Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-01-24 | Sun v. Lynx -4.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut. The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70. We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat. Even better: the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat. Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs. Lay the points with Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-01-24 | Aces +3.5 v. Liberty | Top | 84-88 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York. The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77. We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss. And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog. Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs. Grab the points with the Aces. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Browns +1.5 v. Raiders | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -115 | 107 h 15 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns over the Las Vegas Raiders. The Browns were upset by the New York Giants last week, 21-15. I like Cleveland to bounce back, as it’s 13-2 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an opponent which isn’t a winning team. Also, the Raiders have been horrible at home vs. losing teams when not getting 3 or more points, as they’ve gone 24-60 ATS. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Commanders v. Cardinals -3 | Top | 42-14 | Loss | -105 | 107 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over Washington. The Cardinals lost at home to Detroit, 20-13, last week, while the Commanders upset Cincy on Monday Night, 38-33. We’ll take Arizona to bounce back at home, as it is 35-11 ATS at home off a home loss when it wasn’t favored by 6 or more points. Take the Cardinals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Jaguars +7 v. Texans | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 57 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Houston. The Jaguars were annihilated on Monday Night Football by the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo scored touchdowns on its first 5 possessions, and had a 34-3 lead at halftime. The final score was 47-10, and the Jaguars are now 0-3 on the season. We’ll take Jacksonville to bounce back off that embarrassing loss, as underdogs have gone 48-28 ATS following a blowout loss on Monday Night Football by 20+ points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Vikings v. Packers -2.5 | Top | 31-29 | Loss | -115 | 104 h 55 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Minnesota. Last week, the Vikings were a 1.5-point home dog, and they blew out Houston, 34-7. Minnesota is now 3-0 on the season. Unfortunately, undefeated teams off upset home wins by more than 20 points have gone 1-12 ATS when they weren’t favored by 4+ points. Even worse: the Vikings are 5-13 ATS on the division road when facing a foe with a .625 (or better) win percentage. We’ll fade Minnesota as a road underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Saints v. Falcons -1 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 104 h 54 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over the New Orleans Saints. When these two teams last met in the final week of the 2023 season, the Saints blew out the Falcons, 48-17. We’ll take Atlanta in this game, as NFL favorites off a SU loss, who are playing with revenge from a game where they gave up 48 or more points, have gone 10-1 ATS. Take the Falcons. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +2.5 | Top | 16-33 | Win | 100 | 104 h 53 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Philadelphia. We played on the Eagles last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Saints on the road, 15-12. But they’re now playing their 2nd straight road game. And winning teams are a poor 68-95-5 ATS on the non-division road, if they won outright as a road underdog in their previous game, and their opponent wasn’t off a SU/ATS win. With Tampa off an upset loss to Denver, we’ll take the Bucs to bounce back here at home on Sunday. Grab the points. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Bengals -4.5 v. Panthers | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 52 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Carolina. The Bengals are one of the most disappointing teams in football, with an 0-3 record. But we’ll lay the points with Cincy and go against a Panthers team off a 36-22 upset win at Las Vegas. Indeed, winless favorites of more than 3 points have gone 28-11 ATS vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. Lay the points. |
|||||||
09-29-24 | Broncos v. Jets -7.5 | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -102 | 104 h 52 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Denver. There has only been one team to have covered as a favorite of 6 or more points this season. And that was the New York Jets last week, when they blew out the Patriots, 24-3, as a 6.5-point home favorite. But, overall, favorites of -6 or more have gone 1-12 ATS this season. Still, I like the Jets here as a big favorite, as NFL teams (like Denver) off 19-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 130-177-8 ATS in their next game. And Denver is also 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 15-30 ATS its last 45) off an upset win when playing a foe off a SU win. Take the Jets. |
|||||||
09-28-24 | Ohio State -23.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 63 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan State. The Spartans have been installed as a huge underdog in East Lansing. Unfortunately, Michigan State has been miserable in the role of a big dog, as they've covered just one of their last 11 when getting more than 13 points. Ohio State is absolutely loaded with talent this season, and is the current favorite (at 7-2 odds) to win the National Championship. The Buckeyes have completely dominated Sparty the last eight years, as they're 8-0 SU. They're also 7-0 ATS over the last seven seasons vs. MSU, covering the spread by an average of 14.21 ppg. And Ohio State is 75-48-4 ATS as a road favorite. Lay the points with the Buckeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-28-24 | Stanford v. Clemson -21.5 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 63 h 44 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Stanford. Last week, the Cardinal upset Syracuse in their maiden ACC Conference game, 26-24, as a 9.5-point road underdog. Off that huge upset win, we will fade Stanford in Death Valley on Saturday night. Stanford is a wallet-busting 25-41 ATS off an upset win, including 0-9 ATS when catching 13.5 (or more) points. And Clemson is a sensational 23-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 8-0 ATS when favored by 19+ points. The Tigers blew out NC State, 59-35, last Saturday. And that bodes well for Dabo Swinney's men, as Clemson is 19-3 ATS after scoring more than 56 points. Lay the wood with the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-28-24 | Minnesota +9.5 v. Michigan | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 56 h 46 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan. We played on the Wolverines last Saturday as a home underdog vs. Southern Cal, and were rewarded with a 27-24 upset victory. This week, we'll switch gears and go against Sherrone Moore's men as a big favorite vs. the Gophers. The Wolverines have gone 0-8-1 ATS at home following an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog. Even worse: after defeating USC at home, conference foes have covered just 15 of 46 conference games. Finally, Big 10 Conference teams, after an upset home win the previous week, have gone 2-18 ATS at home vs. .600 (or worse) conference foes. Look for U-M to suffer a letdown on Saturday. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-28-24 | Northern Illinois +8 v. NC State | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over the NC State Wolfpack. Last week, the Huskies were upset, 23-20, by Buffalo. And that upset loss followed Northern Illinois' huge upset win at Notre Dame, as a 27.5-point road dog. Certainly, it wasn't a surprise that the Huskies had a letdown following its win in South Bend. After all, teams off upset wins over Notre Dame generally fall flat in their subsequent game. But off its own upset defeat, we'll take Northern Illinois to bounce back on Tobacco Road against NC State. The Huskies are a sensational 54-28-1 ATS as a road underdog. And they're also 9-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-0 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, NC State is a poor 3-13 ATS as a favorite/PK vs. a foe off an upset loss. Take N. Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-27-24 | Washington v. Rutgers -2.5 | Top | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 63 h 58 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over the Washington Huskies. Washington comes into this game off a 24-5 blowout win over Northwestern, while Rutgers moved to 3-0 last week with an upset win, 26-23, at Virginia Tech. Greg Schiano's Scarlet Knights have been installed as a small home favorite vs. the Huskies. And we'll lay the points, as Rutgers is 18-9 ATS its last 27 as a favorite. Additionally, Big 10 Conference teams are a woeful 35-58-3 ATS in their first road game of the season, if they were off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent wasn't off a SU loss. Take the Scarlet Knights to blow out Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-22-24 | Lions -2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 27 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals. Last week, Arizona annihilated the L.A. Rams, 41-10. But off that high-scoring win, we'll fade Arizona as a home dog on Sunday. Indeed, home teams have been poor (92-126-2 ATS) in non-division games off a win the previous week, in which they scored more than 40 points. Additionally, the Lions are 21-6 ATS under coach Dan Campbell, if their opponent was not off a SU loss. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-22-24 | 49ers v. Rams +6.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 62 h 26 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the San Francisco 49ers. The Rams were annihilated last week, 41-10, by Arizona. But off that 31-point loss, we'll take the Rams as a huge home dog vs. San Francisco. Indeed, NFL home dogs off losses by 27 (or more) points, have gone 161-113-4 ATS since 1980. The Rams are also a solid 21-14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always. Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-22-24 | Panthers +5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 62 h 4 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Las Vegas. The Panthers have been the worst offense in football to start the season. They scored just 10 points in Week 1 and managed only 3 last week in their 2nd game. Andy Dalton will get the start at QB this week for the Panthers, and we'll take the underdog, as teams that start the season 0-2 SU/ATS, while not scoring more than 10 points in either game, have gone 17-7 ATS in Week 3. Additionally, teams (like the Raiders) off an upset win as an 8-point (or greater) underdog, have gone 44-59-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses. Take Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-22-24 | Eagles +3 v. Saints | Top | 15-12 | Win | 100 | 59 h 0 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans. The Saints have been the most impressive team thus far, with blowout wins over the Panthers and Cowboys. And New Orleans has scored 93 points across those two games. But teams off back to back high scoring SU/ATS wins, in which they tallied 35 (or more) points in each game, have covered just 42 of 100 vs. foes off a SU loss. With Philly, indeed, off an upset loss to the Falcons this past Monday, we'll grab the points with the Eagles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | Kansas State v. BYU +6.5 | Top | 9-38 | Win | 100 | 66 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Kansas State. The Cougars moved to 3-0 with a 34-14 blowout win in Laramie, as a 10-point road favorite vs. the Wyoming Cowboys last weekend. BYU has been installed as a big home dog vs. the ranked Wildcats. We'll grab the points, as undefeated home dogs with a 3-0 (or better) record, off a double-digit cover, have cashed 62.2% vs. conference foes since 1980. And the Wildcats have covered just 11 of their last 34 games as road favorites. Take BYU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | UL-Monroe v. Texas -44 | Top | 3-51 | Win | 100 | 63 h 16 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Louisiana Monroe. The Longhorns are ranked #1 in the country, and looked great with "backup" quarterback Arch Manning at the helm. Texas smashed UTSA, 56-7, after erstwhile starter, Quinn Ewers, was injured in the 2nd quarter of that game. Ewers was downgraded to "doubtful" for this week's game vs. the Warhawks, and we'll lay the points with Manning under center. Texas is one of 3 teams with 3 SU/ATS wins vs. FBS competition this season (Pitt and Arizona St. are the other two). Texas is 12-4-1 ATS when laying 32+ points vs. non-conference foes, while Monroe is a wallet-breaking 22-39 ATS in non-conference games when getting 24+ points. Take Texas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | Michigan State +7 v. Boston College | Top | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 63 h 14 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Boston College. The Spartans are 3-0 after pounding Prairie View, 40-0, last weekend. We'll take the Spartans + the points, as they're 47-25-2 ATS off a SU win, when playing on the road vs. winning foes. Meanwhile, Boston College falls into a negative 63-130 ATS system of mine following its loss last week vs. Missouri. Take Michigan State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | Georgia Southern v. Ole Miss -34.5 | Top | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 63 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Georgia Southern. Ole Miss has taken no prisoners this season. It's 3-0 SU/ATS after blowout wins over Furman (76-0), Middle Tennessee (52-3) and Wake Forest (40-6). I won't step in front of this freight train, as Ole Miss falls into a 133-84-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with big scoring margins. Lay the points. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | Tennessee v. Oklahoma +7 | Top | 25-15 | Loss | -100 | 63 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Tennessee. The 3-0 Sooners have been installed as a home underdog vs. 3-0 Tennessee. And we'll happily take the points with the home team, as Oklahoma is a sensational 49-26-3 ATS at home when not favored by more than 21 points. Additionally, the home teams have gone 193-145-9 ATS in matchups between top-level teams (with win percentages of .875+) that are both off 3+ wins. Take the Sooners. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | Toledo v. Western Kentucky +2.5 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 62 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Toledo. Western Kentucky is a super 41-12 ATS when priced from -1 to +10 points vs. FBS competition. We'll grab the points with the home underdog Hilltoppers. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | TCU v. SMU +3 | Top | 42-66 | Win | 100 | 60 h 15 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU. This Dallas metroplex rivalry has favored the underdog (24-15 ATS) and the revenge-minded team (21-14 ATS). SMU falls into both categories on Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points with the Mustangs. Additionally, TCU is a terrible 24-48-3 ATS vs. revenge-minded winning teams. Take SMU. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | Memphis v. Navy +10 | Top | 44-56 | Win | 100 | 59 h 51 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Memphis. Navy is off to a 2-0 start, with wins over Bucknell (49-21) and Temple (38-11), while Memphis is 3-0 following wins over North Alabama (40-0), Troy (38-17) and Florida State (20-12). The Midshipmen have been installed as a big home dog, and we'll grab the points. Since 1980, home dogs of +8 (or more) points are 90-63 ATS in FBS games after back to back wins by > 7 points. And Memphis is a miserable 13-37-2 ATS when favored by 13 or less points vs. foes off a SU win. Take Navy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-21-24 | USC v. Michigan +6 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 59 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the USC Trojans. The defending champs have gotten off to a slow start this season. They're 2-1 SU, but 0-3 ATS. Michigan has been installed as a home dog vs. USC, and we will happily grab the points. USC has burned bettors' money over the years when installed as a road favorite of more than 4 points vs. foes off a win, as they've covered just 15 of 51. Take Michigan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-17-24 | Sky +7 v. Dream | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream. There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth. Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season. The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight. Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana). This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker. We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-15-24 | Sparks +12.5 v. Storm | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Seattle Storm. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams. On Wednesday, the Storm defeated the Sparks, 90-82, as a 12.5-point home favorite, but failed to cover the big number. Seattle is laying a lot of wood again on this Sunday evening. But the Storm have been mired in an extended point spread slump. They're just 3-11 ATS their last 14, including 0-8 ATS when laying 7+ points. We'll take the Sparks as a huge underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-15-24 | Bengals +6 v. Chiefs | Top | 25-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
The Bengals suffered the biggest upset loss in Week 1 when they lost to the Patriots as a 7.5-point favorite. But teams that get upset in Week 1 as favorites of more than 6 points tend to bounce back in Week 2, and have gone 27-10 ATS. Additionally, the Bengals are an awesome 14-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points. Take Cincy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-15-24 | Bucs v. Lions -7.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
Interestingly, this is the 2nd straight week that the Detroit Lions will be playing an opponent it defeated in last year’s playoffs. Last week, Detroit covered by a half-point in overtime vs. the Rams. And I also like Detroit to cover the spread in this home game vs. Tampa Bay, which blew out Washington, 37-20, last Sunday. Under Dan Campbell, the Lions are 21-5-1 ATS when playing an opponent not off a straight-up loss. And teams playing their road openers at Detroit have gone just 12-23-1 ATS, including 4-12-1 ATS off a win by 17+ points. Take the Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-15-24 | Browns +3.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 18-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville. The Browns were upset at home by the Dallas Cowboys, 33-17, in Week 1. I like playing on road teams in Week 2 off double-digit upset losses, as they have bounced back to cover 65.3%. Take Cleveland + the points. |
|||||||
09-15-24 | Saints v. Cowboys -5.5 | Top | 44-19 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 4 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over New Orleans. The Saints had the biggest margin of victory in Week 1, with a 37-point triumph over Carolina. Now, they’re getting a whopping 6.5 points from Dallas. The knee-jerk reaction might be to grab those points with the Saints. But be careful, as teams off a 20-point (or greater) win in Week 1 are 0-9 ATS their last nine (and 24-42-6 ATS since 1982) when not favored by more than 3 points. I’ll lay the points with Dallas. |
|||||||
09-15-24 | Giants +1.5 v. Commanders | Top | 18-21 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Washington Commanders. Washington has long been horrible at home vs. non-winning teams, if Washington wasn’t an underdog of 2 or more points. In this situation, Washington has gone 35-81 ATS. The Giants were a 1-point home favorite last week and were blown out by Minnesota, 28-6. I’ll take New York to bounce back, as division road underdogs off an upset loss by more than 10 points have gone 109-69 ATS. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-14-24 | Virginia Tech -15.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Old Dominion. The Hokies have started slowly this season, going 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS after failing to get the $$$ last week in a 31-14 win over Marshall. This evening, the Hokies will battle the Monarchs in Norfolk, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite. We'll lay the points, as Va Tech is 11-4 ATS on the road off back to back ATS defeats. And it also falls into a 152-89 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that have underperformed ATS on the season. Lay the points. |
|||||||
09-14-24 | Ball State v. Miami-FL -36.5 | Top | 0-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Ball State. The Cardinals have been installed as a massive underdog this afternoon vs. the #10-ranked Hurricanes. And Ball State has been woeful as big underdogs, going 0-13 SU and 2-10-1 ATS when catching 21+ points, while Mid-American Conference teams are 14-25-1 ATS when installed as underdogs of > 34 points. Take Miami-Fla. |
|||||||
09-14-24 | Oregon -16.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 49-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Oregon State. Dan Lanning's men have burned bettors the first two weeks, with ATS losses vs. Idaho and Boise State. We'll look for a bounce-back on this Saturday, as the Ducks are a solid 20-10 ATS off back to back point spread defeats. Additionally, Oregon is 6-0 ATS its last six, and 20-6-1 ATS its last 27 on the road vs. a foe off a SU win, if Oregon wasn't off a point spread win. And the Ducks are 8-2-1 ATS in this rivalry when priced from -13.5 to -19.5 points. We'll take the Ducks to blow out the Beavers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-12-24 | Arizona State v. Texas State +1.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats over the Arizona State Sun Devils. Last week, the Bobcats had a hugely impressive win, as they throttled Texas-San Antonio, 49-10, as a 2-point home favorite. The Sun Devils also were victorious, with a 30-23 win at home vs. Mississippi State, as a 6.5-point favorite. And that followed a home blowout win (48-7) over Wyoming to kick off the season. We'll fade the Sun Devils in their first road game tonight, as road teams off back to back SU/ATS home wins over FBS teams to start the season have covered just 39.2% since 1980 when they weren't getting > 4 points. Even better: Arizona State is a wallet-busting 15-30-2 ATS on the road off back-to-back wins. We'll take the homestanding Bobcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-08-24 | Wings -4.5 v. Sky | Top | 77-92 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Chicago Sky. Angel Reese sustained a season-ending wrist injury two nights ago vs. the Los Angeles Sparks. Chicago won the prior meeting, 83-72, with Reese leading the way with 16 points and 18 rebounds. Without Reese in the lineup, we'll look for Chicago to crushed this evening by Dallas. The Sky have covered just 28% as a home dog vs. revenge-minded teams the Sky defeated at home in the previous meeting. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-08-24 | Steelers v. Falcons -3 | Top | 18-10 | Loss | -118 | 84 h 58 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Atlanta Falcons have not had a winning season since 2017, while Pittsburgh has never had a losing season in Mike Tomlin's 17 years as the head coach. However, I wouldn't be surprised if Tomlin's 17-season streak ended this year. We'll lay the points with Atlanta, as NFL teams off back to back losing seasons have covered 80% over the last 43 years in Week 1, when favored (or PK) vs. an opponent off back to back winning seasons. The Falcons are an awesome 19-6 ATS in their home openers, while the Steelers have started the season off slowly, going 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 season openers. Lay the points with Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-08-24 | Panthers +4 v. Saints | Top | 10-47 | Loss | -108 | 84 h 58 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the New Orleans Saints. Last season, the Panthers lost both games to their division rival, including a 20-17 defeat in their home opener, and 28-6 in December. I like playing on revenge-minded underdogs (or PK) in the season opener, as they've cashed 55.2% over the last 34 years. Even better, if our team lost the previous game to its opponent by double-digits, and is now getting more than 3 points in Week 1, our revengers have cashed 62%. The road team has dominated this division rivalry, with a 29-16-2 ATS record, including 20-8 ATS as an underdog, 14-3-1 ATS with revenge. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Western Michigan v. Ohio State -38 | Top | 0-56 | Win | 100 | 84 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Western Michigan. The Buckeyes are loaded this season and are one of the favorites to win the NCAA Championship in January. Ohio State is a reliable 38-22 ATS when priced from -17 to -44 points, including a perfect 3-0 ATS vs. Mid-American Conference foes. And the Big 10 Conference has generally beat up on MAC opponents when the line was higher than -20 points, going 126-3 straight-up, and 76-53 ATS since 1980. Lay the lumber with the Buckeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Calgary +4 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders + the points over Edmonton. The Stamps were blown out, 35-20 by Edmonton this past Monday. We'll take the underdog Stamps, as Calgary has cashed 69.5% off a double-digit loss when playing with revenge. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Sam Houston State v. Central Florida -22 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 65 h 23 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over Sam Houston St. Both of these teams kicked off 2024 with a blowout win. UCF annihilated New Hampshire, 57-3, while the Bearkats routed Rice, 34-14, as a 9-point underdog. We'll fade Sam Houston St. on Saturday, as teams that won by double-digits in their season opener as 9-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the spread in their next game just 34% since 1980. Moreover, the Knights are 8-2 ATS their last 10 (including 5-0 ATS their last five) when favored by more than 7 vs. non-conference foes off a win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Marshall v. Virginia Tech -20 | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -109 | 81 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Marshall. Last season, the Thundering Herd knocked off Va Tech in Huntington, 24-17. The Hokies have long been a great bet when playing with revenge, as they're 58-36-2 ATS in that situation, including 22-9 ATS when coming off a SU loss. And the Hokies are, indeed, coming off a loss, as they were upset by Vanderbilt, in overtime, last Saturday. That bodes well for Virginia Tech on Saturday. As does the fact that Marshall is a wallet-breaking 47-66-2 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 26-40-1 ATS on the road. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Michigan State +9.5 v. Maryland | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 63 h 33 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Maryland. Last season, Maryland went into East Lansing, and blew out the Spartans, 31-9. We'll take Michigan State as a revenge-minded road underdog, as the Terrapins have covered just 15 of their last 45 vs. revenge-minded foes. Even better: Big 10 underdogs of +10 or less points have cashed 61.3% when playing with revenge from a home loss the previous season. Take Michigan State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 21-26 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders + the points over Winnipeg. These two teams played six days ago in Regina, and the Roughriders were upset by the Blue Bombers, 35-33. We'll take the revenge-minded Roughriders + the points, as road underdogs have cashed 73% off an upset home loss to a division rival in rematches of a game played the previous week. Take Saskatchewan. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse +3.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 77 h 54 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets opened the season with a stunning win over Florida State. But then Boston College also knocked off the Seminoles this past Monday, so Georgia Tech's victory has lost some of its luster. The Yellow Jackets have been installed as a road favorite at Syracuse. But Georgia Tech has been woeful has a road fave, with a 2-9 ATS record. Even worse for the Jackets: ACC Conference road favorites have gone just 86-134-6 ATS vs. conference foes that weren't off a SU/ATS win. Finally, the Orange are 28-11-1 ATS at home off a win, when matched up against a foe off back-to-back wins (including 10-0 ATS when priced from -3.5 to +6.5 points). Take Syracuse + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Army +4 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 59 h 55 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Florida Atlantic. Last week, Army blew out Lehigh, 42-7, while the Owls lost by six at Michigan State, 16-10, as a 13-point underdog. Army has been installed as a road underdog vs. the Owls. And we'll take the points, as Army is a solid 25-13-2 ATS as an underdog away from home, while Florida Atlantic is an awful 1-9 ATS at home vs. non-division foes. Army also falls into 95-62 and 158-61 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams (like Florida Atlantic) off ATS wins. Take the Black Knights. |
|||||||
09-07-24 | Texas v. Michigan +7.5 | Top | 31-12 | Loss | -115 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Texas. Last season, Michigan went 15-0 to win the National Championship. This season, the Wolves were ranked #9 in the preseason poll, and got off to a slow start last week vs. Fresno. Michigan won the game, 30-10, but didn't cover the spread. I look for the Wolverines to bounce back with a stronger game on Saturday afternoon. They've been installed as a home dog vs. #3-ranked Texas. And defending champs have covered 69.5% since 1980 as an underdog off a point spread loss, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win (and 83% as home dogs). Additionally, Texas has covered just 8 of 25 games as non-conference road favorites. Grab the points. |
|||||||
