Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-17-22 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think the 5-5 Vanderbilt Commodores will, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the handful of points they've been afforded. NC State is 9-3, but I believe it'll have its hands full here in the Legends Of Basketball Showcase in Chicago this evening. Vanderbilt lost a tough game to Grambling 64-62 despite winning the rebounding battle 37 to 29. They're a great defensive team and I expect a rebound here. NC State's opening schedule was weak. It now enters having lost two of its last three. They're coming off a 92-73 win over Furman, but this is a huge step back up in competition. NC State's offensive numbers are a bit skewed in my opinion, as ultimately I feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Vanderbilt! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Jets v. Canucks -105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* Canucks (U OF THE U) Vancouver has been playing a lot better of late, having won four of its last five after a 4-3 shootout win at Calgary on Wednesday. Winnipeg has been playing well als, it's off a 2-1 OT home win on Thursday, but with a game at Seattle tomorrow, I believe the visiting side will get caught looking ahead. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are very comparable over the last three weeks, but Vancouver is undervalued in this spot. In my opinion, this is in fact the very definition of "great line value;" the play is the Canucks! AAA SportsĀ |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Bills | Top | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (ASSASSIN) The first game between these division rivals was a tightly contested affair, and I expect today's contest to be the same. The Dolphins beat the Bills 21-19 as four-point dogs at home at the start of the season, but off B2B SU/ATS losses, I look for the Fish to bounce back here in this important game. The Bill are 4-0 SU their last four, but just 1-3 ATS. They continue to get overvalued by the bookmakers in my opinion, as they've not been able to create much late seperation from their opposition late in games. I expect this trend to continue here vs. this talented divisional opponent. It's the whole "snow" thing going on here today, but I'm not buying into it. The outright is a possiblity as well, but I'm grabbing the points with the Dolphins in the end! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Rice +6.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
10* Rice (BLOCKBUSTER) Rice lost its last three games of the year, but I expect it to dig deep and to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. AJ Padjett has only started one game under center for the Owls this year, but he'll be complimented by leading runner Cameron Montgomery, and leading receiver Bradley Rozier. SMU started the season 5-3, but it closed out by going just 1-3. Southern Miss started three different QB's, and that was difficult. Trey Lowe had six TD's and seven INT's. Frank Gore Jr. had 1,053 rushing yards. Padgett is the correct call here, who will have an extra two weeks or reps before this bowl game; no outright, but a nailbiter, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs UNDER 223 | Top | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I believe those trends will end this evening. Miami is now 15-15 after a 111-108 road win at Houston. The Heat play with revenge after falling 115-111 to the Spurs in Mexico earlier in the season. That total went "over" the number, but note that Miami has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Spurs are off a 128-112 home loss to Portland. They only average 110.2 PPG. After three straight "overs," expect a much more defensive peformance here from the home side. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a bit high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State UNDER 53 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Florida/Oregon State (O/U BLOOD-BATH) This one sets up well for an "under." The Gators are without their starting QB, so their only hope here is to run the ball. The only problem there is, Oregon State is only allowing 114 rushing yards per game. This Oregon State defense allows just over 21 PPG, and I think they'll be on point here against this vanilla Florida offense. With each team committed to the run on offense throughout, expect this total to stay well under the posted number! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Colts v. Vikings UNDER 48 | 36-39 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Colts/Vikes (SUPER TOTAL) A common sense play here. The Colts are only averaging 16.1 PPG this year. They're coming off their bye week, but their strong point has been their defense. It's only allowing 16.1 PPG. Matt Ryan is 29th in the league with an 84.0 passer rating. The Vikes have been mediocre of late. They're just 2-2 in their last four. The Vikes' defense catches a break today. Justin Jefferson though is facing a Top 5 passing defense in the Colts today, so that means that Dalvin Cook will by leaned upon by the Vikes. I expect a whole lot of running from each side today; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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12-16-22 | Weber State +5.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 74-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* Weber State (MAULING) Weber State is just 3-7, but I think it'll give 5-4 Cal Poly Slo everything it can handle tonight. Weber State broke a five-game slide with an 82-58 win over St. Martin's last time out. The Wildcats are averaging 65.8 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Dillon Jones leads the nightly charge with 65.8 points per game. Cal Poly is 5-4 after a 74-68 loss to Washington last time out. The Mustangs average 66.8 PPG, while allowing 64.1. Alimamy Koroma averages 12.8 points and 5.2 boards per game. Both teams have been challenged early in their sechedules. The Wildcats won't roll over here. I say this one comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Weber State! AAA Sports |
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12-16-22 | Nets v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 119-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) I just think the more desperate team is going to dig deep here and find a way to deliver. Brooklyn is 17-12 afrer its 112-100 win over the Wizards. The Nets have played better since firing Steve Nash. They've had three nights off though and I think rest will lead to rust this evening. Toronto is now 13-15 after its disappointing 124-123 home loss to the Kings as five-point favorites on Wednesday. That's now three straight losses for the Raptors. Note though that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Finally, the Raptors also play with the added incentive of revenge here after a 114-105 loss to the Nets at the start of the month. So I think in a small way this sets up as a letdown spot for the Nets, while at the same time, this is a "gut check" for the Raptors. We've reached the point of the season where your record begins to reflect "who you are" as a team. Clearly, Toronto can not be happy where it's at at the moment. While the outright win is clearly a possibility, I'll ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is the Raptors! AAA Sports |
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12-16-22 | Troy v. UTSA OVER 56.5 | Top | 18-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER UTSA/TROY (TOTAL ROUT) Both teams finished 11-2. UTSA went 8-0 in conference play and then won the Conference USA Championship over UNT by a score of 48-27. I feel like today's game will have a similar final combined score. QB Frank Harris had 341 yards and four TD's in the vicotry. The Roadrunners put the pedal to the metal all game, entering averaging 37.6 PPG. Troy is only allowing 17.6 PPG, but the Trojans are off a big Sun Belt Championship by smoking Coastal Carolina by a score of 45-26. QB Gunnar Watson had 318 yards passing and three TD's. The stage is set for a bit of a shootout here; this number is low the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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12-15-22 | Suns +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
10* Suns (SHOCKER) Whether Devin Booker plays or not, I like the way this one sets up for the Suns. Phoenix is still 16-12 after its 111-97 loss at Houston. That's now five straight SU/ATS losses in a row for the Suns, who are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Phoenix beat LA 112-95 at the start of the year. And after three straight SU/ATS victories for Paul George and the Clippers, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here finally (note as well that LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS victories in a row.) In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is the Suns! AAA Sports |
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12-15-22 | Cal-Irvine v. Santa Clara -1.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara (BEST OF BEST) I think this one favors 9-3 Santa Clara. The Broncos lost this game last year by a score of 69-64, but I expect them to dig deep here and to snap a six-game losing slide in this series. UC Irving is 7-3 after a road win over South Dakota. The Anteaters are now averaging 80.1 PPG. The Broncos average 72.8, but their superior defensive play is the difference-maker for me in this contest. Lay the short-points, but expect a decisive win; the play is Santa Clara! AAA Sports |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
10* Hawks (ASSASSIN) I love Seattle in this spot. Yes, the Hawks have stumbled the last couple of weeks, but I expect them to stop the bleeding here and to avenge an earlier loss to San Francisco. It's a "must win" game for the Hawks if they have any hopes of locking a division title. Brock Purdy was amazing in his first start last week for San Francisco, dismantling the Bucs, but now on his first true road game here in frigid Seattle, I'm expecting a big time letdown here. I say Geno Smith is the correct call here on the short week and on his own field. I truly believe the outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points with Seattle! AAA Sports |
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12-14-22 | Georgia State +21 v. Auburn | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia State (UPSET SHOCKER) Auburn is now 8-1 after a poor loss to Memphis on Saturday, and I think it could still be mentally caught up on that setback. Ultimately I believe Georgia State will have an opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door. It's basically a TRAP game, because after this they have a game at the 7-3 Washington Huskies, so I also think the Tigers could be caught looking ahead to that much more high-profile contest. Bruce Pearl's team has been great, but they were held to just 38.1 percent shooting from the floor from Penny Hardaway's Memphis side, and that included just 25 percent from range. The Tigers were also outscored 50-24 in the paint. So far Auburn is averaging just 73 points per game, which is 173rd in the country. If the Tigers are going to repeat as SEC Champions, then they're going to have to try and find some more offense. Georgia State is just 5-4 and it's coming off a 66-46 loss to Northeastern on December 4th. The 20 point loss was the Panthers worst of the season (but note that Georgia State is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after a straight up and againast the spread loss of 20 or more points.) Clearly Auburn is the better team, but I just think this is a bad spot for the Tigers and a great one for the Panthers. I'm obviously not calling for the outright upset, but I do think the stage is set for a tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Georgia State! AAA Sports |
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12-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Wings/Wild (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring one finally for a few different reasons. Detroit has now seen the total go "under" the number in five straight after last night's loss to the Stars. It's also lost three straight. The Wings though have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row, and in five of their last six after three or more losses in a row. The Wild are coming off a 2-1 win here at home over Edmonton in their most recent matchup. They've held their last two opponents to a combined one goal, so I'm expecting some regression here finally on the defensive side vs. this hungry Wings team. When you add it all up, this O/U line is low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-14-22 | Hawks v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 124-135 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
10* Magic (EXPRESS) Yes the 14-14 Hawks could REALLY use a win here after losing four of their last five, but the problem is is that they have no chemistry and are playing terribly. That's good news for the surging Magic. Orlando is just 8-20, so after three straight SU/ATS wins in a row, it can ill afford to take the foot off the gas. These teams are moving in different directions and the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing. Orlando plays with revenge as well after a loss to ATL in late November. While the outright is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Magic! AAA Sports |
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12-13-22 | Celtics v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 122-118 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Boston is 21-7, while the Lakers are 11-15. The Celtics have seemingly "run out of gas" though on this Western swing, having lost both games to the Warriors and to the Clippers just last night. I think they stumble again here as the favorite. The Lakers ended their road trip with a convincing 124-117 win at Detroit. They've been playing a lot better behind fantastic play from Anthony Davis. With a night's rest, I think LA has a legitimate shot at winning this game outright. That said, let's grab the points; the play is the Lakers! AAA Sports |
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12-13-22 | Flyers v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Flyers/Avs (TOTAL EXPRESS) I'm expecting a wide-open, higher-scoring affair here today. Philadelphia is off a 5-4 OT loss at Arizona. They play with revenge here today after a 5-3 loss at home to Colorado on December 5th. Note that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater home loss against an opponent. Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight after its 3-2 OT win at St. Louis, which is important for us to note here, as the Avs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a faster-paced, higher-scoring "over" in this one! AAA Sports |
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12-13-22 | UMass Lowell v. Rhode Island +2.5 | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (MAULING) Umass Lowell River i scoming off a 68-59 win over St. Francis. It's averaging 82.2 PPG, but so far the Hawks haven't played anyone of any significance. Rhode Island is now 3-7 after a 77-67 win over Army as a 7-point favorite. The Rams average 64.9 PPG. Their strength of schedule definitely has been more difficult though. Let's not overreact to early numbers. This is a game which Rhode Island can win outright, but I think we're getting a gift here with the points; the play is the Rams! AAA Sports |
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12-12-22 | Patriots -1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
10* Patriots (ASSASSIN) I just think that Kyler Murray and the Cards have thrown in the towel on the season and I expect them to simply "go through the motions" today. Arizona lost 25-24 to the Chargers in its most recent matchup, and off that terrible letdown, I expect a half-hearted effort here today. The Patriots are well-coached and the better overall team in my opinion. I expect a clinical performance from Bellichick's team today. Look for New England to grind out the win and cover on the National stage! AAA Sports |
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12-12-22 | Monmouth +22 v. Syracuse | Top | 71-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (SHOCKER) Outright win? Of course not. I just think that the 1-9 Monmouth Hawks will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread they've been afforded here. Syracuse is 6-4 after its big 83-64 home win over Georgetown. It has a home game against Cornell up next. I think the home side will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas in the second half. Monmouth averages 61.5 PPG, while Syracuse averages 73.3. Expect a much tighter game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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12-12-22 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 228.5 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nets/Wizards (EXPRESS) When these teams played against each other on November 30th, the total went "under" the number in the Nets' 113-107 victory. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Since then Brooklyn has gone 3-1, and it's seen the total now go "over" in three straight (but that's significant to note, as the Nets have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Wizards have now lost six straight after a 114-107 home loss to the Clippers. They only average 110.8 PPG, and I think they'll struggle to reach that number this evening. Look for a much more defensive affair here; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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12-11-22 | St Francis PA +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 66-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* St. Francis (MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do think that the backdoor will be left wide-open for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the large amount of points that it's been afforded here. St. Francis comes into this game with a 3-7 record. So far the Red Flash average 74.2 PPG, while allowing 74.3. Hawaii is 5-3. It averages 67.5 PPG, while allowing just 59.8. The Red Flash offense will test Hawaii here and it's the difference-maker in the end. Despite how well the Warriors are playing defensively, I'm expecting a much tighter game than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is St. Francis PA! AAA Sports |
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12-11-22 | Dolphins v. Chargers +3.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Chargers (AFC SIDE OF MONTH) It's a "must win" game for the Chargers, and I think they'll, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Dolphins are off the 33-17 loss at San Francisco, snapping a five-game win streak. They're still 8-4. They have a tough game at Buffalo next week, so they'll have to be cautious here to not get caught "looking ahead" to that difficult divisional matchup. The Chargers are now 6-6 after last week's 27-20 loss at Las Vegas as 2.5-point underdogs. They're still well behind the 9-3 Chiefs, but note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten as a home underdog in the +3 to +4.5 points range. While the outright win is possible, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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12-11-22 | Suns +3 v. Pelicans | Top | 124-129 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
10* Suns (ASSASSIN) Off a 128-117 loss here just two nights ago, I like the visiting side to bounce back and to find a way to deliver here in this revenge scenario. Note that the Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. New Orleans is in unchartered territory right now with a big target on its back with the No. 1 record in the West at 17-8. With B2B games at Utah after this, followed by another game at the Suns after that, I believe the home side gets caught looking ahead; look for the revenge-minded Suns to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and grab the points! AAA Sports |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 53.5 | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vikes/Lions (NFC NORTH TOY) For a number of different reasons, I expect this total to stay "under" the posted number. The Vikes are 10-2, but they're slight underdogs here on the road vs. the 5-7 Lions. Detroit has inexplicably won four of its last five, but after last week's big 40-14 home victory over Jacksonville, I think the Lions will have a much harder time moving the ball vs. their divional opponent today. The first matchup of the season resulted in a 28-24 win for the Vikes, and the total went "over" the number of 51.5 in that one. But I think the rematch, considering the implications, will be a much more methodical, slower-paced defensive affair where field position becomes paramount. Look for Minnesota to pound the football via the run game while on offense, while also delivering a lot of pressure on the defensive side; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
