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Jesse Schule NBA Totals Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
11-04-14	Charlotte Hornets v. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 189.5	Top	91-100	Loss	-110	14 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The New Orleans Pelicans will be playing their third game in four nights, and second in as many nights when they host Charlotte tonight. Both teams rank among the league's best in opponent's scoring average, and I think we should see a tight defense game here. The Pelicans are owning the glass, leading the league with 52.7 RPG. Anthony Davis is doing it all, leading the team in scoring and rebounding, and leading the NBA in blocks. Keep in mind I placed a cheeky little bet on Davis to win the Defensive Player of the Year at 8-1 odds. He led the league in blocks last year, and I think he’s likely to do it again this season. Five of the last eight in this series have gone under, and the total in tonight's game is higher than it was in six of those games. The Pelicans are tied with Denver for the lowest shooting percentage in the NBA, and the Hornets haven't been much better. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-31-14	Memphis Grizzlies v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185	Top	97-89	Loss	-115	17 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Grizzlies will be in Indiana to take on the Pacers tonight, in a matchup between two very defensively solid teams. Last season saw the Pacers finish 2nd in the league with an opponent scoring average of 92.3 points per game. The Grizz weren't far behind, ranking 3rd allowing 94.6 points per game. These teams have seen the total go under in five straight meetings, and the total in tonight's contest is higher than it was in any of those games. Going back further, they have seen the total go under in eight of the last 10, and five of six in Indiana. The loss of Paul George is certainly not going to help the Pacers offense, and while they scored over 100 points in their opener, you have to keep in mind they were playing a Sixers team that finished with a 19-63 record a year ago. The Grizzlies will come in with a mindset of improving their defense after allowing over 100 points in their opener. Tony Allen expressed his concerns in a post-game interview: "We have a lot of improving to do -- obviously executing on the defensive end," Allen said. "I felt there were a lot of times we could have closed them out and increased the lead. I thought we let our guard down."First game is out of the way, now we can look at film and see ways we can improve." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
06-15-14	Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 195	Top	87-104	Loss	-110	45 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Royals. The Royals bats exploded for nine runs in a blowout win over Chicago Saturday, and I expect to see more of the same here on Sunday. Big Game James will be on the hill for the visitors, coming in on top form, while the Sox hand the ball to a struggling Andre Rienzo. Shields (7-3, 3.44 ERA) allowed a single run on six hits, fanning eight in six innings in a home win over the Yankees his last time out. He boasts a 4-1 record in nine starts on the road this season, and he's had success in previous trips to Chicago. James is 2-1 with a 2.51 ERA in five starts at Cellular Field since 2011. Rienzo (4-3, 5.25 ERA) is coming off three straight losses, and he surrendered seven runs on nine hits, failing to get out of the fourth inning in a loss to the Angels his last time out. The White Sox bullpen surrendered six runs in yesterday's loss, and with Rienzo unlikely to log a lot of innings, Chicago could be forced to go to the bullpen early here this afternoon. Take KC GL, Jesse Schule
06-12-14	San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 197	Top	107-86	Win	100	20 h 4 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. I bet the under in Game 3, falling victim to an anomaly the likes we aren't likely to see again for another century. While all the talk after the Spurs victory centers around their record smashing shooting percentage in the first half (75.8%), they also did some amazing things defensively, holding the Heat to just 92 points. We can't expect San Antonio to hit their shots at such a torrid pace in this game, but duplicating their defensive intensity is much more achievable task. Here are my comments prior to Game 3: The series goes back to South Beach tied at 1-1, and we should see a tighter game with points being hard to come by in Miami. We've seen the total come up short of the listed number in 14 of the last 19 meetings between these two teams in Miami. They played four of seven games in Miami in last years Finals, and only one of those saw 200 points scored. That game was a 103-100 OT victory for the Heat in Game 6. I liked the under in Game 3, but I LOVE IT in Game 4. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
