• Home
  • Buy Picks
  • Free Picks
  • Betting Lines
  • Leaderboards
  • Contact
  • Member Login
Jesse Schule NBA Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
10-21-22 Celtics v. Heat OVER 217 111-104 Loss -110 28 h 50 m Show

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. They went well over the number in their season opener versus Philly, and this number looks a little low all things considered.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10-19-22 Blazers v. Kings OVER 226 115-108 Loss -110 21 h 59 m Show

This is a 2* play on Over.

The Blazers lost 124-121 to the Sacramento Kings in their season opener last year, and they play the Kings in their first game of the 2022 season. The Kings finished dead last in the NBA in opponent's scoring average last year, and Portland wasn't far behind. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings, and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Sacramento was 4-0 in the pre-season averaging 117 points per game. We should expect a lot more offense than defense here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10-18-22 76ers v. Celtics OVER 214.5 117-126 Win 100 29 h 10 m Show

This is a 2* play on Over. 

The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. Joel Embiid should feast here in the season opener, and both teams should do plenty of scoring. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

05-21-22 Heat v. Celtics UNDER 208.5 109-103 Loss -110 9 h 22 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Celtics were dominant in the first half of Game 2, holding Miami to just 45 points. This comes after the Heat held Boston to just 45 points in the second half of Game 1. I am expecting both teams to bring their A-game on defense here in a pivotal Game 3 at the Garden. The Heat have failed to reach the total in four of their last five when coming off a loss, and the under is 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five playoff games as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-20-22 Mavs v. Warriors OVER 213.5 117-126 Win 100 19 h 37 m Show

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Mavs were destined to suffer a let down after their epic Game 7 win over Phoenix, and sure enough they came out and shot just 36% from the field scoring only 87 points. They were 11-of-48 from beyond the arc, and it killed them. They will need to be more selective here in Game 2, and I would expect them to be far more competitive. The over is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 road games, and they have gone over in 12 of their last 17 versus Golden State. The Mavs have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings versus Golden State, scoring an average of 123 points in those games. The over is 7-3 in the Warriors last 10 games following a straight up win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

04-05-22 Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 234.5 116-97 Win 100 9 h 20 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Spurs come into Denver as winners of six of their last seven overall, and given the high stakes with just a few games to go in the regular season this might as well be a playoff game. Denver is just a half game up on Utah in the Northwest, and the Spurs are just two games up on the Lakers for the final play-in spot. San Antonio has played solid defense during a five game stretch, allowing an average of just 107.6 points. The total for tonight's game is 10+ points higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The under is 19-9-2 in Spurs last 30 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 at Denver.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-22-22 Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 228 117-111 Push 0 22 h 38 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Hawks are currently sitting in the 10th spot in the Eastern Conference, which has them playing a play-in game to advance to the playoffs. They are only 2.5 games back of 8th place Brooklyn, and if they could move up a few spots then at least their play-in game would be in Atlanta. They will take on the Knicks in New York Tuesday, and the Knicks rank 27th in the NBA averaging just 106 points per game. The under is 5-1 in the Hawks last six road games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall. The under is 5-1 in the Knicks last six games playing on 1 days rest. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

02-20-22 Team Durant v. Team LeBron UNDER 325 160-163 Win 100 2 h 18 m Show

This line opened at 318.5 ... already pretty high. They scored 320 last year, and less than that in two of the previous three years. Nobody cares, everyone is betting the over and there is no end in sight. I can't help but get in at 325 an hr before game time. FADE THE MOVE!

01-11-22 Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 218.5 108-116 Win 100 16 h 20 m Show

This is a 5* play on Over.

While the Warriors defense has been stellar this season, they will be without their best defensive player (Draymond Green) when they play at Memphis tonight. This will be the second game back for Klay Thompson, and a showcase of Steph Curry versus Ja Morant. These teams have gone under the total in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, but tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in eight of the last nine meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-27-21 Heat v. Bulls UNDER 212 107-104 Win 100 20 h 36 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Miami Heat rank 1st in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average, and the Bulls aren't far behind. For that reason the total is pretty low here, but it is still higher than the number in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last seven games as a home underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 16 as a dog. The under is 20-6 in the Bulls last 26 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-18-21 Clippers v. Grizzlies UNDER 221.5 108-120 Loss -110 21 h 45 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 106-92 win over the Spurs. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss." The Clippers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five versus Memphis.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-17-21 Kings v. Wolves UNDER 223.5 97-107 Win 100 19 h 59 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

After losing 99-96 at home to Phoenix in their last game, it seems rather optimistic to have the total set over 220 for a home game against the Sacramento Kings. The under is 11-4-1 in Kings last 16 road games, and the Kings have failed to reach the total in 35 of their last 51 overall. The under is 7-1 in the Timberwolves last eight home games, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 18 overall. Minnesota is only averaging 103 points per game this season (23rd). 

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-16-21 Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 220 92-106 Win 100 9 h 13 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-15-21 Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 217 84-92 Win 100 25 h 18 m Show

8*

11-14-21 Warriors v. Hornets OVER 224.5 102-106 Loss -104 23 h 50 m Show

This is an 8* play on Over. 

The Charlotte Hornets have won back to back games, but they rank dead last in the NBA allowing 116 points per game this season. Golden State ranks first in the NBA in scoring, averaging over 116 points per game. The Warriors come in as winners of seven straight, with an overall record of 11-1. The over is 4-1 in Hornets last five home games, and the over is 3-1 in the Warriors last four overall. Don't be surprised to see a high score in a game between two of the highest scoring teams in the NBA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-10-21 Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 118-108 Loss -110 20 h 54 m Show

This is an 8* play on Over.

This game features the highest total on tonight's NBA card, but there is a good reason for that. Memphis and Charlotte rank 29th and 30th respectively in opponents scoring, and both these teams can score more than their share of points. In fact Charlotte ranks 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114  points per game. The Hornets have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 4-0 in their last five games at Memphis.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-05-21 Spurs v. Magic OVER 211.5 102-89 Loss -107 18 h 48 m Show

This is an 8* play on Over.

The one take away from the early season NBA games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Spurs and the Magic are doing their part to keep scoring up, by refusing to play defense. They are both allowing roughly 110 points per game, well above the league average. These two teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings, and the over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Orlando. The over is 9-2 in the Magic last 11 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-04-21 Celtics v. Heat OVER 214 95-78 Loss -110 17 h 58 m Show

This is an 8* play on Over.

The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Two teams that haven't had any problems scoring are Miami (2nd in the NBA averaging 115.6 points per game) and Boston (4th in the NBA averaging 113.9 points per game). These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the over is 12-5 in Miami's last 17 games as a home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-03-21 Hawks v. Nets UNDER 221 108-117 Loss -101 6 h 47 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Nobody has been hit harder by the rule changes than James Harden, who is only averaging 18.6 points per game so far this season. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and the under is 10-4 in the Hawks last 14 road games. The under is 8-2 in the Hawks last 10 games as an underdog. Brooklyn has failed to reach the total in five straight at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-02-21 Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 113-119 Loss -110 30 h 9 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Jazz are one of five teams allowing less than 100 points per game, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The under is 19-6-1 in the Kings last 26 road games, and the under is 9-1 in the Kings last 10 games as a road underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10-31-21 Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 107-95 Win 100 18 h 1 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

I had the under in last night's game when the Jazz lost to Chicago. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Both the Utah Jazz and the Chicago Bulls rank near the top of the NBA in points allowed so far. History suggests that these teams trend toward low scoring games, and the under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings. The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Chicago." With another big total in tonight's game in Milwaukee, I'll take the under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10-30-21 Jazz v. Bulls UNDER 217.5 99-107 Win 100 22 h 54 m Show

8*

10-29-21 Hornets v. Heat UNDER 222.5 99-114 Win 100 6 h 29 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Heat are off to a great start, winning three of their first four games. They host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are also playing well. Miami is getting it done on defense, ranking 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring allowing just 95 points per game. Charlotte is on the opposite end ranking 1st in the NBA in scoring. Scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The under is 10-3 in the Hornets last 13 games as a road underdog. The total in the last seven head to head meetings has never been higher than 216.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10-26-21 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 217 99-112 Win 100 9 h 45 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The New York Knicks finished #1 overall in scoring defense last season, and Philly wasn't far behind. Both these teams appear to have picked up right where they left off, and if history is any indication then we could be in for another low scoring game. Three of four meetings last season went under the total, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in three of the four meetings last season. The under is 17-8 in the 76ers last 25 road games, and the under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 games as a home favorite. The Knicks have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Philly.

GL,

Jesse Schule

07-20-21 Suns v. Bucks UNDER 222.5 98-105 Win 100 24 h 5 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game.

GL,

Jesse Schule



07-17-21 Bucks v. Suns UNDER 219 123-119 Loss -107 12 h 12 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

I bet the under for the first half of Game 2, and here is what I said before tipoff: “The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.” Despite going under in the first half in each of the first four games, the total for Game 5 is still quite high.

GL,

Jesse Schule

07-08-21 Bucks v. Suns UNDER 221 108-118 Loss -110 7 h 32 m Show

This is a 2* play on Under 1H. 

The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

07-03-21 Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 118-107 Loss -110 3 h 20 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Atlanta. Both games in Atlanta were low scoring, and the under is 5-0 in the Bucks last five at Atlanta. The under is 8-3-1 in Bucks last 12 overall, and they have gone under in nine of their last 12 as an underdog. I expect points to be hard to come by in this elimination game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

06-10-21 Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 83-86 Loss -113 49 h 17 m Show

This is a 5* play on Over.

Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-26-21 Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229 95-120 Loss -112 7 h 54 m Show

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Washington Wizards went on a tear in the second half of the season to sneak into the playoffs, but strong and responsible play on defense didn't have much to do with their success. They finished the regular season ranking dead last in scoring defense, allowing over 120 points per game. They didn't look great defensively in Game 1, and they were actually quite fortunate that Philly didn't have a particularly good game shooting the ball. The Sixers made 10 three-pointers in Game 1, and I expect them to improve on that number in Game 2. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and they have gone over in seven of their last 10 overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-04-21 Nets v. Bucks UNDER 242.5 118-124 Win 100 8 h 11 m Show

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Nets have lost back to back games, giving up 128 points versus Portland, and surrendering 117 points in a loss to Milwaukee. Neither of those games went over 240 combined points, and it seems reasonable to expect a better effort on defense here as they look to get off the schneid. The under is 8-3 in the Nets last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The under is 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

04-06-21 Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 113-97 Win 100 9 h 55 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Bulls and the Pacers sit in second and third place respectively in the Central Division, and with both teams battling for a playoff berth we should see a highly competitive game here in Indiana tonight. The total for tonight's game is higher than in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings, and nine of those 10 games saw fewer than 225 total points scored in regulation. The under is 10-3 in the Bulls last 13 overall, and the under is 13-6-1 in the Bulls last 20 games as a road favorite. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-27-21 76ers v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 112-122 Loss -107 8 h 56 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under 220.5.

The Clippers were shorthanded in their last game, beating the Spurs by a score of 98-85. Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka are out, while Kawhi Leonard and Marcus Morris are questionable. LA has help opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game over their last five overall. The Sixers have also been bringing the defense, allowing just 102 points per game in their last five. The under is 5-1 in 76ers last six overall, and they have gone under in four straight on the road. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. Look for another low score here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-23-21 Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 225.5 113-131 Loss -109 16 h 51 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under 225.5.

The Knicks have the NBA's top ranked defense, and one of the league's worst offenses. The Knicks are coming off a 101-100 home loss to Philly, but the under is 9-3 in the Knicks last 12 games following a straight up loss. The Wizards are coming off a 113-106 loss at Brooklyn, and they have lost six of their last seven overall. The under is 11-4 in the Wizards last 15 road games, and the Wizards have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a loss. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-16-21 Jazz v. Celtics UNDER 228 117-109 Win 100 11 h 41 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Jazz are coming off three straight road losses, and they should be highly motivated to get back on track here in Boston. The Celtics have won five of their last six overall, and they have played solid defense during that span. The return of Marcus Smart certainly won't hurt either. The under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games as a home underdog, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. There is also a strong under trend in Utah's recent games at The Garden. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Boston. Tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-03-21 Hawks v. Magic UNDER 225 115-112 Loss -109 20 h 18 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Atlanta Hawks have a new head coach, and they won their first game under Nate McMillan by a score of 94-80 at Miami. If that game is any indication of the style they intend to play moving forward, we could see them involved in more low scoring games. Holding the Heat to just 80 points in impressive, but also worth noting that Trey Young attempted just 12 shots, scoring 18 points on 5-of-12 shooting. The under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games as a road favorite, and the under is 37-17 in the last 54 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

02-28-21 Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 224.5 91-117 Win 100 24 h 55 m Show

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Lakers rank #2 overall in the NBA in scoring defense, and they will be a home favorite Sunday against Golden State. Four of the last six head to head meetings have gone under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Warriors last six road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Lakers last six overall. The under is 21-7 in the Lakers last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 20-9 in the Lakers last 29 games following a ATS win. We should see strong defensive play here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

02-27-21 Jazz v. Magic UNDER 218 124-109 Loss -110 18 h 24 m Show

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Utah Jazz had won 11 of 12 prior to a loss at Miami last night. They play the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for Utah. There is no reason for Utah to get up for this game, and I wouldn't be surprised if they limit minutes for key players. The under is 6-2-1 in Jazz last nine road games, and the Magic have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Utah's #2 ranked defense matches up against the Orlando offense that ranks #28 in the NBA in scoring. This should be a low scoring game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

02-25-21 Kings v. Knicks UNDER 222.5 121-140 Loss -105 16 h 49 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

02-24-21 Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 111-107 Win 100 17 h 21 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220.

GL,

Jesse Schule

02-01-21 Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 225 136-106 Loss -112 20 h 26 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Rockets appeared to reinvent themselves after dealing James Harden to the Nets, and they have allowed opponents to average just 102 points per game during a five game winning streak. They will face the #25 ranked Oklahoma City offense tonight, and it appears that the bookmakers have set the total a little too high. The under is 18-7-1 in the Rockets last 26 overall, and they have gone under in 13 of their last 19 against the Thunder. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Oklahoma City.

GL,

Jesse Schule

01-24-21 Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 115-129 Loss -104 10 h 41 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Milwaukee Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and that might have them tighten up the defense here against the Hawks. The Hawks have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games as an underdog. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. This number looks a little inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

01-22-21 Nets v. Cavs UNDER 227 113-125 Loss -110 19 h 7 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Nets new Big Three made their debut in Cleveland on Wednesday, and things didn't go as planned. Kyrie Irving scored 37 points on 15-of-28 shooting, but his defensive assignment (Colin Sexton) went off for a career high 42 points and helped Cleveland win in overtime by a score of 147-135. The Cavs held Brooklyn to 113 points in regulation, well below their season average of 120 ppg. Cleveland has been one of the best in the league on defense, allowing just 106 points per game. Unfortunately for the Cavs their offense only averages 102.9 ppg (29th). The under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 12 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

12-23-20 Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 229 107-113 Win 100 19 h 28 m Show

8*

10-02-20 Heat v. Lakers OVER 216 114-124 Win 100 12 h 31 m Show

This is a 5* play on the Over.

What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-19-20 Celtics v. Heat OVER 206 117-106 Win 100 19 h 50 m Show

This is a 5* play on Over 206.

I bet the under in Game 2, and it just barely hit landing on 207. The Celtics scored 60 points in the first half, and then once again they fell apart late. This is turning out to be a ratings nightmare for the league, and everyone outside of Miami is hoping and praying Boston can come back and make this a series again. A few favorable calls and a few more trips to the free throw line wouldn't be much of a suprise in Game 3. Miami keeps getting their points, and they are now 10-1 in the playoffs. They have averaged 112 points in those games, failing to score 100 or more just once. The over is 26-12 in Miami's last 38 games following a straight up win. These teams have only gone over in one of the last six meetings, when the Heat won in overtime in Game 1. That being said, five of those six games saw more than 206 points.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-18-20 Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 211 Top 114-126 Win 100 13 h 60 m Show

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Nuggets are a ratings nightmare for the NBA, denying everyone the Clippers vs Lakers Western Conference Final that we waited for all season. Not only did they come back and win three straight after trailing the Clippers 3-1 in the series, they trailed by double digits in Game 7. The Nuggets shot over 49 percent from the field in Game 7 versus the Clippers, but it's hard to imagine they won't be set up for a let down in Game 1 versus the Lakers. After defeating the Jazz in a low scoring Game 7 in the first round, they lost Game 1 of their series versus the Clippers by a score of 120-97. Other than two low scoring Game 7s, Denver has seen 10 of their 12 playoff games go over the total of 210. The Lakers are averaging over 114 points per game in these playoffs, and the over is 20-7-2 in their last 29 meetings versus Denver.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-17-20 Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 106-101 Win 100 8 h 28 m Show

This is an 8* play on the Under.

Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1." A late collapse by the Celtics allowed the Heat to force OT, and the total went well over. I expect a tighter defensive game here in Game 2.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-15-20 Heat v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 117-114 Loss -106 34 h 21 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-09-20 Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 210 125-122 Loss -103 28 h 50 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Celtics have the defending champions on the ropes, and given that this is an elimination game for Toronto, we should expect a hard fought defensive battle. Every game in this series so far has gone under, and I don't see either of these teams lossening up the defense in Game 6. I said this prior to Game 3: "The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 4, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with seven of the last nine meetings going under. The under is 8-1 in the Celtics last nine overall, and the under is 15-3 in Celtics last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 12-4 in Raptors last 16 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-06-20 Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 224 109-117 Loss -110 12 h 27 m Show

This is a 5* play on the Under.

The Rockets shocked the Lakers in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinal, but history tells us we can expect them to bounce back in Game 2. They lost Game 1 in their first round series versus Portland, and responded with a strong defensive effort in Game 2, holding the Blazers to just 88 points. The Rockets have a reputation for playing high scoring games, but they have gone under in six of their last seven as an underdog. The under is 11-2 in the Rockets last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. The Lakers have gone under in five of their last six off a double digit home loss. These teams have gone under in four of the last five head to head meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-05-20 Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 214 100-93 Win 100 15 h 9 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 4, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with seven of the last nine meetings going under. The under is 8-1 in the Celtics last nine overall, and the under is 15-3 in Celtics last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 12-4 in Raptors last 16 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-04-20 Bucks v. Heat UNDER 223.5 100-115 Win 100 33 h 15 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under.

The #1 seed Milwaukee Bucks find themselves down 0-2 after losing 116-114 in Game 2. The final score soared well past the listed number, but perhaps it was closer than you think. With under two minutes to play in the game, the score was 110-102, and under bettors still had 10 points to work with. They went on to score 18 points in the final minute and 45 seconds, when they could have easily scored 8-10 or even fewer during that span. Despite some excellent defense by Miami, and the Bucks facing a must win situation, the total for Game 3 hasn't come down at all. These teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the Heat have gone under in four of their last five in the Conference Semifinals.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-03-20 Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 104-103 Win 100 12 h 3 m Show

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 3, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with five of the last seven meetings going under. The under is 7-1 in the Celtics last eight overall, and the under is 14-3 in Celtics last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 11-4 in Raptors last 15 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-02-20 Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 218.5 102-104 Win 100 21 h 50 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under in Game 7.

We saw some strong defensive play in Game 6, with the Thunder recording the upset by a score of 104-100. Expect more of the same in a winner takes all Game 7. Last night's Game 7 between Utah and Denver ended with a final score of 80-78, going under by more than 60 points. The under is 48-21-1 in the Thunder's last 70 games as an underdog. The under is 9-3 in the Rockets last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 overall. We expect every possession to be a war, with no easy buckets.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

09-01-20 Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 217.5 102-99 Win 100 12 h 44 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under 218.

The Raptors will look to improve on a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. If Game 2 is set to be anything like Game 1, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with four of the last six meetings going under. The under is 6-1 in the Celtics last seven overall, and the under is 13-3 in Celtics last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 10-4 in Raptors last 14 overall, and the uder is 16-5-1 in Raptors last 22 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

08-31-20 Heat v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 115-104 Win 100 10 h 38 m Show

This is a 5* play on Under 223.5.

The Miami Heat were the only team in the Eastern Conference to win a regular season series versus Milwaukee. These teams are both among the top defensive sides in the NBA, and seven of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the number. Three of the four games Miami played in the first round fell well short of the number of 223.5, and the under is 13-6-2 in Bucks last 21 versus a team with a winning straight up record. The Bucks averaged 116 points per game in their series versus Orlando, a few points fewer than their regular season average. I expect points to be even harder to come by against the Heat.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

08-24-20 Lakers v. Blazers UNDER 225 135-115 Loss -110 18 h 19 m Show

This is an 8* play on the Under.

All three games in this series have gone under, and that hasn't really moved the needle with bookmakers keeping the total on the same number. After a terrible shooting performance in Game 1, the Lakers have turned up the defensive intensity and focused on high percentage shots. LeBron wants to muddy it up a little, knowing it's not a good idea to get into a shootout with Dame and the Blazers. The under is 11-5 in the Lakers last 16 games as a favorite, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 14 overall. The under is 4-1 in the Blazers last five Conference Quarterfinals games, and they have failed to reach the total in four straight as an underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

08-17-20 Nets v. Raptors UNDER 222 110-134 Loss -105 6 h 26 m Show

This is an 8* play on under 222.

The defending champions played 24 playoff games last season, and only five of those games saw more than 222 points. In their first round series versus Orlando all five games fell well short of that number. They come into the first round of this year's playoffs as the biggest favorite on the board, and they boast the NBA's #1 ranked defense. The Raptors were one of few teams (if not the only team) that played low scoring games in the bubble. The under is 7-2 in Toronto's last nine overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

08-07-20 Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 218.5 122-100 Loss -110 15 h 41 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under 218.5.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. So far all of the Raptor's games have gone under, and by a large margin. They are facing the Celtics for the fourth time this season, and two of the first three meetings went under the total. Kemba Walker is expected to play after resting a sore knee in the last game, but he's averaging just 14 points over his last four games. Marc Gasol preaches team defense: "In our locker room, if you don't have the will or the discipline to play defense, it is going to be really hard for you to see the floor, and that gives the coaches a lot of credit, right?"

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

08-05-20 Nets v. Celtics UNDER 228 115-149 Loss -110 11 h 16 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under 228.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Monday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. On Tuesday that trend continued, but one of the games that did go over was the Nets win over Milwaukee. It was the largest upset in the NBA in the last 27 years. That could set them up for a let down here against Boston. The Celtics are resting leading scorer Kemba Walker, so don't be surprised if these teams struggle to reach such a high number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

08-04-20 Magic v. Pacers UNDER 224 109-120 Loss -106 9 h 3 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under 224.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Yesterday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. The Magic are facing the Pacers on Tuesday, and both teams have been impressive so far. The bookmakers haven't set a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 meetings between these teams, and in fact the last six meetings had a total set below 210. Both these teams are among the top defensive squads in the NBA, and I expect this game to have a playoff feel to it.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

08-03-20 Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 227.5 130-132 Loss -107 6 h 41 m Show

This is an 8* play on Under 227.5.

The Spurs and the Sixers are trending in opposite directions. This isn't the same San Antonio team we saw struggle during the season. Since the restart they have won back to back games, and they look like a team desperate to make the playoffs. The Sixers on the other hand are the exact same team they were earlier this season. Philly was brutal away from home, and their first game of the restart was a loss to Indiana. The Sixers rank just 21st in the NBA in scoring, and 7th in the NBA in points allowed. We should see a playoff type atmosphere in this game, which should keep the score under 227.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

02-10-20 Wolves v. Raptors OVER 227 126-137 Win 100 10 h 2 m Show

This is an 8* play on MIN@TOR to go Over the total.

The Minnesota T-Wolves shook things up at the trade deadline, and their first game with a new look roster was dramatic indeed. They scored 142 points in a blowout win over the Clippers Saturday. They attempted 44 three-point shots in the game, making 26 of them. This is a team that needs to score to win games, because they rank 27th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game. The Raptors scored 122 points in a double digit win at Minnesota earlier this year, and another high score should be expected here tonight. Toronto has won 13 straight overall, and the majority of those games were high scoring. Their last two home games have ended with the exact same score (119-118). The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, and the Raptors have gone over in four straight home games.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

01-31-20 Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 242 Top 111-139 Loss -110 26 h 9 m Show

This is a 10* play on MEM@NO to go Under the total.

The first thing that comes to mind when you see the Grizzlies playing the Pelicans might be that a high score is expected. That's fair enough, as both teams rank in the Top 10 in scoring, and the bottom 10 in defense. This hasn't been lost on the bookmakers, who have set the total for this game higher than 240. Neither of these two teams have reached that number since the last time they played each other. The Grizzlies have been a completely different team over their last 13 games, going 11-2 during that span. They are now in a position to make the playoffs, and an increased emphasis on defense should be expected. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Grizzlies have gone under in seven of their last nine, and they have gone under in five straight versus New Orleans.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

01-20-20 Spurs v. Suns OVER 228 120-118 Win 100 27 h 49 m Show

8*

01-05-20 Blazers v. Heat UNDER 223 Top 111-122 Loss -110 29 h 34 m Show

This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go Under the total.

The Miami Heat own the best home record in the NBA at 16-1. They host Portland on Sunday, and the bookmakers have the total listed sky high at 223. These teams haven't seen a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Only one of those games saw a total higher than 215. Both these teams come in cold, with Portland coming in as losers of five of six overall. They scored an average of 107 points in those losses, well below their season average of 112+ points per game. The Heat are coming off back to back games scoring fewer than 90 points. They scored 84 in a home win over Toronto, then followed up with just 85 points in a loss at Orlando.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

01-04-20 Raptors v. Nets UNDER 217.5 Top 121-102 Loss -110 25 h 24 m Show

This is a 10* play on TOR@BKN to go Under the total.

The Raptors have been hit hard by injuries, playing without Marc Gasol, Norm Powell and leading scorer Pascal Siakam. They lost 84-76 at Miami in their last game, shooting just over 30 percent from the field. Siakam hasn't played since December 19th, and the Raptors have scored an average of 106.5 points in eight games since (well below their season average). They have also stepped up on defense during that span, and they have held opponents under 100 points in four straight games. The under is 5-1-1 in the Raptors last seven road games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in Brooklyn.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

12-31-19 Warriors v. Spurs OVER 220 113-117 Win 100 24 h 8 m Show

This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go Over the total.

The Spurs have turned things around, winning five of their last seven home games. San Antonio is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 113 points per game. They would have a lot better record if they weren't allowing opponents to average over 115 points per game. The Warriors had won four straight, but then lost 141-121 at home to Dallas on Sunday. The over is 12-3 in the Spurs last 15 games as a home favorite, and they have gone over in four straight at home. The Spurs hit a season high 18 three-point shots in a win over Detroit on Saturday.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

12-29-19 Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 217.5 104-117 Win 100 8 h 15 m Show

8*

12-23-19 Nuggets v. Suns OVER 216 113-111 Win 100 11 h 26 m Show

This is an 8* play on DEN@PHX to go Over the total.

The Nuggets come into Phoenix as winners of six straight, and they have scored an average of more than 114 points per game during that span. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Suns are far from an average opponent. Phoenix averages over 114 points per game, but they allow opponents to average even more than that. The over is 9-0 in the Suns last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and they have gone over in 11 of their last 14 home games.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

12-22-19 Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 205.5 128-104 Win 100 12 h 16 m Show

This is an 8* play on DEN@LAL to go Over the total.

The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Lakers are far from an average opponent. Denver has won five straight, and all five of those games saw 209+ total points. We can see that these two teams have failed to go over the total in five straight meetings, but in four of those five games they combined to score 209+ points. Looks like this number should be a few points higher.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

12-11-19 Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 220 112-92 Win 100 10 h 32 m Show

This is an 8* play on LAC@TOR to go Under the total.

The Clippers won at home by a score of 98-88 in the first meeting between these teams this season. Tonight's game will be a far bigger deal, as Kawhi is returning to Toronto for the first time since winning the NBA Championship with the Raptors last year. He was held to 12 points on 2-of-11 shooting in the last meeting. The Raptors are 9-2 at home this season, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA. This total appears to be a little inflated.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

12-04-19 Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 210 121-96 Loss -110 12 h 44 m Show

This is an 8* play on LAL@UTAH to go Under the total.

The Lakers are coming off a 105-96 win over the Nuggets last night, winning for the 11th time in their last 12 games. The Lakers are ranked as one of the top teams in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing an average of 103 points per game so far this season. They might have a tough time on the road on back to back nights against the Utah Jazz, who are another one of the league's top defensive teams. The Lakers have gone under in six straight, and the under is 5-1 in their last six games in Utah. The Jazz are coming off a 103-94 loss at Philly, and the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

12-02-19 Bulls v. Kings UNDER 211 113-106 Loss -101 14 h 17 m Show
This is an 8* play on CHI@SAC to go Under the total.

The Kings out-scored the Denver Nuggets 60-40 after halftime on Saturday, winning in overtime by a score of 100-97. They look to bring that momentum into tonight's home game against the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 3-7 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four straight against the Kings. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Kings rank 28th in the NBA in scoring, while the Bulls rank 25th. Chicago has failed to score 100 points in two of their last three overall, and they face a Kings defense that is playing fantastic defense of late.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule
11-27-19 Nets v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 110-121 Loss -104 20 h 27 m Show
This is a 10* play on BKN@BOS to go Under the total.

I had the under in the Celtics last game, and here is what I said prior to their 103-102 win over Sacramento: "The Celtics and the Kings are two teams that have been hit hard by injuries, and we should expect them to play a low scoring game here in Boston tonight. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in five straight, holding opponents to fewer than 98 points per game during that span. They have only won two of their last five games though, failing to average 100 points per game during that span. They will be playing a rematch in a home and home versus the Kings, after losing 100-99 in Sacramento last week. These two teams have gone under in five of the last seven head to head meetings, and the under is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Boston." Kemba might return tonight, but the number is a whopping 20 points higher than the closing total for the Sacramento game. I'll fade this inflated total.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule
11-23-19 Raptors v. Hawks OVER 223.5 119-116 Win 100 13 h 55 m Show

This is an 8* play on TOR@ATL to go Over the total.

The Atlanta Hawks have gone over (223.5) in eight straight games overall, and they allowed 76 points in the first half of a 128-103 loss at Detroit in their last game. The Raptors come into tonight's game as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they will be a seven point favorite here tonight. Toronto has scored an average of 120 points in thier last six wins. The over is 6-0 in the Hawks last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I think Toronto will be content to play a wide open game, as long as they know they will get the better of it. We should see plenty of scoring here.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-22-19 Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 227 119-122 Loss -109 14 h 6 m Show

This is an 8* play on HOU@LAC to go Under the total.

