50* SUN NIGHT FOOTBALL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 50.5) 

First things first with a midwest game in December, you have to check the forecast before playing the total. It’s going to be cold, but nothing these players can’t candle. Most importantly there’s no precipitation or strong winds expected. I think Mother Nature is the only thing that could keep these two teams from eclipsing this number.

I get the Bears have one of the best defenses in the NFL. There’s no denying that. I just think the Rams offense is simply too good for any defense to stop. They were average at best last week at Detroit and still managed to put 30 points up on the scoreboard. I think it’s also important to note that Tom Brady and the Patriots came into Soldier Field and put up 38 points earlier this season. 

The other big key here is I still think this Chicago offense is flying under the radar. Even with starting quarterback Mitch Trubisky out the past two games, they still managed 25 ppg and both of those were on the road. Trubisky and the Bears offense was really in a groove before he went down and we know this LA defense can be exposed.

Another factor here that I think favors the OVER is that while both defenses figure to give up plenty of points, both teams have a lot of playmakers on the defensive side of the ball. I think there’s going to be multiple turnovers and wouldn’t be shocked at all if both teams scored defensive touchdowns in this game.

I get 52 seems like a lot, but all we need is for a 30-23 final to cash a winning ticket. I actually think they score more than that and this thing ends up closer to 65. Give me the OVER 50.5!

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 216 in tonight's NBA action that has the Rockets visiting the Jazz. Utah is coming off a game where they set a new franchise record with 20 made 3-pointers and shot 61% from the field on their way to putting up a 139 points against the Spurs. Houston's defense has been slipping of late, but the offense has also picked up and I just don't think it's asking a lot for these two to hit at least 220. OVER is 28-15 in Utah's last 43 off a win by 15 or more and 8-1 in their 9 home games this season. Give me the OVER 216! 

50* NFL -GB/SEA- VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 48) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER at 48. I’ve said it time and time before, the books just don’t adjust the number enough on the total for these Thursday games. Playing good defense is all about effort and energy, where offense is more about execution. Three days just isn’t enough for these defensive guys to recover and play at their full potential.

We saw this first hand last week with the Panthers/Steelers matchup, which saw Pittsburgh eclipse the total on their own as the two combined for 73 points. There have only been two times this season where they OVER hasn’t hit on a Thursday game with teams playing on short rest. That was Week 3 with the Browns/Jets (only missed the over by a point and would have hit had Mayfield started instead of coming in for Tyrod Taylor). The other was a couple weeks ago with the 49ers/Raiders, where Oakland is in full-on tank mode.

This week we got two of the best quarterbacks in the game in Aaron Rodgers for Green Bay and Russell Wilson for the Seahawks. I expect both teams to have a lot of success moving the football.

The Packers are at the bigger disadvantage here, as they not only have to play on short-rest but they have to travel quite a ways for this one and it’s been quite a run of travel for Green Bay of late. They traveled to the west coast to play the Rams in Week 8, then went across the country to the east coast to play New England. They returned home for a game against Miami and are now headed back west.

For Seattle, I think it’s going to no only be tough for them to recover physically, but that was a very emotional game against a division rival where they were playing with revenge. Tough turnaround here for them to get up defensively after trying to contain that Rams offense.

While this is more about rest than anything for me, it’s worth noting the OVER is a solid 35-19 in the Packers last 54 as a road dog (avg. score in these games is 51.3)  and 13-4 in the Seahawks last 17 as a home favorite of 3-points or less. Give me the OVER 48! 

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 51.5) 

Those that have been following from the start of the year, know how much I like the OVER in these Thursday night games. There's only been two games this season on Thursday with teams playing on short rest that have went under the total. One of those was last week, where who the hell knows what Gruden and the Raiders are doing. The other was a game that went under by just 1-point. Tonight we got two of the best offenses in the NFL, who both have top tier quarterbacks. I get how good Pittsburgh has been defensively and who the Panthers have on the defensive side of the ball, they just aren't going to be as good on just 3 days of rest, especially this late in the year. Not to mention the unfamiliarity these two teams have with this being a non-conference game and both teams coming off big division wins. Give me the OVER 51.5! 

50* RAIDERS/49ERS VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 45) 

I’ve recommended the OVER in every single Thursday Night game since Week 2, which is when the teams first have to play these games on just 3-days rest. All but one of them have finished OVER the total and that one just missed out by a single point. Many of the ones that have hit haven’t even been close. I could definitely see this one between the 49ers and Raiders flying over the total. 

What’s the real incentive for either of these teams right now? Oakland is trading away their best players for future draft picks and the 49ers season was over as soon as Garoppolo went down. The best strategy for both teams is certainly to not win games, as they are much better off tanking for a better draft pick. I know that doesn’t happen in the NFL like it does in the NBA, but I think we are starting to see the league trend more that way. We are definitely seeing a lot more action at the trade deadline than we have in the past.

The road team is always at a disadvantage in these games and the Raiders defense couldn’t be playing much worse. Oakland is dead last in the NFL against the run, giving up 144.7 ypg. San Francisco is 21st against the pass (275.5 ypg) and 13th against the run (102.9 ypg), but keep in mind they have played Arizona’s anemic offense twice. They also might be without linebacker Reuben Foster, corner Richard Sherman and safety Jaquiski Tartt. All of which are questionable to play.

The other key here is that these two teams have some decent talent on the offensive side of the ball. I think both teams have a realistic shot here of scoring somewhere between 27-34 points and all we need is for something like 27-20 to cash a winning ticket.

Lastly, there’s a great system in play. The Over is 64-29 (69%) over the last 10 seasons in non-conference games, where one team (49ers) is off a division loss by 7-points or less. Give me the Over 45!

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 219)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Kings and Grizzlies combining for at least 220 points. I think we are getting value here with Memphis coming off a dreadfully low-scoring game in their 92-84 win at Utah. Kings have combined for at least 238 points in all 4 games and have shot at least 50% from the field in every game. They are playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back, but this is a very young team and it's really early in the season, so I don't think it will effect their play at all. Opposing teams are shooting 51.5% against Sacramento, so Memphis will have no trouble getting their offense going. Give me the OVER 219! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 227.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 227.5 in Tuesday's NBA action between the Kings and Nuggets. Denver has held each of their first 3 opponents under 100 points, which I believe is keeping this total much lower than it should be. I don't see the defensive effort being there for the Nuggets in a big time sandwich game. Denver is off a home win against the Warriors and have LeBron and the Lakers on deck Thursday night on TNT. Not to mention the Kings are the perfect team to back for the OVER. Sacramento is playing at the fastest pace in the league and are one of the worst in the league in defensive efficiency. Give me the OVER 227.5! 

50* TEXAS TECH/TCU BIG 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 61) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 61 in Thursday's Big 12 clash between Texas Tech and TCU. I just think the public can’t help themselves when it comes to playing the OVER in games involving Texas Tech. So far it’s paid off great, as the OVER is 4-1 in the Red Raiders’ first 5 games. However, I believe the books know that’s where the money is going to come in and have inflated this number quite a bit. 

Last year TCU went on the road and beat Texas Tech 27-3 for a combined score of just 30 points, which was well below the posted total for that matchup of 54. The year before that we saw a ridiculous total of 87.5 and the game ended up 27-24 for a total of just 51.

I think it’s going to be the same old story in this one. This high-powered Texas Tech offense will be up against one of the best defenses in the country. TCU ranks 35th against the run (125.6 ypg) and are 23rd vs the pass (178.0 ypg). Gary Patterson knows how to slow down this Red Raiders attack and he’s had nearly two weeks to get his defense prepared. I also think the game being played at home is huge for TCU’s defense, as they should be able to feed off the crowd.

We also don’t know who is going to be at quarterback for the Red Raiders. Week 1 starter McLane Carter is questionable with an ankle injury and his replacement, Alan Bowman is doubtful after suffering a collapsed lung against West Virginia. I believe they end up going with Jett Duffey, who replaced Bowman vs West Virginia. I think that's going to be a problem for Texas Tech. Duffey is a much bigger threat with his legs than his arm and has already thrown 3 interceptions on just 36 attempts.

TCU is also dealing with an injury to their starting quarterback, as Shawn Robinson hurt his non-throwing shoulder in the final minutes against Iowa State. Patterson has said he will be available, but may not start. Regardless of who starts, the Horned Frogs are built to run the football and one of the reasons they were able to hold Texas Tech to just 3-points last year in Lubbock, is they ran it so effectively. TCU had 204 rushing yards compared to just 85 passing (only attempted 17 passes). Patterson knows that the best way to slow down this Red Raiders offense is to keep them on the sidelines.

It’s also worth noting the UNDER is 21-6 in the Horned Frogs last 27 conference games, 11-4 in their last 15 overall and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 off a bye. UNDER is also 4-1 in Texas Tech’s last 5 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 vs conference foes. Give me the UNDER 61! 

50* SAINTS/REDSKINS MNF SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 52.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 52.5 on the total. I think a lot of people are going to see that games involving the Saints this year have seen an average score of 64.4 ppg and the fact that these two combined for 65 points in last year’s meeting in New Orleans and just assume this thing is going to fly over the total.

Last year’s outcome was a bit of a fluke in terms of how many points were scored. The two teams were sitting on 40 midway through the 4th quarter. That was also late in the year with the Redskins dealing with some big injuries on the defensive side of the ball.

With Alex Smith replacing Kirk Cousins, the Redskins are much more balanced and conservative offense than the previous versions under Cousins who really relied on an aggressive passing attack. The numbers back this up, as Washington finished 28th in the league in rushing last year at 90.5 ypg. While it’s still really early, they are sitting 5th in the NFL in rushing in 2018 at 137.7 ypg. When your attack is built around the ground game, you typically see a lot longer possessions and it also keeps the defense fresh.

Speaking of the Redskins defense, Washington comes into this game ranked 7th in the NFL against the run (90.7 ypg) and 3rd agains the pass (187.3 ypg). They held Andrew Luck and the Colts to just 21 points and Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to only 17, so there’s a good chance this defense continues to shine.

As far as the Saints offense is concerned, their numbers are inflated quite a bit due to the fact that they got to play an atrocious Bucs defense and a depleted Falcons defense. I also think they are going to focus even more on the running game now that Mark Ingram is back from his 4-game suspension. I also think those struggles in the redzone that popped up last week against the Giants could play a big role in this thing staying under the mark. Give me the UNDER 52.5!

50* RAMS/VIKINGS VEGAS SHARP TOP PLAY (Over 49)

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 49 in Thursday's NFL showdown between the Vikings and Rams. I know last week’s Thursday night game was a defensive battle between the Jets and Browns, but it still came within 1-point of going OVER the total. These Thursday night games are typically higher scoring. Not only do teams have just 3 days to prepare, but their bodies only get 3 days to recover. Defense is all about energy and effort and players just aren’t flying around the field like they would be on normal rest.

It also helps having one of the best offensive teams in the league playing. The Rams are making it look easy on the offensive side of the ball and as good as the Vikings are defensively, I don’t see them slowing down this attack, especially on the road. Not to mention, I think Los Angeles will be out to send a message against this Minnesota defense that held them to just 7 points last year. Reminds me a lot of their second meeting against the Seahawks last year. The Rams scored just 10-points in a loss at home to Seattle in Week 5, only to put up 42 on them in Week 15.

The Vikings defense will be without stud defensive end Everson Griffen and that's a huge loss for that stop unit against an elite offense. 

As for Minnesota’s offense against the Rams defense. As bad as the Vikings looked offensively in that game against the Bills, that’s as bad as you will see them play on that side of the ball, probably the rest of the year. We also saw Los Angeles not look nearly as good on defense in their step up in competition after facing the Raiders and Cardinals the first two weeks. Philip Rivers threw for 2 scores and Melvin Gordon Rushed for 80 yards on just 15 carries, as the Charges amassed 356 yards.

The Rams are also dealing with some big injuries right now. Both Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib had to leave the game against the Chargers with ankle injuries. Both are out for this one and they will also be without linebacker Mark Barron. Kirk Cousins should be able to pick up big yards down the field and the Vikings will likely be forced to push the ball to try and keep pace with that Rams offense.

OVER is 30-15 in the Vikings last 45 games vs excellent passing teams that average 7.5+ yards per pass attempt and 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs elite teams that come in outscoring their opponents by 10+ points/game. Give me the OVER 49!

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 39.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 39.5 in Thursday's NFL action that has the Browns hosting the Jets.  I just feel the number here is a bit of an overreaction to what we just saw. The Jets managed just 12 points in a game with the Dolphins that saw a combined 32 points and went well below the posted total of 43. Cleveland managed just 18 in a game with the Saints that saw 39 points to go well UNDER the total of 51.

While both of these offenses do have their limitations, I think we could see both teams score into the 20s in this one. The biggest factor here is this being a Thursday night game. It’s extremely hard on these NFL players to turn around and play a game with just 3 days of rest and it’s a big reason why we see a lot of high-scoring games in these Thursday games. So much of defense is effort and these guys are playing at less than 100%. Not to mention they also have 3 fewer days to prepare for the opposition.

The other thing for me is that both offenses moved the ball better than their scoring output would suggest. Cleveland had 327 yards against the Saints and the Jets had 362 against the Dolphins.

You also have to look at these two defenses and how they been able to rack up turnovers early on. After forcing 6 turnovers against the Steelers in Week 1, the Browns had 2 more against the Saints. The Jets force 5 in Week 1 on the road against the Lions and 2 more on Sunday against Miami. While turnovers can be drive killers, they can also lead to short fields and quick scores. I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw at least 1 defensive touchdown in this game.

We also have great OVER situations in play involving both teams. OVER is 31-9 over the last 5 seasons when you have a team (Browns) off a road cover where they lost outright as a dog in the month of September. OVER is also 42-16 over the last 10 years when you have a team off an upset loss as a home favorite in September. Give me the OVER 39.5! 

50* NCAAF 'SEC' TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Ole Miss/Alabama OVER 70) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 70 in Saturday's big SEC clash between Ole Miss and Alabama. For starters, these two teams have combined for at least 69 points in each of the last 3 meetings. Last time they played in Oxford, Alabama won 48-43 in a game that had a total of just 53. I know 70 points is a lot, but I just have a hard time seeing these two not reaching that mark.

This isn’t your typical Alabama offense that we have seen in the past under Nick Saban. Sophomore quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is the most gifted signal-caller Saban has had in his decade-plus run at Alabama. His ability to shred opposing secondaries, makes this unit almost impossible to stop. You still can’t stop the Crimson Tide from running the football, but if you load the box Tagovailoa is going to make you pay.

There might be some SEC teams that can hold them in check to some degree, but I certainly don’t think one of those is Ole Miss. The Rebels gave up 34.6 ppg last year and don’t look all that improved in 2018. They gave up 486 yards to Texas Tech in their opener and the Red Raiders had to replace their starting QB, leading rusher and 5 of their top 6 pass catchers. They followed that up by allowing 41 points and 629 yards to an FCS school.

I think Alabama has a great shot here of scoring 50 or more points and that means we need just a little bit of help from the Rebels to push this over the total. I know the Crimson Tide defense has looked great in their first two games, but there’s a ton of talent on the Ole Miss offense. Senior quarterback Jordan Ta’amu has been excellent and they got playmakers at both running back and receiver. I think they can have some success against an inexperienced Alabama defense that only returned 3 starers and who will be playing their first true road game.

OVER is 11-1 in the Rebels last 12 home games and 8-2 in their last 10 against a conference opponent. OVER is also 5-0 in Alabama’s last 5 games played in the month of September. Take the OVER 70.

50* NFL WEEK 1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 48) 

I'll likely be on a lot of OVERs in Chiefs' games this year. I think Kansas City's offense is going to light the NFL on fire with Mahomes and all those playmakers at his disposal. The key here is that they are going to be pressed into scoring a lot, because the defense could be a weakness, especially with Eric Berry sidelined (doubtful). KC isn't the only team in this fight that will be missing an elite defensive player. Joey Bosa is not going to play for the Chargers, who are already without defensive tackle Corey Liuget, as he serves a 4-game suspension. I look for both teams to move it up and down the field with a lot of big plays through the air that lead to quick scores and this one flying over the total. Give me the OVER 48! 

50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5)

I'll gladly take my chances with the White Sox and Angles going UNDER the 8.5 total set here by the books. The Angels will have Felix Pena on the mound and he's got a 2.14 ERA in 6 road starts. White Sox will counter with their future ace in Carlos Rodon, who has a 2.89 ERA and 1.023 WHIP in 15 starts overall and a 2.23 ERA and 0.890 WHIP in 7 starts at home. Add in less than ideal conditions for scoring with winds blowing in from left at close to 15 mph and I don't see either offense doing much in this one. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NCAAF VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 64.5) 

Syracuse likes to push the tempo (Babers calls the plays and comes from Baylor’s uptempo attack under Art Briles) and should have their best offense in quite some time. Not only do the Orange get Dungey back, but they return their top 3 rushers, and 4 of 5 starters on the offensive line.

I think Western Michigan is going to have a really tough time slowing that offense down. The Broncos lose all 3 starters at linebacker (5 of 7 overall on the front 7) and star corner Darius Phillips.

Western Michigan is going to have no choice here but to try and go score for score with Syracuse and I think they are definitely capable of doing that. The Broncos have 8 starters back with most of their key pieces back and some talented guys ready to step in for those that departed. They put up 31 last year at USC in the opener last year and I think they eclipse that mark in this one.

