Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-28-23 | Celtics v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 111-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
10* Wizards (REVENGE BOB) Boston has won three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that the Celtics are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. With a much more high-profile and important game at Milwaukee up next on Thursday, this also sets up as a potential "look-ahead" spot for the visitors as well. Washington does indeed play with revenge after falling 130-121 to the Celtics as a 7.5-point dog in Boston back in November. Note though that the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. I say the hungry home side sneaks in under the radar here, catches the Celtics at a really good time here, and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one being a lot closer in the end than what this spread is suggesting; grab as many points as you can, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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03-27-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) After a win at Chicago to open up this road trip, the 76ers have now lost back-to-back West coast contests, most recently falling 125-105 to a desperate Phoenix team. Yes, Philly just beat Denver 126-119 at home back in January, but I'm not reading too much into the revenge factor. For me, this particular play is a good situational one, as I feel that Philly is the much "hungrier" side here after back-to-back poor efforts. I'm expecting a battle until the final horn, so grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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03-27-23 | Canadiens v. Sabres -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (EAST-CONF GOW) I'm expecting a blowout here. Montreal has been trading wins and losses over its last five games, and after an 8-2 blowout home win over Columbus last time out, I'm expecting this pattern to continue in this difficult road venue. As for the Sabres, they've broken a string of poor play with back-to-back quality victories, most recently beating New Jersey 5-4, and the Islanders on the road by a score of 2-0. Look for the Sabres to keep the pedal to the metal here with just under two weeks to go in the regular season. I look for Buffalo to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; the play is the SABRES on the PUCKLINE option! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Wizards +7 v. Raptors | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) Both teams really need a win here. Washington is in 11th spot, three games back of No. 9 Toronto. After a relatively simple 118-97 win over Detroit though, I think that the Raptors will have their hands full with this revenge-minded Washington side, which fell 116-109 in OT at home as a 2.5-point favorite in early March. Note that the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Washington snapped a four-game slide with a big 136-124 win over San Antonio last time out, and I think the Wizards throw their best shot at the Raptors today as well; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (ELITE 8 GOY) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams ahve been great. I'd argue though that Texas' path to this point has been the easier one, with wins over Colgate, Penn State and Xavier. Miami has had Drake, Indiana and Houston. Dylan Disu is a question mark in this one for Texas and if he does play, he'll be less than 100%. The Longhorns are deep, but it's still a concern. I feel that Miami has been undervalued and kind of overlooked throughout this tournament, and I believe that's once again the case here; while the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Hurricanes! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State OVER 132.5 | Top | 56-57 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Creighton/SDSU (TOP TOTAL) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. SDSUN is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS so far in the postseason this year. With the big upset win over Alabama, the Aztecs have also seen the total go "under" in six straight. This fact though has only helped in pushing this Elite 8 total a few points lower than it should be in my opinion. Creighton exploded for an 86-75 win and cover over Princeton in its last outing, and the Bluejays have now posted 171 combined points over their last two games. I expect a faster-paced affair here finally; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 105-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
10* Suns (ASSASSIN) The Suns were playing really well with Kevin Durant, but then the superstar got injured and now Phoenix has been struggling ever since. But I say their current slide ends here tonight in this favorable spot. Phoenix has lost six of its last seven, including three in a row. They've also lost seven straight ATS. The Suns also play with revenge here after falling 100-88 at Philly earlier in the sesaon, and note that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The 76ers played and lost just last night in Golden State, and I say that fatigue plays a factor in the outcome of this one as well; for all the reasons listed above, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga UNDER 154 | Top | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER UConn/Gonzaga (ELITE 8 TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring affairs, but I believe this Elite 8 game finally sets up as more of a defensive one. This is a really high total for an Elite 8 game. In fact, this is the highest total that has been attached to a UConn game since January 25th at Xavier. UConn doesn't play at a fast pace either, ranked 211st in tempo. Both teams have plenty of big men and I'm expecting plenty of "half-court sets" while on offense. When you take all of these factors into account, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* FAU (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. FAU averages 79.3 PPG, while allowing only 65.7. K-State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 68.7. The Owls have consistently been overrated, and while I think that Wildcats' guard Markquis Nowell is fantastic, this defense is much tighter than MSU's and I have a hard time seeing Kansas State duplicating its previous performance; I'm grabbing the points in this one, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Princeton v. Creighton -9.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 104 h 30 m | Show |
10* Creighton (SWEET 16 GOY) Princeton has exceeded expectations, but I say the Cinderella story comes to an end here today. The Tigers average 76 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Creighton though is battle-tested and more consistent on both ends of the court in my opinion, averaging 76.8 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Tigers have become a popular pick with bettors, with the majority of the early bets placed on Princeton. While most go one way though, we're going to go the other; a great contrarian Sweet 16 Game of the Year on Creighton! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Houston -7.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think No. 1 seed Houston will pull away down the stretch for a comfortable win and cover vs. No. 5 Miami. Miami has an efficient offense, but this Houston defense is on an entirely different level. Houston has a rebounding advantage over Miami as well, and the Hurricanes defense is just mediocre. Houston has the advantage in every metric and we can expect that to translate into a solid cover; the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 237.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Celtics (EAST-CONF TOM) The last time these teams played back on February 23rd, Boston won 142-138 in OT. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much tighter affair this time around. Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Celtics have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston also returns home from a six-game road trip, and I believe that'll have an affect on the final combined score as well. Indiana is just 14-33 on the road despite a rare 118-114 victory as a nine-point dog at Toronto in its last game. With Tyrese Haliburton still a question mark for Indiana, I believe we're in store for a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Islanders -190 v. Blue Jackets | 4-5 | Loss | -190 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Islanders (DESTRUCTION) I think the Isles are well worth the price of admission in this spot. New York has won three in a row and has had two nights off after destroying the Leafs 7-2. With a game tomorrow night at home vs. Buffalo, New York won't leave anything to chance here. Columbus had lost three straight and seven of eight before a rare 7-6 OT win in the nation's capital in its latest. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! With New York fighting for a better playoff spot, let's lay the price with confidence; the play is the Islanders! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
10* ALABAMA FIRST HALF (BLOWOUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. San Diego has gotten this far because of its great defense, but I have a hard time seeing it slowing down this incredibly deep Alabama offense, with four players averaging double-figures. But the thing is, Alabama's defense is even better than the Aztecs is. I look for the TIDE to go up early and keep the foot on the gas going into the break; this is a play on ALABAMA in the FIRST HALF, but if you don't have a FIRST HALF line available, I still like the TIDE against-the-spread for the entire game as well! AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -148 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
10* Clippers MONEYLINE (BLOWOUT) I'm going to suggest bypassing the spread option, and just playing the home side on the moneyline. The Clippers are 5-2 in their last seven, but they're coming off a 101-100 loss here to the Thunder on Tuesday as 6.5-point favorites. Note that LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. But as I mentioned, we're not even looking for an ATS victory today, we just need LA to win this game. The Thunder have won four of their last five and I believe a letdown is now finally imminent, especially as the also get caught "looking ahead" to their game here tomorrow night vs. the Lakers; lay the price, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee OVER 131.5 | Top | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER FAU/Tennessee (SWEET 16 TOY) Two really good defensive teams here that play at methodical paces, but I still think this O/U line is way too low. FAU is 33-3 this year, including 11-3 on the road. After playing to four straight post-season "unders," the Owls finally played to an "over" in their Round of 32 win over FDU by a score of 78-70. I think FAU keeps the offensive momentum rolling here. The 70 points allowed though is a concern if you're an Owls bettor though. Tennessee has seen the first two games of its tournament go "under" the number, including in its 65-52 victory over Duke last time out, but that fact has only helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. With a few days off to rest between rounds, expect these offenses to benefit; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. With a spread like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. The Spartans are slightly better offensively, while the Wildcats are slightly better defensively. I like Tom Izzo's experience though and I also think MSU's shooting from range will be a difference-maker. The Spartans only hit 2 of 16 three-pointers in their win over Marquette, but still managed a nine-point victory. I don't expect them to shoot that poorly again here; lay the short points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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03-22-23 | Blazers +4 v. Jazz | Top | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) A complete contrarian play here. A vast majority of the bets and money is on Utah, but that fact has helped in driving this spread a few points too high in my opinion. Utah has somehow won four of its last five SU and it's also gone 6-0 ATS in its last six. The Jazz have just beaten the Celtics and Kings at home, but with Milwaukee coming to town on Friday, this does indeed now set up as a "look ahead" spot as well for Utah. No such luxury for Portland, which enters desperate after six straight losses. I think Utah's surge comes to an end here and Portland, at the very least, takes this one right down to the wire; while the outright win isn't out of the question, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-22-23 | Pacers v. Raptors -8 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Raptors (EXPRESS) The Raptors are ninth in the East, so are part of the Play In Tournament at the moment. Indiana is currently 12th. Toronto plays with double revenge here as the Pacers have won both earlier meetings so far this season. Here's the perfect opportunity to get that double revenge, as the Pacers continue their four-game road trip after a loss at Charlotte on Monday. The Pacers actually had an 18-point second-quarter lead over Charlotte, but they lost 115-109 in the end. Indiana was super sloppy with the ball, turning it over 21 times. Charlotte's bench outscored Indiana's bench 45-18. Indiana was without Tyrese Haliburton for that one and he'll also be out for this one against Toronto (Haliburton is Indiana's number 1 guy, averaging 20.8 points and 10.4 assists per game.) Indiana averages 115.8 points per game and allows 118.3. Toronto averages 112.9 points per game, while allowing 112.1. Toronto has won seven in a row at home. It plays with double revenge. It catches the Pacers without their top player in the line-up. I smell a blowout here North of the border; lay the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -152 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -152 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
10* Stars (WEST-CONF GOW) I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The bottom line is that I still think the Kraken are getting too much respect from oddsmakers, after their surprising first half record. Especially on the road. But that mystique has worn off since the All Star game. Dallas is 17-9-6-2 at home. They just snapped a two-game slide with a 6-5 OT win at Calgary. They beat Seattle 5-2 in the last matchup a week ago, and I'm expecting a similar beatdown here as well on their own ice; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Stars! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | Cavs v. Nets +3 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* Nets (ASSASSIN) After three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I like the Nets to dig deep and bounce back here. Note that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Cleveland has won three of it slast four. It's coming off two straight home victories. This is the opener of two straight here between these clubs in Brooklyn, and I say the more desperate home side doubles down and, at the very least, takes this one right down to the wire. The Nets had a winning record before KD and Kyrie left and it'll now be a struggle to maintain that position, but I love the way this one sets up for them here at home tonight; grab the points, the play is the Nets! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State -5 | Top | 65-59 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma State (NIT) Anyone who had Oklahoma State vs. Eastern Washington can't be feeling too great after the way that last game ended for the Cowboys. OKS was an 11.5-point favorite and won by 11 after the Eagles hit a meaningless 3-pointer with time winding off the clock. But where the Cowboys failed ATS last time out, I fully expect them to pull away for a comfortable cover with this more manageable spread. OKS averages 69.5 PPG, while allowing 66.8. North Texas averages 63.7 PPG, while allowing only 55.4. The problem here for UNT though is now it runs in to perhaps an even better defense than its own. The level of competition simply can't be compared between these two; I'm expecting a blowout, so lay the points with Oklahoma State! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Wolves +8.5 v. Knicks | Top | 140-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
10* Wolves (ASSASSIN) Minnesota has lost three straight. Note that the Wolves are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. Minnesota plays with revenge after falling 120-107 at home to the Knicks as a 2.5-point favorite back in November. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Knicks have won three straight, both SU and ATS, but note that New York is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. With an upcoming difficult two-game road trip at Miami and Orlando up next, expect the Knicks to take the foot off the gas in the second half. While an outright win is entirely possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Senators +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* Senators PUCKLINE (GOW) Both teams are really struggling. Pittsburgh has lost three straight, while Ottawa has lost five in a row. With a two-game road trip at Colorado and Dallas up next, I say the Pens once again get caught flat-footed here and "look ahead" to those contests. Ottawa is 7-2 in its last nine after five or more straight losses in a row. The Sens also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 4-1 to Pittsburgh back on January 20th. I expect this game to be decided late, or even in extra time, so I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Ottawa on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Rice +7 v. Southern Utah | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Rice (CBI GOW) Rice may have stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, but it looked great in its 84-78 win over Duquesne to open this tournament. I say the Owls now build off that performance and, at the very least, give the Southern Utah Thunderbirds everything they can handle. Southern Utah has been playing well, having won four of its last five. They also looked impressive in their opening 72-50 win over Northern Alabama. These team's numbers are similar and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Rice! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic OVER 149 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Fairleigh Dickinson/FAU (ULTIMATE) FAU is now 32-3, and it's a 13.5-point favorite in this one. Fairleigh Dickinson finished 21-15. Over its past ten games FAU has averaged 2.3 points more per game than its season average. Note that together these two teams combined for 156 points per game, which is at least five points higher than this total. I'm finally expecting a faster-paced game and because of that, the play is the "over"! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Stetson -130 | Top | 87-83 | Loss | -130 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
10* Stetson MONEY LINE (CBI TOURNEY GOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the College basketball tournaments. This is Stetson's second-ever post-season tournament invite ever. Milwaukee is 6-7 on the road, and has an 0-1 record in neutral site games this year. Stetson is 7-8 on the road, and 1-1 in neutral site affairs. Milwaukee gave up 93 points in it last loss to Cleveland State. Stetson may have a losing SU record on the road, but it's 10-7 ATS. It's also really effective at covering the three-ball, which is the only weapon that this Milwaukee offense can lean on; all in all, lay the points and expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State v. Marquette OVER 140 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER MSU/Marquette (ASSASSIN) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the College Basketball Tournaments. Michigan State averages 70.6 PPG, while allowing 67.4. Marquette averages 81 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Expect fatigue to play a key part in breaking down the defensive play for each side, and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Nuggets v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 108-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
10* Nets (ASSASSIN) Denver has struggled since the All-Star break. I don't see it being able to muster much of an offensive attack here after falling 116-110 at the Knicks just last night. The Nuggets have now dropped five of their last six. Brooklyn had won five of six before dropping two in a row. With two nights off to prepare for this one though, I love how this one sets up for the home side. While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Bruins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -150 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. I expect Boston to finally have a bit of a letdown after yesterday's come from behind 5-2 win at the Wild. The Bruins are the best team in the NHL, but with a night off before a favorable home matchup vs. the Senators, this also sets up as a look-ahead position. Buffalo is desperate to get back into the winner's circle after going just 2-8 in its last ten. Not surprisingly, it plays with revenge here after a humbling 7-1 defeat to the Bruins in Boston at the start of March. I expect Buffalo to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes today, and because of that, the play is the Sabres on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Maryland v. Alabama OVER 143 | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
9* OVER Maryland/Alabama (TOTAL BAIL-OUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA Tournament. Alabama won in the first round of the tournament without its star player Brandon Miller even scoring. The Tide have a ton of momentum, having won eight of their last nine games. Maryland comes in with some momentum of its own after coming back against WVU after being down by double-digits early. The fact that these teams are playing their second game in three days is going to have a detrimental aspect to their defensive play in my opinion; this number is now a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Wolves v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 107-122 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Raptors. Here's a great common sense play backed by several strong O/U ATS stats. Minnesota is coming off a disappointing 139-131 OT loss in Chicago just last night. Fatigue will be a major issue. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 128-126 at Minnesota in January, and note that the Raptors have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. The Raptors have seen the total go "over" in three straight after their most recent 128-111 home win over OKC, and that's also significant to note as Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. For all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Duke -3 v. Tennessee | Top | 52-65 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* 2ND ROUND GOY on Duke. I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. These teams are moving in opposite directions in a way right now. Duke is peaking, and Tennessee is struggling to remain elite. The Vols are still trying to adjust after star point guard Zakai Zeigler went down with a torn ACL. Santiago Vescovi is now the leading scorer at 12.6 PPG, but he struggled in the first round with just 3 points in 27 minutes. Duke's guard Jeremy Roach is playing the best basketball of his career, and so is the rest of his team; look for the Blue Devils to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Furman v. San Diego State OVER 137.5 | Top | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Furman/SDSU (2ND ROUND TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA tournament. Furman I think rides its thrilling upset of No. 4 seed Virginia here. SDSU enters off the 63-57 win over COC. Furman's offense is ranked 88th overall and 32nd nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Aztecs strength is their defense (ranked 16th overall), but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total a few points lower than it normally would/should be, as note that SDSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine straight dating back to the regular season. That's just too many "unders" here, and the value has firmly swung the other way here in the second round of the NCAA Tournament; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER South Carolina Upstate/Indiana State. South Carolina Upstate is 16-15, while Indiana State is 22-12. The Sycamores average 79.4 PPG, but the Spartans are allowing just 69.6. The Spartans average only 68.9 PPG, while the Sycamores concede just 69.3. These teams are evenly matched, but I expect this contest to have a "feeling out" period at the start, and because of that, I think this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
10* FAU (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the Tournament. FAU comes in "under the radar" in my opinion. The Owls average 79.3 PPG, and allow just 65.7. Memphis averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 72.6. FAU has the experience, size and athleticism to win this one outright and give Purdue a serious scare in the next round; grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Drake +2 v. Miami-FL | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* Drake (BLOCKBUSTER) Going to be really succinct with my analysis throughout the Tournament. I think many will discount Drake here, as I already see the majority of the money on Miami Florida. The Bulldogs are no push-overs, clearly a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers. The Bulldogs average 75.6 PPG, and allow just 64.8. Miami averages 79.6 PPG, while allowing 71.7. While the majority of the public goes one way with this wager, we're going to go the other; the play is Drake! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | 76ers v. Hornets +10 | Top | 121-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) Here's a great spot for the Hornets. I'm not predicting an outright win or anything, but I do think they'll be competitive until the final horn. Charlotte is coming off three straight losses, and note that the Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. They also play with revenge after a 131-113 loss to Philly back in December, and note that the Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. With a game at the Pacers tomorrow night, I say Philly gets caught "looking ahead" here in the second half and takes the foot of the gas; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Blues v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Blues/Capitals (EXPRESS) These teams played to a high-scoring game against each other at the start of the season, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair here. They've also both been playing to several high-scoring games of late overall, as St. Louis has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight (note though that the Blues have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row), while Washington has seen the total go "over" in three straight as well. The Capitals play with revenge after falling 5-4 in a shootout to the Blues in November, and note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent; this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
10* Saint Mary's (BLOCKBUSTER) Saint Mary's lost in the West Coast Conference Tourney to Gonzaga, but I think the Gaels have more than enough gas left in the tank to handle VCU. The Rams beat George Washington on March 4th to take the A-10 Tourney Final. I just think the A-10 is watered down after the Top 3 teams. The Gaels have veteran leadership and a more well rounded side; lay the points, the play is Saint Mary's! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
10* Boise State (NCAA FIRST ROUND GOY) Boise State finished 24-9, while Northwestern was 21-11. The Broncos lost to Utah State in the Mountain Westn Conference by a score of 72-62 in the second round. Northwestern got bounced 67-65 by Penn State in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. The bottom line here is that Boise State enters the NCAA Tournament in much better overall form in my opinion. The Broncos have scored 66 or more points in eight of their last nine outings, while Northwestern lhas scored 65 points or fewer over five straight games. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many point as you can; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright win? It's not entirely out of the realm of possibility, but in a contest that I see coming "right down to the wire," I'm going to grab the points. Oral Roberts finished 30-4, while Duke was 26-8. Neither team was great agains the spread. Oral Roberts though comes in off a high and I think it can keep the momentum rolling here after annihilating North Dakota State 92-58 as a ten-point favorite in the Summit Conference Tournament Championship Game, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Duke won the ACC by taking down Virginia 59-49 as a 3.5-point favorite. Oral Roberts has flown under the radar all season, and that's the case again here as well in my opinion. While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end let's grab the points on this undervalued underdog; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Nuggets -12.5 v. Pistons | Top | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (U OF THE U) Enough is enough! If you're a Denver fan, that's definitely the way you feel right now after four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Have Jokic and the Nuggets suddenly forgot how to play? I'd say it's just going to be small "speed bump" in the season, and that things will return to normal shortly. In fact, I believe the time has come for a severe beating. Note that Denver plays with the added incentive of revenge after the Pistons inexplicably beat the Nuggets 110-108 on the road on November 22nd as 10.5-point underdogs. As note, the Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Pistons are downright terrible and they're simply in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one; lay the points, the play is the Nuggets! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Illinois +2 v. Arkansas | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) The No. 9 Fighting Illini finished 20-12, while the No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks were 27-12. Both teams backed their way into the tournament. Illinois lost three of its last four, while Arkansas dropped four of its previous five. The Illini average 74.7 PPG, while allowing 67, while Arkansas averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 72.6. If history is any precedence, then Illinois has to be loving its chances here, as the Illini have won all five meetings with Arkansas (haven't played since 2004). Either way, the Illini's superior defense will prove to be the difference-maker in my opinion; grab the points the play is Illinois! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Howard (BLOWOUT) Howard is No. 16, finishing 22l-12 in the MEAC. Kansas is the No. 1 seed, finishing 27-7. The Bison have won five straight overall, and they're 4-2 in neutral court games this year. Kansas has lost to Texas twice in the last week and gone just 2-2 in its last four (gone 5-2 in neutral court games.) Howard has consistently been undervalued by oddsmakers this year (16-12 ATS), while Kansas has been overvalued (14-17 ATS.) That's the case again here, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -140 | Top | 126-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* Clippers MONEYLINE (BLOOD-BATH) I like the Clippers here and the way it sets up for LA. The Clippers have really turned a corner with their performance over the last two weeks. Golden State though is in the middle of two pretty crazy streaks, as it's 8-0 straight up in its last eight at home, and 0-8 in its last eight on the road. These teams have identical overall records as they're both 36-33. Golden State is a terrible 7-26 on the road overall, while the Clippers are 18-15 at home. But as I mentioned, the Clippers have really started to build some chemistry over the last couple of weeks coming in off three straight wins, most recently beating the red hot Knicks by a score of 106-95. LA plays with the added incnetive of revenge here as well after falling 115-91 at Golden State as a 2.5-point favorite at the beginning of March. But the Clippers have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 against the spread in their last nine in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread loss against an opponent. This is the opener of a tough five-game road trip for the Warriors and I think they're going to struggle once again out of the gate. I say bypass the spread option today and play the Clippers on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10* Nevada (FIRST FOUR GOY) Nevada finished 22-10 on the year, losing to San Jose State in the Mountain West Conference tournament. The Wolfpack did close out the regular season decently finishing 4-3 down the stretch. In their last game they had to battle back from a 31-26 first-half deficit to force overtime, but they everntually fell 81-77. Arizona State was 22-12 this year and the Sun Devils fell to Arizona in the Conference Tournament last Friday. The Sun Devils finished the regular season with two straight losses but they opened up the Conference Tournament with two straight wins, including over USC 77-72. But then they ran into a decent defense in Arizona and they lost 78-59. After looking at what each team has done coming in, I do like the Wolfpack here. Despite having lost three sraight games, Nevada has scored 67 or more points in all three. Arizona State on the other hand has scored 65 or fewer points in four of its last five. Look for Nevada's superior offense right now to be the difference-maker down the stretch; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Alcorn State v. North Texas -17 | Top | 53-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* North Texas (ASSASSIN) I like the 26-7 North Texas Mean Green to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover once it's all said and done. Alcorn State averages 68.3 PPG, while allowing 70.8, while UNT averages 63.7 PPG, while conceding just 55.4. Good news for UNT's offense today facing this porous defense. I have a hard time seeing the Braves putting up much of an offensive attack today vs. this aggressive Mean Green defense. And that's the difference for me, as Alcorn State will face its stiffest test of the season right here; lay the points, the play is North Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Stars v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Canucks (BLOWOUT) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a very defensive battle here. The Canucks are playing their best hockey of the season right now with four straight wins. They'll have their hands full with a Stars team that's won three in a row. Dallas lost 5-4 in OT to the Canucks in February, and note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Look for these two surging clubs to battle tight here, but expect it to be a very defensive battle until the final horn; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State -1.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 59-60 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN) Pittsburgh finished 22-11 and Mississippi State was 21-12. The Bulldogs took out Florida in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, but then fell to Alabama. I just think the SEC is a much tougher conference ultimately. Pittsburgh was 22-11 overall. It beat Georgia Tech in the second round of the ACC Tourney, before falling to Duke in the quarterfinals. Pittsburgh has the slightly better offense, while Mississippi State has the slightly better defense. I'm banking on the Bulldogs defense to get them through to the First Round; lay the points, the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Villanova v. Liberty -3 | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH) Liberty isn't getting enough respect here. The Flames finished 26-8, while the Wildcats were 17-16. Liberty finished just a couple of points away from the NCAA Tournament, falling 67-66 to Kennesaw State in the A-Sun Tournament Championship Game. Overall the Flames average 75.2 PPG, while allowing 60.6. It got bounced by Creighton by a score of 87-74 in the conference Tourney. Overall the Wildcats average 70.3 PPG, while allowing 67.8. The Flames experience and superior offense will be the difference here. Lay the points, the play is Liberty! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | Top | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* Wizards (TOP SIDE) This is a good "common sense" play. Detroit enters off a rare victory just last night, pulling away for a 117-97 victory at home over the Pacers. The win snapped an 11-game slide. With tough upcoming home games vs. the Nuggets and Heat, I say the visitors have an immediate letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario. The Wizards will be huntry here to snap a three-game slide, but note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. The Wizards beat Detroit 119-117 on its own floor last week, and while they failed to cover the spread there, everything points to a cover of the "rocking chair" variety here at home; lay the points, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State UNDER 154.5 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
9* UNDER SE Missouri State/Texas A&M CC (POWER TOTAL) These teams meet at the UD Arena. SE Missouri State is lucky to be here. It finished 19-16 this year. It beat Lindenwood, Tennessee State and Morehead State in the conference tourney, and then on March 4th it beat Tennessee Tech in the championship game by a score of 89-82 in OT. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Texas A&M CC finished a more respectable 21-10 in the regular season. The Islanders secured the 75-71 win over Northwestern State in the Southland Tourney Title game. Previous to that they held McNeese State to just 63 points. I think the Redhawks come back down to Earth here in the "bright lights." Look for this game to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 239.5 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Warriors (PACIFIC DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Phoenix had won four straight, before falling 128-119 to the Kings in its latest action. KD is still sidelined with a knee injury. The Suns have seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant to note as Phoenix has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Warriors play with revenge after falling 125-113 to Phoenix as 12.5-point favorites back on January 10th. Note though that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Warriors just snapped a three game slide with a tiring 125-116 OT win over the Bucks. GS has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Both teams are banged up. Both teams still need a win here. I expect this one to be more of a defensive affair; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair this evening. That includes in the Stars 4-3 OT win here two nights ago! Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Seattle plays with the immediate revenge factor. The Kraken have now lost two straight and they've also seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. While Saturday's contest flew "over" the number, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle here in the rematch; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Jazz v. Heat UNDER 224.5 | Top | 115-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Heat (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Utah has won two straight on the road and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. Note though that Utah has see the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Utah though plays with revenge after a high-scoring 126-123 home setback to the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite on December 31st. Note though that Utah has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Heat have been trading good performances with bad ones of late. Off a poor 126-114 OT loss to Orlando as a 2.5-point favorite, I'm expecting the home side to double down on the defensive end this evening. Look for this non-conference game to be less intense offensively and for this total to stay "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Knicks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) The Knicks have lost three straight, both SU and ATS after last night's 106-95 loss to the Clippers here. Note though that New York is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. New York also plays with revenge here after a 129-123 OT loss to the Lakers at home on January 31st as a two-point fav. That's also significant to note here for us, as the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponet. The Lakers have some new faces and have been playing well, as they've won and covered in three straight. Note though that LA is still just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Despite having played just last night, I like the Knicks here to bounce back in this favorable spot; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Senators v. Flames -185 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
8* Calgary (BLOWOUT) I think the Flames are worth the price in this spot. Ottawa is fatigued after a 5-3 loss at Vancouver just last night. The Flames are coming off an uninspiring 3-1 loss to the lowly Ducks here at home in their last outing. They play with the added incentive of revenge here as well after a 4-3 OT loss at Ottawa in mid-February. That however is working in our favor here as well, as note that the Flames are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Calgary! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas A&M/Alabama (SEC TOURNEY TOY) The Aggies are coming off an 87-75 win over Vanderbilt to advance to the SEC Tournament Championship Game. Overall Texas A&M averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 65.4. Alabama has seen the first two games of its tournament run go "under" the number, including in its most recent 72-61 victory over Missouri. The Tide gave up just 29 first half points. They average 82.8 PPG< while allowing 69.5. We have two really good defenses here, but with Alabama pushing the pace from the start, I'm expecting this faster-pace to result in a higher-scoring affair, especially if the Aggies are forced to play from behind early. Either way, I expect the Championship game to sail "over" the posted number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Heat v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* Magic (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. I base my picks on many different things, but this particular one I'm basing on "common sense." I had a play on the Heat in their 119-115 home win over the Cavs. I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for Miami though in the second game of the B2B. Orlando plays with revenge after falling 107-103 in OT to the Heat on February 11th, and that's sigificant for us to note as Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Orlando has lost three straight, so it comes in desperate here and while I do think the outright win is a possibility of course, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 140.5 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas/Kansas (BIG 12 TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in their Tournament games to reach this point, but that fact has only helped in driving this total a few points higher that it normally would/should be. Texas has now seen the total go "under" in five straight after wins over Oklahoma State and TCU to advance. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Texas beat Kansas 75-59 in the final regular season game of the year, and that's also important to take note of here, as the Jayhawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponet. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Fordham v. Dayton OVER 130.5 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER Fordham/Dayton (A-10 TOM) For a number of different reasons, I look for this one to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Fordham advanced by beating La Salle 69-61 on Thursday. The total went "under" the number in that one, but I'm expecting a shootout here. The Rams actually play with revenge after falling 82-58 to Dayton on January 10th at home as a 7.5 point underdog, and that's significant to note here, because the Rams have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Flyers have now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight aftre their 60-54 first round win over St. Joe's. Note though that Dayton has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The stage is set for an efficient, higher-scoring "over" in the rematch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cincinnati v. Houston -9.5 | Top | 48-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC TOURNEY GOY) I am keeping my writeups very succinct today, as there is a lot going on and I need to get this information out as fast as possible. The Bearcats managed the 84-54 win over Temple yesterday to advance, and they've now covered in three straight. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. Houston beat Cincinnati 75-69 on January 28th at home, but it did not cover the large 14.5-point spread. Tonight's spread is much more manageable. Houston beat ECU 60-46 to advance. It's now gone 0-4 ATS in its last four, but note that the Cougars are still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is a very manageable spread to cover; look for Houston to pull away down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cornell +6.5 v. Yale | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
8* Cornell (SPECIAL) Yale did finish 10-1 at home, but this is at a neutral site. THe Bulldogs come into the Tournament having won and covered in three straight, but note that Yale is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS covers in a row. Cornell finished 17-10. It went 0-3 SU/ATS over its final three. That however is also significant for us to note, as the Big Red are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Cornell went 1-1 vs. Yale this year. It won at home and lost on the road. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Cornell! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Raptors v. Lakers OVER 224.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
8* OVER Raptors/Lakers (SUPER TOTAL) Toronto had seen the total go "over" the number in three straight before its most recent 108-100 setback here to the Clippers. This is the final game of a tough Western swing, and I'm expecting the Raptors to push the pace here to try and end on a high note, and after the lackluster performance vs. the Clippers. The Lakers play with revenge though after a 126-113 loss at Toronto on December 7th. That total flew well "over" the number of 228, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Look for LA to also push the pace here and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOOD-BATH) No need to overthink this one. I thik that the Cavs are the better team. I think the Heat have plenty of issues this year. That said Cleveland has been poor on the road, and Miami has been its best in front of the home town crowd. The Cavs are just 14-19 on the road, while the Heat are 21-13 in front of the home town crowd. These teams played just two nights ago in Cleveland and the Cavaliers won and covered by a score of 104-100. Note though that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. A little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered here for Miami; grab the points, the play is the Heat! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 163.5 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Ohio/Toledo (MAC TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one for me. I love the way this one sets up to be a bit more of a defensive affair. Ohio is coming of a 90-70 win over Ball State to advance to the second round of the MAC Tournament and while the total went "over" the number, we can expect more of a defensive affair here. Ohio does play with revenge after falling 90-75 to Toledo on January 17th, but I don't see the Bobcats getting that many points again here. Toledo crushed Miami Ohio 91-75 yesterday and its now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. That's significant for us to take note of though, as Toledo has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect fatigue to also play a factor here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 141 | Top | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Temple/Cincinnati (AAC TOURNEY TOY) It's the opener of the AAC Tournament, and while these teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in their most recent matchup, I believe that everything points to a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Temple finished l6-15, while Cincinnati was 20-11. The Owls fell 88-83 in OT to the Bearcats as nine-point dogs on the road in February. That's significant to note here because Temple has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU conference loss vs. an opponent. Cincinnati saw eight of its final nine regular season games go "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. With the Owls looking to slow the tempo of this one down throughout, I believe the rematch here definitely points to a more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -5.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) I had a play on Rutgers in its win over Michigan yesterday, and while the Scarlet Knights pulled off the impressive outright win yesterday, I say their run in this conference tournament comes to an end here vs. the revenge-minded Boilermakers. The reason I really like this play is because Purdue plays with revenge here. It's also rested. Somehow Rutgers upset Purdue 65-64 as an 8.5-point dog on January 2nd. Note though that the Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for the rested and revenge-minded Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 232.5 | Top | 131-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Magic (ASSASSIN) When these teams played in Utah in February, the Jazz won by a score of 112-108. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here. Since then, each has been playing to several higher-scoring games. Orlando has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. It's coming off B2B losses here at home. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponet. Utah's coming in off three straight road losses. It's now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight games. Note though that the Jazz have seen the total go "under" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these bottom-feeding non-conference opponents to once again play to an uninspiring, lower-scoring "under" here in Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 137 | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER CSU/SDSU (MW TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one. This is a great situational play. Colorado State is just 14-17. It's coming off a hard-fouth 67-65 win over Fresno State last night to advance here to the second round, the total went "under" the number in that one. SDSU was 24-6 in the regular season and received a first round bye. It comes in having seen the total go "under" the number in five straight. Note though that the Aztecs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. CSU plays with revenge after a 77-58 loss to SDSU on the road in ate February and while that total went "under" the number as well, everything finally points to a more of a wide-open "shootout" here now that the conference tournament is here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers +3 v. Michigan | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
10* Rutgers (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) While I do think Rutgers can win this game outright obviously, my official recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. This one sets up well for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights finished 18-13 this year, while Michigan was 17-14. Rutgers stumbled down the stretch, losing its final two games. It plays with revenge here though after a 58-45 loss to Michigan at home as a six-point favorite on February 23rd, and that's significant for us to note here, as the Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Michigan lost its final two games of the regular season as well. It did cover the spread in five straight to end the year, but that actually works in our favor, as the Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS victories in a row; grab the points, the play is Rutgers! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Bulls +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Bulls (NON-CONF GOM) After four straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I think the Bulls come in a bit undervalued here now. I think they sneak in under the radar after two days off. They play with revenge as well after a 126-103 home loss to the Nuggets at the start of the season, and that's definitely significant to note here, as the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponet. I say that Denver takes the foot off the gas in the second half. The Nuggets have won four straight. They have a game at the lowly Spurs up next. I say the "hungrier" team delivers in this spot; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska UNDER 136.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Minnesota/Nebraska (BIG TEN TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to close out the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this Tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Minnesota stumbled down the stretch, finishing 8-21 overal. It saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the regular season. It lost both games to Nebraska this season, and each contest went "over" the number as well. Note though that the Gophers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two straight losses against a conference opponent. Nebraska finished 16-15. It won five of its last six games. It also saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the year. With a couple days off to prepare for the conference tournament, I expect each team to focus a bit more on the defensive end this evening; this total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* Hawks PUCKLINE (NON-CONF GOM) Yes, the Wings are desperate after six straight losses, but the Hawks are just as hungry for a win here today. With B2B gaes vs. Boston up next, I say that Detroit gets caught "looking ahead" here. Chicago just snapped a four-game slide with a 5-0 win over Ottawa. The bottom line here is that Detroit is way overpriced in my estimation. That brings supreme value here to the "puckline" option; grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance here, the play is Hawks on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | DePaul +6.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* DePaul (BIG EAST TOURNEY GOY) It's tenth seeded DePaul looking to pull off an upset vs. No. 7 seed Seton Hall. The Blue Demons come in under the radar on a 12-game losing streak. They fell 84-70 to Creighton on Saturday. The Pirates closed out the year with an 82-58 road win over Providence. The Blue Demons average 70.9 PPG, while allowing 77.3. That defense catches a break here today vs. a Pirates team that averages just 68.6 PPG. Overall Seton Hall allows just 65.1. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, let alone beat it both SU and ATS. Seton Hall is already 2-0 SU/ATS over DePaul during the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament spread a few points larger than it normally would be in my opinion. The Pirates may win this game, but it won't be easy; grab the points, the play is DEPAUL! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse OVER 154 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wake/Syracuse (ACC TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect a more wide-open and faster-paced affair here on Wednesday afternoon, and because of that I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Wake stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, losing four of its last five. The Demon Deacons lost 72-63 at Syracuse as a one-point favorite on March 4th, the final game of the year. Wake has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Demon Deacons have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Deacons have also seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet. Syracuse broke a four-game slide in the win over Wake Forest. Previous to that the Orange had seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. While that last game went "under" between these teams, expect a more efficient, faster-paced contest here in the Conference Tournament to lead to a higher-scoring final combined score; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Marist v. Manhattan UNDER 134.5 | Top | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marist/Manhattan (MAAC TOURNEY TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Marist comes into the Tournament off B2B losses to end the year. It also saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, which is significant to note, as the Red Foxes have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after seeing the total go "over" in three or more straight contests. Manhattan though plays with revenge after an 81-58 setback to Marist at home as a four point dog on February 24th. The total in that one snuck "over" the number, but I'm expecting a much more defensive battle here, as note that the Jaspers have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Two teams that underachieved in the regular season are out for redemption in the Conference Tournament and all signs (in my opinion), point to a defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Jazz v. Mavs UNDER 234.5 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Jazz/Mavericks UNDER (WEST-CONF TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Utah has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important to note here as the Jazz have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Dallas has see the total go "over" the number in three straight after its most recent 130-126 loss to Phoenix. Note though that the Mavericks have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Utah plays with revenge after a 124-111 loss to Dallas at the start of February. Expect the rematch here to be a much more defensive affair; this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Flames v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Flames/Wild (WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Calgary just broke its five-game slide with a big 5-4 win at Dallas just last night. The Flames don't have the luxury to "take a night off," and I expect a similar style of game play here in Minnesota. Note that Calgary also plays with revenge after a 3-0 defeat to Minneosta at home just three nights ago. Despite this being Calgary's third game in four nights, note that the Flames have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" in seven straight, but all signs point to this Tuesday rematch being a wide-open "shootout" in my opinion; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Joe's UNDER 144 | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
10* Under Loyola Chicago/St. Joe's (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These two teams ended the regular season playing to several higher-scoring games, and they also played to a high-scoring one between each other over that span, but I'm anticipating a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Loyola Chicago finished 10-20. It won its finaly game of the regular eason, 76-73 over La Salle. The Ramblers saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, and that's significant to note, as Loyola Chicago has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Ramblers play with revenge as well after falling 83-71 to ST. Joe's as a 3.5-point favorite at home on February 8th. But once again, that's important for us to note as the Ramblers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Saint Joseph's finished 14-16. It saw the total go "over" the number in five straight to end the regular season, which is noteworthy as well, as the Hawks have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -123 | Top | 38-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
10* Richmond (A-10 GOY) Richmond finished 14-17 and it backed its way into the tournament with three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That includes in their finale, a 62-60 setback to GMU as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the Spiders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine coming off a SU/ATS conference home loss. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Spiders also play with revenge after an 85-76 loss to UMass as 2.5-point favorites on the road back in January. Note that Richmond is 5-2 ATS in its last seven in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent as well. The Minutemen finished 15-15 overall. They closed out the year with a 71-60 win over St. Bonnies, the overwhelming situational factors working in favor of the Spiders here makes them the correct call in my opinion; the play is Richmond! AAA Sports |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER San Fran/Gonzaga (WEST-COAST TOURNEY TOY) Everyone is just hammering the over for the most part here, but I'm going the other way, as I see tremendous value on this being more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. San Fran has already had to get through two rounds to get to this point, beating Pacific 80-63 and then Santa Clara 93-87 in OT. The Dons play with revenge after falling 99-81 to the Bulldogs back in February. And as for Gonzaga, will rest lead to rust here after getting a "double bye?" I think it will. After having seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight games to end the season, I believe this Tournament total is now a few points higher than it normally would/should be; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-06-23 | Predators v. Canucks -104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
10* Canucks (NON-CONF GOM) Nashville is 31-23-5-1, including 15-13-3-0 on the road, but the Canucks play with the "revenge" factor here today at home, and I believe that motivating angle will indeed be more than enough to secure a victory here for Vancouver. After B2B road wins, I think the Predators stumble here, looking ahead to three nights off before a more favorable matchup vs. Arizona. Vancouver is coming off a 4-1 win over Toronto, and as mentioned, it plays with revenge here after falling 5-4 to Nashville in a shootout back in February. I think Vancouver is the much "hungrier" team in this fight and at this price at home, the correct call for sure; the play is the Canucks! AAA Sports |
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03-06-23 | Raptors +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
10* Raptors (GOW) Denver is heavily favored here by the oddsmakers, and nearly 80% of the early money is also on the Nuggets. However, I like the hungry Raptors to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Denver has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Nuggets are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Toronto is fifth right now at 32-33. It's coming off a 116-109 OT win at Washington. I think Toronto is the much "hungrier" team in this non-conference matchup. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Knicks v. Celtics -5 | 131-129 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on Celtics. New York has won and covered in eight straight, and because of that fact, I believe the oddsmakers are now overvaluing the Knicks in this spot. All good things come to an end eventually, and New York's great surge here is about to come to an end vs. this revenge-minded Celtics side that fell 109-94 to the Knicks in New York at the end of the February. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Boston is just 1-2 in its last three. It's lost three straight ATS. It's coming off a poor 115-105 loss to Brooklyn as a ten-point favorite. Time to finally annihlate the Knicks today; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Chattanooga v. Wofford UNDER 152.5 | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chattanooga/Wofford (SOUTHERN TOY) Chattanooga has won the first two rounds to advance here to face Wofford in the Southern Tournament. While the Mocs both won and covered in each, both of those contests went well "over" the number. Now with tthe stiff competition here, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair finally. Wofford got by UNCG 67-66 yesterday in a lower-scoring defensive battle, and that's what Im predicting here as well. While their last game against each other in the regular season went "over" the number, expect the rematch here in the conference tournament to be tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Hornets +8 v. Nets | 86-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
8* play on Hornets. Here's a great spot for the Hornets to exact a little revenge from a previous loss to the Nets. Brooklyn is coming off a 115-105 upset win at Boston as a ten-point dog and I say is now primed for a predictable "letdown" after that emotional win. With a five game road trip upcoming starting in Houston, it's also a "look-ahead" spot. The Hornets play with revenge after a 123-106 loss to Brooklyn on December 31st. This is just too many points for this patchwork Brooklyn team to cover vs. this focussed and revenge-minded visiting side; grab the points, thep lay is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -6 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on Chicago. Chicago has lost two of its last three. It's now lost three straight ATS after a 125-104 setback to Phoenix at home as a 3.5-point dog last time out. The Bulls though are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 117-113 setback to the Pacers in mid-February. Note that Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Pacers have Philly at home tomorrow night, and I say they get caught "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -122 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Manchester United/Liverpool (BLOOD-BATH) Liverpool was expected to be a challenger again before the season started, while Manchester United was supposed to struggle, but the opposite is the case as we head into the final third of the campaign. Man U is in third, while Liverpool is in sixth. Now Liverpool will look to make a move in the EPL and it'll be feeling confident after a win over Newcastle last week. Man U won the reverse fixture 2-0 in August and Liverpool is going to have difficulty scoring again here in my opinion. Look for this one to be a "war of attrition" and play the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Idaho +4.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* Idaho (BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY) We have two really bad teams going head-to-head here in the opener of the Big Sky Tourney. Idaho finished 10-21, while Northern Arizona was 9-22. This is a neutral site affair, so neither team enjoys an advantage as far as that's concerned tonight. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but Idaho has done really well in this spot for bettors in the past, and I expect that to again be the case today, as note that the Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was a favorite vs. an opponent. And Idaho does indeed play with revenge here after falling 72-50 to Northern Arizona at home as a 2.5-point favorite in mid-February. With that loss still fresh at the front of their minds, look for the Vandals to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Idaho! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Raptors -115 v. Wizards | Top | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) The immediate "revenge" factor will turn out to the difference in this one. These teams played here in the Nation's capital just two nights ago and the Wizards won by a score of 119-108 as two-point underdogs. Note though that Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. With Milwaukee coming to town on Saturday, I say that the Wizards get caught "looking ahead" as well; clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Raptors! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Troy State +3 v. James Madison | Top | 72-75 | Push | 0 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Trojans in the opener of the Sunbelt Tournament. Troy finished 20-12, while James Madison was 21-10. The Dukes did finish 11-3 at home, but note that this one is at a neutral location. Troy actually got past the first round by defeating Arkansas State by a score of 63-59, winning but not covering the 8-point spread. James Madison earned a bye, but it hasn't played since February 24th. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Most importantly here for me though on this play is that the Trojans play with revenge here after falling 89-87 i OT to the Dukes as one-point favorites at home in January, which is crucial for us here, as note that Troy is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Clearly the outright is a possibility, but the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Troy! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Elon +2 v. William & Mary | 51-73 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
8* Elon (TOURNEY BLOWOUT) It's the opener of the CAA Tournament and I like the way this one sets up for Elon, which plays with the immediate "revenge factor." Both teams struggled this year. Elon fiished just 8-23l while William & Mary was 12-19. While the Tribe did finish 11-5 at home, note that this is at a neutral location. Elon averages 65.9 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while William & Mary averages 67.7 PPG, while allowing 70.2. Elon won the first matchup of the year by a score of 66-55, but then the Tribe bounced back with the 73-60 win at home as a one-point dog on February 23rd. That however works in our favor here, as note that Elon is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss to a conference opponent; the play is Elon! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
10* Brighton (EPL GOW) Brighton is enjoying a decent season, and it's pushing for its first-ever taste of European Football. Brighton will be feeling especially ready to get back onto the pitch today after a 1-0 defeat to Fulham in its latest EPL action, a game in which it created plenty of opportunities, but somehow came up empty-handed. West Ham has struggled, and now sits outside the safe zone. Last weekend they earned a much-needed 4-0 win over Nottingham Forest, but then it fell 3-1 to Manchester United in the last 16 of the FA Cup on Thursday. Brighton though has won three of its last four home games and I'm expecting the hosts to dig deep and deliver in regulation here after last week's disappointing result; lay the price, the play is Brighton! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Jets v. Oilers -147 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
10* Oilers (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are really in need of a victory. For me, "home ice" is going to be the difference here. This is the opener of a home and home set between these teams, as they'll be in Winnipeg tomorrow night. The Jets have been terrible of late, losers of four straight and six of their last seven. But Edmonton just snapped a two-game slide with a 5-2 win here over the Leafs. The Oilers also play with revenge after a 2-1 loss to the Jets here on December 31st. That's significant to note though as the Oilers are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This will be a public play, which means the faster you can bet this one, the better; the play is on the Oilers! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Knicks v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) After seven straight SU/ATS wins in a row, I believe the Knicks will finally have their hands full here with this Heat team that's going to be playing with desperation. They also play with revenge after falling 106-104 at New York at the start of February. That's important to note here as the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Knicks have Boston up next, while the Heat have hit a very favorable part of their schedule. I look for the home side to dig deep, to stop its slide and to avenge the earlier setback; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | North Dakota v. Denver UNDER 150.5 | Top | 83-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Dakota/Denver (SUMMIT TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late and the last time these teams got together the total flew "over" the posted number, but now finally here in the conference Tournament, I expect a more defensive battle. North Dakota comes into the Tournament at 12-19. It went 2-1 in its final three games, but it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. That's significant to note here though for us because the Fighting Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. North Dakota beat Denver by a score of 86-63 as a three-point favorite on February 9th and the total went "over" the number of 146. The Pioneers finished 15-16. Note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Look for this neutral site contest to finally produce more of a defensive affair as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | AJ Auxerre v. OGC Nice UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Auxerre/Nice (ASSASSIN) Nice will be looking to go to nine unbeaten here today in Ligue 1 action. They're off a 3-0 win over Monaco, while Auxerre does come to town with some momentum of its own after a 1-0 away win over Lorient. All three of Nice's goals last time out came in the first half. Auxerre will present a much more difficult challenge on the backend today though. This one has all the feelings of a "war of attrition" this afternoon, and because of that, the play here is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Northern Iowa +10.5 v. Bradley | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
8* NORTHERN IOWA (DESTRUCTION) I like Northern Iowa to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northern Iowa advanced to the second round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament by beating Illinois State by a score of 75-62 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Panthers play with revenge here after falling 77-69 to the Braves as three-point dogs back in earl February. Note that Northern Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponent. Bradley received a bye in the first round and while it is indeed 15-1 at home this year, note that this is in a neutral location; grab the points and expect a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting! AAA Sports |