Phoenix @ Dallas 9:30 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Dallas +2.0 (10*)

Dallas is coming off a brutal performance during Tuesday night’s 110-80 loss at Phoenix and now finds itself down 3-2 in this series, and on the brink of elimination. However, this is a Mavericks team that’s shown excellent recuperative powers following a lopsided loss. Specifically speaking, Dallas is a perfect 8-0 SU this season following a road loss by 20 points or more and they won by an average of 11.5 points per game. The Mavericks are also 14-1 SU since the start of last season following any loss by 20 points or greater. This is also a Mavericks team which is 33-13 SU (.715) at home this season. Phoenix is just 2-3 on the road in the playoffs after going a terrific 32-9 during regular season away games. Give me Dallas plus the small number for a Top Play.

Bucks @ Celtics 7:00 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Celtics -5.0 (10*)

The Celtics have held one of the better offensive teams in the NBA to 99.5 points scored per game and 42.1% shooting throughout the first 4 games of this series. Furthermore, during the previous 3 games of the series, Milwaukee is a terrible 21-79 (26.6%) from beyond the 3-point line. Additionally, during those 3 contests Boston has outscored Milwaukee in the 4th quarters by a combined score of 103-71. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to draw the conclusion that Milwaukee is obviously wearing down late in game while the Celtics keep getting stronger. 

Any NBA home favorite of 6.0 or less (Celtics) that’s play in a Round 2 Game 5 of a playoff series and is coming off an away underdog SU win by 5 points or more, resulted in those reasonably sized home favorites going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1991. Those 8 home favorites won those contests by a decisive average of 20.0 points per game. Give me the Celtics minus the points for a Top Play wager.

76ers @ Heat 7:30 PM ET

Game# 501-502

Play On: 76ers +3.0 (10*)

The 76ers are obviously a different team when Joel Embiid is healthy and able to play. They lost the first 2 games of this series by sizable margins. However, Embiid returned in Game 3 and Philadelphia went 2-0 SU&ATS since. Additionally, Jimmy Butler of Miami accounted for 73 of Miami’s 187 points (39%) in those 2 losses, and the 76ers prevented any other Heat players from putting up any big numbers. That recent defensive strategy has worked, and l look for it to be continued in Game 5. Give me the 76ers plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Celtics @ Bucks 7:30 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Boston +1.5 (10*)

Down 2-1 in the series, I look for Boston to be playing with an extremely high degree of desperation and urgency. Boston is coming off a 103-10 loss at Milwaukee in Game 3. Nonetheless, the Celtics are 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 following a loss. Their only blemish to that recent team trend was a loss at Miami in a game that Boston was without its 2 top scorers Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum. Furthermore, Boston shot a miserable 36% in that Game 3 loss on Saturday. The Celtics are an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS during their last 6 following a game in which they shot less than 40% and won by a decisive margin of 14.8 points per contest. Give me the Celtics on the money line.

Memphis @ Golden State 8:30 PM ET

Game 573-574

Play On: Over 225.0 (10*)

Just as I expected, the public has overreacted to Game 2 easily going under the total of 227.5 during a Memphis 106-101 win. However, the oddsmakers were undeterred by that result and made just a slight adjust to an opening total of 226.5 for Game 3. Let’s not forget, Golden State won the series opener 117-116 in a game that was extremely entertaining to watch. Furthermore, the pace of the first 2 games of the series was lightning fast with a combined 188 and 186 field goal attempts which is extremely high by even NBA standards. Lastly, Memphis has played 16-5 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 220.0 to 229.5. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Bucks @ Celtics 7:05 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Celtics -4.5 (10*)

The Celtics are coming off an embarrassing 101-89 loss in Game 1. There was a lot of rarities that occurred for that to happen which are highly improbable to occur again in Game 2.

It was just the 5th time that Boston had scored 95 points or less since 12/10/21. The good news for Celtics backers is their team has gone 4-0 SU&ATS since that time immediately after scoring 95 or less and won by an average of 15.3 points per contest. Despite that low scoring output, Boston still was a respectable 18-50 (36%) on their 3-point shot attempts. Unfortunately, they went a horrendous 10-34 from inside the 3-point line. That’s an extremely rare occurrence for an NBA team to not only make just 10 two-point field goal attempts in a game, but also nearly doubling that output from 3-point territory, and especially so for a quality group like the Celtics.

Lastly, the Celtics shot a miserable 33.3% from the field overall. Boston has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season following a contest in which they shot less than 40% and outscored those opponents by an average of 15.2 points per game. Conversely, since the start of last season, Milwaukee is 0-4 SU&ATS after holding their opponent to 35% or worse shooting in their previous contest, and they were outscored by an average of 11.5 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Dallas @ Phoenix 10:00 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Over 214.0 (10*)

Phoenix shot 50% in all 6 games against New Orleans despite start guar Devin Booker missing 4 of those contests. Booker and his 26.8 points per game scoring average is back and healthy again and shook off some of the rust during his return in the Game 6 series clinching win over New Orleans. Phoenix has played 18-5 to the over since the start of last season when facing opponents that have a +3.0 or greater point per game differential. Those 23 contests averaged a combined 227.1 points scored per game. Dallas is currently at +3.5 per contest.

Dallas shot an impressive 38.4% from 3-point territory in their series win over Utah and averaged 17 makes per game. Similar to Phoenix, Dallas played the first 3 games of that Utah series without their star guard Luka Doncic. All he did is lead the NBA in scoring during regular season action at 28.4 points per game and fell just shy of averaging a triple double. During his 3 games played in the New Orleans series, Doncic averaged 29.0 points scored, 5.7 assists, and 10.8 rebounds per contest. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Golden State @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Over 219.5 (10*)

Golden State averages 118.0 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.5% during their just completed 4-1 series win over Denver. Memphis allowed Minnesota to shoot 38.8% from beyond the 3-point-line during their 4-2 series win. That can be problematic for the Grizzlies since Golden State made 42.2% of their long-distance attempts versus Denver. Since Game 42 of their season, Memphis has played 10-2 (83% and there was a combined average of 231.2 points scored per contest. to the over when facing opponents like Golden State that allow 108 or fewer points per game. The Grizzlies were adept at getting to the free throw line in the Minnesota series while getting there a massive 32 times per contest. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Philadelphia @ Toronto 7:00 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Philadelphia -111 (10*)

After losing the first 3 games of this playoff series the Raptors have shown a ton of character to win the last 2 and stave off elimination. During the previous 3 games Toronto has held Philadelphia to 104 points or less on each occasion. However, Toronto has gone 0-5 SU at home this season after allowing 105 points or fewer in each of their previous 3 games. Conversely, Philadelphia is coming off an an extremely disappointing 103-88 home loss in Game 5. Nevertheless, the 76ers are 5-0 SU this season after scoring 90 points or fewer in their previous games.

Since 2004, home teams that are a pick or underdog in Game 6 of a playoff series and are coming off exactly 2 wins, resulted in those home teams going 0-4 SU&ATS with an average losing margin of 19.0 points per game. The 4 home teams also averaged a mere 84.8 points scored per game during those 4 contests. Give me Philadelphia on the money line for a Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ Memphis 7:30 PM ET

Game# 541-542

Play On: Minnesota +6.0 (10*)

After blowing a 26-point lead in Game 3 and losing 104-95, Minnesota bounced back with an impressive 119-118 win in Game 4. It was impressive in the sense that it was a huge emotional blow when collapsing in Game 3 and the Timberwolves were unshaken in their Game 4 performance. Minnesota also has the confidence in knowing that can win at Memphis like they did 130-117 in Game 1. Furthermore, Minnesota has played the #2 seed Memphis Grizzlies on even terms this season while splitting the 8 head-to-head matchups. This game will be much closer than many are predicting, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see Minnesota win straight up. However, I won’t get greed and will gladly take the points. Give me Minnesota plus

Celtics @ Nets 7:00 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Celtics +110 (10*)

Brooklyn must be extremely frustrated at this point. After all, they shot a combined 51.1% during the first 3 games of this series which includes an excellent 40.3% from 3-point territory and yet still finds themselves down 3-0. Simply put, the Celtics have the Nets number, and it’s evidenced by them winning the last 6 meetings played against Brooklyn this season. The Nets may have the best 2 individual players in this series, but Boston is the better overall team. Brooklyn is an uninspiring 21-22 SU and a horrible 9-34 ATS this season at home. The Celtics have outscored their opponents this season by an average margin of 7.2 points per game. Conversely, Brooklyn has gone an abysmal 1-8 SU this season versus teams who average outscoring their opponents by an average of 6.0 or more points per game.

Boston is coming off a 109-103 win at Brooklyn in Game 3. The Celtics have now gone a sizzling hot 29-6 SU in their previous 35 games. On the other hand, Brooklyn has a season record of 45-41 (.523). Any NBA road team Celtics that’s up 3-0 in a playoff series, and they scored 93 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Nets) with a win percentage of .630 or worse, resulted in those road teams going 28-2 SU (93.3%) since the 2002 postseason. Give me the Celtics for a Top Play money line wager.

Phoenix @ New Orleans 9:30 PM ET

Game# 527-528

Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (10*)

This is the game that the Devin Booker being out of the lineup will cost Phoenix. They were able to escape with a 3-point win in Game 3 of Friday night. However, the Pelicans didn’t quit after being down 11 at the half and battled back to take a 4th quarter lead before succumbing to a late Phoenix surged sparked by Chris Paul. The Pelicans have gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 following a loss during its previous game. Conversely, Phoenix is 0-4 SU during their last 4 immediately following a win. The Pelicans have shot an impressive 48.5% from the field and made 40.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout the first 3 games of this series. Give me New Orleans plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Phoenix @ New Orleans 9:30 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Phoenix -125 (10*)

Phoenix is coming off a shocking 125-114 loss as a 9.5-point home favorite in Game 2. The Suns have gone 14-4 SU this season following a loss and that includes 6-1 SU if it was a road contest. The Suns are also a terrific 26-4 SU (86.7%) this season as a money line road favorite. The Suns have shot 50.0% and 53.8% in the first 2 games of this series. Phoenix is a remarkable 18-1 SU this season following 2 consecutive games in which they shot 50% or better. Additionally, they’re 13-1 SU this season when playing on exactly 2 days of rest which is precisely the case today.

New Orleans finished the regular season by going an uninspiring 5-5 SU in their last 10 at home. The Pelicans were 0-2 SU&ATS at home versus Phoenix this season while sustaining decisive losses by scores of 131-115 and 123-111. During those 2 contests they allowed Phoenix to go 35-65 (53.8%) from beyond the 3-point line.

Any NBA money line road favorite (Phoenix) that facing an opponent coming off a SU underdog win by 10 points or more, and they (New Orleans) possess a losing record, resulted in those road favorites going 37-6 (86%) since the start of the 2017-2018 season. Give me Phoenix for a money line Top Play wager.

Memphis @ Minnesota 7:30 ET

Game# 569-570

Play On: Minnesota +2.0 (5*)

The Memphis Grizzlies have enjoyed an excellent season that earned them the #2 Western Conference see. However, they’re not your typical #2 seed because of their combination of youth and limited NBA Playoff experience. This is a tough spot for them to come away with a win considering they’re playing on the road for a first time. Additionally, the Grizzlies are 0-5 SU during its previous 5 road games versus teams with a winning record. Conversely, Minnesota has gone 13-1 SU in their last 14 conference home games with their only loss coming to the #1 seed Phoenix Suns. Give me Minnesota.

Brooklyn @ Boston 7:00 PM ET

Game# 561-562

Play On: Boston -3.0 (10*)

The Nets have shot the ball extremely well over their last 3 games. Nevertheless, Boston has been red-hot offensively for a more extended period. Boston has shot 49% or better in 10 of their last 13 games. The Celtics have also scored 115 points or more in 11 of its previous 13 contests. Throughout their last 5, Boston has converted on a scalding hot 42.9% of their 3-point shots and that includes averaging 18 makes per game. Additionally, during regular season action, Boston was #1 in scoring defense (104.5 PPG), #1 in field goal percentage defense (43.4%), and #1 in 3-point percentage defense (33.9%).  Give me Boston minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Atlanta @ Miami 1:00 ET

Game# 527-528

Play On: Over 219.5 (10*)

Miami has shot a red-hot 50.9% and averaged 115.0 points per game in their 4 meetings against Atlanta this season. The Heat also made 39.7% of their 3-point shot attempts in those contests. Miami has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 214.0 to 230 and there was a combined average of 235.4 points scored per game. The Heat have also been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 games overall while averaging 121.6 points scored per contest, shooting 51.8%, converting an outstanding 46.3% of its 3-point shot attempts, and making a massive 18 threes per outing.

Atlanta has averaged 119.5 points scored per game, shot 50.6%, and made 39.7% of their 3-point shots throughout its last 5 contests. The Hawks will be compromised defensively after losing starting center Clint Capela to a knee injury in Friday’s win over Cleveland. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Denver @ Golden State 8:30 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Golden State -6.5 (10*)

Stephen Curry will return to the lineup for the first time since 3/16. The Warriors went 1-6 SU in their first 7 games without Curry following his injury. However, they’ve rebounded to win their final 5 regular season games and by a decisive margin of 143.2 points per contest. The Warriors have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Denver while winning by 15.3 points per game. Furthermore, since the 2015 NBA Playoffs, Golden State is an unscathed 7-0 SU&ATS in 1st round contests in which they were a favorite of 6.0 to 9.0 and won by a massive average of 22.7 points per game. Give me Golden State minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Pelicans @ Clippers 10:05 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: New Orleans +150 (10*)

The Clippers will be without Paul George tonight and that’s huge. Thus, the recent substantial line move. Since returning from a 3-month absence due to injury, George has averaged an eye-popping 32.5 points and 5.6 assists per game over 6 contests. That includes scoring 42 points in a Play-In game loss to Minnesota on Tuesday. Prior to George’s return, the Clippers had lost 5 straight and 8 of 10.

New Orleans is coming off an impressive 10-point win over San Antonio on Wednesday in a game they shot 54.3% from the floor. The Pelican have gone a more than respectable 11-6 SU in their last 17 away games. They also went 3-1 SU&ATS this season versus the Clippers. Give me the Pelicans on the money line for a Top Play wager.

Suns @ Clippers 10:10 PM ET

Game# 589-590

Play On: Clippers +130 (10*)

The point-spread in this game opened with Phoenix being a 3.5-point road favorite. However, it’s now the Clippers who are the favorite. That’s a clear indication to me that the Suns will be resting 1 or more key players since they have already clinched the Western Conference #1 seed.

The Clippers have won 3 of its last 4 with their lone loss coming in overtime at Chicago. Nonetheless, during that stretch they have averaged a lofty 130.8 points per game and shot 51.9% from the field. Conversely, the Suns are 1-2 in their previous 3 and allowed 116.3 points per contest. The Clippers will also be playing on 2 days rest which should never be ignored this late in the regular season. Los Angeles will be facing a Phoenix team which has outscored their opponents by an average of 7.8 points per game this season. Nevertheless, the Clippers are an impressive 11-3 SU at home since the start of last season when facing teams that outscore their opponents by an average 6.0 or more points per game. Give me the Clippers for a Top Play money line wager.

North Carolina vs. Duke 8:49 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Over 151.0 (10*)

Duke has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 games and that includes 5-0 (161.2 PPG) if the number was 146.0 or greater. The Blue Devils scored 78 or more points in 9 of their last 10 while shooting 47.8% or better in all 10.

North Carolina has scored 82.5 points per game in this NCAA Tournament. They also have averaged a robust 64.5 field goal attempts per game which equates to a lightning-fast pace. The Tar Heels will be facing a Duke team which has scored their opponents by an average of 12.7 points per game this season. North Carolina has played 7-0 to the over this season versus teams that outscored their opponents by 12.0 or more points per contest and there was an enormously combined 170.0 points scored per game.

Since the start of the 2019 season, these bitter ACC rivals have met 6 times and each of those contests have gone over the total. Ironically enough, the average total in those contests was 151.4 which is nearly identical to today’s number, and there was a combined 171.7 points scored per game. Duke is currently #1 in the country in terms of offensive efficiency and North Carolina is #18. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

New Orleans @ LA Lakers 10:40 PM ET

Game# 519-520

Play On: New Orleans -120 (10*)

For starters, the Lakers will be playing with no rest, and it will also be its 3rd game in 4 days. Conversely, New Orleans will be playing in just their 2nd game in 5 days. By the way, the Lakers are 2-8 SU this season when playing with no rest.

Since Game 42 of their season, New Orleans has gone a terrific 11-1 SU on the road when playing a team with a losing record. The Lakers qualify in the regard as they enter today with a disappointing 31-45 record.

The Lakers have allowed their last 7 opponents to shoot 48% or better and also surrendered 120 points or greater in 7 of its previous 8 games. On the other hand, New Orleans has allowed 109 points or fewer in each of its last 5 games.

Lastly, New Orleans has gone 2-0 SU&ATS versus the Lakers this season while posting wins of 116-108 and 123-95. Give me New Orleans on the money line for a Top Play wager.

St. Bonaventure vs. Xavier 7:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: St. Bonaventure -120 (10*)

Xavier is atoning for a underachieving regular season with this NIT run to Madison Square Garden. However, all 3 of their NIT wins were on their home floor and 2 of them came by only a combined 6 points. Xavier is just 5-8 SU this season in road and neutral site games. The Musketeers entered the NIT having gone 2-8 in their previous 10 games.

St. Bonaventure has literally traveled a more difficult path. The Bonnies 3 NIT victories all came on the road versus Colorado, Oklahoma, and Virginia. Furthermore, they were an underdog in each of those contests. The Bonnies are extremely disciplined. They have committed only 8.8 turnover per game throughout its last 5 contests and allowed their opponents just 9 free throw attempts per contest. This is a battle tested Bonnies team that earlier this season posted neutral site wins over Clemson, Boise State, and Marquette. The latter 2 teams made it to the NCAA Tournament. Give me St. Bonaventure for a Top Play money line wager.

Oklahoma City @ Portland 10:10 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Oklahoma City -125

The Thunder will be playing in just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. They have gone a somewhat respectable 11-9 SU this season when in that exact situation. Putting things into perspective is the fact that they’re 10-42 SU in all other games played.

This is a division game for Portland, and they’ve been abysmal in those contests this season. Specifically speaking, Portland has gone 1-12 SU versus division opponents while being outscored by an enormous 17.9 points per game. That includes 0-2 SU versus Oklahoma City with an average losing margin of 10.0 points per game.

Give me Oklahoma City as a 4-unit Top Play wager.

Charlotte @ Brooklyn 7:40 PM ET

Game# 527-528

Play On: Over 238.0 (10*)

I am not going to shy away from going over this big number. It’s this high for a reason. Charlotte has averaged 127.0 points scored per game in their last 6 on the road. Charlotte went under in their previous game. The Hornets have played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 following an under in their previous outing and there was a combined 241.5 points scored per game.

Brooklyn has averaged 122.4 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 53.1% throughout their previous 10 contests. The Nets have played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 232.0 or greater and a combined 248.2 points were scored per contest. Brooklyn last played Charlotte on 3/8 and they won 132-121 with that contest going over the total of 240.0. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Arkansas vs. Duke 8:49 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Duke -3.5 (10*)

Arkansas is coming off a huge emotional upset win over the #1 ranked team in the country Gonzaga. Now with just 1-day of rest, they have to face another blue-blood in Duke with a legendary head coach is retiring at their season’s end. Granted that the Razorbacks win over Gonzaga was an impressive one. Nevertheless, let’s not forget that they had narrow 4 and 5-point wins over #12 seed New Mexico State and #13 seed Vermont during the first 2 rounds.

Duke is a very well-balanced team. The Blue Devils are #2 nationally in offensive efficiency while averaging 121.0 points scored per 100 possessions. Duke is 11th nationally in defensive efficiency while allowing 90.4 points per their opponent’s 100 offensive possessions. Arkansas has been dominant defensively in their previous 2 games. However, Duke has averaged 82.2 points scored per game while shooting a scalding hot 54% from the field throughout its previous 9 contests. Comparatively, Arkansas has shot 39.4% from the field and made a dismal 25.7% of their 3-point shot attempts over their last 5 games. Arkansas also has scored 22.8% of their points from the free throw line this season which is 8th highest in the country. Conversely, Duke has allowed their opponents a mere 12 free throw attempts per game this season. Give me Duke minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Providence vs. Kansas 7:29 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Kansas -7.5 (10*)

I have been harsh on Kansas all season. However, this matchup versus Providence suits them well and I’m calling for a decisive Jayhawks win and cover. Throughout their last 6 games, Kansas has allowed just 63.5 points per contest and limited their opponents to a combined 37.5% shooting. Additionally, Kansas is 5-0 SU&ATS this season as a neutral court favorite of 10.0 or less and outscored those opponents by an average of 15.8 points per game. This is a well-balanced Kansas team that #6 nationally in offensive efficiency and #27 defensively.

Granted Providence shot 51.9% in their 79-51 blowout win over #12 seed Richmond in their previous game. However, it marked the first time since 1/23 that the Friars had shot 50% or better from the field. Furthermore, despite that good shooting game, Providence has made only 40.3% of their field goal attempts over its last 5 games. It also must be noted that providence faced a #13 and #12 seed in their 2 NCAA Tournament wins. They’ll be stepping up in class to take on the #2 seed Jayhawks (30-6). Give me Kansas minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET

Game# 629-630

Play On: Texas Tech -110 (10*)

We have the lower ranked and lower seeded team as a favorite in this contest. Public bettors have flocked to the window early to bet on Duke just as I expected. However, like I said on numerous occasions, my trust lies in the oddsmakers uncanny ability to set an accurate line 24/7 and 7 days a week over all else. The Red Raiders weren’t at their best in their 59-53 second round win over Notre Dame but still walked away with a win. Nevertheless, their calling card is on the defensive side of the floor. Notre Dame entered that 2nd round matchup having shot 50% or better in 5 consecutive games. Texas Tech forced the Fighting Irish into a horrible 32% shooting day. The Red Raiders have now held opponents to less than 40% shooting and 62 points or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games. Furthermore, Texas Tech is #1 nationally in defensive efficiency while allowing 84.4 points per opponent 100 offensive possessions. How good a rating is that? The next best team in terms of defensive deficiency that’s part of the ‘Sweet 16 field is Gonzaga at 89.7. Give me Texas Tech for a money line wager.

Washington State @ BYU 9:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: BYU -135 (10*)

During their 2 NIT games with both played at home, BYU has scored 91.5 points per contest and shot a sizzling hot 53.7% from the field. AS a matter of fact, BYU has shot 50.8% or better in 6 of their last 9 games. Conversely, Washington State has shot 38.1% or worse in 10 of its previous 14 games. This is a battle tested BYU team that has played the 31st toughest non-conference schedule in the country. The Cougars are 14-2 at home this season with their lone defeats coming versus #1 Gonzaga and San Francisco who lost to #20 Murray State in overtime during a 1st round NCAA Tournament game. Give me BYU on the money line for a Top Play wager.

Clippers @ Nuggets 10:00 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Clippers +7.0 (10*)

Denver has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home and all those losses came by double-digit margins. The Clippers have made a respectable 36.5% of their 3-point shot attempts this season. That’s significant as it pertains to this matchup considering Denver is 1-8 ATS at home this season versus opponents possessing a 36% or better 3-point shot conversion rate and they were outscored by an average of 7.0 points per game.

The Clippers have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. However, they haven’t lost 4-games in a row all season long. As a matter of fact, the Clippers are 4-0 SU&ATS this season following 3 consecutive losses and with an average victory margin of 8.7 points per game. Los Angeles has played Denver 3 times this season with all those contests be decided by 3-points or less and the Clippers were 3-0 ATS. Give me the Clippers plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ Dallas 8:40 PM ET

Game# 535-536

Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (10*)

Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and is coming off losses in each of the previous 2. Conversely, this will be just the 3rd game in 7 days for Minnesota. The Timberwolves are a red-hot 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 and 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 games. Throughout their last 5 contests, Minnesota has scored a lofty 126.8 points per game, shot 48.3% from the field, made 41.1% of its 3-point attempts, and went 88.1% at the free throw line. Give me Minnesota plus the points for a Top Play wager.

TCU vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET

Game# 829-830

Play On: Arizona -9.5 (10*)

TCU is coming off an extremely impressive 69-42 win over Seton Hall on Friday. However, the Horned Frogs have gone just 1-5 SU&ATS during their last 6 following a win in its previous game. Additionally, there’s a sizable disparity in the opponent they’ll face today compared to a Seton Hall team that was average at best over the 2nd half of their season. TCU has scored less than 70 points in each of its last 5 and 9 of their previous 11 games. That’s problematic when it comes to this matchup when considering Arizona has scored 81 points or more during its last 7 and 11 of their previous 12 games. The Wildcats have also shot 49% or better during 11 of its previous 13 games. Arizona is far the better team in this game and will walk away with a decisive win and cover. Give me Arizona minus the points for a Top Play wager.

St. Mary’s vs. UCLA 7:10 PM ET

Game# 797-798

Play On: UCLA -2.5 (10*)

St. Mary’s looked terrific in their 82-53 rout of Indiana on Thursday. Conversely, UCLA closed the game on a 15-4 run in their narrow 57-53 win over Akron in a game they were a sizable 13.5-points favorite. As a result, we’ve seen a plethora of early bets and money being wagered on St. Mary’s. I’m predicting UCLA will bounce back with a huge performance on Saturday. This is an experienced UCLA team that advanced to the Final Four a season ago and that will pay dividends in this matchup. Give me UCLA minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Vermont vs. Arkansas 9:20 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Vermont +5.5 (10*)

This line jumped right off the screen at first glance. Here we have the #17 Arkansas Razorbacks from the powerful SEC 25-8 as just a 5.0-point favorite versus a team that won the America East Conference. However, this is a Vermont Catamounts team that has an outstanding 28-5 record and that includes 22-1 during its previous 23 games. The Catamounts also went 2-1 in non-conference play versus teams that are in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field. Their wins came versus the Ivy League champion Yale Bulldogs and the other against the Patriot League automatic qualifier the Colgate Raiders. Their loss came at #13 Providence by 10. The Catamounts defeated UMBC in the conference title game by a lopsided 82-43 score. Since the start of last season, Vermont has won 8 games by 30 points or more, and they followed the previous 7 by going 7-0 SU&ATS while winning by a substantial 24.6 points per contest. Give me Vermont plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Wyoming vs. Indiana 9:10 PM ET

Game# 665-666

Play On: Wyoming +4.5 (10*)

Indiana is certainly the bigger brand than Wyoming and plays in a better Conference. Which aligns itself with an enormous amount of early money being wagered on the Hoosiers. However, the Mountain West Conference was vastly underrated this season which is evidenced by their 4 NCAA Tournament berths and 2 of those teams (Boise State, Colorado State) being currently being ranked in the Top 25. It must be noted, Indiana has gone 2-8 SU in their last 10 games versus teams that are in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field.