The key here is Syracuse also lost a lot from their defense. The Orange lost their top 4 linebackers from last year and have just one career start on the roster at the position. In total, 5 of their top 7 tacklers are gone. Keep in mind this is a team that allowed 35.6 ppg and 485 ypg on the road last year and are just 4-14 in true road openers.

OVER is 10-2 in the Broncos last 12 home games and 12-2 in their last 14 at home in the first month of the season. Give me the OVER 64.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 9)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 9 in Monday's action that has the Yankees hosting the White Sox. The public loves to back the OVER in Yankee games, especially at home, but I just don't see either offense being able to get much going in this one. Chicago will send out Carlos Rodon, who has a 2.05 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in his last 3 starts and now owns a 2.71 ERA in 13 starts overall. Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka, who has allowed just 3 runs in his last 2 starts and owns a 2.23 ERA and 1.268 WHIP in 5 career starts against the White Sox. Take the UNDER! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 8 in Saturday's NL East clash between the Braves and Marlins. These two teams combined for just 5 run in Atlanta's 5-0 win on Thursday and only 1 in Miami's 1-0 win on Friday. I look for both offenses to stay ice cold in this one. The Braves will turn to Animal Sanchez, who is 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 9 road starts. The Marlins will counter with Wei-Yin Chen, who has a 2.08 ERA and 0.807 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 2.05 ERA in 10 starts overall at home this season. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 8.5 in Friday's NL Central clash between the Pirates and Brewers. This total is simply too high for the starting pitching matchup. Pittsburgh will send out Joe Musgrave, who has a 2.18 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 5 road starts and comes in with a solid 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee will send out Wade Miley, who has a strong 2.18 ERA in 9 starts overall in 2018 and a 2.38 ERA in 3 starts at home. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 10) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 10 in Thursday's NL West clash between the Padres and Rockies. You have to pick your spots with taking the UNDER at Coors Field, but I feel we have a great number and pitching matchup to get us the win. Colorado will send out Kyle Freeland, who is 7-2 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in 11 home starts. In those 11 home starts with Freeland on the mound, the UNDER has cashed 10 times. San Diego will counter with Joey Lucchesi, who has a solid 3.22 ERA and 1.156 WHIP in 7 road starts and a 1.69 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 starts against the Rockies this season. That includes an outing at Colorado, where he gave up just 4 hits and didn't allow an earned run in 6 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 10! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 8 in Monday's showdown between two of the best in the AL, as the Red Sox host the Indians. This one will feature a matchup of former Cy Young winners, as Corey Kluber takes the mound for Cleveland and Rick Porcello toes the rubber for Boston. Kluber has been lights out of late, posting a 1.96 ERA and 0.783 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Porcello allowed just 1 run on 2 hits with 10 strikeouts in his last start at Philadelphia and the last time he took the mound at home he threw a 1-run complete game against the Yankees. I also think both pitchers have an edge, as this is the first time this season and just the second time since 2016 that Boston will have faced off against Kluber. Porcello on the other hand hasn't faced the Indians since 2016. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 8 in Saturday's AL West showdown between the Astros and A's. The intensity of this series got turned up a notch after Oakland's dramatic walk-off 4-3 win in extra innings on Friday. The A's are now just 1-game back of Houston for the AL West lead. I think the early start time after last night's contest really benefits the starters and we have two guys who are really throwing the ball well facing off in this one. Astros are giving the rock to Dallas Keuchel, who has a 2.25 ERA and 1.100 WHIP over his last 3 starts. A's will counter with Trevor Cahill, who is a perfect 3-0 with a ridiculous 0.99 ERA and 0.832 WHIP in 7 home starts (UNDER is 6-1). Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 8 in Thursday's night cap between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Runs are tough enough to come by at Petco Park when a couple of struggling starters take the mound. I think both teams will have a difficult time getting anything going with tonight's starting pitching matchup. Arizona will give the ball to Play Buchholz, who has a 2.25 ERA and 1.140 WHIP in 11 starts. San Diego will counter with one of their top young prospects in Jacob Nix, who was sensational in his first career start last Friday, allowing just 4 hits over 6 shutout innings against the Phillies. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 8 in tonight's prime time showdown between the Cubs and Nationals. Chicago has been in a bit of a funk offensively of late and it's unlikely they snap out of it against arguably the best pitcher in the game in Max Scherzer, who is 15-5 with a 2.28 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in his last 24 starts. While the Nationals roughed up the struggling Jon Lester on Saturday, they now face the red-hot Cole Hamels, who has allowed 1 run on just 10 hits in 11 innings over his first 2 starts with the Cubs. UNDER is 5-0 in Chicago's last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 8-3 in Washington's last 11 road games vs a left-handed starter. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* NL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 8.5 in Saturday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Pirates. This one is all about the starting pitching matchup and how both starters should keep the opposing offense in check. St Louis will turn to Austin Gomber, who took a no hitter into the 7th inning of his first big league start. Doing so on the road against the Reds, who play in one of the strongest hitter parks in the majors. Pittsburgh will counter with Ivan Nova, who has been at his best when he throws in front of his home crowd at PNC Park. Nova has a 3.15 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 8.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 8.5 in Friday's matchup that has the Rockies visiting the Brewers. This is all about the home/away splits of today's two starters. Colorado will send out German Marquez, who has a 3.30 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 10 road starts, which is quite a bit better than his 4.90 ERA on the season. Milwaukee will turn to Junior Guerra, wh has a mere 3.43 ERA in 20 starts overall, but owns a 2.45 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 12 home starts. UNDER is also 24-10-1 in the Brewers last 35 at home vs a team with a winning road record and 16-5 in Guerra's last 21 starts after allowing 5 or more runs in his previous start. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 7.5 in Thursday's NL West showdown between the Diamondbacks and Giants. No need to overthink this one, we have two of the best starters in the game going head-to-head in this one. San Francisco sends out their ace in Madison Bumgarner against Arizona's ace Zack Greinke. Bumgarner has posted a rock-solid 3.04 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in 10 starts after missing a good portion of the season early and has a 2.62 ERA and 1.087 WHIP in 30 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Greinke is 12-5 with a 2.96 ERA in 22 starts, owns a 2.39 ERA and 0.990 WHIP in 11 home starts and has a 0.79 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also 12-2 with a 2.31 ERA in 18 career starts against San Francisco. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 9.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nationals and Brewers staying UNDER the mark of 9.5 set by the books. This is all about the starting pitching matchup and the strong home/away splits for today's two starters. Washington's Jeremy Hellickson has a 2.53 ERA and 0.961 WHIP in 9 road starts. Milwaukee's Junior Guerra has a 2.55 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 11 home starts. UNDER is 7-2 in Hellickson's 9 road starts and 7-3-1 in Guerra's 11 home starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 9) 

These two teams combined for just 7 runs in Monday's series opener, but it could have been a lot higher scoring than that. Most notably the Nationals scored just 3 runs on 3 homers. That was also with two top tier starters on the mound in Scherzer and Porcello. With Brian Johnson going for Boston and Tanner Roark starting for Washington, I think both teams have the potential here to surpass the total on their own. Note that the conditions are going to be miserable for pitching with the heat index expected to be in the 100's. Give me the OVER 9! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Dodgers and Pirates staying UNDER the total of 7.5 in Monday's contest. The ball simply doesn't carry well in night games at Dodgers Stadium and I think this is a much better starting pitching matchup than a lot of people realize. Pittsburgh will send out Nick Kingham, who has a sensational 0.991 WHIP in 6 starts and has simply been unlucky to come in with a 3.82 ERA. As for LA, the Dodgers will turn to Alex Wood, who is trending in the right direction with a 2.89 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I look for both teams to struggle to get much going offensively and for this to stay well under the mark. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8)

I'll take my chances here with St Louis and Miami staying UNDER the total of 8 set by the books. The Marlins' Jose Urena is just 0-7 with a 4.41 ERA, but has pitched much better than the numbers suggest and is coming off a strong outing in his last start against the Padres (allowed 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings). Cardinals will counter with Carlos Martinez, who is 3-2 with a  1.62 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in 8 starts. It's also worth noting that the UNDER is 13-3 in St. Louis' 16 games this season when they are playing a team that's won fewer than 38% of their games. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Twins and Indians going UNDER the total of 9.5 on Thursday. I think we are seeing a bit of an inflated number here given how each offense comes into this series. Cleveland has scored 7 or more runs in 5 straight games, but the final 3 were against the White Sox and all 5 were at home. The Indians only average 3.9 runs/game on the road and will be up against a red-hot starter in Jake Odorizzi, who has a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts and 1.14 ERA in 4 home starts. Minnesota has scored 8 or more in 2 of their last 3, but that was against the Royals. The Indians will send out one of their top prospects in Shane Bieber and there's been nothing but good things said about this kid and I expect him to pitch well here. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers and Angels going UNDER the mark of 9 set by the books. This is a really high total given the circumstances. Detroit will send out one of their best starters here in Michael Fulmer, who has pitched well in each of his last 2 outings and owns a respectable 3.91 ERA and 1.224 WHIP in 4 home starts. He'll also be facing a struggling LA offense that has scored 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. Angels will send out Nick Tropeano, who has a 2.33 ERA and 1.035 WHIP in 3 road starts. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 212.5) 

