8* Elks (TOP MONEY-LINE PLAY)

Hamilton is 1-5, while Edmonton is 0-6. Hamilton got off the schneid finally with an upset win at home over Toronto, holding on for the slim 27-24 outright victory. The Elks fell short in Ottawa by a score of 20-14. With back-to-back games vs. Montreal after this though, we feel that the visiting side will get caught "looking ahead" and suffer a predictable letdown here on the road. No such luxury obviously for the Elks, who will be desperate to break the "goose egg." McLeod Bethel-Thompson was once again super solid despite not posting a TD pass, finishing 27 of 39 for 206 yards and we feel he'll be a difference-maker here at home. Hamilton is 0-3 on the road this year and has been consistently inconsistent from one game to the next. We look for the Elks to lay everything on the line this weekend and because of that, we have no issues at all in laying the price on Edmonton on the moneyline option!

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8* Orioles (MISMATCH)

This is an "action" play, meaning whoever gets the start, we really like the Orioles to finally bounce back in the finale of this three-game interleague series, after getting absolutely destroyed over the first two games. Baltimore has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 8-3 in its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. The scheduled starters are Randy Vazquez (3-5, 4.17 ERA) for the Padres, and Albert Suarez (5-4, 3.48) for the home side. Look for Baltimore to bounce back here and for the Padres to get caught looking ahead to a day off, before a series with the Dodgers; lay the price, the play is indeed on Baltimore!

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10* Belal Muhammad (TOP PLAY)

This is a rematch between the two, after Belal Muhammad took a fight on short notice three years ago. Muhammad looks for revenge here, and note that he's 5-2-1 against UFC-level southpaws. Muhammad has come a long way in the last three years as well and is completely rounded in every facet. Muhammad will almost assuredly be looking to take this one to the ground whenever possible, as this is one area we feel he for sure has an advantage. Edwards has been on top for a while here, but we're expecting Muhammad to be unorthodox with his approach here and to note give the champ much to work with; fantastic overall value play here on Belal Muhammad!

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10* Mariners (PITCHER DOMINATION)

One bright spot for the White Sox this season has been the play of starter Erick Fedde, but we still believe he'll have his hands full here throwing opposite Bryan Woo. Fedde is 7-3 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.11 WHIP, while Woo is 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. For arguments sakes let's call these guys a "wash." Seattle is currently three games of the final wild card, so clearly these are the series that the Mariners "must" win moving forward. Easier said than done we know, but that said, we absolutely are giving a big nod to the M's bullpen and their line-up in this matchup and with those two crucial factors working heavily in their favor, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; so that's the play here, laying the short price on the Mariners and expect a rout!

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10* UNDER Yanks/Red Sox (ASSASSIN)

Considering the form of these two starting pitchers, we're going to suggest a play on the "under" in this one. Marcus Stroman (7-5, 3.51 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Kutter Crawford (6-8, 3.37 ERA) goes for Boston. Stroman is coming off a tough-luck loss, allowing three runs over six innings to Tampa. It was his best start in over a month and we expect the Yanks hurler to build off that performance. Crawford is coming off an outing to forget vs. the Dodgers, allowing six runs over five innings, but we're expecting a bounce-back here. Crawford has a 3.50 ERA at home and everything in our opinion points to a "duel." This number is a bit high now, so the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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8* Phillies (SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT)

We're coming down the home stretch in the MLB season, and the Phillies will play their last three IL series, starting here with the Guardians. Cleveland just finished a four-game series at Detroit yesterday, going 2-2 overall and falling 3-0 in the finale. The Phillies had yesterday off. Ben Lively (8-6, 3.57 ERA) gets the call for the Guardians, while Cristopher Sanchez (7-5, 2.97) Lively has been better at home this year (2.49 at home, compared to 4.51 ERA on the road), and we're looking for Sanchez to take advantage, who is 6-1 with a 1.50 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our opinion, so lay the price with confidence!  

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6* Padres (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

This pick starts and ends with the starting pitchers for us, as we feel that Dylan Cease and the visitors should/could in fact be a lot larger favorites in this particular matchup throwing opposite the erratic Patrick Corbin. Cease (9-8, 3.76 ERA) comes in off one the best starts of his entire career, allowing one hit, one walk, no runs and ten K's over seven innings in a win over the hard-hitting Guardians on Saturday. In three of his last five starts Cease has now allowed just a single hit. Corbin (2-9, 5.35), is actually alos coming off a great start vs. the Cubs, allowing one run over six innings in the eventual victory. Let's not overreact though, as it was Corbin's first win since early May. Corbin's inconsistencies will once again be an issue here for the home side, as all signs point to Cease and the visitors rolling to victory in this Thursday get-a-way game; lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on San Diego!

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10* UNDER Rays/Jays (AL EAST TOW)

Before their series started with the Rays on Tuesday, the Jays had seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. Despite the final outcome of Tuesday's contest, we love how this game on Wednesday finally sets up to be more of a "duel." And for us, this one starts and ends with the starting pitchers! Zach Eflin (5-7, 4.14 ERA) gets the call for the Rays, while Yariel Rodriguez (1-3, 3.78) counters for the home side. Eflin is coming off an outing to forget in fact vs. the Yanks, allowing five runs over five innings in a loss on Friday. While he's been sharper at home than on the road this season, we're still not hitting the panic button when it comes to Eflin right now. Rodriguez has been better at home than on the road though, sporting a 2.57 ERA in front of the home town crowd. With these two competent hurlers battling into the deeper innings like we suspect, the "under" for sure becomes the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this AL East matchup North of the border on Wednesday night!

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10* UNDER Mets/Yanks (IL TOM)

These two cross-town rivals meet for a two-game set in the Bronx, and in our opinion, everything points to a classic "duel" in the opener. The Mets finish a four-game series with the Marlins on Monday, while the Yanks completed a four-game series at home, going 2-2, vs. Tampa after Monday's 9-1 victory. New York has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but that's significant to note for sure, as the Yanks have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Jose Quintana (4-6, 4.13 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Luis Gil (10-5, 3.17) counters for the home side. Quintana was rocked in his last start at Coors Field, but we're not reading too much into that one, as in his previous start he went seven scoreless vs. the Nationals. Gil gave up one run to the hard-hitting Orioles over six innings and had seven strikeouts in his last start. Look for these well-rested starting hurlers to battle each other into the latter frames and as a result, also expect this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* Reds runline (NL GOW)

We like Cincinnati to dig deep here and, at the very least, keep this one competitive and tight enough to come away with the ATS cover on the "runline" option. The Reds are 47-53 overall and just 22-25 on the road, while ATL is 54-44 overall, including 30-19 at home. The Reds though have been money in the bank with the runline option on the road, going 31-16 ATS. The Braves on the other hand are just 21-28 on the runline at home. The Reds just got swept in the Nation's capital, so they won't be lacking for motivation. The Braves lost two of three here to St. Louis this weekend. Both starters are poised for a deep battle in our estimation, with Hunter Greene (6-4, 3.34 ERA) getting the call for the Reds and Reynaldo Lopez (7-3, 1.88) countering for the home side. Look for these two competent starters to battle deep and for the Reds to do just enough to get the job done; the play is Cincinnati on the runline option!

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10* Jays (ASSASSIN)

After dropping the first two games of this series, we like Toronto to dig deep and find a way to deliver in the finale. Note that Toronto is in fact 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses in a row to an opponent when it was the fav in each game. Keider Montero (1-2, 5.47 ERA) has been consistently inconsistent for the Tigers, and is once again forced into a starting role out of necessity. That's the perfect opponent for the hungry Kevin Gausman (7-8, 4.50 ERA), who picked up a victory in his final start before the break, allowing two runs and no walks with four K's over seven innings vs. the Giants. Gausman has now logged back-to-back quality outings and we're expecting the veteran to have a much stronger second half. And that second half starts here and now on Sunday afternoon; lay the reasonable mid-sized price with confidence, the play is Toronto!

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10* OVER LAFC/Seattle FC.

Seattle is now 10-7 after five straight wins. The Sounders are now unbeaten in seven. They've played incredible well defensively of late, coming off three straight shutout victories, winning 2-0 over New England, 1-0 over Austin and 2-0 over St. Louis last time out. But the last time these teams played, Seattle lost 2-1 back in February in the very first game of the season and suffice it to say, we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well, as note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. LAFC is 13-5, but its winless in its last two, most recently earning a 1-1 draw with Real Salt Lake. With each team pushing the pace of this one like we're expecting, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Bill Algeo (UFC FIGHT OF MONTH)

Two exciting featherweights collide here with Doo Ho Choi entering at 14-4-1, and Bill Algeo entering at 18-8. Choi is 3-3-1 during his time in the UFC, and is now off three straight losses. He hasn't won since 2016. Alego is 5-4 in the UFC since 2020. He's 4-2 in his last six, and eager to bounce back here after a KO loss to Kyle Nelson last time out. Choi has a 70 inch reach, and Algeo has a 73 inch reach. Choi lacks the power and reach here, and we're expecting a decisive win; lay the price, the play is Algeo!

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10* Diamondbacks (NL NON-DIV GOY)

We hit our NL West GAME OF YEAR on the Diamondbacks over the Dodgers back on July 4th, a 9-3 victory. Now the D-Backs will also represent as our selection for our NL Non-Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR here a few weeks later in Chicago on Saturday night. Arizona opened this series with a convincing 5-2 win, and is now sitting just one game back of the Mets for the final Wildcard in the NL. Clearly, we still have a lot of baseball to go, but the Diamondbacks would appear now primed for a run to try and lock down one of top spots. The Cubs are 4.5 games back now. Overall though we love this starting pitching matchup, as despite being on the road we feel that Zac Gallen (6-5, 3.87 ERA) should/could in fact be a much larger favorite throwing opposite the erratic Kyle Hendricks (2-7, 6.78.) Gallen owns a 3.60 ERA in all "night" contests and we expect him to be a difference-maker in the outcome of this contest. Hendricks looked good in his final start before the break vs. the Cardinals, but he's been consistenly inconsistent all year, entering just 1-3 with a 6.47 ERA in front of the home town crowd. We expect Arizona to build off yesterday's win with another on Saturday night from the Windy City; lay the price, the play is the Diamondbacks!

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10* AL WEST TOM on the OVER Astros/Mariners.

This is an "action" play, meaning whoever gets the start for either side, this will be a valid pick. We have two decent starters going head-to-head here, but whoever gets the start, we do love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring "slug-fest," rather than a "duel." That said, Houston is expected to start Framber Valdez (8-5, 3.66 ERA), while the home side will counter with Luis Castillo (8-9, 3.53.) Honestly, it's difficult to really say anything negative about either of these guys right now, so we're not even going to bother. Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 when playing with three or more days of rest. That's significant to note for this pick obviously. It's also important to note how incredibly hot it is in the PNW right now. These balls are going to have plenty of action to leave the park in this one, and when you combine all of these situational factors together, we do indeed feel that this O/U line is MUCH too small; the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* AL EAST GOM on the Rays runline.

This is an "action" play, meaning whoever gets the start for either side, this will be a valid pick. That said, it's Zach Eflin (5-6, 3.99 ERA) scheduled to start for the Rays, and Gerritt Cole (2-1, 5.40) countering fo rthe home side. Eflin won't be lacking motivation here after an unfortunate loss last time out, falling 2-1 to these very Yanks last Wednesday, allowing two runs off four hits over seven innings with four K's. Eflin owns a sharp 48:5 K:BB and we think he'll put forth AT LEAST the same effort here in his first start after the Break. Cole is off a win over the Orioles last week, striking out seven over six innings and allowing just one run. Cole has been hit or miss this year though and we expect these inconsistencies to once again be an issue here. The rest will lead to "rust" for Cole and everything points to another strong performance from the Rays; the play is indeed on Tampa on the runline option!

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10* Elks (UNDERDOG OF YEAR)

We had a play on the "over" between these teams last week, and they finished with 71 points. Edmonton is now 0-5 SU in the regular season, and 0-7 if you include the pre-season. Note though that the Elks HAVE IN FACT responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Ottawa has traded wins/losses since the start of the season and for sure that pattern will continue this week in our opinion. The Elks will need a miracle now to qualify for the post-season, but it'll be paramount for them here to not only snap the slide, but also avenge last week's setback. McLeod Bethel-Thompson continues to be a bright spot for the Elks, and we feel he'll be crucial in this victory, last week finishing 26 of 35 for 272 yards and two major scores. Look for Ottawa to regress and for Emonton to lay it all on the line and finally punch one into the win column; grab as many points as you can, the play is indeed on the Elks!

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10* UNDER KC/Vancouver (TOW)

Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring "under" here finally on Wednesday nght in the PNW. KC comes to town off back-to-back victories, beating Dallas 3-2 at home, before then holding on for the 3-1 victory at San Jose last week. It plays with revenge here after a 2-1 home loss to the Caps back in May, and note that Sporting KC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Vancouver has gone 3-0-1 in its last four and is off the 4-1 win at St. Louis, but we're expecting the home side to control the pace of this one at home on Wednesday night. We say this MLS battle in Vancouver on Wednesday night will be a "war of attrition," where each side sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake and because of that, we're indeed making a play on the "under!" 

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10* OVER Ottawa/Edmonton (BLOOD-BATH)

Edmonton is 0-4 and desperate for a spark. So far it's been trading high-scoring losses with low-scoring setbacks, and after falling 24-21 at BC two weeks ago, we're expecting this pattern/trend to continue here at home in this important matchup. This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams, as Ottawa comes to town at 2-2 and off last week's listless 25-16 loss at a desperate Winnipeg last week. Note though that Ottawa has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off a SU/ATS road loss. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, everything points to this total flying "over" the number well before the final whistle sounds!

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10* OVER Yanks/Orioles (AL EAST TOW)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a "slug-fest" here finally in the finale of this three game set, despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head. New York took the opener 4-1, then followed it up with a 6-1 victory yesterday. That's five straight losses for the Orioles, and four straight "unders." That's significant for us though, as Baltimore has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 after five or more straight losses in a row. New York hands the ball to Carlos Rodon (9-7, 4.63 ERA), while the home side counters with Dean Kremer (4-5, 4.42.) After decent starts to the season, each has regressed over the last month and a half. The overall situation here though points to this total flying well "over" the number before its done in our opinion!

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10* UNDER Charlotte/Cincinnati (MLS TOW)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a defensive affair this weekend finally in Cincinnati. We expect the home side to go up early, and then to control the pace of this one. FC Cincinnati is now 15-4 after three straight wins, most recently crushing Miami last week 6-1. Note though that Cincinnati has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. That last time these teams played, 9-8 Charlotte held on for the 1-1 draw at home back in late March. We suspect a similar final combined score or even tighte here. We're not comfortable playing a side here, but we FOR SURE feel this O/U line is now inflated; so the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Saskatchewan/BC (WEST-CONF TOY)

With nearly 70% of the early public money on the "over," we're for sure going contrarian here, as we expect a much more defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. And in our opinion, this one just sets up great from a "situational" stand point to be lower-scoring. Saskatchewan is 4-0 and off a 30-32 win over Toronto. So far it's seen the total go "over" in all four. Note though that despite it going "over" last time, the Riders have STILL seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. BC is 4-1 and most recently off a high-scoring 44-28 road win at Hamilton last week. BC has won four in a row, but the last thing the Riders will do is try to turn this into a shootout. Overall, taking into account all of these different factors, we say this week's O/U line is now too large for sure; the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Royals/Red Sox (ASSASSIN)

We base our selections on many different things. For this one, our primary focus falls onto the starting pitchers, and in our opinion, everything points to a classic "duel" here between the Royals' Seth Lugo, and the Red Sox' Kutter Crawford. Lugo (11-3, 2.21 ERA and 1.04 WHIP), has been "lights out" in this position all year, going 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA in all "day" games. Crawford (5-7, 3.24 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), is coming off a gem vs. the hard-hitting Yanks, allowing no runs over seven innings and striking out four. Look for these two "in form" hurlers to be the main reason why this total stays "under" the number once it's all said and done on Saturday afternoon!

