Mercer @ Georgia State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Mercer +4.5 (10*)

These teams met once already this season and Mercer came away with a convincing 86-69 win as a 3.0-point home underdog. Mercer outrebounded Georgia State 51-31 while also hauling in 15 offensive rebounds. They also held the visiting Panthers to a dismal 36.8% shooting and forced an alarmingly high 19 turnovers. Mercer also owns an impressive 10 points road win over Georgia Tech in a game they were a substantial 12.0-point underdog. There’s nothing apparent to me to suggest that Georgia State will be able to turn the tables on Mercer this time around.  Bet on 6-0 Mercer plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ BYU 6:00 PM ET

Game# 704-705

Play On: Utah +2.0 (10*)

BYU opened the season with 3 straight wins, and all were against less than stellar competition. Since that time, they went 2-2 while stepping up in class considerably. They were blown out on a neutral court by USC by 26 points. They also lost at home in their previous game played versus Boise State.

Utah is an experienced team that is off to a 2-0 start. They have looked solid in those wins over Washington by 13 and Idaho State by 16. They held those 2 opponents to just 35.9% from the floor and a mere 21.2% from 3-point range. Additionally, those opponents averaged just 11 free throw attempts per game. The Utes also converted on 40% of their 3-point shots in those contests. Play on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Wisconsin @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: Marquette +5.0 (10*)

This series has been about as even as you can get in recent years with each team winning 8 times since 2004. Marquette will be smarting after an 8-point home loss to Oklahoma State in their previous outing. Marquette has gone 45-3 straight up in their last 48 non-conference home games following a loss. Wisconsin is 3-0 but all those contests were played on their home floor and came against weak competition. There has been one common opponent for these teams and that was Eastern Illinois. Wisconsin defeated them by 10 in their season opener while Marquette won by a decisive 25-point margin.

Idaho State vs. UC-Davis 4:00 PM T

Game# 713-714

Play On: Under 144.0 (10*)

My personal numbers that I use on this contest indicates the total should be 136.0 That’s a sizable 8.0-points below the current total which from my experiences in using these calculations is significant.

Idaho State has gone under in their first 2 games and there was only a combined average of 116.0 points scored per game. They were key contributors to those low scoring affairs due to playing at snail’s pace offensively which has seen them average just 44 field goal attempts per contest. Even more compelling is they shot a horrible 34.8% while doing so and made a subpar 64.1% of their free throws.

Any neutral court team (UC-Davis) with a total of (140.0 to 149.5) that had a win percentage of .400 to .490 in the previous season, versus a team that had a losing record during the season before, resulted in those games going 71-28 (71.7%) under since 1997. The average total in those 99 contests was 144.6 and there were a combined 137.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Eastern Illinois @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Under 150.5 (10*)

Although the tempo is in this game will not be anywhere near a snail’s pace, it also won’t be far from blazingly fast. When crunching my numbers, I came up with a total of 142.0 on this game which is well below the current number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager

UCLA @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On: San Diego State +3.0 (10*)

My preseason power ratings indicate that San Diego State should be a 4.5-point favorite in this game instead of a 3.0-point underdog. That is a huge 7.5-point overlay that favors the home underdog Aztecs. UCLA is an experienced team that returns all 5 starters and is #22 in the college basketball preseason poll. However, it is extremely difficult for opponents to win at Viejas Arena in San Diego. How difficult is it? Since the start of the 2008-2009 season, San Diego State has gone 174-24 (.879) straight up at home. That lends itself well to home underdog betting value in this spot. Bet on San Diego State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Lakers @ Nuggets 8:20 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Under 215.0 (10*)

The Lakers went over the total in their previous game. They have gone 4-0 to the under in their last 4 this postseason following a game which went over. The Lakers allowed Denver to shoot a sizzling hot 54% during their Game 3 loss. Los Angeles is 4-0 to the under this season when the total is 222.0 or less and their previous opponent shot 50% or better. Those 4 contests had an average total of 216.1 and there were a combined 189.0 points scored per game. Conversely, Denver is 9-0 to the under this season when the total is 219.5 or less and they shot 52% or better in their previous game. There was an average total of 212.9 in those 9 contests and a combined 199.2 points were scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play total.

Lakers vs. Nuggets 9:00 PM ET

Game# 707-708

Play On: Lakers -6.5 (10*)

The Nuggets are coming off a deflating buzzer beating loss in Game 2. They have also expended a lot of energy in their last 2 series coming back from 3-1 deficits on each occasion. By the way, that’s never been done in NBA Playoff history. I doubt they have much gas left in the tank going forward. Conversely, the Lakers needed only 10 games in their last 2 series to advance to this point. Lastly, Lebron James knows the value of having additional rest at this time of the season `since he possesses plenty of experience in advancing to the NBA Finals. Getting this series over sooner rather than later coincides with that thought process.

The Lakers are coming off a narrow 102-100 win in Game 2 of this series while failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. Including regular season action, the Lakers are 62-21 (.747) and Denver 54-35 (.607). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is displayed below.

Any NBA favorite coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those favorites going 70-21 ATS (76.9%) since 1996. The average line in those 91 games was -5.1 and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 11.1 points per contest. Bet on the Lakers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Celtics vs. Heat 7:00 PM ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Under 209. (10*)

These teams went over the total in the opening game of this series on Tuesday night. Miami has gone under 5 consecutive times following an under in their previous contest and those games went under by an average of 1. Points per game.

Boston has gone 9-3 to the under during these 2020 NBA Playoffs and 2 of the 3 overs were due to a pair of games going overtime. As a matter of fact, both games that required extra time were tied by an identical score of 98-98 at the end of 4 quarters, and that includes Game 1 of this series. Furthermore, Boston has allowed 101 points or fewer in regulation time during 10 of their 12 postseason contests.

Despite the double overtime thriller on Tuesday won by Miami, both teams combined for an extremely low 173 field goal attempts. These teams witnessed all 3 of their regular season matchups go under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nuggets vs. Clippers 9:00 PM ET

Game# 729-730

Play On: Under 208.5 (10*)

Since 2004, all NBA Playoff Game 7’s have gone 34-19 (64.2%) under the total. Furthermore, since the 201 NBA Conference Final Round, all 8 Game 7’s went under the total. Those contests had an average total of 208.0 and there was only a combined 182.0 points scored per game. There already has been 3 Game 7’s during these 2020 NBA Playoffs and there was a combined average of 181.0 points scored per game. The first 6 games of this series have gone 4-0-2 to the under. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Celtics vs. Raptors 7:30 PM ET

Game# 741-742

Play On: Over 214.0 (10*)

The first 3 games of this series all have gone under the total. The closing totals in those contests was 217.5, 218, and 216.5 while those contests went under by an average of 12.7 points per game. It comes as no surprise that oddsmakers made an adjustment and opened this total at 212.0. Sharp players have since bumped it up to 214.0. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Raptors vs. Celtics 6:30 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Celtics +2.5 (10*)

Toronto is 11-3 since entering the bubble in Orlando and all 3 defeats came at the hands of Boston. As a matter of fact, Boston has gone an impressive 5-1 this season versus the defending NBA champions and held them to 104 points or fewer 4 times. Boston is 6-0 this postseason and covered 5 of those 6 contests while holding opponents to 99.2 points scored per game, 39.1% shooting, and an abysmal 26.4% on 3-point shots.  Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

LA Clippers vs. Dallas 9:00 PM ET

Game# 727-728

Play On: LA Clippers -5.0 (10*)

This betting situation is very favorable for the Clippers based on this season’s results. The Clippers are coming off a straight up favorite loss of 127-114 to Dallas on Wednesday. Los Angeles is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 7.0 or less this season following a straight up favorite loss in their previous game. They won those 6 contests by a whopping average of 19.5 points per game. The Clippers are also 5-0 SU&ATS during their last 5 following a loss in their previous game. Their average victory margin in those 5 contests was 20.4 points per game. Conversely, Dallas is 0-4-1 ATS as an underdog of 5.5 or less following a straight up underdog win in their previous game. Bet on the LA Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Dallas vs. LA Clippers 9:00 PM ET

Game# 707-708

Play On: Dallas +5.5 (10*)

Dallas probably should have won the series opener or at the very least covered. However, they lost 118-110 and barely failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog after leading by as many as 14 points. The unequivocal turning point in the game occurred when their star center Kristaps Porzingis was controversially ejected at the 4-minute mark of the 4th quarter after being whistled for a 2nd technical foul. Dallas has now lost 3 straight contests. Nonetheless, the Mavericks are 7-1 straight up this season following 2 straight losses with their lone defeat coming in Game 1. Dallas has also gone 6-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 6.5 points or fewer following a loss in their previous game, and they won 5 of those 7 contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Toronto vs. Boston 9:00 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Toronto -1.0 (10*)

Boston is coming off a 149-115 rout of an injury and COVID-19 depleted Brooklyn team. However, the Celtics have gone 0-4 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games following a win. On the other hand, Toronto has won 7 straight games and has gone 24-4 in its last 28 contests. The Raptors have also held 3 of their last 4 opponents to less than 100 points. Toronto also held Boston to less than 40% shooting in 2 of their 3 meetings this season. Bet on Toronto for a 5* money line wager.

Orlando vs. Toronto 8:00 PM ET

Game# 771-772

Play On: Over 222.5 (10*)

These teams have met 3 times this season and each time it went under the total. The average total in those 3 contests was 208.3 and there was a combined 194.0 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, Toronto held Orlando to just 91.7 points scored per contest. The total for tonight’s game opened at 224.0 and dropped to 222.5. With today’s total elevated by 14 points more than the teams saw as an average during their previous 3 meetings, this appears to be a lock under. Nevertheless, if it looks too good to be true in sports betting most times it is. With that said. we must keep in mind that Orlando has gone over the total in an incredible 15 straight games. Those contests had an average total of 222.8 and there were a combined 239.3 points scored per game. Throughout that 15-game span, Orlando shot 49.0% while their opponents were even a tad better at 49.4. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager.

Miami vs. Boston 6:30 PM ET

Game# 759-760

Play On: Under 220.0 (10*)

These teams have met twice this season and both games went under the total. Those 2 contests produced a combined total of 205 and 210 points scored. Those contests averaged just a combined 165 field goal attempts per game which is a slow pace by modern NBA standards. Miami shot a dismal 40.5% in those 2 contests and converted on a terrible 30.6% of their 3-point attempts. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Sacramento @ Orlando 6:00 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Over 227. (10*)

Both teams have shot the ball well in their recent games and each has paid little mind to playing defense. Sacramento has gone over in 5 straight contests and there were a combined 241.2 points scored per game.  Orlando has gone over the total in 13 consecutive contests and there’s been a combined average of 239.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Syracuse vs. North Carolina 9:30 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Syracuse +3.0 (10*)

This will be like a home game for Tar Heels while playing in Greensboro, North Carolina. Ironically enough, one of the biggest detractors for playing the ACC Tournament in Greensboro is Syracuse head coach Jim Boeheim. Afterall, 4 of the 15 ACC schools located in North Carolina. In any event, Syracuse has enjoyed some success in conference road games this season by going 6-4 in that role. Furthermore, 3 of those 4 losses came by 4 points or fewer. The Orange will also be out avenge a 92-79 home loss to North Carolina. Syracuse has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS this season when facing a conference opponent for a second time. Syracuse is also an extremely profitable 4-0 ATS this season as an underdog of 4.0 or less and won 3 of those contests straight up. Conversely, North Carolina is an awful 1-5 AU&ATS this season as a fvorite of 4.0 or less. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Miami @ Washington 7:05 PM ET

Game# 513-514

Play On: Washington +5.5 (10*)

Washington has gone a very profitable 9-1 ATS during their last 10 conference home game and won 8 of those contests straight up. The Wizards are also 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up this season versus Miami. Conversely, the Heat are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 and 1-7 SU&ATS during its previous 8 away games. Furthermore, 6 of those last 7 road losses came against teams with losing records. Not exactly a vote of confidence for siding with the away favorite in this pot. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Memphis @ Dallas 8:35 PM ET

Game# 557-558

Play On: Memphis +7.0 (10*)

Dallas has been extremely good on the road this season while going 21-11 in that role. However, despite winning its last 3 in Dallas they’re still an uninspiring 17-14 at home. Furthermore, the Mavericks are coming off a 4-point overtime win over New Orleans in their previous game. Dallas is 1-9 SU&ATS in their last 10 at home following a straight up win.

Memphis is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games while holding opponents to 88 points or less on each occasion. Their average margin of victory in those 3 contests came by a whopping 31.7 points per game. Since the beginning of last season, Memphis is an unblemished 3-0 SU&ATS during their trips to Dallas and they won by a decisive 18.0 points per game. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ Cleveland 7:05 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Over 222.0 (10*)

Utah is currently a 9.5-point favorite, and they’ve gone over 8 straight times as a road favorite this season. Those 8 away contests averaged a combined 242.1 points scored per game and they went over by a substantial 19.7 points per occasion. The Jazz have been terrible defensively throughout their previous 5 games. During that stretch, they’ve allowed 119.4 points per game and opponents converted on an alarmingly high 44.4% of their 3-point shots. Conversely, Cleveland has witnessed 13 of its last 17 home games going over the total, and there was a cumulative average of 228.1 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

NC State @ Duke 7:00 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Duke -12.0 (10*)

Duke will be in a sour mood after losing 3 of 4 and each of its last 2 and falling out of the Top 10 for a first time this season. As a matter of fact, one of those defeats was an 88-66 drubbing at NC State 3 weeks ago to the day. That was by far its worst loss of the season and they’ll be playing with big time revenge as a result.

The Blue Devils most recent defeat was 52-50 at Virginia on Saturday in a game they shot just 30.5%. That game stayed way under the total of 123.5. However, Duke is 7-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 8.0 or more and after going under in their previous game. Those results include 3-0 ATS versus ACC opponents and they won by an enormous average of 34.0 points per game. Duke is also 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 8.0 or greater following a contest in which they shot worse than 40% and the Blue Devils won by 30.7 points per game. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Southern Illinois @ Missouri State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 619-20

Play On: Missouri State -6.5 (10*)

Missouri State has vastly underachieved this season after being the preseason consensus pick to win the Missouri Valley Conference. Additionally, they’re coming off an 89-74 loss at Valparaiso in their previous outing. However, Missouri State has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its last 3 following a loss and won by a massive 22.4 points per game. During each of those 3 contests Missouri State just happened to be a home favorite like they’ll be today. Conversely, Southern Illinois has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS this season as a road underdog of 6.5 or greater and lost by a substantial 15.0 points per contest. Bet on Missouri State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Portland @ Indiana 8:05 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Indiana -9.5 (10*)

Portland has gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and lost by 13.3 points per contest. Indiana is coming off a 119-80 home win over Charlotte their last time out. They held the Hornets to a dismal 33% shooting in that contest.

Since the 2016-2017 season began, NBA favorite of 12.0 or less that are coming off an ATS win as a favorite, and they held their opponent to a 35% or worse shooting performance, resulted in those going 38-14 ATS (73.1%). This exact betting angle has gone 6-0 ATS this season, and the favorites won by a decisive 18.4 points per game. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager.

Missouri State @ Valparaiso 8:00 PM ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Over 143.5 (10*)

Missouri State has gone over in 8 of its last 9 games and that includes all 4 when there was a total of 137.5 or greater. Those 4 contests averaged 155.5 points scored per game. Valpo has seen 4 of its last 5 go over the total with a combined 146.6 points scored per game. During their previous 5 games Valpo has shot a red-hot 48.1% and that includes making an alarmingly high 45.1% of their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play.

Charlotte @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Chicago -4.5 (10*)

Charlotte won 2 straight before the all-star break. Nevertheless, the Hornets are 1-5 SU&ATS during their previous 6 games following back to back wins. Charlotte has managed to put together a 3-game win streak just twice this season and the last occurred way back on 12/13/2020.

Chicago is on a 6-game losing streak but 5 of those contests were on the road. The Bulls have gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS this season as a home favorite of 2.0 or greater, playing on 1 or more days of rest, and following a loss in their previous game. They won those 5 outings by a decisive margin of 20.4 points per game. Bet on Chicago minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Illinois @ Rutgers 4:30 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Rutgers -4.0 (10*)

Illinois is coming off a gut wrenching 1-point home loss to Michigan State in their previous game. They overcame a 17-point 2nd half deficit to take the lead and then Michigan State broke their hearts with a last second put back basket. Now they’ll be going on the road to face a stiff challenge from a Rutgers team destined for the 2020 NCAA Tournament.

Speaking of Rutgers, they’re a perfect 14-0 at home this season while also covering 10 of 13 games that had a line. The Scarlet Knights will be out to atone for a flat performance earlier this week when they needed overtime at home to beat Big 10 cellar dweller Illinois. Rutgers will be out to revenge a narrow 54-51 loss at Illinois on 1/11. I look for a very inspired performance from the Scarlet Knights at home. Bet on Rutgers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Lamar @ Nicholls State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Over 139.5 (10*)

Lamar is coming off an embarrassing 82-49 loss at Abilene Christian in their previous game. They’ve gone over in 5 of their last 6 following a game in which they scored 62 or less and there was a combined average of 158.3 points scored per game.

Nicholls State has gone over in 6 of its last 7 which includes all 4 games that were played at home. Those 4 home games produced a combined 160.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Clippers @ 76ers 7:05 PM ET

Game# 579-580

Play On: 76ers +2.0 (10*)

The Clippers will be playing in their 3rd road game in 4 days against an opponent with a very strong home court. The 76ers have gone 24-2 at home this season and that includes 10-0 during its last 10 in their own building. Since the start of the 2017-208 season, Philadelphia is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS at home versus the Clippers. The 76ers also earned a 119-113 road win over the Clippers this past New Year’s Day. Bet on the 76ers plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Notre Dame @ Clemson 6:00 PM ET

Game# 857-858

Play On: Over 137.0 (10*)

Clemson has seen each of their previous 5 conference home games go over the total. Those 5 contests had an average total of 135.4 and there were a combined 144.6 points scored per game. Conversely, Notre Dame has gone over the total in each of their previous 6 games. Those 6 contests had an average total of 140.2 and there was a substantial 160.2 combined points scored per game. It’s all about beating the number. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

New York @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET

Game# 529-530

Play On: New York +1.0 (10*)

The Knicks are 3-1 SU&ATS this season during away games and when there’s a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0. New York is also a noteworthy 5-3 straight up and 7-1 ATS during their last 8 conference games. Conversely, Detroit is 0-5 SU&ATS during their previous 5 conference home games and lost by an average of 10.0 points per contest. Bet on New York for a 10* Top Play wager.

Austin Peay @ Belmont 6:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Austin Peay +7.0 (10*)

Austin Peay is coming off a 70-68 upset loss at Tennessee that broke a 10-game win streak. Austin Peay has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games following a loss and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. Austin Peay also own an 86-78 home win over Belmont earlier this season in a game in which they held +11 rebounding advantage. Not only as APU gone 10-1 during its last 11 but they’re also an extremely profitable 9-2 ATS through that stretch. Bet on Austin Peay plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Charlotte @ New York 7:35 PM ET

Game# 581-585

Play On: New York +4.0 (10*)

Orlando has gone a dismal 0-8 SU&ATS in their last 8 games against all teams who aren’t the Charlotte Hornets. They lost those 8 contests by a decisive 15.8 points per game. Conversely, you may be surprised to know that the downtrodden New York Knicks are 6-1 ATS during their previous 7 conference games and they won 4 of those contests straight up. Furthermore, New York is 2-0 SU&ATS in their last 2 games while posting road wins against Indiana and Cleveland. Bet on New York plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Central Arkansas @ Lamar 8:00 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Central Arkansas +3.5 (10*)

Lamar is coming off a 96-91 win at McNeese in their previous game. However, lamar is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a win. They’re also 0-4 SU&ATS during its previous 4 at home.

Although Central Arkansas is just 3-3 during its last 6 games, they covered on each of those occasions. As a matter of fact, 2 of those 3 losses came by 1 point apiece. There were also an underdog in 5 of those 6 contests. Bet on Central Arkansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Wright State @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Over 149.0 (10*)

Milwaukee has gone over in each of their last 5 when there was a total of 141.5 and there were a combined 158.6 points scored per game. Wright State is 8-1 in Horizon Conference action while averaging a robust 82.6 points per game and connecting on a torrid 42.9% of their 3-point shots. These conference rivals met once already this season and Wright State won a highly entertaining game by a score of 82-70. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Belmont @ Tennessee Tech 9:00

Game# 669-670

Play On: Over 147.0 (10*)

There will be no analysis on Thursday’s college basketball picks.

Philadelphia @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET

Game# 573-574

Play On: Atlanta +7.0 (10*)

Philadelphia has a terrific 22-2 home record this season. However, the 76ers are just 9-15 during away games. Furthermore, Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games this season as a road favorite in addition to being only 5-5 straight up during those contests.

Atlanta is 4-1 ATS and 3-2 straight up during its previous 5 home games. The Hawks are also 6-0 ATS during their last 6 this season as a home underdog of 6.0 or greater and won straight up on 2 of those occasions. Since the start of last season, Atlanta has an awful record of 41-89 (.315), and Philadelphia is 89-53 (.627). Nevertheless, during that specific time frame Atlanta went 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up against Philadelphia. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 10* Top Play.

South Carolina @ Arkansas 8:30 PM ET

Game# 839-840

Play On: South Carolina +7.0 (10*)

Arkansas has been very good at home this season and hence the reason why they’re a decent sized favorite against an otherwise formidable opponent. Nevertheless, South Carolina has gone 4-2 straight up and 5-1 ATS in true road games this season. That includes quality road wins at Virginia as a 10.0-point underdog and Clemson as a 6.0-point dog. They also lost at Tennessee by 1. The Gamecocks have been stout defensively during their last 5 outings while permitting opponents to shoot a mere 37.8% and convert on a mere 24.8% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on South Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager.

Detroit @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET

Game# 559-560

Play On: Over 226.5 (10*)

Detroit has gone over in 11 straight contests when there’s been a total of 220.0 to 231.5. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 235.6 points scored per game. The Pistons are coming off a 115-100 home loss to Cleveland in their last time out. However, the Pistons have gone over in each of their previous 5 contests following a game in which they scored 100 points or fewer. Those 5 outings produced a combined 230.4 points scored per game.

Brooklyn is coming off Sunday’s 110-97 loss at New York. The Nets have gone over in 3 consecutive contests when playing on 1 or more days of rest and there was a combined average of 233.7 points scored per game. Brooklyn has also gone over in all 4 games this season when playing on exactly 2 days rest and the total was 220.5 to 232.0. Those 4 contests had a cumulative 237.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Dallas @ Oklahoma City 8:05 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Oklahoma City +1.5 (10*)

Oklahoma City has gone an unblemished 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 outings while winning by an average of 12.0 points per game. Even more impressive is the fact that 3 of those 5 victories came on the road. During this current win streak, the Thunder averaged 120.8 points scored per game, shot 52.3%, made a sizzling hot 43.4% of its 3-point shots. Conversely, throughout their previous 5 games Dallas has been shaky defensively while allowing116.4 points per game and permitting opponents to shoot a combined 47.0%. Furthermore, Oklahoma City is 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games when they’re a pick or underdog of 7.0 or fewer.

Dallas has outscored their opponents by 6.8 points per game this season. The Maverick have allowed 110 points or more during each of its previous 5 games. This sets up a terrific NBA ATDS betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home team that’s +3.0 to -3.0, versus a team (Dallas) that’s outscoring their opponents by an average of 6.0 or more points per game, and they (Dallas) have allowed 105 points or greater in each of their previous 4 contests, resulted in those home teams going 24-5 SU&ATS since 1996. That includes a terrific 16-1 SU&ATS during the past 3 seasons. Bet on Oklahoma City for a 10* Top Play wager.

Ball State @ Central Michigan 4:30 PM ET

Game# 697-698

Play On: Ball State -2.0 (10*)

Ball State enters this game having gone 5-1 SU&ATS during its last 6 contests. Furthermore, Ball State is 6-0 SU&ATS during its previous 6 games as a favorite of 2.0 or more and they won by a decisive average of 18.8 points per game. Central Michigan has been 9-0 at home until being shellacked by Buffalo 86-67 in their previous game on their own floor. Bet on Ball State minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

FIU @ Old Dominion 7:00 PM ET

Game# 605-606

Play On: Over 138.0 (10*)

FIU has played 6 conference games and there was a combined average of 153.7 points scored per contest. The Golden Panthers have scored 78.2 points per game and made an exceptional 40.8% of their 3-point attempts during conference action.

Old Dominion has gone 4-1 over this season when there’s been a total of 132.0 or greater. The Monarchs have chosen to play at a much faster pace than usual of late. During their previous 3, ODU is averaging a robust 61.7 field goal attempts per game.

Any college basketball road team (FIU) with a total of 130.0 to 139.5 that scored 80 points or more in their previous game, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .200 to .400, resulted in those games going 26-5 (83.9%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 31 contests was 135.3 and there were 144.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

North Dakota State @ South Dakota State

Game# 823-824

Play On: Over 141.5 (10*)

North Dakota State has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they’ve averaged 83.8 points scored per contest, shot 51.4% from the field, converted on 38.7 of their 3-point shots, and made 87.7% of its free throw attempts.

South Dakota State has averaged a robust 82.4 points scored, shot 52.7%, made 44.4% of its 3-point shots, and converted on 75.3% of their free throws over the course of the last 5 games. Since the start of last season, South Dakota State has gone in all 6 of its home games when there’s been a total of 140.0 to 149.5, and there was a combined 164.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Memphis @ Boston 7:35 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Memphis +7.0 (10*)

Boston is coming off arguably their best performance of the year in a 32-point win over the Lakers. That’s a Lakers team that owns the NBA’s best record. However, even with that most impressive victory, the Celtics are still just 3-6 in their last 9 and that includes 2-3 at home.

Memphis is coming off 126-116 home loss to New Orleans. Nevertheless, the Grizzlies are 4-0 SU&ATS in its last 4 following a loss and won by an average of 14.0 points per game. Memphis is also 6-0 ATS during their previous 5 games as an away underdog of 5.0 or more and won 4 of those 6 contests straight up. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Georgia @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: Over 144.5 (10*)

Georgia has gone over in all 8 of its games this season when there’s been a total of 150.0 or less. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 158.8 points scored per game. Kentucky has witnessed 6 of their last 7 games going over the total. These teams just met on 1/7 at Georgia with Kentucky winning 78-69 and that game went over 142.0. There were a combined 43 free throw and 119 field goal attempts in that contest. I look for a similar fast paced game tonight with plenty of free throws as well. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

New York @ Cleveland 5:05 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 222.5 (10*)

New York has seen 4 of its last 5 away games go over the total. The Knicks allowed a substantial 125.6 points per game during those contests while permitting their opponents to shoot 50.8% including an alarming 43.4% from 3-point territory. Conversely, Cleveland has gone over the total in 5 straight home games and there was a combined 226.0 points scored per contest. The Cavaliers shot 49.2% from the field and knocked down 40.0% of their 3-point attempts throughout those 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cleveland @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET

Game# 539-540

Play On: Over 229.5 (10*)

If you’re an NBA fan and haven’t watched the Memphis Grizzlies play recently then you’ve deprived yourself from viewing an extremely entertaining brand of basketball. Memphis has gone over the total in 10 of their last 11 at home and there were a combined 235.1 points scored per game. Conversely, Cleveland has gone over the total in each of their previous 6 away contests and there was an average of 231.4 points scored per game. The old boxing adage is “styles make fights”. That cliché is applicable to this NBA matchup. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ New Orleans 8:05 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Over 225.0 (10*)

New Orleans has gone over the total in each of their previous 8 games. Those 8 contests had an average total of 224.8 and there was a combined 237.3 points scored per game. Utah has gone over the total in 4 of its last 5 and there was a combined 237.0 points scored per game. During that stretch, Utah shot a sizzling hot 51.9%, made 41.2% of its 3-point attempts, and averaged 122.0 points scored per game.

Utah is coming off Tuesday’s 118-107 loss at Brooklyn. That victory improved their season record to a superb 28-12 (.700). New Orleans enters today with an uninspiring 15-26 record. The combination of this data and this current total sets up an extremely profitable NBA totals betting angle which is displayed below.

Any NBA road team with a total of 220.0 to 229.5 that’s coming off a road win by 10 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (New Orleans) with a losing record, resulted in those games going 32-7 (82.1%) over the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nets @ 76ers 7:05 PM ET

Game# 501-502

Play On: 76ers -7.0 (10*)

Brooklyn will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and is coming off last night’s home loss to Utah. The Nets are a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS in their previous 6 as an away underdog and lost by an average of 11.0 points per game. Philadelphia has been dominant at home this season while going 18-2. Philadelphia is 4-0 SU&ATS versus Brooklyn as a home favorite of 6.5 or more. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Houston @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET

Game# 575-576

Play On: Memphis +5.5 (10*)

Houston is 1-3 straight up and 0-4 ATS during its last 4 road games. The Rockets are also 0-3 SU&ATS this season as an away favorite of 5.5 or less and lost by a substantial average of 19.0 points per game.

Memphis has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 contests and won by an average of 14.6 points per game. Additionally, the Grizzlies are a red-hot 9-1 SU&ATS during their previous 10 home games. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Philadelphia @ Dallas 8:35 PM ET

Game# 537-538

Play On: Philadelphia +2.5 (10*)

Dallas has played a grueling schedule of late and tonight will be their 9th game in the last 14 days. Additionally, they will also be playing their 3rd in 4 days and that includes last night’s 129-14 home loss to the Lakers. The mavericks have allowed 106 points or more in 8 straight games. Dallas has outscored the opposition by an average of 6.6 points per game this season. The Mavericks are a stellar 12-5 in away games this season but just 11-10 at home.

Philadelphia will be the fresher team just based on tonight being only their 5th game in 14 days. The 76ers will be out to atone for a 19-point home loss to Dallas earlier this season so that should give them that much more incentive.

Any NBA team (76ers) that +3.0 to -3.0, versus an opponent (Mavericks) that’s allowed 105 points or more in each of their previous 5 games, and they’re outscoring their opponents by 6.0 or more points per contest on the season, resulted in those teams going 33-6 SU&ATS (84.6%) since 1996. Furthermore, this identical NBA betting angle has gone 24-2 ATS the past 3 seasons and that includes 8-1 ATS in this current campaign. Bet on Philadelphia plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas State @ Texas 8:00 PM ET

Game# 761-762

Play On: Over 122.5 (10*)

Kansas State is coming off a 59-57 home loss to TCU. It marked the 2nd straight games that the Wildcats had scored 61 points or fewer. Kansas State has gone 8-1 over the total since last season after scoring 65 or less in their previous 2 contests and there was a combined average of 134.1 points scored per game.

Texas is coming off a 72-62 home loss to Oklahoma in a game in which they attempted only 7 free throws. The Longhorns have gone over in all 7 of their games during the past 3 seasons following a contest in which they attempted 7 free throws or fewer. Those 7 games averaged a combined 162.7 points scored per contest. Texas is allowing only 61.5 points per game this season. However, during the past 2 seasons Kansas State has gone over in all 6 of their games when facing an opponent that’s allowing 64.0 points or less per contest.

Any college basketball team (Texas) with a total of 129.5 or less that coming off a conference home loss, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a home loss, resulted in those contests going 38-8 (82.6%) over the total during the past 3 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager.

Washington @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Over 220.5 (10*)

Orlando has been involved in a lot of low scoring affairs this season, and especially so during recent home games. However, this will be only a 4th time all season that Orlando has seen a total of 220.0 or more. The Magic went over in each of those previous 3 contests when that occurred and there a combined 243.3 points scored per game.

Washington is coming off a 99-94 upset win over Boston in their last outing and that game easily went under the total of 223.0. Nevertheless, Washington has gone over 7 straight times following an under in their previous contest, and there were a combined 248.6 points scored per games.

Lastly, these teams have met twice this season and both games went over the total. Those contests produced 246 and 247 points scored. The totals in those contests were 226.5 and 229.0. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Thunder @ 76ers 7:05 PM ET

Game# 539-540

Play On: Under 212.0 (5*)

Philadelphia enters tonight on a current 4-game losing streak. Conversely, Oklahoma City has won each of their previous 5 games played. This sets up a very straightforward NBA totals betting angle which is displayed below.

Any NBA game with a total of 210 to 219.5 that involves one team (76ers) that’s lost 4 or more in a row versus an opponent (Thunder) which has won 5 or more contests in a row resulted in those games going 35-10 (77.8%) under the total since 1996. The average total in those 45 contests was 214.8 and there were a combined 205.9 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under for a 10* Top Play wager.

San Diego State @ Utah State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 773-774

Play On: Utah State -3.0 (10*)

Undefeated San Diego State has been a huge surprise thus far and is currently #13 in the country. However, the Aztecs find themselves as a 3.0-point underdog in this contest against unranked Utah State. The Aggies have been historically strong when playing on their home floor. This season has been no different with them going 8-0 at home while outscoring their opponents by a massive 40.2 points per game. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Lakers @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Bucks -4.0 (10*)

The Lakers are coming off a loss at Indiana on Tuesday that put an end to 14-game road winning streak. Today will be the finale of a 5-game in 9-day road trip. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS versus Eastern Conference teams this season.

Milwaukee is coming off a shocking 120-116 home loss to Dallas on Monday in a game they were a sizable 10.0-point favorite. That defeated ended an 18-game Bucks winning streak.

Any NBA favorite that’s coming off a straight up loss as a favorite of 10.0-points or greater, and thy possess a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Lakers) with a winning record, resulted in those favorites going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1996. Bet on the Bucks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Heat @ 76ers 7:05 PM ET

Game# 519-520

Play On: 76ers -7.5 (10*)

Miami will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and is coming off a loss at Memphis in their previous game. The 76ers will be well rested after coming off Sunday’s 109-85 loss at Brooklyn. The 76ers are 3-0 in their last 3 games following a loss and won by a massive 24.0 points per contest. Philadelphia is also a perfect 14-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 12.2 points per game. Bet on the 76ers minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

Purdue @ Ohio 9:00 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: Ohio +8.0 (10*)

Purdue is 1-3 on the road and at a neutral site this year. The Boilermakers are coming off a shocking 70-56 loss at Nebraska in a game they were a sizable 13.0-point favorite. Furthermore, Purdue center Matt Haarms went down with a concussion in that contest and is doubtful for today’s game. Haarms is averaging 10.5 points and 6.2 rebounds per game this season.

Ohio is currently on a 4-game win streak which has improved their overall season record to 7-3. It’s rare that a team from the MAC gets to host a power conference school so look for that to provide added motivation for Ohio. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Lakers @ Heat 7:05 PM ET

Game# 539-540

Play On: Heat +6.0 (10*)

Kudos to the Lakers on their fantastic start to the season. However, what seems to be overlooked on a national scale is the terrific 18-6 record of Miami. Furthermore, the Heat are a perfect 11-0 at home while winning by a enormous by NBA standards 15.7 points per game. This is a game for the unheralded heat to make a statement in front of a national TV audience and receiving this generous amount of points provides ample betting value. Bet on the Heat plus the points for a 10* Top Play.

Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Illinois -1.0 (10*)

This looks like a trap if there ever was one. We have an unranked team in Illinois that enters this contest having lost 2 in a row as a favorite over #5 Michigan. The books are begging you to take the ranked team in this matchup. I’m not falling for the bait with knowing that odds-makers aren’t generous, nor do they leave themselves vulnerable to public betting. Bet on Illinois for a 10* Top Play wager.

Indiana vs. Connecticut 9:30 PM ET

Game# 629-630

Play On: Connecticut +2.0 (10*)

The Hoosiers are beneficiaries of a relatively soft schedule on their way to a 8-1 start. Their lone quality win came at home against #18 Florida State. They followed that up in their previous game with a 20-point loss at unranked Wisconsin. Furthermore, that loss was the first game not played on their home floor.

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. There will be a pro UConn crowd at the Garden tonight with many Huskies Alum in the area in addition to a reasonably short enough drive from Connecticut to downtown Manhattan. UConn owns a win over then national ranked Florida, and they also lost to #23 Xavier by a narrow 1-point margin on a neutral floor while covering as a 5.0-point underdog. Bet on Connecticut for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET

Game# 855-856

Play On: DePaul +2.0 (10*)

Texas Tech has just 1 returning starter from last season’s team that lost in the national championship game. The Red Raiders are coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Iowa and Creighton both of which are currently unranked.

DePaul is off to an excellent 8-0 start to the season. They’ve had 3 notable road wins thus far over Minnesota, Boston College, and Iowa. Tonight will be a terrific opportunity for the Blue Demons to make a statement and make themselves relevant again. Bet on DePaul for a 10* Top Play wager.

Phoenix @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET

Game# 579-580

Play On: Sacramento -2.0 (10*)

Sacramento started this season by going 0-5 SU&ATS in their first 5 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 7-0 ATS and 5-2 straight up. There only 2 straight up losses in that sequence came by 4 at defending world champion Toronto, and by 2 on the road to the Lebron led Lakers. By the way, those 2 teams currently have a combined record of 20-6 (.769). The Kings are also a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games which includes a 100-99 victory over red-hot Boston on Sunday. That Celtics loss snapped their 10-game win streak. Conversely, Phoenix is coming off last night’s 99-85 home loss to those very same Celtics. Bet on Sacramento minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Spurs @ Timberwolves 8:05 PM ET

Game# 585-586

Play On: Over 227.0 (10*)

Minnesota has seen 5 of its last 6 go over the total and there was a combined average of 235.7 points scored per game. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, the Timberwolves have gone over the total during 6 of their 7 games played against San Antonio. Saying that Minnesota likes to play at a phonetic offensive pace is an understatement. They’re averaging a massive 96 field goal attempts per game this season and that included 100 per home contest.

Speaking off a quickened offensive tempo, San Antonio certainly won’t shy away from such based on it’s average of 91 field goal attempts per game. The Spurs have been extremely shaky defensively over their last 3 outings while allowing 120.0 points per game and letting opponents shoot a combined 51.3%. Since last season, San Antonio is 15-5 over on the road when there’s been a total of 220.0 to 229.5. Those 20 contests averaged a combined 235.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Milwaukee @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Under 229.5 (10*)

Milwaukee is coming off a 115-105 win over Toronto. Minnesota is coming off a 131-109 win over Washington. The combination of these 2 results sets up an NBA betting angle which has been extremely profitable during the past 22 seasons and is displayed below.

Any team (Milwaukee) with a total of 220.0 or greater that’s coming off a win by 10 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Minnesota) coming off a win by 20 points or greater, resulted in those games going 56-19 (74.7%) under the total since 1996. The average combined points scored in those 75 contests was 219.0 per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Raptors @ Warriors 9:00 PM ET

Game# 527-528

Play On: Under 215.5 (10*)

Golden State was embarrassed by their defensive effort during Wednesday’s 123-109 loss. They allowed the Raptors to shoot 52.4% in that contest. It marked just a 4th time in their 19 playoff games that Golden State allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or better. The last 3 times that this occurred, the Warriors followed that up by holding their opponents to 39.6% shooting or worse on each occasion.

Despite Game 3 easily going over the total, Toronto has seen 7 of their 9 road playoff games stay under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Toronto @ Golden State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Under 213.5 (10*)

Toronto has gone under the total in all 7 of playoff road games this year when there was a total of 218.0 or less. The average total in those contests was 212.9 and there was a combined 202.3 points scored per game. Conversely, since 2015, Golden State is 33-20 (62.2%) under the total in their home playoff games, and that includes 11-5 (68.8%) under if they’re coming off a road win.

Any Game 3 NBA Playoff away underdog that’s coming off a playoff home favorite straight up loss, and the series is tied 1-1, resulted in those games going 17-8 (68%) under the total since 2005. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Warriors @ Raptors 8:00 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Under 213.5 (10*)

The opening game of this series saw both teams combine for only 155 field goal attempts which is well below the NBA average. Yet, the contest somehow produced 227 points. When researching further I discovered some statistics that are very unlikely to occur in 2 consecutive games. The Raptors shot 50.6% and it marked a first time they eclipsed 50% in 13 games. The teams combined to go 56-63 (88.9%) from the free throw line. Not only is that free throw percentage absurd, but the number of attempts by both teams far exceeds this season’s NBA per game average. Additionally, both teams shot the ball very efficiently from 3-point territory while collectively going 25-64 (39.1%). It’s a very good percentage for one team let alone both converting at the high degree of efficiency. Golden State has gone 3-1 during this postseason following a loss. Throughout those 4 games the Warriors held opponent to 40.5% shooting and 30.3% from beyond the 3-point line. It’s quite apparent they’ve shown a postseason tendency to bear down defensively after losing in their previous game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Warriors @ Raptors 9:07 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: Raptors +1.0 (10*)

Toronto overcame a 2-0 series deficit in the Eastern Conference Finals to defeat Milwaukee in 6 games. The Raptors have been terrific defensively at home during these 2019 NBA Finals while holding its opponents to 95.8 points scored per game, 40.1% shooting, and 32.0% from beyond the 3-point line. Toronto went 2-0 against Golden State during regular season action, and one of those wins came without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. Counting the postseason, Toronto has gone a terrific 40-11 (.784) at home this season.

Any home team in an NBA Finals series opener has gone 13-1 straight up and 12-2 ATS since 2005. If the home team won their conference finals series in exactly 6 games, they improve to 6-0 SU&ATS at home in Game 1 of the NBA Finals and the average margin of victory was 14.0 points per contest. Bet on the Raptors for a 10* Top Play wager.

Bucks @ Raptors 8:30 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Under 212.5 (10*)

Toronto has been terrific defensively throughout their 9 home playoff games. Thru that stretch, the Raptors held visiting opponents to 96.0 points per game, 40.1% shooting, and permitting them to make only a mere 31.6% of their three-point attempts. As a matter of fact, during the first 5 games of this Eastern Conference Final Milwaukee is a terrible 30.3% from beyond the 3-point line.

Toronto made 18 three-point shots and 25 free throws in the previous game. Yet, that contest still went well under the total by 9.0-points. The pace in which this series has been played has slowed considerably. The first 2 games of this series saw a combined average of 182.0 field goal attempts per game and the previous 2 produced just 167.5 per outing. Games 3 and 4 in Toronto had closing totals of 221.5 and 217.5. Both contests went over but that hasn’t deterred the odds-makers from dropping this opening total down to 214.0. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Golden State @ Portland 9:00 ET

Game# 501-502

Play On: Portland +3.0 (10*)

Portland could easily be up 2-1 instead of down 3-0 in this series. They blew big leads in each of the last 2 games.

Since 2013, any NBA Playoff home underdog of 4.5 or less playing in a Game 4 and they’re down 3-0 in the series, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-2 SU&ATS. If those home underdogs have a win percentage of .570 or better, they improved to 4-0 SU&ATS and outscored their opponents by a decisive 13.0 points per contest. Bet on Portland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Bucks @ Raptors 7:00 PM ET

Game# 549-550

Play On: Raptors -2.0 (10*)

The Bucks are 10-1 SU&ATS during these 2019 NBA Playoffs, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS in away games. Yet, they find themselves as an underdog against a Toronto team which despite reaching the Eastern Conference Finals is only 8-6 during postseason action. If it smells like a rat and looks like a rat, then it’s a rat. I’m not falling for the trap of being lured into taking the red-hot underdog. It’s also worth noting,

Toronto has lost the first 2-games of this series, and they’ve suffered 3 straight defeats just once this season. The last time that occurred was way back on 11/16/2018 which is a little over 6 months ago. Since that time, Toronto has gone 7-0 following 2 consecutive losses and won by a substantial margin of 15.2 points per contest.

Any NBA Playoff home favorite that playing in Game 3 of the series and is coming off away underdog ATS losses in the opening 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 44-25 (63.8%) since 2003. Taking this betting angle one step further, if those home favorites were facing an opponent with a win percentage of .730 or better, they improved to 4-0 ATS and won by 15.6 points per game. Bet on the Raptors for a 5* wager.

Golden State @ Portland 9:00 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Portland -2.0 (10*)

Portland is currently down 2-0 in this Western Conference Final. Considering that no NBA playoff team has ever overcome a 3-0 series deficit, you can essentially label this as a must win contest for the Trailblazers. Portland has gone an outstanding 37-10 at home this season.

Any NBA Playoffs home favorite that’s down 2-0 in a series is 47-26 ATS (64.4%) since 2003, and that includes an even better 11-4 ATS (73.3%) since 2016. Bet on Portalnd for a 10* Top Play wager.

Raptors @ Bucks 8:30 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Raptors +6.5 (10*)

Toronto has gone under the total by a cumulative 135.0 points during their previous 10 games. Conversely, Milwaukee has beaten the point-spread by a a combined 54.0 points over its last 10 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated in the next paragraph.

Any NBA away underdog that’s gone under the total by a collective 48.0 points or more throughout their previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Bucks) who’s cover their last 10 games by a combined 54.0 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 43-11 ATS (79.6%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 54 contests was 8.4. Furthermore, this exact NBA betting angle is 6-1 ATS during the 2018-2019 regular season and playoffs.

Although conference finals teams that are coming off a 7- game series haven’t any success of late in reaching the NBA Finals, if they were an away underdog in the opening game, they’ve been a profitable point-spread wager. Since 2003, any NBA Conference Finals away underdog (Raptors) that won their previous series in 6 or more games have gone 14-5 ATS (73.7%). Those underdogs also won 10 of those 19 games straight up. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Trailblazers @ Nuggets 3:30 PM ET

Play On: Over 212.5 (10*)

There will be no analysis today.

Warriors @ Rockets 9:00 PM ET

Game# 519-520

Play On: Rockets -7.0

The Rockets have won 11 straight home games and covered in 10 of those contests. They were a favorite on all 11 occasions and won by a decisive average of 17.0 points per game. This line has certainly been adjusted due to the absence of Kevin Durant. It still won’t be enough points for the underdog Warriors against a Rockets team who will be playing with desperation and urgency in order to stave off elimination. I look for Houston to make a statement tonight and cast doubt into the Warriors for a deciding Game 7. Bet on the Rockets minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nuggets @ Trailblazers 10:30 PM ET

Game# 517-518

Play On: Trailblazers -3.5 (10*)

Denver is coming off a 124-98 rout of Portland on Tuesday night. The Nuggets easily covered that contest as a 5.0-point home favorite. Denver is 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games this season as an underdog following a home favorite ATS cover. They were outscored in those 6 contests by 12.2 points per game. Conversely, Portland is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 home games following a straight up loss in a contest that they were an away underdog. The Trailblazers won those 6 contests by a decisive average of 13.7 points per game.

Any NBA Playoff home favorite of 2.5 to 8.5 (Portland) that’s coming off a postseason away loss by 20 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 20-9 ATS (69%) since 2008. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Raptors @ 76ers 8:00 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Under 217.0 (10*)

The first 2 games of this series easily went under the total. The average total in those contests was 221.8 and there was a combined 193.0 points scored per game. These teams are a combined 40-130 (30.7%) on their 3-point attempts during those first 2 games of the series.

Toronto has now seen 7 of their last 8 stay under the total and that includes all 6 if the total was 210.0 or more. Throughout their previous 6 games, Toronto has held their opponents 90.8 points per game and 38.8% shooting.

Philadelphia has gone under in 4 straight games and during that time held opponents to 41.4% shooting and includes 30.1% from 3-point range. The 76ers will be playing in just their 4th game over the past 14 days. Philadelphia is 19-3 (86.3%) under the total this season when playing 4 or fewer games during the past 10 days. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Philadelphia @ Toronto 8:00 PM ET

Game# 561-562

Play On: Philadelphia +6.5 (10*)

The 76ers lost the opening game of this series on Saturday by a score of 108-95. Philadelphia is 3.-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a substantial average of 19.3 points per game. Additionally, they’re 12-4 ATS this season following a loss by 10 points or more and average outscoring opponent by 9.5 points per game while doing so. The 76ers went under in their last 3 games of its series win versus Brooklyn. Each of those 3 contests went under by 7.5-points or greater.

Toronto heads into today on a current 5-game win streak and has also covered 3 straight. They cover those last 3 contests by a combined 31.5 points. Additionally, the Raptors are 2-10 ATS this season after winning 5 or more games in a row.

Any NBA away underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Philadelphia) that went under in each of their last 3 games by 6.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Toronto) that’s a collective +18.0 points or more against the spread during its previous 3 outings, resulted in those underdogs going 23-4 ATS (85.2%) throughout the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 27 contests was 6.3 and the underdogs won straight up on 13 of those occasions. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play Total.

Spurs @ Nuggets 10:00 PM ET

Game# 541-542

Play On: Under 209.5 (10*)

San Antonio is currently a 6.0-point underdog in this deciding Game7. The Spurs have gone under in 6 of its last 7 this season as an underdog and they scored just 97.4 points per game. Conversely, Denver has gone under in 16 of their previous 20 games as a favorite. The Nuggets have seen 4 of their 5 home contests against San Antonio this season go under and they held them to 96.0 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Warriors @ Clippers 10:00 PM ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Golden State -9.5 (10*)

The Warriors squandered an opportunity to close out this series on Wednesday when they lost 129-212 as a 15.0-point home favorite. Golden State is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by 30.3 points per game. Conversely, the Clippers are 0-3 SU&ATS during their previous 3 following a win and lost by an average of 25.3 points per game. By the way, since the 2017 NBA Playoffs, road favorite are 37-13 ATS (74%).

Any NBA Playoff #1 to #3 seed that’s a favorite of 4.0-points or more, and they lost their previous game by 4 points or more as a favorite of 4.0 or greater, resulted in those postseason favorites going 62-18 ATS (77.5%). This includes going 4-0 ATS during these 2019 NBA Playoffs and there was an average victory margin of 18.7 points per game. Bet on the Warriors minus the points for a 5* wager.

76ers @ Nets 3:00 PM ET

Game# 557-558

Play On: Under 232.0 (10*)

There will be no analysis today.

Raptors @ Magic 7:00 PM ET

Game# 551-552

Play On: Magic +5.5 (10*)

Orlando has gone a superb 13-1 in their last 14 home game. That by itself provides substantial betting value on the home underdog. The Magic is coming off a 111-82 loss at Toronto in game 2 of this series. Orlando has gone an extremely profitable 8-2 SU&ATS in its last 10 and 4-0 SU&ATS (+17.3 PPG) during their previous 4 following a loss in their preceding game. That loss also ended a Magic 5-game win streak. Orlando is 10-2 ATS this season after winning 4 of its last 5 games. Conversely, Toronto is 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4. The Raptors are a dismal 5-14 ATS this season after covering 3 of their previous 4 games. Bet on Orlando plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

76ers @ Nets 8:05 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Nets +3.5 (10*)

Brooklyn has scored 110 points or more in all 6 of their games this season against Philadelphia. As a matter of fact, the Nets have scored 110 points or greater in 11 of their last 13 games overall. Conversely, Philadelphia has allowed 110 points or more during 13 of their previous 16 games. On 2 of the 3 times in which they didn’t, they surrendered 109 points on each occasion. The Nets have gone 28-10 ATS (73.7%) and 27-10 straight up in their last 38 games this season when scoring 110 points or more. They’ve also covered both home games against the 76ers this season. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nets @ 76ers 8:00 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: 76ers -8.0 (10*)

The 76ers are coming off Saturday’s opening game 111-102 loss to Brooklyn and they did so as a closing 7.5-point home favorite.

Any NBA Playoffs favorite of 4.0 points or more, coming off a straight up loss by 4 points or greater in a game in which they were favorite by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those favorites going 58-17 ATS (77.3%) since the 2009 NBA Playoffs. The average line in those 75 games was 8.0 and the favorites outscored their underdog opponents by a decisive 14.5 points per game. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Magic @ Raptors 5:05 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Under 213.5 (10*)

There’s no analysis being provided today.

Texas Tech vs. Virginia 9:20 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (10*)

Texas Tech is coming off an impressive 61-51 win over Michigan State on Saturday. The Red Raiders are now a perfect 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament and that includes their last covers coming as an underdog. Texas Tech is allowing a mere 55.8 points per game and have held opponents to just 36.4% shooting during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Virginia has been extremely fortunate in their previous 2 wins over Purdue in overtime and by 1 against Auburn. Both wins came via some last second heroics.

Any NCAA Tournament underdog of 8.5-points or less that’s playing in the Sweet 16 or beyond, and they allowed 54 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 21-4 ATS (84%) since 2009. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Auburn vs Virginia 6:09 PM ET

Game# 803-804

Play On: Virginia -6.0 (10*)

The public has fallen in love with the underdog Auburn Tigers and it’s reflected in the betting patterns for this Final Four contest. However, Virginia is healthier and the better team in this matchup. The Cavaliers haven’t been at their best during their 4 NCAA Tournament games, yet, they’re 2 wins away from a national championship. I look for the Cavaliers to be sharp as a razor today. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Celtics @ Pacers 8:05 PM ET

Game# 539-540

Play On: Under 213.0 (10*)

Indiana has gone 25-14 (64.1%) under at home this season. That includes 18-3 (85.7%) under if the total was 210.0 to 219.5. The Pacers are outscoring opponents by an average of 3.9 points per game this season. Boston is 15-5 under on the road this season when facing teams with a +3.0 or greater point per game differential.

Boston is coming off a 112-102 win at Miami in their previous outing. Indiana is coming off a division 108-89 blowout win at Detroit in its last game. The combination of these results and the current total sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home team (Indiana) with a total of 200.0 or greater that’s coming off a division win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Boston) coming off a road win by 10 points or more, resulted in those games going 38-12 (76%) under since 1996. The average total in those 50 contests was 211.2 and there were a combined 205.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas vs. TCU 9:30 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: TCU -1.0 (10*)

This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these Big 12 rivals. TCU won and covered each of the first 2 and held Texas to a mere 58.5 points scored per game and a combined 39.4% shooting.

TCU has won by 13 points or more in each of their first 3 NIT games. The Horned Frogs are allowing 69.9 points per games this season while Texas gives up 67.1 points per contest. Any college basketball team (TCU) that’s coming off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more and they’re and they’re allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, versus an opponent (Texas) that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, resulted in those teams going 96-16 (85.7%) straight up since 1997. Bet on TCU for my 2019 NIT Game of the Year.

Wichita State vs. Lipscomb 7:00 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Over 150.5 (10*)

During their first 3 NIT games, Lipscomb has averaged an impressive 89.7 points scored per outing while shooting a combined 51.9%. As a matter of fact, Lipscomb has shot 48.2% or better in each of their previous 7 games. Conversely, they’re also allowing 81.0 points per game during this 2019 NIT and opponents have eclipsed the 50% mark shooting on 2 of 3 occasions.

Wichita State is currently 22-14 (.647) and Lipscomb is 28-7 (.800). Any NIT game with a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and both teams have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those contests going 24-6 (80%) over the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Detroit @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET

Game# 561-562

Play On: Detroit +5.5 (10*)

Indiana has lost 7 of its last 8 and each of their previous 3 games. Conversely, Detroit is 17-8 during their last 25 and that includes an extremely profitable 19-6 (76%) L25. Detroit has won 2 of 3 games against Indiana this season.

Indiana is coming off Saturday’s 121-116 home loss to Orlando. Detroit is coming off a 99-90 win over Portland in their previous outing, and they held the high scoring Trailblazers to just 34 first half points.

Any NBA team (Detroit) that allowed 35 points or fewer in the first half of their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Indiana) which allowed 120 points or greater in their last contest, resulted in those teams going 58-21 (73.4%) straight up since 1996. Considering this straight up betting angle sides with tonight’s road underdog it takes on even more significance. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Auburn vs. Kentucky 2:20 PM ET

Game# 693-694

Play On: Kentucky -4.5 (10*)

Auburn’s chances of winning this game took a huge hit when starting forward Chuma Okeke suffered a knee injury with 8 minutes left to play in the Tigers 97-80 blowout win over North Carolina on Friday night. At the time of his injury, Okeke amassed 20 points and 11 rebounds against North Carolina’s massive frontcourt players.

Kentucky has beaten Auburn twice already this season. During those wins the Wildcats averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.4% from the field. Furthermore, Kentucky held an enormous 76-50 rebounding advantage. That’s even more concerning for Auburn who will be without the services of Okeke. Bet on Kentucky minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET

Game# 683-684

Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*)

Gonzaga is #1 nationally in scoring offense (88.2 PPG) and field goal percentage (52.8%). However, they’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s #3 nationally in scoring defense (58.7 PPG) and #1 in defensive field goal percentage (36.7%).

Texas Tech has exhibited even tighter defense throughout their first 3 NCAA Tournament games. During that time, they allowed a mere 53.0 points per game while holding opponents to a combined 35.5% shooting. They covered in each of those contests and their average victory margin was 18.0-points per contest. Additionally, the Red Raiders have shot 48.1% during that identical time frame. I’m going with the Big 12 regular season champion in this one. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Virginia Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Virginia Tech +7.0 (10*)

Duke is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games and that includes 1-4 ATS since Zion Williamson’s return from injury. Duke barely escaped with a 77-76 win over Central Florida in their previous game and were extremely fortunate to do so as a 13.0-point favorite.

Virginia Tech is a whole different team with star point guard Justin Robinson in the lineup. Following a convincing home win over Syracuse earlier this season, Robinson missed several games due to injury and the Hokies weren’t nearly as efficient offensively. Nevertheless, they did manage to beat Duke without Robinson. Well Robinson is back and so are the Hokies. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 7-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site. This is a balanced Virginia Tech team that’s totally capable of pulling off an upset today. However, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Michigan 9:39 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Texas Tech +2.0 (10*)

Both teams are excellent defensively. The difference in this game will be Texas Tech is more consistent on the offensive end. The Red Raiders have scored 70 or more in 10 straight games. Conversely, Michigan has scored 70 or less in 14 of their last 19 games.

Texas Tech is coming off a 78-58 win over Buffalo. Any Sweet 16 or Elite 8 underdog of 8.5 points or less that allowed less than 60 points in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 31-9 ATS (77.5%) since 2006. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play.

LA Lakers @ Utah 10:35 PM ET

Game# 583-584

Play On: Under 217.5 (10*)

The Lakers have gone under in 5 straight games as an underdog. Those 5 contests went under the total by an average of 13.5 points per game. The Lakers are also 8-1 under this season when there’s been a total of 210.0 to 219.5, Those 9 contests averaged a combined 206.4 points scored per game. Utah has gone under in 5 consecutive home games and has done so by 12.9 points per outing. These teams have seen both games played against one another this season go under and there were a collective 190.5 points scored per contest. Utah shot a combined 39.2% in those contests while the Lakers weren’t much better at 40.7%. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.