10* UNDER Rangers/Dodgers (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday finally after the Dodgers 15-2 series-opening win here last night. LA has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Rangers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Texas is still second in the AL West and is scheduled to hand the ball to Jon Gray, who returns to the rotation here sitting at 2-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 60:18 K:BB. He'll be opposed by Walker Buehler (1-3, 4.82), who we believe will throw deep into this one. The overall situation though, combined with the numbers finally point to a lower-scoring "under" for these teams here on Wednesday in my opinion!

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10* Mavericks MONEYLINE (GOW)

We've played on the Celtics over the first two games and went 1-0-1. Some went 2-0. Regardless, with their backs against the wall, we do now definitely like the Mavericks to find a way to battle back into this series. In both Game's 1 and 2 Dallas got out to a quick start to the first quarter, only to then get held down offensively, but note that Luka Doncic and company are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Let's bypass the spread option here and instead take Dallas on the super reasonable "moneyline" option to just win this game outright!

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10* OVER Celtics/Mavs (TOW)

We had a play on the "under" in both Game's 1 and 2, but now with the shift in venue, we're finally expecting these talented offenses to "steal the show" and for this total to eventually fly "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. This is the lowest number so far in this series, and we're looking to take advantage in this one, as note that Dallas has in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in still eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 98 or fewer points in. Are the Mavs down and out in this series?! Maybe (to make sure, grab up or play on the side in this contest as well!), but either way, with the home side pushing the pace from start to finish like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* UNDER Nats/Tigers (IL TOW)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a "duel" here finally in the opener of this IL series. Washington enters off a 3-1 series win at home over Atlanta, with the final two games soaring well "over" the number. Note though that the Nats have in fact seen the total dip "under" the number in seven of their last ten after three or more straight victories in a row. Detroit just snapped a three-game slide with a 10-2 win over Milwaukee and it's now seen the total go "over" in four in a row. Mitchell Parker and Kenta Maeda in store for a bit of a "duel" here in our opinion. This number is a little high now out of perception, so the play for us on the "under!" 

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10* Oilers (ASSASSIN)

The Oilers have looked good after a loss so far in this year's playoffs, and we're expecting that pattern to continue here. So far there's only been one time in the playoffs that the Oilers have suffered back-to-back defeats (vs. the Stars), otherwise every loss was then followed by a convincing victory. Also ntoe that the Oilers are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a shutout road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent as well. And the only other time that Florida posted a shutout, it then went on to lose the next two playoff games vs. the Rangers. Look for Edmonton to rally here and to find a way to deliver in this crucial spot; the play is indeed on the Oilers!

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10* Rays runline (AL EAST GOM)

After three straight losses to open this series, we like the home side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire or even into extra innings. Because of that, and when taking into account the extreme overall affordability of this line, we're going to recommend grabbing Tampa on the runline option. After this Baltimore has three straight at home vs. Atlanta, followed by Philadelphia and the Yankees. Would anyone fault the visitors getting caught "looking ahead" here?! No such luxury though for the hungry Rays obviously, but note that they are in fact still 21-11 in their last 32 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Corbin Burnes is 6-2 with a 2.26 ERA for the Orioles, while Ryan Pepiot is 4-2 with a 3.96 ERA for the Rays. Look for Pepiot to match Burnes inning for inning and in a scenario like that, we find that the value for sure swings to the undervalued underdog. Overall just great value here by taking Tampa on the runline option!

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10* Celtics (ASSASSIN)

We had a play on the Celtics in Game 1, and if you didn't have a chance to read that analysis, we feel it's worth quickly doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and the reasoning behind that play, also directly applies to this pick here in Game 2 as well:

10* Celtics (GOM) One of the big story lines here is that Kyrie Irving will be facing his former team. But one angle that many forget is that Jason Tatum and company will be using this matchup as extra motivation to get the job done here as the favorite in this Game and in this series. The Mavericks have defied the odds and managed to get the better of the Wolves last time out, but the Celtics have an aggressive defense that will be able to matchup much better vs. Luka Doncic. This is going to be a guard on guard matchup, and the Celtics have the advantage here at home. One thing that Dallas doesn't have is a proper answer for Tatum though. Tatum is poised for a Finals MVP and we believe he'll be key in Boston's big win and cover here in Game 1; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Celtics!

This is just a bad matchup for Dallas once again, so lay the points with confidence, the play is Boston in Game 2 once again here!

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10* UNDER Mavs/Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER)

We had a play on the "under" in Game 1, and if you didn't have a chance to read that analysis, we feel it's worth quickly doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and the reasoning behind that play, also directly applies to this pick here in Game 2 as well:

10* UNDER Mavs/Celtics (TOM) It's Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and the Mavericks on the road to take on Jason Tatum and company at home in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. Boston is favored and we have a pretty low total overall really. But not nearly low enough in our opinion, With nearly 70% of the early public money anticipating a higher-scoring shootout, this play for sure appeals to out contrarian nature. The reason these teams are where they are right now has been because of its tough defensive play. Dallas was a bad matchup for Minnesota, but Boston has the players to slow down and disrupt both Doncic and Irving offensively. We say that the extra time off gives these talented defenses their legs back. This number is high, the play is the "under!"

Expect another hard-fought, lower-scoring defensive battle here in Game 2 as well; the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Jays/A's (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much higher-scoring slug-fest finally here on Sunday for a couple different reasons in our opinion. Toronto is off the 7-0 win over Oakland yesterday, but note that the A's have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Oakland has now seen the total go "under" in six straight, but that fact has only helped in driving today's O/U line a little lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion as well. Toronto is scheduled to start Bowden Francis (2-2, 9.00 ERA), who has been activated from the 15 day DL. He'll be opposed by Mitch Spence (4-3, 3.86.) This is an "action" play though, as the overall situation, combined with the trends point to this total flying well "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* Minnesota (MLS WEST-CONF GOM)

We feel that Minnesota could/should in fact be a much larger fav in this spot. We bet dogs, we bet totals, and we are also never afraid to lay chalk, especially when we feel that our "play on" side should/could be a much bigger favorite, and that's the case for this pick for sure. FC Dallas is off back-to-back road losses and sits just 3-8 overall. With a much more "winnable" game finally at home next weekend vs. St. Louis, everything points to the visitors getting caught "looking ahead." Minnesota United FC is 8-3, and one weekend after falling 3-0 at LAFC, it bounced back with a convincing 3-1 home win over Sportking KC last weekend. With two tough road games at Seattle and Dallas respectively after this, we say the home side makes the most of this moment; lay the price, the play is indeed on Minnesota!

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10* Oilers (NHL GOM)

If you're betting on this game, likely you already know the storylines of each of these team's and how they each arrived at this point. You know the cast of characters and the strengths and the weaknesses of each side, so we're not going to break down the history of how we've gotten here, but instead just give you the solid reasons why we feel the Oilers are the correct call here in Game 1. First, Edmonton does happen to be 4-1 in its last five when playing with three or more days rest. But also the majority of the early public money (70%) has been quick to back the American home side. What Edmonton did to Dallas was impressive and we think the Oilers are going to come out here and steal the Panthers' thunder in Game 1 and get out to a quick start; the play is indeed on Edmonton!

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10* OVER Oilers/Panthers (TOM)

We're making a play on both the side and the total. Both teams were among the league's best on both sides of the ice this year, and each looked impressive defensively in their Conference victories. Edmonton really shut down the Stars for the most part, and the same thing for Florida over New York. But with the extra time off finally between series, we look for these well-rested sides to push the pace, and ultimatley we expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Also note that while Florida did see the total go "under" in its final three vs. New York, the Panthers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate in Game 1, the play for us as far as the total is concerned is indeed on the "over!" 

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6* Dodgers runline (BIG-CHALK ROUT)

We're going to lay the chalk here for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. LA comes in off the 2-1 series opening win yesterday and hands the ball to Gavin Stone (6-2, 2.90 ERA), while the home side counters with Nestor Cortes Jr. (3-4, 3.46 ERA.) Both have been great and we're anticipating another "nail biter" here. Sure, the outright win is possible, but we still feel we're getting a great price overall here with the runline option; and that's the play, LA on the runline!

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10* Roughriders (GOW)

These teams met a year ago in their respective season openers and the Riders ground out the 17-13 win. Trevor Harris is back under center for the Ridres after an injury sidelined him for most of the 2023 season. Edmonton now has McLeod Bethel-Thompson at QB after he spent last year in the USFL. Saskatchewan addressed many defensive issues in the off-season and while we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can; the play is Saskatchewan!

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10* OVER D-Backs/Padres (NL WEST TOY)

Both sides have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating more of an offensive contest here in the second game of this four game series. Arizona won the opener yesterday by a score of 4-3. San Diego has lost five straight, which is important to note here as the Padres have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after five or more straight losses in a row. San Diego has also seen the total go "under" in five straight, which is also significant to note as the Friars have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Both teams are playoff hopeful, and each can not be satisfied whatsoever where it sits right now in the standings, with Arizona at 30-33, and San Diego at 32-34. Brandon Pfaadt (2-4, 4.32 ERA) gets the call for the visitors to start, while the home side counters with Michael King (4-4, 3.82.) Look for these struggling but talented offenses to chase these admittedly decent starters early, and for that to also help in contributing for this total blasting past this lower number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* UNDER Mavs/Celtics (TOM)

It's Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and the Mavericks on the road to take on Jason Tatum and company at home in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. Boston is favored and we have a pretty low total overall really. But not nearly low enough in our opinion, With nearly 70% of the early public money anticipating a higher-scoring shootout, this play for sure appeals to out contrarian nature. The reason these teams are where they are right now has been because of its tough defensive play. Dallas was a bad matchup for Minnesota, but Boston has the players to slow down and disrupt both Doncic and Irving offensively. We say that the extra time off gives these talented defenses their legs back. This number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Celtics (GOM)

One of the big story lines here is that Kyrie Irving will be facing his former team. But one angle that many forget is that Jason Tatum and company will be using this matchup as extra motivation to get the job done here as the favorite in this Game and in this series. The Mavericks have defied the odds and managed to get the better of the Wolves last time out, but the Celtics have an aggressive defense that will be able to matchup much better vs. Luka Doncic. This is going to be a guard on guard matchup, and the Celtics have the advantage here at home. One thing that Dallas doesn't have is a proper answer for Tatum though. Tatum is poised for a Finals MVP and we believe he'll be key in Boston's big win and cover here in Game 1; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Celtics!

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8* Jays (MISMATCH)

Baltimore won the first two games of this series, but Toronto finally got off the schneid with 3-2 win last night. I had the "under" in that one, and now I like the Jays to build off that win. The bottom line here is that this is a complete pitching mismatch. Toronto hands the ball to Yusei Kikuchi (2-5, 3.66 ERA), while the visitors counter with Cade Povich (0-0, 0.00) who is being thrown to the wolves here in his MLB debut. Kikuchi has had mixed success vs. Baltimore over his career, but we're still giving him the big nod in this matchup. Toronto is desperate for victories and at this price, we can't turn down the hungry home side; the play is indeed on Toronto!

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10* UNDER Orioles/Jays (BLOOD-BATH)

They say that divisional matchps are always the most important, and that they almost always mean the most to the home side. These two divisional opponents though are moving in opposite directions, with the Orioles entering at 39-20, and the Jays at 28-32 after dropping the first two games of this series by scores of 7-2 and 10-1 yesterday. Note though that interestingly the Jays have seen the total fall below the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. We really like both of these starters though, and they're primarily what this pick is based upon, with Albert Suarez (2-0, 1.57 ERA) going for the visitors, and Jose Berrios (5-4, 2.78) countering for the home side. We're expecting a classic "duel" here into the latter frames, and as a result we do indeed look for this total stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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6* Giants runline (HIGH-HEAT)

We're going to lay the price here and expect San Francisco to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread option (runline.) Enough is enough here for San Fran, which enters having lost six in a row and the first two games of this series. Arizona looks primed for a letdown in our estimation after four straight wins and it's also a "look-ahead" spot with a tough four-game series starting in San Diego tomorrow. We're giving the big nod to Jordan Hicks (4-2, 2.70 ERA) in this starting pitching matchup over his struggling counterpart Jordan Montgomery (3-3, 5.48.) We have no issues laying this larger price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is indeed on San Francisco on the runline option!

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10* UNDER Cards/Astros (IL TOW)

These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Cards two straight victories to open this IL series, winning by scores of 7-5 and 8-5. Interestingly though St. Louis has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. St. Louis turns to Miles Mikolas (3-6, 5.54 ERA), while the home side counters with this year's ace Ronel Blanco (5-1, 2.44.) Look for these two starters to battle deep into this one, as the numbers and the trends all point to this total staying well "under" the number once it's all said an done!

