Raiders @ Cowboys 8;00 PM ET

Game# 131-132

Play On: Raiders -4.5

Dallas lost and failed to cover in their first 2 preseason games. That makes the Cowboys an abysmal 9-25 SU and 8-23-3 ATS in their last 34 preseason games.

The Raiders are coming off impressive wins of 34-7 at home versus San Francisco and 34-17 at the Los Angeles Rams. That now makes current head coach Josh McDaniels 6-0 SU&ATS in preseason games with the Raiders and with an average victory margin of 14.2 points per game.

Any NFL preseason away favorite like Las Vegas that’s facing an opponent like Dallas who’s playing their 3rd preseason game and lost their first 2, resulted in those away favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1999. The average margin of victory in those contests came by 13.6 points per game. Give the Raiders minus points.

Seahawks @ Packers 1:00 PM ET

Game# 115-116

Play On: Seahawks +3.0

Seattle is coming home wins in their first 2 preseason games by scores of 24-13 over Minnesota and 22-14 versus Dallas.

Any NFL Preseason underdog of 5.0 or less like Seattle that’s coming off back-to-back home wins and is undefeated, and they won their previous game by 4 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 16-3 ATS (84.2%) since 1997 while also winning 14 of those 19 contests straight up. Furthermore, if those teams were an underdog of between 3.0 and 5.0, they improve to 13-0 ATS and 11-2 SU. Give me the Seahawks plus points.

Falcons @ Steelers 7:30 PM ET

Game# 105-106

Play On: Pittsburgh -4.5

Pittsburgh won and covered their first 2 preseason games 27-17 at Tampa Bay and 27-15 at home over Buffalo. Since 2017, and all under current head coach Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh is 17-4 SU and 15-6 ATS during preseason action. Conversely, during that identical time frame, Atlanta has gone 4-16-1 SU and 4-17 ATS, and that includes 1-8-1 SU and 1-10 ATS when playing at home. Atlanta is coming off last week’s 13-13 tie versus Cincinnati in a game they failed to cover as a 6.0-point home favorite. When it comes to preseason action, it would be difficult to make a case against the Steelers quarterback rotation of Kenny Pickett, Mitch Trubsiky, and Mason Rudolph not being the best in the NFL.

Any NFL preseason road favorite like Pittsburgh coming off back-to-back SU&ATS wins, and theyre facing an opponent like Atlanta who failed to cover their previous game by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those road favorites going a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those exact situations came by a substantial 16.7 points per game. Give me the Steelers minus points.

Ravens @ Commanders 8:00 PM ET

Game# 431-432

Play On: Baltimore -125

Washington is coming off last week’s 17-15 win as a 2.5-pont road underdog at Cleveland. Baltimore is coming off a 20-19 win over Philadelphia but failed to cover as a large 6.0-point home favorite. Despite that close call, Baltimore has gone 24-0 SU and 20-3-1 ATS under the guidance of current head coach John Harbaugh. That includes 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS on the road and with a decisive average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Furthermore, except for 2020 when there were no preseason games due to COVID, these teams have met in preseason action every year since 2017. Baltimore was 5-0 SU in those contests and won by a substantial average of 15.8 points per game.

Any NFL preseason away team like Baltimore with a point-spread parameter of +2.0 to -2.0, and they’re coming off a home win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, versus an opponent like Washing who’s coming off an away underdog SU win, resulted in those away teams withing that point-spread parameter going 9-0 SU since 2004, and with an average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Give me the Ravens on the money line.

Saints @ Chargers 7:05 PM ET

Game# 429-430

Play On: Saints -3.5

New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 26-24 home win over Kansas City. The Chargers are coming off a 34-17 blowout win as a 2.5-point road underdog in their preseason opener. At the time of this writing, the total in this contest is 37.0 which ties into 1 of my 3 NFL preseason betting angles applicable to this game.

Any NFL Preseason favorite of 6.0 or less like the saints that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win. And they’re facing a team like the Chargers who’s coming off an away underdog SU win, has gone 6-0 ATS since 2011 and with an average victory margin of 9.4 points per contest.

Any NFL Preseason away team like the Saints New Orleans who’s point-spread is between +2.0 and -6.0, and their coming off a home win in which they scored 34 points or less, resulted in the road teams within those point-spread parameters going 10-1 SU&ATS since 2019.

Any NFL preseason away favorite of 6.0 or less and with a total of 43.0 or less like the Saints, and they’re coming off a SU win, versus a team like the Chargers that’s coming off an away underdog SU win, resulted in those away favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. The average victory margin for those away teams was 10.3 points per game. Give me the Saints minus the points.

Titans @ Vikings 8:00 PM ET

Game# 419-420

Play On: Titans -2.5

Since taking over as head coach in Minnesota last season, Kevin O’Connell has seen his team go 0-4 SU&ATS in preseason action and they lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. It comes as no shock to me the Titans come up as a small favorite in this spot. As a matter of fact, the Vikings preseason futility extend beyond O’Connell’s current tenure. Minnesota is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 preseason games. Minnesota is coming off last week’s 24-13 loss at Seattle in a game they failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog.

Tennessee is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games when their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5 and with a decisive victory margin of 22.5 points per game. Tennessee put an impressive 372 yards of total offense in last week’s 23-17 loss at Chicago. The 2 young Titans backup quarterbacks Malik Willis and Will Levis went a combined 25-39 (64.1%) passing for 274 yards. Tennessee was victimized by 4 turnovers and their offensive line allowed their quarterbacks to be sacked 8 times. I’m betting those frequency of mistakes won’t come close to happening again. Give me Tennessee minus the small number.

Dolphins @ Texans 4:00 PM ET

Game# 407-408

Play On: Dolphins +2.0

Miami is coming off a humbling 19-3 loss to Atlanta as the home favorite in their preseason opener last week. The Dolphins are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 preseason games following a loss and with a massive average victory margin of 25.0 points per game. One of those wins came last season under current head coach Mike McDaniel when they lambasted the Philadelphia Eagles 48-10. Let’s not get carried away with Houston’s 20-9 preseason opening win at New England last week. Quite frankly the Patriots aren’t very good and have very little in the way of quality depth.

Any NFL Preseason away pick or favorite of 2.5 or less like Miami, and they’re coming off a home favorite loss by 10 points or more in their preseason opener, resulted in those away teams going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1985. The average victory margin was 7.8 points per game. Give me the Miami Dolphins to cover.

Jaguars @ Lions 1:00 PM ET

Game# 407-408

Play On: Over 39.0

Since Dan Campbell took over as head coach in Detroit, the Lions have played 5-0 to the over when the total was 40.0 or less and there was a combined average of 46.0 points scored per game. Conversely, since Doug Pederson took over as head coach in Jacksonville, the Jaguars have played 4-0 to the over when the total was 41.0 or less and there was a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Panthers @ Giants 7:00 PM ET

Game# 403-404

Play On: Over 39.0

Since Brian Daboll took over as head coach of the Giants last season, they’ve gone over the total in all 4 of their preseason games. Furthermore, if you go back to his days as offensive coordinator, The Bills went 5-0 to the over during their last 5 preseason games when he was in that role, and Buffalo averaged 26.0 points scored per contest. So, the last 9 preseason games he’s coach in as either an offensive coordinator or head coach have all gone over the total.

Carolina is coming off an anemic offensive performance during last week’s 27-0 home loss to the New York Jets. However, recent NFL preseason betting history shows that teams coming off a shutout loss and are within this current total parameter have played in a high percentage of high scoring affairs the next time out. Specifically speaking, All NFL Preseason Road teams with a total of between 33.5 and 40.0 that are coming off a shutout loss in their previous game, resulted in those road teams playing 7-1 to the over since 2000. Those 8 contests produced a combined average of 48.8 points scored per game.

Browns @ Eagles 7:30 PM ET

Game# 401-402

Play On: Over 37.0

The Eagles have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 preseason contests under current head coach Mick Sirianni. Furthermore, if there was a total of 38.0 or less, then that number improves to 6-0 to the over and with a combined average of 47.5 points scored per game. Philadelphia racked up 334 yards of total offense in a narrow 20-19 loss to Baltimore in their preseason opener. Even more impressive was the 271 yards of total offense they amassed in the 1st half of that game.

Since Kevin Stefanski has taken over as head coach in Cleveland, the Browns have played 4-0 to the over whenever there was a total of 37.5 or less. Cleveland was part of the annual Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio so this will be their 3rd preseason game. During the first 2, they averaged a combined 18.0 points scored and 356.5 yards scored per game. All 3 of their backup quarterbacks performed well during those outings. Give me this game to go over the total.