09-04-24 | Sparks +12.5 v. Fever | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over Indiana. Caitlin Clark's Fever are on a 4-game win streak to go over the .500 mark for the first time all season. Tonight, they're favored by double-digits. And prior to tonight, the most they had been favored by all season was 7 points. They lost that game outright and, in fact, have been poor as a favorite of 4+ points, with a 2-4 ATS mark this season, and a 10-18-2 ATS mark over their last 30. The Sparks are 14-7 ATS in the last 21 meetings vs. Indiana, including an 88-82 upset win here, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, when these teams last met. Take the Sparks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-03-24 | Dream v. Mercury -1.5 | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the Atlanta Dream. Phoenix enters tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. The Mercury were underdogs in each of those defeats. And they are a soft 8-11 ATS this season when dressed up in the underdog role. But Phoenix is a stellar 9-4-1 as a favorite this year, including a perfect 5-0-1 ATS off a loss, so that bodes well for it in this game. And the Mercury is 8-0-1 ATS as a favorite off a loss, dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Atlanta is an ugly 17-31-2 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a foe off a straight-up defeat. Take Phoenix minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-02-24 | Toronto v. Hamilton +5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Toronto. The Tiger-Cats are just 2-9 this season, and have lost their last four in a row. But one of their two triumphs was against this Argonauts team. The first meeting was also played at Hamilton, and the Tiger-Cats won outright, 27-24, as a 4-point home dog. The number is slightly higher for this rematch, and we'll grab the points, as Toronto is a terrible 22-38-2 ATS on the road, including 9-17-1 ATS with revenge, and 1-4 ATS its last five as a road favorite. Take Hamilton. |
|||||||
09-01-24 | Sky +13 v. Lynx | Top | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over Minnesota. The Sky are 24-13 ATS as a double-digit underdog, while Minnesota is 3-9 ATS its last 12 as a double-digit favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Even better: the underdog is 28-15-1 ATS in this series, including 15-1 ATS their last 16 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 5 points in the previous meeting. With Chicago playing with revenge from an 8-point loss to the Lynx, we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-31-24 | James Madison v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over James Madison. The 49ers have been installed as a home underdog to kick off the 2024 season. We'll grab the points with Biff Poggi's men, as home underdogs of 13 or less points (or PK) have gone 175-130 ATS in Game 1 of the season when not playing a revenge-minded foe. Take Charlotte. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-31-24 | Ottawa v. BC -2.5 | Top | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions minus the points over Ottawa. These two teams met last Saturday, and the Redblacks came away with a 34-27 victory at home. But that was Ottawa's first win vs. the Lions in nine games. And the Lions are also 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. We'll lay the points with British Columbia in this rematch, as favorites have cashed 58% vs. foes they lost to in their previous game. Take the Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-31-24 | Penn State v. West Virginia +8.5 | Top | 34-12 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 17 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Penn State. These two teams met last season in Happy Valley, and the Nittany Lions mauled the Mountaineers, 38-15. This rematch will be played in Morgantown, and WVU has been installed as a single-digit home dog. We'll grab the points, as revenge-minded, single-digit home dogs have cashed 69% ATS in their home opener, dating back to Sept 18, 2010. Even better: Penn State is a dismal 16-27-1 ATS as a favorite of 14 or less points vs. a revenge-minded, non-conference foe (including 4-13-1 ATS if it won the previous meeting by 15+ points). Take West Virginia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-28-24 | Lynx v. Mercury +4 | Top | 89-76 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. Minnesota comes into this game on a 6-game win streak, and have covered the spread in their last five. Meanwhile, the Mercury were blown out, 84-70, by New York on Monday. And they also were blown out by 13 points, 73-60, in the last meeting with the Lynx. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on red-hot Minnesota. But consider that WNBA teams on 5-game (or better) ATS win streaks have covered just 26% on the road vs. revenge-minded opponents they defeated earlier in the season by double-digits. We'll take the home dog + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-28-24 | Liberty v. Sparks +13 | Top | 88-94 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the New York Liberty. These two teams met earlier this month, and the Sparks were blown out by 35 points, 103-68. We'll take Los Angeles to avenge that defeat, as losing teams have gone 116-79-2 ATS as underdogs, when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season by more than 20 points. Take the Sparks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-25-24 | Sparks v. Wings -5.5 | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Los Angeles Sparks. The Sparks upset the Wings, 87-81, last month here, in Dallas. We'll take the Wings minus the points, as the Sparks are a horrid 32-69 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, and not favored by more than 3 points. Even better: the Wings are 37-16-2 ATS at home vs. Los Angeles. Lay the points with Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-25-24 | Aces -8.5 v. Sky | Top | 77-75 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces minus the points over Chicago. The Aces should be in an ornery mood today, as they come into this game off back to back blowout losses to the Minnesota Lynx. Additionally, the Aces will be seeking revenge vs. the Sky. Last month, the Sky went into Las Vegas, and upset the Aces, 93-85, as a 13.5-point underdog. We'll take the Aces this afternoon to avenge that defeat as WNBA favorites have covered 60.1% if they were playing with revenge from an upset home loss, and also off an ATS loss in their previous game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|||||||
08-24-24 | BC -1 v. Ottawa | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions minus the points over Ottawa. The Lions have lost their last four games to fall to 5-5 on the season, while Ottawa is 6-2-1. But even though they're looking up at the Redblacks, record-wise, the Lions have been installed as a small road favorite. We'll take B.C., as they're 8-1 ATS their last nine, and have won the last 8 games in this series, straight-up, including a 41-37 triumph earlier this season. Even better: road favorites of 7 or less points have cashed 72% since 2011 if they were off back to back losses. Take the Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|||||||
