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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-29-25 Toronto +2.5 v. Ottawa Top 29-16 Win 100 18 h 45 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over Ottawa.  The Argos have gotten off to an 0-3 SU/ATS start this season.  Last week's 39-32 loss was particularly irksome, as they tied the game with a TD and a 2-point conversion with less than 30 seconds to go, but gave up a 99-yard kickoff return for a TD right after.  Toronto will look to get off the schneid this evening and will face an Ottawa team it has thoroughly dominated.  Toronto won in the Playoffs, 58-38, vs. the Redblacks last season, and has won 20 of the last 25 meetings, straight-up (17-8 ATS).  We'll grab the points with the Argos, as Ottawa is an awful 11-31 ATS as a favorite, including 1-11 ATS if Ottawa's win percentage differential was greater than 0.250.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-29-25 Sun +21 v. Lynx Top 63-102 Loss -110 18 h 44 m Show

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Minnesota.  The Lynx are 13-2 on the season and are laying more points this evening than any team has in this 2025 season.  Granted, Connecticut has dropped eight straight games.  But we'll happily take the points with the Sun, as Minnesota is 1-6-1 ATS its last eight when laying more than 14 points.  Meanwhile, Connecticut is 6-3 ATS this season when catching double-digits.  And the underdog has gone 32-23-1 ATS in this series.   Finally, 0.666 (or better) teams have cashed just 33 of 91 vs. foes off 3+ losses.  Take Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-26-25 Edmonton Elks +11.5 v. Winnipeg Top 23-36 Loss -115 13 h 14 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Winnipeg.  The Blue Bombers come into this game off back to back blowout wins over British Columbia to start the season, while Edmonton is off back to back blowout losses.  Unfortunately, favorites of -3 (or more) points off back to back double-digit wins to start a season have cashed just 33%.  And Winnipeg is a poor 25-35 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Edmonton + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-25-25 Sun +19 v. Aces Top 59-85 Loss -110 17 h 41 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Las Vegas.  We played on the Aces on Sunday and got the $$$ in their 8-point win over Indiana.  Tonight, they'll welcome the Sun to Sin City, and Connecticut will be looking to snap a 6-game losing streak.  Las Vegas is a poor 4-9-1 ATS the last two seasons off a SU win, when favored vs. a foe off a SU loss.  And it is also 6-15-1 ATS its last 22 when favored by 6+ points off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Sun are 17-4 ATS their last 21 when getting more than 10 points, including 7-0 ATS if they failed to cover the spread in their previous game by 10+.  With Connecticut off a 24-point blowout loss to Golden State, as a 9.5-point road underdog, we'll take Connecticut to bounce back on this Wednesday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-24-25 Sparks -5.5 v. Sky Top 86-97 Loss -108 15 h 18 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Chicago Sky.  The Sparks come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, with losses to the Lynx (twice) and Storm.  We'll take L.A. to bounce back tonight, as they'll step down in class to take on the 3-10 Sky.  Los Angeles is an awesome 25-12-1 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, while Chicago is 16-25-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  And the Sky are 32-56 ATS as a home dog, if they owned a losing record.  Lay the points with the Sparks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-22-25 Pacers v. Thunder -8 Top 91-103 Win 100 68 h 27 m Show

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  The Thunder were 68-14 in the regular season, which was tops on the league.  In the Playoffs, home field advantage is crucial in series that extend to a 7th game.  Indeed, Home teams have won 63 of 90 Game 7s, straight-up since 1990.  Importantly, the Thunder have won 79% of their games this season.  And NBA teams with a win percentage of .777 (or better) have cashed 86% in NBA Game 7s since 1990.  Admittedly, OKC laid an egg in Game 6.  But that was on the road, where OKC has gone 1-9 ATS in the Playoffs.  At home, the Thunder are 9-3 ATS in the Playoffs, and 37-15-1 ATS in the regular season and post-season combined.  We'll lay the points with the Thunder.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

06-22-25 Fever v. Aces +1.5 Top 81-89 Win 100 8 h 10 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over Indiana.  Becky Hammon's women have started the season slowly, with a 5-7 record, and are 0-6 ATS their last six games.  We'll take the Aces to bounce back this afternoon against Caitlin Clark & Co., as Las Vegas is a solid 31-21-2 ATS at home off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Indiana, meanwhile, is 17-25-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  WNBA teams off 5+ point spread losses have cashed 56.3% in the regular season.  And, finally, the Aces have won 15 straight vs. the Fever (and 23-1 their last 24).  They're also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 vs. Indy, including 8-1 ATS as an underdog.  Grab the points with Vegas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-21-25 Winnipeg v. BC +4.5 Top 27-14 Loss -112 15 h 14 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions + the points over Winnipeg.  These two teams met last week, and the Blue Bombers upset the Lions, 34-20, as a 4.5-point home underdog.  The Lions are at home for this rematch, and have been installed as a home dog.  We'll take BC + the points, as home teams have gone 47-38-3 ATS off a SU/ATS loss if it was playing the same opponent in back-to-back games.  And Winnipeg is 0-12 ATS as a road favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. foes off a SU loss, if its foe was playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take British Columbia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-21-25 Ottawa +3.5 v. Calgary Top 20-12 Win 100 12 h 22 m Show

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Calgary.  The Stampeders come into this game off back-to-back upset wins over Hamilton (38-26) and Toronto (29-19), while the Redblacks have started the 2025 campaign 0-2, with losses at Saskatchewan (31-26) and at home vs. Montreal (39-18).  We'll take Ottawa as the underdog as CFL underdogs off back to back losses have cashed 76.5% vs. foes off back to back upset wins.  Grab the points with the Redblacks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-20-25 Storm v. Aces +2.5 Top 90-83 Loss -115 21 h 52 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over Seattle.  The Aces are currently riding a 5-game point spread losing streak after losing at Minnesota, 76-62.  We'll take Las Vegas to get back into the ATS win column tonight, as it is 31-20-2 ATS at home off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And the Aces are 15-7 ATS vs. the Storm, including 4-0 ATS as an underdog.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-20-25 Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3.5 Top 39-32 Loss -105 18 h 23 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over Saskatchewan.  The Argos are off to an 0-2 start to the season, while the Roughriders are 2-0.  Toronto's been installed as a home dog tonight, and we'll happily grab the points, as winless home underdogs, with an 0-2 (or worse) record, have cashed 67% the last 20 years.  And the Roughriders are a woeful 7-27 ATS on the road vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Take Toronto + the points.  Good luck, as always.....Al McMordie.

06-19-25 Angels v. Yankees -1.5 Top 3-7 Win 100 12 h 58 m Show
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees minus 1.5 runs over the Los Angeles Angels.  In one of the most unlikely scenarios in MLB this entire season, the Angels go for the four-game sweep in the Bronx over the defending AL Champions.  After the Halos shut out the Yanks in the first two games, they won their 3rd straight over New York on Wednesday night by beating them, 3-2.  In the series finale this afternoon, the Angels will hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, while the Yankees will turn to one of their two southpaw aces as Carlos Rodon takes the mound for the 16th time this season.  Anderson has struggled outside of Anaheim this season.  In 7 starts, he has a 6.31 ERA.  He's also 0-3 in six daytime starts, with a 5.64 ERA.  And his ERA over his last five outings is 7.30.  Meanwhile, Rodon -- along with teammate Max Fried -- is having an All Star-worthy first half with an 8-5 record, 3.01 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in just under 90 innings.  Rodon's overall numbers vs. the Angels may not stand out much (a 4-4 record with a 4.40 ERA) but most of the eight starts were when he was with other teams.  In his last two outings against them as a Yankee, Rodon is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings with 15 strikeouts and one walk.  Rodon is 29-22 with a 3.67 ERA in 75 career daytime games (72 starts).  Take New York minus 1.5 runs.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
06-18-25 Mercury v. Sun +13.5 Top 83-75 Win 100 15 h 10 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Phoenix.  The Sun lost, 88-71, at Indiana last night, as a 17.5-point underdog, while Phoenix won at Las Vegas, 76-70, on Sunday.  We'll take the Sun as a double-digit home dog, as unrested home dogs have gone 26-11-1 ATS vs. rested foes, including 15-3-1 ATS off an ATS win.  Additionally, double-digit dogs off double-digit losses have gone 35-19-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  We'll grab the points with the Sun.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-14-25 Saskatchewan v. Hamilton +3 Top 28-23 Loss -110 12 h 16 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Saskatchewan.  The Ti-Cats have been installed as a home underdog on this Saturday after dropping their season-opening game at Calgary, 38-26.  We'll happily grab the points, as Hamilton is a solid 76-56-5 ATS as an underdog, including 39-21-2 ATS off a point spread loss, while Saskatchewan is a wallet-busting 19-43-1 ATS as an unrested favorite vs. losing teams.  Additionally, in Week 2, CFL underdogs off a double-digit loss have cashed 64% vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Hamilton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-14-25 Liberty v. Fever +5 Top 88-102 Win 100 8 h 17 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the New York Liberty.  These two teams met earlier this season in a thriller which went down to the wire.  New York escaped with a 90-88 victory as a 4-point road favorite.  We'll take Indiana, as Caitlin Clark will be back in the lineup this afternoon.  The Fever are a solid 14-5 ATS the last two seasons vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, while New York is a nasty 47-89-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  The Fever were blown out by 19 points by the Dream on Tuesday.  But WNBA teams off a SU/ATS loss are on a 29-10 ATS run vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Fever.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-14-25 Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 Top 1-2 Loss -100 7 h 29 m Show

At 2:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  Matt Boyd will get the start for Chicago.  He's in terrific form, with just 3 earned runs allowed across his last three starts (19 IP).  In Boyd's career, his teams have gone 23-11 as a favorite with him on the mound, and 25-17 (+9.3 net games) vs. division rivals (including 24-18 (+7.3 net games) on the run-line).  This season, the Cubs are +8.2 net games on the run line as a favorite, while the Buccos are -11.4 net games on the run-line.  And Pittsburgh is an awful 10-23 (-8.1 net games) on the road this season, including 0-5 vs. lefties and 1-7 vs. division foes.  Take Chicago -1.5 runs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

06-13-25 Thunder -6 v. Pacers Top 111-104 Win 100 43 h 59 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  We played on the Pacers in Game 3 and got the $$$ when they upset OKC, 116-107.  That SU/ATS loss now makes OKC 0-8 ATS on the road in this year's Playoffs.  The strange thing is that OKC set the best regular season point spread mark in the NBA since 1990 with a 54-26-3 ATS record.  And they were stellar both at home and on the road (25-13-2 ATS on an opponent's home court; 1-1 ATS on a neutral court in the In-Season Tournament).  So, its 0-8 ATS mark in the Playoffs is a head-scratcher.  We're going to lay the points notwithstanding this 0-8 mark.  The Pacers have been awesome in this Playoffs following a loss (5-0 ATS), and vs. an opponent off a win (9-0 ATS), but they've burned money vs. an opponent off a loss (4-6 ATS, including 1-3 ATS at home).  Finally, the Thunder are 36-15 ATS off a SU loss when playing a .611 (or better) foe, including 8-0 ATS their last eight.  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-13-25 Sky +12.5 v. Dream Top 70-88 Loss -115 17 h 46 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream.  The Sky come into this game off a 19-point loss to the Liberty, while the Dream won by 19 over Indiana in its last game.  We'll grab the points tonight with Chicago, as double-digit dogs off losses by 15+ points have cashed 61.6% vs. foes off wins by 15+ points.  Additionally, Atlanta is an awful 15-31 ATS as a favorite off a SU win vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take the Sky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-13-25 Montreal v. Ottawa +5 Top 39-18 Loss -110 17 h 45 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Montreal.  The Redblacks lost to Saskatchewan, 31-26, as a 4-point road underdog last week, while Montreal blew out Toronto, 28-10, as a 7-point home favorite.  The Alouettes are favored on the road at Ottawa, and we'll happily grab the points with the home team.  Indeed, home dogs of more than 3 points are 9-0 ATS their last nine off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a win by more than 8 points.  Take Ottawa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-11-25 Thunder v. Pacers +5.5 Top 107-116 Win 100 10 h 37 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Oklahoma City.  We played on OKC and its two home games to start this series, but will switch gears and grab the points with the Pacers at home tonight.  When you look at how the Thunder are performing on the road in the Playoffs, compared to its home games, there is a stark difference.  At home, the Thunder are 8-3 ATS and have covered the point spread by an average of 11.31 ppg.  But on the road, it is a horrid 0-7 ATS and has failed to cover the point spread by an average of 13.64 ppg.  The Pacers, meanwhile, are 5-3 ATS at home in the Playoffs, and have covered by an average of 3.68 ppg.  Even better:  Indiana is a dominant 12-0 ATS in the Playoffs when playing with revenge from a Playoff defeat by more than 12 points.  With Indy off a 123-107 loss in Game 2, we'll grab the points with Indy tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-10-25 Sky +18.5 v. Liberty Top 66-85 Loss -108 17 h 10 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over New York.  These two teams met last month, and the Liberty blew out the Sky, 99-74, as an 11.5-point road favorite.  This game will be played in the Big Apple, and we will grab the points with the revenge-minded Sky.  Chicago did lose by 27 points to the Fever on Saturday.  But the good news is that the Liberty are a horrid 0-20 ATS when favored by 5+ at home vs. a revenge-minded foe off a loss.  We'll grab the points with the Sky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-08-25 Pacers v. Thunder -10.5 Top 107-123 Win 100 9 h 8 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  The Thunder have been dominant at home this season -- both in the regular season and the playoffs.  OKC was 35-6 SU and 28-12-1 ATS at home in the regular season, and is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at home in the Playoffs (43-8 SU and 35-15-1 ATS combined).  Unfortunately, the Thunder blew a 15-point, 4th quarter lead and lost Game 1, 111-110.  We'll take the Thunder to rebound tonight, as they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 (and 40-15-3 ATS their last 58) when playing a .611 (or better) foe, if the Thunder were not off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  NBA teams off upset losses have gone 31-22-2 ATS in the NBA Finals.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-05-25 Pacers v. Thunder -8.5 Top 111-110 Loss -110 115 h 8 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  The Thunder set the record this season (at least since 1990, the year my database goes back to) for best point spread percentage.  Including the in-season tournament, OKC went 54-26-3 ATS in the regular season (67% ATS).  It's true that the Thunder are just 7-9 ATS in the post-season.  But that includes an 0-7 ATS mark on the road in the playoffs; at home OKC has been terrific, going 7-2 ATS.  And at home in the regular + post-season combined, the Thunder are 35-14-1 ATS this season, including 13-1-1 ATS vs. Eastern Conference foes.  (Dating back to 2022, OKC is 32-11-2 ATS at home vs. the Eastern Conference.)  I won't fade these numbers.  Lay the points with the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-05-25 Liberty v. Mystics +14 Top 86-78 Win 100 16 h 39 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over the New York Liberty.  These two teams met a week ago here, in the nation's capital, and the Liberty won by 22, 85-63, as a 9-point road favorite.  For this rematch, the oddsmakers have significantly raised the price on the Liberty, who are now a big double-digit road favorite.  We'll take Washington, as the Liberty are a lousy 46-88 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-10 ATS if they won the previous meeting by a margin ranging from 19 to 29 points.  And the Mystics are 9-1-1 ATS as a double-digit home underdog.  Grab the points with Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-05-25 Guardians v. Yankees -1.5 Top 0-4 Win 100 15 h 13 m Show