The Rockets are coming off a 105-95 loss at Denver, and they have another tough game tonight in LA. They beat the Clippers 102-93 at home just last week, and LA will be looking for revenge. The Clippers rank among the top defensive teams in the NBA, while Houston has allowed opponents to average over 113 points per game (20th in the NBA). The Rockets defense has been much better lately though, allowing just over 103 points per game in their last nine overall. The lowest score during that span was their game against the Clippers. LA has gone under in eight of their last 10 home games and nine of their last 13 overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-18-19 Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 112-102 Win 100 12 h 53 m Show

This is an 8* play on MIN@UTAH to go Under the total.

The Jazz rank 1st overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing just over 100 points per game. They have been even better at home, holding the Clippers, Bucks, Kings and Thunder to 100 points or less. Utah needs to play well defensively, because the Jazz only average 104.7 points per game (26th overall). The under is 8-1 in the Timberwolves last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 15 overall, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-15-19 Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 214.5 106-107 Loss -112 9 h 4 m Show

This is an 8* play on UTAH@MEM to go Over the total.

The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 99.5 points per game this season. They have not been as sharp on the road, allowing over 100 points in each of their last three road games. The Grizzlies are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing over 118 points per game. They come into tonight's game as a home underdog looking for a third straight win. The over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 home games, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-14-19 Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 Top 112-128 Win 100 13 h 58 m Show

This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go Over the total.

The Atlanta Hawks are feeling good about themselves coming into tonight's game at Phoenix, coming off a 125-121 win over the Nuggets in Denver. Tre Young scored 42 points on 13-of-21 shooting in the victory. It was however the third consecutive game that the Hawks allowed their opponent to score 120+ points. Tonight they face a Suns team that ranks among the top teams in the league in scoring, but the Suns are also allowing opponents to average more than 110 points per game this season. The history tells us that these two teams have gone under in five straight meetings, and nine of the last 10 meetings. That history might be keeping tonight's number artificially low, as the last two time these two teams played they score at least 230 combined points, but failed to reach a much higher total.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

11-06-19 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 211.5 104-106 Win 100 10 h 21 m Show

This is a 10* play on PHI@UTAH to go Under the total.

The Sixers are coming off their first loss of the season, and they might have trouble scoring here in Utah tonight. The Jazz are undefeated at home this season, and they rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They have allowed just 95.6 points per game this season, and they have been even tougher at home. Opponents have averaged just 90.6 points in Utah. The under is 5-0 in Utah's last five home games, and the under is 5-0 the Jazz last five games coming off a loss. These two teams have gone under in five straight meetings in Salt Lake City.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-25-19 Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 94-100 Win 100 41 h 8 m Show

    

This is a 5* play on the Under.

I had the Raptors in the first half of Game 3, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Raptors got off to a good start in Game 1, leading 59-51 at halftime. They fell apart in the fourth quarter, losing by a final score of 108-100. They return home down 0-2, and they face a must win game as they try to get back into this series. The Bucks come into Game 3 in complete control, and it's tough to see them matching Toronto's intensity here in the first half of this game. The game plan for Milwaukee is likely to weather the storm early, try to keep the game close and steal one late (similar to Game 1)." Toronto has flipped the script by winning three straight and pushing the Bucks to the brink. They have figured out a way to slow down Giannis, forcing him to make shots. There are no pretenders in the post-season, and it's beginning to look like the Bucks weren't all they were cracked up to be. The Raptors shot just 36.9 percent from the field in Game 5, and in an elimination game in the conference finals, we should expect no easy buckets.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-12-19 Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 100-96 Win 100 6 h 44 m Show

This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under.

Winning a Game 7 on the road isn't easy, and for Portland they will be playing at altitude in Denver where the Nuggets owned the best home record in the NBA this season. Denver has won just two of their three home games in this series, suffering a let down in Game 2. They won by a whopping 26 points (124-98) in the last game at the Pepsi Center. The Trail Blazers are 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Denver, and they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets were up by 14 points at halftime in Game 7 versus the Spurs, and they held San Antonio to just 34 first half points. Both teams will likely be fighting extra hard on defense tonight.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-06-19 Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 Top 108-112 Win 100 9 h 43 m Show

This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total.

I had the under in Game 3, and after a low scoring first half it was bitter disappointment as they piled on the points in the third quarter and then eventually went to overtime. I don't think the Warriors have any interest in allowing the Rockets to tie this series, and they should step up the defensive intensity in the first half of Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 3: "Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-05-19 Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 215 101-96 Win 100 45 h 1 m Show

This is an 8* play on TOR@PHI to go Under the total.

I took the under in Game 3 of this series, and that was a bit of a lucky win for me after a low scoring second half. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Sixers shot 39 percent from the field and scored 95 points in their Game 2 win, and that says a lot about just how bad Toronto was offensively. While you have to give Philly credit for their play on defense, you can bet the Raptors will be better here in Game 3. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight road games, and the under is 7-1 in Toronto's last eight overall." The stakes are even higher for the Raptors tonight, and they might be without their second best player (Siakam).

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-04-19 Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220 Top 121-126 Loss -110 77 h 1 m Show

This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total.

Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-03-19 Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 220 123-116 Loss -105 43 h 59 m Show

This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under the total.

I bet on the Celtics to win this series, so I am happy with Boston coming home with a split. While the Bucks ran away with Game 2, it was actually a close game early. Boston had a five point lead after the first quarter, and they trailed by just four points at halftime. Expect Boston to bounce back, they have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games versus Milwaukee. The last two times Milwaukee played in a playoff game in Boston, they failed to score 100 points in each of those games. Here is what I said before Game 1:

"So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-02-19 Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217 95-116 Win 100 19 h 29 m Show

This is an 8* play on TOR@PHI to go Under the total.

I took the Raptors to win this series, and I like them in Game 3 coming off a terrible home loss in Game 2. The Sixers shot 39 percent from the field and scored 95 points in their Game 2 win, and that says a lot about just how bad Toronto was offensively. While you have to give Philly credit for their play on defense, you can bet the Raptors will be better here in Game 3. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight road games, and the under is 7-1 in Toronto's last eight overall. Here is what I said prior to Game 1:

"The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

05-01-19 Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 220 Top 97-90 Win 100 6 h 22 m Show

This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under the total.

The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games. We've seen a lot of talk about the officiating in these playoffs, but the consensus from the league seems to be to let them play. I think the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and I'll fade the big number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

04-21-19 Raptors v. Magic UNDER 235 107-85 Win 100 51 h 17 m Show

8*

04-19-19 Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 203.5 Top 104-96 Win 100 42 h 50 m Show
This is a 10* play on BOS@IND to go Under the total.

I bet on the under in Game 2 of this series, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule
04-17-19 Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 207 91-99 Win 100 6 h 49 m Show

This is a 10* play on IND@BOS to go Under the total.

The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

04-05-19 Hawks v. Magic UNDER 226 Top 113-149 Loss -110 28 h 11 m Show

This is a 10* play on ATL@ORL to go Under the total.

The Magic have won eight straight home games, and they are in a position to clinch the Southeast Division with just three games left in the season. They host Atlanta in their final home game, and Atlanta has won five of it's last seven. Orlando ranks 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they have allowed an average of less than 100 points during their eight game home win streak. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams, and four of Orlando's last five home games against Atlanta have gone under the total. The opening number for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-22-19 Thunder v. Raptors UNDER 226.5 116-109 Win 100 9 h 39 m Show

This is an 8* play on OKC@TOR to go Under the total.

The Raptors won't have their starting PG Kyle Lowry tonight at home in the second game of a home and home versus Oklahoma City. They beat the Thunder 123-114 in overtime on Wednesday, and it was a low scoring game in regulation. The Thunder really need to get back on track, they are in danger of slipping all the way to the 8th seed and playing Golden State in the first round. The under is 10-4 in the Thunder's last 14 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games. History favors OKC here as the road team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-19-19 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 224.5 Top 118-114 Loss -107 26 h 16 m Show

This is an 8* play on PHI@CHA to go Under the total.

The Charlotte Hornets are only 2.5 games out of first place in the Southeast, but they are going to have to play a lot better than they did in their last game if they want to make the playoffs. Charlotte scored just 75 points in a loss at Miami on Sunday. The good news for the the Hornets is that they do play a lot better at home. Philly is coming off a big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee, but that could set them up for a let down here in Charlotte. Prior to upsetting the Bucks on Sunday, the Sixers had lost back to back road games at Chicago and Houston. The Sixers have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five on the road.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-11-19 Kings v. Wizards UNDER 240 115-121 Win 100 8 h 15 m Show

This is an 8* play on SAC@WAS to go Under the total.

Both these teams are on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs, but either team could be right back in the mix if they could string a few wins together. Sacramento comes in as winners of two of their last three, although both those wins came against the New York Knicks. Washington has lost seven of their last 10 overall, and they don't really look like a team that is trying to make the playoffs. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all of those nine games. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Washington, and the under is 9-2-1 in Kings last 12 road games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-08-19 Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 218.5 112-104 Win 100 17 h 22 m Show

This is an 8* play on DET@CHI to go Under the total.

Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Detroit Pistons, who currently sit in sixth place in the East. The Pistons have won six of their last seven overall, and 10 of their last 12. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they have gone under in 10 of their last 14 when playing on one day's rest. They held Cleveland to just 93 points in their last road game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-08-19 Mavs v. Magic UNDER 213.5 106-111 Loss -106 16 h 19 m Show

This is an 8* play on DAL@ORL to go Under the total.

Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Orlando Magic, who sit just one game back of Miami for first place in the Southeast. They might just have to win the division if they want to make the playoffs, making tonight's game against the Mavs a "must win". The Mavs come in as losers of eight of their last nine, and they rank 22nd in the NBA in scoring. The under is 14-4 in the Mavs last 18 versus Eastern Conference teams, while Orlando has failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

03-08-19 Wizards v. Hornets UNDER 234 111-112 Win 100 16 h 18 m Show

This is an 8* play on WAS@CHA to go Under the total.

Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Charlotte Hornets, who sit just one game out of first place in the Southeast. They might have to win the division to make it into the playoffs, and that makes tonight's game against Washington a "must win". Charlotte is coming off a 91-84 home loss to Miami, and I expect tonight's game to be another battle against a division rival.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

  • PREVIOUS
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 6
  • 7
  • NEXT

More Content

  • Article Archive