Football Free Picks - Win More Football Bets Starting Today!

Jesse Schule NBA Totals Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-18-18	76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211	Top	89-80	Win	100	9 h 8 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Sixers and the Celtics played in London a week ago, and Boston won that game by a score of 114-103. It was a relatively high scoring game, especially for Boston, the NBA's #1 ranked team in scoring defense. These teams had played twice before the game in London, and both those games went under. Both teams have injury concerns, with the Sixers losing J.J. Redick to a broken leg, and the Celtics potentially could be without Kyrie Irving. Boston's leading scorer missed practice because of a sore shoulder, and his status is still in question. He missed three games previously this season, and all three of those games saw the total fall short of 200 points. Redick scored 22 points in the loss in London, and he is second on the team in scoring averaging over 17 points per game. The last time he sat out, Philly lost by a score of 102-86 at Toronto. I expect similar score here at The Garden tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Warriors v. Cavs OVER 229	Top	118-108	Loss	-105	31 h 30 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The defending champion Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They have scored 120+ points in seven of their last 10 overall, and they have scored 120+ points in seven straight with Steph Curry in the lineup. The Cavs are also one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, however they rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed. They have given up 120+ points in three of their last four overall, and they have lost three straight. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning six of the last seven meetings. While the most recent meeting was a low scoring game with the Warriors winning 99-92, Steph Curry did not play in that game. The previous four games in this series all went over the total, and Curry played in all of those games. The Warriors have gone over in seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last eight at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in four of their last five home games, and the over is 9-0 in their last nine home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 205		118-107	Loss	-105	10 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER. The Pistons have been great at home this season (13-5), and they host the struggling Charlotte Hornets in an early game on Martin Luther King Day. The Hornets are coming off a home loss to Oklahoma City by a score of 101-91. They have lost five of their last six against the Pistons, and they are just 5-13 on the road this season. Detroit beat the Hornets by a score of 102-90 in the most recent meeting at the Palace in their season opener back in October. The Pistons have won five straight home games, and they have beaten some of the league's top teams during that stretch (Spurs and Rockets). They rank 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 101.5 points per game. The Hornets have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, while the Pistons have gone under in six of their last eight at home. The under is is 12-5-1 in the Pistons last 18 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. I like the Pistons to win a low scoring game here at the Palace. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5		112-95	Loss	-105	16 h 12 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. The Rockets leading scorer remains out, and Houston has lost four of it's last six on the road. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and tonight's game should be a fast paced, high scoring affair. These two teams have gone over in seven straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Jazz v. Hornets OVER 206.5		88-99	Loss	-110	13 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Utah Jazz are one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. They have struggled without star center Rudy Gobert though,, losing nine of 12. They have allowed at least 100 points in seven of their last eight games, and they have allowed well over 100 points in each of their last three visits to Charlotte. These two teams have gone over the total in three of four meetings dating back to 2015. The Hornets have scored 100+ points in eight of their last 10 overall, and they have allowed 100+ points in eight of their last nine overall. Rookie Donovan Mitchell leads the Jazz in scoring, and he is averaging 22.2 points per game over his last five starts. He's attempted at least 10 three-pointers in three of the last four games. The Jazz have gone over in five of their last seven versus Eastern Conference teams, and I think their defensive intensity could be lacking here in Charlotte where they are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-18	Knicks v. Mavs OVER 207		100-96	Loss	-107	14 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Mavs are one of the worst teams in the Western Conference, but they are on a bit of a roll, winning four of their last six overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last four games. The Knicks are really struggling, they have lost seven of their last eight overall. They allowed an average of 107 points in those losses, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. The total for tonight's game appears to be a bit low, as the Knicks have gone over the number in four of their last five, while Dallas has gone over in four straight. The Mavs have gone over in five of their last six versus Eastern Conference teams, and with not a lot at stake here between a couple of teams in the midst of a rebuild, don't expect to see a defensive battle. The Mavs are coming off a 127-124 loss to the Bulls, and Chicago shot over 56 percent from the field in the game. I expect to see a similar flow to tonight's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Bulls v. Bucks OVER 211		115-106	Win	100	16 h 38 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Bulls are coming off a 117-92 loss at Boston, failing to score 100 points for the first time in nine games. They won seven straight before dropping back to back games at Cleveland and Boston. They could catch a break here in Milwaukee, as the Greek Freak may not be 100 percent. The Bucks still managed to score their share of points in a 111-106 loss at Charlotte, despite the absence of Antetokounmpo. He's expected to return to the lineup here at home versus Chicago. The Bulls beat the Bucks by a score of 115-109 at home a few weeks ago, and they have gone over the total in three straight head to head meetings. The Bulls have gone over in four straight road games, and five of their last six overall. The Bucks have also been playing a lot off high scoring games, going over in seven straight at home. The over is 13-2-1 in Bucks last 16 overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 208		83-107	Win	100	15 h 43 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER. The Pistons are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, allowing opponents to average 102.2 points per game. They have won four of their last five overall, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall. One of those games was a 104-98 win at Indiana last week. The Pistons have won two of the the last three in this series, and two of those three games went under the total. The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five, and the Pacers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games. The last time the Pacers played in Detroit, they were out-rebounded 42-31, and they shot just 7-of-24 from beyond the arc. They scored just 97 points in the loss, and I am expecting a similar result here in today's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 209		93-98	Win	100	13 h 24 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Mavs have won two of their last three home games, and they held opponents to less than 100 points in all three of those contests. They will be a significant underdog here on Boxing Day, hosting the Toronto Raptors. Toronto has taken over first place in the Eastern Conference, and they come into Dallas as winners of 12 of their last 13. Toronto ranks third in the league in scoring, but points have been hard to come by in previous games against Dallas. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the two teams, and they have gone under in five of the last seven in Dallas. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous five meetings. The Mavs have failed to reach the total in six straight when playing on two days rest, and the under is 6-1 in their last seven versus a team with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-17	Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206	Top	92-117	Loss	-110	20 h 45 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Bulls had been the league's worst team just a few weeks ago, but they come into Boston Saturday as winners of seven of their last eight. The one loss came by just three points on the road at Cleveland. I bet on the over in that game, but I am expecting tonight's game to be much lower scoring. Seven of the Bulls last eight games have seen at least 200 points, with the only exception being a 108-85 win over the Celtics. Boston is coming off back to back losses to the Heat and the Knicks, and the Celtics have struggled offensively during a rough stretch. They still rank 2nd in the NBA on defense, allowing opponents to average just over 98 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in all five of those games. The under is 38-18 in the Bulls last 56 games playing on a days rest. The Celtics have gone under in eight of their last 11 when facing a team with a losing record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-13-17	Raptors v. Suns UNDER 217		115-109	Loss	-115	11 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Suns have lost four straight, and leading scorer Devin Booker has missed the last three games. Booker (averaging 24.3 points per game) is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks with a groin strain. Without him the Suns have averaged just 97 points per game in their last three overall, and all three of those games went under the total. The Raptors come to town as winners of six of their last seven, but they scored just 91 points in a loss to the Clippers on Monday. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six road games, and six of it's last seven road games against teams with a losing record. The Suns are a team that is normally associated with high scoring basketball games, but that doesn't seem applicable when Devin Booker is out of the lineup. Toronto has allowed fewer than 100 points in three of it's last four road games. I expect this game to be a blowout, and if that's the case it's going to be hard to see enough scoring to reach a high total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-17	Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 210.5		103-84	Win	100	11 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pistons have lost six straight, and they scored more than 100 points in just one of those games. They host the struggling Denver Nuggets tonight, and this should be a favorable matchup for the home team. These teams played twice last November, and the Pistons won both those games. The Nuggets were held under 100 points in both of those losses, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last six meetings. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of those previous six meetings. Despite the Pistons struggles, they remain one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, especially at home where they have won eight of 12. The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in four straight versus teams with a winning record, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine road games versus winning teams. Denver has balanced scoring with four players averaging over 15 points per game. Two of those players have been sidelined with injuries though. Nikola Jokic is out with a sprained ankle, while Paul Millsap is out for 2-3 months with a serious wrist injury. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in six straight overall, and 15 of 22 at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-17	Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 221.5		107-104	Win	100	11 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Sixers beat the Lakers by a score of 115-109 in LA in November, and the Bookmakers are expecting another high scoring game here in Philly. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four games at Philly, and the one exception was a 113-111 Lakers win in overtime back in 2015. The Lakers have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. The Sixers have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and four of their last five overall. Lonzo Ball scored just 2 points on 1-of-9 shooting in 21 minutes in the last meeting. The Lakers have scored an average of 103.8 points per game in their last 10 losses. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule.
12-06-17	Kings v. Cavs OVER 210.5		95-101	Loss	-110	9 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Cavs can tie a franchise record with their 13th consecutive win when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight. As easy as that may sound, the Kings have actually won two of their last three on the road, averaging 107 points in those games. One of those games was a 110-106 win at Golden State. The Cavs have scored more than 110 points in four of their last five games, and they've allowed over 100 points in 17 of their last 22 overall. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in each of the last four head to head meetings. The total in all four of those games was much higher than it is tonight. The Kings have gone over in 18 of their last 24 games versus Eastern Conference teams. The over is 8-1 in Cleveland's last nine games against the Western Conference. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-17	Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199		101-104	Loss	-110	13 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Spurs have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for decades under head coach Greg Popovich, and nothing has changed this season. San Antonio ranks 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 98.9 points per game. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have become one of the league's top defensive teams in 2017. They rank 2nd in the NBA allowing just 97.1 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to April of 2016. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in all five of those games. Oklahoma City has failed to reach the total in 13 of it's last 16 road games, while the Spurs have gone under in four of their last five versus Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-13-17	Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208	Top	109-98	Win	100	17 h 40 m	Show
10*
11-10-17	Heat v. Jazz UNDER 196.5		84-74	Win	100	17 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and even though we have a lower number here tonight, I am coming back with another play on the under. These two teams have gone over in four of the last seven meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact six of those seven games saw a total of 190 or lower. The Heat have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 road games, while the under is 5-1 in Utah's last six when playing on two day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Hawks v. Pistons UNDER 208		104-111	Loss	-110	15 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Hawks have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they've averaged just 100 points per game in those losses. They are playing at the Palace in Detroit tonight, and I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here. The Pistons are sitting in first place in the Central Division, and it's no thanks to their 16th ranked offense. Detroit has been taking care of business on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average just over 100 points per game. They rank 8th overall in scoring defense, and they are 5-1 at home. They've held their opponents under 100 points in five of their six home games so far. These two teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. That results in a much higher number here for tonight's game. The last three times these teams faced each other, the boomakers set the total below 200. The under 15-7-2 in Hawks last 24 road games, and they have several key players nursing injuries heading into tonight's game. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-17	Cavs v. Rockets OVER 228		113-117	Win	100	16 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Rockets scored 122 points in an upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but then went on to score less than 110 points in each of their next seven games. They come into tonight's home game against the Cavs off a season high 137 point performance against the Jazz (one of the top defensive teams in the league). James Harden scored a career high 56 points, and was 7-of-8 from three-point range. The Rockets lead the league in three-point attempts, as well as made three-point shots. This could spell trouble for a Cleveland team that ranks dead last in the NBA in three-point defense. They have allowed opponents to average almost 42 percent from beyond the arc. The Rockets average over 44 attempted three-point shots per game. Cleveland has been just brutal on defense, even in the games they have recently won. Opponents have scored 110 points or more in each of the Cavs last nine games. That includes the Bulls, Nets, and Hawks (the three bottom teams in the Eastern Conference). Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings at Houston, including a 117-112 loss in Texas last year. They have gone over in each of their last five games versus Western Conference teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-08-17	Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 229		101-125	Win	100	17 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, scoring over 118 points per game. They are coming off a 97-80 win over the Miami Heat, marking the first time they won a game without reaching 100 points since April of 2016. It was a dominant performance defensively, blocking 10 shots and holding the heat to 36.1 percent shooting. Tonight's game against Minnesota will feature two of the league's premier shot blockers, as both Kevin Durant and Karl Anthony Towns are ranked in the Top 5 in blocks per game. Minnesota is coming off five straight wins, holding opponents to less than 100 points in each of their last three. They have proven to be a tough matchup for the Warriors, who have only covered in one of their last 10 versus the Wolves. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams, and seven of those 10 games went under. I expect both these teams to continue a trend of strong defensive play, in what should be a competitive game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-08-17	Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 210		96-107	Win	100	14 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Lakers are 5-5, and the hype continues to build. They say showtime is back, but is it really? LA will play it's next four games on the road, after playing seven of 10 at home. Rook PG Lonzo Ball is getting mixed reviews, but one thing is for sure, his shot still needs plenty of work. The #2 overall pick is just 6-of-28 from the field in his last two games, hitting just one of 11 three-point attempts. The young Lakers will face the NBA's #1 ranked scoring defense, as the Celtics are holding opponents to just over 94 points per game. Boston has won nine straight since opening the season with back to back losses, and I don't expect a let down here at home in such a high profile game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings, and Boston has gone under in four of it's last five versus Western Conference teams. I think the total here looks a bit too high. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-17	76ers v. Jazz UNDER 205		104-97	Win	100	14 h 22 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Jazz defeated Portland by a score of 112-103 last week. That game was tied 94-94 at the end of the fourth quarter, but overtime pushed the total over the number. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Jazz are still the best defensive team in the NBA, and they are 4-0 at home so far. Their last home game was a 104-89 win over the Dallas Mavericks. They trailed Dallas 53-44 at halftime, but they took over in the third quarter, allowing the Mavs to score just 15 points. They might have let their guard down early in that game, but they likely know they need to concentrate for a full four quarters here against the Blazers." They have since lost to Houston and Toronto, going over the total now in three straight. The result is a higher total for tonight's home game against Philly. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two teams, and the listed total was under 200 in each of the last six of those games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-17	Raptors v. Jazz UNDER 196		109-100	Loss	-110	21 h 1 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Jazz have won three straight, and they are 5-0 at home. They rank 2nd in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing under 95 points per game. They haven't allowed 95 points (in regulation) in any of their last three games. The Jazz host Toronto tonight, and the Raptors are in a tough spot, playing their final game of a six game road trip to the West Coast. They had won back to back games in LA and Portland, before getting blown out in Denver. They gave up less than 100 points in wins over the Lakers and Blazers, but allowed over 100 points in three quarters against the Nuggets. The Jazz are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest, and the under is 7-2-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a straight up win. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in 23 of their last 31 road games. I predict the Jazz win a defensive battle here at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-17	Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 196.5		103-112	Loss	-110	22 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are still the best defensive team in the NBA, and they are 4-0 at home so far. Their last home game was a 104-89 win over the Dallas Mavericks. They trailed Dallas 53-44 at halftime, but they took over in the third quarter, allowing the Mavs to score just 15 points. They might have let their guard down early in that game, but they likely know they need to concentrate for a full four quarters here against the Blazers. Portland has won two of three road games, holding opponents to under 100 points in both those victories. The Blazers have been solid defensively so far, holding opponents to 98.3 points per game, the 6th best in the league. These two teams have played three times in 2017, going under in all three of those games. The Blazers failed to reach 90 points in each of their two games at Salt Lake City during that span. The under is 5-2 in Utah's last seven home games, and Portland has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine when coming off a double-digit loss. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-31-17	Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5	Top	110-91	Win	100	22 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Oklahoma City Thunder are not the same team they were a year ago. So far this season they've been far better defensively, holding opponents to just 96.5 points per game. They play a tough road game at Milwaukee tonight, and the Bucks have won three of their last four. These teams played twice last year, and both games went under the total. In fact, neither of those two games saw a combined 200 points. The under trend goes back several seasons, with seven of the last nine head to head meetings going under the total. Russell Westbrook scored just 12 points on 5-of-13 shooting in a 101-69 win at Chicago on Saturday. He's really been shooting poorly from the free throw line this season, hitting just over 60 percent. In fact both these teams are below league average in free throw percentage, and the Thunder rank 25th overall in that category. The Bucks have gone under in six of their last eight home games, and they've failed to reach the total in four straight home meetings versus Oklahoma City. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-30-17	Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 192		89-104	Loss	-105	18 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are missing Gordon Hayward, and coming into tonight's home game against Dallas they rank 29th in the league in scoring averaging just 94.5 points per game. The good news is, they are 3-0 at home, and they are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. The Jazz rank 2nd overall in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 93.8 points per game. They have allowed just 87.6 points per game at home. The Mavericks are winless on the road, and they rank 25 in the NBA in scoring, averaging just over 99 points per game. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and the under is 5-0-1 in Utah's last six overall. These two teams have gone over the total in five of the last six head to head meetings, but two of those games went to overtime. The total for tonight's game is also higher than it was in five of the last six meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-30-17	76ers v. Rockets UNDER 216.5		115-107	Loss	-110	22 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Rockets beat the Sixers by a score of 105-104 last week, and I bet the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams." The Rockets have continued to trend under, but the total for tonight's home game remains the same as the last meeting between these two teams. I expect a similar result. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-29-17	Magic v. Hornets UNDER 212		113-120	Loss	-105	12 h 57 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Orlando Magic are off to a surprising start, and they come into tonight's game at Charlotte looking for their fourth consecutive win. They could be due to suffer a bit of a let down, coming off a huge 114-87 win over the Spurs. They shot 57.1 percent from the field, and 47.8 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. Those numbers are obviously not sustainable, and Charlotte ranks among the top teams in the NBA, holding opponents to just 99.6 points per game so far. Dwight Howard leads the NBA in rebounds, and ranks among the league leaders in blocked shots. The Magic are 0-4 in their last four visits to Charlotte, and they failed to score 100 points in three of those games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all four of those games, and Charlotte has gone under in seven straight. The Hornets have played more than their fair share of low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 16 of their last 22 when playing teams in their own division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 208		95-87	Win	100	22 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 104-103 win at Portland. Blake Griffin hit a buzzer beater three-pointer for the win. Here is what I had to say prior to the game: "The new look Clippers are off to a decent start, and most impressive has been their defense. They've allowed an NBA best 88 points per game so far. While we have seen the Clippers play their fair share of high scoring games in previous seasons, this year's squad appears to be designed to play a different brand of basketball. With Patrick Beverly at PG instead of Chris Paul, and J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford no longer coming off the bench, we shouldn't expect to see the same "Lob City" offense." The Clippers host the Detroit Pistons, another solid defensive team. This game will feature two of the league's worst free-throw shooters in DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond. These two teams have gone over the total in four of the last six meetings, but the total in those games was much lower than the total for tonight's contest. The Clippers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six at Staples Center. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-17	Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 216	Top	104-103	Win	100	33 h 15 m	Show
10*
10-25-17	Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 221		105-104	Win	100	12 h 30 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-23-17	76ers v. Pistons UNDER 214.5	Top	97-86	Win	100	20 h 55 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pistons are off to a solid 2-1 start, and they've been strong on defense allowing just over 104 points per game. They host the Sixers tonight, and despite so much optimism in Philly, this team is still a long way away from being competitive. The 0-3 Sixers have failed to score 100 points in back to back double digit losses. They hit just 39 percent from the field in a loss at Toronto on Saturday, and they could struggle against this gritty Detroit defense. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in defending the three-point shot, and the Sixers rank 26th overall in field goal percentage. These teams played three times last season, failing to reach the total in two of those three contests. The total for tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those three previous meetings. The Pistons have gone under in six straight home games against teams below .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217.5	Top	88-130	Loss	-110	14 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Suns played a high scoring game at home last night, coming up just short in a heart-breaking two point (132-130) loss to the Lakers. They will play at the Staples Center against the other team from Los Angeles tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the Suns. They have failed to cover in three of their last four against the Clippers in LA, and they failed to score 100 points in all four of those games. The Clippers are a different team without Chris Paul, but so far the most important thing about his replacement (Patrick Beverly) has been his defense. After shutting down Lavar Ball in the Clippers season opener, some media personalities were calling him "the best defensive PG in the NBA". The Suns have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss, and I expect this game to be decided midway through the third quarter. The backups might get some minutes in garbage time here, and it's going to be tough for these teams to reach such a high total in a lopsided game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-17	Blazers v. Pacers OVER 221.5	Top	114-96	Loss	-110	29 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Indiana Pacers scored 140 points in their season opener, despite shooting just 9-of-34 from beyond the arc. They had eight players score in double figures, and the played at an incredible fast pace. They host the Portland Trailblazers on Friday night, and Portland is a team that is happy to run with the likes of Indiana. The total for this game is a little higher than it has been in previous meetings, but these teams combined to score over 225 points in three of the last four meetings. The Blazers scored 124 points, and shot 14-of-24 from three point range in their season opener versus Phoenix. CJ McCollum sat out the season opener due to a suspension, but he should be ready to go here in Indiana. The Pacers beat the Blazers 118-111 at home last December (the most recent meeting), and four of the Blazers last five at Indiana have gone over the total. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-17-17	Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 232		122-121	Loss	-110	35 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Warriors will host Houston in their season opener, and the total for this game is sky high. These teams have gone under in six of the last seven meetings, and I don't expect that the offense will be firing on all cylinders this early in the year. That is especially true for James Harden, who finished the pre-season going 1-for-18 from beyond the arc in his last two games. He failed to score 20 points in four of the Rockets last five pre-season games, despite playing starters minutes. Keep in mind the last meaningful game he played was a 114-75 home loss to the Spurs in the Western Conference Semi Finals. He scored 10 points on 2-of-11 shooting, leading many to speculate that he threw the game. Then there is the NBA's change to the "James Harden Rule", which will prevent him from getting as many unearned points as he has in past seasons. The Rockets have lost five of their last six visits to Oracle Arena, and they have averaged under 95 points per game in those losses. While the over is 5-1 in the Warriors last six home games, the number here is higher than it was for any of those six contests. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
06-09-17	Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229		116-137	Loss	-110	9 h 33 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight. I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule
06-07-17	Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221	Top	118-113	Loss	-110	77 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
06-01-17	Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5	Top	91-113	Win	100	149 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-25-17	Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216	Top	135-102	Loss	-110	19 h 54 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-23-17	Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216	Top	99-112	Win	100	26 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-22-17	Warriors v. Spurs OVER 216		129-115	Win	100	19 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. Last night we saw the Celtics pull off a stunning upset for the ages in Cleveland. They pushed the tempo, playing fast and making a whopping 18 three-pointers. The pressure is off for both the Spurs and the Warriors now, and I expect to see both teams come out pretty loose in Game 4. The Spurs scored 108 points in Game 3, despite going just 5-of-21 from beyond the arc. They also shot just 60 percent from the free-throw line. I expect improvements in both those categories tonight, and that will help push the total higher. These teams have played a total of six games this season (regular season and playoffs), and five of those went over the total. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while the Spurs have gone over in five straight home games. The Warriors scored 128 points in their series clinching win at Portland, and 121 points in their series clinching win against the Jazz. I expect to see them score 120+ again, closing out the Spurs tonight. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-21-17	Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213	Top	111-108	Win	100	24 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Cavs scored 130 points in Game 2 of this series, and with Isaiah Thomas out for the rest of the playoffs, Boston isn't likely to play any better defensively in Cleveland. The Cavs might suffer a bit of a let down, but if the do it's likely going to be on defense. They held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2, and it might be a tough ask to bring that kind of defensive intensity again here in Game 3. Boston scored 55 points in the second half of Game 2, and that was with Isaiah Thomas in the locker room. The Cavs have gone over in all four home games in these playoffs, and the over is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. The total for the last game was roughly seven points higher, but with Boston's leading scorer out, the bookmakers have adjusted with a much lower number here. I think it looks like an over-correction. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-19-17	Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220	Top	130-86	Win	100	23 h 47 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-16-17	Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209.5		100-136	Win	100	9 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Warriors were held to just 42 points in the first half of Game 1, and they trailed by 20 points heading into the third quarter. They went on an 18-0 run following the injury to Kawhi Leonard, and outscored San Antonio 71-49 in the second half. The Spurs couldn't stop Steph Curry and Kevin Durant without Leonard, and that might be a preview of how this series is going to go if Leonard is unable to play after suffering another ankle sprain. Golden State also scored 24 points at the free throw line, and that's one more reason to expect a lot of scoring here in Game 2. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings, and the over is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 road games. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-15-17	Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211	Top	105-115	Loss	-110	67 h 14 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-11-17	Spurs v. Rockets OVER 213		114-75	Loss	-110	10 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. These teams have gone over in four of the five games so far in this series, and I bet the over in the last two games. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Spurs suffered their worst lost in history in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, but they have responded with back to back wins to take a 2-1 lead heading into Game 4. LaMarcus Aldridge struggled in the series opener, but he was great in Game 3, scoring 26 points with seven rebounds and four blocked shots. These teams played close gamed during the regular season, with three of the four decided by just a two point margin. The bookmakers have made the Rockets a six point favorite on Sunday, and the total is hovering around 212. San Antonio has seized the momentum, and their defense was impressive holding Houston to just 36.4 percent shooting in the last game. The Rockets are likely to be a lot better in tonight's must win game, and that should push the total higher than Game 3. The Spurs have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while Houston has gone over in six of their last eight following a double-digit home loss." I was a little lucky in Game 5, needing the overtime to go over. With Leonard injured, Houston should have little trouble scoring. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Game 6. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-10-17	Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215		101-123	Win	100	11 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Wizards shot 52.4 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in Game 4, beating the Celtics by a score of 121-102. It was the third time in four games that these two teams went over the total in this series. Both games in Boston went over, and the Wizards led at halftime in each of those contests. The Celtics needed overtime to get past Washington in Game 2, however the two teams had already scored enough points in regulation to push the total over. John Wall went off for 40 points on 16-of-32 shooting in that game, but it wasn't enough as the Celtics won 129-119. Isaiah Thomas struggled in the second half of the last game, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his swagger back here at home in Game 5. He was 10-of-23 from beyond the arc in the previous two games in Boston. The over is 5-0-1 in Boston's last six home games, and these two teams have gone over in eight of the last 11 meetings in Boston. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-09-17	Rockets v. Spurs OVER 214.5		107-110	Win	100	7 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Rockets made an incredible 22 three-point shots in a blowout victory in Game 1 at San Antonio, but the Spurs bounced back with a 121-96 win in Game 2. Both of those games went over the total, and I expect another high scoring game here in Game 5. Here is what I had to say prior to the last game in this series: "The Spurs suffered their worst lost in history in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, but they have responded with back to back wins to take a 2-1 lead heading into Game 4. LaMarcus Aldridge struggled in the series opener, but he was great in Game 3, scoring 26 points with seven rebounds and four blocked shots. These teams played close gamed during the regular season, with three of the four decided by just a two point margin. The bookmakers have made the Rockets a six point favorite on Sunday, and the total is hovering around 212. San Antonio has seized the momentum, and their defense was impressive holding Houston to just 36.4 percent shooting in the last game. The Rockets are likely to be a lot better in tonight's must win game, and that should push the total higher than Game 3. The Spurs have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while Houston has gone over in six of their last eight following a double-digit home loss" Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-08-17	Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206	Top	121-95	Win	100	30 h 19 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Warriors swept the Blazers in the first round, and they have a chance to sweep the Jazz here in Game 4 in Salt Lake City. They scored more points in Game 4 against Portland than they did in any of the previous three games in that series, and I expect to see a high scoring game here in Utah tonight as well. Both these teams have played hard on defense so far, but with the Jazz trailing 0-3, we could see both teams ease up a little. I bet the over in Game 2, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Warriors scored an average of 119 points per game in a four game sweep in their first round series versus Portland. That's well above the 115.9 points per game they averaged while leading the league in scoring during the regular season. The Jazz were the league's top defensive team this year, but they gave up an average of 97.7 points per game in a seven game series versus the Clippers in the first round, slightly more than their regular season average of 96.8 points per game. So much for the traditional logic that scoring goes down in the playoffs. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games in the playoffs. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last six Conference Semifinal games, while the over is 6-0-1 in Utah's last seven in the second round of the playoffs. The oddsmakers have set a low number here, and I think the value is on a play on the over." Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-07-17	Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212	Top	104-125	Win	100	10 h 18 m	Show
10*
05-04-17	Jazz v. Warriors OVER 204.5	Top	104-115	Win	100	12 h 48 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Warriors shot just 24.1 percent from three-point range in Game 1, and the total fell short of the number (206.5). We see an even lower number here in Game 2, and I expect the sharp shooting Warriors to be just a bit more accurate from long range in tonight's game. Here is what I said before the series started: "The Warriors scored an average of 119 points per game in a four game sweep in their first round series versus Portland. That's well above the 115.9 points per game they averaged while leading the league in scoring during the regular season. The Jazz were the league's top defensive team this year, but they gave up an average of 97.7 points per game in a seven game series versus the Clippers in the first round, slightly more than their regular season average of 96.8 points per game. So much for the traditional logic that scoring goes down in the playoffs. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games in the playoffs. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last six Conference Semifinal games, while the over is 6-0-1 in Utah's last seven in the second round of the playoffs. The oddsmakers have set a low number here, and I think the value is on a play on the over." Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-03-17	Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 216	Top	96-121	Loss	-102	10 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Rockets destroyed the Spurs in Game 1 of this series, winning by a score of 126-99 at San Antonio. They hit a whopping 22 three-point shots, and held the Spurs to 36.9 percent shooting. It's gut check time for the Spurs, and I expect Popovich to have his team ready to fight here in Game 2. The Spurs should step up their defensive intensity, and this game should be a lot closer than the series opener. During the regular season these teams went under in all four meetings, and all of those games were decided by six points or less. Houston has played low scoring games when in the role of underdog on the road. The under is 10-2-1 in the Rockets last 13 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Spurs are probably the best coached team in the league, and that's one reason why they almost always respond after a double-digit home loss. The Rockets can expect this game to be a lot tougher than Game 1. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
05-02-17	Jazz v. Warriors OVER 206.5		94-106	Loss	-105	23 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Warriors scored an average of 119 points per game in a four game sweep in their first round series versus Portland. That's well above the 115.9 points per game they averaged while leading the league in scoring during the regular season. The Jazz were the league's top defensive team this year, but they gave up an average of 97.7 points per game in a seven game series versus the Clippers in the first round, slightly more than their regular season average of 96.8 points per game. So much for the traditional logic that scoring goes down in the playoffs. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games in the playoffs. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last six Conference Semifinal games, while the over is 6-0-1 in Utah's last seven in the second round of the playoffs. The oddsmakers have set a low number here, and I think the value is on a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-27-17	Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196	Top	92-89	Win	100	58 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. We've seen some low scoring games between the Bucks and the Raptors in this Eastern Conference quarterfinals series, but Game 5 in Toronto was a bit of a shootout. The Raptors hit 57.7 percent from the field and went 12-of-27 from beyond the arc in a 118-83 victory. The previous two games in Milwaukee were low scoring, and I expect to see another defensive battle here tonight. The Bucks held Toronto to just 77 points on 33.8 percent shooting in Game 3, and the Raptors held Milwaukee to just 76 points 37 percent shooting in Game 4. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the under is 8-1 in Raptors last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. Toronto has trended toward lower scoring games on the road, going under in 19 of their last 26 away from Air Canada Center. The Bucks on the other hand play lower scoring games at home, going under in eight of their last 11 at the Bradley Center. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-22-17	Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217	Top	119-113	Win	100	12 h 14 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Warriors won Game 1 of this series by a score of 121-109, easily going over the total of 220. Game 2 was a lower scoring battle with the Warriors winning 110-81. The series shifts to Portland, and I am expecting a shootout in Game 3. These two teams met in the second round of last year's playoffs, and after a high scoring opener, they went under in Game 2. The Blazers won Game 3 by a score of 120-108, and I'm expecting tonight's game to follow that same script. The Blazers have gone over in six of their last seven home meetings with Golden State, and the one game that went under was a 113-11 Warriors win, falling shot of the total of 224.5. Tonight's total is far lower than it was in any of the last six meetings in this series. The Blazers averaged 109.9 points per game at home this season, while the Warriors averaged 213 points per game on the road. Both teams like to play a similar style, and we should see plenty of scoring here in tonight's pivotal Game 3. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-21-17	Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197	Top	111-106	Loss	-108	32 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. After back to back unders in the first two games in this series, I don't think there's any reason to expect a different result when the series shifts to Utah. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-20-17	Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 197	Top	77-104	Win	100	29 h 48 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. I hit the under in Game 1 of this series, and then I didn't have a bet on Game 2, when the total went way over. Both teams shot close to 50 percent from three-point range in Game 2, well above their season averages. That's unlikely to happen again here in Milwaukee in Game 3. I expect tonight's game to be similar to Game 1, and here is what I had to say before this series started: "The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in the playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points" Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-18-17	Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 197.5	Top	91-99	Win	100	12 h 16 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-17-17	Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 188.5	Top	82-96	Loss	-105	11 h 1 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Spurs put on a defensive clinic in Game 1 of this first round series versus Memphis, holding the Grizzlies to just 39.2 percent shooting in a 111-82 home win. That game still went over the total of 190, and the total for tonight's game is even lower than it was in Game 1. I expect Memphis to battle back here in Game 2, and they should be a little better offensively. The Grizzlies trailed by just three points at the half in Game 1 (52-49). They only managed to score 33 points in the second half, but the Spurs didn't slow down at all. San Antonio hit 10-of-19 three-point attempts, and shot 53.2 percent from the field. While these are two of the top defensive teams in the NBA, the bookmakers may be overcompensating for that with a total that is far lower than it was in any of the five meetings in this series this season. The Spurs have gone over in four of their last five overall, while the Grizzlies have gone under just once in their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-16-17	Blazers v. Warriors OVER 219.5	Top	109-121	Win	100	6 h 46 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Warriors won 15 of their final 16 games this season, and during that span they scored at least 110 points 11 times. Golden State swept the season series, and they scored an average of 125 points in the four regular season meetings versus Portland. Both these teams love to shoot the ball from long range, and that normally translates into plenty of scoring. The Blazers have seen the total go over in nine of their last 12 visits to Golden State, and the over is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings overall in this series. The total for today's game is lower than it was in all four of the regular season games between the two teams. Kevin Durant sure looked healthy in the regular season finale, scoring 29 points, hitting 5-of-7 from beyond the arc. Both teams averaged over 12 made three-pointers per game in April, so expect to see a shooting clinic here in Game 1. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-15-17	Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 203.5	Top	97-83	Win	100	52 h 40 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in he playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-15-17	Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 213	Top	108-109	Loss	-110	49 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pacers will be a nine point underdog on the road in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series versus Cleveland tonight. Indiana finished the season with five straight wins, and they played some strong defense in those games. Both these teams did more than their fair share of scoring during the regular season, and because of that we see a high total in Game 1 here in the playoffs. History tells us that playoff basketball is a different animal, with more focus on defense. That is evidenced by the fact that Indiana has gone under in eight of it's last nine Conference Quarterfinals games, while the Cavs have gone under in five of their last seven first round games. Last year Cleveland swept the Pistons in the first round, and three of those four games saw fewer than 200 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-06-17	Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 205	Top	89-104	Win	100	6 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. It's common knowledge that scoring goes down in the NBA Playoffs, due to an increased emphasis on defense in meaningful games. We will see two teams battling to make the playoffs in Indiana tonight when the Pacers host the Bucks. Milwaukee is sitting in fifth place, but is just two games up on the ninth place Pacers. Indiana is tied with Miami for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and that makes this game a must win for the Pacers. They are coming off a huge win over Toronto on Tuesday, holding the Raptors to just 39 points in the second half of a 108-90 victory. I expect to see a similar effort here at home tonight. The Bucks have gone under in six of their last eight road games, and 15 of their last 22 overall. Indiana has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 14 when coming off a win. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-29-17	Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 208		99-92	Win	100	20 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks finally snapped a seven game losing streak with a 95-91 home win over Phoenix. It was their eighth consecutive game failing to score over 100 points, but they turned up the heat defensively. The Hawks are banged up, missing leading scorer Paul Millsap and forwards Kent Bazemore and Thabo Sefolosha. While they still sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings, eighth place Miami is just two games back. Atlanta can't afford to keep on losing, and I expect them to play inspired basketball coming off last night's win. The total for tonight's game looks a little high, especially considering the last time these two teams met the number was under 200. In fact they have only gone over tonight's number twice in the last 10 meetings. Atlanta has gone under in 15 of it's last 20 overall, and that's a trend that should continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-26-17	Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 208	Top	94-106	Loss	-110	14 h 37 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Warriors have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game against the Grizzlies as winners of six straight. They've scored over 110 points in their last five games, but they haven't reached the total in any of their last nine games. Bookmakers have noticed, and the total for tonight's game is much lower than it was in any of the last five meetings in this series. Three of those games went over the total, but both these teams are riding under trends at the moment. Steph Curry has been heating up, hitting 53.2 percent from the field and 48.9 percent from beyond the arc over his last five games. These teams have met twice this season, and both of those games went way over. I expect both teams to go over 100 points here tonight, and it looks like the value lies with a play on over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-24-17	Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 203.5	Top	97-100	Win	100	19 h 6 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The surging Milwaukee Bucks have won 10 of their last 12 overall, climbing all the way to sixth in the Eastern Conference standings. They have been playing great defense during that stretch, holding opponents under 100 points in eight of those 10 wins. They host the 5th place Atlanta Hawks tonight, and they only trail the Hawks by one game. This game is key for both teams, and with massive playoff implications, expect both teams to bring it on defense. The Hawks have lost five straight, and haven't scored more than 100 points in any of those games. Leading scorer Paul Millsap has missed the last three games with a knee injury, and will not play in Milwaukee. Atlanta has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last eight road games, while the Bucks have gone under in four straight at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-24-17	Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 220.5	Top	125-117	Loss	-110	18 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Denver Nuggets are one of the league's highest scoring teams, ranking 3rd in the NBA in scoring. Their scoring average is significantly higher at home though, and they face a tough road game tonight in Indiana. The Pacers are a solid 25-10 at home, and they haven't allowed an opponent to score more than 100 points in five straight home games. They sit seventh in the Eastern Conference Standings, and with only 2.5 games separating them from the 8th, 9th and 10th place teams, they need to keep winning games. The Pacers improved defense has caused them to cash in lately for under bettors. They've failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 overall, and the under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-24-17	Pistons v. Magic UNDER 207	Top	87-115	Win	100	18 h 5 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pistons are tied with Chicago, and both teams trail the eighth place Heat for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They play on the road at Orlando tonight, and we should see a hard fought battle. Detroit lost to the Bulls by a score of 117-95 on Wednesday, but they had held opponents under 100 points in four straight games prior to that. The Magic really struggle offensively, ranking 29th in the NBA in scoring. The Pistons are one of the league's top defensive teams, and given the high stakes here I expect them to make life very difficult for the home team. The Magic rank dead last in the NBA in three-point shooting, and the Pistons are just slightly better ranking 27th. Only the Miami Heat shoot the ball for a lower percentage from the free throw line than the Pistons, and the Magic aren't much better ranking 27th. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-23-17	Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 199	Top	90-97	Win	100	20 h 23 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Spurs host the Grizzlies in a "Grudge Match" in San Antonio tonight, looking to avenge a pair of losses in this series earlier this season. Memphis won at home by a score of 104-96 on Saturday, and the Grizzlies held the Spurs to a season low points total in an 89-74 win at San Antonio in February. These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and only one of the last seven meetings in this series has seen more than 200 points combined. The total for this game is far higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. This game has massive playoff implications, with a possible first round playoff matchup looking likely. The total has gone under in four of the Grizzlies last five visits to San Antonio, and history should repeat itself here tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-19-17	Kings v. Spurs UNDER 202.5	Top	102-118	Loss	-103	7 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are coming off back to back losses, and they return home to play bottom feeders Sacramento tonight. The Kings have been a good bet when visiting San Antonio in recent seasons, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven. They are going to have their work cut out for them tonight though, with an injury depleted lineup facing the NBA's #2 ranked defense. The Spurs are normally very stingy when coming off a loss, and they've gone under in seven of their last 10 versus losing teams. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings in this series, and the Kings have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The under is 11-4 in Sacramento's last 15 overall. I expect this game to be a blowout, with the reserves coming off the bench in the fourth quarter. It's going to be difficult for the Kings to contribute enough points to push the total over. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-19-17	Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 201.5	Top	91-116	Loss	-110	18 h 49 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. It's difficult not to notice that teams heading toward the post-season are starting to tighten up defensively. Both the Raptors are the Pacers are jockeying for playoff position in the Eastern Conference, and tonight's game will be meaningful for both teams. Indiana has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 10 overall. During that span the Pacers have held opponents under 100 points eight times. The Raptors have gone under in seven of their last 10, and their offense has suffered with PG Kyle Lowry out of the lineup. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. They've gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous eight meetings between the two teams. The Pacers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-17-17	Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 200.5	Top	87-75	Win	100	11 h 52 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Raptors offense has struggled in the absence of starting PG Kyle Lowry, and they've averaged just 96 points per game over their last six. Four of those games were losses, including a 104-89 loss at Miami on Saturday. That was the last time they played on back to back nights, a situation that has seen them fail to reach the total in four straight. They've also gone under in eight of their last nine when coming off a loss. They will visit Detroit, a team that is battling for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are level on points with ninth place Miami, and only occupy the eighth spot by virtue of the tie breaker. Chicago is only a game back in 10th place, meaning that this is very much a must win for Detroit. The Pistons have gone under in four straight home games, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the Eastern Conference. I expect a defensive battle here at the Palace tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-15-17	Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 211	Top	104-117	Loss	-110	17 h 32 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. As the playoffs get closer, competitive teams tend to step it up defensively. That's been the case for both the Celtics and the Timberwolves of late. Boston is trying to catch the Cavs for first place in the East, while the Wolves are still 3.5 games back of the eighth place Nuggets in the West. Boston has not gone over the total for 10 straight games, while Minnesota has failed to reach the total in eight of it's last 10. This will be the second meeting between these teams this season. Boston won the first meeting 99-93 at Minnesota. The Celtics last home game was a 100-80 win over the Bulls, holding Chicago to 37.9 percent shooting. The Bulls scored just 26 points in the first half (not quarter) of that game. The under is 13-3-3 in Celtics last 19 overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-13-17	Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 204	Top	93-113	Loss	-110	31 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Bucks come into Memphis riding a six game winning streak, and they now occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. During this win streak, they've played phenomenal defense, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. They don't have much margin for error, with Miami sitting just a game back in the standings. The Grizzlies are likely to play with a ton of desperation here as they look to end a five game losing streak. Even though they've been brutal defensively during their losing streak, Memphis is still the 4th best defensive team in the NBA allowing just over 100 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in nine of the last 10. The one game that went over, was a 99-90 home win for Memphis. The under is 22-8-1 in Grizzlies last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-11-17	Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 202.5	Top	95-102	Win	100	11 h 16 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks are making a push for the post-season. The Bucks have won five straight, and they've held the opposition to an average of 94 points in those games. Minnesota has won four of five, and has held opponents to an average of 91.6 points during that span. They come off a 103-102 home win over the Warriors last night, but they are still 2.5 games back of Denver for the final playoff spot in the West. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in nine of the last 12. The stakes are higher here than they were in any of those previous meetings, and I expect to see both teams play solid defense. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and four of their last five at home. They trailed Indiana by five points at halftime last night, but only gave up 35 points to the Pacers in the second half. I expect a similar result here in tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-09-17	Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 213.5	Top	92-102	Win	100	20 h 10 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. We all know that scoring drops dramatically in the NBA Playoffs in comparison to the regular season. When two post-season contenders meet late in the season, these games have major playoff implications. That will be the case when the Thunder host the Spurs on Thursday, looking to snap a four game losing streak. The Spurs are certainly taking this game seriously, as evidenced by the fact that they sat their starters in last night's win over Sacramento. That game went over the total, but the Spurs had gone under in seven of their previous eight games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and of the three games that went over, two of those saw less than 213 points. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Oklahoma City lost at San Antonio by a score of 108-94 earlier this season, and the Thunder shot just 35.3 percent from the field in that game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-08-17	Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 211.5	Top	91-107	Win	100	15 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Clippers are in Minnesota tonight, and this is a big game for two teams that are trying to improve their playoff position. The Wolves are trying to catch Denver, sitting three and a half games back of the eighth place Nuggets. The Clippers are a game and a half back of the Jazz for fourth place in the West. This is the time of year when we see an increased emphasis on defense, and teams still in the hunt should be battling hard for ever single possession all night. That's resulted in a trend of low scoring games for Minnesota, who have gone under in five of their last six overall. During that span they allowed 100 points only once, in a 142-130 loss at Houston. Previous meetings in this series have trended over, but tonight's total is higher than it was in seven of the last eight. The Clippers lost at home to Minnesota by a score of 104-101 in the last meeting. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-03-17	Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 214	Top	135-130	Loss	-110	29 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. It's that time of year again... the stretch run in the NBA regular season. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and preparing for the post-season. That means more attention to detail, and a lot more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Historically we know that playoff basketball tends to be significantly lower scoring than the regular season, but I believe that trend starts right now. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six straight, and eight of their last 10. They host the Cavs, who have gone under in four of their last five. These two teams have trended over in recent meetings (7 of the last 10), but tonight's total is far higher than it was in an of those previous games. In fact, the listed total was under 200 in six of those games, and never higher than 208. The Hawks have more to play for, at home and sitting just 2.5 games out of first in their division. Atlanta ranks in the Top 10 in the league in points allowed, and the bottom 10 in points scored. They've gone under in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-01-17	Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 222	Top	99-103	Win	100	16 h 25 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Celtics host the Cavs Wednesday, and both teams are gearing up for a playoff run. This time of year we see teams step up the intensity on defense, especially in games like this. Boston has lost two of three games since the break, and the Celtics scored an average of less than 100 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially at The Garden where they've failed to reach the total in the last four meetings. Cleveland won nine of 11 games in February, and they've gone over in five straight road games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all five of those games though, and it's far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Boston's leading scorer Isaiah Thomas is ice cold since the All Star break, shooting just 31.4 percent from the field in three games. He's not the only one struggling, Al Horford has totaled 10 points on 5-of-20 shooting the last two games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-27-17	Heat v. Mavs UNDER 200	Top	89-96	Win	100	25 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Heat have won 16 of their last 18 overall, but they face a tough test on the road in Dallas tonight. Both these teams are battling for a playoff spot, and Dallas has won three of their last four home games. The Mavs rank 4th overall in the NBA allowing just 100 points per game, and they rank 30th in scoring, averaging just 97.8 points per game. Dallas is coming off a 96-83 home win over New Orleans, and they held DeMarcus Cousins to just 12 points in that game. History favors the Heat, who have won four of the last five in this series. All five of those games saw fewer than 200 points scored, and I expect another defensive battle tonight. The under is 7-1-1 in the Mavs last nine games against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has gone under in five of it's last seven against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-27-17	Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 213	Top	114-98	Win	100	20 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks have come out of the All Star break in a slump. They lost their last game 108-86 at Orlando, and they've scored an average of 86.6 points per game while losing three straight. It won't get any easier tonight, playing on the road at Boston. The Celtics are 20-8 at home, and the have covered the spread in three straight home meetings with Atlanta. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in four straight meetings. The Celtics have gone under in nine of their last 10 home games when returning from a road trip. The total for tonight's game is higher that it was in each of the last 10 meetings. This time of year, when you have two teams jockeying for playoff position, you expect more emphasis on defense. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-24-17	Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 215.5		97-107	Win	100	12 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Raptors host the Celtics in their first game back after the All Star break, and this is a huge game for both teams. Boston sits four games clear of Toronto in second place in the Eastern Conference, and the Raptors are just half a game up on 5th placed Atlanta. Toronto limped into the break as losers of 11 of their last 15. During that span they failed to score 100 points six times. I would expect both teams to be a little rusty following a week off, and I don't think either team will be giving up any easy buckets. Toronto ranks in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring averaging, allowing just 104.3 points per game. The addition of big man Serge Ibaka at the trade deadline certainly isn't going to hurt. Tonight's total is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series, and four of the last five have gone under. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last eight overall, with the two exceptions coming in games against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-15-17	Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213	Top	84-99	Win	100	16 h 23 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-15-17	Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205	Top	88-111	Win	100	19 h 38 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected]H to go UNDER the total. The Utah Jazz are coming off an embarrassing 88-72 home loss to the Clippers. The Portland Trailblazers are coming off a home loss to Atlanta, shooing just 35.9 percent from the field and scoring just 97 points in regulation. The two teams will meet in Utah tonight, and we should expect to see a defensive battle. Utah is a heavy favorite, and the Jazz have a history of locking in defensively off a big home loss. They've gone under in nine of their last 10 following a double digit home loss. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it has been in recent meetings. In fact each of the last 10 meetings in this series saw a number below 200, dating back to 2014. The Jazz will be desperate to end a three game losing streak, and that should mean a heavy emphasis on defense. Two of Portland's last three visits to Utah have failed to go over 200 points, and none of the three went over the total listed for tonight's contest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-12-17	Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210	Top	99-105	Loss	-110	22 h 57 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Pelicans are coming off a 122-106 win at Minnesota, and they shot 60 percent from the field in the victory. They play Sunday in Sacramento, and the Kings aren't the best defensive team in the NBA. Sacramento scored 65 points in the second half to come from behind and beat the Hawks 108-107 in overtime on Friday. They've scored an average of 107 points while wining three of five games during their current home stand. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings, and the Kings have gone over in seven straight games coming off a win. The Pelicans have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall, mostly due to the fact that they give up an awful lot of points. Opponents have averaged over 112 points over their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-31-17	Hornets v. Blazers OVER 214		98-115	Loss	-110	20 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Hornets are reeling, coming into Portland off four straight losses. Starting center Cody Zeller has missed all four of those games due to injury, and Charlotte has lost nine of 10 games without Zeller this season. They've struggled on defense in his absence, allowing over 110 points per game during their current losing skid. The Blazers have been a major disappointment this season, but they've won three of their last four, scoring an average of over 113 points in those games. The one loss came by just two points to defending Western Conference champs Golden State. Portland has won five straight home meetings with the Hornets, scoring an average of 115 points in those games. The over is 6-1 in the Blazers last seven versus teams with a losing record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-31-17	Kings v. Rockets OVER 224.5		83-105	Loss	-110	12 h 20 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Kings came up just short in a 122-119 loss at Philly last night, but DeMarcus Cousins continued his extraordinary play, scoring a whopping 45 points and pulling in 15 rebounds. Cousins scored 35 points in Saturday's win at Charlotte, and that was the second game of a back to back for the Kings. Sacramento has scored an average of 112 points per game over their last five (all on the road). It's going to take plenty of points to keep up with the Rockets in Houston tonight. The Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. Houston defeated Sacramento 132-98 at home back in December, and six of the last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Neither of these two teams are too keen on playing defense, and they should both be content to play a fast pace high scoring game in Houston tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-30-17	Kings v. 76ers OVER 205		119-122	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Kings have won three of their last four games, scoring an average of over 110 points per game during that span. They are Philly to play the Sixers tonight, and Philly has lost back to back games, giving up over 120 points in each of those losses. The Sixers appear to have cooled off after a 10-3 run prior to Friday's home loss to the Rockets. James Harden went off for 51 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists in that game. I think we could see another half hearted effort on defense tonight, and DeMarcus Cousins could pile on the points. Cousins scored 35 points in a win at Charlotte Saturday, and he's averaged over 30 points per game in his last five. The Kings have been having their way with opponents from the Eastern Conference, and they've covered the spread in five straight on this road trip. The Sixers have gone over in five straight, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 when playing the second game of a back to back. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-28-17	Kings v. Hornets OVER 209	Top	109-106	Win	100	16 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go over the total. The Kings appeared to be well on their way to a third straight victory last night in Indiana, leading by double digits in the fourth quarter. They couldn't hang on though, eventually losing by a score of 115-111 in overtime. They might not have much left in the tank here on their second game of a back to back in Charlotte. The Hornets though have lost three straight, giving up an average of 110 points per game in those losses. This will be their second game in as many nights, and third game in four nights. Recent games between these two teams have been high scoring, the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in the last two meetings, and I don't expect to see a lot of effort here on defense from two teams that might not make the playoffs. The Hornets have gone over in 13 of their last 17 when playing their second game of a back to back, and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games versus the Kings. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-26-17	Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202	Top	88-96	Win	100	13 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are coming off back to back losses, failing to score 100 points in both of those games. They are one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 99.4 points per game (28th). It has been their defense that has helped them win 16-of-24 at home. They rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed, giving up just 95.5 points per game. They are likely to put even more emphasis on defense tonight, looking to get back on track against a struggling Lakers team. LA has failed to score 100 points in back to back losses at Portland and Dallas. They scored just 73 points, suffering their worst ever loss at Dallas on Sunday (122-73). They've lost seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and they've scored an average of just 82 points while losing their last three visits to Utah. The Jazz have gone under in five straight following a loss, and the under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 home meetings versus the Lakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5	Top	95-103	Win	100	13 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201	Top	99-101	Win	100	12 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-27-16	Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5	Top	103-113	Win	100	12 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-16	Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213	Top	113-117	Loss	-110	20 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-06-16	Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204	Top	114-103	Loss	-110	12 h 28 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-16	Heat v. Blazers OVER 214	Top	92-99	Loss	-107	8 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-16	Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5	Top	100-103	Loss	-105	8 h 39 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Lakers are coming off a 113-80 loss to Toronto last night, shooting just 34.4 percent from the field. Playing on the road on back to back nights against one of the league's best defenses in Memphis tonight, I expect another poor showing offensively for LA. The Grizzlies are coming off a 95-94 win over Orlando, and they've failed to reach 200 points in four straight home games. Injuries to DeAngelo Russell and Nick Young haven't helped the Lakers, and LA has failed to reach the total in five straight. Memphis has it's own injury concerns, as they've been without Mike Conley, Zack Randolph and Vince Carter. The Grizz have gone under in four straight at home versus teams with a losing record, and that's a trend I expect to continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5	Top	107-109	Loss	-119	16 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks have lost three straight, scoring an average of just 87 points in those losses. They will be a favorite in Phoenix tonight, facing a Suns team that has won just once in it's last five games overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings dating back to 2014, and tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of the last four meetings. The Hawks are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents under 100 points per game on average. The under is 19-7 in their last 26 road games, and they've failed to reach the total in 21 of their last 29 versus Western Conference teams. The Suns have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 versus Eastern Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210	Top	96-90	Win	100	11 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Lakers will be shorthanded when they face the Bulls in Chicago tonight, already missing starting PG DeAngelo Russell, they could be without Nick Young who suffered a strained Achilles in the loss to New Orleans last night. These teams have gone over the total in each of the last four meetings, but we see a higher total in tonight's game than in any of those previous contests. The Bulls are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents to an average of just 99 points per game. These teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 12 meetings at the United Center, and Chicago has held opponents to an average of 95.8 points while winning four of five home games this season. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195	Top	105-120	Win	100	14 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Raptors have scored over 110 points in nine of their last 11 games overall. They scored a whopping 122 points in a blowout win over Philly last night, and they host a banged up Memphis team here tonight. Memphis is already missing Zack Randolph, Mike Conley and Chandler Parsons, and could be without Vince Carter here in Toronto. The Grizzlies have a reputation for being one of the league's toughest defensive teams, but I don't like their chances of slowing down the Raptors with a depleted lineup. The over is 9-2 in Toronto's last 11 overall, and they've gone over in seven of their last 10 home games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, but two of the last three times they met, the total was over 200. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule

More Content