Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-03-19 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | 121-110 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto laying what I think is a short number at home against the Heat. Raptors have been one of the biggest surprises, as they have not missed a beat after losing Kahwi to the Clippers in free agency. Toronto is 15-4 and have gone a perfect 9-0 at home, covering the number in 8 of those games. Miami has a solid record at 14-5, but they are just 6-5 SU and 5-5-1 ATS on the road compared to 8-0 SU and 7-0 ATS at home. Heat will also be playing without one of their best players in Goran Dragic. Give me the Raptors -4.5! |
|||||||
12-03-19 | Michigan v. Louisville -4.5 | Top | 43-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Louisville. Michigan has went from a nobody to the No. 4 ranked team in the country after knocking off ISU, UNC and Gonzaga in 3 consecutive days. I just wonder how much the Wolverines have left in the tank. They Battle 4 Atlantis got over on Friday, so they will have just 3 days off before this one. Louisville has been every bit as impressive to start and are going to be playing just their 2nd game in the last 9 days. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Cardinals at home, especially given the tough scheduling spot for Michigan. Give me Louisville -4.5! |
|||||||
12-02-19 | Suns -4.5 v. Hornets | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a small road favorite against the Hornets. Phoenix has lost 3 straight and 6 of 7, but their struggles in this stretch have a lot to do with injuries. They got some key guys back here of late and should be 100% locked in for a win tonight. Charlotte is the ideal team to get right against, as the Hornets are one of the least talented teams in the league. If you take away their 3 wins against the Pistons, they are just 1-10 in their last 11. GIve me the Suns -4.5! |
|||||||
11-28-19 | Texas Tech -6.5 v. Iowa | 61-72 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders cashing in an easy cover here as a 6.5-point favorite against the Hawks in Las Vegas. I just think the Hawkeyes got no business being on the same floor as the Red Raiders. Iowa is 4-1, but in their only game against a decent opponent they got absolutely annihilated at home by DePaul 93-78. I think this could be every bit as lopside as that one. Give me Texas Tech -6.5! |
|||||||
11-27-19 | Heat v. Rockets -5.5 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston covering the spread at home against the Heat. THis might seem like a lot for Miami to be catching with how well they have been playing, but there's a chance they won't have Jimmy Butler for this one. This is also their 4th game in 6 days and 3 of those have come on the road. Rockets also going to give a max effort here coming off 3 straight losses and playing on a full 2 days of rest. Give me Houston -5.5! |
|||||||
11-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Syracuse -3 | Top | 86-72 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Syracuse -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Syracuse laying a short number against the Cowboys. I just think Oklahoma State is getting a little too much love here against a really good Orange team. Cowboys are 5-0, but they haven't beat anyone. Their toughest opponent was Charleston. They are also just 2-3 ATS in those 5 games. Syracuse has been on a roll since losing their opener to Virginia and they look like an even better team since moving Joe Girard into the starting point guard spot in place of Jalen Carey. Offense has gotten better and better with each of his starts and the Orange aare elite an excellent defensive team. Take Syracuse! |
|||||||
11-27-19 | Nets v. Celtics -7 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Celtics -7) I'lll take my chances here with Boston winning by double-digits at home against the Nets. I think we are actually getting a decent price here with the Celtics. Should be a rowdy home crowd with everyone having tomorrow off and Kemba Walker is expected to be back. Brooklyn has won 4 straight, but those 4 wins have come against the Hornets, Kings, Knicks and Cavs. Last time they played a good team was the Pacers on Nov. 18th and they got annihilated 115-86. I just don't think they have any shot of keeping it close without Kyrie on the floor. Give me the Celtics -7! |
|||||||
11-27-19 | Ole Miss v. Penn State -2 | 74-72 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Penn State -2) I'll take my chances with the Nittany Lions laying a short number against Ole Miss in the opening round of the NIT Tip Off. While Penn State failed to cover in their last game as a double-digit favorite against Yale, they did go on a ridiculous 16-2 run over the final 5:38 of regulation to get the win. I think the fact that they didn't cover has them a bit undervalued and I also think they are riding a wave of momentum off that win. Nittany Lion's Lamar Stevens should have his way against a soft Ole Miss defense. Rebels also off a much different rally, as they battled from 16 down against Memphis to lose by 1. Those are tough losses to swallow after fighting your way back. Give me the Nittany Lions -2! |
|||||||
11-26-19 | UC-Davis v. California -11.5 | 66-72 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (California -11.5) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Bears bouncing back with a big win and cover at home against UC-Davis. Cal had started out 4-0 before getting destroyed in back-to-back games by Duke and Texas. The Aggies are a good team for them to get back on track. UC-Davis is just 2-5 to start the season with 4 of those defeats coming by double-digits, including a 34-point loss at Loyola-Illinois. No surprise to see the Aggies struggling, as they brought back just 2 starters from a team that went 11-20 last year. UC-Davis is 5-16 ATS last 2 seasons as a dog and 4-12 ATS last 16 vs a team with a winning record. |
|||||||
11-26-19 | Clippers -2.5 v. Mavs | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Clippers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers cashing in a win as a small favorite at Dallas. The Mavs have been playing unreal of late, as they come in having won and covered 5 straight. I just think this recent run has put a target on their back for this one and we are going to see LA come out looking to send a message, especially with this being a prime time game on NBATV. I still feel like the Clippers are the best team in the NBA and I look for the trio of George, Leonard and Beverley to make things extremely difficult for Donic and if he's not great the Mavs are in serious trouble. Give me the Clippers -2.5! |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Thunder -6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-97 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -6) I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC covering the 6 on the road against the Warriors. Golden State is a mere 1-7 in their last 8 games with their only win coming against a bad Memphis team that simply didn't give the depleted Warriors the respect they deserve. Golden State is down Curry, Thompson and Russell and could also not have Draymond for this one. OKC will be looking past this one having lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Give me the Thunder -6! |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Louisiana Tech +11 v. Indiana | 75-88 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS BLOODBATH (Louisiana Tech +11) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering as a double-digit dog against the Hoosiers. I played an won on Indiana as a 18.5-point favorite in their last game against Princeton. They ended up winning going away 79-54, but that was a mere 4-point game at the half. I just don't see them pulling away from a good LA Tech team that has started 4-1 with their only loss coming by a mere 10-points at Creighton, where they only trailed by 2 in the final 5 minutes. They also take great care of the ball and I think if they do that against the Hoosiers they can not only cover, but win this game outright. Give me the Bulldogs +11! |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Northwestern v. Bradley -2.5 | Top | 78-51 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bradley -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Bradley covering as a small favorite against Northwestern. I think it's going to be a long year for the Wildcats. They were one of the worst offensive teams in the country last year and lost their top 3 scorers from that team. They are a very young team and will be on the road for the first time this season, which is always a tough spot. Bradley put together an impressive run to close out last year and ended up winning the MVC tournament to get to the Big Dance. They got a lot of their key guys back from that team and are 4-1 to start the year. I think they win here going away. Give me the Braves -2.5! |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Nets v. Cavs +1 | 108-106 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +1) I'll take my chances here with the Cavs as a home dog against the Nets. Brooklyn is still without their best player in Kyrie Irving, but are getting some love due to the fact that they have won 3 straight. Thing is those 3 wins were against the Hornets and Kings at home and the Knicks on the road. They only beat New York by 2 yesterday and are now in a brutal spot playing their second straight on the road in a back-to-back and 3rd in 4 day stretch. Cavs are off a 110-104 upset win at home against the Blazers and should be able to take care of business here. Give me Cleveland +1! |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Magic v. Pistons -4.5 | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pistons -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Detroit covering as a small home favorite against the Magic. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Pistons, as Orlando will be playing without two of their best players in Nikola Vucevic and Aaron Gordon. Magic were already one of the worst offensive teams and are 0-6 getting outscored by 7.2 ppg on the road. Pistons are just 1-6 in their last 7, but 5 of those 6 defeats came on the road. Last time they were at home they annihilated the Hawks 123-103 as a 6-point favorite. Give me Detroit -4.5! |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Pittsburgh v. Kansas State -3.5 | 63-59 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas St -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Kansas State covering the 3.5 point spread against the Panthers. Wildcats are off to a 4-0 start as Bruce Weber just keeps delivering. K-State has been exceptional on the defensive end, allowing just 53.7 ppg and teams are shooting just 37% from the field and 27% from deep against them. They will be taking on a Pitt offense that has struggled to get their offense going. Panthers are shooting just 40% from the field and 28% from deep. Pitt's already lost twice at home, including a 5-point loss as a 18.5-point favorite to Nicholls State. Wherever Weber has coached his teams have been a good bet to play well in these early tournament games, as his teams have gone 21-8. They get another win and cover tonight. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +7.5 | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Grizzlies +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis covering as a home dog against the Lakers on Saturday. Big game here for the Grizzlies at home against one of the top teams in the league and they couldn't be catching LA at a better time. Lakers will be on no rest after a really fast paced game last night at OKC where the two teams combined for 257 points. LeBron and AD both logged a ton of minutes and I could see them resting here. Either way they shouldn't be at their best in this spot and to make matters worse they are facing a Memphis team that is playing on 3 days rest. Give me the Grizzlies +7.5! |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Jacksonville State v. Purdue -20 | 49-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB (Purdue -20) I'll take my chances here with the Boilermakers covering the big 20-point spread at home against the inferior Jacksonville State. Purdue is just 2-2 to start and I think it has them a bit undervalued here. It's not like they lost to bad teams, as their two losses came against Texas and Marquette. We just saw Jacksonville State get annihilated on the road at VCU 93-65 and I think this could be even more lopsided with the massive edge Purdue has on the inside. Give me the Boilermakers -20! |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Bulls -1.5 v. Hornets | 116-115 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Bulls -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Chicago cashing in a win and cover on the road against Charlotte. Both of these teams are playing on no rest and while both are off to poor starts, I don't think there's any arguing who is the more talented team. Bulls laid an egg last night early against Miami, but showed a lot of grit fighting back to lose by just single-digits. Charlotte is a team I think that's only going to get worse and they just aren't the kind of team that is built to play well on no rest. Bulls also have some revenge to take care of, as they were upset in their opener against the Hornets a game in which Charlotte shot a ridiculous 51.1% from the field and 52.3% from deep. Even with that hot shooting the Hornets still had to rally from double-digits down to sneak out a 1-point win. Give me the Bulls -1.5! |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Yale v. Penn State -14.5 | 56-58 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB (Penn State -14.5) I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions laying it on Penn and easily covering the 14.5-point spread. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of this Penn State team. They are 4-0 and have dominated every team they have faced, including a 81-66 win at Georgetown and the Hoyas have since beat Texas and lost by just 8 to No. 1 Duke. Penn is already a far inferior team and may not have much in the gas tank after a grueling 100-89 overtime win against Siena last time out. This is also their 4th road game already this season. Give me the Nittany Lions -14.5! |
|||||||
11-22-19 | Celtics v. Nuggets -4 | 92-96 | Push | 0 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -4) I'll take my chances here with Denver as a small home favorite against Boston. I think the Nuggets are showing tremendous value here. They are right there at the top of the standings at 10-3 and are extremely difficult to beat at home when they are playing well. As for the Celtics, this just feels like a massive letdown spot. Boston laid everything they had on the line in Wednesday's OT loss to the Clippers. Now they have to go play in the thin air of Denver in what will be their 5th straight road game and 4th game in the last 6 days. It's very similar to the Nuggets last opponent in the Rockets, who came in having won and covered 8 straight and scored 95 points in a 10-point loss. Give me the Nuggets -4! |
|||||||
11-22-19 | Hawks v. Pistons -6 | 103-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Pistons -6) I'll take my chances here with Detroit bouncing back from that awful performance on the road Wednesday at Chicago. That loss was their 5th straight overall and I think we are going to get their best effort tonight at home against a struggling Hawks team. Atlanta has lost their last 4 and are just 2-10 in their last 12. Note that all 10 of those losses during this stretch have come by 8 or more points. Some of Detroit's recent struggles can be attributed to playing on the road and they are 5-1 ATS last 6 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days. Pistons are also 9-2 ATS last 11 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Give me Detroit -6! |
|||||||
11-22-19 | George Mason v. Maryland -18 | Top | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Maryland -18) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terps cashing in a win by at least 20 at home against the Patriots. George Mason comes in at 5-0, but it's come against a bunch of bad teams. All 5 of their wins have been against teams ranked outside the Top 200 in KenPom's rankings. George Mason did win a respectable 18 games last year, but they lost two of their better players from that team to transfers in Otis Livingston II and Jaire Grayer. They also lost their likely go-to-guy this year in senior guard Justin Kier to a season ending wrist injury. Maryland just doesn't lose at home in non-conference and are playing more of a full court press that I think will give the Patriots troubles. Too much talent and too much depth for the Terps for George Mason to keep it respectable. Give me Maryland -18! |
|||||||
11-22-19 | Eastern Kentucky v. Florida International -6.5 | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS SLAUGHTER (FIU -6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Panthers covering the 6.5-point spread against Eastern Kentucky. FIU is 3-0 ATS and covering against the number by almost 20-points game. I just think FIU has a big edge across the board in this one. Both these teams like to run and I just don't see the Colonels being able to keep pace. Eastern Kentucky lost their best player in Cick Mayo, who averaged 23.7 ppg. Turnovers have been a big problem for the Colonels and if they don't take care of the ball here this could get real ugly. FIU is shooting lights out from 3 (42.4%) and will give up no easy shots inside. Give me the Panthers -6.5! |
|||||||
11-21-19 | South Dakota State v. Arizona -23.5 | 64-71 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Arizona -23.5) I'll take my chances with Arizona covering as a massive 23.5-point favorite against South Dakota State. The Wildcats were one of the biggest disappointments last year, but you could see it coming. They just didn't have the talent as years past. That's not the case this year. Arizona is loaded and are a team on a mission to start the season. They have gone 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in their first 4. All 4 wins coming by at least 20 points, including a 21-point win over Illinois. The Jackrabbits are a very young team with primary a bunch of freshmen and sophomores in their rotation. They just don't have the talent to hang with Arizona, especially given they are playing out west on just 1 day of rest after hosting North Alabama on Tuesday. GIve me the Wildcats -23.5! |
|||||||
11-21-19 | Texas -6.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 66-82 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Longhorns covering the 6.5-point spread against Georgetown in the opening round of the Empire Classic at Madison Square Garden. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of the Longhorns to start this season. They are 4-0 and have a big road win as a 6.5-point dog at Purdue. Georgetown is 3-1, but in their long game against a Power 5 team, Penn State, they lost at home by 14 as a favorite. Big thing here is the Hoyas are a very limited offense and really rely on their ability to score inside, as they don't take or make many 3's. That's a problem against what I think is an elite Texas defense that will give them no easy looks inside. Give me the Longhorns -6.5! |
|||||||
11-20-19 | Arkansas State v. Colorado State -12 | 80-78 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Colorado St -12) I'll take my chances here with Colorado State laying 12 at home against Arkansas State. The Rams are a team I've been impressed with early on and could see them being a big time factor in the MWC. They are 3-1 to start the year with their only setback coming at Duke. Arkansas State is a fluky 4-1 as they have played a soft schedule. I think the RedWolves defense will get exposed here as teams have been able to score at will inside and the Rams have a big time talent in big man Nico Carvacho. This is also a tough spot for Ark St, as they will be playing their 4th game in 7 days. RedWolves are not a deep team either, playing just 7 guys and I think they run out of gas in this matchup at high altitude. Give me Colorado State -12! |
|||||||
11-20-19 | Hornets v. Nets -3.5 | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Nets -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a small home favorite against the Hornets. I just think we are getting a good price on the Nets because of the fact that they won't have Kyrie Irving. While he's without a doubt their best player right now, they got more than enough talent to take down this Charlotte team. Hornets are no where close to as good as their 6-8 record. They got a net rating of -7.9, which is the 4th worst in the league. They should be closer to 3-11 than 6-8. Another big factor here is the Hornets have to be running on fumes. Charlotte is playing their 3rd straight on the road and 4th overall in the last 6 days. Give me the Nets -3.5! |
|||||||
11-20-19 | Columbia +10.5 v. St. John's | 63-82 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Columbia +10.5) I'll take my chances here with Columbia as a double-digit dog against the Red Storm. The Lions bring back 5 starters, as well as senior guard Mike Smith. This is a better team than a lot of people will realize, especially after their 1-3 start. St John's rolled Mercer and Central Connecticut State, but didn't cover in a home win over New Hampshire as a big favorite and lost outright at home to Vermont as a favorite. Columbia has the experience and talent to handle St. John's pressure and I think an upset could be in the works. Give me the Lions +10.5! |
|||||||
11-20-19 | Princeton v. Indiana -18.5 | 54-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Indiana -18.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers winning by 20+ at home against the Tigers. Indiana didn't live up to expectations last year and I think it has them flying under the radar to start this season. They have started out 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The only game they didn't cover was by a 1/2-point in a 19-point win as a 19.5 point favorite against Portland State. That 19 point is their smallest margin of victory on the season. Princeton is 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS. Tigers are allowing an effective fieldgoal rate of 60% and offer little to no rim protection. Indiana is averaging 93.5 ppg and shooting 54% from the field. Give me the Hoosiers -18.5! |
|||||||
11-20-19 | Rider v. Massachusetts -6 | Top | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UMass -6) I'll gladly take my chances here with UMass laying it on Rider and cruising to an easy win and cover at home. The Minutemen have started out a perfect 4-0 and their only non-cover was a 2-point win as a 3-point favorite at Fairfield. Rider opened up with road wins against Coppin State and Delaware State, but that was to be expected as those are two bad teams. They got a big test at ASU and failed miserably, losing 92-55. Rider doesn't shoot the 3 and gives up a ton of them, which is a recipe for disaster. I also think the Brons will be out of gas here. Rider is playing their 4th straight on the road and had just two days off from going way out west to face the Sun Devils. Give me the Minutemen -6! |
|||||||
11-19-19 | Warriors v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 114-95 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Grizzlies -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Warriors. It's no secret that Golden State is in a world of hurt right now. I get Memphis isn't a great team, but with D'Angelo Russell now sidelined the Warriors just don't have the offensive playmakers to beat anybody, especially on the road. Not to mention teams are really enjoying beating up on Golden State after what they have done the last 5 years. Grizzlies are also a team playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. I think they win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me Memphis -6.5! |
|||||||
11-19-19 | Southern Miss v. Iowa State -18 | 45-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa St -18) I'll take my chances here with the Cyclones winning by 20+ at home against the Golden Eagles. Southern Miss isn't built to compete with Power 5 teams like ISU, especially on the road. Golden Eagles have almost no depth, as they basically play 6 guys. They need games to be played at a slower pace to have a chance and ISU likes to push the pace behind star point guard Tyrese Haliburton. Another thing here favoring the Cyclones is turnovers. Southern Miss does not take good care of the ball and ISU ranks in the top 40 in steal rate. If the Golden Eagles get into any kind of foul trouble with their lack of depth, this thing could get real ugly. Give me the Cyclones -18! |
|||||||
11-19-19 | Tennessee-Martin v. Northern Iowa -15 | Top | 67-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Northern Iowa -15) I'll gladly take my chances here with Northern Iowa covering the big number at home against Tennessee-Martin. Not only is this a really tough matchup for the Skyhawks, they are in a horrible situational spot playing their 3rd straight on the road in just a span of 7 days. They had to play Wichita State on the road on just 2 days rest last time out and got annihilated 103-62 as a mere 16-point dog. UNI is off to a perfect 4-0 start. Defense will be the key in this thing getting out of hand. Panthers are a really good defensive team. They are allowing 58.5 ppg and holding teams to 16 points below their average. Tennessee-Martin is givin up 83.5 ppg and almost 13 ppg more than their opponents average. Give me UNI -15! |
|||||||
11-19-19 | Florida International -7.5 v. Cleveland State | 107-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (FIU -7.5) I'll take my chances here with FIU winning by double-digits on the road against Cleveland State. I think this is the perfect buy low spot on the Panthers, who have started out 1-2, but those two losses have both come on the road against Power 5 teams in Mississippi State and NC State. They were competitive in both. They only lost by 8 as a 16.5-point dog at the Bulldogs and by just 9 as a 17.5-point dog at the Wolfpack. Cleveland State has started out just 1-3 with their only win coming against a non-D1 opponent. They two have played two power 5 teams on the road and lost by 35 at Minnesota and by 27 at South Carolina. They also lost by 20 at Missouri State. Give me FIU -7.5! |
|||||||
11-18-19 | Spurs v. Mavs -4.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Mavs -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Dallas covering the 4.5 point spread at home against the Spurs. I just feel like San Antonio is getting way too much respect on the road with how poor they are playing. Spurs have lost 5 straight and are not in a good spot here, playing their 3rd game in 4 days on the road. SA is just 2-10 ATS on the season and have gone 4-16 the last 3 seasons ATS in road games vs a team that's won 51% to 60% of their games. Give me the Mavs -4.5! |
|||||||
11-15-19 | UNLV v. UCLA -8 | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (UCLA -8) I'll take my chances here with UCLA winning by double-digits at home against the Rebels. I just think this Bruins team is poised to make some noise under new head coach Mick Cronin and this also is an ideal spot to fade UNLV. The Rebels will be playing their 3rd game in a week span and each of the last two went to overtime with UNLV's star guard Amauri Hardy playing 40+ minutes in both games. I just don't see them being able to keep this close. Give me UCLA -8! |
|||||||
11-15-19 | Minnesota v. Utah -4.5 | 69-73 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Utah -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Utes laying a short number at home against the Gophers. Minnesota is coming off a couple of losses and failed covers against Oklahoma and Butler. They shot the ball poorly in both games, hitting just 39% against the Sooners and 33% against the Bulldogs. They are getting next to nothing out of their bench and I always think it's tough for these midwest teams to travel out west, especially early in the season. Utah is also a team I think is a lot better than people realize. Give me the Utes -4.5! |
|||||||
11-15-19 | Pacers +5 v. Rockets | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering here at Houston. I just think this is an ideal spot to fade the Rockets coming off that emotional win over the Clippers on Wednesday. Houston was able to overcome a lot of injuries in that win, but I think it will be a lot tougher to bring that same injury against a team like Indiana. Not to mention they have added Clint Capela to the list of guys out and there's talk of them resting Russell Westbrook in this one. Pacers are also playing great basketball right now. Indiana has won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Give me the Pacers +5! |
|||||||
11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic -3 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Orlando laying a small number at home against the Spurs. I won with the Magic in their last game, as they beat the 76ers 112-97 as a similarly priced 2.5-point home favorite. I think they are fresh right now, playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days, all at home, so no travel. San Antonio has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Spurs are simply not very good right now, but their brand is so good that they continue to get respect from the books and the public. No bigger evidence to the Spurs not being what people think is the fact that they are 2-9 ATS in their first 11 games. They are giving up 119.4 ppg on 50.2% shooting in their last 5 and even last year when they were decent they payed awful on the road. Give me the Magic -3! |
|||||||
11-14-19 | Michigan State -6.5 v. Seton Hall | 76-73 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Michigan State -6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Spartans cashing in a win and cover at Seton Hall. The Pirates are expected to be really good this year, but will be playing without their best player in Myles Powell, who suffered an ankle injury. I also think Michigan State is playing inspired for their star point guard Cassius Winston, who just lost his younger brother earlier this week. Give me the Spartans -6.5! |
|||||||
11-14-19 | Bulls +12 v. Bucks | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Bulls +12) I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a double-digit dog against the Bucks. I cashed in on the Bulls in their last game, which they easily covered as a 6-point favorite in a 120-102 win against the Knicks. Big reason I liked Chicago in that game was they finally got some rest after a brutal schedule that had them traveling all over the place the first few weeks of the season. They are much better team than their 4-7 record. Bucks have been overpriced a lot lately, as they have failed to cover 3 straight and will be without Khris Middleton for this one, who is their No. 2 option behind the Greek Freak. Give me Chicago +12! |
|||||||
11-14-19 | Clippers v. Pelicans +4 | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +4) I'll take my chances here with New Orleans covering as a small home dog against the Clippers. I know it's tough backing the Pelicans given they are just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS on the season, but this line is begging for you to take the Clippers. I just think this is a tough spot for LA, who is just 1-3 on the road. Clippers off a massive game last night against the Rockets and could easily suffer a letdown playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set. Good chance Kawhi rests in this one and while Paul George is expected to make his debut, he's likely on a minutes restriction and will have to work through some rust. Give me New Orleans +4! |
|||||||
11-13-19 | Raptors v. Blazers -2.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a small home favorite. I know Portland is in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just lost as a favorite last night at Sacramento, but I still think they got the upper hand on a depleted Raptors team that won't have OG Anunoby, Kyle Lowry or Serge Ibaka for this one. Toronto also off a very emotional game against the Clippers, as that was their first game against Kawhi after he left town following last year's title run. Raptors are also playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd game in the last 4 nights. Give me Portland -2.5! |
|||||||
11-13-19 | 76ers v. Magic +1 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SHOCKER (Magic +1) I got a good feeling we could see both Embiid and Simmons sit this one out for the 76ers and the line definitely suggests that's what the bookmakers are thinking. On top of that, Philadelphia is not playing great basketball right now and are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. All 5 starters played 31+ minutes in last night's mere 1-point win over the Cavs as a double-digit favorite, so even if Embiid and Simmons play I like Orlando here. Magic are desperate for a win and will be the much fresher team on two days rest. Give me Orlando +1! |
|||||||
11-13-19 | St. Joe's v. Connecticut -14.5 | 96-87 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (UConn -14.5) I'll take my chances here with UConn making easy work of St. Joe's tonight. The Huskies struggled in the first year under Dan Hurley last season, going just 16-17 overall and 6-12 in the American, but I'm expecting big improvements in year two under Hurley. Note that he went just 8-21 in year one with Rhode Island and by the time he left they finished 25-8. UConn was way undervalued in their opener, as they cruised to a 22-point win as a 16.5-point favorite against Sacred Heart. St. Joe's is in a full on rebuild, after losing 4 of their best players who combined for 54.4 ppg last year. Note the Hawks only averaged 70.5 ppg, so that's 77% of their scoring they must replace. Give me UConn -14.5! |
|||||||
11-13-19 | Villanova +2.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 51-76 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Villanova +2.5) I'll take my chances here with Villanova going on the road and knocking off Ohio State. I think the Wildcats are one of the better teams people aren't talking about. All Jay Wright does is deliver great teams. I mean they went 26-10 and won both the Big East regular-season and tournament titles and yet it was considered a disappointing season. I was on the Buckeyes in their win and cover against Cincinnati in their opener, but Ohio State was extremely fortunate to cover that contest. The offense is really hard to watch and I just don't think the Buckeyes will be able to keep pace offensively in this one. Give me Villanova +2.5! |
|||||||
11-13-19 | LSU v. VCU -2.5 | 82-84 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (VCU -2.5) I'll take my chances here with VCU as a small home favorite against No. 23 LSU. Anytime a ranked team is getting points against an unranked opponent, it's usually a good idea to take the favorite, especially if the public is on the road dog like they are here. The Rams went 25-8 overall and 16-2 in the A-10 last year (won the conf). They should be even better with 4 starters back. Will Wade is doing some nice things with LSU and there's a lot of talent there, but they are very young (basically entire roster is freshmen and sophomores). They lost 3 really good players from last year's team in Tremont Waters, Naz Reid and Kavell Bigby-Williams. I think that inexperience will be too much to overcome in their first road game of the season. Give me VCU -2.5! |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Chicago State v. Eastern Illinois -19 | 34-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (E Illinois -19) I'll take my chances here with the Panthers winning by 20+ at home against Chicago State. Eastern Illinois did themselves no favors to start the season, as they opened up with road games at Texas Tech and Wisconsin. They just missed out on a cover against the Red Raiders, losing by 25 as a 22.5-point dog. They then only lost by 13 to the Badgers as a 19-point dog. I expect the Panthers to be 100% locked in for their home opener tonight. Chicago State is not good. The Cougars went just 3-29 last year and were winless in the WAC. Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points who were outscored by 12 or more points/game the previous season are a mere 5-25 (17%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me Eastern Illinois -19! |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Thunder v. Pacers -3 | 85-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small home favorite against the Thunder. Indiana has completely flipped the script from their 0-3 start, as they are 6-1 in their last 7. I just can't pass up on a team playing this well at home, especially against a OKC team that I think will be running on empty. Thunder are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are massive game at home against the Bucks, which they lost in heartbreaking fashion 121-119. Give me the Pacers -3! |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Cavs +10 v. 76ers | Top | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +10) I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. The Cavs have been a lot more competitive this season under John Beilein. They come in having wno and covered two straight and I like their chances of making a game of it with Philadelphia. 76ers have not been playing great of late, will be resting Al Horford and Ben Simmons is questionable. Even if Simmons plays, I would expect they try to ease him back. Give me the Cavs +10! |
|||||||
11-11-19 | Mavs +4 v. Celtics | 106-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +4) I'll take my chances here with Dallas covering as a small road dog. Boston comes in having won 7 straight and are 5-1-1 ATS during this stretch. Even the injury to Hayward isn't going to keep the public from taking the Celtics as a small home favorite. I just think that injury will be tough to overcome. This Mavs team has also played exceptionally well on the road early on. Dallas is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS on the road, where they are outscoring teams on average 125.2 to 113.7. Celtics are just 4-14 ATS last 18 at home after giving up 115 or more points in their last game (allowed 115 to SA). Give me the Mavs +4! |
|||||||
11-11-19 | Drake +12.5 v. Cincinnati | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Drake +12.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering the big spread at Cincinnati. Drake had one of the more improbable seasons last year, as they went 24-10 and tied for the MVC top spot with Loyola, despite returning just two guys. All the credit goes to first year head coach Darian DeVries and I look for this team to be just as good this season with 3 starters back and some nice transfer additions. Cincinnati is also a team in transition after losing legendary Bearcats head coach Mike Cronin to UCLA. Give me the Bulldogs +12.5! |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Grizzlies v. Magic -6.5 | Top | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Orlando covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Grizzlies. I just think Memphis is getting a little too much love off a upset win at home over the Timberwolves, where Minnesota clearly didn't show up to play (allowed 137 points). Grizzlies have been complete no-shows on the road this year, losing by 19 at Miami and by 29 at LAL. Magic are undervalued right now coming off 4 straight losses, but those were to the Bucks, Nuggets, Thunder and Mavs. Only the game against Milwaukee were they not competitive. Orlando won by 9 at home over Cleveland and by 12 at home against the Knicks. Give me the Magic -6.5! |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Siena v. Xavier -19 | Top | 63-81 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Xavier -19) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Musketeers covering the spread at home against Siena. Sure the Saints have a future NBA player in Jalen Pickett, but they are no match for a Xavier team that figures to be one of the most improved teams in the country this year. Musketeers did fail to cover in their opener against Jacksonville, but that was simply because they put it in cruise control after taking a 43-22 lead at the half. I could easily see Xavier having this thing covered in the 1st half tonight. Give me the Musketeers -19! |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Davidson +2.5 v. Auburn | 66-76 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Davidson +2.5) I'll take my chances here with Davidson as a small dog against Auburn. I really like this year's Wildcats team. They got everyone back from a 24-win team that made the NCAA Tournament last year. The Tigers on the other hand figure to be down a notch or two. Auburn lost a ton from last year's Final Four team. Tigers lost 3 elite starters in Bryce Brown, Jared Harper and Chuma Okeke. They are going to have to rely a lot on guys that don't have a lot of experience and will likely struggle early because of it. Note they only won by 9 as a 14-point favorite in their opener against Georgia Southern. Give me Davidson +2.5! |
|||||||
11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -4.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -4.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small home favorite against OKC. I get this will probably be a big public play, but I don't care. I just think the Spurs are so good at home that you just have to roll the dice with them if they are laying this kind of a number, especially against a mediocre team like OKC. We know we are getting a max effort here from SA after back-to-back losses. Give me the Spurs -4.5! |
|||||||
11-06-19 | Cincinnati v. Ohio State -6 | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS SLAUGHTER (Ohio State -6) I was a big fan of the Buckeyes hire of Chris Holtmann a couple years back. Last year they got off to an incredible start before a disappointing 8-12 mark in Big Ten play. They did bounce back to win over No. 6 Ohio State in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Buckeyes have 3 starters back, several key role players and a star-studded recruiting class that was ranked tops in the Big 10 and 10th nationally. I think this team is going to be a lot better than people think. Cincinnati has some nice talent and welcomed the return of Jarron Cumberland, but lost the guy that made it all work in head coach Mick Cronin (now at UCLA). Last year Ohio State won by 8 at Cincinnati and I think the Buckeyes are improved while the Bearcats are likely to take a step back. GIve me Ohio State -6! |
|||||||
11-06-19 | Bulls +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +1.5) The betting public will want absolutely nothing to do with Chicago at this price, which is part of the reason I love it. The Bulls come in off a loss at home to the Lakers last night. Chicago has now lost 5 of 6 and those that were on the Bulls bandwagon early have long jumped off. Hawks just got back Trae Young in last night's 108-100 upset win over the Spurs. Thing is Young was on a minutes restriction last night, as were a couple other guys. I could see the Hawks limiting those minutes again in a back-to-back situation. Atlanta also is down a key piece in their rotation as John Collins was handed a 25-game suspension. I think Bulls will be the more motivated and fresher team in this one. Give me Chicago +1.5! |
|||||||
11-05-19 | Pacers v. Hornets +2.5 | Top | 120-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hornets +2.5) I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Charlotte is 3-3 with their 3 losses coming against the Timberwolves, Lakers and Clippers. They just closed out a 4-game road trip with road wins at Sacramento and Golden State. I think they can make easy work of the Pacers. Indiana comes in having won 3 straight, but it's about as unspectacular a 3-game run as you will find with the wins coming over the Nets, Cavs and Bulls. Pacers are still without Oladipo and Myles Turner and big man Domantas Sabonis is questionable with a calf injury. Give me Charlotte +2.5! |