8* Jaguars (SPECIAL) As the title of this selection eludes too, this is probably the biggest contrarian play on the board today. The majority of the public money is on Tennessee here, but while most are "zigging," I'm going to be "zagging" on this one. The Titans have lost two straight. They have zero momentum. They only average 18.2 PPG. The Jaguars has won two of three before last week's 40-14 loss at Detroit. Note though that Trevor Lawrence and company average 21.5 PPG still. Tennessee continues to decline here in my opinion, and I think that Lawrence will be able to move the ball and keep his team "in this one" late; the outright is possible of course, but let's grab the points with the Jaguars! AAA Sports |
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12-10-22 | Celtics v. Warriors +4.5 | Top | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) Boston is 21-5. It'll have "revenge" on its mind here, but I don't think that'll be enough to beat the defending champs in their own building tonight. Boston is off the 125-98 win at Phoenix. It plays the Lakers and Clippers after this. Golden State is the more motivated side here off a 124-123 loss at Utah three nights ago. While only 13-13, the Warriors are still a near-perfect 11-2 at home this season. Golden State and Stephen Curry won't be going down without a fight here in this important non-conference matchup. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is the Warriors! AAA Sports |
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12-10-22 | Navy v. Army OVER 32 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER Navy/Army (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams have historically played to several lower-scoring games over the last decade. Both run the triple-option, and neither will throw the ball much if at all. It's going to be blustery conditions as well in Philadelphia, but with all of that said, I still think this number is low. Navy averaes 22.4 PPG, while Army averages 29.4. Tyhier Taylor has 12 rushing TD, and the Black Knights averaged over 300 rushing yards per game. Navy uses a combination of Maasai Maynor and Xavier Arline at QB, and it's been effective as well. I believe each will come close to their seasonal offensive average here, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-10-22 | Louisville +10 v. Florida State | Top | 53-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) We have a couple of really poor teams colliding here in ACC action on Saturday afternoon. Louisville is 0-8 SU/ATS, while FSU is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS. Louisville is only averaging 57.4 PPG, while Florida State is averaging 65.5. These teams are both terrible defensively. Both have more questions than answers. I have no trust whatsoever that Louisville can pull off a road upset, but at the same time, I don't trust the Seminoles either to cover such a large spread. For this selection, expect it to be a tight competitive affair throughout, but grab the points; the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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12-09-22 | Sharks v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sharks/Ducks (EXPRESS) These teams have been playing to higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. San Jose is off the 6-5 OT loss at home to Vancouver. It only averages 2.97 GPG though. It plays with revenge here after a 5-4 loss to the Ducks at the start of November, but note that SJ has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded five or more goals in. The Ducks are off a 4-3 OT win over Carolina, but they oly average 2.48 GPG. I don't see either team reaching its offensive average here tonight though. In a game that I see being a very tight defensive-affair, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-09-22 | Washington v. Gonzaga OVER 148 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/Gonzaga (NON-CONF TOW) When these teams battled in 2019, Gonzaga walked away with the 83-76 victory. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Washington is 7-2 after a 73-63 win over Colorado in its last outing. Overall the Huskies are averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 63.9. Keion Brooks leads the nightly charge with an average of 16.6 PPG. The Huskies will have to bring their "A" game to face the 6-3 Bulldogs. Gonzaga is averaging a whopping 80.2 PPG this year, but its defense has taken a step back, as it's conceding 74.1. Finally note, the "over" is 5-1 in Washington's last six games following a straight-up win. I expect a faster-paced affair here, one that flies well "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-09-22 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | Top | 117-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
10* OVER Suns/Pelicans. For a number of different reasons, I expect this total to fly well "over" the posted number. The Suns are 16-8 after a listless 125-98 home loss to Boston. But that's important to note here, as Phoenix has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 when coming off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. New Orleans is off the 104-98 home win over Detroit. It plays with revenge here after a 124-111 road loss at Phoenix in late October. Note that the Pels have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for these two surging clubs to battle to a higher-scoring affair; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota +4.5 | Top | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Golden Gophers. This is Michigan's first true road game of the season and I think it'll struggle in this difficult road venue. The Wolverines return from their 73-69 loss to No. 19 Kentucky in London as well, so travel and the fatigue factor becomes an issue as well. UM has lost three of the last four in this series as well. This is a big game for Minnesota, playing here at Williams Arena for the first time since Nov. 17th. Last year Minnesota beat the Wolverines 75-65 in Ann Arbor for the first time since 2011. The average margin of victory between these teams over the last ten games is 3.2 points. This one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last; so grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-08-22 | Rockets v. Spurs +2.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* Spurs (ASSASSIN) Two really bad teams collide on Thursday night, and only one can come out the winner. I think that'll be the Spurs tonight on their home floor. Houston is off a rare 132-123 OT home win over Philly, and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here. After this the Rockets return home for four straight, starting with the Bucks, so I also say they get caught "looking ahead" here. "Letdown" + "look ahead" = "trap game!" The Spurs have lost ten straight. But off B2B home losses in which they've failed to reach the 100-point plateu, I expect the home side to come out fired up tonigth. They're off the 133-95 home loss to the Suns, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 95 or less points in. Look for San Antonio to finally deliver here in front of the home town crowd! AAA Sports |
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12-08-22 | Kings v. Maple Leafs -165 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
8* Leafs (BIG-CHALK) I think the Leafs are worth the price of admission here today. The Kings have been good this year. They're 14-10, but off a 5-2 win at Ottawa last time out, I think they stumble here. LA is only averaging 3.43 GPG, while allowing 3.54. Toronto averages 3.07 GPG, while allowing 2.44. Toronto is off an impressive 4-0 win at Dallas and it plays with revenge here after a 4-2 loss at LA back in October. Look for Toronto to defend home ice and to avenge the earlier loss; lay the price, the play is the Leafs! AAA Sports |
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12-07-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
8* RANGERS PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) In a game that I envision being very tight, decided late, or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance here today. New York is 7-4-0-1 on the road. It's coming off a 6-4 win at home over St. Louis. With a tough upcoming stretch of games, I expect the visiting side to come out fired up here tonight. Las Vegas is just 7-5 at home. It's coming off a 4-3 shootout win at Boston. After that big victory and after returning home following a 3-1 road trip, I expect a bit of a mental letdown here. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar; I feel the most comfortable laying the price for the 1.5 goals and the Rangers on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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12-07-22 | Connecticut v. Florida +4.5 | Top | 75-54 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* Florida (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Florida is 6-3 and UConn is 9-0. This is going to be a competitive battle, one which I see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last. The Huskies are coming off a 74-64 win over Oklahoma State. So far UConn is averaging 82.9 PPG, while allowing 58.7. The Gators come in off an 89-51 win over Stetson. Florida average 81 PPG, while conceding just 69. Yes, UConn is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine overall, but looking back finds is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine true road contests. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series head-to-head and as I stated off the top, while the outright win isn't out of the question, I'm going to grab the points in a contest that has all the makings of a competitive "nail-biter;" the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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12-07-22 | Hawks v. Knicks OVER 232 | Top | 89-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Hawks/Knicks (ASSASSIN) These are two teams in need of a win. Atlanta is 13-11. It's 5-6 on the road. New York is 11-13 and 5-7 at home. The Hawks are coming off a 121-114 loss at home to Oklahoma City. That broke a two game win streak, but over their last three games, the Hawks have still averaged 119 points per game. I think they keep that offensive momentum rolling here. Tre Young and head coach Nate McMillan got into an argument, and Young walked out of the last game, but that'll just add fuel to the fire here for the Hawks I think in this one. And then for New York, it just snapped a two-game slide with a low-scoring 92-81 win here over Cleveland on the weekend. But that's signficant to note, as the Knicks have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a straight up and against the spread home victory in which they held their opponent to 90 or fewer points in. The Knicks also play with the added incentive of "revenge" here, as they lost 112-96 to the Hawks at the start of November. That play also went "under" the number. But I say the rematch here will be a faster paced contest. This one has all the makings of a shootout in my opinion; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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12-06-22 | Tex A&M Commerce v. Wyoming -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (ULTIMATE BLOWOUT) For a number of different reasons, I expect Wyoming to lay a beating on Texas A&M Commerce. Wyoming is 3-5 and Texas A&M Commerce is 4-5. The Lions are coming off a 93-84 loss to Denver. They're averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.3. Their level of competition needs to be taken with a "grain of salt" though to thi s oint. Wyoming is coming off consecutive defeats to Santa Clara and Grand Canyon. The Cowboys are averaging 72.3 PPG, while conceding 69.9. Wyoming though has faced much stiffer competition. This is a great matchup for the Cowboys, and because of their difficult start, I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas at all tonight. With the home side keeping the pdeal to the metal until the final horn, all signs point to a lop-sided destruction; lay the points, the play is Wyoming! AAA Sports |
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12-06-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 102-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) The Lakers have been playing great. At some point they're going to have a letdown, but they play with revenge here and I look for them to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Cleveland won 114-100 in LA a couple of weeks ago. With two whole nights off before a game vs. Sacramento here, the home side gets caught looking ahead as well. The Cavs' two game win streak was snapped with a listless 92-81 loss at New York last time out. LA smoked the Wizards 130-119 last time out. They've won eight of their last ten. They've scored 128, 133 and 130 points over their last three games. The King always "gets up" for games against the Cavs, especially in Cleveland; grab the points, the play is the Lakers! AAA Sports |
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12-06-22 | Red Wings v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Lightning PUCKLINE (ANNIHILATION) Both teams have been playing well of late, but I think this is one that favors the home side. I look for Tampa to not only win this game, but to do so by a comfortable margin. Detroit comes in off the 4-2 win at Columbus. Previous to that it had lost three straight. The Wings are 12-7, but I think they get caught looking ahead here to their tough upcoming schedule at Florida and Dalls up nexts. This is the first game of the year between the clubs. The Lightning have had two days off after a 4-3 OT win over the Leafs in their last outing. Five more home games here for the Bolts, and I expect them to make the most of it; the Lightning are coming on strong the last two weeks, expect that to translate into another big win here this evening! AAA Sports |
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12-05-22 | Pacers +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Pacers (NON-CONF GOW) Indiana is 12-11, and Golden State is 13-11. The Warriors aren't having any issues scoring, but they haven't been able to find any consistency on the defensive end this year. The Pacers have been better than most thought, and they've been able to take advantage of team's "looking past" them a few times already this season. And that's going to be the case here in my estimation as well with the Warriors, who hit the road for a game at Utah after this, followed by games vs. Boston and Milwaukee. Golden State is off the "rocking chair" 120-101 victory here at home over Houston, but I expect it to leave the back door wide open here for this Pacers team that's averaging 115.1 PPG, ranked in the Top 10. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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12-05-22 | North Dakota State +16 v. Portland | Top | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* North Dakota State (MAULING) The North Dakota State Bison come in "under the radar" here after starting 1-8 and on a four-game slide. That includes a 78-70 loss to Eastern Washington on the road in their most recent. But I think the 7-4 Pilots will come in complacent here and "look past" their lowly opponent today after a 90-69 home win over North Dakota in their most recent outing. If we looked only at these team's offensive and defensive numbers, then we'd come to the conclusion that the Pilots are the much better team. And they are. But this is a bad spot for them to cover this many points. I think the Bison keep this one close enough for sure to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; the play is North Dakota State! AAA Sports |
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12-05-22 | Saints +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) This division is weak. Any team that goes on a run right now still has an opportunity to take it. That includes 4-8 New Orleans. But it lost the first game to the Bucs at home by a score of 20-10, so that actually makes this a "must win" game for New Orleans to keep its playoff hopes alive. Both teams are struggling in many regards, but the Saints actually are averaging more points than the Bucks (20.8 compared to 18.2.) Their defenses are similar. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these desperate teams has it hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-04-22 | Stanford +5 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOY) Stanford is now 3-5 after an 80-66 home loss to UCLA in its most recent action. The Cardinal average 66.5 PPG. Arizona State is 7-1. It's coming off an upset 60-59 road win at Colorado as a 4.5-point underdog and I think a predictable letdown is in the cards here tonight for the home side. The Sun Devils are averaging a slightly better 72.2 PPG. ASU comes in a bit complacent here and also gets caught looking ahead to its neutral site game against Creighton next week. It's a "trap" for the Sun Devils. No such luxury for the Cardinal though. Stanford is struggling on offense, but makes up for it defensively in holding opponents to just 65.4 PPG. I think this is going to come down to the wire, as I said off the top, I think this is a great "spot" for the visitors; grab the points, the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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12-04-22 | Bulls +3 v. Kings | Top | 101-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* Bulls (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great spot for the Bulls to bounce back in. Chicago is only 9-13, including 4-8 on the road. I think it sneaks in under the radar here though after B2B road losses, most recently a 119-111 loss at Golden State. The main reason I like the Bulls here though is that the Kings played, and won 123-96 at the Clippers just last night. Sacramento averages 120 PPG, which ranks second, but its defense is poor. The Kings are going to struggle with fatigue here in the second game of the back-to-back and while I clearly think the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Bulls! AAA Sports |
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12-04-22 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) Two teams in dire need of a win, and which have not played to many high-scoring affairs of late, collide here on Sunday and in my opinion, everything points to a wide-open "goal-fest." Detroit is off the 4-1 loss at home to Vegas just last night. It's still 11-7-3-2 and note that the Wings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after a home loss in which they were held to one or less goals in. Columbus is only 8-12-1-1,Ā but it'll look to keep the foot on the gas after a 4-1 win at Winnipeg last time out. The problem for the Blue Jackets this year? Defensively! They concede 3.95 GPG, which ranks 31st. Look for this faster-paced affair to result in plenty of goals; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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12-04-22 | Chiefs -1.5 v. Bengals | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 31 m | Show |
10* Chiefs (NON-DIV GOM) It's a big matchup here, but one that I believe favors Patrick Mahomes and the visiting Chiefs. KC is now 9-2 after pulling way for a 26-10 win over the Rams last week. They average 29.6 PPG, which is ranked No. 1 in the league. The Bengals aren't too far behind in averaging 25.9. Cincinnati is now 7-4 after last week's 20-16 road win at Tennessee as a 1-point favorite. This is a revenge game for the Chiefs, who fell 27-24 in OT as 7-point favorites in last year's AFC Championship Game. They say that revenge is a dish "best served cold," and I couldn't agree more. KC has once again moved to the top of the food chain in the AFC and I look for the Chiefs to go up early, and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle; the play is KC! AAA Sports |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars +1 v. Lions | 14-40 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
8* Jaguars (SPECIAL) The NFC North is a difficult division. Detroit is actually in second place at 4-7, but at 9-2, the Vikings have already essentially claimed the crown. The Lions would have to run the table and get outside help likely to earn a wildcard. It's going to be very difficult, if not impossible. The Jags are just 4-7 as well, and they're also tied for second in the AFC South with the Colts. At 7-4, the Titans hold the lead, but still anything can happen. So the Jaguars still do legitimately have a shot at running down the Titans. And last week was just what the doctor ordered for Trevor Lawrence's confidence. It was for sure his best game ever as a professional as he led his team for the come from behind 29-28 win over the Ravens. He's been getting better and better with each outing this year and I expect that progression to continue to pay dividends for Jaguars backers this weekend; grab the point/s, the play is Jacksonville! AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State +9 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (NON-CONF GOM) Outright win?! While anything is of course possible, my official call here will be to grab as many points as you can with the 1-5 Frenso State Bulldogs. The UC Irvine Anteaters are 6-2 and I think they come out complacent here and get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent this evening to two weeks off, before a conference matchup at 6-2 Santa Clara. Clearly, the Bulldogs don't have the luxury to look past anyone or to take the foot off the gas at any point in this game. I like betting on motivated teams. I think the Anteaters are primed for a classic letdown. I'm banking on this one being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | Golden Knights v. Red Wings +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -195 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