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10* UNDER Guardians/Rays (AL NON-DIV TOM)

We're expecting these competent starters to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summariers of this contest and because of that we'll recommend a play on the "under." For us, this pick on the "under" starts and ends with the starters. Cleveland brings in Carlos Carrasco (3-6, 5.22 ERA) who has gotten stronger as the season has progressed, most recently conceding three runs over five innings and striking out four in a win over the Giants on Sunday. He owns a decent 62:25 K:BB over 82 innings and we expect him to carry that momentum over here. The home side counters with Taj Bradley (3-4, 3.23), who is 2-3 with a tiny 1.76 ERA at home this year. Look for these two guys to battle into the latter frames and for this total to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT)

This pick for us here on Thursday between these two interleague sides is primarily based upon the starting pitchers, and while we really respect Justin Steele of the Cubs, we ultimately believe that Albert Suarez could or should in fact be a larger favorite in this spot, which swings the value to the undervalued home side. Note that entering Wednesday the Cubs are just 18-28 on the road, while Orioles are 29-18 at home. Steele is 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA, while Suarez is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA. Steele has pitched better than what his win/loss record would indicate, but Suarez has been exceptional in front of the home town crowd thus far and we say that consistency carries over here in his last start before the break, as he's a perfect 2-0 with a tiny 1.50 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Look for Baltimore and Suarez to do more than enough to secure a win on Thursday in front of the home town faithful!

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8* Orioles (MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

Shota Imanaga (7-2, 3.16 ERA) is scheduled to get the start for the Cubs. Whoever does the get the start though for the visitors will not matter here, as we're basing this particular pick 100% behind Orioles' starter Corbin Burnes (9-3, 2.32.) Burnes will be eager to close out his first half strong here in front of the home town crowd, a place where he's already a league-leading 5-1 with a 1.79 ERA. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Baltimore!

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10* UNDER Jays/Giants (IL TOY)

Despite this being a fairly "low" number, we're definitely anticipating a very low-scoring defensive "duel" in San Francisco in the opener of this IL series. Toronto is 41-49 overall, while San Francisco is 44-47. The public sees the Giants' Blake Snell getting the start here and will be quick to jump on the "over" for sure. We can't completely blame them of course for this knee-jerk reaction, with Snell entering 0-3 with a 9.51 ERA thus far. The southpaw has been reactivated from the IL with a full five days rest to regroup. In his last tune-up though, he finally returned to form, going five no-hit, shutout frames while also striking out nine. And he'll be opposed by Yusei Kikuchi (4-8, 4.12 ERA) of the Jays, who has been at his best on the road with a 2-2 record and a 3.99 ERA. We expect these two hungry hurlers to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest and because of that, the plays is indeed on the "under!" 

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6* Red Sox (CHOKE-OUT)

Brayan Bello (8-5, 5.19 ERA) is the correct call here at home in our opinion as we expect him to close out the first half with another strong performance for the Red Sox in this favorable matchup on Tuesday. Bello comes in off a gem vs. the Marlins, allowing one run over seven innings with seven K's. Look for him to carry that momentum over here. His counterpart Joey Estes (3-3, 4.39 ERA) of the A's has had a solid first half, but the problem for Oakland fans is that he's quite possibly the biggest "Jekyl and Hyde" hurler in the game, going 2-0 with a tiny 1.92 ERA at home and going 1-3 with a vicious 7.00 ERA on the road. Enough said; lay the price with confidence, the play is Boston!

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10* OVER France/Spain FIRST HALF 0.75 -107 (or OVER 1.75 FOR FULL GAME).

To say this French side has struggled to find the back of the net in this Tournament would be an understatement. France has reached the Euro Semis with zero open play goals. Obviously, if the French expect to advance to the final, it'll have to find its scoring touch. The last time these teams met back in 2021 France prevailed 2-1 and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Spain has looked like the best team so far in this Tournament, using a combination of great offense (4-1 win over Georgia), as well as defensive play. With the majority of the bets once again anticipating a really low-scoring battle, we're actually seeing this one playing out quite the opposite. This is a great time to go contrarian and take advantage of an O/U line that is lower than it should be in our opinion. Look for these two soccer powerhouses to eclipse this posted total at half time, and also for the full game!

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10* OVER Mets/Pirates (NL NON-DIV TOM)

We're writing this pick on Sunday afternoon while these two teams are still playing, and this Monday contest will be the finale of the four-game set. Regardless of what transpires in the game on Sunday, we love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. We dont' have a ton of faith in the Mets' Christian Scott (0-2, 4.32 ERA), who returned to the big leagues in his last outing out of neccessity, conceding four runs over five innings to the Nationals. Now on the road vs. this hard-hitting Pirates side, we're anticipating a meltdown and a quick exit. Mitch Keller (9-5, 3.48 ERA) counters for the home side and while his numbers have obviously been solid, the overall situation here in our opinion sees this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later. Look for these hungry sides to go "over" the total as the game comes down the stretch!

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10* Red Sox/Yanks UNDER (AL EAST TOM)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Yanks 14-4 win here yesterday, but we're now finally anticipating a "duel" here on Sunday in the Bronx. NY has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Yanks have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston had its five-game win streak snapped yesterday and it's now seen the total go "over" in five straight games after the setback. But that's also significant to take note of, as the Red Sox have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two fantastic starting pitchers going head-to-head here, and we believe they'll "steal the show" in this contest and battle each other into the deep innings, with Kutter Crawford (4-7, 3.47 ERA) getting the call for the visitors and Luis Gil (9-3, 3.41) countering for the home side; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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8* Royals (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

We base our picks on many different things, but this particular one is based almost entirely on the starting pitching matchup. Despite Coors Field being the "Great Equalizer" for pitchers, this is still a much bigger mismatch in our opinion than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Seth Lugo (11-2, 2.17 ERA, 1.03 WHIP) gets the call for the Royals, while Austin Gomber (1-5, 4.72, 1.32) counters for the home side. Lugo has been "lights out" on the road this year, going 7-0 with a 1.94 ERA. Gomber is 0-1 with a 3.94 ERA at home this year, but we're still giving a big nod to Lugo, who will look to close out the first half with one last gem. Lay the price with confidence on Kansas City in this favorable matchup!

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10* OVER Calgary/Montreal (BOB)

The 4-0 Montreal Alouettes will look to push the pace here in our estimation vs. the 2-1 Stampeders. Neither team's offense has yet hit its stride this year, but we say those trends end on Saturday night, as we're anticipating a faster-paced, high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. The majority of games so far this year have been decided by a TD or less, but the Stamps haven't been given much of a chance by the bookmakers in this spot. Cody Fajardo has a league-high 75.4 percent pass completion rate for the Als, and we expect him to have a big game here. The Als allowed 14 points in the second half to the Argos last week, and that's going to leave the door open for talented Stamps' QB Jake Maier to make some moves. This one has "over" written all OVER it!

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8* DRAW Switzerland/England (TOP PLAY)

We had a draw play on Germany/Spain yesterday and we see this matchup playing out almost identically. The Lions needed a goal in injury time, before then winning in extra to advance, while Switzerland pulled off a minor upset in its 2-0 win over Italy. In 27 meetings against each other, England has won outright 19 times. That said, these teams haven't met in the Euro since 2004. Switzerland is already playing with "house money" here, as this is the farthest its ever made it in the Euro in its history. England's form has been shaky and we see this team actually looking to play to a draw and a shootout here. We see these teams sitting back and waiting for the other to make the first mistake and in this "war of attrition," we absolutely feel that the "draw" option is once again the savvy call!