|||||||
11-05-19 | Virginia Tech v. Clemson -6.5 | 67-60 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Clemson covering the 6.5 at home against the Hokies. Virginia Tech will be a team I'm looking to fade early until they show me something. I just think the Hokies are going to take a big step back after losing a great head coach in Buzz Williams and having to replace 4 starters and top 5 scorers. Clemson isn't a real threat in the ACC, but should be improved from last year and I like them to come out strong. Give me the Tigers -6.5! |
|||||||
11-04-19 | 76ers v. Suns +2 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Suns +2) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix as a home dog against the 76ers. The Suns have to be one of the big surprises in the first couple weeks of the season. Phoenix is 4-2 SU and a perfect 6-0 ATS. They have wins over the Clippers and Warriors (with Curry). Their two losses were by 1-point at Denver and 1-point at home to Utah. All of this with just one game from DeAndre Ayton, who got hit with a 25-game suspension. Kelly Oubre, Frank Kaminsky and Ricky Rubio have all been fantastic alongside Devin Booker. 76ers are coming off a win at Portland where they won on a last second 3-pointer. Only one day off before playing here in Phoenix and they will not have Embiid for this one. At 5-0 I think this is the definition of a flat spot for Philly, especially with two enticing games on deck against Utah and Denver. Give me the Suns +2! |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Pistons v. Bulls -3.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls -3.5) It's not been the start many were expecting for the Bulls, but I got no problem laying a small number at home with Chicago Friday night against the Pistons. Detroit is still without Blake Griffin, won't have Reggie Jackson and could also be down Markieff Morris. Bulls have really just not shot well, but a lot of that is because they have played 4 of their first 5 on the road. I think we get a big effort here at home to snap their 3-game skid and that offense should find it's rhythm against a Pistons defense that allowed the Raptors to shoot 59% from the field last time out. Give me the Bulls -3.5! |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Rockets v. Nets +4.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering as a home dog against the Rockets. I just think this is a clear letdown spot for the Rockets coming off that ridiculous 159-158 win over the Wizards on Thursday. Houston played no defense in that game (Washington shot 63%) and I don't see them playing much defense here. Nets are going to be hungry after a 1-3 start that has seen them lose 2 games by a single-point. Give me Brooklyn +4.5! |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Bucks v. Magic +5 | 123-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +5) I'll take my chances here with Orlando cashing in a cover at home against the Bucks. Milwaukee has kinda been going thru the motions and have had some bad offensive lapses like we just witnessed in their 2nd half collapse against Boston on Thursday. Magic are a better team than they get credit for and will likely be a team I'm on a lot if they keep getting points at home. Give me Orlando +5! |
|||||||
10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Los Angeles laying just 4.5-points at home against the Spurs. San Antonio is off to a 3-0 start and are always going to be a tough out as long as Popovich is in charge, but I think they are getting too much respect against one of the best teams in the league. Don't worry about last night's loss at Utah, as Kawhi didn't play and I think that says a lot about how much he wants to beat his old team in the Spurs. The only person to log more than 30 minutes was Shamet with 33, so the back-to-back isn't a big deal here. This team beat the Lakers by double-digits at home and will do the same against San Antonio. Give me the Clippers -4.5! |
|||||||
10-30-19 | Suns +5 v. Warriors | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns +5) I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a small road dog against the Warriors. I get Golden State is off a big win at New Orleans, but I'm not buying into that result at all. Warriors defense once again was not good and while they got Curry and Russell, they don't have the volume of scoring options needed to be a great team. Phoenix has been a huge surprise. They are 4-0 ATS with their only two losses coming by 1 point at home to the Jazz and 1-point on the road against the Nuggets. Give me the Suns +5! |
|||||||
10-30-19 | Blazers v. Thunder +1.5 | 102-99 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Thunder +1.5) I'll take my chances here with OKC as a small home dog against the Blazers. I know the Thunder are off to a mere 1-3 start, but two of those losses are to two of the best teams in the west in the Jazz and Rockets. Both of which they covered, as they are a strong 3-1 ATS to start the year. Blazers are a team I think is a bit overvalued. They covered last time out in a 3-point loss at SA, but were down 18 in the 4th quarter. Big thing here is the Blazers have to be running out of gas, as they will be playing their 4th straight on the road in a span of just 6 days. Give me the Thunder +1.5! |
|||||||
10-30-19 | Knicks v. Magic -9 | Top | 83-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -9) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a big home favorite against the Knicks. Even though the Knicks are 1-3 and trailed by 8 in the final minutes of their only win against the Bulls last time, the public wants nothing to do with laying this kind of number with Orlando. That makes me like the Magic even more. Orlando has not covered a game this season, so it's not like the books are inflating the number here. I just think the Knicks are a really bad team and are going to struggle on the road against a very motivated Magic team. Give me Orlando -9! |
|||||||
10-29-19 | Mavs +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +6) I'll take my chances here with Dallas as a 6-point dog against the Nuggets. Mavs are a team to keep an eye with their dynamic 1-2 punch of Luka Donic and Kristaps Porzingis. Dallas will be itching to get back on the floor after letting a 3-0 start slip away in a 2-point home loss to the Blazers. Denver on the other hand is playing on no rest after a 101-94 win at Sacramento last night. Nuggets are 3-0, but all 3 wins have come by 8 or fewer. Give me the Mavs +6! |
|||||||
10-28-19 | Blazers v. Spurs -5.5 | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio at home against the Blazers. Just an ideal spot to fade Portland. Not only are the Blazers playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, they are playing their 3rd road game in the last 4 days. Note they had to use a ton of energy yesterday rallying from a 15-point 1st quarter deficit to squeak out a 2-point win. They also lost a key piece in Zach Collins to a shoulder injury that will keep him out of this one. Give me the Spurs -5.5! |
|||||||
10-28-19 | Cavs +15 v. Bucks | 112-129 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +15) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a massive road dog against the Bucks. John Beilein and the Cavs are a team the betting public wants nothing to do with, while Milwaukee is one of the biggest public bets any time they take the floor. I think we are seeing an inflated line with the Bucks as most will be thinking now is the time to take Milwaukee off an upset loss to Miami. Cleveland covered as a big dog in their opener at Orlando and just whooped Indiana by 11 as a 5-point dog. I think they will have no problem keeping this within the number. Give me the Cavs +15! |
|||||||
10-25-19 | Mavs v. Pelicans -2.5 | 123-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans -2.5) I think we are getting some good value here with New Orleans as a small home favorite against the Mavs. A lot of people just writing off the Pelicans because Zion is out. What people don't realize is they are one of the deepest teams in the league, can fly up and down the court and shoot the 3-pointer. They should have won their opener on the road against the Raptors, but lost in OT. They bounce back in a big way tonight. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
|||||||
10-25-19 | Wizards v. Thunder -8 | Top | 97-85 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -8) I cashed in on the Thunder +9 in their near upset win at Utah on Wednesday. I got no problem here laying the 8 at home against the Wizards. Washington is a bad team and while it looks like they played Dallas tough in a 8-point road loss, that was because the Mavs called off the Dogs after going into the 4th quarter leading by 23. This OKC roster is way better than people are giving it credit for. They will show up in their home opener. Give me the Thunder -8! |
|||||||
10-23-19 | Thunder +9 v. Jazz | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Thunder +9) I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC as a near double-digit dog. Everyone is talking about how good Utah is going to be this year. As for the Thunder, it's like once they traded Westbrook they became an after thought. There is still a ton of talent on this team. They got Chris Paul from Houston, as well as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Danilo Gallinari from LA. They also still have the big man Steven Adams. Wouldn't surprise me at all if they went into Utah and won this game outright. Give me Oklahoma City +9! |
|||||||
10-23-19 | Wolves +4 v. Nets | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Wolves +4) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a 4-point road dog against the Nets. Brooklyn is a team a lot of people are high on and I'm not sure why. I would get it if Durant was playing, but he's not. Irving is a headcase and ran himself out two great situations. One in Cleveland with LeBron and the other with a loaded Boston team where he couldn't get over himself. Nets also got rid of a lot of their best players to make room for these starts. Minnesota is a team I think is going to be much improved and their continuity should be a big edge in this one. Give me the T-Wolves +4! |
|||||||
10-23-19 | Bulls -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
50* NBA SHARP MONEY MAX BET WINNER (Bulls -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a small road favorite against the Hornets. Both teams are coming off a bad 2018-19 season. However, the Bulls have one of the better young nucleuses in the league and I think will be a playoff team for sure. Charlotte lost their best player in Kemba Walker and to me it feels like they are tanking for the future this season. Give me the Bulls -2.5! |
|||||||
10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers +4 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
40* CLIPPERS/LAKERS ATS NO-BRAINER (Clippers +4) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers at home. Last year Kawhi went to Toronto and there was instant Karma with that Raptors team. I see no reason not to expect the same with the Clippers, especially given how much this team over-achieved last year. As for LeBron, we have seen his teams struggle when there's big roster changes, whether it's him coming in or someone else. This is a completely different Lakers team. Not having Kuzma hurts, as I feel like they lack scoring outside of their two stars. I would not have the Clippers a dog in this one, but the public keeps pounding the Lakers. Give me the Clippers +4! |
|||||||
06-13-19 | Raptors +3 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
50* RAPTORS/WARRIORS GAME 6 SHARP TOP PLAY (Raptors +3) I'll take my chances here with Toronto and the points in Game 6. I'll take the points as insurance, but I'm fully expecting the Raptors to end this thing tonight. I really thought the Warriors were going to come back and win the title with Durant returning to action, but that didn't last long. Durant is done for good now and it's back to the drawing board for Golden State. Warriors made 20 3-pointers with big games from Curry and Thompson and still were lucky to win. Toronto already won twice in Golden State by double-digits and I wouldn't be shocked if this wasn't all that close late. Give me the Raptors +3! |
|||||||
06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -2 | Top | 109-104 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -2) I'll take my chances here with Toronto in Game 2. The betting public just can't help themselves when it comes to Golden State, especially in what to them feels like a must win. I just think people are overreacting to how well the Warriors played without Durant in the previous two rounds. They need him to beat Toronto and he's not playing in Game 2. Raptors have the best player on the court in Kawhi and while Toronto might not have a trio of superstars, they are the much deeper team from top to bottom. Add in home court and this is simply too good a price to pass up. GIve me the Raptors -2! |
|||||||
05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
50* WARRIORS/BLAZERS GAME 4 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers +3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland sending this series back to Golden State and covering the 3.5 at home in Game 4. I just think this is going to be a really tough spot for the Warriors. They got the commanding 3-0 series lead without Durant and it's nearly impossible not to relax when you are up 3-0. I also don't think Portland will lay down here, especially at home against this team. I'm counting on Lillard to show up after a bad Game 3. Give me the Blazers +3.5! |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* BUCKS/RAPTORS NBA PLAYOFFS ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -2) I'll take my chances here with Toronto snapping out of their little offensive slump and securing a win in Game 3. This is a must-win for the Raptors, as we all know a 3-0 hole is too much for them to overcome. Toronto simply laid an egg in Game 2 after letting Game 1 slip through their fingers. The focus will be back for Game 3 on their home floor and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this one going away. Give me the Raptors -2! |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2.5 | 110-99 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* WARRIORS/BLAZERS GAME 3 ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland laying a small number at home in Game 3. With the Warriors still not having the services of Durant and the Blazers season on the line with them already down 2-0, I think Portland finds a way to get the job done at home. Blazers have shown they can hang and you got to think either Curry or Thompson will have an off night. Either way I like Portland in this one. Give me the Blazers -2.5! |
|||||||
05-17-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | 103-125 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
40* RAPTORS/BUCKS GAME 2 ATS NO-BRAINER (Raptors +7) I'll take my chances here with Toronto covering the spread in Game 2. We took a horrible loss on the Raptors in Game 1, as they led the entire way and didn't cover by a 1.5-points as a 6.5-point dog. I really liked what I seen from the Raptors, as it took a ridiculous game from Brook Lopez to pull out the win. I'm willing to be Lopez won't be able to match that kind of production and Toronto will continue to make it really hard on the Greek Freak. Give me the Raptors +7! |
|||||||
05-16-19 | Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
40* BLAZERS/WARRIORS GAME 2 ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland and the points in Game 2. We cashed an easy winner on the Warriors -7 in Game 1 and took a really bad beat in Game 1 of the Bucks/Raptors series last night. Big reason I played against the Blazers in Game 1 because of how hard it was going to be going from playing Game 7 on the road in altitude at Denver on Sunday to having to start this series on Tuesday. I expect a much more energized Portland team, especially on the defensive side of the ball. I also think it will be tough for Curry and Thompson to match their scoring output from Game 1. Give me the Blazers +7.5! |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +6.5) I played on the Warriors last night, as I just thought 1 day wasn't enough for Portland to recover, especially after playing that Game 7 in altitude. Toronto has only had 2 days off since beating the 76ers at home in Game 7, but I think they will be more than ready to go for this one. Also, I don't love teams who are coming off long layoffs in the postseason. Bucks haven't played since last Wednesday and we saw them lay an egg in Game 1 of their last series vs the Celtics. Give me the Raptors +6.5! |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors -7.5) I'll take my chances here with Golden State covering the spread at home in Game 1. I just think not having Durant has a lot of people looking to take the Warriors. I get it, but there's a ton of talent still on this Warriors team, most of them the core guys that got all this started. I can't imagine they are loving all the talk about how they got no shot without Durant. I get that Durant won't be out long, but I think it has them a little extra motivated. I also think we are going to see the best of Steph Curry in a showdown against his brother. Blazers also in a really tough spot having just played a Game 7 on the road and now having to play Game 1 on the road. Give me the Warriors -7.5! |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +2 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +2) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a home dog in Game 6. I got no problem with how things ended up in Game 5 with the Raptors blowing out the 76ers. In fact, I was on Toronto in that game. I just think with their backs against the wall, Philadelphia will find a way to send this thing back to Toronto for a Game 7 and I wouldn't be shocked if it's a similar type of blowout to their 116-95 win in Game 3 at home. Give me the 76ers +2! |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Celtics +9 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS MASSACRE (Celtics +9) I'll take my chances with the Celtics at least making a game of it if tonight is their last game of the season. Boston is down 3-1 and facing elimination on the road. The media is all but sticking a fork in them and are blowing up the Kyrie drama. Public isn't going to trust this team, even at this price. I could be dead wrong here, but I like a defensive minded team with their backs against the wall, especially as a near double-digit dog. Give me the Celtics +9! |
|||||||
05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 89-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6) I'll take my chances with Toronto covering the 6-point spread at home in Game 5. The Raptors showed me a lot by winning Game 4 on the road to tie this thing up at 2-2. Everyone knows the winner of Game 5 goes on to win the majority of the time and I just don't see Toronto failing to get the job done. Outside of a Game 3, the Raptors defense has held the 76ers to 40% or less from the field and under 100 points. If Embiid isn't drastically better than he was in Game 4, this will be an even bigger blowout than the Raptors 108-95 win in Game 1. Give me Toronto -6! |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston winning Game 4 at home and sending this series back to Milwaukee tied 2-2. Celtics had their chances in Game 3 at home, they just couldn't make the big play down the stretch. I also don't think the refs did them any favors with Antetokounmpo shooting a ridiculous 22 free throws. They also were in position to win with Milwaukee having a great shooting game, as they were 50% from the field and 40% from deep. I think the Bucks struggle to come anywhere close to that. Give me Boston -1.5! |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -3.5 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5) I'll take my chances with Houston as a small home favorite in basically a must-win at home in Game 3. Warriors took each of the first two games in the series, but both games came down to the wire and Houston has not looked overmatched. I just have a really hard time seeing the Rockets lose this game, as they go down 0-3 and this thing is all but over. I not only think they win, but I think they win this going away. Give me Houston -3.5! |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -2 | 123-116 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
40* BUCKS/CELTICS NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2) I'll take my chances here with Boston as a small home favorite. The Celtics didn't look great in Game 2, but that shouldn't have been a huge surprise. Celtics got the split they wanted when they blew out the Bucks in Game 1. Hard for them to match Milwaukee's intensity in Game 2 with the Bucks basically in a must-win on their home floor. I still like Boston in the series and definitely think they will benefit greatly from playing at home. I also think the unfortunate health concerns with owner Danny Ainge (suffered a minor heart attack), could end up being a blessing for this team, as it will take out some of that individuality and have them playing more for each other. Give me the Celtics -2! |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Philadelphia as a small home dog against the Raptors in Game 3 of this Eastern Conference semifinals matchup. Toronto rolled in Game 1 at home, but Philly responded in a big way and won Game 2 94-89. They did so with basically Jimmy Butler being the olny starter who was worth a shit. Embiid had 12 points on 2 of 7 shooting, Simmons had a whopping 6 points, while Harris added 9 and Redick had 11. Toronto had 3 starters with 20+, including 35 from Leonard. 76ers are a whole different beast at home and there's just something about being a dog that brings out the best in the Philadelphia faithful. Give me the 76ers +1.5! |
|||||||
04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6 | 86-90 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
40* SPURS/NUGGETS GAME 7 NO-BRAINER (Nuggets -6) I'll take my chances here with Denver covering the spread in Game 7 at home. Just based on what we have seen in the past, the home team doesn't just dominate Game 7, they cover the spread at a pretty strong rate. I think there were definitely some jitters early in this series for the Nuggets. They have looked a lot better and were absolutely dominant in both Games 5 and 6, which were two they absolutely needed to win. I think they step up with a similar type of performance in Game 7. Give me the Nuggets -6! |
|||||||
04-24-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -8 | 93-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -8) I'll take my chances here with Houston winning by double-digits at home against the Jazz. Utah was able to avoid getting swept with a win at home in Game 4, but I don't think that did anything but prolong the series a couple more days. Rockets won 122-90 in Game 1 at home and 118-98 in Game 2 at home. Without the home crowd the Jazz defense isn't the same and they simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep up. Give me Houston -8! |
|||||||
04-23-19 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 90-108 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs +5.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio bouncing back from a ugly showing in Game 4 and at least covering the number (I think they win outright). Spurs have proven they matchup well with the Nuggets. They won Game 1 at Denver and should have won Game 2 (led by 19 points). I just think San Antonio is better equipped both in terms of experience and coaching to win a huge game like this. Give me the Spurs +5.5! |
|||||||
04-23-19 | Magic v. Raptors -11.5 | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -11.5) I'll take my chances with Toronto covering the double-digit spread at home in Game 5. The only reason this series isn't over with, is because the Raptors didn't give the Magic their full respect in a Game 1 loss at home. With Toronto focused they have been able to dismantle Orlando and my money is on them making sure that this is the last game of the series. It's all but a lock that Toronto will be facing the 76ers in the next round (both teams up 3-1). If they are able to get past Philadelphia, they would have to face the winner of the Celtics/Bucks series. Simply put, Raptors can't have this series dragging on. They are hands down the better team and will likely win by 20+ points. Give me Toronto -11.5! |
|||||||
04-22-19 | Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -2.5) I'll take my chances with Houston laying such a small number on the road in Game 4. We cashed on the Rockets in their Game 3 win at Utah and we cashed on the Celtics yesterday in a similar spot, as a small road favorite in Game 4 going for a series sweep. I like this one a little more just given the matchup and circumstances. I think Houston is the team with the best shot to dethrone the Warriors and with Golden State their soon to be opponent in the next round, there's plenty of incentive here for the Rockets to get this series over with. I don't expect Utah to lay down at home, but I think a lot of the fight was sucked out of the Jazz in that crushing Game 3 loss, where they couldn't find a way to win with James Harden shooting 3 of 20 from the field (0-15 start). Give me the Rockets -2.5! |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Celtics -2.5 v. Pacers | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2.5) I'll take my chances with Boston as a small road favorite against the Pacers. Teams up 3-0 in the first round win Game 4 nearly 70% of the time and cover at close to a 62% clip. Boston has certainly turned thins up a notch in the postseason, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana's 96 points in Game 3 was their highest output in the series. Pacers are shooting just 40% from the field in the series and simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace. I also think the life was sucked out of this team after losing Game 3. Give me the Celtics -2.5! |