8* WINGS PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) Detroit has had two nights off after a 5-4 shootout loss here to Buffalo. I think the Wings are worth the price of admission here to pay the larger price and get the 1.5 goals of insurance in our back pockets. Detroit is 7-3-1-2 at home and I'm expecting another battle here against Vegas. The Knights are 17-7-1 after a 3-2 loss at Pittsburgh on Thursday. With a game at league-leading Boston up next, will Vegas get caught "looking ahead?" Detroit hits the road for a four-game road trip starting tomorrow in Columbus, so I expect it to lay everything on the line to try and secure the victory here at home; lay the price and grab the Wings on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | Bucks v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Hornets (ASSASSIN) For a couple of different reasons, I really expect this to be a very defensive affair on Saturday night. More than anything, this is just a common sense play. Both teams played and went "over" the total just last night! The Lakers beat the Bucks 133-129 as 8.5-point underdogs, which is signficant to note, as Milwaukee has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS home loss in which it allowed 130 or more points in. Charlotte's off the tight 117-116 home win over Washington, "lucky" as it only scored ten points total in the final quarter. I think the Hornets are "gassed" here for sure now in the second game of the B2B; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | LSU v. Georgia -17 | Top | 30-50 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
10* Georgia (SEC GOM) I like No. 1 Georgia to lay the hammer down on No. 11 LSU today and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish with no mercy. Georgia is of course the defending champ and it's trying to win back-to-back SEC Championships for the first time since all the way back in 1980. Experience does count in these games, and this is the Bulldogs fifth trip to this game in the last six years. First-year head coach Brian Kelly led LSU to an unexpected SEC West division championship and I believe he and his team are in over their heads here this weekend. Georgia may only be 6-6 ATS this year, but it's 3-0 ATS when favored by 20 or less points this season. Georgia has a great run game and LSU struggles against good run teams; lay the points, the play is the Bulldogs! AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | Oral Roberts v. Tulsa +4 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Tulsa (SPECIAL) Oral Roberts is 5-3 and Tulsa is 2-4. I think that home floor can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one. Oral Roberts is coming off a loss to Utah State. It averages 84.1 PPG, but its competition to this point needs to be taken into account. Tulsa is off a loss to Oklahoma State. Overall the Golden Hurricane are averaging 70.2 PPG. Their schedule to this point has been more difficult. This is a battle for the PSO Mayor's Cup, and I think Tulsa will correct some of its issues and, at the very least, take it right down to the wire; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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12-02-22 | Pelicans v. Spurs +7.5 | Top | 117-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* Spurs (ASSASSIN) The Pels have been great this year, they enter at 13-8. They're just 5-5 on the road though. The Spurs are 6-16 and just 3-8 at home, but after seven straight ATS losses and nine straight SU losses, and also playing with revenge here after a 129-110 loss at New Orleans a couple of weeks ago, I love the home side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch (note that the Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a 15 points or greater SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. New Orleans is off two straight home wins. It has a night off after this before a four-game home stand, starting with red hot Denver. I say the Pels get caught "looking ahead." The outright is a possibility, but the official call will indeed to grab as many points as you can with the Spurs! AAA Sports |
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12-02-22 | North Texas +9 v. UTSA | Top | 27-48 | Loss | -113 | 52 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNT (CONF-USA GOM) UNT is 7-5. It averages 34.5 PPG, which ranks 25th in the country. It beat Rice 21-17 in its finale. It faced UTSA in Week 8 and lost 31-27 on the road as a ten-point underdog. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting another really tight and close battle here today as well. UTSA is 10-2. It averages 37.9 PPG. It held on for the 34-31 win over UTEP at home as a 16.5-point favorite in its final game. UNT's aggressive defense and strong run will once again keep it competitive late. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one being MUCH closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is UNT! AAA Sports |
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12-02-22 | Boston University v. Merrimack +3.5 | Top | 68-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Merrimack (MID-MAJOR MAULING) These teams are evenly matched. They always play to tight, competitive affairs, as the last two head-to-head matchups have been decided by a grand total of just three points. We can expect a similar battle until the end tonight, and that's why I'm definitely grabbing the points in this matchup. BU has now dropped three in a row, so it comes in with zero momentum. Merrimack may only average 56.4 PPG, but it's only allowing 56.3. I think Boston is completely over-priced here, so I'm grabbing the points; the play is Merrimack! AAA Sports |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 43.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
Buffalo/Patriots OVER (AFC EAST TOTAL OF MONTH) It's clearly a big game for both teams, but more so for New England. The Patriots are 6-5 after last week's 33-26 loss at Minnesota on Thanksgiving Day. These teams play again in the very final game of the year. The Patriots have struggled with offensive consistency, but they're going to have to be the aggressor today. The Bills are coming off back-to-back road victories in Detroit, coming from behind to knock off the Lions on Thanksgiving Day for their second straight win on the same field (snow game the previous outing.) The Bills are now having to play a third-straight game on the road as a favorite. It's difficult to win in the NFL. It's even more difficult to win on the road in the NFL as a favorite week after week. I just see this being an offensive battle. Both teams moved the ball last week and I expect the same here; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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12-01-22 | Illinois State +12.5 v. Murray State | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I definitely think that this spread is a few points too large. Illinois State is 2-5. It's on a four-game SU losing streak after a 57-44 home loss to Rhode Island. The Racers are the better team, but they're just 3-3 after Saturday's 69-66 road loss to Chatanooga. So far the Redbirds are averaging 61.3 PPG, while allowing 67. Murray State is averaging 76.3 PPG, while allowing 70.5. I think Illinois State's defense will keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is the Redbirds! AAA Sports |
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12-01-22 | Mavs v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 125-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mavericks/Pistons (NON-CONF. TOM). I think we'll see more of a defensive affair here, rather than a wide-open run and gun shootout. The Mavericks are 10-10, but just 1-7 on the road. They're coming off the high-scoring 116-113 home win over Golden State, but they still average only l09.4 PPG, ranked 24th. Dallas most nights gets the job done with tough defensive play. Detroit is just 5-18, and it's coming off a 140-110 home loss here to New YOrk two nights ago. The Pistons though only average 109.1 PPG, ranked 26th. I can't see either team reachign their seasonal offensive averages here tonight (note as well that Detroit has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a 25 points or greater SU/ATS home loss.) All signs point to a lower-scoring battle between these non-conference opponets. AAA Sports |
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11-30-22 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 227 | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Knicks (ASSASSIN) For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done. Common sense is a great approach to use here for the Knicks, who are off a big 140-110 win at Detroit just last night. I had the Knicks in that one. But, I beliee fatigue will be a factor here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Bucks are 14-5, one of the best records in the league, but they haven't been killing teams with offense, as they average 112.5 PPG, ranked 15th in the league. Instead it's been aggressive defensive play. Both teams have seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but I believe that the value has now finally swung the other way as far as the total is concerned; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-30-22 | Purdue v. Florida State +15 | Top | 79-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* FSU (BLOOD-BATH) This of course is part of the BIG 10/ACC Challenge. Outside of the Final Four Tournament, many college basketball fans enjoy this stretch of the season more than any other. Regardless, for this one we have two teams on completely opposite ends of the spectrum. Purdue is 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread, while Florida State is 1-7 straight-up and 1-7 against the spread. The Boilermakers already have wins over Duke, Gonzaga and West Virginia. They've held three teams to under 60 points so far this season. Zach Edey is the main man, averaging 21.7 points and 12 rebounds per game. Florida State has had a miserable start to its season. Its only win was against Mercer. The Seminoles have actually failed to score 60 points in four of their seven games. One bright spot has been the play of Caleb Mills who averages 12.6 points and 3.2 assists per game. This isn't about picking a straight up winner. This is about which team can cover with the spread, and for me, I just think that the public hammering the Boilermakers left right and center. just whenever they're playing now, while at the same time they see how much Florida State has struggled, and both of those factors have combined to make this spread a few points larger than it really should be; I'm going to grab the points with FSU! AAA Sports |
