Sports

10* Vegas (WINNER)

Florida has responded well in this spot for bettors, but at this price, and despite most of the public money on them, we still think that the Knights offer really great value to secure its first ever Stanley Cup. Las Vegas has been great on both ends of the ice in this series, but especially on the defensive end. Now on the road, we expect the Panthers to falter as the game wares on. Lay the price, the play is Las Vegas!

AAA Sports 

10* UNDER Dream/Liberty (TOY)

These teams played last week and New YOrk won at Atlanta by a score of 106-83. The total went well "over" the number of 165, but we're expecting a more defensive affair here in the rematch. Note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. ATL has lost three straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that the Dream have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for a much more methodical pace here; the play is the "under!"

AAA Sports

10* OVER Rockies/Red Sox (IL TOW)

Everything points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight now after yesterday's 4-3 win here. Note though that Colorado has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chase Anderson is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Rockies. Difficult spot for Anderson obviously and the sample size is just too small. Karl Crawford is 1-3 with a 3.68 ERA for the Red Sox. This is just a case of each of these guys being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" though, as the overall situation, comibned with the above relevant O/U ATS stats all do indeed point to this one flying "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER)

After back-to-back losses, we like Miami to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS home losses vs. an opponent. Miami won't go down without a savage fight here. The Heat were undervalued and overlooked throughout the Playoffs, and we think that's the case here as well. This is just too many points for a Denver to cover. The Nuggets are likely going to be Champions after this, but good teams win and GREAT teams cover; grab the points, the play is Miami!

AAA Sports

10* Rangers (AL GOW)

The Angels have been surging, and the Rangers have been stumbling somewhat of late, but I think the home side has the better starting pitcher going tonight and that'll be more than enough to help Texas get back on track in the opener of this series. LA has won six of its last seven, but off a 9-4 home win over Seattle yesterday, I think it'll have its hands full here with a now focussed Rangers side looking to snap a skid in which they've lost four of their last five. But as stated, this starting pitching matchup favors the home side in my opinion, as Tyler Anderson is 3-1 with a ballooned 5.62 ERA for the Halos, while Dane Dunning is 5-1 with a 2.52 ERA for the Rangers; lay the price, the play is Texas!

AAA Sports

10* Red Sox/Yanks OVER (AL EAST TOY)

Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Boston has seen the total go "under" in both games here in the Bronx, including yesterday's 3-1 loss. It's interesting to note though that the BoSox have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or no runs in. New York has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note here as well, as the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starting pithers have been "pedestrian" at best this year, and pedestrian won't get the job done tonight in our opinion. Brian Bello is 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.43 WHIP for the Red Sox, while Clarke Schmidt is 2-6 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.46 WHIP for the Yanks. Look for these guys to make an early exit and ultimately expect this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* Edmonton MONEYLINE (ASSASSIN)

We're going to suggest skipping playing the spread, and instead just lay the price for Edmonton to win this game "straight up." Saskatchewan missed the playoffs last year for hte first time since 2016. Trevor Harris is a new face under center for the visiting side. Edmonton fans can empathize though, as their team has just seven combined wins over the last two seasons. Taylor Cornelius showed flashes of competence last year under center for the Elks, and we expect him to be a difference-maker here on Opening night on home soil. Edmonton is at home and Cornelius is more acclimated with his offense than his counterpart. Lay the moneyline, the play is the Elks!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Connecticut/Atlanta (SUPER TOTAL)

These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Connecticut is 7-2 after splitting a home two-game series with Las Vegas most recently. Both games went "over" the number. Atlanta is just 2-4 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 106-83 setback at home here to New York. That though is important for us to take note of, because ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a home loss in which it allowed 100 or more points in. This is in fact the opener of a home and home set between these clubs, and all signs point to this first game being a tight, lower-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Vegas (BLOCKBUSTER)

We've played on Vegas in every game so far, and we'll ride the Knights again here. Strengths and weaknesses are well known for each side. There are literally millions of reveiew articles out there if you want to get up to speed on how each reached this point. The bottom line here though is that Vegas has responded well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; great value here on the Knights!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Ottawa/Montreal (ASSASSIN)

Ottawa Redblacks missed the playoffs last year with a 4-14 record. Ottawa QB Jeremiah Masoli is out with a knee injury, so we'll see a combination here of Dustin Crum, Nick Arbuckle and Tyrie Adams. The Alouettes signed QB Cody Fajardo, who finished with 16 TDs and 13 INTs for the Roughriders last year. Look for Fajardo to be given the green light here today to open things up in this new offense. Expect this total to soar "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Mets/Pirates (SUPER TOTAL)

Both teams have been struggling, and each has been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late. These facts though have only helped in contributing to this total here on Saturday in being a bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. The Mets have now lost seven straight, and they've seen the total go "over" the number in their last three, including in yesterday's 14-7 series opening loss here. Note though that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Pittsburgh has also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is also significant to note here as the Pirates have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really decent starters who we expect to battle deep; the Mets turn to Kodai Senga, who is 5-3 with a 3.75 ERA, while the home side counters with Johan Oviedo, who is 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one!

AAA Sports

10* Heat (GOW)

If you want a complete review of how each of thee team's got here, then there are plenty of "preview" articles out there. Literally millions. If you're wagering on this game then you know the cast of characters and the strengths and weaknesses of each side. You also know that Denver is up 2-1 in this series, and because of that, we're expecting Miami to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to secure another slight upset. Note that Miami has done well in this spot for bettors as well, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a home loss as an underdog. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Phoenix/Dallas (TOW)

These teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Mercury will be hungry to get back in to the winner's circle after starting the season just 1-4. That includes an 84-79 loss here at Dallas just two nights ago. While Phoenix did cover with the 5.5-point spread, the total went "under" the number of 167.5. Note though that the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Dallas is 4-3. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note, as the Wings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We're expecting a much more efficent, and overall faster-paced affair here in the second game of the B2B scenario between these clubs; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Twins/Jays (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been playing to several lwer-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to come to an explosive end here in the opener of this one North of the border. Minnesota has lost five straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. Note though that the Twins have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last ten after playing to five or more straight losses in a row. The Jays enter the weekend after playing four staright at home here to Houston, going 3-1 in the process, winning the last three in the series, with all three of those contests going "under" the number. Note though that TO has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both pitchers have been decent, with Sonny Gray at 4-1 with 2.15 ERA for the Twins, while Yusei Kikuchi is 6-2 with a 4.40 ERA for the Jays. This, though, is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time," as the overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats do indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Lions/Stampeders (TOTAL BLOWOUT)

These teams met in the West Division semi-final last year, so blood will be boiling on each side and we expect that to translate into offensive production on the field. Note that this O/U line opened at 46.5 and has since been bet up. We're following the money on this one and expecting this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The Lions were 6-3 on the road last year, while the Stamps were 5-4 at home. Vernon Adams Jr. and Taquan Mizzell are an effective duo for the Lions. Jake Maier is now under center in Calgary, and he'll be leaning on 1,000-yard receiver Malik Henry and running back Ka’Deem Carey. But overall here in Week 1 and on Opening Night, we can expect a faster-paced, wide-open offensive affair; the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Knights (BLOCKBUSTER)

With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers believe these teams are very evenly matched. And for the most part they are, but the Playoffs, and the Finals are all about "momentum" and timing and Las Vegas comes to the East Coast with a ton of each working in their favor. With the majority of the public wagers on the Panthers here in Game 3, we're staying true to our contrarian ways and "going the other way." In many such instances in the past, we'd be quick to back the 0-2 team in this situation, but that doesn't always work out. And in our opinion, this will be one of those instances. Overall the VALUE here in our opinion is on Las Vegas at this price; and that's the call, the play is the Golden Knights!

AAA Sports

8* OVER White Sox/Yanks (TOTAL BLOWOUT)

These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, including in the White Sox 3-2 upset victory here in yesterday's series opener, but we're expecting much more of a "slug-fest" here on Thursday afternoon in the Bronx. Note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The White Sox have now won four straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all four of those contests as well. That fact though has only helped in driving today's number a little lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Neither starter has been anything to write home about this year. Lance Lynn is 4-6 with a 6.55 ERA for the White Sox, while Luis Severino is 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA for the Yanks. This number is low, the play is the "over!"

AAA Sports

10* Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER)

We base a lot of our selections on public perception. We're contrarian handicappers at heart. The lines here in the Finals are sharper than ever. The value here for us though lies in Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets bouncing back and taking Game 3 (note that Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) We've played on Miami a lot during the Playoffs already. In fact, we had a play on Miami in the FIRST HALF in Game 2, and while the came up just short unfortunately, the Heat did go on to win and cover (we did also recommend to play for the ENTIRE game if did not have access to FIRST HALF lines.) So that was an unfortunate loss, but here we feel the value has now swung in favor of the visiting side, which has responded well in this spot for bettors; lay the short points, the play is Denver!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Orioles/Brewers (BEST OF BEST)

These teams have been playing to lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting that to end this evening. We had a play on Milwaukee last night in the Brewers 4-3 extra-innings victory. Milwaukee is now back in 1st in the NL Central at 33-28. Milwaukee has now won four of its last five. It's seen the total go "under" in six of its last seven, including in three straight. That's important to take note of for us though, as the Brewers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in the most recent loss. The Brewers get the job done most nights with the seventh ranked offense that averages 4.92 RPG. The overall ERA is middle of the road though at 4.16, ranked 15th. The overall situation, combined with the strong O/U ATS stat listed above, makes the OVER the correct call here in this one on Wednesday night!

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10* Fever (WNBA GOW)

Chicago is 4-3, while Indiana is 1-4. The desperate Fever have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright in our opinion, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Indiana may only be 1-4 SU, but it's 3-2 ATS, including winning three straight ATS. We feel that the Fever are still being undervalued here. Chicago broke a two-game slide with an 86-82 win at New York last time out. The Sky are 6-1 ATS, and now we firmly believe they're overvalued by casual bettors at this point. Chicago hits the road after this for a Westcoast swing, so it's also a "look ahead." Look for the desperate vistors to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; the play is Indiana!

AAA Sports

10* Brewers (IL GOY)

We like the Brewers to carry over their recent momentum here at home, and overall we feel the home side offers tremendous value at this price. Each team had Monday off. Baltimore has been trading wins and losses over its last eight games, and off an 8-3 win over San Fran most recently, we're expecting this trend to continue here. Milwaukee is now first in the NL Central off a sweep of what was a red hot Cincinnati side over the weekend. Kyle Gibson is 7-3 with a 3.89 ERA for the Orioles, while Freddy Peralta is 5-5 with a 4.62 ERA for the Brewers. For arguments sakes, we're calling these guys a "wash." The Brewers bullpen has been strong over the last month and once again, this all comes down to what we perceive to be insane "line value" on what we feel is a very undervalued and hungry home side; lay the short price, the play is Milwaukee!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Twins/Rays (AL TOM)

Both teams come into this series having played to several lower-scoring games, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Minnesota went 2-2 at home against Cleveland this weekend, losing the final two. The final three games in the series went "under" the number, which is important to note here as the Twins have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Tampa took three of four in Boston over the weekend. The final three games went "under" the number. And that's also significant to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Louie Varland is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA for Minnesota, while Zach Eflin is 7-1 with a 3.30 ERA for the Rays. We have a difficult time finding too many negative things to say about either starter, so we won't bother. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends though will see this one fly "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Cubs/Padres (NL TOY)

Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head here in the finale of this four-game series, we think they're at the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" tonight, as we expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Chicago has now seen the total go "under" in six straight games after last night's 7-1 win here. Note though that Chicago has still seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. SD has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's loss. Note though that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Because this play is on the "over," it's going to be an ACTION play, meaning it doesn't matter who gets the start here. Kyle Hendricks is scheduled for the Cubs and he's 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA. The home side counters with Blake Snell, who is 1-6 with a 4.50 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends does indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Panthers/Knights (TOW)

We had a play on Game 1 on the "over," but we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. These teams both have great goaltending and defense, and note that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Expect a much more methodical pace here from each side, as each waits for the other to make the first mistake. In an environment like that, everything points to a lower-scoring defensive affair; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* HEAT FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN)

NOTE: If you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines, then we also like Miami for the ENTIRE GAME as well.

