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Ross Benjamin NFL Top Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-04-15	Cincinnati Bengals v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 49	Top	10-26	Win	100	20 h 26 m	Show
The Bengals have seen their last 6-games on the road all go under the total. The average total in those games was 46.9, and the average points scored was 33.3. Those 6-games stayed under the total by a decisive average of 13.6 points per contest. I look for the Bengals to rely heavily on their running game. Especially considering star wide receiver A.J. Green is doubtful to play due to a concussion, and tight end Jermaine Gresham is far less than 100% due to a back injury. The Bengals have rushed for an impressive 557-yards over their previous 3-games, and averaged a superb 5.1 yards per rushing attempt. The Cincinnati run defense has been outstanding in their previous 5 road games. They've allowed opponents a total of only 296-yards during that time, and surrendered a paltry 2.8 yards per attempt. The Colts have have gone under the total in each of their previous 4-games. The Colts running game wasn't a factor in any of those contests, gaining just 268-yards on the ground, and averaging a poor 3.1 yards per carry. The Colts defense was tied with the Buffalo Bills for best in the NFL this season on 3rd down, allowing opponents to convert just 33.2% of the time. The Colts met the Bengals once already this season, and turned in a dominating defensive performance in a 27-0 home win. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play.
01-03-15	Arizona Cardinals +6.5 v. Carolina Panthers	Top	16-27	Loss	-100	20 h 33 m	Show
I understand that the Cardinals are limited offensively with 3rd string quarterback Ryan Lindley. However, they're still a quality football team, and shouldn't be a sizable underdog versus an opponent with a losing record. In case you're wondering, the Cardinals are 19-2 ATS in their last 21-games as an underdog of 6.5 or less, and if they were facing an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .571, they improve to 12-0 ATS. On the other hand, Carolina has gone 2-8 ATS in their last 10-games as a non-division home favorite of between 3.0 and 6.5. The Cardinals finished the regular season by losing their final two games. Believe it or not, NFL Playoff betting history shows teams that enter the playoffs on a down note similar to the Cardinals have done very well. Since 1990, any non-division playoff team, coming off two losses in a row, and is facing an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .625, has gone 8-0 ATS, and won 7 of those 8 outright.
12-28-14	Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5	Top	17-27	Win	107	25 h 56 m	Show
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh 8:30 PM ET Game# 305-306 *Play On: Pittsburgh -3.5 (10)** Any home favorite of 3.5 or more (Pittsburgh) that's playing in game 9 of the season or beyond, and they have a winning record, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win by 17-points or less, and that opponent (Cincinnati) has a winning record, has gone 20-3 ATS since 1990. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
12-28-14	Carolina Panthers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 48	Top	34-3	Win	100	22 h 16 m	Show
Carolina @ Atlanta 4:25 PM ET Game# 315-316 *Play On: Under 48.0 (10)** The Carolina Panthers are coming off a win over the Cleveland Browns last Sunday to set up this win or take all game in the NFC South. The Panthers have gone under the total in 12 of their last 14 following a win in their previous game. Carolina has also seen their last three meetings go under the total versus the Falcons. Those games had an average total of 46.7, and an average combined score of 40.3 points. Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 (Carolina), coming off a home win in which they scored 36-points or less and they failed to cover as a favorite, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog straight up win in which they scored 33-points or less, has seen that team go under the total in 31 of those 32-games (96.9%) since 1984. Play on this game to go under the total as my NFL 10* Total of the Year!
12-21-14	Indianapolis Colts v. Dallas Cowboys -3	Top	7-42	Win	100	22 h 34 m	Show
Indianapolis @ Dallas 4:25 PM ET Game# 127-128 *Play On: Dallas -3.0 (10)** The Cowboys came up with a huge 38-27 road win at Philadelphia last week. That win put them in the driver's seat in the NFC East. They can ill afford to let that effort go for naught by losing to the Colts at home on Sunday. Besides, they still have an opportunity to attain the #2 seed in the NFC, and that would afford them a first round bye. The Colts have already clinched the AFC South. They currently are still alive for the top seed in the AFC. Although those chances are possible but not highly probable. However, I don't have a lot of confidence in the Colts on the road versus a quality opponent. Indianapolis has gone 1-6 SU&ATS since the start of the 2012 season as an away underdog versus an opponent with a winning record. Any home favorite of 13.0 or less playing in game 13 of the season or beyond, coming off away SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2-games, they won by 12-points or less while scoring 20-points or more in their previous game, and they have a winning percentage of .600 or better, has seen the home favorite go 16-0 SU&SATS since 1988. The home favorite won those 16-games by an average of 20.4 points per contest.
12-20-14	San Diego Chargers v. San Francisco 49ers -1	Top	38-35	Loss	-115	12 h 39 m	Show
San Diego @ San Francisco 8:25 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: San Francisco -1.0 (10) The 49ers have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6-games as a home favorite of 7.0 or less following a loss by 5-points or more. The average margin of victory in those contests was 15.8 points per game. This is a very proud organization with a veteran presence on the roster, and they would like nothing more than to inflict damage on the Chargers playoff hopes. Besides, it's not like the Chargers have exactly played like world beaters of late. San Diego has dropped each of their previous 2-games and have been outscored 45-24 in those contests. So much for Philip Rivers great record in the month of December. Any regular season home favorite or underdog of 2.5 or less, facing a non-division opponent in game 12 of the season or beyond, and they have a winning percentage of .500 or better, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .615 or less, has seen the home team go a perfect 15-0 SU&ATS since 1982. Play on the San Francisco 49ers as a 10 Top Play.
12-14-14	San Francisco 49ers +10.5 v. Seattle Seahawks	Top	7-17	Win	100	42 h 17 m	Show
San Francisco @ Seattle 4:25 PM ET Game# 329-330 *Play On: San Francisco +10.0 (10)** Any road favorite or underdog of 12.5 or less, playing with revenge in game 6 or beyond of the regular season, coming off a road loss by 17-points or less, and they have a winning percentage of .333 or better, versus a divisional opponent with a winning percentage of .50 or better, has seen that road team go 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 2003. The road team also won 17 of those 24-games (70.8%) outright. Any away pick or underdog playing in game 11 of the season or beyond with a winning percentage of .510 to .600, coming off a road favorite of -3.0 or greater SU loss, and they've won 14 or more of their last 32-games, versus an opponent with a better than .400 win percentage, has seen that road team go 16-0 ATS since 1988, and they've also won 14 of those 16-games outright. Play on the San Francisco 49ers plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
12-14-14	Cincinnati Bengals v. Cleveland Browns	Top	30-0	Loss	-110	39 h 49 m	Show
Cincinnati @ Cleveland 1:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 *Play On: Cleveland (10)** The Cleveland Browns enter this week with a 7-6 record, and are clinging to hopes of making the playoffs. The Browns have sustained 3 of those 6-losses by 3-points or less, and each of those 3-games were decided by an opponent’s go ahead score in the waning seconds of the 4th quarter. The highly anticipated Johnny Manziel era is set to begin in Cleveland on Sunday. It would be hard to imagine the highly touted rookie won’t be an upgrade over the struggling Brian Hoyer at this point. The Bengals endured a meltdown during a 42-21 home loss versus the Steelers last week. Cincinnati entered the 4th quarter leading the Steelers 21-17, and then proceeded to be outscored 25-0 during the final stanza. Andy Dalton continued his erratic play at quarterback by committing a crucial 4th quarter lost fumble that seemed to ignite the Steelers comeback. Any home team playing in game 13 or beyond of the regular season, and they’re either a pick or a favorite of 8.0 or less, that home team has won 51 of those 65-games (75.8%) straight up since 1982. The straight up results take on added significance considering the point-spread. By the way, in case you’re keeping score at home, the host has also gone 44-21 ATS (67.7%) in those 65-contests. Play on the Cleveland Browns as a 5* selection.
12-07-14	Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Miami Dolphins	Top	28-13	Win	100	49 h 1 m	Show
Baltimore @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 *Play On: Baltimore +3.0 (10)** The Baltimore Ravens let one slip away last week in a 34-33 home loss to the San Diego Chargers. They squandered a 30-20 lead late in the 4th quarter by allowing the Chargers to score a pair of touchdowns in the last 3:40 of the game, including the go ahead score with just 0:38 to play. On a positive note, the Ravens have shown amazing resiliency since John Harbaugh has taken over as their head coach. Baltimore has gone 24-6 since 11/1/2009 following a loss. Since 10/6/2013, the Dolphins are just 3-4 SU&ATS as a home favorite. Miami has also gone a miserable 9-26 ATS since the start of the 2003 season as a non-division home favorite, and has lost 17 of those 35-games straight up. Miami is coming off a come from behind 16-13 road win over the New York Jets on Monday night. Recent history isn’t on the Dolphins side in this matchup. Since 11/11/2012, teams coming off a Monday night road win have gone a horrible 1-16 ATS in their following game. Carrying that scenario one step further, if a team is an underdog of favorite of 7.0 or less in their next game following that Monday night road win, they’ve gone a pathetic 0-11 ATS during that same time frame, and lost 10 of those 11-games outright. Play on the Baltimore Ravens plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
11-30-14	Carolina Panthers +3 v. Minnesota Vikings	Top	13-31	Loss	-135	20 h 15 m	Show
Carolina @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 *Play On: Carolina +2.5 (10)** Any road favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less, playing in game 9 of the season or beyond, coming off a ATS win but a straight up loss in which they allowed 34-points or less, and has a winning percentage of .600 or less, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .100 or better, has gone 37-9 ATS (86%) since 1992. The road team also went 38-5 (88.4%) straight up on those contests. Play on the Carolina Panthers as a 10* Top Play selection.
11-27-14	Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys -3	Top	33-10	Loss	-115	19 h 31 m	Show
Philadelphia @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Game# 307-308 *Play On: Dallas -3.0 (10)** Any division home favorite (Dallas) playing in game 9 of the season or beyond, coming off an away favorite straight up win in which they failed to cover,, and they have a winning percentage of better than .625, versus an opponent that scored 16-points or more in their previous game, and they (Philadelphia) has a winning percentage of less than .750, has gone 17-1 ATS since 1992. The home team has won all 18 of those games straight up as well, and that's significant due to the small number we're being asked to cover. Play on the Dallas Cowboys as a 10* Top Play selection.
11-23-14	Arizona Cardinals v. Seattle Seahawks -7	Top	3-19	Win	100	21 h 55 m	Show
Arizona @ Seattle 4:05 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Seattle -7.0 This has the potential to be a statement game for the Seahawks, or could potentially put a severe damper in their postseason aspirations. Seattle is a perfect 7-0 straight up, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 at home following a loss. The Cardinals have gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an away underdog of 4.0 or more, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .400 to .700, and they lost those contests by an average of 22.4 points. This will also be a tough assignment for Cardinals backup quarterback Drew Stanton in what arguably is the most boisterous home crowd in the NFL. The line should tell you everything you need to know in this game. We have a 6-4 Seattle team as a touchdown favorite versus a 9-1 opponent. The books just don't give money away. Play on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points as a 10* best bet selection.
11-16-14	Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals	Top	6-14	Win	100	23 h 57 m	Show
Detroit @ Arizona 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 *Play On: Arizona (10)** Regardless of the Cardinals being without starting quarterback Carson Palmer, this is too much value for me to ignore. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 15 home games, and covered in 10 of those contests. As a matter of fact, Arizona has gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 non-division home games as a favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less, and won those 5 contests by an average of 11.8 points per contest. The Cardinals backup quarterback Drew Stanton takes over for the injured Palmer once again, and he's already 2-1 as a starter this season. The Lions have gone a dismal 3-20 ATS in their last 23-games as an away favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less. Any non-division home pick or favorite of 6.0 or less with a better than .333 winning percentage, coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite of 10.5 or less ATS win in which they covered by 8.0 or less, and they have a winning percentage of .555 or better, has gone 21-2 SU&ATS since 1983. Play on the Arizona Cardinals as a 10* Top Play selection.
11-13-14	Buffalo Bills +7 v. Miami Dolphins	Top	9-22	Loss	-140	25 h 12 m	Show
Buffalo @ Miami 8:20 PM ET Game# 309-310 *Play On: Buffalo +6.0 (10)** The Bills have been solid on the road this season going 3-1 SU&ATS, and all 4 of those games have came as an underdog. Buffalo leads the NFL with 34-sacks, and they will be facing a patchwork Miami offensive line. Buffalo has won 3 straight over Miami including a 29-10 lopsided victory over the Dolphins in week 2 at Ralph Wilson stadium. Miami has gone a dismal 1-15 ATS, and 2-14 straight up as a home favorite of 7.0 or less, coming off a loss, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .625. Any away underdog of 6.0 or less with a winning percentage of less than .666, coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they scored 13-points or less, and allowed 13-points or more, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .300 or better, coming off a loss, has gone 38-3 ATS (92.7%) since 1984. The underdog has won 27 of those 41-games outright. Play on the Buffalo Bills as a 10* Top Play selection.
11-09-14	NY Giants v. Seattle Seahawks -8	Top	17-38	Win	100	21 h 51 m	Show
Giants @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 *Play On: Seahawks -8.0 (10)** Seattle is due to really crush somebody, and the Giants are ripe for the taking. The G-Men were embarrassed on last Monday night before a national television audience in a 40-24 home loss to the Colts. It's no secret the Seahawks have vastly underachieved so far this season, and with the 2nd half of the season about to begin, I look for Pete Carroll's team to ratchet up the intensity. The Seahawks have one of the strongest home fields in the NFL right now, going 20-2 at Century Link Field since the start of the 2012 season. Contrarily, the Giants have gone 4-12 in their last 16 road games, including 0-5 SU&ATS in the last 5 when facing an opponent with a winning percentage of better than .600., and they lost those 5-games by an average of 22.0 points. Any home favorite of 8.0 to 11.5 playing in games 2 through 15 of the season, coming off a win in which they scored 30-points or more, and they've won 26 or less of their last 32 home games, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 10-points or more, and that opponent has a winning percentage of less than .545, has gone 30-3 ATS (90.9%) since 1997. Play on the Seahawks minus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
11-02-14	San Diego Chargers v. Miami Dolphins OVER 44.5	Top	0-37	Loss	-110	19 h 25 m	Show
San Diego @ Miami 1;00 PM ET Game# 451-452 *Play On: Over 44.5 (10)** The Chargers have gone over the total in their last 10-games as an away underdog following a straight up loss. The average total score of those 10-games was 64.5 points. The Dolphins have gone over the total in each of their 4 home games this season. The average score in those 4-games was 51.3 points. The Dolphins will definitely being attacking a banged up Chargers secondary. The Dolphins special teams coverage units have been poor to this point of the season. I look for Philip Rivers to have a huge game in this one, and Ryan Tannehill will do his share to help our cause. Any non-division away underdog with a total of 50.0 or less, coming off a game in which they scored 21 or more and allowed 35 or more, they went over the total of 48.0 or more in the previous game, has gone 12-0 over the total since 1980. Those 12-games have averaged 58.5 points per game. Play on the Chargers and Dolphins to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
10-26-14	Green Bay Packers v. New Orleans Saints -1	Top	23-44	Win	100	26 h 13 m	Show
Green Bay @ New Orleans 8:30 PM ET Game# 275-276 *Play On: New Orleans -1.0 (10)** Beware of a wounded animal, and the Saints are hurting, but are still extremely dangerous at home. New Orleans has gone a terrific 23-6 ATS in their last 29 as a home favorite, and that includes winning 25 of those 29 straight up. The Saints have gone a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS in the last 11 as a home favorite of 11.0 or less following a loss. They won those 8-games by an average of 20.0 per contest. The Saints are 2-0 at home so far in 2014, but have gone a dismal 0-4 on the road. Those losses are a bit deceiving since 3 of the 4 came by 3-points or less. New Orleans is one of a handful of teams that can go blow for blow offensively with the Packers. Any home favorite of 9.5 or less, versus an opponent that's gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3-games as a favorite in each of those contests, and they have at least 1- loss on the season, has gone 10-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home favorite won those 10-contests by an average of 14.4 points points per game. Play on the New Orleans Saints as a my 10* NFL Game of the Month.
10-19-14	Carolina Panthers v. Green Bay Packers -6.5	Top	17-38	Win	100	18 h 22 m	Show
Carolina @ Green Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 461-462 *Play On: Green Bay -6.5 (10)** The Packers have gone 15-2 ATS in their last 17-games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 13.0, and they scored 39-points or less in their previous game. They've also gone a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS in that same identical situation is they won straight up in their previous game, and they won those 9-games by an average of 27.8 points. The Panthers have managed to get off to a very good start to the season, despite a defense that's regressed dramatically compared to the stellar unit from a season ago. Any non-division home favorite of 5.0 or more that's gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3-games, they were a favorite in their previous game and scored 37-points or less, they've lost at least 1-game on the season, versus an opponent that has a winning percentage of better than .333, has gone 15-0 SU&ATS since 1981. The home favorite won those 15-games by an average of 21.9 points per game. Play on the Green Bay Packers minus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
10-16-14	NY Jets +10.5 v. New England Patriots	Top	25-27	Win	100	24 h 39 m	Show
Jets @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 303-304 *Play On: Jets +10.5 (10)** The weather forecast for game time is a a 90% chance of heavy thunderstorms and winds of 8 to 10 miles per hour. That definitely will affect the Patriots passing game. Running the ball hasn't been their calling card this season although they've had some moderate success at times. The Jets have been stout against the run this season ranking 8th best in the NFL. The vulnerability of the Jets stop unit is in their secondary, and the conditions may save that unit from being exposed. The Patriots huge win at Buffalo came at a heavy cost. They lost leading rusher Stevan Ridley for the year with a knee injury, along with their leading tackler Jerod Mayo who also suffered a season ending knee injury. This is one of those scenarios if it looks to good to be true, well than it is. Any division away underdog of 3.0 or more that has a win percentage of .500 or less, versus an opponent coming off a division away underdog straight up win in which they scored 13-points or more, in addition to covering by 10.0 or more, and it’s game 3 or beyond in the season, has gone 43-5 (89.6%) ATS since 1980. The underdog has also gone 24-24 straight up in those games.
10-12-14	Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cleveland Browns -1	Top	10-31	Win	100	21 h 8 m	Show
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 *Play On: Cleveland -1.0 (10)** The Browns will be riding the momentum from overcoming a 28-3 deficit at Tennessee last week to win 29-28. Speaking of comebacks, they were down 27-3 at the half in their season opener at Pittsburgh, rallied to tie the game, only to lose the game 30-27 on a field goal as time expired in the 4th quarter. As a matter of fact both Browns losses came in identical fashion, with the margin of victory being on a field goal in the final play of regulation time. The Steelers come off two unimpressive performances in a row. They're ripe for the taking. The Browns are battle tested with all 4 of their games decided by 3-points or less. Any division home favorite of 2.5 or less that's playing playing with revenge in addition to no rest, coming off a win by 22-points or less, they have a .500 or better winning percentage, versus an opponent coming off a win, has gone 21-1 straight up since 1987. The home favorite has also gone a very good 20-2 ATS in those 22-games. Play on the Cleveland Browns as a 10* Top Play selection.
10-05-14	Kansas City Chiefs v. San Francisco 49ers -5	Top	17-22	Push	0	20 h 56 m	Show
Kansas City @ San Francisco 4:25 ET Game# 471-472 Play On: San Francisco -5.0 (10) The Chiefs are coming off a pair of lopsided straight up underdog wins over the Dolphins and the Patriots. They're about to get a dose of reality when they travel to the west coast on Sunday to take on a 49ers. San Francisco played its best game of the early season last Sunday in a 26-21 wins over the Eagles. The 21-points that the Eagles scored last week was a bit deceiving. The scores came on a punt return, an interception return, and a blocked punt recovered in the end zone. The potent Eagles offense failed to account for any points in the game. As a matter of fact, they were held to a mere 11 first downs, and a paltry 213-yards of total offense. The 49ers also racked up 407-yards on offense, rushed for 218, and were a +3 in the turnover department. Any home favorite of 3.5 or more that's won 19 or more of their last 32-games, coming off a SU&ATS win, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they scored 22-points or more, and they have a .500 or better win percentage, has gone 25-5 ATS (83.3%) since 1985. Play on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points as a 10 Top Play selection.
09-28-14	Philadelphia Eagles v. San Francisco 49ers -4.5	Top	21-26	Win	100	24 h 51 m	Show
Eagles @ 49ers 4:25 PM ET Game#267-268 *Play On: 49ers -4.5 (10)** I expect that a lot of bettors have fell off the 49ers bandwagon. That's just the way I like it. Granted the 49ers have some deficiencies on defense compared to recent years. However this is still a very good football team, and is very capable of hanging a big number on the board offensively. After looking horrible in attempting to stop the run during their season opening loss to Buffalo, the 49ers have allowed an average of just 2.9 yards per rush in their previous 2-games. They hold a huge +2.9 rush differential over the Eagles heading into this game. The Eagles are coming off consecutive 3-point wins, and had to rally from 17-0 down in their season opener versus Jacksonville. I'm sure there will be many out there that are thinking they're getting an absolute steal with the Eagles this week. I'm not one of them. Any home favorite of 9.5 or less in game 4 of the season or beyond, coming off a straight up favorite loss, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they scored 35-points or more in their previous game, 16-1 SU&ATS since 1984. Play on the 49ers minus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
09-21-14	San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals +3	Top	14-23	Win	105	24 h 3 m	Show
San Francisco @ Arizona 4:05 PM ET Game# 471-472 *Play On: Arizona +3.0 (10)** The general public seems to think they're getting an absolute steal with the highly regarded 49ers, versus an opponent playing with a backup quarterback. However, to steal a familiar quote from ESPN college football analyst Lee Corso, "not so fast my friend". I said this last week, and I will say it again, the 49ers have flaws on the defensive side of the ball that wasn't apparent last season. They're secondary is extremely vulnerable, and the Cowboys Demarco Murray ran for 127-years against them in the season opener. San Francisco was a -4 turnover differential last week in route to blowing a 17-0 lead, and losing 28-20 against a banged up Bears team. They will be facing a Cardinals team that's gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a home underdog of 4.0 or less, and won those games by an average of 9.4 points. Any division home underdog of 5.0 or less, coming off an away underdog straight up win that the covered by 25.0 or less, and they've lost to their current opponent the last 3 or more times in a row, has gone 22-2 ATS since 1990. The underdog has won 18 of those 24-games outright. Play on the Arizona Cardinals plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
09-14-14	NY Jets +8.5 v. Green Bay Packers	Top	24-31	Win	100	44 h 11 m	Show
Jets @ Packers 4:25 ET Game# 273-274 *Play On: Jets +8.5 (10)** The Packers are much better than they showed against the Seahawks in their season opening blowout loss in front of a national audience. After all, they're not the first team that's looked less than average versus Pete Carroll's club in recent years. Contrarily, I also think the Jets are the type of defensive team that can give the potent offensive attack of the Packers some issues. I'm of the opinion that Rex Ryan's team is undervalued in this spot. This game will go down to the wire, I wouldn't be shocked if the Jets get the outright win, but I'll take the points as an additional bonus. Any away underdog of 2.0 to 9.5 versus an opponent that comes off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 35-points or more and failed to cover by 10.0 or more, they're playing in game 2 through 15 of the season, and has won 18 or more of their last 32-games, has gone 30-9 ATS since 1986. The underdog also won 20 of those 39-games outright. Play on the New York Jets plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
09-08-14	San Diego Chargers v. Arizona Cardinals -3	Top	17-18	Loss	-100	10 h 2 m	Show
San Diego @ Arizona 10:20 PM ET Game# 491-492 *Play On: Arizona -3.0 (10)** This game takes on an interesting story line. We have one team (Arizona) that has a chip on their shoulder after failing to make the playoffs a season ago despite winning 10-games. The other team sneaked into the playoffs with only 9-wins on the last day of the season when everything fell their way. This is a vastly underrated Cardinals team in my opinion that will be out to make a statement this evening in front of a national television audience. Arizona has gone 9-1 SU&ATS in their last 10 at home as an underdog or favorite of 3.0 or less. The Chargers are a dismal 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 as a regular season non-division road underdog of 6.5 or less. Any home favorite of 5.0 or less that's playing in their season opener, and they won 10 or more games in the previous season, versus an opponent that won 9-games or more in the previous year, has gone 27-9 (75%) ATS since the start of the 1987 season. Play on the Arizona Cardinals minus the small number as a 10* Top Play selection.
09-07-14	Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -1	Top	23-16	Loss	-120	72 h 39 m	Show
Cincinnati @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 473-474 *Play On: Baltimore -1.0 (10)** The Ravens have won their last 4 and 18 of the last 23-games against the Bengals. The Ravens have also gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6-games as a division home favorite or underdog of 6.0 or less, and when playing in their first 7-games of the season. The Bengals are a dismal 1-7 in their last 8, and 2-10 in the last 12 road games versus a division foe. Any division home favorite of 3.0 or less that's playing in their regular season opening game, and they won 8 or more games in the previous season, has gone 17-1 SU&ATS since 1990. Play on the Baltimore Ravens as a 10* Top Play selection.
09-04-14	Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks -5	Top	16-36	Win	100	81 h 40 m	Show
Green Bay @ Seattle 8:30 PM ET Game# 461/462 *Play On: Seattle -5.0 (10)** The Seahawks have been the most dominant team in the NFL over the last 2-seasons. They've gone a stellar 17-1 at Century Link Field and have covered 13 of those 18-games. As a matter of fact, as a home favorite of 7.5 or less, they've gone a perfect 6-0 SU& ATS in their last 6-games, and won those 6 by an average of 22.0 points per game. You also may be surprised to know that the Packers have gone a dismal 1-8 SU&ATS in their last 9-games as an underdog. Thursday night opening game home favorites have gone a perfect 10-0 straight up, and a very profitable 6-1-3 ATS since the inception of the annual affair. Since the 2004 season, Thursday night non-division home favorites of 4.0 or more have gone a superb 16-5 ATS (76.2%), and have won 20 of the 21-games straight up. Play on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
02-02-14	Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos -2	Top	43-8	Loss	-113	27 h 10 m	Show
In my humble opinion the #1 offense of Denver, versus the #1 defense of Seattle, will cancel each other out. The Broncos defense has played far better than the Seattle offense down the stretch of the regular season, and in the playoffs. Giving Peyton Manning 2 weeks to prepare in any situation isn't good for an opposing defense, let alone in a game of this magnitude. Any Super Bowl favorite of 12.0 or less and a total of 47.0 or more, and their coming off a home favorite ATS win, has gone 5-0 SU&ATS since 1984. They've won those 5-games by an average of 20.4 points per game. Play on the Denver Broncos as a 10* Best Bet selection.
01-19-14	San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -3	Top	17-23	Win	100	47 h 56 m	Show
The Seahawks are 8-1 at home this season, and dating back to last they've gone 16-1 in their last 17 at Seattle. Included in those home victories were a pair of wins versus the 49ers winning 29-3 this season, and 42-13 in 2012. Both of those wins came before a national prime time audience. This will be the same, with the only difference being the stakes are much higher. Seattle is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS the last years in the 2nd half of the season versus opponents that average 130 or more yards per game rushing. San Francisco is coming off 2 straight playoff road wins to advance the the NFC Championship Game. The postseason hasn't been kind to teams that have taken a similar path. As a matter of fact playoff away underdogs of between 3.5 to 7.0, that come of 2 playoff road wins in a row, have gone 0-6 SU & ATS since the beginning of the 1987 season. In addition the 49ers have caught two very fortunate draws in the first 2 rounds the this seasons playoffs. They defeated a mediocre at best Green Bay team, who won the NFC North pretty much by default, after both Detroit and Chicago fell apart down the stretch. The last week they defeated a Carolina team that overachieved this season, and had very little playoff experience on their roster. Any home favorite of between 3.5 to 10.0 that has a winning record on the season, versus an opponent coming off 2 straight road wins in their previous 2- games, has gone 24-5 ATS (82.8%) since the beginning of the 1983 season. Play on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points as a 10* Best Bet selection.
01-11-14	Indianapolis Colts v. New England Patriots -7	Top	22-43	Win	100	23 h 10 m	Show
This is a New England team that's gone 40-6 in their last 46, and 58-9 in their last 67 home games under the guidance of head coach Bill Belichick. The Patriots are also 11-1 in their last 12 home games following a bye week under Belichick. There's no doubt that the Colts have been a whole different team since Andrew Luck came into the picture in 2012. However, they're still a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS on the road during that period versus an opponent with a winning record. Their comeback versus Kansas City last week was of epic proportions. In my opinion they will be emotionally spent this week on the road, versus an opponent that's rested, and in one of the more tougher stadiums to win at in the NFL. Any home favorite or more that's playing in game 11 of the season or beyond, and they have a better than .666 winning percentage, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win, and they have a winning record on the season, has gone 20-1 ATS since the beginning of the 1981 season. If that home favorite of 4.0 or more is coming off a bye week, they improve to 11-0 SU&ATS, and win by an average of 21.6 points per game, since the beginning of the 1980 season. Play on the New England Patriots minus the points as a 10* Best Bet selection.
01-05-14	San Francisco 49ers -2.5 v. Green Bay Packers	Top	23-20	Win	100	25 h 40 m	Show
Any favorite or underdog of 2.5 or less (San Francisco) that's playing in game 15 of the season or beyond, that's coming off a division away win by 16-points or less, versus an opponent (Green Bay) coming off a win, has gone 14-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1992 season. The average margin of victory in those 14-games is 12.5 points. Any away favorite with a winning percentage of .600 or better that's playing in game 9 of the season or beyond, they've won 15 or more of their last 32-games, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored 42-points or less, and that opponent has a less than .600 winning percentage, has gone 10-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1999 season. The away team won those 10-games by an average of 13.0 points. Any favorite or underdog of 2.5 or less (San Francisco), that comes off an away win by 3-points or less, they're playing in game 10 of the season or beyond, they have a winning percentage of between .600 to .750, versus an opponent (Green Bay) with a winning record, has gone 7-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1992 season. The average margin of victory in those 7-games was 16.4 points. Play on the San Francisco 49ers as a 10* Best Bet selection.
01-05-14	San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5	Top	27-10	Loss	-110	21 h 6 m	Show
The Bengals are 8-0 SU&ATS at home this season with a huge +17.7 point per game differential. Going back to last season they're 11-1 SU&ATS in their last 12 at Paul Brown Stadium. The Chargers are extremely fortunate to be in the playoffs. The early start time, and cold weather, will be a major nuisance for a west coast team like the Chargers. Any playoff non-division home favorite of 5.0 or more that's playing in game 17 of the season, that's coming off a division win by 6-points or more, versus an opponent playing with revenge, and that opponent has a winning percentage of less than .647, has gone 8-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. The home favorite has won those 8 playoff games by an average of 28.9 points per game. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points as a 10* Best Bet selection.
01-04-14	New Orleans Saints v. Philadelphia Eagles -2	Top	26-24	Loss	-110	23 h 14 m	Show
You may be surprised to know the Saints are 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 as an away underdog, after allowing 13-points or more in their previous game. All of those contests have taken place since 10/28/2012. The Eagles are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4-games as a pick or favorite of 3.0 or less, and won those 4-games by an average of 25.0 points per game. After enduring an 0-10 SU&ATS stretch at home, the Eagles have followed that up by winning their last 4 in the "City of Brotherly Love". They won those 4-games by an average of 17.0 points per game. Any home favorite or underdog of 2.5 or less playing in game 15 of the season or beyond, and is coming off a division away straight up win, has gone 17-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1989 season. The home team won those 17-games by an average of 11.7 points per game. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles as a 10* Best Bet selection.
12-29-13	San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals +1	Top	23-20	Loss	-105	25 h 13 m	Show
Arizona is 9-1 SU&ATS in their last 10-games as a home favorite or underdog of 3.5 or less. If they're facing an opponent coming off a win in that exact previously mentioned situation, then they improve to 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7, and all of those contests have taken place since 11/6/2011. Any division home favorite or underdog of 2.5 or less with a winning record, that's playing in game 13 of the season or beyond, and is coming off an away underdog straight up win is 8-0 SU&ATS since 1992. The home team won those 8-games by an average of 12.4 points per game. Play on the Arizona Cardinals as a 10* Best Bet selection.
12-22-13	Minnesota Vikings v. Cincinnati Bengals -8	Top	14-42	Win	100	19 h 33 m	Show
The Bengals are 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 home games winning by an average of 14.6 points per game. Cincinnati is also a very dominant 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3-games as a favorite following a loss, and won those contests by an average of 18.0 points per game. The Vikings are a dismal 3-14 ATS and 2-15 straight up in their last 17 road games, after allowing 24-points or more in their previous game. Any non-division home favorite of 3.5 or more that's coming off an away favorite straight up loss, they're playing in game 4 of the season or beyond, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they scored 17-points or more, and they have a winning percentage of .200 or better, has gone 8-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. The home favorite has won those 8-games by an average of 16.8 points per game. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points as my 10* "NFL Blowout Game of the Week".
12-15-13	San Francisco 49ers -5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Top	33-14	Win	100	14 h 44 m	Show
Any regular season away favorite of 5.5 or less that allowed 25-points or less in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win that they covered by 19.0 points or less, and they've won 15 or less of their last 32-games is 21-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1994 season. The away favorite won those 21-games by an average of 11.7 points per game. Play on the San Francisco 49ers as a 5* selection.
12-08-13	Carolina Panthers +3.5 v. New Orleans Saints	Top	13-31	Loss	-105	20 h 3 m	Show
Carolina @ New Orleans 8:30 ET Play On: Carolina +3.5 (10) Any away underdog playing in game 9 of the season or beyond that's coming off a home favorite ATS win that they covered by 27.0 or less, versus an opponent coming off an non-division away underdog ATS loss by 13-points or more, and they have a better than .333 winning percentage is 16-2 ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. Play on the Carolina Panthers plus the points as a 10 Best Bet selection.
12-05-13	Houston Texans -3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars	Top	20-27	Loss	-110	32 h 3 m	Show
This line speaks volumes when you have a favorite that has lost 10-games in a row like the Texans have.In addition this is a Jacksonville team that gone 1-11 straight up, and 2-10 ATS at home since the beginning of the 2012 season. I can even tighten that up further by telling you that they're 0-8 SU&ATS in that same time span, when installed as a non-division home underdog of 13.0 or less. The Jaguars have lost those 8-games by a whopping 22.2 points per game. Any away favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less in game 9 of the season or beyond, that comes off a straight up loss in which they allowed 19-points or more, and they covered that game as an underdog, versus an opponent that allowed 38-points or less in their previous game is 41-5 ATS (89.1%) since the beginning of the 1980 season. The away team also won 40 of those 46-games straight up. Play on the Houston Texans as a 10* Best Bet selection.
12-02-13	New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -5.5	Top	7-34	Win	100	7 h 43 m	Show
The Seahawks have arguably the best home field advantage in the entire NFL. The Seahawks have gone a perfect 13-0 at home since the start of the 2012 season, and covered 10 of those 13 contests. In that same time span, if they're a home favorite or underdog of 10.0 or less, then they improve to 8-0 SU&ATS while winning by an average of 22.5 points per game. Any regular season home favorite of 4.5 or more that comes off back-to-back favorite ATS win, they have a winning percentage of .866 or better, and they scored 45-points or less in their previous game, and the game isn't being played on a Sunday is 12-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. The home favorite won those 12-games by an average of 22.3 points per game. Play on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points as a 10* Best Bet selection.
12-01-13	Miami Dolphins +2.5 v. NY Jets	Top	23-3	Win	100	20 h 41 m	Show
The Dolphins have seen 4 of their 6 losses come by 4-0 points or less. They're much better than their 5-6 record may indicate. The Dolphins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6-games versus the Jets. The Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7-games versus opponents with a losing record, including 0-4 ATS in the last 4 at home in that role. The Jets rookie starting quarterback Geno Smith has been horrible in his last 3 starts. Smith has completed a pathetic 39.1% of his pass attempts for 0 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Any away underdog or favorite of 3.0 or less that comes off a straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog, they're playing in game 5 of the season or beyond, and they have a winning percentage or better is 32-5 ATS (86.5%) since the beginning of the 1992 season. Play on the Miami Dolphins as a 10* Best Bet selection.
11-24-13	Indianapolis Colts v. Arizona Cardinals -3	Top	11-40	Win	100	20 h 16 m	Show
One team is better than their record may indicate, and the other isn't as good in that regard. The Colts have stole a couple of games this season they probably didn't deserve to win. The Cardinals have flown under the radar with no pun intended. The Arizona defense may be the most underrated stop unit in the NFL. Carson Palmer is finally starting to show his with after a shaky start to the season.The Cardinals are 8-2 SU&ATS in their last 8 as a home favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less versus an opponent coming off a win, and who has a winning percentage of better than .666. Any home favorite of 3.5 or less that comes off an away favorite ATS win and has a winning percentage of less than .750, they've won 22 or less of their last 32-games, versus an opponent coming off a road win. and they have a winning percentage of .700 or better is 8-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1987 season. The home favorite has won those 8-games by an average of 14.4 points per game. Play on the Arizona Cardinals as a 10* Best Bet selection.
11-18-13	New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers -1	Top	20-24	Win	100	6 h 5 m	Show
Any Monday night non-division home favorite of 5.0 or less that comes off a straight up win, and has a winning percentage of better than .545 is 36-8 ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. Play on the Carolina Panthers as a 10* Best Bet selection.
11-17-13	Kansas City Chiefs +7.5 v. Denver Broncos	Top	17-27	Loss	-110	21 h 17 m	Show
Any undefeated team in game 10 of the season or beyond, and they're facing a division opponent has won all 16-games outright since the beginning of the 1980 season. Any away underdog of 4.5 or more that comes off an away favorite ATS win that they covered by 3.0 or more, versus an opponent with a less than .900 winning percentage, and they're coming off an away favorite ATS win is 8-0 ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. Play on the Kansas City Chiefs plus the points as amy10* Sunday Night Game of the Year.
11-17-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Chicago Bears -3	Top	20-23	Push	0	14 h 44 m	Show
Any home favorite of 3.5 or less that comes off a home underdog ATS loss, and they're playing in prior to game 14 of the season, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win is 9-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. The home favorite won those 9-games by an average of 14.3 points per game. Any non-division home favorite of 5.0 or less coming off home underdog ATS loss, that has a less than .600 winning percentage, and they're playing in game 6 of the season or beyond, versus an opponent coming off a win, and has a winning percentage of .200 or more is 14-0 SU&ATS since the beginning of the 1980 season. The home favorite won those 14-games by an average of 12.2 points per game. Play on the Chicago Bears minus the points as a 10* Best Bet selection.
11-10-13	Houston Texans v. Arizona Cardinals -3	Top	24-27	Push	0	23 h 46 m	Show
This is a tale of two teams headed in polar opposite directions. The Cardinals are legitimate playoff contenders in the NFL, while the Texans are developing into the poster team pretender. Carson Palmer is coming off his best game by far with his new team. The Cardinals are 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8-games as a home favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less versus an opponent with a losing record. The Texans are 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6-games as an away underdog of 5.0 or less following a loss by 14-points or less. Any home favorite of 11.5 or less that's coming off a bye week and in their previous game they covered as a home favorite, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS loss is 11-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2000 season. The home favorite won those 11-games by an average of 20.5 points per game. Play on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points as a 10* Best Bet selection.
11-03-13	Pittsburgh Steelers +7 v. New England Patriots	Top	31-55	Loss	-115	17 h 29 m	Show
As disaapointing a start to the season that the Steelers have had they
10-28-13	Seattle Seahawks -11.5 v. St Louis Rams	Top	14-9	Loss	-110	9 h 50 m	Show
The Rams suffered a crushing blow to their season in their previous game when Sam Bradford injured his knee and was ruled out for the season. There's a huge drop off from Bradford to backup Kellen Clemens which will be even more evident versus a suffocating Seattle defense. The novelty of the Rams hosting their first Monday night game since 2006 is diminished by the fact the Cardinals will be hosting game 5 of the World Series tonight. Seattle has shed the tag of being a team that can just win at home. The Seahawks have won 6 of their last 8 road games, including going a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 when playing an opponent with a less than .750 winning percentage. Seattle has owned St. Louis over the last 8 seasons winning 14 of the 16 meetings between these two clubs. Seattle comes off an impressive win on the road versus an underrated Arizona Cardinals team. The Seahawks easily covered that contest as a 4.5 point favorite winning 34-22. History is on Seattle's side as away favorites of 4.5 or more, that come off an away favorite ATS win, and have a winning percentage of better than .846 are a very profitable 30-12 ATS (71.4%) since the start of the 1980 season. That exact scenario has been even stronger since 2003 as the away favorite of 4.5 or more has gone an excellent 14-2 ATS. Any division road favorite of 6.0 or more that comes off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 3.0 or more, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss is 9-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The road favorite won those 9-games by an average of 15.4 points per game. Play on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points as a 10* Best Bet selection.
10-27-13	Atlanta Falcons v. Arizona Cardinals -1	Top	13-27	Win	100	26 h 29 m	Show
Forget what happened in the Cardinals last game versus Seattle. The Seahawks will make a lot of teams look bad this season. This is a vastly underrated Arizona defense. Carson Palmer won't be pressured anything like he was versus Seattle, nor will he be facing as good a secondary this week. The Cardinals are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5-games as a home underdog or favorite of 3.0 or less, versus an opponent coming off a win. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 as an away underdog or favorite of 2.5 or less. Any home favorite of 3.0 or less that comes off back-to-back underdog ATS losses versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win is 5-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home team won those 5-games by an average of 14.0 points per game.
10-20-13	Cincinnati Bengals v. Detroit Lions -1	Top	27-24	Loss	-125	23 h 6 m	Show
I haven
10-13-13	New Orleans Saints v. New England Patriots -1	Top	27-30	Win	100	15 h 42 m	Show
It
10-13-13	Green Bay Packers v. Baltimore Ravens +3	Top	19-17	Win	100	11 h 15 m	Show
The Ravens were in a similar situation a few weeks back versus Houston and handed the Texans their behinds. This is a Ravens franchise that
10-06-13	New England Patriots v. Cincinnati Bengals +1	Top	6-13	Win	100	21 h 10 m	Show
The Bengals have been solid at home dating back to last season going 5-1 SU&ATS in their last 6 including 2-0 SU&ATS this season. They were caught in a flat spot a week ago as a division road favorite versus a perceived weak team after 2 stirring home wins over Green Bay and Pittsburgh. They will be focused and hungry versus the undefeated Patriots this week and will relish the role as a home underdog. The Patriots comes off an impressive Sunday night win at Atlanta last week. However, I firmly believe this team isn
09-29-13	Cincinnati Bengals v. Cleveland Browns +4	Top	6-17	Win	100	25 h 18 m	Show
The Browns come off a confidence building upset win at Minnesota a week ago. The insertion of quarterback Brian Hoyer seemed to breathe new life into an offense that was anemic in the first 2 games of the season. Cincinnati comes off two big home wins versus Pittsburgh in a Monday night nationally televised game, then last week's stirring come from behind win versus Green Bay in which they overcame a 16-point 2nd half deficit. With another marquee game versus New England next week I fully expect the Bengals to be flat in this spot. Any division home underdog of 8.0 or less that comes off a straight up win, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog of +9.5 or less straight up win in which they scored 38-points or less is 13-0 ATS since 1985. The home underdog won 12 of those 13 games outright. Any home underdog of 3.0 or more coming off an away underdog straight up win, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win is 4-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home underdog won all 4-game straight up by an average of 6.3 points per game. Play on the Cleveland Browns plus the points as a 10* Best Bet.
09-15-13	Denver Broncos v. NY Giants +5	Top	41-23	Loss	-105	21 h 21 m	Show
The Giants have been an absolute cash cow as an underdog with Tom Coughlin as their head coach. New York is an extremely profitable 25-13 ATS since the start of the 2007 season when cast into the role of an underdog, including 8-2 SU&ATS in the last 10. Despite turning the ball over 5 times in last week's opening game loss at Dallas the Giants still had a chance in the final minutes to pull the game out. Denver looked magnificent especially on offense in their season opening rout of Baltimore. Unfortunately for them history isn't on their side. Teams that open their season on a Thursday night with a win are 0-6 ATS all time in the following week. I wouldn't be the least bit shocked to get the outright win in this one but I will gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Play on the New York Giants as a 10* Best Bet selection.
02-03-13	Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers -3.5	Top	34-31	Loss	-108	105 h 43 m	Show
Baltimore has had an epic run to the Super Bowl winning 3 straight playoff games including 2 in a row on the road. We mustn
02-03-13	Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 47	Top	34-31	Win	100	104 h 52 m	Show
Baltimore vs. San Francisco 6:30 ET Play On: Over 47.0 The 49ers have gone over the total in their last 6 games and 9 of their last 10. The Ravens have gone over the total in 7 of their last 8 games as an underdog with a total of 48.5 and after scoring 32 points or less in their previous game. The average combined score in those 8 games was 53.9. The Ravens have allowed 398 yards or more to all 3 of this year's playoff opponents. Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that comes off 3 or more ATS wins in a row, they are playing in game 8 of the season or beyond, they scored 33 points or less in their previous game, they have a winning record, versus an opponent who allowed 26 points or less in their previous game, and they also have a winning record has seen 22 of those 27 games (81.5%) go over the total since the start of the 2007 season. Since the 1989 Super Bowl any favorite who went over the total in their previous 2 games has seen all 4 of those games go over the total with an average combined score of 53.5. Play on this game to go over the total.
01-20-13	Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -8.5	Top	28-13	Loss	-110	121 h 50 m	Show
Any playoff home favorite of 8.0 or more that's playing with revenge and has a winning percentage of .777 or less, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .705 is 10-0 SU&ATS since the 1980 playoffs. The home favorite won those 10 games by an average of 17.6 points per game. Any non-division home favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 that's playing in game 9 of the season or beyond that has a winning record on the season, versus an opponent coming off a SU underdog win by 7 points or less, and they also have a winning record on the season is 24-6 ATS since the start of the 1984 season. If the home favorite is playing with revenge this angle improves to a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS since the start of 1984 with an average margin of victory by 17.1 points per game. Play on the New England Patriots minus the points.
01-20-13	San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons +4.5	Top	28-24	Win	100	117 h 22 m	Show
The Falcons are 38-8 SU in their last 46 home games. If you factor in the fact they're the home underdog, the amount of points they're receiving, and the magnitude of this contest it adds up to a ton of value. In addition Atlanta will have a huge chip on their shoulders considering in spite of their 14-3 record on the year they've not been shown the respect that usually comes along with that kind of year. In addition the general public has had a tendency to fade the Falcons all season and most especially in the latter part of the year. Any home underdog in game 9 of the season or beyond that has a winning percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win, and they have a winning percentage of less than .777 is 6-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home underdog won all 8 of those games outright by an average of 13.7 points per game. Any playoff home underdog with a winning percentage of .700 or better, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .777 is 5-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home underdog won all 5 of those games outright by an average of 15.6 points per game. Play on the Atlanta Falcons plus the points.
01-13-13	Houston Texans +10 v. New England Patriots	Top	28-41	Loss	-110	27 h 52 m	Show
Any away underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 playing in game 8 of the season or beyond, versus a team that outgained their previous opponent by 150 yards or more, and both teams in this contest average 0.4 or more yards per play is 30-7 ATS (81.1%) since the start of the 1983 season. Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 that's playing with revenge from a game in which their opponent scored 28 points or more, they are playing in game 9 of the season or beyond, and they have a winning record on the season is 24-4 ATS (85.7%) since the start of the 2003 season. Play on the Houston Texans plus the points.
01-13-13	Seattle Seahawks v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 45.5	Top	28-30	Win	100	23 h 21 m	Show
Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that comes off 2 or more unders in a row, and they're allowing 17 or less points per game on the season has seen 27 of those 32 games (84.4%) go over the total since the start of the 2008 season. Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that allows 4.5 yards or more per rush, and they gained 99 yards or less rushing in each of the last 2 games has seen 39 of those 54 games (72.2%) go over the total since the start of the 2008 season.
01-12-13	Green Bay Packers +3 v. San Francisco 49ers	Top	31-45	Loss	-125	52 h 33 m	Show
Green Bay @ San Francisco 8:00 ET Play On: Green Bay +3.0 Green Bay is a perfect 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite or underdog of 6.5 or less versus opponents with a better than .600 winning percentage. The Packers have won those 10 games by an average of 12.9 points per game. This is a Green Bay team that's peaking at the right time and became very healthy at playoff time. San Francisco hasn't been as dominate late in the year as they were early on. The 49ers rely heavily on a staunch defense and that unit has been very good for the better part of the year. However over their last 3 games they allowed an average of 29.7 points and 376.0 yards per game. This will be the first career playoff start for 49ers quarterback Colin Kapernick. Contrarily the Packers Aaron Rodgers has plenty of playoff experience including a Super Bowl championship. During that Super Bowl run the Packers are able to win all 3 playoff games on the road to get to the big game. Any away underdog or favorite of 3.0 or less in game 8 of the season or beyond that's coming off a SU win by 7 points or more, and both teams in this game have a .600 to .750 winning percentage is 12-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2003 season. Play on the Green Bay Packers plus the points.
01-06-13	Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins +3	Top	24-14	Loss	-120	45 h 13 m	Show
This is a Seattle franchise that's 1-16 SU in their last 17 road games following a SU win and versus a team with a better than .300 winning percentage. Yet the Seahawks find themselves as a road favorite in a playoff game versus a team that's reeled off 7 wins in a row. The Redskins are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 4.0 or less winning by an average of 9.3 points per game. Any home playoff team coming off 6 or more SU wins in a row, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .700 is 10-0 SU since the start of the 1990 playoffs. The home team won those 10 games outright by an average of 15.4 points per game. Any playoff underdog of 6.0 or less that comes off 7 or more SU wins in a row that has a winning percentage of less than .857, they scored 38 points or less in their previous game, versus an opponent that allowed 10 points or more in their previous game is 9-0 SU&ATS since 1981. The underdog won all 9 of those games outright by an average of 11.6 points per game. Play on the Washington Redskins plus the points.
01-06-13	Indianapolis Colts v. Baltimore Ravens -6.5	Top	9-24	Win	100	42 h 44 m	Show
Indy enters this game having won 5 of their last 6 regular season games on the way to a shocking 11-5 record. The Ravens still won the AFC North in spite of losing 4 of their last 5 games. In spite of all that the books have deemed the Ravens a touchdown favorite. Rest assured it's not Christmas in Las Vegas and the books aren't handing out gifts. Baltimore will get a huge emotional lift with the return of veteran linebacker and inspirational leader Ray Lewis. Lewis has already indicated that he will be retiring at the end of this season. That motivation in addition to one of the better home field advantages in the NFL will pay huge dividends. Any non-division playoff home favorite of 4.0 or more versus an opponent coming off a home underdog SU win, and has a winning percentage of better than .625 is 11-0 SU&ATS since 1984. The favorite has won those 11 games by an average of 18.9 points per game. Play on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points.
01-05-13	Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers -7.5	Top	10-24	Win	100	25 h 50 m	Show
Any playoff home favorite of 4.5 or more that has a winning percentage of better than .666, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog SU win is 14-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1983 season. The favorite won those 14 games by an average of 19.3 points per game. Any playoff home favorite of 5.5 or more that's playing with revenge versus an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .705 is 6-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home favorite won those 6 games by an average of 15.8 points per game. Any home favorite that comes off a SU favorite loss in which they failed to cover by 7.0 or less, versus an opponent with a less than .700 winning percentage is 6-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home favorite won those 6 games by an average of 19.8 points per game. Play on the Green Bay packers minus the points.
12-30-12	Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings +3.5	Top	34-37	Win	100	20 h 5 m	Show
Any home underdog of 6.0 or less with a winning percentage of less than .666 that's playing with revenge, and they're coming off a SU underdog win by 14 points or less is 8-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2003 season. The home underdog won all 8 of those games outright by an average of 11.7 ppg. Play on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points. Any home underdog of 4.0 or more with a winning percentage of .461 or better that's playing in their last home game of the season, versus an opponent that's coming off a SU&ATS win that they covered by 7.0 or more, and they have a winning percentage of better than .571 is 14-1 SU&ATS since the start of the 1988 season. Play on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points.
12-30-12	Houston Texans -6.5 v. Indianapolis Colts	Top	16-28	Loss	-110	17 h 41 m	Show
Any away favorite of 3.0 or more that's coming off a SU loss by 27 points or less versus an opponent playing in game 4 of the season or beyond, and they're coming off an away favorite ATS win is 10-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1984 season. The away favorite has won those 10 games by an average of 18.2 ppg. Play on the Houston Texans minus the points.
12-23-12	Minnesota Vikings v. Houston Texans -7.5	Top	23-6	Loss	-110	19 h 5 m	Show
Any non-division home favorite of between 3.5 to 10.0 that's playing in game 9 of the season or beyond that scored 36 or less and gave up 7 or more in their previous game, versus an opponent with a winning record who comes off a SU underdog win in which they scored 16 or more is 29-5 ATS since the start of the 1983 season. Any home favorite versus an opponent that's coming off BB SU underdog wins the last of which they scored 36 points or more, and they've won 18 or less of their last 32 games is 8-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1989 season. The home favorite won those 8 games by an average of 19.5 points per game. Play on the Houston Texans minus the points.
12-23-12	New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys -1	Top	34-31	Loss	-125	18 h 55 m	Show
Any home favorite of 9.5 or less playing in game 8 of the season or beyond that comes off a SU win, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS shutout win is 16-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1984 season. The home favorite won those 16 games by an average of 15.2 points per game. Any home favorite or home underdog of 3.0 or less that's playing in game 4 of the season or beyond, they have a less than .666 winning percentage, they allowed 36 points or less in their previous game, versus an opponent that covered by 21 points or more in their previous game and scored 20 points or more is 19-1 SU&ATS since the start of the 2004 season. Play on the Dallas Cowboys.
12-23-12	Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3	Top	13-10	Loss	-115	18 h 52 m	Show
Any division home favorite of 7.5 or less that comes off BB SU favorite losses the last of which was by 8 points or less, they have a less than .600 winning percentage, versus an opponent that won 10 or more of their last 32 games is 15-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1985 season. The home favorite won those 15 games by an average of 13.8 ppg. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points.
12-17-12	NY Jets +1 v. Tennessee Titans	Top	10-14	Loss	-103	7 h 8 m	Show
Somehow the Jets find themselves right in the thick of the AFC Wild Card race. They do need some help over the last 2 weeks from notably opponents of the Steelers and Bengals. However one thing is certain it will all be a moot point if they don't win out. If this game was played 4 or 5 weeks ago the Jets would've been anywhere for a 3.0 to 4.0 point favorite. In spite of their struggles they are still the superior team in this contest and coupling that with the degree of urgency it adds up to a winner! Any Monday night home favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less with a winning percentage of less than .363, they allowed 28 points or less in their previous game, versus an opponent with a losing record is 0-8 ATS since 1980. The home team is also 0-7-1 SU in those 8 games. Play on the New York Jets.
12-16-12	Carolina Panthers v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 45	Top	31-7	Win	100	24 h 27 m	Show
Any home team with a total between 42.5 and 49.0 coming off a road game in which both teams scored 24 points or more and their playing in game 15 of the season or before, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of less than .750, and they scored 13 points or more in their previous game has seen 33 of those 37 (89.2%) go under the total since the start of the 2004 season. Play on this game to go under the total.
12-16-12	Denver Broncos v. Baltimore Ravens +3	Top	34-17	Loss	-105	23 h 29 m	Show
The Ravens need to stop the bleeding and will be in urgent mode to do so. This is a Baltimore team that
12-16-12	Minnesota Vikings v. St. Louis Rams -1	Top	36-22	Loss	-135	21 h 23 m	Show
The Rams come in with a ton of confidence and are still alive in the NFC wild Card race. Minnesota is a paltry 5-21 SU in their last 26 road games including 1-12 in the last 13 following a SU win. Christian Ponder has steadily regressed at quarterback and has no help at the receiver position. The Rams defense will play 8 men in the box to slow down Adrian Peterson and force Ponder to beat them. Any home favorite of 3.5 or less coming off BB SU underdog wins with the last coming by 10 points or less, they
12-13-12	Cincinnati Bengals v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 45	Top	34-13	Win	100	34 h 37 m	Show
The Eagles rookie quarterback Nick Foles seems to be coming of age in his last 2 starts completing 54 of 85 pass attempts (63.5%) for 3 touchdowns and no picks. The Eagles have gone over the total in their last 4 home games this season with an average combined score of 52.3 ppg. The Bengals have been dominating defensively at home but very average on the road. In the Bengals 6 road games the average combined total score has been 48.0 ppg. Any road team with a total of 42.5 or more that
12-10-12	Houston Texans v. New England Patriots -5.5	Top	14-42	Win	100	6 h 11 m	Show
The weather forecast calls for this game to be played in less than ideal conditions which will obviously favor the Patriots in that regard. There are two premier bad weather quarterbacks in the NFL one of them plays in Green Bay (Aaron Rodgers) and the other is Tom Brady of New England. This line jumped right off the board at me considering you have an 11-1 team this late in the season, as an underdog of this size, and they
12-09-12	Arizona Cardinals +10 v. Seattle Seahawks	Top	0-58	Loss	-110	45 h 26 m	Show
Any road underdog of 12.5 or less off a road SU loss in which they covered the spread, they
12-09-12	Tennessee Titans v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 48	Top	23-27	Loss	-123	42 h 8 m	Show
These two teams have seen their last 4, 7 of their last 8, and 11 of their last 13 meetings all go under the total. The Colts have gone under the total in their last 10 games versus division opponents. The Colts have been installed as a favorite just 4 times this year prior to this week and all 4 of those contests have gone under the total. Any division home favorite with a total of 42.5-49.0 that
12-09-12	Baltimore Ravens v. Washington Redskins OVER 47	Top	28-31	Win	100	42 h 6 m	Show
The Ravens are no longer that dominating defensive team they have been in years past. However offensively they are more dynamic in every aspect. The Redskins have been stellar against the run but versus the pass they are one of the worst statistically in the NFL. What more can you say about the Redskins prized rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. He has brought an element to the offense that makes it quite difficult for opposing defenses to stop. Any road team off a SU favorite loss in which they allowed 30 points or less, they have a winning record, and the total is between 42.5-49.0 has seen 31 of those 38 games go over the total since the start of the 2008 season. Play on this game to go over the total.
12-09-12	Philadelphia Eagles +9 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Top	23-21	Win	100	42 h 6 m	Show
Any road underdog of 12.5 or less off a road SU loss in which they covered the spread, they
12-09-12	Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers +3.5	Top	20-30	Win	100	42 h 5 m	Show
Any home team playing with revenge in a division game and they
12-06-12	Denver Broncos v. Oakland Raiders +11	Top	26-13	Loss	-115	8 h 49 m	Show
If it looks too easy in sports wagering the vast majority of the time it
12-03-12	NY Giants v. Washington Redskins +3	Top	16-17	Win	100	8 h 26 m	Show
Any Monday night home underdog of 4.0 or less that
12-02-12	Seattle Seahawks +3.5 v. Chicago Bears	Top	23-17	Win	100	18 h 50 m	Show
I am not sold on the inconsistent play of the Bears this season. They can look like one of the top five teams in the NFL one week and the next you would think your watching a different club. Seattle has shown a ton of resiliency and character under Pete Carroll. This will be another one of those spots that will be displayed. Any road underdog of 4.5 or less that's coming off a road SU loss by 20 points or less and has a winning percentage of less than .555, they're playing in game 13 of the season, and they've won 13 or more of their last 32 games is 18-3 ATS since the start of the 2003 season. The underdog has won 16 of those 21 games outright. Play on Seattle plus the points.
12-02-12	Minnesota Vikings +9.5 v. Green Bay Packers	Top	14-23	Win	100	18 h 49 m	Show
The Packers are still quite banged up and were exposed last week versus the Giants. I look for Adrian Peterson to have a huge game and that will just make life easier for quarterback Christian Ponder who's struggled mightily at times this season. This is way too many points in this contest. Any away underdog of 9.5 or less that's coming off an away underdog ATS loss by 14 points or more, they have a winning percentage of better than .400, versus an opponent coming off an away SU loss by 28 points or less is 24-5 ATS since the start of the 1983 season. The underdog has won 20 of those 29 games outright. Play on Minnesota plus the points.
11-29-12	New Orleans Saints +3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons	Top	13-23	Loss	-104	26 h 9 m	Show
The Saints have to play with a high degree of urgency as they are still right in the thick of the NFC Wild Card race but still are on the outside looking in. The Saints are a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss versus a team with a winning percentage of .500 or better. New Orleans has won those 9 games by an average of 13.6 ppg. The Saints have defeated the Falcons in 10 of their last 12 meetings including 5 of the last 6 at Atlanta. Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a division favorite of 7.0 or less following a SU win. Any away underdog of 6.0 or less coming off a SU loss, versus an opponent who has failed to cover their last 3 games all as a favorite but is coming off a SU win is 8-0 ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The underdog has won 7 of those 8 games outright. Any division away underdog of 5.5 or less that
11-26-12	Carolina Panthers -3 v. Philadelphia Eagles	Top	30-22	Win	100	8 h 7 m	Show
Any Monday night away favorite of 8.0 or less in game 11 of the season or beyond, versus a team that has a winning percentage of less than .357 and is coming off 2 or more SU losses in a row is 7-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1993 season. The away favorite has won those 7 games by an average of 18.0 points per game. Any favorite of 2.5 or more in game 5 of the season or beyond, versus an opponent coming off 2 SU losses in a row the last of which was against a division opponent by 10 points or more, and they have a winning percentage of less than .400 is 12-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2008 season. The away favorite has won those 12 games by an average of 19.1 ppg. Play on the Carolina Panthers minus the small number
11-25-12	St. Louis Rams +1.5 v. Arizona Cardinals	Top	31-17	Win	100	21 h 47 m	Show
The Cardinals have lost 6 in a row after getting off to a 4-0 start. They are an absolute mess and the quarterback situation has become an absolute joke. Whether they go with John Skelton or rookie Ryan Lindley it doesn
11-25-12	Buffalo Bills +3.5 v. Indianapolis Colts	Top	13-20	Loss	-120	17 h 26 m	Show
Any road underdog of 6.0 or less that has a winning percentage of .428 or less playing in game 10 of the season or beyond, they
11-25-12	Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cleveland Browns	Top	14-20	Loss	-120	17 h 24 m	Show
Charlie Batch has been in this situation before with the Steelers. There
11-22-12	New England Patriots v. NY Jets +7.5	Top	49-19	Loss	-105	22 h 1 m	Show
The degree of urgency will be very high and the margin for error very low for the Jets. New England has a very comfortable 3-game lead with 6 games to play versus the other 3 teams in the AFC East and traveling on a short work week is never an easy task in the NFL. The Jets are 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 2.0 or more versus an opponent coming off a SU win. Any home team that
11-22-12	New England Patriots v. NY Jets UNDER 48.5	Top	49-19	Loss	-105	22 h 59 m	Show
Any division home underdog with a total of between 42.5 and 49.0 that comes off an away underdog SU win in which they scored 30 points or less, they covered by 10.0 or more, versus an opponent that scored 21 points or more in their previous game, and they have a winning percentage of .666 or better has seen all 10 of those games go under the total since the start of the 1988 season. The average combined total score of those 10 games was 36.8 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total.
11-22-12	Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys -3	Top	38-31	Loss	-120	17 h 25 m	Show
Any division home favorite of 6.0 or less that
11-18-12	San Diego Chargers +8.5 v. Denver Broncos	Top	23-30	Win	100	15 h 10 m	Show
The Denver Broncos are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 1.5 or more when coming off a SU win. The Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 as a division home favorite following a non-division game. Any away underdog of 10.0 or less that
11-18-12	Arizona Cardinals +10 v. Atlanta Falcons	Top	19-23	Win	100	14 h 56 m	Show
Any non-division away underdog of 13.0 or less, off an away SU loss by 14 points or more playing in game 13 or less, versus an opponent coming off an away SU loss by 21 points or less is 27-1 ATS since the start of the 1993 season. The underdog has won 23 of those 28 games outright. Any away underdog of 13.0 or less that
11-18-12	Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins UNDER 44.5	Top	6-31	Win	100	13 h 33 m	Show
The Redskins have gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 games as a home favorite with the total 48.5 or less. The average combined total score in those 10 games is 32.2 ppg. The Eagles have gone under the total in their last 6 road games with an average combined total score of 33.3 ppg. Any home team with a total of 37.5 or more that comes off a SU favorite loss by 2 points or more, they scored 24 points or less in their previous game, they
11-18-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 v. Carolina Panthers	Top	27-21	Win	100	12 h 46 m	Show
Any favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less that comes off BB SU wins each by 10 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 14 points or less in their previous game, and they have a better than .200 winning percentage is 14-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2003 season. The average margin of victory is 14.1 ppg. Play on Tampa Bay.
11-18-12	Green Bay Packers -3 v. Detroit Lions	Top	24-20	Win	100	12 h 46 m	Show
Green Bay is 6-1 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as an away favorite of 6.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .400 or better. The Detroit Lions are 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 5.0 or less. Any division road favorite that
11-15-12	Miami Dolphins v. Buffalo Bills -1	Top	14-19	Win	100	7 h 10 m	Show
Buffalo is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.0 or less versus an opponent coming off a SU loss. The Bills have won those 4 games by an average of 14.0 ppg. In a short work week in a battle of two teams going nowhere, I favor the home team simply due to the fact they don't have travel. In addition the Bills played both New England and Houston arguably the two best teams in the AFC very tough the last 2 weeks. Contrarily Miami was just crushed last week as a home 37-3 versus a less than stellar Tennessee team. Any home team that scored 10 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent playing in game 10 of the season or before, they're coming off a home favorite SU loss by 28 points or more while scoring 7 points or less, and they have a losing record on the season is 27-0 SU since the start of the 1989 season. Play on the Buffalo Bills.
11-11-12	Houston Texans v. Chicago Bears -1	Top	13-6	Loss	-110	31 h 32 m	Show
This will be a statement game for a Bears team who seemingly hasn
11-11-12	Denver Broncos -4 v. Carolina Panthers	Top	36-14	Win	100	22 h 51 m	Show
Any home underdog of 6.5 or less that comes off an away favorite ATS win that they covered by 16.0 or less and allowed 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored 25 points or more is 10-0 ATS since srt 1980 season. The underdog has won 9 of those 10 games outright. Play on the Carolina Panthers plus the points.

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