50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

The books have set the total too high for Friday's NL East showdown between the Nationals and Braves. We have two starters who are both rolling at the moment. Washington's Tanner Roark has a 1.77 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Atlanta's Julio Teheran has a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Roark owns a 1.77 ERA in 9 career starts against the Braves, while Teheran hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in 6 career home starts against the Nationals. UNDER is 22-9 in Washington's last 31 road games with a hot bullpen that as a WHIP under 1.000 in their last 5 games and 11-3 in Teheran's last 14 starts after a loss. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Over/Under Game of the Month (UNDER 8.5)

The books have set the total too high for Thursday's matchup between the Orioles and Astros. Houston will send out youngster Joe Musgrove, who has been sensational in his first two starts. Musgrove allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings at home against the Rangers and then allowed a mere 2 runs in 7 innings at Toronto. I'll take my chances on him shutting down another AL power tonight. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman. While he's 3-10 with a 4.04 ERA in 21 starts, he's been a completely different pitcher at home, where he's 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.044 WHIP in 8 starts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 in Gausman's 8 starts this season with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs and 13-3 in the Orioles last 16 after scoring 1 run or less in their previous game. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) 

The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's AL Central showdown between the Tigers and Royals. Detroit comes in struggling at the plate, scoring just 3.1 runs/game and hitting .241 as a team over their last 7 games. KC on the other hand is hitting just .248 as a team on the road this season. The Tigers will send out Anibal Sanchez. While he's coming off an ugly start at Texas, he was dominant in his previous two starts at home, giving up just 2 runs in 14 innings of work. Most importantly, he's got a 2.76 ERA in 11 career starts against the Royals. KC counters with the red-hot Yordano Ventura, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Ventura has also pitched very well against Detroit, posting a 3.28 ERA in 8 career starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB AL East Game of the Month (OVER 9.5) 

The books have set the mark to low for today's total between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Both offenses should have no problem putting up a big number in this one. New York sends out Chad Green, who has a 7.50 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 3 starts. Toronto counters with R.A. Dickey, who has a 4.48 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 24 starts. Dickey has also been torched in his last two outings at Yankees Stadium, giving up 9 runs on 12 hits and 4 walks in 14 1/3 innings. OVER is 4-0 in Green's last 4 starts and 4-1 in Dickey's last 5 starts. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 9.5)

The books have set the total too low for today's showdown between the Royals and Twins. Both of these teams are poised for a big day at the plate given the starting pitching matchup. Kansas City will send out Dillon Gee, who has a 6.07 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in 8 start. Minnesota counters with Tyler Duffey, who has a 5.93 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in 19 starts and has an ugly 7.22 ERA in 10 starts at home. OVER is 15-3 in the Twins 18 home games this season when listed as a favorite of -110 or more, 12-2 in their last 14 with a tired bullpen that has thrown 13+ innings in the last 3 games and 17-2 in their last 19 after playing 5 or more games at home. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5)

The books have set the total too high here for Friday's series matchup between the Indians and Angels. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who has a strong 3.17 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 2.05 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Angels and is coming in off a strong outing in his last start. LA counters here with Tyler Skaggs, who has pitched well in his 3 starts since joining the rotation, giving up just 4 runs over 17 2/3 innings of work. UNDER is 11-3 in the Angels last 14 after playing 6 or more straight games on the road and 4-0 in Carrasco's last 4 starts against the AL West. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8)

The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's NL Central clash between the Cardinals and Reds. This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Cincinnati will send out talented youngster Anthony Desclafani, who is 6-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Desclafani has owned the Cardinals, going 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in 3 career starts. St Louis will counter here with Jamie Garcia, who has pitched his best at home this season and is coming off a great start at home against the Braves, allowing just 3 hits with 11 strikeouts in 8 shutout innings. UNDNER is 14-4 Garcia's last 18 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 an 12-2 in his last 14 home starts as a favorite of -150 or more. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9.5)

The books have set the total way too high for Sunday's series finale between the White Sox and Orioles. Baltimore will send out talented youngster Dylan Bundy, who has been getting better and better with each start. In his last outing, Bundy gave up just 1 hit in 7 innings. Chicago counters with veteran James Shields. He wasn't sharp in his last outing, but has been throwing the ball really well of late. Shields has given up 2 or less earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

50* MLB AL West Total of the Month (Under 8) 

The books have set to the total too high for tonight's matchup between the A's and Angels. The ball doesn't carry near as well at night in LA and we have two red-hot pitchers facing off in this one. Oakland's Sean Manaea has a 1.25 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while the Angel's Matt Shoemaker has a 2.91 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Shoemaker has also owned the A's in two starts against them this year, giving up just 1 earned run on 7 hits in 12 innings of work. Both of these teams have struggled offensively against right-handed starters. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER) 

The books have set the mark too high for Monday's showdown between the Padres and Brewers. The starting pitching matchup might not look like much on paper, but you have to keep in mind of where the game is being played. PETCO is one of the strongest pitcher parks int he big leagues and the wind will be blowing in from left. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson is more than capable of throwing a gem against this San Diego team that has been as active as any team during the trade deadline. Padres starter Jared Cosart came over in the Miami deal and this is a great chance for him to prove himself after spending most of the season in Triple A. He's facing a Milwaukee team that I could easily see not showing up for this game. The Brewers just played 10 straight at home, which they capped off with a 3-game sweep of division rival Pittsburgh. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) 

The books have set the total too high for today's showdown between the Angels and Red Sox. Each of the first two games in this series have gone UNDER the mark set by the books and I expect that trend to continue. Boston will send out knuckleballer Steven Wright, who is 12-5 with a 3.12 ERA in 20 starts. He did have a poor showing last time out, but that's going to happen for a knuckleballer. He's got a 2.13 ERA in 9 road starts and is primed for a bounce back outing. Angels will counter with Tyler Skaggs, who was dominant in his first start of the season, allowing just 3 hits and walking only 1 in 7 shutout innings against the Royals. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB AL Total of the Month (UNDER 8.5) 

The books have set the bar too high for Saturday's total between the Red Sox and Angels. Boston will send out the underrated Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 19 starts, as well as a 2.32 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 9 road starts. After struggling in his first start with the Red Sox, Pomeranz was dominant in his last outing against Detroit. The Angels counter with Hector Santiago, who is on quite a roll at the moment. Santiago has a 2.60 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed a mere 5 runs total in his last 5 outings. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) 

The books have made a huge mistake here and set the total way too high for Friday's series opener between the Pirates and Brewers. We have two young starters on the mound in this one that are more than capable of shutting down the opposition. Milwaukee's Junior Guerra continues to be way undervalued due to pitching on a bad team. Guerra is 6-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 15 starts and has an even better 2.42 ERA in 8 home starts. Pittsburgh counters with Steven Brault, who was sharp in his brief debut at St Louis, allowing just 1 earned run on 4 hits in 4 innings. While he might not go deep in this game, Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 2.92 ERA in 48 road games and will be rested after having yesterday off. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 7.5) 

The books have made a mistake here and set the bar too low for today's total between the Phillies and Braves. Both of these teams are coming off a strong showing at the plate yesterday. While Philadelphia only scored 1 run, they put up double-digit hits. Atlanta on the other hand scored 9 runs on 16 hits against the Twins. The key here is the pitching matchup. Neither starter is any good and both come in having struggled of late. Phillies send out Aaron Nola, who is 5-9 with a 4.92 ERA in 19 starts and has a 6.60 ERA in his last 3 outings. Braves counter with Matt Wisler, who is 4-10 with a 4.97 ERA in 19 starts and has a 9.98 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 9)

Two future aces take the mound in Wednesday's contest between the Rockies and Orioles. Colorado will send out Jon Gray, who has been lights out of late, posting a 1.33 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Baltimore counters with former top 5 pick Dylan Bundy, who is coming off a dominant outing in his home debut, allowing 0 earned runs on 5 hits and no walks in 5 innings of a 5-1 win over the Indians. UNDER is 31-19 in the Rockies last 50 road games and 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts. UNDER is also 8-0 in the Orioles last 8 against a team with a losing record and 7-0 in their last 7 home games. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9)

I think we are getting big time value here on the UNDER at 9 runs in Tuesday's matchup between the Cubs and White Sox. We have two under the radar starters taking the mound in this one. The Cubs' Kyle Hendricks owns a sensational 2.23 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 18 starts and has not given up an earned run in 3 straight outings. White Sox's James Shields is 4-12 with a ugly 4.99 ERA in 20 starts, but has been throwing like an ace of late. Shields has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has given up 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 outings. UNDER is 20-8 in Hendrick's last 28 starts in night games and 15-3 in the White Sox last 18 home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

I'll gladly back the UNDER here with the total sitting at 8 runs in Sunday's matchup between the Pirates and Phillies. We have two future aces facing off in this one, as Philadelphia sends out Vincent Velasquez against Pittsburgh's Jameson Taillon. Both come into this game in great form. Velasquez has a 2.37 ERA over his last 3 starts and Taillon has allowed just 1 run in each of his last two starts. UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 following a loss. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Over/Under Game of the Month (Under 9)

I really like the value here with the UNDER on tonight's high total of 9 between the Indians and Orioles. This is a much better pitching matchup than the books are giving credit for. Cleveland will send out Josh Tomlin, who continues to get no respect. Tomlin is now 10-2 with a 3.34 ERA in 17 starts and has a 2.44 ERA in 9 road starts. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman, who has pitched much better than his 1-7 record would indicate, especially at home, where he has a 2.79 ERA in 6 starts. In his last two home starts, Gausman has allowed 1 run on 11 hits in 13 2/3 innings of work. Indian's offense not near as potent on the road and are coming off a poor showing last night, scoring just 1 run. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) 

We have two NL playoff contenders facing off tonight with the Dodgers and Cardinals and I look for a low scoring affair in this one. LA will give the ball to Brandon McCarthy, who has been lights out since joining the rotation earlier this month. In 3 starts, he's posted a 1.69 ERA and 0.750 WHIP. All 3 of those starts have seen the game go UNDER the total and I like the chances of that streak continuing here. St Louis counters with Michael Wacha, who is poised for a strong outing. Wacha hasn't been great, but at the same time he's not allowed more than 3 earned runs in 7 straight starts. He's also got a really strong 2.08 ERA in 5 career starts against the Dodgers. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

The books have set the total too high for Sunday's showdown between the Blue Jays and A's. Two strong starters are one the mound in Oakland, as the A's send out Rich Hill against Toronto's J.A. Happ. Hill is 9-3 with a 2.25 ERA in 13 starts and Happ is 12-3 with a 3.36 ERA in 18 starts. UNDER is 12-1 in Hill's last 13 starts in July and 18-9 in the Blue Jays last 27 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.200. Give me the UNDER 8!

50* AL East Game of the Month (Under 8.5) 

The books have set the total too high for Saturday's contest between the Orioles and Rays. We have two strong starters on the mound who both were in prime form going into the All-Star break. Baltimore's Chris Tillman is 12-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 19 starts and has a 2.89 ERA over his last 3 outings. Tampa Bay will send out Matt Moore, who has a strong 3.57 ERA in 11 home starts and a 1.83 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 11-1 this season when the Rays are listed as a home underdog of +100 to +125. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) 

The books have set the total way too high for Friday's matchup between the Indians and Twins. Both of these teams will send out starters who were straight dealing going into the All-Star break. Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco posted a 1.59 ERA and 1.059 WHIP over his last 3 starts and has a 1.81 ERA in 6 road outings this season. Minnesota's Ervin Santana had a 1.33 ERA and 0.787 WHIP in his last 3 starts, including a complete game shutout in his last outing at home against the A's. Santana has also allowed just 2 runs total in his last two starts against the Indians. Take the UNDER! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5)

Love the value here we are getting with the total for Saturday's matchup between the Dodgers and Padres sitting at 8.5. Los Angeles will send out Brandon McCarthy, who was sensational in his first outing of the season, giving up just 2 hits and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts over 5 shutout innings. Even if he doesn't pitch deep into the game, the Dodgers back him up with a bullpen that has a 2.24 ERA at home on the season. The Padres will send out Luis Perdomo, who is poised for a strong outing. Perdomo has a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts, but those have come in 3 hitters parks against the Orioles, Reds and Diamondbacks. This will be the first time the Dodgers have seen him as a starter and that should work to his advantage. Padres hitting just .234 against right-handed starters and LA hitting just .234 at home. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NL West Play of the Month (Under 7.5) 

Giants' AT&T Park is considered a pitchers park, but the hitters figure to do some damage in this one. The wind will be blowing straight out to right center and we have two starters who are struggling heading into the All-Star break. San Francisco's Jeff Samardzija has a 8.82 ERA and 1.592 WHIP over his last 3 starts and Arizona's Pat Corbin has a 5.63 ERA and 1.876 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Adding even more value here is the fact that the hitters for both teams just saw both of these starters this past Saturday. It's also worth noting that the OVER is 5-1 in Samardzija's 6 home starts. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) 

I believe we are getting a great number here to back the UNDER in today's matchup between the Astros and A's. Houston will send out Doug Fister, who is coming off a couple of poor starts, but has owned Oakland this season. He's faced them twice and allowed a total of 1 run on 11 hits in 12 2/3 innings of work. Fister is also facing an A's team that was just shutout yesterday and hitting a mere .217 over their last 7 games. Oakland counters with Rich Hill, who didn't miss a beat in his first start after coming back from the DL. Hill is 8-3 with a 2.31 ERA in 12 starts and has a dominant 1.40 ERA in 6 road starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

Love the value here with the total going under the posted mark of 8 for today's afternoon matchup between the Astros and White Sox. Chicago will have their ace Chris Sale on the mound, who is 6-1 with a 1.99 ERA in 8 road starts and 4-1 with a 0.66 ERA over 5 career starts against the Astros. Houston will send out underrated starter Doug Fister, who has a 3.36 ERA in 15 starts. Both teams have struggled offensively in day games. Houston is hitting just .235 as a team and the White Sox are hitting just .243. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* NL Total of the Month (UNDER 9) 

I believe we are catching an inflated total here. Cincinnati and Washington combined for 17 runs yesterday with the Nationals doing the heavy lifting with 13 runs of their own. I don't think Washington is going to have as easy time scoring runs here against the Reds Anthony Desclafani. He's quietly posted a 1.52 ERA in 4 starts and is coming off his best outing, allowing just 5 hits over 8 scoreless innings against the Padres at home. I don't see Cincinnati doing a whole lot offensively either. The Nationals send out underrated starter Tanner Roark, who has a 2.96 ERA in 16 starts overall and a 2.25 ERA in 7 starts at home. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) 

I really like the value here on the total in today's matchup between the Dodgers and Brewers. This is a getaway game for both teams, as LA will be headed back home after a 7-game road trip and Milwaukee is heading to St Louis after playing their previous 6 at home. I don't look for either team to be all that focused on the game today and even if they were runs figure to be hard to come by. Dodgers will send out Kenta Maeda, who has a 2.91 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 15 starts, including a 2.79 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in 7 road starts. Brewers will counter with Zach Davies, who has a 3.11 ERA at home and 2.00 ERA over his last 3 outings. It's also worth noting that today's umpire is Tom Hallion. He's been behind the plate 14 times this season and 11 of those have gone UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5)

Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5 runs for today's matchup between the Nationals and Mets. Both of these teams are really struggling offensively at the moment. The Mets are averaging 2.9 runs/game and hitting a mere 1.94 as a team over their last 7 games. Washington isn't much better. They too are averaging just 2.9 runs/game and hitting only .248 as a team over their last 7. Both teams will send out quality starters. New York gives the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is 8-2 with a 2.10 ERA in 14 starts. The Nationals counter with Joe Ross, who is 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA in 14 starts. Syndergaard has a 1.33 ERA in 4 career starts against Washington and Ross has a 2.84 ERA in 2 starts against the Mets. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

Oddsmakers have simply set the total too high for Sunday's game between the Tigers and Indians. Detroit will send out Justin Verlander, who has been sensation after a rocky start to the year. Verlander has a 3.05 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's pitching into the 7th of each of his last 9 starts, in which he allowed 3 or less runs 7 times. Cleveland will counter with Josh Tomlin, who continues to be undervalued. Tomlin is 8-1 with a 3.32 ERA in 13 starts. He's been at his best at home, where his ERA is just 2.63. He's faced the Tigers twice already this season and was dominant in both outings. Both teams are going to struggle to score runs in this one. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Early Bird Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 6.5) 

I've got no problem playing the Under with the low total of 6.5 in today's afternoon matchup between the Royals and Mets. Both of these offenses come in struggling at the plate. The Royals have scored just 3 runs in their last 2 games and the Mets have scored just 2 in their last 2. It's hard to imagine either offense getting on track with the starting pitching matchup we have going in this one. New York will give the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is 7-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 13 starts. He allowed 2 or less runs in 8 straight starts. KC will counter with Danny Duffy, who has a solid 3.25 ERA in 7 starts, including a 1.08 ERA in 3 starts on the road and a 0.00 ERA in 3 day starts. Give me the UNDER 6.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I really like the UNDER in today's series finale between the Reds and Astros. Cincinnati will be sending out Brandon Finnegan, who has been lights out of late. Finnegan has a 1.86 ERA in his last 3 starts and also owns a 2.98 ERA in 7 road starts. Houston counters with Michael Fiers, who is also in good form with a 3.44 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Fiers has also been at his best at home, where he has a 3.67 ERA in 7 starts (4.78 ERA overall). UNDER is 9-1 in Houston's last 10 overall and 10-4 in their last 14 interleague home games against a left-handed starter. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) 

I really like the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5 in today's showdown between Chris Archer of the Rays and Jeff Samardzija of the Giants. Archer has had a disappointing overall season so far in 2016, as he's just 4-8 with a 4.61 ERA in 14 starts. However, he's been dominant at home, where his ERA is just 2.33. In his last start, at home, he held the Astros to just 3 runs on 6 hits with 8 strikeouts in 7 2/3 innings of work. Samardzija was able to bounce back from a couple of poor outings with a solid showing in his last start against the Dodgers and comes in with a respectable 3.36 ERA in 13 starts. I'll take my chances on him keeping a Tampa Bay offense that is scoring just 3.5 runs/game and hitting .224 as a team at home in check. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5)

The UNDER is worth a look here in Thursday's matchup between the Tigers and Royals. Detroit's Justin Verlander has been pitching like an ace over his last 7 starts. During this stretch, he's only given up a mere 30 hits with 57 strikeouts in 51 1/3 innings. He's enjoyed facing KC over his career, as he's 20-8 with a 3.21 ERA in 38 career starts against them. The Royals will send out Danny Duffy, who has a 2.45 ERA and 0.982 WHIP over his last 3 starts and was dominant in his last outing, giving up just 3 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 scoreless innings. Duffy has a 2.95 ERA in 11 career starts against the Tigers. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7) 

Washington will have their ace Max Scherzer on the mound, while the Cubs send out one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Kyle Hendricks. In fact, most would be surprised to see that Hendricks has the better overall numbers in this matchup. He's got a 2.77 ERA and 0.922 WHIP in 11 starts. Scherzer has a 3.57 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 13 starts. However, Scherzer has been throwing like a Cy Young candidate of late, posting a 2.86 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I look for both offenses to struggle to score in this one. Give me the UNDER 7! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

I'm expecting a pitchers duel in the nightcap of today's double-header between the Mets and Pirates. New York will give the ball to Jacob deGrom, who has a 2.62 ERA in 9 starts and is in good form with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Pirates counter with Juan Nicasio. He's got a less than impressive 4.25 ERA overall, but has a dominant 2.54 ERA in 5 home starts. Look for both teams to rest some regulars in this one, making it that much easier on these two starters. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

The UNDER is worth a look here, as we should have a low-scoring game this afternoon between the Nationals and Marlins. Washington will send out Max Scherzer, who is looking more and more like his old self with each start. Scherzer followed up his 20 strikeout performance with another great outing, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits with 10 K's in 6 1/3 innings at New York. Miami will counter with Adam Conley, who has a respectable 3.40 ERA in 8 starts and a 2.94 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 9-1-2 in Scherzer's last 12 starts during game 3 of a series and 16-5 in Washington's last 21 road games against a team with a losing home record. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

I really like the value we are getting with this total between the Rays and A's on Sunday. Oakland will have their ace Sonny Gray on the mound, who is coming off back-to-back bad outings. That is definitely playing a part in this high total, but I believe he poised for a big bounce back performance. He's definitely got the stuff and he's pitched well against the Rays in his career, posting a 2.81 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 5 starts. Tampa Bay will give the ball to Matt Moore, who has pitched well for the most part this season. Moore has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his 7 starts. UNDER is 12-1 in the Rays 13 games this season after a win, 16-4 in their last 20 against a right-handed starter and 14-5 in their last 19 at home. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 199.5)

I'm expecting a very low scoring game here between the Hornets and Heat in Game 1 of this opening round series. Both of these teams rank inside the Top 10 in defensive efficiency and are each in the bottom half of the league in pace. With the way teams turn up the intensity on the defensive side of the ball in the playoffs, points are going to be hard to come by for both teams. It's also worth noting that 3 of the 4 meetings between these two teams resulted in a combined score of 198 or less. Give me the UNDER 199.5! 

50* NBA Sharp Money Vegas Top Play (UNDER 209)

The books have set the bar way too high for tonight's matchup between the Pelicans and Nuggets. It's well known that New Orleans is missing basically their entire starting lineup and then some due to injuries. That's had a huge impact on their offensive production, as they are averaging a mere 93.0 ppg over their last 5, well below their season average of 102.6. Denver isn't a great defensive team, but I do expect them to play hard, as they continue to cling on to the slim hope that they can make the playoffs. At the same time, Denver figures to play at a much slower tempo than normal. The Nuggets are not only playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this will be their 4th game in the last 5 days. I know this total has dropped quite a bit, but I still recommend the UNDER at the current line of 206.5 and will continue to recommend it unless noted here. Give me the UNDER 209! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (UNDER 204) 

These two teams just played on 2/10, which the Hornets won 117-95 to send the game over the posted total of 201.5. Keep in mind that was the final game before the All-Star break for both teams and defense wasn't a priority with the long layoff on deck. Prior to giving up 114 in a loss to the Cavaliers last time out, Charlotte was allowing just 94.8 ppg over their previous 8 games. Indiana is a more than capable team defensively when they want to be and I'm confident the Pacers bring the intensity in this one. The average combined score in the Pacers last 93 games when revenging a home loss of 10 or more is 190.6. Give me the UNDER 204! 

50* NBA --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Pistons/Nets UNDER 202) 

I think we are seeing some great value here with this total. Detroit is coming off back-to-back high-scoring games against the Cavaliers (106-114) and Raptors (107-111), both of which resulted in losses. I look for the Pistons to come out with a different mentality on the defensive end in this one and they should have no problem keeping a mediocre at best Brooklyn offense in check. The Nets scored 103 against the Pelicans last time out, but that's only the 5th time in their last 15 games they have eclipsed the century mark (scored just 79 the previous game against Dallas). UNDEr is 18-4 in the Nets last 22 off a loss by 6 or less and 20-9 in the Pistons last 29 road games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me the UNDER! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Panthers/Cardinals UNDER 47.5) 

So much attention is being paid to Cam Newtown and Carson Palmer with these two high-powered offenses, but I believe it will be the defenses that take over this game. Keep in mind these are two of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Arizona ranks 7th in scoring defense (19.6 ppg) and 5th in total defense (321.7) ypg). Carolina is 6th in scoring defense (19.3 ppg) and 6th in total defense (322.9 ypg). The pressure of knowing that a trip to the Super Bowl is on the line will likely have both offenses a bit jittery early in this one and keep in mind that conditions are going to be less than ideal. UNDER is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 against a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 47.5! 

50* NBA --Non-Conference Total of the Month-- (UNDER 203)

The Cavaliers played a huge game last night at San Antonio, which they lost 95-99. They now must go on the road to face the Rockets on no rest. It's a very similar scenario from a few weeks back when Cleveland had to play on no rest at Portland after playing the previous day at Golden State. That game against the Trail Blazers saw a combined 181 points in a 76-105 loss. I'm expecting a similar type of outcome tonight, as the Cavs simply won't have the energy needed to put up a big number offensively. It's also worth mentioning the Rockets have been playing better defense of late, allowing just 96.6 ppg over their last 5, compared to the 105.0 ppg they are giving up for the season. UNDER is 20-9 in Cleveland's last 29 as an underdog, 21-9 in their last 30 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and a perfect 11-0 after playing their previous contest against a Western Conference team. Give me the UNDER 203! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 50.5)

I don't see a ton of value with the spread, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total that presents some great value on the UNDER. Both of these teams took advantage of great matchups in the semifinals. Oklahoma couldn't stop Clemson's ground attack and Alabama took advantage of a weak Michigan State secondary. That clearly won't be the case in this matchup and I look for both offenses to struggle to sustain drives and finish off the ones they do put together with touchdowns. UNDER is 33-14 in Crimson Tide's last 57 against strong rushing teams that average 200+ yards/game on the ground and 16-6 in Clemson's last 22 against strong run defenses that allow 2.75 or less yards/carry. Give me the UNDER 50.5! 

50* NBA --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Pacers/Heat UNDER 193.5)

With this game being played on NBA TV, I'm expecting both teams to bring the defensive intensity. Anytime Miami is playing at home you have to be thinking UNDER, as the Heat only score 97.2 ppg and allow just 95.4 ppg on the road. Indiana is a strong offensive team, but figure to struggle to reach their season average of 102.5 ppg. Big key here is the Pacers are getting after it defensively right now, allowing just 95.8 ppg over their last 5. These two teams have played twice already this season and combined for 177 and 179. Give me the UNDER 193.5! 

50* NBA --Cavs/Warriors NBA Guaranteed Top Play-- (UNDER 210)

This has been arguably the most anticipated game of the regular season and I'm expecting both of these teams to bring the defensive intensity in this one. All 6 games in the Finals last year finished with 208 or fewer points. We are simply seeing an inflated total here due to this being such a big game and the books inflated the total knowing the public will be all over the OVER. Both teams are also well-rested and that's been a strong indicator for both of these teams to go UNDER. In fact, the UNDER is 15-5 in Cleveland's last 20 road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. UNDER is also 14-3 in Golden State's last 17 when playing 5 or less games in 14 days. Give me the UNDER 210!

50* NBA --Non-Conference Total of the Month-- (Under 203)

Portland is expected to be without their top two scorers in this game, as Damian Lillard has been ruled out and C.J. McCollum is doubtful. These two combine for over 44 ppg, which is nearly half of the Blazers entire offensive output (101.4 ppg). I just don't see them being able to do enough offensively for this game to be high-enough scoring to eclipse this total. New Orleans should be able to jump out to an early lead and they will be more than happy to coast down the stretch of this game with a road game against Miami on Christmas coming up. Give me the UNDER 203! 

50* NBA --Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 196)

Whenever a quality team is coming off a blowout loss in their last game, more times than not that leads to an inspired defensive effort in their next contest. It just so happens that we have two teams facing off against each other in this spot. Toronto lost 90-106 at Indiana in their last contest, while the Hornets got embarrassed 98-113 at Orlando last time out. Look for both of these teams to bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball tonight and their season numbers definitely support this play. The Raptors are only giving up 95.9 ppg on the road and the Hornets are allowing just 96.4 ppg at home. Give me the UNDER 196! 

50* NBA -Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 202)

The Cavaliers turned in one of their best defensive efforts of the season in their last game, as they held the Magic to 76 points or 38.9% shooting. No surprise that this performance came in the return of defensive specialist Iman Shumpert. With Cleveland having had 3 full days of rest before this game and Boston off 2 days of rest, I look for both teams to bring the defensive intensity in a game that will be televised on NBATV. Keep in mind that 7 of the last 11 in the series have gone UNDER the total. We also find a strong system in play, as the UNDER is 39-14 (74%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 or more with a team off an upset win as underdog against an opponent off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the UNDER 202! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (OVER 45.5)

Arizona has one of the most well-rounded offenses in the NFL. The Cardinals lead the league in both total offense (419.5 ypg) and scoring offense (31.8 ppg). I look for Arizona to put up a big number here against a Vikings defense that has been hit hard with injuries. Minnesota won't have starting defensive tackle Linval Joseph, linebacker Anthony Barr and safeties Harrison Smith and Antone Exum. They also are without backup safety Andrew Sendejo and backup safety Robert Blanton is questionable. Inexperience in the defensive backfield is going to result in a lot of big plays for Arizona and I see no reason why they don't eclipse their season average in this one. Vikings should be able to score enough (may not be till garbage time) to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 193)

I'm expecting a very low-scoring matchup tonight between these two Central Division rivals. The Bucks come into this game off an ugly 70-95 loss at San Antonio. That should have Milwaukee highly motivated to bounce back and that's now 3 straight games where they have allowed 95 or fewer points. Detroit is coming in off a 127-122 overtime win at home against the Suns, which followed a 116-105 win at home against the Rockets. Those two results are a big reason we are seeing a total as high as we are. Even with those outcomes, Detroit is only giving up 97.9 ppg and scoring 98.2 ppg. The Bucks only average 95.3 ppg and just 90.5 ppg on the road. UNDER is 19-7 in Pistons last 26 home games after playing 2 straight games where both teams scored 100+ points. Average final score in these games have been 189.8. Give me the UNDER 193! 

50* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 190)

The Spurs have seen the under go 11-5-1 in their 17 games so far this season and 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The Bulls have seen the under go 11-3 in their 14 games with each of the last 6 finishing under the mark. San Antonio is allowing just 89.7 ppg and have not given up more than 90 points in 5 straight. The Bulls are allowing just 95.7 ppg at home and really seem to pick up their intensity at home when facing a quality opponent. Their 3 biggest home games to day have been against the Cavs, Thunder and Pacers, all 3 of which finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 190! 

50* NCAAF --PAC-12 Total of the Year-- (Over 69.5)

Oregon won't be playing in the Pac-12 Championship Game and aren't a factor for the college football playoff, but I strongly believe that this is one of the best teams in the country right now. Since Adams has returned to the lineup at full strength, Oregon's offense has looked like the offense we have grown so accustomed to seeing the previous years. They put up 65 on Arizona State, 44 on Cal, 38 on Stanford and 48 last week against USC. All 4 of those games finished with a combined score of at least 72 points. Last week Oregon State gave up 52 points at home to Washington, who is one of the more limited offensive teams in the Pac-12 the previous week they gave up 54 to Cal and the week prior 41 at home to UCLA. I'm confident the Ducks will eclipse 50 points in this game and wouldn't be shocked if they scored well into the 60's. The key here is that while Oregon's offense is dynamic and poised for a huge game, the Ducks defense is average at best. Given this being a rivalry game and Oregon State having nothing to lose at 2-9, I look for the Beavers to pull out all the tricks they can think of to try and put points on the scoreboard. This one should fly over the total. Give me the OVER 69.5! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 196)

I think we are going to see a very low-scoring game here between the Knicks and Magic. Neither of these teams shoot well from the field. Orlando comes in at 42.7% on the season and the Knicks are even worse at 41.5%. I also look for both teams to come out motivated defensively after a blowout loss. New York lost 78-95 at Miami in their last game, while the Magic fell 103-117 at Cleveland. Out of the 4 meetings last year, 3 finished with 182 or less points, with the highest output in Orlando being 172. UNDER is 47-18 (72%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 190 to 199.5 where the home team is off a loss by 10 or more points and road team off a loss by 15 or more. Give me the UNDER 196! 

50* NFL --SNF Total of the Month-- (UNDER 44.5)

I don't see a whole lot of value here with the spread, but I absolutely love the value we are getting with this total set at 44.5. I think there's a ton of value here with the UNDER. While Seattle's offense has struggled, their defense has been very good since Kam Chancellor returned to the lineup. I expect the Seahawks stop unit to deliver a big time performance here at home in a nationally televised game. At the same time, I don't think Seattle's offense snaps out of their funk against the Cardinals. These two division rivals have a history of low-scoring games when playing in Seattle. In fact, 6 of the last 7 have gone UNDER the total and the last two have seen combined scores of 27 and 22 points. It only adds value here that both teams are coming off a bye. Give me the UNDER 44.5! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 52.5)

I think we are going to see a low scoring game here between the Hokies and Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is fighting for their season, as they have to win out make a bowl, while Virginia Tech also comes in highly motivated knowing that this is Beamer's last run. While the Hokies are familiar with the Yellow Jackets and their triple-option attack, they get the added bonus here of coming off their bye. UNDER is 21-8 in Georgia Tech's last 29 games played on Thursday and 13-4 in their last 17 home games with a total of 52.5 to 56 points. UNDER is also 26-13 in Virginia Tech's last 39 with a line of +3 to -3 and 6-0 in their last 6 conference road games. Give me the UNDER 52.5! 

50* NFL --MNF Gridiron Total Top Play-- (UNDER 49.5)

This would be an okay total if both teams were coming into this game at 100%, but that's not the case at all. Each is missing star players. Chicago will be without running back Matt Forte, who is not only their leading rusher but a huge part of the passing game. San Diego will be without wide out Keenan Allen, who has been Rivers' go-to guy. I look for these injuries to play a big role in the red zone, as I look for both teams to have to settle for field goals. Give me the UNDER 49.5! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Over 51)

This all comes down to the situation. Temple is well known for their defense, but we aren't going to see their best effort on that side of the ball in this spot. The Owls put everything they had into last week's game against Notre Dame and simply aren't going to be able to bounce back with that same kind of effort on the road against a SMU team that likes to play fast. If we simply get 20 points here from the Mustangs at home, we would need just 32 from Temple to cash the over. Considering SMU has allowed at least 38 in 6 straight, that should be a problem. Give me the OVER 51! 

50* NFL --Browns/Bengals Total Crusher-- (Over 45.5)

The perception here is the Browns won't be able to score with Manziel at quarterback, but I don't think there's as big a drop off from McCown to Manziel as most people think. I look for Cleveland to provide their fair share of points in this one and that should have this game flying over the total. Cincinnati's offense is loaded with weapons at the skill positions and the Browns are awful defensively. They can't stop the run and their secondary is depleted with injuries to corner Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner. It's not out of the question the Bengals cover this total on their own. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

50* NBA --No Doubt Total Top Play-- (OVER 202)

The Celtics are coming off a game against the Spurs where the two teams combined for just 182 points and the Pacers playing last night against the Pistons in a game where 176 points were scored, which raises a big red-flag when you see a total for this matchup at 202. The books are basically telling you that this will be a much-higher scoring game than expected an I agree with them. Indiana's defense wasn't very good in their first 3 games and they really got after it last night to get their first win of the season. I look for them to relax on that side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back set. Boston had scored 100+ in each of their first two before shooting 35.7% against San Antonio. They come in off 2 days rest and will be looking to push the tempo. Give me the OVER 202! 

50* NFL --NFC Total of the Month-- (Over 49)

I look for both offenses to have a lot of success in this one, as we have two of the better quarterbacks in the league going up against two defenses that are not playing well inside the perfect conditions of the Superdome. The Giants are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of their passes, which is a nightmare scenario against Drew Brees and the Saints are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and 7.9 yards/pass attempt. Over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 against the NFC, 6-2-1 in the Saints last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the lowest combined score during this stretch being 73 points. Give me the OVER 49! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total of the Month-- (UNDER 51)

This may seem like a low total given Clemson just hung 58 on the road last week at Miami, but I think this game has a defensive battle written all over it. Clemson is 4th in the country in total defense and NC State is 3rd. Wolfpack offensively were held to 13 points in their only two games against a legit opponent in Louisville and Virginia Tech, so don't expect much from them. The key is I think their defense will keep Watson and the Tigers in check. We saw Clemson only score 20 on the road against a good Louisville defense and NC State seems to play above their potential on this side of the ball when hosting a ranked opponent. Give me the UNDER 51! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 55)

First place in the ACC Coastal division will be up for grabs (Pitt currently sits at 4-0 in ACC with Duke and UNC both at 3-0) tonight when the Tar Heels visit the No. 23 ranked Panthers. I don't see much value in the line at basically a pick'em, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total based on previous matchups. No surprise that these two teams have been great defensively in 2015. Pitt brought in former Michigan State defensive coordinator Pat Nartduzzi as their new head coach, while the Tar Heels landed Gene Chizek as their new defensive coordinator. The Panthers come in ranked 16th in total defense (308.3 ypg) and North Carolina is 36th (349.9 ypg). The impressive thing with Pitt's defensive numbers is they have played 5 of their first 7 on the road. Their defense should be even better at home, especially in this big time environment of a nationally televised game. The Tar Heels on the other hand have allowed 17 or less points in all but one game, the exception being against Georgia Tech and their triple-option attack. Both offenses like to run the football and I see this one being a defensive battle all the way. Give me the UNDER 55! 

50* MLB --World Series Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (UNDER 7)

I think the best value here in Game 1 is to the total and for this one to finish under 7 combined runs. This has a pitcher's duel written all over it with Matt Harvey taking the mound for New York and the Royals countering with Edison Volguez. Harvey has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his postseason starts and will have an advantage here with this being the first time he's gone up against Kansas City. Volquez hasn't been great in 2 road starts during the postseason, but was lights out in his only home start against the Blue Jays, allowing just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. With both offenses having not faced live pitching in at least 3 days, I look for Harvey and Volquez to have the upper hand in this one. Give me the UNDER 7! 

50* NFL --MNF Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 48.5)

I don't think the books have set the mark high enough for this matchup. The Ravens come into this one with the 9th ranked offense and are 10th in the league in passing at 258.3 ypg. Arizona has the 4th ranked offense and 6th ranked passing attack at 284.2 ypg. Both teams will be looking to throw the ball early and often, which should lead to a lot of big plays and quick scoring drives. It also figures to lead some turnovers, which should also lead to some quick scores. Baltimore's defense has allowed at least 25 or more points in 4 of their last 5, while Arizona has scored 40+ points 3 times this season and are averaging 33.3 ppg at home. OVER is 9-3-1 in Ravens last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 48.5!

50* NFL --NFC East Total of the Month-- (UNDER 46)

These two teams combined for 53 points in the Cowboys 27-26 miracle win at home in Week 1. The total for that game was 52 and now we see these two teams facing off in the rematch at New York with a total of 46. I don't believe 6 points is a big enough adjustment, given what Dallas has lost offensively and what they have gained defensively. At the same time, we can expect max effort here from the Giants defense coming off that ugly loss to Philadelphia and wanting revenge from the game they gave away at AT&T Stadium earlier this year. You also have to factor in playing outdoors compared to playing in the dome in Dallas. I think these two teams will be lucky to score 20 points a piece. Give me the UNDER 46!

50* NCAAF --ACC Total of the Month-- (Over 55)

The books have set a low total here due to the perception that Clemson has a dominant defense. While I'm not saying the Tigers aren't a good defensive team, they have benefited from a soft schedule in terms of teams they have had to face who can spread you out and beat you with both the run and the pass. The only legit offense they have faced is Notre Dame and they gave up 437 yards, including 321 through the air. Miami has a ton of speed and one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country in Kaaya. At the same time, the Hurricanes aren't going to offer up much resistance defensively. I think both teams score into the 30's here. Give me the OVER 55!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Annihilator-- (Under 42)

In previous seasons this matchup would have me looking to back the under, but these are not the same two dominant defenses from years past. The 49ers are clearly not the same with all the players they lost in the offseason, to go along with the departure of head coach Jim Harbaugh. Seattle's still got a lot of the same players on defense, but I think they are really missing the guidance of former defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. We have already seen the 49ers give up 30+ points in 3 games this season and Seattle's offense is certainly capable of putting up a big number here. The Seahawks defense just allowed 27 points at home to the Panthers and aren't typically as strong on this side of the ball on the road. I also expect Seattle to take advantage of Kaepernick's poor decision making and create some turnovers that lead to quick scores. I see this being a 27-17 type of game with the potential to creep up towards 50. Give me the OVER 42!

50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8)

While these two teams have combined for 8 or more runs in 3 of the first 4 games of this series, I just think there's too much value here on the UNDER 8 to pass up. Cole Hamels and Marcus Stroman will be facing off in Game 5, which is a rematch from Game 2 in Toronto. Only 5 earned runs were scored in regulation of that game, but 3 unearned runs and 2 more in extra innings pushed the final score to 10. Both Hamels and Stroman pitched well in that game, which is no surprise given how they finished the season. With all the pressure that comes in a deciding Game 5, I'm not expecting a ton of offense in this one. Give me the UNDER 8!

50* NFL -MNF Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 46)

The Steelers are trying to make do offensively with Michael Vick right now. While he's capable of keeping Pittsburgh in the playoff hunt, this will not be the same explosive high-powered offense that it was with Roethlisberger. The Steelers are going to rely more on their running game and defense to win games until Big Ben is back and have been playing much better defensively than they get credit for. They should have no problem keeping a injury-deplete San Diego offense in check. This is simply too many points given the circumstances both offenses are facing. Give me the Under 46!

50* NCAAF --Over/Under Total of the Month-- (Navy/ND Over 56)

Notre Dame laid it all on the line last week against Clemson and simply won't have the same energy when they take the field against Navy. Similar to what we saw with them allowing 27 points to UMass after that big game against Georgia Tech. Navy has proven they can move the ball against the Irish, scoring at least 34 points each of the last 2 years. Midshipmen look to be even strong offensively in 2015, which isn't a big surprise with senior quarterback Keenan Reynolds calling the shots. While I don't expect a great showing from the defense, the offense will be highly motivated to put up points after scoring only 22 last week against Clemson when they should have had a lot more. Notre Dame had 437 yards of total offense, but turned it over 4 times (only had 3 turnovers first 4 games combined). Like each of the last two years, I expect both offenses to score into the 30's, making this an easy play for me. Give me the OVER 56!

50* NFL --Colts/Texans Total No Brainer-- (Over 40.5)

It's been made official that Luck will not be playing against the Texans and as a result the total has dropped 3-points, I believe it's created some great value here on the OVER, as I still think the Colts offense will be able to move the ball against the Texans. Houston's defense hasn't been very good and Indy has a savy veteran backup in Matt Hasselbeck, who showed he still has something left in the tank. Hasselbeck went 30 of 47 for 282 yards against the Jaguars. Houston's offense hasn't been great to start the year, but that's a direct result of the injury to star running back Arian Foster. He returned last week and should get a much bigger workload here. Colts defense is decimated with injuries and just gave up 431 yards last week to a below average Jacksonville offense. These two teams also have a history of high-scoring games when they face off in Houston, with each of the last 10 meetings seeing at least 41 points. Give me the OVER 40.5!

50* --NFL Total of the Month-- (Over 43)

The perception here is that these are two dominant defensive teams, which has created some exceptional value here with total at just 43 points. Arizona's 3-0 start is more a result of their offense than their defense at the same time, I don't think the Rams are as strong defensively as it looks on paper. St Louis has a lot of talent up front, but the secondary isn't great. Carson Palmer will be able to expose the Rams secondary and should be able to put up at least 27 points here. I believe the Rams can give us at least 17 if not more, as I see there offense only improving with Gurley getting more and more carries. These two combined for 45 in Arizona last year and the OVER is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 43!

50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 7.5)

Both of these teams have been struggling offensively down the stretch. The Royals have scored a total of 5 runs over their last 3 games and haven't registered double-digit hits in 5 straight. Hard to seem them getting back on track against the red-hot Jose Quintana, who has a 1.35 ERA and 1.050 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Chicago's offense is only averaging 2.6 runs and are hitting .213 as a team over their last 7 games and will be going up against a starter they have really struggled against. Kansas City's Edinson Volquez has a 1.67 ERA in 4 starts against the White Sox this season. UNDER is 9-1 in White Sox last 10 home games after hitting .225 or worse over a 10 game stretch. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

50* NFL ---Total of the Month--- (Over 45.5)

I think we are seeing some great value here with this total at 45.5 points, largely due to both of these offenses struggling last week. The Colts scored just 7 points at home against the Jets, while the Titans were held to a mere 14-points at Cleveland. Indianapolis has too much talent offensively and too good of a quarterback to not get this turned around. I believe their struggles were largely due to playing 2 really good defenses in Buffalo and New York. The Titans will be playing at home for the first time this season and I look for Mariota to have a big day here against a banged up Colts secondary and will likely have to throw early and often to keep pace with Luck and the Colts. Give me the Over 45.5!

50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Dominator-- (Under 47.5)

This total has been set too high for this matchup. Boston College features about as run heavy of an offense you will find that's not based strictly off the triple-option. The Eagles have attempted 49, 40 and 43 rush attempts in their first 3 games and totaled just 347 passing yards in their first 3 games combined. N. Illinois is only giving up 3.5 yards/carry against teams averaging 4.1, so I expect them to at worst make BC use a lot of plays to sustain a drive and put points on the scoreboard. Northern Illinois' offense is pretty average and will struggle to get much going on the road against a BC defense that is allowing 1.4 yards/carry and only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 44.6% of their attempts. I see a lot of empty drives and field goals when they get in opposing territory. Give me the UNDER 47.5!

50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Under 49)

I think the books have set too high of a total here for tonight's prime time matchup between Boise State and Virginia. Both of these teams are strong defensively and that should have these two average offenses struggling to sustain drives and finish them off with touchdowns. Boise State will be without starting quarterback Ryan Finley, which means they are going to have an inexperienced signal caller making his first start on the road, a situation that doesn't figure to end well. Virginia's offense is limited and the Broncos are more than capable of keeping them in check. The energy and intensity that comes with playing in front of a national audience only adds to the value here with this total. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 20 points. Give me the UNDER 49!

50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8)

This has a pitchers duel written all over it and we are getting a great number here to back the under. Cleveland's Danny Salazar has a 3.47 ERA and 1.117 WHIP over 27 starts and was dominant last time out against the Tigers, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings. He's faced the Twins twice this season and allowed just 3 runs in 13 innings with 21 strikeouts. Minnesota's Ervin Santana enters with a sizzling 2.05 ERA and 1.091 WHIP over his last 3 starts, allowing just 5 runs on 16 hits with 22 strikeouts in 22 innings. UNDER is 30-19 in the Indians 49 road night games this season and 38-17-1 in their last 56 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 8!

50* NCAAF *SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH* (Under 53)

I don't see any value on the spread in this one, but I absolutely love the UNDER. Alabama does not have the same offensive explosion as last year, but are improved defensively. For Ole Miss, all the talk has been about the offense, but I've been more impressed with the defense. I think we are going to see two of the best defenses in the country, potentially the best two, go to battle. I think we could see a similar type battle to Alabama's 2011 home game against LSU, where the game ended with a final of 6-9. Even if there's a little more offense than that, I don't see it getting into the 50's. Give me the UNDER 53!

50* NCAAF *FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 65)

This may seem like a low total given these two teams combined for 81 points in Arizona State's 58-23 blowout win at New Mexico last year, but I actually think the value is on the UNDER. Both teams bring a lot back defensively. Sun Devils returned 9 defensive starters and the Lobos brought back 7. Both will have a much better understanding of what the other team is looking to do offensively. New Mexico likes to run the football and that's going to eat up some clock and I don't see the Sun Devils trying to run up the score late with two huge games on deck against USC at home and UCLA on the road. These prime time games also tend to bring out the best defensively and I think ASU could make life extremely difficult on New Mexico, who scored just 21 points last week against Tulsa at home. Under is 13-4 in Arizona State's last 17 home games with a total set at 63 or more points. ROLL THE UNDER 65!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* (UNDER 9)

I believe the books have made a big mistake here with this total, as it's been slightly inflated due to the fact that both starters are coming off a poor showing. Even with the bad outings, both have thrown the ball extremely well of late. Houston's McHugh has a 3.26 ERA and 1.190 WHIP over his last 3 starts and Texas' Derek Holland has a 2.25 ERA and 0.792 WHIP over his last 3 starts. McHugh is 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA over 3 starts against the Rangers and Holland has allowed just 7 runs in 22 1/3 innings over 4 home starts. ROLL THE UNDER 9!

50* NFL *PRO GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER*

The public is all over the OVER in this one, as the perception here is that we have two high-powered offenses. The bookmakers know that the majority of the action was going to come in on the OVER and I believe they have inflated this total, creating some great value here on the UNDER. Pittsburgh is without several key pieces offensively in running back Le'Veon Bell, wide out Martavis Bryant and center Maurkice Pouncey. As for New England, I don't think there offense is going to be in sync out of the gate with all the distractions surrounding Brady and Deflategate, plus they are without running back LeGarrette Blount and wide out Brandon LaFell. Starting center Bryan Stork is doubtful and wide out Julian Edelman will be playing on a bum ankle. Too many key pieces missing for this one to be a shootout. Roll the UNDER 51.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

Really like the value we are getting here with the total set at 7.5 runs. Not only do we have two strong starters on the mound in Chris Archer and Wei-Yen Chen, but both offenses are struggling at the moment. The Rays have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5, while the Orioles are averaging just 2.9 runs/game over their last 7. Archer is poised for a bounce back start after giving up 4 runs in his last outing at home against the Twins (complete game shutout prior to that start) and Chen enters with a 2.89 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 21-9 in Chen's last 30 home starts and 13-3 in the Rays last 16 road games after going 5 straight games with fewer than 10 hits. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

Should be all kinds of offense in this one, as both teams will be sending out starters who have really struggled of late. Cincinnati will give the rock to Keyvius Sampson, who has a 8.03 ERA and 2.433 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Matt Garza and his 7.56 ERA and 1.620 WHIP in his last 3 outings. It's not just recent form where both of these guys have struggled. Sampson has a 5.79 ERA and 1.757 WHIP overall and Garza has a 5.52 ERA and 1.522 WHIP overall. OVER is 6-1 in Cincinnati's last 7 against a team with a losing record and 9-1-1 in Garza's last 11 home starts against a team with a losing record. Roll the OVER 8.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

Love the value here with this total set at 7.5. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney is coming off an ugly showing at home against the Blue Jays, but Toronto's offense is simply that good. Heaney has been rock-solid otherwise, as he owns a 3.39 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 11 starts. A big key here is the fact that he has a 2.13 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in 4 road starts. Cleveland will send out Danny Salazar, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 22-12 in LA's last 34 after a win by 2 runs or less and 20-10 in the Indians last 30 against the AL West. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR*