08-23-24 | Aces -1 v. Lynx | Top | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces over the Minnesota Lynx. The Aces lost to the Lynx on Wednesday, and also fell by 14 points to the Lynx back on June 11. We'll take the double-revenge-minded Aces tonight, as they're 22-12-2 ATS when playing with double-revenge, while Minnesota has cashed just 31.2% when installed as an underdog vs. a double-revenge-minded opponent. Take Las Vegas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-23-24 | Hamilton +10.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Winnipeg. The Ti-Cats enter tonight's game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Blue Bombers have won and covered their last two. The knee-jerk reaction might be to lay the points with red-hot Winnipeg vs. ice-cold Hamilton. But CFL underdogs of > 9 points have gone 100-80-5 ATS. And the underdog in this series has gone 27-17-2 ATS. Grab the points with the Ti-Cats. Good luck, as always..Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-22-24 | Wings +13.5 v. Liberty | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings + the points over the New York Liberty. This is a rematch of the game played Tuesday night, won by New York, 94-74. We'll take the Wings as a double-digit underdog, as New York is a wallet-breaking 5-23-1 ATS off a point spread win, if it was playing back-to-back games against the same opponent (including 1-13-1 its last 15, and 7-0 ATS off a win > 15 points). Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-21-24 | Lynx v. Aces -5 | Top | 98-87 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx. When these teams last met -- on June 11, here in Las Vegas -- the Lynx ran the Aces out of the building in a 100-86 upset win, as a 6.5-point road underdog. We'll take Becky Hammon's women to avenge that defeat, as home favorites priced from -3.5 to -8.5 are 27-5 SU and 24-7-1 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss earlier in the season. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-20-24 | Wings +13.5 v. Liberty | Top | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings + the points over the New York Liberty. The Liberty come into this game on a 6-game SU/ATS win streak, while Dallas enters off a 109-91 blowout loss to Connecticut. We'll take Dallas to bounce back as underdogs off a SU loss have covered 65% vs. foes on a 6-game (or better) ATS win streak. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-20-24 | Sparks +13.5 v. Sun | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Connecticut Sun. The Sparks have dropped all 3 games after the Olympics break, after losing, 87-71, to Las Vegas on Sunday. Meanwhile, also on Sunday, the Atlanta Dream upset Connecticut, 82-70, as an 8-point underdog. We'll fade the Sun off that upset loss, as they've covered just 27% as a home favorite off an upset loss vs. foes off back to back defeats. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-17-24 | Rams v. Chargers | Top | 13-9 | Loss | -110 | 109 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers over the Los Angeles Rams. The Chargers have owned the Rams in the preseason, as they've gone 14-1-1 ATS vs. their rival, including a 34-17 upset win last season. We'll take the Chargers to bounce back off their 16-3 loss to Seattle. Take the Chargers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-17-24 | Commanders +1 v. Dolphins | Top | 6-13 | Loss | -110 | 109 h 11 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders over the Miami Dolphins. Last week, the Commanders were upset, 20-17, as a 3-point favorite by the New York Jets, while Miami upset Atlanta, 20-13, as a 2.5-point home dog. We'll take Washington to bounce back as road teams off an upset loss have cashed 56% vs. foes off upset wins since 1983. And Miami is a miserable 9-29-4 ATS when favored by 5 points or less vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win. Take the Commanders. |
|||||||
08-17-24 | Jets v. Panthers +4 | Top | 15-12 | Win | 100 | 109 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the New York Jets. The Panthers lost, 17-3, at New England last week, and have been installed as a home underdog on Saturday evening vs. the Jets. Carolina is 6-1 ATS as a home dog in the preseason vs. foes off a win, while the Jets have covered just 42% as a favorite off a SU win vs. foes off a double-digit loss. Take Carolina. |
|||||||
08-17-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton +1.5 | Top | 47-22 | Loss | -105 | 109 h 8 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Edmonton. These two teams met 3 games ago, and the Tiger-Cats defeated the Elks, 44-28. But since that game, the Elks have gone 2-0 SU/ATS, while the Ti-Cats have gone 0-2 SU/ATS. We'll take Hamilton to bounce back, as CFL underdogs off back-to-back SU/ATS losses have cashed 61.9% vs. revenge-minded foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Take Hamilton + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-17-24 | Bengals +6 v. Bears | Top | 3-27 | Loss | -105 | 103 h 12 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Chicago. The Bears come into this game off back to back wins over Houston (21-17) and Buffalo (33-6), while Cincy is 0-1 after losing to Tampa Bay last Saturday, 17-14, as a 5-point home favorite. We'll take the Bengals to bounce back in this game, as road underdogs off upset defeats have covered 73% since 1983 vs. foes off a double-digit road win. Additionally, the Bears are 2-9-1 ATS at home off back to back wins in the preseason. Grab the points with the Bengals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-16-24 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan +2.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 87 h 9 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders + the points over Montreal. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Alouettes triumphed, 20-16. We'll fade Montreal in this rematch, as defending Grey Cup champions have covered just 40.2% as a favorite when playing a revenge-minded foe. Saskatchewan is 6-0 ATS its last six as a home underdog. And it's 24-11 ATS as a home dog when it wasn't off a SU win. Take the Roughriders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-15-24 | Liberty v. Sparks +11.5 | Top | 103-68 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the New York Liberty. The league returns from its month-long hiatus following the Paris Olympics. Tonight, the Liberty will travel to the West Coast to play the Sparks. New York has been installed as a huge road favorite, and we will happily grab the points with Los Angeles. Long-term, double-digit home dogs have profited 56%, including 48-31-2 ATS their last 81. That bodes well for Los Angeles. As does the fact that L.A. has covered 10 of the last 12 vs. New York, including 6-0 ATS its last six. And the Sparks are also 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 7+ points vs. the Liberty. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-11-24 | BC +2 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 16-33 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 14 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions + the points over Edmonton. We played against BC last week, and got the $$$ when Winnipeg upset the Lions, 25-0. But off that upset defeat, we'll step in and grab the points with the road team vs. the 1-7 Elks. For technical support, consider that underdogs off upset losses by 25+ points have covered the spread 73% vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. That bodes well for BC as a road dog. As does the fact that favorites with a win percentage < .140 have gone just 28-39-1 ATS, including 6-18-1 when priced as a favorite of -3 or less. Take BC + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-10-24 | Hamilton +7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 23-33 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over the Montreal Alouettes. This is a rematch from last week's game won by Montreal, 33-16, as a 4-point road favorite. The defending Grey Cup champions are now 7-1 SU, while the Ti-Cats fell to 2-6 SU. We'll take the revenge-minded Tiger-Cats, as teams playing with revenge from a loss in their previous game, in which they failed to cover by more than 11 points, have cashed 60.6% since 2006. Even worse for Montreal: defending champs are a wallet-busting 1-16 ATS as a favorite off back to back wins, if their foe both lost by 9 and failed to cover the spread by 9 in its previous game. Grab the points with Hamilton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-09-24 | Calgary v. Toronto -1.5 | Top | 25-39 | Win | 100 | 37 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts minus the points over the Calgary Stampeders. These two teams met last Sunday, and the homestanding Stamps got the better of the Argos, 27-23, covering the 3-point spread by 1 point. We'll take the revenge-minded Argos to bounce back and avenge that defeat with a convincing home win on Friday night. Indeed, .500 (or better) home favorites that lost on the road the previous week to their opponent have cashed 61%. Lay the points with Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-08-24 | Saskatchewan +3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 22-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders + the points over the Ottawa Redblacks. The Redblacks are 5-2 following a 33-6 win over Calgary, while Saskatchewan is 5-3 after losing last week, 42-31, to Edmonton. And that was Edmonton's first win of the season, following an 0-7 start. We'll take the Roughriders to bounce back off that ignominious defeat, as underdogs of +2 (or more) points have gone 11-0 ATS after losing SU/ATS to a winless foe. Even better: the Roughriders are 9-2-1 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against a foe off back-to-back wins. And they're 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Ottawa. Grab the points with Saskatchewan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-03-24 | Edmonton Elks +5.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 41 h 54 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over the Saskatchewan Roughriders. These two teams opened the 2024 season against one another, and the Roughriders upset the Elks, 29-21, as a 1-point road underdog. This rematch will be played at Mosaic Stadium, and the Roughriders have been installed as a home favorite against the winless (0-7) Elks. We'll take the road underdog, as Edmonton is a terrific 10-0-1 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a loss to Saskatchewan. Additionally, winless teams, with an 0-7 (or worse) record, have cashed 63%. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
08-01-24 | BC v. Winnipeg +5 | Top | 0-25 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers + the points over British Columbia. The Blue Bombers are the most disappointing team in the league. After a 14-4 campaign in 2023, which culminated with a loss in the Grey Cup to Montreal, the Blue Bombers had high hopes for 2024. Indeed, they were favored by 8 points in Week 1 over the defending champion Alouettes, but were upset at home, 27-12. That loss kicked off a 4-game losing streak to start the year, and they're currently 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS. Among Winnipeg's six losses was a 25-24 home defeat to these Lions, back on June 24. Winnipeg was a 3-point home favorite in that game, so one can see the adjustment by the oddsmakers because tonight, Winnipeg is a big home underdog. We'll happily step in and take the Blue Bombers + the points, and note that they are 16-0 ATS their last 16 when playing with same-season revenge, and not favored by 4+ points. Take Winnipeg. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-30-24 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 107 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles minus 1.5 runs over the Toronto Blue Jays. Chris Bassitt will start tonight for Toronto -- his first game vs. the O's in 2024. Last season, Bassitt made two starts vs. Baltimore and was shelled. He gave up 12 runs in nine innings. And Baltimore won each game by an aggregate score of 15-8. The Birds will hand the ball to Corbin Burnes, who faced Toronto twice this season. In those two games, the Blue Jays scored just 2 runs over 13 innings, and the aggregate score in those games was 12-4. For Burnes' career, in three starts vs. Toronto, he's 2-0, with a 2.18 ERA. And Burnes has done his best work at Camden Yards in this, his first year with the Orioles. At home this season, Burnes is a superb 5-2, with a 2.03 ERA. Meanwhile, Bassitt's career ERA at Camden Yards is 6.88. Take the Orioles minus 1.5 runs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-27-24 | Winnipeg +1 v. Toronto | Top | 14-16 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers + the points over Toronto. Last week, Winnipeg fell, 19-9, to Saskatchewan, while Toronto lost, 27-24, to Hamilton. The Blue Bombers are 2-5 this season, and have covered just once -- in their 25-16 home win over Ottawa. And this 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS spread ledger might make some bettors shy away from Winnipeg, here. But not me. Indeed, CFL teams with .300 (or worse) SU and ATS records have covered 68.1% when they weren't getting more than 3 points. That bodes well for the Blue Bombers on Saturday. As does the fact that Winnipeg is 9-4 ATS its last 13 vs. Toronto. Finally, road underdogs have cashed 60.4% of non-division match-ups after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Take Winnipeg. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-26-24 | Calgary v. Ottawa +1.5 | Top | 6-33 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Calgary. The Redblacks are off to a 3-0 SU/ATS start here, at TD Place Stadium this season, and are 4-2 overall. And they've been installed as a home underdog vs. Calgary, which is 3-3 on the season. The Stampeders have covered the spread on the road by 5.33 ppg LESS than what they've done at home, while Ottawa has covered the spread by 13 ppg MORE at home, than what it's done on the road. We will happily take the points with the home underdog, as home dogs (or PK) have cashed 60% in the CFL when they've owned a better win percentage than their opponent. Take Ottawa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-21-24 | BC v. Calgary +3.5 | Top | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders + the points over the British Columbia Lions. Off a 35-20 blowout of Saskatchewan, and a 44-28 demolition of Hamilton before that, the Lions come into this game on a 5-game win streak (4-1 ATS). We'll fade the Lions, as CFL road favorites, off back-to-back wins, have cashed just 43.8% since 2006. And CFL favorites off back to back SU/ATS wins in which they scored 34+ points have cashed just 34.2% vs. foes off a SU loss. Take Calgary + the points. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-20-24 | Toronto v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Toronto. The Argos upset Montreal, 37-18, last week, which was the first time all season the defending Grey Cup champs tasted defeat. But off that win, we'll fade Toronto, as favorites off upset wins over defending champs have had letdowns the following game, covering just 33% of the time. Meanwhile, Hamilton has yet to win or cover a football game this season. It's 0-5 SU/ATS after losing, 44-28, to British Columbia two weeks ago. The good news for the Ti-Cats is that is had last week off to re-group, and get ready for this home game. And rested home dogs off a SU loss have cashed 75% vs. foes off a double-digit win. More good news: home teams on 5-game (or greater) ATS losing streaks have cashed 73% if they didn't own a winning record. We'll grab the points with the undervalued Ti-Cats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-19-24 | Winnipeg -3.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers minus the points over Saskatchewan. After an 0-4 start, the Blue Bombers are starting to right the ship. They've won their last two games, straight-up, and will look to make it three-in-a-row tonight. This will be the first meeting this season between these teams, and the Blue Bombers have dominated the series, with a 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS record. Winnipeg walloped Saskatchewan in the previous meeting, 51-6, and I expect another easy win tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-19-24 | Edmonton Elks +1.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Ottawa. These two teams met last week in Alberta, and the Redblacks upset the Elks, 37-34, as a 3-point underdog. We'll take Edmonton in this rematch in Ontario, as teams have covered 85% since 2006 if they were upset by their opponent as a 3-point (or greater) home favorite in their previous game, and aren't getting 3+ points in the current game. The underdog has gone 15-6 ATS in this series, while revenge-minded teams are 13-7 ATS. Take the Elks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-17-24 | Fever v. Wings +5 | Top | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings + the points over the Indiana Fever. These two teams are going in opposite directions. Indiana has been red-hot, with an 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS ledger since June 13. The Wings, on the other hand, have not taken flight lately, as they're 2-16 ATS their last 18, including 7 straight ATS losses (and 3 straight SU losses). The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Caitlin Clark & Co. But we'll run the other way and take Dallas, as WNBA home teams that have lost their last 3, and also were on a 7-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, have covered 69% since 2006. Additionally, the Fever are a soft 16-23-1 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Grab the points with Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-14-24 | Dream +13.5 v. Storm | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
At 6 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Atlanta Dream + the points over the Seattle Storm. We played on the Storm in their previous game against Minnesota, and were rewarded with a blowout, 91-63, win. But this evening, we will switch gears and go against the home team. Atlanta has been installed as a double-digit underdog, and it's a perfect 4-0 ATS over the last 3 weeks when getting > 9 points. And the Dream are also 33-15 ATS, long-term, when rested, and installed as an underdog of > 9 points. Meanwhile, Seattle is a wallet-breaking 4-14 ATS as a double-digit home favorite off a SU/ATS win. And the underdog is 23-14 ATS the last 37 meetings between these teams. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-13-24 | Sparks v. Wings -3 | Top | 87-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Los Angeles Sparks. This is a revenge game for Dallas, which lost to L.A., 81-72, as a 4.5-point road favorite in the previous meeting. Los Angeles is a poor 31-69-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded team, if L.A. wasn't favored by more than 3 points. And if the Sparks were a road underdog, and playing an opponent they upset in Los Angeles in the prior meeting, then our 69-31 stat zooms to 14-1 ATS. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-12-24 | Lynx v. Storm -5.5 | Top | 63-91 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm minus the points over Minnesota. There's a tight race atop the Western Conference standings. the Lynx currently lead, with a 16-6 record, while Las Vegas (14-7) and Seattle (14-8) are nipping at Minnesota's heels. Earlier this season, the Lynx blew out Seattle, 83-63. We'll lay the points with the Storm, as revenge-minded home favorites have cashed 67% in the regular season at home since 2006 vs. division foes off a SU win. Additionally, the home team is 47-25 ATS in this series, dating back to July 2006. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-12-24 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 37-41 | Loss | -115 | 38 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers minus the points over Calgary. The Blue Bombers entered this season off four straight Grey Cup appearances, in which they won two Championships (in 2019 and 2021). But this season got off to an unexpected 0-4 start. Winnipeg finally got off the schneid last week with a 25-16 win behind 2nd string QB, Chris Streveler, who stepped in for the injured Zach Collaros. The good news is that Collaros will return under center on Friday night, and we'll lay the points with the Blue Bombers, who will play with revenge from a 3-point loss to the Stampeders two weeks ago. Winnipeg is 33-9-1 ATS its last 43 when playing with revenge from a loss in the prior meeting. Take the Blue Bombers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-12-24 | Mercury v. Fever +3 | Top | 86-95 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over Phoenix. The Fever have been installed as a small home underdog tonight. This season, Indiana has gone 7-1 SU/ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 5 or less (compared to 2-13 SU and 5-10 ATS in non-competitively-priced games with point spreads greater than 5). Even worse: teams (like Phoenix) off 3 SU/ATS wins have covered just 41 of 105 vs. non-division foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Indiana + the points. |
|||||||
07-12-24 | Aces v. Dream +14.5 | Top | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Dream + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces are a poor 2-5 ATS this season as a road favorite -6 (or more) points, and 17-27-1 ATS their last 45. It's true that Becky Hammon's women come into Friday night's contest off back to back SU/ATS wins. But WNBA favorites of more than 9 points have gone 19-38-1 ATS off back to back ATS victories. Grab the points with Atlanta. |
|||||||
07-11-24 | Toronto +6.5 v. Montreal | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over the Montreal Alouettes. Last season, Montreal won the Grey Cup and has sprinted out to a 5-0 start this season. We played against the Alouettes last week, as I thought they were overvalued, and we got the $$$ with Calgary +9.5, as it lost by just 4. I still believe Montreal is overvalued, and we'll grab the points with Toronto as a road underdog. These two teams already met once this season, and the Argos lost, 30-20. But revenge-minded teams have cashed 67.4% vs. defending Grey Cup champs if our revenger owned a .500 (or better) record. Grab the points with Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-11-24 | Sky +11.5 v. Liberty | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the New York Liberty. Yesterday, the Liberty won SU/ATS, 71-68, at Connecticut, while the Sky downed the Dream, 78-69. In match-ups between unrested teams, road underdogs of 4 or more points have gone 13-2 ATS. Additionally, Chicago is 17-6 ATS its last 23 at New York. We'll take the Sky as a huge road underdog this evening. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-10-24 | Wings +7.5 v. Mercury | Top | 84-100 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings + the points over the Phoenix Mercury. The Wings come into this game with revenge from two home losses on June 9 and July 3. We'll grab the points with Dallas, as double-revenge-minded teams have cashed 59% in the regular season since 2006 when installed as an underdog of 7 or more points, if they lost at home in the previous meeting. Additionally, in this rivalry, double-revenge-minded teams have cashed 68.4% since 2006. Grab the points with the Wings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
07-09-24 | Lynx v. Sparks +6 | Top | 82-67 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 8 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. This is the 3rd meeting this season between these Western Conference rivals. Minnesota won the first two, so the Sparks will be playing with double-revenge tonight. The Sparks come into Tuesday night's game off an 84-78 home loss to Phoenix, while the Lynx won at home, 74-67, vs. Washington in their previous game. We'll grab the points with Los Angeles, as it's covered 69% since 2006 at home off a home defeat, if its opponent was off a SU home win. And if the Sparks were also playing with revenge, then our 69% stat zooms to 83% ATS since 2006. Grab the points with the home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |