Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
Miami at Denver 9:00 ET Nuggets (-) over Heat- In all three of their previous playoff series No. 8 seed Miami was able to get a jump on the No. 1 Bucks, No. 5 Knicks and No. 2 Celtics in the opening game of the series and that put tremendous pressure on the home clubs. They felt ambushed in a way and that is not something Denver has to worry about. After crushing Phoenix in their final two games of the series the Nuggets swept the Lakers and won their seventh straight over the Heat in Game One. I am sure to hear how Miami will make adjustments and the Game-1 loser is covering with the zigzag concept is they play...well not so fast. Let us take a closer look at this Heat club. To start with they are just 3-9 ATS following a loss by 10 points or more. And I have more, Miami is 9-26 ATS in the lat 35 overall meetings and 0-4 ATS at Mile High. Finally, they are 4-14 ATS in their last 17 with 2 days rest while the Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on two days rest and we will rest with the Nuggets are 8-3 last 11 at home. Plus they really are a lot better and hungry. Nuggets can shoot the ball and the other side not so much, as they already shot their load in the last three anomalies. Take DENVER! |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Miami at Denver 9:00 ET Nuggets (-) over Heat- Being in the Mile High City should cool off this Miami team who have been blazing hit in every big game situation in the entire playoffs. Denver who has been sitting around for what seems like an eternity is the polar opposite of the Heat and will force the tempo into a pace Miami will try and avoid. The key for the Nuggets is to hit their usual shots and do not allow the Heat pressure to affect them. Straight up, I think Nikola Jokic is just too big and powerful for the Heat defense. Miami has been through a grinding run and are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games with just two days rest and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Denver and 9-25 ATS in the last 34 meetings overall. Take DENVER! |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
Miami at Boston 8:30 ET Celtics (+) over Heat- Okay, here comes the rub, I totally expect Boston to win this game as I posted them at 7/1 to win the series after falling behind 0-3. We had the Game 6 Megabucks winner Boston 104-103 on the ‘Money Line’ -140 and as I expected it came down to the final buzzer and we were lucky enough to win outright while avoiding the non-cover favorite point spread loss. The position that I personally am in with the series bet +700 I should without a doubt take the points and cover my original action and have a 7.5-point middle or even take the Heat on the money line...but I just do not believe Miami is the winner. Now, while the betting public is taking them at a 3-to-1 clip I find it difficult to even play my middle. Instead I am going to let it ride (love that movie) because it has not happened in 150 other tries and because the money has been wrong every game this series. Aside from the final four minutes Jimmy Butler looked either hurt of too tired to carry this team any longer. Celtics are 9-3 ATS after an ATS loss. I never thought that I would have the favorite here, and I though that the Heat would come to play and make it a battle to the final whistle. But, now, with all the pressure on Miami we will see why they were seeded EIGHTH! Take BOSTON! |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
Miami at Boston 8:30 ET Celtics (-) over Heat- All’s I can say is, if Boston wins here ...watch out! AM I thinking of the 2004 Red Sox who were down 3-0 to the Yankees and had just lost at home 19-3 and no one gave them a chance...they won and yes I have thoughts of that and they are not pleasant (Yankees fan). Knowing that 0-3 teams in NBA playoff series are 0-150 and after posting a Highest-Rated Megabucks winner with the Celtics I am coning right back with my strongest side of the season. The number is huge and Miami is catching most of the money and from what we have seen rightly so. But, other than the Game 4 line adjustment the odds maker makes the Celtics the same as Game 1. If the Celts have as much confidence in themselves as the odds makers..they win. Take BOSTON! |
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05-23-23 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | Top | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Boston at Miami 8:30 ET Celtics (+) over Heat- I know what I said about Miami having more ‘Mojo’ than Austin Powers and they went out and absolutely destroyed the Celtics in a Game 3 romp that put them ahead 3-0 in the series. So, at this point everyone is in shock and Boston doesn’t have a clue how to change things the media is killing their rookie coach and looking to dissect the club. At 0-3 no team in NBA history has ever come back (0-150) to win the series and I would image the Celtics down to a man are bewildered and embarrassed. That second thing going a long way among professionals and Boston is that. This time around the Heat are favored and maybe that might too much for them to carry. I always take points but this is do or die for the Celtics and winning the game is all that counts for them here on out. Oh...I can not believe it...take CELTIC PRIDE! |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Denver at LA Lakers 8:30 ET Lakers (+) over Nuggets- Unlike Boston the LA Lakers did not quit in their Game 3 loss to Denver the issue with team is that they just were not and are not good enough. Yes, Denver is just better and has more depth along with better shooters. In Game e the Lakers actually had a 12-point lead at one point and a one-point lead with seven minutes to go before the Nuggets closed them out. No NBA team has ever comeback from a 3-0 deficit to win the series but to gain a win here is not out of the question. Take LA LAKERS! |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
Boston at Miami 8:30 ET Heat (+) over Celtics- The hits just keep comes if you dare to pay against the Heat team as their ‘Mojo’ is stronger than Austin Powers. Now, they are at home and are underdogs again to a team that just does not seem to be in sync. as a matter of fact Boston looks like all the other playoff teams that had to plat Miami. The Heat had to beat the Bulls after losing a play-in game to Atlanta and then the let Milwaukee win one game and the Knicks a pair and now Boston who may not win one game. But, Karma, is hard to overcome and if the Celtics pull it off here... Take MIAMI! |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
LA Lakers at Denver 8:30 ET Nuggets (-) over Lakers- The Lakers shot 67% in the second half come back in Game One and stole the money in a game that they were never in until Jokic stopped playing after the third quarter. So, that left many with the impression that the Lakers are ready for Game Two and the Zig-zag people will come wit the Game One outright loser and I don’t see it that way. To me, LA was the winner as they got the money and tonight they fall short. The Lakers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 trips to the Mile High City and the Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as hosts overall. Take DENVER! |
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05-17-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
Miami at Boston 8:30 ET Celtics (-) over Heat- Boston who once again is a heavy favorite for the series and of course Game 1 and once again we have eighth-seeded Miami the working man’s underdog survivor surprising everyone. The Celtics do not want to start this series as they did the last because a loss off the top to this clubs will only give them more confidence and put added pressure on them selves. Jimmy Butler has been a force to contend with and Bam Adebayo is no slough. but, the Celtics focus will run as deep as their talent. These two split four games this season each winning a pair on their home floor. The Celts are 10-4 ATS in last 14 home games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with winning records. Take BOSTON! |
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05-16-23 | Lakers +6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
LA Lakers at Denver 8:30 ET Lakers (+) over Nuggets- I find it so difficult to play against Denver as they are that good and so under-rated. Last year Jamal Murray was out and the Nuggets fell short.This year with a healthy Murray they look like the team to beat. LA well, what is there to say other than that if AD and LeBron can work together as they have, their inside game is tough to to beat.Think of all the Finals experience James has and then realize Denver has never been to the NBA Finals. The Nuggets have had their way against LA as hosts going 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven. But, this one will be close at the final buzzer. Take the LA LAKERS! |
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05-14-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Boston 3:30 ET Celtics (- ) over 76ers- All year long I insisted that Joel Embiid deserved the MVP and was glad to see him win it but at the same time I was saying that I thought the Celtics were the beat team I saw this season. So, you see where I’m coming from...the 76ers have a history of not winning when put in this position and James Harden, well when does he show up. The thing here is that both The Beard and Joel can have great nights and they can still get beat. The skeptics will once again be after Doc Rivers throat because the Celtics are 10-3 ATS against teams with winning records and 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings with the Sixers. Take BOSTON! |
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05-12-23 | Knicks +6.5 v. Heat | Top | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
New York at Miami 7:30 ET Knicks (+) over Heat- New York once again is facing elimination and and staved it off last time out as Jalen Brunson scored 38 points while RJ Barrett continues is hot playoff shooting scoring a high of 26points in Game five. Miami has played over their heads for the entire playoffs as Jimmy Butler is establishing his star status but he was held to a playoff low of 19 points last time out. The Knicks are 38-18-1 ATS on the road and 15-6-1 ATS after a straight-up win while the Heat have the series edge at home going 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Still, with what is a stake here keeps this one close. Take NEW YORK! |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 95-86 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Boston at Philadelphia 7:30 ET 76ers (+) over Celtics- Most of what I have been hearing is that Doc Rivers will be fired after the Celtics eliminate the 76ers from the playoffs. Well, I guess that has been put on hold for now as Philadelphia has shocked most that pay attention by taking the last two games from Boston since falling behind 2-1 in games. The force that Boston hs not be able to handle is MVP Joel Embiid who just does not want to return to Bean Town for a game 7. Joel too much for visitors. Take PHILADELPHIA ! |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Miami at New York 7:30 ET Knicks (-) over Heat- Right now the No. 8 seed in their eastern conference is ready to reach to NBA East finals with one more win in their next possible three games with New York. The Knicks have had one of the better seasons’ in what seems like decades but have fallen 3-of-4 to the more physical Heat. Miami’s defensive pressure has had the Knicks committed 52 turnovers in the series 13 more than the Heat. But, it is their rebounding that the Knicks have to improve on as Miami has controlled the boards. Take NEW YORK! |
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05-09-23 | Suns +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Phoenix at Denver 10:00 ET Suns (+) over Nuggets- Five days ago we were hearing how Denver was ready to sweep the series or at least end it early after Chris Paul was sidelined with a groin injury. As those of you that have been a part of our saga that I am not a big Paul fan and believe that the Suns are better off than on when it comes to this perennial playoff loser. We all pretty much accept that role players are better at home than n the road during the playoffs and the Suns bench outscored the Nuggets bench 40-11. That is a lot to overcome just thinking home floor difference. Now, it is Denver that feels the pressure and they have not been here in a long time. Take PHOENIX! |
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05-08-23 | Knicks +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
New York at Miami 7:30 ET Knicks (+) over Heat- All the glitz and glamours that comes with winning in New York dies very fast when you play like the Knicks did in Game 3. Miami is having their best run of the season in the playoffs and are doing it without Tyler Herro their leading scorer and at times without Jimmy Butler and others and like a hot playoff goalie they just keep wining.The Knicks seem to be breaking down physically as Immanuel Quickey comes up a question and joins Josh Hart and a gimpy Julius Randle. But, the Knicks run deep and Tom Tribodeau will make adjustments if only they execute. Take NEW YORK |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 124-129 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Denver at Phoenix 8:00 ET Nuggets (+) over Suns- I was wondering if I believed that Kevin Durant and Devin Booker would once again score a combined 86 points (the same amount the entire Knicks scored in the game against the Heat yesterday) then you should back Phoenix. If you have any doubts and I have mine, then the choice should be easy. But, the result may not always be. Even in their Game 3 loss the Nuggets were still more impressive to me. Take DENVER! |
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05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Miami at New York 7:30 ET Knicks (-) over Heat- The Heat are red-hot and Jimmy Butler is on fire. He is scoring at a rate that he has never displayed before. New York had an early double digit early lead and lead by five points at the half and that is all is wrote for the Knicks. New York was without Julius Randle but it was butler that was the difference in Game One as he has been throughout the playoffs. Although Miami won the last meeting they were 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings and they are just 10-28-1 ATS after a SU win. Take NEW YORK! |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
LA Lakers at Golden State 9:00 ET Warriors (-) over Lakers- I really did not expect too out of Step Curry and the Warriors after he scored 50 points in their Game 7 win over Sacramento. One thing that I did expect was for the champs to feel liberated as the Game 7 pressure was gone. The Lakers and Anthony Davis dominated the paint in Game One with 30 points and 23 rebounds and LA dominated at the free throw line making 29 to the Golden State had six. After those kind of numbers adjustments will be make by both the Warriors and the officials. Warriors are 5-1 ATS after a SU loss and 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games . Take GOLDEN STATE! |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Boston 8:00 ET Celtics (-) over 76ers- Boston was beaten as a double-digit favorite in Game 1 of this series and they did it without Joel Embiid stepping on the court. They were able to win because James Harden picked up the slack matching his career playoff high by scoring 45 points. Boston dominated the inside game with Embiid missing and had a 66-42 advantage in points in the paint. I would actually feel better if Joel played but either way the Celtics should prevail here. 76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings. Take BOSTON! |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
Miami at New York 7:30 ET Knicks (-) over Heat- The Heat are red-hot and Jimmy Butler is on fire. He is scoring at a rate that he has never displayed before. New York had an early double digit early lead and lead by five points at the half and that is all is wrote for the Knicks. New York was without Julius Randle but it was butler that was the difference in Game One as he has been throughout the playoffs. Although Miami won the last meeting they were 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings and they are just 10-28-1 ATS after a SU win. Take NEW YORK! |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Boston 7:30 ET Celtics (-) over 76ers- Of course the question here is can Philadelphia play well enough to win or even cover without Joel Embiid in the lineup. Coach Doc Rivers has said that he mostly will miss at least Game 1 of this series. Boston is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings including last time out when the 76ers won but did not cover as Embiid posted 52 points. if Joel can have an unbelievable night and still not get the money I can not see how they can stay with Boston without him. Sixers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 trips to Beantown and Celts are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Take BOSTON! |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Golden State at Sacramento 3:30 ET Warriors over Kings- This one is simple...are you willing to play against Steph Curry is a game of this significance and I am not! Golden State slept-walked though their last encounter not playing with the urgency that the Kings put out. Are the Warriors good enough to turn it on against a team that has outplayed them all season. It was thought that the defending champs would only have to win once on the road to win this series but now it must happen twice in-a-row. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS after a loss of 10 points and the Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Take GOLDEN STATE! |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Sacramento at Golden State 8:00 ET Warriors (-) over Kings- The defending NBA Champion Warriors are seed sixth but are ready to close out Sacramento and reclaim it’s northern California dominance. Golden State won only 11 games on the road this regular season but have come up with the one road win they need to win this series. I expect the Warriors to hold serve and end this series tonight. The Warriors are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 home games. Take GOLDEN STATE! |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Miami at Milwaukee 9:30 ET Bucks (-) over Heat- Milwaukee is one game away from elimination trailing 3-1 in games to Miami and yet they are still favored in Las Vegas to win this series. That speaks volumes as Giannis has not be at full strength. Only 13 teams in NBA history have recovered from a 3-1 hole and the odds are the Bucks will be number 14. The Heat have scored more points in this four-game series than any span of four games this entire season and it is not even close. Bucks clamp down...Take MILWAUKEE! |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -12 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
LA Clippers at Phoenix 10:00 ET Suns (-) over Clippers- I’d like to be able to say that like most other teams who enters a game without their top player that they rally and come up with superior efforts. But, even the best of efforts does not make up for the absence of Kawaii Leonard. Phoenix seems to have made the adjustment of adding Kevin Durant to the lineup and they are now the favorites in the West. Russell Westbrook has filled in quite well for the Clippers but for the most part his contribution become meaningless with a bulk of turnovers that e commits. Take PHOENIX! |
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04-24-23 | Bucks v. Heat +7.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Chip’s NBA Playoff Power Play Milwaukee at Miami 7:30 ET Heat (+) over Heat- At first glance this series is all about Giannis Antetokounmpo and if he will or will not be playing. Miami has been applying pressure defensively and the Bucks without the Freak in the lineup have turned the ball over 18 time a game. Without the big guy in the lineup for the Bucks Jimmy Butler has become a bully once again even without Tyler Herro. The Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in Miami while the Heat are 5-1 ATS in the ir last six home games. Take MIAMI! |
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04-23-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +6 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Boston at Atlanta 7:00 ET Hawks (+) over Celtics- The high flying Hawks are brimming with confidence and are even a bit cocky when playing on their home court. There can be no doubt that Atlanta likes shooting the basketball at home as Trey Young was just 14-of-40 in the first two games on the road and was 12-of-22 in his own environment. The Celtics are tough no doubt and the Hawks win in Game 3 was the first in eight tries against Boston. Still, it is bravado that keeps this one close. Take ATLANTA! |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Memphis at LA Lakers 10 ET grizzlies (+) over Lakers- I have stewed over this game longer than Ja’s playing time as he is supposed to sit this one out (something about a sore trigger finger). Okay, deciding to take some heat off Draymond Green, Dillion the Villian is making life miserable for LeBron even if his antics have no affect on the basketball court it has to wear James down mentally. 11 years his junior Brooks is quickly becoming the NBA’s newest version of Ron Artest. This one is funky but...take MEMPHIS! |
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04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat +5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Miami 7:30 ET Heat (+) over Bucks- Okay so the big guy was out and the Bucks romped 138-122 at home in Game 2 to even the series against the stubborn Heat. Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo will be a late decision but Miami knows for sure that Tyler Herro will be out and are planning ways to combat the Bucks big center Brook Lopez. The Bucks struggled on the road of late going 1-4 ATS in their last five as well as 0-4 ATS in their last four trips to South Beach and the Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Take MIAMI! |
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04-21-23 | Cavs +2 v. Knicks | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
Cleveland at New York 8:30 ET Cavaliers (+) over Knicks- Does this line look short to you it certainly does to me. The storyline in New York is not about the Knicks but about what if, what if Donovan Mitchell had signed with his home town club...but alas he is a Cavalier and they team from Gotham still covets him. The Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 8-3 ATS after a win by 10 points. These clubs were seeded 4 and 5 and the difference really should not be that much but, this price does not pass the eye test and maybe it is me but it just looks like a come-get-me! Take CLEVELAND! |
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04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Brooklyn 7:30 ET Nets (+) over 76ers- How to stop Joel Embiid is the major issue the Nets are facing once again. His dominance on the boards have given Philadelphia a 56-33 rebounding advantage. Brooklyn’s offense leaves much to be desired as they scored just 35 points in the second half as Spencer Dinwiddie is shooting under 40% from the field and is just 2-of-18 from downtown.The Nets have plenty of pride and will bring a huge effort into the Barkley Center tonight. Take BROOKLYN! |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +1.5 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
LA Lakers at Memphis 7:30 ET Grizzlies over Lakers- The question here is will he or won’t he be able to play in Game Two tonight. Ja Morant may be sidelined although he was able to practice yesterday and if has not pistol whipped a high school student or pulled a gun on a teammate Commission Silver has encouraging words. If Morant is not able to play Memphis has shown that they can win without him going 6-3 SU down the stretch while he was in counseling. LA wins Game 1 128-109 and are 0-7 ATS after scoring 125 or more points and the Grizzlies are 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games after a loss of 10 points or more. Take MEMPHIS! |
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04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -8 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
LA Clippers at Phoenix 10:00 ET Suns (-) over Clippers- While everyone’s eyes were on Devin Durant a two-time Finals MVP stole all the attention. The Clippers Kawhi Leonard poured in 38 points on 13-of 24 shooting in his first playoff game in nearly two years. Durant who had 27 points himself with 11 rebounds and nine assists took just one shot in the final 7:30 of the game. Just a note that my favorite...The Clips Russell Westbrook was 3-of-19 and the Clippers still managed to win Game 1 but that will not stand this time around. At this given moment both clubs support the same record but the Suns are perceived as the better team...and for good reason as they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Quarterfinals game. The Clips are 2-6 ATS after a SU win. Take PHOENIX! |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings +1.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
Golden State at Sacramento 10:00 ET Kings over Warriors- Okay so now Golden State has lost 31 of 42 road games and there is no reason that we should believe that like magic they will turn that around. for the most part I expect the majority of people to believe that the Warriors will not go down 0-2 in the playoffs and will rise defeat the Kings. But, they are 15-37-1 ATS in their last 51 road games overall. It had been 17 years since the Kings won a playoff game and they liked it, like it so much they are going to do it again. They are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and go up 2-0 in the series. Take SACRAMENTO! |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
LA Lakers at Memphis 3:00 ET Lakers (+) over Grizzlies- A very good friend of mine who will remain nameless and works in one of the major sports books knows a little about the numbers that come out and he asked me why the Grizzlies are such a short favorite...I wonder myself. Although LeBron James and Anthony Davis will on the floor the most dynamic player in the NBA whose all eyes will be upon is Ja Morant providing he hasn’t pistol whipped any high school students before game time. People keep talking about the Suns having so little time to mess Kevin Durant into the flow, well LA was floundering and first Davis an then Lebron returned and they are 18-7 SU when it counted most. The experience the Lakers possess dwarfs any perceived talent advantage THE Grizzlies and long rests for Memphis is not a good thing as they are 7-19-1 ATS with 3 or more days rest. Take LAKERS! |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
New York at Cleveland 6:00 ET Cavaliers (-) over Knicks- New York tried desperately to acquire native Donovan Mitchell more than one and ended up with Jalen Brunson and the Knicks couldn’t be happier. He averaged 24.0 points and 6.2 assists and he started in all 68 games he played in. The impact that Mitchell has had on the Cavaliers can not be denied as they posted their most James-less team wins since 1993 with 51. The Knicks went 3-1 against the Cavs this season but Julius Randle is questionable and in games like this on the road it is difficult to overcome. Take CLEVELAND! |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