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11-30-22 | Sabres v. Red Wings -128 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* RED WINGS (Atlantic DIV GOY) I think we're getting really great value on the Wings here. Detroit is 11-6-3-1 this seasonl including 7-3-1-1 at home. Buffalo is 9-12-1-0 this year, including 4-5-0-0 on the road. The Sabres are off a tough 6-5 OT home loss to Tampa, while Detroit's four game win streak was just snapped in a 4-2 home loss to Toronto. Buffalo gets caught looking ahead here as well to its game at home tomorrow night vs. the defending Stanley Cup Champions. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value," and it's for this reason for the most part that the Red Wings have become my 10* Atlantic Division GAME OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports |
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11-29-22 | Alcorn State v. Grand Canyon -12.5 | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Alcorn State is 3-4 SU, and Grand Canyon is 5-2. The Alcorn State Braves average 62.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. I expect them to have their hands full today. Dominic Brewton leads the nightly charge for the Braves with 13.1 points and 5.6 boards per game. The Antelopes are averaging 72.9 PPG, while conceding just 55.1. They have a deep and experienced team led by Jovan Blacksher Jr, who averages 11.3 points and 2.5 boards per game. These teams have a similar opponent this year. Alcorn State upset Wichita State, but Grand Canyon lost to it. But let's not overreact to early season results. This is a mismatch and I like the Antelopes to deliver at home; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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11-29-22 | Knicks -4.5 v. Pistons | Top | 140-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) The Knicks are 9-11, while the Pistons are 5-17. Off two straight home losses, and having dropped four of its last five, I like New York to finally bounce back here in this favorable spot. These teams played in New York on November 11th and the Knicks won by a score of 121-112. I expect a similar final outcome here. Detroit has covered in five straight ATS, and I expect that string to end here as well. Look for the Knicks to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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11-29-22 | Lightning v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lighting/Bruins (TOP TOTAL) If you've followed me for any length of time, then you've heard me say many times that I don't follow any particular single handicapping methodology, but that I instead feel that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. Some times I completely break down a pick, looking at every player, every stat, every angle I can find, but other times a more "common sense" approach is definitely the best way to approach a contest. And that's the case with this particular one. Tampa's off a tight 6-5 OT win at Buffalo just last night, and I expect the Bolts to come in with "heavy legs" here in the second game of the B2B. Look for the viistors to double down on the defensive side tonight. The Bruins are 18-3 this year. They're off a tight 3-2 OT win over Carolina here at home three nights ago and I expect a similar final combined score here as well; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-28-22 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 235 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Lakers (NON-CONF TOW) A common sense play here. The Pacers are off a 114-100 loss to the Clippers here just last night and I expect the visiting side to come into this one with "heavy legs." They continue their tough road trip at Sacramento to end the month. The Lakers have been playing a lot better of late. They're coming off back-to-back road wins at San Antonio, including a 143-138 victory in the second one. They're still only averagihg 112.2 PPG though. I think we'll see a much more subdued game here, and because of that, I'm expecting this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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11-28-22 | Steelers v. Colts OVER 39 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Steelers/Colts (ASSASSIN) Neither team has officially been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, but each is on the ropes. Each has struggled offensively, and done decently on the defensive side. That's why we have such a low total here again tonight on Prime Time. But I just can't see either of these teams sitting back and playing conservatively this evening. They need a win. They need a spark. And I expect this to translate into a very wide-open contest between these non-conference opponents. With their backs against the proverbial wall this evening, expect a hard-fought competitive affair, but one the flied well "over" this low number! AAA Sports |
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11-28-22 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
10* Jackets PUCKLINE (NON-CONF GOW) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on Columbus on the puckline option here. Las Vegas is 9-1-1 on the road and 16-6 overall. It's been great, but it comes in with zero momentum, having lost two straight. Columbus is 7-12-1 overlal. It's coming off a tight 3-2 home loss here to the Islanders. The Jackets have been competitive even in defeat lately and I believe the underachieving home side will, at the very least, take Las Vegas right down to the wire here. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm going to grab Columbus on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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11-27-22 | Dartmouth +4 v. Texas-San Antonio | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Dartmouth (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The Dartmouth Big Green are 1-4 and the UTSA Roadrunners are 4-2. Dartmouth is off a tight 69-64 loss to Incarnate Word. Dusan Neskovic leads the nightly charge with 13.4 points and 4.2 rebounds per game for the Big Green. Dartmouth has no issues scoring, entering averaging 77.4 PPG. UTSA averages 65.5. The Roadrunners are coming off a humbling 75-55 loss to Grambling State. Japhet Medor leads the team with 12.7 points and four assists per game. Dartmouth though is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six after an ATS loss, while UTSA is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage below .400. Dartmouth's defense catches a break this week. I say the outright is possible, but grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-27-22 | Jets v. Blackhawks +1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
10* Blackhawks PUCKLINE (Central Division GOM) Betting the regular season in the NBA and NHL is about betting "siutations." Clearly Winnipeg is the better team, but I think this is a great spot for the hungry Hawks to make a very competitive game of this one here, making the "puckline" option the savvy call in the end in my opinion. Winnipeg is off an emotional 5-4 OT win at Dallas on Friday night, and after this game vs. the lowly Hawks, it returns home to face the defending Stanley Cup Champion Avalanche. Chicago has lost six straight, but it hasn't been for a lack of trying. It lost 6-4 at Dallas most recently, before then falling 3-2 in a shootout at home to the Canadiens. This is a revenge game as well for the Hawks, who fell 4-0 to Winnipeg at the start of the month. As stated off the top, a great situational play with a ton of overall value; the play is Chicago on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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11-27-22 | Wizards +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 121-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* Wizards (NON-DIV GOM) I think this is a great spot for the Wizards. Washington plays with revenge after losing to Boston 112-94 on October 30th. With a game at home against the Wolves tomorrow, the Wizards can't look past the mighty Celtics tonight. Boston is off a 122-104 win over Sacramento, but it could come in complacent here with a game at home tomorrow against Charlotte. The Wizards have lost five straight against-the-spread, but note that Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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11-27-22 | Chargers v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (ASSASSIN) Both teams NEED a win here. This is a crucial week for both the Chargers and the Cardinals, but I can't overstate how important I believe that the home field factor will be for Arizona this week. That hasn't been the case so far to this point, as the Chargers are 5-0 ATS on the road, and the Cards are just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS at home. Look for these lop-sided numbers to normalize over the second half of the season though. LA enters having lost three of its last four and despite probably having the better QB in Justin Herbert on the field, I just don't trust this LA team on the road. Cards' coach Kliff Kingsbury is on the hot seat, likely needing a win here to keep his job. Kyler Murray has missed the last two weeks, but he returns now this weekend. I think the pivot will be a difference-maker this weekend. The majority of the money is on LA here, but I look for this underachieving Cardinals team to dip deep and deliver at home; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-27-22 | Broncos v. Panthers OVER 36 | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER (GRAND-DADDY) For a number of different reasons I am expecting this total to eclipse this lower numer as the game comes down the stretch. Yes, there's no question that both the Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers come into this contest with more questions than answers. Especially on the offensive end. It would be really easy to point at these team's offensive and defensive numbers and just assume that this will be a lower-scoring game, but each team will be opening up the playbook as they desperately seek a spark and a victory. The Panthers have a new QB under center this week. The Broncos keep trying to figure new things out on offense. I say the pendulum finally swings the other way as far as the total is concerned for these two teams; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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11-26-22 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 234 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER OKC/Houston. Here's a great situational "spot bet." I don't know what else to call it but exactly that. OKC is coming off a 123-119 OT home win over the Bulls as a 3-point underdog just last night (I had the Thunder in that one.) I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for the visiting side in the second game of the back-to-back. Starters could even be rested. Houston is off a rare win just last night as well, holding on for the 128-122 victory at home over the Hawks. Despite that win though, note that the Rockets are still only averaging 109.7 PPG, which is ranked 22nd. Everything points to a much lower-scoring defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-26-22 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 63.5 | Top | 48-51 | Win | 100 | 58 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Oklahoma/Texas Tech (BIG 12 TOY) For a number of different reasons, I expect each team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here, and because of that, I look for this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later. Oklahoma is off a big win over Oklahoma State by a score of 28-13, making the Sooners eligible. I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas here though with the chance for a better bowl on th eline. The Sooners average 31.5 PPG, and last year they won this game by a score of 55-21. The Red Raiders moved to 6-5 as well in a tough 14-10 win at Iowa State as a 3.5-point underdog. It was a gritty win and I look for Texas Tech, which averages 32 PPG, to lay it all on the line here in the final game of the year at home; it's a great situational play, as I'm expecting each team to push the pace until the final whistle; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-26-22 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +14 | Top | 56-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (SEC GOW) Tennessee can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at 9-2 on the final game of the year, but I do expect the Vols to do just that in the second half. Will 5-6 Vanderbilt pull off the epic upset and win this game outright? Highly unlikely, but I do absolutely believe that the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Vols come in off a crippling 63-38 loss at South Carolina. The Commodores actually pulled off a similar upset last week, beating Florida 31-24 at home as a 13.5-point underdog. Now here on Senior Night and the final game of the season, I'm expecting Vanderbilt to put up another fight until the end here as well; grab the points, the play is the Commodores! AAA Sports |
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11-26-22 | Capitals v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Capitals/Devils OVER (METROPLITAN TOY) For a couple of different reasons, I'm expecting a wide-open shootout here between these Divisional foes, instead of a "lock-down" defensive battle. New Jersey is now 17-4 after rebounding from its first loss in a while to defeat Buffalo by a score of 3-1 yesterday. New Jersey owns the No. 1 defense in the league, but I think it'll have its hands full with this hungry 9-10-1-2 Capitals team, that is coming off back-to-back wins, including a 3-0 home victory over the Flames last night. Fatigue will be a factor for both teams, but I believe it'll be detrimental on the defensive end. Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a shutout home victory as well. When they played on October 24th in the Nation's capital, the Caps won by a score of 6-3. So this is a revenge spot as well for the Devils. In what I anticipate to be a wide-open "goal-fest," look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-26-22 | Iowa v. TCU +6 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* TCU (TOURNEY GOW) This is part of the Emerald Coast Classic in Niceville, Florida. Iowa is 5-0 thi syear after beating Clemson 74-71 last time out. So far the Hawkeyes are averaging 96 PPG, while conceding 65. Kris Murray leads the nightly charge with 23.8 points and eight rebounds per game. TCU is 4-1 after beating Cal 59-48 last time out. The Horned Frogs went on to force 19 turnovers in the victory. So far they're averaging 77 PPG, while allowing 65.5. Mike Miles Jr. leads TCU with 20.5 PPG on average. Iowa let a big lead slip away late against Clemson, and almost stumbled last time out. Look for the Horned Frogs aggressive defensive play to be the difference maker here; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | North Dakota State v. Northern Colorado +2.5 | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (MAULING) We have a couple of 1-4 teams going head-to-head here, but I believe this is a contest that favors the visiting side. North Dakota State is coming off its first win of the year, albeit over Crown College. UNC lost to CO Christian in its last outing. Northern Colorado matches up well with North Dakota State. Also, the Bears have hit 69 or or more points in three of their last four games. UNC is the more motivated side and I expect it to pull away for a comfortable win/cover; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | Idaho +13.5 v. Pacific | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
8* Idaho (SPECIAL) Idaho ia only 1-5 SU, including 0-3 ATS on the road. It's also just 1-4 ATS. The Vandals have many issues, but I still think that 2-3 Pacific is overvalued here. The Tigers are 0-2 SU/ATS at home, so the home floor advantage is not a factor whatsoever in this particular matchup. Idaho is off a high-scoring 82-71 loss to Cal Poly Slo. The Vandals can score, averaging 73.7 PPG. Pacific averages 83.6. These defenses are both pretty terrible, so let's call that area a "wash." Look for the hungrier Vandals to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | Bulls v. Thunder +2 | Top | 119-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma City. Chicago is coming off a 118-113 win over the Bucks on Wednesday. I had the Bulls in that one. However, I expect the visiting side to come out flat here vs. this determined OKC team, that's off a 131-126 OT loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday. Chicago's room for error is very slim most nights, averaging 111.5 PPG, and conceding 111.4 (note that the Bulls will be without Lonzo Ball while Goran Dragic and Kostas Antetokounmpo are listed as day-to-day.) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped a double-double with 31 points and 11 assists in a losing cause for the Thunder last time out. OKC averages 115.9 PPG, while allowing 118.3. Chicago has tough upcoming games at the Suns and the Warriors to look ahead to here. Neither team has shown a lot of consistency from game-to-game, but I love the way this one sets up for the home side; the play is the Thunder! AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
10* Blue Jackets PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Islanders are off a 3-0 home win over Edmonton on Wednesday, but they're just 6-5 on the road this year. With a home game against Philly tomorrow night, I say New York gets caught "looking ahead." Columbus has been trading good efforts with poor ones of late. The Blue Jackets are off a 3-1 home loss to Montrral, two nights after beating Florida by a score of 5-3 on the road. The Jackets play with revenge here as well after falling 4-3 at New York earlier in the season; a great price for the extra 1.5 goals, the play is the Jackets on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +4 | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
10* MISSOURI (SEC GOM) At this time of year, we have to be cerebral with our wagers. This is a great "situational" wager, and that, along with a couple of strong trends that support my position, is what I'm basing this selection on. Arkansas just became bowl eligible in last week's 42-27 win over Ole Miss as a one-point underdog. After that emotional win on "Seniors Night," I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. The Razorbacks average 31 PPG, while the 5-6 Missouri Tigers average 25.2 Missouri kept its bowl hopes alive in last week's 45-14 destruction of New Mexico State. The Tigers have an opportunity to become bowl eligibleon Senior Night themselves, while at the same time avenging a 34-17 loss to Arkansas last season; the outright is clearly possible, but grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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11-24-22 | Fresno State +4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Fresno State is 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS. Vanderbilt is 2-3 SU/ATS. The Bulldogs are averaging 58.4 PPG, while allowing 61.4 Isaih Moore is averaging 12.8 points and 6.8 boards for Fresno State. The Commodores are averaging 70 PPG, while allowing 66.5. Jordan Wright leads the nightly charge for Vanderbilt by averaging 11.3 points and 3.8 assists per game. This is the consolation game in the Wooden Legacy tournament and I think the Bulldogs are primed for a breakout performance here. On the flip-side, I think this has been a big disappointment for Jerry Stackhouse and the Commodores. Both teams are coming off tight losses. I'll caution reading too much into their respective offensive and defensive numbers so early. I think the Bulldogs superior defense though will "win the day" here; that said, grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 51 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Pats/Vikes (TOP TOTAL) Here are two teams that I think will go toe to toe on the national stage, and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of the night, I'm expecting this total to eclipse what I believe to be a very low number. The Patriots have won three straight and they've allowed just six points total over their last two. That was against the Colts and Jets though, two QB's that both really struggled. I like Cousins here at home to boune back after the Vikes' 40-3 home loss to the Cowboys (note though that Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to six or less points in.) Minnesota will absolutely be opening up the playbook on Thanksgiving, and I expect this more wide-open affair to produce a higher-scoring result; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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11-24-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN) The big news surrounding this game is that Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin has been rumoured about taking the job at Auburn as early as this Friday. He's denied those rumors, but this is just a big circus now for Mississippi, a distraction that I think Mississippi State can take advantage of. Ole Miss is 8-3, but it's not playing its best football of the season right now either having lost three of its last four. That includes a 42-27 loss at Arkansas as a 1-point favorite last week. I think Mike Leach and the Bulldogs can take advantage. Mississippi State is 7-4. It's off a 56-7 win over East Tennessee State as a 39-point favorite. It averages 33.5 points per game. Will Rogers is having another solid year, and that doesn't bode well for a Rebels secondary that allows a lot underneath stuff and which is actually ranked 111th in the country in opponent completion percentage and 95th in opponent QB passer rating. The Bulldogs on the other hand have steadily improved defensively throughout the season, as they now rank 14th in the country in takeaways. I think the outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points; the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE! AAA Sports |
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11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -9 | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 34 m | Show | |
9* Cowboys (BLOWOUT) The Giants looked great to open the season, but New York is already starting to regress. This is an important divisional matchup for both teams, but I think it definitely favors the defense of the Cowboys. Giants' QB Daniel Jones is terrible againts good pass rushing teams. That's going to make Saquon Barkley and the visiting side really one-dimensional. Dallas averages 25.1 PPG, while New York averages 20.5. The difference though as I mentioned comes on the defensive end. I expect Jones to be running for his life throughout this one; lay the points, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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11-24-22 | Bills -9.5 v. Lions | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Buffalo (ROUT) Detroit's rattled off three straight wins, but I expect "the wheels to fall off the bus" this weekend. The Bills are 7-3 and second in the AFC East after defeating the Browns 31-23 at home last week. Buffalo has the second ranked offense averaging 28.1 PPG. Detroit averages 25 PPG. Defensively though the Bills are light years ahead of their counterpart, allowing 17.4 PPG, compared the Lions' 28.2. Look for the short week to benefit the better offensive team; lay the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA SportsĀ |
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11-23-22 | Bulls +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
10* Bulls (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great situational wager on the Bulls here. They'd lost four straight, but then they dug deep and posted a quality 121-107 home win over Boston as a 5.5-point favorite in their most recent outing. That was crucial, because it set the tone for this now six-game road trip starting here in Milwaukee to face the Bucks for the first time this season. But this is another important game, to set the tone in the first outing on this trip. Milwaukee is great, it's 12-4 and off a 119-111 home win over Portland. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I think this one means so much more to the Bulls. They're off the solid win and need to set the tone for the rest of this roadtrip right here and now agains the No. 1 team in the East; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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11-23-22 | Louisville +7 v. Cincinnati | 62-81 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
8* Louisville (SPECIAL) Louisville is 0-5 SU/ATS, but I believe it can, at the very least, keep tonight's contest close enough to cover with what I feel to be a generous spread. Cincinnati is 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS. The winner will take seventh spot in the Maui Jim Invitational. The Cardinals are coming off a 70-38 loss to Texas Tech. Jae'lyn Withers led the way in a losing cause with seven points and five boards. Cincinnati is coming off an 81-53 blwout loss to Ohio State as a 3-point underdog. The early numbers for both teams have been terrible. I think these teams are definitely evenly matched. In a contest that I see being decided late though, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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11-23-22 | Bruins v. Panthers -102 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* PANTHERS (EXPRESS) Boston is 17-2. That's ridiculous. The Bruins are going to get hit hard by regression, and that decline starts here and now in my opinion. They're off the 5-3 win at Tampa on Monday, but after this they return home for five straight tough games vs. Carolina, Tampa Bay, Colorado and Vegas. I think Boston finally gets caught looking ahead. The Panthers play with revenge as well after a 5-3 loss to the Bruins back in mid-October (note that Florida is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss to an opponent.) In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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11-22-22 | Rangers v. Kings -103 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
10* LA Kings (ASSASSIN) I think the Rangers are getting too much respect on the road here. They're off the 2-1 win at San Jose, but with a game at Anaheim tomorrow, they'll have to be careful to not look ahead. The Kings are 11-8-2, but they've lost three of their last four. They'll be desperate to get back into the winner's circle here after a 3-2 OT loss at Seattle last time out. The Kings are 6-3-1 at home and I think the offer tremendous value in this spot; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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11-22-22 | Lakers +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* Lakers (PACIFIC GAME OF MONTH) The Lakers have been playing a lot better of late, winners of three straight. This is the first game of the year they've played against the Suns. I think LA is still being undervalued here. The Lakers have two straight in San Antonio after this, but I expect the visiting side to take this game very seriously. A quality victory here, with a chance to sweep in San Antonio would then see the Lakers as one of the hottest teams in the league. But one game at a time. The Suns are 10-6. They're coming off a 116-95 win over the Knicks. If we just look at these team's seasonal averages to this point, then the obvious choice here would be to grab the Suns. But the season is a dynamic/fluid one, and things change. The Lakers are a better team now than at the start of the year and I expect them to come out swinging with their best shot tonight; grab the points the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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11-22-22 | Bowling Green +6.5 v. Ohio | Top | 14-38 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (MAC GOW) Ohio has its sights set on the Conference title game, and I think could stumble here with the finish line in sight. Bowling Green became eligible last week at 6-5 after beating Toledo 42-35 as a 15-point underdog. The Green Falcons did it on the road as well. Ohio is off the 32-18 win at Ball State. Ohio is the better team, but Bowling Green comes in with a lot of momentum. I think this is a factor that the oddsmakers often have a hard time properly quantifying into a line, and that's the case here in this one tonight. While the outright is possible, I'm going to suggest to grab as many points as you can; the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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11-22-22 | Tenn-Martin +4 v. Arkansas State | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
8* Tennessee Martin (SPECIAL) The Tennessee Martin Skyhawks are 3-3, and the Arkansas State Red Wolves are 2-2. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TN-Martin is coming off a win over Prairie View, while Arkansas State is off a loss to UC Davis. The Skyhawks had 43 second-half points in their last win, I think they can keep that offensive momentum rolling here against a Red Wolves side that just lost 75-60 to UC Davis. The Skyhawks have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright, but as stated off the top, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-22-22 | Australia +1.5 v. France | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
8* Australia +1.5 goals (TOP PLAY) The way this Tournament has started, I wouldn't be completely shocked if the Australians pulled out the outright upset here. That said, I think in a game that could be a lot tighter than most are expecting, the best value here is to grab the underdog on the +1.5 ATS line for the game. France is looking to defend its World title, but it comes into the Tournament injured. The Socceroos are looking to end three straight opening round losses. France has looked absolutely terrible over the last year. That's been in part to off-field distractionss and injuries. These teams met in the group stage four years ago, and France won 4-1. Australia is a better team since then, while the French are worse; the play is the Socceroos ATS! AAA Sports |
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11-21-22 | Golden Knights v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vegas/Vancouver (WEST-CONF TOW) For a couple of different reasons, I believe this late West Coast contest will be a very defensive affair, rather than a wide-open shootout. Vegas is 14-4-1, but it's lost three of its last four. That includes a 4-3 OT setback at Edmonton on Saturday night. The Knights return home after this for three straight. Vancouver is just 6-9-2-1, but it's now won two straight. Most recently it was a 4-1 victory at home over LA on Friday night (note that Vancouver has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five when playing with two or more days of rest.) This is an important game for each side, and I expect this intensity to result in a classic hard-hitting, lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* 49ers/Cardinals UNDER (ASSASSIN) Here's a game being played in Mexico City. The 49ers are a big favorite here, but it's not because of QB Jimmy Garopolo. The 49ers have a great defense and run game, and I expect to see a heavy dose of that from the 49ers this evening as they try to contain Kyler Murray and turn this Cards' offense one-dimensional. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I say the value has now swung the other way. The NFC West is wide open. This is in fact a really important game on many levels. San Fran has also seen the total go under in six of its last seven after a SU win, while Arizona has interestingly seen the total go under the number in nine of its last ten Monday Night contests. These QB's are not dynamic. They're mediocre. Look for special teams and field position to prove to be critical for the winner of this contest; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |