Oklahoma vs. Virginia 7:45 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Oklahoma +11.0 (10*)

Oklahoma has gone a terrific 12-1 SU&ATS versus non-conference opponents this season. The Sooners are coming off Friday’s 95-72 blowout over Ole Miss in which they shot a blistering hot 57.6%. Oklahoma is 6-1 straight up this season following a game in which they shot 50% or better. The Sooners have also gone a very profitable 8-4-2 ATS this season as an underdog. There’s nothing bad to say against Virginia except that I’m fading them today. Bet on Oklahoma plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas vs. Auburn 9:40 PM ET

Game# 849-850

Play On: Auburn -2.0 (10*)

Although Kansas was extremely impressive in their blowout win over Northeastern on Thursday, I haven’t been crazy about this 2018-2019 Jayhawks team, and especially when not playing on their home floor.

Survive and advance appropriately fits Auburn’s opening round game after escaping with a narrow 1-point win over New Mexico State. Speaking of New Mexico State, that’s the same Aggies team that gave Kansas all they can handle during a 3-point loss in early December and entered the NCAA Tournament on a 19-game win streak. Auburn has gone an eye-catching 8-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site, and their only defeat came by 6-points against 2019 NCAA Tournament #1 overall seed Duke. Bet on Auburn minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Liberty vs. Mississippi State 7:27 PM ET

Game# 821-822

Play On: Mississippi State -6.0 (10*)

Liberty earned their automatic bid by winning 74-68 at Lipscomb as a 6.0-point underdog in their conference championship game. That victory improved the Flames season record to an outstanding 28-6 (.824). However, Liberty has yet to face an opponent this season which is part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field.

Mississippi State enters the NCAA Tournament with a solid 23-10 record. The Bulldogs own non-conference wins over 2019 NCAA Tournament teams such as Cincinnati (28-6), Wofford (29-4), and St. Mary’s (22-11). They also played 9 games against fellow SEC teams which are in the NCAA Tournament and won 3 of those contests.

Any college basketball favorite (Mississippi State) with a winning record that’s facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re (Liberty) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more points, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. The average point-spread in those 42 games was 5.4.

Liberty has been a trendy upset pick this week. Nevertheless, I firmly believe that’s fool’s gold. Mississippi State has seen 39.3% of their games played this season come against teams who are in the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The tougher schedule will pay huge dividends against an opponent that’s feasted on low level competition. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

New Mexico State vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET

Game# 781-782

Play On: New Mexico State +6.0 (10*)

Auburn won games in 4 days to win the SEC Tournament title which concluded with an upset of Tennessee in Sunday’s Finals. Now on just 3 days rest they’ll be facing an extremely dangerous New Mexico State team which has won 19 straight games. The Aggies are a dominating +13.8 rebounds per game over their last 8 outings. Conversely, Auburn is a -6 rebound per game in throughout their previous 6 contests. New Mexico State has shot 50.8% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. Auburn has allowed its previous 5 opponents to shoot a combined 47.8% and that includes an alarming 42.1% from 3-point territory. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

Boston @ Philadelphia 7:35 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Under 225.0 (10*)

Boston has gone under in each of their previous 5 games as an underdog. Those contests had an average total of 227.3 and there were a combined 215.6 points scored per game. The Celtics have also gone under in 8 of their last 9 away games versus Eastern Conference opponents and there was a collective 213.2 points scored per contest. Philadelphia has gone under in 7 straight at home when there was a total of 229.5 or less. There was a combined 214.6 points scored per contests throughout those 7 home games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Lipscomb @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET

Game# 683-684

Play On: Over 149.0 (10*)

The sharp money is on the over in this contest and that includes mine. Throughout their previous 5 contests Lipscomb has averaged a lofty 80.0 points scored per game while shooting 50% and converting on an excellent 39.2% of its 3-point attempts. Davidson is averaging a healthy 76.1 points scored per game at home this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET

Game# 633-634

Play On: Florida State +8.0 (10*)

Duke revenged 2 regular season losses to archrival North Carolina by defeating the Tar Heels 74-73 in yesterday’s ACC Semifinals. Now they are laying a sizable number against a red-hot Florida State team they beat on the road in their only regular season meeting with the Seminoles. That surely equates to a potential emotional letdown despite the ACC crown being at stake.

Since starting ACC play 1-4, Florida State has rebounded to win 14 of their next 15 games. Their only loss in that sequence came at North Carolina. There’s a ton of betting value today on the underdog Seminoles. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Colorado vs. Washington 9:00 PM ET

Game# 847-848

Play On: Colorado +3.5 (10*)

Washington has gone 3-2 during their previous 5 games. However, they failed to cover on each occasion and were a favorite in all 5 contests.

Colorado comes in red-hot having won 10 of its last 12 and that includes a current 5-game win streak. The Buffaloes will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season meetings with Washington by margins of 7 and 9 points. The Buffaloes have been outstanding defensively during their present winning streak while allowing a mere 61.4 points per game and holding its opponents to 37.0% shooting. They also held an enormous +11.0 rebounds per game over their opponent throughout this present win streak. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Louisville vs. North Carolina 7:00 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Under 151.0 (10*)

Louisville has gone under in their last 6 games when there’s been a total of 126.0 or greater. Those 6 contests averaged only a combined 126.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals have covered in each of their previous 3 games. Louisville is 8-0 under the total this season following 2 or more ATS wins in a row and there were a collective 133.6 points scored per contest. The Cardinals have struggled offensively throughout their last 5 appearances while scoring a mere 63.4 points per game while shooting just 37.3% which includes 26.9% from 3-point territory.

North Carolina has garnered the reputation as an explosive offensive team and rightfully so. However, they’re vastly underrated defensively. As a matter of fact, during their last 5 outings they’ve held opponents to a collective 38.6% shooting. The Tar Heels have gone under in 5 straight games when there’s been a total of 148.0 or greater. North Carolina also went under during both of this season’s games against Louisville. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

California vs. Colorado 5:30 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Under 137.5 (10*)

These teams met once during regular season actions and Colorado defeated California 68-59. That game easily stayed under the total of 147.0.

California has seen each of their last 4 games go under when there’s been a total of 135.5 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged just a combined 130.8 points scored per game.

Colorado has witnessed each of their previous game games going under when there’s been a total of 147.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged only a collective 130.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Portland @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET

Game# 545-546

Play On: LA Clippers +2.5 (5*)

Portland has been terrific at home this season. Nonetheless, they’re a dismal 6-14 straight up and 7-13 ATS this season when facing Western Conference teams on the road. The Trailblazers are also 2-3 during its last 5 games overall and allowed a sizable 119.2 points per contest.

The only negative I see for the Clippers in this one is they played last night while Portland enters tonight’s contest on 2 days rest. However, the Clippers were a 140-115 blowout winner over Boston last night which enabled them to rest their top players late in that contest. With that win over the Celtics, they’re now 5-0 SU&ATS during their last 5 at home while winning by a decisive 18.0 points per game. Since 2/2/2019, the Clippers are 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 4.0 points or fewer and won by 10.4 points per contest. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Celtics @ Clippers 10:35 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Clippers +2.5 (10*)

The Celtics are a dismal 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0 or less and they lost straight up on 4 of those occasions. Monday will be the finale of a 4-game in 7-day west coast trip for Boston. Conversely, the Clippers will be playing on 2 days rest and it will be just their 2nd game in 5 days. Additionally, the Clippers are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 home games while winning by a substantial 16.2 points per contest. During those 4 home tilts, they averaged 125.2 points scored per game while shooting 49.5% and converted on an excellent 44.1% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Michigan @ Michigan State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 136.0 (10*)

These teams are both terrific defensively. However, the last 4 games in this series have all gone over the total and there was a combined 145.8 points scored per contest.

Michigan has gone over the total in each of their last 3 games. The Wolverines have also gone over during 3 of its previous 4 conference away games.

Michigan State has won 4 of its last 5 games. During the past 2 seasons, the Spartans have gone over in all 9 of its home games after winning 4 of their previous 5 played. Those contests averaged a collective 158.2 points scored per game. Michigan State has averaged 76.7 points scored per outing and shot a red-hot 52.6% throughout its last 3 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Pacers @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Bucks -10.0 (10*)

Indiana has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 2.5 or greater and they lost by a substantial average of 15.8 points per game. The Pacers are coming off a 105-96 home win over Central Division cellar dweller Chicago in their last outing.

Milwaukee has lost their last 2 games and it’s the first time that’s happened all season long. However, it must be noted, those defeats occurred on the tail end of a grueling 5-game in 8-day road trip. The Bucks lost 114-105 as a 13.5-point favorite at Phoenix in their previous outing. Milwaukee will be playing today’s game on 2 days of rest. They’ve gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a double-digit home favorite when playing on exactly 2 days of rest, and won by an enormous 25.2 points per contest.

Any favorite of 10.0 or greater that’s coming off a road game in which both teams scored 100 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Pacers) that’s coming off a division win, resulted in those double-digit favorites going 33-11 ATS (75%) since 1996. The average point-spread was 12.9 and the favorite outscored those 44 underdogs by 16.9 points per game. Play on the Bucks minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

Boston @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Under 229.0 (10*)

Boston has gone under in 5 consecutive games. Those contests went under by a substantial average of 18.3 points per game. The Celtics have also gone under in 9 of its previous 10 away games, and that includes all 5 if there was a total of 221.5 or greater.

Sacramento has gone under in 6 successive home games when there’s been a total of 229.0 or less. Those contests saw only 214.0 points being scored per occasion. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

IUPUI @ Wright State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Wright State -8.5 (10*)

IUPUI has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. IUPUI has been terrible on the defensive end of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.9% and that includes an alarming 43.4% from 3-point territory. They will be facing a Wright State team tonight that’s made an impressive 48.4% of its field goal attempts over their last 5 outings. Wright State is also a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and already has defeated IUPUI twice during regular season action. Bet on Wright State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 765-766

Play On: Over 146.5 (10*)

East Tennessee State has seen all 7 of their Ohio Valley Conference home games go over the total this season. Those 7 contests produced a combined 160.1 points scored per game. During 14 home contests this season, East Tennessee State is averaging 85.9 points scored per game and is shooting a sizzling hot 52.3%.

Western Carolina has gone over the total in 5 of its previous 7 away games. Those 7 contests have manufactured a collective 168.9 points being scored per game. Western Carolina will be playing with revenge stemming from an earlier season 91-69 home loss to East Tennessee State. That contests easily sailed over the total of 142.5. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Portland @ Toronto 8:05 PM ET

Game# 541-542

Play On: Portland +5.0 (10*)

Portland has gone an impressive 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 outings while winning by an average of 13.8 points per game and 4 of those 5 were on the road. On the other hand, Toronto is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5-points or more. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play wager.

Washington State @ Stanford 9:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Washington State +8.5 (10*)

No analysis on this game.

San Diego State @ Utah State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 643-644

Play On: Utah State -8.0 (10*)

There’s no analysis today.

San Diego State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: UNLV +1.0 (10*)

San Diego State is coming off a huge home upset win as an 8.0-point underdog over #6 ranked Nevada 924-2) in their previous game. The Aztecs will be facing another elite Mountain West Conference team in Utah State (21-6) next. Sandwiched between is tonight’s contest versus 15-11 UNLV. This certainly shapes up as a flat spot for the Aztecs.

Speaking of UNLV, they’re currently on a modest 3-game win streak. The Rebels will be out to revenge a 17-point loss at San Diego State earlier this season. Despite that decisive defeat, the game was clearly decided by free throws. San Diego State was able toi get to the charity stripe 30 times and made 24 of those attempts. Conversely, UNLV was awarded just 14 free throws and converted only 6 of those attempts. That’s a highly unlikely scenario to occur again. Bet on UNLV for a 10* Top Play wager.

Denver @ Dallas 8:30 PM ET

Game# 527-528

Play On: Dallas +4.5 (10*)

Denver has gone a superb 25-4 at home this season. However, they haven’t been as nearly successful on the road by going a mediocre 14-14. As a matter of fact, the Nuggets are a dismal 10-18 ATS (35.7%) during those 28 away games.

Despite their overall losing record, Dallas is a solid 20-9 at home this season. Furthermore, since 11/6/2018, the Mavericks are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home underdog of 7.0-points or fewer, and they won 8 of those contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Weber State @ Sacramento State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Over 142.5 (10*)

Sacramento State is averaging 77.9 points scored per game at home this season. Throughout their previous 5 games Sacramento has shot an impressive 48.2%. Weber State is 10-5 in Big Sky Conference play and averaged 80.6 points scored per game while doing so.

Weber State has gone over the total in their last 3 outings and there were a combined 157 points or more scored on each of those occasions. Sacramento State will look to avoid a slow start like they had in their previous out when they scored only 25 first half points. The combination of these facts and data qualifies for a very successful betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any team (Sacramento State) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 who scored 25 points or fewer during the 1st half of their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Weber State) that’s seen a collective 155 points or more being scored during each of its last 3 contests, resulted in those games going 66-23 (74.2%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. There was an average total of 145.0 in those 89 games and there were a combined 152.9 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, this identical college basketball situation has arisen 4 times this season and all went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

New Mexico @ Utah State 11:00 PM ET

Game# 837-838

Play On: Utah State -14.5 (10*)

New Mexico has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 Mountain West Conference road games. The Lobos lost those 5 contests by a decisive average margin of 18.4 points per game. Utah State is 11-1 at home this season and has outscored their opponents by a massive average of 21.7 points per game in those 12 contests. Utah State has converted on a superb 43.1% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET

Game# 629-630

Play On: Under 133.0 (10*)

Both teams have been stout defensively during each of late. Clemson has allowed 50.2 points per contest and held its opponents to a paltry 31.2% shooting throughout its last 5 games. Florida State has allowed 59.8 points per game while their opponent shot a collective 36.2% over their previous 5 contests. Clemson has gone under the total in 4 of its last 5 conference home games and there were a combined 120.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Fresno State @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Fresno State -2.0 (10*)

New Mexico has gone an uninspiring 7-6 at home this season. The Lobos are coming off a 92-60 win at Mountain West cellar dweller San Jose State. However, they’ve gone 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. As a matter of fact, they’ve lost 7 of their last 10 overall and 2 of those wins came against opponents (San Jose State/Wyoming) who’ve combined to go an abysmal 9-38 this season.

Fresno State is 16-4 in their last 20 and that includes 5-1 during true road games. They’re also 4-1 in their previous 5 games with their lone defeat coming by 1 against a very good 19-6 Utah State team. Thru that 5-game stretch, Fresno State has shot a stellar 47.8% and made an outstanding 40.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Fresno State for a 10* Top Play wager.

Monmouth @ Rider 7:00 PM ET

Game# 867-868

Play On: Rider -7.5 (10*)

This qualifies as one of those situations in which using a contrarian approach would is the most logical thing to do. Monmouth has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games played. One of those wins was over Rider and they do so as a 4.5-point home underdog. Conversely, Rider is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 contests. As a matter of fact, Rider has failed to cover in 9 straight games. Yet, Rider opened as a 5.5-point favorite and it’s since moved to 7.5 despite better than 60% wagers being made on Monmouth thus far. If it looks like a trap and seems like a trap, then it’s a trap. Bet on Rider minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Bucks @ Pacers 7:05 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Pacers +5.0 (10*)

Milwaukee has gone an unblemished 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Additionally, they were a favorite of 7.0-points or greater in all those contests. Before jumping the gun let me fill you in on what I was able to discover. Upon doing further research, I found the Bucks to be just 1-6 ATS this season as a road favorite of 5.5-points or less.