Chicago at Miami 7:00 ET Heat (-) over Bulls- Yep, here it is...this is one of those games that my ex-partner used to say ‘If this game don’t win I’m out of the business’...he lasted 30 years. Miami looked so bad while getting swamped by Atlanta and never looked like they had a chance if or were even interested as they fell 116-105 at home. Now, here comes Chicago who bullied the Raptors in the second half and looked really good and have defeated the Heat all three times they faced each other this season. The South Beach crew was favored by minus-1.5 in the last meeting as hosts in December and after losing all three to the Bulls and off a horrendous loss they are a bigger favorite. Don’t make sense either. Take MIAMI! |
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04-12-23 | Thunder v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
Oklahoma City at New Orleans 9:30 ET Pelicans (-) over Thunder- It has been four years now and New Orleans can not wait any longer this season for Zion Williamson to display his talents and they play often enough like he will never be a part of the team on the court. Oklahoma City posted the best point spread record in the NBA this season and closed the year with two victories which will be their last wins of the season. The Thunder are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall and just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Pelicans have won three of four meetings and are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 11 overall. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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04-11-23 | Wolves +8.5 v. Lakers | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Minnesota at LA Lakers 10;00 ET Timberwolves (+) over Lakers- Well, since Rudy Gobert is the first Frenchman we have actually seen fight but of course he directed his anger at a teammate instead of the opposition. Now, most might consider this a negative thing but I do not as the Wolves had a better winning percentage when Gobert was sidelined then when he played this season. The play on thee Lakers is heavy as many now believe that they will make it to the finals as they have the best record in the NBA 16-7 since the All-Star break. But, Minny is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and but also 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meets in LA. Take MINNESOTA. |
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04-08-23 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 114-118 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Denver at Utah 3:30 ET Nuggets (-) over Jazz- Denver has already clinched the top spot in the West for the NBA Playoffs but ave dropped four of five after a 119-115 loss to Phoenix. In their loss to the Suns the Nuggets did not play any starters but it does not matter against the Jazz who have been eliminated from playoff contention. Utah has lost eight of their last nine games and are ready to play golf...take DENVER! |
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04-07-23 | Grizzlies -7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 137-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Memphis at Milwaukee 8:00 ET Grizzlies (-) over Bucks. Milwaukee is locked into the No. 1 seed and there is more to taking Memphis than that. The Grizz just lost as a 6.5-point underdog at New Orleans an now come to play the Bucks on their court and are now favored over the top seed. We don’t have to be in Denmark to realize something is rotten here and it stinks to high heaven. Lay it with MEMPHIS! |
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04-07-23 | 76ers v. Hawks -10.5 | Top | 136-131 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Atlanta 7:30 ET Hawks (-) over 76ers- I believe the Sixers are 86 for the rest of the regular season and it is the odds maker that believes it too.(well, I believe it because they are dictating it to us, just look at this price...absurd. I can not say why or how it will happen but the Hawks fly high tonight. Philly a no-show tonight. Take ATLANTA! |
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04-06-23 | Thunder -6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 114-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
Oklahoma City at Utah 9:00 ET Thunder (-) over Jazz- This is the time of the year that we can see some pretty wild and unusual things as point spread makers try and keep up with teams attitude toward certain games. Things have come full circle as it was exactly one year ago today that OKC visited the Jazz and Utah was a minus-15.5 point favorite. This time around the Thunder are favored and by more than a handful. The Jazz are out of tune and will be drowned out by the Thunder. Take OKLAHOMA CITY! |
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04-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -5 | Top | 131-138 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
Memphis at New Orleans 8:00 ET Pelicans (-) over Grizzlies- Both of these clubs was in action last night and neither of them cover the number as Memphis was -19 against Portland and waltzed through a 119-109 victory while the Pelicans non-cover came with a 121-103 thumping at home by Sacramento. The Grizzlies just don’t play well with others on the road as they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games and are 7-19 ATS against teams with winning home records. The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five at home and 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings against the Griz as hosts. This price looks outrageously high. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 1 m | Show |
San Diego State vs. Connecticut 8:30 ET Aztecs (+) over Huskies- What can be said about Connecticut that you haven’t already heard or already know and that is they are the best of all this season hands down when it counted. The Huskies were 14-0 on December 30 and ranked No. 1 before starting Big East play. They promptly lost seven of nine and then went untouched until Marquette got them 70-68 in the conference tourney. San Diego State plays really tough defense and never gives you anything easy. They also have something no one else has and is rarely seen today, and that is a veteran senior laden team. A roster that has been together for four and five years. They know each other and are mature enough to handle this moment. Aztecs will keep this close! Take SAN DIEGO STATE! |
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04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder +5.5 | Top | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
Phoenix at Oklahoma City 7:00 ET Thunder (+) over Suns- Phoenix has won four consecutive games and are undefeated when Kevin Durant has taken the floor for the Suns. Durant made his bones for nine years as a start for Oklahoma City before starting his sojourn through the NBA. The surprising Thunder at 38-40 ave plenty to play for as they hold the 10th and final play-in spot one-game ahead of Dallas. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to OKC and the Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games Take OKLAHOMA CITY! |
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04-02-23 | Grizzlies v. Bulls +3 | Top | 107-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Memphis at Chicago 3:30 ET Bulls (+) over Grizzlies- Ja Morant is back and Memphis has won eight of nine and 11 of 13 as they chase Denver for the top spot in the West trailing the Nuggets by two-games. Chicago is chasing Atlanta and Toronto as they sit with a 3-game lead over Washington and are in the final play-in spot. The Grizzlies are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games and 15-22 SU on the road and the Bulls are 31-15-1 ATS in their last 47 home games against teams with losing road records. Taken CHICAGO! |
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04-01-23 | Clippers +3.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
LA Clippers at New Orleans 8:30 ET Clippers (+) over Pelicans- I just saw New Orleans take apart the Nuggets in Denver and the Clippers get run out in Memphis last night and I wonder if the long trip back home for the Pelicans or the game in Tennessee would be more worrisome. With Zion Williamson in the wings the Pelicans have won eight of nine and starting to garner some attention as they have moved over the .500 mark with five games to play. The Clippers have more then struggled against New Orleans over the years as they are 6-22 ATS in the last 28 meetings in New Orleans and 17-40 ATS in the last 57 meetings overall. I know, is that not amazing. Nothing is 100%...take LA CLIPPERS! |
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04-01-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 122-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Dallas at Miami 7:30 ET Mavericks (+) over Heat- These two clubs appear to be racing to the bottom as they have fallen off the rails of late. Dallas who was looking to make a run in the West when they acquired Kyrie Irving but they neglected to consider what happens when the world goes flat (welcome to planet Kyrie). The Mavericks have dropped five of six and eight of 11 while Miami had dropped their last three overall. The Heat are not so hot as they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 overall including just 4-10 ATS at home and the Mavs are 17-6-7 ATS in their last 25 meetings in Miami. Take DALLAS! |
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03-31-23 | Hawks v. Nets +2 | Top | 107-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Atlanta at Brooklyn 7:30 ET Nets over Hawks- It is unbelievable to me that Brooklyn is where they are in the standings as they have a one and half game lead over Miami with six left to play, five of which are at home. Atlanta sits eighth and trails Miami by 1.5-games after winning at home against Cleveland 120-118 Tuesday night. The Hawks are a dreadful 18-40 ATS after a straight-up win and 11-17 ATS against reams with home winning records. Take BROOKLYN! |
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03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas +2 | Top | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
Alabama-Birmingham vs North Texas State 9:30 ET mean green eagles (+) over Blazers- UAB lost to North Texas twice this season before taking them down in the USA conference semi-finals and then lost to Florida Atlantic in the Final. The Mean Green looks terrible on offense with more dribbling than ball movement but they are tenuous on defense. They limited Wisconsin to 13 second half points while and shut them out the final 9:07 playing with half and full court pressure and the Badgers missed 15 of their last 16 shots. North Texas is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games at neutral sites! Take NORTH TEXAS! |
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03-30-23 | Celtics +3 v. Bucks | Top | 140-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Boston and Milwaukee 8:00 ET Celtics (+) over Bucks- After defeating San Antonio by 44 points on Sunday Boston followed that up with a 130-111 loss at Washington on Tuesday. So, I will note that the Celtics are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 125 points the previous game. The Bucks meanwhile just keep-on, keep-on and have won five of six and seven of nine and off a win at Indiana last night as they return home after four straight on the road. The Bucks are 10-2 ATS with zero rest but also 1-7 ATS at home against teams with winning records. Finally, the Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Milwaukee and 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 meetings overall. Take BOSTON! |
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03-29-23 | Clippers +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
LA Clippers at Memphis 8:00 ET Clippers (+) over Grizzlies- Ja is back and Memphis is rolling having won their last seven games although they are just 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Morant did not play in the Grizzlies win over the Magic Tuesday but it is nothing serious and he should be available tonight. Clippers are a surprising 7-3 in their last 10 and are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games but are 0-5 ATS in Memphis. That skid ends tonight. Take LA CLIPPERS! |
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03-29-23 | Heat +5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 92-101 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Miami at New York 7:30 ET Heat (+) over Knicks- Boy, what a call on the Heat as they went down in flames at Toronto last night. A win here for New York would just about clinch finishing the regular season ahead of the Heat. The Knicks are currently fifth in the East and the top six avoid the Play-in games and Miami is eighth. The Heat are coming off a loss at Toronto after getting wasted 129-100 by the Nets on Saturday while the Knickerbockers destroyed Houston Tuesday ending a three game losing streak. Miami will be without Jimmy Butler and New York is without Jalen Brunson who it turns out has been their best player. The Heat are 11-4 ATS at MSG. Take MIAMI! |
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03-28-23 | Utah Valley +4.5 v. UAB | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
Utah Valley vs UAB 9:15 ET Wolverines vs Blazers- An pair of clubs with 28 wins each square off in Las Vegas in the second NIT game at the Orleans. maybe no one know who Utah Valley actually is but they are cover machine and went 22-5 ATS on the year and are 20-7 in their last 27 games against teams with winning records. UAB has been good to me this season and I like the squad as they are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games at neutral sites but are just 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS win. Take UTAH VALLEY! |
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03-28-23 | Heat +3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Miami at Toronto 7:30 ET Heat (+) over Raptors- Toronto has struggled since December 9th to reach .500 and tonight is their chance to finally reach the break-even mark. The have failed five times to reach this level and they will have problems getting there tonight. Miami has split their last four games but are off an embarrassing 129-100 home loss to Brooklyn. Tyler Herro expressed his desire to stay away from the play-in games and say the Heat are highly motivated. I believe him. Take MIAMI! |
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03-27-23 | Wolves +4.5 v. Kings | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Minnesota at Sacramento 10:00 ET Timberwolves (+) over Kings- Minnesota has won three straight and have move into the seventh playoff spot after their Poser Play win Sunday over the Warriors. Sacramento is currently in the third playoff seed and would host these same Timberwolves if the playoffs started today. After missing 51 games Karl-Anthony Towns is back and the Wolves are brimming with confidence as Anthony-Edwards has also returned after a three games absence. Minny is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with winning records and are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings including 3-1-1 ATS in Cali’s capital city. Take MINNESOTA! |
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03-26-23 | Grizzlies v. Hawks +2.5 | Top | 123-119 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Memphis at Atlanta 6:00 ET Hawks (+) over Grizzlies- The is something rotten with this Memphis club and three days of therapy can only stretch the surface. Atlanta for the second time in three seasons has had a coaching change and lets see if it works as good this time as the last when the Hawks flew into the playoffs. The Grizzlies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games and are 8-22-1 ATS on the road against wining home teams. Hawks are 5-0 ATS at home against teams under .400 on the road. Take ATLANTA! |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL v. Texas -3.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
Miami-FL vs Texas 5:05 ET Longhorns (-) over Hurricanes- A really tough call as Texas has been so good to me and to themselves winning the Big-12 regular season and Playoff Title and have continued their fine play through this tourney. Miami under Jim Larranaga can never really surprise me and to find them here is actually a shock as I firmly believed that Houston was going to be here today. I am sure that he will have his Hurricanes well prepared but the Longhorns have physical qualities that can’t be matter and their overall size has them at an advantage along with their season’s schedule. Longhorns are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams wit winning records and 5-0-1 ATS at neutral sites. Take TEXAS! |
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03-26-23 | Mavs -11 v. Hornets | Top | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
Dallas at Charlotte 1:00 ET Mavericks (-) over Hornets- Dallas is off a pair of home losses one of which was to these lowly Hornets Friday night. The Mavericks are now sitting at 11 outside of the playoff picture and desperately need for Kyrie Irving to become a productive player and the problem is that he picks his spots and one can only hope this is one of his spots. Still, they are 3-0-1 ATS on the road and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 trips to Charlotte. take DALLAS! |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga +2.5 | Top | 82-54 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
Connecticut vs Gonzaga 8:45 ET Bulldogs (+) over Huskies- Crush, romp, stomp and annihilate the opposition that is has been the mantra of the Huskies. Connecticut was called arrogant by some when they arrive in Las Vegas and their response we are not here on vacation. One that may have put them in a foul mood was the condition of the Luxor Hotel which they had to lave because of issues that I won’t mention at this time. Hey, how bout dem Bulldogs...they won the game they wanted over UCLA and many question if thy will have anything left in the tank after their dramatic victory. All the trends and stats point to U Conn but the odds maker thinks not so much. Zags still seeking the title and their third trip to the Final-4. Dog is 3-0-1 ATS in four meetings. Take GONZAGA! |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State 6:05 ET Owls (+) over Wildcats- Whoo, whoo, whoo the Owls are calling and are one improbable game away from the Final-4. I know there are so great stories in this NCAA Tournament and Florida Atlantic is one of them with 34 wins the MSG stage in New York City has brought out the best in them.Kansas State has been solid the entire season posting an amazing 23-12 ATS out of the tough Big-12. They defeated Montana State, Kentucky and Michigan State after dropping their final two regular season games. Once again the Owls will rule the roost. Take FLORIDA ATLANTIC! |
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03-24-23 | Suns +3.5 v. Kings | Top | 127-135 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Phoenix at Sacramento 10:10 ET Suns (+) over Kings- Sacramento returns home after a 3-1 road trip as they bare on Memphis the second seed in the West trailing by just 2.5 games. Phoenix traded for Kevin Durant but an ankle injury has sidelined for two weeks and the Suns are just 2-5 in his absence. The Suns hold a half-game lead over the Clippers for the valued fourth seed and are 1-5 SU in the last six overall and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. The Kings are 3-9 ASTS after a double-digit home loss. Take PHOENIX! |
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03-24-23 | Princeton v. Creighton -9.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Princeton vs Creighton 9:00 ET Bluejays (-) over Tigers- I am told as we all are that this is the first Sweet-16 appearance for the Ivy’s Princeton and I always thought that Bill Bradly led them to the Final-Four. Creighton is in their second Sweet-16 in the past three years and may be a bit under-seeded as a six having been ranked No. 7 at one time this season. A 15th seed like another team from New Jersey last year’s St. Peters who made it to the Elite-Eight. Not so for the Tigers who are 6-0 ATS as they made their tournament run but are up against it here. The Bluejays are healthy and 12-3 ATS ATS in their last 15 games at neutral sites and they are at their best right now and they know better then to grab this Tiger by the tale. This will be a different level for the Ivy’s who will go home and say that it has been great.,,take CREIGHTON! |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
San Diego State vs Alabama 6:30 ET Aztecs (+) over Crimson Tide- The contrast in styles could not be more evident then when these two take the court against one another. Alabama likes to push the ball down the floor and average 82.8 PPG ranking in the top 10 on offense. San Diego State tries to control the tempo and be deliberate enough to knock those who haven’t been up against it out of sync and lose their timing. I expect that to happen here as Montezuma get his revenge. Take SAN DIEGO STATE! |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic +5.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
Florida Atlanta vs Tennessee 9:00 ET Owls (+) over Volunteers- Tennessee plays a physical style defense that has them ranked No. 4 allowing just 57.5 PPG and holding opponents to the lowest shooting rate from the field on both 3-point attempts and FG attempts. On offense at time they seem a bit crude ranking 177 while Florida Atlantic playing in just their second NCAA Tournament and first trip to the Sweet-16 is not afraid to shoot the ball and hit 47.2 percent of their FG and 37.8 on 3-point attempts. Losing their top guard has hurt the Vols as they closed the season losing six of 10, tonight it shows. Take FLORIDA ATLANTIC |
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03-23-23 | Cavs v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Cleveland at Brooklyn 7:30 ET Nets (+) over Cavaliers- Coming down to the final countdown Brooklyn has hit their longest losing streak of the season following a 6-0 ATS run. Cleveland is looking to sweep this two-game set after posting a 115-109 (-4) win on Tuesday. Look for the Nets who are 6-2 ATS at home against teams with losing road records (Cavs 17-20 SU on road) to put forth a max effort as they are 7-3-1 ATS against Cleveland when hosting. Take BROOKLYN! |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Connecticut 7:15 ET Razorbacks (+) over Huskies- Although I don’t wish to see Arkansas coach Eric Musselman shirtless again I do wish for the Razorbacks to keep it within the number. After upsetting No. 1 seed Kansas and having swamped Illinois in their opener defense has been the key. Connecticut turned it on in the second half against Iona and repeated the action in the second half against St. Mary’s. Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their seven neutral site games this season the same record as the Huskies who are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 NCAA tournament games. Take ARKANSAS! |
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03-22-23 | Warriors v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 127-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Golden State at Dallas 8:00 ET Mavericks over Warriors- This contest is in essence a playoff game in itself as these two are currently sitting sixth and seventh with the Warriors have a half-game lead. Dallas now has two of the NBA’s best offensive players Luca Doncic and Kyrie Irving but getting them together on the court my be the Mavericks biggest challenge. Golden State ended an 11-game road losing streak on Monday only to start another one tonight as they are 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 road games including 1-4 ATS at Dallas. Take DALLAS! |
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03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Alabama-Birmingham at Vanderbilt 7:00 ET Blazers (+) over Commodores- Out of the SEC and with two wins over Kentucky the Vanderbilt Commodores one would expect them to be a stronger favorite at home against a club from the Conference USA that did not qualify for the NCAA Tourney. The Dores are a second seed and UAB the fourth and the odds makers happen to thing that the Blazers on a neutral site would be favored. Blazers won their last six and 14 of 16 and Vandy has won 12 of their last 14 games. Take UAB! |
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03-21-23 | Cavs v. Nets +3.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Cleveland at Brooklyn 7:30 ET Nets (+) over Cavaliers- Brooklyn before the purge had built up enough wins to keep them in contention to avoid an Eastern Conference play-in game like the one they had a against Cleveland last year. The Cavaliers hold the fifth spot an have won seven of the last 10 while Brooklyn has dropped their last four. Defense is the key for the Cavs as they are No. 1 allowing just 106.6 PPG but are lacking on offense ranking No. 25 allowing 112.2 PPG. The Nets are 6-1 ATS at home against teams with losing road records. Take BROOKLYN! |
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03-20-23 | Mavs +3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Dallas at Memphis 8:00 ET Mavericks (+) over Mavericks- With less then a dozen games left in the regular season Memphis is tied for the No. 2 seed in the West with Sacramento and four games behind Denver. No Ja Morant does not bother the Grizzlies as they have won their last two and five of six. Ja is available tonight but because he as low character and unprofessional he will not play due to conditioning. This great player is as they used to say in Brooklyn ‘he’s a bum.’ Dallas star Luca Doncic should return tonight. Take DALLAS! |
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03-19-23 | Nuggets v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 108-102 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Denver at Brooklyn 3:30 ET Nets (+) over Nuggets- Brooklyn despite the chaos that surrounds the squad has won five of their last eight games and are now two games behind the Knicks for the fifth seed. Denver was 22-6 SU over a two month period but have now lost five of their last six games including a loss at New York 116-100 yesterday and are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. The Nuggets all-everything Nikola Jokic numbers have taken a down turn of late and the Nuggets can not pick up the slack. The Nets are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings and 3-0-1 ATS at home and are 6-0 ATS at home against teams with losing road records and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games overall. Take BROOKLYN! |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh v. Xavier -5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Xavier 12:10 ET Musketeers (-) over Panthers- Pittsburgh involved in the First-in game defeating Mississippi State and then Iowa State in the opener. The Panthers are an 11 seed and didn’t receive must confidence from the selection committee as they rated the ACC as the weakest major conference. Both the Bulldogs and Cyclones were fraud offensively some thing that Xavier does not have as they are ranked No. 11 averaging 81.1 PPG . The Musketeers will be focused this time around as the battle with No. 14 seed Kennesaw State woke up their senses and they will be ready from the opening whistle as they have always been in the NCAA Tournament going 28-8-2 ATS. Take XAVIER! |
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03-18-23 | Celtics v. Jazz +4.5 | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Boston at Utah 9:00 ET jazz (+) over Celtics- With a 33-36 record the fact that Utah plays he hardest remaining schedule in the NBA should not matter much to them but it may affect the others seeding if the Jazz pull off any upsets. But, hey they still have a spot at the final play-in games, not a very good one but a chance none the less. Houston and San Antonio are actually the only teams that are eliminated at this time. Boston is 1.5 games behind Milwaukee for the No. 1 seed. This is the Celtics third road game in four nights while Utah is hosting after a six games 11-day road trip of their own. Jazz 11-2 ATS against teams winning 60% or more. Take UTAH! |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Kansas | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Kansas 5:15 ET Razorbacks (+) over Jayhawks- Arkansas head coach Ed Musselman has his talented jumping jacks playing defense as they forced Illinois into 17 turnovers in their easy wire-to-wire win. Kansas as we know has the and is not happy about being sent into the West while Houston was chosen No. 1 in the Midwest as that is not where they thought they belong. The Jayhawks had a romp over Howard and are 1-4 after a SU win and they will be surprised by the Razorbacks quickness and overall speed. Bill Self is said not to be court-side and that does not help their cause. Hogs are 5-1 ATS at neutral sites. Take ARKANSAS! |
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03-18-23 | Duke v. Tennessee +3.5 | Top | 52-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Duke vs Tennessee 2:40 ET Volunteers (+) over Blue Devils- I’ve seen a lot of money come in on the Blue Devils the past few days and wit them riding a 10-game winning streak we can understand why. I have been told that Duke under first year coach Jon Scheyer that they are 18-1 when having a healthy roster. the Blue Devils crushed Oral Robert on their opener while Tennessee slept-walked through their battle with Louisiana winning 58-55. The Volunteers committed 18turnover and know that they were lucky to escape. Now, here comes the No. 4 defense in the Nation allowing only 57.5 PPG who have beaten Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and held Auburn to 43 points.. This squad plays better defense and that will be the difference. Take TENNESSEE! |
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03-18-23 | Furman v. San Diego State -5.5 | Top | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
Furman vs San Diego State 12:10 ET Aztecs (-) over Paladins- It may not have been the upset of the century but Furman’s win out of the 3 hole was significant enough over an over-rated No. 4 Virginia. Many around here thought that the Cavaliers have been given more resect than what they deserve as they were ranked as high as 6. The celebration was a bit much and they will be taken back by how aggressive the Aztecs defense will be and how deliberate their offense is going to be. SDS was lucky to win much less cover against Charleston and will be putting pressure on the Paladins from the get-go. Take SAN DIEGO STATE! |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs Memphis 9:20 ET Owls (+) over Tigers- This will be just the second time Florid Atlantic has made it to the NCAAs and it has been 21 years since they lost to Alabama. The Owls are ranked in the Top-5 for the first time in school history and with 31 wins and only three losses they belong there. After watching Memphis just run away from Houston for the Conference USA championship I am shocked they the Tigers are seeded No. 8 and such a small favorite against a virtual unknown. Think of this these two clubs have meet once before and be it a long time ago Memphis crushed the Owls 96-46. I know FAU won 31 games but does anybody really know who they are...not the Tigers. Take FLORIDA ATLANTIC! |
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03-17-23 | Drake +2 v. Miami-FL | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Drake vs Miami-FL 7:25 ET Bulldogs (+) over Hurricanes- I am not pleased with all the attention Drake has been receiving because well, they are better the most thought and Miami may be hurting. The Bulldogs won 13 of 14 while winning the Missouri Valley Conference Champions while the Hurricanes won a share of the ACC regular season title but fell to Duke in the tourney. Miami does not defend the long ball very well and that is the biggest asset for the Bulldogs is their 3-point shooting. Why is the No. 5 seed in a virtual pick it situation. Take DRAKE! |
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03-17-23 | Wizards +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 94-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Washington at Cleveland 7:30 ET Wizards (+) over Cavaliers- Washington us fighting tooth and nail (What is that anyway) to secure the final play-in spot which has them a half game ahead of Chicago for the final spot and every game in crucial. The Wizards know that they can win here as the already 2-0 against the Cavaliers this season and they are in the fourth playoff spot. The Wiz fresh off a win over Detroit is 9-4 ATS after a SU win. The Cavs after a loss (to 76ers) are 3-8 ATS after their opponent scores 100 points or more. Take WASHINGTON! |
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03-17-23 | Providence +4.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 53-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Providence vs Kentucky 7:10 ET Friars (+) over Wildcats- Last year in the Tourney Kentucky was shocked by Saint Peter’s in the first round and Bryce Hopkins was on the court for the Wildcats. So what’s the big deal, well tonight he will be on the court playing for Providence after earning first team All-Big East honors. The Friars who have dropped four of their last five are 0-3 lifetime against the Wildcats but made to the Sweet-16 last season. The Wildcats are just 3-14 ATS in their 17 games at neutral sites. Take PROVIDENCE! |
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03-17-23 | USC +2 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
USC vs Michigan State 12:15 ET Trojans (+) over Spartans- Michigan Sate under coach Tom Izzo is playing will be playing in the NCAA Tournament for the 25th straight year the first men’s coach to accomplish that feat. USC on the other hand has made the NCAA tourney three straight times, only the second time that they have been able to achieve that. The Trojans are better rated on both offense and defense and yet are the underdogs due to reputation more than talent. USC is 7-2 ATS in their last nine NCAA tournament games while the Spartans are 1-4 ATS at neutral sites. Take SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA! |
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03-16-23 | Kings v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Sacramento at Brooklyn 7:30 ET Nets (+) over Kings- Believe it or not Sacramento is the second seed in the West and is about to clinch their first playoff berth in 16 years. When the Nets inserted Mikal Bridges into the line up they had trouble trying to mesh losing six of their first seven with him in the lineup but have gone 5-2 since with him in the lineup. It seems over the years that the nets have had the kings number as They are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings overall and 16-5 ATS as hosts against Sacramento. Take BROOKLYN! |
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03-16-23 | Illinois +2 v. Arkansas | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Illinois vs Arkansas 4:30 ET Fighting Illini (+) over Razorbacks- As I said many a time this season when I saw Illinois play while ranked No. 6 that this team has no shot. I was right as they played their way out of the Top-25.v Arkansas has shown that they can play with the big boys but it seems that there is something missing as they dropped four of their last five. Razorbacks are 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA appearances and they are is 0-5 all-time against Illinois but this is the first meeting since 2004. Take ILLINOIS! |
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03-15-23 | Youngstown State +6 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Oklahoma State at Youngstown State 7:00 ET Penguins (-) over Cowboys- Okay, I’ll let you tell me...how can a Big-12 team that was the first team left out of the selection process for the NCAA be this big a favorite to a team that lost to Northern Kentucky in the Horizon League tournament final. First out in the NCAA (never in) and first out in the NIT. Part of the issue is that the NIT overall No.1 seed will not be hosting this game as previous commitments and conflicts with a wrestling tournament (not the WWE). But, the true problem is the Cowboys mindset and it is not good. Didn’t make the NCAAs and are seeded No. 1 in NIT but must play on the road. Take YOUNGSTOWN STATE! |
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03-14-23 | Villanova v. Liberty -3 | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Villanova at Liberty 9:00 ET Flames (-) over Wildcats- Whoa, I know that the wildcats have not had the best of it this season but for a Big East team to come up an underdog against Liberty is shocking to the eye. I originally thought it was a kiss print but no and their is no way to take Villanova. Liberty came with one point of receiving a bid from the NCAA but earned its first NIT offer. I don’t know what the story is here, but the Flames will burn the Wildcats. take LIBERTY! |
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03-14-23 | Lakers v. Pelicans +1 | Top | 123-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
LA Lakers at New Orleans 8:00 ET Pelicans (+) over Lakers- I might say that the Lakers may be better off without Lebron James than with him but although those thoughts have run into my head after LA ripped off seven wins in nine games. Then of course they reverted back to being the Fakers and were beaten by New York on Sunday who had lost their previous three games. With identical records and playing at home where the Pelicans are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings gives them the advantage. LA is 4-10 ATS on road against team with winning home record. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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03-12-23 | Knicks +3 v. Lakers | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
New York at LA Lakers 9:00 ET Knicks (+) over Lakers- it is time...time for the ole double-reverse fake flimflam. Seven days ago New York defeated Boston in OT for their ninth straight win and hey were now being thought of as a legitimate contender. At the same time the Lakers started their three-game home winning streak which will end here today. The Knicks of course can use the Jalen Brunson injury as an excuse whereas how do the LeBron-less Lakers continue to win. Knickerbockers are off a meltdown loss at the Clippers last night and are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games with no rest. Take NEW YORK! |
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03-12-23 | Penn State +8 v. Purdue | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Penn State vs Purdue 3:30 ET Nittany Lions (+) over Boilermakers- Penn State is the No. 10 seed and if they succeed and win here it will be their first Big Ten title and the lowest seed ever to win the Conference title. They were in the finals just one other time losing to Ohio State in 2011while Purdue has one title under their belt defeating Ohio State. So it appears that fresh blood will be a winner this time around. The Lions are 33-15-5 ATS in their last 55 neutral sight games. The Boilermakers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records (the Buckeyes were under .500). Take PENN STATE! |
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03-11-23 | Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA | Top | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Arizona vs UCLA 10:30 ET Wildcats (+) over Bruins- Everybody knew that it would come down to this as these are and have been the two best teams in the PAC-12 and no one is surprised to see them meet in the conference finals. These two split their season series but the Wildcats have gotten the money three of the last four meets. Wildcats are 8-2 ATS against teams winning more than 60% and the Bruins are 15-5-1 after a SU win. I still believe UCLA is a bit over-rated. Take ARIZONA! |
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03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +5.5 | Top | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Boston at Atlanta 7:30 ET Hawks (+) over Celtics- This price seems a bit shallow to me as the Celtics have won and covered the last three meetings and the hawks have been through a few changes and they are not so minor. like firing your head coach. Still, Boston is dealing with injuries and are 1-4 ATS against teams with winning records while Atlanta is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 home games against teams with winning records. take ATLANTA! |
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03-11-23 | Texas +2.5 v. Kansas | Top | 76-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Texas vs Kansas 6:00 ET Longhorns (+) over Jayhawks- Both of these clubs took me to task yesterday as I foolishly posted against both of these clubs and today we atone for our short shortsightedness. Texas has played through the entire season with off court distraction losing their coach early on to more social issuers which were later dropped. These two split their season series each holding serve on their home floor and they have split meetings the past two seasons. In what should be a great battle we’ll hook em here. Take TEXAS! |
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03-10-23 | Maryland +2.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
Maryland vs Indiana 9:30 ET Terrapins (+) over Hoosiers- My how the years do go by as I remember when Indiana was the bully in the Big Ten and Maryland was playing for National Championships out of the Atlantic Coast Conference. But, believe it or not the Hoosiers have appeared in just one Big Ten championship game since 1998 losing to Iowa in 2001. The Terps defeated Indiana at home 66-55 six weeks ago and they will remember how it is done. Take MARYLAND! |
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03-10-23 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 58-71 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Kansas 6:30 ET Cyclones (+) over Jayhawks- How much does Bill Self mean to the Jayhawks during a game? Not as much as T.J. Otzelberger means to Iowa State. Kansas won eight times in the last nine outings and this will be the second straight without him. For the Cyclones who started the action like a whirl wind only to sump mid-season and have once against risen their play and it is all defense. T.J. has them focused and surprise here. Take IOWA STATE! |
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03-10-23 | Rutgers +5.5 v. Purdue | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Rutgers vs Purdue 12:00 ET Scarlet Knights (+) over Boilermakers- Purdue was ranked No.1 longer than any other school and will still likely draw a No. 1 seed. When they topped the polls at 22-1 their only defeat came at the hands of the Scarlet Knights 65-64 in West Lafayette on January 2. Rutgers did what they do best as the Wolverines found out yesterday they play defense. They held the Boilermakers to under 40% from the field and forced 13 turnovers. Guess what go ahead that a guess...Okay well that was Rutgers second program win over a No. 1 ranked team as they had beaten Purdue as No. 1 in December 2021. When a team has your number the have your number and the number for Purdue is up once again. Take RUTGERS! |
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03-09-23 | Knicks v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
New York at Sacramento 10:00 ET Kings over Knicks- New York had their nine game winning streak ended at home by lowly Charlotte and now must take their longest road trip of the season and visit the Kings who are vying for a playoff berth for the first time in 16 years. Sacramento has won six of seven and are 20-13 at home and with the return of De Aaron Fox tonight the Kings rate the edge. Take SACRAMENTO! |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers +3.5 v. Michigan | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Rutgers vs Michigan 12:00 Scarlet Knights (+) over Wolverines- Like the man said many of these game as play-in games needed to win to get in but there are others like this one where the winner is not guaranteed anything while the loser is definitely run out of opportunities. Rutgers won early in Big Ten action and then for time it seemed that the conference caught up with them as playing 20 Conference games can be grueling. Rutgers defense will far out shine anything the Wolverines and do on offense as the Scarlet Knights are ranked No. 9 only allowing 60.4 PPG. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take RUTGERS! |
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03-08-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +2 | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Dallas at New Orleans 7:30 ET Pelicans (+) over Mavericks- These two clubs are battling for playoff spots in the congested Western Conference with Dallas looking forward with Irving while the Pelicans keep looking back for Zion. The Mavericks are off a season high six-game home stand and travel to New Orleans who are struggling having lost six of seven and 17 of their last 22. The Pelicans are 20-11 at home this season and this will be just their second home game in 26 days and they rebound here. Mavericks are 9-23-1 ATS after a SU win. Take NEW ORLEANS! |