Miami only took two free throws in Game 1 and was still only a three-pointer away from covering. Miami got better as the game went on after getting steamrolled at the start. We can expect another strong performance from the visting side, but we're anticipating this time for Miami to jump out to a lead in the first half. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent; look for Miami to pay immediate dividends in the first half!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Yanks/Dodgers.

These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after last night's 6-3 victory. Some would have "pushed" on that total last night, but it did close at 8.5, so so far both games here in LA have gone "over" in this series. We're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the finale. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Domingo German is battle-tested for the Yanks, now 3-3 with a 3.98 ERA and tiny 0.98 WHIP. He'll be opposed by Bobby Miller, who is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and even more impressive 0.91 WHIP. Look for these two "studs" to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay "under" once it's all said and done!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Panthers/Knights (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

It's going to be an exciting Stanley Cup Final. These teams are extremely similar in many regards. Las Vegas has a core group of guys that have been playing in the postseason for a few years now, while Florida's Cinderella story is looking to add one more positive chapter. We're steering clear of a side in Game 1 and instead focussing on the total. If this were a regular season game, the total would be site at either 6 or 6.5. The Playoffs have produced plenty of lower-scoring defensive affairs, but note that Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven when playing with three or more days of rest. In what we anticipate will be a wide-open and faster-paced affair in Game 1, we're going with the "over" for sure!

AAA Sports

8* UNDER Cards/Pirates (PITCHERS DUEL)

Both teams have been playing to higher-scoring affairs recently, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five games. That includes in yesterday's series-opening 7-5 victory here over the Cards. Note though that St. Louis has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Two decent starters going head-to-head here, and we're expecting a "duel:" Jordan Montgomery is 2-6 with a 4.48 ERA for the Cards, while Luis Ortiz 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA for Pittsburgh. Note that despite just a 1-2 record vs. Pittsburgh lifetime, Montgomery does own the sharp 2.95 ERA in that span. The overall situation points to this total staying below this super high number; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Guardians/Twins (AL CENTRAL DIV. TOY)

Both teams have been playing to higher-scroing games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Cleveland has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after falling 7-6 in last night's series opener here. That's significant to note though as Cleveland has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straigth "overs" in a row. Minnesota has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. The bottom line here though is we really like these starting pitchers and we ultimatley believe they'll be throwing deep into this one: Cleveland goes with Aaaron Civale, who is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA, while Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober, who is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS O/U stat does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Heat/Nuggets (BLOWOUT)

Everything about this Game 1 SCREAMS "under," but in the end we're actually expecting a must faster-paced affair that most are expecting. These are two very defensive-minded clubs, but note that the Nuggets have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten when playing with three or more days of rest. The Nuggets will be out to push the pace from start to finish, and they won't take the foot off the gas at all as they look to crush the will and spirit of the Heat. Miami though has won the first game of every series so far in the Playoffs though, scoring 130 points in Game 1 vs. Milwaukee, 108 points in the Game 1 victory over New York and 123 points in Game 1 vs. Boston. Everything points to this total flying "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later!

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8* Red Sox (BLOOD-BATH)

After losing the first two games of this series, we like Chris Sale to outduel his counterpart and for the Red Sox to finally bounce-back in the finale. Note that Boston is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Reds are finally primed for a letdown after five straight victories, as note that Cincinnati is just 2-6 in its last eight after five or more straight wins in a row. Hunter Greene is an unremarkable 1-4 with a 4.18 ERA for the Reds. Sale is 5-2 with a 4.72 ERA for the Red Sox. After a brutal start to the season, Sale has been "on fire" and we expect that progression to continue; lay the price, the play is Boston!

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10* UNDER Yanks/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH)

The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Clarke Scmidt is 2-5 with a 5.58 ERA for the Yanks, while George Kirby is 5-4 with a 3.43 ERA for Seattle. We're expecting these starters to battle deep, and as a result, we look for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* Chicago +0.5 (MLS GOW)

We simply don't trust Toronto at all. It did end a five-match winless run in all competitions last weekend, but an immediate return to mediocrity seems imminent. The Reds won 3-1 over DC United, while Chicago will be the hungrier team now after squandering a second-half advantage and drawing 3-3 with New England last time out. Chicago hasn't had much luck North of the border, but that just adds fuel to the fire here. The outright is possible, but let's grab on the spread as the great price; the play is Chicago +0.5.

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10* OVER 0.5 goal in FIRST HALF of the EUROPA LEAGUE FINAL.

Yes, if Jose Mourinho and Roma are going to win this game, it'll be on the backs of their elite defensive play, but we're still expecting at least one goal in the FIRST HALF of the Europa League Final. Sevilla is in the superior form currently, and it'll be trying desperately to dictate the tempo early. If you can only play of the ENTIRE GAME, then we also like the OVER for the match as well. Regardless, we're laying the price with confidence here on the OVER in the FIRST HALF!

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10* play on the Orioles.

Off yesterday's series opening 5-0 loss, we think that Kyle Gibson and the home side offer great value at this price to "bounce back." Note that Baltimore is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a shutout home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Cleveland is still just 12-14 on the road this year, which doesn't bode well for starter Cal Quantrill, who is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA this season. Gibson is 6-3 with a 3.82 ERA. All things considered, we feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger; lay the price, the play is Baltimore!

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8* play on the Marlins.

The Padres are regressing, and the Marlins are surging and we expect these trends to continue here on Tuesday night. The Marlins swept their series at the Angels and they enter having won four of their last five, while the Padres lost two of three in the Bronx over the weekend. Ryan Weathers is 1-3 with a 3.94 ERA for the Friars, while Sandy Alcantara is 2-5 with a 4.86 ERA for the Fish. Alcantara is 2-1 with a 0.96 ERA in three career starts vs. the Padres, while Weathers is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in two career starts vs. the Marlins; lay the price, the play is indeed on Miami!

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8* play on Tigers runline.

We like the Tigers to bounce back off yesterday's series opening 5-0 loss. Note that Detroit is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a loss at home as a dog vs. an opponent. Martin Perez is 6-1 with a 3.83 ERA for the Rangers, while Alex Faedo is 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA for the Tigers. Faedo is coming in with a ton of momentum here though off his best start of his career, striking out ten and allowing just two runs with no walks over six innings in the eventual 7-2 win over the White Sox. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Detroit on the runline option!

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10* OVER Heat/Celtics (ECF TOW)

Boston has won three straight, and all three of those contests have gone "under" the number. That fact though has only helped in driving this Game 7 total a few points lower than it really should be in our opinion. Note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Miami will be looking to avoid becoming a footnote in NBA history here, as no team in the NBA Playoffs has ever come back from an 0-3 deficit. Note though that the Heat have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent; this number is a tad low now, so the play is the "over!" 

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10* Stars (WCF GOW)

"Momentum" is a very real, tangible factor in sports (at times,) and that's especially true in the Playoffs. Dallas has battled back to force a Game 6 and now the Stars will have captain Jamie Benn back in the line-up after a two-game suspension for cross-checking Matt Stone in Game 3. So, the momentum has for sure now swung in favor of the Stars, and an epic Game 7 showdown in the desert is just what the NHL wants. The bottom line for this one is that these teams are indeed evenly matched, but at this price, the home side is the best value play; lay the short-price, the play is Dallas!

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10* OVER Guardians/Orioles (ULTRA TOTAL)

These AL foes need wins. Cleveland more so. The Guardians are 23-29, including just 11-14 on the road. They took two off three at home from St. Louis over the weekend. Cleveland though has seen the total go "under" in seven straight games. Baltimore is 34-19 overall and 16-10 at home. The Orioles lost two of three at home to Texas over the weekend, but bounced back in yesterday's 3-2 victory. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. Tyler Wells is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA for the Orioles, but is coming off one of the worst starts of his career, getting shelled for five runs over five innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Yanks. Logan Allen is 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA for the Guardians. He took a loss in his last outing as well, allowing four runs off seven hits vs. the White Sox on Tuesday. We expect these starters to get chased early and we then look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Padres/Yankees (IL TOW)

