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Big Al McMordie WNBA Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-14-25 Liberty v. Fever +5 Top 88-102 Win 100 8 h 17 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the New York Liberty.  These two teams met earlier this season in a thriller which went down to the wire.  New York escaped with a 90-88 victory as a 4-point road favorite.  We'll take Indiana, as Caitlin Clark will be back in the lineup this afternoon.  The Fever are a solid 14-5 ATS the last two seasons vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, while New York is a nasty 47-89-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  The Fever were blown out by 19 points by the Dream on Tuesday.  But WNBA teams off a SU/ATS loss are on a 29-10 ATS run vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Fever.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-13-25 Sky +12.5 v. Dream Top 70-88 Loss -115 17 h 46 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream.  The Sky come into this game off a 19-point loss to the Liberty, while the Dream won by 19 over Indiana in its last game.  We'll grab the points tonight with Chicago, as double-digit dogs off losses by 15+ points have cashed 61.6% vs. foes off wins by 15+ points.  Additionally, Atlanta is an awful 15-31 ATS as a favorite off a SU win vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take the Sky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-10-25 Sky +18.5 v. Liberty Top 66-85 Loss -108 17 h 10 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over New York.  These two teams met last month, and the Liberty blew out the Sky, 99-74, as an 11.5-point road favorite.  This game will be played in the Big Apple, and we will grab the points with the revenge-minded Sky.  Chicago did lose by 27 points to the Fever on Saturday.  But the good news is that the Liberty are a horrid 0-20 ATS when favored by 5+ at home vs. a revenge-minded foe off a loss.  We'll grab the points with the Sky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-05-25 Liberty v. Mystics +14 Top 86-78 Win 100 16 h 39 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over the New York Liberty.  These two teams met a week ago here, in the nation's capital, and the Liberty won by 22, 85-63, as a 9-point road favorite.  For this rematch, the oddsmakers have significantly raised the price on the Liberty, who are now a big double-digit road favorite.  We'll take Washington, as the Liberty are a lousy 46-88 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-10 ATS if they won the previous meeting by a margin ranging from 19 to 29 points.  And the Mystics are 9-1-1 ATS as a double-digit home underdog.  Grab the points with Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-01-25 Mercury v. Sparks -4 Top 85-80 Loss -109 16 h 24 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Phoenix Mercury.  These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun on May 21, and the Mercury defeated the Sparks, 89-86, as a 4-point home favorite.  Still, the Sparks covered the spread, and they're now 23-16-1 ATS vs. Phoenix, including 9-2 ATS as a home favorite.  That bodes well for the Sparks.  As does the fact that they fall into a 193-125-2 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-01-25 Sun +18.5 v. Liberty Top 52-100 Loss -115 13 h 25 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over the New York Liberty.  The Sun upset the Fever as a 10.5-point underdog, 85-83, on Friday.  Off that big win, we'll ride the momentum and grab the points with the Sun on Sunday.  Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed 58.2% as underdogs off upset wins as a double-digit dog in their previous game.  Take Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-30-25 Liberty v. Mystics +8.5 Top 85-63 Loss -110 17 h 46 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over New York.  We played against the Liberty last night, and got the $$$ with the Valkyries.  And we will once again fade New York tonight, on the road, playing without rest.  Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed just 35.2% on the road off 3+ wins, if they were playing without rest.  Even better:  Washington is 9-2 ATS its last 11 vs. New York, and 15-4-1 ATS its last 20 as a home dog of 8+ points.  Take the Mystics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-29-25 Valkyries +19 v. Liberty Top 77-82 Win 100 16 h 38 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over New York.  These two teams met on Tuesday, and the Liberty blew out the Valkyries, 95-67, as an 18-point home favorite.  This game is also being played in the Big Apple, and we'll take the revenge-minded double-digit underdog.  Over the last 14 regular seasons, underdogs of 14+ points have cashed 78.6% when playing the same opponent they lost to in their previous game.  Even better:  revenge-minded road underdogs of 5 (or more) points, off a straight-up loss, have gone 19-0 ATS their last 19 games at New York.  We'll grab the points with the Valkyries.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-27-25 Valkyries +17 v. Liberty Top 67-95 Loss -110 31 h 9 m Show

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over the New York Liberty.  The Valkyries come into this game off an upset win as a 10.5-point road dog last Friday at Los Angeles.  We'll take Golden State + the double-digits on Tuesday, as underdogs of more than 8 points have cashed 61.4% since 2006 off a SU win, if they were well-rested with at least 3 days off.  Even better:  WNBA underdogs off an upset win as a double-digit dog have cashed 62% in the regular season.  Grab the points with Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-24-25 Liberty v. Fever +4 Top 90-88 Win 100 8 h 8 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over New York.  Dating back to last season, Caitlin Clark & Co. are 19-12-1 ATS their last 32.  We'll grab the points with the Fever this afternoon, and go against the Liberty, who won 99-74 over Chicago on Thursday.  Unfortunately for New York, WNBA teams off wins by 20+ points have covered just 37% vs. .555 (or better) foes.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-22-25 Liberty v. Sky +12.5 Top 99-74 Loss -115 10 h 44 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the New York Liberty.  The Liberty are the defending WNBA Champs, and opened the season with a big win over the previous champion, Las Vegas.  We'll fade New York tonight, as it is an awful 16-37 when laying more than 9 points, including 9-27 ATS off a win.  And the Sky are 30-22 ATS when catching more than 9 points, including 6-1 ATS at home.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-22-25 Fever -4 v. Dream Top 81-76 Win 100 9 h 13 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever minus the points over Atlanta.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams.  The Dream pulled off an upset on Tuesday, as a 7-point road underdog, 91-90.  We'll take the Fever in this revenge match, as Atlanta is a wallet-busting 77-101 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Additionally, Indiana falls into a 63% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-20-24 Lynx v. Liberty -5.5 Top 62-67 Loss -110 43 h 11 m Show

At 8 pm, on Sunday, in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota.  The Lynx forced a Game 5 with an 82-80 triumph on Friday night, in Minneapolis.  This game will be played in New York City, and the Liberty have been dominant at home when coming off a straight-up loss, as they have won their last 10 straight-up.  And they've also gone 12-6 ATS their last 18 at home off a SU loss.  Likewise, in the Playoffs the past two seasons, New York has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home off a SU loss.  Moreover, WNBA Game 5s have generally gone the way of the favored team, and especially when laying more than 3 points, as those clubs have cashed 73%.  We'll side with Sabrina Ionescu & Co. to blow out Minnesota.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-16-24 Liberty v. Lynx +2.5 Top 80-77 Loss -110 64 h 59 m Show

At 8 pm, on Wednesday, in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx + the points over the New York Liberty.  We played on the Liberty in Game 2, and were rewarded with an 80-66 blowout win.  But with Minnesota off that horrible game, we'll switch gears and play on the Lynx as a home underdog in Game 3.  Indeed, in the WNBA Finals, teams off losses by 14+ points have cashed 60% since 2006 (and 67% as home underdogs).  the Lynx are 12-6-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings with the Liberty, including 4-2 ATS this season.  Finally, the Lynx fall into 49-24 and 93-52 ATS Playoff systems of mine.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-13-24 Lynx v. Liberty -7 Top 66-80 Win 100 26 h 4 m Show

At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota.  The Lynx upset the Liberty, 95-93, in overtime, on Thursday to take a 1-0 series lead.  We'll lay the points with New York in Game 2, as home teams have cashed 64% in the WNBA Finals off a SU loss.  Additionally, the Liberty are 9-0 SU their last nine off a loss in their previous game, including 6-0 ATS their last six.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-08-24 Sun v. Lynx -3 Top 77-88 Win 100 40 h 51 m Show

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  We played on the Sun in Game 4, on Sunday, and were reward with a 92-82 SU/ATS win.  This 5-game series is now tied at 2-games-apiece, and we'll side with the home team on Tuesday night.  Minnesota is an awesome 80-46-4 ATS at home off a point spread loss, if it was favored (or PK), including 10-5-1 ATS in the playoffs.  And the Lynx are also 58-31-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge, including 15-4 ATS if it lost its previous game by double-digits.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-06-24 Lynx v. Sun -1.5 Top 82-92 Win 100 12 h 40 m Show

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  The Sun lost Games 2 + 3 (including an upset loss, 90-81, at home on Friday), and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-5 semifinal series.  We'll lay the points, as home teams off a SU/ATS loss that face elimination in a 5-game playoff series have cashed 61.9%.  Even better:  the Sun have cashed 83% off an upset playoff defeat.  We'll lay the points with Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-06-24 Liberty +3.5 v. Aces Top 76-62 Win 100 10 h 41 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty plus the points over Las Vegas.  The Aces staved off elimination in this 5-game series with a 95-81 blowout win over New York, on Friday.  I look for the Liberty to eliminate the Aces this afternoon, and end their bid for a 3rd straight championship.  Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread at home this season by an average of 3.43 ppg, while New York has covered the spread on the road by an average of 4.00 ppg.  That bodes well for the road team.  Also, the Liberty have been solid off a SU loss, covering 60%.  With respect to Playoff situations, WNBA teams off a SU/ATS win, that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series, have cashed just 20%.  And, finally, top-3 seeded WNBA teams have cashed 63% on the road off a SU/ATS road playoff loss.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-04-24 Lynx v. Sun -1.5 Top 90-81 Loss -115 35 h 27 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  We played on the Lynx in Game 2 for our WNBA Game of the Year, and got the $$$$ in a 7-point Lynx victory.  The best-of-five series is now level at 1-game apiece.  We'll take the Sun to win Game 3, as home favorites have cashed 75% in the Playoffs since 2006 if they split the first two games on the road, and failed to cover the spread in Game 2.  Even better:  Connecticut is 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 Playoff games following a SU/ATS loss.  And Minnesota is a poor 3-11 ATS in the Playoffs off an ATS win.  Take the Sun minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-01-24 Sun v. Lynx -4.5 Top 70-77 Win 100 19 h 33 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70.  We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat.  Even better:  the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-01-24 Aces +3.5 v. Liberty Top 84-88 Loss -105 17 h 32 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York.  The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77.  We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss.  And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog.  Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs.  Grab the points with the Aces.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-17-24 Sky +7 v. Dream Top 70-86 Loss -110 14 h 39 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream.  There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth.  Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season.  The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight.  Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana).  This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker.  We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-15-24 Sparks +12.5 v. Storm Top 87-90 Win 100 26 h 10 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Seattle Storm.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams.  On Wednesday, the Storm defeated the Sparks, 90-82, as a 12.5-point home favorite, but failed to cover the big number.  Seattle is laying a lot of wood again on this Sunday evening.  But the Storm have been mired in an extended point spread slump.  They're just 3-11 ATS their last 14, including 0-8 ATS when laying 7+ points.  We'll take the Sparks as a huge underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-08-24 Wings -4.5 v. Sky Top 77-92 Loss -105 13 h 21 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Chicago Sky.  Angel Reese sustained a season-ending wrist injury two nights ago vs. the Los Angeles Sparks.  Chicago won the prior meeting, 83-72, with Reese leading the way with 16 points and 18 rebounds.  Without Reese in the lineup, we'll look for Chicago to crushed this evening by Dallas.  The Sky have covered just 28% as a home dog vs. revenge-minded teams the Sky defeated at home in the previous meeting.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-04-24 Sparks +12.5 v. Fever Top 86-93 Win 100 12 h 59 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over Indiana.  Caitlin Clark's Fever are on a 4-game win streak to go over the .500 mark for the first time all season.  Tonight, they're favored by double-digits.  And prior to tonight, the most they had been favored by all season was 7 points.  They lost that game outright and, in fact, have been poor as a favorite of 4+ points, with a 2-4 ATS mark this season, and a 10-18-2 ATS mark over their last 30.  The Sparks are 14-7 ATS in the last 21 meetings vs. Indiana, including an 88-82 upset win here, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, when these teams last met.  Take the Sparks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-03-24 Dream v. Mercury -1.5 Top 66-74 Win 100 17 h 28 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the Atlanta Dream.  Phoenix enters tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  The Mercury were underdogs in each of those defeats.  And they are a soft 8-11 ATS this season when dressed up in the underdog role.  But Phoenix is a stellar 9-4-1 as a favorite this year, including a perfect 5-0-1 ATS off a loss, so that bodes well for it in this game.  And the Mercury is 8-0-1 ATS as a favorite off a loss, dating back to last season.  Meanwhile, Atlanta is an ugly 17-31-2 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a foe off a straight-up defeat.  Take Phoenix minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-01-24 Sky +13 v. Lynx Top 74-79 Win 100 4 h 50 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over Minnesota.  The Sky are 24-13 ATS as a double-digit underdog, while Minnesota is 3-9 ATS its last 12 as a double-digit favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon.  Even better:  the underdog is 28-15-1 ATS in this series, including 15-1 ATS their last 16 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 5 points in the previous meeting.  With Chicago playing with revenge from an 8-point loss to the Lynx, we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

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