As you can tell by the spread, the books aren't expecting a close game in Game 6, as the Warriors are laying close to 13-points at home. While I wouldn't be shocked if Golden State covered the big spread, given they are facing elimination and the Rockets are without a key piece in Chris Paul, I think the real value is with the total. After combining for just 187 points in Game 4 and 192 in Game 5, we have seen the total drop almost 15 points from Game 4 to Game 6. I just think Houston is looking more ahead to Game 7 at home and won't be as good defensively here, especially with Paul sidelined. Golden State is also due for an offensive explosion and I think we see them get to around 220 with Houston doing more than enough to push it over the mark here. Give me the OVER 212.5

50* MLB EARLY BIRD TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 9.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the White Sox and Orioles going UNDER the mark of 9.5 set by the books. Baltimore is in a funk offensively right now. The Orioles have scored just 6 runs in their last 4 games combined. I know the numbers aren't great for Chicago starter Lucas Giolito, but  he has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of his 9 starts. The White Sox aren't a great offensive team and I like Orioles starter Dylan Bundy to keep them in check. Bundy has been much better in his last 2 starts after a miserable 3-start stretch that saw him allow 19 runs. Bundy has also been sensational when he takes the mound in day games. He's got a 0.70 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 4 day starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 206.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Celtics and Cavs staying UNDER the mark of 206.5 set by the books. These two teams combined for 113 points in Game 4 to go OVER the total for the first time in the series. Most will just assume this will be another high-scoring game, but the first two games in Boston suggest otherwise. The Celtics were a completely different team defensive in Games 1 and 2 at home, holding the Cavs to 83 and 94 points respectively. I think Cleveland once again has trouble to score away from home. I also think with how big this game is that we get another big effort from the Cavs on the defensive end to keep Boston from going off. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if we saw both teams fail to reach 100 points. Give me the UNDER 206.5! 

50* MLB (NL) TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 8.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Pittsburgh/San Diego finishing under the total set here of 8.5. I just think this is way too big a number given the form of today's two starters. San Diego will give the rock to Jordan Lyles, who appears to have figured something out. Lyles made his 2018 debut on 5/10 and allowed just 1 run with 6 strikeouts in 5 innings. He followed that up by allowing just 1 hit over 7 1/3 shutout innings. I'm buying these two starts in a big way. Lyles has 16 strikeouts to just 2 walks. Pittsburgh counters with Trevor Williams, who has a sensational 2.72 ERA in 9 starts overall and a 2.22 ERA in 4 outings at home. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) 

I'll take my chances here with the Indians and Astros staying UNDER the mark set here by the books. The starting pitching matchup might not feature the elite names that you would expect to see for a pitcher's duel, but we got two of the best in the game for 2018 with Cleveland's Mike Clevinger and Houston's Charlie Morton. Clevinger is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.069 WHIP in 8 starts and has a 0.83 ERA in 3 road outings. Morton is 5-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in 8 starts and owns a 1.96 ERA in 4 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 195.5) 

I'll take my chances with Game 7 between the Celtics and Bucks finishing UNDER the mark set by the books. This series has really shifted to a defensive battle. After combining for at least 206 in each of the first 4, they scored just 179 in Game 5 and 183 in Game 6. The Bucks have held the Celtics to 42% or worse from the field in each of the last 4 games and Boston held Milwaukee to a mere 87 points on 37% shooting last time these two played at the Garden. With this being a winner-take-all scenario, I think the pressure and defensive intensity from both sides will have this game finishing in the 180's. Take the UNDER 195.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 7.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Game 1 of this NL Central rivalry going UNDER the mark set by the books. It's all about the conditions when it comes to betting the total in Chicago's home games. Today is going to favor the pitchers, as temps will be in the 30's with the wind blowing straight in from center. I also like the pitching matchup. St Louis will send out Adam Wainwright, who is coming off a great start against the Brewers and allowed just 4 runs over 19 2/3 innings in his 3 starts against the Cubs last year. Chicago countess with Tyler Chatwood, who I think is going to have a great season now that he's not pitching half his games at Coors Field. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 223.5) 

My money is on the Bucks and Nuggets going OVER the total set here by the books. Milwaukee has seen the OVER go 10-1 in their last 11 games, as they continue to light it up on the offensive side and struggle to defend on the defensive side. The Bucks have scored 115 or more points in 9 of their last 11 games and have allowed 100+ in all 11. The Nuggets are in a similar boat, as the OVER is 4-1-1 in their last 6. During this 6-game stretch Denver is averaging 120.7 ppg and allowing 118.8 ppg for an average combined score just under 240. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 197)

My money is on the UNDER in this one, as we have the Jazz hosting the Grizzlies. Memphis comes in off back-to-back upset wins over the Timberwolves and Blazers and their defense played a big part in both of those wins. The Grizzlies held Minnesota to just 93 points on the road and followed that up by allowing just 103 to Portland. Those are two of the better offensive teams in the league. While the defense has been much better of late, the offense is still a mess. Memphis is averaging just 97.2 ppg over their last 5 games, a stretch in which they have also shot just 43.4% from the field. Utah is an elite defensive team, especially at home, where they are giving up just 96.9 ppg and holding teams to just 43.5% shooting. Coming off an upset loss at home to a short-handed Boston team and the Jazz far from safe in the west playoff race (currently 8th), I think we get a big effort here from the Jazz and this game stays well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 197! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 194.5) 

My money is on Wednesday's NBA action between the Celtics and Jazz going UNDER the mark set by the books. Boston has been hit hard with injuries. They are without both Kryie Irving and Marcus Smart and aren't expected to have Marcus Morris for this game against the Jazz. Morris has been one of the Celtics best scorers with Irving out, as he leads the team with 18.3 ppg in the month of March. I just have a hard time seeing Boston being to get much of anything going offensively on the road against the Jazz, who are one of the league's best defensive teams, especially at home, where they are allowing just 96.9 ppg and holding opponents to 43.5% shooting. While The Celtics offense figures to struggle, I expect them to play hard defensively, which has been a staple of this team under Stevens. I don't see either team reaching the century mark in this one. Give me the UNDER 194.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 221.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Knicks/Hornets going UNDER the mark set here by the books. Charlotte is averaging 109.6 ppg over their last 5, but that's a bit misleading, as they had a 140 points in 1 game against the Grizzlies. That's the only one of the five that went OVER the total. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the Knicks last 5. With New York playing well and the Hornets fighting for their playoff lives, I look for a much lower-scoring game than what the books are expecting with this number in the 220s. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

50* WEST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 143) 

My money is on Thursday's game between San Diego State and Houston finishing under the mark set here by the books. Both of these teams are built around their defense. Only Cincinnati posted a better defensive efficiency in the AAC than the Cougars. Houston not only plays great defense, but they do an excellent job of limiting second-chance points. That's going to make it tough for San Diego State to score. The Aztecs were the best defensive team in the MWC, thanks in large part to their length. All that size is great, but if you can play good defense like Houston does, you can make it really hard on San Diego State to score, as they aren't a great 3-point shooting team. I just think this is the ideal recipe for a low-scoring grind it out type of game and we are getting a great price to back the under here. Give me the UNDER 143! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 226.5)

My money is on the Warriors and Wizards flying over the total tonight. Washington continues to surprise people with how well they are playing without All-Star point guard John Wall. They just won on the road last night 107-104 at Milwaukee. It was the 14th straight game that the Wizards eclipsed the 100-point mark. The Warriors haven't scored fewer than 112 points in 7 straight games. A stretch where the OVER has gone 5-2. Golden State continues to play at a frantic pace and with the Wizards in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, they should dictate the tempo here and I believe that will have this one in the 230s and maybe even the 240s. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 141) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Monday's Notre Dame/Miami matchup going UNDER the total here of 141. Both of these teams expected to be sitting better than they are at this point in the season, but each has struggled to cope with the loss of one of their best players. For Miami they lost Bruce Brown. Notre Dame not only lost an NBA talent in Bonzie Colson, but they are also without star freshman D.J. Harvey. Both teams are on the fringe of being considered for the NCAA Tournament and both desperately need this game. I think that will have the defensive intensity all the way up and with Miami's recent shooting struggles and Notre Dame's methodical pace, this game will stay well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 141! 

50* NCAAB ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 162)

I got no problem backing the OVER here with Duke and Virginia Tech. These are two of the best offensive teams in the country. The Blue Devils lead the nation in offensive efficiency and the Hokies are sitting at 19th. That combined with the fact that Duke also plays at the fastest pace in the country and should dictate the tempo, should have this flying over the total set here.

The Hokies give up 78 on the road and I wouldn't be shocked if they were a bit flat on that side off that big win over in-state rival Virginia. Duke averages 92.6 ppg at home and the only ACC team to keep them under 80 at home is Virginia. The Blue Devils could score 100 here. Give me the OVER 162! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 148.5)

My money is on a much higher-scoring game than what the books are projecting with this total. A big key to this is I don't think Michigan State is going to be locked in defensively here coming off that emotional win at home over Purdue. Keep in mind prior to that highly anticipated matchup with the Boilermakers they combined for 189 points at Iowa. Minnesota plays at the second fastest pace in the Big Ten and are averaging 81 ppg at home this season. The other key here is they aren't a great defensive team, ranking 12th out of the 14 teams in the conference in defensive efficiency. They have allowed 75 or more in each of their last 4 games and 10 of their last 11. The Spartans are averaging 83.1 ppg on the season and 75.1 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 148.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 134.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here on the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 game between Texas and Baylor. These two teams played back in early January and combined for just 129 points. These are two strong defensive teams and given how much this game means for both of these teams, I think we get a huge effort here from both sides. UNDER is 12-4 in the last 16 games Baylor has played with a line of +3 to -3 and 7-1 in their last 8 off a win. UNDER is also 20-9 in the Longhorns last 29 games when revenging a loss and 12-1 in their last 13 when revenging a same season loss. Give me the UNDER 134.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 141.5) 

My money is on Saturday's big SEC showdown between Kentucky and Texas A&M finishing UNDER the total. I was on the UNDER in the Wildcats last game against Tennessee and won easily, as the two teams combined for just 120 points with a total of 143.5. I think we see a very similar defensive battle here, as Kentucky has to rely so much on their defense with how limited they are offensively. Texas A&M has been excellent defensively, holding opposing teams to just 39.4% shooting, which is the 8th best mark in the country. Kentucky isn't far behind, as they only allow teams to shoot 40.8% (31st). Both of these teams also rank outside the Top 240 in both 3-point shooting and free throw percentage. I'll take my chances with a total in the 140s given these circumstances every time. Give me the UNDER 141.5!

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 214) 

These are two teams that can play at an elite level when they are locked in, but both have had their struggles with consistency and playing with that same energy against sub-par teams. I think we get a big time effort here from both sides, as their's a lot of star power and the game will be televised nationally on TNT. Washington averages 106.5 ppg on the season, but just 102.6 on the road, where they only shoot 44%. OKC only gives up 100.0 ppg at home and outside of that 148-point outburst against the Cavs, the offense hasn't been anything special. In fact, they have worse than 43% from the field in 4 of their last 6 games, including a mere 42.6% in their last game at home against the Nets. Give me the UNDER 214! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 206.5)

It doesn't matter when these two teams play each other, the intensity level is going to be very high. It's only going to be that much more intense with this being a nationally televised game on Christmas Day, which is also the first time these two teams have played since they went to a Game 7 in last year's playoffs. The Celtics are only giving up 98.2 ppg and can be elite on that side when they are locked in, which I have to believe they will be today. Washington is also a better defensive team than they get credit for. Their biggest problem is not showing up to play against bad teams. They lost that Game 7 last year and are going to give it everything they have here. Give me the UNDER 206.5! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 214) 

I've been on the Bulls a lot here of late (6x during their current 8-game ATS winning streak). I strongly considered taking them here as a double-digit dog, but I wouldn't be shocked if they struggled to keep this one competitive. A lot of their success of late has come against either bad teams or teams missing key players. They are also playing on no rest after playing last night and are catching the Cavs off a loss. 

With that said, I see a ton of value here in tonight's total. Cleveland is averaging 111.2 ppg and while the Bulls have been decent defensively during their run, again it's been a favorable stretch of opponents. I think we could see the Cavs put up 120+ here and that should be more than enough to push this well over the mark. Note the Bulls are giving up 110.5 ppg on the road on the season. The other key here is Chicago's offense is playing at a completely different level than they were to start the year. Dunn is a major factor and they have some legit 3-point shooting with Mirotic and Portis healthy. Bulls have averaged 111 ppg over their last 5, while shooting 48% from the field. I see a shootout in Cleveland tonight. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 48.5) 

These two teams played in Week 12 at Atlanta and combined for 54 points with Fitzpatrick under center for the Bucs. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense did a lot of the heavy lifting in that one, scoring 34 points on over 500 yards of offense. Since that game Tampa Bay has combined for 46 with the Packers with Hundley at QB and 45 at home against the Lions with a banged up Stafford. Even with the home field edge in a prime time game, I don't think this Bucs defense is going to have an answer for this Falcons offensive attack, which is going to be ready to roll after playing two of the better defenses in the league the last two weeks in the Vikings and Saints. It's also worth noting that Winston is back in the lineup for the Bucs and has looked good outside of some turnovers and I expect him to have a big game here. I think we could see both teams eclipse 30-points in this one. Give me the OVER 48.5! 

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 48.5)

I think the value here is on the total and this one going under the mark of 48.5. These two teams just played two weeks ago in New England and combined for 52 points, but I think there's a big edge here for these two defenses having just played the opposing offense. Miami also is a much better defensive team at home and are catching a huge break with Gronkowski being suspended. Keep in mind it was the Patriots who did the heavy lifting in terms of the total in that game two weeks ago, as they had 35 points. The defense held Miami to just 17 points and I think we see the Dolphins struggle to eclipse that mark here. Give me the UNDER 48.5! 

50* NCAAF SEC CONF CHAMP GAME OF THE MONTH (Under 48.5)

As dominant as Auburn was in that first meeting against Georgia, I don’t love backing teams in rematch games, especially when the first win came at home. I also feel like the Bulldogs didn’t given the Tigers their full attention, as the intensity level just wasn’t where it needed to be. I don’t see that happening this time around and could honestly see this one going either way. If I had to take a side I would lean towards Georgia getting the points, but I think the best value in this matchup is the UNDER.

For starters, I don’t see Auburn putting up 40 points on the Bulldogs in the rematch. That was one of only two games all season where Georgia allowed more than 20 points. The only other exception being the 28-points they allowed to Missouri and that was a bit of a fluke. Missouri scored their first touchdown off a turnover where they got the ball on the Georgia 5-yard line, had two 63-yard touchdown passes, scored a garbage touchdown late with the Bulldogs up 47-21. Simply put, the game against Auburn the first time around was as bad as the defense could have played and I believe a big part of that was they showed up thinking it was going to be another easy win.

You also have to factor in that Georgia’s defense will be better prepared for Auburn’s offense the second time around. I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to see the Bulldogs hold the Tigers under 20 points.

As for the Georgia offense, I don’t know that it’s going to be a whole lot easier the second time around against this Auburn defense. The Tigers completely shutdown the Bulldogs running game, holding Georgia to just 46 yards on 32 attempts, which comes out to 1.4 yards/carry. At the same time, even if Georgia has more success running the ball, it doesn’t mean they are going to score a ton of points. Auburn just allowed 209 rushing yards to Alabama and held the Tide to just 14 points.

I just don’t see either offense being able to get going to to the point to push this over the mark. Keep in mind that we could have a 27-21 final score and that still wouldn’t be enough. Personally I think it’s going to be more like 22-17, which gives us plenty of breathing room. Give me the UNDER 48.5.!

50* STANFORD/USC VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 58)

These two teams combined for 66 points in the first meeting, easily surpassing the total of 55. Now we are getting a full 3-points more in the rematch in what's easily the biggest game of the season for both teams. I think the defenses have a huge edge when facing a team for a second time and I look for this to turn into more of a defensive battle. 

Stanford is certainly better on defense right now than they were early on in the season when these two teams played. It's also worth noting that while Stanford did get an extra week to prepare for that game, they were coming off that long trip to Australia. I'm pretty confident they aren't going to let USC run all over them like they did in the first meeting. Keep in mind in their last game they held a potent Notre Dame rushing attack to just 154 yards on 44 attempts, which comes out to a 3.5 yards/carry. 

On the flip side of this, I also think USC's defense is going to play extremely well here. While K.J. Costello has improved the Cardinal's passing attack, it's still not very good. Stanford finished the year 97th against the pass, averaging just 183.7 ypg. Most of their offense in the first meeting came from running back Bryce Love, who had 160 yards on 17 attempts. While Love can still be electric at times, he hasn't been the same guy since hurting his ankle a few weeks back. Not to mention, the Trojans have had two weeks to put together a game plan to make sure he's accounted for at all time. 

I don't see either team getting to 30 points in this game, as I think we see a final score here around 27-23, giving us plenty of breathing room. Give me the UNDER 58! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MOMEY TOP PLAY (Under 210.5) 

The Lakers come into this game having scored 107 or more in each of their last 4 games, but only one of those came on the road and that was against a Blazers team that was playing on no rest after a grueling overtime loss the night before against the Jazz. Speaking of Utah, that's the best defense the Lakers have faced away from home and they managed just 81 points in a game that featured just 177 combined points. 