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees -1.5 runs over the Cleveland Guardians.  Max Fried will get the start for the Pinstripes this evening as he looks to continue a sensational start to 2025.  Fried is 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 outings.  This is a favorable match-up for Fried, as Cleveland is 3-9 vs. lefties this season (and 4-8 vs. lefties on the run-line).  And the Guardians are a dreadful 3-10 on the run-line with Slade Cecconi in his nighttime starts, while Fried's teams are 73-50 (+23.2 net games) on the run-line in his nighttime starts.  The Yankees have outscored their opponents in Fried's six home starts this season by an aggregate of 50-18.  Take New York -1.5 runs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-01-25 Mercury v. Sparks -4 Top 85-80 Loss -109 16 h 24 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Phoenix Mercury.  These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun on May 21, and the Mercury defeated the Sparks, 89-86, as a 4-point home favorite.  Still, the Sparks covered the spread, and they're now 23-16-1 ATS vs. Phoenix, including 9-2 ATS as a home favorite.  That bodes well for the Sparks.  As does the fact that they fall into a 193-125-2 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-01-25 Sun +18.5 v. Liberty Top 52-100 Loss -115 13 h 25 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over the New York Liberty.  The Sun upset the Fever as a 10.5-point underdog, 85-83, on Friday.  Off that big win, we'll ride the momentum and grab the points with the Sun on Sunday.  Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed 58.2% as underdogs off upset wins as a double-digit dog in their previous game.  Take Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-31-25 Knicks v. Pacers -3.5 Top 108-125 Win 100 30 h 21 m Show
At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over New York.  We played on New York in Game 5, and were rewarded with a 17-point win.  But off that blowout loss, we'll come back with Indiana on Saturday night.  The Pacers are a super 17-0 ATS their last 17 (and 52-19-2 ATS their last 73) when rested off a loss, and playing with revenge vs. a foe off a SU win if Indiana lost to its opponent by 14+ points in the prior meeting.  And underdogs off a win in the conference finals have cashed just 18% the last 20 years when facing elimination.  Lay the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
05-30-25 Liberty v. Mystics +8.5 Top 85-63 Loss -110 17 h 46 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over New York.  We played against the Liberty last night, and got the $$$ with the Valkyries.  And we will once again fade New York tonight, on the road, playing without rest.  Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed just 35.2% on the road off 3+ wins, if they were playing without rest.  Even better:  Washington is 9-2 ATS its last 11 vs. New York, and 15-4-1 ATS its last 20 as a home dog of 8+ points.  Take the Mystics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-29-25 Pacers v. Knicks -5 Top 94-111 Win 100 43 h 56 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Knicks enter Game 5 down 3-games-to-1 after dropping Game 4, 130-121.  We'll lay the points with New York, as home teams down 3-games-to-1 have cashed 62% in Game 5 of a 7-game series after losing Game 4 on the road.  Additionally, New York is 37-18 ATS as a revenge-minded single-digit favorite, while Indiana is 1-8 ATS when up 2 games in a playoff series.  Lay the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

05-29-25 Valkyries +19 v. Liberty Top 77-82 Win 100 16 h 38 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over New York.  These two teams met on Tuesday, and the Liberty blew out the Valkyries, 95-67, as an 18-point home favorite.  This game is also being played in the Big Apple, and we'll take the revenge-minded double-digit underdog.  Over the last 14 regular seasons, underdogs of 14+ points have cashed 78.6% when playing the same opponent they lost to in their previous game.  Even better:  revenge-minded road underdogs of 5 (or more) points, off a straight-up loss, have gone 19-0 ATS their last 19 games at New York.  We'll grab the points with the Valkyries.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-27-25 Valkyries +17 v. Liberty Top 67-95 Loss -110 31 h 9 m Show

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over the New York Liberty.  The Valkyries come into this game off an upset win as a 10.5-point road dog last Friday at Los Angeles.  We'll take Golden State + the double-digits on Tuesday, as underdogs of more than 8 points have cashed 61.4% since 2006 off a SU win, if they were well-rested with at least 3 days off.  Even better:  WNBA underdogs off an upset win as a double-digit dog have cashed 62% in the regular season.  Grab the points with Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-25-25 Knicks +2.5 v. Pacers Top 106-100 Win 100 17 h 10 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over Indiana.  The Knicks are in a virtual-must-win situation tonight.  Down 2-games-to-none, they can't afford to go down by 3 games, as no NBA team (in 159 series) has ever climbed out of a 3-0 hole.  We'll take New York, as it's an awesome 71-28 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when matched up against a .500 (or better) foe.  Meanwhile, the Pacers are 1-7 ATS when up exactly two games in a playoff series.  And favorites off upset wins have cashed just 42% in the semifinals since 1990.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-24-25 Thunder v. Wolves +3 Top 101-143 Win 100 11 h 37 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have had a home/road dichotomy in this year's playoffs.  At home, OKC has gone 4-2 ATS, but on the road it's a woeful 0-5 ATS.  Tonight, they're favored at Minnesota.  And we'll happily grab the points, as Minny is 28-7 ATS as a home dog vs. a .581 (or better) division rival.  It's true that OKC won two blowouts at home vs. the Wolves.  Unfortunately, OKC is 1-12 ATS in the Playoffs from the 2nd round forward off back to back wins, if it defeated its opponent by double-digits in the previous game.  And .720 (or better) NBA teams have covered just 2 of 15 in the playoffs after back to back ATS wins to start a series.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-24-25 Liberty v. Fever +4 Top 90-88 Win 100 8 h 8 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over New York.  Dating back to last season, Caitlin Clark & Co. are 19-12-1 ATS their last 32.  We'll grab the points with the Fever this afternoon, and go against the Liberty, who won 99-74 over Chicago on Thursday.  Unfortunately for New York, WNBA teams off wins by 20+ points have covered just 37% vs. .555 (or better) foes.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-23-25 Pacers v. Knicks -5.5 Top 114-109 Loss -110 33 h 28 m Show

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers stormed back in the final 3 minutes from a 14-point deficit to stun the Knicks, 138-135, as a 4.5-point road underdog at Madison Square Garden.  And that triumph was Indy's 3rd straight upset win in these Playoffs.  We'll fade the Pacers in Game 2, as underdogs have cashed just 37% since 1990 in the Playoffs when they were off 3+ upset wins.  Even better:  New York is a solid 37-17 ATS as a revenge-minded, single-digit favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-22-25 Wolves +7.5 v. Thunder Top 103-118 Loss -110 10 h 4 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder trounced the T-Wolves, 114-88, on Tuesday to take a 1-0 lead in this semi-final series.  We'll take Minnesota, as Western Conference teams are 34-18-2 ATS when down 1-0 in a series.  Additionally, OKC is a dreadful 15-46 ATS off back-to-back wins, if it was playing a .500 (or better) revenge-minded foe off a loss which it defeated by 10+ points in the season's prior meeting.  And Minnesota is a super 33-15-2- ATS as an underdog (or PK) when playing with revenge.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-22-25 Liberty v. Sky +12.5 Top 99-74 Loss -115 10 h 44 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the New York Liberty.  The Liberty are the defending WNBA Champs, and opened the season with a big win over the previous champion, Las Vegas.  We'll fade New York tonight, as it is an awful 16-37 when laying more than 9 points, including 9-27 ATS off a win.  And the Sky are 30-22 ATS when catching more than 9 points, including 6-1 ATS at home.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-22-25 Fever -4 v. Dream Top 81-76 Win 100 9 h 13 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever minus the points over Atlanta.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams.  The Dream pulled off an upset on Tuesday, as a 7-point road underdog, 91-90.  We'll take the Fever in this revenge match, as Atlanta is a wallet-busting 77-101 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Additionally, Indiana falls into a 63% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-18-25 Nuggets v. Thunder -7.5 Top 93-125 Win 100 62 h 34 m Show

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver.  The reason teams want home court advantage in the Playoffs is for a decisive Game 7.  And home teams have had a distinct advantage in these games.  Since 1990, they've gone 62-27, straight-up.  And if they were favored by more than 3 points, then they've gone 44-29-2 ATS.  Admittedly, the Nuggets have covered the spread in each of the last 4 games.  But NBA teams off 3+ ATS losses have gone 12-2 SU and 10-3-1 ATS in Game 7s.  Even better: the Nuggets are a nasty 46-108 ATS on the road off a point spread win, if their foe was off a loss and failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  OKC is a super 11-3 SU and 12-2 ATS at home in the playoffs following a double-digit loss.  And it is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS its last seven at home off 3 ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-16-25 Maple Leafs +1.5 v. Panthers Top 2-0 Win 100 18 h 2 m Show

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 goals over the Florida Panthers. After losing the first two games in Toronto, the Panthers came back to win both Games 3 and 4 at home. But then Florida completely demolished Toronto on the latter's home ice, 6-1, in Game 5. As bad as that performance was for the Leafs, they have no choice but to put it behind them as the series switches back to south Florida tonight. Toronto is 4-0 this season (3-0 on the road) off 3+ losses, and they're 6-1 their last seven road games after allowing more than 5 goals.  Three of the first five games of this series have been decided by one goal.  Take the Leafs +1.5 goals tonight.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

05-14-25 Knicks v. Celtics -4 Top 102-127 Win 100 14 h 8 m Show

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over New York.  The Knicks are now in the driver's seat to represent the Eastern Conference in the NBA Finals.  Boston's Jayson Tatum had surgery to repair his ruptured achilles, and will likely not return until the 2026-27 season.  And the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers were bounced from the Playoffs by the #4-seeded Indiana Pacers.  Although it will be quite difficult for the Celtics to win the next three games in this series, they certainly can win tonight.  And I believe they will rally as a team for this first game without their injured superstar.  Boston is 27-10 ATS off an upset Playoff defeat, including 7-1 ATS vs. a division rival.  Lay the points with Boston at home in Game 5.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

05-13-25 Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 Top 114-105 Loss -110 30 h 13 m Show

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana.  The Cavs were blown out by 20 points on Sunday night, and need to win three straight games to move on in the Playoffs.  They will have two of those three games at home, including this Game 5.  We'll fade Indiana, as teams seeded #4 (or worse) have covered just 39% in the playoffs since 1990 after a blowout win over their opponent by 20+ points, including 0-6-1 ATS their last seven.  Even better:  the Pacers are a poor 11-28 ATS off a home blowout win by 20+ points.  Lay the points in Game 5 with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-12-25 Wolves v. Warriors +5.5 Top 117-110 Loss -110 45 h 4 m Show

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Minnesota.  The Warriors dropped Games 2 + 3, and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this quarterfinal series.  We'll take Steve Kerr's men to bounce back on Monday, as the Warriors are an awesome 21-4 ATS in the Playoffs off a loss, if their foe was off back-to-back wins (including a perfect 7-0 ATS if the Warriors were off a home loss).  Additionally, road favorites (or PK) off back-to-back wins, that lead 2-games-to-1, have cashed just 38.4% since 1990.  Finally, Golden State also falls into 73-33, 68-27, 81-39 and 95-49 ATS playoff systems of mine.  Grab the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

05-11-25 Thunder -5.5 v. Nuggets Top 92-87 Loss -108 36 h 29 m Show

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver.  These two division rivals alternated wins in their four regular season meetings this season (each going 1-1 in its two home games).  So far in this playoffs, they're also alternating wins, with Denver notching victories in Games 1 + 3.  We'll lay the points with OKC, as NBA favorites of -4 (or more) points, playing back to back games against a division rival, have cashed 67% since 1990 if they were off a SU loss as a 4-point (or greater) favorite.  Additionally, the Thunder are 25-10 ATS off a playoff loss by 7+ points, including a perfect 6-0 ATS when favored by 4+ points.  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

05-10-25 Celtics -5 v. Knicks Top 115-93 Win 100 58 h 7 m Show

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the New York Knicks.  Boston blew not one, but two 20-point leads in the first two games of this series.  It now finds itself with its back against the wall in Game 3.  I like Boston to bounce back, as it is 68-34 ATS off back to back ATS losses, and 20-2 ATS off back to back upset losses, if favored by 2+ points in its current game.  Additionally, defending NBA Champs have cashed 77.2% since 1990 as a road favorite (or PK) off a SU/ATS playoff loss.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-09-25 Cavs -2 v. Pacers Top 126-104 Win 100 38 h 8 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers pulled off back to back upset wins at Cleveland to take a commanding 2-0 lead in the series.  But off those 2 upsets we will fade Indiana on Friday night.  Indeed, the Pacers are a putrid 1-21 ATS off an upset win, if they also covered as an underdog two games back, and owned a .575 (or better) win percentage.  And NBA teams off back to back upset wins have cashed just 40.1% since 1990 when matched up against foes with a win percentage greater than .750.  Lay the points with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-08-25 Warriors v. Wolves -9.5 Top 93-117 Win 100 42 h 32 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  The Warriors won Game 1, but lost a key player when Steph Curry sustained a hamstring injury.  Curry will be listed as "day-to-day," but hamstring injuries have a tendency to linger.  We'll take Minnesota in Game 2, and go against Golden State which has won its last two games by 103-89 and 99-88 scores.  Unfortunately for the Warriors, teams off back to back double-digit road playoff wins have covered just 35.4% since 1990.  And the Warriors are also an awful 44-99 ATS off a point spread win, when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-07-25 Nuggets v. Thunder -10.5 Top 106-149 Win 100 43 h 39 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets upset the Thunder for the 2nd straight meeting when they won, 121-119, on Monday in Game 1 of this quarterfinals match-up.  We'll lay the points with OKC in Game 2, as double-revenge-minded teams, favored by more than 10 points, have cashed 67.4% since May 1991 vs. division foes.  OKC also falls into another revenge system of mine which is 85-34 ATS since 1990.  And the Thunder are a terrific 41-21-2 ATS at home off an ATS loss when playing with double-revenge.  Finally, Denver is a dreadful 36-93-3 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, if its opponent was off a SU loss and failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  Take the Thunder minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-07-25 Knicks v. Celtics -9.5 Top 91-90 Loss -115 40 h 12 m Show

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over New York.  The Celts won all four regular season meetings vs. New York, and were 8-1 their last nine vs. the Knicks, going into Game 1.  Boston had a 75-55 lead in the 3rd quarter on Monday, and then collapsed, eventually losing in overtime, 108-105.  I expect Boston to bounce back strong in Game 2, as it is 26-9 ATS off an upset playoff loss, including 6-0 ATS vs. division rivals.  Additionally, NBA teams off home upset losses to #3-seeded division rivals in the Playoffs have cashed 75% since 1990.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-06-25 Warriors v. Wolves -6.5 Top 99-88 Loss -110 30 h 16 m Show

At 9:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  We played on the Warriors as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday night in Game 7 vs. Houston, and got the $$$ in a 103-89 upset win.  But off that upset, we'll fade Steph Curry & Co. on Tuesday.  Indeed, the Warriors are a woeful 15-29 ATS their last 44 games off a straight-up win, including 0-6 ATS off an upset win.  Even better:  Minnesota plays with revenge from an upset loss earlier this season.  When these teams last met, the Warriors upset the T-Wolves, 116-115, as 7-point road underdogs.  The good news for Minnesota is that it is a super 30-12 ATS vs. foes it lost to at home in the previous meeting.  Take the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-06-25 Pacers v. Cavs -9 Top 120-119 Loss -108 28 h 40 m Show

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Pacers won their 3rd straight game Sunday, 121-112, in a Game 1 win over the Cavaliers.  We'll fade Indiana on Tuesday, as NBA road teams have cashed just 43% since 1990 in the Playoffs off an upset win in Game 1, if they were on a 3-game win streak.  And NBA road dogs off 9-point (or greater) upset Playoff wins have cashed just 32% of match-ups vs. division rivals since 1990.  For the season, the Cavs have gone 68-19 SU and 51-35-1 ATS, while the Pacers were under water at 40-46-2 ATS.  And Indiana is 21-33 ATS off a win this season (6-10 ATS off an upset win).  Lay the points with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-05-25 Nuggets v. Thunder -9.5 Top 121-119 Loss -108 17 h 24 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver.  The Thunder were the league's best team in the regular season (68-14), and are currently riding an 8-game win streak.  I won't step in front of this freight train right now, and especially not at home, where they have gone 37-6 SU and 30-12-1 ATS.  NBA teams on 8-game (or better) win streaks have gone 86-66 ATS in the NBA post-season.  And Denver is a poor 80-115 ATS on the road off a point spread win.  Lay the points with the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-04-25 Warriors +2.5 v. Rockets Top 103-89 Win 100 18 h 20 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Houston.  The Warriors come into this game off back to back losses in Games 5 + 6.  Off those two defeats, we'll step in and take Steph Curry & Co. in Game 7.  Indeed, the Warriors are an awesome 11-3 ATS in the Playoffs following back to back losses, including a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road.  And they're 28-14 ATS when they've owned a winning record, and playing with double-revenge vs. .700 (or worse) foes.  Meanwhile, Houston is a poor 30-46-3 ATS when playing a .583 (or better) foe that is playing with double-revenge.  Take the Warriors + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-01-25 Nuggets v. Clippers -6.5 Top 105-111 Loss -108 13 h 31 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets blew out L.A., 131-115, in Game 5.  We'll fade Denver on the road in Game 6, as it is 0-14 ATS off a point spread win, and back to back wins, overall, if priced from +4 to +8, and matched up against an opponent  off a loss which failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  Lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-01-25 Knicks +1.5 v. Pistons Top 116-113 Win 100 10 h 3 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Detroit.  The Knicks were upset at home in Game 5.  We'll take them on the road in Game 6, as they're 70-28 ATS on the road vs. .500 (or better) foes, if the Knicks were off an upset loss.  Grab the points.

