Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-15 | Bears v. Chargers UNDER 49.5 | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
50* NFL --MNF Gridiron Total Top Play-- (UNDER 49.5) This would be an okay total if both teams were coming into this game at 100%, but that's not the case at all. Each is missing star players. Chicago will be without running back Matt Forte, who is not only their leading rusher but a huge part of the passing game. San Diego will be without wide out Keenan Allen, who has been Rivers' go-to guy. I look for these injuries to play a big role in the red zone, as I look for both teams to have to settle for field goals. Give me the UNDER 49.5! |
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11-06-15 | Temple v. SMU OVER 51 | Top | 60-40 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Over 51) This all comes down to the situation. Temple is well known for their defense, but we aren't going to see their best effort on that side of the ball in this spot. The Owls put everything they had into last week's game against Notre Dame and simply aren't going to be able to bounce back with that same kind of effort on the road against a SMU team that likes to play fast. If we simply get 20 points here from the Mustangs at home, we would need just 32 from Temple to cash the over. Considering SMU has allowed at least 38 in 6 straight, that should be a problem. Give me the OVER 51! |
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11-05-15 | Browns v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
50* NFL --Browns/Bengals Total Crusher-- (Over 45.5) The perception here is the Browns won't be able to score with Manziel at quarterback, but I don't think there's as big a drop off from McCown to Manziel as most people think. I look for Cleveland to provide their fair share of points in this one and that should have this game flying over the total. Cincinnati's offense is loaded with weapons at the skill positions and the Browns are awful defensively. They can't stop the run and their secondary is depleted with injuries to corner Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner. It's not out of the question the Bengals cover this total on their own. Give me the OVER 45.5! |
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11-04-15 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 202 | Top | 98-100 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
50* NBA --No Doubt Total Top Play-- (OVER 202) The Celtics are coming off a game against the Spurs where the two teams combined for just 182 points and the Pacers playing last night against the Pistons in a game where 176 points were scored, which raises a big red-flag when you see a total for this matchup at 202. The books are basically telling you that this will be a much-higher scoring game than expected an I agree with them. Indiana's defense wasn't very good in their first 3 games and they really got after it last night to get their first win of the season. I look for them to relax on that side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back set. Boston had scored 100+ in each of their first two before shooting 35.7% against San Antonio. They come in off 2 days rest and will be looking to push the tempo. Give me the OVER 202! |
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11-01-15 | Giants v. Saints OVER 49 | Top | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
50* NFL --NFC Total of the Month-- (Over 49) I look for both offenses to have a lot of success in this one, as we have two of the better quarterbacks in the league going up against two defenses that are not playing well inside the perfect conditions of the Superdome. The Giants are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of their passes, which is a nightmare scenario against Drew Brees and the Saints are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and 7.9 yards/pass attempt. Over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 against the NFC, 6-2-1 in the Saints last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the lowest combined score during this stretch being 73 points. Give me the OVER 49! |
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10-31-15 | Clemson v. NC State UNDER 51 | Top | 56-41 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total of the Month-- (UNDER 51) This may seem like a low total given Clemson just hung 58 on the road last week at Miami, but I think this game has a defensive battle written all over it. Clemson is 4th in the country in total defense and NC State is 3rd. Wolfpack offensively were held to 13 points in their only two games against a legit opponent in Louisville and Virginia Tech, so don't expect much from them. The key is I think their defense will keep Watson and the Tigers in check. We saw Clemson only score 20 on the road against a good Louisville defense and NC State seems to play above their potential on this side of the ball when hosting a ranked opponent. Give me the UNDER 51! |
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10-29-15 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 55 | Top | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 55) First place in the ACC Coastal division will be up for grabs (Pitt currently sits at 4-0 in ACC with Duke and UNC both at 3-0) tonight when the Tar Heels visit the No. 23 ranked Panthers. I don't see much value in the line at basically a pick'em, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total based on previous matchups. No surprise that these two teams have been great defensively in 2015. Pitt brought in former Michigan State defensive coordinator Pat Nartduzzi as their new head coach, while the Tar Heels landed Gene Chizek as their new defensive coordinator. The Panthers come in ranked 16th in total defense (308.3 ypg) and North Carolina is 36th (349.9 ypg). The impressive thing with Pitt's defensive numbers is they have played 5 of their first 7 on the road. Their defense should be even better at home, especially in this big time environment of a nationally televised game. The Tar Heels on the other hand have allowed 17 or less points in all but one game, the exception being against Georgia Tech and their triple-option attack. Both offenses like to run the football and I see this one being a defensive battle all the way. Give me the UNDER 55! |
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10-27-15 | New York Mets v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB --World Series Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (UNDER 7) I think the best value here in Game 1 is to the total and for this one to finish under 7 combined runs. This has a pitcher's duel written all over it with Matt Harvey taking the mound for New York and the Royals countering with Edison Volguez. Harvey has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his postseason starts and will have an advantage here with this being the first time he's gone up against Kansas City. Volquez hasn't been great in 2 road starts during the postseason, but was lights out in his only home start against the Blue Jays, allowing just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. With both offenses having not faced live pitching in at least 3 days, I look for Harvey and Volquez to have the upper hand in this one. Give me the UNDER 7! |
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10-26-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 48.5 | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
50* NFL --MNF Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 48.5) I don't think the books have set the mark high enough for this matchup. The Ravens come into this one with the 9th ranked offense and are 10th in the league in passing at 258.3 ypg. Arizona has the 4th ranked offense and 6th ranked passing attack at 284.2 ypg. Both teams will be looking to throw the ball early and often, which should lead to a lot of big plays and quick scoring drives. It also figures to lead some turnovers, which should also lead to some quick scores. Baltimore's defense has allowed at least 25 or more points in 4 of their last 5, while Arizona has scored 40+ points 3 times this season and are averaging 33.3 ppg at home. OVER is 9-3-1 in Ravens last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 48.5! |
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10-25-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants UNDER 46 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
50* NFL --NFC East Total of the Month-- (UNDER 46) These two teams combined for 53 points in the Cowboys 27-26 miracle win at home in Week 1. The total for that game was 52 and now we see these two teams facing off in the rematch at New York with a total of 46. I don't believe 6 points is a big enough adjustment, given what Dallas has lost offensively and what they have gained defensively. At the same time, we can expect max effort here from the Giants defense coming off that ugly loss to Philadelphia and wanting revenge from the game they gave away at AT&T Stadium earlier this year. You also have to factor in playing outdoors compared to playing in the dome in Dallas. I think these two teams will be lucky to score 20 points a piece. Give me the UNDER 46! |
