Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Portland @ Denver 10:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Portland +1.5 (10*) For starters, I don’t see the Nuggets having any sustained success this postseason without Jamal Murray (21.2 PPG). Based on this current line, the sportsbooks are in agreeance with my opinion. Let’s not forget, Murray averaged a sizable 26.5 points scored per game, shot 50.5%, made 45.3% of his 3-point attempts, and was 89.7% from the free throw line during 19 playoff game a year ago. He was the main cog in leading Denver to the Western Conference Finals where they lost to the eventual world champion Lakers in 5 games. As a matter of fact, Murray had 4 games of 40 or more points during last year’s playoffs. Portland finished the season by winning 10 of their previous 12 games. It’s by no coincidence that they caught fire once they had both starting guards Damien Lillard and C.J. McCollum on the floor at the same time. McCollum missed an extended period of this season due to injury. The former Lehigh star played in just 47 of Portland’s 72 games this season. However, he did average a career best 23.1 points per game this season. McCollum has averaged 20 points or more during the previous 5 postseasons. His running mate Damien Lillard average 28.8 points and 7.5 assists per game during regular season action. The Blazers point guard also averaged 7.2 free throws per contest and made 92.8% of those attempts. Lastly, Portland was an extremely profitable 11-3 SU&ATS on the road this season when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-22-21 | Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas @ LA Clippers 4:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Dallas +5.5 (5*) Despite losing their regular season finale 136-121 at Minnesota, Dallas won 12 of its last 16 games. Furthermore, the Mavericks are 4-0 straight up during their previous 4 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per contest. Dallas also won 2 of the 3 regular season meetings versus the Clippers and defeated them during last year’s playoffs in 7 games. The Clippers enter the postseason having gone 4-6 straight up in their last 10, and 3-8 ATS during its previous 11 games. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-22-21 | Heat +5 v. Bucks | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Miami @ Milwaukee 2:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Miami +5.0 (5*) I loved the way Miami finished the regular season while going 12-4 SU&ATS during its last 16 games. This is a Heat roster that has mostly stayed intact from the one that advanced to last year’s NBA Finals, and they also defeated Milwaukee 4-1 in the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The Heat were also an extremely profitable 15-5 ATS during the 2020 NBA Playoffs. Miami has shot 50% or better in 8 of their previous 10 games. The Bucks have allowed 121.4 points scored per game, permitted their opponents to shoot 47.8%, and make an alarmingly high 45.9% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 contests. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards -3 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Indiana @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Washington -3.0 (10*) These teams have met 3 times during regular season action and Washington walked away a winner on each occasion. The Wizards finished regular season play winning their last 4 and 9 of its previous 10 home games. The Wizards are coming off Tuesday’s 118-100 loss at Boston. They’ve gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home favorite following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 14.0 points per game. During their 3 regular season matchups against Indiana, Washington averaged a massive 143.0 points scored per game, shot 58.4% from the field, and made an extremely impressive 46.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | Top | 117-144 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Charlotte @ Indiana 6:35 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Charlotte +3.0 (10*) Charlotte is unequivocally the healthier team in this matchup All you have to do is look at the Pacers current injury report below resembles the 1222-page book titled “War and Peace” written by Leo Tolstoy. The last time these teams met was on April 2nd at Indiana and Charlotte walked away with a decisive 114-97 win and did so as a 5.0-point underdog. Furthermore, the sportsbooks currently have this as virtually an even game despite Charlotte entering today on a 5-game losing streak. This just in, they just aren’t that kind or careless when setting a line. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-13-21 | Kings +8 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Sacramento +8.0 (10*) Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season, any team (Sacramento) coming off home wins by 10 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they have a win percentage of .340 or better after game 27 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or worse, and that team (Memphis) is coming off a straight win as an underdog, resulted in those teams going 28-1 straight up. This NBA straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the sizable underdog in this contest. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-12-21 | Blazers +2 v. Jazz | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Portland @ Utah 9:35 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Portland +2.0 (5*) This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a Utah team which is a dominating 31-4 at home this season as a short favorite versus an opponent they blew out twice already this season, and they are ahead of by 10.0 games in the standings. However, after further examination, Portland has won 4 straight and 8 of their last 9 heading into tonight’s game. That includes going 5-1 SU&ATS on the road. Bet on Portland plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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05-11-21 | Suns v. Warriors +5 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Golden State +5.0 (5*) The Suns are just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road favorite of 8.0 or less, Conversely, Golden State has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a home underdog this season and won by an average of 9.6 points per game. Bet on Golden State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-11-21 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 119-100 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Detroit +7.5 (10*) I know the Pistons roster has been ravaged by injuries to key personnel. However, Minnesota laying this many points in this precise betting situation is a bit much. The Pistons are 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games. Nonetheless, Detroit is 6-0 ATS as an underdog this season following ATS losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they won straight up on 3 of those occasions. Detroit is 20-49 (.289) this season. Minnesota is coming off a 128-96 road win at Orlando and covered with ease as a 7.5-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 21-47 (.309). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA straight up betting angle which heavily favors the home underdog in this contest. Any home team with a win percentage of .285 or better (Detroit), versus an opponent who has a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they are coming off an ATS win in which they (Minnesota) covered by 19.5 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 49-7 straight up since the 2016-2017 season began. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-10-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -8 | 124-125 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Washington @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Atlanta -8.0 (5*) Washington is a red-hot 15-5 straight up and 16-2-2 ATS during their previous 20 games played. Having said that, they will be without the services of star guard Bradly Beal (hamstring) who is 2nd in the NBA at 31.4 points per game. Hence, the lofty number the Wizards are catching today. Atlanta has gone an incredible 14-0 ATS in their last 14 this season as a home favorite of 2.0 or more with an average victory margin of 13.1 points per game. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-06-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -2.5 | 131-129 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Washington @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Toronto -2.5 (5*) This is a similar NBA betting scenario to today’s Chicago and Charlotte game. Washington enters this game having won 12 of its last 16 games, Toronto has lost 4 of their last 5, and it’s the Raptors as a favorite in this contest. Washing is coming off an emotional and energy draining 135-134 loss at Milwaukee last night. NBA road underdogs playing Toronto with no rest have gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 this season and lost by a decisive average of 26.2 points per game. Lastly, Toronto has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite and won by an average of 12.8 points per contest. Bet on Toronto minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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05-06-21 | Bulls -4 v. Hornets | 120-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Charlotte (Cole) 7:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Chicago -4.0 (5*) Here we have a Chicago team which has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 and has an uninspiring 26-39 season record, but still is a road favorite versus an opponent who is 32-33 including 17-4 at home. The home underdog should be the betting value, right? Well, it’s seldom that easy when it comes to sports betting. This one has trap inscribed all over it and the sportsbooks are begging you to take the home underdog. I been doing this too long and successfully to be lured in. Furthermore, Charlotte is coming off a win in their previous game, However, the Hornets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 5.5 or less following a straight up win and lost by an average of 12.0-points per game. Chicago is 2-0 SU&ATS versus Charlotte this season with a decisive average victory margin of 15.0 pooints per game. Bet on Chicago minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-05-21 | Suns v. Hawks +1 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Atlanta 8:05 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Atlanta +1.0 (10*) This will be a tough sport for even an excellent team like Phoenix. The Suns will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and are coming off yesterday’s 134-118 win at Cleveland. Teams that have faced the Hawks when playing with nor rest have gone 3-10 SU&ATS in their last 13 games this season. That includes 1-7 SU&ATS in the last 8 if Atlanta was playing with 1 or more days rest. Speaking of Atlanta, they have gone an extremely profitable 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 at home, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS during their previous 6. This will be an excellent opportunity to make a statement for Atlanta against an elite opponent that will be potentially vulnerable this evening. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play. |
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05-03-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers +4 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Denver @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: LA Lakers +4.0 (5*) The Lakers are coming off an embarrassing 121-114 home loss to Toronto in a game they were a 10.0-point favorite. That defeat dropped their season record to 36-28. Denver is coming off a 110-104 road win over the Clippers. Any NBA home team with a winning record that’s coming off a home straight up loss as a double-digit favorite, versus an opponent coming off a road game in which both teams scored 100 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 30-3 (91%) straight up since the 2001-2002 season began. Since this straight up betting angle backs the underdog, it takes on even more significance. Bet on the Lakers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-02-21 | Heat -5 v. Hornets | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Miami @ Charlotte 8:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Miami -5.0 (5*) Both teams are coming off games on Saturday. NBA favorites playing against a Charlotte team who is playing with no rest have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 this season with an average victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. NBA underdogs with no rest that are facing Miami have gone 0-8 ATS in their previous 8 this season and lost by 12.1 points per game. Furthermore, Miami is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a road favorite following a win, and Charlotte is 2-8 ATS during their last 10 as an underdog. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-01-21 | Pelicans v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 140-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Minnesota +4.5 (10*) I cashed in with Minnesota as a 4.5-point home underdog on Thursday in their 126-114 win over Golden State. I am coming right back with them on Saturday. Minnesota has now gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with 3 of those coming as an underdog. Minnesota is 2-0 SU&ATS this season versus New Orleans in games they were an 8.0 and 8.5-point underdog while winning both by comfortable double-digit margins. The Timberwolves are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home and those wins came against opponents with a combined 109-80 (.577) record. Conversely, New Orleans has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a favorite of 9.5 or less. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-29-21 | Raptors +3 v. Nuggets | 111-121 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Toronto +3.0 (5*) At first glance, the line in this contest jumped right off the screen at me. Despite the disparities in these team’s records, Toronto (26-36) finds itself as a small road underdog against an opponent with a stellar season record 41-21. It’s very rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true in most instances that’s indeed the case. In my professional opinion, this matchup and current point-spread qualifies in that regard. Denver narrowly escaped with a 114-112 home win over New Orleans last night but failed to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite. These teams met once this season and Toronto walked away with a convincing 135-111 on 3/24 as a 1.5-point underdog. Since the 2016-2017 NBA season began, any non-conference road underdog of 2.5 to 5.5 (Toronto) that’s playing before game 70 of their season, versus an opponent (Denver) coming off a home win in which it failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those road underdogs going 13-0 ATS. Those underdogs also won 10 of those 13 contests straight up. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-29-21 | Warriors v. Wolves +4 | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Minnesota +4.0 (5*) Don’t look now but Minnesota is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games which includes a pair of wins over a Utah team (45-17) who owns the league’s best record. Minnesota was a 114-107 winner at Houston in their previous game. Golden State is coming off an atrocious effort during a 133-103 home blowout loss to Dallas. The Warriors are 0-3 ATS this season as a non-conference road favorite of 3.5 or less and lost 2 of those straight up. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, any home team (Minnesota) playing a regular season contest and it’s after game number 22, and they’re coming off a road win in which they scored 110 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (Golden State) coming off a home loss by 20 points or worse in which they allowed 117 points or more, resulted in those teams going 19-2 (90.5%) straight up. Since this NBA straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this contest it takes on added significance. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-29-21 | Mavs v. Pistons +9 | 115-105 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Detroit 8:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Detroit +9.0 (5*) Dallas will be facing a Pistons that has a poor season record of 19-43 (.306). However, the Mavericks are a terrible 1-11 ATS this season when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they lost 8 of those contests straight up. Furthermore, they were a favorite in all 12 of those contests. Dallas is coming off 2 consecutive games when they had exactly 92 field goal attempts. The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS this season after amassing 90 or more field goal attempts in each of their previous 2 games, and they were outscored by an average of 11.7 points per contest. Detroit has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 at home. Additionally, Detroit has gone an extremely profitable 9-2 ATS this season as a home underdog of 5.0 or greater and won 5 of those contests straight up. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-28-21 | Lakers v. Wizards +1.5 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Wizards 7:35 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Wizards +1.5 (5*) Lakers star Anthony Davis is probable to return this evening. However, I highly doubt if he will see his normal workload in terms of minutes played due to his prolonged absence. The Lakers are coming off a 114-103 win versus an Orlando teams which is currently on a 6-game losing streak and also lost 12 of its last 13. Furthermore, the Lakers are 0-6 straight up in their previous 6 following a win and lost by an average of 12.7 points per game. The Wizards had their 8-game win streak halted their last time out in a 146-143 home overtime loss to San Antonio. Despite that defeat, Washing has won 5 of their last 6 at home and 10 of 13 overall. Bet on the Wizards for a 5* wager. |
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04-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4 | 96-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Denver -4.0 (5*) Memphis is coming off road underdog straight up wins in each of their previous 2 games with the most recent occurring yesterday. Denver has a season record of 39-21 and they possess a strong home court advantage. The Nuggets have gone 58-24 (.707) in their previous 82 home games. The Nuggets are unequivocally playing their best basketball of the season which is evidence by them going 22-6 during their previous 28 games overall. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, home favorites of 8.5 or less that have won 54 of more of their previous 82 games at home, versus an opponent coming off road underdog straight up wins during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a substantial average of 19.2 points per game. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +2 | 118-110 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: New York +2.0 (5*) Phoenix will be playing their 5th road game in 8 days and is coming off yesterday’s 9-point loss at Brooklyn. Their first 4 came on this trip came against teams with a combined record of 149-93 (.621). They certainly don’t get a breather tonight when facing a New York team which has gone 9-0 SU&ATS over their previous 9 games. The Knicks are also 14-2 SU&ATS this season at home when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0, and that includes 7-0 SU&ATS during its previous 7 in that exact role. Additionally, the Suns are 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 road games when playing with no rest. Bet on New York plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-26-21 | Spurs -3 v. Wizards | 146-143 | Push | 0 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: San Antonio -3.0 (5*) I can small a trap from a mile away when it comes to sports betting, and this matchup qualifies as such. We have a Washington Wizards team that enters today riding an 8-game win streak, yet they find themselves as a home underdog. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot home underdog. However, if it looks to good to be true when it comes to sports betting most times than not it is. By the way, San Antonio has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a road favorite of 2.5 or greater and won by a decisive margin of 12.7 points per game. Furthermore, the Spurs are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a road favorite versus an opponent coming off a straight up win. San Antonio arguably is in the middle of playing their best defensive basketball of the season while having allowed just 97.0 points per game over their previous 5 contests. Bet on San Antonio minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-25-21 | Suns +2 v. Nets | Top | 119-128 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Brooklyn 3:30 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (10*) This will be the finale of an extremely 4-game in 7-day road trip for Phoenix. The Suns opened the trip with wins over 2 of the Eastern Conference’s elite team in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. They then laid an egg at Boston on Thursday losing to the Celtics 99-86. However, that was their 3rd road game in 4 days and were destined to fail following 2 huge wins. Now they come into today’s matchup against another Eastern Conference team and with 2 days of rest. Furthermore, the Suns are 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 following a loss and won by a decisive average of 14.8 points per game. The Suns will also be out to revenge a 128-124 home loss to Brooklyn on 2/16 in a game they squandered a 24-point lead. Furthermore, Phoenix has gone an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a road underdog of 5.5 or less. Speaking of Brooklyn, they’re coming off a 109-104 home win over Boston. However, the Nets have gone 0-4 straight up in their previous 4 following a win and lost by 11.0 points per contest. Bet on Phoenix for a 5* wager. |
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04-24-21 | Spurs +3 v. Pelicans | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ New Orleans 8:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: San Antonio +3.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 135-100 blowout win at Orlando in their previous game. However, the Pelicans are an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS this season as a home favorite of 7.0 or less following a game in which they scored 120 points or more and lost by an average of 7.0 points per contest. The Pelicans are also 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0 and were outscored by 10.6 points per game. San Antonio has been terrible at home but the opposite in away games. The Spurs have gone 16-9 (.640) straight up and 18-7 ATS (72%) on the road, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 with an average margin of victory coming by 16.5 points per game. Furthermore, San Antonio is 4-0 SU&ATS in away games this season when facing opponents coming off a win by 6 points or greater. Bet on San Antonio plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-24-21 | Bulls +4.5 v. Heat | 101-106 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Chicago +4.5 (5*) Miami is come off a 118-103 loss at Atlanta last night in a game they closed as a 6.5-point favorite. Miami is 0-5 SU&ATS in their previous 5 this season following a road loss by 10 or more and were outscored by a decisive margin of 15.8 points per game. Miami has also gone 0-7 ATS this season as a favorite of -4.0 to -9.0 following a game in which they allowed 109 points or more. Additionally, they lost straight up on 5 of those 7 occasions. Chicago has been an extremely profitable road underdog this season. When being cast into that exact role, they’ve gone 16-5 ATS (76.5%). Tightening things up even more, Chicago is 8-0 ATS and 6-2 straight up this season as an away underdog of 3.0 to 7.0 points. Yes, the Bulls will be without leading scorer Zach Lavine (27.5 PPG) for a 2nd consecutive game. Nonetheless, without Lavine in their previous contest they easily defeated Charlotte 108-91. Chicago has won 3 of their last 4 and held its opponents to 96 points or fewer in all 3 of those victories. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-24-21 | Pistons +4.5 v. Pacers | 109-115 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Detroit +4.5 (5*) Indiana is coming off a 6-point home win over Oklahoma City but failed to cover as an 8.5-point favorite versus a Thunder team is currently on a 13-game losing streak. You may be surprised to know that Indiana has gone a horrible 3-11 straight up and 1-13 ATS during its previous 14 home games. That includes 0-5 SU&ATS following a straight up win while being outscored by 9.8 points per contest. Detroit is coming off a 106-91 loss at San Antonio in their previous game in which they failed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. That loss dropped their season record to a dismal 18-42. However, Detroit is 20-4 ATS this season following a game in which they failed to cover and won 12 of those contests straight up, and that includes 7-3 straight up and 10-0 ATS during its last 10 in that exact situation. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-22-21 | Suns v. Celtics +1.5 | Top | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Boston 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Boston +1.5 (10*) Boston is coming off a disappointing 102-96 home loss to a 24-34 Chicago Bulls team. It was even more disheartening when considering that defeat halted a season high 6-game Celtics win streak. However, one can make a strong argument that they were caught looking ahead to today’s matchup against Phoenix (42-16) and tomorrow’s contest at Brooklyn (39-20). Furthermore, since the start of last season, Boston is a profitable 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less. Boston has also gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 2.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better. This is an extremely tough spot for Phoenix even as good as they are. This will be their 3rd road game in 4 days, and they’ll be playing with no rest. Additionally, they are coming off wins during their previous 2 against elite teams in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. Both those contests went right down to the wire with Phoenix beating the Bucks on Monday 128-127 in overtime and then yesterday’s 116-113 victory over the 76ers. NBA betting history over the past 25 seasons has proven that teams like Phoenix in this identical situation haven’t fared well straight up let alone laying points in away games. Since the 2012-2013 NBA season began, road teams playing with no rest that are coming off road wins by 5 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games played, resulted in those road teams going 0-12 straight up. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-20-21 | Nets v. Pelicans -2.5 | 134-129 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ New Orleans 7:35 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: New Orleans -2.5 (10*) Brooklyn will once again be without the services of James Harden. The Nets will also be without Kevin Durant who went out with a thigh injury in the 1st quarter of their previous game and did not return. Thus, the reason for Brooklyn being a road underdog against an opponent that has lost 3 straight contests. Despite going 2-3 in their last 5 games, the Nets still have an outstanding 38-19 season record. New Orleans will be out to revenge an embarrassing 139-111 loss at Brooklyn just 13 days ago. The Pelicans are coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite at Washington and New York. Those defeats dropped their season record to 25-32 (.439). Since the 1992-1993 NBA season began, any home favorite (New Orleans) with a win percentage of .400 or better that’s coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite, and they’re playing with same season revenge stemming form a loss by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) who possesses a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS. The home teams won those 15 contests by a decisive margin of 14.5 points per game. Bet on New Orleans minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-19-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Bucks | 128-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Phoenix +2.5 (5*) Milwaukee is coming off a 128-115 home loss to Memphis as an 8.0-point favorite. That loss dropped the Bucs season record to 35-21 (.625). You may be surprised to know that the Bucks are now 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home and lost by 8.7 points per game. Phoenix is coming off an embarrassing 111-85 home loss to San Antonio in a game they were a consensus 8.0-point favorite. The Suns have proven to have a short memory following a disappointing performance. Specifically speaking, Phoenix has gone 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 this season following a contest in which it failed to cover by 7.0-points or more, and they won by an average of 13.4 points per game. Phoenix has also gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous 5 as a road underdog of 5.5 or less. Since the 2016-2017 NBA season began, any road team (Phoenix) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s coming off a loss by 29 or less while scoring 90 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Milwaukee) with a win percentage of .339 or better and they’re coming off a game in which it scored and allowed 105 points or greater, resulted in those road teams going 19-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory came by 10.8 points per contest. Bet on Phoenix plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-18-21 | Wolves v. Clippers -10 | Top | 105-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Minnesota @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Clippers -10.0 (10*) Minnesota is coming off a 119-111 home win over Miami. The Timberwolves have gone 0-13 straight up and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games this season following a straight up win. Furthermore, they were an underdog of 5.0 or greater in 7 of those 13 contests and went 0-7 ATS while losing by an average of 18.6 points per game. Minnesota is also 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games versus the Clippers and lost by 15.4 points per contest. The Clippers are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games as a favorite and had an average victory margin of 17.6 points per contest. The Clippers are also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS this season as a conference home favorite of 8.5 or more with a winning margin of 16.5 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Golden State @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Boston -4.5 (10*) Golden State has been reinvigorated since Stephen Curry returned from injury. The Warriors are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4. However, hold the phone because 3 of those victories have come over Houston, Oklahoma City, and Cleveland. Those 3 teams have a combined season record of 54-113 (.323). Additionally, Oklahoma City is currently on a 9-game losing streak and Houston has gone an abysmal 4-31 over its last 35 contests. Boston is starting to like the team I thought they would be heading into this season. They have won 5 straight and covered each of their last 4 with 3 of those coming on the road. The Celtics are also 4-0 ATS iun their previous 4 as a home favorite of 3.5 or greater and won by a decisive margin of 17.8 points per game. Bet on Boston minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-16-21 | Grizzlies -3.5 v. Bulls | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Memphis -3.5 (5*) Something isn’t right with the Chicago Bulls who are far more talented than their 22-32 season record indicates. However, it’s not my job to figure out their issues rather than expose their flaws from a sports betting perspective. Chicago is 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous 4 games. The Bulls have also gone a dismal 0-6 ATS in their last 6 this season as a home underdog of 3.0 or more and lost by an average of 14.3 points per game. Furthermore, Since the 2019-2020 season began, Chicago is 0-7 SU&ATS at home when facing teams with a win percentage of .501 to .600 and lost by 10.0 points per contest. Memphis has thrived on the road within this point-spread parameter. Since the start of the season, the Grizzlies are a perfect 4-0 ATS as a road favorite of 1.5 to 5.0 and with a substantial average victory margin of 19.5 points per game. Memphis is a solid 10-7 in their last 17 games which improved its season record to 27-26 (.509). Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-16-21 | Clippers v. 76ers -2.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Philadelphia -2.5 (5*) The LA Clippers have gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Friday will mark the Clippers 3rd road game in 4 days. They are 0-4 SU&ATS during their previous 4 road contests when playing its last 3 on the road. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a terrific 50-7 straight up at home. Considering the short number, that dominating home court advantage shouldn’t be ignored. As a matter of fact, during that identical time frame, the 76ers are 17-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog or favorite of 5.0 or less. Additionally, Philadelphia is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 or less when facing an opponent with a winning record and within that specific span of time. Bet on Philadelphia minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-14-21 | Heat v. Nuggets -6 | 106-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Miami @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Denver -6.0 (5*) Denver is coming off 2 straight losses and that’s news within itself. The Nuggets haven’t lost 3 consecutive games all season and are 4-0 SU&ATS as a favorite following back-to-back defeats with an average victory margin of 20.7 points per contest. Miami is coming off last night’s 20-point blowout loss at Phoenix. Since 1/23/21, teams playing Denver with no rest are 0-6 straight up and lost by 13.0 points per game. The Heat are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a road underdog of 3.5-points or more and lost by 14.4 points per game. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-14-21 | Nets v. 76ers -8.5 | 117-123 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Philadelphia -8.5 (5*) Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Blake Griffin have all been ruled out of this contest. Thus, the heavy number being laid by Philadelphia. The Nets are coming off yesterday’s win at Minnesota. However, they’re just 3-9 straight up and 4-8 ATS this season on the road when playing with no rest. Regardless, Philadelphia has been playing at an extremely high level in recent weeks. Specifically speaking, they’ve gone 22-5 in their previous 27 games. Since the start of last season, the 76ers are a terrific 49-7 straight up and 33-21-2 ATS in true home games. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-13-21 | Heat v. Suns -3 | Top | 86-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Miami @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Phoenix -3.0 (10*) Phoenix is coming off an 126-120 home win over Houston last night despite sleep walking through the 2nd half but failed to cover as a large 13.0-point favorite. Phoenix led that contest 81-58 at halftime and then were outscored the rest of the way by a 62-45 margin by arguably the league’s worst team. The Suns coaching staff was none too pleased with their 2nd half effort and especially so defensively. I look for Phoenix to come back with a strong response tonight that has won 6 of its last 7 and includes going 3-0 during their previous 3 away games. The good news for Phoenix heading into tonight’s game is they’ve gone 11-0 SU&ATS following an ATS loss and won by an average of 16.4 points per contest. The Suns have also gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home this season when playing with no rest with an average margin of victory coming by 12.6 points per contest. Conversely, home teams with a win percentage of .600 or better and are playing with no rest versus Miami are 3-0 straight up this season with an average winning margin of 9.4 points per game. Lastly, Phoenix has won their previous 8 home games and that’s significant considering the small number we’re being asked to cover. Bet on Phoenix minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-12-21 | Nuggets -4 v. Warriors | 107-116 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Denver @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Denver -4.0 (5*) Denver is coming off last night’s embarrassing 105-87 loss to Boston in a game in which they were a 3.0-point home favorite. That defeat dropped their season record to 34-19 (.641). The Nuggets have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a loss and won by an average of 15.3 points per game. Golden State is coming off a 125-110 home win over Houston. The Warriors have gone 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 following a win. Additionally, Golden State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 as an underdog of 6.0 or fewer following a win and lost by 20.3 points per game. Since the 2014-2015 NBA season began, any road favorite of 3.5 to 7.0 that’s coming off a home favorite straight up loss with a win percentage of .714 or worse, versus an opponent coming ogg a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 15-0 ATS. The average margin of victory came by a decisive 14.3 points per game. Bet on Denver plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-11-21 | Raptors v. Knicks -3.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Toronto @ New York 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: New York -3.5 (5*) Toronto is coming off a 135-115 win at Cleveland last night in a game they shot 61.6% and were 17-32 (53.1%) from beyond the 3-points line. The Raptors 3rd year pro Gary Trent Jr. scored a career high 44 points. It’s highly improbable that Toronto will come close to those impressive offensive numbers against a stout defensive team like New York. The Knicks have allowed 99 points or fewer in 17 of 53 games (32.1%) this season. Last night’s win halted an 0-7 SU&ATS road losing streak for Toronto. Furthermore, Toronto is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season as an underdog of 6.0 or less while playing with no rest and lost by 11.7 points per game. Speaking of the Knicks, they’re 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite when facing an opponent who scored 112 points or more in their previous contest. The Knicks average line in those 5 home wins was -3.7 and they won by a decisive margin of 12.8 points per game. The Knicks are also 11-1 SU&ATS at home this season when their point-spread is -3.5 to +3.5 while outscoring those opponents by an average of 10.2 points per game. Bet on New York minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs +3 | Top | 135-115 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Toronto @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Cleveland +3.0 (10*) Toronto has gone an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 away games and lost by an average of 12.9 points per contest. The Raptors are coming off Thursday’s 122-113 home loss to Chicago. Conversely, Cleveland is coming off back-to-back road wins by 24 and 27-point margins. These teams have met just once this season and Cleveland walked away with a 116-105 home win. Any NBA home team that’s coming off back-to-back road wins by 20 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a loss by 9 points or greater, resulted in those home teams going 46-1 straight up since the 1997-1998 season began. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -6 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: LA Clippers -6.0 (10*) This seems to be a relatively high number when considering Phoenix leads the Clippers by 3.0 games in the Pacific Division standings. Nonetheless, this is where thinking like an oddsmaker will serve us well. The sportsbooks are inviting you to jump on the sizable road underdog with a superb season record of 36-14 (.720). When something looks to good to be true when it comes to sports betting it can be construed as a sucker bet on most occasions. Now let’s examine this specific NBA betting situation. Phoenix is coming off last night’s overtime home win over current Western Conference #1 seed Utah and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. The Suns had to expend a ton of emotional and physical energy to attain that huge victory. Not only will Phoenix being playing with no rest tonight, it’s also going to be their 3rd game in 4 days. Additionally, the Suns will be facing a rested Clippers team which also possesses an impressive 34-18 record, and they’re coming off a pair of double-digit home wins in their previous 2 games played. Any NBA home favorite of 10.5 or less (Clippers) that’s playing with 1 or more days of rest and is coming off a home favorite ATS win where they covered by 7.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Suns) playing with no rest and coming off a home underdog straight up win by 15 points or fewer, and they (Suns) have a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since the 1997-1998 season began. The average point-spread for those 12 favorites was -7.8 and their winning margin came by 16.8 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns +2.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Utah @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Phoenix +2.5 (10*) This will be chance to make a statement for Phoenix versus a Utah team that currently has the best record in the Western Conference. Nonetheless, the Suns aren’t too shabby themselves when considering they’ve gone 27-6 straight up and 23-10 ATS over their previous 33 games. Phoenix will also enter tonight’s contest winners of 6 straight games. Dating back to last season, the Suns have gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS as an underdog following a straight up win. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, home teams that have won 6 or more games in a row have gone 753-230 (85.3%) straight up. Bet on Phoenix plays the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-07-21 | Grizzlies v. Hawks -2.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Atlanta 8:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (5*) Atlanta has gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 at home and won by a decisive margin of 14.4 points per game. During that successful stretch at home, the Hawks averaged 118.1 points scored per game and shot 50.0% while also making a sizzling hot 43.1% of its 3-point attempts. The Hawks have also gone an impressive 13-4 straight up during their previous 17 games played. Memphis has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 games in which the last 2 came as a road underdog. Their current win streak improved the Grizzlies season record to 25-23 (.521). Any NBA favorite of 6.5 or less (Atlanta), versus an opponent (Memphis) coming off back-to-back road underdog straight up wins in which they covered by 21.5 or less on each occasion, and they (Memphis) have a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those favorites going 24-4 ATS (83.3%) since the 2002-2003 season began. Bet on Atlanta minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-04-21 | Warriors v. Hawks -2 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Atlanta -2.0 (5*) Golden State is coming off an embarrassing 130-77 loss at Miami and did so as a 5.5-point underdog. That dropped their season record to 23-26 (.469). Golden State lost 124-108 at home against Atlanta just 10 days ago. Star guard Stephen Curry wasn’t available in that contest due to a tailbone injury. Curry is expected to play tonight but I still don’t believe it will be enough against a surging Atlanta team that’s won 13 of its last 17 games. Atlanta is coming off an 8-game road trip which saw them go a respectable 4-4. They enter tonight with a 25-24 (.510) season record. The Hawks will be elated to return home where they’ve gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and won by a decisive margin of 15.8 points per game. Any NBA team (Atlanta) with a win percentage of .361 or better who’s playing after game 22 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they (Golden State) are coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 26.0 points or more, resulted in those teams going 17-0 straight up since the 2016-2017 season began. The average margin of victory in those 17 contests came by 12.8 points per game. Bet on Atlanta minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-21 | Bucks v. Blazers +3 | 127-109 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Portland +3.0 (5*) Milwaukee will be playing their 3rd road in 4days. That’s always a challenge for a team in that position, let alone as a favorite versus an opponent with a .600 or greater win percentage better than halfway through the season. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Milwaukee has gone 0-7 SU&ATS as a road favorite of 5.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or better. The Bucks lost those 7 contests by an average of 9.9 points per game. By the way, Portland will enter this contest riding a 4-game win streak. Bet on Portland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-21 | Hornets +4.5 v. Pacers | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Indiana 8:15 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Charlotte +4.5 (5*) I had Charlotte last night and they let me down in a 21-point loss at Brooklyn. I am not going to let that deter me from coming back with them again today. Last night’s defeat dropped the Hornets season record to 24-23 (.511). Indiana has gone an abysmal 0-8 ATS and 1-7 straight up during their last 8 home games. The Pacers have a current season record of 21-25 (.457). Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season, any team with a win percentage of .510-600 that’s coming off a road loss by 20 points or more, and they are facing an opponent (Indiana) with a win percentage of .467 or worse, resulted in those teams going 27-4 (87.1%) straight up. Considering this straight up betting angle backs the underdog in this matchup it takes on added significance. Additionally, if those teams were an underdog in that previously mentioned betting angle, they were a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in those contests and won by a decisive margin of 11.5 points per game. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-21 | Mavs -5.5 v. Knicks | 99-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Dallas @ New York 8:05 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Dallas -5.5 (5*) New York is coming off a 1-point loss at Minnesota on Wednesday in a game in which they squandered an 11-point lead heading into the 4th quarter. The Knicks have gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 this season as a home underdog of 1.5 or greater. The Knicks average point-spread during those 6 contests was +5.9 and they lost by an average of 11.6 points per game. Conversely, Dallas is 6-1 ATS and 7-0 straight up in their last 6 this season as a road favorite when facing an opponent that lost its previous game. The Mavericks outscored those 7 opponents by an average of 10.7 points per game. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-01-21 | Hornets +2.5 v. Nets | 89-111 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Charlotte +2.5 (5*) Since the start of the 1998 NBA season, any road team (Charlotte) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 and is coming off a division SU&ATS win in which they allowed 107 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) with a win percentage of .384 or better, resulted in those road teams going 27-3 ATS (90%). Those road teams also won 26 of those 30 games straight up. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-21 | Kings +2.5 v. Spurs | 106-120 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ San Antonio 8:35 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Sacramento +2.5 (5*) San Antonio has lost 5 of their previous 6 games. The Spurs have gone a solid 12-7 on the road this season but are just 11-14 at home. Sacramento enters this contest riding a 5-game win streak and that includes a 132-117 victory at San Antonio on Monday. The Kings won those 5 contests by an average of 11.4 points per game. During that successful stretch, Sacramento has scored 120.4 points per game while shooting a red-hot 53.9% and made an impressive 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
New York @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New York -3.5 (10*) New York is coming off a 98-88 home loss to Miami and failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 24-23 (.511). The Knicks have gone 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite following straight up loss. Their average line in those 8 contests was -3.6 and they won straight up by an average of 12.5 points per game. Conversely Minnesota enters today with a dismal 11-36 (.234) season record. Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.0-points (New York) that’s playing after Game 11 of their season and is coming off a home SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 3.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Minnesota) with a win percentage of .244 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 29-1 (96.7%) since the 2005-2006 season began. Bet on New York minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-21 | Blazers -7.5 v. Pistons | 124-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Portland @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Portland -7.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off a 118-104 win over Toronto and did so as a 5.5-point underdog. Since the start of last season, the Piston have gone a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS at home following a win by 7-points or more. All 6 of those losses came by 13-points or greater. Today will be the finale of a 4-game in 7-day road trip for Portland. They have gone 3-0 in the first 3 games of this trip. Portland is now a more than respectable 14-9 SU&ATS on the road this season. Portland has gone 20-5 straight up in their last 25 this season when facing teams with a losing record, and that includes 5-1 SU&ATS as a favorite of 5.5 or greater. Any NBA road favorite of 6.5 or more, versus an opponent coming off a win by 14 points or more, and they did so as an underdog of 9.5 or less, resulted in those road favorites going 14-0 ATS since the start of the 2015-2016 season. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests was 15.2 points per game. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | Suns -6 v. Hornets | 101-97 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Charlotte 1:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Phoenix -6.0 (5*) Phoenix has gone an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a road favorite of 4.0 or more. The Suns are an excellent 15-6 SU&ATS on the road this season. Charlotte is coming off a 110-105 home win over Miami on Friday and that’s the good news. The bad news, the Hornets led that game by as many as 30 points and came close to squandering a 23-point halftime lead. The win improved the Hornets season record to 23-21 (.523). Since the start of the 2012-2013 NBA season, any road favorite who is facing a team with a win percentage of less than .600, and that opponent (Charlotte) led their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, resulted in those road favorites going 25-2 ATS (92.6%). Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-26-21 | Heat v. Hornets +1 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Miami @ Charlotte 8:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Charlotte +1.0 (10*) The Miami Heat have gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 and that includes their previous 4 being at home. That has dropped their season record to a disappointing 22-23 (.489) and especially so when considering they made it to the NBA Finals last season. The Charlotte Hornets have won 7 of their last 8 including its previous 4 on their home floor. Furthermore, Charlotte is coming off road wins of 100-97 at San Antonio and 122-97 over Houston during their previous 2 contests. The Hornets enter today with a somewhat respectable 22-21 (.511) record. Any NBA home team with a win percentage of .511 or better that’s playing after Game 14 of the season, and they’re coming off back-to-back road wins while scoring 121 points or more during its previous contest, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .492 or worse and they’re coming off 5 consecutive losses, resulted in those teams going 24-0 straight up since the start of the 2001-2002 season. Considering the current point-spread, this NBA straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-25-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6 | 98-85 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Spurs 8:35 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Spurs +6.0 (5*) Any NBA home underdog of 4.0 to 8.5-points that’s playing with no rest coming off back-to-back losses, they have a win percentage of .600 or less and have won 25 or more of their last 82 home games, versus an opponent (Clippers) who have a win percentage of .53 or better, resulted in those home teams going 16-1 ATS (94.7%) since the start of the 2016-2017 season. Those home underdogs also won 11 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on the Spurts plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-21 | 76ers -4 v. Warriors | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Philadelphia -4.0 (5*) Golden State will be without superstar guard Stephen Curry this evening who sustained a tailbone injury. Furthermore, the Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 6.0 or less and lost by an alarming 19.8 points per contest. The absence of star center Joel Embid has certainly not hurt Philadelphia at least in the short term as they continue to play well. The 76ers have seemed to figure out their road woes that have plagued them over the past 2 seasons. Philadelphia has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 on the road and won by a substantial 14.0 points per game. |
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03-23-21 | Nets v. Blazers -3.5 | 116-112 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Portland -3.5 (5*) Brooklyn will once again be without the services of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. Additionally, James Harden is listed as questionable with a neck injury. With that being said, the point-spread has been adjusted accordingly. The Nets enter this contest with a season record of 29-14 (.674). Portland is coming off an embarrassing 132-92 home loss to Dallas on Saturday. That defeat dropped their season record to a still respectable 25-17 (.595). Any NBA regular season home favorite (Phoenix) with a win percentage of .595 or better that’s playing after game 15 and is coming off a home loss by 12 points or greater in which they allowed 111 points or more, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) with a win percentage of .681 or less, resulted in those home favorites going 27-9 ATS (75%) since the NBA 2004-2005 campaign began. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-21 | Hawks +6.5 v. Clippers | 110-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Hawks @ Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Atlanta +6.5 (5*) Atlanta will enter this contest on a red-hot 8-game win streak and covered on 7 of those occasions. That winning run has improved their season record to 22-20. The Clippers are coming off a 125-98 blowout win over Charlotte and did so as a 10.0-points favorite. Any NBA road underdog of 2.5 to 7.5 that’s won 8 or more games in a row, and they’re playing after game 25 of their season, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win in which they covered by 3.0-points or greater, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-1 ATS (93.8%) since 1993. Those road dogs also won 13 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on the Hawks plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-21 | Celtics v. Cavs +8.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Boston @ Cleveland 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Cleveland +8.5 (5*) Boston has gone 1-7 SU&ATS in their last 8 away games. Their only win in that stretch was over a Houston Rockets team which is currently on a mammoth 17-game losing streak and failed to cover on 15 of those occasions. The Celtics will be facing a Cavaliers team which is 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up in their last 3 at home. Cleveland is coming off a 3-game in 4-day road in which they went winless and scored 98 points or fewer on each occasion. The latest of which was last nights 113-98 defeat at Miami. Any NBA underdog of 10.0 or less (Cleveland) that’s playing with no rest and is coming off road losses in each of their previous 3 games, and they scored 106 points or fewer during its last 2 contests, resulted in those underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since the start of the 2016-2017. Those 15 underdogs also won 12 of those contests straight up. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-21 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 112-116 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Detroit +5.5 (5*) Toronto has lost 5 straight and 7 of its last 8 games. The Raptors last time out was a 118-95 loss at Chicago on Sunday. The Detroit Pistons have gone an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS this season as a home underdog of 5.0 or more and that won 5 of those contests straight up. Any home team (Detroit) versus an opponent (Toronto) come off a road loss by 20 points or more and they’re playing on exactly 2-days of rest, resulted in those home teams going 37-9 straight up over the past 5 seasons. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it’s backing the home underdog. If those home teams were an underdog during that identical stretch, they were an impressive 8-2 SU&ATS. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-21 | Clippers v. Mavs +2 | 109-99 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Mavericks 9:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Mavericks +2.0 (5*) The Clippers are coming off yesterday’s 135-15 blowout loss at New Orleans. They have now gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous 4 away games. During that stretch they allowed an average of 119.0 points per game and their 4 opponents shot a combined 50.9%. Conversely, Dallas is 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 at home. The Mavericks are also 11-3 straight up in their last 14. Bet on the Mavericks for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-21 | Bucks v. Wizards +8.5 | 133-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Wizards 7:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Wizards +8.5 (5*) The Washington Wizards have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 this season as a home underdog of 4.0-points or greater, and they won 3 of those contests straight up. Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in their previous 5 away games and they lost 3 of those contests straight up. Any NBA home team (Wizards) with a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Bucks) coming off a road win and they have a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those home teams going 55-26 (67.9%) ATS over the past 5 seasons. Those 81 home teams had an average point-spread of +5.3 and they won 48.1% of those contests straight up. Bet on the Wizards plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-21 | Kings v. Hornets -3 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Kings @ Hornets 7:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Hornets -3.0 (5*) The Sacramento Kings have gone 0-8 straight up and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 as an underdog and were outscored by an average of 11.6 points per game. Conversely, Charlotte enters today riding a 3-game win streak and is also a more than respectable 9-5 straight up during their previous 14 contests. Bet on the Hornets minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-14-21 | Heat -7.5 v. Magic | Top | 102-97 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Miami @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Miami -7.5 (10*) This Orlando team has scored fewer than 100 points in 15 of their 38 games this season. That’s not good news for Magic backers since Miami has allowed 94 points or less in each of its previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, the Heat have won 9 of their last 10 games and allowed fewer than 100 points on 6 of those occasions. When Orlando scored less than 100 as an underdog, they have gone an abysmal 0-11 ATS this season and lost by a mammoth 24.8 points per game. Orlando scored 77 points in their previous game which resulted in a loss at San Antonio. Since the start of last season, Orlando is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog following a game in which they scored less than 100 points. The Magic lost those 7 contests by 17.8 points per game. There’s a good chance that Orlando will be without 5 of their 6 top scorers today for a variety of reasons. Thus, the reason for the sizable number the road favorite will be asked to cover. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-13-21 | Pacers v. Suns -7 | 122-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Phoenix -7.0 (5*) The Indiana Pacers have gone a money-draining 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Pacers have been terrible defensively over their previous 5 contests while permitting opponents to shoot 52.3% and that includes 41.6% from 3-point territory. Conversely, Phoenix has averaged 117.0 points scored per game while shooting 51.7% and connected on 40.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. Furthermore, the Suns are 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 outings and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 games. Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +4.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Washington +4.5 (5*) Philadelphia is coming off last night’s win at Chicago. The 76ers are just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS this season when playing with no rest. Washington came back from the break with a disappointing 15-point loss at Memphis. Nevertheless, the Wizards have still gone a solid 8-4 straight up and 9-3 ATS during their previous 12 games. Additionally, the Wizards are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games this season as a home underdog. The Wizards point-spread average in those 3 wins was +7.8. Washington is playing with more confidence and cohesion compared to how they performed earlier in the season. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-11-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Phoenix -4.5 (10*) Both teams entered the all-star break on a high note with Portland winning 3 straight games and Phoenix 4 in a row. However, the Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 this season as a road favorite and won by a decisive margin of 19.2 points per game. Furthermore, Phoenix is coming off an 120-102 win over Golden State as a 13.0-point chalk in their previous game. Since the start of last season, Phoenix has gone 12-0 ATS on the road following a win by 10 points or more, and they outscored those 12 opponents by an average of 10.1 points per game. Additionally, the last time these teams met was on 2/22 and Phoenix came away with a lopsided 132-100 win. Any NBA road favorite that’s coming off an ATS cover as a double-digit favorite, and they’re facing an opponent playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 30 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 29-7 ATS (80.6%) since 1996. Those 36 road favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 13.7 points per game. Bet on Phoenix minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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03-10-21 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -3 | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Memphis -3.0 (5*) Washington had been playing very well prior to the NBA All-Star break as they went 8-4 in their last 12. However, Memphis has thrived in the role of a favorite this season by going 10-3 ATS. Furthermore, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite and won by a substantial margin of 19.3 points scored per game. Washington ranks 27th of 30 NBA teams in defensive efficiency while the Grizzlies rank 8th. The ability to get more defensive stops in what should be a higher scoring affair will be the key to the Grizzlies covering this contest. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-04-21 | Nuggets -5 v. Pacers | 113-103 | Win | 103 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Denver @ Indiana 8:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Denver -5.0 (10*) Indiana has gone an abysmal 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and lost by a substantial 14.2 points per contest. The Pacers defensive play has left much to be desired throughout their previous 8 games as they have allowed 110 points or more in each of those contests. That’s not good news considering they will be facing a Nuggets team which has averaged 116.3 points scored per contest while shooting 50.1% from the floor during their previous 5 contests. Indiana needed to overcome a 19-point deficit at home to defeat Cleveland 114-11 in their previous outing which halted an 0-4 SU&ATS slide. However, they will be facing a much tougher opponent this evening which reached last season’s Western Conference Finals. Denver has gone an unblemished 7-0 ATS this season as a road favorite of 4.0 or more and had an enormous winning margin of 18.9 points per game. The Nuggets are 3-0 SU&ATS in their current 5-game road trip and won by a whopping 22.3 points per contest. Any NBA non-conference road favorite (Denver) versus an opponent (Indiana) that’s coming off a division win by 3 points or fewer has gone 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1996. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-03-21 | Bulls +6 v. Pelicans | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Chicago @ New Orleans 8:05 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Chicago +6.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a huge 129-124 upset win over Utah (27-8) and did so as a 6.5-point home underdog. Now they turn around 2 days later and are a home favorite versus a Bulls team with a losing record. I look for this to be an emotional flat spot for the Pelicans and that will reflect upon their performance today. Chicago burned me on Monday night by losing by 6 to Denver as a 5.0-point home underdog. The Bulls were down 2 with just 8 seconds to play before Denver scored 4 unanswered points from the free throw line. Nevertheless, I am not going to let that deter my decision to come right back with Chicago again. By the way, the Bulls are 10-0 ATS this season as a road underdog of 13.0 or less and won 6 of those contests straight up. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Nets -9.5 v. Rockets | 132-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ Houston 7:35 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Brooklyn -9.5 (5*) The Rockets have hit rock bottom while having lost 12 games in a row and failing to cover in 11 of those contests. Houston was outscored in those 12 defeats by a substantial 17.6 points per game. Houston is also an abysmal 0-6 SU&ATS as a home underdog this season and lost by an enormous average of 19.5 points per game. Brooklyn is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and won by 15.9 points per contest. Brooklyn is also a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 away games. Furthermore, the Nets are 10-1 SU&ATS this season in their last 11 non-conference games. During their previous 10 games this season as a road favorite, Brooklyn scored a hefty 129.4 points per contest and shot a sizzling hot 51.6%. Conversely, Houston has scored 107 points or fewer in each of their last 7 home games. I very rarely lay this many points in an NBA game and especially so on a road team. However, this is one of those rare situations I am going to do so. Bet on Brooklyn minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Pacers v. Cavs +7 | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Cleveland 7:05 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Cleveland +7.0 (5*) I know the Pacers have been a cash cow as a road favorite during the past 2 seasons, but I don’t see this as a good spot to follow that trend. This will be the Pacers 4th road game in 6 days. Indiana is a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 overall and defense has been an afterthought throughout this stretch. The Pacers will be facing a Cleveland tonight that has a season record of 14-21 (.400). Indiana has gone an alarmingly bad 3-7 straight up this season versus teams with a win percentage of .250 to .400. Cleveland is currently riding a 4-0 SU&ATS run in which they were an underdog on each occasion. The Cavaliers are a respectable 7-4 straight up this season following a straight up underdog win. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-02-21 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Phoenix +1.5 (10*) This line raised my eyebrows as soon as I laid eyes on it. We have the defending world champion Lakers at home as an extremely short favorite against an opponent that didn’t even make the playoffs a season ago. However, don’t be misled. Dating back to last season, Phoenix has gone 30-11 SU&ATS (73.2%) in their last 41 games and that includes 10-4 SU&ATS during their previous 14 on the road. Furthermore, the Suns are an impressive 14-3 SU&ATS in their last 17 outings and 6-1 SU&ATS during its previous 7 road games. Bet on the Suns for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-01-21 | Nuggets v. Bulls +5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
Denver @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Chicago +5.0 (10*) There were lofty expectations for the Denver Nuggets this season after advancing to the 2019-2020 NBA Western Conference Finals. However, they’re off to a rather uninspiring 18-15 start to the season. The Nuggets are also a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 road games. Nonetheless, 1 of those 2 road wins occurred in their previous game during a 126-96 blowout of Oklahoma City. Denver is 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games following a win. Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season, Denver is a dismal 4-16 ATS immediately following a road win by 15 points or more and were outscored by an average of 8.8 points per contest. I love the compete level and improvement the Bulls have shown under newly hired head coach Billy Donovan. Chicago is 5-2 straight up in their last 7 games. During their previous 4 games Chicago is averaging a robust 118.0 points scored per contest and shot a scalding hot 52.6%. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-28-21 | Grizzlies -3.5 v. Rockets | 133-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Houston 8:05 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Memphis -3.5 (5*) Houston has lost 10 straight games and failed to cover on 9 of those occasions. The Rockets saw 7 of those 10 losses come by 11 points or more. Throughout their previous 6 games the Rockets have allowed 120.7 points per contest while there opponents shot a combined 50.4% and made 42.1% of their 3-point attempts. It’s hard to win in the NBA when giving that terrible of a defensive effort. Memphis is an uninspiring 4-5 ATS as a road underdog this season. However, they’re 3-0 ATS as a road favorite with a substantial average victory margin of 19.7 pints per game. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Washington -4.0 (10*) These 2 teams are clearly headed in opposite directions. Minnesota has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and lost by 9.5 points per contest. Conversely, Washington is an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS during their previous 7 and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS at home with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game. Washington has been red-hot offensively over their previous 5 outings while averaging 120.6 points scored per game, shooting 50.3% from the field, and converted on 37.7% of its 3-point attempts. That’s not good news for a Minnesota team which has allowed 119.0 points per game and opponents shot 48.2% from the floor in addition to making 40.4% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-26-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Heat | Top | 116-124 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Utah @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Utah -6.5 (10*) Miami is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Yet, they find themselves as a sizable home underdog tonight and for good reason. They will be facing a Utah team which has gone 18-0 ATS in their last 18 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less. The Jazz are also 22-2 straight up and 21-3 ATS during their previous 24 games. Additionally, Utah is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a road favorite and allowed a mere 97.3 points per game while holding opponents to an ice cold 39.4% shooting. The Jazz have averaged 121.2 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 41.9% from 3-point territory over their previous 5 games. Throughout that identical time span, Utah also averaged making an incredible 19 three-point shots per game. This more about me betting on Utah a lot more than wagering against Miami. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-25-21 | Kings v. Knicks -1.5 | 121-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: New York -1.0 (5*) For starters, Sacramento has been ice cold of late having gone 0-8 SU&ATS in their last 8 games. During that futile stretch, the Kings have allowed 124.6 points per game while opponents shot an alarmingly high 52.3% and made an eye-popping 44.9% of its 3-point attempts. The Kings allowed 118 points or more in each of those 8 losses and that doesn’t bode well for their chances on most nights but is especially applicable today. They will be facing a Knicks team that has gone 7-2 straight up and 8-1 ATS this season when facing teams that allowing 110.0 or more points per game. The Knicks are by far the superior defensive team in this non-conference matchup. Case in point, New York has allowed 110 points or greater in just 9 of their 32 games this season. Conversely, Sacramento has allowed 110 points or greater in 25 of their 31 games. New York has also gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0 and they won by an average of 13.4 points per contest. Bet on New York for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-21 | Warriors v. Knicks +3 | 114-106 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Golden State @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: New York +3.0 (5*) Golden State has gone 2-6 straight up in their last 8 road games. That recent road mark hardly bodes well for confidence if one is thinking of taking the favorite Warriors. Especially when considering the Knicks have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home. Furthermore, New York has gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 as an underdog and won 4 of those contests straight up. There will also be approximately 2000 fans in attendance tonight at Madison Square Garden for a first time this season. The Knicks are an outstanding defensive team that’s #1 in the NBA in points allowed per game. Case in point, New York has allowed less than 100 points in 5 of its last 8 at home. Bet on New York plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-21 | 76ers v. Raptors +1.5 | 109-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Toronto +2.0 (5*) The inexplicable road woes for Philadelphia have continued as they have gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 away games. As a matter of fact, since the start of last season, the 76ers are 16-34 SU&ATS in true road games which includes a 110-103 loss at Toronto on Sunday as a closing 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Toronto is starting to finally heat up having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games with an average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Lastly, Toronto has gone a dominating 19-1 straight up in their previous 20 home games against Philadelphia. Bet on Toronto for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-21 | Pistons v. Magic -3.5 | 105-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Orlando -3.5 (5*) For starters, Detroit is 1-10 straight up in their last 11 road games. Additionally, the Pistons are a poor 8-21 ATS (27.6%) as a road underdog of 6.0 or less since the start of the 2018-2019 season. During that identical time frame, Orlando is 28-12 straight up when facing an opponent like Detroit that possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400. The Magic are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games overall and that includes a 105-96 win over Detroit on Sunday as a 3.5-point favorite. Orland is 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a conference home favorite with an average victory margin of 12.0 points per game. Bet on Orlando minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-22-21 | Wizards +7 v. Lakers | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Washington @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Washington +7.0 (5*) With Anthony Davis (22.3 PPG/8.4 RPG) sidelined with an injury, the Lakers have looked a bit vulnerable of late. As a matter of fact, they have lost 3 of their last 4 while scoring just 96 and 94 points in their previous 2. The Lakers will also be without starting guard Dennis Schroeder (quarantine) who averages 14.2 points and 4.5 assists per game. The Lakers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 as a home favorite of 8.5 or less, and they lost 5 of those contests straight up. It’s been well documented that the Lakers have been much better on the road (13-3) than at home (9-6) this season. The Lakers will be facing a 10-17 (.370) Washington team that has been outscored by an average of 5.1 points per game this season. The Lakers are 0-7 ATS at home this season when facing an opponent who has been outscored by 3.0 or more points per game. Washington has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games and 3 of those came as an underdog. Furthermore, the Wizards averaged 126.3 points scored per contest and have shot 51.3% throughout their previous 3 games. Washington is coming off an impressive 118-111 win at Portland in their previous game. That Wizards victory halted an extremely profitable 6-0 SU&ATS for Portland. Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season, any road underdog of 7.5 or less (Washington) that’s coming off a road in which they scored 118 points or fewer, and they possess a season win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Lakers) with a winning record, resulted in those road underdogs going 16-1 ATS (94.1%). Those road dogs also won 10 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-21-21 | Nets v. Clippers -6.5 | 112-108 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ LA Clippers 8:05 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: LA Clippers -6.5 (5*) This will be the finale of a 5-game in 9-day road trip for Brooklyn which has seen them go 4-0 SU&ATS thus far. They have accomplished that feat without having the services of Kevin Durant (29.0 PPG/7.3 RPG) who continues to be sidelined today with a hamstring injury. This is a spot in which he will be sorely missed against a Clippers team when healthy is an excellent defensive team. That was the finally the case on Friday night when they won at home against a Utah team which sports the best record in the NBA to this point. The Clippers are 11-2 this season when they have their full compliment of core players. This will be a statement game for the home team in this matchup. Bet on the LA Clippers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-21-21 | Thunder -2.5 v. Cavs | 117-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City @ Cleveland 7:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Oklahoma City -2.5 (5*) Cleveland has gone an abysmal 0-9 SU&ATS in their last 9 and lost by a lopsided margin of 21.4 points per game. During that stretch they have given up an alarmingly high 125.1 points per contest while opponents shot 53.6% and converted on 45.2% of their 3-point attempts. Those are horrible defensive numbers and especially when considering an ample sample size for that futility to occur. Since the start of last season, Oklahoma City has gone 32-11 straight up versus teams with a losing record. Additionally, if those opponents had a win percentage of .250 to .400 like Cleveland currently has the Thunder improved to 18-3 straight up over that identical time frame. Furthermore, the Thunder is 12-1 straight up and 12-0-1 ATS in their last 13 road games when there’s been a point-spread oif 3.0 or less. Oklahoma is a respectable 7-9 straight up on the road this season and they covered 11 of those 15 contests. Bet on Oklahoma City minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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02-21-21 | Wolves v. Knicks -3 | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ New York 7:05 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: New York -3.0 (5*) Minnesota has gone an abysmal 5-23 straight up in their last 28 games. The Timberwolves are coming off an 86-81 home loss to Toronto in their previous outing. Minnesota is 0-5 straight up in their last 5 away following a home game and thy lost by 9.6 points per contest. I mention the straight up numbers since we are discussing a short line (+3.0) and takes on more significance. New York is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season at home and when there was a line of +3.0 to -3.0. The Knicks won those 5 contests by a decisive average of 14.4 points per game. The Knicks are coming off a disappointing double-digit loss at Orlando which halted a season high 3-game win streak. Playing Minnesota today is just what the doctor ordered for the Knicks to recover quickly. Bet on New York minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-20-21 | Kings v. Bulls +2 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Chicago 9:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Chicago +2.0 (10*) Sacramento limps into tonight’s contest having gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 games. During that futile stretch, the Kings allowed 124.0 points per game while their opponents shot a scalding hot 52.2% and converted on an alarmingly high 46.2% of its 3-point attempts. Chicago is coming off a 112-105 loss at Philadelphia last night. The Bulls have gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game. Bet on Chicago plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-19-21 | Jazz -4.5 v. Clippers | 112-116 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Utah @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Utah -4.5 (5*) If it isn’t broke, then don’t fix it. Utah is on an incredible run which has saw them go 20-1 straight up and 19-2 ATS during their previous 21 games. That includes 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 and with a decisive average victory margin of 14.9 points per game. All 9 wins came by 8 points or more. The Clippers stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are listed as questionable at the time of this writing. The Jazz have held the Clippers to 96 and 100 points scored in their 2 meetings this season while on their way to going 2-0 SU&ATS. The Clippers have lost 3 of their last 5 at home including a 114-96 defeat to Utah on Wednesday night. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-19-21 | Bulls +8.5 v. 76ers | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Philadelphia 7:35 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Chicago +8.5 (5*) It’s tough to go against a Philadelphia team that has gone 41-4 at home since the start of last season. However, this is a sizable number to cover against a Bulls team which has held its own on the road this season. The Bulls are 7-6 straight up and 10-3 ATS on the road this season. That includes a spotless 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 as a road underdog and they had a substantial average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Chicago is also coming off a stirring comeback win over Detroit in a game they overcame a massive 25-point 1st half deficit. The confidence gained in that win and profitable road record makes Chicago a strong betting value in this spot when considering they are a sizable underdog. By the way, Philadelphia has failed to cover in 4 straight games and lost 3 of those outright. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-19-21 | Nuggets -9 v. Cavs | 120-103 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Denver @ Cleveland 7:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Denver -9.0 (5*) Here we have a Nuggets team that has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 road games and yet they’re a considerable favorite in this contest. The sportsbooks just aren’t that generous and it caused me to look twice at this matchup. Cleveland enters today on an 8-game losing streak while failing to cover in 7 of those contests and they were outscored by a massive average of 22.6 points per outing. The Cavaliers have allowed 127.6 points per game in their last 5 and their opponents shot a sizzling hot 52.8%. Denver has shot a more than respectable 48.5% over their previous 5 games. The Nuggets are a much better team than their 15-13 season record indicates. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-17-21 | Pistons +3.5 v. Bulls | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Detroit +3.5 (10*) Detroit has been a huge money maker as an underdog. As a matter of fact, the Piston have gone 15-7 ATS in their last 22 as an underdog. Detroit is also 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4 games overall. Conversely, Chicago is a poor 3-6 SU&ATS this season in their last 9 as a favorite. Additionally, Chicago is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games following a win. Both teams are coming off straight up underdog wins in which their opponent shot 40% or better. This sets up a recent NBA betting angle which I couldn’t ignore and is displayed below. Since 11/1/2019, Any NBA away underdog that’s coming off a straight up win as an underdog and they allowed that opponent to shoot 40% or better, versus a team (Chicago) that allowed their previous opponent to shoot 40% or better, resulted in those away underdogs going 18-4 ATS (81.8%). Those away underdogs also won 14 of those 22 contests straight up. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-17-21 | Pacers v. Wolves +5.5 | 134-128 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Minnesota +5.5 (5*) Indiana has scored 111 points or more in each of their previous 2 games. The Pacers are a dismal 2-9 straight up this season after scoring 110 or more in 2 consecutive games. Indiana will be facing a Minnesota team with a poor 7-21 (.250) record. However, the Pacers are just 2-7 straight up this season when facing teams with a win percentage of .250 to .400. Indiana has gone a terrible 3-7 SU&ATS in their last 10 games and they were a favorite on 8 of those occasions. Despite their horrible overall record, Minnesota has gone an outstanding 7-1-2 ATS during their previous 10 games with 9 of those coming as an underdog. They sack the ability to hit 3-point shots at a high rate is a great equalizer for an underdog. Well, if that indeed is the case, Minnesota has made a superb 41.1% of their 3-point attempts over its last 5 games and averaged an impressive 16 makes per game. The Timberwolves are coming off a 8-point home loss to the Lakers last night. They are 2-0 SU&ATS this season when playing at home with no rest and were a dog in each occurrence. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-15-21 | Cavs v. Warriors -9 | 98-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Golden State -9.0 (5*) Cleveland is in a freefall while having gone 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 and losing by an enormous margin of 20.7 points per game. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS this year as a road underdog of 7.0 or greater and they lost by an average of 21.2 points per game. This will be the 3rd road game in the 4 days and 5th away contest in 8 days for Cleveland. Golden State is coming off a 134-117 loss to Brooklyn. The Warriors are an unscathed 4-0 SU&ATS at home this season following a loss and won by a decisive 18.5 points per game. Bet on Golden State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-15-21 | 76ers v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 123-134 | Win | 101 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Utah -7.5 (10*) Dating back to last season, Philadelphia is an abysmal 2-15 ATS as an away underdog of 12.0 or less, and 0-5 ATS if the number is 5.5 to 12.0 (-14.0 PPG). The 76ers have scored 111 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. Philadelphia is 0-4 SU&ATS this season after scoring 100 points or more in 3 consecutive games and they lost by a sizable margin of 13.3 points per contest. Utah has gone an incredible 15-0 SU&ATS in their last 15 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less and they won by 14.7 points per contest. If it’s not broke then don’t fix it. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-15-21 | Bulls +5.5 v. Pacers | 120-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Chicago +5.5 (5*) You may be surprised to know that Chicago is a perfect 8-0 ATS this season as a road underdog of 11.0 or less and won 5 of those contests straight up. The Bulls will try to get the monkeys off their backs from having lost 10 consecutive times and 13 of its last 14 to Indiana. This appears to be a prime spot for them to take that heavy weight off their backs. Indiana is just 3-6 straight up and 2-7 in their last 9 at home. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-12-21 | Bucks v. Jazz -2.5 | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Utah -2.5 (5*) Milwaukee will be playing their 5th of a 6-game in 10-day road trip. The Bucks is coming off a 125-124 loss at Phoenix on Wednesday which snapped a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS run. I am aware the Bucks have been god following a loss during the past couple of seasons. However, they will be playing against unequivocally the hottest team in the NBA tonight. Utah has won 16 of their last 17 and covered on 15 of those occasions. During that identical stretch, 13 of Utah’s 16 wins have come by double-digit margins. The Jazz will enter this contest riding a 10-game home win streak. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-12-21 | Clippers v. Bulls +7.5 | 125-106 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Chicago +7.5 (5*) The Clippers have gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 8.5 or less and lost 3 of those contests straight up. The Bulls are coming off a momentum building 129-116 home win over New Orleans and they did so as a 2.5-point underdog. Chicago has gone an extremely profitable 12-3 in their last 15 as an underdog. That includes 6-0 ATS if they were an underdog of 4.5 to 9.5 and they won 4 of those contests straight up. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-12-21 | Spurs +2.5 v. Hawks | 125-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: San Antonio +2.5 (5*) Atlanta enters today’s game having lost 4 of their last 5. Additionally, they are a poor 1-4 during their previous 5 at home. San Antonio has been a very profitable road team this season while going 7-3 SU&ATS in that role. The Spurs are coming off a 114-91 home loss to Golden State that halted a 3-game win streak. They get back to their winning ways today. Bet on San Antonio plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-11-21 | Pacers v. Pistons +3 | 111-95 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Detroit 8:05 ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Detroit +3.0 (5*) Indiana limps into today’s game while having gone 0-4 SU&ATS during its last 4 and lost by an average of 9.8 points per game. Last night at Brooklyn, Indiana was down 62-30 at the half. However, they expended a ton of energy in the 2nd half but still fell short in a 10-point loss. Bouncing back from that type of performance with no rest on the road Detroit has gone an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS in their last 9 this season as a home underdog, and they won 5 of those contests straight up. As a matter of fact, the Pistons are 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home while defeating quality opponents such as the Nets, Lakers, and 76ers. This will be the first time that Detroit is facing Indiana this season. You may be surprised to know they went 3-1 straight up and 3-0-1 ATS versus the Pacers a season ago. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-10-21 | Cavs v. Nuggets -9.5 | 95-133 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Denver -9.5 (5*) Cleveland has gone 0-5 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog and lost by an average of 18.4 points per game. The Cavaliers have allowed 121.7 points per game during their previous 4 outings while their opponents combined to shoot an alarmingly high 53.4%. Conversely, Denver is 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 as a favorite of 4.5 or more and won by an average of 20.0 points per game. The Nuggets have gone a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games and failed to cover by a combined 34.5 points. Cleveland is coming off a 119-113 loss at Phoenix and that contest went over the total of 212.5. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is displayed below. Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Denver) who failed to cover its last 3 games by a combined 30 points or greater, and they are facing an opponent that went over the total in their previous game by 18 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 31-8 ATS (79.5%) during the past 5 seasons, and 18-3 ATS (85.7%) during the previous 3 seasons. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-09-21 | Celtics v. Jazz -5.5 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Boston @ Utah 10:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Utah -5.5 (5*) NBA bettors have fallen in love with the Celtics whenever they are installed as an underdog. Afterall, since the start of last season, Boston has gone an extremely profitable 20-10 ATS as an underdog. However, they have gone just 5-4 ATS this season when cast into this role. Furthermore, tonight will be the finale of a grueling 5-game in 8-day road trip for Boston, and they will be facing the hottest team in the NBA. The Utah Jazz are 14-1 straight up and 13-2 ATS throughout their previous 15 games, and that includes 12-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 12.0-points or fewer. They won those 12 contests by a decisive margin of 14.6 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-09-21 | 76ers v. Kings +5 | 119-111 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Sacramento +5.0 (5*) Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a dismal 8-16 ATS as a road favorite. They also lost 11 of those 24 games straight up. The 76ers are coming off a 124-108 home win over Brooklyn. Dating back to last season, Philadelphia is 2-12 ATS on the road following a game in which they scored 120 points or more. That includes 0-7 ATS in their last 7 as a road favorite and they lost 5 of those contests straight up. Sacramento is a red-hot 8-0 ATS during its last 5 games and won 7 of those contests straight up. Additionally, the Kings are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as an underdog. Their last 3 wins have come over good teams in Boston, Denver, and the Los Angeles Clippers. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |