Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT +8.5 |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | Top | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON HEAT/NUGGETS OVER 219 |
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05-29-23 | Heat +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* NBA - Heat/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT +7.5 |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* NBA Celtics/Heat VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON CELTICS/HEAT UNDER 210.5 |
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05-25-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT +8.5 |
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05-23-23 | Celtics +115 v. Heat | Top | 116-99 | Win | 115 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10* NBA Celtics/Heat VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS (+135) |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* NBA Nuggets/Lakers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -3 |
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05-21-23 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | Top | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* NBA Celtics/Heat VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS -3 |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* NBA Nuggets/Lakers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -5.5 |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 111-105 | Push | 0 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON HEAT/CELTICS UNDER 216 |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* NBA Lakers/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS -5.5 |
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05-17-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT +8.5 |
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05-16-23 | Lakers +6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10* NBA Lakers/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +6.5 |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* NBA 76ers/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS -6.5 |
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05-12-23 | Knicks v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* NBA Knicks/Heat VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT -5.5 |
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05-11-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
10* NBA Celtics/76ers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS -2.5 |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/Knicks VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS -3.5 |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* NBA Suns/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS -5.5 |
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05-08-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* NBA Warriors/Lakers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON WARRIORS/LAKERS UNDER 227.5 |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
10* NBA Celtics/76ers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS +3 |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3 | Top | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* NBA Warriors/Lakers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -3 |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* NBA Nuggets/Suns VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON PHOENIX SUNS -4 |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* NBA Lakers/Warriors VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -5.5 |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 217 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* NBA 76ers/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON 76ERS/CELTICS UNDER 217 |
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05-02-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
10* NBA Lakers/Warriors VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +4.5 |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/Knicks VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS -4.5 |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 226 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
10* NBA Suns/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON SUNS/NUGGETS OVER 226 |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
10* NBA GRIZZLIES/LAKERS VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -4.5 |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* NBA - Celtics/Hawks VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS -6.5 |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
10* NBA Knicks/Cavs VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -5.5 |
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04-25-23 | Wolves +10 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* NBA Wolves/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +10 |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
10* NBA - Grizzlies/Lakers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +4.5 |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
10* NBA Celtics/Hawks VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS -5.5 |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* NBA Grizzlies/Lakers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -4 |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -1 | Top | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* NBA Cavs/Knicks VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS -1 |
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04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
10* NBA 76ers/Nets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BROOKLYN NETS +5 |
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04-19-23 | Wolves +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
10* NBA Wolves/Nuggets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +8.5 |
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04-18-23 | Hawks +10.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
10* NBA Hawks/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON ATLANTA HAWKS +10.5 |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* NBA Warriors/Kings VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS PK |
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04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | Top | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
10* NBA - Heat/Bucks VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MILWAUKEE BUCKS -9 |
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04-15-23 | Warriors +100 v. Kings | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* NBA Warriors/Kings VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS +100 (ML) |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +6 v. Heat | Top | 91-102 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
10* NBA Bull/Heat VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls +6 |
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04-12-23 | Thunder v. Pelicans UNDER 227 | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* NBA Thunder/Pelicans PLAYOFF INSIDER PLAY ON THUNDER/PELICANS UNDER 227 |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers -8 | Top | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
10* NBA Wolves/Lakers PLAYOFF INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -8 |
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04-07-23 | Raptors +2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 102-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
10* NBA Raptors/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON TORONTO RAPTORS +2.5 |
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04-06-23 | Heat +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 129-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
10* NBA Heat/76ers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT +3.5 |
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04-05-23 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 230 | Top | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* NBA Lakers/Clippers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LAKERS/CLIPPERS UNDER 230 |
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04-04-23 | Celtics +120 v. 76ers | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* NBA - Celtics/76ers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS +120 |
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04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* NBA 76ers/Bucks VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MILWAUKEE BUCKS -5.5 |
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04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -1 | Top | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* NBA Mavs/Heat VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT -1 |
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03-31-23 | Hawks v. Nets +103 | Top | 107-124 | Win | 103 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
10* NBA Hawks/Nets VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BROOKLYN NETS +103 |
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03-29-23 | Lakers -2 v. Bulls | Top | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -2: I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Bulls. Los Angeles will be out for revenge from Sunday's 108-118 home loss to Chicago. There was a bit of trash talk at the end of that game with Beverly doing the "too small" after he scored on LeBron. I expect the best that the Lakers have to offer in this one and let's not forget this is a team that had won and covered in 5 of their previous 6 games. LA also has a slight rest edge, as they have had the last two days off, while Chicago had to turn right back around and play the Clippers in LA on Monday. Give me the Lakers -2! |
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03-28-23 | Magic +7.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON ORLANDO MAGIC +7.5: I'll take my chances with the Magic as a 7.5-point road dog against the Grizzlies. This feels like a bit of a flat spot for Memphis, who will is not expected to have Morant for this game. Grizzlies are also still without Ziare Williams, Brandon Clarke and Steven Adams. Memphis is a comfortable 2.5 games ahead of No. 3 Sacramento and 3.5 back of the Nuggets for the No. 1 seed with just 8 games to play. Not a lot of incentive for them to go all out, especially against a bad team like Orlando. They also got a game on deck tomorrow night against the Clippers. Orlando is out of it, but this is a young and talented team. One that I think is motivated to finish strong to take a positive into next year. Magic have won 3 straight and are 6-1-1 ATS over their last 8 games. Give me the Magic +7.5! |
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03-27-23 | Wolves +5 v. Kings | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +5: I'll take my chances with the Timberwolves as a 5-point road dog against the Kings. Minnesota has gotten healthy with the return of Karl Anthony Towns. Wolves have won 3 straight. Most recently winning on the road at the Warriors 99-96 as a 6.5-point dog. I like Minnesota to keep this within the number and potentially win outright. Kings could be without Fox (Questionable). Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home wins are just 7-29 (19.4%) ATS in the month of March over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Timberwolves +5! |
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03-22-23 | Hawks v. Wolves -3.5 | Top | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES -3.5: I'll take my chances with Minnesota as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Hawks. The Timberwolves are without Anthony Edwards, but Karl Anthony Towns has been upgraded from out to questionable. I think there's a good chance he plays. I'm not expecting a ton from him either way in his first game back. Minnesota won without both Edwards and Towns in their last game at New York and put up 140 points in the process. Hawks aren't a great road team and are in an awful scheduling spot playing the second of a back-to-back. Also 3rd game in 4 days. Give me the Timberwolves -3.5! |
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03-21-23 | Thunder +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER +6.5 I'm betting Oklahoma City as a 6.5-point road dog against the Clippers. I just feel like LA is getting a little too much respect in this spot. Clippers come in having won 5 of their last 6. They did blowout the Blazers by 15-points in their last game, but the other 4 wins were all by single-digits. This will be LA's 3rd game in 4 nights and these two teams will turn around and play each other again on Thursday. OKC is the more rested team, as this will be just their 2nd game in 4 days. Thunder have consistently been undervalued. They are 7-2 SU and 7-2 ATS over their last 7 games. Give me OKC +6.5! |
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03-20-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies OVER 229.5 | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
10* NBA Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH PLAY ON MAVS/GRIZZLIES OVER 229.5: These two teams should have no problem eclipsing 230 points. I believe there's some value with this total due to the questionable tags on both Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic. I think both play. Irving returned from a 3-game absence on Friday and played 39 minutes. Doncic didn't play in that game, but he did practice fully on Thursday. Dallas has had the last two days off. That's quite a boost to their offense, which is averaging just 110.0 ppg over their last 5. Key is that Doncic and Irving are not good defenders. You don't got much shot containing this Memphis offense, even without Morant, if you aren't fully connected on the defensive end. Grizzlies defense hasn't been great of late, giving up 119+ in each of their last 3. Give me the OVER 229.5! |
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03-13-23 | Jazz +8 v. Heat | Top | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON UTAH JAZZ +8: I'll gladly take my chances with Utah as a 8-point road dog against the Heat on Monday. I don't get why Miami is getting so much respect in this one. The Heat are simply not playing great basketball and frankly haven't played up to expectations all season. They just on the road to the Magic 114-126 on Saturday, falling to 4-8 over their last 12. Utah comes in off back to back road wins and have covered 3 straight. Collin Sexton should be returning from his hamstring injury any day and there figures to be a good chance Jordan Clarkson returns from a finger injury that has kept him out of their last 3 games. Either way, I like Utah to keep this within the number. Give me the Jazz +8! |
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03-08-23 | Raptors v. Clippers OVER 229 | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
10* NBA Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE WEEK PLAY ON RAPTORS/CLIPPERS OVER 229: I don't see these two teams having any problem eclipsing 230 points in this game. Clippers have been in a lot of high-scoring games of late. OVER is 6-2 in LA's last 8 games. In 4 of their last 6, they have scored and allowed 120+ points in the same game. OVER is 3-0 in the last 3 for the Raptors. Toronto should be able to take advantage of the Clippers lackluster defense. I also don't see them slowing down LA's offense, especially on the road. Give me the OVER 229! |
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03-07-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -1.5: I'll take my chances with the Lakers as a 1.5-point home favorite against the Grizzlies on Tuesday. I've backed this LA team quite a bit since the trade deadline and will continue to look to do so until I feel the books have properly adjusted for how much better this team is. Even without LeBron, this team is still improved than what they were. There's so much more quality depth throughout the lineup and there's a good chance they will be getting back D'Angelo Russell, who has missed the last 5 games with an ankle injury. On the flip side of this, Memphis is down several key players right now. Morant is away from the team indefinitely, Brandon Clarke was lost for the season just a few days ago to an Achilles injury and steven Adams is still out with a back injury. Also a tough scheduling spot for the Grizzlies, who are finishing up a 4-game road trip that started last Tuesday in Houston. Give me the Lakers -1.5! |
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03-06-23 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 236.5 | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
10* NBA Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON PELICANS/KINGS OVER 236.5: Until the Kings cool off or start trying on the defensive end, the OVER has to be in serious consideration whenever they play. Since returning from the All-Star break, Sacramento has played 6 games and scored at least 123 in every game (over 130 points 3 times). They have shot better than 50% from the field in all of these games. During this run the Kings have allowed at least 115 points in every game. If we just take the two low marks during this run (123 and 115) that puts us at 238 points. The total should at least be that and even then I think there's value with the OVER. Give me the OVER 236.5! |
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03-03-23 | Knicks -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS -2.5: I love the Knicks as a mere 2.5-point road favorite against the Heat. New York is playing well above their market value right now. Knicks have won 7 straight. They were 5-1 in their last 6 before the All-Star break and have won 4 straight since coming back. NY is 9-1 ATS during this run. Miami is a team going in the complete opposite direction. Heat have lost 4 of their last 5 and are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14. Clearly playing below their market value. Miami continues to be without point guard Kyle Lowry and Jimmy Butler figures to sit either tonight or tomorrow (listed as questionable). Even with Butler, I like New York to win and cover. GIve me the Knicks -2.5! |
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03-01-23 | Lakers +1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
10* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +1.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a 1.5-point dog in this game. I get LA is playing without LeBron and are on no rest after a game last night in Memphis. I just think the Lakers are not only playing desperate, they are a better team after the all-star break. Yes, OKC and them are both neck and neck in the standings. I just think the Lakers are the more motivated of the two to actually get in the playoffs. I also don't think near enough is being made of the Thunder playing without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He might be the most underrated player in the game. Guy is averaging 31.0 ppg, 5.7 apg, 4.7 rpb. 1.6 steals/game and 1.1 blocks/game. On top of that, this is not a team that plays much defense. They have allowed 120+ in 4 straight. Give me the Lakers +1.5! |
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02-28-23 | Bucks v. Nets +6.5 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* NBA Eastern Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON BROOKLYN NETS +6.5: Even with Antetokounmpo expected back for the Bucks after he missed their last game against Phoenix, I love the value we are getting with Brooklyn in this spot. Milwaukee is simply being way overvalued right now. The Bucks have won 14 straight and with Boston's loss last night at New York, they have overtaken the Celtics for the top spot in the East. Even though Giannis didn't play, that was a big game for this team, given the history those two teams have having met up in the finals two years ago. I think they could have a hard time mentally getting up for this game against a Nets team that is no longer a threat with Durant and Irving leaving town. Brooklyn may not have the superstar talent it did a couple weeks ago. That doesn't mean they are just a pushover. Lot of guys trying to prove something on this team. Nets have covered 5 of their last 6 at home (only non-cover was a 3-pt loss as a 2-pt dog). I think there's a really good chance they don't just cover, but win this game outright. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! |
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02-24-23 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 87-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON CHICAGO BULLS -1.5: I'll take my chances with Chicago as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Nets. I just feel this is a good spot to buy-low on the Bulls in the first game back from the All-Star break. They have to be itching to get back on the floor after losing 6 straight going into the break. Brooklyn has played well since the big trades depleting them of their two best players in Durant and Irving, but I don't think it's sustainable. The guys left behind and brought in felt like they had something to prove. Not saying they won't fight, I just think they are a better bet at home than basically being priced to win outright on the road to cover. Bulls have done well as a home favorite. Chicago is 30-16 (65%) ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Give me Chicago -1.5! |
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02-15-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets OVER 231.5 | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* NBA Over/Under PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON MAVS/NUGGETS OVER 231.5: I'll take my chances with the OVER 231.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the Mavs and Nuggets. I mentioned this when I took the OVER in the Mavs' last game, I just don't think the books have properly adjusted for how much better the Mavs got offensively when they adding in Kyrie Irving. Teaming two of the NBA's most skilled offensive players together. We are just in the baby stages of this and it looks great. At least offensively. The defense is a different story. It's been bad and that was to be expected. The had to give up some good depth pieces in that trade and Irving's not exactly known for his defense. All of it adds up the total just not being high-enough. I think on a below-average night this Mavs offense will put up close to 120. With Dallas' defensive struggles and how good the Nuggets are offensively, they too should easily hit 120. This total should be closer to 240. Give me the OVER 231.5! |
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02-13-23 | Wolves v. Mavs OVER 231.5 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Play on Timberwolves/Mavericks OVER 231.5: I just think there's tremendous value with the OVER in Mavs games right now. Dallas, who already had one of the best offensive players in the NBA in Doncic, added one of the best offensive players in the NBA in Kyrie Irving. Everything so far, looks like its going to work. Kyrie is playing amazing and in their first game with Irving/Doncic, the Mavs shot 52% from the field, with 20 made 3-pointers. Key here to the OVER, is while Irving is a nightmare on offense, he's not the best defendender. In that same game, Dallas allowed the Kings to shoot 51% from the field, as they lost 128-133 in OT. First game they will be together at home and they are facing a Timberwolves team that is giving up 116.8 ppg on the road this season and have allowed 123.4 ppg on 53% shooting over their last 5 games. Feels like a game where the Mavs can easily hit 130 points. That alone should have this total in the 240s. Give me the OVER 231.5! |
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02-10-23 | Suns v. Pacers -1.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* NBA Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH PLAY ON THE INDIANA PACERS -1.5: The Suns were the big winners of the trade deadline, landing Durant from the Nets. They are now the favorites to make the Finals out of the West. I think it has them overvalued in the betting market tonight. Durant isn't playing until after the All-Star break, Booker is expected back after sitting the first of a back-to-back, but he's still being eased back from a groin injury that cost him more than a month. They gave away two huge rotation pieces in Cam Johnson and Mikal Bridges. Of the 9 guys that saw minutes last night, 5 played more than 30 minutes. It's a getaway game with it being the last of a long 5-game road trip east. The big reason there's value here, is because of how bad Indiana looks on paper right now. The Pacers are just 2-13 over their last 15 games. That's just two wins in more than a months time. A lot of that losing came without their best player in Haliburton. He's back and should be back close to 100%. Indiana as a team should also be real fresh here. This is just their 2nd game in 5 days. They should be extremely motivated here and that should be enough to get them the win. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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02-05-23 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | Top | 122-103 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
10* NBA Central Division PLAY OF THE MONTH PLAY ON INDIANA PACERS +5: This to me is the time to buy big on the Pacers. Indiana is off a win and cover, but are just 2-11 SU over their last 13 games. They also didn't dominate in their win, sneaking out a 107-104 victory against the Kings, so I'm not expecting the public to be crazy about backing them just yet. I think it all adds up to their being some great value here with the Pacers. Most of the losing during their 2-11 stretch, came with star point guard Tyrese Haliburton sidelined. He returned in Thursday's 111-112 loss at home to the Lakers. He was great, scoring 26 points with 12 assists on 46% shooting. He didn't play great offensively in their win over the Kings and yet they still be a good Sacramento team playing on 0 days rest. Keep in mind, prior to Haliburtons injury, Indiana was playing great basketball. This is not going to be an easy game for the Cavs, who are just 10-16 SU on the road this season. Just too much value to pass up. Give me the Pacers +5! |
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02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards -4 | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
10* NBA Non-Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON WASHINGTON WIZARDS -4: I really like the value we are getting with the Wizards as a 4-point home favorite against the Blazers on Friday. Washington has been rolling of late. Wizards have won 6 straight and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in those games. This team has finally gotten healthy. Because they were so bad early on, the public is slow to get on board, which allows the value to linger with them. I don't think 4 points is a lot to ask them to cover with how well they are playing, especially with this not being an ideal spot for the Blazers. Portland is coming off a big 122-112 win at Memphis as a 5.5-point dog on Wednesday. Solid win, but the Grizzlies aren't at full strength right now. I think they could be a little flat here, especially with this being the first of a back-to-back. Potential for guys to sit out or have their minutes reduced. I also think the Blazers are just a bit overvalued right now. Not only are they off the big upset win, but they have won 4 of their last 5. Those 3 wins were against the Spurs, Jazz and Hawks, all at home. Prior to beating the Grizzlies in Memphis, Portland hadn't won on the road since beating the Rockets in Houston back on Dec. 17! Give me the Wizards -4! |
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01-30-23 | Kings v. Wolves | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* NBA Revenge PLAY OF THE MONTH PLAY ON THE SACRAMENTO KINGS PK: I'm going big on the Kings in Monday's rematch vs the Timberwolves. Love Sacramento in this spot. These two teams played in Minnesota on Saturday with the Timberwolves pulling out a 117-110 win. Minnesota also comes in having won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. I just feel it has them way overvalued here. Kings are going to be the more motivated side having lost the first meeting and are the better team to begin with. I just don't think the line move is justified given the spot. Kings were a 3-point road favorite on Saturday and now are a pick'em in some spots? Kings are 22-10 ATS last 32 on the road when revenging a same season loss over the last 3 seasons (7-3 ATS this season in any revenge spot). They are 6-0 ATS this season when they come in having lost 3 of their last 4 and 5-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6 or less. Give me the Kings PK! |
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01-28-23 | Lakers +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* NBA - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +8.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. No question that Boston is the better team, but 8.5 is ridiculous given how well the Lakers have been playing and the fact that they got back Anthony Davis from injury and recently added a quality bench player in Rui Hachimura. He 12 points and 6 boards off the bench in just 22 minutes in his Lakers debut, posting a +17 +/-. They could also be getting back guard Lonnie Walker, who hasn't played since late December. Walker is 4th on the team in scoring (14.7 ppg) and arguably their best 3-point shooter (38.4%). Celtics will be playing without Marcus Smart, who might be the 3rd or 4th best player on their team, but easily the heart and soul of this team. He brings a different level of energy that I think the rest of the guys feed off of. Boston is also a team that has really solidified itself in terms of being an elite team. They don't got much to prove. Lakers are a team trying to save their season. Just too many points for me to pass up. Give me Los Angeles +8.5! |
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01-25-23 | Raptors v. Kings OVER 237 | Top | 113-95 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* NBA Over/Under PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON RAPTORS/KINGS OVER 237: I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 237 in Wednesday's non-conference clash between the Raptors and Kings. I think the spread can sometimes give you a good feel for how the books see the game playing out. The fact that Toronto was just a 4.5-point dog when the line opened and has dropped to 3.5, tells me the books like the Raptors in this spot. Given that the Raptors have are 6-games under .500 and losers of 3 of their last 4, the books know everyone is going to be on Sacramento, given the Kings come in having won 7 of their last 8 and fresh off a 133-100 blowout win over the Grizzlies. I'm not quite ready to bet against the Kings as a small home favorite, but I do think there's big time value with the OVER. Given how good the Kings offense is, especially at home (124.7 ppg), you have to think the only way for Toronto to cover is for them to win in a shootout. I agree and I think I'm with the books in that we aren't going to get a huge effort defensively from Sacramento in this game. On the flip side, the Raptors just played a 3-game road trip at New York, Milwaukee and Minnesota, where they gave up 121 to the Knicks, 130 to the Bucks and 128 to the T-Wolves. This is one of those games where I will be shocked if both teams don't hit at least 120 points. Give me the OVER 237! |
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01-24-23 | Wizards +7.5 v. Mavs | Top | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* NBA Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON WASHINGTON WIZARDS +7.5: I love the Wizards as a 7.5-point road dog against the Mavs on Tuesday. This is a Washington team that I'm looking to back right now and no way I'm passing up on them at this price. Wizards are as healthy as they have been all season and it's shown in their recent performances. Washington went on the road and beat the Knicks 116-105 on Wednesday and then crushed the Magic 138-118 at home on Saturday. They are very well rested team, playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days. This will be the Mavs 4th game in the last 7 days and they have not been playing well. Dallas is just 2-6 SU in their last 8. They are a mere 3-9 ATS in their last 12. Doncic is incredible, but they really miss Christian Wood, who is out with a thumb injury. Keep in mind they also are playing right now without Maxi Kleber, who would be the guy that normally would be asked to pick up the slack with Wood out. Just too many points for Dallas to be laying in this spot. Give me the Wizards +7.5! |
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01-23-23 | Hawks v. Bulls UNDER 239.5 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON UNDER 239.5: The total here is simply too high given the tough scheduling spots we find both of these teams. I got to think both of these teams are going to be looking to slow the tempo down. The Hawks are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights after a 139-124 blowout win over the Knicks on Friday and then a 118-122 loss at home to the Hornets on Saturday. Worth noting it's just not a bad short-term stretch for rest with the Hawks. This will also be their 7th game in the last 11 days. As for the Bulls, they are playing on a full 3 days of rest, but their last game was played in Paris. For this game to go over the number, both teams are likely going to have to score in the 120's. I wouldn't be shocked if neither team got to 120. Give me the UNDER 238.5! |
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01-20-23 | Heat -1 v. Mavs | Top | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Miami Heat -1 I'll take my chances with the Heat as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Mavs on Friday. Miami is starting to look more and more like the team we expected to see to start the season. Heat have won 4 of their last 5 and 10 of their last 16 to improve to 25-21. They were just a 3.5-point road favorite against a short-handed Pelicans team and won the game 124-98. Now they get a Mavs team that has been struggling of late. Dallas has lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. They are also just 2-8 ATS over their last 10 games. Mavs will have to try and get back on track without one of their best players in Christian Wood, who is second on the team in scoring (18.4 ppg) and rebounding (8.4 rpg). It's not just his offense and rebounding, Wood leads the team and T-12th in the league with 1.3 blocks/game. Not exactly what Dallas needed, given how they have struggled on the defensive side of the ball. Don't be surprised if Luka puts up some crazy numbers in this one. He's going to have to shoulder a heavy load just for the Mavs to keep this respectable. In the end, I don't see them doing enough to get a win at home against Miami. Give me the Heat -1! |
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01-18-23 | Hawks v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 130-122 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
10* NBA Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH: Dallas Mavericks -3.5 I'll take my chances on the Mavs as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Hawks. I think it's time to buy-low on Dallas right now. Mavs just lost back-to-back games to a struggling Blazers team and are just 1-4 SU over their last 5. They have also gone just 2-7 ATS over their previous 9. I also think it's a good time to sell-high on the Hawks. Atlanta has won 3 straight, most recently beating a hot Heat team 121-113 as a mere 1-point favorite. It all adds up to a very cheap price to back Dallas, especially given the circumstances. Mavs are going to be fresh, as they have been off since Sunday. Star Luka Doncic will be on 3-days rest, as he sat out the second of a back-to-back (He's listed as questionable, but expected to play). Any injury concerns with Christian Wood were put to rest with him returning to play on Sunday after sitting Saturday. Tim Hardaway Jr. will miss this game, but there's a chance Dallas gets back Dorian Finney-Smith and Josh Green. Finney-Smith has started 31 games, while Green has flashed potential off the bench. Hawks will be on just 1 day of rest after playing Monday. Atlanta's got to be sick and tired of traveling. Outside of playing two straight games in LA vs the Lakers and Clippers, Hawks haven't played back to back games on the same floor since a short two game homestand in late Dec. This is also a Hawks team that is just 10-13 on the road, getting outscored by 2.4 ppg. Mavs are 16-6 at home, outscoring opponents by 5.4 ppg. Dallas is 17-7 ATS last 24 as a home favorite of 6 or less. Hawks are 4-13 ATS last 17 off a cover, 14-27 last 41 as a road dog and 2-11 ATS last 13 on the road after leading in their previous game by 15+ points at the half. Give me the Mavs -3.5! |
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01-13-23 | Thunder v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 124-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls -4 I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a 4-point home favorite against the Thunder. I like this spot for Chicago, who I feel will be extra motivated to get a win here after losing their last two games. This is a team that was really playing well before this latest hiccup. Chicago is still 8-5 SU and 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 games. Yes, the Bulls figure to be without Demar DeRozan, but this is a really bad scheduling spot for OKC. Thunder were in action last night at Philly, a game they shockingly won 133-114 as a 10.5-point underdog. Not easy bouncing back this late in the season on no rest, especially on the road. This will be the Thunder's 3rd road game in 4 nights, which only makes this spot that much worse. Who knows if OKC even plays all their guys on the 2nd of a back-to-back. Either way the price is too good to pass up with Chicago. Give me the Bulls -4! |
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01-10-23 | Magic v. Blazers OVER 229.5 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Magic/Blazers OVER 229.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 229.5 in Tuesday's matchup between the Magic and Blazers. I don't see these two teams having much trouble eclipsing 230 points. Orlando will be playing this game on no rest after last night's 111-136 loss at Sacramento. OVER is 5-2 in the second leg of back-to-back games with Orlando this season. Magic are giving up 120 ppg in this spot. OVER is 4-1 in Portland's last 5 home games, with the lone exception being a game against the Hornets that went UNDER despite the two teams combining for 237 points. Blazers have put up 127.2 ppg during this 5-game home stretch. You got to go into this game expecting Portland to at the very least put up 120 points, which means we would need just 110 from Orlando to cash this ticket. A mark the Magic have hit in 13 of their last 16 games. Blazers allow 112.1 ppg on the season. I just think with how easy it's going to be on offense, the effort isn't going to be all that great on defense. As long as Orlando doesn't go ice cold in this game, we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 229.5! |
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01-06-23 | Bulls +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 126-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls +4.5 I'll take my chances with Chicago catching 4.5 on the road against a 76ers team that will be without one of the best players in the game in Joel Embiid. Bulls have been playing some of their best basketball of the season here of late. Chicago is 6-3 SU and 6-2-1 ATS over their last 9 games. Two of those losses were by 1-point at home to the Cavs and by 11 in OT at Cleveland. They just beat a red-hot Nets team 121-112 as 5-point home dog last time out. 76ers were able to win without Embiid on Wednesday, knocking off the Pacers 129-126, but needed OT to secure the victory and did not cover. Philly has enough scorers to put up points without Embiid, but they really miss him on the defensive side of the ball. Chicago isn't a great 3-point shooting team, but are connecting on 48.7% of their attempts for the season and have shot 48% or better from the field in 9 of their last 10 games. Only exception was against a Bucks defense that is one of the best in the NBA on the defensive side of the ball. Harden, Maxey, Harris and Melton all played 37 or more minutes in that OT win against the Pacers and only 7 guys had more than 20 minutes. I just think their lack of depth and not having Embiid puts them in a tough spot here. Give me the Bulls +4.5! |
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01-05-23 | Clippers v. Nuggets OVER 227.5 | Top | 91-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* NBA Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER: Clippers/Nuggets OVER 227.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 227.5 in Thursday's showdown between the Clippers and Nuggets. LA could be without Paul George for this game, which is a big loss for the Clippers offense. However, they should be just fine offensively against a leaky Denver defense that ranks 27th in defensive efficiency. These two teams combined for 110 in their previous meeting this season, but LA didn't have George or Kawhi Leonard. Kawhi has been playing consistently for a good stretch now and has put in 20+ points in 3 of his last 4 games. John Wall tormented Denver's defense for 23 points on 8 of 10 shooting in that first meeting. Leonard and Wall should provide a solid 1-2 punch in this one. As for the Clippers defense, it's certainly not as good without George on the floor. LA is a team that I think struggles to defend the big men inside and Denver has the best in the business down low in Jokic. Nuggets offense as a whole ranks 2nd in the NBA behind only the Celtics in offensive efficiency. Give me the OVER 227.5! |
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01-04-23 | Spurs v. Knicks OVER 226.5 | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
10* NBA - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH: Spurs/Knicks OVER 226.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 226.5 in Wednesday's game between the Spurs and Knicks. There's not much you really need to look at here besides how recent San Antonio games have gone. The OVER has cashed in 8 straight and 11 of the last 12 games the Spurs have played. The only game that didn't was against the Heat, who play at one of the slowest paces in the league. San Antonio has allowed at least 115 points in 7 straight games, 6 times giving up 122 or more. They are scoring 115.5 ppg over their last 13. This team is built for shootouts and I just don't think this total should be less than 230. Knicks are extremely well rested. Their only game so far in January was Monday's 102-83 win at home over the Suns, where they coasted after getting a big lead early. I don't see them having any problem scoring 120+ points in this one. Spurs at the very least should give us around 110. That's more than enough to cash this ticket. Give me the OVER 226.5! |
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12-27-22 | Lakers v. Magic -3 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Orlando Magic -3 I'll take my chances with the Magic as a 3-point home favorite against the Lakers. It's been all downhill for LA since they lost Anthony Davis to a foot injury. Lakers come in having lost 4 straight and have played absolutely zero defense during the losing streak. LA is giving up 130.5 ppg in this stretch. I don't see it getting any better against the Magic, who have been one of the hottest teams in the league in the month of December. Orlando is 8-1 over their last 9 games and have covered 10 straight. The only loss being a mere 1-point defeat on the road against the Hawks. If the Lakers weren't such a public team, this line would be closer to 7. Simply put, there's too much value with Orlando at this price. Give me the Magic -3! |
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12-25-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 118-139 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Boston Celtics -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Celtics as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Bucks on Christmas Day. I just think that when they have played their best, Boston has looked like the best team in the NBA and I expect the best they have to offer in this game against the Bucks. Boston snapped a 3-game skid with a 121-109 win and cover at home against the Timberwolves on Friday. It was the best they have looked in 2 weeks and I like them to build on that. As for the Bucks, they come in off back-to-back losses, falling 106-114 at Cleveland last Wednesday and then 100-118 at Brooklyn on Friday. This will be Milwaukee's 4th straight game on the road in what has really been a brutal stretch in their schedule. The Bucks are also just not a great road team this year. Milwaukee is 14-3 at home compared to just 8-7 on the road. The offense simply hasn't been good enough away from home, as they are scoring just 106.0 ppg on 43.5% shooting on the road. That's a problem against this Celtics team that was on a historic offensive pace before their recent swoon. Boston also just got one of the games best interior defenders back in Robert Williams. Celtics have the big guys inside to make it tough on Giannis and without him dominating the game, I don't know where the offense is going to come from for the Bucks. Give me the Celtics -4.5! |
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12-20-22 | Warriors v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 94-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: New York Knicks -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Knicks as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Warriors. New York is one of the hottest teams in the NBA and are easily playing their best basketball of the season. Knicks come into this game having gone a perfect 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS over their last 7 games. A big reason for their strong play, is the improved play on the defensive side of the ball. New York is allowing just 98.2 ppg during their 7-game win streak and only once in this stretch have they allowed more than 106 points. The Warriors come into this game off an impressive 126-110 win on the road against the Raptors as a 6-point dog. It was a nice win, but this a team I don't want a lot to do with while Steph Curry remains out of the lineup. That was the Warriors first win without Curry on the floor this season, as they are 1-4 in games without him. It's worth noting that the win did come against a struggling Raptors team that has lost 6 in a row. They also got a career-high 43 points from Joran Poole and shot 46.2 (18-39) on 3-pointers. No other Warrior player had more than 17 points. Warriors are just 4-13 ATS in road games this season and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a SU win. Knicks are 16-3 ATS over the last 3 seasons when they come in having covered 4 or more games in a row. Give me New York -4.5! |
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12-16-22 | Knicks v. Bulls -2.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
10* NBA - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls -2.5 I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Knicks on Friday. I love the revenge spot for Chicago, as these two teams played in Chicago on Wednesday with New York securing a 128-120 win in OT. It's just not easy beating the same team twice on the road and this is a Chicago team that has thrived in this spot. Bulls are 25-12 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. There's also a big time system in play favoring a Chicago cover. Favorites that are off a home loss and revenging a loss as a home favorite are 83-37 (69.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite against an opponent off a win as a road dog are 79-41 (65.8%) over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Bulls -2.5! |
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12-14-22 | Kings v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 124-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Toronto Raptors -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Raptors as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Kings. This is an easy play on Toronto for me. This is an awful scheduling spot for Sacramento. The Kings aren't playing well, having lost 3 of their last 4. They were dominated last night in Philly by the 76ers. I just don't think this team has much gas in the tank. Not only are the Kings playing in the second of a back-to-back, but it's their 3rd road game in 4 nights and the 5th straight road game as they continue on their 6-game road trip. Toronto on the other hand is going to be extremely motivated to get back in the win column after dropping back-to-back games on the road against the Magic this past weekend. Key here is the Raptors are going to have some fresh legs, having had the last two days off. Toronto is also a different team at home, where they are 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS. Toronto is 20-9 ATS last 29 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and 13-3 ATS last 16 at home off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the Raptors -4.5! |
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12-09-22 | Bucks v. Mavs UNDER 224.5 | Top | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Bucks/Mavs UNDER 224.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 224.5 in Friday's showdown between the Bucks and Mavs on ESPN. I'm expecting a pretty big effort from these two in this nationally televised game. Milwaukee comes into this game ranked 3rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency and I really like the fact that they got an elite perimeter defender in Jrue Holiday to put on Luka Doncic. I also don't feel like the Mavs get enough respect on the defensive side of the ball at home. Dallas is only giving up 104.4 ppg on 45.9% shooting at home this year. The Bucks are also a different offensive team at home. Milwaukee is averaging 113.1 ppg on 46% shooting for the season, yet are scoring just 106.3 ppg on 43% shooting on the road. UNDER has cashed in 7 of the 9 road games for the Bucks this season. UNDER is 20-7 in the Mavs last 27 as a home dog and 9-1 in their last 10 at home when they are playing 8 or more games in a 14 day stretch. UNDER is 20-9 in Milwaukee's last 29 with a line of +3 to -3 and 18-8 in their last 26 as a road favorite of 6 or less. Give me the UNDER 224.5! |
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12-07-22 | Wizards v. Bulls -5.5 | Top | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 60 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls -5.5 I really like Chicago to cover the 5.5 at home against the Wizards. This for me is all about the spot and the matchup. You have to think we get a huge effort here from this Bulls team. Chicago has had the last two days off to mull their recent funk. Not only do the Bulls come in off 3 straight loss, they are just 3-8 SU in their last 11 games. I do think this team will continue to disappoint until they get a healthy Lonzo Ball back in the lineup, but one thing Chicago has done under head coach Billy Donovan, is beat up on bad teams. Bulls are 35-14 SU and 31-17 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a home favorite. They are also 20-8 ATS last 28 at home vs a team with a losing road record. They have covered 4 of their last 5 at home vs the Wizards and 9 of the last 12 meetings overall. Washington comes in having lost 6 of their last 7 and are playing without Bradley Beal right now. Give me the Bulls -5.5! |
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11-28-22 | Suns v. Kings OVER 231.5 | Top | 122-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* NBA Over/Under TOTAL PLAY OF THE WEEK: Suns/Kings OVER 231.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 231.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Kings. I don't see these two teams having much trouble eclipsing this number. The Kings are seeing an average combined score of 241.8 ppg at home this season, as they are scoring 123.9 ppg and giving up 117.9 ppg. Phoenix is allowing just 107.7 ppg and 45.5% shooting for the season, but they are not the same defensive team on the road as they are at home. Suns are allowing 112.3 ppg and 48% shooting on the road. These are two of the most efficient offensive teams in the league, as they come in tied for 3rd in offensive efficiency at 113.4. Kings should be able to control the tempo here as well, as they are playing on a full 2 days of rest, while Phoenix is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the OVER 231.5! |
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11-23-22 | 76ers v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 101-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money PLAY OF THE WEEK: Charlotte Hornets -3.5 I will gladly take my chances with the Hornets as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the 76ers on Wednesday. Charlotte is just 1-11 over their last 12 games, but that's playing into the favorable number here. Even with Ball still sidelined, the Hornets are as healthy as they have been since the start of the season, as they just recently got back several key players including Hayward and Smith Jr. We should also get a big effort here from the Hornets given how fresh they will be for this game. Charlotte hasn't played since Sunday and this will be just their third game in the last 6 days. With all that said, this is even more a play against the 76ers in this spot. Philadelphia just played their hearts out last night against Brooklyn, despite missing all three of their Big 3 in Embiid, Harden and Maxey. They put everything they had into beating the Nets, as it was Ben Simmons' first game back in Philly. With the Big 3 all expected to be sidelined again tonight, it sets the 76ers up for a massive letdown on the road against a struggling Hornets team. Give me Charlotte -3.5! |
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11-22-22 | Kings -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Sacramento Kings -2 I'll take my chances with the Kings as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Grizzlies on Tuesday. Easy play here for me on Sacramento. The Kings have been playing as well as any team in the league over the last month. Sacramento comes in having won 6 straight. They are 9-2 SU and 9-2 ATS over their last 11 games. Kings will be facing a Memphis team that will likely be without two of their best players, as star point guard Ja Morant is listed as doubtful and Desmond Bane remains out with a toe injury. Bane has easily been the Grizzlies second best player this season, as he's averaging 24.7 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 4.8 apg and is shooting 45% from deep (averaging 3.8 made 3's a game). I just don't see the Grizzlies being able to keep pace offensively without Morant and Bane. Kings have scored 120 or more points in all 6 wins during the win streak. Give me Sacramento -2! |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +3.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* NBA - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls +3.5 I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a 3.5-point road dog against the Pelicans tonight. I really like the rest advantage for Chicago in this one, as well as the revenge angle for the Bulls in this matchup. These two teams just played last Wednesday with New Orleans going on the road and beating Chicago 115-111. The Bulls only other game they have played since that meeting is a game against the Nuggets on Sunday, so this will be just the 2nd game in 7 days for Chicago. As for the Pelicans, they will be playing on no rest after a big game last night against Ja Morant and the Grizzlies. It will be New Orleans' 4th game in 7 days. Pelicans didn't have Zion last night and it's unclear if he will play in this one. The line here certainly suggest that he and maybe some others might not suit up for New Orleans. Either way, I like Chicago to cover in this spot. Give me the Bulls +3.5! |
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11-14-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4 | Top | 121-106 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* NBA Vegas Insider TOP PLAY: Milwaukee Bucks -4 I'll take my chances with the Bucks as a 4-point home favorite against the Hawks. I like the revenge spot for Milwaukee in this one, as these two teams played in Atlanta last Monday. A game the Hawks won going away 117-98. You also got the Bucks coming in off an ugly 93-111 loss at San Antonio. Milwaukee is still 9-3 ATS on the season. With Antetokounmpo expected to play, I think that's more than enough to back the Bucks in this spot. Keep in mind that the Bucks were a 4-point road favorite in the last meeting, so despite the change in venue, there's been no adjustment to the line. Atlanta will also be without talented backup big man Onyeka Okongwu. He had a +22 +/- in 22 minutes in the first meeting with Milwaukee. Not having him inside against a guy like Giannis is a huge loss. Bucks are 7-0 at home, outscoring their opponents by 13.0 ppg. Give me Milwaukee -4! |
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11-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | Top | 112-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Nuggets/Celtics OVER 230.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 230.5 in Friday's showdown between the Nuggets and Celtics. I don't see these two teams having any problem getting into the 230s. Boston has seen an average combined score of 237.2 points in their 5 home games this year. Denver has seen an average combined score of 235.6 in their 7 road games. These are the two most efficient offenses in the league with Boston ranking first in offensive efficiency and the Nuggets in second. Not only that, but both of these teams rank in the bottom 10 of the league in defensive efficiency. Unless we get some dreadful shooting by both teams, this should easily get past the number, as I think both of these teams will finish in the 120s. Give me the OVER 230.5! |
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11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 I'll take my chances with the Timberwolves as a 5.5-point road dog against the Suns. This will be the second game of Tuesday's double-header on TNT. I believe because this is going to be a heavily bet game, the books have inflated the number on Phoenix to where there's just too much value to pass up on Minnesota. Suns come in having won and covered each of their last 4 games. The offense has really carried them during this win streak, as they come in having shot 50% or better from the field in each of their last 3 games. Thing is, that hot shooting has come against some bad defensive teams or in the case of the Pelicans a team missing some of their best players. As expected, Minnesota's defense has greatly improved with the addition of Rudy Gobert. Timberwolves are currently ranked No. 4 in the league in defensive efficiency. Portland is the only team Phoenix has played that currently ranks in the Top 10 in defensive efficiency. Blazers held Phoenix to just 113 points and a season-worst 45.7% shooting. The other big thing here is the Suns are down one of their best players in Deandre Ayton, who missed their last game against the Rockets and is expected to be out at least a week. His absence is really going to be felt in this matchup with Gobert on the other side. I like the Timberwolves to not only cover, but to win outright. Give me Minnesota +5.5! |
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10-28-22 | Jazz +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
10* NBA Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER: Utah Jazz +9 I will gladly take the Jazz as a 9-point road dog against the Nuggets tonight. Utah has arguably been the most undervalued team in the league to start the season. Everyone thought the Jazz were in full on tank mode, yet they have come out and gone 4-1 in their first 5 games, with 3 of those wins coming as dogs of 6.5 or more. That includes a 123-102 win at home over these Nuggets to open the season. I'm sure Denver hasn't forgot about that game, but 9 points is way too many for them to be laying in this spot. The Nuggets just gave a big effort in a prime time game against the Lakers on Wednesday. Utah is getting great contributions across the board and maybe the most surprising thing with this team is how they are defending. The Jazz are sitting 5th in the NBA in defensive efficiency right now. Give me Utah +9! |
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10-26-22 | Hornets v. Knicks OVER 224 | Top | 131-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
10* NBA Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH: Knicks/Hornets OVER 224 I love the OVER 224 in Wednesday's matchup between the Knicks and Hornets. I'm shocked the total here isn't in the 230s. Both these teams are looking to play fast early on. Charlotte comes in ranked 3rd in the NBA in pace at 105.6 and New York is 12th at 101.9. Not only are these to pushing the tempo, they are two of the most efficient offensive teams. Charlotte ranks 3rd in offensive efficiency at 116.7 points per 100 possessions and the Knicks are 89th at 112.8 points per 100 possessions. Each of the Hornets 3 games have seen a combined score of 231 or more points, while the Knicks are seeing an average combined score of 226.7 points thru their first 3 games. Give me the OVER 224! |
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10-24-22 | Raptors +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 98-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Toronto Raptors +3.5 I'll gladly take my chances with the Raptors as a 3.5-point road dog against Miami on Monday. These two teams just played each other in Miami on Saturday, so this is a true rematch. The Heat won that first meeting on their home floor 112-109, but it was Toronto that rallied from a big 1st half deficit to make a game of it. I look for the Raptors to be the much more motivated team in the rematch. Miami is just 18-32 (36%) ATS in their last 50 home games off a win by 3-points or less. Going back to last season, Toronto is 18-8 ATS last 26 off a SU loss. Give me the Raptors +3.5! |
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10-21-22 | Pistons +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-130 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Detroit Pistons +6.5 I will take my chances with the Pistons as a 6.5-point road dog against the Knicks on Friday. I really like the makeup of this Detroit team. We saw them go on an ATS tear last year and while they won't cover at that same clip, this to me feels like a few too many given the tough spot for the Knicks. New York is coming off a 112-115 OT loss at Memphis on Wednesday, where they had to use a ton of energy to rally from a 19-point deficit. I look for the Knicks to come out a bit flat against a young and hungry Pistons team. Give me Detroit +6.5! |