Buccaneers @ Steelers 7:00 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: Steelers -2.5

Since 2017, Pittsburgh has gone 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in all preseason games within the point-spread parameters of +3.5 to -3.5. All those games came under the guidance of current head coach Mike Tomlin and the average margin of victory came by 8.8 points per game. Conversely, Todd Bowles begins his 2nd year as head coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. During his first preseason campaign in 2022, Bowles team went 0-3 SU&ATS and were defeated by a decisive average of 9.7 points per game. Give me the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the small number.

Texans @ Patriots 7:00 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Under 37.0

Under the guidance of head coach Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots have gone under in 8 consecutive preseason games when the total was 36.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 31.1 points scored per contest. Additionally, under Belichick, the Patriots have gone under the total in 6 consecutive preseason games when their point-spread was between +2.5 and -2.5 just like it currently is. Conversely, the Houston Texans have played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 preseason games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Eagles @ Dolphins 7:00 PM ET

Game# 123-124

Play On: Eagles +2.0 (5*)

Philadelphia is coming off last week’s 21-20 win over Cleveland. Miami is coming off a 15-13 home loss to Las Vegas. This sets up a never lost NFL preseason ATS betting angle which is posted below.

Any NFL preseason underdog of 3.5 or less that’s coming off a SU win, and they’re facing an opponent (Miami) that’s coming off a SU loss. Resulted in those underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 2018. The underdogs also won 16 of the 17 games straight up. Give me the Eagles plus the points.

Commanders @ Ravens 7:00 PM ET

Game# 121-122

Play On: Ravens -6.0

Washington has gone a dismal 0-6 ATS in their last 6 as a preseason underdog and lost by an average margin of 16.0 points per game. That includes 0-3 ATS (-17.7 PPG) under current head coach Ron Rivera.

Since 2016, Baltimore has gone an incredible 22-0 SU and 20-1-1 ATS in their preseason games under present head coach John Harbaugh. As a matter of fact, since Harbaugh was appointed as the Ravens head coach in 2008, Baltimore has gone 42-12 SU (.778) and 39-14-1 ATS (74%) in their preseason games. Since 2017, Baltimore is 4-0 SU&ATS in preseason action when facing Washington and won by an average of 19.3 points per game. Finally, Baltimore has unequivocally more quality depth on its roster which is always a key component when handicapping preseason action since starters see limited to very little playing time.

Patriots @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET

Game# 115-116

Play On: Patriots +1.0 (5*)

New England is coming off last week’s 20-10 home win over Washington. Since the start of the 2018 NFL preseason, any pick or underdog of 4.0 or less that’s coming off a SU win, resulted in those teams going 33-4 ATS (89.2%). Those teams also went 30-7 (81.1%) straight up. Give me the Patriots.

Packers @ Chiefs 8:00 PM ET

Game# 105-106

Play On: Under 36.0 (5*)

Kansas City is coming off a 24-14 home favorite win and cover over Washington. Conversely, Green Bay is coming off a 20-10 home favorite win and cover over New Orleans.

Any NFL preseason home team (Chiefs) that’s playing in a Game 3, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Packers) coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those contests playing 14-3 to the under since 2003. Additionally, if the total was 37.5 or less it resulted in all 8 of those contests going under the total, and there was a combined average of only 26.6 points were scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Ravens @ Cardinals 8:00 PM ET

Game# 429-430

Play On: Over 38.5 (5*)

The point-spread and total at the time of this writing was Baltimore -5.5/38.5. This falls into an NFL betting algorithm which just can’t be ignored. Since 2005, any NFL preseason away favorite of 4.5 or greater and there was a total of 38.5 or greater played 11-0 to the over. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 54.8 points scored per game. “If it isn’t broke, then don’t fix it”. Give me this game to go over the total.

Steelers @ Jaguars 7:00 PM ET

Game# 417-418

Play On: Steelers +2.0 (5*)

Since the 2017 NFL preseason, the Steelers are a very profitable 5-1 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 5.0 or less. Conversely, since the 2019 preseason, Jacksonville is 0-5 SU&ATS at home or on a neutral field, and they lost by an average of 14.0 points per game.

Pittsburgh is coming off a 32-25 home win over Seattle in their preseason opener and they covered as a 2.0-point favorite. Jacksonville has lost each of its first 2 preseason contests which included a 24-13 home loss to Cleveland in their previous outing. This sets up an unbeaten NFL preseason betting angle which is detailed below.

Any preseason away underdog of 1.5 to 5.5 that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off losses in each of their last games with the last defeat coming by 11 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 2002. Those away underdogs also went 12-1 SU in those contests. Give me the Steelers plus the points.

Broncos @ Bills 1:00 PM ET

Game# 411-412

Play On: Bills -4.0 (-115) (5*)

Buffalo is coming off last Saturday’s 27-24 home win over Indianapolis in a game they closed as a 1.5-point underdog. They overcame a 24-10 deficit in the 4th quarter deficit in that win which speaks to the quality of depth they possessor. That makes the Bills 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 preseason games and all under current head coach Sean McDermott.

Any NFL preseason home team (Bills) that’s coming off a home underdog SU win in which they scored 23 points or more, and it’s game 2 or game 3 of their preseason schedule, resulted in those home teams going 7-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average victory margin came by a decisive 12.8 points per game. Give me the Bills minus the points.

Texans @ Rams 10:00 PM ET

Game# 407-408

Play On: Under 38.0 (5*)

Thus far in the 2022 NFL preseason, games have played 14-3 to the over which is absurd lopsided ratio. As a result, the sportsbooks have substantially raised the average total by over 5.0 points per game in Week 2 compared to Week 1. During my many years of experience in this business, more times than not when a trend is dominant one week, most time than not it makes a 360-degree turn the following week or at the very worst levels off. Expect an increase in games going under the total this week. Now it’s a matter of choosing the right one or ones to isolate and bet on. I firmly believe this situation qualifies in that regard.

Head coaching trends go a long way with me when it comes to NFL preseason handicapping. It’s not the sole thing I look at. However, I place a lot more emphasis on the aspect compared to regular season action. Under current head coach Sean McVeigh, the Rams have played 8-0 to the under in their last preseason contests when the total was 39.0 or less and it wasn’t their preseason opener. Those 8 contests averaged just a combined 28.8 points scored per game.

Conversely, the Houston Texas franchise has played 19-9 to the under in their last 28 preseason games. That includes last week’s 17-13 home win over New Orleans that stayed under 36.0. Give me this game to go under the total.

Vikings @ Raiders 4:25 PM ET

Game# 135-136

Play On: Raiders -3.5 (5*)

The Raiders opened the preseason with a 27-11 win over Jacksonville in the Hall of Fame Game which was played in Canton, Ohio. The Vikings will be playing their preseason opener and with a new coaching staff.

Any NFL preseason home team with a line of +3.5 to -3.5 who is coming off a Hall of Fame Game win by 4 points or more in which they scored 27 points or greater, versus an opponent that’s playing their preseason opener, resulted in those home teams going 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS since 1989. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came 11.6 points per game. Give me the Raiders minus the points.

Seahawks @ Steelers

Game# 125-126

Play On: Steelers -3.5 (5*)

Since the start of the 2017 NFL preseason slate, Pittsburgh has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home when the point-spread was +4.0 to -4.0 under current head coach Mike Tomlin, and they outscored those opponents by an average of 8.2 points per contest. During that identical span, the Steelers were 6-1 SU at home.

What pushed over the edge on this pick was I like Pittsburgh’s quarterback rotation of Mitch Trubisky, Kenny Pickett, and Mason Rudolph far more than Seattle’s Geno Smith, Drew Locke, and Jacob Eason. Give me the Steelers minus the points.

Raiders vs. Jaguars 8:00 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Over 30.5 (5*)

This total opened at 33.5 and has since dropped to 30.5 with the number of tickets and amount of money bet heavily favoring the under. Public bettors have been made aware that 5 of the last 6 and 7 of the previous 9 Hall of Fame Games played in Canton, Ohio have gone under. As a matter of fact, according to my NFL preseason handicapping software that tracks totals back to 1999, this current number is the second lowest for a Hall of Fame Game. The lowest came in the Giants/Texans 2002 Hall of Fame Game which closed at 29.0. Furthermore, since 1999, there has been 10 totals of 34.5 or less in Hall of Fame games, and 7 of those went over the total. Give me this game to go over the total.

Atlanta @ Cleveland 8:00 PM ET

Game# 133-134

Play On: Atlanta +6.0

I am always looking to play on sizable underdogs during NFL Preseason action. Why is that? Well, for starters, preseason underdogs of 6.0 or greater have gone 155-111 (58.3%) ATS since 1988. That’s without looking at any other query within that betting angle.

Atlanta has looked horrible during its first 2 preseason games having lost by scores of 23-3 against Tennessee and 37-17 at Miami. Any NFL Preseason underdog of 5.5 or greater (Atlanta) who’s coming off 2 straight losses in which they scored 17 points or fewer on both occasions, and their previous defeated came by 13 points or more, those sizable underdogs have gone 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 1992. Furthermore, those underdogs also went 11-7 straight up in those contests. Bet on Atlanta plus the points.

Jacksonville @ Dallas 1:00 PM ET

Game# 125-126

Play On: Dallas +4.5

This will be a preseason battle of winless teams. Dallas is coming off a 20-14 home loss to Houston as a home favorite of -3.5 which dropped their preseason record to 0-3. Jacksonville is coming off losses to New Orleans and Cleveland.

Any NFL preseason underdog that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss in which they allowed 26 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent who’s coming off 2 straight losses, resulted in those underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 2005. Those underdogs also won 9 of those 12 contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points.

LA Rams @ Denver 9:00 PM ET

Game# 121-122

Play On: LA Rams +9.5

This is a huge point-spread by NFL Preseason standards. How rare is a line this high in the NFL preseason? How about it has occurred only 23 times since 1983 and the underdog went 17-6 (73.9%) ATS in those games.

The Rams will be playing their first preseason away game after opening with 2 straight at home. Los Angles is coming off last week’s narrow 17-16 loss to Las Vegas. Any NFL preseason away team that is coming off 2 straight at home, and their previous game was a loss in which they scored 23 points or fewer, resulted in those teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2015, and won by an average of 8.9 points per contest. This betting angle takes on added significance because it backs the substantial underdog in this matchup. Bet the Rams plus the points.

Chicago @ Tennessee 7:00 PM ET

Game# 115-116

Play On: Over 36.0

Tennessee has opened their preseason with win over Tampa Bay 34-3 and Atlanta 23-3. Since the 1997 preseason, there has only been 3 teams who have won 2 straight games while allowing 3 points or fewer in each. All 3 teams went over the total in their following preseason contests and there was a combined average of 54.0 points scored per game.

Chicago has gone over the total in 9 of their last 10 preseason games with head coach Matt Nagy. That also includes playing 4-0 to the over in away games during that stretch with a combined 48.3 points scored per game. Chicago opened the preseason with 2 home games. The Bears defeated Miami 20-13 and lost 41-15 versus Buffalo.

Any NFL preseason team (Tennessee) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 and a total of 36.0 or greater that’s coming off 2 wins in which they slowed 3 points or fewer on each occasion, versus an opponent who has scored 33 points or less during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those preseason contests playing 14-0 to the over since 1999. Those 14 contests average a combined 47.2 points scored per game. Bet this preseason contest to go over the total.

Eagles @ Jets 7:30 PM ET

Game# 105-106

Play On: Over 34.0

NFL preseason games have played 24-9 (72.2%) so far in 2021. That is unlikely to continue this week. The Jets quarterbacks have been sharp over their first 2-games while going 46-69 (66.7%) for 437 passing yards. Conversely, Philadelphia can’t look any worse offensively than they already have during their last 6 quarters of preseason action while scoring a combined 3 points. They were especially horrific in last week’s 35-0 home loss to New England. On defense, the Eaagles are allowing 30.5 points and 448.0 yards per game during their first 2 preseason contests.

Any NFL preseason away team (Eagles) with a total of 40.0 or less, and they scored 6 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those teams playing 41-14 (74.6%) to the over since 1999. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Jacksonville @ New Orleans 8:00 PM ET

Game# 431-432

Play On: Jacksonville +4.0

Jacksonville is coming off a 23-13 to loss to Carolina in a game they closed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Conversely, New Orleans is coming off a 17-14 loss at Baltimore in a game they committed an alarmingly high 6 turnovers. Additionally, since 2014, New Orleans is 9-16 (36%) ATS during preseason games and all with current head coach Sean Payton.

Any NFL preseason underdog that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 19 points or fewer, and they scored 14 points or less in that contest, versus a winless opponent coming off a road loss, resulted in those preseason underdogs going a perfect 16-0 ATS since 2005. The underdog also won 15 of those 16 contests straight up. Bet on Jacksonville plus the points.

Las Vegas @ LA Rams 10:00 PM ET

Game# 423-424

Play On: Rams +6.5

For starters, since 1988, NFL preseason underdogs of 6.5 or greater are 157-115 (57.7%) ATS. That includes home underdogs of 6.5 or more going 13-4 (76.5%) since 1992.

The Rams are coming off a 13-6 loss to the Chargers in their preseason opener. Las Vegas was a 20-7 home winner over Seattle last week.

Any NFL preseason underdog of 2.0 or greater (Rams) that’s coming off a game in which they scored and allowed 14 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Las Vegas) coming off a win by 10 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 19-3 ATS (19-3 (86.2%) ATS since 1992. Those underdogs also won 13 of those 22 games straight up. Additionally, under head coach Sean McVay, the Rams are 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up in their 2nd preseason game. Bet on the Rams plus the points.

Houston @ Dallas 8:00 PM ET

Game# 419-420

Play On: Houston +4.0

Houston is coming off a 26-7 win at Green Bay in their season opener. Conversely, Dallas has started the 2021 preseason with 2 losses and the latest of which was 19-16 at Arizona. The Cowboys are now 8-22 straight up and 7-22-3 ATS during their previous 30 preseason games.

Any NFL preseason away underdog that’s coming off a game in which they scored 16 points or more, versus an opponent that’s winless and is coming off 2 straight losses, and that opponent scored 16 points or fewer in their previous contest, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-2 (88.9%) since 2005. Those away underdogs also won 14 of those 18 games straight up. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager.

Lions @ Steelers 7:30 PM ET

Game# 415-416

Play On: Lions +6.5

Pittsburgh is coming off 24-16 win at Philadelphia in a game they closed as a 1.5-point underdog. Since Mike Tomlin took over as head coach of the Steelers in 2007, his teams have gone 0-3 SU&ATS as a favorite following a straight up win as an underdog. Detroit is coming off a 16-15 loss as a home favorite of -2.0 versus Buffalo.

Any winless NFL preseason away underdog of 6.5 or less that’s coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 27 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Steelers) coming off an ATS cover by 20.0 in which they scored 14 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 33-7 ATS (82.5%) since 1992. Those away underdogs also won 27 of those 40 contests straight up. Bet on Detroit plus the points.

Atlanta @ Miami 7:00 PM ET

Game# 411-412

Play On: Over 36.0

2021 NFL preseason games have played a lopsided 17-3 to the under thus far. That trend is unlikely to continue, and this specific matchup will play in role in that turnaround. The Falcons looked brutal last week under 1st year head coach Arthur Smith during a 23-3 home blowout loss to Tennessee. Falcons quarterbacks has a miserable day going a combined 7-21 passing for a mere 21 yards. On the other side of the coin, Miami opened their preseason with a 20-13 loss at Chicago.

Any NFL preseason road team (Atlanta) with a total of 39.0 or less that’s coming off a game in which they scored 6 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Miami) that allowed 10 points or more during its previous contest, resulted in those games playing 35-11 (76.1%) to the over since 1999. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Kansas City @ Arizona 8:00 PM ET

Game# 403-404

Play On: Arizona +3.0

Both teams are coming off wins in last week’s opening preseason games and by identical scores of 19-16. Kansas City earned that victory at San Francisco. Since 2017, Andy Reid’s team is 0-3 SU&ATS on the road during the preseason following a win and were outscored by an average of 10.0 points per game.

Any NFL preseason underdog of 3.0 or less (Arizona) that’s coming off a win by 6 points or fewer, resulted in those underdogs going 28-5 ATS (84.8%) since 2015. Those underdogs also went 26-7 straight up during those contests. If the favorite was coming off a win, the underdogs improved to 17-2 ATS and 16-3 straight up. Bet on Arizona plus the small number.

Patriots @ Eagles 7:30 PM ET

Game# 401-402

Play On: Eagles +1.5

Since 2011, and all under current head coach Bill Belichick, New England has gone 0-7 ATS and 1-6 straight up as a road favorite.

Philadelphia lost their preseason opener last week to Pittsburgh 24-16 in a game they closed as a 1.5-point home favorite.

Since 2005, any NFL preseason pick or dog of 3.0 or less that’s coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they scored 14 points or more, resulted in those teams going 7-0 ATS. Those teams also won 6 of those 7 games straight up. Bet on the Eagles as a pick or underdog.

New Orleans @ Baltimore 7:00 PM ET

Game# 117-118

Play On: Baltimore -2.5

You simply don’t bet against John Harbaugh coached Ravens teams. Since 2009 and all under Harbaugh, Baltimore has gone 36-9 (.800) straight up and 34-11 (75.6%) ATS in preseason games. Furthermore, since 2016, Baltimore is 17-0 SU and 16-1 ATS during their preseason schedule. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that John Harbaugh puts an emphasis on winning during preseason action and has been blessed with quality depth throughout his tenure. One more thing, since Harbaugh took over as head coach in 2008, Baltimore has gone 11-1 straight up and 10-2 ATS in preseason openers and that includes winning their last 8 in that exact situation. Conversely, since 2015 and all under head coach Sean Payton, New Orleans is a dismal 5-12 SU&ATS in preseason games and includes 1-4 SU&ATS in preseason openers. Bet on Baltimore minus the small number.

Denver @ Minnesota 4:00 PM ET

Game# 115-116

Play On: Minnesota +2.5

Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of Minnesota in 2014, the Vikings have gone 20-5 straight up in preseason games. Furthermore, Minnesota has an unblemished mark of 6-0 SU&ATS in preseason openers under Zimmer and won by 9.2 points per game. These results become even more relevand since the sportsbooks have made Minnesota a home underdog on Saturday afternoon. Bet on Minnesota plus the small number.

Dallas @ Arizona 10:00 PM ET

Game# 111-112

Play On: Dallas +2.0

The Cowboys will have the advantage of already playing a game last week despite losing to Pittsburgh 16-3. Conversely, Arizona will be playing in their preseason opener.

Any NFL away team playing in their 2nd preseason game and is coming off a loss in which they scored 13 points or fewer, and allowed 17 points or less, versus an opponent playing in their opening preseason game, resulted in those road teams going 11-2 (84.6%) straight up since 1989. The straight up results take on added significance since it backs the small underdog in this contest. Bet on Dallas plus the small number.

Buffalo @ Detroit 7:00 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: Buffalo -130 (money line)

Detroit will suffer some growing pains under new head coach Dan Campbell. They will be opposed by a Buffalo staff which has seen very little turnover since 2018.

You can make a strong argument that Buffalo has the best quality depth of any team in the NFL. Furthermore, under current head coach Sean McDermott the Bills are an unscathed 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 preseason games. That’s not so much about coaching philosophy at that time of year but speaks more to the deep roster that General Manger Brandon Beane has built since taking over in 2017. Bet Buffalo on the money line.

Jaguars @ Dolphins 8:00 PM ET

Game# 261-262

Play On: Jaguars +3.0 (5*)

Jacksonville has gone 0-2 SU&ATS in their first 2 preseason games while being outscored 53-10. Miami lost 16-14 at Tampa last week which evened their 2019 preseason record at 1-1. These results set up a powerful NFL preseason betting angle which is displayed below.

Any preseason away underdog of 3.0 or less that playing in their 3rd game (Jaguars), and they’re coming off SU&ATS losses during their previous 2 contests, versus an opponent (Dolphins) coming off a loss by 28 points or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-2 ATS (89.4%) since 1992. Those away underdogs also won 15 of those 19 games straight up. Bet on the Jaguars plus the points for a 5* wager.

Redskins @ Falcons 7:30 PM ET

Game# 253-254

Play On: Redskins -2.5 (5*)

If this game was in Week 1 of the regular season, the Falcons would be somewhere around a touchdown favorite on their home field. However, under head coach Dan Quinn this is an Atlanta team which has gone 0-11 SU&ATS during preseason games since 2017 and that includes 0-3 ATS in 2019. Even more compelling is their 0-5 ATS record at home during that time while losing by a substantial average of 13.8 points per game. Furthermore, Atlanta has scored 14 points or fewer in 9 of its last 10 preseason games.

The Redskins have gone 0-2 SU&ATS in their first 2 preseason games and have been outscored 53-23 while doing so. Yet, oddsmakers had no qualms with making them a road favorite in this contest. They’ve set the trap for bettors to be lured into taking the home underdog that will clearly be the better of the 2 teams when regular season action consummates. I’m going to think like a bookmaker and goes with the Redskins plus the points for a 5* wager.

Panthers @ Patriots 7:30 PM ET

Game# 255-256

Play On: Panthers +3.5 (5*)

Carolina is coming off last week’s 27-14 home loss to Buffalo. Nevertheless, under head coach Ron Rivera, the Panthers are 8-0 SU&ATS in preseason action following a loss in their previous game.

New England won each of their first 2 preseason games and accomplished both as an away underdog. The Patriots won 22-17 at Tennessee last week and did so as a 3.0-point underdog. This sets up a rare but unbeaten NFL preseason betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any NFL preseason away underdog of 4.5-points or less (Panthers), versus an opponent (Patriots) coming off 2 straight away underdog straight up wins in which they covered each by 8.0-points or greater, and they scored 30 points or less in their previous game resulted in those away underdogs going 6-0 SU&ATS since 1996. Those 6 road underdogs won those games by a decisive 14.3 points per contest. Bet on the Panthers plus the points for a 5* wager.

Cowboys @ Rams 10:00 PM ET

Game# 421-422

Play On: Rams +3.5 (5*)

The so-called sharps have hammered the Cowboys to the point they’ve moved from an opening 4.0-point underdog to a 3.5-point favorite. This massive a move is something you will never witness in regular season action. Whatever betting value the sharps perceived Dallas to possess has dissipated with this current point-spread. Besides, the Cowboys have lost 13 straight preseason away games under head coach Jason Garrett.

The Rams are 5-1 SU&ATS in their previous 6 preseason home games. Los Angeles is coming off a 14-3 loss at Oakland in a game they were outgained by 217 yards.

Any NFL preseason team (Rams) that’s coming off a game in which they were outgained by 150 yards or more has gone 24-8 ATS since 2015. They also won 21 of those 32 games straight up. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 5* wager.

Patriots @ Titans 7:00 PM ET

Game# 419-420

Play On: Titans +1.5 (5*)

Since 2012, New England is 0-4 SU&ATS as a preseason away favorite and all with Bill Belichick. The Patriots are coming off a 31-3 win at Detroit and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. Tennessee is coming off a 27-10 win at Philadelphia.

Any NFL preseason underdog of 1.5 to 2.5-points (Titans) that scored 9 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Patriots) coming off a double-digit win in which they scored 33 points or fewer, resulted in those preseason underdogs going 15-0 ATS and 13-2 straight up since 2010. Bet on the Titans plus the points for a 5* wager.

Browns @ Colts 4:00 PM ET

Game# 417-418

Play On: Browns +3.0 (5*)

Cleveland is coming off a 30-10 home win over Washington. Indianapolis is coming off a 24-16 loss at Buffalo.

Since 2014, Indianapolis is a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS in preseason home games versus teams off a straight up win that scored 21 points or more. Conversely, since 2017, Cleveland is 8-1 SU&ATS in preseason and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS during away games. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 5* wager.

Miami @ Tampa Bay 7:30 PM ET

Game# 415-416

Play On: Over 42.0 (5*)

Since 2015, Miami has gone over the total in all 8 of their preseason road games. Those 8 contests averaged a combined average of 48.3 points scored per game. The Dolphins hung 34 points on Atlanta in their preseason opener last week. The bad news is their defensive units allowed Atlanta to put up 28 points of their own.

Tampa Bay is coming off a preseason opening 30-28 loss at Pittsburgh. Despite that defeat, the Buccaneers racked up an enormous 479 yards of total offense. Since 2018, Tampa Bay has gone over the total in all 5 of its preseason contests, and there was a combined average of 50.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

Jets @ Falcons 7:35 PM ET

Game# 403-404

Play On: Jets +2.5 (5*)

Since 2017, Atlanta is an abysmal 0-10 SU&ATS in preseason games. All those defeats and non-covers occurred with current Falcons head coach Dan Quinn in charge. Those results include going 0-4 SU&ATS at home while losing by a decisive average of 14.7 points per game. Atlanta will be playing in their 3rd preseason game of 2019, and they’re coming off losses to Denver and Miami in their first 2.

Any NFL preseason home favorite of 3.5-points or fewer that’s coming off 2 straight losses in which they scored 6 points or more on each occasion, resulted in those home favorites going 3-17 straight up and 2-18 against the spread since 2005. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager.

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET

Game# 273-274

Play On: Tampa Bay +3.0 (5*)

Bruce Arians will be making his head coaching debut for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Prior to his current gig, Arians was head coach of the Arizona Cardinals. His teams in Arizona went a solid 6-3-1 ATS during preseason away games and that includes 5-1-1 ATS when they were an underdog of 1.5-points or more. The Tampa Bay franchise has gone 13-4 SU&ATS in their previous 17 preseason away games when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0.

Since 2013, Pittsburgh has gone 2-6 SU&ATS during preseason action as a home favorite of 2.0-points or greater, and 0-3 SU&ATS (-11.7 PPG) if it was their 1st or 2nd game. Bet on Tampa Bay plus the points for a 5* wager.

Jacksonville @ Baltimore 7:30 PM ET

Game# 263-264

Play On: Baltimore -3.0 (5*)

I have a lot of faith in the emphasis that John Harbaugh has put into winning preseason games. As a matter of fact, since 2016, Baltimore is a perfect 13-0 straight up and 11-2 against the spread in preseason games. That includes an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS at home while winning by a decisive 14.0 points per game. Furthermore, since 2009, Baltimore is 17-3 (.850) straight up and 14-6 (70%) ATS during their preseason games, and all under the tutelage of current head coach John Harbaugh. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 5* wager.

Carolina @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET

Game# 113-114

Play On: Under 37.0 (5*)

The final week of the preseason historically has produced lower scoring games. Thus, the low posted totals on a majority of Thursday’s 16-game card. Furthermore, Carolina has gone a perfect 6-0 under the total in the last 6 years when playing in their 4th preseason game. Additionally, Pittsburgh has gone 5-1 under the total during the past 6 preseasons in their 4th games. Pittsburgh’s Mike Tomlin and Carolina’s Ron Rivera were the head coaches of their teams during those previously mentioned results. Those who’ve followed me over the years know I put an emphasis on NFL head coaching philosophies as it applies to NFL Preseason handicapping.

Pittsburgh is coming off a 16-6 win against Tennessee last week and they covered as a 4.0-point home favorite. Carolina enters their final preseason game having gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS during its first 3 contests. The combination of these results sets up an extremely successful NFL preseason betting angle illustrated below.

Any team (Pittsburgh) coming off 1 or more ATS wins in a row, and they scored 12 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Carolina) coming off 2 or more ATS wins in a row, resulted in those games going 25-1 (96.2%) under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. 

Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins 8:00 PM ET

Game# 277-278

Play On: Baltimore (Pick) (10*)

There’s one thing that’s abundantly clear, John Harbaugh has placed an emphasis on winning preseason games since taking over as head coach of the Baltimore Ravens. As a matter of fact, since 2016, the Ravens have won 11 straight preseason games, and they covered on 9 of those occasions.

Miami is 0-2 in this 2018 preseason. Since the 2010 preseason, Miami has been an absolute fade by going 8-19 ATS (29.6%) during that stretch, and that includes an even worse 2-10 ATS (16.7%) at home.

Any NFL team (Baltimore) playing in a preseason away game, and they’re coming off 3 straight wins has gone 25-11 (69.4%) SU&ATS since 1988. If they’re facing an opponent (Miami) that’s coming off a loss and who possesses a win percentage of .250 or worse, they improve to 5-0 SU&ATS. Bet on Baltimore for my NFL Preseason Game of the Year.

Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8:00 PM ET

Game# 259-260

Play On: Under 45.0 (5*)

Detroit has committed 1 turnover in each of their first 2 preseason games. Tampa Bay didn’t turn the ball over in their 30-14 win at Tennessee last Saturday. A combination of all this statistical data creates a successful NFL preseason betting angle.

Since the 2014 NFL preseason, any team (Tampa Bay) coming off a game during which they committed no turnovers, and they’re facing an opponent (Lions) that’s gone 2 straight contests having committed 1 or fewer turnovers, resulted in those games going 28-5 (84.8%) under the total since 2014. The average total in those 33 games was 41.0, and there were 34.4 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Baltimore @ Indianapolis 8:00 PM ET

Game# 431-432

Play On: Under 43.0 (5*)

Baltimore has opened their 2018 slates with wins over Chicago in the Hall of Fame Game and at home last week during a victory against the Los Angeles Rams. The Ravens have won 10 consecutive preseason games. Baltimore has also gone under the total in 8 of its last 9 preseason contests. Furthermore, the Ravens has allowed 16 points or fewer in each of its previous 8 preseason games. All 8 of those contests came under the watchful eye of current Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh. Meanwhile, Indianapolis has gone under the total during 6 of their last 7 preseason home games. The Colts opened their 2018 preseason schedule with a 19-17 win at Seattle last week.

Since the 2014 NFL preseason, any team (Baltimore) that’s coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they’re facing an opponent (Indianapolis) coming off 1 or more wins in a row, resulted in those games going an incredible 32-4 (88.9%) under the total since 2014. If those teams were playing in an away game and they allowed 24 points or fewer in their previous contest, it resulted in those outings going a perfect 15-0 under the total since 2014. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Philadelphia @ New England 7:30 PM ET

Game# 401-402

Play On: Philadelphia +4.0 (5*)

Philadelphia is coming off last Thursday’s 31-14 loss to Pittsburgh as a 3.0-point home favorite. New England defeated Washington 26-17 and covered as a 2.5-point home favorite in their preseason opener. The combination of those results sets up a successfully proven NFL preseason betting angle illustrated below.

Any NFL preseason away underdog playing in their 2nd game (Philadelphia) that coming off a home favorite straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win during their previous game, resulted in those away underdogs going 18-2 ATS (90%) since 1985. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 5* wager.

LA Rams @ Baltimore 7:30 ET

Game# 263-264

Play On: Baltimore -3.0 (5*)

NFL preseason betting history has proven that teams playing in Game 2 have a substantial edge against an opponent playing in their opener. Baltimore is coming off a 17-16 win over Chicago last Thursday during the annual Hall of Fame game in Canton, Ohio. Since 2016, the Ravens are a perfect 9-0 straight up in preseason games under current head coach John Harbaugh. Furthermore, they’ve gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 preseason home contests and won by an average of 12.0 points per game. Meanwhile, the Rams franchise is a dismal 2-10 straight up in their last 12 preseason away games. Moreover, NFL preseason home favorites of 3.0 or less that win straight up have gone 394-50 ATS (88.7%) since 1984. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 5* wager.

Chicago vs. Baltimore 8:00 PM ET

Game# 241-242

Play On: Baltimore -2.5

This will be the first time on the sidelines for a new Chicago coaching staff in which they’ll be keeping score. There’s no doubt that Chicago has upgraded their roster offensively and their defense was extremely underrated a season ago. However, when it comes to preseason handicapping, a team’s quality depth or lack there of must be considered. Chicago’s depth still leaves much to be desired beyond their frontline players.

There’s unequivocally no doubt that Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh puts emphasis on winning preseason games. Since taking over in 2008, Harbaugh’s Ravens are 28-12 (.700) straight up and 27-13 (67.5%) ATS during preseason games. Even more compelling is the fact that Baltimore is a spotless 8-0 SU&ATS during the past 2 preseasons. Baltimore is also a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS during their last 6 preseason openers under Harbaugh and won by a decisive average of 14.7 points per game.

Cincinnati @ Washington 4:30 PM ET

Game# 279-280

Play On: Cincinnati +3.5 (5*)

Cincinnati will be playing in their first preseason road game after playing 2 straight at home. The Bengals are coming off a 30-12 SU&ATS loss to Kansas City in their previous game.

Any NFL preseason away team which is +3.5 to -3.5 that’s coming off 2 straight home games, and their previous game resulted in a SU&ATS loss by 4 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 19-5 SU&ATS (79.2%) since 2008. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager.

Houston @ New Orleans 8:00 PM ET

Game# 269-270

Play On: Houston +3.0 (5*)

New Orleans 13-7 road win last week versus the Los Angeles Chargers broke an 0-10 SU&ATS futile stretch during preseason games. The Saints are 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 preseason home contests, and lost by an average of 9.4 points per game. All these results transpired with their current head coach Sean Payton.

Since the onset of the 2016 NFL preseason campaign, Houston is 5-1 SU&ATS. The Texans are coming off a home win over New England in their previous game.

Any away team (Houston) that’s +3.0 to -3.0 in a NFL preseason game, and is coming off a home win, versus an opponent (New Orleans) coming off a win, and that opponent has at least 1 loss on their current preseason slate, resulted in those away teams going 12-1 SU&ATS since 2011. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager.

New England @ Detroit 7:00 PM ET

Game# 255-256

Play On: Detroit +3.5 (5*)

There’s an absurd lopsided betting pattern favoring New England in this contest. I guess public bettors have the mind set that’s it’s a final tune up for both teams, and New England is vastly superior when taking that into account. That very well may be true when it’s all said and done. However, we are still talking about a preseason game.

New England is 3-9 in their last 12 preseason way games. The Patriots are also 0-5 SU&ATS during its previous 5 preseason games as an away favorite.

The Detroit Lions franchise has gone an impressive 22-7 during their previous 29 preseason games, and that includes a perfect 2-0 in 2017. The Lions are 5-0 SU&ATRS in their last 5 preseason contests as a home underdog. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager.

Carolina @ Jacksonville 7:35 ET

Game# 253-254

Play On: Carolina -1.5 (5*)

Carolina is coming off a 34-27 SU&ATS loss at Tennessee last Saturday. Since the 2012 preseason, Carolina is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS following a loss while winning by an average of 10.6 points per game. All those victories came under the guidance of head coach Ron Rivera.

After opening the 2017 preseason campaign with an impressive win at New England, Jacksonville was flatter than a pancake during last week’s 12-8 loss to Tampa Bay. Since the 2014 preseason, Jacksonville is 0-3 SU&ATS at home following a loss, and they’re facing an opponent off a SU&ATS loss.

Any team playing in their 3rd preseason game that’s +2.0 to -2.0 on the road, versus an opponent coming off a loss, resulted in those road teams going a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS since 2010. Bet on Carolina for a 5* wager.

Giants @ Browns 8:00 PM ET

Game# 431-432

Play On: Under 38.0 (5*)

Cleveland has gone under the total in each of their last 9 preseason games. As a matter of fact, Cleveland has gone under in 10 straight preseason contests when there’s a total of 41.0 or less, and there was a combined average of only 29.2 points scored per game.

Since 2014, the Giants have gone under in all 4 of their preseason away contests, and there were a combined 29.0 points scored per game. The Giants are also 14-4 under during its previous 18 preseason games when there’s a total of 41.5 or less, and that includes 5-1 under on the road. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Falcons @ Steelers 4:00 PM ET

Game# 427-428

Play On: Steelers +3.0 (5*)

There was a huge line move in this game due to the Falcons perceived favorable player rotations for today’s game. However, there’s still ample betting value to be had on the home underdog Steelers. It’s also worth noting that Atlanta is a dismal 3-10 during their previous 13 preseason games, and they’re 1-6 straight up during the past 7 years in game 2 of preseason action.

·       Pittsburgh is coming off a 20-12 road win against the Giants last week in their preseason opener.

·       Atlanta is coming off a 23-20 straight up favorite loss to Miami last week

Any home underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in their 2nd preseason game, they allowed 11 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off a straight up loss by 9 points or less during a game they were a favorite, resulted in those preseason home underdogs going a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS since 1983. The average margin of victory was 8.3 points per game. Bet on the Steelers plus the points for a 5* wager.

Chicago @ Arizona 10:00 PM ET

Game# 425-426

Play On: Chicago +3.0 (5*)

Chicago is coming off a 24-17 loss to Denver as a 2.0-point home favorite in their preseason opener last Saturday. Arizona was a 20-10 winner over Oakland in their previous game. The Cardinals are 0-3 SU&ATS (-13.0 PPG) during their last 3 preseason games under head coach Bruce Arians, and when facing an opponent coming off a loss.

Any team (Chicago) playing in their 2nd preseason game who is an underdog of 1.5 to 5.0-points, and is coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 2 points or more, versus an opponent (Arizona) coming off a straight up win by 2 points or more, resulted in those teams going 22-2 ATS (91.6%) since 1992. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager.

NY Jets @ Detroit 7:30 PM ET

Game# 415-416

Play On: Over 37.0 (5*)

The Jets are 7-1 over the total during their last 8 preseason games when the number is 36.5 or greater. New York is coming off last Saturday’s 7-3 win over Tennessee in their preseason opener. The Lions are coming off a 24-10 win at Indianapolis in their preseason opener.

Any team (Jets) in a preseason game that scored 14 points or less in their previous contest, versus an opponent (Lions) who allowed 14 points or less in their last game, and there’s a total of 33.5 or greater, resulted in those games going 27-7 (79.4%) over the total since 2007. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

Indianapolis @ Dallas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 413-414

Play On: Indianapolis +5.5

Indianapolis is coming off a home loss to Detroit last Sunday. Meanwhile, Dallas comes off a 13-10 road loss to the Rams. Since 2014, Dallas is a dismal 3-11 straight up in preseason games. That doesn’t bode well for Dallas backers considering the large number they’re being asked to cover.

Any preseason away underdog of 1.5 or more that’s coming off a home loss by 8 or more points, and is facing an opponent coming off a road loss, resulted in those away teams going 9-0 ATS since 2014. Those underdogs also were 8-1 straight up in those contests. Play on Indianapolis plus the points for a 5* wager.

Baltimore @ Miami 7:00 PM ET

Game# 401-402

Play On: Baltimore +3.0 (5*)

Since 2013, Baltimore is an extremely profitable 11-2 ATS in preseason games. Since 2012, Miami is 0-4 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 4.5 or less, and lost by an average of 7.5 points per game. Bet on Baltimore plus the small number for a 5* wager.

Oakland @ Arizona 10:00 PM ET

Game# 277-278

Play On: Arizona -3.0 (5*)

Oakland is 1-6 SU&ATS during their previous 7 preseason games under current head coach Jack Del Rio. The Raiders franchise is also a dismal 3-18 in their last 21 preseason road games.

Arizona will have the benefit of already have played in the annual preseason Hall of Fame Game last week against Dallas. The Cardinals lost that contest 20-18. Conversely, this will be the Raiders preseason opener. Since 1983, NFL favorites of 3.5 or less (Arizona) playing in Game 2 of the preseason, and they participated in the Hall of Fame Game in Canton the week before, versus an opponent (Oakland) playing in its preseason opener, resulted in those favorites going 24-8 ATS (75%).

Here’s another very profitable NFL preseason betting angle that’s rare in occurrence, but very profitable nonetheless. Any favorite of 3.0 to 4.0 (Arizona) playing in game 2 of the NFL preseason, and they’re coming off a loss by 15 points or less, versus an opponent (Oakland) playing in their preseason opener, resulted in those favorites going 9-1-1 ATS since 1987. Bet on the Arizona Cardinals for a 5* wager.

Washington @ Baltimore 7:30 PM ET

Game# 257-258

Play On: Baltimore +2.0 (5*)

During NFL preseason action, and especially during the first 3 weeks, I pay close attention to head coaching trends. More times than not it indicates to me a specific head coach’s philosophy in how he handles these meaningless games. Since taking over as Baltimore’s head coach in 2008, John Harbaugh’s teams have gone an outstanding 24-12 straight up (.667) and 23-13 ATS (63.9%) during preseason games. Even more telling is the Ravens are 8-1 SU&ATS in preseason openers under Harbaugh, and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS during the previous 5 years. Bet on the Baltimore Ravens for a 5* wager.

Bengals @ Jaguars 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Bengals +1.5 (5*)

Cincinnati is coming off a 30-14 win at Detroit last week, and that evened up their preseason record to 1-1. Any away team (Bengals) that’s +2.0 to -2.0, playing in their third preseason game, and is coming off a contest in which they allowed 25 points or less, resulted in those away teams going 47-11 SU&ATS (80.7%) since 1986.

Let’s keep things in proper perspective. Both team’s starters will receive extensive playing time on Sunday, and much more so compared to each of their first two games. Jacksonville is expected to be a drastically improved team. Nevertheless, this is still a Jaguars franchise that’s gone a combined 18-62 (.225) over the past five seasons. Conversely, through that identical time period, Cincinnati has made the playoffs in each of those five seasons, and they compiled a cumulative regular season mark of 51-28-1 (.646). Furthermore, add in the aforementioned preseason betting angle, and I’ll go the better team on paper. Take the Bengals plus the small number for a 5* wager.

Rams @ Broncos 9:00 PM ET

Play On: Rams +6.0 (5*)

First teamers time will be plentiful tonight. Denver’s defense receives a lot of acclaim and rightfully so. However, the Rams stop unit is a vastly underrated bunch. With Denver’s quarterback situation being an absolute mess, look for the Rams defense to take advantage of that weakness. I’m going to look for an excuse to fade Denver as a favorite every chance that I get at least early on. That includes last week and again tonight.

Denver enters tonight with a 1-1 preseason record, and Los Angles is a perfect 2-0. Any preseason away underdog 3.0 to 6.5 playing in Game 3, and won each of its first two games, versus an opponent is playing in Game 3 with a 1-1 record, resulted in those away teams going 15-3 ATS (83.3%) since 1994. Those away underdogs also won 9 of those 18 games outright. Play on the Rams plus the points for a 5* wager.

Giants @ Jets 7:30 PM ET

Play On: Giants (Pick) (5*)

You can’t look any worse than the Giants did during their first two preseason games, losing at home to Miami 27-10, and then last week’s debacle in which they were shutout 21-0 at Buffalo. Yet, here they are, anywhere from a pick to 1.5-point favorite against a Jets team that’s coming off a very good 10-6 season. The Jets are 1-1 in this preseason campaign. However, they’re coming off a 17-13 loss at Washington last week, and failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. Saturday will technically be a Jets home game, and their season ticketholders will make up the vast majority of the crowd.

Any preseason away pick or favorite (Giants), versus an opponent playing in their 3rd game, and that opponent is coming off a SU&ATS loss, resulted in those away teams going 35-7 (83.3%) straight up since 1983. Take the Giants for a 5* wager.

Eagles @ Colts 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Colts -1.5 (5*)

The Eagles defense has feasted off opposing team’s backup quarterbacks for better than seven of eight quarters played. Philadelphia also benefitted from being +5 in the turnover department, which in turn masked their somewhat poor offensive performances. With Andrew Luck making more than a cameo appearance on Saturday, I’m going with the home favorite. Play on Indianapolis plus the points for a 5* wager.

The Colts first two preseason games ended in identical 19-18 scores, and resulted in their current 1-1 preseason record. Any team (Colts) that’s +3.0 to -3.0, coming off two straight games decided by exactly 1-point, and they’ve sustained at least one preseason loss, resulted in those teams going a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS since 1993. Their average margin of victory was a sizable 15.1 points per game.

Last week Indianapolis lost at home to Baltimore, and it was decided in a uniquely strange manner. Indianapolis scored a go ahead touchdown to take an 18-17 lead with 4:27 left to play. Nevertheless, on their ensuing two-point conversion try, it resulted in a pass interception that was returned for a Baltimore two-point score. Any preseason home favorite of 4.0 or less (Colts), coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 3 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 17-4 ATS (81%) since 1983.

Falcons @ Dolphins 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Falcons +2.0 (5*)

Miami is coming off a dismal 41-14 loss at Dallas last week. Tonight will be Miami’s first preseason home game after playing its first two on the road. Atlanta has gone 2-0 SU&ATS over its first two preseason games. With the starters on both sides getting extensive time tonight, it favors the better roster, and that’s clearly Atlanta in my eyes.

Any preseason Game 3 road team that’s +2.0 to -2.0, and they allowed 29 points or less in their previous contest, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS loss, resulted in those away teams going 24-3 SU&ATS (88.8%) since 1986. Take the Falcons for a 5* point spread wager.

49ers @ Broncos 9:00 PM ET

Play On: 49ers +6.0 (5*)

The Denver Broncos are coming off a dominating 22-0 win at Chicago in the preseason opener. Despite racking up over 300 yards in the first half last week, San Francisco lost to Houston 24-13 as a 3.0-point home favorite.

Any away underdog of 1.5 or more, playing in Game 2 of the preseason, versus an opponent coming off a win by 23 points or less in their preseason opener, resulted in those road underdogs going 37-8 ATS (82.2%) since 1994. Take the 49ers plus the points for a 5* wager.

Chicago @ New England 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Chicago +3.5 (5*)

Chicago is coming off an embarrassing 22-0 home SU&ATS loss to Denver in their preseason opener. New England is coming off a 34-22 wins over New Orleans as a home favorite of -3.5.

Any winless team in the preseason as an away underdog of 5.0 or less, coming off a home SU&ATS loss, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 23.0-points or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 1983. The underdog also won 14 of those 17 games outright. Take Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager.

Cowboys @ Rams 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Rams -5.0 (5*)

A huge crowd is expected as the NFL makes a reappearance in Southern California for the first time since 1994. Despite this being just a preseason contest, the crowd emotion will be high, and certainly uncharacteristic for these otherwise meaningless games. As a result, Los Angeles will have a considerable emotional edge with all things being considered.

Jason Garrett enters his sixth season as head coach of the Cowboys. Garrett’s preseason track record is far from impressive. As a matter of fact, Dallas has gone 1-8 SU&ATS during their previous nine preseason games. Furthermore, the Cowboys are also a futile 0-7 SU&ATS during its preceding seven preseason away games, and scored 7 points or less on four of those occasions. Garrett’s preseason record overall is an uninspiring 6-14 ATS.

Any NFL team (Rams) playing in their first preseason game, and is a favorite of 4.0 or more, versus an opponent also playing its preseason opener, resulted in those favorites going 14-5 ATS (73.7%) since 2003.Take the Rams minus the points for a 5* wager.

Carolina @ Baltimore 7:30 PM ET

Play On: Baltimore +1.5 (5*)

John Harbaugh has a terrific track record as head coach of the Ravens. As a matter of fact, since 2009, Baltimore is 19-9 (.679) in preseason games with Harbaugh in charge, and that includes 11-3 (.786) at home. Considering this a virtual even game in terms of the point spread, Harbaugh’s preseason resume can’t be ignored. There’s a lot to be said about head coach’s preseason records, it coincides with approach, philosophy and attitude toward these otherwise insignificant games. Take the Baltimore Ravens for a 5* wager.

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Cleveland +3.0 (10*)

Cleveland is coming off a home favorite straight up 11-10 loss to Buffalo in their previous game. Tampa Bay comes off a 25-11 win over Cincinnati this past Monday night. Those two results combine to qualify this game for an outstanding NFL preseason betting angle.

Any preseason pick or underdog of 3.5 or less, playing in either game 2 or 3, coming off a straight up favorite loss by 21 points or less, versus an opponent that scored 12 points or more in their previous game, resulted in that team going 41-6 ATS (87.2%) since 2001. They also went 33-14 (70.2%) straight up in those contests. Play on the Cleveland Browns as a 10* Top Play selection.

Cowboys @ 49ers 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Over 39.5 (5*)

Dallas scored 7 points and San Francisco managed just 10 in their preseason openers last week. Any preseason contest since 2010 involving teams which each scored 14 points or less in their previous games, resulted in 17of 24 (70.8%) going over the total. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Rams @ Titans 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Over 38.0 (5*)

The Rams are coming off an 18-3 loss at Oakland last week. Jeff Fisher is 17-2 over the total in preseason games following a SU loss as a NFL head coach. Since the 1993 preseason, all road teams are 48-20 (70.6%) over the total after scoring 6 points or less in their previous game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Oakland @ Minnesota 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Oakland +5.0 (5*)

New Raiders head coach Jack Del Rio is out to create a winning attitude and environment during this preseason slate. If their rout of St. Louis in their preseason opener last week is any indication, Del Rio is certainly getting his message across. Minnesota has looked very good in a pair of double digit wins over Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay during their first two games. As a result, sportsbooks have stretched this line out a bit and it’s created a very good value for the road underdog.

·        Oakland is coming off an 18-3 win last week.

·        Minnesota had a 23-9 lead at the half in their previous game versus Tampa Bay.

Any preseason road team that allowed 14 points or less in their previous game, versus an opponent that’s coming off a game in which they led by 14 points or more at the half, resulted in the road team going 24-5 ATS since 1993, and that includes 10-1 ATS since 2011. The average line for the road team in those 29 games was +3.3. The road team also had a +4.2 point per game differential in those contests, and went 19-10 straight up. Play on Oakland plus the points for a 5* selection.

Ravens @ Eagles 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Baltimore +3.5 (5*)

The Ravens are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last five preseason games as an away underdog or favorite of 5.0 or less. They won those contests by an average of 14.4 points per game. All of those games have come under the watchful eye of current head coach John Harbaugh. Philadelphia is coming off a 36-10 win as a 4.5 point favorite in their preseason opener last Sunday, and that set up a very profitable preseason betting angle which favors the Ravens.

Any away underdog (Ravens) of 3.5 or less, playing in game 2 through 4 of the preseason, versus an opponent (Eagles) coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they scored 23 points or more, resulted in the away underdog going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 1983. Play on the Ravens plus the points as a 5* rated selection.

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Minnesota -4.0 (5*)

Minnesota has the luxury of already playing a preseason game. Contrarily, this will be Tampa Bay’s preseason opener. Historically, teams have fared pretty well when playing in their second game, and are facing an opponent in its preseason opener. It must be noted, the Pittsburgh Steelers failed in that role on Friday, suffering a 23-21 loss at Jacksonville, and failing to cover as a 1.5 point underdog. However, Minnesota is a home favorite coming off a win, and Pittsburgh was an away underdog coming off a loss. Preseason home favorites of 5.5 or less, coming off a win in their previous game, versus an opponent playing in their preseason opener, resulted in the home favorite going 11-4 ATS (73.3%) since 1983. In addition, Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer has placed a bit more emphasis than most on winning in the preseason. The Vikings are a perfect 5-0 SU and a stellar 4-1 ATS during preseason games with Zimmer in charge. Play on Minnesota minus the points as a 5* selection.

Denver @ Seattle 10:00 PM ET

Play On: Over 36.5 (5*)

Gary Kubiak is the former head coach of the Houston Texans from 2006 to 2013. During his time in Houston, the Texans were 11-5 over the total in preseason away games, and that includes 6-1 over the total as an away underdog if the number was 37.5 or less. As a matter of fact, Houston was 22-10 over the total in eight years of preseason play with Kubiak running the show.

Pete Carroll enters his sixth season as head coach of the Seattle Seahawks. Carroll was also the New York Jets head man in 1994, and held that same title for the New England Patriots from 1997 to 1999. His overall NFL preseason record is 27-10 (73%) over the total. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Dallas @ San Diego 10:00 PM ET

Play On: San Diego -4.0 (3*)

Since 2011, these teams have met three times during the preseason, and San Diego is 3-0 SU&ATS during those encounters. That includes last year’s 27-7 Chargers rout. I’ve been really intrigued by the quality roster depth that San Diego possesses, and especially on the offensive side of the ball. They have four quality running backs starting with 2015 first round draft choice Melvin Gordon, Brandon Oliver, Danny Woodhead, and Donald Brown. The Chargers also have a very impressive wide receiver group. The Chargers depth at running back will be apparent during the second half of tonight’s contest.

Dallas head coach Jason Garrett has placed little emphasis on preseason game results in recent years. Since 2011, the Cowboys are 7-10 straight up and 5-12 ATS. During that four year span, Dallas is 1-8 SU&ATS as an underdog of 2.5 or more. Lay the point tonight with San Diego.

Dallas @ Miami 7:00 PM ET
Game# 265-266
Play On: Dallas +3.5 (5*)

The Dolphins have gone a dismal 2-9 ATS and 3-8 straight up in their last 11 preseason games. Included in those results is their home mark of 0-5 ATS and 1-4 straight up. laying more than a field goal with this team during the preseason is a very risky proposition, and one with a low probability rating.

Any preseason away underdog of 7.0 or less that comes off a loss by 7-points or more, and they allowed 22-points or more in that loss, versus an opponent that comes off a an away win in which they scored 19-points or more in addition to allowing 7-points or more, has gone 17-1 ATS since 1983. The underdog has won 13 of those 18-games outright. Play on the Dallas Cowboys plus the points as a 5* selection.

Giants @ Jets 7:30 PM ET
Game# 257-258
Play On: Jets +1.0 (5*)

The Jets have gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 preseason games including winning 4 of the 5 straight up. Since Rex Ryan took over as head coach of the Jets, they've gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS when playing in a preseason game 2 or beyond, when they're +3.0 to -3.0, and are facing an opponent coming off a straight up win. The Giants have gone a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS during the preseason with Tom Coughlin as their head coach in game 3 or beyond, and when they're +4.0 to -4.0.

Any home team (Jets) that's playing in game 3 of the preseason, versus an opponent playing their 4th game of the preseason has gone 31-8 (79.5%) straight up since 1993. With this line currently at a pick, the straight up results take on a greater significance. In case your scoring at home, the home team in this exact scenario has also gone 29-10 ATS (74.4%) in those 39-games. Play on the New York Jets as a 5* selection.

Carolina @ New England 7:30 PM ET
Game# 255-256
Play On: Carolina +5.5 (5*)

Any preseason away underdog of 2.0 or more in their 2nd of 3rd game of the preseason, that's coming off a SU&ATS win, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 4.0 pr more, and scored 25-points or more, has gone 17-0 ATS since 1984. The underdog has won 11 of those 17-games outright. Play on the Carolina Panthers plus the points as a 5* selection.

Cleveland @ Washington 8:00 PM ET
Game# 431-432
Play On: Cleveland +2.0

Let me start by reviewing what happened last week with both of these clubs, and that will lead us into three extremely strong NFL preseason betting systems that have aced the test of time. The Browns lost at Detroit 13-12 in their preseason opener, and failed to cover as a closing 1.0 point favorite. The Redskins pounded the Patriots at home 23-6 in their 2014 preseason debut, and covered as a closing 3.0 point favorite. It must be noted that Tom Brady saw no action for the Patriots in that contest.

Any preseason game 2 away underdog that's coming off of a straight up favorite loss, versus an opponent coming off a straight up win their preseason opener, has gone 30-10 ATS (75%) since 1983.

Any game 2 preseason away underdog that's coming off of a SU&ATS loss, versus an opponent coming off of a SU&ATS win while covering by 7.5 or more, has gone 21-5 ATS (81%) since 1995.

Since the 1987 preseason any game 2 away underdog that's coming off of a straight up favorite loss, versus an opponent that's coming off of a home SU&ATS win in their preseason opener, has gone 13-0 ATS. The underdog also won 11 of those 13-games outright.

Kansas City @ Carolina 8:00 PM ET
Game# 429-430
Play On: Carolina -2.5 (5*)

Any home favorite of 4.0 or less that's playing in game 2 of the preseason, and they're coming off of a SU&ATS loss, versus an opponent playing in game 2 of the preseason, and they're coming off a straight up win in which they scored 22-points or more, has gone 21-4 SU&ATS since the 1983 NFL preseason.

Any preseason home favorite of 6.0 or less that's coming off of a straight loss in which they allowed 30-points or less, versus an opponent coming off a straight up win in which they scored 35-points or more, has gone 15-2 ATS since the 1983 NFL preseason.

Play on the Carolina Panthers minus the points as a 5* selection.

Detroit @ Oakland 10:00 PM ET
Game# 407-408
Play On: Oakland -2.5 (5*)

Any NFL preseason home favorite or underdog of 4.0 or less playing in game 2 through 4, that's coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they scored 7-points or less, versus an opponent coming off a straight up win in which they didn't shutout their opponent, has gone 23-1 ATS since 1990. The home team has also won 22 of those 24-games outright. Play on the Oakland Raiders minus the points as a 5* selection.

Jacksonville @ Chicago 8:00 PM ET
Game#403-404
Play On: Jacksonville +4.0 (5*)

Any away underdog that's playing in game 2 or 3 of the preseason, and they allowed 26-points or less in their previous game, versus an opponent that's coming off of a home favorite ATS win in which they scored 25-points or more in addition to covering by 3.5 or more, has gone 25-3 ATS since 1983. The underdog has also won 19 of those 28-games outright. Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars plus the points as a 5* selection.

Pittsburgh @ NY Giants 7:30 PM ET
Game# 277-278
Play On: NY Giants -1.0 (5*)

The Giants opened their preseason schedule last Sunday with a 17-13 win over the Buffalo Bills in the annual Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio. This will be the Steelers preseason opener. Teams that are playing in their 2nd preseason game, and played in the Hall of Fame Game in their previous contest, versus an opponent playing in their opening game, have gone an outstanding 54-27 ATS (66.7%) since 1983. If they're a pick to a favorite of 3.5 or less they improve to 25-8 SU&ATS (75.8%) since 1983. The Steelers were a miserable 0-4 SU&ATS during the 2013 preseason while losing by an average of 9.3 points per game. Play on the New York Giants as a 5* selection.

Buffalo @ Carolina 7:30 PM ET
Game# 265-266
Play On: Buffalo -1.5 (5*)

*Since the start of the 1983 preseason any team (Buffalo) that participated in the Hall of Fame Game, versus an opponent playing in their opening game of the preseason, has gone 54-27 ATS (66.7%).
*If that team is coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 15.5 or less in the Hall of Fame Game, they improve to 21-4 SU&ATS (84%) since 1989.
*If they scored 16-points or less in that previous contest then they improve to 16-1 SU&ATS (94.1%) since 1989.

Play on the Buffalo Bills as a 5* selection.