Indiana is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home against Milwaukee. During the first 4 games of Indiana’s current home stand, the Pacers held their opponents to 91.3 points per game, 41.3% shooting, and allowed them to make just 28.9% of its 3-point shots while going a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager

Air Force @ UNLV 10:30 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 142.0 (10*)

These teams met earlier this season at the Air Force Academy. That game turned into an extremely entertaining high scoring affair that saw Air Force come away with a 106-88 win, and it went over the total of 137.0. The teams combined for 129 field goal attempts while going 23-48 (47.9%) from beyond the 3-point line. This kind of scoring spree was very much out of character for an Air Force game, and thus the slight 5.0-point adjustment made to tonight’s total compared to that of the first matchup between these teams.

UNLV is coming off an 83-65 loss to Fresno State in their previous outing, and that contest went under the total of 149.5. UNLV has gone over the total in 5 straight contests following an under in their previous outing, and there was a combined average of 157.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nebraska @ Purdue 8:30 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Under 139.0 (10*)

Nebraska has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and the Cornhuskers were a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. During that time, Nebraska is averaging a mere 55.0 points scored per game and made a pathetic 30.6% of their field goal attempts. Conversely, Purdue has witnessed their last 3 home games all go under the total while there were a cumulative 132.3 points scored per contest.

Nebraska is a combined is an enormous -65 points ATS over their last 7 games. Purdue has gone over the total by a combined 29 points during its previous 3 games. The combination of this data qualifies for a very successful college basketball total betting angle which is displayed below.

Any road team (Nebraska) with a total of 130.0 to 139.5 that failed to cover their previous 7 games by a combined 48.0 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Purdue) who’s gone over the total by a cumulative 24.0 points or greater during its last 3 games, resulted in those contests going 35-9 (79.5%) under the total since 1997. There was a cumulative 128.6 points scored per game during those 44 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play.

Kansas @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Kansas State -2.5 (10*)

Kansas is 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 true road games. This is a Kansas State team that is finally healthy and returned 5 starters from a team that advanced to an NCAA Tournament Regional Final last March. The Wildcats appear to be peaking in time for another late season run. Bet on Kansas State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Houston @ Utah 9:05 PM ET

Game# 519-520

Play On: Utah -7.0 (10*)

Utah has allowed 112 and 132 points respectively during its last 2 games. The Jazz are 30-23 this season and that includes 9-1 throughout their previous 10 home games. Utah has averaged outscoring their opponents this season by 3.2 points per game.

Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points that’s playing after game 41 of their season, and they allowed 110 points or more in each of their previous 2 contests, and they’re outscoring their opponents by an average of 3 to 7 points per game, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1996. The average point-spread during those 42 contests was 6.2 and the favorites outscored the underdogs by an average of 12.6 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Brown @ Dartmouth 7:00 ET

Game# 855-856

Play On: Over 146.5 (10*)

Dartmouth has gone over the total in each of their previous 3 home games. They’re also averaging a robust 82.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.4% from the field and has made a sizzling hot 41.0% of their 3-point shot attempts during 8 home games. Brown has averaged 82.0 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests and they’ve tallied 71 or greater during 7 of its last 8 outings. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Wofford @ Mercer 7:00 PM ET

Game# 667-668

Play On: Over 143.5 (10*)

Mercer has seen each of its last 7 go over the total and there was a combined average of 157.7 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests, Mercer is scoring 80.0 points per game while shooting a scorching hot 50.0% and converting on 43.0% of their 3-point attempts. They’ve also made 75.8% of their free throw attempts throughout that 5-game stretch.

Wofford is currently a 7.0-point road favorite in this game. Wofford is 9-2 over the total as a favorite this season and there was a combined average of 154.7 points scored per game.

Mercer is averaging 80.0 points scored per contest while Wofford amassed 81.6 points per outing during each team’s previous 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Memphis @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET

Game# 559-560

Play On: Under 209.0 (5*)

There will be no analysis today.

Kansas @ Texas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Texas -1.0 (10*)

These teams met a little over 2 weeks ago in Lawrence, and Kansas walked away with a narrow 80-78 win. Texas is coming off a disappointing 98-88 loss at Georgia in a game they closed as a 4.5-point favorite.

Any college basketball team (Texas) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 3 points or less, and they’re coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those teams going 27-5 SU&ATS (84.4%) since 1997. Bet on Texas for a 10* Top Play wager.

Miami @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Under 208.0 (10*)

Cleveland enters today with a pathetic 9-4 record and they’ve allowed each of their last 5 opponents to shoot 47.4% or better. Cleveland has made just 44.3% of their field goal attempts this season. Miami has held their opponents to 44.9% shooting from the field this season. This sets up a very successful NBA totals betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home team (Cleveland) with a total of 200.0 or more who’s offensive field goal percentage is 43.5 to 45.5% that’s playing after game 41 of their season, and they’ve allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot 47% or better, and they’re facing a team (Miami) that has a defensive field goal percentage of 43.5 to 45.5%, resulted in those contests going 24-5 (82.8%) under the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Portland @ Utah 9:05 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Utah -5.0 (10*)

Portland is an outstanding 20-7 at home this season but an uninspiring 8-12 during away games. The Trailblazers record to date stands at 28-19 (.596).

These teams have met twice already this season, and Utah won both contests by decisive margins of 21 and 30 points. The Jazz are coming off a 115-99 home win over Cleveland in a game they covered as a substantial 15.5-point favorite. Utah has won 6 straight games to improve its season record to 26-21 (.553).

Any NBA home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Utah) that’s coming off an ATS win in their previous game, and both teams have a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those home favorites going 70-21 ATS throughout the last 5 seasons. The average point-spread in those 91 games was 5.2. Bet on Utah minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

Murray State @ SIU-Edwardsville 8:00 PM ET

Game# 807-808

Play On: Over 152.5 (10*)

There will be no analysis today.

Oregon @ Arizona 9:00 PM ET

Game# 643-644

Play On: Over 134.0 (10*)

Arizona has seen each of their previous 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 154.0 points scored per game. Oregon has also witnessed its last 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 153.7 points scored per game. These teams have seen each of their last 6 meetings go over and there were a combined 168.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Georgia Tech @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET

Game# 821-822

Play On: Clemson -8.0 (10*)

Granted, Clemson has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games. However, those losses have come against #1 Duke, #2 Virginia, and Syracuse who just upset Duke as a 17.0-point underdog this past Monday. The Tigers average just 55 field goal attempts per game.

Georgia Tech is coming off an upset win at Syracuse last Saturday which improved their season record to 10-6. The Yellowjackets have held their last 2 opponents to a mere 31% and 29% shooting for the game.

Any favorite (Clemson) that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, versus an opponent (Georgia Tech) playing after game 15 of their season that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, and they held each of their last 2 opponents to 37% shooting or worse, resulted in those favorites going 23-4 ATS during the past 5 seasons.

Golden State @ Denver 9:05 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: Denver +1.5 (10*)

Golden State has gone a money draining 2-9 ATS this season when their point-spread is +4.5 to -4.5. I’m not crazy about days of the week betting trends but this one I can’t ignore. During the past 2 seasons, when Golden State played on Tuesday nights they’ve gone a terrible 2-14 ATS.

Denver has held their own at home against Golden State over the past 3 seasons by going 3-2 in those games which includes a win this past October. The Nuggets are 18-3 at home this season and that includes winning 12 straight at the Pepsi center in Denver. Considering what the current point-spread it gives the home team in this matchup ample betting value. Bet on Denver for a 10* Top Play wager.

LSU @ Mississippi 9:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Mississippi -3.5 (10*)

This will be just the 2nd true road game of the season for LSU. The Tigers lost by 6 at Houston in their only other away contest.

Ole Miss is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS at home this season and has won by a substantial average of 20.1 points per game. As a matter of fact, Ole Miss is a red-hot 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 games overall while winning by 15.2 points per contest. Some will have the concern that the Rebels are coming off an upset win at in state rival Mississippi State in their previous game. However, this is a team that’s proved their preseason critics to be completely wrong thus far and is playing with a massive chip on their shoulders. I’m riding the hot hand. Bet on Mississippi minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET

Game# 869-870

Play On: Pittsburgh +6.0 (10*)

Florida State has struggled offensively during 1-2 start in ACC play by shooting a dismal 39.4% and making only 27.0% of its 3-point attempts. The Seminoles are coming off of Saturday’s 80-78 home loss to Duke. Florida State has gone 0-6 ATS on the road during the past 2 seasons following a home game in which both teams scored 75 points or more.

Pittsburgh enters with a very respectable 11-5 record and that includes a profitable 11-4 ATS (73.3%) mark. The Panthers have been stout defensively throughout its previous 5 games by holding opponents to 40.9% shooting and allowing them to make just 27.4% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Boston @ Miami 7:05 PM ET

Game# 537-538

Play On: Over 211.5 (10*)

Boston played just last night, and they’ve gone over in 4 straight away games this season when playing with no rest. Furthermore, Boston has gone over in each of their previous 5 road games overall. The Celtics have scored 111 points or more in 9 straight games. Miami has seen 4 of their last 5 home games go over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

San Antonio @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: San Antonio -2.5 (10*)

No analysis today.

Auburn @ Mississippi 7:00 PM ET

Game# 785-786

Play On: Mississippi +3.5 (10*)

No analysis today.

Nets @ Celtics 7:35 PM ET

Game# 579-580

Play On: Nets +10.5 (10*)

The Nets are a red-hot 12-3 during their previous 15 games and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS in its last 3. Their most recent outing was a 117-100 win at Chicago. The Nets are a perfect 9-0 ATS during the last 2 seasons following a win by 15 points or more. Brooklyn has held their own during away games this season by going 10-10 straight up and 12-8 ATS. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Colorado @ Arizona State 6:00 ET

Game# 697-698

Play On: Arizona State -6.5 (10*)

Colorado has scored 68 or less and allowed 70 points or less in each of its previous 3 games. The Buffalos are averaging 77.8 points scored per game this season. Conversely, Arizona State is allowing 73.9 points per game. This sets up a terrific college basketball ATS betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home favorite that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game, versus an opponent 9Colorado) that allows 74 to 78 points per games and they’re come off 3 straight outing in which both teams scored 70 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.9%) since 1997. The average line in those 28 contests was 6.4 and the favorite outscored those underdogs by 14.6 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Oklahoma City @ Portland 10:35 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Over 223.5 (10*)

Oklahoma City has allowed 100 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. Portland has won their last 2 games at led at halftime of those games by decisive 14 and 29-point margins. This leads us to an extremely profitable NBA totals betting angle which is displayed below.

Any road team (Oklahoma City) with a total of 220.0 or greater that allowed 100 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent that led at halftime by 10 points or more during each of its last 2 games, resulted in those games going 29-7 (80.5%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 36 contests was 226.6 and there were a combined 236.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play.

Wizards @ Hawks 7:35 ET

Game# 549-550

Play On: Under 238.0 (10*)

Atlanta enters today’s game with a terrible 6-23 season record. Conversely, Washington is 12-18 (.400). The Wizards are coming off a 128-100 home win over the Lakers on Sunday. Washington is 23-9 under the total during the past 2 seasons following a win, and there were an average of 212.1 points scored per game.

Any road team (Washington) with a total of 220.0 or greater that’s coming off 1 or more wins and possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Atlanta) with a losing record, resulted in those games going 29-3 (90.6%) under the total since 1996. The average combined score in those 32 contests was 209.6 points per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Sacramento @ Dallas 7:05 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Dallas -5.5 (10*)

Dallas is coming off a disappointing loss at Phoenix in their previous outing. However, the Mavericks are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss. Furthermore, Dallas is an outstanding 11-0 straight up and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Their only non-cover in that stretch was as a 10.0-point favorite during a 7-point win over Atlanta. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Toronto @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET

Game# 557-558

Play On: Toronto +7.0 (10*)

Toronto is coming off last night’s impressive 123-99 road win over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Raptors are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS this season when playing with no rest. Toronto is also a very good 11-3 this season in away games. That road record also includes 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS when facing Western Conference opponents. Toronto is 22-7 over all this season, and their last 5 losses have all come by 7 points or less. This will be the 4th time that they’ll be facing Golden State since last season, and the other 3 meetings were all decided by 5 points or less. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Spurs @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Lakers -8.5 (10*)

Boston @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Under 215.5 (10*)

Minnesota has gone under the total in 7 straight games. The Timberwolves have allowed 103 points or fewer in each of their previous 8 games played. Minnesota has gone 11-1 under the total this season when facing an opponent with a winning record like they’ll be doing tonight. The Timberwolves are coming off an impressive 128-89 win over San Antonio in their previous game and they led at the half of that contest 57-34. Boston is also coming off a lopsided win having routed Cleveland last night by a score of 128-95.

Any team (Boston) coming off a win by 30 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Minnesota) who led at the half of their previous game by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 50-12 (80.6%) under the total since 1996. The average combined points scored in those 62 contests was 190.6. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Montana @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET

Game# 799-780

Play On: Montana +7.0 (10*)

Creighton is coming off an upset win over nationally ranked Clemson in their previous game and they did so as a 5.0-point underdog. After facing Montana tonight, Creighton will host #1 Gonzaga on Saturday. This is a text book sandwich game in which the home favorite will be potentially flat. Especially considering they shot 54.5% or better during each of their last 3 games, and that type of shooting success is extremely difficult to maintain.

Montana is an experienced team that returned 4 starters from a season ago. The Grizzlies enter tonight with a 4-1 record and have shot 50% or better from the field in each of their previous 4 games.

Any college basketball underdog which has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 4 games, and they’re facing an opponent that’s shot 50% or better in each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1997. Bet on Montana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Illinois-Chicago @ Duquense 8:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 153.0 (10*)

During the past 3 seasons, Illinois-Chicago is 7-0 over the total during away games when the total is 150.0 to 154.5. Those 7 contests have averaged a combined 167.7 points scored per game. Through their first 2 games of the season, Illinois-Chicago has allowed 86.0 points per contest and their opponents has 31 free throw attempts par outing. Those 2 contests were played at a very fast pace as indicated a combined 121 field goal attempts per game.

Duquense is coming off a season opening 84-70 win over William & Mary. They attempted a lofty 61 field goal attempts in that win and made an impressive 52.5% of those attempts while converting on a superb 46.2% of its 3-point shots. According to the current college basketball odds at Bookmaker, Duquense is listed as a 6.0-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Dukes have gone over the total in all 6 of their games as a home favorite of 6.0-points or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager.

San Antonio @ Miami 7:35 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Over 217.0 (10*)

Miami enters tonight with a 4-5 record and they’ve seen each of their previous 5 games go over the total. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 236.2 points scored per game.

San Antonio is coming off a 117-10 home loss to Orlando which dropped their season record to 6-3 (.666). Nevertheless, that game easily went over the total of 207.0.

Any team (San Antonio) with a total of 210.0 or greater that went over the total in their previous game by 18.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (Miami) with a losing record, resulted in those contests going 43-16 (72.9%) over the total since the 2014/2015 season. The average total in those 69 contests was 218.1 and there were a combined 223.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Knicks @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Over 225.5 (5*)

Both teams have shown a tendency to play at a torrid pace thus far with The Knicks averaging 94 field goal attempts per game and Milwaukee at 89 per contest. New York is averaging a tad better than 100 points scored per game during its first 3 outings of the season.

 The Bucks are averaging a robust 155.5 points per game during its first 2 outings while shooting 48.3% and converting 38.7% of its 3-point shots. As a matter of fact. Milwaukee has made an average of 15 three-point shots. Furthermore, 44.9% of Milwaukee’s field goal attempts have come from 3-point territory.

New York is coming off a 103-101 home loss to Boston. Conversely, Milwaukee defeated Indiana 118-101 in their previous game.

Any road team (Knicks) with a total of 210.0 or more that’s coming off a straight up loss by 3 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Bucks) who scored 115 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those games going 44-18 (71%) over the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Golden State @ Cleveland 9:05 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Cleveland +5.0 (10*)

This is a similar situation to what we witnessed in the 2017 NBA Finals. Cleveland blew a late lead in Game 3 of last year’s Finals and it put them in a 3-0 series hole. However, they responded in Game 4 with a win on their home floor to avoid being swept. The only difference is they blew a 12-point first half lead in Game 3 on Wednesday night, and they also were outscored 7-0 to finish the game during an 8-point loss. You can be rest assured the public will be flooding the sportsbooks with bets on Golden State. Nevertheless, the sharp money which includes mine will be placed on the home underdog Cavaliers. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cleveland @ Golden State 9:05 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Cleveland +4.5 (10*)

It’s basically do or die for the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. Granted, they wouldn’t be eliminated with a loss, but they’re fully aware no team in history has ever overcome a 3-0 series deficit in the NBA Finals. After losing their first 2018 home playoff game to Indiana, the Cavaliers have reeled off 8 consecutive wins at Quicken Loans Arena, and that includes a victory margin of 21.0 points per contest in its last 4. Conversely, Golden State is 10-1 at home during these 2018 NBA Playoffs and just an ordinary 4-4 on the road.

Cleveland will enter tonight’s Game 3 with a win percentage of .608 while Golden State is at .713. Dating back to the 2017 NBA Finals, Cleveland has lost 5 straight games against Golden State. Any NBA home team playing with revenge stemming from 4 or more losses that dates back 2 seasons, and each team has a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those home teams going 62-23 (72.9%) straight up since 1996. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cleveland @ Boston 8:35 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Boston -2.0 (10*)

I tried to be cute and fade the home standing Cavaliers in Game 6 and did so knowing the home teams had gone 5-0 SU&ATS in the first 5 games of this series. I pride myself on doing everything possible to not making the same mistake twice. Not only has the home teams gone 6-0 SU&ATS heading into Game 7, but all those contests were won by double-digit margins. Furthermore, Boston is 10-0 SU&ATS at home during these playoffs, and they won those contests by a decisive 11.0 points per game. It’s also worth noting, Boston is 14-1 ATS during their last 15 games this season when there +3.0 to -3.0 and won 13 of those contests straight up. Conversely, Cleveland is a dismal 5-15 SU&ATS in their last 20 road games this season when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Boston for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cleveland @ Boston 8:35 PM ET

Game# 707-708

Play On: Boston +1.0 (10*)

The home teams are 4-0 SU&ATS in this series and I look for that trend to continue. Furthermore, Boston is 9-0 SU&ATS at home during the 2018 NBA Playoffs and that includes a couple of double digits wins to over Cleveland to start these Eastern Conference Finals. Additionally, Boston is 17-3 SU&ATS this season when the point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Conversely, Cleveland is a dismal 7-16 ATS in their previous 23 games this season when there’s a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Boston for a 10* Top Play wager.

Houston @ Golden State 8:05 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Houston +7.5 (10*)

Houston was left for dead after losing the opening game of this series at home. However, the Rockets responded with a convincing 127-105 blowout win in Game 2. Houston has now scored 100 points or more in 11 consecutive games. They made one simple adjustment from Game 1 to Game 2, and that was to speed up their pace offensively. The Rockets regularly didn’t attack until the tail end of the shot clock in Game 1, and that led to way too many one on one isolations with very little offensive options as a result. In Game 2, the Houston guards were penetrating early in the shock clock, and that led to better ball movement as well more quality shot attempts. I look for more of the same at Oracle Arena on Sunday.

Any road team which has scored 100 points or greater in 5 or more consecutive games, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a loss by 20 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 48-20 (70.6%) straight up during the past 5 seasons, and that includes 17-5 this year. Since this betting angle supports the underdog in this game, it creates that much more wagering value. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Boston @ Cleveland 8:35 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Boston +6.5 (10*)

The betting public seems to be banking on Cleveland bouncing back on Saturday after a pair of embarrassing double-digit losses at Boston during the first 2 games of this series. However, this is a Cavaliers team that is a dismal 12-35 ATS (28.6%) as a home favorite and that includes 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when cast into that precise role.

The sportsbooks and bettors continue to show little respect for Boston. The Celtics are an excellent 23-8 ATS this season as an underdog and won 17 of those 31 games straight up. The first 2 games of this Eastern Conference Finals went under the total. That’s significant since Boston is a remarkable 18-1 straight up this season following 2 or more consecutive games going under the total. Saturday will be only the 4th game in the last 14 days for Cleveland. They’ve gone an uninspiring 12-18 straight up this season when playing in their 6 games or less over a 14-game period.

Boston is coming off home wins in each of their previous 3 games. Saturday will be just the 5th game in 14 days for the Celtics. The combination of this data sets up a super NBA betting angle which is displayed below.

Any team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row and all those victories occurred at home, versus an opponent coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those teams going 54-12 (81.8%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Considering this straight up betting angle supports tonight’s underdog it takes on added wagering value. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cleveland @ Boston 3:35 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Boston +2.0 (10*)

Cleveland is an uninspiring 5-12 SU&ATS in their last 17 away games this season when the point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Boston has gone 7-0 SU&ATS at home during these 2018 NBA Playoffs and won by an average of 9.2 points per game. During those 7 postseason home outings, Boston has shot 47.0% and that includes converting on a red-hot 39.8% of its 3-point attempts. At the time of this writing (5/12), Boston is a 1.5-point home underdog. The Celtics have gone a perfect 8-0 ATS this season as a home underdog, and they also won 7 of those contests straight up.

Boston closed out their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against Philadelphia with a 114-112 home win. The Celtics will enter the Eastern Conference Finals with a season long win percentage of .670 while Cleveland is at .624. This sets up a very profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home team (Boston) that’s coming off a home win by 3 points or less in their previous game played, and they and their opponent have a season win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those home teams going 53-20 (72.6%) straight up since 1996. The straight up results within this betting angle take on added significance considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Boston for a 10* Top Play wager.

Golden State @ New Orleans 3:35 ET

Game# 705-706

Play On: New Orleans +5.5 (10*)

Golden State has attempted 90 field goals or more in each of the last 3 games of this series. The Warriors are a dismal 2-6 straight up this season following 2 straight games that they had 90 or more field goal attempts. Golden State is also a money draining 8-20 ATS after game 41 of this season versus teams with a winning record.

I cashed with New Orleans in their blowout win on Friday and I’m coming right back with them on Sunday. I’m doing so for many of the same reasons discussed on Friday. New Orleans is 10-2 SU&ATS during their previous 12 games. Included in that stretch is a 5-0 SU&ATS home record during which they won by a massive 19.2 points per game. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Golden State @ New Orleans 8:05 PM ET

Game# 513-514

Play On: New Orleans +5.0 (10*)

Golden State has attempted a mammoth 105 and 96 field goal attempts during the first 2 games of this Western Conference Semifinal series. However, the Warriors are 2-5 straight up this season after attempting 90 field goal attempts or more during each of their previous 2 games. Conversely, Golden State scored a lofty 121 and 123 points in the first 2 games of the series.

New Orleans is coming off a 121-116 road loss in Game 2 of this series on Wednesday night. The good news for the Pelicans is that they’ve gone 10-2 straight up this season after allowing 120 points or more in their previous game. Despite dropping the first 2 games of this series, New Orleans is still a very profitable 10-1 ATS during its previous 11 contests. Included in that money-making streak is the Pelicans going 4-0 SU&ATS at home and they outscored those opponents by a massive 19.3 points per game.

Any home team (New Orleans) which has allowed 120 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played and is facing an opponent (Golden State) that’s scored 110 points or more during each of its last 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 57-34 (62.6%) straight up over the past 5 seasons. Couple that with tonight’s home team being an underdog and we have a strong betting situation. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Philadelphia @ Boston 8:35 PM ET

Game# 509-510

Play On: Over 205.5 (10*)

Boston is currently and 4.5-point underdog in Game 2 of this series. The Celtics are coming off a convincing series opening 117-101 win over Philadelphia and did so as a 4.0-point home underdog. Boston has gone over the total in all 7 of their contests this season following a home underdog straight up win. Boston has also gone over the total in 8 of its previous 9 at home and scored 106 points or more on 8 of those occasions. Meanwhile, they’ll be facing a 76ers team which has scored 101 points or more during each of their last 22 games. Philadelphia is 17-6 (74%) over the total this season as a road favorite and there was a combined 221.1 points scored per game.

New Orleans @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Over 227.5 (10*)

New Orleans enters today with a season defensive field goal percentage of 45.5 and Golden State is at 44.5. Both teams have an identical -1 rebounds per game differential. This sets up a NBA super angle pertaining to tonight’s total on this contest which is illustrated below.

Any NBA game with a total of 220.0 or more involving teams playing after game 41 of their seasons that have a defensive field goal percentage of 43.5 to 45.5, and each team has a rebound per game differential of +3 to -3, resulted in those games going 56-14 (80%) over the total since 1996. Those 70 games went over the total by an average of 8.5 points per contest.  Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Oklahoma City @ Utah 10:35 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Over 206.5 (10*)

Utah has seen 5 of its last 6 home games go over the total, and that includes the 2 contests played in Salt Lake in this playoff series. During those 6 contests Utah averaged 114.7 points scored per game, shot a red-hot 50.9% of their field goal attempts, and converted on a more than respectable 38.1% of its 3-point shots. The last 2 games of this series have been very physical, and as a result there were an extremely high 56.5 free throw attempts per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ Oklahoma City 9:35 PM ET

Game# 715-716

Play On: Utah +4.0 (10*)

After winning the opening game of this series, Oklahoma City has lost 3 straight and now finds themselves on the brink of elimination. Their defeats in Games 3-4 in Utah both came by double-digit margins, and the last of which came by a score of 113-96. The Thunder are a dismal 5-20 ATS this season when playing with same season revenge.

Utah has gone an outstanding 32-7 in their last 39 game, and that includes 16-3 during its previous 19 on the road. The Jazz are 11-1 this season following 2 straight wins that came by 10 points or more, and they outscored those opponents by a decisive 15.1 points per contest. Utah is also 24-4 this season following 2 or more wins in a row.

Any team (Utah) that’s facing an opponent (OKC) which is playing with same season tripe revenge, and they allowed 105 points or more in their previous game played, resulted in those teams going 35-10 (77.8%) straight up since 1996. This NBA straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs tonight’s underdog. Bet on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Milwaukee @ Boston 7:05 PM ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Over 202.5 (10*)

There’s times it’s best not to overthink or overanalyze a betting situation. This qualifies as one of those occurrences. Milwaukee has gone 19-2 (90.5%) over the total during its last 21 games played. That includes going over the number in all 4 games of this NBA Eastern Conference Playoff series. Those 21 contests have produced a combined 224.4 points scored per game. Furthermore, Milwaukee has gone over the total in their previous 6 games played against Boston this season. The average total in those 6 contests was 204.0 and there were a combined 212.2 points scored per game. During the first 4 games of this series, Milwaukee is shooting a sizzling hot 54.2% while connecting on an excellent 43.6% of its 3-point attempts.

Boston has seen each of their previous 8 games go over the total. The average total in those 8 contests was 204.0 and there were 214.3 points scored per game. During that stretch, Boston has been lackluster defensively while allowing opponents to shoot 50.2% in addition to making 41.9% of its 3-point tries. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Houston @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET

Game# 509-510

Play On: Minnesota +6.0 (10*)

Minnesota us 6-1 ATS this season as a home underdog, and that includes their Game 3 double-digit straight up win as a 6.5-point underdog. The Timberwolves are a stellar 31-11 (.738) this season at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves need tonight’s game badly and can ill afford to go back to Houston down 3-1 in this series. On a very encouraging note, Minnesota is 27-5 (.844) straight up this season after losing 2 of their previous 3 games.

Meanwhile, dating back to the end of regular season action, Houston is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and lost straight up on 3 of those occasions. The usually explosive Rockets averaged just 98.2 points scored per game during those 5 contests while shooting a poor 41.5% from the field. Houston is also a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall while losing 3 of those contests straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Houston @ Minnesota 7:35 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Minnesota +6.5 (10*)

Minnesota has gone a very good 28-13 (.683) at home this season. Additionally, they’re about to play their first home playoff games in 14 years and it’s sure to be an electric atmosphere. The Timberwolves will also be playing with desperation and urgency being down 2-0 in this series. No NBA team has ever rebounded from a 3-0 series deficit to win.

Counting the playoffs, Minnesota is 47-37 this season while Houston is a superb is 67-17 (.798). The records of these two teams sets up a NBA money line betting angle which sides with the underdog in this contest, and is illustrated below.

Any home team with a winning record and is playing in April versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better has gone 52-28 (65%) straight up since 1996. Since the home team in this contest is an underdog the previously mentioned NBA straight up angle takes on added betting value. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Philadelphia @ Miami 7:05 PM

Game# 523-524

Play On: Miami +2.0 (10*)

Miami is coming off Monday’s 113-103 win at Philadelphia which evened the series at 1-game apiece. The Heat captured that victory as a 6.5-point underdog. Philadelphia is a dismal 6-27 straight up during the past 2 seasons following a home loss, and an even worse 2-10 if that defeat came by 10 points or more. Miami is also a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games this season at home when the line is between +3.0 and -3.0.

Any NBA home team (Miami) that’s coming off a road win as an underdog of 6.0-points or more in their previous game and is facing an opponent (Philadelphia) playing with same season revenge stemming from loss in which they allowed 110 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 27-7 (79.4%) since 1996. The straight up results take on added significance in lieu of this point-spread. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ Oklahoma City 8:05 PM ET

Game# 519-520

Play On: Utah +5.0 (10*)

Utah has lost road games at Portland and Oklahoma City in their previous 2 outings. The Jazz are 6-1 straight up this season following 2 or more road losses in a row. Furthermore, Utah hasn’t lost 3 straight games since 1/7/2018 which is approximately a 14-week span. Despite allowing 102 and 116 points during their past 2 outings, Utah has still allowed less than 100 points during 16 of their previous 21 games. The Jazz have also scored 107 points or more during 7 of its last 8 games. Conversely, Oklahoma City has allowed 107.4 points per game and allowed its opponent to shoot a rather high 47.6% during their previous 5 games. Bet on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Washington @ Toronto 7:05 PM ET

Game# 705-706

Play On: Over 214.5 (10*)

The opening game of this series was played on Saturday so each of these teams will be playing on 2 days of rest. Toronto has gone 10-1 over the total at home this season when playing on exactly 2 days of rest and those contests averaged a combined 221.0 points scored per game.

Washington has gone over the total in their last 4 as an underdog. The average total in those 4 contests was 213.0 and there were a combined 225.0 points scored per game. During those outings Washington shot 51.0% from the field and converted on an excellent 42.9% of its 3-point attempts. Unfortunately, they allowed those 4 opponents to shoot 50.8% and they made 43.0% of their 3-point shots.

Any NBA team (Washington) with a total of 210.0 to 219.5 that playing in April, and they’re coming off 2 or more road losses in a row, resulted in those contests going 53-28 (65.4%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 81 contests was 214.1 and there were a combined 214.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ Houston 8:35 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Under 217.0 (10*)

Minnesota went under the total in each of their last 3 regular season road contests. The average total in those 3 games was 219.8 and there were only 196.7 points scored per contest. At the time of this writing, Houston is an 11.0-point favorite. The Rockets have gone under in 11 of its last 12 games this season as a double-digit home favorite. The average total during those 12 contests was 215.9 and there was just 202.5 points scored per game. Houston has also gone under the total in 9 straight home games against Western Conference opponents and they allowed an average of 97.2 points per contest. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

New Orleans @ Portland 10:35 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: New Orleans +5.5 (10*)

Portland was exceptionally good at home during the final stretch of regular season action. However, the Trailblazers were an uninspiring 4-7 straight up in their final 11 regular season games. New Orleans went 20-8 during their final 28 regular season contests, and that includes an extremely profitable 10-3 SU&ATS on the road. Bet on New Orleans for a 10* Top Play wager.

Indiana @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Indiana +7.5 (10*)

Toronto is coming off a 98-76 home win over an injury ravaged Boston team in their previous game. It marked the first time in 10 games that the Raptors covered the spread. Toronto is also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games following a win. They lost those 4 contests by an average of 8.0 points per game.

Indiana is 6-1 SU&ATS over their last 7 games. The Pacers are also a very profitable 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog, and they won 6 of those contests straight up. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Loyola-Chicago vs. Michigan 6:09 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Loyola-Chicago +5.5 (10*)

The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are the true definition of a Cinderella darling. However, when looking inside the numbers, there’s nothing fluky about how they arrived at the Final Four. The Ramblers are 32-5 and that includes 21-1 in their last 22 in addition to a current 14-game win streak. Even more impressive is their 4-0 SU&ATS record this season against power conference teams (Florida, Miami, Tennessee, Kansas State) with all those victories coming as an underdog. Furthermore, they’ve gone 24-9 ATS (72.7%) in lined games this season. Loyola has shot a red-hot 52.5% in their 4 NCAA Tournament games. During those 4 NCAA Tournament wins, Loyola has allowed 28 points or less in the first half in each of those contests. The Ramblers are 11-0 ATS (+12.1 PPG) following 2 straight games in which they allowed 30 points or less in the first half. Bet on Loyola plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cleveland @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Charlotte +1.5 (10*)

Cleveland sis a dismal 3-10 SU&ATS in away games when the line is +3.0 to -3.0, and that includes 0-3 SU&ATS (-15.7 PPG) during the previous 3. The Cavaliers came out flat last night in a 98-79 loss at Miami and trailed that game at halftime by a score of 54-34. This will be the Cavaliers 3rd road game in 4 days.

Charlotte is coming off Monday’s 137-128 home win over New York. They’ve now won 4 straight games. Despite an underachieving season which will see them miss the playoffs, Charlotte is a somewhat respectable 21-17 at home.

Any team (Charlotte) coming off a game in which there was a combined 245 or more points being scored and is facing an opponent (Cleveland) that trailed by 20 points or more at the half of its previous contest, resulted in those teams going 24-5 (82.8%) straight up since 1996. This straight up betting angle is also a perfect 4-0 this season. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cleveland @ Miami 8:05 PM ET

Game# 769-770

Play On: Miami +3.0 (10*)

Miami is 9-1 SU&ATS in their last 10 home games, and that includes a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS (+16.0 PPG) during its previous 6 at American Airlines Arena. The Heat are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games against Cleveland. During its previous 5 at home, Miami has scored 126.0 points per game and shot a sizzling hot 53.5% which includes 44.4% from 3-point territory. Cleveland is a dismal 15-40 ATS (27.3%) as a favorite this season. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Villanova 2:20 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Villanova -6.5 (10*)

Texas Tech has vastly overachieved this season and they should be commended for it. Even the most ardent of Red Raiders fans certainly couldn’t have envisioned Elite 8 appearance before the season began. Nevertheless, their magic carpet ride ends on Sunday against #1 seed Villanova and it will be by a decisive margin.

Villanova has been one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the nation this season. Nonetheless, they’ve been incredible during this NCAA Tournament in going 44-92 (47.8%) from 3-point territory. Couple that fact with Texas Tech allowing their last 5 opponents to make a combined 38.0% of their 3-point shots, and you have a recipe for a blowout. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State vs. Michigan 8:49 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Michigan -4.0 (10*)

Florida State has been impressive in their 3 NCAA Tournament games and they’ve gone 3-0 ATS in those contests. However, the Seminoles entered the Big Dance by going 3-5 straight up and 0-8 ATS during its previous 8 games. After a fast 9-0 start to the season, Florida State is an uninspiring 14-11 since. Florida State has also allowed their 3 NCAA Tourney opponents to average 25 free throw attempts per game. That’s an extremely high number considering they weren’t trying to extend any of those game by fouling. Sooner or later, sending their opponents to the free throw line with that type of frequency will catch up with them

Michigan is absolutely rolling right now. The Wolverines have won 12 straight games and covered on 10 of those occasions. They’re coming off a 99-72 dismantling of Texas A&M in the Regional Semifinal, and they shot a sizzling hot 61.9% in that win, including going 14-24 (58%) from 3-point territory. Considering Florida State has allowed its last 5 opponents to convert on an alarmingly high 39.6% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ Philadelphia 6:05 PM ET

Game# 501-502

Play On: Philadelphia -7.5 (10*)

Minnesota is a poor 4-14 SU&ATS in their last 18 road games and that includes an even worse 2-8 ATS if they were an underdog.  The Timberwolves are also 0-4 SU&ATS (-15.0 PPG) in their last 4 games this season as a road underdog of 6.5 or more, and they lost by an average of 13.0 points per game.

Philadelphia enters today on a current 5-game win streak, and that includes covering each of their previous 3 outings. The 76ers 14-1 straight up and 12-3 ATS during its last 15 home games, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+13.0 PPG) against Western Conference teams. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

West Virginia vs. Villanova 7:27 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Over 152.5 (10*)

West Virginia has seen 7 of their previous 8 games go over the total. During their last 5 games the Mountaineers have converted on a stellar 41.6% of its 3-point attempt and 77% of their free throws. West Virginia’s full court pressure has been very successful in get unwilling opponents to play faster than they had planned. They’ll have a willing dance partner in Villanova who’s averaging 85.0 points scored per game over their past 5 contests.

Villanova went under the total in their 2nd round 25-point blowout of Alabama. Despite that result, the Wildcats are 13-4 over the total in their previous 17 games. Furthermore, Villanova has gone over the total in 4 straight games following an under in their previous contest. Those 4 games averaged a combined 162.5 points scored per contest. Villanova has compiled extremely impressive shooting number over their last 5 games. During that time span, the Wildcats shot 49.0% from the field, made 44.2% of its 3-point attempts, and went an outstanding 82.1% from the free throw line.

I’m looking at this game being a wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Illinois-Chicago @ Austin Peay 8:00

Game# 769-70

Play On: Illinois-Chicago +4.5 (10*)

You may be surprised to know that Illinois-Chicago has gone 7-0 SU&ATS during their last 7 true road game, and they won by an average of 9.4 points per contest. Austin Peay is an uninspiring 2-2 SU&ATS during its last 4 home games. Austin Peay’s defensive play has been shoddy over their previous 5 contests. During that precise time frame, APU allowed opponents to shoot 50% from the field. Conversely, Illinois-Chicago has averaged 81.2 points scored per game, shot 47.0% from the field, and converted on an excellent 42.1% of their 3-points attempts throughout its last 5 games. Bet on Illinois-Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Penn State @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 665-666

Play On: Under 150.5 (10*)

Penn State has shot the ball horribly over its last 5 games. Despite shooting a stellar 39.1% from beyond 3-point range during that stretch, the Nittany Lions converted on anemic 35.3% of its 2-point field goal attempts. They went under the total in 4 of those 5 games. Marquette isn’t exactly a good defensive team. As a matter of fact, their opponents have shot an alarmingly high 47.6% against them this season. However, Penn State has gone under the total in all 6 of their games this season when facing opponents with a defensive field goal percentage of 45% or greater. Those 6 contests average a combined 132.6 points scored per game. Penn State is also 9-2 under (141.2 PPG) the total this season in non-conference games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Denver @ Miami 7:35 PM ET

Game# 607-608

Play On: Miami -2.0 (10*)

Denver is an outstanding 27-10 at home this season but they’re a dismal 11-22 on the road. As a matter of fact, the Nuggets are 0-3 SU&ATS in its last 3 road games while losing by an average of 9.0 points per contest. All 3 of those losses came against teams with a losing record.

Miami is a stellar 7-1 during their previous 8 home games. These teams met once this season, and Denver walked off with a 95-94 win. Miami is 18-7 straight up during the last 2 seasons when playing at home with same season revenge. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager.

Marshall vs. West Virginia 9:40 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Over 159.5 (10*)

There’s good reason why this total is so high. Using an old boxing adage is appropriate in describing this matchup, “styles make fights”. Both team’s play up-tempo style of basketball. Marshall has averaged 62 field goal attempts and 84.2 points scored per game this season. The Thundering Herd are also one of the worst teams in Division 1 regarding scoring defense. They’re allowing a lofty 78.7 points per game while speeding its opponents up to the tune of 67 field goal attempts per game.

West Virginia has seen 6 of its 7 previous games go over the total. The Mountaineers are averaging 79.8 points scored and 64 field goal attempts per game this season. West Virginia hasn’t been very good on the defensive end late. Over their last 5 games, West Virginia opponents combined to shoot 48.4% from the field and they’ve converted on an alarmingly high 43.3% of their 3-point shots.

As Ralph Kramden would say to Alice on the old Honeymooners sitcom, “to the moon!” Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Alabama vs Villanova 12:10 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Villanova -11.0 (10*)

Alabama has won 3 of their last 4 games, but that was preceded by a 5-game losing streak. The Crimson Tide have been awful defensively in their previous 2 outings, allowing 84.5 points per game and permitted its 2 opponents to shoot a blistering hot 60% from the floor. That’s troublesome when considering Villanova has shot a combined 52.7 % from the field and made an outstanding 45.7% of their 3-points attempts over their previous 5 games.

Villanova is currently averaging 87.1 points per game. The Wildcats are coming off an 87-61 win over Radford in a game they led 44-23 at halftime. Alabama is an uninspiring 20-15, and especially considering they received an at-large invite and didn’t get an automatic bid as a conference tournament champion. The Crimson Tide is averaging 72.7 points scored per game this season. The combination of this data sets up a very profitable betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any neutral court favorite that averages 76 or more points scored per game, and they led at the half by 20 points or more in their previous outing, versus an opponent (Alabama) that averages 67 to 74 points scored per contest and is playing after game 14 of the season, resulted in those favorites going 35-12 ATS (74.5%) since 1997. The average line in those 47 games was 11.1, and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 15.9 points per contest. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas vs. Nevada 4:30 PM ET

Game# 879-880

Play On: Nevada (10*)

I haven’t been impressed by Texas at all this season. I thought at the very best they should’ve been playing on of the “First Four” games. Nevada has been a Top 25 team for a majority of this season. They were upset in the semifinals of their conference tournament by a red-hot San Diego State team. Nevada is the better team in this matchup and they will prevail. Bet on Nevada for a 10* Top Play wager.

Buffalo vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET

Game# 739-740

Play On: Buffalo +8.5 (10*)

Arizona spent the majority of the first half of this season underachieving. However, they rebounded in the second half of the campaign and it culminate by winning the PAC-12 Tournament championship. Nevertheless, it wasn’t a banner year for the PAC-12 with only 3 of their teams receiving a NCAA Tournament invite, and Arizona State was already eliminated in last night’s loss to Syracuse.

Buffalo is fully capable of giving Arizona all they can handle and then some. The Bulls went 18-3 this season in MAC play, and all 3 of their defeats came by 3 points or less. They also lost to Cincinnati by just 6 and led Syracuse with less than 5 minutes to play at the Carrier Dome before falling short. The Bulls are an explosive offensive team and they possess quality depth. Unlike other mid-majors this Buffalo team will be difficult to wear down, and their ability to knock down 3-point shots will keep them in the game throughout.

This will also be Buffalo’s 3rd trip to the NCAA Tournament in 4 years, so they won’t be in awe of the situation. They lost by 6 to West Virginia in 2015 and by 7 to Miami in 2016. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see a huge upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

SE Louisiana vs. SF Austin 9:00 PM ET

Game# 555-556

Play On: SE Louisiana +6.5 (10*)

The underdog SE Louisiana enters today riding a sizzling hot 9-game winning streak. During its past 5 games, SE Louisiana has made 52.9% of its field goal attempts and shot an impressive 41.0% from 3-point territory. During that stretch, they held their opponents to just 39.6% shooting. There’s a wealth of value on the underdog in this contest. Bet on SE Louisiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo 9:00 PM ET

Game# 863-864

Play On: Eastern Michigan +2.0 (10*)

Eastern Michigan enters this MAC Tourney Semifinal on a 7-game win streak, and they’ve covered 6 straight times. They won both of their regular season meetings against Toledo and shot a red-hot 53.9% in those contests. Eastern Michigan has shot 51.9% over their previous 5 games. They will be facing a Toledo team who’s calling card isn’t on the defensive side of the floor. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah vs. Oregon 11:30 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Utah +2.5 (10*)

Oregon enters the PAC-12 Tournament on a modest 2-game win streak. However, the Ducks are 0-3 straight up in their last 3 games following 2 wins in a row. Utah has plenty of momentum going into postseason action after winning 6 of its last 7 regular season games. Bet on Utah plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

South Dakota vs. South Dakota State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 537-538

Play On: Over 145.5 (10*)

Both these teams love to play at a fast tempt. South Dakota is averaging a lofty 60 field goal attempts per game while South Dakota State hoists up 61 per contest. These teams saw both their regular season matchups stay under the total. However, the totals in those games were 156.5 and 161.0 which is substantially higher than tonight’s number. Furthermore, there was a combined 148 and 145 points scored in those contests which is right in line with tonight’s total.

South Dakota is coming off yesterday’s 76-58 win over Denver. South Dakota has gone over the total in all 7 games this season following a contest in which they allowed 60 points or less. There was a combined average of 153.5 points scored in those contests. South Dakota State is 9-2 over the total this season in games played on a neutral floor or on the road when facing teams with a winning record. Those 11 contests averaged an enormous 172.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

NC-Wilmington vs. Hofstra 8:30 PM ET

Game# 833-834

Play On: Hofstra -5.0 (10*)

This Colonial Conference Tournament game will be played at a neutral site in Charleston, South Carolina. The last time these teams met was on 2/10 when Wilmington walked away with a 90-70 win. Hofstra has gone 4-0 SU&ATS and that’s improved their season record to 19-11 (.633). Despite a win in their previous game, Wilmington enters today with a poor 10-20 record this season.

Any neutral court team that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a road loss, possessing a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a losing record, resulting in those teams going 25-3 ATS (89.3%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line for those teams in those 28 games was -6.4 and they won by 12.2 points per contest. Bet on Hofstra minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.