Boston allowed 107 in their last game at Atlanta, but that was a major letdown spot with the Celtics playing on no rest and the Hawks being one of the worst teams in the league. Prior to that Boston had held 8 straight teams to 94 or fewer points and that includes the likes of the Bucks, 76ers, Spurs and Thunder. Lakers aren't a great team, but teams are gearing up to play them because of all the Lonzo Ball drama with his dad running his mouth.

I look for the Celtics to really come out looking to make a statement here against LA. At the same time, I think the Lakers will bring the defensive intensity here and they are better on that side than people think, as they have held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 102 or fewer points. Give me the UNDER 210.5! 

50* NCAAF VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 48) 

I tend to lean towards lower-scoring games in a rivalry matchup like this and that's just the tip of the iceberg to why I like this one staying under 48 points. Western Michigan is down their starting quarterback and will be sending out a true freshmen for his first collegiate start. The Broncos were already a run first team and will be even more so here. I also think that allows the Chippewas defense to load the box early and force the freshman to beat him with his arm. On the flip side of this, Central Michigan has struggled to run the ball and don't figure to get it going here. They aren't anywhere close to as good offensively as they looked in their last game against Ball State and will struggle here just to get first downs. Give me the UNDER 48! 

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 49.5) 

The first meeting between these two division rivals saw a combined 47 points, but that was with both teams recording defensive touchdowns. There were also a few other scores that were aided by a short field off a turnover (6 turnovers in the game). Both teams know what to expect from the opponent and I see no reason why the total here is higher than the output they had in the first meeting. You get a lot of talk about these two offenses, but both are rock-solid on the defensive side of the ball. Add in the extra incentive to play well on MNF and this should have no problem staying under 50 points. Give me the UNDEr 49.5! 

50* CHIEFS/RAIDERS AFC WEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 46) 

I wasn't surprised to see the Chiefs offense struggle last week against the Steelers. Pittsburgh's defense has had this teams number, shutting them down in the 3 meetings over the last 2 seasons. As bad as KC looked in that game, you can't forget just how good this offense was to start the season. I know they lost some wide outs, but all are guys they can replace and really weren't big factors in the offense to begin with. They still have their dynamic trio of Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and Kareem Hunt. I do expect the Raiders offense to come to life here, as this Chiefs defense is giving up 378 yards/game and 6.2 yards/play. I also think defenses are at a much bigger disadvantage on these short weeks with such little time to prepare. Give me the OVER 46! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 9.5) 

Each of the first 3 games have seen 7 or fewer runs scored and last night with the wind blowing out they scored just 7 with total of 8. The wind will be blowing out again, but this time the books have set the total at 9.5 and given what we have seen, I see the public looking to take the UNDER. That has me looking the other way and calling for a high scoring game. Cubs starter Jake Arrieta hasn't pitched well against the Dodgers and LA's starter Alex Wood hasn't made a start since he took the mound on 9/26 in the regular season. I think we finally see Chicago's offense come to life and both teams put some runs on the board early an often with the wind blowing out close to 15 mph to left field. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 48)

I don't see a ton of offense taking place on Monday Night Football between the Colts and Titans. Tennessee will have Marcus Mariota back under center, but he's still not fully recovered from a hamstring injury that kept him out of last weeks game. I also think the Titans defense is a lot better than it's getting credit for. They really just had one bad game against the Texans that really skewed their defensive numbers. 

The Colts offense is still without Andrew Luck and until he's back under center Indianapolis will struggle to put point on the board. There's no denying that Jacoby Brissett is better than Scott Tolzien, but Brissett is still a backup at best in this league right now. He's only throwing for 182.2 ypg and has a mere 2 touchdown passes to 3 interceptions on the season. 

Another key factor here that can't get overlooked is that these are division rivals, who both desperately need to win this game in a wide open AFC South. These two teams know what the other likes to do and that usually leads to a lower-scoring game. Give me the UNDER here at 48! 

50* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 48.5) 

BYU's offense is dreadful. They haven’t scored more than 24 points in a game and have been held to 7 or fewer three times. They are 128th out of 130 FBS teams at just 14.0 ppg.

They aren’t catching a break here against a pissed off Bulldogs defense that had been playing extremely well before a couple of poor showings against Georgia and Auburn. Not to mention the fact that Dan Mullen and his staff have had two weeks to get their guys ready for this game. Mullen’s teams rarely come out flat in this spot.

I wouldn’t be shocked if they held BYU to under 10 points. In fact, I would be more surprised if the Cougars eclipsed that mark. That means Mississippi State can score 35 (7 touchdowns) and there’s a good chance the game stays under the mark.

The key here is that BYU actually has a decent defense. Most importantly, they matchup well with the Bulldogs. Mississippi State’s offense is built around their running game. They rank 17th in rushing (252.8 ypg) compared to 110th in passing (169.2 ypg). While the Cougars are just 78th against the run, giving up 167.2 ypg, they are only giving up 3.7 yards/carry against teams that average 4.3 yards/carry. They have simply played a lot of run-first teams, which has that run defense looking worse than it is.

The fact that BYU should be able to slow down the Bulldogs ground game should eliminate the big plays and force Mississippi State to eat up some clock when they do put together a scoring drive. As long as we don’t get a bunch of non-offensive touchdowns, this one should stay well under the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 48.5!

50* CLEMSON/SYRACUSE ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (UNDER 57.5) 

I'm taking the Tigers and Orange to go UNDER the mark set by the books. Clemson’s defense is special and it seems like the bigger the stage the better they play. The fact that Syracuse has recently played well on the road against the likes of LSU and NC State and this is a prime time game, I expect a big effort here from the Tigers stop unit. 

Syracuse has a couple of big time weapons at receiver, but I don't see them having enough time to throw. The Orange don’t have much of a running game, at least not one Clemson will have to respect. The Tigers and that dominant defensive line will be able to pin their ears back and get after the quarterback.

The big key here is Clemson’s starting quarterback Kelly Bryant hurt his ankle and left last week’s game against Wake Forest. He’s listed as probably and expected to play, but I expect Clemson to be very cautious with letting him run the ball, which is arguably his biggest strength. Instead they will likely just lean on their two talented backs and grind out a win here.

Syracuse has also been playing better on the defensive side of the ball this season. The Orange are holding opponents to just 357.7 ypg, which ranks 46th in the country. That’s a massive improvement over last year, when they allowed 501 ypg. The biggest improvement is their run defense. In 2016 they allowed 225 ypg and 5.4 yards/carry. This year they are allowing just 131.5 ypg and 3.8 yards/carry.

The UNDER is an impressive 14-4 in Syracuse’s last 18 games and 9-1 in their last 10 at home. UNDER is also 10-1 in the Tigers last 11 games played in a Dome. Give me the UNDER 57.5

50* ROCKIES/DBACKS VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) 

I was on the wrong end of the total in yesterday's AL Wild Card matchup, as the two teams combined for 6 runs in the 1st inning, as both starters decided not to show up for their biggest start of the year. Erase that 1st inning and we would have had a 5-1 ball game that stayed under the mark. I'll take my chances that we get a better performance from both starters in tonight's NL Wild Card and will once again play the UNDER. On one side we have Zack Greinke, who is 13-1 with a 2.87 ERA in 18 home starts. On the other side we have Jon Gray, who posted a 2.12 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in his last 3 starts and in 2 starts at Arizona this season, he allowed just 4 runs with 20 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* TWINS/YANKEES VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 7.5) 

The sharp play here is on the UNDER here and these two teams combining for fewer than 8 runs. While the ball flies out of Yankee stadium, it's not the same in October as it is in August. Temps for this game are in the mid to low 60's. We got two good starters going here in Ervin Santana and Luis Severino. Santana went 16-8 with a 3.28 ERA in 33 starts and had a 2.71 ERA in 17 road outings. Severino went 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA in 31 starts. UNDER is 16-4 in Santana's last 20 road games when playing against a team with a winning record and 7-1 in the Yankees last 8 playoff home games. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* TEXAS/ISU BIG 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (OVER 63.5)

I know these two have struggled to put up points in the last two meetings, but I think we in store for a shootout tonight in Ames. Matt Campbell is in year two with ISU and has the offense ranked 42nd in the country, which is no surprise given what he was able to do at Toledo, which averaged 35 ppg and 461 ypg in his final year. He's got the passing attack working for the Cyclones, as they come in ranked 18th in the country. 

The game that really stands out to me as a sign that this one will see a lot of scoring is Iowa State's game against in-state rival Iowa. The two combined for 85 points with each scoring in the 40s. That's a very limited Iowa offense who could struggled to get first downs last week against Penn State. Texas has some playmakers on offense and are only going to keep getting better offensively under first year head coach Tom Herman. I'm willing to bet they come out sharp here off a bye. 

The key here is that I trust this Cyclones offense to do their part and push this one over the mark. Especially with this game being at home. Texas' defense is still a work in progress and we saw them give up 50 in their opener at home to Maryland. The defense was better against USC, but some of that was the Trojans not coming out sharp off a big road game against Stanford. I look for a lot of big plays and quick scores by both sides. Give me the OVER 63.5! 

50* NL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 8) 

I love the pitching matchup in tonight's NL Central showdown between the Cubs and Cardinals. Chicago will send out Jake Arrieta, who has quietly been one of the better starters in the game the last couple of months. Arrienta has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 10 of his last 11 starts and comes in with a 2.85 ERA against the NL Central this season and a 2.30 ERA in his career vs St Louis. The Cardinals will send out Carlos Martinez, who has a strong 3.18 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 14 home starts. He's faced the Cubs twice at home this season and in those starts has allowed just 3 runs on 11 hits with 17 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. Cubs still need 1 more win to lock up the division title and the Cardinals are right there for the Wild Card. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* RAMS/49ERS NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 39)

I believe a big reason for this low total is a result of how the 49ers first two games have gone. San Francisco’s first two games combined only add up to 47 points, as they have scored a mere 12-points in 2 games. The thing is, they have went up against two of the best defenses in the NFL in the Seahawks and Panthers. Also two teams who are struggling offensively because of poor offensive line play. While the Rams are considered to have a good defense, I don’t think they are on the same level as the Seahawks and Panthers. They were great against the Colts, but I feel that was more a byproduct of Scott Tolzien. They weren’t nearly as good agains the Redskins. The stat that sticks out is Washington’s 229 rushing yards on 39 attempts (5.9 yards/carry). That’s good news for a 49ers offense that needs to be able to run the ball to have success. I also think they will be able to generate a few more big plays through the air in this one. As for the Rams offense, I like what I’m seeing in the first year under McVay. I really think it’s a unit that is only going to keep getting better, as they are still adjusting to a new scheme and several new pieces. Give me the OVER 39! 

40* LIONS/GIANTS MNF OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 42.5) 

Two good quarterbacks here in Stafford and Manning, but I don't see either offense doing much in this one. The concerns with the Giants offense are even worse after watching how the Broncos picked apart the Cowboys defense. Even if Beckham Jr. suits up, I still think NY has a tough time moving the ball with the problems they have on the o-line and the inability to run the ball. On the flip side of this, I love this Giants defense and with the team desperate to avoid an 0-2 start and the game at home, I think they shutdown Stafford here. Keep in mind these two teams played late last year and combined for 23 points. Give me the UNDER 42.5! 

100* SEC FOOTBALL TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 55.5)

50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Mariners/Rangers UNDER 11)

The books have set the total too high for this one. The Rangers will send out Martin Perez, who has quietly been one of the hottest pitchers in the game. Perez has gone 7-0 with a 3.15 ERA in his last 7 starts. He's pitched well against the Mariners this season and would expect another strong outing here. Seattle will send out Mike Leake, who has really thrown the ball well since coming over via the Cardinals. Leake has a 2.77 ERA in his first two starts, allowing just 2 runs in each outing. He's also owned the Rangers in his career with a 2.33 ERA in 3 starts. Even if one of these guys underperforms, there's still a great chance this stays under the mark. Give me the UNDER 11! 

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 48)

I look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one and feel there's big time value here with the UNDER. Minnesota should have one of the best defenses in the league and are more than capable of shutting down Drew Brees and the Saints offense at home in a big time game like this. Most don't see New Orleans as a great defensive team, but they made a lot of progress on that side of the ball last year and I expect them to be even better in 2017. Minnesota's offense should be improved now that Bradford has had an offseason with the team, but it's far from an elite unit. I still see the Vikings as a team that wants to win by controlling the clock with the running game and relying on their defense to make plays. Give me the UNDER 48! 

50* NCAAF VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 56.5) 

*Analysis Coming* 

50* AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 9.5)

I'm expecting plenty of offensive fireworks in the series opener between the Twins and Royals on Thursday. Kansas City comes in off a 13-run outburst in yesterday's 11-run win over the Tigers, while Minnesota scored 10 runs in a win over the Rays. Royals just claimed Sam Gaviglio off waivers to make a start here. In his last two starts he allowed 12 runs on 17 hits and 5 walks. He also gave up 4 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) in his only start against the Twins this season. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson, who has pitched well of late, but owns a 4.60 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 11 road starts. In his last outing he held these same Royals to just 5 hits over 6 shutout innings. Expect KC to have a better approach having just seen him. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 9.5)

I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks when the Tigers and Indians take the field Sunday afternoon. That's because the wind will be blowing straight out to left field at Comerica Park and this is far from an ideal pitching matchup. Cleveland's Josh Tomlin has had a miserable time against Detroit, posting a 5.12 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also just 2-3 with a 5.02 ERA in 9 road starts. As for the Tigers, they are sending out Chad Bell to make his MLB debut against a red-hot Indians offense that comes in scoring 6.7 runs/game and is hitting .322 as a team over their last 7. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* POWER 5 NON CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR (OVER 67.5)

For whatever reason the entire country is sleeping on Louisville and returning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson this season. I know the Cardinals struggled down the stretch, but I believe it was more of the team not being as focused after losing out on their playoff hopes than opposing defenses figuring them out. Petrino has won everywhere he's went and Jackson is only going to be better this year. I love the hire by Purdue with Jeff Brohm, which should pay off on the offensive side of the ball. However, the defense will remain a work in progress. Keep in mind were talking about a Boilermakers defense that allowed 40+ points in 6 games, that includes 50 to Maryland, 44 to Minnesota, 45 to Northwestern and 49 to Iowa. Louisville is on a whole different planet in terms of offensive explosiveness than those teams. I think they score at least 40 and potentially a lot more here, while Purdue adds more than enough to push us over the mark. Give me the OVER 67.5! 

50* CFB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Over 56.5)

I think the books have completely missed the mark here with this total. These two teams played last year and combined for 67 points in a 53-14 win by UCF. I think we see a similar scoring output here, giving us all kinds of breathing room. Scott Frost brought Oregon's uptempo attack with him to Orlando and if you recall the Ducks loved to poor it on teams. FIU should be improved under head coach Butch Davis, but will struggle to slow down UCF's offense which has 9 starters back and should get even better play out of sophomore QB McKenzie Milton, who flashed as a true freshman. FIU only averaged 24 ppg last year, but should see a huge uptick in their production under new OC Rich Skrosky. Give me the OVER 56.5! 

50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5)

These two teams continue their series in Tampa Bay, as they had to move it from Houston due to all the flooding. While the two combined for 14 runs yesterday, that was a result of a horrible outing by Houston starter Michael Fiers, who gave up 8 runs in 4 innings. Texas ended up with 12 runs. I don't see them getting anywhere close to that tonight against Astros ace Dallas Keuchel, who is 11-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 17 starts. That includes a 5-1 record and 1.51 ERA in 8 home starts. I also don't see Houston doing a lot at the plate here against Rangers starter Andrew Cashner, who has a strong 3.86 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 3.44 ERA in 21 starts overall on the season. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 9.5)

These two teams should have no problem combining for at least 10 runs with the starting pitching matchup. Cubs send out John Lackey, who has a 5.25 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in 13 road starts and is in similar form with a 5.51 ERA in his last 3 starts. Phillies counter with Nick Pivetta, who has a 6.54 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 19 starts. Cubs had a rough two games at the plate, but exploded for 17 runs on Saturday. Phillies have been hot of late, scoring 7 or more in 4 of their last 6. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) 

UNDER is worth a look here in Monday's clash between the Giants and Brewers. San Francisco will send out Chris Stratton, who was sensational in his last start at Washington, allowing just 5 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 2/3 shutout innings. Milwaukee will send out Zach Davies, who is 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in 12 road starts this season. This will be the first career start against the opposing team for both starters, giving them an even bigger edge in this one. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 10)

I look for an offense explosion in Monday's series opener between the Red Sox and Cardinals that has this one easily eclipsing the total of 10 runs. St Louis will send out Mike Leake, who has completely fallen off from his great start. After posting a 1.35 ERA in April and 3.09 ERA in May, Leake had a 4.30 ERA in June and 4.76 in July. It's not been any better in August, where he has a 5.73 ERA in two starts. As for Red Sox starter Rick Porcello, it's been a disappointing season from start to finish for last year's Cy Young winner, as he's 6-14 with a 4.63 ERA in 24 starts. He's also got a 5.24 ERA in 13 home starts and 5.40 ERA in his last 3 starts. Both of these offenses are potent and the wind will be blowing straight out to left. Give me the OVER 10! 

50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9)

I think the books have made a major mistake with the total they have set for this one. I don't see this game getting near double-digits with the starting pitching matchup we have going. Angels are sending out Parker Bridwell, who owns a 2.79 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has a sensational 1.80 ERA in 4 road starts. Mariners counter with Ariel Miranda, who has a strong 3.34 ERA and 0.963 WHIP over 11 home starts this season. Not to mention he's 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA in 4 career starts against the Angels. Take the UNDER!

50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8.5)

I don't see either offense doing much in this one. Milwaukee will give the rock to Zach Davies, who is a perfect 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 11 road starts this season. He's also throwing the best he has all year, posting a 1.25 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rays will give the ball to Alex Cobb. He's off a bad start, but that was on the road against the Astros. Nothing to get concerned about given how loaded that Houston lineup is. Prior to that he had allowed just 5 runs in his previous 4 starts and it was his first loss since the first week of July. I'll take my chances he bounces back here, as he owns a 2.58 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8)

I easily cashed in on the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. I don't see either offense bouncing back with a good showing on Saturday, as we have another oustanding pitching matchup going. St Louis will send out Mike Leake, who after a rough stretch bounced back in a big way in his last outing, cooling off a Rockies offense that was on fire, limiting them to a mere 4 hits (no walks) over 7 shutout innings. Clearly he figured something out and I'll take my chances he carries it over to this outing, which is also at home. On the flip side, Arizona sends out ace Zach Greinke, who is 12-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 20 starts this season and owns a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 8!

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8)

This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Seattle will send out veteran ace Felix Hernandez, who has regained his dominant form and owns a 1.00 ERA over his last 3 starts. Last time out, he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings against the Yankees. Boston's offense is struggling, so he should be able to keep them in check. Red Sox counter with Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and 1.00 ERA in 3 career outings against the Mariners. GIve me the UNDER 8!

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9)

These two teams combined for 8 runs and finished UNDER the total of 9.5 in yesterday's series opener. I expect an even lower scoring contest in Game 2. Texas will send out Cole Hamels, who really pitched well going into the break, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits over his final two starts, which spanned an impressive 14 1/3 innings. KC will send out their ace in Danny Duffy, who had some tough luck going into the break, but all of that came on the road. Duffy owns a 2.75 ERA in 5 home starts all of which have finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 9!

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9.5)

 I was on the UNDER in yesterday's game and suffered a bad break and ended up pushing on the total of 9. The game was 2-1 going into the bottom of the 8th before the Yankees scored 4 to take a 6-1 lead. Still in good shape, the Yankees allowed the Blue Jays to score 2 runs in the top of the 9th. I like the value again here with the total and the UNDER in Tuesday's afternoon slate that has two more quality starters in great form going. Toronto sends out J.A. Happ who has a 2.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and New York counters with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 0.49 ERA and .764 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5!

50* AL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9)

The books have set the mark too high here for Monday's series opener between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Toronto is sending out their most consistent starter in Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great start against the Orioles, allowing just 5 hits over 7 2/3 shutout innings. Stroman owns a 2.91 ERA in 10 career starts against the Yankees and a 2.73 ERA in 10 starts in night games. Yankees will send out their ace Masahiro Tanaka, who has pitched very well in his last two starts, giving up just 2 runs on 9 hits with 14 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. I like his chances of keeping it going against a Toronto team in which he owns a 2.65 ERA in 11 starts against. Give me the UNDER 9!

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 7.5)

I don't see much offense taking place in this one. Two of the best starters in the game will sqaure off on Sunday Night Baseball, as the Cardinals Carlos Martinez takes on the Nationals Max Scherzer. Martinez has a 2.88 ERA on the season with a sensational 1.85 ERA in 8 home starts. Scherzer has a 2.06 ERA on the season, a 1.62 ERA in 9 road starts and 0.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

50* NL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 9.5)

I expect runs to come early and often here when the Diamondbacks host the Cardinals. St. Louis will give the ball to Adam Wainright, who has an atrocious 9.48 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in 7 road starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's allowed 9 earned runs in each. I just don't see him keeping this Arizona offense in check. The Dbacks are averaging 6.3 runs/game at home and have scored 12 runs on 20 hits over their last 2 games. St Louis is also on fire at the plate, as they have scored at least 5 runs (21 total) in each of their last 3 games. The ball flies out of Chase Field and these two should easily reach double-digits. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* AL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5)

Books have set the bar way too high on the total for Monday's clash between the Red Sox and Twins. Boston will send out Chris Sale, who has a 2.85 ERA and 0.904 WHIP in 15 starts, as well as a 2.45 ERA and 0.838 WHIP in 7 home starts. Minnesota will give the rock to Jose Berrios, who has been equally as effective as Sale, but just isn't the known commodity. Berrios is 7-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.907 WHIP in 8 starts. He's got a 2.84 ERA in 4 road outings and 2.53 ERA in his last 3. On top of the strong pitching matchup, both offenses are struggling right now. Red Sox are hitting just .252 over their last 7 games and Minnesota is even in their last 7 at .239. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 9)

I think we are getting a ton of value here on the UNDER at 9. The numbers don't look great on paper for today's starters, but both are trending in the right direction. Toronto's Francisco Liriano wasn't great in his last start, but it was on the road against a good Texas lineup. Liriano had been throwing it well prior to that in his 3 starts since returning from the DL. I like his chances of rebounding here against an average Royals lineup. On the flip side, KC sends out the surging Jason Hammel, who after a rough start has found his form. Hammel has a 1.74 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I like his chances of keeping it rolling. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5)

I don't expect a lot of offense in the series finale this afternoon between the Royals and Angels. Kansas City will be sending out Jason Vargas, who has a 2.10 ERA in 13 starts with a 2.45 ERA in 6 road starts and 1.29 ERA in his last 3 outings. Los Angeles will send out J.C. Ramirez, who pitched well in his last outing and has given up 2 or less earned runs in 4 of his last 6 start. He's also facing a Royals offense that has gone cold the last two games, including a mere 2 hits in getting shutout yesterday. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

50* MLB NL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9)

This is simply too big of a number to pass up on the total and it staying under the mark given the matchup. These two combined for just 5 runs in the Marlins 5-0 win last night and the Braves managed just 4 hits. Keep in mind that just recently Atlanta went on a stretch where they scored 9 runs in 5 games, scoring exactly 1 run in 3 straight. When they struggle it can be ugly offensively. Jeff Locke of the Marlins is more than capable of keeping them in check. Atlanta will send out the vastly underrated Jaime Garcia, who has pitched much better than his 2-5 record would lead on. Garcia has a 3.16 ERA in 12 starts overall, 2.48 ERA in 4 starts at home and 2.08 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 9!

50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5)

I'll gladly take the UNDER at 8.5 in tonight's showdown between the Blue Jays and Mariners. This has the making of a great pitching matchup with Marcus Stroman of the Blue Jays against Ariel Miranda of the Mariners. Stroman is 4-0 with a 3.34 ERA in 5 road starts and Miranda is 3-1 with a 2.02 ERA in 5 home starts. Both of these pitched well against the opponent in an earlier series between these two teams in May. Stroman allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings, while Miranda gave up 1 run in 5 innings. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

50* NBA FINALS VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 227)

I would lean Warriors here, but I feel the real value is with the total. Cleveland is saying they aren't going to slow things down and will continue to play fast. I'm not buying it. The Cavs know they can't contain this Warriors offense if they let them get out in transition. They don't have to play at a snails pace, but they have to play slower. The pace of these first two games has been ridiculous. On top of that, we are going to get the very best the Cavs have to offer defensively at home in what I think most agree is a game they have to win if they want any shot at making this a series. At the same time, I don't see the Warriors letting off the defensive intensity after blowing a 3-1 lead last year. Give me the UNDER 227! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5)

I just feel the books have completely missed the mark here with this total and there's just too much value on the under. The value is coming from the fact that Giants starter Jeff Samardzija is 1-7 with a 4.62 ERA in 11 starts. However, Samardzija has pitched much better than those numbers would suggest and comes in with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Junior Guerra, who I also feel is underrated. This guy went 9-3 with a 2.81 ERA in 20 starts last year and has a 1.84 ERA in 3 starts this season (didn't make a start from 4/4 to 5/25 because of injury). It's also no secret the Giants offense is far from potent and the Brewers haven't exactly been crushing the ball of late, scoring just 3.9 runs/game and hitting .213 as a team over their last 7 games. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 8.5)

Under is worth a good look here, as I don't see a lot of runs being scored in this one. Detroit sends out last year's AL Rookie of the Year, Michael Fulmer, who has continued to throw the ball extremely well. Fulmer enters what will be his 9th start of the season with a sensational 2.72 ERA. He's also stepped up when taking the mound on an opposing team's field, posting a 2.25 ERA in 4 road starts. Houston will give the ball to Brad Peacock, who is making the move from the bullpen to the rotation. He's been excellent out of the pen, posting a 1.10 ERA with 22 stikeouts in 16 1/3 innings of work. He's not going to go deep in this one, but that's no problem, as Houston has an outstanding pen that can take care of the rest. Give me the UNDER 8.5!