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8* Twins (MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

Minnesota enters on a roll having won four of its last five and we think it'll find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this contest. The Twins are 25-17 at home, while Houston is only 21-23 on the road. The Astros have also won four of their last five, but after taking three of four in Toronto this week, a predictable letdown feels imminent to us here. We're also giving the advantage to Minnesota in the starting pitching matchup, with Shawn Dubin pressed into starting action for the Astros out of necessity, facing veteran Pablo Lopez at home. Look for Minnesota to keep the momentum rolling and lay the price with confidence on Lopez!

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10* Germany/Spain DRAW (TOP PLAY)

This is the biggest match so far in this tournament, although Portugal and France will also be an interesting game obviously. Spain has the best team overall so far, but the Germans will be wary of any attack. We see this one being a classic "war of attrition" between these two Soccer powerhouses. Home advantage is big for the Germans and really makes the playing field level here. This one is going to go to penalties we predict, and that makes the "draw" the correct call as far as the best value wager!

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10* D-Backs runline (NL WEST GOY)

Despite what happens between these clubs on Wednesday (as we're writing this pick on Wednesday afternoon), we love this particular pitching matchup and while we clearly feel an outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. We feel this is a starting pitching mismatch that should in fact be more in favor of the visiting side here, with Landon Knack (1-1, 2.08 ERA) getting WAY too much respect from the oddsmakers in our estimation. Knack gave up one run on a no-decision over four innings vs. the Giants last time out. He's been great overall, but the sample size is still WAY too small for us and we say regression is now imminent. And that makes Arizona starter Zac Gallen (6-4, 2.83 ERA) the correct call in this matchup. Gallen enters on top form after allowing one hit and a walk with no runs and striking out seven over six in a victory over the A's on Saturday. With a 67:16 K:BB so far, we say that the wrong team is likely favored here. We bet totals, we bet underdogs, and we aren't afraid to lay chalk either. Overall we've come to the final conclusion that laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs is well worth it, making the Diamondbacks on the runline option our NL WEST GOY for 2024!

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10* UNDER Toronto/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOM)

Saskatchewan is 3-0 SU/ATS and it's seen the total go OVER in three straight so far to open the season. With the majority of the general betting public once again quick to back a high-scoring win for the home side, we're going to approach this particular play with a heavy contrarian stance. Note that Saskatchewan has in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row dating back the L2 years. Toronto is 2-1 afte rfalling 30-21 to Montreal last week. Its first two games went well "over" the number in consecutive victories, but the Argos offense stalled last week at home, and now hitting the road for the first time all year, we're predicting those issues to become amplified here on the road. As primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house." While the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other; this number is too high, the play is the "under!"

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6* Brewers (MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is based purely upon the starting pitchers, as we feel that Colin Rea and the visiting side should/could in fact be a much bigger favorite in this particular matchup. The Brewers lost the opener by a score of 8-7, but then bounced back to win 4-3 yesterday. Wednesday's game should be a much bigger lop-sided final discrepancy in the score for the visitors, with Rea (7-2, 3.61 ERA) facing off against the volatile Dakota Hudson (2-11, 5.84 ERA), most recently getting shelled for five runs over five innings to the White Sox. Rea gave up two runs over six innings in a win over the Cubs in his last outing. Look for Rea to do more than enough to outduel his counterpart and for that to be more than enough to get the job done against the lowly Rockies; lay the price, the play is Colorado!

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8* Red Sox (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

We base our picks on many different things. This particlar one we're going to employ the "KISS" method: Keep it simple stupid! We're lokoing directly at these starters, and in our opinion, this line could/should in fact be a lot larger when we look at the quality of these starting pitchers. Kutter Crawford has been much better than his win/loss record would indicate (3-7), as he posted a sharp 3.59 ERA and highly-respectable 1.14 WHIP. Valente Bellozo has pitched five total innings for the Fish, and while he could go on to become the next Nolan Ryan, we're still giving the big nod to his hungry and in-form counterpart; lay the price with confidence, the play is Boston!

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10* ASSASSIN Portugal (goal line -1.5 +100)

Portugal was rolling over the first two games of the Euro Tourney and easily punched its ticked to the KO stage. Then it had a major meltdown in its third game, inexplicably falling 2-0 to Georgia. Slovenia snuck in for the most part, actually earning a spot in the KO round by drawing with England 0-0 in its final game. These teams met in a friendly about 8 months ago, and Slovenia won 2-0. Slovenia's unbeaten streak over 9 games comes to an end here in a lop-sided blowout, as we expect the favored side to keep the pedal to the metal after the shutout loss to Georgia, and the earlier friendly loss to Slovenia; lay the 1.5 goals, the play is Portugal!

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8* OVER Twins/Mariners (ASSASSIN)

These teams play the rubber-match of this three-game series after splitting the first two. Both of the first two games went "under" the number, but we're anticipating much more of a "slug-fest" here finally on Sunday in the finale. Note that the Mariners have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. It's been chilly in the PNW for this time of year, but finally on Sunday it's going to warm up. Two decent starters here in Joe Ryan for the Twins and Luis Castillo for the Mariners, but the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends in our opinion point to these teams easily combining to eclipse this total as the game comes down the stretch; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Spain FIRST HALF -0.75 -121 or FULL GAME -1.75 -122 (KO STAGE GOY)

Spain, France and Germany are the odds on favorites to win the Euro (and Portugal!), and with Germany's commanding victory yesterday, we're expecting a similar final result and effort here from favored Spain. We like the Spaniards to jump out to an early lead and our strongest play here is to grab Spain on the FIRST HALF spread option. That said, we also equally love Spain to win big for the game, so if you don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, we also officially like Spain for the entire game on the spread option. Simply put, Georgia is just "lucky" to be here, somehow managing to get the better of Portugal in the third game of the Opening Round. Portugal had already punched its ticket to the KO stage, so had nothing to play for. Spain strolled through the opening round with a perfect record and didn't even break a sweat. Spain is better in every metric and honestly could/should in fact be a much larger favorite (both for the half AND for the game!) Lay the spread, the play is Spain!

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8* Slovakia/England OVER (ASSASSIN)

Two teams that did not have the best Group Stage now enter the KO Round and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. England somehow managed to win Group C with a very lacklustre effort, beating Serbia 1-0, and drawing with both Denmark and Slovenia. Slovakia somehow got past Belgium, before then drawing with Romania to advance. The Three Lions can't be happy clearly. Clearly their fans aren't after they managed just two goals over those first two games. With the favored side pushing the pace like we suspect from the very start, and Slovakia forced to keep tempo, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner rather than later!

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10* UNDER Chicago/Seattle (MLS TOW)

Chicago is just 4-9 and Seattle is just 6-7. These two bottom-feeders go head-to-head in the PNW on Saturday night and we definitely feel that goals will be at a premium. These teams haven't played since 2022 when the Fire beat the Sounders 1-0 in Chicago, and suffice it to say we're expecting a similar final out come here as well. Chicago had its two game win streak snapped in a 4-2 setback at Orlando City last time out, but previous to that it had conceded just two goals over two straight victories. The Sounders are 2-0-1 in their last three and off a 3-2 win here over Dallas, but everything points to a classic "war of attrition" in our estimation. When considering all of the situational factorts that each sides enters with into this one, we absolutely believe that the "under" is the correct call as far as the total is concerned!

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10* Nashville (MLS GOW)

With Messi and several other players throughout the MLS participating in the Copa America and Euro Tournaments, these teams aren't up to full strength. That gives Nashville the upper-hand this weekend in our opinion for sure. Miami is off back-to-back victories over Philly and Columbus, but Nashville is out to avenge a 3-1 setback in the reverse-fixture which happened back in April. Nashville SC is now 6-5 after back-to-back wins of its own. Look for the home side to avenge the earlier loss and to take advantage of this situation; the play is Nashville!

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10* OVER Bombers/Stamps (WEST-CONF TOY)

Winnipeg is 0-3 SU/ATS and it'll have to play with a sense of desperation to avoid the dreaded 0-4 hole. Calgary comes out of its bye week rested and ready to build off its 1-1 start. From a situational stand point, we absolutely love how this one sets up to be a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a tight, lower-scoring all out battle. Calgary also hasn't beaten Winnipeg since 2021, so to say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement. Winnipeg's defense allowed 398 yards through the air last week to BC, and we believe its defense will be the weak point this weekend as well. The Stamps defense has also struggled this year. It's a big game for both teams and with each pushing the pace offensively like we're anticipating, everything does indeed point to this total fying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Denmark/Germany (KO STAGE TOY)

Germany is a heavy favorite here, while Denmark squeaked in an unforgettable Group C. Germany earned 7 points after two wins and a draw, while its Scandanavian partner finished with zero wins, zero losses and three draws. These teams arrive at Borussia Dortmund's headquarters and while neither team has lost yet to this point, clearly Denmark is going to have its hands full. And simply put, we look for the Germans to completely shutdown their overmatched opponent. Germany will be efficient and cruise to victory here and in our opinion, everything definitely points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned!

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8* OVER Italy/Switzerland FIRST HALF (or OVER for FULL game if don't have access to a FIRST HALF line.)

The winner will move on to meet either England or Slovakia in the quarter-finals. Regardless, we're anticiapting a much higher-scoring game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Switzerland finished with one win, two draws and no losses, while Italy had one win, one draw and one loss. This is a big game for both sides obviously, but maybe arguably more for Switzerland, which has failed to win any of its seven previous last 16-matche at either the Euros or the World Cup, making it to the quarterfinals only once. Italy squeaked in with its draw with Croatia and it'll clearly need to pick up the pace offensively and not sit on its laurels if it wants to avoid a shootout and a possible upset. For us, we see A LOT more scoring between these two sides than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe!

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10* OVER Dodgers/Giants (NL WEST TOW)

These two teams have played to several lower-scoring games of late, but despite these two starters sporting very impressive numbers to this point, we believe this O/U line is now TOO low for a few different reasons. LA has won four straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in three in a row after Wednesday's 4-0 win over the White Sox, but note that the Dodgers have in fact seen the total dip below the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Giants had seen the total go "under" in two straight and had won three in a row before yesterday's 5-3 setback at home to the Cubs. We actually had the "over" in that one and it was a winner. And we're expecting more offensive fireworks here tonight with two starters who we expect to finally see some minor regression moving forward, as their numbers are just unrealistic overall in our opinion. The Dodgers go with Landon Knack (1-1, 2.10 ERA), while the home side counters with Logan Webb (6-6, 3.16.) The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to the opener of this NL West series eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Elks/Lions (BOB)

CFL totals continue to creep up, and we now feel for sure that this one is much too high here on Thursday night. Edmonton is 0-3 and desperate to break the slide. Defense has been the main issue, as the Elks have conceded 29, 23 and 39 points in the three losses so far. They've been competitive, but do note that Edmonton has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. BC has is 2-1 and the last two games have gone "under" the number. And there's no reason not to think that BC won't be able to handle the Elks here on the road as well. With Edmonton doubling down on the defensive end like we suspect after last week's disaster, and when taking into account the rest of the above-listed factors, everything does point to much more of a defensive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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8* OVER Cubs/Giants (SLUG-FEST)

These two pitchers have been super solid all year, but we still think that this number is much too low. Chicago will be eager to avoid the 4-0 sweep here in San Francisco by handing the ball to Shota Imanaga (7-2, 2.96 ERA), who was lit up for ten runs by the Mets in his last outing. He'll be opposed by Jordan Hicks (4-4, 3.24 ERA), who is also coming off an outing to forget, conceding five runs over four innings in a loss to the Cards. These two hurlers are regressing and we expect those trends to carry over here and for this total to ultimatley eclipse the posted number well before it's all said and done; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Orioles runline (BEST OF BEST)

Despite this being a large home spread here for the desperate Orioles, nearly 80% of the early public money is on the home side. And we can understand why, as Baltimore has lost five in a row now, including the first two games of this series. We don't mind laying chalk, but we absolutely feel the more prudent wager here is to in fact lay the 1.5 runs for the much better price, as we predict that the Orioles will not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion. Baltimore is in fact 7-3 in its last ten after five or more losses in a row. It's been a while since that's happened, but it's still a noteworthy trend to point out for sure obviously. This is the opponent to get the job done against as well, as clearly veteran Carlos Carrasco has fallen off, entering 3-6 with a 5.40 ERA. He'll be opposed by Grayson Rodriguez, who is 8-3 with a 3.82 ERA; the play is Baltimore on the runline option!

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8* Turkey/Czech Republic DRAW (TOP PLAY)

The time to take advantage of "DRAWS" here in the Euro is coming to an end, but here's a great opportunity to take advantage of another one. Turkey has to play to a "draw" here and it'll move onto the next round and because of that, we're absolutely expecting a classic "war of attrition." Czech Republic must win outright AND have Georgia pull off an upset to get in. The Czech Republic has not lived up to expectations and just doesn't have the firepower to get the job done here. As stated off the top, this is a great opportunity to take advantage of the DRAW option!

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10* OVER Romania/Slovakia.

Both teams need a win here. If either team can earn the full three points, it'll move onto the next round. Slovakia beat Belgium 1-0, but then inexplicably fell 2-1 to Ukraine. Romania on the other hand hammered Ukraine 3-0, but then lost 2-0 to Belgium last week. Slovakia actually had 14 shots on net in its loss to Ukraine and we expect the team to build off that performance. Romania also had 14 shots on net, but unfortunately wasn't able to find the back of the net. A big game with a lot on the line and with each side pushing the pace like we suspect, everything points to this total flying "over" the posted number sooner, rarther than later!

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10* Orioles (ASSASSIN)

After four straight losses, including a 3-2 setback here in yesterday's opener, we like the Orioles to dig deep here and find a way to deliver at home. Cleveland has now won six straight, but looks poised for a letdown finally facing Cole Irvin, who is 6-3 with a 3.45 ERA for the home side. His counterpart, Logan Allen, has a winning 8-3 record, but a poor 5.23 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Look for Baltimore to get the job done in this important slide-stopping contest; the play is Baltimore!

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10* OVER Serbia/Denmark (TOP TOTAL)

Both teams are in dire need of a win here, and because of that, we're expecting the pace of this contest to help in producing a higher-scoring final outcome. Serbia is at the bottom of Group C after playing to a lacklustre 1-1 draw vs. Slovenia last time out. It'll have to push the pace here for sure to try and secure a full three-points. That of course will leave it susceptible on the backend for these opportunistic Danes, who are off a 1-1 draw with England. Denmark also needs a victory here. Neither team has yet lived up to expectations, and in this crucial contest, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Oilers/Panthers (ASSASSIN)

With everything on the line, and after these teams have played to four straight "over," in Edmonton's four straight wins, we're finally anticipating a very defensive affair here in Game 7. Fatigue for sure will be a huge factor for everyone involved in this series, and we think it'll help in contributing to tonight's pace in being a much more methodical one, rather than a high-scoring high-flying "shootout." A great situational play on the "under!" 

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10* Rays (AL GOW)

These two teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and we're expecting those trends to continue here in the opener of this three-game AL series. Tampa Bay has won four of its last five, while Seattle has lost four of its last five. Bryan Woo has been fantastic for Seattle so far, but his numbers seem unsustainable and unrealistic. Look for Taj Bradley and the home side to figure out a way to continue to build momentum and let's take full advantage of this great home line; the play is Tampa!

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8* Italy/Croatia DRAW.

The bottom line here is this is a perfect opportunity to pull the trigger on the "DRAW" option. Italy is clearly the better team and its favored here, but it only needs a single point to advance to the KO stage. Croatia needs an outright win, but we think it'll have difficulty breaking down the Italian backend. In what we anticipate will be a classic "war of attrition," we're taking the DRAW option here between Italy/Croatia!

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10* OVER HAM/SASK (ASSASSIN)

Here is a great situational play we can take advantage of. Hamilton is 0-2 SU/ATS after last week's 33-30 home loss to these very Roughriders. Note though that the Ti-Cats have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. We're expecting a similar faster-paced, high-scoring affair this week as well. The Riders have already scored 62 points over the first two games and now back at home for their opener, everything points to another "shootout;" this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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8* Germany (BLOOD-BATH)

We predict the Germans to advance to the KO round off a perfect sweep in the group stage. Most recently they got the better of Hungary by a score of 2-0. Switzerland looked unremarkable in its 1-1 draw with Scotland last time out. Note though that the Germans could become the third host nation to win all their group games in a single edition of the UEFA European Championship, and we say they absolutely accomplish that feat today as they look to send a message; lay the price, the play is indeed on Germany!

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10* UNDER Braves/Yanks (DUEL)

These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're anticipating much more of a "duel" here finally on Sunday afternoon in the Bronx between these two interleague opponents. The Braves saw their four-game win streak come to an end in yesterday's 8-3 loss. New York has now seen the total go "over" in three straight with the win, but that's significant to note as the Yanks have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two great starters going head-to-head here in Max Fried (6-3, 3.11 ERA) for the Braves and Nate Cortes Jr. (4-5, 3.36) for the Yanks, and everything point to a classic "duel" in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Real Salt Lake (ASSASSIN)

We had a play on LA as our MLS GAME OF THE WEEK on Wednesday and it came out on top in its 2-0 win over NYCFC, but now here on the road we're expecting it to stumble in this difficult venue. Real drew with LA 2-2 in the reverse-fixture back in May, but now here at home we're looking for it to earn the full three points in regulation. Real is off the 4-3 win at Sporting KC and while its unbeaten streak will come to an end at some point, we don't anticipate that happening now; great overall value for Real Salt Lake to get the job done at home on the short schedule, so lay the price with confidence!

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10* UNDER Elks/Argos (NON-CONF TOY)

Edmonton comes to town desperate for a win, as it's 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS after last week's 23-20 home loss to Montreal as a 4.5-point underdog. Previous to that it was a 29-21 loss at home to Saskatchewan as a 1-point dog. Now out on the road and eager to avoid the 0-3 hole, we're expect the Elks to build off last week's impressive defensive performance, despite the loss. Montreal scored 27 points in its Week 1 win at Winnipeg, and then exploded for 47 on Thursday night in its victory over Ottawa. Edmonton's defense is its strength for sure. Toronto looked great in its 35-27 home win over the Lions in Week 1, but will "rest" lead to "rust" here in Week 3 after having last week off? We say YES! It's a great overall "situational" play and a great moment to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" 

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8* UNDER Portugal/Turkey (BLOOD-BATH)

After each team played to a high-scoring victory in its opener, we're expecting a much more intense, lower-scoring defensive battle here in the second between two teams looking for a spot in the KO round. Turkey got by Georgia by a score of 3-1, while Portugal held on for a 2-1 win over the Czech Republic. Portugal has won seven of the last nine in this series, but everything points to this being a "war of attrition," where each side sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake. Invariably these types of contests lead to a pace conducive to a very low-scoring affair and that's exactly what we're expecting here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Winnipeg (WEST-CONF GOM)

With this spread being so close, we're going to suggest bypassing the spread option all together, and instead just play the home side on the very reasonable "moneyline" option. It's a really big game for one of these two teams, and just another beginning of the season contest for the other. Winnipeg is 0-2 coming into Week 3, falling 27-12 at home to Montreal as a 7.5-point favorite, before then losing 23-19 as a 7-point favorite at Ottawa last weekend. Now back at home and with a tough game at Calgary in Week 4, this is as "do or die" as you can get for a team in Week 3. BC is 1-1, falling 35-27 at Toronto as a 4-point fav in Week 1, before then pulling away for the 26-17 home win over Calgary last week. Now back on the road, we feel the Lions are once again overvalued here by both the oddsmakers, and the general betting public. So while the majority go one way, we'll go the other; lay the price, the official call is is indeed on Winnipeg on the moneyline option!

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10* UNDER Panthers/Oilers (BEST OF BEST)

We have a crucial Game 6 in Edmonton and we're finally expecting a very lower-scoring defensive affair. We definitely feel that fatigue will be a major issue for these players (note: this is the farthest travel time/distance in NHL Stanley Cup Playoff history) now moving forward and because of that, everything definitely points to a lower-scoring "under." Also note that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With each side doubling down on the defensive end like we suspect in this nerve-wracking Game 6, everything finally points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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8* D-Backs runline (PITCHERS MISMATCH)

Arizona is playing a lot better and is one game under .500 after winning seven of its last ten. The Philles are also rolling this year and are 49-25 overall. For us though, this one comes down to the starting pitching. Jordan Montgomery gets the call for the home side and he's 5-4 with a 6.00 ERA overall, but he's coming off his second straight win after allowing just one run over five innings in a win over the White Sox. He'll be opposed by Taijuan Walker, who is currently enduring a six start winless skid, most recently falling to 0-2 during that span after allowing three runs off six hits over five innings in a 6-2 loss to the Orioles on Saturday. These starters are suddenly moving in opposite directions, and we're going to step in here at this moment to capatalize. While the outright win is clearly possible, we feel more comfortable with this wager by laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Arizona on the runline option!

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8* Netherlands (+0.5)

Both teams have big expectations for this tournament and each will believe it has a legit shot at winning this one outright. It'll be tight, and because of that we're going to ultimately suggest laying what we deem to be a very reasonable price for Netherlands on the spread option. France narrowly got by Austria by a score of 1-0, but looked far from impressive in doing so. The Oranje on the other hand are off a great 2-1 win over Poland and we feel they do truly have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. These teams have played three times in the UEFA Euro Tourney, and France won the only KO stage, while Netherlands won both Group Stage matches. Will that happen again here? Maybe! Either way, the official call here is indeed to grab Netherlands on the spread option!

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10* OVER Brewers/Padres (ASSASSIN)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating this series-opening contest to feature plenty of runs. Milwaukee has won four of five and just took two of three at the Angels, including a 2-0 win yesterday. The Brewers have seen the total go "under" in five straight, but that's significant to note because Milwaukee has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Padres just broke a five-game slide with a 5-2 win at Philadelphia yesterday, so suffice to say they won't be lacking for motivation overall today either. Bryse Wilson has been a decent starter for Milwaukee, but we definitely don't trust Adam Mazur for the home side, who enters with a sub-par 0-2 record with a ballooned 7.82 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. This number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Redblacks/Als (EAST-CONF TOY)

Ottawa had Week 1 off, but last week it beat Winnipeg 23-19 at home as a seven-point underdog. The last time the RedBlacks faced the Alouettes, they lost 29-3 in the regular season back on October 9th of last year. They also faced each other in the pre-season this year and Ottawa won by a score of 19-13, so some pretty low-scoring games. But that's only helped in driving this Week 3 Over/Under line a bit lower than it normally would or should be in our opinion. Dru Brown looked decent for the Redblacks last week, finishing 20 of 33 for 238 yards and a touchdown (and no interectpions.) And speaking about playing to low-scoring games, the Alouettes are 1-1 as they head into Week 3 and both of their opening games have fallen "under" the number. First they opened with the 27-12 road win at Winnipeg as 7.5-point underdogs, and then they held on for the 23-20 win at Edmonton in Week 2 as 4.5-point favorites. Now back at home in front of the home town crowd for the first time this season though, we finally expect this talented Als offense to carry the load this week. Last week Cody Fajardo looked really good, he was 20 of 30 for 269 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Now back at home and facing a team that's just coming off a big upset of its own, we say it's these two competent quarterbacks that put on a show in this one on Thursday; the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Slovenia/Serbia (O/U ASSASSIN)

Both teams played to tight, lower-scoring opening affairs, but we're expecting much more of a wide-open contest here on Thursday early between Slovenia and Serbia, and therefore we're recommending a play on the "over." Serbia enters off a 1-0 loss to England, while Slovenia held on for a 1-1 draw with favored Denmark. These teams played against each other back in 2022 and it ended in a 2-2 draw and suffice it to say, we're definitely expecting a similar overall pace to this one on Thursday as well. Neither team can be happy with their opening result and with each side pushing the pace like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* LA Galaxy (MLS GOW)

We expect this late night West Coast game to favor the home side. NYCFC is 9-6, but after having its five-game win streak snapped last time out in a 3-2 home loss to Columbus, we think the visitors are ripe for another letdown here on the road vs. LA, which is 8-3 overall and off a solid 4-2 win here over Sporting KC. LA hits the road for two straight after this, putting added emphasis onto this contest for the home side as well. As primarily situational cappers, these are indeed the exact types of games that we keep our eyes open for, as combined with this very reasonable line, everything does indeed point to a solid win for LA!

