At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tennessee/Miami game.  The Dolphins come into this game off an outing where they scored just 3 points (a 24-3 loss to the Seahawks).  And Miami has played each of its first three games Under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with backup QB Tyler Huntley getting the start.  But NFL teams tend to go OVER the total in Week 4 after commencing a season with 3 straight Unders, and especially when the O/U line is in the 35 to 42.5-point range (42-22-1 OVER).  Indeed, yesterday, the Falcons, Steelers, Vikings and Bears all went Over the total after starting the season with 3 Unders (only the Chargers went Under on Sunday after starting with 3 Unders).  Take the Titans/Dolphins OVER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns over the Las Vegas Raiders.  The Browns were upset by the New York Giants last week, 21-15. I like Cleveland to bounce back, as it’s 13-2 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an opponent which isn’t a winning team. Also, the Raiders have been horrible at home vs. losing teams when not getting 3 or more points, as they’ve gone 24-60 ATS. Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over Washington.  The Cardinals lost at home to Detroit, 20-13, last week, while the Commanders upset Cincy on Monday Night, 38-33.  We’ll take Arizona to bounce back at home, as it is 35-11 ATS at home off a home loss when it wasn’t favored by 6 or more points.  Take the Cardinals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Houston.  The Jaguars were annihilated on Monday Night Football by the Buffalo Bills.  Buffalo scored touchdowns on its first 5 possessions, and had a 34-3 lead at halftime. The final score was 47-10, and the Jaguars are now 0-3 on the season. We’ll take Jacksonville to bounce back off that embarrassing loss, as underdogs have gone 48-28 ATS following a blowout loss on Monday Night Football by 20+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/Indianapolis game.  The Steelers have the best defense in the league, as they’re giving up just 8.66 points per game. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game here. But consider that great defensive teams with scoring averages of less than 11.6 points per game, have gone OVER the total 130-99 since 1980, at Game 4 forward.  I’ll take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Minnesota.  Last week, the Vikings were a 1.5-point home dog, and they blew out Houston, 34-7. Minnesota is now 3-0 on the season. Unfortunately, undefeated teams off upset home wins by more than 20 points have gone 1-12 ATS when they weren’t favored by 4+ points. Even worse: the Vikings are 5-13 ATS on the division road when facing a foe with a .625 (or better) win percentage.  We’ll fade Minnesota as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over the New Orleans Saints.  When these two teams last met in the final week of the 2023 season, the Saints blew out the Falcons, 48-17. We’ll take Atlanta in this game, as NFL favorites off a SU loss, who are playing with revenge from a game where they gave up 48 or more points, have gone 10-1 ATS. Take the Falcons.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Philadelphia.  We played on the Eagles last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Saints on the road, 15-12. But they’re now playing their 2nd straight road game. And winning teams are a poor 68-95-5 ATS on the non-division road, if they won outright as a road underdog in their previous game, and their opponent wasn’t off a SU/ATS win. With Tampa off an upset loss to Denver, we’ll take the Bucs to bounce back here at home on Sunday.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Carolina game.  The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog.  And they've gone 16-4 UNDER when they were a home dog.  Even better:  the Bengals have gone 37-9 UNDER away from home when the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Carolina.  The Bengals are one of the most disappointing teams in football, with an 0-3 record. But we’ll lay the points with Cincy and go against a Panthers team off a 36-22 upset win at Las Vegas. Indeed, winless favorites of more than 3 points have gone 28-11 ATS vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Denver.  There has only been one team to have covered as a favorite of 6 or more points this season.  And that was the New York Jets last week, when they blew out the Patriots, 24-3, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But, overall, favorites of -6 or more have gone 1-12 ATS this season.  Still, I like the Jets here as a big favorite, as NFL teams (like Denver) off 19-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 130-177-8 ATS in their next game.  And Denver is also 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 15-30 ATS its last 45) off an upset win when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take the Jets.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  Last week, Arizona annihilated the L.A. Rams, 41-10.  But off that high-scoring win, we'll fade Arizona as a home dog on Sunday.  Indeed, home teams have been poor (92-126-2 ATS) in non-division games off a win the previous week, in which they scored more than 40 points.  Additionally, the Lions are 21-6 ATS under coach Dan Campbell, if their opponent was not off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  The Rams were annihilated last week, 41-10, by Arizona.  But off that 31-point loss, we'll take the Rams as a huge home dog vs. San Francisco.  Indeed, NFL home dogs off losses by 27 (or more) points, have gone 161-113-4 ATS since 1980.  The Rams are also a solid 21-14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always.  Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Las Vegas.  The Panthers have been the worst offense in football to start the season.  They scored just 10 points in Week 1 and managed only 3 last week in their 2nd game.  Andy Dalton will get the start at QB this week for the Panthers, and we'll take the underdog, as teams that start the season 0-2 SU/ATS, while not scoring more than 10 points in either game, have gone 17-7 ATS in Week 3.  Additionally, teams (like the Raiders) off an upset win as an 8-point (or greater) underdog, have gone 44-59-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans.  The Saints have been the most impressive team thus far, with blowout wins over the Panthers and Cowboys.  And New Orleans has scored 93 points across those two games.  But teams off back to back high scoring SU/ATS wins, in which they tallied 35 (or more) points in each game, have covered just 42 of 100 vs. foes off a SU loss.  With Philly, indeed, off an upset loss to the Falcons this past Monday, we'll grab the points with the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Pittsburgh Steelers/Los Angeles Chargers game.  Both the Chargers and Steelers come into this game playing great defense.  Los Angeles held the Raiders to 10 and the Panthers to 3, while the Steelers held Atlanta to 10, and Denver to 6.  Teams that opened the season with 2 strong defensive games, and held each of their two opponents to 15 (or less) points, have gone OVER the total 71% since 2007.  Take the Steelers/Chargers OVER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Green Bay/Tennessee game.  Last Sunday, the Packers upset the Indianapolis Colts, 16-10, as a 2-point home underdog.  This week, Green Bay will travel to Nashville to play a Titans team which lost its first two games by the identical score of 24-17.  Green Bay is 65-37 OVER the total after not scoring 17+ points in its previous game, while Tennessee is 59-41 OVER the total off a point spread loss.  Take the OVER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New York Giants/Cleveland Browns game.  The defenses of these two teams have not played well thus far.  The Browns' defense is allowing 23 ppg (ranking #23), and gave up 33 to Dallas (which only scored 19 vs. New Orleans).  Meanwhile, the Giants are allowing 24.5 ppg (ranking #26).  By my math, this Over/Under line is too low, and the value is on the OVER.  Additionally, the Browns are 9-3 OVER the total off a win, and the OVER also falls into 82-35 and 60-18 Totals system of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

The Bengals suffered the biggest upset loss in Week 1 when they lost to the Patriots as a 7.5-point favorite. But teams that get upset in Week 1 as favorites of more than 6 points tend to bounce back in Week 2, and have gone 27-10 ATS. Additionally, the Bengals are an awesome 14-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points. Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Interestingly, this is the 2nd straight week that the Detroit Lions will be playing an opponent it defeated in last year’s playoffs. Last week, Detroit covered by a half-point in overtime vs. the Rams. And I also like Detroit to cover the spread in this home game vs. Tampa Bay, which blew out Washington, 37-20, last Sunday. Under Dan Campbell, the Lions are 21-5-1 ATS when playing an opponent not off a straight-up loss.  And teams playing their road openers at Detroit have gone just 12-23-1 ATS, including 4-12-1 ATS off a win by 17+ points.  Take the Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville.  The Browns were upset at home by the Dallas Cowboys, 33-17, in Week 1.  I like playing on road teams in Week 2 off double-digit upset losses, as they have bounced back to cover 65.3%.  Take Cleveland + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over New Orleans. The Saints had the biggest margin of victory in Week 1, with a 37-point triumph over Carolina. Now, they’re getting a whopping 6.5 points from Dallas. The knee-jerk reaction might be to grab those points with the Saints. But be careful, as teams off a 20-point (or greater) win in Week 1 are 0-9 ATS their last nine (and 24-42-6 ATS since 1982) when not favored by more than 3 points. I’ll lay the points with Dallas.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Washington Commanders.  Washington has long been horrible at home vs. non-winning teams, if Washington wasn’t an underdog of 2 or more points.  In this situation, Washington has gone 35-81 ATS.  The Giants were a 1-point home favorite last week and were blown out by Minnesota, 28-6.  I’ll take New York to bounce back, as division road underdogs off an upset loss by more than 10 points have gone 109-69 ATS.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Atlanta Falcons have not had a winning season since 2017, while Pittsburgh has never had a losing season in Mike Tomlin's 17 years as the head coach.  However, I wouldn't be surprised if Tomlin's 17-season streak ended this year.  We'll lay the points with Atlanta, as NFL teams off back to back losing seasons have covered 80% over the last 43 years in Week 1, when favored (or PK) vs. an opponent off back to back winning seasons.  The Falcons are an awesome 19-6 ATS in their home openers, while the Steelers have started the season off slowly, going 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 season openers.  Lay the points with Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  Last season, the Panthers lost both games to their division rival, including a 20-17 defeat in their home opener, and 28-6 in December.  I like playing on revenge-minded underdogs (or PK) in the season opener, as they've cashed 55.2% over the last 34 years.  Even better, if our team lost the previous game to its opponent by double-digits, and is now getting more than 3 points in Week 1, our revengers have cashed 62%.  The road team has dominated this division rivalry, with a 29-16-2 ATS record, including 20-8 ATS as an underdog, 14-3-1 ATS with revenge.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers (on the moneyline), to win the game, straight-up, over the Kansas City Chiefs.  This is a rematch of the 2020 Super Bowl won by the Chiefs, 31-20, as a 1.5-point favorite.  Since then, the two teams have met once.  And that was last season, in San Francisco, in RB Christian McCaffrey's first game as a 49er following the trade with the Carolina Panthers.  The Chiefs were favored by 1 point, and won, 44-23.  Kansas City is, without a doubt, playing its best football of the season.  It won impressively at Buffalo and Baltimore to reach this game.  And it has been well-chronicled how well the Chiefs have performed in the underdog role (17-4-1 ATS, including 15-1-1 ATS away from home).  But the 49ers have also excelled in the role of small favorite.  San Francisco is a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS when favored by less than 4 points.  And it has covered the spread in those games by an average of 16.25 ppg.  Notably, six of those seven games involved opponents that qualified for the playoffs.  The 49ers have also been terrific against teams off upset wins (8-1-1 ATS) and against opponents off back-to-back wins (59-39-3 ATS).  And, while it's true that the Niners failed to cover the spread in their three previous games, the Chiefs are 1-10 SU and 2-8-1 ATS as underdogs vs. foes off 3 ATS losses!  Even better:  NFL Playoff teams that weren't getting 3+ points, have gone 0-9 ATS if they covered their previous game by 10+ points, and their opponent was on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  The 49ers will no doubt be prepared for Steve Spagnuolo's blitz packages.  And Brock Purdy led the NFL, statistically, this season when facing a blitz.  He ranked #1 with 9.9 yards per attempt, and also had the best QB rating (127.9).  I will take the 49ers to win the game, straight-up, on the moneyline.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Detroit.  This is the 49ers' 3rd straight game at home, and they failed to cover the point spread in the first two (with a 21-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, and a narrow 3-point win last week vs. the Green Bay Packers).  I think the 3rd time will be the charm, as NFL home favorites have covered 65.9% since 1980 off back to back ATS losses at home.  Even better for San Francisco:  its defense ranked among the top 3 in points allowed (17.5) in the regular season, while Detroit's defense ranked in the bottom 10 (23.2).  Detroit was especially poor against the pass, as its defense ranked next-to-last in passing yards per attempt (7.8).  In contrast, the 49ers ranked #5, and gave up just 6.4 yards per pass attempt.  In NFL Conference Championship games, road teams that give up more than 19.3 ppg have covered the spread just 33% of the time.  And, finally, Detroit is a dreadful 14-32-1 ATS on the road if it owned a win percentage of .700 (or better), and it won its previous game, including 0-10 ATS its last 10, if it was an underdog of +5 or more points.  Take the 49ers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills OVER the total.  Last week, the Chiefs held the high-octane Miami Dolphins' offense -- which was averaging 29 ppg -- to just 7 points.  And that game went under the total of 43.5.  But NFL teams that hold a Playoff opponent to 20+ points less than their scoring average (and went Under the total in that win), have proceeded to go 12-0 OVER the total in their next game.  Moreover, after its 31-17 win against the Steelers, Buffalo's home playoff games have now gone 11-1 Over when the line was 48 or less points.  Take the Chiefs and Bills Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Tampa Bay Bucs to go OVER the total.  This game will be played at Ford Field, which is an enclosed stadium.  And enclosed stadia tend to be higher scoring as they're not exposed to the (sometimes) inclement weather, and have gone Over the total 59.5 percent since 1980.  That's one reason I favor a high-scoring game.  Another is that Detroit has gone 18-2 Over at home if it wasn't off a game which went Over the total (including 12-0 Over if the O/U line was 47+ points).  Take the Lions and Bucs Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Tampa Bay.  We played on Detroit last week as a 3-point home favorite and unfortunately lost, as Detroit won that game, 24-23.  We'll come right back with Dan Campbell's men in this Divisional round game.  The Lions are a super 18-5 ATS under Campbell if their opponent wasn't off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, Tampa Bay has held its last two opponents (Eagles, Panthers) to 9 combined points.  And NFL teams have covered just 31% in the Playoffs after not giving up 10+ points in either of their two previous games.  Take Detroit to blow out the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Green Bay.  The 49ers had last week off following their 21-20 loss to the LA Rams, as a 6-point home favorite, to end the regular season.  Meanwhile, the Packers went into Dallas and shocked the Cowboys last week, 48-32, as a 7-point road underdog.  Unfortunately, it's tough to pull off two road upsets in a row in the Playoffs.  We'll fade Green Bay, as NFL road teams, with a sub-.666 record, have cashed just 40% on the post-season road since 1980, if they won as a road dog in the Playoffs the previous week.  Even worse for Green Bay:  the 49ers are 70-31 ATS off an upset loss, if the 49ers were favored by 3+ points in their previous game.  Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Houston.  We had a big play on the Texans last Saturday, and were rewarded with a 45-14 blowout win.  We also played against Baltimore in its last game, and got the $$$ with the Steelers, when they defeated the Ravens, 17-10.  Here, however, we'll take the Ravens and fade Houston off its 31-point victory.  Indeed, underdogs of +5 to +15 points, off a win by 28+ points, have gone 0-13 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up loss.  That doesn't bode well for Houston.  Nor does the fact that the Ravens are a spectacular 45-14 ATS when playing a non-division foe that owns a winning record, if the Ravens weren't off an ATS win.  And Houston is a horrible 22-39-3 ATS off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to go OVER the total.  Last week, the Tampa Bay Bucs won, 9-0, at Carolina.  Off that extremely low scoring game, we'll look for a bounce higher tonight.  Indeed, NFL games have gone OVER the total 62-40-3 when the line was < 46 points, if a team's prior game totaled less than 14 points (including 4-1 Over in the Playoffs).  Likewise, Tampa has gone Over the total 16 of 21 at home following a low-scoring game which totaled 28 points or less.  Finally, the Eagles are 31-11 Over the total when the line was 44 < points, if the Eagles scored less than 24 points in their previous game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Over the total.  The weather forecast for Buffalo, NY on Sunday is calling for winds in the 15 to 25 mph range.  This has caused the O/U line to be adjusted downward.  I think the move has been too severe, and that there's value on the over.  Buffalo's home playoff games have also tended to be relatively high scoring, as the Over has cashed 10 straight when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Likewise, the Steelers are 15-1 Over their last 16 Playoff games (and 24-6 Over their last 30) when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Over the total.  The weather forecast for Buffalo, NY on Sunday is calling for winds in the 15 to 25 mph range.  This has caused the O/U line to be adjusted downward.  I think the move has been too severe, and that there's value on the over.  Buffalo's home playoff games have also tended to be relatively high scoring, as the Over has cashed 10 straight when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Likewise, the Steelers are 15-1 Over their last 16 Playoff games (and 24-6 Over their last 30) when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  Los Angeles went into San Francisco and upset the 49ers last Sunday, 21-20, while Detroit downed the Minnesota Vikings, 30-20.  The Lions have excelled since Dan Campbell took over as head coach.  They've gone 21-13 SU and 24-9-1 ATS, including an awesome 16-2-1 ATS vs. foes that didn't have a losing record.  On Sunday night, the Lions will welcome the Rams to Ford Field for Detroit's first home playoff game in 30 years.  This will be the Rams' 3rd straight road game, and NFL single-digit dogs off an upset win, and playing their 3rd straight road game have covered just 35.7% since 1980.  Additionally, the Rams are a poor 14-29 ATS off back to back wins (including 1-7 ATS off an upset win).  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Green Bay.  The Cowboys annihilated their opponents here, at home, this season.  Dallas went 8-0 and covered the point spread by an average of 12.87 ppg!  Dating back to last season, the Cowboys' home win streak is 16 games, and it's gone 12-4 ATS, and has covered the spread in those home games by 9.78 ppg.  Green Bay was 4-5 ATS on the road this season (but 1-5 ATS in non-division road games, compared to 3-0 ATS vs. its division rivals).  Dallas and Green Bay did meet last season at Lambeau Field, and the Packers came away with a 31-28 victory.  Unfortunately for the Packers, revenge-minded favorites of -7 (or more) points have covered 67% in the NFL Playoffs.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs' offense was a mess for much of the season, and it finished the regular season with an offensive average of 21.82 ppg.  In contrast, Miami averaged 29.0 ppg.  To put Kansas City's number into context, it averaged 35.31, 28.18, 29.56, 28.23, and 29.17 ppg over the previous five seasons.  We'll grab the points with the Dolphins as underdogs have cashed 67% the last 44 seasons in the Playoffs, if their offense averaged 4.30+ ppg more than their opponent.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Cleveland.  The Texans punched a spot into the Playoffs with a road win at Indianapolis, while Cleveland rested many of its players, and mailed in its game at Cincy last week, with a 31-14 loss.  These two teams met here, in Houston, three weeks ago, and the Browns were victorious, 36-22.  We'll take Houston to avenge that loss, as revenge-minded NFL home teams have cashed 69% in the Playoffs if the two teams recently met within the three previous games.  Even better:  the Browns are a wallet-breaking 0-12 ATS off a SU/ATS loss if it defeated its opponent earlier in the season.  Grab the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Buffalo/Miami game.  Buffalo has been installed as a road favorite.  And it's 8-0 Under its last eight as a road favorite of less than 6 points, while Miami is 42-21 Under at home when playing with revenge.  Take the Under.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Dolphins were blown out last week by Baltimore, 56-19.  But winning teams, off a loss by more than 7 points, have covered 86% as home underdogs since 1980, if they were playing with revenge.  And the Dolphins do, indeed, have revenge, since Buffalo blasted them by 28 points earlier this season.  I'll take the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers to go Over the total.  The Chiefs are not incentivized to win, so they will turn to QB Blaine Gabbert to line up under center for this game, while Patrick Mahomes will be on the sidelines.  The line has been adjusted, of course, to compensate for the players who won't be available, but I think there's significant value now on the Over, as it falls into a 24-4 Totals system of mine.  Additionally, the Chargers have gone Over the total 14 of the last 17 years in their final game, while KC has gone 6-2 Over in their final road game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Atlanta/New Orleans game.  The Over falls into a 67-36 Totals system of mine, and I look for a relatively high scoring game on Sunday afternoon.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Tampa Bay game.  The Panthers and Buccaneers both played poorly on offense last week.  Carolina was shutout, 26-0, by Jacksonville, while Tampa mustered just 13 points in a 10-point home loss to New Orleans.  I expect a higher scoring game this week, as NFL games tend to go over the total more often than not when both teams scored less than 14 points in their previous game.  And the Over also falls into a 109-58 Totals system of mine.  Take Carolina/Tampa Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings + the points over Detroit.  These two teams met two game ago in Minneapolis, and the Lions came away with a 30-24 victory.  The story of that game was 4 interceptions thrown by Vikings QB Nick Mullens.  That led to Mullens being benched for last week's game vs. Green Bay.  But after the Vikes trailed 23-3 at halftime, coach Kevin O'Connell had second thoughts and inserted Mullens into the game to replace the ineffective Jaren Hall.  Mullens played better vs. Green Bay, as he was 13-of-22 for 113 yards and a TD.  But it was not enough as the Vikes fell, 33-10.  It's unclear who will start at QB for Minnesota in this game, which it must win if it is to have any shot at the Playoffs.  But regardless of who is under center, we'll take the road underdog, as Minnesota falls into a 152-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Grab the points with the Vikings.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the Cleveland Browns.  Cincy lost at Cleveland, 24-3, to open the season.  We'll take the Bengals to close out the season with some payback, as Cleveland is a poor 5-21 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes that Cleveland defeated earlier in the season.  Additionally, the Bengals are 25-9 ATS in their final home game of the season, if they weren't laying more than 7 points.  Take Cincinnati.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, the Titans were blown out, 26-3, by Houston, while the Jaguars shut out Carolina, 26-0.  We'll take Tennessee to bounce back, as NFL home dogs  (or PK) have cashed 64% since 1980 off a loss by 23+ points, if their opponent was off a win by 23+ points.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  The Panthers were shut out, 26-0, by Jacksonville.  I look for Carolina to bounce back as teams off shutout losses have gone 66-40 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points.  Even better, over the last 44 years, home underdogs have cashed 58.0 ATS in the last 3 weeks of the season, if they were off an SU/ATS loss.  Finally, the Panthers fall into 145-67, 84-25 and 157-72 ATS systems of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans Under the total.  These two teams met earlier this season.  The Over/Under for that game was just 40 points. And it went over the total, as the two teams combined to score 51. This O/U line is significantly higher than the first meeting. I think it's too high. The Indianapolis Colts have not played a game with an Over/Under line this high in any of their last 30 games. And the Texans have only played two games this season with an over/under line north of 47 points. Both of those were 48, and Houston went under the total in each game. The Texans are 10-6 Under this season, and are 46-35 Under when the line was greater than 47 points. And the Colts are 86-59 under at home vs. division rivals, including 26-15 Under if the season's first meeting went Over the total.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  The Ravens are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS, and will be the #1 seed in the AFC following their 56-19 blowout of the Miami Dolphins.  The Steelers are still in the running for the Playoffs.  And though they can still get in with a loss (if the Broncos win and the Jaguars lose), their chances will be greatly improved with a win.  We'll lay the points with Pittsburgh, as it's 81-34 ATS vs. foes that scored 23+ points in their previous game, if that foe owned an ATS win pct. of .400 (or better).  Additionally, Baltimore is 2-10 ATS at home vs. the rival Steelers, if Baltimore had a winning record ATS.  Lay the points with Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Kansas City.  The Bengals lost in the Playoffs to the Chiefs last season, so that will be added incentive for Zac Taylor's men on Sunday.  Both of these teams come into this game off losses.  Cincy was blown out by Pittsburgh on Saturday, while the Chiefs lost to the Raiders on Monday.  I like the underdog Bengals here, as they're 14-1 ATS when installed as an underdog of more than 2 points.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Detroit.  After losing to the Miami Dolphins last week, the Cowboys are now 1-12 ATS their last 13 on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. The good news for Dallas, then, in this game is that it is not on the road, and Detroit wasn't in the Playoffs last season. Dallas has played 5 games the past two seasons at home vs. winning clubs, and the Cowboys have won all 5, and have gone 3-2 straight-up. Even better: winning NFL teams have gone 41-20 ATS as a single-digit home favorite (or PK) off back to back SU/ATS road losses. Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Dallas game.  The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs, as they blew out Denver, 42-17, and won at Minnesota, 30-24.  But off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the Under on Saturday night, as Detroit has gone 62-42 Under off back to back Overs, including 8-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 52+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders Over the total.  We played on each of these teams to go over the total last week, and cashed both, as the Raiders put up 63 points in a 63-21 win over the Chargers, while the Chiefs tallied 27 in a 27-17 victory over New England.  We'll come right back with the Over in this divisional matchup on Christmas Day as it falls into 67-35 and 109-57 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, six of the last seven meetings between these two rivals have gone OVER the total.  And those seven games have averaged 57.28 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Chicago Bears.  This is the 3rd time this season the Bears have been installed as a point spread favorite, and they've yet to cover in that role.  Even worse, Chicago is 23-38-2 ATS its last 63 games as a favorite, including 11-25-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 21-6-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog, including 13-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Grab the points with Arizona.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  I'm well aware of how poor Dallas has done vs. top-level teams.  But off its 21-point loss to Buffalo, we'll step in and take the Cowboys today.  Dallas is 22-12-1 ATS off a 20-point (or worse) loss when not getting 3+ points.  And the Cowboys also fall into a 97-52 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets and Washington Commanders Under the total.  Both of these teams come into this game with sub-.400 records.  The Jets are 5-9, while the Commanders are 4-10.  Late in the season, when two awful teams match-up, the games tend to be low-scoring, and have gone under the total 57.7% since 1980.  Additionally, the Jets were shutout, 30-0, at Miami last weekend.  And NFL teams off shutout losses have gone 42-27 under their last 69.  Take the under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Buffalo.  The Chargers were the 2nd team this NFL season to fall by 40+ points when they were crushed, 63-21, by the Raiders on Thursday Night Football.  Historically, teams do bounce back from such blowout losses when they play at home in their next game, but not when they take to the road.  At home, our teams have gone 34-25-2 ATS, while they they've faltered on the road, to the tune of 6-12-2 ATS.  The Chargers have been installed as a double-digit home dog, which also bodes well, as double-digit home dogs have gone 130-102-2 ATS.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Cincinnati Bengals.  This is the Steelers' final home game of the season.  And they come into the game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We played against the Black and Gold last week, and got the $$$$ with the Colts.  But we'll switch gears today, and take the points with the home pup.  Indeed, home dogs off 3 SU/ATS losses have covered 64% since 1980 in their final home game of the season.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Los Angeles game.  This game is a technical play, as it falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 65% over the last 44 seasons, as well as a 59% system.  Additionally, the Saints have held their last two opponents to 6 points each.  And NFL teams that have given up less than 13 points in their two previous games have gone 148-121-7 OVER.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks Under the total.  The Eagles' defense has not played well the last three weeks, as it's given up 34, 42 and 33 points.  Off those three dismal performance, we'll take the Eagles and Seahawks to go under the total, as NFL teams that gave up more than 30 points in each of their 3 previous games have gone Under the total 59.5% since 1980.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Baltimore.  The Jaguars come into this Sunday Night game off back to back losses to Cincinnati and Cleveland. They'll now play their 3rd straight game vs. an AFC North division foe, as Baltimore will come into Jacksonville. Since 1980, winning teams (like the Jaguars) have cashed 61 percent at home off back to back losses, if they weren't favored by more than 1 point. Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Dallas.  Both Dallas and Buffalo scored their biggest wins of the season last Sunday. The Bills moved to 7-6 with a 20-17 win at Kansas City, while Dallas won at home, 33-13, vs. rival Philadelphia. That was Dallas' 5th straight win, overall. And four of those five wins came at home, including their last three. Now, the Cowboys have to take to the road, and play a Bills team which needs to keep winning to get into the Playoffs. I'll fade Dallas, as road teams off a home win, and 3 home games, overall, have gone 98-133-3 ATS. And the Cowboys are an ugly 1-10 ATS on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and Los Angeles Rams Under the total.  The Commanders had last week off to rest, and regroup after 4 straight losses where they gave up more than 28 points.  They lost 29-26 at Seattle.  Then the New York Giants upset them, 31-19.  On Thanksgiving, Dallas blew them out, 45-10, while Miami put up 45 in a 30-point win two weeks ago.   All four of those games went Over the total.  I like the Under in this game, as teams off 3 straight Overs where they gave up more than 30 points in each of those three games, have then gone under the total 60% since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Rams had a high-scoring game at Baltimore last Sunday.  But Los Angeles is 14-3-1 Under following a game that went Over the total, including 11-0 Under if the O/U line was greater than 42 points.  Take the Under.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Commanders had last week off to rest and prepare for this game, while the Rams lost an overtime affair at Baltimore (but covered the spread in defeat).  The Rams are a poor 8-21 ATS off 3 ATS wins, including 0-8 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -11 points.  And they're 1-12 ATS vs. rested foes when priced from -3 to -13 points.  Admittedly, the Commanders were playing poorly going into their Bye Week, as they had dropped 4 straight games, including their last three ATS.  The good news is that rested underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 75% since 1990, if they had lost their three previous games SU/ATS.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Kansas City.  Defending Super Bowl champs have not done well as road favorites vs. foes off a straight-up win, and especially not in non-division games, as they've gone 22-41 ATS since 1981, including 0-11 ATS when laying more than 7 points. Take New England + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Giants pulled off a big upset this past Monday at home vs. Green Bay, as they won 24-22 as a 6-point home underdog. But road teams have had letdowns off upset home wins, if they were an underdog of more than 5 points in that upset win. Since 1980, those teams have gone 88-126-6 ATS. Take the Saints.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Atlanta game.  The first meeting between these NFC South division rivals was low-scoring, with just 34 point scored (Atlanta won, 24-10).  Since 1980, subsequent meetings between division rivals have gone Over the total 55% if the prior meeting totaled less than 36 points.  Take the Falcons and Panthers Over the total.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Kansas City game.  After scoring just 13 points over its three previous games, the New England offense broke out (for it, anyway) in a big way last Thursday.  It scored 21 first-half points, and coasted to a 21-18 victory in a game which went "over' by halftime.  We played on the Over in that Patriots/Steelers game, and will come right back with the Over in this Patriots/Chiefs game, as the number is still too low, by my math.  The Chiefs are also 24-10 Over their last 34 as road favorites of more than 6 points.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants/New Orleans Saints game.  The Giants had their 2nd best offensive performance of the season, in terms of yards gained, this past Monday.  New York rolled up 367 yards of offense, and tallied 24 points in an upset win of Green Bay.  That game easily went over the posted total of 37.5, and that was the 3rd time in its last four games that New York went Over the total (after playing 7 unders in a row prior to that).  New Orleans has had a similar arc.  After starting the season with 6 straight unders, it has now played Overs in four of its last seven.  We'll ride the current momentum, and look for another high-scoring game here.  Take the Giants and Saints Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Atlanta.  The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog in this NFC South division contest.  We'll grab the points, as home dogs off 3+ losses have done well in the final 4 games of the regular season, with a 95-60-2 ATS record vs. sub-.666 opponents.  That bodes well for Carolina.  As does the fact that the Falcons have covered just 10 of 29 as road favorites.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Colts were blown out, 34-14, by Cincinnati last week, as a 3-point road underdog.  So, Indianapolis failed to cover the spread by 17 points.  But that bodes well for them here, at home, vs. Pittsburgh, as the Colts are 35-10 ATS off a straight-up loss, if they failed to cover the spread in that previous game by 8 or more points.  Take Indianapolis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game.  The Chargers lost quarterback Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, so Easton Stick will get the start on Thursday night. Prior to last week's games, the Over/Under line on this game was projected to be 42.5, but the number has been significantly adjusted after the results of the Chargers' 24-7 loss to Denver, and the Raiders' 3-0 loss to the Vikings. I think the adjustment has been too severe. We will take the Over, as NFL games have gone Over the total 59% of the time, if each team's previous game went under, and each scored less than 10 points in its prior game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers have won 3 straight games -- each as an underdog.  They upset Kansas City last week, the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, and the Los Angeles Chargers at Lambeau Field before that.  But now the Packers are favored by the most points they've been all season.  And NFL road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins, have gone 4-17 ATS.  Even worse for Green Bay:  it's 2-10 ATS its last 12 as a favorite of -4 to -9.5 points, including 0-4 ATS on the road.  Take the Giants as the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/Philadelphia game.  The Eagles were destroyed by the San Francisco 49ers last week, 42-19.  We'll take the Philadelphia/Dallas game under the total, as the Eagles have gone 64-27 Under following a game which totaled 58 or more points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Eagles are the league's best team ATS, as they're 8-3-1 ATS this season.  They're also an awesome 21-8 ATS their last 29 vs. winning opponents off back to back wins.  Dallas, meanwhile, is great this season against bad teams, but has not stepped up against the league's best.  And the Cowboys are also a wallet-lightening 19-36-1 ATS vs. winning foes, including 2-14 ATS if Dallas was favored by less than 4 points, 11-26 ATS if Dallas was off a win, and 6-10 ATS if Dallas had revenge.  Take Philadelphia + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles game.  The Chargers went into Foxborough last Sunday and shut out the New England Patriots, 6-0.  That was the 3rd straight Under played by the Chargers, and those three games totaled 79 points combined.  I like the Over in this game, as teams off 3 straight unders, in 3 games that combined for 79 or less points, have proceeded to go over the total 65.2% of the time.  Take the Broncos and Chargers Over the total.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Denver.  The Broncos' 5-game win streak was snapped last Sunday by Houston, and I like the Chargers to hand Denver its 2nd straight loss this weekend.  The Broncos are a wallet-busting 0-13 ATS in 'win-situation' games with point spread of 3 or less, if the Broncos were on the road, and owned a win percentage > .350.  Meanwhile, the Chargers are 26-14 ATS in division games if they were off a straight-up win, and owned a losing record on the season.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City.  The Bills suffered a horrible loss in overtime against the Philadelphia Eagles two weeks ago, and they will be hard-pressed to make the Playoffs this season should they lose this game to the Kansas City Chiefs.  With their season likely on the line, we'll grab the points with Buffalo, which is 45-34-4 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 4-1 ATS with rest.  And it's 7-1-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an opponent with a better record.  Grab the points with Buffalo.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Bengals pulled off a huge upset last week on Monday Night Football when they won outright as a 10-point dog.  Unfortunately, teams off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have not done well the following week, as they've gone 81-106 ATS.  Take the Colts.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions Under the total.  These two teams played a couple of weeks ago, and the Lions won, 31-26.  That game was played at Detroit's Ford Field, which is a covered stadium, so the teams were not impacted by weather.  This Sunday, the weather outlook calls for 10 to 15 mile per hour winds, and 35 degree weather, which will contribute to a much lower-scoring game than the first meeting.  The Bears have gone 28-12 Under at home in the final 5 games of the season (when Chicago weather is at its worst), when the O/U line ranged from 39 to 48.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Houston.  The Jets lost to the Falcons, at home, last week, 13-8.  New York is back home for this game, and will host the upstart Texans, who are 7-5 on the season.  I like New York, as it's 23-4 ATS at home vs. winning teams if the Jets were at home in their previous game, but didn't win and cover the spread in that game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  These two teams met three weeks ago in Ford Field, and the Lions came away with a comeback win, 31-26.  We played on the Bears +7.5 in that game, and will take them as a home underdog today, on Sunday.  Chicago had last week off to rest and prepare for this division revenge match, while Detroit had a home game vs. the Saints.  The Lions are an atrocious 7-26-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. sub-.400 foes.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots Over the total.  The Over/Under in this game has been installed around 30 points, which is the lowest over/under number this season.  Historically, NFL games with over/under lines less than 31 have gone Over the total, as they've gone Over 82 percent since 1982.  Usually, when the Over/Under lines get down this low, it's due to weather.  Here, it's because of the Patriots' horrible offense.  New England has scored just 13 points over its three previous games.  But teams that have scored a combined 25 or less points over their previous 3 games, all of which have gone Under the total, have then proceeded to go over the total 76 of 128 games, or 59.3%.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Eagles have the best record in football, at 10-1, and have won 5 straight, yet are a home underdog vs. the 49ers.  Unfortunately, home dogs of 2 (or more) points, on a 5-game (or better) win streak, have covered just 41% since 2001.  And the 49ers are 30-14-1 ATS their last 45, including 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 vs. .700 (or better) foes.  I'll take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Panthers have won just once this season, and fired head coach Frank Reich on Monday.  Chris Tabor will take over as interim head coach.  We'll take Carolina + the points on Sunday, as underdogs have gone 54-31-2 ATS in NFC South division games if it was the first meeting of the season.  That bodes well for Carolina today.  As does the fact that Tampa's 15-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 0-5 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Commanders were trounced on Thanksgiving Day by Dallas, 45-10.  I like playing on Underdogs following a blowout loss by 14+ points on Thanksgiving, as they've cashed 67% in their next game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points, off a loss by more than 31 points, have cashed 67.6% over the last 34 years.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Detroit.  The Saints return home after back to back upset losses to the Vikings and Falcons on the road.  I'll take the Saints, as home teams have covered 61.2% since 1980 following back to back upsets as a road favorite.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New Orleans/Detroit game.  The Lions were upset last week at home as a 9-point favorite vs. Green Bay.  We'll take the Under in their game at New Orleans, as road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off an upset loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 9-1 under their last 10 (and 52-29-1 under their last 82).  Take the Saints/Lions Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total.  The Chargers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and will need to reel off six straight wins, if they're to have any hope of making the playoffs.  Los Angeles is 39-17 Over the total on the road off back to back losses, and I look for a relatively high scoring game today.  Take the Over.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Both teams come into this game off losses.  The Bears lost a heartbreaker last week to Detroit, 31-26, while Minny fell to the Broncos, 21-20.  Unfortunately for the Vikings, winning teams (like Minnesota) have burned money on Monday Night if they lost their previous game, as they've gone 63-81-3 ATS.  Even worse for Minnesota:  revenge-minded NFC North division teams have gone 105-74 ATS if they were playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and were also off a straight-up loss in their previous game.   With Chicago playing with revenge from a 6-point loss to the Vikings earlier this season, I'll take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers Under the total.  The Ravens have gone 16-7 Under their last 23 as a road favorite, while the Chargers have gone 16-7 Under as a home dog vs. AFC foes.  Additionally, this season, games involving home underdogs of less than 7 (or PK) have gone 39-16 Under.  I expect a relatively low scoring game.  Take the Ravens + Chargers Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Philadelphia.  This past Monday, the Eagles won an emotional game, as they upset the Chiefs, who defeated them in last year's Super Bowl.  Off that emotional game, I'll fade Philadelphia here, as teams that avenged a playoff loss with an upset win have cashed just 38.8% in their next game.  Take the Bills.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Patriots come into this road game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Giants enter off an upset win over the Washington Commanders.  I'll take New England, as it's 22-1 ATS on the road off a loss, if its opponent was off a win.  And road favorites (or PK) off 3 losses have covered 71.8% since 1980 vs. foes off a win.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Jacksonville/Houston game.  The Jaguars were upset by Houston, 37-20, in the first meeting, and that game went over the total.  I like taking regular season rematches of games with O/U lines of 47+ under the total if the favored team was upset in the first meeting, and that prior meeting went also went Over the total.  The rematches then have gone Under the total 61.1 percent since 1980.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Both the Panthers and the Titans were blown out in their last game.  Carolina lost by 33 at home to Dallas, while the Titans were routed by Jacksonville, 34-14.  I'll take the points with the Panthers, as they're 47-27 ATS as road underdogs vs. opponents that don't have a winning record.  Meanwhile, Tennessee is a terrible 16-34-3 ATS in non-division games, if the Titans weren't getting 3+ points, including 8-27 ATS if their opponent wasn't off a win.  Take Carolina.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Jets were bombed by the Buffalo Bills last Sunday, 32-6, as an 8.5-point road underdog, while Miami downed the Las Vegas Raiders, 20-13, as a 13.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Flyboys to bounce back off that blowout loss, as home dogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-12 ATS off a 7-point (or worse) road loss when matched up against a foe off a 7-point (or greater) home win.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.