04-30-25 Wolves v. Lakers -5.5 Top 103-96 Loss -108 31 h 13 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Lakers find themselves in a 3-1 hole in this Opening Round series after dropping Games 3 + 4 in Minneapolis.  We'll fade the Timberwolves on Wednesday, as they're a wallet-busting 85-105-1 ATS on the road off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 15-25 ATS as an underdog vs. revenge-minded foes.  Additionally, in this series, the revenge-minded team has gone 8-0 SU/ATS the last eight times when installed as the favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-30-25 Warriors v. Rockets -4 Top 116-131 Win 100 29 h 37 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  The Rockets lost Games 3 + 4, and are now down 3-games-to-1 to Steph Curry & Co.  We will fade Golden State off those two wins, as they're a brutal 39-60-1 ATS as a road underdog of less than 9 points off back to back wins, including 16-32-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  And Houston is a super 27-12-1 ATS in the playoffs off back-to-back losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-29-25 Clippers -1.5 v. Nuggets Top 115-131 Loss -110 19 h 53 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Denver.  The Clippers were upset at home on Saturday, 101-99, when Aaron Gordon dunked in the game-winner at the buzzer.  We'll take Los Angeles as a road favorite tonight, as it is 24-11 ATS as a road favorite off a home upset defeat.  And it is 20-10 ATS on the road in the playoffs following a SU loss.  Lay the points.

04-29-25 A's v. Rangers -1.5 Top 2-15 Win 100 17 h 50 m Show

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers -1.5 runs over the Athletics.  The Rangers knew in December 2022 when they signed dual Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom to a free agent contract that they were getting a former ace that had MAJOR injury problems over his last three seasons with the New York Mets.  And indeed, in his first two seasons in a Texas uniform, deGrom pitched a total of just 41 innings over nine starts.  But they say good things come to those who wait, so maybe -- just maybe -- this is the season that deGrom produces solid numbers as a full-time starter for the Rangers.  So far, so good, as the now-36-year-old RHP has made five starts and pitched to a 3.33 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 26 strikeouts and seven walks in 27 innings.  He's yet to win his first game, but perhaps that will happen tonight as the Rangers host the Athletics for the second time in this series.  Even though he's only made nine career starts here, deGrom seems to really like Globe Life Field with a 2.87 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 47 innings in his new home ballpark.  Take the Rangers -1.5 runs.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

04-29-25 Bucks +8 v. Pacers Top 118-119 Win 100 15 h 44 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Bucks were favored by 4 points in Game 4, yet were walloped by Indiana, 129-103.  So, they failed to cover the spread by 30 points.  We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back, as road underdogs have cashed 63% since 1990 in the playoffs following a home game where they failed to cover the spread by 30+ points.  Take the Bucks.

04-28-25 Rockets +3.5 v. Warriors Top 106-109 Win 100 17 h 24 m Show

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Steph Curry & Co. won on Saturday, 104-93, to take a 2-games-to-1 series lead in this first-round match-up.  We'll take Houston to bounce back on this Monday.  The Warriors are a woeful 43-98-3 ATS off a point spread win, when playing a revenge-minded foe.  And the Rockets are 12-2 ATS as an underdog in the post-season of less than 5 points.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-27-25 Lakers +3 v. Wolves Top 113-116 Push 0 13 h 39 m Show

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers plus the points over Minnesota.  The #3-seeded Lakers lost Game 3, 116-104.  We'll take Los Angeles to bounce back, as #3 seeds have cashed 57.8% since 1990 in the first round of the playoffs following a SU/ATS loss to a #6 seed.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-27-25 Knicks v. Pistons -1.5 Top 94-93 Loss -115 10 h 8 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over New York.  These two teams have alternated victories through the first three games of this series.  With Detroit down 2-games-to-1, and playing Game 4 at home, we'll lay the points with the Pistons.  Indeed, home favorites down 2-games-to-1 have cashed 63.8% since 1990 off a SU/ATS loss in Game 3.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-25-25 Lakers v. Wolves -3 Top 104-116 Win 100 54 h 53 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  We'll lay the points with the 6th-seeded T-Wolves, as #6 seeds have gone 25-7 SU and 21-10-1 ATS when favored over #3-seeds in Game 3 of a series.  Take Minnesota.

04-25-25 Pacers v. Bucks -4.5 Top 101-117 Win 100 52 h 1 m Show

At 8:00 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana.  Indy took Games 1 +2 by scores of 117-98 and 123-115.  Off those two wins, we'll fade the Pacers in Game 3, as they're 29-62 ATS on the road vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 5 or less.  Take Milwaukee.

04-24-25 Knicks v. Pistons Top 118-116 Win 100 27 h 2 m Show

At 7:00 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Knicks over the Detroit Pistons.  The Pistons upset New York, 100-94, in Game 2.  We'll fade Detroit off that win, as it is 10-36 ATS at home off a win by more than 5 points.  Additionally, the Knicks are 69-28 ATS on the road off an upset loss, if matched up against a .500 (or better) foe.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-23-25 Warriors v. Rockets -2.5 Top 94-109 Win 100 43 h 48 m Show

At 9:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Golden State.  The Warriors took Game 1, 95-85, as 1.5-point underdog.  We'll take Houston in Game 2, as the Warriors are a woeful 43-97 ATS off a point spread win, if their opponent is playing with revenge.  And they're 0-4 ATS on the road in Game 2 of a playoff series after winning Game 1.  Even better for Houston:  it is 10-1 ATS when favored (or PK) off an upset defeat.  Lay the points with the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-22-25 Wolves v. Lakers -5.5 Top 85-94 Win 100 19 h 12 m Show

At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The T-Wolves struck first in this first round playoff series, with a 117-95 win in Game 1.  We'll fade Minnesota tonight, as it is a poor 43-76 ATS in match-ups between .500 (or better) foes, if the Wolves defeated their opponent by more than 8 points in the season's prior meeting.  And the Wolves are also 15-27-1 ATS off an upset win by 8+ points.  Meanwhile, the Lakers are 6-1 ATS off a playoff loss by 14+ points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-13-25 Clippers v. Warriors -2.5 Top 124-119 Loss -110 12 h 4 m Show

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles.  These two teams are locked in a tight battle for playoff seeding, so each team needs to win this afternoon.  I favor the revenge-minded Warriors, as they're 43-21 ATS vs. division foes, if the Warriors are rested and have revenge, and both teams own winning records.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-13-25 Suns v. Kings -15 Top 98-109 Loss -108 12 h 4 m Show

At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns snapped an 8-game losing streak with a blowout win over San Antonio, 117-98, on Friday.  We played on Phoenix in that game, but will fade them on the road in this season finale.  Sacramento needs a win to claim the 9th seed, and home court advantage vs. Dallas in the play-in tourney.  The Kings are on a 2-game losing streak, but they're a solid 50-32 ATS off exactly 2 losses.  Lay the points.

04-13-25 Hornets +12.5 v. Celtics Top 86-93 Win 100 10 h 35 m Show

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Boston.  These two teams met Friday and the Celtics hammered the Hornets, 130-94.  We'll take Charlotte in this revenge game, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 67% since 1990 if they lost to the same foe by more than 21 points in their previous game.  Take Charlotte.

04-11-25 Rockets v. Lakers -9.5 Top 109-140 Win 100 16 h 45 m Show

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets are a woeful 0-13-1 ATS in their final road game of the season when they've owned a win percentage greater than 0.600.  We'll fade Houston, and lay the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-11-25 Warriors -13 v. Blazers Top 103-86 Win 100 15 h 16 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Portland.  The Warriors were stunned, 114-111, by the 17-point underdog San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night.  We'll take Golden State to bounce back, as it's 32-17 ATS on the road when it was upset as a favorite of -4.5 (or more) points in its previous game.  Take the Warriors.

04-11-25 Spurs v. Suns -4 Top 98-117 Win 100 15 h 15 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  This is the Spurs' final road game of the season.  And they're a poor 10-19-3 ATS in their final road game.  It's also the Suns' final home game, and Phoenix is 13-7 ATS in its final home games when not favored by 6+ points.  Take the Suns.

04-11-25 Thunder -10 v. Jazz Top 145-111 Win 100 15 h 46 m Show

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz upset Portland, 133-126, in their last game.  We'll take OKC tonight, as it is 22-12-2 ATS as a road favorite, including 6-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  Lay the points with the Thunder.

04-11-25 Grizzlies v. Nuggets -6.5 Top 109-117 Win 100 14 h 18 m Show

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Nuggets lost their previous home game, 125-120, to Indiana.  We'll take Denver, as it's 133-76 ATS at home when rested, if it lost its previous home game, straight-up, and was priced in the current game between +2.5 and -11 points.  Take the Nuggets.

04-11-25 Raptors v. Mavs -11 Top 102-124 Win 100 14 h 52 m Show

At 8:40 pm, our Non-Conference Game of the Month is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Toronto Raptors.  The Mavs lost their showdown with Luka Doncic and the Lakers on Wednesday, while the Raptors routed Charlotte, 126-96.  We'll take Dallas to bounce back off that loss, as it's 176-115-8 ATS off a SU loss when matched-up against a foe off a SU win.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-11-25 Cavs v. Knicks -7.5 Top 108-102 Loss -110 13 h 50 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  Cleveland lost at Indiana, 114-112, last night.  We'll fade the Cavs here, as they're 10-28-1 ATS on the road when playing without rest against a foe off a SU loss.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-11-25 Bucks v. Pistons -5.5 Top 125-119 Loss -109 12 h 20 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Milwaukee.  The Pistons lost by 21 to the Bucks in the season's prior meeting.  We'll take Detroit to avenge that defeat as it's 14-9 ATS this season when playing with revenge, while the Bucks are a poor 27-52 ATS when installed as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points.  Take the Pistons.

04-11-25 Hawks -11 v. 76ers Top 124-110 Win 100 12 h 19 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  We played on the Hawks last night at Brooklyn, and got the $$$ in its 133-109 win.  That moved Atlanta to 28-4 its last 32 as a road favorite of -8 (or more) points.  We'll back the Hawks again in that situation tonight.  Lay the points.

04-10-25 Hawks -13 v. Nets Top 133-109 Win 100 10 h 8 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  This is an important game for the Hawks.  Atlanta is battling the Bulls for the #8 seed, and needs two wins among its final three games to wrap it up.  The Nets, on the other hand, have long since been eliminated from the Playoffs.  Atlanta is 27-4-1 ATS as a road favorite of -8 (or more) points.  Lay the wood.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-10-25 Cavs v. Pacers -9 Top 112-114 Loss -108 9 h 28 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Pacers need one win (or one Milwaukee Bucks loss) to wrap up the #4 seed in the Eastern Conference.  Cleveland has little to play for tonight, given it already owns the #1 seed.  Indiana lost here, at home, to Cleveland by 10 points in the last meeting.  We'll lay the points with the Pacers tonight, as they're 65-38-2 ATS when rested, and favored over a division foe it lost to in the season's prior meeting.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-09-25 Rockets v. Clippers -6.5 Top 117-134 Win 100 16 h 20 m Show

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Houston.  The Rockets have wrapped up the #2 seed in the Western conference, while the Clippers are battling it out with the Nuggets, Warriors, Grizzlies and Timberwolves for the #4 seed and home court advantage in the first round.  The Clippers play this game with revenge from a 117-106 home loss to Houston.  The good news for the Clips is they're 79-52-1 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, if they lost the season's previous meeting by more than five points.  Take L.A.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-09-25 Thunder v. Suns +11.5 Top 125-112 Loss -115 16 h 52 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Oklahoma City.  We played on the Thunder last night, and got the $$$ in its 16-point blowout win over the Lakers, 136-120.  Oklahoma City went on a 24-4 run late in the game to secure the win.  But off that emotional victory in its final home game of the season, we'll fade the Thunder on the road at Phoenix.  The Suns still have faint hope of making the Play-In tournament, but will need to win tonight (and the Mavericks to lose) to keep that dream alive.  Phoenix is a solid 120-72 ATS vs. unrested foes off a win, if the Suns weren't favored by 8+ points.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-09-25 Nuggets -3.5 v. Kings Top 124-116 Win 100 16 h 51 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Sacramento.  The Nuggets fired head coach Mike Malone on Tuesday, and installed David Adelman as interim head coach.  I expect that to light a fire under this Nuggets team which has gone 0-4 SU/ATS its last four games (and 6-18 ATS its last 24).  Denver is a strong 38-21 ATS off 3+ ATS losses, if matched-up against a .400 (or better) foe.  Take the Nuggets.

04-09-25 Celtics v. Magic -3.5 Top 76-96 Win 100 13 h 51 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Boston.  The Magic inched closer to securing the #7 seed with a win over the Atlanta Hawks last night.  Tonight, they'll host the Celtics, who needed overtime to dispatch the New York Knicks on Tuesday.  The Celtics are locked into the #2 seed, and have little incentive to play their starters the rest of the way.  This will be Boston's final road game of the season, while it's Orlando's final home game.  Lay the points.

04-08-25 Lakers v. Thunder -13.5 Top 120-136 Win 100 15 h 26 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Thunder laid about as big an egg as it could on Sunday when it was blown out, 126-99, at home by the Lakers.  The good news for OKC is that it gets a 2nd bite at the apple on this Tuesday, as the Lakers will be back at Paycom Center tonight.  This is the Thunder's final home game of the season, so I expect they will be well-motivated to not lose back-to-back home games.  OKC is 22-11 ATS in its final home game of the season, including 9-1 ATS when playing with revenge, and 14-3 ATS off a SU loss.  Meanwhile, the Lakers are 4-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe playing its final home game.  And they're 14-29-1 ATS as a road dog playing a foe they upset in the previous meeting.  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-07-25 Kings v. Pistons -7 Top 127-117 Loss -110 19 h 57 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over the Sacramento Kings.  The Pistons lost at home, 109-103, to Memphis, on Saturday, while Sacramento played Sunday, and upset the Cleveland Cavaliers.  We'll back Detroit, as it's 22-12 ATS this season off a loss.  Meanwhile, the Kings are a woeful 3-12 ATS when playing without rest, including 1-9 ATS vs. a rested foe.  And their 15-33 ATS off a SU win, when playing a foe off a SU loss.  Finally, Sacramento falls into negative 36-97 and 73-140-2 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points with Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-06-25 Pacers v. Nuggets -6 Top 125-120 Loss -110 12 h 45 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Indiana.  The Nuggets lost their most recent home game, 113-106, to San Antone.  And they've lost three straight, overall, including a road game at Golden State, on Friday.  We'll look for Denver to get back into the win column tonight, as it has gone 133-75 ATS at home when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11 points, if it also lost its most recent home game, straight-up.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-06-25 Suns +9 v. Knicks Top 98-112 Loss -110 11 h 45 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks went into Atlanta on Saturday, and hammered the Hawks, 121-105.  Unfortunately, New York is 0-17 ATS when playing without rest vs. a rested foe.  Grab the points with the Suns.

04-06-25 Lakers v. Thunder -8.5 Top 126-99 Loss -110 7 h 15 m Show

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Thunder are 50-25-3 ATS this season, and only need to go 2-2 ATS over their final four games to attain the best point spread win percentage over the course of an 82-game regular season since 1990-91 (the year my database starts).  Heretofore, the top ATS win percentage has been 65.4%, achieved by the Boston Celtics in 2007-08.  We actually played against OKC in its last game, and got the $$$ with the Houston Rockets, which upset OKC, 125-111.  That defeat snapped OKC's 11-game SU/ATS win streak.  We'll look for the Thunder to bounce back off that upset loss, as they're 28-9 ATS at home vs. a foe off a SU win, including 10-0 ATS their last 10.  Lay the points.

04-05-25 Wolves v. 76ers +16.5 Top 114-109 Win 100 9 h 37 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  This is a huge number for a team playing at home.  And, since 1990, NBA home dogs getting north of 15 points have covered 61%.  (In this situation, the 76ers have gone 5-0-1 ATS.)  There's no denying that the 76ers have been horrible ATS this season (26-49-2 ATS).  But that goes hand-in-hand with the oddsmakers installing them as an underdog at this price.  And Philly, actually, has been profitable when getting more than 6 points (15-13-1 ATS), including 2-0-1 ATS when getting 14+ points.  We'll take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-04-25 Mavs v. Clippers -9.5 Top 91-114 Win 100 14 h 11 m Show

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas.  This is the first of back-to-back games between these teams in Los Angeles.  Dallas is seemingly locked into the 9/10 seed, while the Clippers are currently seeded 8, but are just 2.5 games in back of the #3-seeded Nuggets, so they could land anywhere in that wide range.  The Mavs come into this game off a win over Atlanta, but are an awful 35-67 ATS vs. .333 (or better) revenge-minded foes.  With Los Angeles playing with revenge from a 16-point loss at Dallas, we'll lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-04-25 Nuggets -1 v. Warriors Top 104-118 Loss -108 14 h 43 m Show

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Golden State Warriors.  It's hard to imagine a Steph Curry-led team would have lost nine straight games to a single opponent, but that's the case in this Warriors/Nuggets series.  Denver even won the last meeting, less than three weeks ago, when it rested all its players, and was a 13.5-point road underdog.  No matter...the Nuggets upset the Warriors, 114-105.  I like Denver to stretch its win streak to 10 games in this series, as it will play an unrested Golden State squad off a win in Los Angeles last night.  Denver is 10-0 SU its last 10 (and 20-3 SU its last 23) when rested and playing an unrested foe.  Take the Nuggets.

04-04-25 Blazers v. Bulls -5.5 Top 113-118 Loss -115 12 h 43 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Portland.  The Bulls had the last two nights off following a 137-118 blowout of Toronto, while the Blazers played last night -- also vs. Toronto -- and notched a 112-103 win.  We'll take the Bulls, as they are rested and will play with revenge from a 113-102 upset loss at Portland earlier this season.  The Blazers are a wallet-busting 30-49 ATS on the road vs. rested, revenge-minded foes.  Take Chicago.

04-04-25 Thunder v. Rockets +7.5 Top 111-125 Win 100 12 h 41 m Show

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets plus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  OKC has ripped off 11 SU/ATS wins in a row.  A lot of bettors won't want to step in front of this freight train, but I'm not one of those.  Indeed, we had our NBA Game of the Month in March on these Rockets +10.5 at OKC, and got the $$$ in a 137-128 ballgame.  We'll come right back with Houston as a home dog tonight.  For those intimidated by OKC's 11-game SU/ATS win streak, consider that NBA teams on 11-game (or better) SU/ATS win streaks have gone a pedestrian 12-11 ATS since 1990, so that doesn't worry me.  Houston is well-motivated to win, as it's locked in a battle with the Lakers and Nuggets for the #2 seed in the Western conference.  Moreover, at Game 8 forward, .649 (or better) home dogs have cashed 57% since 1990 if both teams entered off SU wins.  Take Houston.

04-04-25 Kings -10.5 v. Hornets Top 125-102 Win 100 11 h 42 m Show

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets covered the 15-point spread on Wednesday, at Indiana (by a single point).  But that was their first ATS win in 7 games.  Charlotte is 19-57 on the season, and is 2 games clear of the 21-55 Pelicans in the race for a bottom three finish, and the best odds to land Cooper Flagg.  Sacramento, meanwhile, is one game ahead of the Suns for the final Play-In spot.  The Kings have dropped their last three games, but are a solid 37-22 ATS off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

04-03-25 Chattanooga v. Cal-Irvine -3.5 Top 85-84 Loss -108 19 h 11 m Show

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal Irvine Anteaters minus the points over UT Chattanooga.  Russell Turner's Anteaters have been one of the best point spread teams the past 2 seasons.  Last season, they went 19-14 ATS, and this season, they are 24-13 ATS.  Cal Irvine has been especially strong as a favorite of 6 or less points, as they're 13-2 ATS in that subset.  Chattanooga, meanwhile, is off 4 straight upset wins to reach this title game.  Unfortunately, since 1990, teams off 4 straight upset wins are just 40% ATS in tourney championship games.  Take Cal Irvine minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-03-25 Wolves -12.5 v. Nets Top 105-90 Win 100 18 h 50 m Show

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets upset Dallas, 113-109, on Monday.  And they also won two games back, 115-112, vs. Washington.  We'll fade Brooklyn tonight, as it's a brutal 28-57-2 ATS at home off an upset win, if it also won 2 games back.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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