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10* Jays (AL EAST GOW)

After dropping the first two games of this AL East divisional series, we like the home side to dig deep and find a way to deliver in the finale. Note that Toronto has for sure responded well in this spot for bettors as well, going 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. Each team has tomorrow off, but after having already won a series at New York previous to having already won this series here in Toronto, we believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead" to their next series in Cincinnati. Bryan Bellow is 6-5 with a 5.00 ERA for the Red Sox, while Kevin Gausman is 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA for the Jays. At this price, and considering all of the other above-listed factors, the value here for sure in our opinion swings to the hungry home side; the play is Toronto!

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10* UNDER Switzerland/Scotland (GROUP STAGE TOY)

Suffice it to say, we're expecting goals to be at a premium here in the second game of the Group Stage between Switzerland and Scotland. Switzerland opened with a 3-1 win over Hungary, while Scotland fell 5-1 to Germany. Our advice here? Don't overreact to the plethora of goals that we saw between the clubs. The public has, but our contrarian nature definitely has us going the other way. And for good reason, as we feel fatigue becomes an issue here. This is a crucial game for each side, but we're anticipating a much slower pace, one more resembling a "war of attrition." This number is high, the play is the "under"! 

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10* Oilers (ASSASSIN)

I think Florida messed up in not earning the sweep. The Oilers exposed some glaring weaknesses finally in this Panthers' team and I believe this game will be dragged back to Edmonton. And when it does, the Panthers really will be in trouble with the momentum having fully swung the other way. This line feels like a trap for sure in our opinion, and with nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side, this one definitely also appeals to our contrarian nature. Overall great value here, as we expect Edmonton to build off its latest victory with another one here on the road; the play is indeed on the Oilers!

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10* UNDER Rays/Twins (DUEL)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but despite two pitchers who have seen better days, the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to more of a "duel" here finally. The Rays hand the ball to Aaron Civale (2-5, 5.20 ERA), while the home side counters with Pablo Lopez (6-6, 5.33.) Despite being just 1-4 vs. the Twins over nine appearances, Civale does own a sharp 3.78 ERA over that span. Lopez is also just 1-3 vs. Tampa over six career starts, but with an equally as impressive 3.25 ERA. Tampa has seen the total go "over" in three straight after lsoing two of three at Atlanta, and note as well that the Rays have seen the total dip below the posted number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Turkey (GROUP STAGE GOY)

Vincenzo Montella’s side is going to lay the hammer down here in this favorable opening game in the Group Stage in our opinion, and it's the perfect time/moment to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude. Willy Sagnol’s side is just happy to be here, needing a playoff to get to this point. Many tipped Turkey to be a darkhorse in the last Euro, but it finished the bottom of Group A, behind Italy, Wales and Switzerland. With that nightmare still fresh on the front of their collective minds, look for the favored side to come out super focussed on the task at hand. Georgia edged by Greece on penalties in the final of its playoff. These teams haven't played since 2012, and Turkey won 3-1. I predict a similar final score here as well, as it knows what's on the line here in 2024; lay the price, the play is Turkey to get the job done in regulation!

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10* Mavericks (GOW)

Dallas finally got some defensive pressure on the Celtics, and while they may not win Game 5 outright, we're expecting another really competitive battle from the visiting side, and will therefore recommend to grab as many points as you can. Dallas still believe's it has a shot and its much vaunted defense which carried it to this point finally showed up. This is a big deal for the Boston franchise, sitting tied with the Lakers with 17 championships. Due to this extra pressure, and the Mavs' now new found sense of confidence, we will indeed suggest to grab the points with the visitors; the play is Dallas!

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10* UNDER Yanks/Red Sox.

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally predicting more of a "duel" here finally on Sunday night. New York is coming off the 8-4 loss here yesterday, and note that the Yanks have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a fav vs. an opponent. Boston's now seen the total go "over" in four straight and it's 3-1 overall in its last four. We have two really good starting pitchers going head-to-head, and we're expecting a classic "duel" here between New York's Marcus Stroman and Boston's Karl Crawford; this number is a little high now, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* Riders (ASSASSIN)

Saskatchewan held on for a 29-21 win over Edmonton, and we think it'll find a way to come out on top here on the road in Week 2 as well in this favorable matchup. Hamilton on the other hand looked poor on both ends of the field in a 32-24 loss at the Stampeders, getting points in garbage time to make it closer than it really was. Riders' QB Trevor Harris had 305 passing yards and three TD's. Bo Levi Mitchell finished with 300 yards and a TD in his team's loss vs. the Stamps. The offense looked "ok" in fact, but the Ti-Cats' defense was so terrible, that we see it once again being the weak point in this matchup as well vs. this "in form" Riders' offense. Let's bypass the spread option and instead just play Saskatchewan on the moneyline!

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10* England on the spread option (-1) ASSASSIN.

England is the better team on paper, and despite Serbia having an impressive qualifying, we still like the favorite to not only win this opening game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Lions won't be taking anything for granted here after a 1-0 "brain fart" loss to Iceland last time out. Serbia was in fact second in their qualifying group, but vs. Harry Kane and company, we're expecting a rout. Lay the goal, but expect a blowout; the play is England on the spread option!

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10* Timothy Cuamba (PLAY OF MONTH)

This goes on before the headliner. Timothy Cuamba and Lucas Almeida have a featheweight match here and everything points to Cuamba coming out on top in our opinion. Almeida is 14-3, but he's off back-to-back devastating losses, most recently to Andre Fill. Cuamba is 8-2 and is off a split-decision loss to Bolaji Oki. Both are similar, but now moving in opposite directions. Cuamba's striking is a bit better, and that's going to be the difference here in the end for us; lay the price, the play is indeed on Timoty Cuamba!

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10* OVER Royals/Dodgers (IL TOM)

These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a bit of a "slug-fest" here finally. LA snapped a two-game slide in yesterday's series-opening 4-3 win and it's now seen the total go "under" in three straight. But that's significant to note as LA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. LA has also seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Two decent pitchers going head-to-head to start here in Seth Lugo of the Royals and Yoshinobu Yamamoto of the Dodgers, but the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to this total flying "over" the number as we hit the latter frames; and that's the play here, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Oilers (ASSASSIN)

With their backs agains the wall, we like the Oilers to push this series to AT LEAST a Game 5 back in Florida. Note that Edmonton is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Florida is clearly in the driver's seat, but we're expecting a classic mental letdown here, similar to what we saw the Celtics have last night in Dallas. Florida will have a chance to earn the cup in front of their fans in Game 5, because here in Game 4 the value for sure lies in the desperate Oilers, who will be risking life and limb to avoid the sweep; lay the short price, the play is Edmonton!

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10* UNDER Calgary/BC (WEST-CONF TOM)

Calgary is 1-0 and BC 0-1. The Lions though are favored by 8 here at home, as the oddsmakers are predicting a rout. The Stamps though looked pretty good in their 32-24 win over Hamilton at home, but now here on the road we're expecting them to have much more difficult time moving the ball vs. this aggressive Lions' defense. BC fell 35-27 at Toronto as a 4-point favorite, but note that the Lions have seen the total dip below the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS road loss as a fav. The last time these teams played, they combined for 71 points back in November, with the Lions winning 41-30. This time around though everything points to a much tighter, and utimately lower-scoring battle, so we're going with the "under!" 

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8* UNDER Albania/Italy (TOTAL BLOWOUT)

This is a great situational play in our opinion. Italy absolutely needs to win this game, being in such a tough group with Spain and Croatia up next, but after going up early, we're expecting the favorites to protect their lead. The Italians will have to save some gas and not show their entire hand to their opponents here vs. this weaker opponent and that's exactly what we're expecting. Luciana Spalletti was brought in to take this team to the next level, but to do that they're going to have to play this tournament wisely. In our opinion, this one screams "under" as far as the total is concerned!

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10* Elks (NON-CONF GOY)

Montreal is 1-0 and Edmonton is 0-1 as we head into this Week 2 matchup, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team hasn its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Edmonton has now lost three straight SU/ATS if you count the pre-season. Montreal is off the 27-12 win at Winnipeg as a 7.5-point dog, but will the Als get caught "looking ahead" to their first home game vs. Ottawa next week? The answer is "YES" in our opinion! Edmonton was a 1-point dog at home to rival Saskatchewan last week and it fell in a competitive 29-21 setback. But with two very tough road games after this (Toronto/BC), the Elks are going to be risking life and limb here to pull off the upset and avoid another terrible overall start to the season. The Als are the defending Grey Cup champs and are off the Week 1 win and Cody Fajardo looked decent, but we feel that Elks' QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson, who was 33 of 42 for 336 yards and two TD's will be able to match pace. Edmonton will fight tooth and nail and while we do think an outright is possible, in the end our official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Edmonton!

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10* OVER Celtics/Mavericks (BEST OF BEST)

Dallas and Luka Doncic are on the ropes. Doncic was quoted after the Game 3 loss: It's not over till its over! It's almost assuredly over though, and in our opinion, this total will indeed fly "over" the posted number before it's all said and done. Dallas has been shutdown offensively in this one, but the Mavs have no choice but to keep shooting and pushing the pace if they have any hope whatsoever in mounting a comeback. Also note that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Germany (FIRST HALF. If you can't get German in the FIRST HALF, then we also like GERMANY on the spread option, -1.5.)

Steve Clarke's side is completely overmatched by the hosts and we're expecting the Germans to get out to a quick start here, ready to send an early message not only to overmatched Scotland, but also the rest of the field. It's the first time that Germany has hosted the Euro since 2004 when they reached the semi-finals. Germany has struggled in recent years, but the host side is given a "cream puff" here in the opener. Scotland finished 2nd in its qualifying group, but it was just 1-2 down the stretch. Scotland is dealing with injuries and the weight of expectations are now fully on Germany and its stars, including Florian Wirtz. Germany has won the last three in regulation in thi series, including winning home and away in qualifying for Euro 2016. The play is GERMANY FIRST HALF.

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10* OVER Panthers/Oilers (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

The first two games went "under" the number, and Florida came out on top in each. So far this high-powered Oilers' offense has been held to just one goal over the first two games, but we expect the change in venue to also lead to a faster pace, and ultimately we expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. It's do or die essentially for the Oilers, as an 0-3 hole would be very difficult to climb out of obviously. Despite the low-scoring loss in Game 2, note that Edmonton has still seen the total eclipse the posted number in 12 of its last 20 in trying to avenge a road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. And there's no reason not to believe that Florida won't keep its offensive momentum rolling here as well. Look for these two offenses to take center stage in Game 3 North of the border and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* OVER Cubs/Rays (ASSASSIN)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a "slug-fest" finally here in our opinion. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in five straight after winning 4-3 here yesterday. The Rays won the opner 5-2. But note that Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Rays have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss as a fav vs. an opponent as well. Justin Steele is 0-3 with a 3.65 ERA for the Cubs, while Taj Bradley is 1-4 with a 5.17 ERA for the Rays. The overall situation here though points to this total being FAR too low, so the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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8* Royals runline (DESTROYER)

The Royals have lost four in a row and the first three of this series, but we're anticipating the Yanks finally having a letdown here as they get caught looking ahead to their series starting at division rival Boston tomorrow. KC on the other hand is in fact 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge three or more loss vs. an opponent. Nestor Cortes Jr. (3-5, 3.68 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Alec Marsh (5-3, 4.05) counters for the home side. We say KC digs deep here and delivers AT LEAST the ATS cover; the play is KC on the runline option!

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10* UNDER Rangers/Dodgers (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday finally after the Dodgers 15-2 series-opening win here last night. LA has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Rangers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Texas is still second in the AL West and is scheduled to hand the ball to Jon Gray, who returns to the rotation here sitting at 2-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 60:18 K:BB. He'll be opposed by Walker Buehler (1-3, 4.82), who we believe will throw deep into this one. The overall situation though, combined with the numbers finally point to a lower-scoring "under" for these teams here on Wednesday in my opinion!

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10* Mavericks MONEYLINE (GOW)

We've played on the Celtics over the first two games and went 1-0-1. Some went 2-0. Regardless, with their backs against the wall, we do now definitely like the Mavericks to find a way to battle back into this series. In both Game's 1 and 2 Dallas got out to a quick start to the first quarter, only to then get held down offensively, but note that Luka Doncic and company are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Let's bypass the spread option here and instead take Dallas on the super reasonable "moneyline" option to just win this game outright!

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10* OVER Celtics/Mavs (TOW)

We had a play on the "under" in both Game's 1 and 2, but now with the shift in venue, we're finally expecting these talented offenses to "steal the show" and for this total to eventually fly "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. This is the lowest number so far in this series, and we're looking to take advantage in this one, as note that Dallas has in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in still eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 98 or fewer points in. Are the Mavs down and out in this series?! Maybe (to make sure, grab up or play on the side in this contest as well!), but either way, with the home side pushing the pace from start to finish like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* UNDER Nats/Tigers (IL TOW)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a "duel" here finally in the opener of this IL series. Washington enters off a 3-1 series win at home over Atlanta, with the final two games soaring well "over" the number. Note though that the Nats have in fact seen the total dip "under" the number in seven of their last ten after three or more straight victories in a row. Detroit just snapped a three-game slide with a 10-2 win over Milwaukee and it's now seen the total go "over" in four in a row. Mitchell Parker and Kenta Maeda in store for a bit of a "duel" here in our opinion. This number is a little high now out of perception, so the play for us on the "under!" 

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10* Oilers (ASSASSIN)

The Oilers have looked good after a loss so far in this year's playoffs, and we're expecting that pattern to continue here. So far there's only been one time in the playoffs that the Oilers have suffered back-to-back defeats (vs. the Stars), otherwise every loss was then followed by a convincing victory. Also ntoe that the Oilers are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a shutout road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent as well. And the only other time that Florida posted a shutout, it then went on to lose the next two playoff games vs. the Rangers. Look for Edmonton to rally here and to find a way to deliver in this crucial spot; the play is indeed on the Oilers!

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10* Rays runline (AL EAST GOM)

After three straight losses to open this series, we like the home side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire or even into extra innings. Because of that, and when taking into account the extreme overall affordability of this line, we're going to recommend grabbing Tampa on the runline option. After this Baltimore has three straight at home vs. Atlanta, followed by Philadelphia and the Yankees. Would anyone fault the visitors getting caught "looking ahead" here?! No such luxury though for the hungry Rays obviously, but note that they are in fact still 21-11 in their last 32 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Corbin Burnes is 6-2 with a 2.26 ERA for the Orioles, while Ryan Pepiot is 4-2 with a 3.96 ERA for the Rays. Look for Pepiot to match Burnes inning for inning and in a scenario like that, we find that the value for sure swings to the undervalued underdog. Overall just great value here by taking Tampa on the runline option!

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