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10* OVER Tigers/Rangers (ASSASSIN)

Both of these teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, including in the Tigers 2-1 win here yesterday, but for a couple of different reasons, we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks. And that's despite a couple of decent starters going H2H here with the Tigers handing the ball to Jack Flaherty (2-4, 3.46 ERA), while the home side counters with Dan Dunning (4-3, 3.94.) As note that Texas has not only seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less runs in, but also in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. For us, this one sets up well from a few different situational angles, so the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* Jays runline (AL EAST GOW)

Both teams have been playing well, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to suggest laying what we deem to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. We have two really good starters here in Grayson Rodriguez for the Orioles and Kevin Gausman for the Jays. These teams split two games in Baltimore in mid-May, with one game being postponed. But now here back in Toronto, we feel that the hungrier home side does indeed have a legit shot at taking this first of four games in this series outright, but the official will be indeed to take the Jays on the runline option!

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10* OVER Stars/Oilers (ASSASSIN)

We are 3-0 with our Over/Under plays the L3 games in this series and after playing to a low-scoring affair in Game 5, we're now predicting a much more wide-open, and ultimately higher-scoring Game 6 back here in Edmonton. Note that the Stars have seen the total eclipse the posted number in now nine of their last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent as well, after winning 5-3 in Game 4 here in Edmonton. Regardless, with the visiting side now pushing the pace like we suspect to get this series to a decisive Game 7 back in Dallas, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later here in Game 6 in our opinion!

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10* OVER Cards/Phillies (ASSASSIN)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to some offensive fireworks and a slug-fest here in the finale of this three-game series on Sunday night in our opinion. Philly has now won six straight after last night's 6-1 win, which actually "pushed" on last night's O/U line. Regardless, the overall situation points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later with Lance Lynn scheduled for the visitors, and Taijuan Walker going for the home side. Lynn is 2-3 with a 3.45 ERA, while Walker has been the beneficiary of a ton of run support already this year, entering 3-1 overall, but with a ballooned 5.51 ERA. We say this O/U line is now a bit TOO low, so the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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8* OVER Twins/Astros (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, including in Houston's 5-2 win here yesterday, but we're finally anticipating more of an offensive "slug-fest" finally in the finale here on Sunday. Houston has now seen the total go "under" the number in eight straight, but that fact has now only hselped in driving today's O/U line a little lower than normal. And with the loss the Twins have seen the total go "under" in two straight. Semion Woods Richardson is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA for Minnesota, but regression seems imminent in our opinion. And Hunter Brown is just 1-6 with a 6.39 ERA for the home side. Look for these two guys to "get the hook early" and for that to ultimatley help in contributing to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Rangers/Panthers (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a faster-paced affair here in Game 6. Note that the Rangers have seen the total fly "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog as well. Game 3 is the only game in this series that has gone "over" the number, but the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to this total flying well "over" the number before the final horn sounds in our opinion!

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10* OVER Montreal/Philly (EAST-CONF TOY)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we anticipate those trends to end here this weekend in Philadelphia between hungry Eastern Conference opponents, who we expect will really push the offensive pace from start to finish. Philly is 4-4 after back-to-back scoreless draws. Previos to that it was a 3-0 win at New England. But clearly Philly can't be happy with its offense of late. Montreal fans can empathize. The team is 4-7, and one weekend of after drawing 0-0 with Nashville though, the visiting side then erupted for the 4-2 home win over Nashville last week. We're expecting a similar pace now here in Philly, where we do indeed expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* New York Red Bulls (EAST-CONF GOM)

We expect New York to win this game handily in regulation, making this a price in which we have no issues laying whatsoever. We bet dogs, we bet totals, and we're also not afraid whatsoever to pull the trigger on chalk, ESPECIALLY when we think/feel that our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's the case here. Orlando City SC is 4-6 and despite a 1-1 draw at 2-8 Chicago last weekend, we think it's in over its head here. New York drew 1-1 at OCSC back in March, but now the Red Bulls enter at 7-3 and having won three of their last four in regulation, including last time out with a convincing 3-1 effort over Charlotte here. With a much tougher game at New England next weekend, we say that Red Bulls make the most of this matchup on Saturday night; lay the price, the play is New York!

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8* Cardinals runline (MISMATCH)

In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Two really good starters going head-to-head here in Sonny Gray for the Cards and Ranger Suarez for the Phillies. Regression does seem imminent at some point for Suarez after his sparkling start. Despite yesterday's 4-2 series-opening loss here, St. Louis has turned the corner with its play having won seven of its last nine. While the outright upset is possible, the official call is to grab the Cards on the runline option!

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8* UNDER White Sox/Brewers.

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Brewers 12-5 series-opening win here yesterday, but with two super competent starters going head to head here on Saturday afternoon, we're finally anticipating a "duel" here on Saturday. The White Sox go with Garrett Crochet (5-5, 3.68 ERA), while the home side counters with Robert Gasser (2-0, 1.96.) Crochet owns a tiny 0.93 WHIP, while Gasser is right behind him with a 0.96. This number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* Giants runline (IL GOW)

In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay what we deem to be a very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. New York is 20-11 on the road, but San Fran is 17-11 at home. The Yanks just took two of three at LA, but they lost the first one by a score of 4-3. The Giants will now look to do the same here on Friday. The Giants took two of three from Philly here, and have had a day off since the 6-1 defeat in the finale. Marcus Stroman has been great for the Yanks, but we're still giving the nod here to Jordan Hicks at home. The outright is very possible, but for all the situational reasons listed above, our official call here is to grab San Francisco on the runline option!

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10* UNDER Oilers/Stars (ASSASSIN)

We had a play on the "over" in Game 4, and while that pick was correct and while the last two games have flown well above the posted number, we're now once again anticipating a much tighter and lower-scoring defensive battle like we saw over the first three games. All tied up and fatigue will now for sure be a major factor for both sides. So look for that to effect the pace. Also note that Dallas has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. This number is now high here in Game 5, so the play is on the "under!" 

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10* Wolves (BLOOD-BATH)

Boston sits waiting for its opponent in the NBA Finals, and in our opinion it's going to have to wait for at least one more game. The Wolves finally made the necessary adjusmtments and came out on top as a 1.5-point dog to win 105-100. Now back at home and riding the wave of momentum, and with nearly 65% of the early public money on the visiting side, we feel that the both the value, AND the momentum have now swung in favor of Minnesota. We had the "under" in that one, but here we like the Wolves to build off that commanding road victory and to, for at least one more game, prolong this series for a big Game 6. So lay the points, the play is indeed on Minnesota!

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10* UNDER Panthers/Rangers (EAST-CONF FINALS TOY)

This has been a tight series so far and we're once again anticipating a competitive affair here in The Big Apple for Game 5 after Florida came out in OT in Game 4 y a score of 3-2. We're all tied up and in this crucial contest, where we're expecting each of these talented defensive teams to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes. In a contest like this, where it's essentially a "war of attrition," where the pace is slower, we feel for sure the "under" is the correct call as far as the total is concerned. Similar to what we saw in Game 4, everything points to another low-scoring outcome here in Game 5 as well in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Astros/Mariners (AL TOM)

The first three games of this three games series have all gone "under" the number, but we're finally anticipating some offensive fireworks here as Houston desperately tries to avoid getting swept. Houston has now seen the total go "under" in five straight, but that's significant to note though as the Astros have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Seattle has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row as well. Houston is forced to once again turn to Spencer Arrighetti (2-5, 6.93 ERA), who gave up three runs over five innings to the lowly A's last time out in a loss. He'll be opposed by Logan Gilbert (3-2, 3.06 ERA), who clearly has the upper-hand here, but regardless, the overall situation combined with the trends/numbers all point to this total flying well "over" the number before it's all said and done!

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8* OVER Stars/Oilers (ASSASSIN)

Dallas exploded for the 5-3 win in Game 3 and we're expecting more offensive fireworks here tonight in Game 4. Edmonton may or may not win this game, but note that the Oilers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Portland/Austin (MLS WEST-CONF TOY)

These teams have been involved in some higher-scoring affairs, but we're expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here. Portland was our MLS Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR just this past weekend, and the Timbers did pull out the 2-1 home win over Sporting KC. Now on the road, we feel Portland will struggle to put up the same amount of offense here. The Timbers fell 2-1 at Minnesota previously. Austin FC is off the 1-1 draw at San Jose, and beat Sporting KC at home 3-2 previous to that. We anticipate a much tighter, and lower-scoring "war of attrition" here this time though, similar to their game vs. the Earthquakes last week. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

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8* Blue Jays (MOUND MISMATCH)

Just a complete mismatch on the mound and at the plate in this one and it makes this a price in which we have no issues whatsoever in laying. The Jays have a lot of ground to make up, and their starter Alek Manoah (1-2, 3.97 ERA) has a lot to prove this season. We're giving him the big nod in this starting pitching matchup vs. the volatile Chris Flexen (2-4, 5.69) of the White Sox though. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto!

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8* Yanks (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

New York's four-game win streak came to an end in Sunday's 5-2 loss at San Diego, but with a day to regroup, we think that the Yanks will bounce back here in this favorable starting pitching matchup in sunny LA. New York is 19-10 on the road, while LA is just 6-19 at home. We give a big nod to Nestor Cortes Jr. (3-4, 3.29 ERA) of the Yanks here in this starting pitching matchup, versus his struggling counterpart Griffin Canning (2-4, 5.05.) Lay the price with confidence, the play is New York!

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10* UNDER Wolves/Mavs (SUPER TOTAL)

The first three games have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive affair here as the Wolves risk life and limb to try and get back into this series. The difference-maker for Dallas in the playoffs has been its tough defensive play. With the Celtics having wrapped up the Eastern Conference Finals in four games, Kyrie Irving and company will be eager to do the same. Fatigue plays an issue at this point as well. Finally, note that Minnesota has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is now high, so the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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8* Rangers puckline (ULTIMATE OF ULTIMATE)

With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side, this one definitely appeals to our contrarian nature. New York has more than just a "puncher's chance" here as well to win this game outright, but getting the 1.5 goals of insurance at this price is just to good to turn down in the end. And that's what this play is primarily based upon: perceived value. You may want to consider "sprinkling" a little on the "moneyline," but the official call is to lay the price for New York on the puckline option!

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10* OVER Stars/Oilers (WEST-CONF FINALS TOY)

The first two games were tight, lower-scoring battles, but now with the shift in venue, we're finally anticipating a much higher-scoring affair here in Game 3 of the WCF. With the majority of the early money on the "under" again, this one also appeals to our contrarian nature. Edmonton ranks among the league's best in almost every offensive category and note that the Oilers have seen the total eclipse the posted number four of their last five in trying to avenge a road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent as well. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect here in Game 3, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Celtics/Pacers (EAST-CONF FINALS TOY)

This has been a back and-forth-series, where so far home court advantage has only held true for ATS bettors, as Boston held on for the 114-111 SU win in Game 3, unable to cover the spread. It's now do or die for the Pacers, who clearly have a huge hole to try and climb out of. It's unsurmountable obviously, and a win here in Game 4 is almost assuredly just "delaying the inevitable." We feel that Indiana has now run out of gas. Look for Boston to try and slow the pace of this one down from the outset as it looks to take control and take the crowd out of it. Everything finally points to a defensive affair in Game 4, so the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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8* Padres (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

We're going to lay the price on the home side here. The bottom line for us comes down to the starting pitching matchup. We're not in love with the Padres Michael King or anything, as he's 4-4 with a 4.28 ERA. He's actually been better on the road than at home, but we're still giving him the big nod over his shaky counterpart Trevor Rogers, who is 1-6 with a 6.11 ERA. The form of Rogers leaves everything to be desired here on the road and in this matchup and it is the underlying factor for pulling the trigger on this larger juice; lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on San Diego!

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10* FIRST HALF ASSASSIN MAVERICKS (if don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, then we also like Dallas on the moneyline to win this game outright.)

We think that Dallas will utilize familar surroundings and get out to a "quick start" here at home in Game 3. Dallas had to overcome to huge second-half deficits in Minnesota to move to 2-0, and the Mavericks won't want to have to try and do that again. And we don't anticipate that they will. Minnesota just doesn't match up well vs. this rugged Dallas defense, which will once again be firing on all cylinders in our esimtation here in front of the home town crowd. Look for Dallas to finally go up at HALF here and to find a way to deliver the goods as well once it's all said and done!

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8* Rangers (TOP-SHELF DESTROYER)

We're going to lay the price here and grab the 1.5 goals of insurance. We play dogs. We play totals. And we're also not afraid to lay chalk when we feel the situation warrants it. The first two games were both low-scoring and competitive. Nothing will change here either. Both sides lead the league in most offensive and defensive categories. These are two evenly matched, and hungry clubs. While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we're laying the price here for New York on the puckline option!

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10* UNDER Dodgers/Reds (PITCHER'S DUEL)

The Reds have taken the first two games of this series, winning 9-6 and 3-1. We believe we'll see a similar final combined score like we saw yesterday. The Dodgers have now lost four straight. Note though that they've seen the total dip "under" the number now in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss as a fav vs. an opponent. We have two really competent starters going head-to-head here, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (5-1, 3.17 ERA) getting the call for the visitors, and Brent Suter (0-0, 4.13) countering for the home side. The overall situation points to another "duel" here on Sunday afternoon; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Portland (MLS WEST-CONF GOY)

Sporting KC is just 2-6. It had its chance to beat the Timbers at home, but came up short in the 3-3 draw. KC has gone winless since that draw and actually comes in on terrible form, having lost four straight outright. That includes a 3-2 loss at Austin FC last time out. The Timbers are only 3-7, but we'll argue that they're playing their best soccer of the season right now. After beating San Jose here by a score of 4-2 in mid May, they then were very competitive in a slim 2-1 loss at 7-2 Minnesota last time out. Look for Portland to take advantage of home field and to find a way to deliver in this spot; lay the price for Portland to get the job done in regulation!

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10* Dynamo/Galaxy OVER (MLS TOW)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a higher-scoring one here finally on Saturday night. Houston is 5-5 and LA is 5-2. The Galaxy have played to four straight draws. Last time out it was a 0-0 draw at Charlotte. Previous to that though it was a 2-2 draw at Minnesota. We're anticipating a more wide-open and high-scoring affair here similar to what the team polayed to at Minnesota, and a 2-2 draw vs. Real at home previous to that even. Houston is 0-1-1 in its last two, scoring just one goal in that span. But now here on the road with the host pushing the pace, everything points to this total finally flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

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10* Padres (EXPRESS)

We think the Padres will respond here after last night's 8-0 series-opening loss. Previous to that SD had taken two of three at Cincinnati. The Yanks have been great at home or on the road this year, but at this price, we like Dylan Cease to get the better of his counterpart Marcus Stroman at home here. Both with similar numbers, as Stroman is 3-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, while Cease is 5-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. The Friars are 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avenge a home loss though and we expect that 75% winning trend to continue here on Saturday night; lay the short price, the play is San Diego!

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10* UNDER Celtics/Pacers (BLOCKBUSTER)

The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but with the shift in venue, we're finally anticipating much more of a defensive battle here on Saturday between the Celtics and Pacers. Indiana has seen the total go "over" in four straight now, while Boston has also seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. That fact though has only helped in driving this particular total here in Game 3 a few points higher than it normally would/should be as well in our opinion. And with over 70% of the early public money on the "over," this also greatly appeals to out contrarian nature. This number is high in our opinion, so the play for us is on the "under!" 

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10* OVER Oilers/Stars (BLOCKBUSTER)

Edmonton came out on top in Game 1 here, but with Dallas now pushing the pace like we anticipate in Game 2, we're finally expecting the puck to find the back of the net a bunch in this one. Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Edmonton ranks among the league leaders in almost every offensive category and we're expecting at least another three goal performance here as well. The bottom line though is that we believe all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Mavericks (ATS BLOWOUT)

The Mavericks won Game 1 outright after making defensive adjustments going into halftime, and we're expecting another really competitive affair here as well here in Game 2. Outright victory? Clearly that's a possibility, as this is a difficult matchup issue for Minnesota with Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic playing so well. The bottom line here though is that this Dallas defense is for real, and with how efficent the Mavs are shooting the ball right now, we're once again grabbing the points with Dallas in Game 2!

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10* OVER Panthers/Rangers (ASSASSIN)

These teams feature two of the best defenses, not only in the Eastern Conference, but in the entire NHL. Game 1 went well "under" the number in Florida's 3-0 win, but note that NY has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The Rangers have been trading high-scoring games, with low-scoring "unders" over their last six playoff contests, and everything points to this pattern continuing here in Game 2; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Stars (ULTIMATE TOP PLAY)

The Oilers have problems in net, and they allow a lot of shots. Dallas ranks among the best in the league in almost every statistical category. It's a complete clash of styles in this series, but we honestly feel that it's the Oilers that are getting way too much respect on the road here. We feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Edmonton No. 1 Stuart Skinner is down to a .887 save percentage at 5-on-5 and .881 overall in the playoffs. Jake Oettinger has a .941 save percentage at 5-on-5. Edmonton barely got past a severely depleted Vancouver team, and we feel that it'll be completely overmatched here in Game 1; lay the price, the play is Dallas!

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10* Celtics (EAST-CONF FINALS GOY)

The Celtics came up short in Game 1, but now with a single-digit spread to cover, we think they'll dig deep and find a way to deliver not only with the SU victory, but also this time with the comfortable ATS victory. It's a great siuational play in our opinion. No one, especially the Celtics, expected the Pacers to put up that much of a fight in Game 1. Who would have, as they had just gone seven tough games against the Knicks, and had to win on the road in Game 7. Something that they haven't been great at doing. Boston is now 42-7 at home this year. We just feel that Indiana threw its best possible shot at the Celtics to try and pull off an upset over these first two games, and with that "close but no cigar" mental letdown, fatigue will now for sure play a MAJOR factor for the visitors; lay the spread with confidence, the play is on Boston!

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10* UNDER Mariners/Yanks (SUPER TOTAL)

This is the finale of a four-game series, and despite whatever happens on Wednesday, the day we're writing this, we really like the "under" in this one. And it all comes down to the starting pitching matchup. The bottom line here is that we're expecting a classic "duel" here between Mariners' ace Luis Castillo (4-5, 3.28 ERA), and Yanks' starter Luis Gil (5-1, 2.39 ERA). Castillo owns a sharp 1.14 WHIP, while Gil's is even better at 1.08. These bullpens have been strong all year as well, so look for a very low-scoring defensive battle here on Thursday afternoon, as the play is indeed on the "under!"

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10* UNDER Mavs/Wolves (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have had to pull off series upsets to advance to this point. Luka Doncic and the Mavericks now get ready to battle Anthony Davis and the Wolves. As good as some of these players are offensively though, there's no big secret why these two teams are where they are right now, and that's been their smothering defensive play. It's been a war of attrition almost, with these teams just outlasting and outgrinding their opponents. All signs point to a similar style contest here in Game 1, and that's the reason why we're taking this situational play on the "under!" 

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10* OVER Panthers/Rangers (BEST OF BEST)

These two teams were among the league's best on both ends of the ice. They're very similar. Clearly, with a line like this, the oddsmakers feel that these teams are very evenly matched. And they are! Florida and New York are backed by two of the best goaltenders, especially Florida of late with Sergei Bobrovsky. But this series is going to be decided by the team that can actually find the back of the net. New York will be pushing the pace of this one from the outset and we look for this anticipated faster-paced affair to fly well "over" the number once it's all said and done. This number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!"

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10* UNDER Mariners/Yanks (SUPER TOTAL)

This is the finale of a four-game series, and despite whatever happens on Wednesday, the day we're writing this, we really like the "under" in this one. And it all comes down to the starting pitching matchup. The bottom line here is that we're expecting a classic "duel" here between Mariners' ace Luis Castillo (4-5, 3.28 ERA), and Yanks' starter Luis Gil (5-1, 2.39 ERA). Castillo owns a sharp 1.14 WHIP, while Gil's is even better at 1.08. These bullpens have been strong all year as well, so look for a very low-scoring defensive battle here on Thursday afternoon, as the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* Pirates (BLOOD-BATH)

Pittsburgh is the favorite here, but in our opinion the home side could/should in fact be a much larger one. San Fran's four-game win streak ended in last night's 7-6 loss here. Pittsburgh though has now won four of its last five and with the clearly superior starter on the hill for it in this Wednesday night matchup, we look for the Pirates to build off yesterday's victory. The Giants go with the volatile Blake Snell (0-3, 11.57 ERA), while the home side counters with Jared Jones (3-4, 2.89.) Look for Jones to continue his progression and for Pittsburgh to find a way to deliver the goods at home here on Wednesday night!

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10* Celtics (BLOODBATH)

Sometimes we feel it's necessary to completely dissect a game, looking at every possible angle, breaking down every possible stat, looking at every possible player matchup etc. Other times though, we absolutely just utilize the "KISS" method, the Keep It Simple Stupid method. And that's going to be the case for us here in Game 1 between the Pacers, who needed all seven games to then pull off the upset in New York to close out their most recent series, and who we now believe will be completely "gassed" here in the opener of the ECF. Boston is 41-6 at home and will have had a week off between games to rest and focus. No need to overthink this one; everything points to the Celtics keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish!

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8* Jays (DESTRUCTION)

We play dogs. We play totals. We are also not afraid to lay chalk, especially when we think that our "play on" side could or should in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's the case here. Toronto has a lot of ground to make up now in the competitive AL East, and after earning a hard-fought 5-2 home win over Tampa last time out, we think they keep the momentum rolling here in this favorable matchup. And it's all about the starting pitching matchup for us, as this one highly favors the home side. The visitors go with Garret Crochet, who is 4-4 with a 4.18 ERA, while the home side counters with Yusei Kikuchi, who is 2-3 with a 2.60 ERA. Look for Kikuchi to get the better of his counterpart here at home and lay this price with confidence!

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10* Canucks (ASSASSIN)

Home ice hasn't necessarily been an advantage for either team in this series, but we feel that in Game 7, that will change here for Vancouver, who we suspect will ride the wave of emotion to a solid victory. The Canucks are in fact 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent as well. The Canucks went 4-0 against the Oilers in the regular season and that success now carries over here on home ice. The oddsmakers are trying to bait general betting public in our opinion, and we aren't biting! Grab the plus-money value, the play here is indeed on Vancouver!

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8* play on the Wolves.

This has been a great series for the fans and for the NBA and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Minnesota won the first two games of the series here earily, holding the Nuggets to under 100 points in each. They also just held Denver to just 70 points in the 115-70 beatdown victory in Game 6. Honestly, we wouldn't be shocked whatsoever by the outright, but in the end the official call is to grab the poitns with Minnesota!

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8* play on the OVER Wolves/Nuggets.

These teams have faltered on the road, on both ends of the court. Clearly, Denver won't be going down without a fight here. If you've bought this 3-game report, you know that we're also on the Wolves with the points. Clearly, Minnesota knows that it'll have to be the aggressor here. But note as well that Denver has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect from start to finish, everything points to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" 

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10* Diamondbacks (ASSASSIN)

After dropping the first two games of this series, we like Arizona to dig deep here and to find a way to deliver the goods in the finale. Matt Manning (0-1, 4.37 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while the home side counters with veteran Jordan Montgomery (2-2, 4.76.) We give Montgomery the nod in this matchup at home. Look for Arizona to respond here for sure, as we do in fact feel/believe that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger; lay the price with confidence, the play is Arizona!

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8* play on the Knicks.

So far home floor advantage has been key in this series. We say that'll one again be the case here, as we look for Indiana to struggle with its offense in the Big Apple, jsut like it did in the 121-91 loss here in Game 5. Home floor has meant everything in this series, and nothing will change here. Look for Jalen Brunson to have a huge game for the Knicks to not only win, but also cover in a blowout ATS victory as well!

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10* OVER Everton/Arsenal (EPL TOW)

The end of the regular season is here. Everton is 13-15 and in 11th, while Arsenal is 27-5 and in first. The reverse-fixutre saw Arsenal hold on for the 1-0 win back on September 17th, but note that Everon has in fact seen the total soar above the posted number 7 of its last 10 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was shutout. Everton has seen the total go under in five straight, but note that it has also seen the total go over four of its last five after playing to five or more straight unders in a row. With each side pushing the pace in this final contest of the year like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW)

Aston Villa is playing at home vs. Liverpool on Wednesday, but we're releasing this pick on Monday. Despite the result from that contest, we love how this one sets up for Crystal Palace. Aston Villa is 20-9, while Crystal Palace is still fighting for positioning in its final game of the year. Crystal Palace plays with revenge after the 3-1 loss in the reverse-fixture back on September 16th. Crystal Palace is 12-15 and 13th overall, but it's firing on all cylinders, having not lost in EPL action in six games, going 5-0-1 in that time. With extra tme off to prepare for this final home game, as mentioned above, we LOVE how this one sets up for Crystal Palace!

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10* OVER Vancouver/Seattle (MLS TOW)

Both teams are in dire need of a win. Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency of late. But all of those factors collide to push and motivate these teams to play to a much more wide-open, and ultimatley higher-scoring affair finally on Saturday night. The Whitecaps will be desperate here to snap a four-game winless streak, which includes scoring just one goal over that span. But it's Seattle which plays with revenge after a 2-0 loss at Vancouver in mid-April. That's significant to note though because the Sounders have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss in which they were shutout. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Real Salt Lake (MLS GOW)

Colorado won here 2-1 back on March 9th as a +350 underdog. Note that Real is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Colorado is now 6-4 after a 1-0 win at home over Vancouver last time out. Colorado has been trading wins/losses over its last five games, and off the win, I believe this pattern continues vs. the revenge-minded home side that's not lost in five games and which has scored 11 goals in that span, while allowing three. Great value here on Real Salt Lake!

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10* Canucks puckline (TPOU)

With nearly 70% of the early public money on the Oilers, most are thinking that Edmonton will push this to a seventh and deciding game, but clearly the Canucks have much more than just a "punchers chance" here in Game 6. In a game that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we'll recommend grabbing the visitors on the puckline option. Every game in this series has been decided by a single goal, so to get the Canucks with the extra 1.5 goals at this price is the very definition of "great line value" in our opinion; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on Vancouver on the puckline option!

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10* OVER Thunder/Mavericks (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams played to some really defensive affairs of late, but we're finally anticipating a higher-scoring shootout here in Game 6 in Dallas. The Mavericks are on the cusp of moving onto the Western Conference final, but note that the Thunder have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. It's do or die for the visitors and with OKC opening things up on the offensive end like we're fully expecting, everything does indeed point to this Game 6 total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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8* Giants (PITCHING MISMATCH)

Colorado comes to the West coast on a win streak, but it's still just 6-16 on the road. San Francisco is only 20-25 so far this year, but a much more respectable 12-10 at home. We look for Colorado's win streak to come to an end here though in this difficult road venue. We're giving a big nod to Kyle Harrison (3-1, 3.42 ERA) and the Giants in this starting pitching matchup, going up against struggling counterpart Ryan Feltner (1-3, 5.20.) This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our estimation; lay the price with confidence in this one, the play is indeed on San Francisco!

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10* Knicks/Pacers OVER (BEST OF BEST)

Indiana will look to respond and push this series to a Game 7. Clealry, the NBA would love that! Note that the Pacers have seen teh total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. New York will match pace and we can absolutely expect this faster-paced Game 6 to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* OVER Panthers/Bruins (BLOCKBUSTER)

The first three games of this series went "over" the number, while the last two have fallen "under." Now here in Game 6 we're expecting a much more wide-open and faster-paced affair, as we're looking for the hungry Panthers to really push the pace of this one. Note as well that Florida has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for Game 6 to resemble more of the pace/style as what we saw over the first three games of this series; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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6* Canucks puckline (CHOKE-OUT)

These teams are tied 2-2 heading back to Vancouver. All four games leading up to this point have been decided by a single goal, and now an underdog at home, we absolutely feel that laying the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals is the correct call here. We play dogs, we play totals and we also lay juice. In a contest that we see once again being decided late, or even in extra periods, the play is Vancouver on the puckline option!

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10* Wolves (BOB)

Denver had a 2-0 lead to open this series, but it's since been all Denver the rest of the way as it continues to get great play from Nikola Jokic and the rest of the role players on this defending champion roster. But the Wolves have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. This series has seven games written all over it in our opinion. We expect Minnesota to finally respond here and not only win, but to do so by a comfortable margin; lay the points, the play is on the Wolves!

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10* OVER Rays/Red Sox (AL EAST TOY)

Tampa and Boston have played to three straight "unders," but we're now finally anticipating a "slug-fest" here in the finale. Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" in eight straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total here today a little lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note because the Rays have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Two decent starters here in Zach Littell (2-2, 3.02 ERA) for the Rays and Cooper Criswell (2-1, 2.10) for the Red Sox, but regression does seem imminent for both in our opinion. This is a big game for each team and we feel these guys will get chased early, and then these bullpens will give up more runs in the latter frames. This number is now TOO low, so the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* OVER Avs/Stars (BLOCKBUSTER)

Dallas has held Colorado to just a single goal in each of the last two games, after the first two games of this series went well "over" the nmber. Colorado will look to dig deep and survive one more game here, but to do that it'll have to push the pace and start finding the back of the net. Look for the Avs to come out with a new game plan in this do or die situation. Also note that despite the 5-1 home loss in Game 4, Colorado has still seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Dallas has had no issues scoring throughout this series and everything points to that trend continuing here as well. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish like we suspect here in Game 5, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Celtics FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN)

This is the biggest spread that Boston has had put on it so far in the Playoffs. It won, but didn't cover last time out in Cleveland. Here though in Game 5, we do expect Boston to win as well, both SU and ATS. If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like the Celtics for the entire game. But the official call will be to grab Boston in the FIRST HALF, as it'll look to bury Cleveland early so as not to give it any hope in the second half; that's how we see this one playing out, as the play is indeed on Boston!

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8* Royals runline (BLOOD-BATH)

The Royals won as an underdog yesterday here in the PNW and while we do feel that have a legit shot at winning outright here as well on Wednesday, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in the end. Alec Marsh is 3-0 with a 2.53 ERA for the Royals, while Bryan Woo is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Mariners. Woo is coming off a no-decision in his first outing of the year last time out and this is his first look at the Royals in his caeer. Marsh is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 15 K's over 11 innings vs. the Mariners in his career. Lay the price, grab the 1.5 runs because the play is indeed on Kansas City on the runline option!

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10* Pacers (ASSASSIN)

So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series, with each team winning on its home floor. The Pacers though have all the momentum now after back-to-back victories and while they may not win this game outright, we're expecting a full out battle until the end. New York is struggling on both ends of the court and we feel the bookmakers are slow in recognizing this still, and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Indiana!

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8* Brewers (SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH)

Milwaukee has lost two in a row after dropping yesterday's series opener here by a score of 8-6. But here's a great spot to bounce back in as we feel the home side could/should in fact be a much larger favorite due to the starting pitching matchup talent discrepancy level. The Pirates go with Quinn Preister (0-3, 3.86 ERA), while the home side counters with Joe Ross (1-4, 4.75.) We'll give the veteran Ross the big nod at home in this matchup, as regression feels imminent for Priester in this difficult road venue; lay the price with confidence, the play is Milwaukee!

