At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans have been installed as a huge underdog in East Lansing.  Unfortunately, Michigan State has been miserable in the role of a big dog, as they've covered just one of their last 11 when getting more than 13 points.  Ohio State is absolutely loaded with talent this season, and is the current favorite (at 7-2 odds) to win the National Championship.  The Buckeyes have completely dominated Sparty the last eight years, as they're 8-0 SU.  They're also 7-0 ATS over the last seven seasons vs. MSU, covering the spread by an average of 14.21 ppg.  And Ohio State is 75-48-4 ATS as a road favorite.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Stanford.  Last week, the Cardinal upset Syracuse in their maiden ACC Conference game, 26-24, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  Off that huge upset win, we will fade Stanford in Death Valley on Saturday night.  Stanford is a wallet-busting 25-41 ATS off an upset win, including 0-9 ATS when catching 13.5 (or more) points.  And Clemson is a sensational 23-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 8-0 ATS when favored by 19+ points.  The Tigers blew out NC State, 59-35, last Saturday.  And that bodes well for Dabo Swinney's men, as Clemson is 19-3 ATS after scoring more than 56 points.  Lay the wood with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan.  We played on the Wolverines last Saturday as a home underdog vs. Southern Cal, and were rewarded with a 27-24 upset victory.  This week, we'll switch gears and go against Sherrone Moore's men as a big favorite vs. the Gophers.  The Wolverines have gone 0-8-1 ATS at home following an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog.  Even worse:  after defeating USC at home, conference foes have covered just 15 of 46 conference games.  Finally, Big 10 Conference teams, after an upset home win the previous week, have gone 2-18 ATS at home vs. .600 (or worse) conference foes.  Look for U-M to suffer a letdown on Saturday.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over the NC State Wolfpack.  Last week, the Huskies were upset, 23-20, by Buffalo.  And that upset loss followed Northern Illinois' huge upset win at Notre Dame, as a 27.5-point road dog.  Certainly, it wasn't a surprise that the Huskies had a letdown following its win in South Bend.  After all, teams off upset wins over Notre Dame generally fall flat in their subsequent game.  But off its own upset defeat, we'll take Northern Illinois to bounce back on Tobacco Road against NC State.  The Huskies are a sensational 54-28-1 ATS as a road underdog.  And they're also 9-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-0 ATS on the road.  Meanwhile, NC State is a poor 3-13 ATS as a favorite/PK vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take N. Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over the Washington Huskies.  Washington comes into this game off a 24-5 blowout win over Northwestern, while Rutgers moved to 3-0 last week with an upset win, 26-23, at Virginia Tech.  Greg Schiano's Scarlet Knights have been installed as a small home favorite vs. the Huskies.  And we'll lay the points, as Rutgers is 18-9 ATS its last 27 as a favorite.  Additionally, Big 10 Conference teams are a woeful 35-58-3 ATS in their first road game of the season, if they were off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent wasn't off a SU loss.  Take the Scarlet Knights to blow out Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Kansas State.  The Cougars moved to 3-0 with a 34-14 blowout win in Laramie, as a 10-point road favorite vs. the Wyoming Cowboys last weekend.  BYU has been installed as a big home dog vs. the ranked Wildcats.  We'll grab the points, as undefeated home dogs with a 3-0 (or better) record, off a double-digit cover, have cashed 62.2% vs. conference foes since 1980.  And the Wildcats have covered just 11 of their last 34 games as road favorites.  Take BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Longhorns are ranked #1 in the country, and looked great with "backup" quarterback Arch Manning at the helm.  Texas smashed UTSA, 56-7, after erstwhile starter, Quinn Ewers, was injured in the 2nd quarter of that game.  Ewers was downgraded to "doubtful" for this week's game vs. the Warhawks, and we'll lay the points with Manning under center.  Texas is one of 3 teams with 3 SU/ATS wins vs. FBS competition this season (Pitt and Arizona St. are the other two).  Texas is 12-4-1 ATS when laying 32+ points vs. non-conference foes, while Monroe is a wallet-breaking 22-39 ATS in non-conference games when getting 24+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Boston College.  The Spartans are 3-0 after pounding Prairie View, 40-0, last weekend.  We'll take the Spartans + the points, as they're 47-25-2 ATS off a SU win, when playing on the road vs. winning foes.  Meanwhile, Boston College falls into a negative 63-130 ATS system of mine following its loss last week vs. Missouri.  Take Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Georgia Southern.  Ole Miss has taken no prisoners this season.  It's 3-0 SU/ATS after blowout wins over Furman (76-0), Middle Tennessee (52-3) and Wake Forest (40-6).  I won't step in front of this freight train, as Ole Miss falls into a 133-84-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with big scoring margins.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Tennessee.  The 3-0 Sooners have been installed as a home underdog vs. 3-0 Tennessee.  And we'll happily take the points with the home team, as Oklahoma is a sensational 49-26-3 ATS at home when not favored by more than 21 points.  Additionally, the home teams have gone 193-145-9 ATS in matchups between top-level teams (with win percentages of .875+) that are both off 3+ wins.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Toledo.  Western Kentucky is a super 41-12 ATS when priced from -1 to +10 points vs. FBS competition.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog Hilltoppers.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  This Dallas metroplex rivalry has favored the underdog (24-15 ATS) and the revenge-minded team (21-14 ATS).  SMU falls into both categories on Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points with the Mustangs.  Additionally, TCU is a terrible 24-48-3 ATS vs. revenge-minded winning teams.  Take SMU.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Memphis.  Navy is off to a 2-0 start, with wins over Bucknell (49-21) and Temple (38-11), while Memphis is 3-0 following wins over North Alabama (40-0), Troy (38-17) and Florida State (20-12).  The Midshipmen have been installed as a big home dog, and we'll grab the points.  Since 1980, home dogs of +8 (or more) points are 90-63 ATS in FBS games after back to back wins by > 7 points.  And Memphis is a miserable 13-37-2 ATS when favored by 13 or less points vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Navy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the USC Trojans.  The defending champs have gotten off to a slow start this season.  They're 2-1 SU, but 0-3 ATS.  Michigan has been installed as a home dog vs. USC, and we will happily grab the points.  USC has burned bettors' money over the years when installed as a road favorite of more than 4 points vs. foes off a win, as they've covered just 15 of 51.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Old Dominion.  The Hokies have started slowly this season, going 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS after failing to get the $$$ last week in a 31-14 win over Marshall.  This evening, the Hokies will battle the Monarchs in Norfolk, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite.  We'll lay the points, as Va Tech is 11-4 ATS on the road off back to back ATS defeats.  And it also falls into a 152-89 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that have underperformed ATS on the season.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Ball State.  The Cardinals have been installed as a massive underdog this afternoon vs. the #10-ranked Hurricanes.  And Ball State has been woeful as big underdogs, going 0-13 SU and 2-10-1 ATS when catching 21+ points, while Mid-American Conference teams are 14-25-1 ATS when installed as underdogs of > 34 points.  Take Miami-Fla.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Oregon State.  Dan Lanning's men have burned bettors the first two weeks, with ATS losses vs. Idaho and Boise State.  We'll look for a bounce-back on this Saturday, as the Ducks are a solid 20-10 ATS off back to back point spread defeats.  Additionally, Oregon is 6-0 ATS its last six, and 20-6-1 ATS its last 27 on the road vs. a foe off a SU win, if Oregon wasn't off a point spread win.  And the Ducks are 8-2-1 ATS in this rivalry when priced from -13.5 to -19.5 points.  We'll take the Ducks to blow out the Beavers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats over the Arizona State Sun Devils.  Last week, the Bobcats had a hugely impressive win, as they throttled Texas-San Antonio, 49-10, as a 2-point home favorite.  The Sun Devils also were victorious, with a 30-23 win at home vs. Mississippi State, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And that followed a home blowout win (48-7) over Wyoming to kick off the season.  We'll fade the Sun Devils in their first road game tonight, as road teams off back to back SU/ATS home wins over FBS teams to start the season have covered just 39.2% since 1980 when they weren't getting > 4 points.  Even better:  Arizona State is a wallet-busting 15-30-2 ATS on the road off back-to-back wins.  We'll take the homestanding Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Buckeyes are loaded this season and are one of the favorites to win the NCAA Championship in January.  Ohio State is a reliable 38-22 ATS when priced from -17 to -44 points, including a perfect 3-0 ATS vs. Mid-American Conference foes.  And the Big 10 Conference has generally beat up on MAC opponents when the line was higher than -20 points, going 126-3 straight-up, and 76-53 ATS since 1980.  Lay the lumber with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over Sam Houston St.  Both of these teams kicked off 2024 with a blowout win.  UCF annihilated New Hampshire, 57-3, while the Bearkats routed Rice, 34-14, as a 9-point underdog.  We'll fade Sam Houston St. on Saturday, as teams that won by double-digits in their season opener as 9-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the spread in their next game just 34% since 1980.  Moreover, the Knights are 8-2 ATS their last 10 (including 5-0 ATS their last five) when favored by more than 7 vs. non-conference foes off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Marshall.  Last season, the Thundering Herd knocked off Va Tech in Huntington, 24-17.  The Hokies have long been a great bet when playing with revenge, as they're 58-36-2 ATS in that situation, including 22-9 ATS when coming off a SU loss.  And the Hokies are, indeed, coming off a loss, as they were upset by Vanderbilt, in overtime, last Saturday.  That bodes well for Virginia Tech on Saturday.  As does the fact that Marshall is a wallet-breaking 47-66-2 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 26-40-1 ATS on the road.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Maryland.  Last season, Maryland went into East Lansing, and blew out the Spartans, 31-9.  We'll take Michigan State as a revenge-minded road underdog, as the Terrapins have covered just 15 of their last 45 vs. revenge-minded foes.  Even better:  Big 10 underdogs of +10 or less points have cashed 61.3% when playing with revenge from a home loss the previous season.  Take Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets opened the season with a stunning win over Florida State.  But then Boston College also knocked off the Seminoles this past Monday, so Georgia Tech's victory has lost some of its luster.  The Yellow Jackets have been installed as a road favorite at Syracuse.  But Georgia Tech has been woeful has a road fave, with a 2-9 ATS record.  Even worse for the Jackets:  ACC Conference road favorites have gone just 86-134-6 ATS vs. conference foes that weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Finally, the Orange are 28-11-1 ATS at home off a win, when matched up against a foe off back-to-back wins (including 10-0 ATS when priced from -3.5 to +6.5 points).  Take Syracuse + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Florida Atlantic.  Last week, Army blew out Lehigh, 42-7, while the Owls lost by six at Michigan State, 16-10, as a 13-point underdog.  Army has been installed as a road underdog vs. the Owls.  And we'll take the points, as Army is a solid 25-13-2 ATS as an underdog away from home, while Florida Atlantic is an awful 1-9 ATS at home vs. non-division foes.  Army also falls into 95-62 and 158-61 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams (like Florida Atlantic) off ATS wins.  Take the Black Knights.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Texas.  Last season, Michigan went 15-0 to win the National Championship.  This season, the Wolves were ranked #9 in the preseason poll, and got off to a slow start last week vs. Fresno.  Michigan won the game, 30-10, but didn't cover the spread.  I look for the Wolverines to bounce back with a stronger game on Saturday afternoon.  They've been installed as a home dog vs. #3-ranked Texas.  And defending champs have covered 69.5% since 1980 as an underdog off a point spread loss, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win (and 83% as home dogs).  Additionally, Texas has covered just 8 of 25 games as non-conference road favorites.  Grab the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over James Madison.  The 49ers have been installed as a home underdog to kick off the 2024 season.  We'll grab the points with Biff Poggi's men, as home underdogs of 13 or less points (or PK) have gone 175-130 ATS in Game 1 of the season when not playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Penn State.  These two teams met last season in Happy Valley, and the Nittany Lions mauled the Mountaineers, 38-15.  This rematch will be played in Morgantown, and WVU has been installed as a single-digit home dog.  We'll grab the points, as revenge-minded, single-digit home dogs have cashed 69% ATS in their home opener, dating back to Sept 18, 2010.  Even better:  Penn State is a dismal 16-27-1 ATS as a favorite of 14 or less points vs. a revenge-minded, non-conference foe (including 4-13-1 ATS if it won the previous meeting by 15+ points).  Take West Virginia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Washington.  The Longhorns have the better ground game, as they're averaging 189 yards per game (compared to 125.2 by Washington).  And Texas' yards per rush is also favorable (4.9 vs 4.5).  All things being equal, I prefer to play on the team with the better ground game in the semifinals or championship games.  Indeed, the team with the better offensive YPR has gone 27-8 ATS their last 35.  That bodes well for Texas on Monday night.  As does the fact that Washington is a soft 6-12 ATS its last 18 as an underdog of 7 or less points.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Alabama.  This is the 3rd straight season Michigan has made the College Football playoff, but the first that it entered as the #1 team in the country.  And its #1 ranking is warranted.  In 2021, Michigan was overmatched by a dominant Georgia team, which had a defense giving up just 9.5 ppg.  Then, last season, Michigan was really good, and led by its defense which was allowing just 13.3 ppg.  Unfortunately, they couldn't contain TCU's Quentin Johnson, and were burned for 51 points.  But this season, Michigan's defense has been the country's best (and the only defense to allow less than 10.0 ppg).  Texas' defense ranks 11th (17.54 ppg), Alabama's defense ranks 15th (18.38) and Washington's defense ranks 49th (23.62).  This is the 4th time a team was in the NCAA semifinals or championship game with a defense that gave up less than 10 ppg.  All three of the other teams won 15+ point blowouts, and covered by an average of 15.3 ppg.  The Wolverines are 26-13-2 ATS the last 3 seasons, including 14-3 ATS when not favored by 17+ points.  After knocking on the door the past 2 seasons, I expect Jim Harbaugh's men to bang it down this season.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Tennessee.  The Volunteers ended their regular season with 3 straight point spread defeats.  And now they've been installed as a sizable favorite vs. Iowa.  I don't want any part of Tennessee as a favorite, as NCAA teams have covered just 86 of 207 in the post season when favored by more than 1 points, if they were off back to back ATS losses to end the regular season.  Additionally, Iowa is 78-55-4 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, and 14-7-1 ATS its last 22 Bowl games.  Take the Hawkeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Monday, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over LSU.  The Badgers have been installed as a huge underdog vs. LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with Luke Fickell's men, as Wisconsin is 38-15-2 ATS its last 55 games when getting more than 6 points.  Even better:  its defense gives up 8.83 ppg less than LSU's defense.  And NCAA teams that give up 8.83 points less than their foes are on a 61.4% run in the post-season.  Take Wisconsin + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Wyoming.  The Rockets went 11-1 in the regular season, and reached the Mid-American Conference title game, where they lost to Miami-Ohio, 23-14.  Wyoming ended the season with back to back blowout wins to finish 8-4, but failed to reach the Mountain West championship game.  I like playing on .692 (or better) underdogs in the Bowls that played in their title game against opponents that did not reach their conference championship game.  