Kansas @ Baylor 9:00 PM ET

Game# 879-880

Play On: Baylor -8.5 (10*)

I am labeling this as the sucker game of the night. We have the #6 Kansas Jayhawks as a sizable underdog against #2 Baylor. Then there’s the reputation and brand of Kansas basketball that will surely entice public betting to side with them at this heavy a number. However, we must look inside the numbers to get a clearer picture. Kansas is coming off a 75-70 loss at unranked Oklahoma State. They were also hammered at home by 25 versus Texas. Additionally, 5 of the Jayhawks 10 wins have come by 4 points or fewer.

Baylor is 12-0 and has covered in 10 of those 12 contests. They are coming off a 68-60 win at Texas Tech in a game they covered as a 4.5-point favorite. It marked the first time this season that Baylor failed to win by a double-digit margin. As a matter of fact, Baylor has outscored their 12 opponents this season by an average of 26.1 points per game. The Bears are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games which all were against Big 12 Conference opponents, and they held those teams to 56.7 points per contest and an abysmal 35.1% shooting. Baylor has also forced 20 turnovers of more in the 3 of their last 4 and 5 of its previous 7 games which speaks to their superb length and athleticism on the defensive end. Baylor has made a terrific 42.3% of its 3-point shot attempts this season. Conversely, during their previous 5 games Kansas opponents have shot a combined 39.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

San Diego State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 741-742

Play On: Utah State -1.5 (10*)

Utah State began the season by losing 3 of its first 4 games. Since that time, they have reeled off 8 wins in a row and won by an enormous 29.9 points per game. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS in Mountain West Conference action. During those conference games they held opponents to 49.8 scored per contest and a miserable 32.2% shooting.

The Aggies have been a favorite of 11.5 or greater all 6 of their conference wins and covers. San Diego State is coming off a 69-67 win over Nevada in a game they failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. This sets up a very profitable college basketball betting angle shown below.

Any home team that is coming off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite of 7.0 or greater, and they are facing an opponent (San Diego State) that is coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those home teams going 34-4 (89.5%) straight up since 1997, and the home teams outscored the visitors in those 38 contests by 15.7 points per game. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Utah State for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 695-696

Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (10*)

Texas A&M is a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in neutral site or away games. They were blown out in all 3 of those contests by an average of 21.7 points per game.

Mississippi State has been a somewhat overlooked team thus far. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games this season as a favorite. They are also off to a 3-1 start in SEC action and made a terrific 43.6% of its 3-point shot attempts while doing so. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Wisconsin @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET

Game# 615-616

Play On: Michigan -3.5 (10*)

Michigan is a perfect 10-0 and that includes 5-0 in Big 10 Action. They covered in 4 of those 5 conference wins and had a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, 9 of 10 wins recorded by Michigan this season have come by 10 points or more, and they shot 50% or better in 7 of those 10 games. Michigan is coming off an 84-59 home blowout win over Minnesota in their previous game. The Wolverines are 7-0 SU&ATS at home since the 2018-2019 season following a conference win by 10 points or more, and they won by a substantial average of 17.7 points per game.

The #9 Wisconsin Badgers are a solid team. However, they are just 1-1 in true road games, and their loss came as a 4.5-point favorite versus an average at best Marquette team. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

USC @ Arizona State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 751-752

Play On: USC -2.5 (10*)

USC has shot the ball extremely well in their last 2 games which resulted in comfortable wins over Utah and at Arizona. The Trojans are one of the best defensive teams in the country while allowing just 62.5 points per game and limiting them to a mere 35.4% shooting from the field.

There were high expectations to start the season for Arizona State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games and lost by an average of 10.7 points per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ UCLA 7:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: UCLA -7.0 (10*)

This is a veteran UCLA team that returned all 5 starters from a season ago. Their only 2 losses this season came versus #25 Ohio State 77-70 at a neutral site and at San Diego State in its season opener. The Bruins are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS on their home floor this season and won by an average of 20.5 points per game. UCLA will have a huge rebounding edge in this contest based on the fact they are +7 per game in that department while Utah is at a -6. This will be just the 2nd road game of the season for Utah. In their only other away contest, they were blown out 82-64 at BYU. Bet on UCLA minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

West Virginia @ Kansas 9:00 PM ET

Game# 677-678

Play On: West Virginia +2.0 (10*)

This current point-spread tells me everything I need to know. It’s extremely rare when Kansas is this short of a favorite on their home floor. The Jayhawks are 7-1 but 4 of their wins have come by a combined 9 points and none of those opponents are as good as West Virginia. These teams have something in common with both suffering their only loss of the season to #1 Gonzaga. West Virginia was defeated by the Bulldogs 87-82 while Kansas lost 102-90. Bet on West Virginia for a 10* Top Play wager.

Southern Illinois @ Butler 7:30 PM ET

Game# 779-780

Play On: Southern Illinois +9.0 (10*)

Butler is coming off a loss by 8 to Indiana on Saturday. This isn’t one of the vintage Butler teams we have seen in years past. That’s not to imply they are horrible by any means. However, all you need to look at is their defensive statistics that indicates opponents are shooting 49.7% against them and is making an alarmingly high 45.6% of their 3-point attempts. Butler is only making 59.7% of their free throws thus far, and that must be considered if their opponent is trying to extend a game when playing from behind.

Southern Illinois hasn’t played nearly as tough a schedule to this point compared to Butler. Nevertheless, the Salukis are 5-0 while putting up some impressive offensive statistics while doing so. They have shot 49.6% including 43.6% from 3-point territory and have converted on an excellent 78.5% of their free throws. Bet on Southern Illinois plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas @ Texas Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 787-788

Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (10*)

Kansas is # 5 in the country but in my humble opinion is getting more respect for their brand than the worthiness of their ranking for this current Jayhawks team. Yes, their only loss has come against #1 Gonzaga by 12 in their season opener. However, they also only defeated North Dakota State by 4 as a 24.0-point home favorite, beat a Kentucky team that is currently on a 4-game losing streak by just 3, and escaped with a 1-point home win over #9 Creighton. This will be the Jayhawks first true road game of the season.

Texas Tech is 6-1 and their lone defeat came against #6 Houston on a neutral floor. The Red Raiders are a perfect 5-0 straight up at home and covered 4 of those contests while winning by a decisive margin of 31.4 points per game. Texas Tech is also an excellent defensive team that is allowing only 51.6 points per game and has held its opponents to a mere 35.5% shooting. Bet on Texas Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Mercer @ Georgia State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Mercer +4.5 (10*)

These teams met once already this season and Mercer came away with a convincing 86-69 win as a 3.0-point home underdog. Mercer outrebounded Georgia State 51-31 while also hauling in 15 offensive rebounds. They also held the visiting Panthers to a dismal 36.8% shooting and forced an alarmingly high 19 turnovers. Mercer also owns an impressive 10 points road win over Georgia Tech in a game they were a substantial 12.0-point underdog. There’s nothing apparent to me to suggest that Georgia State will be able to turn the tables on Mercer this time around.  Bet on 6-0 Mercer plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ BYU 6:00 PM ET

Game# 704-705

Play On: Utah +2.0 (10*)

BYU opened the season with 3 straight wins, and all were against less than stellar competition. Since that time, they went 2-2 while stepping up in class considerably. They were blown out on a neutral court by USC by 26 points. They also lost at home in their previous game played versus Boise State.

Utah is an experienced team that is off to a 2-0 start. They have looked solid in those wins over Washington by 13 and Idaho State by 16. They held those 2 opponents to just 35.9% from the floor and a mere 21.2% from 3-point range. Additionally, those opponents averaged just 11 free throw attempts per game. The Utes also converted on 40% of their 3-point shots in those contests. Play on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Wisconsin @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: Marquette +5.0 (10*)

This series has been about as even as you can get in recent years with each team winning 8 times since 2004. Marquette will be smarting after an 8-point home loss to Oklahoma State in their previous outing. Marquette has gone 45-3 straight up in their last 48 non-conference home games following a loss. Wisconsin is 3-0 but all those contests were played on their home floor and came against weak competition. There has been one common opponent for these teams and that was Eastern Illinois. Wisconsin defeated them by 10 in their season opener while Marquette won by a decisive 25-point margin.

Idaho State vs. UC-Davis 4:00 PM T

Game# 713-714

Play On: Under 144.0 (10*)

My personal numbers that I use on this contest indicates the total should be 136.0 That’s a sizable 8.0-points below the current total which from my experiences in using these calculations is significant.

Idaho State has gone under in their first 2 games and there was only a combined average of 116.0 points scored per game. They were key contributors to those low scoring affairs due to playing at snail’s pace offensively which has seen them average just 44 field goal attempts per contest. Even more compelling is they shot a horrible 34.8% while doing so and made a subpar 64.1% of their free throws.

Any neutral court team (UC-Davis) with a total of (140.0 to 149.5) that had a win percentage of .400 to .490 in the previous season, versus a team that had a losing record during the season before, resulted in those games going 71-28 (71.7%) under since 1997. The average total in those 99 contests was 144.6 and there were a combined 137.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Eastern Illinois @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Under 150.5 (10*)

Although the tempo is in this game will not be anywhere near a snail’s pace, it also won’t be far from blazingly fast. When crunching my numbers, I came up with a total of 142.0 on this game which is well below the current number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager

UCLA @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On: San Diego State +3.0 (10*)

My preseason power ratings indicate that San Diego State should be a 4.5-point favorite in this game instead of a 3.0-point underdog. That is a huge 7.5-point overlay that favors the home underdog Aztecs. UCLA is an experienced team that returns all 5 starters and is #22 in the college basketball preseason poll. However, it is extremely difficult for opponents to win at Viejas Arena in San Diego. How difficult is it? Since the start of the 2008-2009 season, San Diego State has gone 174-24 (.879) straight up at home. That lends itself well to home underdog betting value in this spot. Bet on San Diego State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Syracuse vs. North Carolina 9:30 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Syracuse +3.0 (10*)

This will be like a home game for Tar Heels while playing in Greensboro, North Carolina. Ironically enough, one of the biggest detractors for playing the ACC Tournament in Greensboro is Syracuse head coach Jim Boeheim. Afterall, 4 of the 15 ACC schools located in North Carolina. In any event, Syracuse has enjoyed some success in conference road games this season by going 6-4 in that role. Furthermore, 3 of those 4 losses came by 4 points or fewer. The Orange will also be out avenge a 92-79 home loss to North Carolina. Syracuse has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS this season when facing a conference opponent for a second time. Syracuse is also an extremely profitable 4-0 ATS this season as an underdog of 4.0 or less and won 3 of those contests straight up. Conversely, North Carolina is an awful 1-5 AU&ATS this season as a fvorite of 4.0 or less. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

NC State @ Duke 7:00 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Duke -12.0 (10*)

Duke will be in a sour mood after losing 3 of 4 and each of its last 2 and falling out of the Top 10 for a first time this season. As a matter of fact, one of those defeats was an 88-66 drubbing at NC State 3 weeks ago to the day. That was by far its worst loss of the season and they’ll be playing with big time revenge as a result.

The Blue Devils most recent defeat was 52-50 at Virginia on Saturday in a game they shot just 30.5%. That game stayed way under the total of 123.5. However, Duke is 7-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 8.0 or more and after going under in their previous game. Those results include 3-0 ATS versus ACC opponents and they won by an enormous average of 34.0 points per game. Duke is also 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 8.0 or greater following a contest in which they shot worse than 40% and the Blue Devils won by 30.7 points per game. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Southern Illinois @ Missouri State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 619-20

Play On: Missouri State -6.5 (10*)

Missouri State has vastly underachieved this season after being the preseason consensus pick to win the Missouri Valley Conference. Additionally, they’re coming off an 89-74 loss at Valparaiso in their previous outing. However, Missouri State has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its last 3 following a loss and won by a massive 22.4 points per game. During each of those 3 contests Missouri State just happened to be a home favorite like they’ll be today. Conversely, Southern Illinois has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS this season as a road underdog of 6.5 or greater and lost by a substantial 15.0 points per contest. Bet on Missouri State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Missouri State @ Valparaiso 8:00 PM ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Over 143.5 (10*)

Missouri State has gone over in 8 of its last 9 games and that includes all 4 when there was a total of 137.5 or greater. Those 4 contests averaged 155.5 points scored per game. Valpo has seen 4 of its last 5 go over the total with a combined 146.6 points scored per game. During their previous 5 games Valpo has shot a red-hot 48.1% and that includes making an alarmingly high 45.1% of their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play.

Illinois @ Rutgers 4:30 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Rutgers -4.0 (10*)

Illinois is coming off a gut wrenching 1-point home loss to Michigan State in their previous game. They overcame a 17-point 2nd half deficit to take the lead and then Michigan State broke their hearts with a last second put back basket. Now they’ll be going on the road to face a stiff challenge from a Rutgers team destined for the 2020 NCAA Tournament.

Speaking of Rutgers, they’re a perfect 14-0 at home this season while also covering 10 of 13 games that had a line. The Scarlet Knights will be out to atone for a flat performance earlier this week when they needed overtime at home to beat Big 10 cellar dweller Illinois. Rutgers will be out to revenge a narrow 54-51 loss at Illinois on 1/11. I look for a very inspired performance from the Scarlet Knights at home. Bet on Rutgers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Lamar @ Nicholls State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Over 139.5 (10*)

Lamar is coming off an embarrassing 82-49 loss at Abilene Christian in their previous game. They’ve gone over in 5 of their last 6 following a game in which they scored 62 or less and there was a combined average of 158.3 points scored per game.

Nicholls State has gone over in 6 of its last 7 which includes all 4 games that were played at home. Those 4 home games produced a combined 160.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Notre Dame @ Clemson 6:00 PM ET

Game# 857-858

Play On: Over 137.0 (10*)

Clemson has seen each of their previous 5 conference home games go over the total. Those 5 contests had an average total of 135.4 and there were a combined 144.6 points scored per game. Conversely, Notre Dame has gone over the total in each of their previous 6 games. Those 6 contests had an average total of 140.2 and there was a substantial 160.2 combined points scored per game. It’s all about beating the number. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Austin Peay @ Belmont 6:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Austin Peay +7.0 (10*)

Austin Peay is coming off a 70-68 upset loss at Tennessee that broke a 10-game win streak. Austin Peay has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games following a loss and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. Austin Peay also own an 86-78 home win over Belmont earlier this season in a game in which they held +11 rebounding advantage. Not only as APU gone 10-1 during its last 11 but they’re also an extremely profitable 9-2 ATS through that stretch. Bet on Austin Peay plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Central Arkansas @ Lamar 8:00 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Central Arkansas +3.5 (10*)

Lamar is coming off a 96-91 win at McNeese in their previous game. However, lamar is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a win. They’re also 0-4 SU&ATS during its previous 4 at home.

Although Central Arkansas is just 3-3 during its last 6 games, they covered on each of those occasions. As a matter of fact, 2 of those 3 losses came by 1 point apiece. There were also an underdog in 5 of those 6 contests. Bet on Central Arkansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Wright State @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Over 149.0 (10*)

Milwaukee has gone over in each of their last 5 when there was a total of 141.5 and there were a combined 158.6 points scored per game. Wright State is 8-1 in Horizon Conference action while averaging a robust 82.6 points per game and connecting on a torrid 42.9% of their 3-point shots. These conference rivals met once already this season and Wright State won a highly entertaining game by a score of 82-70. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Belmont @ Tennessee Tech 9:00

Game# 669-670

Play On: Over 147.0 (10*)

There will be no analysis on Thursday’s college basketball picks.

South Carolina @ Arkansas 8:30 PM ET

Game# 839-840

Play On: South Carolina +7.0 (10*)

Arkansas has been very good at home this season and hence the reason why they’re a decent sized favorite against an otherwise formidable opponent. Nevertheless, South Carolina has gone 4-2 straight up and 5-1 ATS in true road games this season. That includes quality road wins at Virginia as a 10.0-point underdog and Clemson as a 6.0-point dog. They also lost at Tennessee by 1. The Gamecocks have been stout defensively during their last 5 outings while permitting opponents to shoot a mere 37.8% and convert on a mere 24.8% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on South Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager.

Ball State @ Central Michigan 4:30 PM ET

Game# 697-698

Play On: Ball State -2.0 (10*)

Ball State enters this game having gone 5-1 SU&ATS during its last 6 contests. Furthermore, Ball State is 6-0 SU&ATS during its previous 6 games as a favorite of 2.0 or more and they won by a decisive average of 18.8 points per game. Central Michigan has been 9-0 at home until being shellacked by Buffalo 86-67 in their previous game on their own floor. Bet on Ball State minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

FIU @ Old Dominion 7:00 PM ET

Game# 605-606

Play On: Over 138.0 (10*)

FIU has played 6 conference games and there was a combined average of 153.7 points scored per contest. The Golden Panthers have scored 78.2 points per game and made an exceptional 40.8% of their 3-point attempts during conference action.

Old Dominion has gone 4-1 over this season when there’s been a total of 132.0 or greater. The Monarchs have chosen to play at a much faster pace than usual of late. During their previous 3, ODU is averaging a robust 61.7 field goal attempts per game.

Any college basketball road team (FIU) with a total of 130.0 to 139.5 that scored 80 points or more in their previous game, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .200 to .400, resulted in those games going 26-5 (83.9%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 31 contests was 135.3 and there were 144.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

North Dakota State @ South Dakota State

Game# 823-824

Play On: Over 141.5 (10*)

North Dakota State has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they’ve averaged 83.8 points scored per contest, shot 51.4% from the field, converted on 38.7 of their 3-point shots, and made 87.7% of its free throw attempts.

South Dakota State has averaged a robust 82.4 points scored, shot 52.7%, made 44.4% of its 3-point shots, and converted on 75.3% of their free throws over the course of the last 5 games. Since the start of last season, South Dakota State has gone in all 6 of its home games when there’s been a total of 140.0 to 149.5, and there was a combined 164.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Georgia @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: Over 144.5 (10*)

Georgia has gone over in all 8 of its games this season when there’s been a total of 150.0 or less. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 158.8 points scored per game. Kentucky has witnessed 6 of their last 7 games going over the total. These teams just met on 1/7 at Georgia with Kentucky winning 78-69 and that game went over 142.0. There were a combined 43 free throw and 119 field goal attempts in that contest. I look for a similar fast paced game tonight with plenty of free throws as well. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas State @ Texas 8:00 PM ET

Game# 761-762

Play On: Over 122.5 (10*)

Kansas State is coming off a 59-57 home loss to TCU. It marked the 2nd straight games that the Wildcats had scored 61 points or fewer. Kansas State has gone 8-1 over the total since last season after scoring 65 or less in their previous 2 contests and there was a combined average of 134.1 points scored per game.

Texas is coming off a 72-62 home loss to Oklahoma in a game in which they attempted only 7 free throws. The Longhorns have gone over in all 7 of their games during the past 3 seasons following a contest in which they attempted 7 free throws or fewer. Those 7 games averaged a combined 162.7 points scored per contest. Texas is allowing only 61.5 points per game this season. However, during the past 2 seasons Kansas State has gone over in all 6 of their games when facing an opponent that’s allowing 64.0 points or less per contest.

Any college basketball team (Texas) with a total of 129.5 or less that coming off a conference home loss, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a home loss, resulted in those contests going 38-8 (82.6%) over the total during the past 3 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager.

San Diego State @ Utah State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 773-774

Play On: Utah State -3.0 (10*)

Undefeated San Diego State has been a huge surprise thus far and is currently #13 in the country. However, the Aztecs find themselves as a 3.0-point underdog in this contest against unranked Utah State. The Aggies have been historically strong when playing on their home floor. This season has been no different with them going 8-0 at home while outscoring their opponents by a massive 40.2 points per game. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Purdue @ Ohio 9:00 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: Ohio +8.0 (10*)

Purdue is 1-3 on the road and at a neutral site this year. The Boilermakers are coming off a shocking 70-56 loss at Nebraska in a game they were a sizable 13.0-point favorite. Furthermore, Purdue center Matt Haarms went down with a concussion in that contest and is doubtful for today’s game. Haarms is averaging 10.5 points and 6.2 rebounds per game this season.

Ohio is currently on a 4-game win streak which has improved their overall season record to 7-3. It’s rare that a team from the MAC gets to host a power conference school so look for that to provide added motivation for Ohio. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Illinois -1.0 (10*)

This looks like a trap if there ever was one. We have an unranked team in Illinois that enters this contest having lost 2 in a row as a favorite over #5 Michigan. The books are begging you to take the ranked team in this matchup. I’m not falling for the bait with knowing that odds-makers aren’t generous, nor do they leave themselves vulnerable to public betting. Bet on Illinois for a 10* Top Play wager.

Indiana vs. Connecticut 9:30 PM ET

Game# 629-630

Play On: Connecticut +2.0 (10*)

The Hoosiers are beneficiaries of a relatively soft schedule on their way to a 8-1 start. Their lone quality win came at home against #18 Florida State. They followed that up in their previous game with a 20-point loss at unranked Wisconsin. Furthermore, that loss was the first game not played on their home floor.

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. There will be a pro UConn crowd at the Garden tonight with many Huskies Alum in the area in addition to a reasonably short enough drive from Connecticut to downtown Manhattan. UConn owns a win over then national ranked Florida, and they also lost to #23 Xavier by a narrow 1-point margin on a neutral floor while covering as a 5.0-point underdog. Bet on Connecticut for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET

Game# 855-856

Play On: DePaul +2.0 (10*)

Texas Tech has just 1 returning starter from last season’s team that lost in the national championship game. The Red Raiders are coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Iowa and Creighton both of which are currently unranked.

DePaul is off to an excellent 8-0 start to the season. They’ve had 3 notable road wins thus far over Minnesota, Boston College, and Iowa. Tonight will be a terrific opportunity for the Blue Demons to make a statement and make themselves relevant again. Bet on DePaul for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Virginia 9:20 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (10*)

Texas Tech is coming off an impressive 61-51 win over Michigan State on Saturday. The Red Raiders are now a perfect 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament and that includes their last covers coming as an underdog. Texas Tech is allowing a mere 55.8 points per game and have held opponents to just 36.4% shooting during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Virginia has been extremely fortunate in their previous 2 wins over Purdue in overtime and by 1 against Auburn. Both wins came via some last second heroics.

Any NCAA Tournament underdog of 8.5-points or less that’s playing in the Sweet 16 or beyond, and they allowed 54 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 21-4 ATS (84%) since 2009. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Auburn vs Virginia 6:09 PM ET

Game# 803-804

Play On: Virginia -6.0 (10*)

The public has fallen in love with the underdog Auburn Tigers and it’s reflected in the betting patterns for this Final Four contest. However, Virginia is healthier and the better team in this matchup. The Cavaliers haven’t been at their best during their 4 NCAA Tournament games, yet, they’re 2 wins away from a national championship. I look for the Cavaliers to be sharp as a razor today. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas vs. TCU 9:30 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: TCU -1.0 (10*)

This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these Big 12 rivals. TCU won and covered each of the first 2 and held Texas to a mere 58.5 points scored per game and a combined 39.4% shooting.

TCU has won by 13 points or more in each of their first 3 NIT games. The Horned Frogs are allowing 69.9 points per games this season while Texas gives up 67.1 points per contest. Any college basketball team (TCU) that’s coming off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more and they’re and they’re allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, versus an opponent (Texas) that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, resulted in those teams going 96-16 (85.7%) straight up since 1997. Bet on TCU for my 2019 NIT Game of the Year.

Wichita State vs. Lipscomb 7:00 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Over 150.5 (10*)

During their first 3 NIT games, Lipscomb has averaged an impressive 89.7 points scored per outing while shooting a combined 51.9%. As a matter of fact, Lipscomb has shot 48.2% or better in each of their previous 7 games. Conversely, they’re also allowing 81.0 points per game during this 2019 NIT and opponents have eclipsed the 50% mark shooting on 2 of 3 occasions.

Wichita State is currently 22-14 (.647) and Lipscomb is 28-7 (.800). Any NIT game with a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and both teams have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those contests going 24-6 (80%) over the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Auburn vs. Kentucky 2:20 PM ET

Game# 693-694

Play On: Kentucky -4.5 (10*)

Auburn’s chances of winning this game took a huge hit when starting forward Chuma Okeke suffered a knee injury with 8 minutes left to play in the Tigers 97-80 blowout win over North Carolina on Friday night. At the time of his injury, Okeke amassed 20 points and 11 rebounds against North Carolina’s massive frontcourt players.

Kentucky has beaten Auburn twice already this season. During those wins the Wildcats averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.4% from the field. Furthermore, Kentucky held an enormous 76-50 rebounding advantage. That’s even more concerning for Auburn who will be without the services of Okeke. Bet on Kentucky minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET

Game# 683-684

Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*)

Gonzaga is #1 nationally in scoring offense (88.2 PPG) and field goal percentage (52.8%). However, they’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s #3 nationally in scoring defense (58.7 PPG) and #1 in defensive field goal percentage (36.7%).

Texas Tech has exhibited even tighter defense throughout their first 3 NCAA Tournament games. During that time, they allowed a mere 53.0 points per game while holding opponents to a combined 35.5% shooting. They covered in each of those contests and their average victory margin was 18.0-points per contest. Additionally, the Red Raiders have shot 48.1% during that identical time frame. I’m going with the Big 12 regular season champion in this one. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Virginia Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Virginia Tech +7.0 (10*)

Duke is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games and that includes 1-4 ATS since Zion Williamson’s return from injury. Duke barely escaped with a 77-76 win over Central Florida in their previous game and were extremely fortunate to do so as a 13.0-point favorite.

Virginia Tech is a whole different team with star point guard Justin Robinson in the lineup. Following a convincing home win over Syracuse earlier this season, Robinson missed several games due to injury and the Hokies weren’t nearly as efficient offensively. Nevertheless, they did manage to beat Duke without Robinson. Well Robinson is back and so are the Hokies. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 7-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site. This is a balanced Virginia Tech team that’s totally capable of pulling off an upset today. However, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Michigan 9:39 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Texas Tech +2.0 (10*)

Both teams are excellent defensively. The difference in this game will be Texas Tech is more consistent on the offensive end. The Red Raiders have scored 70 or more in 10 straight games. Conversely, Michigan has scored 70 or less in 14 of their last 19 games.

Texas Tech is coming off a 78-58 win over Buffalo. Any Sweet 16 or Elite 8 underdog of 8.5 points or less that allowed less than 60 points in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 31-9 ATS (77.5%) since 2006. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play.

Oklahoma vs. Virginia 7:45 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Oklahoma +11.0 (10*)

Oklahoma has gone a terrific 12-1 SU&ATS versus non-conference opponents this season. The Sooners are coming off Friday’s 95-72 blowout over Ole Miss in which they shot a blistering hot 57.6%. Oklahoma is 6-1 straight up this season following a game in which they shot 50% or better. The Sooners have also gone a very profitable 8-4-2 ATS this season as an underdog. There’s nothing bad to say against Virginia except that I’m fading them today. Bet on Oklahoma plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas vs. Auburn 9:40 PM ET

Game# 849-850

Play On: Auburn -2.0 (10*)

Although Kansas was extremely impressive in their blowout win over Northeastern on Thursday, I haven’t been crazy about this 2018-2019 Jayhawks team, and especially when not playing on their home floor.

Survive and advance appropriately fits Auburn’s opening round game after escaping with a narrow 1-point win over New Mexico State. Speaking of New Mexico State, that’s the same Aggies team that gave Kansas all they can handle during a 3-point loss in early December and entered the NCAA Tournament on a 19-game win streak. Auburn has gone an eye-catching 8-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site, and their only defeat came by 6-points against 2019 NCAA Tournament #1 overall seed Duke. Bet on Auburn minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Liberty vs. Mississippi State 7:27 PM ET

Game# 821-822

Play On: Mississippi State -6.0 (10*)

Liberty earned their automatic bid by winning 74-68 at Lipscomb as a 6.0-point underdog in their conference championship game. That victory improved the Flames season record to an outstanding 28-6 (.824). However, Liberty has yet to face an opponent this season which is part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field.

Mississippi State enters the NCAA Tournament with a solid 23-10 record. The Bulldogs own non-conference wins over 2019 NCAA Tournament teams such as Cincinnati (28-6), Wofford (29-4), and St. Mary’s (22-11). They also played 9 games against fellow SEC teams which are in the NCAA Tournament and won 3 of those contests.

Any college basketball favorite (Mississippi State) with a winning record that’s facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re (Liberty) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more points, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. The average point-spread in those 42 games was 5.4.

Liberty has been a trendy upset pick this week. Nevertheless, I firmly believe that’s fool’s gold. Mississippi State has seen 39.3% of their games played this season come against teams who are in the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The tougher schedule will pay huge dividends against an opponent that’s feasted on low level competition. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

New Mexico State vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET

Game# 781-782

Play On: New Mexico State +6.0 (10*)

Auburn won games in 4 days to win the SEC Tournament title which concluded with an upset of Tennessee in Sunday’s Finals. Now on just 3 days rest they’ll be facing an extremely dangerous New Mexico State team which has won 19 straight games. The Aggies are a dominating +13.8 rebounds per game over their last 8 outings. Conversely, Auburn is a -6 rebound per game in throughout their previous 6 contests. New Mexico State has shot 50.8% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. Auburn has allowed its previous 5 opponents to shoot a combined 47.8% and that includes an alarming 42.1% from 3-point territory. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

Lipscomb @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET

Game# 683-684

Play On: Over 149.0 (10*)

The sharp money is on the over in this contest and that includes mine. Throughout their previous 5 contests Lipscomb has averaged a lofty 80.0 points scored per game while shooting 50% and converting on an excellent 39.2% of its 3-point attempts. Davidson is averaging a healthy 76.1 points scored per game at home this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET

Game# 633-634

Play On: Florida State +8.0 (10*)

Duke revenged 2 regular season losses to archrival North Carolina by defeating the Tar Heels 74-73 in yesterday’s ACC Semifinals. Now they are laying a sizable number against a red-hot Florida State team they beat on the road in their only regular season meeting with the Seminoles. That surely equates to a potential emotional letdown despite the ACC crown being at stake.

Since starting ACC play 1-4, Florida State has rebounded to win 14 of their next 15 games. Their only loss in that sequence came at North Carolina. There’s a ton of betting value today on the underdog Seminoles. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Colorado vs. Washington 9:00 PM ET

Game# 847-848

Play On: Colorado +3.5 (10*)

Washington has gone 3-2 during their previous 5 games. However, they failed to cover on each occasion and were a favorite in all 5 contests.

Colorado comes in red-hot having won 10 of its last 12 and that includes a current 5-game win streak. The Buffaloes will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season meetings with Washington by margins of 7 and 9 points. The Buffaloes have been outstanding defensively during their present winning streak while allowing a mere 61.4 points per game and holding its opponents to 37.0% shooting. They also held an enormous +11.0 rebounds per game over their opponent throughout this present win streak. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Louisville vs. North Carolina 7:00 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Under 151.0 (10*)

Louisville has gone under in their last 6 games when there’s been a total of 126.0 or greater. Those 6 contests averaged only a combined 126.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals have covered in each of their previous 3 games. Louisville is 8-0 under the total this season following 2 or more ATS wins in a row and there were a collective 133.6 points scored per contest. The Cardinals have struggled offensively throughout their last 5 appearances while scoring a mere 63.4 points per game while shooting just 37.3% which includes 26.9% from 3-point territory.

North Carolina has garnered the reputation as an explosive offensive team and rightfully so. However, they’re vastly underrated defensively. As a matter of fact, during their last 5 outings they’ve held opponents to a collective 38.6% shooting. The Tar Heels have gone under in 5 straight games when there’s been a total of 148.0 or greater. North Carolina also went under during both of this season’s games against Louisville. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

California vs. Colorado 5:30 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Under 137.5 (10*)

These teams met once during regular season actions and Colorado defeated California 68-59. That game easily stayed under the total of 147.0.

California has seen each of their last 4 games go under when there’s been a total of 135.5 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged just a combined 130.8 points scored per game.

Colorado has witnessed each of their previous game games going under when there’s been a total of 147.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged only a collective 130.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Michigan @ Michigan State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 136.0 (10*)

These teams are both terrific defensively. However, the last 4 games in this series have all gone over the total and there was a combined 145.8 points scored per contest.

Michigan has gone over the total in each of their last 3 games. The Wolverines have also gone over during 3 of its previous 4 conference away games.

Michigan State has won 4 of its last 5 games. During the past 2 seasons, the Spartans have gone over in all 9 of its home games after winning 4 of their previous 5 played. Those contests averaged a collective 158.2 points scored per game. Michigan State has averaged 76.7 points scored per outing and shot a red-hot 52.6% throughout its last 3 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

IUPUI @ Wright State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Wright State -8.5 (10*)

IUPUI has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. IUPUI has been terrible on the defensive end of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.9% and that includes an alarming 43.4% from 3-point territory. They will be facing a Wright State team tonight that’s made an impressive 48.4% of its field goal attempts over their last 5 outings. Wright State is also a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and already has defeated IUPUI twice during regular season action. Bet on Wright State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 765-766

Play On: Over 146.5 (10*)

East Tennessee State has seen all 7 of their Ohio Valley Conference home games go over the total this season. Those 7 contests produced a combined 160.1 points scored per game. During 14 home contests this season, East Tennessee State is averaging 85.9 points scored per game and is shooting a sizzling hot 52.3%.

Western Carolina has gone over the total in 5 of its previous 7 away games. Those 7 contests have manufactured a collective 168.9 points being scored per game. Western Carolina will be playing with revenge stemming from an earlier season 91-69 home loss to East Tennessee State. That contests easily sailed over the total of 142.5. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Washington State @ Stanford 9:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Washington State +8.5 (10*)

No analysis on this game.

San Diego State @ Utah State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 643-644

Play On: Utah State -8.0 (10*)

There’s no analysis today.

San Diego State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: UNLV +1.0 (10*)

San Diego State is coming off a huge home upset win as an 8.0-point underdog over #6 ranked Nevada 924-2) in their previous game. The Aztecs will be facing another elite Mountain West Conference team in Utah State (21-6) next. Sandwiched between is tonight’s contest versus 15-11 UNLV. This certainly shapes up as a flat spot for the Aztecs.

Speaking of UNLV, they’re currently on a modest 3-game win streak. The Rebels will be out to revenge a 17-point loss at San Diego State earlier this season. Despite that decisive defeat, the game was clearly decided by free throws. San Diego State was able toi get to the charity stripe 30 times and made 24 of those attempts. Conversely, UNLV was awarded just 14 free throws and converted only 6 of those attempts. That’s a highly unlikely scenario to occur again. Bet on UNLV for a 10* Top Play wager.

Weber State @ Sacramento State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Over 142.5 (10*)

Sacramento State is averaging 77.9 points scored per game at home this season. Throughout their previous 5 games Sacramento has shot an impressive 48.2%. Weber State is 10-5 in Big Sky Conference play and averaged 80.6 points scored per game while doing so.

Weber State has gone over the total in their last 3 outings and there were a combined 157 points or more scored on each of those occasions. Sacramento State will look to avoid a slow start like they had in their previous out when they scored only 25 first half points. The combination of these facts and data qualifies for a very successful betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any team (Sacramento State) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 who scored 25 points or fewer during the 1st half of their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Weber State) that’s seen a collective 155 points or more being scored during each of its last 3 contests, resulted in those games going 66-23 (74.2%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. There was an average total of 145.0 in those 89 games and there were a combined 152.9 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, this identical college basketball situation has arisen 4 times this season and all went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

New Mexico @ Utah State 11:00 PM ET

Game# 837-838

Play On: Utah State -14.5 (10*)

New Mexico has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 Mountain West Conference road games. The Lobos lost those 5 contests by a decisive average margin of 18.4 points per game. Utah State is 11-1 at home this season and has outscored their opponents by a massive average of 21.7 points per game in those 12 contests. Utah State has converted on a superb 43.1% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET

Game# 629-630

Play On: Under 133.0 (10*)

Both teams have been stout defensively during each of late. Clemson has allowed 50.2 points per contest and held its opponents to a paltry 31.2% shooting throughout its last 5 games. Florida State has allowed 59.8 points per game while their opponent shot a collective 36.2% over their previous 5 contests. Clemson has gone under the total in 4 of its last 5 conference home games and there were a combined 120.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Fresno State @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Fresno State -2.0 (10*)

New Mexico has gone an uninspiring 7-6 at home this season. The Lobos are coming off a 92-60 win at Mountain West cellar dweller San Jose State. However, they’ve gone 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. As a matter of fact, they’ve lost 7 of their last 10 overall and 2 of those wins came against opponents (San Jose State/Wyoming) who’ve combined to go an abysmal 9-38 this season.

Fresno State is 16-4 in their last 20 and that includes 5-1 during true road games. They’re also 4-1 in their previous 5 games with their lone defeat coming by 1 against a very good 19-6 Utah State team. Thru that 5-game stretch, Fresno State has shot a stellar 47.8% and made an outstanding 40.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Fresno State for a 10* Top Play wager.

Monmouth @ Rider 7:00 PM ET

Game# 867-868

Play On: Rider -7.5 (10*)

This qualifies as one of those situations in which using a contrarian approach would is the most logical thing to do. Monmouth has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games played. One of those wins was over Rider and they do so as a 4.5-point home underdog. Conversely, Rider is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 contests. As a matter of fact, Rider has failed to cover in 9 straight games. Yet, Rider opened as a 5.5-point favorite and it’s since moved to 7.5 despite better than 60% wagers being made on Monmouth thus far. If it looks like a trap and seems like a trap, then it’s a trap. Bet on Rider minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Air Force @ UNLV 10:30 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 142.0 (10*)

These teams met earlier this season at the Air Force Academy. That game turned into an extremely entertaining high scoring affair that saw Air Force come away with a 106-88 win, and it went over the total of 137.0. The teams combined for 129 field goal attempts while going 23-48 (47.9%) from beyond the 3-point line. This kind of scoring spree was very much out of character for an Air Force game, and thus the slight 5.0-point adjustment made to tonight’s total compared to that of the first matchup between these teams.

UNLV is coming off an 83-65 loss to Fresno State in their previous outing, and that contest went under the total of 149.5. UNLV has gone over the total in 5 straight contests following an under in their previous outing, and there was a combined average of 157.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nebraska @ Purdue 8:30 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Under 139.0 (10*)

Nebraska has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and the Cornhuskers were a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. During that time, Nebraska is averaging a mere 55.0 points scored per game and made a pathetic 30.6% of their field goal attempts. Conversely, Purdue has witnessed their last 3 home games all go under the total while there were a cumulative 132.3 points scored per contest.

Nebraska is a combined is an enormous -65 points ATS over their last 7 games. Purdue has gone over the total by a combined 29 points during its previous 3 games. The combination of this data qualifies for a very successful college basketball total betting angle which is displayed below.

Any road team (Nebraska) with a total of 130.0 to 139.5 that failed to cover their previous 7 games by a combined 48.0 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Purdue) who’s gone over the total by a cumulative 24.0 points or greater during its last 3 games, resulted in those contests going 35-9 (79.5%) under the total since 1997. There was a cumulative 128.6 points scored per game during those 44 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play.

Kansas @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Kansas State -2.5 (10*)

Kansas is 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 true road games. This is a Kansas State team that is finally healthy and returned 5 starters from a team that advanced to an NCAA Tournament Regional Final last March. The Wildcats appear to be peaking in time for another late season run. Bet on Kansas State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Brown @ Dartmouth 7:00 ET

Game# 855-856

Play On: Over 146.5 (10*)

Dartmouth has gone over the total in each of their previous 3 home games. They’re also averaging a robust 82.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.4% from the field and has made a sizzling hot 41.0% of their 3-point shot attempts during 8 home games. Brown has averaged 82.0 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests and they’ve tallied 71 or greater during 7 of its last 8 outings. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Wofford @ Mercer 7:00 PM ET

Game# 667-668

Play On: Over 143.5 (10*)

Mercer has seen each of its last 7 go over the total and there was a combined average of 157.7 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests, Mercer is scoring 80.0 points per game while shooting a scorching hot 50.0% and converting on 43.0% of their 3-point attempts. They’ve also made 75.8% of their free throw attempts throughout that 5-game stretch.

Wofford is currently a 7.0-point road favorite in this game. Wofford is 9-2 over the total as a favorite this season and there was a combined average of 154.7 points scored per game.

Mercer is averaging 80.0 points scored per contest while Wofford amassed 81.6 points per outing during each team’s previous 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas @ Texas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Texas -1.0 (10*)

These teams met a little over 2 weeks ago in Lawrence, and Kansas walked away with a narrow 80-78 win. Texas is coming off a disappointing 98-88 loss at Georgia in a game they closed as a 4.5-point favorite.

Any college basketball team (Texas) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 3 points or less, and they’re coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those teams going 27-5 SU&ATS (84.4%) since 1997. Bet on Texas for a 10* Top Play wager.

Murray State @ SIU-Edwardsville 8:00 PM ET

Game# 807-808

Play On: Over 152.5 (10*)

There will be no analysis today.

Oregon @ Arizona 9:00 PM ET

Game# 643-644

Play On: Over 134.0 (10*)

Arizona has seen each of their previous 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 154.0 points scored per game. Oregon has also witnessed its last 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 153.7 points scored per game. These teams have seen each of their last 6 meetings go over and there were a combined 168.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Georgia Tech @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET

Game# 821-822

Play On: Clemson -8.0 (10*)

Granted, Clemson has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games. However, those losses have come against #1 Duke, #2 Virginia, and Syracuse who just upset Duke as a 17.0-point underdog this past Monday. The Tigers average just 55 field goal attempts per game.

Georgia Tech is coming off an upset win at Syracuse last Saturday which improved their season record to 10-6. The Yellowjackets have held their last 2 opponents to a mere 31% and 29% shooting for the game.

Any favorite (Clemson) that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, versus an opponent (Georgia Tech) playing after game 15 of their season that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, and they held each of their last 2 opponents to 37% shooting or worse, resulted in those favorites going 23-4 ATS during the past 5 seasons.

LSU @ Mississippi 9:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Mississippi -3.5 (10*)

This will be just the 2nd true road game of the season for LSU. The Tigers lost by 6 at Houston in their only other away contest.

Ole Miss is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS at home this season and has won by a substantial average of 20.1 points per game. As a matter of fact, Ole Miss is a red-hot 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 games overall while winning by 15.2 points per contest. Some will have the concern that the Rebels are coming off an upset win at in state rival Mississippi State in their previous game. However, this is a team that’s proved their preseason critics to be completely wrong thus far and is playing with a massive chip on their shoulders. I’m riding the hot hand. Bet on Mississippi minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET

Game# 869-870

Play On: Pittsburgh +6.0 (10*)

Florida State has struggled offensively during 1-2 start in ACC play by shooting a dismal 39.4% and making only 27.0% of its 3-point attempts. The Seminoles are coming off of Saturday’s 80-78 home loss to Duke. Florida State has gone 0-6 ATS on the road during the past 2 seasons following a home game in which both teams scored 75 points or more.

Pittsburgh enters with a very respectable 11-5 record and that includes a profitable 11-4 ATS (73.3%) mark. The Panthers have been stout defensively throughout its previous 5 games by holding opponents to 40.9% shooting and allowing them to make just 27.4% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Auburn @ Mississippi 7:00 PM ET

Game# 785-786

Play On: Mississippi +3.5 (10*)

No analysis today.

Colorado @ Arizona State 6:00 ET

Game# 697-698

Play On: Arizona State -6.5 (10*)

Colorado has scored 68 or less and allowed 70 points or less in each of its previous 3 games. The Buffalos are averaging 77.8 points scored per game this season. Conversely, Arizona State is allowing 73.9 points per game. This sets up a terrific college basketball ATS betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home favorite that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game, versus an opponent 9Colorado) that allows 74 to 78 points per games and they’re come off 3 straight outing in which both teams scored 70 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.9%) since 1997. The average line in those 28 contests was 6.4 and the favorite outscored those underdogs by 14.6 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Montana @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET

Game# 799-780

Play On: Montana +7.0 (10*)

Creighton is coming off an upset win over nationally ranked Clemson in their previous game and they did so as a 5.0-point underdog. After facing Montana tonight, Creighton will host #1 Gonzaga on Saturday. This is a text book sandwich game in which the home favorite will be potentially flat. Especially considering they shot 54.5% or better during each of their last 3 games, and that type of shooting success is extremely difficult to maintain.

Montana is an experienced team that returned 4 starters from a season ago. The Grizzlies enter tonight with a 4-1 record and have shot 50% or better from the field in each of their previous 4 games.

Any college basketball underdog which has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 4 games, and they’re facing an opponent that’s shot 50% or better in each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1997. Bet on Montana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Illinois-Chicago @ Duquense 8:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 153.0 (10*)

During the past 3 seasons, Illinois-Chicago is 7-0 over the total during away games when the total is 150.0 to 154.5. Those 7 contests have averaged a combined 167.7 points scored per game. Through their first 2 games of the season, Illinois-Chicago has allowed 86.0 points per contest and their opponents has 31 free throw attempts par outing. Those 2 contests were played at a very fast pace as indicated a combined 121 field goal attempts per game.

Duquense is coming off a season opening 84-70 win over William & Mary. They attempted a lofty 61 field goal attempts in that win and made an impressive 52.5% of those attempts while converting on a superb 46.2% of its 3-point shots. According to the current college basketball odds at Bookmaker, Duquense is listed as a 6.0-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Dukes have gone over the total in all 6 of their games as a home favorite of 6.0-points or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager.

Loyola-Chicago vs. Michigan 6:09 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Loyola-Chicago +5.5 (10*)

The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are the true definition of a Cinderella darling. However, when looking inside the numbers, there’s nothing fluky about how they arrived at the Final Four. The Ramblers are 32-5 and that includes 21-1 in their last 22 in addition to a current 14-game win streak. Even more impressive is their 4-0 SU&ATS record this season against power conference teams (Florida, Miami, Tennessee, Kansas State) with all those victories coming as an underdog. Furthermore, they’ve gone 24-9 ATS (72.7%) in lined games this season. Loyola has shot a red-hot 52.5% in their 4 NCAA Tournament games. During those 4 NCAA Tournament wins, Loyola has allowed 28 points or less in the first half in each of those contests. The Ramblers are 11-0 ATS (+12.1 PPG) following 2 straight games in which they allowed 30 points or less in the first half. Bet on Loyola plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Villanova 2:20 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Villanova -6.5 (10*)

Texas Tech has vastly overachieved this season and they should be commended for it. Even the most ardent of Red Raiders fans certainly couldn’t have envisioned Elite 8 appearance before the season began. Nevertheless, their magic carpet ride ends on Sunday against #1 seed Villanova and it will be by a decisive margin.

Villanova has been one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the nation this season. Nonetheless, they’ve been incredible during this NCAA Tournament in going 44-92 (47.8%) from 3-point territory. Couple that fact with Texas Tech allowing their last 5 opponents to make a combined 38.0% of their 3-point shots, and you have a recipe for a blowout. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State vs. Michigan 8:49 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Michigan -4.0 (10*)

Florida State has been impressive in their 3 NCAA Tournament games and they’ve gone 3-0 ATS in those contests. However, the Seminoles entered the Big Dance by going 3-5 straight up and 0-8 ATS during its previous 8 games. After a fast 9-0 start to the season, Florida State is an uninspiring 14-11 since. Florida State has also allowed their 3 NCAA Tourney opponents to average 25 free throw attempts per game. That’s an extremely high number considering they weren’t trying to extend any of those game by fouling. Sooner or later, sending their opponents to the free throw line with that type of frequency will catch up with them

Michigan is absolutely rolling right now. The Wolverines have won 12 straight games and covered on 10 of those occasions. They’re coming off a 99-72 dismantling of Texas A&M in the Regional Semifinal, and they shot a sizzling hot 61.9% in that win, including going 14-24 (58%) from 3-point territory. Considering Florida State has allowed its last 5 opponents to convert on an alarmingly high 39.6% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

West Virginia vs. Villanova 7:27 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Over 152.5 (10*)

West Virginia has seen 7 of their previous 8 games go over the total. During their last 5 games the Mountaineers have converted on a stellar 41.6% of its 3-point attempt and 77% of their free throws. West Virginia’s full court pressure has been very successful in get unwilling opponents to play faster than they had planned. They’ll have a willing dance partner in Villanova who’s averaging 85.0 points scored per game over their past 5 contests.

Villanova went under the total in their 2nd round 25-point blowout of Alabama. Despite that result, the Wildcats are 13-4 over the total in their previous 17 games. Furthermore, Villanova has gone over the total in 4 straight games following an under in their previous contest. Those 4 games averaged a combined 162.5 points scored per contest. Villanova has compiled extremely impressive shooting number over their last 5 games. During that time span, the Wildcats shot 49.0% from the field, made 44.2% of its 3-point attempts, and went an outstanding 82.1% from the free throw line.

I’m looking at this game being a wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Illinois-Chicago @ Austin Peay 8:00

Game# 769-70

Play On: Illinois-Chicago +4.5 (10*)

You may be surprised to know that Illinois-Chicago has gone 7-0 SU&ATS during their last 7 true road game, and they won by an average of 9.4 points per contest. Austin Peay is an uninspiring 2-2 SU&ATS during its last 4 home games. Austin Peay’s defensive play has been shoddy over their previous 5 contests. During that precise time frame, APU allowed opponents to shoot 50% from the field. Conversely, Illinois-Chicago has averaged 81.2 points scored per game, shot 47.0% from the field, and converted on an excellent 42.1% of their 3-points attempts throughout its last 5 games. Bet on Illinois-Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Penn State @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 665-666

Play On: Under 150.5 (10*)

Penn State has shot the ball horribly over its last 5 games. Despite shooting a stellar 39.1% from beyond 3-point range during that stretch, the Nittany Lions converted on anemic 35.3% of its 2-point field goal attempts. They went under the total in 4 of those 5 games. Marquette isn’t exactly a good defensive team. As a matter of fact, their opponents have shot an alarmingly high 47.6% against them this season. However, Penn State has gone under the total in all 6 of their games this season when facing opponents with a defensive field goal percentage of 45% or greater. Those 6 contests average a combined 132.6 points scored per game. Penn State is also 9-2 under (141.2 PPG) the total this season in non-conference games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Marshall vs. West Virginia 9:40 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Over 159.5 (10*)

There’s good reason why this total is so high. Using an old boxing adage is appropriate in describing this matchup, “styles make fights”. Both team’s play up-tempo style of basketball. Marshall has averaged 62 field goal attempts and 84.2 points scored per game this season. The Thundering Herd are also one of the worst teams in Division 1 regarding scoring defense. They’re allowing a lofty 78.7 points per game while speeding its opponents up to the tune of 67 field goal attempts per game.

West Virginia has seen 6 of its 7 previous games go over the total. The Mountaineers are averaging 79.8 points scored and 64 field goal attempts per game this season. West Virginia hasn’t been very good on the defensive end late. Over their last 5 games, West Virginia opponents combined to shoot 48.4% from the field and they’ve converted on an alarmingly high 43.3% of their 3-point shots.

As Ralph Kramden would say to Alice on the old Honeymooners sitcom, “to the moon!” Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Alabama vs Villanova 12:10 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Villanova -11.0 (10*)

Alabama has won 3 of their last 4 games, but that was preceded by a 5-game losing streak. The Crimson Tide have been awful defensively in their previous 2 outings, allowing 84.5 points per game and permitted its 2 opponents to shoot a blistering hot 60% from the floor. That’s troublesome when considering Villanova has shot a combined 52.7 % from the field and made an outstanding 45.7% of their 3-points attempts over their previous 5 games.

Villanova is currently averaging 87.1 points per game. The Wildcats are coming off an 87-61 win over Radford in a game they led 44-23 at halftime. Alabama is an uninspiring 20-15, and especially considering they received an at-large invite and didn’t get an automatic bid as a conference tournament champion. The Crimson Tide is averaging 72.7 points scored per game this season. The combination of this data sets up a very profitable betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any neutral court favorite that averages 76 or more points scored per game, and they led at the half by 20 points or more in their previous outing, versus an opponent (Alabama) that averages 67 to 74 points scored per contest and is playing after game 14 of the season, resulted in those favorites going 35-12 ATS (74.5%) since 1997. The average line in those 47 games was 11.1, and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 15.9 points per contest. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas vs. Nevada 4:30 PM ET

Game# 879-880

Play On: Nevada (10*)

I haven’t been impressed by Texas at all this season. I thought at the very best they should’ve been playing on of the “First Four” games. Nevada has been a Top 25 team for a majority of this season. They were upset in the semifinals of their conference tournament by a red-hot San Diego State team. Nevada is the better team in this matchup and they will prevail. Bet on Nevada for a 10* Top Play wager.

Buffalo vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET

Game# 739-740

Play On: Buffalo +8.5 (10*)

Arizona spent the majority of the first half of this season underachieving. However, they rebounded in the second half of the campaign and it culminate by winning the PAC-12 Tournament championship. Nevertheless, it wasn’t a banner year for the PAC-12 with only 3 of their teams receiving a NCAA Tournament invite, and Arizona State was already eliminated in last night’s loss to Syracuse.

Buffalo is fully capable of giving Arizona all they can handle and then some. The Bulls went 18-3 this season in MAC play, and all 3 of their defeats came by 3 points or less. They also lost to Cincinnati by just 6 and led Syracuse with less than 5 minutes to play at the Carrier Dome before falling short. The Bulls are an explosive offensive team and they possess quality depth. Unlike other mid-majors this Buffalo team will be difficult to wear down, and their ability to knock down 3-point shots will keep them in the game throughout.

This will also be Buffalo’s 3rd trip to the NCAA Tournament in 4 years, so they won’t be in awe of the situation. They lost by 6 to West Virginia in 2015 and by 7 to Miami in 2016. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see a huge upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

SE Louisiana vs. SF Austin 9:00 PM ET

Game# 555-556

Play On: SE Louisiana +6.5 (10*)

The underdog SE Louisiana enters today riding a sizzling hot 9-game winning streak. During its past 5 games, SE Louisiana has made 52.9% of its field goal attempts and shot an impressive 41.0% from 3-point territory. During that stretch, they held their opponents to just 39.6% shooting. There’s a wealth of value on the underdog in this contest. Bet on SE Louisiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo 9:00 PM ET

Game# 863-864

Play On: Eastern Michigan +2.0 (10*)

Eastern Michigan enters this MAC Tourney Semifinal on a 7-game win streak, and they’ve covered 6 straight times. They won both of their regular season meetings against Toledo and shot a red-hot 53.9% in those contests. Eastern Michigan has shot 51.9% over their previous 5 games. They will be facing a Toledo team who’s calling card isn’t on the defensive side of the floor. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah vs. Oregon 11:30 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Utah +2.5 (10*)

Oregon enters the PAC-12 Tournament on a modest 2-game win streak. However, the Ducks are 0-3 straight up in their last 3 games following 2 wins in a row. Utah has plenty of momentum going into postseason action after winning 6 of its last 7 regular season games. Bet on Utah plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

South Dakota vs. South Dakota State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 537-538

Play On: Over 145.5 (10*)

Both these teams love to play at a fast tempt. South Dakota is averaging a lofty 60 field goal attempts per game while South Dakota State hoists up 61 per contest. These teams saw both their regular season matchups stay under the total. However, the totals in those games were 156.5 and 161.0 which is substantially higher than tonight’s number. Furthermore, there was a combined 148 and 145 points scored in those contests which is right in line with tonight’s total.

South Dakota is coming off yesterday’s 76-58 win over Denver. South Dakota has gone over the total in all 7 games this season following a contest in which they allowed 60 points or less. There was a combined average of 153.5 points scored in those contests. South Dakota State is 9-2 over the total this season in games played on a neutral floor or on the road when facing teams with a winning record. Those 11 contests averaged an enormous 172.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

NC-Wilmington vs. Hofstra 8:30 PM ET

Game# 833-834

Play On: Hofstra -5.0 (10*)

This Colonial Conference Tournament game will be played at a neutral site in Charleston, South Carolina. The last time these teams met was on 2/10 when Wilmington walked away with a 90-70 win. Hofstra has gone 4-0 SU&ATS and that’s improved their season record to 19-11 (.633). Despite a win in their previous game, Wilmington enters today with a poor 10-20 record this season.

Any neutral court team that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a road loss, possessing a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a losing record, resulting in those teams going 25-3 ATS (89.3%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line for those teams in those 28 games was -6.4 and they won by 12.2 points per contest. Bet on Hofstra minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Ohio @ Miami-Ohio 7:00 PM ET

Game# 837-838

Play On: Over 141.0 (5*)

Ohio enters today averaging 76.0 point scored per game. The Bobcats have scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. They’ll be facing a Miami-Ohio team that allows 70.2 points per game this season.

Any road team (Ohio) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 that averages 74 to 78 points scored per game, and they scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 4 games, versus an opponent that allows 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those contests going 29-8 (78.4%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 37 contests was 145.0, and there was 153.9 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

SIU-Edwardsville vs. Tennessee Tech 7:30 PM ET

Game# 765-766

Play On: Under 149.5 (10*)

These teams have met twice this season, and both easily went under the total. Those contests produced just a combined 135 and 138 points scored. Tennessee Tech has seen 4 of its last 5 contests go under the total, and there was a combined 141.4 points scored per game. Edwardsville has also gone 4-1 under the total in its previous 5 and there was a combined 145.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Boise State @ San Diego State 11:00 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Under 143.5 (10*)

San Diego State will be playing with revenge stemming from that 3-point loss at Boise State earlier this season. The Aztecs will enter tonight riding a modest 4-game winning streak. They won each of those contests over conference opponents and all were by double-digit margins. Those results coupled with the present total on this contest sets up a very profitable betting angle.

Any home team (San Diego State) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 3 points or less, and they’re coming off conference wins by 10 points or more in each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those contests going 26-8 (76.5%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 34 contests was 144.0, and there was a combined 137.5 points scored per game.

The previously mentioned betting angle is difficult to ignore when making my college basketball pick on Tuesday. Furthermore, San Diego State has gone under the total in 3 straight contests, and there was a combined average of just 134.3 points scored per game. Meanwhile, Boise State has seen each of their previous 6 conference road games go under the total, and there was a combined 138.5 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total since 1997.