06-10-14	San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 198.5	Top	111-92	Loss	-110	34 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. LeBron James executed his revenge scoring 35 points in a Game 2 victory in San Antonio. The series goes back to South Beach tied at 1-1, and we should see a tighter game with points being hard to come by in Game 3. We've seen the total come up short of the listed number in 14 of the last 19 meetings between these two teams in Miami. They played four of seven games in Miami in last years Finals, and only one of those saw 200 points scored. That game was a 103-100 OT victory for the Heat in Game 6. Both teams elevated the defensive intensity in Game 2, and the Spurs cooled off significantly shooting just 43.9 %. We can expect more of the same here in Miami. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
06-05-14	Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 199	Top	95-110	Loss	-115	42 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Spurs were lighting it up offensively in San Antonio in their series versus Oklahoma City, but we should expect a slower pace in their Finals rematch versus Miami. These teams scored just 180 points in Game 1 of last year's NBA Final, and it wasn't until Game 4 that they saw a game combine for 200 total points. The trend of low scoring games goes way back, with 10 of the last 15 meetings in San Antonio going under, and 25 of the last 35 meetings overall falling short of the total. The Heat and Spurs rank 5th and 6th respectively in opponent's scoring average, so these are two elite teams that know how to execute defensively. The Heat lost Game 1 last year, and they needed overtime to avoid losing in Game 6. The Spurs looked like the better team for much of the series, but in the end they lost Game 7 in Miami. Things are different this year, as it's the Spurs that have home court, expect them to take full advantage here in Game 1. Take UNDER GL, Jesse Schule
05-31-14	San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 206	Top	112-107	Win	100	20 h 30 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Spurs have dominated all three of their home games in this series, scoring an average of 117 points. They had trouble scoring in Oklahoma City in Games 3 & 4, and the return of Serge Ibaka likely factored into that. Gregg Popovich might have found an answer in Game 5: "The adjustments that the coaches made were very efficient tonight," Diaw said after the game. "We tried to space the floor a little more. We came back to the way we were aggressive in the first two games. Going from good to great. That's what Pop has asked all year, that's what we've been doing all year." The Spurs shot out the lights on Thursday, hitting 51.3% from the field, and 13-of-26 from three point range. I wouldn't be expecting Oklahoma City to cruise to another comfortable victory at home tonight, as the Spurs should be a little more competitive here as they look to close out the series. We saw the total go under in each of the previous two games in Oklahoma City, and the result is that the number has come down a little here in Game 6. Don't be surprised to see both teams score 100+, pushing the total over the number. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-30-14	Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat OVER 182.5	Top	92-117	Win	100	21 h 34 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Pacers will look to avoid elimination in Game 6 of the East Final in Miami tonight, and they haven't had any success away from home in this series. The Heat won by double digits in both Games 3 & 4, and each of those games went over the total. We shouldn't be surprised to see another high scoring affair here in tonight's game, with the Pacers big guns coming firing on all cylinders. Paul George scored 37 points on 15-of-18 shooting in the last game, his best performance since dropping 39 points on the Wizards. These two teams have played four straight overs in Miami, and the Heat have seen the total go over the number in six of their last seven home games. The total in tonight's game is lower that it was in all seven of those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-27-14	San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 207.5	Top	92-105	Loss	-105	18 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. We saw both teams light up the scoreboard in the first half of Game 3, but the pace slowed in the second half, and the total fell just below the number. Serge Ibaka was able to make an impact, with four blocked shots and seven rebounds in 30 minutes. It was always going to be tough for the Spurs to win Game 3, but I expect San Antonio to come out with more fight for Game 4. I said prior to Game 3: "The Spurs have seen the total go over in seven of their last 10 overall, and the number has come down quite a bit from 212 in Game 2 in San Antonio. I expect both teams to score 100+, it should be an old fashioned barn burner." I feel the same about tonight's Game 4. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-25-14	San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 208	Top	97-106	Loss	-115	30 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. We saw these teams light up the scoreboard in Game 1, combining for 227 points. The Spurs offense wasn't slowed much in Game 2, but the Thunder were unable to keep up, losing by 35 points. A little home cookin' will surely help Durant and the Thunder make tonight's game more competitive, but it might not be enough against a Spurs team that was dominant on the road this year, and has plenty of scoring depth. Rumors are swirling about a miracle return for Serge Ibaka, but even if the Thunder's shot blocking specialist is able to play, he can't guard everybody. Danny Green is absolutely on fire from beyond the arc, hitting a sick 15-of-21 over the last three games. The Spurs have seen the total go over in seven of their last 10 overall, and the number has come down quite a bit from 212 in Game 2 in San Antonio. I expect both teams to score 100+, it should be an old fashioned barn burner. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-24-14	Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat OVER 182	Top	87-99	Win	100	47 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. So far in this series we have seen two totally different games. The Pacers taking Game 1 at home in a high scoring affair, then the Heat battling back to tie the series with a hard fought victory in a low scoring tilt in Game 2. We could see more scoring as this series shifts to Miami, as these teams have pushed the total in six of the last eight games at American Airlines Arena. The Heat saw the total go over in four of their five home games in these playoffs. The total in tonight's game is much lower than it was in any of those five games. The Pacers have scored 90+ points in four of their last five on the road in these playoffs. Even after being bet up a few points from where it opened, I still think this number is far too low. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-21-14	Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 212	Top	77-112	Win	100	20 h 5 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. We saw plenty of scoring in Game 1 of this series, and not much defense. The Spurs went on to win easily by a score of 122-105. The result of such a high scoring affair in the opener is an astronomically high number for the total in Game 2. I expect to see the pace to slow a little as each team makes adjustments on defense. Prior to this series, these teams had seen six of the last eight games go under the total. The total in all of those game was far lower than it is for tonight's game. The Spurs shot 57.5% from the field in Game 1, and they hit 9-of-17 from beyond the arc. That's going to be tough to duplicate here tonight, and the Thunder will likely have a better defensive game plan. With such a high number, it's not going to take much to fall short. A few missed free throws, one off night for a star player on either team. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-20-14	Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 184	Top	87-83	Win	100	19 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Game 1 of this series saw both teams shoot better than 50%, and that's unlikely to continue as this series moves forward. We saw a high scoring game in Indiana in the series opener versus Washington, and then in Game 2 the Pacers won by a score of 86-82. It's Indiana that is known for strong defense, ranking second overall with an opponent scoring average of just 92.3 points. The Heat aren't far behind, as they ranked 5th during the regular season. Miami is going to need a better effort defensively tonight, and you can bet that LeBron and company will deliver. "We cleaned a lot of things up today and we're ready for tomorrow," James said. "You just go in with the mindset that it's a must-win and we go at it tomorrow." The Pacers lost Game 5 at home in their series versus Washington, shooting just 39 % from the field. We haven't seen them win consecutive home games yet in these playoffs, and I expect that trend to continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-15-14	Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards OVER 180	Top	93-80	Loss	-110	17 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. After the Pacers came from behind to stun the Wizards in Game 4, most would have expected them to close out the series in Game 5 at home. Not me! Here is what I said prior to Game 5: "At this point it's difficult to trust the Pacers to come out and battle hard for a full four quarters, so don't be surprised if they allow Washington to make things interesting tonight. Paul George had a playoff career high 39 points on 12-of-20 shooting, and the Pacers were 10-of-22 from three point range on Sunday. The bookmakers aren't expecting to see a lot of offense here tonight, with an astronomically low total. These teams have trended toward low scoring games, but while six of the last 10 games have gone under, the total in all of those games was much higher than tonight's number" I still don't trust the Pacers, and I think Washington is going to come out with a lot of energy in the first half tonight. The Wizards have taken a significant lead to the locker room at the half in four of the five games so far. The one exception was in Game 3 when they trailed by just one point. I warned on Tuesday that while these teams have played a lot of low scoring games, they've gone over 180 points in eight of their last 10 head to head meetings Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-13-14	WASHINGTON GM5 v. INDIANA GM5 OVER 180.5	Top	102-79	Win	100	31 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER. The Pacers return home looking to close out this series after shocking the Wizards with a comeback win in Game 4. Prior to the game I said the following: "The Pacers have dominated the last two games in this series, but I think it's a little premature to say that everything is fine and dandy with this team. We saw them dominate the final two games against Atlanta, only to go on to lose Game 1 of this series." Sure enough, Indiana came out flat, getting blown out in the first half on Sunday. At this point it's difficult to trust the Pacers to come out and battle hard for a full four quarters, so don't be surprised if they allow Washington to make things interesting tonight. Paul George had a playoff career high 39 points on 12-of-20 shooting, and the Pacers were 10-of-22 from three point range on Sunday. The bookmakers aren't expecting to see a lot of offense here tonight, with an astronomically low total. These teams have trended toward low scoring games, but while six of the last 10 games have gone under, the total in all of those games was much higher than tonight's number. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-11-14	INDIANA GM4 v. WASHINGTON GM4 OVER 180	Top	95-92	Win	100	20 h 22 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Pacers have dominated the last two games in this series, but I think it's a little premature to say that everything is fine and dandy with this team. We saw them dominate the final two games against Atlanta, only to go on to lose Game 1 of this series. The Wizards couldn't make a shot to save their life in Game 3, not even from the free throw line. Washington shot just 32.9% from the field, and 11-of-21 from the charity stripe. I expect the Wizards to turn things around here in Game 4, with their backs against the wall in a must win game. As poorly as the Wizards played on Friday, they trailed by just a single point at halftime. They will know they need a strong start tonight, and I expect a big push in the early going from the home side. After the last two game fell short of the total, the listed number here is far lower than it has been in any of the previous three games in this series. In fact it's lower than it has been in nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams. The one time we did see a total this low, the game ended up going over. With this number being so low, it won't take much offense to get us a cover. Take OVER GL, Jesse Schule
05-10-14	MIAMI GM3 v. BROOKLYN GM3 UNDER 189	Top	90-104	Loss	-110	18 h 37 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER (1st Half) I bet the over in Game 1, and Miami piled on the points in the second half winning 107-86. I took the Heat in game 2, and again it was a slow start and strong finish for Miami. As this series shifts to Brooklyn for Game 3, I think we should see both teams tighten up the defense, especially in the first half. The Heat have dominated their opponents with strong defense since the beginning of these playoffs, allowing an average of less than 90 points per game. They will likely get a good run for their money here in Game 3 in Brooklyn, as the Nets are going to be a desperate group. Deron Williams was 0-for-9, failing to score a single point in Game 2. The Nets shot just 42.3% on the night, and it's not going to be easy to improve on that number here. These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine meetings in this series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-09-14	Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards UNDER 184	Top	85-63	Win	100	21 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] UNDER (1st Half) While Roy Hibbert's offensive outburst in Game 2 is good news for Pacers fans, it might also be a good indication that we will see a low scoring game in Game 3. Paul George has been pretty quiet in this series, shooting just 9-of-30 for 29 points so far. It would make sense for the Pacers to look to feed Hibbert in the post, going back to what brought them success in Game 2. If that's the case, it should be a win/win situation for under bettors. I bet the over in Game 1, and was fortunate to get a late burst of points at the end, pushing the total over the very low number. Tonight's total is a little higher, and I think we might not see points come quite as easy in this game, especially in the first half. Four of the last five games between these teams has fallen short of the total. Take UNDER (1/H) GL, Jesse Schule
05-07-14	Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185	Top	82-86	Win	100	12 h 49 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER (1st Half). At this point, we shouldn't be surprised to see the Pacers in another hole, down 0-1 to the Wizards. Most expect Indiana to respond with a much better effort in Game 2, but while I think they will deliver an improved performance, I'm not convinced that it will be enough. With their backs against the wall, I'm sure they will come up big defensively, but the offense might be a tougher fix. Paul George was just 4-of-17 shooting in Game 1, and Roy Hibbert was 0-for-2 with no points and no rebounds. I bet the over in Game 1, and was fortunate to get a late burst of points at the end, pushing the total over the very low number. Tonight's total is a little higher, and I think we might not see points come quite as easy in this game, especially in the first half. These teams have seen the total go under in five of the last six meetings in Indiana. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-06-14	Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat OVER 191	Top	86-107	Win	100	11 h 6 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Nets will face the Heat in Miami in Game 1, and Brooklyn took all four meetings in the regular season series. They scored 100+ points in two of those four contests. They saw the total go over the number in three of four road games in the first round at Toronto, and both these teams trended toward the over during the regular season. The Heat averaged over 100 points per game in their series versus Charlotte, and LeBron has scored 30+ in each of his last three games. Tonight's number is a little on the low side, and I don't think these two teams will have much trouble scoring enough points to push the total over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-05-14	Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers OVER 183	Top	102-96	Win	100	11 h 57 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. We see a very low number here in Game 1 in Indiana, as everyone is expecting this series to be a defensive battle. The Pacers did rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average in the regular season, but they haven't looked like themselves for over a month now. In four home games in the first round, they allowed Atlanta to go over 100 points twice. Now they dug deep and came through with an impressive effort in Game 7, limiting the Hawks to just 80 points. It would be no surprise to see them suffer a slight let down here in Game 1 of a new series. They didn't get a lot of time to prepare for Washington, and fatigue could be a factor against a well rested Wizards team. In their first round series, the Wizards went into Chicago and dropped 100+ points on the Bulls in both Games 1 & 2. That's pretty impressive considering Chicago was the only team ranked better than the Pacers defensively. I think a competitive game will result in enough points to push a very low total over the number. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-03-14	MEMPHIS GM7 v. OKLAHOMA CITY GM7 OVER 184.5	Top	109-120	Win	100	16 h 19 m	Show
10*
03-22-14	Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 196	Top	81-91	Win	100	12 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Sixers are desperately trying to avoid setting a new record for futility, as they have now lost 23 straight. They've been fighting hard in recent games though, and playing much better defense. They came up just short against the Knicks last night, losing by a single point (93-92). Prior to that they lost 102-94 to the Bulls, who they will meet tonight in Chicago. With both teams playing in a back to back situation, I'm expecting the offense to suffer. Scoring in Chicago is tough at the best of times, as the Bulls allow an average of just over 92 points per game. The good news for Philly is, the Bulls also rank last in the NBA in scoring, averaging just over 93 points per game. We've seen these teams play low scoring games in previous meetings, with the under cashing in a winning ticket in seven of the last 10. The total for tonight's game is awful high when you take all this into consideration. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-26-14	Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 223	Top	93-101	Win	100	10 h 46 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Two of the highest scoring teams face off tonight in L.A., and we saw the total open at 220. Money has poured in on the over, despite the astronomical number, driving it up even higher. Houston is playing it's second game in as many night's, and I am not sure we can count on the Rockets to score 110+ points against a Clippers team that defends well, and has one of the better home records in the NBA. I'm taking the UNDER due to the high number. GL, Jesse Schule
02-24-14	Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Pelicans OVER 206	Top	123-110	Win	100	10 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Clippers are coming off a win over the Thunder in a shootout in OKC on Sunday. They won by a score of 125-117, and they have now seen seven of their last eight games go over the total. They play their second game in as many nights in New Orleans tonight, and they'll face a Pelicans team that has lost five of it's last six. New Orleans has been hit hard by the injury bug, without three top players in Jrue Holliday, Josh Smith and Ryan Anderson. Previous meetings have tended to be high scoring games, with 11 of the last 14 meetings in New Orleans going over the total. The Clippers have also won six of the last seven outright, and they are just a small favorite as the road team here tonight. I expect L.A. to continue scoring buckets at a frantic pace, winning in another high scoring affair. Take the Over. GL, Jesse Schule
02-21-14	Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 192.5	Top	89-117	Loss	-110	11 h 48 m	Show
10*
02-12-14	Atlanta Hawks v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 200	Top	83-104	Win	100	18 h 56 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Raptors are coming off a home win over the Pelicans, and bettors had to settle for a push in that game. They would win 108-101 as a seven point favorite, and tonight they are favored by a similar margin. They welcome the Atlanta Hawks to town, and Toronto may be catching the Hawks at a good time. Atlanta has lost four straight, and they have managed to score an average of just 86.5 points during that span. Fatigue could also be a factor, as the Hawks played last night in Chicago, losing to the Bulls by a score of 100-85. The Raptors are 10-3 over their last 13 home games, and they rank in the top 5 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing an average of just 97.1 points per game. Toronto is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight home games versus teams with a losing road record, and Atlanta is a team that really struggles on the road. Playing the final game before the All Star break is also a spot where the road team might not be motivated to give 100%. The total for tonight's game is higher than it has been in each of the last seven meetings between these two teams, and the way the Hawks have played recently, I don't expect them to score enough points to reach such a high number. Take the Under. GL, Jesse Schule
02-10-14	Denver Nuggets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 199	Top	80-119	Push	0	17 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pacers lost on the road in Orlando last night by a score of 93-92, but they are back home tonight to take on Denver. The Nuggets are coming off back to back losses on the road in New York and Detroit. It won't get any easier for Denver tonight, as they will be without starting PG Ty Lawson, who is sidelined with a rib injury. Their injury woes don't end there, as Andre Miller, Nate Robinson, Danilo Gallinari and JaVale McGee are already on the IR. Denver seems destined to struggle offensively, playing the league's top defense on the road with such a depleted lineup. The opening total for this game is a little higher than we would normally see for a Pacers game, and that's likely because the Nuggets have trended toward high scoring games. The Pacers have seen the total go under at a rate of 6-1-1 in their last eight versus teams with a losing record. We should see the Pacers grind out another win here at home in a low scoring game. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-09-14	Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic OVER 188.5	Top	92-93	Loss	-110	7 h 43 m	Show
10*
01-31-14	Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets OVER 198	Top	120-95	Win	102	20 h 49 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Thunder have won nine straight, including a win over the Heat in Miami on Wednesday. Kevin Durant's 30+ points streak now sits at 12 games, and he's hoping 13 will be his lucky number tonight in Brooklyn. Oklahoma City has averaged 109 points per game during their recent winning streak, covering the spread in eight of those nine contests. The Nets saw a five game winning streak come to an end when they lost at home to Toronto on Monday by a score of 104-103. They should have their hands full with Durant and the Thunder tonight, as according to Lebron James: "Individually, he can't be stopped by any one-on-one player," James said. "There's nobody that can guard him one-on-one." That appeared to be the case in Miami when the Thunder handed James and the defending champs a decisive 112-95 defeat Wednesday night. The way Durant is playing, I think you'd have to really think twice about betting against him any way, shape or form. I think KD will get his share of points, and this game will be a high scoring affair. Take the Over. GL, Jesse Schule
01-14-14	Sacramento Kings v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 194	Top	92-116	Loss	-105	28 h 48 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Sacramento Kings are coming off a victory at home over the Cavs, in the most one-sided game in the NBA so far this season. The Kings won by a 44 point margin (124-80). The Kings have to feeling good about themselves after winning three in a row, but they are in a tough spot tonight. The Pacers are the best home team in the NBA, with a record of 18-1 in Indiana. The Kings are just 4-9 on the road, and while they have played better lately, this appears to be a let down spot after such a lopsided victory in their last game. The Pacers lead the league in opponent scoring average, allowing an average of just 87.9 point per game. Nine of their last 10 games has gone under, and the total in tonight's game is higher than it was in most of those previous games. Don't be surprised to see another dominant home win for the Pacers, as the Kings are likely to come out flat. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-14	Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 186.5	Top	66-93	Win	100	18 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wizards have been terrible at the Verizon Center lately, but for some reason they have been unstoppable on the road. Washington has won seven of it's last eight away games, but they are up against the Pacers tonight, who own the league's best home record. Indiana is getting it done with the NBA's best defense, with an opponent scoring average of just 88.6 points per game. They don't need to score a lot when they keep the opposition below 90 points, and that's a good thing, because the Pacers offense ranks among the league's worst, averaging well below 100 points per game. The offense suffered in Atlanta with Lance Stephenson sitting out with a sore knee, and the Pacers assists leader is not expected to return tonight. The Pacers have won seven of the last eight meetings with Washington, but the Wizards have covered the points five times during that span. Five of those eight games also landed below the number, which was lower than tonight's total in each of the last three meetings in Indianapolis. I expect to see the Pacers add to their home wins total, but I think it's asking a little much to for these teams to reach the listed total. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-08-14	Detroit Pistons v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 198	Top	91-112	Loss	-110	29 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes. It was almost exactly a year ago that I published a piece discussing the incredible ATS trends of the Pac-12's Utah Utes. A year later and nothing has changed, Utah is still cashing tickets at an amazing clip. The Utes are 7-1-1 ATS this year, and 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 road games. Despite the fact that they mopped the floor with Oregon State, and came very close to upsetting the Oregon Ducks, they are actually an underdog here in Washington tonight. The Huskies are a scrappy team, and I like backing them in the role of an underdog. I did just that when they played Arizona on Saturday, and they held their own, losing 71-62 to the # ranked Wildcats, easily covering a 20-point spread. The Utes came very close to upsetting the Wildcats in Arizona last year, but a controversial call took the potential game-winning shot off the board, and Arizona went on to win in OT. The didn't have much trouble with the Huskies in Washington though, cruising to a 74-65 win as an 11 point dog. The Utes are 12-2, and their two losses have both come by just two points. The Huskies are just 2-2 at home, and they have covered the points once in their last eight home games. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-14	Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 189.5	Top	79-86	Win	100	29 h 8 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. This is a revenge match for the Pacers, after losing to the Toronto last week in Canada. The Raptors held the Pacers to just 82 points in that game, and I cashed in a winner on the under there. This figures to be another low scoring affair, as Toronto's defense has been stellar of late. They have only allowed over 100 points once in their last eight games, the exception was a 102-97 loss to the defending champions in Miami on Sunday. The Raptors rank 7th in the NBA in opponent scoring average, allowing just 97.5 points per game so far. The Pacers though are the league's best defensive team, and that's especially true in Indiana. The Pacers have held opponents to fewer than 100 points in nine straight games, seven of those games went under. Toronto has also been a good bet to go under lately, failing to reach the total in four straight. These teams have seen the total go under in five of their last six meetings. Such trends can't always be trusted of course, but what raises an eyebrow here is that the books seemingly have failed to adjust, as the total here tonight, is actually higher than the average number over the past 10 meetings. Chances are, two of the best defensive teams in the NBA are going to struggle to reach such a number. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-04-14	Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 190	Top	84-91	Win	100	28 h 4 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Hawks are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Golden State, losing on the final shot of the game by a score of 101-100 on their home floor. Now they turn around and play a back to back on the road in Chicago. Don't expect to see a lot of offense in this game, as the Bulls are still one of the best defensive teams in the league, especially at home. Chicago has seen seven of it's last 10 game overall go under the total, and five straight against teams with a winning record. Eight of the last nine head to head meetings between these teams has seen the total go under, yet we see a total that seems fairly high for this game. With the Hawks in a let down spot, playing on consecutive nights, I don't expect them to be firing on all cylinders offensively against this elite Chicago defense. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-03-14	Toronto Raptors v. Washington Wizards UNDER 195	Top	101-88	Win	100	10 h 45 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. I took the under in the Raptors last game, an upset win over the Indiana Pacers. Toronto won that game by a score of 95-82. The victory was their fourth in a row, and they have allowed an average of just 86 points in those games. The Wizards have also trended toward low scoring games recently, averaging 92 points while losing four of five home games. Toronto is also among the NBA's best defensive teams, allowing opponents fewer than 100 points per game, ranking 9th in the NBA in opponent scoring average. Five of the last six meetings between these two teams have gone under, and the total in tonight's game is at least as high as it was in any of those previous meetings. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-14	Indiana Pacers v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 193	Top	82-95	Win	100	13 h 23 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA, holding opponents to an average of just 89 points per game. That likely comes as no surprise, but you might be surprised to learn that Toronto is also among the NBA's best defensive teams, allowing opponents fewer than 100 points per game. Indiana won at home last night by a score of 91-76 over the Cavaliers, and they be playing on the back end of a back to back tonight in Toronto. These teams have played low scoring games in recent meetings, with the total going under in seven of the last 10. Strangely, you have a total for tonight's game that is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Raptors won last night in Chicago by a score of 85-79. So we have a pair of teams playing on back to back nights, both ranking in the top 10 in opponent scoring average. Both teams held the opposition under 80 points last night. Fatigue could be a factor, especially with the potential for a New Years Day hangover. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-25-13	Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 187.5	Top	95-78	Win	100	12 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. After losing Derek Rose, the Bulls have also been hit with injuries to Luol Deng, Kirk Hinrich and Jimmy Butler. It's not surprising that Chicago has struggled this season, and they have really found life difficult on the road, with a record of 3-11. The injuries have certainly hurt Chicago's offense, as they've failed to score 100 points in 12 straight road games. The Bulls though are still every bit as tough defensively, ranking second in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 93.3 points per game. Chicago will be on the road in Brooklyn this Christmas, taking on a Nets team that is even worse off. Brook Lopez was the team's leading scorer, but he's now done for the rest of the year with a broken foot. Chicago has trended toward low scoring games at the best of times, even with it's stars in the lineup. The Bulls have seen the total go under in six of their last seven road games versus sub .500 teams. I expect that trend to continue here on X-Mas Day. Take the Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-13	Houston Rockets v. Portland Trail Blazers OVER 211.5	Top	104-111	Win	100	23 h 27 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Blazers are half a game up on the San Antonio Spurs for the top spot in the Western Conference, and tonight they host Houston, who is three games back. The Rockets haven't played since Sunday, when they defeated the Magic at home by a score of 98-88. Houston lost their last road game against the lowly Utah Jazz, and they are 5-4 overall on the road this season. The Blazers are 9-2 at home, and in the last week they have beaten the Pacers and the Thunder on their home floor. The last four times these teams face each other, the total went over the number. The Blazers have played more than twice as many overs as unders this season, and they face the highest scoring team in the NBA tonight. The Rockets lead the league in scoring, averaging over 107 points per game, but they haven't been nearly as impressive on the defensive side of the ball. Portland ranks second in the NBA in scoring, averaging over 106 points per game. They have scored 100+ in each of their last nine games overall. Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-13	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186.5	Top	81-96	Win	100	14 h 38 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Bulls have waited a long time for the return of Derrick Rose, but so far Rose has looked like a shadow of his former self. No doubt he will eventually get his swagger back, but as of now he's averaging just 14 points per game, on 32% shooting. The good news for Chicago is, they are still one of the best defensive teams in the league, especially at home. Chicago is allowing an average of 93 points per game this year, ranking third in the NBA. Opponents have only averaged 77 points per game in Chicago though, and the Bulls are still perfect (2-0) at home. The Cavs have lost 3-of-4 on the road, and have only scored an average of 85 points in those games. Kyrie Irving scored 39 points in an overtime victory over Philly on Saturday, but overall his numbers are way down from last year. This should be a let down spot for Cleveland, and I think they are going to struggle to get any offense going in Chicago. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-08-13	Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187	Top	84-91	Win	100	17 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Indiana Pacers are still undefeated at 5-0, and they will be a big favorite tonight as they host the Raptors. Strong defense is the signature of this Pacers team, and nothing has changed in that respect so far this year. The Pacers lead the league with an opponent scoring average of 84.4 points per game. Toronto though is underrated as a strong defensive club in their own right, and they rank 6th in the league, allowing an average of 95 points per game. Both teams will be playing their third game in four nights, and fatigue could be a factor. Toronto is 2-3, but all three of those losses came in games decided by single digits. In four meetings last season, three of those four games saw the total go under the number, and I am expecting to see that trend continue tonight. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule

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