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10* BRUINS puckline (BEST BET)

The Bruins shocked the Panthers with the 5-1 win in Game 1, but since then Florida has won three straight. Now Boston will risk life and limb for a chance to send this one back home for a Game 6, and in a contest that we see being decided late, or in extra periods, we ultimatley feel that the value here for sure lies in grabbing the Bruins on the puckline option. Despite the two straight home loss to the Panthers, note that Boston is still 8-4 in its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on Boston on the puckline option!

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8* Royals runline (DESTRUCTION)

In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Two decent teams here and would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either side to come out on top. We feel that Brady Singer (3-1, 2.36 ERA) of the Royals though, will at the very least, match his counterpart George Kirby (3-3, 4.15) inning for inning tonight, and in a scenario like that, the value invariably swings to the undervalued underdog. And that's the case here in our opinion. Lay the price for the runline option; the play is indeed on KC on the runline!

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10* Rangers (EAST-CONF GOW)

New York is up 3-1 in this series after Carolina dug deep and avoided the sweep in Game 4. Now back at home and once again the underdog, we feel that the oddsmakers are completely "off" on this one. New York still has all the momentum, and now back here at home, where it's perfect so far in the playoffs, the unquestioned value in this one absolutely falls on the home side; the play is New York!

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10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF GOW)

The Cavaliers won't be going down without a fight here in Game 4 and we anticipate that they effort they do in fact put up will be enough to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Note that the Cavaliers are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten as well in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent as well. The Celtics have done a decent job so far in the playoffs for bettors, but we now feel that these larger spreads catch up to them here on the road in this important contest. No outright, but look for it come be decided in the final moments; as such, grab as many points as you can with Cleveland!

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10* UNDER Panthers/Bruins (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

The first three games have flown "over" the number in this series, but we're now definitely anticipating much more of a defensive affair here in Game 4. Note that Boston has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. And note that Florida has seen the total fly "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With each side putting an added emphasis onto the defensive end like we suspect, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER)

We had a play on the "under" in Game 3 in the Pacers win, and the Knicks cover. Now here in Game 4 we think that New York will, at the very least, keep it close enough once again to earn a comfortable cover. We do in fact think New York has a legit shot at winning this one outright. The Knicks lost Game 3 at Philadelphia in their first round series after winning the first two in New York, and then made adjustments and won Game 4 by a score of 97-92. We're expecting New York to make the same adjusments here and we look for Jalen Brunson and the visitors to find a way to get the job done with the points; the play is indeed on the Knicks!

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10* Orioles (IL GOM)

We obviously really respect the Diamondbacks and Zac Gallen (4-2, 2.84 ERA), but getting Dean Kremer (3-2, 3.57) at this price at home no matter the opponent is too good to turn down in our opinion. Arizona is already just 9-12 on the road, while Baltimore is already 14-7 in front of the home town crowd. The Orioles came back from a two-run deficit to win in 11 innings yesterday and everything points to this momentum carrying over; lay the short price, the play is indeed on Baltimore!

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10* Real Salt Lake/LA Galaxy OVER (MLS TOW)

Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of an offensive affair here for a couple of different reasons. Real Salt Lake is 6-2 and off a 1-0 win at home over KC. Previous to that it was a 2-1 win at Philadelphia. Look for the visitors once again push the pace here and to find the back of the net at least twice on the road this time around as well. LA is 5-2 after a 0-0 draw with Seattle and previous to that it was a 2-0 loss to Austin. After being shut out in back-to-back contests, everything points to the Galaxy opening things up big time on the offensive end this weekend. With each side pushing the pace from start to finish like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Stars/Avs (2ND RND WEST-CONF TOY)

While the first two games of this series flew well "over" the number, we're now finally expecting much more of a defensive battle here with the shift in venue. Colorado has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten as well after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Previous to this series the Stars had played to three straight "unders" vs. Vegas and now we also believe that fatigue will play a major role in the final combined outcome of this contest. With each side doubling down defensively in this crucial Game 3 like we suspect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* UNDER A's/Mariners (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in seeral higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a "duel" here finally between these AL clubs in what will be a perfect night weather wise in the PNW. Joey Estes has been recalled from Triple A to make this start. He posted a poor 6.04 ERA in the minors, but he's been brought up out of necessity. The bottom line here is though that we aren't going to lay the steep chalk with Bryce Miller and the Mariners, but we just don't see the A's posting much offense here. Miller is 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He gave up four runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. the Astros last time out, but he still enters with a sharp 42:13 K:BB. Seattle almost assuredly wins this one, but we still don't see a lot of runs being plated; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* OVER Celtics/Cavaliers (2ND RND EAST-CONF TOY)

Game 1 went "over" the number in the Celtics 120-95 victory, while the total went "under" in the Cavaliers 118-94 upset victory in Game 2. Now with the shift in venue over to Cleveland, we're expecting the Celtics to respond here and to be aggressors from start to finish. Note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number as well in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as favorite vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this one flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* Union (MLS GOW)

No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, as the home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done in our opinion. Orlando is just 2-5 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 1-0 home loss to Cincinnati. Philadelphia is 3-2-1 after a 2-2 draw in the nation's capital last weekend. These team's tied 2-2 in Orlando last Summer, but we expect Philadelphia to take care of business in regulation this time around on home soil; lay the price, the play is on the Union!

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10* West Ham (EPL GOW)

We base our picks on many different things, but this one is based upon the "situation." This is a great situational play, and we'd consider ourselves primarily situational cappers. Luton is about to be relegated, sitting in 18th spot in the table. West Ham is 13-13 though and ninth overall with this, and one last tough road game at Manchester City to close out the regular season. After the tough 5-0 loss at Chelsea last weekend, look for the Hammers to come in focused on the task at hand; lay the price, the play is West Ham!

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10* Burnley/Tottenham UNDER (EPL TOW)

As primarily situational cappers, these are exactly the types of games that we're constantly keeping our eyes on the look out for. Tottenham is 18-11, but after four straight losses, we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb to secure a victory here, and that means risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes as it looks to smother Burnely from the "get go." Burnley has nothing to play for except possibly trying to play spoiler at 5-22. Burnely has only managed a single goal in each of its last two games, and we have a hard time seeing the visitors even getting one in this one; when you add it all up, this O/U line is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" 

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