We have two really good starters going head-to-head here, but we feel that this is a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." The total has gone "under" the number in the first two games of this series, but we're expecting more of a "slug-fest" finally here in the finale. The Yanks have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is important to note here as over thes short-term New York has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Yu Darvish is 3-3 with a 3.67 ERA this year for the Padres, while Gerrit Cole is 5-0 with a 2.53 ERA for the Yanks. Each has actually had tremendous success against his opponent today in the past, but as the old saying goes, that was then and this is now. The overall situation points to this one eclipsing the posted number as it comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" 

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10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER)

We've played on the Celtics over the last two games, but now we're jumping on the Heat. Note that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row to an opponent. The Celtics are a great team, and it was almost inconceivable that they'd be swept in this series. But, after two titanic efforts to get to this point, we're finally expecting a letdown here on the road. Miami has been the surprise team out of the East this season and in a contest that we see being decided late, or by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami!

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10* Knights (BLOCKBUSTER)

We had a play on Dallas in Game 4, and honestly we feel a bit "lucky" after that OT victory. Regardless, with a chance to now punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final, we absolutely believe that the "home ice" advantage can not be overlooked in this case. Note that Las Vegas is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent as well. In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value;" lay the short price, the play is Las Vegas!

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8* Brewers (VALUE-PLAY)

After back-to-back losses to open this three-game series, we're on the side of the public today, rolling with the Brewers to bounce back in the finale, as ultimatley we feel we're getting supreme line value in this one. Note that despite their two wins here, the Giants are still just 11-14 on the road, and despite two losses here, the Brewers are still 15-11 at home. Note as well that Milwaukee is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. For arguments sakes, we're going to call these starters a "wash." Logan Webb is 3-5 with a 2.91 ERA for the Giants, while Corbin Burnes is 4-4 with a 3.97 ERA for the Brewers. The overall situation, combined with the above listed/relevant trend does indeed make MILWUAKEE the correct call in this one!

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10* OVER Astros/A's (ASSASSIN)

Both of these AL sides have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Houston had won eight straight, before dropping the final two at Milwaukee, losing 6-0 and 4-0. Note though that the Astros have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a road shutout loss. The A's have lost eight straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all eight of those setbacks. That fact though has only helped in driving this series Opening total a little lower than it normally would be in our opinion. Hunter Brown has been decent for the Astros, going 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA. His counterpart though James Kapriellian has been a complete "gas can" this year, going 0-4 with a ballooned 8.68 ERA for the A's; the overall situation, combined with the above strong/relevant O/U trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one!

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10* Celtics (ASSASSIN)

Boston survived this series with a clutch 116-99 victory in Game 4, and we like the Celtics to rally again here at home with another win and cover. We're contrarian at heart here, and with most of the bets and early money on the Heat, we naturally LOVE the Celtics even more. We think that Boston has finally "figured" out this Miami defense and that all signs here point to another blowout. NBA fans, get ready for a big Game 6 in Miami in a couple days, because everything we see points to a BIG win and COVER by Boston in Game 5; so lay the points with confidence!

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10* Stars (BLOCKBUSTER)

With their backs against the wall, and despite their captain Jamie Ben suspended for one game for his cross check on Matt Stone in Game 3, we expect the Stars to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in Game 4. The Knights had everything go right for them in Game 3, but note that Dallas is 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Great value on this desperate home side; lay the price, the play is Dallas!

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10* UNDER Jays/Rays (SUPER TOTAL)

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trents to end this afternoon. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 7-3 beatdown loss. Note though that the Jays have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tampa Bay has also now played to five straight "overs," which is also significant for us to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We call these starters a "wash," and we expect them to battle deep into this one. Alek Manoah is 1-4 with a 5.15 ERA for the Jays, while Zach Eflin is 6-1 with a 3.45 ERA for the Rays; the overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U trends make the "under" the correct call in this one!

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8* Hurricanes (BLOCKBUSTER)

The Panthers are the best team in the NHL?! It sure looks that way. Absolutely unstoppable so far after going down 0-2 to the Bruins in the first round. However, we do finally expect Florida to have a letdown here, as Carolina won't be swept in this series. Note that the Canes are still 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Look for Carolina to risk life and limb today to avoid the sweep; great value here on the Hurricanes!

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