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10-24-15 | Clemson v. Miami (Fla) OVER 55 | Top | 58-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --ACC Total of the Month-- (Over 55) The books have set a low total here due to the perception that Clemson has a dominant defense. While I'm not saying the Tigers aren't a good defensive team, they have benefited from a soft schedule in terms of teams they have had to face who can spread you out and beat you with both the run and the pass. The only legit offense they have faced is Notre Dame and they gave up 437 yards, including 321 through the air. Miami has a ton of speed and one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country in Kaaya. At the same time, the Hurricanes aren't going to offer up much resistance defensively. I think both teams score into the 30's here. Give me the OVER 55! |
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10-22-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 42 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Annihilator-- (Under 42) In previous seasons this matchup would have me looking to back the under, but these are not the same two dominant defenses from years past. The 49ers are clearly not the same with all the players they lost in the offseason, to go along with the departure of head coach Jim Harbaugh. Seattle's still got a lot of the same players on defense, but I think they are really missing the guidance of former defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. We have already seen the 49ers give up 30+ points in 3 games this season and Seattle's offense is certainly capable of putting up a big number here. The Seahawks defense just allowed 27 points at home to the Panthers and aren't typically as strong on this side of the ball on the road. I also expect Seattle to take advantage of Kaepernick's poor decision making and create some turnovers that lead to quick scores. I see this being a 27-17 type of game with the potential to creep up towards 50. Give me the OVER 42! |
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10-14-15 | Texas Rangers v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8) While these two teams have combined for 8 or more runs in 3 of the first 4 games of this series, I just think there's too much value here on the UNDER 8 to pass up. Cole Hamels and Marcus Stroman will be facing off in Game 5, which is a rematch from Game 2 in Toronto. Only 5 earned runs were scored in regulation of that game, but 3 unearned runs and 2 more in extra innings pushed the final score to 10. Both Hamels and Stroman pitched well in that game, which is no surprise given how they finished the season. With all the pressure that comes in a deciding Game 5, I'm not expecting a ton of offense in this one. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 46 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NFL -MNF Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 46) The Steelers are trying to make do offensively with Michael Vick right now. While he's capable of keeping Pittsburgh in the playoff hunt, this will not be the same explosive high-powered offense that it was with Roethlisberger. The Steelers are going to rely more on their running game and defense to win games until Big Ben is back and have been playing much better defensively than they get credit for. They should have no problem keeping a injury-deplete San Diego offense in check. This is simply too many points given the circumstances both offenses are facing. Give me the Under 46! |
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10-10-15 | Navy v. Notre Dame OVER 56 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --Over/Under Total of the Month-- (Navy/ND Over 56) Notre Dame laid it all on the line last week against Clemson and simply won't have the same energy when they take the field against Navy. Similar to what we saw with them allowing 27 points to UMass after that big game against Georgia Tech. Navy has proven they can move the ball against the Irish, scoring at least 34 points each of the last 2 years. Midshipmen look to be even strong offensively in 2015, which isn't a big surprise with senior quarterback Keenan Reynolds calling the shots. While I don't expect a great showing from the defense, the offense will be highly motivated to put up points after scoring only 22 last week against Clemson when they should have had a lot more. Notre Dame had 437 yards of total offense, but turned it over 4 times (only had 3 turnovers first 4 games combined). Like each of the last two years, I expect both offenses to score into the 30's, making this an easy play for me. Give me the OVER 56! |
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10-08-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans OVER 40.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
50* NFL --Colts/Texans Total No Brainer-- (Over 40.5) It's been made official that Luck will not be playing against the Texans and as a result the total has dropped 3-points, I believe it's created some great value here on the OVER, as I still think the Colts offense will be able to move the ball against the Texans. Houston's defense hasn't been very good and Indy has a savy veteran backup in Matt Hasselbeck, who showed he still has something left in the tank. Hasselbeck went 30 of 47 for 282 yards against the Jaguars. Houston's offense hasn't been great to start the year, but that's a direct result of the injury to star running back Arian Foster. He returned last week and should get a much bigger workload here. Colts defense is decimated with injuries and just gave up 431 yards last week to a below average Jacksonville offense. These two teams also have a history of high-scoring games when they face off in Houston, with each of the last 10 meetings seeing at least 41 points. Give me the OVER 40.5! |
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10-04-15 | St Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 43 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
50* --NFL Total of the Month-- (Over 43) The perception here is that these are two dominant defensive teams, which has created some exceptional value here with total at just 43 points. Arizona's 3-0 start is more a result of their offense than their defense at the same time, I don't think the Rams are as strong defensively as it looks on paper. St Louis has a lot of talent up front, but the secondary isn't great. Carson Palmer will be able to expose the Rams secondary and should be able to put up at least 27 points here. I believe the Rams can give us at least 17 if not more, as I see there offense only improving with Gurley getting more and more carries. These two combined for 45 in Arizona last year and the OVER is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 43! |
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09-30-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 7.5) Both of these teams have been struggling offensively down the stretch. The Royals have scored a total of 5 runs over their last 3 games and haven't registered double-digit hits in 5 straight. Hard to seem them getting back on track against the red-hot Jose Quintana, who has a 1.35 ERA and 1.050 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Chicago's offense is only averaging 2.6 runs and are hitting .213 as a team over their last 7 games and will be going up against a starter they have really struggled against. Kansas City's Edinson Volquez has a 1.67 ERA in 4 starts against the White Sox this season. UNDER is 9-1 in White Sox last 10 home games after hitting .225 or worse over a 10 game stretch. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-27-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans OVER 45.5 | Top | 35-33 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
50* NFL ---Total of the Month--- (Over 45.5) I think we are seeing some great value here with this total at 45.5 points, largely due to both of these offenses struggling last week. The Colts scored just 7 points at home against the Jets, while the Titans were held to a mere 14-points at Cleveland. Indianapolis has too much talent offensively and too good of a quarterback to not get this turned around. I believe their struggles were largely due to playing 2 really good defenses in Buffalo and New York. The Titans will be playing at home for the first time this season and I look for Mariota to have a big day here against a banged up Colts secondary and will likely have to throw early and often to keep pace with Luck and the Colts. Give me the Over 45.5! |
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09-26-15 | Northern Illinois v. Boston College UNDER 47.5 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Dominator-- (Under 47.5) This total has been set too high for this matchup. Boston College features about as run heavy of an offense you will find that's not based strictly off the triple-option. The Eagles have attempted 49, 40 and 43 rush attempts in their first 3 games and totaled just 347 passing yards in their first 3 games combined. N. Illinois is only giving up 3.5 yards/carry against teams averaging 4.1, so I expect them to at worst make BC use a lot of plays to sustain a drive and put points on the scoreboard. Northern Illinois' offense is pretty average and will struggle to get much going on the road against a BC defense that is allowing 1.4 yards/carry and only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 44.6% of their attempts. I see a lot of empty drives and field goals when they get in opposing territory. Give me the UNDER 47.5! |
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09-25-15 | Boise State v. Virginia UNDER 49 | Top | 56-14 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Under 49) I think the books have set too high of a total here for tonight's prime time matchup between Boise State and Virginia. Both of these teams are strong defensively and that should have these two average offenses struggling to sustain drives and finish them off with touchdowns. Boise State will be without starting quarterback Ryan Finley, which means they are going to have an inexperienced signal caller making his first start on the road, a situation that doesn't figure to end well. Virginia's offense is limited and the Broncos are more than capable of keeping them in check. The energy and intensity that comes with playing in front of a national audience only adds to the value here with this total. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 20 points. Give me the UNDER 49! |
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09-22-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8) This has a pitchers duel written all over it and we are getting a great number here to back the under. Cleveland's Danny Salazar has a 3.47 ERA and 1.117 WHIP over 27 starts and was dominant last time out against the Tigers, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings. He's faced the Twins twice this season and allowed just 3 runs in 13 innings with 21 strikeouts. Minnesota's Ervin Santana enters with a sizzling 2.05 ERA and 1.091 WHIP over his last 3 starts, allowing just 5 runs on 16 hits with 22 strikeouts in 22 innings. UNDER is 30-19 in the Indians 49 road night games this season and 38-17-1 in their last 56 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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09-19-15 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAF *SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH* (Under 53) I don't see any value on the spread in this one, but I absolutely love the UNDER. Alabama does not have the same offensive explosion as last year, but are improved defensively. For Ole Miss, all the talk has been about the offense, but I've been more impressed with the defense. I think we are going to see two of the best defenses in the country, potentially the best two, go to battle. I think we could see a similar type battle to Alabama's 2011 home game against LSU, where the game ended with a final of 6-9. Even if there's a little more offense than that, I don't see it getting into the 50's. Give me the UNDER 53! |
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09-18-15 | New Mexico v. Arizona State UNDER 65 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAF *FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 65) This may seem like a low total given these two teams combined for 81 points in Arizona State's 58-23 blowout win at New Mexico last year, but I actually think the value is on the UNDER. Both teams bring a lot back defensively. Sun Devils returned 9 defensive starters and the Lobos brought back 7. Both will have a much better understanding of what the other team is looking to do offensively. New Mexico likes to run the football and that's going to eat up some clock and I don't see the Sun Devils trying to run up the score late with two huge games on deck against USC at home and UCLA on the road. These prime time games also tend to bring out the best defensively and I think ASU could make life extremely difficult on New Mexico, who scored just 21 points last week against Tulsa at home. Under is 13-4 in Arizona State's last 17 home games with a total set at 63 or more points. ROLL THE UNDER 65! |
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09-15-15 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* (UNDER 9) I believe the books have made a big mistake here with this total, as it's been slightly inflated due to the fact that both starters are coming off a poor showing. Even with the bad outings, both have thrown the ball extremely well of late. Houston's McHugh has a 3.26 ERA and 1.190 WHIP over his last 3 starts and Texas' Derek Holland has a 2.25 ERA and 0.792 WHIP over his last 3 starts. McHugh is 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA over 3 starts against the Rangers and Holland has allowed just 7 runs in 22 1/3 innings over 4 home starts. ROLL THE UNDER 9! |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* NFL *PRO GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER* The public is all over the OVER in this one, as the perception here is that we have two high-powered offenses. The bookmakers know that the majority of the action was going to come in on the OVER and I believe they have inflated this total, creating some great value here on the UNDER. Pittsburgh is without several key pieces offensively in running back Le'Veon Bell, wide out Martavis Bryant and center Maurkice Pouncey. As for New England, I don't think there offense is going to be in sync out of the gate with all the distractions surrounding Brady and Deflategate, plus they are without running back LeGarrette Blount and wide out Brandon LaFell. Starting center Bryan Stork is doubtful and wide out Julian Edelman will be playing on a bum ankle. Too many key pieces missing for this one to be a shootout. Roll the UNDER 51.5! |
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08-31-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Really like the value we are getting here with the total set at 7.5 runs. Not only do we have two strong starters on the mound in Chris Archer and Wei-Yen Chen, but both offenses are struggling at the moment. The Rays have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5, while the Orioles are averaging just 2.9 runs/game over their last 7. Archer is poised for a bounce back start after giving up 4 runs in his last outing at home against the Twins (complete game shutout prior to that start) and Chen enters with a 2.89 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 21-9 in Chen's last 30 home starts and 13-3 in the Rays last 16 road games after going 5 straight games with fewer than 10 hits. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Should be all kinds of offense in this one, as both teams will be sending out starters who have really struggled of late. Cincinnati will give the rock to Keyvius Sampson, who has a 8.03 ERA and 2.433 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Matt Garza and his 7.56 ERA and 1.620 WHIP in his last 3 outings. It's not just recent form where both of these guys have struggled. Sampson has a 5.79 ERA and 1.757 WHIP overall and Garza has a 5.52 ERA and 1.522 WHIP overall. OVER is 6-1 in Cincinnati's last 7 against a team with a losing record and 9-1-1 in Garza's last 11 home starts against a team with a losing record. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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08-28-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value here with this total set at 7.5. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney is coming off an ugly showing at home against the Blue Jays, but Toronto's offense is simply that good. Heaney has been rock-solid otherwise, as he owns a 3.39 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 11 starts. A big key here is the fact that he has a 2.13 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in 4 road starts. Cleveland will send out Danny Salazar, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 22-12 in LA's last 34 after a win by 2 runs or less and 20-10 in the Indians last 30 against the AL West. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-26-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR* Love the value here with this total and more than willing to pay a little extra juice to get 7. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer is coming off a complete game shutout in his last outing and is 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA and 0.781 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Twins. Minnesota will send out Tyler Duffey, who has looked sharp in his last 2 after giving up 6 runs in 2 innings at Toronto in his MLB debut. Duffey has allowed just 2 runs in his last 2 starts (13 2/3 innings) with 15 strikeouts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 over L2 seasons in Rays 8 games after a contest where 17 or more combined runs were scored (avg score in these games has been 5.1)! Roll the UNDER 7! |
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08-22-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 15-3 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I really like the UNDER here in this matchup. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney might not have the most overpowering stuff, but he's been very effective since joining the rotation. He's got a 2.43 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 10 starts. He's more than capable of keeping this high-powered Blue Jays offense in check at home. Toronto will send out Marco Estrada, who has been straight dealing of late with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in 19 starts. UNDER is 14-4 in Blue Jays last 18 after scoring 9 or more runs and 15-5-2 in Angels last 22 home games when listed as an underdog. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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08-21-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I really like the value we are getting with this total at 8 runs. Houston's Michael Fiers has a dominant 1.50 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts, while the Dodgers' Brett Anderson is 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA over his last 5 road starts. LA is only scoring 3.8 runs/game and hitting .235 as a team in interleague play, while the Astros are scoring just 3.0 runs and hitting a mere .221 as a team over their last 7. UNDER is 15-5 in Dodgers last 20 road games after scoring 2 runs or less and 19-9 in the Astros last 28 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less in their last game. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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08-20-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Houston Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 104 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe this is a great spot to back the UNDER in today's matchup between the Rays and Astros. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer was rocked for 7 earned runs on 11 hits and 3 walks in his last start. It was only the third time this season that Archer allowed 5 or more earned runs. In each of the previous two instances he bounced back by allowing 2 runs or less. I'm expecting a similar outcome here with the Astros struggling offensively with just 3.3 runs/game and a .236 team average over their last 7. At the same time, I'm not expecting much offense from the Rays, who will face the red-hot Collin McHugh, who has a 1.80 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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08-19-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe the books have made a huge mistake here setting this total at a whopping 8.5 runs. The Red Sox don't figure to do much offensively, as they will be up against Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, who is coming in off back-to-back complete games in which he allowed 2 runs on 4 hits with 17 strikeouts. The high total is likely due to the fact that the Red Sox will be sending out Joe Kelly and his 5.69 ERA and 1.515 WHIP in 19 starts. However, Kelly is coming in off back-to-back strong starts and will be facing a Cleveland offense that has scored exactly 1 run in 3 of their last 4 games. UNDER is 24-9 in Indians last 33 road games as a favorite of -125 to -150 and 14-5 in their last 19 road games with a total set at 8.5-10 runs. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-17-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* This is a great spot to back the UNDER 7.5 on the total, as we have to strong starters on the mound. Houston will send out Scott Kazmir, who has a 1.42 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 2.12 ERA and 1.076 WHIP overall in 22 starts. Tampa Bay will send out Erasmo Ramirez, who has quietly had a strong year. Ramirez is 9-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 18 starts. He's been even better of late with a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 10-2 in the Rays last 12 as a road dog of +125 to +175! Roll the UNDER 7.5 |
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08-10-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 115 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe there's some hidden value here in the UNDER 7 on the total, as we are getting to sneaky good pitchers facing off in pitcher-friendly Petco Park. San Diego's Ian Kennedy has been on the rise and owns a 2.10 ERA in his last 5 home starts. Kennedy will also benefit from facing a Reds offense that is scoring just 1.9 runs and hitting .189 as a team over their last 7. Cincinnati will send out David Holmberg, who has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his first 2 starts, which came against a couple of really strong teams in Pittsburgh and St Louis. UNDER is 14-3 in Reds' last 17 after scoring 4 runs or less in 4 straight games and 13-3 in the Padres last 16 after not committing an error in 4 straight games. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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08-09-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* There's too much value here to not take the UNDER in today's matchup between the Reds and Diamond backs. Cincinnati's Anthony Desclafani has a 2.41 ERA and 1.127 WHIP over 11 road starts, while Arizona's Pat Corbin has a 2.65 ERA and 1.059 WHIP at home. Corbin also will take advantage of facing a slumping Reds offense, which is scoring just 2 runs and hitting .198 as a team over their last 7 games. UNDER is 20-7 in the Reds last 27 road games with a total set at 8 to 8.5 runs and 13-3 in their last 16 after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I'm not expecting many runs to be scored in Saturday's matchup between the Pirates and Dodgers. The game will be played at pitcher-friendly PNC Park and both teams are sending out quality starters. The Dodgers will give the ball to newly acquired Mat Latos, who has been rock-solid of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Latos has also been strong on the road, posting a 2.44 ERA and 1.125 in 8 road starts. Liriano has a 2.92 ERA and 1.061 WHIP in 20 starts and a 2.50 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 13-4 in the Dodgers last 17 road games when it's played during the day. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-29-15 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* With the way the Marlins are struggling offensively and how well Miami starter Tom Koehler has looked both of late and at home, I don't expect to see many runs at all in this one. Koehler has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 1.79 ERA in 7 starts at home, where the UNDER has cashed in 6 of those 7 starts. Washington will send out Doug Fister, who has a 1.14 ERA and 0.760 WHIP over 3 career starts against Miami and the Marlins are scoring just 2.9 runs and hitting .239 as a team over their last 7 games. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-27-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe the books have made a big mistake here with setting the total for this game at 7.5. Both the Royals and Indians are struggling offensively right now. KC is averaging just 3.6 runs over their last 7 and Cleveland is putting up just 2.6. The real key here is the starting pitching. Royals' starter Edinson Volquez has a 1.86 ERA over his last 3 and a 3.64 ERA in 9 road starts. Indians starter Cody Anderson has a 1.91 ERA and 0.909 WHIP over 5 starts, including a 0.63 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in his 2 starts at home. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-22-15 | Miami Marlins v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5. The Marlins will be sending out their ace in Jose Fernandez, while the Diamondbacks counter with one of the more underrated starters in Robbie Ray. Fernandez has posted a 2.37 ERA and 0.947 WHIP over his first 3 starts and Ray has a 2.29 ERA and 1.073 WHIP over his 9 starts in 2015. UNDER is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 and 12-4-1 in their last 17 during game 3 of a series. Roll the UNDER! |
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07-20-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe we are seeing an inflated total here due to the struggles that Dodgers starter Brandon Beachy had in his first start back. Not pitching up to his potential in his first start back wasn't a big surprise given the near 2-year layoff, but I saw enough to believe he's going to bounce back strong. It will help facing an Atlanta offense that is averaging just 2.3 runs and hitting .205 as a team over their last 7 games. On the flip side of this, the Braves send out underrated starter Matt Wisler, who has a 2.65 ERA over his last 3 and a dominant 0.68 ERA and 0.900 WHIP over 2 home starts. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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07-12-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* This is a great pitching matchup and I think there's a ton of value here on the UNDER at 7. The Angels' Andrew Heaney has been lights out, posting a 1.77 ERA in 3 starts and I was really impressed with how well he threw last time out at Coors Field. Seattle's Taijuan Walker got off to a bad start, but has been a completely different pitcher of late. Walker hasn't suffered a losing decision since June 3 and had a 1.68 ERA over a 7 start stretch here recently. He's finally pitching up to his potential and I look for these two future aces to dazzle on Sunday. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-11-15 | Washington Nationals v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Both of these offenses are struggling to get anything going offensively over the last couple of weeks and I look for that to continue here. Washington's Jordan Zimmermann has been sensational in his last 3 starts, posting a 0.40 ERA and 0.706 WHIP, allowing just 1 earned run in 22 2/3 innings. Baltimore's Miguel Gonzalez struggled in his first two starts back from the DL, but returned to his early form in his last outing, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. I look for Gonzalez to build off that strong start against the slumping Nationals offense. Love the value here with this total. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-09-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Love the value we are getting with this total set at 8 runs. Hard to expect the Twins offense to produce much against Detroit's ace David Price, who has gone 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA in his last 6 against Minnesota and 3-0 with a 1.21 ERA in his last 3. The reason we are seeing a high total is due to the fact that the Twins Mike Pelfrey has a 9.94 ERA and 2.762 WHIP over his last 3 starts. However, Pelfrey has been dominant at home, posting a 1.80 ERA in 7 starts. UNDER is 30-14 in Tigers last 44 after a win by 2 runs or less, 6-1 in the Twins last 7 against a left-handed starter and 4-0 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts as a home dog of +110 to +150. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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07-07-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Absolutely love the value we are getting here with this total set at 9. Sure we have two strong offensive teams playing in hitter friendly Globe Life Park, but this is simply too many runs to not take the UNDER with today's starting pitching matchup. Rangers' starter Yovani Gallardo has been sensational of late. He hasn't allowed a run in his last 4 starts, where he's given up a total of just 14 hits in 26 1/3 innings of work. 5 of his 6 starts at home have gone UNDER the total as he's posted a 2.23 ERA at Globe Life. Arizona's Robbie Ray has seen the UNDER cash in 3 of his 4 road starts, due in large part to his 1.75 ERA and 0.857 WHIP. Roll the UNDER 9! |
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07-06-15 | Houston Astros v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I think we are getting great value here with the total set at 7 runs, given the starting pitching matchup. Houston's Dallas Keuchel is one of the leading Cy Young candidates for 2015, as he's 10-3 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.957 WHIP over 17 starts. Keuchel has been dealing of late with a 1.96 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who is coming off two dominant performances. Carrasco allowed 2 runs on 5 hits in 8 innings at home against the Tigers on 6/24 and followed that up with a near no hitter, as he didn't allow a hit until 2 outs in the 9th at Tampa Bay. Look for both offenses to struggle to get anything going. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-03-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
50* MLB *INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Love the value here with the total set at 7.5 runs. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 1.69 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 7 road starts and the UNDER is 6-0-1. Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton has a 1.98 ERA and 1.061 WHIP over 4 home starts and the UNDER is 3-1. UNDER is 7-1 in the Indians last 8 games as a road dog of +110 to +150 and 20-9-1 in their last 30 interleague road games. UNDER is also 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and a perfect 5-0 in Morton's last 5 interleague starts. |
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07-02-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* While the Rockies are coming off a series at Oakland where they managed to score just 4 runs, I like the value we are getting here with the total for tonight's series opener against the Diamondbacks. Colorado's Chris Rusin has a 5.30 ERA and 1.655 WHIP over 6 starts and an even worse 6.35 ERA and 1.898 WHIP in 4 road starts. Arizona's Jeremy Hellickson hasn't been much better. Hellickson has a 5.38 ERA and 1.422 WHIP in 15 starts and a 5.45 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 7 home starts. OVER is 6-2 in their previous 8 games this season, including a perfect 3-0 in their 3 games at Arizona. OVER is also 89-47 in games with a total of 9 to 9.5 where you have a team (Rockies) that is coming off 5 straight games where they had 10 or less hits in the second half of the season. Roll the OVER 9! |
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06-26-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The Indians will be hitting the road for the first time following a 7-game homestand, while the Orioles are returning home from a lengthy 8-game road trip. On top of that, both teams are coming off a big division series. Cleveland just got done playing Detroit and Baltimore just faced off against Boston. I just don't see the focus being there for the every day players, giving a big advantage to the two starters. The Indians send out reigning Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, who has allowed 1 run in his last 2 starts (14 2/3 innings) against the Orioles. Orioles send out Wei-Yin Chen, who is pitching lights out with a 1.86 ERA over his last 3 starts. UNDER is 7-2 in Chen's 9 home starts this season and 12-2 in Kluber's last 14 starts when working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-25-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 106 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with positive juice on the over in this matchup. These two combined for 10 runs in the series opener on Tuesday and while they only managed 6 runs yesterday, both offenses are poised to put up a solid number. Orioles will be turning to Miguel Gonzalez, who will be making his first start off the DL. Gonzalez also has an ugly 6.04 ERA in 5 road starts. Boston counters with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a 7.71 ERA at home. This will also be Rodriguez's 2nd start this month against the Orioles and I think that's a big edge to Baltimore's bats. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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06-24-15 | Oakland A's v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* These two teams put up a big number in yesterday's series opener (14 runs), but I think it's aided to create some great value on the under tonight. Oakland's Kendall Graveman has been throwing lights out of late with a 1.64 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He also has a stellar 1.78 ERA over 6 road starts on the season. Texas' Wany Rodriguez is also throwing the ball extremely well with a 2.37 ERA and 1.211 WHIP over his last 3. Rodriguez has a 5.06 ERA at home, but in his last start at home he held the Twins to 1 run on 3 hits over 6 2/3 innings. Roll the UNDER 9! |
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06-20-15 | Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* There's simply too much value here on the UNDER at 8.5. The Rangers will be sending out Nick Martinez, who has a 1.47 ERA and 1.064 WHIP over 6 road starts and a 1.69 ERA over 5 day starts. Chicago's Carlos Rodon has a 1.50 ERA and 1.278 WHIP over 3 home starts and will be taking on a Texas offense that has managed a whopping 2 runs on 8 hits over their last 2 games. UNDER is 9-1 in Chicago's last 10 home games after scoring 4 runs or less in 4 straight and 9-0 in their last 9 home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last time out. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-18-15 | Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* In their 3 games during this 2 and 2 home/away split the Rockies and Astros have combined to score at least 9 runs and have pounded out 25 over their last 2. With how well the ball flies at Coors Field and the Astros ability to go deep up and down their lineup, I look for the offenses to continue to shine this afternoon. The Rockies will be starting David Hale, who has a 5.21 ERA over his last 3 starts and Houston will be sending out Collin McHugh and his 8.44 ERA and 1.687 WHIP over his last 3 outings. OVER is 8-1 in the Astros last 9 after scoring 8+ runs and 31-16 in the Rockies last 47 home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. Roll the OVER! |
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06-10-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* We are seeing an inflated total here due to the Mariners sending out Taijuan Walker, who has a 5.80 ERA and 1.475 WHIP in 11 starts. Walker is much better than his numbers would suggest and he's showed some real positive signs of late. He's completed 8 innings in each of his last 2 starts, allowing just 3 runs on 7 hits with only 1 walk. That includes a start against the Indians, where he held them to just 2 hits in 8 innings. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 1.75 ERA over has last 5 starts and just recently held Seattle to just 2 runs on 6 hits in 7 innings or work. I look for both offenses to struggle in this one. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-08-15 | San Diego Padres v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with this total set at 7.5. Atlanta's Shelby Miller has a 1.67 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 4 home starts, 3 of which have finished under the total. The reason we are seeing a total over 7 is the Padres' Ian Kennedy comes in with a 6.60 ERA. The key here is that Kennedy is coming off a strong start, allowing just 2 runs on 6 hits with 8 strikeouts in 6 innings. UNDER is 8-1 in Miller's 9 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs and 11-4 in Kennedy's last 15 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-06-15 | Texas Rangers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I'm backing the under in today's showdown between the Rangers/Royals. The Rangers Wandy Rodriguez enters with a 2.03 ERA and 0.968 WHIP over 5 road starts. All 5 of those starts have finished under the total. The Royals Yordano Ventura has a 2.14 ERA and 0.762 WHIP over his last 3 starts, all of which saw fewer than 8 runs. UNDER is 22-8 in the Royals last 30 home games played on Saturday. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-04-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Neither of these teams are swinging a hot bat. The Royals have scored just 6 runs in their last 3 games combined and the Indians have managed just 2 a piece in their last two games. On top of that we have two underrated starters on the mound. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 0.99 ERA over 4 road starts (Under is 4-0) and Kansas City's Chris Young has a 0.54 ERA in 3 home starts. Add in two very strong bullpens and I don't expect to see many runs crossing the plate in this one. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-02-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* MLB *MLB GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* These two starters faced off last Tuesday in Minnesota and it ended up in a 2-1 pitcher's duel. I'm expecting a similar low-scoring affair tonight. Boston's Clay Buchholz has a sensational 1.99 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 2.97 ERA in his last 5 outings against the Twins. Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey has a 2.77 ERA on the season and a 1.93 ERA over 2 career starts against the Red Sox. UNDER is 16-5 in Boston's last 21 home games after 2 straight games without a home run and 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-28-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* TOTAL |
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05-23-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 115-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
50* NBA PLAYOFFS *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* TOTAL |
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05-22-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 12-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* I cashed in on the Red Sox/Angels UNDER 8.5 in yesterday's 3-1 final and I'll gladly take the UNDER again in the second game of the series with the same total. Boston's offense is in a major funk right now (1.9 runs/game L7) and will be going up against the red-hot Garrett Richards (1.69 ERA over L3). Boston's Rick Porcello is also in top form right now, posting a 2.41 ERA over his last 3. In his last two starts against the Angels, Porcello has allowed just 1 earned run in 14 innings of work. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-21-15 | Texas Rangers v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 111 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* The value is clearly on the under in today's matchup between the Rangers and Red Sox. Boston's Clay Buchholz is starting to turn things around. He's got a 3.92 ERA and 1.162 WHIP over his last 3 starts. In his last outing he limited the Mariners to just 1 run on 3 hits with 11 strikeouts in 8 innings of work. As for Rangers starter Wandy Rodriguez, he's got a 1.42 ERA and 0.789 WHIP over 3 road starts, with all 3 of those going under the total (2 of Buchholz 3 home starts have also gone under). Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-19-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* The books have set the bar too low for this total The Giants come in having scored 30 runs in their last 3 games and have recorded 10+ hits in 8 of their last 9 overall. I look for them to stay hot at the plate against the Dodgers Carlos Frias, who has a 5.40 ERA and 1.400 WHIP on the road. I also expect LA to put up a decent amount of runs here. Tim Hudson is 1-3 with with a 4.57 ERA and 1.346 WHIP over 7 starts and has a 5.74 ERA at home. Roll the OVER 7! |
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05-12-15 | San Diego Padres v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting in this one with the total set at 7.5. Seattle's James Paxton has overcome a poor start to 2015 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.178 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Ian Kennedy of the Padres is also coming into this game throwing the ball extremely well. Kennedy has allowed just 3 runs on 10 hits over his last two starts (13 innings). Dating back to July 7 of last year, Kennedy has a 2.65 ERA over his last 9 road starts. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-10-15 | Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 102 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY Really like the value here with the total sitting at 7.5. Angels' Garrett Richards has been dealing of late, posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts, lowing his season ERA down to 2.52. Richards has been especially tough to hit at home, where he's allowed just 3 earned runs in 14 innings of work. I look for Richards to keep the Astros offense in check in this one, while Houston starter Scott Feldman keeps LA from putting up a big number. Feldman has pitched well against the Angels of late, as he hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in his last 7 starts against them. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-09-15 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value here with the total set at 7.5. The Phillies have an anemic offense that comes in scoring just 2.8 runs/game with a .228 average. Mets starter Jon Neise hasn't had any problems keeping Philadelphia's offense in check over his career, as he's got a 2.92 ERA and 1.214 WHIP over 20 career starts. The key here is that we can also anticipate a tough day at the plate for New York. Phillies starter Aaron Harang as a sensational 2.35 ERA and 0.965 WHIP over 6 starts and a 0.00 ERA and 0.419 WHIP over 2 home starts. To top it off, Harang has allowed a total of just 4 earned runs over his previous 5 starts against the Mets (31 innings). Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-06-15 | Oakland A's v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 0-13 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* The books have set the mark too high for tonight's contest between the A's and Twins. Not only do we have two underrated starters on the mound, but the wind will be blowing in at roughly 15 mph at Target Field. Oakland will send out Scott Kazmir, who has a 1.62 ERA and 0.930 WHIP over 5 starts against the Twins' Kyle Gibson, who has a sensational 0.61 ERA and 0.954 WHIP over two home starts. Both offenses are also coming off a poor showing in yesterday's 2-1 win for the A's, adding more value to a low-scoring affair in this one. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-05-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The Rays have seen each of their last 9 games finish below the the total, as they continue to pitch well and struggle to do much of anything offensively. I'm expecting that trend to continue tonight with Tampa sending out Drew Smyly against Rick Porcello of the Red Sox. Smyly has a 3.37 ERA and 0.843 WHIP over 2 starts, while Porcello comes in off a dominant start at home against Toronto, where he allowed 1 run on 2 hits over 7 innings. Smyly has a 3.57 ERA over 3 career starts against the Red Sox and Porcello has a 3.21 ERA in 7 career starts against the Rays (Under is 6-1 in his 7 starts). Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-02-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH* I believe we are seeing a high total here due to the fact that Seattle starter Taijuan Walker comes in with a 6.87 ERA and 1.831 WHIP over his first 4 starts. Most of the damange with Walker's ERA and WHIP came in his first two starts. He's allowed 1 earned run over his last two outings, giving up just 10 hits with 13 strikeouts over 12 1/3 innings. Walker held the Astros to just 1 run on 4 hits earlier this season. As for the other side of things, Houston's Collin McHugh is 3-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.176 WHIP over 4 starts and was sensational in his lone home start of 2015. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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04-30-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL* Really like the value we are getting here with this high total in tonight's showdown between the Royals and Tigers. Detroit's Alfredo Simon is 4-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in his first 4 starts. He's allowed just 2 earned runs over his last 22 innings of work. Kansas City counters with Danny Duffy, who is quietly getting better with each start. Duffy got rocked in his season debut, but has since posted a 2.70 ERA over his last 3. Duffy has a respectable has allowed just 4 earned runs combined in his last 3 against the Tigers. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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04-29-15 | New York Mets v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The books have set the total too high for tonight's matchup between the Mets and Marlins. New York will be sending out veteran Bartolo Colon, who is 4-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.885 WHIP over his first 4 starts of 2015. One of those includes a game against the Marlins, where he allowed just 1 run on 6 hits over 7 innings of a 4-1 win. Miami's Mat Latos will oppose Colon and is a big part of the value we are getting here. Latos has a 7.31 ERA and 1.875 WHIP over 4 starts, but has allowed 2 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts and has shown improvement with each outing. Latos held the Mets to 2 runs on 6 hits over 5 innings earlier this year and has a 2.63 ERA and 1.152 WHIP over 9 career starts against New York. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-28-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 109 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH* The books have set up a favorable total here to back the UNDER. Detroit's Anibal Sanchez bounced back from a couple bad starts with his best outing of the season. Sanchez held the Yankees to just 1 run on 1 hit over 6 1/3 innings. He's got a 2.34 career ERA against the Twins and in a previous start against Minnesota this season he threw 6 2/3 shutout innings. Mike Pelfrey has been better than expected to start the year and he too is coming off his best start. Pelfrey threw 7 shutout innings at Kansas City, giving him a 2.65 ERA and 1.294 WHIP over his first 3 starts. Runs will be hard to come by for both teams. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-25-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
50* MLB *TOTAL TOP PLAY* The average runs scored in Diamondbacks' home games this season is 8.9 and I see no reason why tonight's contest won't eclipse the 9 run mark. Pittsburgh's A.J. Burnett is not as good as his 2.00 ERA would suggest, as he comes in with a 1.33 WHIP over 3 starts. He's somehow managed to allow just 4 earned runs, despite giving up 19 hits and 5 walks over 16 innings of work. On the other side we have Rubby De La Rosa, who has allowed 13 runs on 23 hits (4 HRs) and 5 walks over his first 3 starts. De La Rosa was especially bad in his lone home start in 2015, giving up 6 runs in just 5 1/3 innings. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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04-24-15 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
50* MLB *NL EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH* I'm expecting a very low-scoring game tonight between these two division rivals. Washington will send out Jordan Zimmerman whose one bad start at Boston has his numbers way off. Zimmerman has allowed a total of 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts against the Marlins. Miami counters with Mat Latos, who has also pitched much worse than his ability to start the season. Latos has shown signs of progress in each of his last two starts and has a 2.66 ERA over 7 career starts against the Nationals. UNDER is also 9-1 in Latos' last 10 starts against an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-21-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH* We are seeing an inflated total here due to the fact that today's starters just recently faced off against each other in a 8-5 Twins win last Thursday in Minnesota. Royals' starter Jason Vargas has been a much stronger pitcher at home than on the road. Prior to his poor outing against the Twins last week, Vargas had allowed a total of 3 earned runs over his previous 4 starts against Minnesota. Twins starter Tom Milone is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA over his first two starts of 2015. UNDER is 78-37 (68%) when you have a total of 7 to 8.5 where the home team is starting a pitcher that has walked 1 or fewer in each of his last two outings and a bullpen that hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight games. Roll UNDER 8! |
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04-20-15 | New York Yankees v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* Really like the value we are getting here with the total sitting at a hefty 9 runs. Detroit will send out Alfredo Simon, who is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA over his first two starts of 2015, improving to 6-1 with a 1.72 ERA over his last 7 April starts. C.C. Sabathia will be on the mound for New York. While he's allowed 4 earned runs in each of his first two starts, he's pitched much better than that. He's walked just 1 batter over 12 2/3 innings and has 15 strikeouts. Sabathia has a 2.51 ERA over his last 4 starts against the Tigers. Roll UNDER 9! |
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04-19-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB *SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL TOTAL DESTROYER* Tonight's showdown features Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright against Cincinnati's Mike Leake. This might seem like a pitchers duel on paper, but I'm expecting both offenses to steal the spotlight. Leake has a 5.16 ERA and 1.383 WHIP over 13 career starts against St Louis, while Wainwright has a 4.51 ERA and 1.288 WHIP over 17 career starts versus the Reds. OVER is 73-34 (68%) over the last 5 seasons (5-0 this year) in games where you have a team coming off 4 or more consecutive wins and a winning record on the season. Roll the OVER 7! |
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04-17-15 | Oakland A's v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Too much value here on the total sitting at 7.5. Oakland's Sonny Gray is a legit Cy Young candidate and has been lights out in his first two starts of 2015, allowing just 1 run on 7 hits over 15 1/3 innings of work. While Kansas City's Jeremy Guthrie allowed 4 runs in his first start, he was able to go 7 innings and the A's have not been as strong offensively on the road, where they come in with a .290 OBP. Both of Gray's starts against KC last year ended with 4 runs or less, including a 0-1 pitchers duel against Guthrie. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-16-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB *DIAMOND TOTAL TOP PLAY* The Brewers offense was struggling as it was and now will likely be without the services of one of their top offensive weapons in Carlos Gomez. The Brewers come in averaging just 2.9 runs/game and are hitting just .229 with a .276 OBP to start the season. I look for John Lackey of the Cardinals to bounce back from a rough first start and keep Milwaukee's offense in check. At the same time, I'm not expecting a lot of runs here from St Louis either, as Michael Fiers has saved his best for the Cardinals. Fiers has a 1.40 ERA and 1.130 WHIP over 4 career starts against the Cardinals. He limited them to just 3 runs over 13 2/3 innings in his 2 starts against them last year. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-13-15 | New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* I'm expecting a low-scoring affair today between the Orioles and Yankees. New York will be sending out Michael Pindeda, who when healthy has pitched like a Cy Young candidate. Orioles will counter with Wei-Yin Chen. While Chen struggled in his first start on the road, he's been extremely reliable at home. UNDER is 33-16 in Chen's last 49 starts with a money line of +125 to -125 and 27-10 in the Orioles last 37 home games against division opponents. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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04-12-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 110 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
50* MLB *MONEY LINE TOP PLAY* Two inexperienced starters taking the mound in this one and I look for this game to fly over the total of 8. Both of these teams have a potent offensive attack. Cincinnati will start Risel Iglesias, who is making his big league debut, while the Cardinals counter with Carlos Martinez, who had a 4.03 ERA over 57 appearances in 2014. Roll the OVER 8! |
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04-11-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB *TOTAL TOP PLAY* This game screams for a bunch of runs, as both teams used up their bullpen in last night's 19-inning marathon. It's going to require both teams to stick with their starters even if they get into trouble early and there's a good chance both starters could struggle. New York will send out Adam Warren, who has primarily been used out of the bullpen (3 career starts) and Boston counters with Joe Kelly, who has been bothered by a biceps injury. Roll the OVER! |
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04-08-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 108 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
50* MLB *TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Atlanta scored 7 runs in the 1st and 4 in the 9th in yesterday's 12-2 win over the Marlins. While it was a nice showing offensively for the Braves, this is not a good offensive team and I look for the finale to resemble more of the opening game in the series that saw a combined 3 runs scored. Miami's offense is ice-cold to start the year and I think people are underestimating Shelby Miller. UNDER is 10-1 over the last two seasons in Marlins home games when they are revenging 2 straight home losses to an opponent. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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04-03-15 | Denver Nuggets v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 208.5 | Top | 93-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY The Spurs have won all 3 of the previous meetings this season, which sets up a very profitable system on the total in this matchup. UNDER is 31-9 with a total of 200 to 209.5 when you have a team playing with triple-revenge against an opponent off a road win by 10+ points. Adding to this is the fact that the UNDER is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 off a road win by 10+ and 0-4 in the Nuggets last 4 road games when listed as a dog of 12.5 or more points. Roll the UNDER 208.5! |
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03-24-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 205 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
50-STAR NBA *TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The Trail Blazers recently lost starting shooting guard Wesley Matthews for the rest of the season and are also expected to be without the services of starting power forward LaMarcus Aldridge, starting small forward Nicolas Batum and backup center Chris Kaman. That leaves Portland with a thin bench, which I believe is going to have them looking to slow down the pace of this game against the Warriors. Golden State has continued to play extremely well without Klay Thompson, but could struggle to come out motivated here against a depleted Portland roster in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 4th in the last 5 days overall. UNDER is 12-4 in Portland's last 16 home games against teams averaging 103+ ppg and 15-3 in their last 18 home games with a total set at 200 or more points. Roll the UNDER 205! |
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02-27-15 | New York Knicks v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 194 | Top | 121-115 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY The books have set the mark too high in this one. These two teams combined for just 178 points at New York in their most recent meeting on Jan. 2 and I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar low-scoring game here. The Knicks have scored 97 points or less in each of their last 10 games and are averaging just 89.3 ppg during this stretch. UNDER is 16-5 in the Knicks last 21 against a team with a losing record and 11-2 in the Pistons last 13 after allowing 100+ in their last game. Roll the UNDER 194! |
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02-26-15 | Rutgers v. Purdue UNDER 123.5 | Top | 85-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
50-STAR BIG 10 *TOTAL OF THE MONTH* These two teams met just a couple of weeks ago (Feb. 12) at Rutgers and combined for just 112 points with a total of 124.5. The books have simply not adjusted enough here. The fact that these two teams recently played only adds more value to the under, as they will be more familiar with what the other team is looking to do offensively. UNDER is 8-2 in Purdue's 10 home games with a total listed and a perfect 6-0 in Rutgers last 6 road games after scoring 65 points or less in 2 straight games. UNDER is also 35-10 (78%) since 1997 in games where you have a total of 129.5 or less with the home team off an upset conference win against an opponent off a conference loss of 20 or more points. Roll the UNDER 123.5! |
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02-22-15 | Washington Wizards v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 195.5 | Top | 89-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY I'm expecting a defensive showdown in Detroit today between the Wizards and Pistons. UNDER is 12-2 in Washington's last 14 games in the 2nd half against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) and 12-3 in the Wizards last 15 games after a combined score of 205 or more points in their last contest. Roll the UNDER 195.5! |
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02-05-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 209 | Top | 101-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
50-STAR NBA OVER/UNDER *TOTAL OF THE MONTH* I think we are getting an inflated total here due to both of these teams coming off high-scoring games against the league's best offensive team in Golden State. These two teams have finished UNDER the total in each of their last 5 meetings, plus UNDER is 23-11 in Kings last 34 at home when playing with double-revenge and 16-5 in the Mavs last 21 road games against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 3+ boards per game. Roll the UNDER 209! |
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02-02-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 206 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
10* Timberwolves/Mavericks NBA Top Play BET: OVER 206 The Mavericks offense has struggled to find their rhythm since acquiring Rondo in a trade, but he's not expected to play tonight. Minnesota plays no defense and I look for Dallas to put up a big number offensively. The key here is that the Timberwolves should be able to keep it close enough to push this over the mark. OVER is 21-9-1 in the Timberwolves last 31 games when their opponent comes in having scored 100 or more in their last game and 7-3 in the Mavs last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Roll the OVER 206! |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 59 m | Show |
10* Seahawks/Patriots NFL Top Play BET: UNDER 47.5 I think this game could go either way and there's really no value betting the spread, which is why I turned my full attention to the total. I think there is a ton of value on the UNDER, as we have two of the best defenses in the league that are going to make life miserable for the opposing offenses. The Seahawks strength offensively is without question their running game, while the strength of the Patriots stop unit is their defense. Seattle's league-best pass defense, also matches up extremely well with New England's 9th ranked passing attack. I'm expecting a lot of empty possessions with both teams having to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns when they do make it into the redzone. Roll the UNDER 47.5! |
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02-01-15 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 187 | Top | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
10* Heat/Celtics NBA Top Play BET: UNDER 187 Value here is with the total. UNDER is 28-7 (80%) since 1996 in games where you have a total set between 180 to 189.5 points that features an average offensive team (92-98 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after scoring 85 or less. UNDER is also 14-4 in Miami's last 18 road games when listed as the underdog and 10-1 in the Celtics last 11 off back-to-back losses. Roll the UNDER 187! |
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01-31-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 105-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
10* Clippers/Spurs NBA Top Play BET: UNDER 202.5 Value here is on the total. UNDER is 39-14 (74%) in all games with a total of 200 to 209.5 where you have a team that's won 60% to 75% of their games that are playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Roll the UNDER 202.5! |
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01-30-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz OVER 205 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
10* Warriors/Jazz NBA Top Play BET: OVER 205 I'm expecting a shootout tonight in Utah between the Warriors and Jazz. OVER is 11-2 in the Warriors last 13 road games after a game with 30 or more assists, 4-0 in their last 4 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 4-1 in their last 5 games played on Friday. These two teams combined for 221 points at Utah back on Jan. 13. Roll the OVER 205! |
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01-27-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 212 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Bulls/Warriors NBA Top Play BET: UNDER 212 Great system backing a play on this one finishing below the mark. UNDER is 104-55 (65%) since 1996 in games with a total of 200 or more points where you have a top level team (75% or better) that has covered 3 of their last 4 against a team with a winning record. Roll the UNDER 212! |
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01-26-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Nuggets/Clippers NBA Top Play BET: UNDER 215.5 With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, I look for this one to finish well below the mark of 215.5. Neither team is going to be playing at their normal pace and the Nuggets have not been good offensively in their last 2 road games against quality teams, scoring just 79 at Golden State and 89 at Dallas. Clippers are only giving up 98.3 ppg at home. UNDER is 12-3 in Los Angeles' last 15 home games after a combined score of 205 points and 5-1-1 in Nuggets' last 7 road games against teams that have won more than 60% of their home games. Take the Under! |
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01-26-15 | Philadelphia 76ers v. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 188 | Top | 74-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
10* 76ers/Pelicans NBA Top Play BET: UNDER 188 The Pelicans aren't going to be overlooking the 76ers in this one, as they got embarrassed at Philadelphia 81-96 back on Jan. 16. With New Orleans focused, I look for this one to finish well below the mark. 76ers have gone OVER the total just once in their last 12 games and have failed to surpass 90 points in 5 of their last 7. UNDER is 15-4 in Philadelphia's last 19 off a loss by 15+, 9-0 after allowing 60 or more in the first half and 16-7 this season when listed as a road underdog. Take the Under! |
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01-25-15 | Boston Celtics v. Golden State Warriors OVER 214 | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
10* Celtics/Warriors NBA Top Play BET: OVER 214 Great long-term system in play. OVER is 117-65 (64%) since 1996 in games where you have a team off two road wins by 5 points or less. OVER is also 13-2 in Celtics last 15 after 3 or more consecutive unders and 8-0 in the Warriors last 8 after covering at least 8 of their last 10 games. Take the over! |
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01-25-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 208.5 | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
10* Pacers/Magic NBA Top Play BET: UNDER 208.5 Each of the last 20 meetings in this series have finished with a combined score of less than the total posted here. Also a strong system in play. UNDER is 41-16 (72%) when you have a team off 4 or more straight loss against an opponent off 5 or more straight losses. Take the under! |