At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Chargers have owned the Rams in the preseason, as they've gone 14-1-1 ATS vs. their rival, including a 34-17 upset win last season.  We'll take the Chargers to bounce back off their 16-3 loss to Seattle.  Take the Chargers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders over the Miami Dolphins.  Last week, the Commanders were upset, 20-17, as a 3-point favorite by the New York Jets, while Miami upset Atlanta, 20-13, as a 2.5-point home dog.  We'll take Washington to bounce back as road teams off an upset loss have cashed 56% vs. foes off upset wins since 1983.  And Miami is a miserable 9-29-4 ATS when favored by 5 points or less vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Commanders.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the New York Jets.  The Panthers lost, 17-3, at New England last week, and have been installed as a home underdog on Saturday evening vs. the Jets.  Carolina is 6-1 ATS as a home dog in the preseason vs. foes off a win, while the Jets have covered just 42% as a favorite off a SU win vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Carolina.

At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Chicago.  The Bears come into this game off back to back wins over Houston (21-17) and Buffalo (33-6), while Cincy is 0-1 after losing to Tampa Bay last Saturday, 17-14, as a 5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Bengals to bounce back in this game, as road underdogs off upset defeats have covered 73% since 1983 vs. foes off a double-digit road win.  Additionally, the Bears are 2-9-1 ATS at home off back to back wins in the preseason.  Grab the points with the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Texans played last week, and lost a rain-shortened game, 21-17, to the Chicago Bears.  We'll take Houston to bounce back on Friday, as it's 18-5 ATS in the preseason if it wasn't off a SU/ATS win, including 9-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, NFL road teams off a loss in game 1 have cashed 63.3% in game 2 if they scored at least 17 points in their previous game.  Take the Texans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  We played against Houston last Saturday and easily cashed Miami, which blew out the Texans, 28-3.  Meanwhile, the Saints went into Los Angeles, and downed the Chargers, 22-17, as a 3-point road favorite.  New Orleans is a horrible 17-32-1 ATS as a home favorite in the preseason when laying more than 2 points, while Houston is 14-3 ATS as a road underdog in the preseason when getting more than 2 points.  That bodes well for the Texans here.  As does the fact that teams off blowout losses by more than 20 points have covered 60.4% in the preseason when playing away from home.  Grab the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Last week, the Browns tied the Philadelphia Eagles, 18-18, while KC blew out Arizona, 38-10.  But off that 28-point blowout win, we'll fade Andy Reid's men this afternoon.  The Chiefs have been installed as a home underdog.  Unfortunately, since 1983, home dogs of more than 3 points have covered just 27 percent in the preseason off a win by more than 8 points.  That bodes well for the Browns.  As does the fact that the Chiefs are a wallet-crushing 20-49-1 ATS in the preseason when not favored by 2 (or more) points, including 4-24 ATS vs. foes off a win/tie in their previous game.  Lay the points with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Chargers/San Francisco 49ers game.  The 49ers have played 14 of 24 home preseason games UNDER the total.  And they've also gone UNDER 6-2 in Week 3 of the preseason, while the Chargers have gone UNDER 7-2-1 in Week 3.  These two teams have matched up twice in the past two years (one regular season, one preseason), and each game went under the total (by an average of 8.25 ppg).  I look for another low-scoring game between these clubs, as the UNDER falls into 66.6% and 72.7% preseason totals systems of mine.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over Seattle.  The Cowboys have been installed as a big underdog vs. Seattle.  I've never been a fan of laying this many points in a preseason game, as favorites of more than 6 points have covered just 42% since 1983, including 35% off a double-digit win.  With Seattle, indeed, off a 24-13 win vs. Minnesota, we'll fade the Seahawks, and take the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Green Bay.  The Jordan Love era got off on the right foot last week, as the Packers destroyed Cincinnati, 36-19.  Meanwhile, New England stumbled in its opener, and fell to Houston, 20-9.  But we'll take the Patriots to bounce back, as teams off a loss have covered 58% vs. foes that scored 35+ points the previous week.  Take New England.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over the New York Jets.  We played on the Jets last week vs. Carolina, and were rewarded with a 27-0 upset win.  Unfortunately for New York, teams that are favored (or Pk'em) off shutout wins have covered just 38% in the preseason.  Take Tampa Bay + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Houston Texans.  Houston has been installed as a favorite this week following its 20-9 win at New England in Week 1.  This afternoon, Houston will take on the Dolphins, who out-yarded the Atlanta Falcons, 317-227, in their opener, but lost, 19-3.  The reason the Dolphins lost was turnovers.  Miami coughed up the football four times, while the Falcons committed zero turnovers.  We'll take Miami to bounce back off that embarrassing defeat, as NFL road underdogs with a scoring margin at least 27 points worse than their opponent have covered 63% since 1983 in Week 2.  Meanwhile, teams like Houston, off a double-digit road win in Week 1 have covered just 43% in Week 2.  Grab the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  The Bengals were blown out at home, 36-19, by Green Bay last week, and have been installed as a huge underdog this week.  We'll grab the points, as underdogs of more than 6 have covered 57.4 percent in the preseason since 1983.  Even better:  the Falcons are a miserable 15-35 ATS their last 50 preseason games, including 5-20 ATS at home.  Take Cincinnati + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Carolina Panthers.  QB Aaron Rodgers didn't play in last week's 21-16 upset loss to the Cleveland Browns, and he won't play again today vs. the Panthers.  So, the Panthers have been installed as a big favorite, in Frank Reich's debut as head coach.  But I will happily take the points with the Jets, as the Panthers have covered just 3 of 16 preseason games vs. foes off an upset loss, provided the Panthers weren't also off an upset loss.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Last week, Arizona lost, 24-17, to the Baltimore Ravens (who also beat Tennessee, 23-10, in Week 1).  The Cards won their first preseason game, 36-23, at Cincinnati, while Tennessee downed Tampa Bay last Saturday, 13-3.  So, the Cardinals and Titans are each 1-1 in the preseason, but Tennessee has scored just 23 points, while Arizona has tallied 53 points.  That bodes well for Arizona as an underdog tonight, as NFL teams, with an offensive average greater than 12 points than their opponent, have covered 79% since 1987 at Game 3 forward, if they were off a straight-up loss.  Grab the points with the Cardinals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the LA Chargers.  Seattle's offense has heretofore been moribund this preseason, as it's scored a total of 10 points in its first two games.  But I expect it to breakout on this Saturday night, as NFL teams off back to back games where they scored less than 12 points have covered 70% in the preseason over the last 29+ years.  Take the Seahawks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over Denver.  The Rams opened up their preseason with 2 home games, and lost both.  And they only scored 22 points combined in those two losses.  Meanwhile, the Broncos opened up with two road games, and won two blowouts, as they scored a combined 63 points.  With the Broncos now playing their first home game, and the Rams now playing their first road game, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 2-0 Broncos here, at home.  And it seems like that's what most bettors are doing, as this line opened at -6 and is now significantly higher.  But it’s extremely dangerous to lay more than 7 points in the Preseason, as NFL teams getting 7.5 or more points have gone 40-18 ATS since 1983.  Take the Rams.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Houston.  The defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers dropped their second straight preseason contest last week, and it was an ugly blowout loss in front of their home faithful.  Tampa Bay scored just 3 points last week vs. the Tennessee Titans, and lost by 31 points.  But that defeat should serve as prime motivation on Saturday vs. Houston.  Indeed, when you look at how defending Super Bowl champs do in the preseason, a clear dichotomy emerges.  When the defending champs are off a straight-up win, they’re a horrible 22-39-2 ATS in their next preseason game.  But when the defending champs are off a straight-up loss, they’re 32-23-2 ATS.  That bodes well for Tampa Bay in this game.  As does the fact that NFL teams have cashed 66% in the preseason off back to back losses, if they were defeated in their previous game by 25 or more points.  Take the Buccaneers.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Panthers mustered just 3 first half points vs. Baltimore last week, and fell, 20-3, to the Ravens.  They'll try to rebound tonight against a Steelers team which is 3-0 in the preseason.  Pittsburgh has announced it will start 3rd string QB Dwayne Haskins.  In the first three games, the Steelers showcased 2nd stringer Mason Rudolph, but neither he, nor 1st string QB Ben Roethlisberger, will play tonight in the finale.  And the Steelers will also sit top RB Najee Harris, so Benny Snell will get an extended look this evening.  On the Carolina side, first string QB Sam Darnold will suit up for this game, and should play at least the first half, along with most of the starters (though not RB Christian McCaffrey).  We'll lay the points with the Panthers, as they're 8-2 ATS in the preseason off a loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  Last week, the 49ers were upset at home, 19-16, by Kansas City, while the Chargers won at the Rams, 13-6, as a 3.5-point favorite.  Dating back to 1989, NFL teams (like the 49ers) off home upset defeats have covered 79% vs. foes off a SU/ATS win as a road favorite.  That bodes well for San Francisco tonight.  As does the fact that road teams have been dominant this preseason, as they've gone 21-7 ATS, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when favored by 6 or less.  Finally, the Chargers are an awful 4-11 ATS as a home underdog, while the Niners are 9-1 on the road off a SU/ATS home loss. Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Cleveland Browns.  The Giants lost, 12-7, last week to their rival, the New York Jets.  But I love the Giants to bounce back today vs. a Cleveland team off an upset win, 23-13, over Jacksonville.  For technical support, consider that, through Friday's action, NFL preseason underdogs have gone 17-0-1 ATS their last 18 if they gave up 13.5 (or less) points per game.  And NFL preseason favorites of more than 4 points off an upset road win have covered just 36% since 1983 vs. foes off a SU loss.  The Browns are 2-8 ATS in the preseason off a double-digit win, while the Giants are 23-13-2 ATS as an underdog away from home, if they didn't own a winning record.