Our Bowl underdogs have cashed 58.2%.  Moreover, favorites off back to back wins have gone 46-70-3 ATS away from home in the post-season vs. .846 (or better) opponents.  Take Toledo + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Florida St.  The Bulldogs were upset by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship game.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Georgia this afternoon, as Georgia is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Georgia wasn't getting 7+ points.  Even better:  undefeated teams (like Florida State), with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 21.4% since 1994 when getting more than 14 points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Maryland.  The Tigers suffered a heartbreaking loss to rival Alabama at season's end, and finished with a 6-6 record.  The good news for Auburn is that it will be able to redeem itself in this Music City Bowl game vs. Maryland.  And it's 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS when favored off back to back losses, if it didn't own a winning record.  The Terrapins will play this game without star QB, Taulia Tagovailoa, who is their all-time leader in passing yards (11,356), as well as the Big 10's all time leader.  In his stead will be Billy Edwards Jr., who had a QB rating of 59.4 (compared to Tagovailoa's 73.6 rating).  I expect Maryland to drop off significantly on offense without Tagovailoa, and we'll lay the points with Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio St Buckeyes minus the points over Missouri.  Ryan Day's men had high hopes to be in the FBS playoffs.  They were ranked #1 in the country, but lost their season-ending game at Michigan, 30-24.  I look for Ohio State to bounce back off that defeat, as it's a super 16-5 ATS away from home off a loss.  Meanwhile, Missouri is 2-11 ATS in the post-season off a straight-up win, and 19-40 ATS off a win, if they were playing an opponent off a road loss.  Take Ohio State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Iowa St.  This game will be played at the Tigers' home field in Memphis, so the Tigers will have a very friendly crowd in their corner.  Memphis is a solid 13-5 ATS as a home underdog, including 6-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points, while Iowa State is a soft 5-8 ATS as a double-digit road favorite.  Grab the points with the homestanding Tigers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Notre Dame.  This Sun Bowl game's over/under line has been installed around 41 points.  And that bodes well for Oregon State, as it's 11-1 ATS in games with O/U lines < 52 points.  Additionally, Oregon State is 17-8-1 ATS as an underdog.  And the underdog has cashed in 30 of 39 Sun Bowls, including 7-0 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Beavers + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over the Clemson Tigers.  The Wildcats pulled off a big upset to end their season, with a 38-31 win over rival, Louisville.  Kentucky has been installed as an underdog this afternoon in the Gator Bowl, and we'll grab the points, as Kentucky is 35-18-1 ATS in non-conference games, if it won its previous game, straight-up, including 5-1-1 ATS off an upset win.  And Clemson has covered just 3 of 11 bowl games when favored by 3 or more points.  Finally, the SEC conference is a solid 69-50 ATS as a post-season underdog vs. non-conference foes, including 23-11 ATS vs. the ACC conference.  Take Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas St. Wildcats minus the points over NC State.  The Wildcats were a 9.5-point home favorite, but fell by 7 points, 42-35, to Iowa St at the end of the regular season.  But K-State is a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS off a loss since 2022, and 81-46-1 ATS off a loss since 1990 (including 17-1 ATS its last 18 when it failed to cover by 13+ points in its previous game).  Additionally, ACC Conference teams off a win have covered just 23% away from home vs. Big 12 foes off a loss.  We'll take the Wildcats to blow out NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over SMU.  This game will be played less than 5 miles from B.C.'s campus, at Fenway Park, so the crowd will be decidedly in the Eagles' corner.  The Mustangs are laying double-digits, which is always a high tariff in a Bowl game.  Indeed, double-digit dogs are 88-67 ATS in the Bowls since 1981.  Even worse:  when SMU has had a winning record, it's a miserable 10-41 ATS away from home when priced from +10.5 to -14 points.  Grab the points with Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Louisville.  The Trojans lost, 38-20, to rival UCLA at season's end.  We'll grab the points with the Trojans, as they're 25-10 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take USC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers have woefully underperformed in the Bowls, as they're 7-24 ATS including 0-14 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  Take North Carolina as a big underdog.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Green Wave lost coach Willie Fritz to the University of Houston, and have a lot of player absences as well, which is why they're catching double-digits this afternoon.  We'll happily take the points, as double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 83-62 ATS at home, or on neutral fields.  Even better:  Tulane is 10-0 ATS away from home when not laying 10+ points.  Take the Green Wave.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas State.  This Lone Star State battle in the First Responder Bowl will take place in Dallas, Texas.  We'll grab the points with Rice, primarily because of its advantages on the defensive side of the ball.  Texas State ranks #104 in yards given up, at 414.3 (Rice is #55 at 370.1), and #116 in points allowed, at 33.83 (Rice is #66, at 26.67).  And Texas State's porous defense has triggered negative systems of mine that are 49-103, 34-76 ATS, and 26-60 ATS.  Finally, the Owls are 11-4 ATS as an underdog (or PK), while the Bobcats are a soft 10-16 ATS as a favorite, including 1-8 ATS vs. winning ATS foes.  Grab the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Golden Gophers stumbled at the end of the season, with four straight losses (both SU and ATS).  But we'll still take them as a small favorite over a Mid-American Conference foe.  Big 10 Conference teams have excelled in the Bowls off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, as they've gone 13-4-1 ATS.  And teams off 3+ losses have gone 34-25-1 ATS in the Bowls since 1983.  Meanwhile, MAC Conference teams are a soft 14-30-3 ATS in the post-season vs. an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over San Jose.  Coastal Carolina lost by 42 points in their final game of the season, as a 4-point underdog vs. James Madison.  We'll take the big underdog tonight, as Bowl underdogs of +8 (or more) points, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered 67% the last 10 seasons.  Take Coastal Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles upset Buffalo, 24-11, to end their regular season.  Unfortunately, they're a paltry 7-18 ATS as an underdog away from home in non-conference games, if they were off a win, including 0-5 ATS off an upset win.  Take South Alabama minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Northern Illinois.  Butch Jones' men ended their regular season with a thud, as they lost, 35-21, to Marshall.  We'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back, as they're 11-2 ATS away from home off a double-digit conference defeat.  Take Arkansas St.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights have been installed as a favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl.  But Central Florida is a woeful 0-8 ATS its last 8 when priced from -3.5 to -7 points!  That doesn't bode well for UCF this evening.  Nor does the fact that Georgia Tech is 12-3 ATS its last 15 as an underdog (or PK), including 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss.  Take Georgia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over California.  The Red Raiders were annihilated in Austin, Texas, 57-7, at the end of their regular season.  But off that 50-point blowout loss, I expect Tech to bounce back in this bowl game and crush California.  Texas Tech is a super 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss as a road underdog, if it wasn't favored by double digits.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Boise St.  The Bruins were upset at home, 33-7, by California to end their regular season.  And the Bruins were favored by 9.5 points in that game.  Off that defeat, where they failed to cover the spread by 35.5 points, we'll take UCLA to rebound in this de facto home game (at SoFi Stadium), on Saturday.  UCLA is a stellar 29-12-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread by more than 10 points in its previous game (including a perfect 4-0 ATS in the post-season).  And it's 31-17 ATS when playing in Los Angeles vs. non-conference foes, and not favored by 14+ points.  Meanwhile, Boise St. is a brutal 2-9-2 ATS away from home against foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-4-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with Chip Kelly's Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs + the points over New Mexico St.  The Bulldogs fell flat in the season's final weeks, as they lost their last three games (both SU and ATS).  We'll take Fresno to bounce back, as it's 9-0 ATS when it was off 3+ losses, and not getting more than 7 points from its opponent.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Ragin' Cajuns ended their regular season by thumping rival, Louisiana Monroe, 52-21.  Unfortunately, the Cajuns are a horrid 0-10 ATS off a win by more than 17 points.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over the Navy Midshipmen.  Army defeated Air Force earlier this season, and will claim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy with a victory against Navy.  I like Army in this game, as it falls into a Military Series system of mine which is 33-10 ATS since 2006.  The Black Knights ended their season strong with 3 straight wins coming into this final game, including a 28-21 upset win at Coastal Carolina in their previous game.  Navy was blasted in its last game, 59-14, by SMU, and failed to cover the spread by 26 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Midshipmen in this game vs. rival, Army, as Navy has gone 13-5-2 ATS vs. Army when Navy was off an ATS win, but just 7-10 ATS when Navy was off an ATS loss.  And if Army was off a good game, where it covered the spread by 7+ points, then the Black Knights have gone 5-1 ATS vs. Navy.  Finally, the Midshipmen have covered just 5 of 26 games when they weren't getting 10+ points vs. a non-conference foe off an upset win.  Take Army minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Florida State.  These two teams met last season, and Florida State went into Louisville and defeated the Cardinals, 35-31.  We'll take the Cards to avenge that defeat, as underdogs playing with revenge from a loss the previous season have gone 63% ATS in Conference Title games.  Even better:  the Cardinals lost to Kentucky, 38-31, last week.  But Louisville is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 17-3-1 ATS its last 21) off a point spread loss, and 15-5-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Meanwhile, Florida State is a poor 37-65 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Appalachian St.   The Trojans won this Sun Belt Title game last season, as they blew out Coastal Carolina, 45-26, as a 6-point home favorite.  Over the last 2 years, the Trojans have dominated Sun Belt play, as they've gone 14-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS when priced from -3 to -15 points.  Appalachian St., on the other hand, is 5-13 ATS its last 18 conference games.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise St.  The Rebels were upset here, at home, by San Jose St. last week.  We'll take UNLV as a home underdog and fade a Boise St. team which has covered just 1 of its last 12 road games vs. an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points with the Rebels.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Toledo.  These two teams met earlier this season, in Oxford, and the Rockets came away with a 21-17 win as a 2-point road favorite.  Revenge-minded teams have cashed 52% of Conference Title games since 1992, but Miami falls into my best revenge angle which is 25-1-1 ATS since 1994 (and 19-0 ATS since 2009).  Additionally, the Red Hawks are 11-1 ATS when playing with revenge when the line was less than 12 points.  And they're 22-10 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over New Mexico St.  These two teams met earlier this season in Lynchburg, and Liberty blew out the Aggies, 33-17.  This game will also be played on the Flames' home field.  The Flames are currently riding a 7-game home win streak.  And they're 9-4 ATS at home when priced from -6 to -20 points.  The Aggies are a poor 2-9 ATS on the road when priced from +8 to +13.5 points.  Take Liberty to blow out New Mexico St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies won (and covered) their 7th straight game with a stunning upset of Auburn, 31-0, as a 25-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico State, as single-digit underdogs, that pulled off major upsets over non-conference foes as double-digit underdogs, have covered just 33.9% since 1980 when playing an opponent off a straight-up win.  That doesn't bode well for the Aggies on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that they've covered just 32% at home off a SU win.  Take the Gamecocks minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie..

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Washington.  These two rivals will play for the Apple Cup on Saturday afternoon.  Last year, the Huskies won the trophy with a 51-33 triumph.  I like the Cougars to avenge that defeat as they're 18-4 ATS as a 14-point (or greater) underdog when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cougars racked up 56 points last week in a blowout victory over Colorado.  Off that offensive explosion, the Coogs fall into a 60% ATS momentum system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any revenge-minded team in its final game of the season, if it scored 55+ points in its previous game.  Take Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Arizona.  Last week, I had my strongest college football play of the season-to-date on Oregon against Arizona State, and was rewarded with a 49-13 blowout victory.  But off that 36-point loss, I like Arizona State to bounce back on this Saturday against its cross-state rival, Arizona.  The Wildcats are a horrible favorite, as they've gone 53-95-3 ATS, including 2-11 ATS vs. Arizona State.  Even worse for Arizona:  the Sun Devils will be playing with revenge from a 38-35 loss last season to the Wildcats. And the revenge-minded team has gone 18-6 ATS in this series if it was installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves exploded for 77 points last week, which was the most points tallied by a team vs. an FBS foe this season.  We'll fade Arkansas St., as teams that scored more than 7 points in a SU/ATS win over an FBS foe have covered just 31% the next week, if they weren't favored by 3 or more points.  Take Marshall.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over BYU.  The Cougars come into this game on a 4-game losing streak after falling at home, 31-24, to Oklahoma last Saturday.  Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is 8-3 after a SU/ATS win last week at Houston.  The Cowboys are an awesome 52-25 ATS when favored by 12+ points (and 29-6 ATS their last 35 when favored by 12+ points vs. foes off back to back losses).  Take the Cowboys to blow out BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over Louisiana Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns and Warhawks will both try to snap losing streaks as they end their seasons on Saturday.  La-Lafayette lost their 3rd straight last Saturday when Troy defeated it by 7, 31-24.  Meanwhile, the Warhawks come into this game on a 9-game losing streak after falling at Ole Miss, 35-3, last Saturday.  We'll grab the points with Monroe, as teams on 9-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 36-22 ATS in their final game of the season, if they were also playing an opponent off a SU loss.  Even better:  the road teams have dominated this Bayou State rivalry, as they've gone 19-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.  We'll take the underdog Warhawks on Saturday afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Jimbo Fisher era is over in College Station, and Elijah Robinson is the interim coach.  At Robinson's press conference earlier this week, he said QB Max Johnson is day-to-day with a rib injury.  If Johnson is unable to go for the Aggies, then Jaylen Henderson will make his 3rd straight start.  Regardless who is under center for A&M, we'll lay the points with LSU.  Texas A&M is a terrible 27-68 ATS away from home vs. .636 (or better) foes in the regular season, including 3-20 ATS when priced from +4 to +11.  Lay the points with LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Pitt.  The Blue Devils are 6-5, but have dropped their last two games, including an upset loss last week at Virginia.  We'll lay the points, as winning teams have gone 38-20 ATS in their final game of the season vs. conference foes, if they were off an upset loss, and back to back losses overall.  Take Duke.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  The Lobos upset Fresno St, 25-17, last week, as a 22-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico on Friday, as home teams have cashed just 39 of 114 after pulling off an upset win away from home and covering the spread in that win by 30+ points.  Lay the points with the Lobos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Friday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  The 'Huskers sit at 5-6, and need to win on Friday to gain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Iowa already has become eligible, with its 8-3 record.  I like Nebraska's chances, as NCAA teams that need to win their final game of the season to gain Bowl eligibility have cashed 55% since 1980 if they were favored in their final game.  Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule has tabbed 3rd string QB Chubba Purdy as the starting QB for this game, and that's all I need to pull the trigger on the Cornhuskers, as Purdy delivered the best performance by a Nebraska QB all season in last week's OT loss at Wisconsin.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Iowa State.  The Longhorns are 9-1, but come into this matchup off back to back games where they failed to cover the spread.  We'll take Texas to get the $$$ tonight, as it's 51-30 ATS following 2 games where it failed to cover the spread, including 13-1 ATS on the road vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Missouri.  The Tigers pulled off a huge upset last week when they trounced Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point home underdog.  We'll fade Florida, as winning NCAA teams off 29-point (or greater) upset wins have covered just 35% of Conference games since 1980 vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils upset UCLA last week, but are just 3-7 on the season.  We'll fade ASU off that upset win, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record have gone just 17-43-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of +8 (or more) points, including 0-12 ATS their last 12 as a dog of more than 13 points.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes are 10-0 after blowing out Michigan St, 38-3, last week.  Off that big win, we'll fade Ohio State, as undefeated NCAA teams are 5-19 ATS as favorites vs. conference foes in the regular season, at Game 11 forward, if they held their previous opponent to 7 or less points.  Additionally, the Gophers are 13-3 ATS when getting more than 23 points on the Big 10 road.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Tigers have their big rivalry game next week vs. Alabama, and they generally do well the game before that rivalry game, as they've gone 23-14 ATS.  Moreover, the Tigers come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they're 14-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 28 points, if Auburn was on a 2-game ATS win streak and playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Hilltoppers are a super 11-0 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -11.5 to -31, vs. Conference foes.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over USC.  The Trojans are a nasty 3-11 ATS their last 14 at home vs. conference foes.  Take UCLA + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Georgia.  The Volunteers were blown out, 36-7, by Missouri last week, while the defending champion Bulldogs remained undefeated with a 52-17 rout of Ole Miss.  We'll grab the points with Tennessee, as it's 9-0 ATS off a loss by 6+ points.  Additionally, defending NCAA Champions are a poor 29.0% ATS away from home off a win, if they weren't favored by more than 15 points, and their opponent was off a loss.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Duke.  Virginia might be 2-8 straight-up, but it's 7-3 "in Vegas," this season.  We'll ride Virginia as a home underdog this afternoon, as it's 19-7 ATS its last 26 as a home pup, including 7-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves enter on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, Sun Belt Conference home dogs of more than 3 points are a horrible 37-62 ATS off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane dropped its fifth straight game last weekend when it fell, 24-22, at Tulane (though it covered the spread).  We'll fade Tulsa as a short home underdog, as it's 3-10-1 ATS its last 14 conference games, including 1-5-1 ATS at home, and 1-8-1 ATS off a loss.  Meanwhile, North Texas is a solid 16-5-1 ATS in conference games, including 7-1 ATS as as favorite.  Take the Mean Green minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors come into this road game off back to back upset wins over Nevada and Air Force.  We'll fade Hawaii this afternoon, as it's 5-13 ATS as a road underdog off back to back ATS wins.  Take Wyoming.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Mustangs blew out North Texas, 45-21, last week.  Unfortunately, SMU is 0-8-1 ATS its last nine (and 6-19-1 ATS its last 26) away from home off a 24-point (or greater) win.  Grab the points with Memphis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  The Bulldogs were blown out, 51-10, by Texas A&M last week.  We'll lay the points and go against Southern Miss, as the Golden Eagles are 0-10 ATS when getting between 15.5 and 45 points vs. an opponent off an ATS loss.  Take Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats pulled off an upset last week when they went into Madison, and knocked off Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 12 point underdog.  We'll go against Northwestern, as Big 10 home dogs are a soft 37.3% in conference games since 1980 off an upset road win, if they covered the spread by 12+ points in that win.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Michigan.  Maryland comes into this game off a road win at Nebraska.  Meanwhile, the Wolverines are 10-0, and ranked #3 in the country after their big win in Happy Valley last Saturday.  We'll fade the Maize and Blue, as double-digit road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 if they were undefeated, at Game 11 forward, and their opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Terrapins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie..

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and have covered six of their last seven, while the Huskies have lost their last two games -- both SU and ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Broncos.  But MAC Conference favorites, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have covered 60% since 1992 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And the Huskies are 46-30-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, including 8-1 ATS if the Huskies were off back to back defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU. The Gators come into this road game off an upset home loss, 39-36, to Arkansas. We'll take the Gators to rebound off that upset defeat, as they're a perfect 7-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi.  The Bulldogs are trying to win their 3rd straight National Championship.  This week, the Rebels will look to snap Georgia's 36-game regular season win streak.  We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as they're 23-6 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points.  And they're 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS their last 11 vs. Ole Miss.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a big upset last Saturday, 10-7, as a 14-point road dog.  Can Stanford make it two-in-a-row?  It's unlikely, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record, that pulled off an upset as an 8-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game, have gone 13-49 SU and 17-42-1 ATS, including 0-21 SU and 2-19 ATS if they were getting more than 13 points.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Arkansas St.  South Alabama's QB, Carter Bradley, missed last week's game at Troy, and the Jaguars missed him greatly.  Troy blew out South Alabama, 28-10, as a 7 point favorite, and that was S. Alabama's 2nd straight blowout loss.  Bradley should be back under center on Saturday vs. Arkansas St.  And we'll lay the points with the homestanding Jaguars, who have covered 69% off back to back losses by more than 10 points, and 82% after failing to cover the point spread by 6+ points in their two previous games.  And the Jags are also 4-0 SU/ATS their last four meetings with the Red Wolves.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes over Rutgers.  Iowa is a spectacular 70-30-2 ATS in Big 10 Conference games when priced from -7 to +2 points.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies won, 13-7, last week, as a 3-point home favorite, while Western Kentucky went into El Paso, and defeated the Miners, 21-13.  We'll fade New Mexico St on the road Saturday, as it is an awful 28% ATS as a road dog off a home win, if matched up against an opponent off a win.  Even better:  the Hilltoppers are 39-21 ATS in conference games off a win, including 6-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Oklahoma St.  The Cowboys will be seeking their 6th straight win after upsetting rival Oklahoma last week.  We played on Oklahoma State in that game, but will go against them on Saturday, as a letdown is expected (the Cowboys have covered just 25% on the road after playing Oklahoma since 1980).  Also, Central Florida has gone 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes off back to back wins, if UCF wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take the Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over North Carolina State.  This is a big letdown spot for NC State after its two upset wins at home over Clemson and Miami.  Now, the Wolfpack are road favorites against a Deacons squad off back to back losses.  Since 1980, road favorites have covered just 28% off back to back upset wins as a home dog, if they were next matched up against a conference foe off back to back losses.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers notched a rare ATS win vs. Sun Belt conference foes last week in their 31-9 victory vs. Marshall.  Still, the Mountaineers are a poor 2-13 ATS their last 15 conference games, including 0-7 ATS on the road.  Take Georgia State minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Michigan.  The Nittany Lions are 8-1 this season, and are giving up just 11.8 ppg.  We'll grab the points with the defensive juggernaut, as home dogs of +3 (or more) points, that give up less than 12 ppg, have covered 73% since 1980, at Game 6 forward, if their win percentage was .888 (or better).  Take the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers upset Wisconsin, 20-14, as a 7.5-point home dog last Saturday.  Unfortunately, losing Big 10 teams have only covered 30% since 1980 off an upset win as a home dog of more than 7 points, if they were matched up against foe off a SU win.  And Illinois has covered 63% since 1980 as a favorite vs. conference foes off a win.  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.   The Cajuns were upset, 37-17, by Arkansas State last Saturday, as a 7-point road favorite.  We played against Louisiana-Lafayette in that game, but will switch gears, and now play on the Cajuns at home.  In this game, the Cajuns will be seeking to avenge an upset loss suffered at the hands of Southern Miss last season.  Louisiana has gone 20-11 ATS off an upset loss, and is also 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats upset Oregon State last Saturday, 27-24, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll fade Arizona as a home dog tonight, as it's 10-32 ATS as an underdog off an upset win the previous week.  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over NC State.  We played on the Wolfpack last week, as a double-digit underdog vs. Clemson, and were rewarded with a 24-17 upset win.  But off that big victory, I look for a letdown by Dave Doeren's men tonight.  NC State is a woeful 15-27 ATS in ACC Conference games off an upset conference win, including 7-23 ATS if it owned a winning record.  Lay the points with Miami-Fla.