06-20-15 |
New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves +101 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
101 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
The Mets starter Noah Syndergaard has gone 0-3 in his last three team starts on the road with a large 7.63 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. The Mets are a dismal 10-22 on the road this year, and that includes 4-19 at night. Syndergaard doesn’t figure to get much help from his bullpen since they’ve really struggled of late. The Braves starter Williams Perez has posted an excellent 1.50 ERA in six starts since being called up from the minors, and allowed 1 earned run or less in five of those six outings. Play on the Atlanta Braves as 10* Top Play money line selection.
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06-19-15 |
Houston Astros -128 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-128 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
The Astros starter Lance McCullers has displayed excellent form over his last three starts, posting a 1.71 ERA, 0.57 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In his one start versus Seattle this season, McCullers allowed 0 earned runs, 0 hits, and walked 4 in 5.0 innings of work during a 13-0 Astros win. Houston enters tonight on a five game winning streak and averaged 8.6 runs per contest in the process of doing so. Seattle has scored 2 runs or less in 11 of their previous fifteen games, and has been shutout four times in their last eight overall. The Mariners starter Elias has posted a lofty 5.19 ERA during his previous three starts. The Seattle hurler is 0-2 in his team starts versus Houston in 2015 with a mammoth 9.65 ERA. Play on the Astros as a 10* Top Play selection.
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06-16-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Mets OVER 7.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
The Mets Matt Harvey doesn’t appear to be 100% healthy of late. When looking at his last four starts it’s easy to arrive at the conclusion. In those outings he’s posted an awful 7.20 ERA. Even more alarming during that terrible stretch, he’s allowed 8 home runs in just 25.0 innings. Putting that into perspective, Harvey allowed only 4 home runs in his first 54 2/3 innings pitched this season. Toronto was held to 3 runs in yesterday’s extra inning loss to the Mets, and that’s news in of itself. It was just the third time in their last twelve that they were held to less than 7 runs in a game. The Blue Jays hit two more home runs on Monday, and they now have 81 for the season which is third best in all of baseball. Toronto is 19-11-2 over the total in away games this year. The Mets has gone 5-1 over the total in their last six games, and 28-19-3 over the total when facing a right-handed starting pitcher like they will be today. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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06-15-15 |
New York Yankees v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
The Yankees Masahiro Tanaka has gone 4-0 in his last four starts, posted a microscopic 0.99 ERA, 0.55 WHIP, and compiled a better than 14:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Tanaka has gone a perfect 3-0 on the road this season with an excellent 0.89 ERA and 0.49 WHIP. The Marlins Tom Koehler has a huge disparity in his home/away splits this season. He does enter this outing in terrible form over his last three starts with a 6.35 ERA and 1.77 WHIP. However, each of those outings came on the road. The Miami hurler has posted a stellar 1.72 ERA in five starts at home, and four of the five went under the total. “The Bronx Bombers” have smacked 78 home runs this season in their first 62 games. They’ve done most of that damage at home, evidenced by averaging 1.6 home runs per game at Yankee Stadium, and just 1.0 per contest on the road. Miami is one of the toughest ball parks in Major League Baseball to hit home runs. The Marlins have gone 5-0-1 under the total in the last six, and 10-3-1 under the total during their previous fourteen games. The Yankees won’t have the benefit of having a designated hitter tonight in a National League stadium. I look for Tanaka to have another strong outing against a Miami team which possesses little power beyond Giancarlo Stanton. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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06-09-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 |
Top |
2-11 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
The Phillies have gone over the total in their last seven games in a row. The Philadelphia starting pitcher Aaron Harang has a large 8.18 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in two starts versus the Reds since the beginning of 2014. The Reds have gone 8-1 over the total in their last 9 games. They’re also 16-9-3 over the total at home in 2015, and have socked 40 home runs in those 28 games. Cincinnati starter Anthony DeSclafani has a sizable 6.57 ERA in two outings versus Philadelphia since 2014. The Phillies have a team on base percentage of .285 this season. The Red starter Desclafani has a 1.26 WHIP on the season. Any road team (Phillies) play in the first half of the season, and has a team on base percentage of .300 or less, versus a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 to 1.30, resulted in that road team going 41-14 (74.5%) since 1997. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play.
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06-07-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
Both starting pitchers for this afternoon’s game enter in excellent form during their previous three starts. The Cubs Kyle Hendricks has gone 3-0 under the total in his last three with a 2.05 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Nationals Jordan Zimmerman is 3-0 under the number in his last three with a 1.23 ERA. The home plate umpire for today’s game is Kerwin Danley, and he’s gone 43-17-4 under the total in that role since the beginning of the 2013 season. These teams have gone 5-1 under the total during their six meetings in 2015. The Cubs are hitting a dismal .212 as a team in their 21 days game this season, and have gone 8-3 under the total in the last eleven games overall. Washington is averaging a paltry 2.4 runs per game, and hitting a terrible .219 as a team during its last seven. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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06-06-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
101 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
The Atlanta Braves have gone 5-0-1 over the total in the last six, and 8-2-1 over the number in their previous eleven games. They’ve averaged 7.5 runs and 12.2 hits per game during the last six contests. The Braves starter Julio Teheran has gone over the total in his last three starts and posted a very lofty 6.23 ERA during those outings. As a matter of fact, Teheran is 9-2 over the total this season with a lofty 4.87 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, and has allowed 12 home runs in just 61.0 innings pitched. Teheran can expect little help from the bullpen which has an unimpressive staff ERA of 5.03. Atlanta is coming off a 10-8 loss to Pittsburgh on Friday, and they’ve gone 8-1 over the total in 2015 following a game in which they scored 8 runs or more. Those nine games averaged a whopping 13.5 runs combined being scored per contest. Pittsburgh has gone 5-0-3 over the total during their previous eight games. The Pirates have amassed 10 hits or more in 12 of their last 16 games. The Pittsburgh starter Jeff Locke is 3-0-1 over the total on the road in 2015 with a monster 9.34 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. Locke is 11-1 over the total on the road since that start of the 2014 season, and those games averaged a combined 10.5 runs per contest. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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06-03-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Dodgers Mike Bolsinger has posted an excellent 1.15 ERA in his first five outings. Bolsinger has displayed outstanding form in his most recent three starts, compiling a microscopic 0.90 ERA, and all of those games went under the total. The Colorado Rockies Chad Bettis is 4-0 in his team starts with a stellar 2.96 ERA. He’s been even better in his previous three starts, posting a 2.02 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and nearly a 10:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Anytime a game is played at Coors Field it’s always prone to being a high scoring affair. However, I’m going to bet against that likelihood continuing tonight. Both starting pitchers enter this game in very good form, and that should help to keep the scoring relatively low. Play on this game going under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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06-01-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-3 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh will send red-hot Gerrit Cole to the mound tonight. Cole has gone 7-3 in his team starts with an outstanding 2.25 ERA, and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Pirates right-handed hurler has displayed superb form during his previous three starts, compiling a 1.69 ERA, and a 12.5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s made two career starts versus San Francisco, both have come since 2013, and Cole had a very good 3.14 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in those outings. The Giants turn to veteran right-hander Ryan Vogelsong on Monday. Vogelsong has displayed sparkling form in his last three starts, compiling a 1.53 ERA, and the Giants went 3-0. He’s been especially good at AT&T Park this season, going 3-0 in his team starts with a 1.35 ERA, an excellent 0.65 WHIP, and just short of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. All three of those home starts went under the total. Vogelsong has gone 24-8 under the total in his career when installed as a home money line underdog of +100 or more like he’ll be this evening. Although both teams body of work during the past couple of weeks indicates they’re each hitting with relative regularity, the books aren’t swayed in the least, and it’s evidenced by a low posted total. I like the way both of these starting pitchers have performed not only recently, but since the beginning of the season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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05-30-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates +104 v. San Diego Padres |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
104 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
Veteran right-hander Charlie Morton will be making just his second start of the season tonight for Pittsburgh. He made his 2015 debut this past Monday during a 4-2 Pirates home win. Morton was rock solid in that outing, allowing 2 earned runs on eight hits while walking none. Morton began the season on the disabled list while still recovering from hip surgery. The Pittsburgh Pirates saw their seven game win streak come to an end last night. During their seven game win streak, Pittsburgh averaged 6.6 runs and 10.7 hits per outing. They were held to just six hits in Friday’s 6-2 loss. Tyson Ross will get the start on Saturday for the Padres.. Ross has encountered control problems which have hindered him since the beginning of the season. He’s walked 30 men in 58 2/3 innings. Ross’ control problems don’t figure to be corrected immediately. I look for the Pirates to be patient at the plate tonight, and force Ross into deep counts. It should result in favorable hitting situations, and some rally enhancing walks. Play Pittsburgh on the money line.
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05-27-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
The Padres Cashner has unequivocally been the unluckiest starting pitcher in baseball this season. He’s a dismal 1-8 in his nine team starts despite posting a stellar 2.89 ERA. San Diego is 6-1 under the total during their last seven, and averaged a paltry 3.0 runs per game in those outings. Despite adding some additional power to their batting order during the offseason, it hasn’t translated to the type of home run numbers thus far that Padres management had envisioned. San Diego has hit just 39 home runs in their first 47 games. The Padres are 21-7 under the total since the start of the 2014 season as a road money line underdog of +125 to +175 like they will be this evening. The Angels Garrett Richards is a perfect 3-0 during his team starts at home in 2015, and posted a terrific 1.74 ERA. The Angels are hitting an anemic .219 as a team during their previous seven games. They’ve also averaged a measly 2.4 runs per game during seven interleague tilts in 2015. The Halos are 13-8 under the total at home, and those games averaged only a combined 7.0 runs per outing. They’ve also gone 14-5 under the total in their last nineteen games overall. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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05-26-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 6 |
Top |
0-8 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
The Dodgers are 18-7-1 over the total at home, and Atlanta is 26-16-2 over the number in 2015. Right-hander Julio Teheran will make the start tonight for Atlanta. He’s struggled in his five starts on the road, going 4-1 over the total, posting a lofty 5.88 ERA, compiling a terrible 1.89 WHIP, and allowed seven home runs in just 26.0 innings pitched. Teheran is 0-3 in his career team starts versus the Dodgers with an unimpressive 6.50 ERA. All three of those outings have come since 2013. The 2014 National League Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw will take the mound on Monday. Kershaw is off to an inauspicious beginning to the season, going 4-5 in his team starts, and has uncharacteristically high by his standards 4.32 ERA. As a matter of fact, the Dodgers southpaw hurler has been less than stellar during his last three starts, evidenced by a 5.49 ERA in those outings. Dana Demuth is slated to be calling balls and strikes tonight at Dodger Stadium. This will be his ninth time as a home plate umpire in 2015, and he’s seen seven of those first eight games go over the total. Those eight times behind the dish for Demuth this season have averaged a combined 10.4 runs scored per game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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05-16-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles -128 |
Top |
6-1 |
Loss |
-128 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
The Angels Matt Shoemaker has had a rough start to the 2015 season. He’s gone 3-3 in six team starts, posted a very lofty 6.61 ERA, and has allowed 10 home runs in just 31 1/3 innings pitched. That’s not good news when it pertains to his start on Saturday since Baltimore has socked a whopping 43 home runs in their first 33-games of the season. Speaking the Orioles, Ubaldo Jimenez will get the start. Jimenez has gone 3-0 in his team starts at Camden Yards with an excellent 0.86 ERA and just shy of a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Jimenez has a stellar 2.41 ERA in 2015, and the Angels are 7-29 on the road since 2013 when facing an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or less. Play on the Baltimore Orioles as a 10* Top Play money line selection.
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04-12-15 |
Boston Red Sox +100 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
4-14 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
The Boston Red Sox have scored six runs or more in four of their first five games this season. On the other hand, the Yankees are hitting an awful .193 as a team during their first five games. That's especially not good news for Yankees since they will be facing a Red Sox pitching staff that's held opponents to a paltry batting average of .172.
The Red Sox will send their ace Clay Buchholz to the mound tonight, and he was magnificent in his opening day start at Philadelphia that resulted in a 8-0 Red Sox win. Buchholz went 7.0 innings, allowed just three hits, and struck out 10 while walking just one. He resembled more of the dominating pitcher he was in 2013, than the one which struggled terrible in 2014.
The Yankees Masahiro Tanaka looked to be every bit as good as advertised to start the 2014 season for the Yankees. Then he went down with a season ending elbow injury. Unfortunately his velocity has diminished considerably based on his performances during spring training, and he's coming off a horrible opening day start during a 6-1 loss to Toronto.
Play on the Boston Red Sox on the money line as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-28-14 |
Texas Rangers v. Houston Astros -139 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
Texas @ Houston 8:10 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Houston -139 (10*)
The Texas Rangers have gone a respectable 20-17 in day games this season, but a horrible 32-63 (.337) on the road. The Texas starter Nick Tepesch has displayed poor form in 8 road starts this year by posting a 4.79 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in those outings. The Rangers will be facing a pitcher this evening that averages 6.3 strike outs per start. Texas has gone a miserable 13-34 on the year when facing a pitcher that averages 5 or more strikeouts per start. The Astros starter Colin McHugh has displayed very good form over his past 5-starts with a 1.76 ERA and better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.
Any home team which is -100 to -150 on the money line that averages 4.2 or less runs per game, and has hit .225 or less as a team over their past 5-games, versus an American League starting pitcher that has an ERA of 4.20 to 4.70, has gone 32-8 (80%) during the past 18-seasons. Play on the Houston Astros as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-27-14 |
Miami Marlins +135 v. Los Angeles Angels |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
Marlins (Alvarez) @ Angels (Santiago) 10:05 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Miami +135 (10*)
The Marlins Henderson Alvarez has gone a terrific 14-2 against the money over his last 16-starts this season, including 7-1 in the last 8 on the road. The Marlins will be facing a southpaw tonight, and they've gone a very profitable 19-10 in that role this season. Miami has also gone an exceptional 13-3 versus American League opponents this season that average 4.7 or less runs per game.
The Angels starter Hector Santiago has definitely been the weak link of the rotation going a miserable 5-13 against the money this year. The Angels southpaw hurler has gone a dismal 1-8 against the money the past 2-season when installed as -100 to -150 on the money line.
Any NL money line road underdog of +100 to +150 that averages 4.1 or less runs per game, and they scored 2-runs or less in their previous game, versus an AL opponent with a starting pitcher who has an ERA 4.20 or less, has gone 29-17 (63%) over the last 18-seasons. Play on the Miami Marlins as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-26-14 |
Oakland A's v. Houston Astros +110 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
110 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
Oakland (Hammel) @ Houston (Keuchel) 8:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Houston +110 (10*)
The Oakland starter Jason Hammel has been a disappointment since coming over in a trade from the Cubs. The right-hander has gone 1-5 against the money with the A's while posting a large 7.33 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. In his one start versus the Astros this season he was shelled, allowing 8 earned runs, 7-hits, and walked 3. Despite their 8-2 win at Houston on Monday the A's have gone just 7-15 in their last 22 on the road.
The Houston starter Dallas Keuchel is 2-0 against the money versus Oakland in 2014 with an impressive 2.35 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Keuchel has also been an extremely profitable 11-7 against the money this season when installed as an underdog of +100 or more, and has earned 9.80 units against the money line.
Play on the Houston Astros as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-24-14 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Oakland A's -134 |
Top |
9-4 |
Loss |
-134 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
Angels (Weaver) @ A's (Kazmir) 8:05 PM ET Game#927-928 Play On: A's -134 (10*)
The A’s starter Scott Kazmir has gone a terrific 7-1 against the money in day games this season, with an excellent 1.49 ERA, a 0.85 WHIP, and a nearly 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Oakland southpaw has gone 9-3 against the money at home in 2014 with a stellar 2.28 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.
The Angels Jered Weaver has been in bad form over his last 5-starts by posting a lofty 5.40 ERA and a terrible 1.80 WHIP. Weaver has gone 0-2 against the money versus Oakland this season with a large 7.15 ERA.
Any home money line favorite of -125 to -175 that averages 4.7 to 5.2 runs per game, and their previous game saw a combined total of 4-runs or less scored, versus an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or less on the season, has gone 70-22 (76.1%) during the last 18-seasons. Play on the Oakland A's as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-22-14 |
Los Angeles Angels +150 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
LA Angels (Santiago) @ Oakland (Gray) 10:05 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: LA Angels +150 (10*)
These teams enter this crucial AL West series headed down opposite paths. Oakland has gone a terrible 2-8 in their last 10, while the Angels have gone 8-1 over their last 9-games. The Angels come off a 2-0 win at Boston on Thursday, and they've gone an extremely profitable 21-8 this season following a game in which they scored 2-runs or less.
The Angels starter Hector Santiago enters tonight in very good form over his last 5-starts by posting a 1.63 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in those outings. All 3 of the Angels hurler career starts versus Oakland have come since the start of the 2013 season, and he's been dominant in those appearances with an excellent 0.93 ERA. The A's starter Sonny Gray has been in poor form over his last 3-starts. He's gone 0-3 with a very lofty 6.48 ERA and 1.92 WHIP.
Play on the Los Angeles Angels as a 10* Top Play money line underdog selection.
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08-22-14 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 7.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
102 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
St. Louis (Miller) @ Philadelphia (Kendrick) 7:05 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Over 7.5 (10*)
The Philadelphia starter Kyle Kendrick has seen 8 of his last 9-starts go over the total while having a large 7.20 ERA in the process. Since the starts of the 2013 season Kendrick has a lofty 5.00 ERA in 3-starts versus the Cardinals.
St. Louis has seen each of their last 5-games go over the total with an average of 10.4 runs scored per contest. The Cardinals starter Shelby Miller has seen 6 of his last 7-starts go over the total while posting an unimpressive 4.37 ERA. In his one start versus the Phillies this season, Miller allowed 4 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings.
Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-22-14 |
Houston Astros v. Cleveland Indians -1.5 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
Houston (Peacock) @ Cleveland (Carrasco) 7:05 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Cleveland -1.5 (+105) (10*)
After a very rough stretch the Indians starter has began to regain his good form over his last 2-starts by posting a 0.00 ERA and stingy 0.42 WHIP. The Indians have been a strong home team in 2014 as evidenced by their 37-24 (.607) record at Progressive Field in downtown Cleveland.
The Astros starter Brad Peacock enters tonight in horrible form in his last 5-starts, going 0-5, with a mammoth 10.80 ERA, and 2.29 WHIP. In addition, Peacock is 0-3 in his last 3 on the road with a monster 13.85 ERA, and allowed 6 home runs in just 13.0 innings during those starts. Houston has gone a less than impressive 25-38 on the road this season.
Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-19-14 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins +103 |
Top |
7-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
Cleveland (Bauer) @ Minnesota (Gibson) 8:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Minnesota +103 (10*)
The Minnesota starter Kyle Gibson has gone 3-1 in his last 4 against the money while displaying very good form in doing so. Gibson has gone 6-1 versus division opponents, 8-3 as a money line underdog of +100 to +150, 10-3 when facing an American League opponent with an OBP of .320 or less, with all of those results coming against the money line, and all having taken place this season.
The Indians starter Trevor Bauer enters tonight in poor form over his last 4-starts by posting a lofty 5.87 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. The Indians have hit just .210 and averaged 2.7 runs per outing over their last 7-games. Despite their stellar record at home, the Tribe are just 25-37 (.403) on the road this season. As a matter of fact they've gone a miserable 22-53 (.293) on the road the past 3-seasons when facing an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or less.
Any home team which is +125 to -125 on the money line that averages 4.5 or less runs per game, and their bullpen averages 3.2 or more innings pitched per game, versus an AL opponent with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 4.20 to 4.70, has gone 58-31 (65.2%) during the past 18-seasons. Play on the Minnesota Twins as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-18-14 |
Atlanta Braves v. Pittsburgh Pirates -108 |
Top |
7-3 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
Atlanta (Santana) @ Pittsburgh 7:05 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Pittsburgh -108 (10*)
The Braves have the unenviable task of playing on a Monday following a Sunday night ESPN national telecast appearance. That's been a kiss of death for the majority of teams this season who've had to endure that assignment. The last time Atlanta embarked on a road trip like they will be setting out to do tonight, they went a miserable 0-8 on that swing. . The Braves Ervin Santana has been in good form of late, but has gone just 4-7 against the money on the road this season.
This is a Pittsburgh team that's dropped 5 in a row, but returns to PNC Park tonight where they've been an excellent 39-24 (.619) this season, and that includes 19-6 in the last 25 at home. The Pirates starter Vance Worley has been a rejuvenated pitcher since being recalled from the minors, and is starting to resemble the good looking prospect that won 15-games in his rookie season with the Phillies. Worley has posted a stellar 2.32 ERA in 10-starts overall this year, and that's not good news for the Braves. Atlanta has gone 0-13 the last 2-seasons when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or less.
Any home team that's -100 to -150 on the money line, following 2 straight games in which their bullpen blew a save, versus an opponent who saw their bullpen all no earned runs in their previous game, has gone 68-26 (72.3%) over the last 18-seasons. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-17-14 |
Oakland A's -147 v. Atlanta Braves |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-147 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
Oakland (Lester) @ Atlanta (Minor) 8:05 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Oakland -150 (10*)
This is a pitching mismatch this evening. The Oakland starter John Lester has been on fire in going 10-1 in his last 11 against the money with an excellent 1.46 ERA and better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Braves Mike Minor has been horrible over his last 5-starts posting a large 7.57 ERA and 1.94 WHIP.
The Braves will be looking for their 3rd straight win tonight, and they've accomplished that feat just once since July 18th. The A's have lost 4-games in a row for just the 2nd time this season, the first occurrence of such came in late May, and they haven't had a 5-game losing streak all season long.
Any American League team that's hitting .265 or less on the year, and they have a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or less, versus a National League opponent with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 5.20 to 5.70 on the season, has gone 47-17 (73.4%) against the money over the last 18-seasons. Play on the Oakland A's as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-16-14 |
New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
Yankees (Greene) @ Rays (Smyly) 7:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)
The Yankees starter Greene has seen 4 of his last 5-starts go under the total while posting a stellar 2.92 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. The Yankees have seen just 2 of their last 10-games go over the total. They've been anemic offensively over their last 5-games scoring a total of 7-runs, or 1.4 runs per game.
The Rays starter Smyly has seen 4 of his last 5-starts go under the total while posting a very good 2.93 ERA. The Rays have gone over the total in just 1 of their last 7-games. The Tampa pitching has been outstanding of late allowing a total of 10-runs over their last 7-games, or just 1.4 runs per game.
Today's home plate umpire will be Kerwin Danley, and that's significant from a handicapping perspective. Danley has seen 18 of his 22-games (81.9%) this seen go under the total when he's calling balls and strikes, in addition to 55 of 75 (73.3%) going under during the last 3-years when he's behind the dish.
Play on this game to go under as my "10* Top Play Total of the Week".
|
08-15-14 |
Milwaukee Brewers +160 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
160 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
Brewers (Nelson) @ Dodgers (Grienke) 10:10 PM ET Game#961-962 Play On: Milwaukee +160 (10*)
The Brewers have gone a remarkable 5-0 this season as a money line road underdog of +150 or more. The Milwaukee starter Jimmy Nelson has displayed very good form over his last 3-starts with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. His lone start (5/25) on the road came in his 2014 debut at Miami, when he tossed 5 2/3 of scoreless baseball during a 7-1 Brewers win. He was brilliant the Brewers AAA affiliate in Nashville this season, where he was 10-2 with an excellent 1.46 ERA, and a 0.92 WHIP.
The Dodgers starter Zack Greinke hasn’t fared well in 2 career starts versus the Brewers, going 0-2 against the money, with a large 8.10 ERA and 2.10 WHIP. Both of those outings took place since the start of the 2013 season. The Dodgers actually been much better on the road (40-26) than at home (30-27) in 2014.
Play on the Milwaukee Brewers as a 10* Top Play money line underdog.
|
08-13-14 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Miami Marlins -121 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-121 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
St. Louis (Masterson) @ Miami (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Miami -121 (10*)
The Cardinals Justin Masterson has been pathetic in his last 5-starts as evidenced by a monster 12.18 ERA and 2.29 WHIP in those outings. In 11 starts on the road Masterson has posted a large 7.43 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. The change of scenery from Cleveland to St. Louis has done nothing to cure his recent ineptness. The Cardinals enter tonight having lost 4 of their last 5.
The Marlins enter tonight having won 4 of their last 5-games and are just 4.5 games out of the final wild card spot in the National League, and are also just 6.0 games behind the 1st place Washington Nationals in the NL East race. Somehow they've managed to do so despite losing their top two starting pitchers to injuries. The Marlins starter tonight is Nathan Eovaldi who's been extremely sharp in his last 2-starts. This is a Miami team which has hit far better at home this season than on the road.
Any home team which is +125 to -125 on the money line, averages 4.1 or less runs per game, and has a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or less, versus a National League opponent with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 5.70 or more, has gone 40-16 (71.4%) during the past 17-seasons. Play on the Miami Marlins as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-13-14 |
Chicago White Sox +129 v. San Francisco Giants |
Top |
1-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
White Sox (Quintana) @ Giants (Peavy) 3:45 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: White Sox +129 (10*)
There's a plethora reasons to fade the money line favorite Giants in this spot. The Giants starter Jake Peavy has gone an embarrassing 0-12 against the money in his last 12-starts for both the Giants and Red Sox. The Giants enter today having dropped 5 in a row and have averaged just 1.8 runs per game over that span. The White Sox starter Jose Quintana has pitched much better than his 2014 record indicates. Quintana has posted a stellar 1.90 ERA over his last 4-starts, and has a very good 2.32 ERA in 10-starts during the day in 2014.
Any American League money line underdog of +100 to +150 that's hitting .240 or less over their last 10-games, and is facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 to 5.20, has gone 29-13 (69%) during the past 17-seasons. Play on the Chicago White Sox as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-12-14 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Chicago Cubs +109 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
109 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
Brewers (Peralta) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 8:05 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Cubs +109 (10*)
The Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks has pitched extremely well over his last 4-starts after having a shaky 2014 debut. In those 4-outings he's posted an excellent 0.95 ERA. The Cubbies have gone 5-0 in their last 5-games after scoring 2-runs or less in their previous contest.
The Brewers starter Wily Peralta has pitched very well of late. However, he's 0-2 against the money line versus the Cubs this season with a very lofty 6.39 ERA. Milwaukee has gone 0-5 in their last 5-games versus an opponent that scored 2-runs or less in their previous outing.
Play on the Chicago Cubs as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-10-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -120 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
Washington (Gonzalez) @ Atlanta (Wood) 8:05 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Atlanta -120 (10*)
The Washington starter Gio Gonzalez has been shaky in his last 5-starts going 1-4 against the money with a lofty 5.74 ERA. The Washington southpaw is a dismal 0-7 against the money in his last 7 versus the Braves with a 5.48 ERA and 1.51 WHIP.
Despite their loss on Saturday, the Braves have gone an outstanding 33-14 (.702) at home the last 2-seasons versus an opponent with a winning record. They've also defeated the Nationals in 8 of 12-meetings in 2014, and it includes 4 of the 5 played at Turner Field. The Braves starter Alex Wood has faced the Nationals 4-times in his career and each of those starts have come since 2013. In those 4-outings the Braves hurler has posted an excellent 1.57 ERA and compiled an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio.
Play on the Atlanta Braves as a 10* Top Play selection.
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08-09-14 |
New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
NY Mets (Gee) @ Philadelphia (Hamels) 7:05 PM ET Game#953-954 Play On: Philadelphia -1.5 (+130) (10*)
The Phillies Cole Hamels has been virtually untouchable over his last 4-starts with a microscopic 0.60 ERA and a better than 16:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In his last 3-starts versus the Mets this season the veteran southpaw has compiled an excellent 0.82 ERA. He will be facing a Mets team today that's gone 0-11 this season on the road when facing a National League starting pitcher who has an ERA of 3.00 or less on the year.
The Mets Dillon Gee has gone 0-4 against the money in his last 4-starts with a very lofty 6.81 ERA, and he allowed 5 home runs in just 22 1/3 innings of work. Since the start of the 2013 season, the Mets right-hander is 1-5 against the money versus the Phillies with a large 7.71 ERA. He allowed 10 home runs in just 32 2/3 innings during those 6-starts.
Play on the Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-09-14 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 |
Top |
3-10 |
Win
|
101 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
St. Louis (Lackey) @ Baltimore (Jimenez) 4:05 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)
The St. Louis starter John Lackey has faced the Orioles 3-times this season as a former member of the Boston Red Sox. He didn't do well in those outings posting a large 7.02 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. He will be facing an Orioles team that's seen 22 of their 31-games go over the total in the last 2-seasons when facing a National League opponent. The Orioles starter Ubaldo Jimenez is coming off the DL and this will be his first start since July 5th. Jimenez is 6-12 against the money in 2014 with a lofty 4.52 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. The Orioles hurler has 10-starts in day games this season and posted a pathetic 10.55 ERA and 2.34 WHIP in those outings. This one has all the ear marks of a high scoring affair. Play on the game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-08-14 |
New York Mets -104 v. Philadelphia Phillies |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
Mets (Colon) @ Phillies (Burnett) 7:05 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Mets -104 (10*)
The Mets Bartolo Colon has gone 2-0 against the money versus the Phillies this season with an excellent 1.84 ERA. Colon has gone a superb 10-1 against the money when facing a division opponent the last 2-seasons. The Phillies A.J. Burnett has gone 0-2 against the money versus the Mets in 2014 with a horrible 9.00 ERA. Burnett has gone 0-4 against the money in his last 4 overall with a lofty 6.41 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Mets have defeated the Phillies in 8 of their 12-meetings this season including 5 of the 6 played in Philadelphia. As a matter of fact, The Mets have gone at terrific 18-6 the last 3-seasons at First Citizens Park in the "City of Brotherly Love". Play on the Mets as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-07-14 |
Los Angeles Dodgers +102 v. Los Angeles Angels |
Top |
7-0 |
Win
|
102 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
Dodgers (Ryu) @ Angels (Wilson) 10:05 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Dodgers +102 (10*)
The Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu has been rock solid on the road this season going 8-3 against the money with a stellar 2.89 ERA. He enters tonight in stellar form over his last 4-starts going a perfect 4-0 against the money with a 2.42 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio.
The Angels starter C.J. Wilson has been in awful form over his last 5-starts posting a large 9.38 ERA, a mammoth 2.61 WHIP, and allowed a staggering 6 home runs while last just a total of 18.0 innings in those appearances.
Play against any home team with a pitcher that's posted a 2.00 or more WHIP in his last 3-starts, and they have an 0n-base-percentage of .260 or less in their last 3-games. By following this MLB betting system you would be 43-13 (76.8%) against the money line over the past 5-seasons. Play on the Dodgers as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-07-14 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 9 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
Baltimore (Gonzalez) @ Toronto (Happ) 7:05 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*)
The Baltimore starter Miguel Gonzalez has seen 4 of his last 5-starts go under the total while posting a very good 2.60 ERA in the process. Since the start of the 2013 season Gonzalez has started against the Blue Jays 6-times and has posted a stellar 2.43 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. The Orioles have gone under the total in 44 of 69-games (63.8%) when the total is 8.5 to 10.0. Baltimore has also gone under the total in 12 of 15-games (80%) this season after scoring 1-run or less in their previous game.
The Toronto starter J.A. Happ enters tonight in superb form over his last 3-starts with a 1.96 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Happ has seen 10 of his 12-starts (83.3%) go under the last 2-years when the total is 8.5 to 10.0. The Blue Hays hurlers has stated once each in 2013 and 2014 versus the Orioles and has compiled a microscopic 0.60 ERA in those outings.
Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-07-14 |
Chicago Cubs -107 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
Cubs (Hendricks) @ Colorado (Flande) 3:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Cubs -107 (10*)
The Cubs starter Hendricks enters today in terrific form over his last 3-starts having posted a 0.89 ERA during that stretch.The Cubs are hitting a stellar .280 as a team over their last 7-games, and despite yesterday's loss have won 6 of the last 9 overall.
The Rockies starter Flande has gone 0-5 against the money this season with a lofty 6.08 ERA. The Rockies have gone a dismal 10-35 over the last 2-seasons when facing a pitcher who averages 6.5 or more innings per start.
Any team (Cubs) that's hitting .250 or less on the year, and their pitcher has walked 1 or less in each of his past 2-starts, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher who has a 5.70 or more ERA, has gone 36-16 against the money line over the past 17-seasons. Play on the Chicago Cubs as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-06-14 |
Baltimore Orioles -111 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-111 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
Baltimore (Chen) @ Toronto (Hutchinson) 7:05 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Baltimore -111 (10*)
The Orioles starter Chen enters tonight in very good form off his last 3-starts by posting an excellent 1.77 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and compiling a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Orioles have gone an extremely profitable 47-27 at night this year in addition to 35-23 on the road. The Orioles have won their last 3 and 9 of the last 12-games.
The Toronto starter Hutchinson is in terrible form over his past 5-starts posting a large 8.10 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. He's gone a dismal 2-6 against the money at home in 2014 with a poor 7.71 ERA, and allowed 9-homers in just 37 1/3 innings during those starts. The Blue Jays enter tonight having dropped 4-games in a row.
Play against any home team which is +125 to -125 on the money line after suffering 2 straight losses by 4-runs or more, versus an opponent that scored 8-runs or more in their previous game. By following this MLB betting system you would be 59-20 (74.7%) over the past 5-seasons. Play on the Baltimore Orioles as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-05-14 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
Tampa Bay (Smyly) @ Oakland (Hammel) 10:05 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Over 7.5 (10*)
The Oakland starter Jason Hammel enters tonight in horrible form off his last 3-starts posting a monster 12.00 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. Hammel has 5-starts in his career versus the Rays and all have taken place since 2012. He posted a lofty 5.19 ERA in those 5-outings. The A's have gone over the total in 17 of their 24-games this season after hitting .240 or less in their last 10-games. There's been an average of 10.2 runs per game scored in those 24-contests.
The Tampa starter Drew Smyly has struggled in his last 3-starts on the road posting a very lofty 6.13 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in those outings. In his lone start versus the A's this season he allowed 6 earned runs, 8-hits, and surrendered a whopping 4 home runs in just 5.0 innings of work.
Any American League team with a total of 7.0 to 8.5 that has a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or less, and that hurler has a WHIP of 2.00 or more in his last 3-starts, has seen 38 of those 47-games (81.2%) go over the total during the past 5-seasons.
Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* selection.
|
08-03-14 |
Atlanta Braves v. San Diego Padres -136 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
Atlanta (Harang) @ San Diego (Ross) 4:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: San Diego -136 (10*)
The Padres Tyson Ross has been lights out over his last 6-starts with an excellent 1.10 ERA and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Padres have gone 7-1 at home versus the Braves the last 3-seasons. The Braves have gone a dismal 0-12 the last 2-seasons on the road when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.50 or less. Atlanta has also faltered by going 9-25 the last 2-years on the road versus an opponent with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less. Play on the San Diego Padres as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-02-14 |
Milwaukee Brewers -107 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
7-9 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
Milwaukee (Lohse) @ St. Louis (Masterson) 7:15 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Milwaukee -107 (10*)
The Milwaukee starter Kyle Lohse has been terrific this season in compiling an impressive 15-7 record against the money. The Brewers hurler enters today in very good form over his last 3-starts with a 1.83 ERA. Lohse has gone an incredible 15-2 against the money during the last 2-seasons versus a National League opponent that averages 4.3 or less runs per game. The Brewers have been very profitable on the road this season going 31-23 and earning +12.40 units against the money line.
The Cardinals Justing Masterson will be making his first career start for St. Louis after coming over from Cleveland in a trade deadline deal. The veteran right-hander is just coming off the DL and will be making his first start since July 7th. Unfortunately, he was horrible in his previous 3-starts before going on the DL. In those outings he posted an enormous 13.00 ERA and an off the charts 3.33 WHIP.
Any road team with a starting pitcher who posted an ERA of 2.50 or less over his last 3-starts, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher who's had a 2.25 or greater WHIP over his last 3-starts, has gone 35-9 (79.5%) against the money line during the last 5-seasons.
Play on the Milwaukee Brewers as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-02-14 |
San Francisco Giants +118 v. New York Mets |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
San Francisco (Peavy) @ NY Mets (Degrom) 7:10 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: San Francisco +118 (10*)
Let me start by saying I'm not crazy about this pitching matchup in regards to our selection, but this grades out to be an extremely high value pick.
The Giants have gone 4-0 against the Mets this season including last night's 5-2 win. San Francisco has been a huge money maker on the road this season going 30-20, and earning a huge +13.30 units against the money line. They've also gone 26-12 this season versus a National League opponent that averages 4.3 or less runs per game. The Mets have gone a dismal 9-30 the last 3-seasons from game 82 and beyond versus an opponent with a winning record.
Any money line underdog of +100 or more (Giants) with a winning record on the season, and that's lost 6 or 7 of their last 8-games, versus an opponent with a losing record, has gone 43-22 (66.2%) over the last 5-seasons.
Play against any home team which is +125 to -125 on the money line, and has a winning percentage of .460 to .490 on the season, versus an opponent with a winning record. When playing against the home team in this exact situation you would be 55-21 (72.4%) over the last 5-seasons.
Play on the San Francisco Giants as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-02-14 |
Texas Rangers v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
Texas (Mikolas) @ Cleveland (House) 7:05 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)
The Rangers have gone over the total in all 7 of their outing since game 82 of the season when facing an opponent with a losing record. Texas will face Indians southpaw T.J. House tonight. The rangers have seen 22 of their 29-games this season go over the total when facing a southpaw starter. The Rangers starter Mile Mikolas has been far from impressive in 2014 posting a large 8.55 ERA in 5-starts.
The Indians enter tonight hitting a robust .302 as a team and averaging 5.2 runs per game during their last 7-contests. The Indians starter House has been shaky in 9-starts in 2014 with a lofty 4.78 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.
Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
08-01-14 |
Kansas City Royals v. Oakland A's -1.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-104 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
Kansas City (Guthrie) @ Oakland (Gray) 9:35 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Oakland -1.5 (-104) (10*)
The A's are an exceptional 34-17 at home this season with a large +1.9 run per game differential, including going 15-3 in the last 18 at the Coliseum in Oakland. The A's starter Sonny Gray has been solid all season going in 15-6 against the money. Gray enters tonight 5-0 the last 5 against the money with an outstanding 1.03 ERA. Oakland won those 5-games by a whopping average of 4.6 runs per game.
The Royals enter tonight hitting a paltry .227 as a team over their last 7-games. The Kansas City starter Jeremy Guthrie is in horrible form over his last 4-starts posting a massive 10.07 ERA and 2.24 WHIP.
Play on the Oakland A's as my 10* "Run-Line Game of the Week".
|
07-31-14 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Miami Marlins +100 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 47 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati (Cueto) @ Miami (Koehler) 7:10 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Miami +100 (10*)
The Marlins enter this series having won 7 of the last 8, and 10 of their previous 12-games. They will be facing a Reds team that's lost 10 of their last 12-games. The Cincinnati offense has been anemic as evidenced by a mere 24 runs scored (2.0 rpg.) during their recent 12-game funk. Granted, they will send their ace Johnny Cueto to the mound tonight, and he certainly can cover up for a lot of offensive deficiencies. However, in Cueto's previous 4 starts on the road versus the Marlins he's posted an unimpressive 7.08 ERA, and mammoth 2.06 WHIP. The Marlins starter Tom Koehler has pitched very well in 9-starts at home this season posting a stellar 2.75 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in those outings.
Any team (Miami) that's won 8 or more of their previous 10-games, and both teams in the game have a winning percentage of .460 to .490, has gone 42-19 (68.9%) over the last 17-seasons.
Play on the Miami Marlins as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-31-14 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles -106 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
LA Angels (Skaggs) Baltimore (Norris) 7:05 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Baltimore -106 (10*)
The Orioles starter Bud Norris has made 4-starts in his career versus the Angels, all of them have come since 2013, and he's posted a microscopic 0.52 ERA in those outings. Norris is 5-2 against the money at home this season with a stellar 3.01 ERA. The Orioles are playing exceptionally well right now having gone 18-7 in their last 25-games, including winning 5 of the last 6. The Angels starter Tyler Skaggs enters tonight in bad form over his past 3-starts posting a lofty 5.74 ERA and 1.66 WHIP.
Any home team which is +125 to -125 on the money line, they average 4.5 or less runs per game, and their bullpen averages 3.2 or more innings pitched per game, and they're facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 to 4.70, has gone 58-29 (66.7%) over the last 17-seasons.
Play on the Baltimore Orioles as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-29-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins +133 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
133 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
Washington Nationals (Stasburg) @ Miami Marlins (Alvarez) 7:10 PM ET Play On: Miami +133 (10*)
The Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg hasn’t been anywhere close to the dominant pitcher that we’ve witnessed in recent years. The power throwing right-hander enters tonight in bad form over his last 3-starts, posting a 5.00 ERA, and a lofty 1.61 WHIP. He’s gone just 4-6 against the money on the road in 2014 with a hefty 5.09 ERA. In his last 4 road starts versus the Marlins he's been absolutely hammered as evidence by a massive 11.65 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in those outings.
The Marlins starter Henderson Alvarez has been rock solid at home this season going 8-2 against the money with a stellar 1.64 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Since the start of the 2013 season the Marlins hurler has started 5-times versus Washington and posted a stellar 2.63 ERA. Miami enters tonight red-hot winning their last 5 and 8 of the last 9. Last night they took the opening game of this series by overcoming deficits of 6-0, and 6-3 going into the bottom of the 9th. The Marlins are undoubtedly riding a wave of momentum and have a renewed confidence.
Play on the Miami Marlins as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
07-28-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
107 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Washington (Zimmerman) @ Miami (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 7.5 (10*)
The Washington starter Jordan Zimmerman has seen each of his last 2-starts go over the total while he's posted a large 8.64 ERA in the process. The Nationals hurler has seen all 3-starts versus Miami this season go over the total while compiling a very lofty 6.58 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in those outings. The Nationals have gone over the total in 6 of their 8 meetings with the Marlins this season, including all 3 played in Miami.
The Marlins starter Nathan Eovaldi has been extremely shaky in his last 4 home starts as evidence by his mammoth 9.97 ERA in those appearances. Eovaldi has 4 career starts versus the Nationals, all have come since 2013, and he posted a lofty 5.06 ERA. The Marlins have gone over the total in 43 of 65 (66.2%) of their night games this season.
Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-26-14 |
Oakland A's -1.5 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
Oakland (Gray) @ Texas (Tepesch) 8:05 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Oakland -1.5 (-114)
The Oakland starter Sonny Gray has gone a perfect 4-0 against the money line in his last 4-starts, and has displayed superb form with a microscopic 0.95 ERA. Gray has 3 career starts versus Texas, all have come this season, and he's been terrific in posting a superb 1.96 ERA in those outings. The A's are coming off a loss last night, and they've gone 5-1 in their last 6-games following a loss.
Despite their win last night, the Rangers have gone a horrific 6-28 in their last 34-games. The rangers starter tonight is Nick Tepesch, and he's been in terrible form over his last 3-starts posting a large 7.72 ERA while going 0-3 against the money line. In 2 career starts versus Oakland the Rangers hurler has a monster 10.38 ERA and 2.08 WHIP.
Play on the Oakland A's -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-26-14 |
Miami Marlins v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 |
Top |
7-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
Miami (Koehler) @ Houston (Cosart) 7:10 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)
The Miami starter Tom Koehler has seen 5 of his last 6-starts on the road go over the total, and he posted a lofty 5.85 ERA in those outings. Koehler has seen all 7 of his starts the last 2-seasons go over the total versus an opponent that gets outscored by 0.5 or more runs per contest. The Marlins come off a 2-0 win last night which easily went under the total. Miami has gone over the total in 8 of their last 10 following a game that went under the number. The Marlins games have only stayed under the total 37.2% of the time this season.
The Houston starter Zack Cosart has seen his last 3-starts go over the total, displaying horrible form in those outings posting a large 8.04 ERA, a massive 2.23 WHIP, and issued 10 more walks than strikeouts. Cosart doesn't figure to get much relief from a bullpen that's posted a lofty 5.03 ERA this season. The Astros pitching staff has allowed 10 or more hits in 9 of their previous 11-games. Houston has gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 following a game that went under the total.
Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-26-14 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Chicago Cubs -123 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-123 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
Cardinals (Miller) @ Cubs (Arrieta) 4:05 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Cubs -123 (10*)
The Cardinals starter Shelby Miller has gone a dismal 0-5 against the money line in his last 5-starts. He's also displayed horrible form in those 5-outings posting a large 7.29 ERA, a massive 2.03 ERA, and issued 3 more walks than strikeouts. The Cardinals enter this matinee affair having losr 4 in a row.
The Cubs starter Jake Arrieta is having nothing short of a spectacular season. The right-hander has an excellent 2.12 ERA in 14-starts in 2014. He's been a very profitable 4-1 against the money line at home this season while posting a terrific 1.76 ERA and has shown a +3.6 units of profit. Arrieta has 3 career starts versus the Cardinals and all have come since the start of the 2013 season. In those outing he's posted a microscopic 0.55 ERA. The Cubs aren't nearly as bad at home (22-24) than on the road (20-35).
Play on the Chicago Cubs as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-25-14 |
Boston Red Sox +130 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
Boston (Lester) @ Tampa Bay (Price) 7:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Boston +120 (10*)
I know it's difficult to fade a team which has won 7-games in a row, and has a red-hot starting pitcher, but there's just too much value to pass on here. Despite their torrid run to comeback from seemingly being dead to being a contender again, the Rays still possess a losing record on the season.
The Red Sox ace John Lester has gone a perfect 7-0 against the money line in his last 7-starts with a microscopic 0.85 ERA. The last times these teams met at the end of May the Red Sox swept the Rays in a 3-game series at Fenway Park. That's sets up a highly profitable betting system displayed below.
Play against any home team that's -100 to -150 on the money line that playing with same season triple revenge stemming from a 3-game series sweep, and they have a winning percentage of .460 to .490 on the season, versus an opponent with a losing record. By going against the home team in this exact scenario you would be 30-10 (75%) since the start of the 1997 season.
Play on the Boston Red Sox as a 10* Top Play money line underdog selection.
|
07-24-14 |
Detroit Tigers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
Detroit (Scherzer) @ LA Angels (Richards) 10:05 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)
The Angels starter Garrett Richards has had a dream season thus far. The Angels hurler has been especially in superb form over his last 9-starts posting an excellent 1.25 ERA and 0.82 WHIP during that time. In 2 career starts versus the Tigers he's yet to allow an earned run.
The Tigers starter Max Scherzer is in terrific form over his last 5-starts posting an exceptional 1.46 ERA. In 4-starts versus the Angels since the start of the 2012 season Scherzer has posted a brilliant 1.55 ERA and 0.79 WHIP.
Any road team with a total of 7.0 or less that's hitting .290 or more as a team over their last 20-games, versus a starting pitcher that has a WHIP of 1.10 or less in his last 10-outings, has seen 33 of those 41-games (80.5%) stay under the total during the last 17-seasons.
Play on this game to under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-24-14 |
Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals +101 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
101 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
Cleveland (Kluber) @ Kansas City (Duffy) 8:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Kansas City +101 (10*)
The Royals southpaw starter Daniel Duffy has pitched far better than his 9-5 money line record may indicate. As a matter of fact Duffy has posted a stellar 2.77 ERA in those 14-starts. Although Corey Kluber has been red-hot in his last 5-starts for the Indians, and he's pitched well in 3-starts versus the Royals this season, he's struggled in 5 career starts at Kansas City posting a lofty 6.15 ERA. The Indians have gone a dismal 4-15 this season on the road when facing a southpaw starting pitcher.
Any home team that +125 to -125 on the money line that allowed 1-run or less in their previous game, and is averaging 4.5 or less runs per game, versus an American League opponent with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 3.50 or less, has gone 48-22 (68.6%) over the last 5-seasons.
Play on the Kansas City Royals as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
07-23-14 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Pittsburgh Pirates -130 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
LA Dodgers (Haren) @ Pittsburgh (Liriano) 7:05 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Pittsburgh -130 (10*)
The Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano was very sharp in his last start, and also pitched extremely well the only time he faced the Dodgers this season. The Pirates are a very good 33-21 at home this season.
The Dodgers starter Dan Haren has gone 0-3 against the money line in his last 3-starts with a large 9.64 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. Haren has been less than impressive in his last 4-starts on the road posting an unimpressive 8.10 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP.
Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
07-22-14 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins +134 |
Top |
8-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
Cleveland (Salazar) @ Minnesota (Pino) 8:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Minnesota +134 (10*)
The Cleveland starter Danny Salazar has gone 0-4 against the money line this season with a lofty 6.05 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. The Indians splits between home and away this season have been drastically different. "The Tribe" has gone a very good 29-19 at home but just 21-30 on the road this season. As a matter of fact the Indians are a dismal 8-19 on the road this season versus an American League opponent that's hitting .265 or less as a team. The Twins starter Pino is 2-0 against the money line in his last 2-starts with a very good 1.64 ERA. Play on the Minnesota Twins as a 10* Top Play money line underdog.
|
07-19-14 |
New York Mets v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
NY Mets (Gee) @ San Diego (Ross) 8:40 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 6.5 (10*)
The Mets starter Dillon Gee has been in terrific form over his last 4-starts posting an excellent 1.33 ERA in those outings. In 3 career starts versus the Padres the Mets right-hander has posted a stellar 1.35 ERA. Gee has seen 5 of his last 6-starts stay under the total.
The Padres Tyson Ross has seen 9 consecutive starts stay under the total while posting a very good 2.70 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in those outings. Ross has seen just 1 of his 10 home starts go over the total this season posting an outstanding 2.08 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in the process. The Padres continue to be the worst hitting team in all of baseball. San Diego is hitting a paltry .214 as a team on the season, and has seen just 30 of their 96-games in 2014 go over the total.
Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* selection.
|
07-18-14 |
San Francisco Giants v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 |
Top |
9-1 |
Win
|
110 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
San Francisco (Bumgarner) @ Miami (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Over 7.5 (10*)
The Marlins starter Nathan Eovaldi has seen all 4 of his career starts versus the Giants go over the total, and he posted a monster 12.27 ERA and 2.24 WHIP in those outings. The Marlins went over the total in their last 3, and 6 of their last 8-games prior to the all-star break. Miami has seen just 6 of their 20-games stay under the total this season when facing a southpaw starting pitcher, and has averaged a lofty 5.4 runs per game in those contests. They've also gone over the total in 17 of 21-games this season after hitting .225 or less as a team over their last 5-games.
The Giants starter Madison Bumgarner has seen all of his last 4-starts go over the total while posting a large 7.03 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Giants southpaw hurler has seen his last 3-starts versus the Marlins all go over the total, and posted a lofty 5.82 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in those outings.
|
07-10-14 |
Pittsburgh Pirates +104 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
9-1 |
Win
|
104 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh @ St. Louis 7:15 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Pittsburgh +105 (10*)
The Pirates starter Edinson Volquez has gone 3-0 against the money line in his last 3-starts while posting a superb 0.86 ERA. His adversary on the mound tonight will be Shelby miller who's gone 0-3 in his last 3-starts versus the money line with a large 8.31 ERA and monster 2.39 WHIP. This sets up a very profitable MLB money line technical betting detailed in the following paragraph.
Any road team with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 2.50 or less over his last 3-starts, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher who has a WHIP of 2.25 or more over his last 3-starts, has gone 34-9 (79.1%) against the money line during the last 5-seasons.
Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-09-14 |
Kansas City Royals +107 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
107 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
Kansas City (Ventura) @ Tampa Bay (Cobb) 7:10 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Kansas City +107 (10*)
The Tampa Bay starter Alex Cobb enters tonight in bad form over his last 3-starts posting a large 7.20 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Cobb has started 3-times versus the Royals since the start of the 2012 season and his been awful in those outings posting a 7.00 ERA and 1.67 WHIP.
The Royals starter Ventura enters this evening in very good form over his last 3-starts with a stellar 2.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. he;s started 1-game in his career versus the Rays and that came this season. In that outing he allowed 0 earned runs on just 2-hits while striking out 6 and walking none.
Play on the Kansas City Royals as a 10* Top Play.
|
07-08-14 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
Toronto (Dickey) @ LA Angels (Skaggs) 10:05 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: LA Angels -1.5 (+145) (10*)
This is a tale of two teams that are going in polar opposite directions. The Angels have won their last 5-games in a row, scored 34 runs, and added 57-hits during that span. The Blue Jays have dropped their last 5 in a row, scored a total of 6-runs, and amassed a paltry 25-hits in those 5-contests.
The Toronto starter R.A. Dickey is 1-7 versus the money line on the road this season with a lofty 4.78 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Dickey has allowed a whopping 11 home runs over his last 7-starts which equates to 1 allowed per 4.0 innings pitched. The Angles Tyler Skaggs has allowed 6 home runs all season long, and that translates to 1 every 14.1 innings of work. Skaggs has faced Toronto once this season and was very good, allowing 2 earned runs on just 4-hits while walking none in 8.0 innings, during a 5-3 Angels win.
The Angels have seen 11 of their last 12-wins come by 2-runs or more. The Halos have gone 23-5 this season as a money line favorite of -150 or more, and have a huge +2.7 run per game differential in those 28-games.
Any run-line home favorite of -1.5 with a -190 to +175 money line price that averages 4.7 to 5.2 runs per game, and has allowed 3-runs or less in each of their previous 2-games, versus an American League opponent with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 4.20 to 4.70, has gone 53-28 (65.4%) against the run-line during the past 17 seasons.
Play on the LA Angels -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
07-05-14 |
Texas Rangers v. New York Mets -132 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
Texas (Lewis) @ NY Mets (Colon) 7:15 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: NY Mets -135 (10*)
The Mets Bartolo Colon has been in very good form over his last 8-starts despite coming off a shaky outing versus the Pirates. Colon is 6-2 versus the money line during the last 8 with a stellar 2.20 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Colon is a perfect 7-0 against the money line during the past 2-seasons when facing an opponent that averages 0.9 or less home runs per game. The veteran hurler for the Mets started 4-games versus the Rangers a season ago, and posted a very good 2.08 ERA in those outings.
The Texas starter Colby Lewis is 0-3 versus the money line against National League opponents this season with a mammoth 9.41 ERA and 2.37 WHIP. Lewis has displayed poor form over his last 6-starts posting a lofty 6.48 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. The Rangers enter today in the midst of an absolute free fall losing their last 6 and 14 of their last 16-games. Texas is a dismal 6-21 this season as a money line underdog of +100 to +150, and has an awful -3.0 run per game differential in those 27 contests.
Play on the New York Mets as my 10* Interleague Game of the Week.
|
07-01-14 |
Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros +119 |
Top |
13-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
Seattle (Iwakuma) @ Houston (Cosart) 8:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Houston +119 (10*)
The Houston starter Cosart has been very good in 3 career starts versus the Mariners posting a very good 2.50 ERA in those outings. The Astros right-hander has been very good in his previous 2 starts posting a microscopic 0.60 ERA. The Astros are coming off a 10-4 shellacking at the hands of the Mariners on Monday. Houston is a profitable 13-8 this season following a loss by 4-runs or more.
The Mariners starter Iwakuma has struggled in his last 2-starts posting a large 10.00 ERA and 1.90 WHIP. Iwakuma has been knocked around in 2-starts versus the Astros this season posting a lofty 5.27 ERA and allowed 3 home runs in 13 2/3 innings.
Any home team that's -110 to -160 on the money line, versus an opponent that hit 4 home runs or more in their previous game, and that opponent had a bullpen ERA of 3.00 or less over their last 15-games, has gone 63-36 (63.6%) during the last 17 seasons. Play on the Houston Astros as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
06-28-14 |
Cincinnati Reds +110 v. San Francisco Giants |
Top |
7-3 |
Win
|
110 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati (Simon) @ San Francisco (Cain) 10:05 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Cincinnati +110 (10*)
The Reds enter tonight having won 6 of their last 7, and the Giants have dopped 13 of the last 17-games. The Reds are also a very good 9-2 the last 3 seasons at San Francisco. The Giants starter Matt Cain enters tonight in terrible form over his last 3 starts posting a large 8.83 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. Cain has gone 10-19 in his team starts over the last 2 seasons as a money line favorite of -110 or more. The Reds starter Alfredo is having a terrific start to the season. Simon has displayed very good form over his last 3-starts going 3-0 with a 2.11 ERA, and a 0.99 WHIP. Simon is a perfect 12-0 in his team starts this season versus a National League opponent that's hitting .255 or less as a team.
Play against any home team which is +125 to -125 on the money line, and has a starting pitcher that allows 5.5 or less hits per start, but has an ERA of 7.50 or more over his last 3-starts. Playing against the home team in this exact situation would've mad you 36-13 (73.5%) during the last 5 seasons. Play on the Cincinnati Reds as a 10* Top Play.
|
06-27-14 |
Minnesota Twins +130 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Minnesota (Correia) @ Texas (Tepesch) 8:05 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Minnesota +130 (10*)
The Minnesota starter Kevin Correia has displayed food form over his last 3 starts posting an excellent 1.00 ERA in those outings. Correia is 3-1 in his career team starts versus the Rangers posting a stellar 2.48 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio.
The Rangers enter tonight having lost their last 8-games in a row. They are hitting an abysmal .210 as a team over their last 7-games compared to .273 for tonight's opponent over that same time span. The Rangers starter Nick Tepesch has been in terrible form over his last 4 starts posting a lofty 5.78 ERA and 1.93 WHIP.
Any money line underdog of +100 or greater with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 4.70 to 5.20, versus an opponent that averages 4.5 or less runs per game, and they were shutout in their previous game, has gone 27-13 (67.5%) during the last 17 seasons. Play on the Minnesota Twins as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
06-25-14 |
Detroit Tigers -1.5 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
8-6 |
Win
|
120 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
Detroit (Sanchez) @ Texas (Saunders) 8:05 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Detroit -1.5 (+120) (10*)
The stars pretty much align all in a row on this selection. The Tigers are winners of their last 5-games. They've scored 29-runs and have had 50-hits over their last 4-games. The Rangers have dropped 6-games in a row heading into tonight. They've scored just 9 runs and had 31-hits over their last 4-games. The Tigers have been a very good 22-13 on the road this season, and the Rangers are a very disappointing 16-20 at home.
The Tigers starter Annibal Sanchez has been extremely good in 4 road starts this season as evidenced by hi stellar 1.29 ERA in those outings. The Rangers Joe Saunders has been lousy in 6-starts this season posting a large 1.92 WHIP.
Play on the Detroit Tigers -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
06-21-14 |
Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
Texas (Martinez) LA Angels (Weaver) 10:05 PM ET
Game# 927-928
Play On: LA Angels -1.5 (+105) (10*)
The Angels Jered Weaver has absolutely dominated the Rangers at home going a perfect 11-0 in his last 11 team starts in that role. He'll be facing a Rangers lineup that's been decimated by injuries. The a Rangers starter Nick Martinez has displayed terrible form in his last 4 starts posting a large 8.53 ERA and 2.21 WHIP. The Rangers are a dismal 7-17 this season when facing a starting pitcher who averages 5 or more strikeout per outing, and have been outscored by an average of 2.8 runs per game in those contests. Play on the Angels -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
06-21-14 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians -120 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-120 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
Detroit (Verlander) @ Cleveland (Bauer) 7:05 PM ET
Game# 925-926
Play On: Cleveland -120 (10*)
It's amazing how the general public continues to wager on the reputation of Jason Verlander, rather than looking at his current performances. There's no sugar coating Verlander's recent struggles. The Tigers former ace has posted a horrible 7.83 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over his last 7-starts. He will be facing an Indians team today that's been very good at home this season going 23-13. The Indians starter Bauer has displayed decent form during his last 3-starts with a 2.92 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.
Play against any American League team that's +125 to -125 on the money line, they're averaging 4.5 or less runs per game, they've left 7 men on base or less in each of their previous 5-games, and they're facing an opponent with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less. By playing on the home team in this exact situation you would be 42-15 (73.7%) over the last 17 seasons. Play on the Cleveland Indians as my 10* Anti-Public Game of the Month.
|
06-20-14 |
San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
San Francisco (Lincecum) @ Arizona (Collmenter) 9:40 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)
These teams have seen 6 of their 7 meetings this season go over the total. The Giants have gone over the total in their last 8, and 11 of the last 12-games overall. The Giants starter Tim Lincecum has been hammered in his 2-starts versus Arizona this season. In those 2 outings Lincecum has a monster 9.90 ERA, a lofty 1.60 WHIP, and allowed 4 home runs in just 10.0 innings. Lincecum has seen 32 of his 44 starts go over the total in the past 3 seasons when the money line is +125 to -125.
Arizona has gone over the total in 6 of their last 7-games overall. They've also gone over the total in 24 of 35-games this season when facing a division opponent, and the average total score in those contest was 10.6 runs. The Arizona starter Josh Collmenter has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts with a lofty 6.50 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Collmenter has seen 12 of his 15 starts at night go over the total in the last 3 seasons with an average of 11.0 runs per game scored.
I know this is a high total for a National League game, but there's certainly validity as to why. I like this one to play on the high side. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
06-19-14 |
Boston Red Sox v. Oakland A's -1.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
140 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
Boston (Peavy) @ Oakland (Kazmir) 10:05 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Oakland -1.5 (+140)
Talk about starting pitchers that have rejuvenated their careers after seemingly being washed up, you certainly can't exclude Scott Kazmir from the conversation. The A's southpaw has gone a stellar 12-2 in his team starts this season with a very good 2.05 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Kazmir has displayed excellent form over his last 4 team-starts going 4-0 with a paltry 0.95 ERA. Kazmir has gone 20-3 in his career team starts as a money line home favorite of -150 to -175, and has a +2.8 run per game differential in those 23-games. The A's are in the 7th of a 9-game home stand which has seen them win 4 of the last 5-games.
The Boston starter Jake Peavy has been far from his usual dominant self this season. He's displayed very shaky form in his last 7 team starts going 1-6 with a lofty 5.98 ERA. Peavy has gone 14-26 in his team starts on the road the last 2 seasons. Boston just completed a home stand yesterday by going extra innings in a 2-1 win over Minnesota. Now they must travel across 3 time zones, play with no rest, face a red-hot starting pitcher, and all against the AL West division leader. Although the Red Sox have won 3 in a row, their bats have been very quite over the last couple of weeks. Boston has scored 2 runs or less in each of their last 5-games, and 8 of the last 10.
Play on the Oakland A's as a -1.5 Run-Line favorite for a 10* Top Play selection.
|
06-14-14 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles -101 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
Toronto (Dickey) @ Baltimore (Norris) 4:05 PM ET Play On: Baltimore +100 (10*)
Since the start of the 2013 season the Toronto starter R.A. Dickey has struggled in 4-starts versus the Orioles. In those 4 outings Dickey has posted a lofty 6.93 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Dickey has also struggled on the road this season going 1-4 in his team starts with a terrible 6.41 ERA and 1.84 WHIP. The Baltimore starter Bud Norris is 3-0 in his career team starts versus Toronto with a very good 3.18 ERA. Norris has been stellar at home this season going 4-1 in his team starts with a 2.38 ERA. Play on the Baltimore Orioles as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
06-09-14 |
Oakland A's +101 v. Los Angeles Angels |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
Oakland (Chavez) @ LA Angels (Richards) 10:05 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Oakland +101 (10*)
The Angels starter Garrett Richards is a horrible 0-6 in his career team starts versus Oakland with a very lofty 7.50 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. All 6 of those outings have occurred since the beginning of the 2013 season. I normally don't like to play on starting pitchers that have displayed even the slightest of shaky form over their previous 3 starts. However, there's always an exception to the rule. The A's hurler Jesse Chavez is 6-1 in his road team starts this season with a stellar 2.98 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The A's have been a superb 22-12 on the road this season, including 19-4 when the total is 7.0 to 8.5, and an even better 12-2 when the number is 8.0 or 8.5. Play on the Oakland A's as a 10* Top Play.
|
06-04-14 |
Arizona Diamondbacks +118 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
16-8 |
Win
|
118 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
Arizona (Collmenter) @ Colorado (Lyles) 8:40 PM ET
Game# 959-960
Play On: Arizona +118 (10*)
The Arizona starter Collmenter enters tonight in terrific form over his last 3 team starts going 3-0 with a 2.21 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP. The Colorado starter Lyles has displayed bad form in his last 3 team starts posting a lofty 6.28 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. Lyles is 0-4 in his career team starts versus the Diamondbacks with a large 7.84 ERA. The Rockies are loser of their last 5, 7 of the last 8, and 9 of the 11-games. Colorado has gone a dismal 2-11 this season versus opponents with a winning percentage of .380 to .460.
Any team with a starting pitcher who allowed 0 earned runs in his previous start, versus a National League opponent that's hitting .275 or more for the season, has gone 41-15 (73.2%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Play on the Arizona Diamondbacks as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
05-20-14 |
San Francisco Giants -125 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-125 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
San Francisco (Bumgarner) @ Colorado (Morales) 8:40 PM ET
Game# 911-912
Play On: San Francisco -125 (10*)
The Giants starter Madison Bumgarner is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts with a very good 2.37 ERA, a 0.90 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Giants southpaw has been terrific in 5 road starts this season posting an excellent 1.39 ERA. Bumgarner has gone 25-8 in his career team starts following a start in which he walked 1 or less. The Giants are 15-6 this season versus an opponent with a winning record. Colorado comes off an 8-6 win over San Diego in their previous game. The Rockies are 1-9 this season following a win by 2-runs or less. The Colorado starter Franklin Morales is in terrible form over his last 3 starts posting a lofty 7.31 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP. Play on the San Francisco Giants as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
05-19-14 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
Detroit (Smyly) @ Cleveland (Kluber) 7:05 PM ET
Game #955-956
Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)
Both of these starting pitchers enter tonight in very good form over their previous 3 starts. The Indians Kluber was very good in 3 home starts versus the Tigers last season posting 2.25 ERA and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Indians will be facing southpaw starter Smyly this evening, and that doesn't bode well for "The Tribe". Cleveland is hitting a dismal .213 as a team this season in 15-games when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The Indians are coming off a 13-3 loss to Oakland yesterday. Cleveland has gone under the total in 16 of their 20-games during the last 2 seasons following a game in which there was 15-runs or more combined scored. The Tigers have gone under the total in their last 3, 6 of the last 7, and 9 of the last 11-games. Detroit has also gone under the total in 24 of 33-games on the road the last 3 seasons when the total is 7.0 or less.
Any American League road team with a total of 7.0 or less that's hitting .265 to .279 as a team, and has a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or less, versus an American League opponent with a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or less, has seen 41 of those 58-games (70.7%) go under the total during the last 17 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
05-17-14 |
Toronto Blue Jays -103 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
Toronto (Buehrle) @ Texas (Ross) 8:05 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Toronto -103 (10*)
The Toronto starter Mark Buehrle has been terrific thus far in 2014 going 7-1 in his team starts with a 2.04 ERA. Buehrle is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts with a superb 1.83 ERA. Buehrle loves the month of May as he's gone 12-2 with his team starts in the last 2 seasons in that role. In 2 starts versus the Rangers last season Buehrle was 2-0 and allowed just 1 earned run and 8-hits in 14.0 innings. The Texas starter Robbie Ross enters tonight in bad form going 0-3 in his last 3 team starts with a large 9.98 ERA and 2.15 WHIP. The Rangers have dropped their last 3, 5 of the last 6, and 13 of their last 18-games. Contrarily the Blue Jays have won 4 of the last 5, and 9 of their last 13-games.
Any road team that's facing an opponent with a starting pitcher who has a WHIP of 2.00 or more over his last 3 starts, and that opponent has a team on-base-percentage of .260 or less during their previous 3-games, has gone 39-12 (76.5%) against the money line in the last 5-seasons. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays as a 10* Top Play selection.
|
05-14-14 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers -112 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-112 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh (Liriano) @ Milwaukee (Peralta) 8:10 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Milwaukee -112 (10*)
The Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano has been shaky over his last 6 starts as evidenced by his 6.14 ERA in those outings. Liriano hasn't fared well in 5 career starts at Miller Park in Milwaukee posting a large 8.73 ERA and a 1.99 WHIP. The Pirates have gone a dismal 9-18 this season when they're +125 to -125 on the money line. The Pirates are also off to a terrible start on the road this season going 4-11 in that role.
The Milwaukee starter Wily Peralta enters tonight in very good form over his last 6 starts posting a stellar 1.99 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Brewers have gone 7-1 versus the Pirates this season, as well as going 6-1 on the year versus southpaw starting pitchers.
Play against any team (Pittsburgh) on the money line that's playing with same season double revenge stemming from 2 losses in which they scored 1-run or less in each game, and they have a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 2.00 or more over his last 3 starts. When playing against that team you would be 43-12 (78.2%) during the last 5 seasons. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers as a 10* Top Play selection.
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05-13-14 |
Colorado Rockies v. Kansas City Royals -144 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
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Colorado (Morales) @ Kansas City (Shields) 8:10 ET
Play On: Kansas City -144 (10*)
The Colorado starter Franklin Morales is in terrible form over his last 3 starts posting a lofty 7.31 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. The Rockies have gone an anemic 1-14 the last 3 seasons versus an opponent that averages 4.2 or less runs per game.
The Royals starter James Shields has been in solid form over his last 3 starts. The Royals are a very profitable 23-13 at home the last 2 seasons versus opponents with a winning percentage of .540 to .620.
Any American League team with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 4.20 or less, versus a National League team that averages 5.0 or more runs per game, and they have a bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities has gone 57-23 (71.2%) against the money line during the last 17 seasons. Play on the Kansas Royals as a 10* Top Play selection.
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05-07-14 |
Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
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Minnesota (Nolasco) @ Cleveland (Salazar) 7:05 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Over 8.0 (10*)
Despite yesterday's low scoring affair the Minnesota Twins have seen 11 of their 14 road games go over the total. They've also seen 20 of 27 go over the number this season as a money line underdog of +100 or more. The Twins starter Nolasco enters tonight in bad form off his last 3 starts with a lofty 6.10 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Nolasco has a horrible 8.72 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. The Cleveland starter Salazar also has been in shaky form over his last 3 starts, and has a terrible 1.93 WHIP in 3 home starts this season.
Any road team with a total of 8.0 or 8.5 that averages 0.9 or less home runs per game, and their bullpen averages 3.2 or more innings pitched per game, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher who's allowing an average of 1 or more home runs per start, has seen 82 of those 121-games (67.8%) go over the total during the last 17 seasons. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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05-05-14 |
New York Mets v. Miami Marlins -133 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
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NY Mets (Niese) @ Miami (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Miami -133 (10*)
This is a great spot for a Marlins team which has been very good at home so far, and has dominated left-handed starters in the early part of the year. Miami has quietly gone an excellent 14-5 at home this season while hitting a robust .307 as a team in those 19-games. Miami has also gone 7-2 this year versus left-handed starting pitchers. Tonight will be the the 7th of a 9-game in 9-day home stand for Miami in which they've gone 5-1 thus far. Contrarily the Mets will be traveling across 2 time zones after completing a 3-games series at Colorado yesterday. The Marlins starter Nathan Eovaldi has been in terrific form off his last 3 starts posting a 0.95 ERA and a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.
Any money line home favorite of -110 or more that's hitting .315 or more over their last 5-games, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 2.00 or less in his last 3 starts, has gone 117-49 (70.5%) during the last 17 seasons. Play on the Miami Marlins as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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05-05-14 |
Houston Astros v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
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Houston (Cosart) @ Detroit (Scherzer) 7:05 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Detroit -1.5 (-115) (10*)
The Detroit starter Max Scherzer enters tonight having gone 3-0 in his last 3 team starts with a very good 1.42 ERA. Scherzer is also 3-0 in his home team starts this season with an outstanding 1.29 ERA and a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Scherzer is an incredible 15-1 in his home team starts the last 2 seasons when the total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Tigers have a large +2.8 run per game differential in those 16-games. The Tigers enter tonight red-hot having won their last 5 and 7 of the last 8.
The Houston starter Cosart enters tonight in horrible form over his last 3 starts posting a very lofty 7.62 ERA, a 1.62 WHIP, and allowed 4 home runs in just 13.0 innings of work. The Astros are an atrocious 20-75 in the last 2 seasons versus an opponent with a winning record being outscored by an average of 2.5 runs per game. Houston is hitting an anemic .208 as a team in 12 road games so far this season. Play on the Detroit Tigers -1.5 on the Run-line as a 10* Best Bet.
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05-01-14 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Kansas City Royals +108 |
Top |
7-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
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Toronto (Buehrle) @ Kansas City (Guthrie) 8:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Kansas City +108 (10*)
The Toronto starter Mark Buehrle has been off to a terrific start to the season. However, he's coming off his worst start of the year at Boston in which he allowed 6 earned runs, 12-hits, walked 3, and struck out none in 5 1/3 innings. Since the start of the 2010 season Buehrle has been very shaky in 5 starts at Kansas City posting a lofty 6.16 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. The Blue Jays enter tonight having lost 6 of their last 7-games overall.
The Kansas City starter Guthrie enters tonight in decent form off his last 3 starts posting a solid 1.29 WHIP. Guthrie has gone 3-1 in his last 4 team starts versus Toronto with a superb 1.44 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Guthrie is an excellent 16-3 in his team starts the last 3 seasons when the posted total is 8.0 or 8.5. The Royals have been a very good 8-3 at home this year and have hit a very good .288 as a team in those 11-games.
Any home team which is +125 to -125 on the money line which averages 4.5 runs or less per game, and they allowed 2-run or less in their previous game, versus an American League opponent with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 3.50 or less, has gone 69-35 (66.3%) during the last 5 seasons. Play on the Kansas City Royals as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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05-01-14 |
Milwaukee Brewers +108 v. Cincinnati Reds |
Top |
3-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
Milwaukee (Estrada) @ Cincinnati (Bailey) 7:10 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Milwaukee +108 (10*)
Milwaukee has been outstanding this season on the road going 11-2 in that role. The Brewers starter Marco Estrada is 4-1 in his team starts this season with a stellar 2.97 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Brewers righty has also been solid in his 5 career starts versus the Reds and especially during the 3-games played in Cincinnati. Estrada is an excellent 11-2 in his team starts the last 3 seasons as a road underdog of +100 or more. The Brewers are an extremely profitable 10-2 this season as an underdog of +100 or more.
The Cincinnati starter Homer bailey has struggled so far this season going 1-4 in his 5 team starts with a lofty 6.15 ERA and 1.79 WHIP. bailey has been prone to surrendering the long ball in allowing 7 home runs in 26 1/3 innings of work, including 5 home runs in just 17.0 innings over his last 3 starts. The Reds enter tonight hitting an anemic .211 as a team over their previous 7-games.
Any money line underdog of +100 to +150 with a bullpen ERA of 3.00 or less, and that bullpen has pitched 4.0 innings or more in each of their previous 3-games, has gone 45-17 (72.6%) during the last 17 seasons. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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04-26-14 |
Philadelphia Phillies -145 v. Arizona Diamondbacks |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
Philadelphia (Lee) @ Arizona (Arroyo) 8:10 PM ET
Play On: Philadelphia -145 (10*)
The Philadelphia starter Cliff Lee enters tonight in very good form off his last 3 starts posting a 1.57 ERA, striking out 31, and walking only 1. The Arizona starter Bronson Arroyo enters tonight in horrible form off his last 3 starts posting a monster 11.20 ERA and 2.12 WHIP. Arizona is a dismal 2-9 at home, and has gone 1-6 versus left-handed starters this season. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
04-18-14 |
Baltimore Orioles +125 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
8-4 |
Win
|
125 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
Baltimore (Tillman) @ Boston (Lackey) 7:05 PM ET Game#921-922 Play On: Baltimore +125 (10*)
The Baltimore starter Tillman is 7-1 in his last 8 team starts versus Boston with a superb 2.16 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Tillman has been lights out in 3 starts this season posting a microscopic 0.84 ERA and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Tillman is 7-0 in the last 2 seasons as a money line road underdog of +125 to +175. The Orioles didn't play yesterday and are now 27-14 the last 3 seasons following an off day.
The Red Sox are hitting a horrible .172 as a team over their previous 7-games. Boston has gone a terrible 2-8 this season versus a right-handed starting pitcher.
Any money line road underdog of between +125 to +175 that averages 4.2 or less runs per game, and is coming off a game in which they were a combined 3-runs or less scored, versus an American League opponent with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 4.20 or less, has gone 34-18 (65.4%) during the last 18 seasons. Play on the Baltimore Orioles as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
04-16-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins -132 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
Washington (Roark) @ Miami (Fernandez) 7:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Miami -132 (10*)
If I may borrow a horse racing term, then Jose Fernandez bounced in his previous start which came on the road. However, in his first 2 starts of the season which both came at home Fernandez was absolutely brilliant posting a 0.71 ERA and a better than 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Fernandez is also 2-0 in his career team starts versus Washington with a sparkling 0.69 ERA. Fernandez is a perfect 9-0 in his team starts as a home favorite of -110 or more over the last 2 seasons. He will be facing a depleted Washington Nationals lineup which will be without the services of Ryan Zimmerman, Dennard Spann, Wilton Ramos, and Scott Hairston who are all sidelined by injuries. The Marlins have struggled mightily on the road but are a solid 6-3 at home, and are hitting a robust .301 as a team in those 9-games. The Marlins bullpen has been terrific at home this season posting an excellent 1.78 ERA as a staff. The Nationals are a dismal 8-29 the last 2 seasons as a road underdog of +100 to +150. Play on the Miami Marlins as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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04-13-14 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-117 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
The Colorado pitcher Tyler Chatwood as been terrific in 5 career starts versus the Giants posting a sparkling 1.89 ERA. All of those outings have taken place since 2012. The Rockies have seen 26 of 35-games stay under the total in the last 2 seasons versus National League opponents that are hitting .245 or less as a team on the season. The Giants Tim Hudson has been outstanding in his first 2 starts this season in posting a 1.15 ERA, a 0.64 WHIP, and has struck out 11 while walking none. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
|
04-12-14 |
Detroit Tigers v. San Diego Padres +125 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
The Tigers are a surprising 8-20 the last 2 seasons following a game in which they scored 2-runs or less. You also might be surprised by the fact that Jason Verlander is a dismal 14-22 in his team starts over the last 2 seasons as a money line favorite of -110 or more. Don't expect a lot of help from the Tigers bullpen which has started the season by posting a lofty 5.64 ERA as a staff.
The Padres pitching has been outstanding over their previous 5-games allowing just a combined 25-hits during that span. Their bullpen has been outstanding since the start of the season in posting a stellar 2.89 ERA as a staff, including a 0.82 ERA in 4 home games. The Padres starter Ian Kennedy has gone a perfect 8-0 in his career team starts as a home underdog of between +100 to +125.
Any National League money line underdog of +100 to +150 that's averaging 3.8 or less runs per game, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher working on 5 or 6-days of rest, and that opponent has a bullpen ERA of 5.00 or more, has gone 46-25 (64.8%) during the last 17 seasons. Play on the San Diego Padres as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
10-30-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals +110 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
The St. Louis starter Michael Wacha is a perfect 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with a microscopic 0.76 ERA and 0.59 WHIP. The Cardinals are 7-0 in the last 3 postseasons when trailing in a series. St. Louis is also a very profitable 26-10 this year following a loss by runs or less. The Cardinals have owned right-handed starting pitching in 2013 going an outstanding 84-45 (.651). The Boston starter John Lackey hasn
|
10-10-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
The Tigers starter Jason Verlnder has been lights out in his last 3 starts allowing 0 earned runs and posting an almost 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In addition Verlander has dominated Oakland in his last 8 starts posting a microscopic 0.98 ERA in those outings including a 0.49 ERA in the last 5 at Oakland. The Tigers have gone under the total in 20 of 26 road games the last 2 seasons when the total is 7.0 or less. The Oakland starter Sonny Gray was brilliant in Game 2 of this series pitching 8 scoreless innings while allowing just 4 hits and struck out 9. In 7 home starts this season Gray has posted an excellent 1.66 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
10-06-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
This total is this low for a reason. The general public has certainly taken the bait and has been hammering the over. The Pirates Francisco Liriano is 10-2 in his home team starts with an outstanding 1.45 ERA. Liriano has been untouchable in 3 starts versus the Cardinals this season posting a microscopic 0.75 ERA in those outings. The Cardinals starter Joe Kelly has been lights out in 7 road starts this season posting a terrific 1.08 ERA. Kelly has been rock solid in 3 starts versus the Pirates in 2013 posting an excellent 1.00 ERA in those outings. This one has all the ear marks of an old fashioned low scoring pitcher's duel. In this case it will hold true to form. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
09-10-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Texas Rangers -130 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-130 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
The Texas starter Perez is a red-hot 7-0 in his last 7 team starts while displaying stellar form in the process. In those 7 starts Perez has posted an outstanding 2.54 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Rangers come off a 1-0 loss in the opening game of this series and that's not good news for Pirates backers. Texas is 21-5 at home the last 2 seasons following a loss by 2 runs or less. Texas is also an extremely profitable 14-2 this season when facing a starting pitcher who allows an average of 0.5 or less home runs per start.
The Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano has been terrific for the vast majority of the season. However, the Pirates hurler has struggled mightily in his last 2 starts at San Francisco and Milwaukee. In those 2 outing Liriano posted a horrible 14.14 ERA and 2.86 WHIP. Barring a major melt down in the final 3 weeks of the season the Pirates will be in the playoffs. Texas is in more of an urgent mode. That factor can't be taken lightly in the handicapping process of this contest. Play on the Texas Rangers as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
09-05-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds -138 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
The starts are all aligning in a row for the Reds this evening. The Reds Tony Cingrani has had an impressive season. The Reds southpaw has allowed 2 earned run or less in 9 of his 10 starts. In his 16 starts this season Cingrani has posted a stellar 2.59 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. The Reds are a remarkable 21-2 at home this season following a loss, including a perfect 9-0 if that loss was to a division opponent.
The Cardinals starter Lance Lynn has been in terrible form over his last 4 starts. In those 4 starts Lynn has posted a large 7.66 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. The Cardinals have been a terrific 64-38 versus right-handed starting pitchers this season, but an alarming 16-21 versus southpaws. The Cardinals are also a dismal 24-39 over the last 2 seasons when facing a starting pitcher who averages 5 or more strikeouts per start.
Any National League home team with a money line of -100 to -150, and they're hitting .255 or less as a team on the season, versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 2.00 or more over his last 3 starts is 46-11 (80.7%) since the start of the 2009 season. Play on the Cincinnati Reds as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-27-13 |
Milwaukee Brewers +120 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
120 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
The Milwaukee starter Kyle Lohse is 6-1 in his last 7 team starts with an excellent 2.05 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Lohse is an incredible 16-1 in his last 17 team starts over the last 2 seasons versus a National League opponent that's hitting .245 or less on the season. He will be facing a Pirates team tonight that's hitting a paltry .220 as a team over their last 7 games. Since the start of the 2012 season Lohse has posted an impressive 2.33 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 4 starts versus Pittsburgh. The Pittsburgh starter Jeff Locke has struggles in his last 5 starts posting a large 7.72 ERA and monster 2.36 WHIP.
Any road team versus an opponent that has an on-base-percentage of .260 or less over the last 3 games is 48-17 (73.8%) since the start of the 2009 season. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-26-13 |
San Diego Padres +115 v. Arizona Diamondbacks |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
The Padres Tyson Ross has been outstanding in his road team starts this season going 4-1 with a brilliant 1.52 ERA. Ross is in very good form off his last 3 starts with a 2.66 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. In 1 start versus Arizona this season Ross was dominant in 8.0 innings allowing 0 earned runs, 3 hits, and struck out 7 while walking just 1. The Padres have defeated the Diamondbacks in 8 of the 12 meetings this season.
The Arizona starter Brandon McCarthy has struggled all season. After a long stint on the disabled list McCarthy has been just as ineffective as he was before being sidelined. McCarthy is 0-3 in his last 3 team starts with a very lofty 7.80 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. McCarthy is a money draining 8-17 over the last 3 seasons as a favorite of -110 or more. Arizona enters this series having dropped 4 of their last 5 games. Play on the San Diego Padres as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-25-13 |
Boston Red Sox -107 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
If there's a weak link in the Dodgers starting rotation it surely is Chris Capuano. Capuano has struggled over his last 3 starts as evidenced by his large 7.54 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in those outings. In 9 home starts this season Capuano has a very lofty 6.23 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Red Sox starter Jake Peavy is no longer the dominant pitcher he's been the majority of his career. However, he still can get the job done and comes off 2 solid performances on the road versus San Francisco and Toronto. Peavy hasn't faced the Dodgers since 2009 but it's worth mention he's 13-2 in his career versus Los Angeles with a stellar 2.227 ERA and 0.99 WHIP.
Any road team versus an opponent with an on-base-percentage of .260 or less over their last 3 games, and their starting pitcher has a WHIP of more than 2.00 in his last 3 starts is 45-17 (72.6%) since the start of the 2009 season. Play on the Boston Red Sox as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-24-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
Boston (Lester) @ LA Dodgers (Ryu) 4:05 ET Game # 977-978 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)
The Boston starter John Lester is in terrific form in his last 3 starts posting an excellent 1.25 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Lester has seen 25 of his 34 career starts go under the total when he's installed as a money line underdog of +100 to +150. In the last 3 seasons the Boston southpaw has seen 10 of 11 starts go under the total when he's facing an opponent that draws 3 or less walks per game. The Red Sox have gone under the total in 23 of their 34 day games this season excluding pushes.
The Dodgers starter Ryu has been superb in his last 5 starts posting a stellar 1.87 ERA, a 0.98 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In 11 home team starts this season Ryu has a stellar 1.78 ERA. Since game 82 this season the Dodgers have gone under the total in 29 of 44 games excluding pushes.
Today's home plate umpire will be Dan Iassogna. Iassogna has seen 17 of his 25 games (68%) behind the dish this season go under the total. In the last 3 seasons Iassogna has seen 57 of 92 (62%) go under that total in that identical role.
Any home team with a total of 7.0 to 8.5 that's allowed 1 run or less in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent that's allowed 3 runs or less in each of their last 3 games has seen 36 of those 49 games (75%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-23-13 |
Boston Red Sox +101 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
The Dodgers starter Ricky Nolasco has pitched much better on the road than at home the last 2 seasons. Nolasco was 0-2 versus Boston in 2012 when with the Marlins and posted a huge 11.58 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in those 2 outings. Nolasco is a poor 11-21 in his team starts the last 3 seasons in night games. The Dodgers will be playing with no rest and had to travel across 3 time zones after finishing up their series at Miami yesterday. The Dodgers have opened up a commanding lead in the NL West and have plenty of room for error.
The Red Sox starter John Lackey has an excellent 1.92 ERA in 9 career starts versus the Dodgers. The Red Sox are a perfect 7-0 on the road in 2013 following a game where they had 6 or more extra base hits. Boston is also a very profitable 11-3 on the road this year after scoring 8 or more runs in their previous game. The Red Sox are well rested with their last game coming on Wednesday afternoon just a few hours of a drive down the road in San Francisco. Boston is hitting a red-hot .301 as a team over their last 7 games. Going into tonight Boston holds a slim 1.0 game lead over Tampa Bay in the AL East so the sense of urgency will be high. Play on the Boston Red Sox as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-22-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. St. Louis Cardinals -135 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
The St. Louis starter Joe Kelly is a red-hot 5-1 in his last 6 team starts with a stellar 2.01 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Kelly's 1 career start versus Atlanta took place this season on 7/27 and saw hime pitch 6 1/3 scoreless innings. The Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5 and 7 of the last 10. St. Louis is an excellent 18-2 this season when revenging a road favorite money line loss versus their current opponent.
The Atlanta starter Paul Maholm has been brutal in his last 3 starts posting a monster 10.13 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. This will be Maholm's first start of the season versus the Cardinals. Maholm was 0-2 in 2 starts last season versus St. Louis with both coming on the road. In those 2 outings he had a very lofty 9.00 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Maholm is 11-29 in his road team starts the last 2 seasons including 0-11 if the total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Braves are 10-21 on the road this season versus opponents that average 0.6 or less errors per game. Atlanta is also a dismal 4-15 on the road this year after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-20-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. San Diego Padres +110 |
Top |
8-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
The Pirates are a dismal 2-9 on the road this season when A.J. Burnett is their starting pitcher. Burnett comes off 2 terrible performances in his last 2 starts that were both on the road versus Colorado and St. Louis. In those 2 outings he posted a miserable 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. Burnett is a money draining 2-15 in his career road team starts when the total is 7.0 or less.
The Padres will send red-hot Tyson Ross to the mound. Ross has been in spectacular form in his last 5 starts posting an excellent 1.32 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. The Padres are a very profitable 8-1 at home this season following a game where there were a combined 4 runs or less scored. San Diego is a terrible 23-39 on the road but has held its own at home going 33-30. Play on the San Diego Padres as a 10* Best Bet selection.
|
08-17-13 |
New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
NY Yankees @ Boston 4:05 ET Game # 915-916 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)
The Yankees starter Hideki Kuroda has been absolutely and positively lights out in his last 7 starts. In those 7 outings Kuroda has posted a microscopic 0.94 ERA in addition to a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Excluding any pushes Kuroda has seen 18 of his last 20 starts go under the total this season. The Boston starter John Lackey has seen just 1 of his 8 home starts go over the total this season while posting a stellar 2.15 ERA in the process. In those 8 outings Lackey has an excellent 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Lackey has seen all 7 of his starts during the day in 2013 go under the total.
Any American League team with a total of 8.5 to 10.0 that's hitting .265 or less as a team on the season, and they're hitting .33 or better in their last 3 games has seen 51 of those 68 games (75%) fo under the total since the start of the 2009 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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