Wyoming is coming off a loss against #23 Boise State in the Mountain West Conference Tournament. Nevertheless, the Cowboys have been resilient this season which is proven by their 6-1 SU record following a loss. They were also an extremely profitable 7-3 ATS as an underdog. Give me Wyoming plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Milwaukee @ Utah 10:10 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Utah +1.5 (10*)

You may be surprised to know that Milwaukee has gone a dismal 4-11 SU&ATS this season when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. The Bucks defensive play has left much to be desired of late as they’ve allowed 117.2 points per game while allowing their opponents to shoot 49.5% and convert on 38.5% of its 3-point shot attempts.

Utah has won 9 consecutive home games and that in itself gives the underdog Jazz ample betting value. Utah has outscored their opponents by an average of 6.4 points per game this season. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Milwaukee is a bankroll draining 11-27 ATS on the road when facing opponents with a +4.0 or greater point per game differential on the season. Utah won at Milwaukee 107-95 in late October. Give me Utah plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Texas Tech vs. Kansas 6:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (10*)

I may be in the minority when I say that Texas Tech is the overall better team in this matchup. I also like their chances of a deep NCAA Tournament run far better than that of the higher ranked Kansas Jayhawks. These teams split the 2 games during regular season action with the home side posting blowout victories on each occasion.

During their 2 Big 12 Tournament games versus Iowa State and Oklahoma the Texas Tech Red Riders have been dominant defensively. They held those opponents to only 48.0 points scored per contest and a mere 34.7% shooting. During their 2 regular season meetings versus Kansas, Texas Tech averaged 83.0 points scored per contest and shot an impressive 48.3%. Give me Texas Tech plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Miami vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET

Game# 863-864

Play On: Duke -8.5 (10*)

This is a Duke team which has shoot 48% or better in each of their last 6 games. Conversely, Miami has allowed its opponents to shoot 48% or better during 5 of its previous 6 contests. Duke will be playing with big time revenge stemming from a 76-74 home loss to Miami earlier this season in a game they closed as a 15.0-point favorite. The Blue Devils had a scare yesterday before pulling away late in a 9-point win over an undermanned Syracuse team that they blew out twice during regular season action. That’s not likely to occur again. Miami narrowly escaped with a 2-point overtime win over a hapless Boston College team in yesterday’s conference quarterfinals. Give me Duke minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Virginia Tech vs. Notre Dame 7:00 PM ET

Game# 725-726

Play On: Virginia Tech -125 (10*)

Virginia Tech’s NCAA Tournament chances continue to be on life support after yesterday’s thrill buzzer beating 3-point shot in a 1-point win over Clemson. I look for them to carry that momentum into today. The Hokies are now 10-2 in their last 12 games. Since the start of last season, Virginia Tech is 3-0 SU in their games versus Notre Dame. Virginia Tech is an excellent defensive team that has allowed only 61.7 points per game. Conversely, Notre Dame is 1-7 SU this season versus opponents who allow 64 points or less per game. The Fighting Irish are also 0-3 SU&ATS in lined neutral site games this season. Barring something unforeseen, Notre Dame is a lock to make “The Big Dance”. On the other hand, Virginia tech needs at least 1 more if not 2 more wins in this ACC Tournament to possibly get there. I’m going with the team that will surely exhibit more desperation and urgency in this matchup. Give me Virginia Tech.

Atlanta @ Milwaukee 7:40 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Over 239.5 (10*)

This is certainly a high total even by modern day NBA standards. However, it’s for good reason and isn’t going to deter me from going over the number. Atlanta is coming off an under in their previous game. However, the Hawks have played 6-0 to the over during its last 6 following an under in their previous game. Additionally, those 6 contests produced a combined 242.5 points scored per game.

Milwaukee has played 13-3 to the over in their last 16 games. Furthermore, the Bucks have averaged 126.7 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 games and allowed 119.2 points per contests over its previous 11 contests.

To steal a boxing analogy, styles make fights. These 2 teams will produce a high scoring and extremely entertaining game tonight. Give me this contest to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Gonzaga -12.5 (10*)

It’s apparent by current betting patterns that the public is wagering on St. Mary’s plus the sizable number like it’s an absolute cinch. After all, these teams just met on 2/28 in the regular season finale for both teams and St. Mary’s walked away with a convincing 10-point win as a 10.5-point home underdog. Additionally, the Gaels held Gonzaga to a season low 57 points and 36.7% shooting. I’m here to tell you that’s not happening again. Gonzaga was caught in a flat spot, and the Bulldogs will bounce back with vengeance tonight. The oddsmakers were certainly not deterred by that previous result based on the opening number of 13.5. Gonzaga will show their upper echelon class tonight in a revenge situation. Give me Gonzaga minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 8:30 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Texas A&M -2.0 (10*)

Mississippi State has gone a dismal 1-8 SU in SEC road games this season with their only win coming versus a Missouri team which has a poor 4-13 conference record and is 10-20 overall. The Bulldogs are coming off a disheartening home overtime loss to #5 Auburn that for all intent and purposes eliminated them from a possible at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. It’s hard to imagine the Bulldogs recovering emotionally from that loss just 3 days later. Furthermore, Mississippi State is 0-4 SU&ATS this season within the point-spread parameter of pick to +4.0.

Texas A&M starter the season 15-2 then proceeded to lose 8 straight games. Since that time, the Aggies have rebounded to win 4 of their last 5 and includes a present 3-0 SU&ATS run. As a matter of fact, Texas A&M is coming off a 10-point road win over #25 Alabama in a game they closed as a 16.0-point underdog. During their current 3-game winning run, the Aggies scored 84.7 points per contest and shot a blistering hot 55.8% from the field. Give me Texas A&M minus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Miami @ Brooklyn 7:30 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 221.5 (10*)

Miami will be playing with no rest after last night’s disheartening 1-point loss at Milwaukee. The Heat have played 9-1 to the over this season when playing on no rest. During their previous 5 games played, Miami has scored 118.0 points per contest, shot 47.3%, and made good on 38.3% of their 3-point attempts. They will be facing a Nets team that has allowed 122.2 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot 51.2% and make an alarmingly high 42.4% of their 3-point shots over its last 5 contests. Brooklyn is coming off a 109-108 loss at Toronto and that game went under the total of 218.0. Brooklyn has played 12-2 to the over in its last 14 following an under in their previous game. Brooklyn has also permitted opponents to shoot 50%$ or better in 10 of their last 14 games. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Auburn @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Mississippi State +4.0 (10*)

Auburn has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Their only 2 SU wins came against the 2 worst teams in the SEC in Missouri and Georgia. As a matter of fact, those 2 wins came by a combined 3 points and they were favorites of 14.0 and 14.5 in those contests. Conversely, Mississippi State has gone 7-1 SU in conference home games this season. The Bulldogs have shot 49% or better in each of their previous 5 at home. Give me Mississippi State minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Providence @ Villanova 6:30 PM ET

Game# 605-606

Play On: Villanova -9.5 (10*)

We have the higher ranked team in #9 Providence (24-3) as close to a double-digit underdog against #11 Villanova (21-7). Just as I expected, public money has been overwhelmingly in favor of Providence. I seldom if ever go with what can be perceived as the obvious choice. This betting situation certainly qualifies in the regard. Furthermore, I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers more than those voters participating in the national polls. These teams met just 2 weeks ago at Providence and Villanova walked away with a 5-point win. This is one of those times that the revenge factor means very little to me. The Friars just don’t match up well against Villanova. I’m calling for a decisive win and cover by the home favorite Wildcats. Gove me Villanova minus the points for my Big East Game of the Year”.

Minnesota @ Cleveland 7:10 PM ET

Game# 867-868

Play On: Cleveland +3.5 (10*)

Cleveland has won 8 straight home games, so they possess plenty of betting value as an underdog in this contest. Furthermore, they allowed less than 100 points in each of their previous 7 at home. Conversely, Minnesota has lost 7 consecutive away games when facing an opponent with a winning record. The Timberwolves have been dominated on the glass in their last 5 by an average of 9 rebound per game. Give me Cleveland plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Memphis @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET

Game# 527-528

Play On: Memphis +115 (10*)

Memphis enters today on a 2-game losing streak. The Grizzlies haven’t lost 3 consecutive games since 12/23/2021. Despite that mini slump, the Grizzlies are still an outstanding 22-6 in their last 28 games. Their most recent loss came at Minnesota. Memphis is an outstanding 8-1 SU this season following a road loss. These teams met once this season and Memphis walked away with a convincing 119-106 home win and covered as a sizable 9.0-point favorite. Chicago is on a 6-game win streak which includes their last 5 coming at home. Yet, the oddsmakers see this game as an even contest. That itself speaks volumes to me. Give me Memphis for a money line wager.

Auburn @ Tennessee 4:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Tennessee -3.5 (10*)

This line jumped right off the page to me since #3 Auburn comes up as an underdog versus #17 Tennessee. Especially when considering, if this game were being played at Auburn, the Tigers would only be no more than a 3.0 or 4.0-point favorite. Since Auburn was ranked #1 for a first time in program history in late January, they’ve been dominant at home but very beatable on the road. Specifically speaking, during that time span Auburn is 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS on the road. Additionally, their only 2 SU road wins in that stretch came over Missouri by 2 as a 14.0-points favorite and by 1 over Georgia as a 14.5-point chalk. Those 2 opponents are arguably the worst teams in the SEC this season. Conversely, Tennessee is a perfect 14-0 at home this season. The Volunteers are #36 nationally out of 358 Division 1 teams in terms of home court advantage. Tennessee is also #3 nationally in defensive efficiency in giving up just 87.9 points per their opponents 100 offensive possessions. Give me Tennessee minus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Dallas @ Utah 9:10 PM ET

Game# 513-514

Play On: Utah -5.5 (10*)

Utah has gone 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 at home versus Dallas. The Jazz are also 6-0 SU&ATS in their previous 6 at home and won by an average of 18.5 points per game. During that 6-game home win streak, Utah has held opponents to 99.2 points per game. Since the start of last season, Utah has gone 16-4 (80%) ATS in the month of February and outscored their opponents by 13.8 points per contest. Give me Utah minus the points for a Top Play wager.

LSU @ Kentucky 9:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On” Over 142.0 (10*)

LSU has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 and that includes 4-0 over (145.5 PPG) on the road. Kentucky has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 at home when there was a total of 141.5 or greater and a combined 163.7 points were scored per game. Kentucky is ranked #4 national in offensive efficiency while scoring 120.6 points per 100 offensive possessions. The last 5 Kentucky games have seen a combined average of 127 field goal attempts per game which equated to an extremely fast pace by college basketball standards. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Villanova @ Connecticut 8:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 136.5 (10*)

Villanova has played 7-1 to the over in conference away games this season and there was a combined average of 147.1 points scored per contest. The Wildcats have also gone over the total in 5 of its last 6 overall with a combined 152.0 points scored per game. Villanova averages 9 three-point makes per game this season. Conversely, Connecticut has played 7-1 to the over this season versus opponents that average 8 or more 3-point makes per contest and there was a combined 160.0 points scored per game. During the first meeting of the season, Villanova walked away with an 85-74 home win and that contest easily sailed over the total of 128.5. The adjustment has been made to their 2nd matchup, but it still won’t prevent this game from surpassing the number. Give me this game to go over the total as a Top Play wager.

Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt 6:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On: Vanderbilt -3.5 (10*)

Vanderbilt was very competitive in road losses at #2 Auburn and #19 Tennessee. They covered the Tennessee game and fell just short in a 14-point loss to Auburn as a 13.5-point underdog. The Commodores return home where they’ve won 3 straight and a much-improved team than we saw earlier this season. Conversely, Texas A&M started the season 15-2 and then since that time they’ve gone 1-8. Their lone victory in that sequence came by 1 at home over Florida. These are two teams heading in opposite directions. Give me Vanderbilt minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Towson State @ UNC-Wilmington 6:00 PM ET

Game# 743-744

Play On: NC-Wilmington +3.5 (10*)

NC-Wilmington continues to not get much respect from oddsmakers despite going 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 games versus Division 1 opponents. Furthermore, the Seawolves have gone a superb 9-0 ATS and 8-1 SU in their last 9 as an underdog. Wilmington is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in lined home games this season, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. Give me UNC-Wilmington plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Vanderbilt @ Auburn 9:00 ET

Game# 717-718

Play On: Over 143.0 (10*)

Vanderbilt has gone over the total in each of their last 5 contests. The Commodores shot a blistering hot 43.5% from 3-point territory throughout that 5-game stretch. Auburn is coming off a 75-58 home win over Texas A&M in a game that easily went under the totakl of 141.5. However, Auburn has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following an under and there was a combined 152.0 points scored per game. Both teams have recently been great at getting to the foul line. Through each team’s previous 5 outings, Vandy averaged 23 free throw attempts per contest and Auburn did so 26 times per game. Conversely, during that identical 5-game stretch, both teams sent their opponents to the free throw line with almost identical frequency. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Ohio State @ Michigan 6:00 PM ET

Game# 739-740

Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*)

My prediction is Michigan will be a heavily bet side in this matchup after their 82-58 home blowout over #3 Purdue on Thursday. It was far and away the best that Michigan has played all season. It would be a big ask to expect Michigan to turn in a similar dominating performance over another ranked team just 2 days later. It’s also unlikely the Wolverines will be able to match the emotion and laser like focus they displayed against Purdue. Conversely, #16 Ohio State will be in a sour mood after being upset 66-64 at Rutgers on Wednesday night. The good news for Buckeye backers is that their team is 5-0 SU this season following a loss. Give me Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Purdue @ Michigan 9:00 PM ET

Game# 843-844

Play On: Over 144.5 (10*)

#3 Purdue enters this contest after going over in their last 5 and with a combined 160.2 points scored per game. The Boilermakers have scored 80 points or more in 6 straight and 8 of its last 9 games. Purdue is #1 nationally out of 357 teams playing Division 1 basketball in offensive efficiency while scoring 126.5 points per 100 possessions. They’ll be facing a Michigan team that has allowed 74.2 points per game and permitted opponents to shoot 49.2% over their previous 5 contests.

Michigan has seen all 4 of their conference home games go over the total with a combined average of 148.4 points scored per game. The Wolverines are #24 national in offensive efficiency at 113.8 points scored per 100 possessions. Michigan will be out to avenge an 82-76 loss at Purdue in a game that took place just last Friday. That contest easily surpassed the total of 145.5. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Tennessee @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 745-746

Play On: Mississippi State +1.5 (10*)

#19 travels to Biloxi, Mississippi for what shapes up to be a tough matchup despite them facing an unranked opponent. The Volunteers are coming off an 81-57 blowout win at South Carolina. Since the start of last season, Tennessee has gone 0-4 SU following a conference win by 20 or more and lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. The Volunteers are just 2-4 SU in conference away games this season.

Mississippi State has displayed a strong home court advantage this season while going 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS in those games. Furthermore, Mississippi State is 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season The Bulldogs are coming off a 63-55 loss at Arkansas in a game they shot just 35.3% from the field. Mississippi State is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shot less than 40% and has a substantial victory margin of 18.0 points per game. The Bulldogs are in desperate need of a signature win over a ranked opponent to improve their NCAA Tournament resume. Give me Mississippi State for a Top Play wager.

Auburn @ Arkansas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Arkansas +2.5 (10*)

They’re begging you to take the #1 Auburn Tigers as a short favorite over an unranked team. Since being ranked #1 for the first time in school history 2 weeks ago, Auburn has played 2 road games and turned in uninspiring performances against arguably the 2 worst SEC teams. They escaped with narrow wins by 1 at Missouri and by 2 versus Georgia. Conversely, this is a red-hot Arkansas team that’s riding an 8-game win streak and they covered on 7 of those occasions. The Razorbacks are also 13-1 at home this season. Give me Arkansas plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Kentucky @ Alabama 8:00 PM ET

Game# 791-792

Play On: Alabama +1.5 (10*)

The one thing that’s been consistent for Alabama this season has been their inconsistency. The Crimson Tide is coming off a resounding 100-81 road loss at #1 Auburn. That defeat dropped the Crimson Tide’s season record to 14-8. They have also suffered puzzling losses to Iona, Davidson, at Georgia as a 14.5-point favorite, and at Missouri as a 14.0-point chalk. Nonetheless, there are many positives. Alabama has posted wins over #2 Gonzaga, #6 Houston, #8 Baylor, #22 Tennessee, and #25 LSU. So, it’s unlikely they’ll be intimidated by taking on #4 Kentucky at home where Alabama has gone 10-1 SU. Their lone home defeat was by a narrow 3-point margin against top ranked Auburn. Give me Alabama plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Atlanta @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET

Game# 517-518

Play On: Toronto -3.0 (10*)

I’m sure that public bettors will be enticed to take Atlanta after watching them defeat Phoenix 124-116 last night in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. Toronto also played last night, and they defeated Chicago 127-120 at home. Here’s the thing, Toronto is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS this season when playing with no rest, and Atlanta is 3-6 SU&ATS in that role.

Toronto enters today on a 4-0 SU&ATS run in their last 4. The Raptors currently have a season record of 27-23. Conversely, Atlanta is a poor 9-17 SU this season when facing an opponent with a winning record. Since the start of last season, the Hawks are a dismal 1-6 SU on the road following a home underdog SU win. Give me Toronto minus the points for a Top Play wager.

UCLA @ Arizona 8:00 PM ET

Game# 795-796

Play On: Under 149.0 (10*)

These teams met just 10 days ago in Los Angeles and UCLA walked away 75-59 win which easily went under the total of 150.5. These are 2 of the best defensive teams in the country with Arizona ranked #7 and UCLA #9 in defensive efficiency. Just a note, there are 357 teams playing Men’s Division 1 College Basketball.

UCLA has played 5-0 to the under during their previous 5 true road games and there was only a combined 123.2 points scored per contest. Conversely, Arizona is 5-0 to the under in their last 5 when the total was 143.0 or greater. The average total in those 5 contests was 152.0 and there was just 135.2 points scored per game. The Wildcats are coming off 2 consecutive atrocious shooting games in which they made an anemic 31.3% of their field goal attempts. UCLA has shown a significant drop off in offensive production when not play at the cozy confines of Pauley Pavillion in Los Angeles. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Miami @ San Antonio 8:40 PM ET

Game# 599-600

Play On: Over 222.0 (10*)

Miami has gone over the total in each of their previous 6 games. Furthermore, Miami has gone an extremely noteworthy 17-3 over the total in non-conference games this season. Wednesday will be the Heat’s 3rd game in 4 days and they’ve played 8-1 to the over this season when in that identical situation. San Antonio has been red-hot offensively over their previous 5 games. During that span they averaged 121.0 points scored per game and shot 51.2%. That 51.2% shooting over that span becomes even more impressive when considering the Spurs have averaged 95 field goal attempts per game which is well over the NBA average. Miam has played 18-10 (64.2%) to the over on the road this season while San Antonio is 18-7 (72%) to the over at home. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Orlando @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET

Game# 551-552

Play On: Over 222.5 (10*)

Orlando has played 3-1 to the over in their last 3 conference away games and there was a combined 225.3 points scored per contest. The Magic have also seen 5 of its last 6 games go over the total. Orlando has far exceeded their season offensive numbers during their previous 5 games. Throughout that stretch they’ve scored 110.0 points per game and shot 48.5% from the floor.

Chicago has played 8-0 to the over this season during home games that had a total of 220.0 or greater and there was a combined 246.6 points scored per contest. The Bulls defensive play has been uninspiring during their previous 5 contests while allowing opponents to shoot 49.2% and that includes a concerning 41.6% from 3-point territory. When taking into account, all 3 of their meetings this season versus Orlando went under the total and the average number was just 215.5 and each contest had a combined 211 points or fewer being scored, something doesn’t make sense. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Duke @ Notre Dame 7:00 PM ET

Game# 883-884

Play On: Notre Dame +5.5 (5*)

Notre Dame which has won 10 of their last 11 and is currently on a 4-game unbeaten streak will welcome the challenge of hosting #9 Duke. The Fighting Irish are not stranger to being a home underdog this season as they’ve been in that role twice already and fared well on both occasions. They defeated #4 Kentucky as a 4.5-points underdog and North Carolina as a 1.5-point dog. As a matter of fact, the Fighting Irish are a perfect 9-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 11.7 points per game. Despite their outstanding 17-3 season record, Duke is just 2-2 SU in true road games, and 2 of their 3 defeats came versus unranked opponents. Bet Notre Dame plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Mississippi State @ Texas Tech 6:00 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Texas Tech -7.0 (10*)

This isn’t a good matchup for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 0-3 in true road game this season and they allowed 80 or more points on each occasion. They’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s 12-0 at home with an average victory margin of 23.7 points per game. Additionally, the Red Raiders are holding their visiting opponents to a mere 57.7 points per game and 37.8% shooting from the field. Mississippi State has faced just 1 team this season that’s currently ranked in the Top 25 and it was an 8-point loss at Kentucky in their previous game. Conversely, Texas Tech has gone 4-4 this season versus ranked teams. Bet Texas Tech minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Marquette @ Seton Hall 8:30 PM ET

Game# 729-730

Play On: Seton Hall -5.5 (10*)

Marquette is a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 contests. That impressive winning run has catapulted them into the Top 25 for a first time this season at #22. Seton Hall spent most of this first half of the season as a Top 25 team. However, they just recently fell out of the Top 25 rankings and is coming off a terrible 20-point home loss to St. John’s on Monday. It’s redemption time for the Pirates tonight after losing by 1 at Marquette less than 2 weeks ago. It’s also time for a statement win after they’ve seemingly been sleep walking during recent losses. Bet Seton Hall minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Michigan State @ Illinois 7:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Illinois -4.5 (10*)

This line doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. We have #24 Illinois (13-5) who lost their last 2 games as a sizable favorite versus #10 Michigan State (15-3). Additionally, Michigan State is coming off a convincing upset win at #8 Wisconsin this past Friday which made them 3-0 SU&ATS this season in conference road games. Conversely, Illinois has suffered 2 home losses this season at the hands of #3 Arizona and #6 Purdue. It’s just rarely that easy. Give me Illinois minus the points.

Utah @ Phoenix 9:10 PM ET

Game# 509-510

Play On: Under 221.0 (10*)

Utah has seen each of their previous 4 games go under and there was a combined 205.3 points scored per contest. Phoenix has played under the total in its last 4 when the number was 216.5 to 226.5 and there was a combined 207.0 points scored per game.

Utah is outscoring their opponents by 7.1 points per game. Conversely, Phoenix has outscored their opponents by 8.0 points per contest. Any NBA game involving teams that are outscoring their opponents by 7.0 or more points per game on the season, and the total was 220.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 24-2 (92.3%) to the under since 1996-1997. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Texas A&M @ Arkansas 8;30 ET

Game# 797-798

Play On: Arkansas -8.0 (10*)

Arkansas rebounded from a recent 3-game losing streak by winning its previous 3 games and all in impressive fashion. One of those wins came by 7 on the road at #13 LSU in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. Texas A&M is coming off a 64-58 home loss to Kentucky which halted their 8-game win streak. Despite that defeat, the Aggies still possess a sparkling 15-3 record and includes 4-1 in SEC action. Yet, they’re a sizable underdog versus an Arkansas squad that’s just 3-3 in SEC play and 13-5 overall. If there’s a trap game for college basketball bettors on Saturday’s enormous card this is the one. This line makes no sense to me and when that happens, I oppose what seems obvious. Bet Arkansas minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Michigan State @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET

Game# 891-892

Play On: Michigan State +3.5 (10*)

What’s not to like about Wisconsin’s recent play. They’ve won 7 consecutive games and covered each of their previous 5. However, they’ll be in for their toughest test to date versus a terrific Michigan State team that’s coming off a home upset loss to Northwestern. The Spartans are 2-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss while winning by 26.5 points per game. Michigan State is also an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in true road games this season with their average point-spread being -6.3 and an average victory margin of 11.7. Give me Michigan State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Phoenix @ Dallas 7:30 PM ET

Game# 529-530

Play On: Dallas +3.0 (10*)

Phoenix is unequivocally the class of the Western Conference. However, tonight will be a finale of a 5-game in 10-day road trip for the Suns in which they’ve already gone 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS. The point being, it’s already been a successful trip for Phoenix and they’re vulnerable to a flat spot this evening

The Dallas Mavericks are on a red-hot 10-1 SU run and that includes a current 4-game win streak in which they allowed 102 points or fewer on each occasion. They have also won 6 consecutive home games. This will be the Mavericks 4th straight game played at home. These teams last met on 11/19/21, and Phoenix walked away with a 112-104 home win. Dallas has gone an unscathed 7-0 ATS when playing with same season revenge. Bet Dallas plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Purdue @ Indiana 7:00 PM ET

Game# 743-744

Play On: Indiana +3.5 (5*)

#4 Purdue is coming off a thrilling 96-88 overtime win at #17 Illinois on Monday night. Now they take on an unranked Indiana team that they’ve beaten 9 consecutive times. Furthermore, Indiana is a perfect 11-0 SU at home this season and they covered 9 of those contests. The Hoosiers have been solid defensively in their 7 Big 10 Conference games while holding opponents to 63.6 points per contest and only 39.2% shooting. Bet Indiana plus the points.

LSU @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On: Alabama -3.5 (10*)

This opening line and the ensuing movement jumped off the page at me. Alabama has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and fell out of the Top 25 for a first time this season. Yet, they opened as a 2.5-point favorite and is now -4.0 against #13 LSU. Speaking of LSU, they’re coming off a listless performance during a 7-point upset home loss to unranked Arkansas. I’m looking for Alabama to bounce back in a huge way in this matchup. Bet Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas @ Oklahoma 7:00 PM ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Oklahoma +4.0 (10*)

Oklahoma has lost 3 of their last 4 but all those defeats came on the road. The Sooners are 9-1 at home this season. I really like this Sooners team and think they’re much better than their 12-5 record indicates. Former Loyola-Chicago head coach Porter Moser was a great hire by Oklahoma, and he’s been involved in several high-pressured NCAA Tournament games and was quite successful in those games at his previous stop with a majority coming as an underdog. Kansas is just 1-1 in true road games this season and is coming off a narrow 1-point win over Iowa State in a contest they were a sizable 12.5-point favorite. Bet Oklahoma plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET

Game# 895-896

Play On: Over 143.5 (10*)

The Wolverines have averaged 63 field goal attempts per game in their last 5 which equates to a fast tempo and shot an impressive 48.3% while doing so. Conversely, Illinois has averaged 62 field goal attempts in their last 5 and shot 50.8% from the floor while making 41.8% of its 3-point shot attempts. Michigan has played 3-0 to the over in Big 10 Conference games and there was a combined 150.3 points scored per contest. Illinois has played 9-1-1 to the over in their last 11 and that includes 5-0 if the total was 141.0 or greater. Those 5 contests in that specific total’s parameter averaged a combined 163.4 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Bucks @ Hornets 7:10 PM ET

Game# 207-508

Play On: Hornets -117 (10*)

Milwaukee is coming off a huge win last night at Brooklyn in a game they closed as a 4.5-point underdog. The Bucks are just 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS this season when playing with no rest. Additionally, this will be the Bucks 3rd game in 4 days as well.

Charlotte will have a sizable advantage tonight since they haven’t played since Tuesday’s 140-111 blowout home win over Detroit. The Hornets are now 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 at home. Charlotte will also be out to revenge a 2-point loss at Milwaukee earlier this season in their only other meeting against the Bucks.

Any NBA money line favorite that’s coming off a home win by 20 points or more, and they’re playing with same season revenge from a road loss, resulted in those teams going 61-12 throughout the previous 5 season including 5-0 during this current 2021-2022 slate. Bet the Hornets for a Top Play money line wager.

Kansas @ Texas Tech 4:00 PM ET

Game# 695-696

Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*)

#6 Kansas (12-1) has faced just 1 team this season currently in the Top 25 and that was in their season opener versus #10 Michigan State. Conversely, #25 Texas Tech (10-3) only 3 losses this season came at the hands of #16 Providence, #11 Iowa State, and #4 Gonzaga. The Red Raiders also own a win over #18 Tennessee. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, Texas Tech has gone 68-10 at home and that includes 8-0 in their current campaign. The Red Raiders are a terrific defensive team that is 9th nationally in field goal percentage defense and #11 in scoring defense. We have a team with a strong home court which holds opponents to less than 40% shooting, allows less than 60 points per game, and has an extremely strong court. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Marquette @ Georgetown 6:30 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Georgetown +2.5 (10*)

Unranked Marquette is coming off a resounding 32-point home win over #16 Providence. We must keep things in perspective before overreacting to that blowout win which did indeed end a 4-game Marquette losing streak. Conversely, Georgetown is coming off a 80-73 home loss to TCY which put a halt to a 3-game Hoyas win streak. Marquette has played the much stronger schedule and has a better record than Georgetown. Yet, they’re just a tiny favorite in this matchup. It’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. Bet Georgetown plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

USC @ California 11:00 PM ET

Game# 835-836

Play On: California +5.5 (10*)

USC enters this contest with unbeaten 12-0 record and ranked #7 in the country. Nevertheless, they will be facing a red-hot California team which has won 5 straight and by an average of 17.6 points per game. During this current win streak, Cal is allowing just 52.8 points per game and held their opponents to a miserable 34.9% shooting from the field. Additionally, throughout their 5-game win streak Call has converted on a terrific 39.5% of its 3-point shot attempts and is a +10 rebound per game differential. Lastly, Cal was upset in their home opener by UC-Sam Diego, and since that time has reeled off 9 consecutive wins in Berkely while covering 8 of those contests. Bet California plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Kings @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET

Game# 529-530

Play On: Kings +6.5 (10*)

The Lakers are coming off home wins in their last 2 outings which halted a 1-6 SU&ATS losing run. However, since the start of last season, the Lakers are an abysmal 1-12 ATS following home wins in each of their previous 2 games, and they were outscored by an average of 4.1 points per contest. Furthermore, since the start of the last season, the Lakers are a money-draining 3-12 ATS during division home games.

Sacramento enters today having gone a more than respectable 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. The most recent of which was Sunday’s 2-point win over Miami. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, the Kings are an extremely profitable 14-3 ATS on the road following a win by 6 points or fewer. Bet the Kings plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Wisconsin @ Purdue 7:00 PM ET

Game# 867-868

Play On: Purdue -12.5 (10*)

We have two nationally ranked teams squaring off in this matchup. The #3 Purdue Boilermakers (12-1) enters this contest as a double-digit favorite versus the #23 Wisconsin Badgers (10-2). Purdue is 8-0 at home this season while winning by a substantial margin of 28.0 points per game. The Boilermakers have shot 50% or better in 10 of 13 games this season and have made an impressive 41.1% of their 3 point-shot attempts on the year. Purdue is also a dominant rebounding team at +14 per game in that category. The Badgers aren’t a great offensive nor rebounding team. Considering these are 2 ranked teams, this is a heavy line in which the sportsbooks are begging you to take the double-digit underdog. I’m not falling for the trap. Give me Purdue minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Akron @ Wright State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Over 146.0 (10*)

Wright State has seen each of its last 4 contests go over the total and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. According to college basketball statistical guru Ken Pomeroy, Wright State ranks 31st out of 358 Division 1 teams in offensive tempo while averaging 72.2 possessions per 40 minutes. Additionally, Wright State opponents have an average length of offensive possession against them is 15.7 seconds which is 5th fastest in the country.

Akron has also played 4-0 to the over in its last 4 with a combined average of 145.8 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Akron has made an excellent 79.4% of their free throws and 39.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet this game over the total for a Top Play wager.

Alabama @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET

Game# 633-634

Play On: Memphis +3.5 (10*)

This game has trap written all over it. We have #6 Alabama coming off huge wins in their last 2 outings over #5 Gonzaga and #14 Houston who both were Final Four Teams last April. Then there’s Memphis who’s gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games after starting the season 5-0 and being nationally ranked. Yet, Alabama is a short favorite in this spot and would seem to be an obvious choice for novice bettors. Well, I’m not a novice and rarely does obvious choices in sports betting appeal to me. Bet Memphis plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Washington @ Denver 9:10 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Over 215.5 (10*)

Both teams have played a high percentage of overs recently. Washington has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was a combined average of 227.3 points scored per game. Denver has gone over the total in their last 3 as well with each of those contests surpass the number by 18.5 points or more. Additionally, Denver has played 10-1 to the over in 10 of its last 11 and 12 of their previous 14 games. The Nuggets are off to a disappointing 13-13 start to the season.

Any NBA team (Denver) that has gone over the total by 12 points or more in each of their previous 3 games, and has a season win percentage of between .450-.550, resulted in those teams playing 39-10 (79.6%) to the over during the past 5 seasons. There was a combined average of 231.3 points scored per game throughout those 49 contests. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Arizona @ Illinois 5:00 PM ET

Game# 671-672

Play On: Illinois +3.0 (10*)

This line opened with #11 Arizona (8-0) being a 1.0-point favorite and now it’s -3.0 against unranked Illinois (7-2). Public betting has surely been influenced by Arizona not only being 8-0 but 7-1 ATS as well. Conversely, Illinois started the season 2-2 but has reeled off 5 straight wins since. They covered each of their previous 3 versus Notre Dame, Rutgers, and at Iowa. During their current 5-game win streak Illinois has averaged a robust 84.2 points scored per game, shot 51.6%, and converted on a superb 41.5% of its 3-point attempts. Illinois also possesses an outstanding +14 rebound per game margin. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Illinois is 31-5 at home and has only been an underdog once. Bet Illinois plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Denver @ San Antonio 8:35 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: San Antonio -124 (10*)

This line jumped right off the page at me. We have a San Antonio team that’s 8-15 overall including 4-7 at home that opened as an underdog and is now favorite over a perceived better team (Denver). Denver is coming off a grueling overtime win at New Orleans last night. That’s significant when considering the Nuggets haven’t won 2 straight road games so far this season. As a matter of fact, Denver is 0-3 SU&ATS this season on the road following a road win and lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. Despite last night’s win, Denver has gone a dismal 3-8 SU&ATS during its previous 11 contests. Denver has allowed their last 4 conference opponents to shoot 50% or better on each occasion.

Conversely, San Antonio is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6. The Spurs have shot a more than respectable 47.4% from the field in addition to converting on a solid 38.3% of its 3-point attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Bet San Antonio for a money line wager.

Michigan State @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Michigan State -7.0 (10*)

Minnesota enters this contest with an unblemished 7-0 record. Yet, they received no votes in the latest college basketball AP Poll and for good reason in my opinion. They haven’t really beat anyone of note. The Golden Gophers will be playing its first game this season against a ranked opponent. The public will surely be enticed to take an unbeaten sizable home underdog like Minnesota against a 2-loss opponent. I on the other hand, look at this contest from a contrarian betting viewpoint.

#19 Michigan State is 6-2 with their only losses coming to #2 Baylor and #9 Kansas in their season opener. They own a win on a neutral floor over #15 Connecticut and another coming at home by 9 over Louisville. The Spartans are unequivocally more battle tested of the 2 teams in this matchup and it will pay dividends this evening. Not to mention, they’ll be out to revenge an embarrassing 25-point loss at Minnesota last season. Bet Michigan State minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Golden State @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET

Game# 535-536

Play On: Phoenix -120 (10*)

This is a highly anticipated early season matchup between red-hot teams. Golden State has started the season 18-2 and has gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 contests. Phoenix enters this contest on a 16-game win streak. The Suns won’t be intimidated in this spot where the lights will be burning bright. This is a Phoenix team that fell to Milwaukee in 6 games during last season’s NBA Finals. The moment certainly won’t be too big for them, and this situation offers a golden opportunity for Phoenix to make a profound statement. Bet Phoenix for a Top Play money line wager.

Duke @ Ohio State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*)

Duke is coming off a huge win over then #1 Gonzaga which catapulted them to the top spot in the latest AP Poll. Now thy find themselves as a short favorite on the road against an unranked Ohio State team that’s already suffered 2 losses this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the top ranked Duke Blue Devils. I am declining that invitation. Bet Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Washington vs. South Dakota State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: South Dakota State -6.0 (10*)

This line opened at 7.5 and is now down to 6.0. I’m of the opinion that public and not sharp money was the cause of the line move. After all, we have a poer conference team as an underdog versus an opponent from the Summit. Washington is coming off yesterday’s 77-74 upset win over George Mason in a game thy closed as a 4.5-point underdog. It was by far the Huskies best offensive performance of the year while shooting 48% and considering they shot 40% or worse in each of their first 4 contests. Washington is 3-2 and suffered resume killing home losses to Northern Illinois as a 20.0-point favorite and Wyoming.

South Dakota State is a terrific mid-major team. I was on them yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite when they blew out Nevada 102-75. The Jackrabbits are 5-1 straight up and 4-1 ATS in lined games. They’ve been superb offensively to start the season which is evidenced by them averaging 90.7 points scored per game while shooting an impressive 51.4% and a spectacular 44.1% from 3-point territory. The Jackrabbits only defeat came at #10 Alabama 104-88. Despite that loss, they still shot a stellar 48.6%. This is considered a neutral site game despite being played Sioux Falls, South Dakota as part of the Crossover Classic Tournament. Bet South Dakota State minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Memphis @ Utah 9:05 PM ET

Game# 575-576

Play On: Over 221.0 (10*)

Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season, these division rivals have met 6 times in Utah and there was a enormous 240.3 combined points scored per game. Utah has garned the reputation of a deadly 3-point shooting teams in recent seasons. Although they are just a tad over 34% in that category this season, The Jazz are still attempting 42 three-points shot and 14 makes per game. Conversely, Memphis has allowed home teams to convert on 42% on their 3-point attempts this season. Utah has scored 120, 119, and 123 points in their last 3 games.

Memphis has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 with a combined average of 233.0 points scored per game. Each of those contests went over the total by 7.0-points or more. Memphis is presently a 10.5-point underdog. Since the start of last season, they’ve played 10-1 to the over when their point-spread is between +6.5 and +12.5, and there was a combined 238.4 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Memphis has played at a blazing offensive pace this season which is proven by their 94 field goal attempts per game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager.

Ohio @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Game# 827-838

Play On: Ohio +12.0 (10*)

Kentucky is unequivocally the more talented in athletic team in this matchup. However, Ohio is an experienced and battle tested team. The Bobcats are the defending MAC Tournament champions and upset Virginia in the 1st Round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament as a #13 seed. Ohio has begun this season by going 3-0 SU&ATS. The Bobcats are averaging 12 three-point makes per game while converting on a solid 38.3% of those long-distance attempts. Look for that ability to knock down 3-point shots as a key contributing factor to us covering this game.  Bet Ohio plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Oklahoma vs. East Carolina 7:00 PM ET

Game# 751-752

Play On: Over 137.5 (10*)

Both teams in this matchup can score with regularity and like to play at an up-tempo pace. During their first 2 contests, Oklahoma averaged 86.5 points scored per game, shot 57.3%, and made 40.0% of its 3-point attempts. Despite shooting at such a high percentage, the Sooners still averaged a robust 62 field goal attempts per contest. Through East Carolina’s first 3 games they averaged 82.7 points scored and 67 field goal attempts per outing. This one has all the earmarks of an entertaining up and down high scoring game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager.

Indiana @ Portland 10:10 PM ET

Game# 549-550

Play On: Over 225.0 (10*)

Indiana enters this contest on a modest 2-game win streak. Dating back to last season, Indiana has played 8-0 to the over during its last 8 following 2 consecutive wins. The average total in those 8 contests was 234.8 and a combined 250.8 points were scored per game. Indiana has played 3-1 to the over in road games thus far, and there was a combined 233.7 points scored per contest.

Portland went under the total in each of its previous 2 games. Since the start of last season, Portland has played 11-2 to the over following back-to-back games staying under, and a combined 236.0 points were scored contest. Defense has been an area of concern for the Trailblazers of late as they allowed their last 3 opponents to shoot 51.7% or better. Portland is averaging a robust 120.5 points scored per game at home this season. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager.

New York @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET

Game# 555-556

Play On: New York +1.5 (10*)

The Bulls have started the season 4-0 SU&ATS and looked outstanding in doing so. Yet, they find themselves as just a tiny favorite against a 3-1 Knicks team. When examining the Bulls resume thus far, they have posted wins over Toronto (2-3), New Orleans (1-4), and Detroit (0-3) 2 times. Those opponents currently have a combined 3-10 (.231) season record.

I had the Knicks as a Top Play wager in their previous game within this same point-spread parameter, and they easily covered in a 14-point win over Philadelphia. Since 1/18/2021, New York has gone an extremely profitable 20-3 SU and 20-2-1 ATS in regular season games in which their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5, and if their opponent is coming off a win, they improved to 9-1 SU and 9-0-1 ATS. The numbers don’t lie, and liars don’t figure. Bet on New York on any point-spread of +2.5 to -2.5 over Chicago for a Top Play wager.

Suns @ Bucks 9:05 PM ET

Play On: Suns +5.0 (10*)

I cashed in with Milwaukee in the last game of these NBA Finals after they crushed Phoenix 120-100. However, I am banking on Phoenix being the resilient team they has shown to be for the past 5 plus months. Since 1/28/2021, Phoenix has gone 15-3 following a loss in their previous game. The Suns are also 13-1 SU&ATS in their last 14 this season following a non-division game in which they allowed 120 points or more. Additionally, Phoenix is 10-0 SU&ATS during their previous 10 games this season following a non-division loss in which they allowed 100 points or more and won by an average of 13.6 points per contest. Bet on the Suns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Suns @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Over 221.5 (10*)

Counting the first 2 games of the series, these teams have met 4 times this season and each contest went over the total. The average combined score in those 4 contests was 238.3 points scored per game. Furthermore, both teams have now gone over the total in each of their last 4 playoff games. During that span, Milwaukee’s contests have averaged a combined 227.3 points scored per outing and Phoenix 225.0 points per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play.

Bucks @ Suns 9:05 PM ET

Play On: Bucks +5.0 (10*)

Milwaukee lost the opening game of these 2021 NBA Finals on Tuesday by a score of 118-105 and failed to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. Since losing Game 2 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series against Brooklyn, The Bucks have won 4 straight following a loss and won by an average of 15.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, Milwaukee is 9-1 in their last 10 overall following a loss.

Any NBA Finals Game 2 away underdog of 8.0 or less that’s coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 8.0-points or less, and they’re facing either a #1 or #2 seed, resulted in those away underdogs going 7-0 SU&ATS since 1994. The average line in those contests was 5.2. Bet on the Bucks plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Bucks @ Suns 9:05 PM ET

Play On: Suns -5.5 (10*)

Since losing Game 3 of their 1st round series versus the Lakers, Phoenix has gone 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS to reach the NBA Finals for a first time since 1993.

Milwaukee secured their sport in the NBA Finals with an Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 win at Atlanta as a 3.5-point underdog. Despite that win, the Bucks are just 2-5 SU&ATS as a road underdog this season. Milwaukee is 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 series openers The Bucks will enter the NBA Finals with a win percentage of just .651.

Any NBA Finals Game 1 home favorite of 8.0 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .728 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2005, and the average margin of victory came by a decisive 13.1 points per game. Phoenix is a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their opening games of a playoff series during these 2021 NBA Playoffs. The Suns have also played terrific defense throughout this year’s postseason while holding opponents to just 101.9 points scored per game. Bet on the Suns minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Bucks @ Hawks 8:35 PM ET

Play On: Hawks -126 (10*)

The Bucks have rarely been a road underdog this season but failed miserably when it transpired. Milwaukee is 1-5 SU&ATS as a road underdog during this 2020-2021 NBA campaign. Conversely, Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 20-1 straight up in their last 21 this season as a money line home favorite. Furthermore, Atlanta is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 and 8-1 during its previous 9 as a money line home favorite following a loss. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play money line wager.

Atlanta @ Milwaukee 8:35 PM ET

Play On: Milwaukee -3.0 (10*)

The line has been adjusted accordingly due to the absence of Milwaukee star Giannis Antetkounmpo (28.1 PPG/11.0 RPG). However, the Bucks have enough talent to survive in the short term without him. Milwaukee is 32-11 at home this season which includes 6-1 in the playoffs. The Bucks will be out to atone for a Game 4 loss by 22 points as a sizable 9.0-point favorite.

Any NBA Playoffs Game 5 home team that’s coming off exactly 1 loss, and has a win percentage of .627 or better, resulted in those home teams going 50-9 (84.7%) since the 1999 postseason. The straight up results take on added significance due to the low number we are being asked to cover. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.