Love the value here with this total and more than willing to pay a little extra juice to get 7. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer is coming off a complete game shutout in his last outing and is 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA and 0.781 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Twins. Minnesota will send out Tyler Duffey, who has looked sharp in his last 2 after giving up 6 runs in 2 innings at Toronto in his MLB debut. Duffey has allowed just 2 runs in his last 2 starts (13 2/3 innings) with 15 strikeouts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 over L2 seasons in Rays 8 games after a contest where 17 or more combined runs were scored (avg score in these games has been 5.1)! Roll the UNDER 7!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I really like the UNDER here in this matchup. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney might not have the most overpowering stuff, but he's been very effective since joining the rotation. He's got a 2.43 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 10 starts. He's more than capable of keeping this high-powered Blue Jays offense in check at home. Toronto will send out Marco Estrada, who has been straight dealing of late with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in 19 starts. UNDER is 14-4 in Blue Jays last 18 after scoring 9 or more runs and 15-5-2 in Angels last 22 home games when listed as an underdog. Roll the UNDER 8!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I really like the value we are getting with this total at 8 runs. Houston's Michael Fiers has a dominant 1.50 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts, while the Dodgers' Brett Anderson is 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA over his last 5 road starts. LA is only scoring 3.8 runs/game and hitting .235 as a team in interleague play, while the Astros are scoring just 3.0 runs and hitting a mere .221 as a team over their last 7. UNDER is 15-5 in Dodgers last 20 road games after scoring 2 runs or less and 19-9 in the Astros last 28 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less in their last game. Roll the UNDER 8!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I believe this is a great spot to back the UNDER in today's matchup between the Rays and Astros. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer was rocked for 7 earned runs on 11 hits and 3 walks in his last start. It was only the third time this season that Archer allowed 5 or more earned runs. In each of the previous two instances he bounced back by allowing 2 runs or less. I'm expecting a similar outcome here with the Astros struggling offensively with just 3.3 runs/game and a .236 team average over their last 7. At the same time, I'm not expecting much offense from the Rays, who will face the red-hot Collin McHugh, who has a 1.80 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Roll the UNDER 7!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I believe the books have made a huge mistake here setting this total at a whopping 8.5 runs. The Red Sox don't figure to do much offensively, as they will be up against Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, who is coming in off back-to-back complete games in which he allowed 2 runs on 4 hits with 17 strikeouts. The high total is likely due to the fact that the Red Sox will be sending out Joe Kelly and his 5.69 ERA and 1.515 WHIP in 19 starts. However, Kelly is coming in off back-to-back strong starts and will be facing a Cleveland offense that has scored exactly 1 run in 3 of their last 4 games. UNDER is 24-9 in Indians last 33 road games as a favorite of -125 to -150 and 14-5 in their last 19 road games with a total set at 8.5-10 runs. Roll the UNDER 8.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

This is a great spot to back the UNDER 7.5 on the total, as we have to strong starters on the mound. Houston will send out Scott Kazmir, who has a 1.42 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 2.12 ERA and 1.076 WHIP overall in 22 starts. Tampa Bay will send out Erasmo Ramirez, who has quietly had a strong year. Ramirez is 9-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 18 starts. He's been even better of late with a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 10-2 in the Rays last 12 as a road dog of +125 to +175! Roll the UNDER 7.5

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I believe there's some hidden value here in the UNDER 7 on the total, as we are getting to sneaky good pitchers facing off in pitcher-friendly Petco Park. San Diego's Ian Kennedy has been on the rise and owns a 2.10 ERA in his last 5 home starts. Kennedy will also benefit from facing a Reds offense that is scoring just 1.9 runs and hitting .189 as a team over their last 7. Cincinnati will send out David Holmberg, who has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his first 2 starts, which came against a couple of really strong teams in Pittsburgh and St Louis. UNDER is 14-3 in Reds' last 17 after scoring 4 runs or less in 4 straight games and 13-3 in the Padres last 16 after not committing an error in 4 straight games. Roll the UNDER 7!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

There's too much value here to not take the UNDER in today's matchup between the Reds and Diamond backs. Cincinnati's Anthony Desclafani has a 2.41 ERA and 1.127 WHIP over 11 road starts, while Arizona's Pat Corbin has a 2.65 ERA and 1.059 WHIP at home. Corbin also will take advantage of facing a slumping Reds offense, which is scoring just 2 runs and hitting .198 as a team over their last 7 games. UNDER is 20-7 in the Reds last 27 road games with a total set at 8 to 8.5 runs and 13-3 in their last 16 after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. Roll the UNDER 8.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I'm not expecting many runs to be scored in Saturday's matchup between the Pirates and Dodgers. The game will be played at pitcher-friendly PNC Park and both teams are sending out quality starters. The Dodgers will give the ball to newly acquired Mat Latos, who has been rock-solid of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Latos has also been strong on the road, posting a 2.44 ERA and 1.125 in 8 road starts. Liriano has a 2.92 ERA and 1.061 WHIP in 20 starts and a 2.50 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 13-4 in the Dodgers last 17 road games when it's played during the day. Roll the UNDER 7!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

With the way the Marlins are struggling offensively and how well Miami starter Tom Koehler has looked both of late and at home, I don't expect to see many runs at all in this one. Koehler has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 1.79 ERA in 7 starts at home, where the UNDER has cashed in 6 of those 7 starts. Washington will send out Doug Fister, who has a 1.14 ERA and 0.760 WHIP over 3 career starts against Miami and the Marlins are scoring just 2.9 runs and hitting .239 as a team over their last 7 games. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I believe the books have made a big mistake here with setting the total for this game at 7.5. Both the Royals and Indians are struggling offensively right now. KC is averaging just 3.6 runs over their last 7 and Cleveland is putting up just 2.6. The real key here is the starting pitching. Royals' starter Edinson Volquez has a 1.86 ERA over his last 3 and a 3.64 ERA in 9 road starts. Indians starter Cody Anderson has a 1.91 ERA and 0.909 WHIP over 5 starts, including a 0.63 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in his 2 starts at home. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5. The Marlins will be sending out their ace in Jose Fernandez, while the Diamondbacks counter with one of the more underrated starters in Robbie Ray. Fernandez has posted a 2.37 ERA and 0.947 WHIP over his first 3 starts and Ray has a 2.29 ERA and 1.073 WHIP over his 9 starts in 2015. UNDER is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 and 12-4-1 in their last 17 during game 3 of a series. Roll the UNDER!

50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I believe we are seeing an inflated total here due to the struggles that Dodgers starter Brandon Beachy had in his first start back. Not pitching up to his potential in his first start back wasn't a big surprise given the near 2-year layoff, but I saw enough to believe he's going to bounce back strong. It will help facing an Atlanta offense that is averaging just 2.3 runs and hitting .205 as a team over their last 7 games. On the flip side of this, the Braves send out underrated starter Matt Wisler, who has a 2.65 ERA over his last 3 and a dominant 0.68 ERA and 0.900 WHIP over 2 home starts. Roll the UNDER 8!

50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY*

This is a great pitching matchup and I think there's a ton of value here on the UNDER at 7. The Angels' Andrew Heaney has been lights out, posting a 1.77 ERA in 3 starts and I was really impressed with how well he threw last time out at Coors Field. Seattle's Taijuan Walker got off to a bad start, but has been a completely different pitcher of late. Walker hasn't suffered a losing decision since June 3 and had a 1.68 ERA over a 7 start stretch here recently. He's finally pitching up to his potential and I look for these two future aces to dazzle on Sunday. Roll the UNDER 7!