Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-01-24 | Sun v. Lynx -4.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut. The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70. We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat. Even better: the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat. Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs. Lay the points with Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-01-24 | Aces +3.5 v. Liberty | Top | 84-88 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York. The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77. We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss. And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog. Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs. Grab the points with the Aces. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-17-24 | Sky +7 v. Dream | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream. There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth. Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season. The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight. Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana). This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker. We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-15-24 | Sparks +12.5 v. Storm | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Seattle Storm. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams. On Wednesday, the Storm defeated the Sparks, 90-82, as a 12.5-point home favorite, but failed to cover the big number. Seattle is laying a lot of wood again on this Sunday evening. But the Storm have been mired in an extended point spread slump. They're just 3-11 ATS their last 14, including 0-8 ATS when laying 7+ points. We'll take the Sparks as a huge underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-08-24 | Wings -4.5 v. Sky | Top | 77-92 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Chicago Sky. Angel Reese sustained a season-ending wrist injury two nights ago vs. the Los Angeles Sparks. Chicago won the prior meeting, 83-72, with Reese leading the way with 16 points and 18 rebounds. Without Reese in the lineup, we'll look for Chicago to crushed this evening by Dallas. The Sky have covered just 28% as a home dog vs. revenge-minded teams the Sky defeated at home in the previous meeting. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-04-24 | Sparks +12.5 v. Fever | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over Indiana. Caitlin Clark's Fever are on a 4-game win streak to go over the .500 mark for the first time all season. Tonight, they're favored by double-digits. And prior to tonight, the most they had been favored by all season was 7 points. They lost that game outright and, in fact, have been poor as a favorite of 4+ points, with a 2-4 ATS mark this season, and a 10-18-2 ATS mark over their last 30. The Sparks are 14-7 ATS in the last 21 meetings vs. Indiana, including an 88-82 upset win here, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, when these teams last met. Take the Sparks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-03-24 | Dream v. Mercury -1.5 | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the Atlanta Dream. Phoenix enters tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. The Mercury were underdogs in each of those defeats. And they are a soft 8-11 ATS this season when dressed up in the underdog role. But Phoenix is a stellar 9-4-1 as a favorite this year, including a perfect 5-0-1 ATS off a loss, so that bodes well for it in this game. And the Mercury is 8-0-1 ATS as a favorite off a loss, dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Atlanta is an ugly 17-31-2 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a foe off a straight-up defeat. Take Phoenix minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-01-24 | Sky +13 v. Lynx | Top | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over Minnesota. The Sky are 24-13 ATS as a double-digit underdog, while Minnesota is 3-9 ATS its last 12 as a double-digit favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Even better: the underdog is 28-15-1 ATS in this series, including 15-1 ATS their last 16 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 5 points in the previous meeting. With Chicago playing with revenge from an 8-point loss to the Lynx, we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |