Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-19-18 | 76ers v. Heat +2 | Top | 128-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Miami 7:05 PM Game# 523-524 Play On: Miami +2.0 (10*) Miami is coming off Monday’s 113-103 win at Philadelphia which evened the series at 1-game apiece. The Heat captured that victory as a 6.5-point underdog. Philadelphia is a dismal 6-27 straight up during the past 2 seasons following a home loss, and an even worse 2-10 if that defeat came by 10 points or more. Miami is also a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games this season at home when the line is between +3.0 and -3.0. Any NBA home team (Miami) that’s coming off a road win as an underdog of 6.0-points or more in their previous game and is facing an opponent (Philadelphia) playing with same season revenge stemming from loss in which they allowed 110 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 27-7 (79.4%) since 1996. The straight up results take on added significance in lieu of this point-spread. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-19-18 | Cardinals +100 v. Cubs | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
Cardinals (Weaver) @ Cubs (Lester) 2:20 PM ET Game# 967-968 Bet On: Cardinals +100 (10*) The Cubs Jon Lester has displayed shaky form during is first 3 starts this season while posting a lofty 1.68 WHIP. His pitching adversary today is Luke Weaver and he’s had no such struggles. Weaver has displayed stellar form during his first 3 starts of 2018 by compiling a 2.08 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. The Cardinals enter today on a 5-game win streak and they’re also a shiny 8-3 in road games thus far. Bet on the Cardinals for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-18-18 | Jazz +5 v. Thunder | Top | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Utah @ Oklahoma City 8:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Utah +5.0 (10*) Utah has lost road games at Portland and Oklahoma City in their previous 2 outings. The Jazz are 6-1 straight up this season following 2 or more road losses in a row. Furthermore, Utah hasn’t lost 3 straight games since 1/7/2018 which is approximately a 14-week span. Despite allowing 102 and 116 points during their past 2 outings, Utah has still allowed less than 100 points during 16 of their previous 21 games. The Jazz have also scored 107 points or more during 7 of its last 8 games. Conversely, Oklahoma City has allowed 107.4 points per game and allowed its opponent to shoot a rather high 47.6% during their previous 5 games. Bet on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-17-18 | Jets -105 v. Wild | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Winnipeg -107 (10*) Minnesota rebounded with a strong effort in game 3 and came away with a convincing 6-2 win over Winnipeg. However, the Wild are a dismal 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Minnesota is also a poor 3-10 this season following a division win and that includes 1-6 if that victory came by 3 goals or more. Despite their loss in game 3 of this series, Winnipeg has gone a terrific 13-2 during its last 15 games. The Jets are also an extremely profitable 22-4 this season when playing with same season revenge. Bet on Winnipeg for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-17-18 | Wizards v. Raptors OVER 214.5 | Top | 119-130 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Washington @ Toronto 7:05 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Over 214.5 (10*) The opening game of this series was played on Saturday so each of these teams will be playing on 2 days of rest. Toronto has gone 10-1 over the total at home this season when playing on exactly 2 days of rest and those contests averaged a combined 221.0 points scored per game. Washington has gone over the total in their last 4 as an underdog. The average total in those 4 contests was 213.0 and there were a combined 225.0 points scored per game. During those outings Washington shot 51.0% from the field and converted on an excellent 42.9% of its 3-point attempts. Unfortunately, they allowed those 4 opponents to shoot 50.8% and they made 43.0% of their 3-point shots. Any NBA team (Washington) with a total of 210.0 to 219.5 that playing in April, and they’re coming off 2 or more road losses in a row, resulted in those contests going 53-28 (65.4%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 81 contests was 214.1 and there were a combined 214.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-15-18 | Wolves v. Rockets UNDER 217 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Houston 8:35 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Under 217.0 (10*) Minnesota went under the total in each of their last 3 regular season road contests. The average total in those 3 games was 219.8 and there were only 196.7 points scored per contest. At the time of this writing, Houston is an 11.0-point favorite. The Rockets have gone under in 11 of its last 12 games this season as a double-digit home favorite. The average total during those 12 contests was 215.9 and there was just 202.5 points scored per game. Houston has also gone under the total in 9 straight home games against Western Conference opponents and they allowed an average of 97.2 points per contest. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Blazers | Top | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Portland 10:35 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: New Orleans +5.5 (10*) Portland was exceptionally good at home during the final stretch of regular season action. However, the Trailblazers were an uninspiring 4-7 straight up in their final 11 regular season games. New Orleans went 20-8 during their final 28 regular season contests, and that includes an extremely profitable 10-3 SU&ATS on the road. Bet on New Orleans for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-14-18 | Pirates -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Pittsburgh (Taillon) @ Miami (Richard) 7:10 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+105) (10*) The Miami starter Trevor Richards has an awful 8.64 ERA and 2.16 WHIP during 2 starts this season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh starter James Taillon has a superb 1.26 ERA and 0.49 WHIP during his 2 starts in 2018. Miami is coming off yesterday’s 7-2 win over Pittsburgh. However, the Marlins are 0-3 following a win this season and lost by 2 runs or more on each occasion. Conversely, Pittsburgh is 4-0 this season following a loss and won by 3 runs or more in every game. Bet on Pittsburgh as a 10* Top Play run-line favorite. |
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04-12-18 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
Detroit (Fulmer) @ Cleveland (Bauer) 6:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) Both Trevor Bauer and Michael Fulmer have been extremely impressive in their first 2 starts. Each of these teams haven’t been able to hit their way out of a paper bag recently. So, it’s obvious this game should be high scoring affair correct? Well, think again. Bauer has seen 5 of his 6 starts go over the total when facing Detroit since 2016, and he posted a massive 11.96 ERA during those outings. Michael Fulmer has a lofty 6.04 ERA and 1.82 WHIP during 5 starts against Cleveland since 2016. The weather forecast for tonight calls for 21 MPH winds blowing out to right field. The home plate umpire tonight will be Manny Gonzalez and he’s seen 38 of 53 games (71.7%) go over the total since 2016 when he’s calling balls and strikes. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-11-18 | Yankees +100 v. Red Sox | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Yankees (Tanaka) @ Red Sox (Price) 7:10 ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Yankees +100 (10*) David Price has made 7 starts against the Yankees since 2016 and posted a large 6.75 ERA during those outings. The Red Sox are coming off 8-7 and 14-1 wins in their last 2 games. Boston is just 12-19 the last 3 seasons following 2 straight games in which they scored 7 runs or more. Masahiro Tanaka has made 4 starts at Fenway Park since 2016 and posted a superb 1.62 ERA during those outings. Tanaka will be facing a Red Sox team that has a team batting average of .259 this season. The Yankees veteran right-hander is an extremely profitable 45-17 in his career team starts against American League teams that possess a team batting average of .260 or less. The Yankees will look to bounce back from yesterday’s embarrassing 14-1 loss at Boston. The Bronx Bombers are a very profitable 12-2 during the past 2 seasons after allowing 9 or more runs in their previous game. Bet on the Yankees for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-06-18 | Pacers +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 73-92 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Indiana @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Indiana +7.5 (10*) Toronto is coming off a 98-76 home win over an injury ravaged Boston team in their previous game. It marked the first time in 10 games that the Raptors covered the spread. Toronto is also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games following a win. They lost those 4 contests by an average of 8.0 points per game. Indiana is 6-1 SU&ATS over their last 7 games. The Pacers are also a very profitable 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog, and they won 6 of those contests straight up. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-05-18 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Arizona (Ray) @ St. Louis (Wainwright) 7:15 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Over 7.5 (10*) St. Louis is averaging 4.8 runs scored per game this season. The Cardinals have banged out 11 home runs through their first 6 games. Meanwhile Arizona is averaging a lofty 5.8 runs scored per game thus far in 2018. The Diamondbacks bullpen currently has a staff ERA of 2.22. Any National League home team (St. Louis) that averages 4.7 runs or more scored per game, and is coming off a shutout win, versus an opponent who has a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less, resulted in those games going 63-19 (76.8%) over the total since 1997. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Michigan | Top | 57-69 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
Loyola-Chicago vs. Michigan 6:09 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Loyola-Chicago +5.5 (10*) The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are the true definition of a Cinderella darling. However, when looking inside the numbers, there’s nothing fluky about how they arrived at the Final Four. The Ramblers are 32-5 and that includes 21-1 in their last 22 in addition to a current 14-game win streak. Even more impressive is their 4-0 SU&ATS record this season against power conference teams (Florida, Miami, Tennessee, Kansas State) with all those victories coming as an underdog. Furthermore, they’ve gone 24-9 ATS (72.7%) in lined games this season. Loyola has shot a red-hot 52.5% in their 4 NCAA Tournament games. During those 4 NCAA Tournament wins, Loyola has allowed 28 points or less in the first half in each of those contests. The Ramblers are 11-0 ATS (+12.1 PPG) following 2 straight games in which they allowed 30 points or less in the first half. Bet on Loyola plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-28-18 | Cavs v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 118-105 | Loss | -127 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Charlotte +1.5 (10*) Cleveland sis a dismal 3-10 SU&ATS in away games when the line is +3.0 to -3.0, and that includes 0-3 SU&ATS (-15.7 PPG) during the previous 3. The Cavaliers came out flat last night in a 98-79 loss at Miami and trailed that game at halftime by a score of 54-34. This will be the Cavaliers 3rd road game in 4 days. Charlotte is coming off Monday’s 137-128 home win over New York. They’ve now won 4 straight games. Despite an underachieving season which will see them miss the playoffs, Charlotte is a somewhat respectable 21-17 at home. Any team (Charlotte) coming off a game in which there was a combined 245 or more points being scored and is facing an opponent (Cleveland) that trailed by 20 points or more at the half of its previous contest, resulted in those teams going 24-5 (82.8%) straight up since 1996. This straight up betting angle is also a perfect 4-0 this season. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-27-18 | Cavs v. Heat +3 | Top | 79-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 769-770 Play On: Miami +3.0 (10*) Miami is 9-1 SU&ATS in their last 10 home games, and that includes a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS (+16.0 PPG) during its previous 6 at American Airlines Arena. The Heat are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games against Cleveland. During its previous 5 at home, Miami has scored 126.0 points per game and shot a sizzling hot 53.5% which includes 44.4% from 3-point territory. Cleveland is a dismal 15-40 ATS (27.3%) as a favorite this season. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech v. Villanova -6.5 | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Villanova 2:20 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Villanova -6.5 (10*) Texas Tech has vastly overachieved this season and they should be commended for it. Even the most ardent of Red Raiders fans certainly couldn’t have envisioned Elite 8 appearance before the season began. Nevertheless, their magic carpet ride ends on Sunday against #1 seed Villanova and it will be by a decisive margin. Villanova has been one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the nation this season. Nonetheless, they’ve been incredible during this NCAA Tournament in going 44-92 (47.8%) from 3-point territory. Couple that fact with Texas Tech allowing their last 5 opponents to make a combined 38.0% of their 3-point shots, and you have a recipe for a blowout. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-24-18 | Florida State v. Michigan -4 | Top | 54-58 | Push | 0 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Florida State vs. Michigan 8:49 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Michigan -4.0 (10*) Florida State has been impressive in their 3 NCAA Tournament games and they’ve gone 3-0 ATS in those contests. However, the Seminoles entered the Big Dance by going 3-5 straight up and 0-8 ATS during its previous 8 games. After a fast 9-0 start to the season, Florida State is an uninspiring 14-11 since. Florida State has also allowed their 3 NCAA Tourney opponents to average 25 free throw attempts per game. That’s an extremely high number considering they weren’t trying to extend any of those game by fouling. Sooner or later, sending their opponents to the free throw line with that type of frequency will catch up with them Michigan is absolutely rolling right now. The Wolverines have won 12 straight games and covered on 10 of those occasions. They’re coming off a 99-72 dismantling of Texas A&M in the Regional Semifinal, and they shot a sizzling hot 61.9% in that win, including going 14-24 (58%) from 3-point territory. Considering Florida State has allowed its last 5 opponents to convert on an alarmingly high 39.6% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-24-18 | Wolves v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 101 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Philadelphia 6:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Philadelphia -7.5 (10*) Minnesota is a poor 4-14 SU&ATS in their last 18 road games and that includes an even worse 2-8 ATS if they were an underdog. The Timberwolves are also 0-4 SU&ATS (-15.0 PPG) in their last 4 games this season as a road underdog of 6.5 or more, and they lost by an average of 13.0 points per game. Philadelphia enters today on a current 5-game win streak, and that includes covering each of their previous 3 outings. The 76ers 14-1 straight up and 12-3 ATS during its last 15 home games, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+13.0 PPG) against Western Conference teams. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia v. Villanova OVER 152.5 | Top | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
West Virginia vs. Villanova 7:27 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Over 152.5 (10*) West Virginia has seen 7 of their previous 8 games go over the total. During their last 5 games the Mountaineers have converted on a stellar 41.6% of its 3-point attempt and 77% of their free throws. West Virginia’s full court pressure has been very successful in get unwilling opponents to play faster than they had planned. They’ll have a willing dance partner in Villanova who’s averaging 85.0 points scored per game over their past 5 contests. Villanova went under the total in their 2nd round 25-point blowout of Alabama. Despite that result, the Wildcats are 13-4 over the total in their previous 17 games. Furthermore, Villanova has gone over the total in 4 straight games following an under in their previous contest. Those 4 games averaged a combined 162.5 points scored per contest. Villanova has compiled extremely impressive shooting number over their last 5 games. During that time span, the Wildcats shot 49.0% from the field, made 44.2% of its 3-point attempts, and went an outstanding 82.1% from the free throw line. I’m looking at this game being a wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-21-18 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Austin Peay | Top | 83-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Illinois-Chicago @ Austin Peay 8:00 Game# 769-70 Play On: Illinois-Chicago +4.5 (10*) You may be surprised to know that Illinois-Chicago has gone 7-0 SU&ATS during their last 7 true road game, and they won by an average of 9.4 points per contest. Austin Peay is an uninspiring 2-2 SU&ATS during its last 4 home games. Austin Peay’s defensive play has been shoddy over their previous 5 contests. During that precise time frame, APU allowed opponents to shoot 50% from the field. Conversely, Illinois-Chicago has averaged 81.2 points scored per game, shot 47.0% from the field, and converted on an excellent 42.1% of their 3-points attempts throughout its last 5 games. Bet on Illinois-Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-20-18 | Penn State v. Marquette UNDER 150.5 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Penn State @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 665-666 Play On: Under 150.5 (10*) Penn State has shot the ball horribly over its last 5 games. Despite shooting a stellar 39.1% from beyond 3-point range during that stretch, the Nittany Lions converted on anemic 35.3% of its 2-point field goal attempts. They went under the total in 4 of those 5 games. Marquette isn’t exactly a good defensive team. As a matter of fact, their opponents have shot an alarmingly high 47.6% against them this season. However, Penn State has gone under the total in all 6 of their games this season when facing opponents with a defensive field goal percentage of 45% or greater. Those 6 contests average a combined 132.6 points scored per game. Penn State is also 9-2 under (141.2 PPG) the total this season in non-conference games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-19-18 | Nuggets v. Heat -2 | Top | 141-149 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Denver @ Miami 7:35 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Miami -2.0 (10*) Denver is an outstanding 27-10 at home this season but they’re a dismal 11-22 on the road. As a matter of fact, the Nuggets are 0-3 SU&ATS in its last 3 road games while losing by an average of 9.0 points per contest. All 3 of those losses came against teams with a losing record. Miami is a stellar 7-1 during their previous 8 home games. These teams met once this season, and Denver walked off with a 95-94 win. Miami is 18-7 straight up during the last 2 seasons when playing at home with same season revenge. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-18-18 | Marshall v. West Virginia OVER 159.5 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Marshall vs. West Virginia 9:40 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Over 159.5 (10*) There’s good reason why this total is so high. Using an old boxing adage is appropriate in describing this matchup, “styles make fights”. Both team’s play up-tempo style of basketball. Marshall has averaged 62 field goal attempts and 84.2 points scored per game this season. The Thundering Herd are also one of the worst teams in Division 1 regarding scoring defense. They’re allowing a lofty 78.7 points per game while speeding its opponents up to the tune of 67 field goal attempts per game. West Virginia has seen 6 of its 7 previous games go over the total. The Mountaineers are averaging 79.8 points scored and 64 field goal attempts per game this season. West Virginia hasn’t been very good on the defensive end late. Over their last 5 games, West Virginia opponents combined to shoot 48.4% from the field and they’ve converted on an alarmingly high 43.3% of their 3-point shots. As Ralph Kramden would say to Alice on the old Honeymooners sitcom, “to the moon!” Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-17-18 | Alabama v. Villanova -11 | Top | 58-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
Alabama vs Villanova 12:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Villanova -11.0 (10*) Alabama has won 3 of their last 4 games, but that was preceded by a 5-game losing streak. The Crimson Tide have been awful defensively in their previous 2 outings, allowing 84.5 points per game and permitted its 2 opponents to shoot a blistering hot 60% from the floor. That’s troublesome when considering Villanova has shot a combined 52.7 % from the field and made an outstanding 45.7% of their 3-points attempts over their previous 5 games. Villanova is currently averaging 87.1 points per game. The Wildcats are coming off an 87-61 win over Radford in a game they led 44-23 at halftime. Alabama is an uninspiring 20-15, and especially considering they received an at-large invite and didn’t get an automatic bid as a conference tournament champion. The Crimson Tide is averaging 72.7 points scored per game this season. The combination of this data sets up a very profitable betting angle which is illustrated below. Any neutral court favorite that averages 76 or more points scored per game, and they led at the half by 20 points or more in their previous outing, versus an opponent (Alabama) that averages 67 to 74 points scored per contest and is playing after game 14 of the season, resulted in those favorites going 35-12 ATS (74.5%) since 1997. The average line in those 47 games was 11.1, and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 15.9 points per contest. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
Texas vs. Nevada 4:30 PM ET Game# 879-880 Play On: Nevada (10*) I haven’t been impressed by Texas at all this season. I thought at the very best they should’ve been playing on of the “First Four” games. Nevada has been a Top 25 team for a majority of this season. They were upset in the semifinals of their conference tournament by a red-hot San Diego State team. Nevada is the better team in this matchup and they will prevail. Bet on Nevada for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-15-18 | Buffalo +8.5 v. Arizona | Top | 89-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Buffalo vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Buffalo +8.5 (10*) Arizona spent the majority of the first half of this season underachieving. However, they rebounded in the second half of the campaign and it culminate by winning the PAC-12 Tournament championship. Nevertheless, it wasn’t a banner year for the PAC-12 with only 3 of their teams receiving a NCAA Tournament invite, and Arizona State was already eliminated in last night’s loss to Syracuse. Buffalo is fully capable of giving Arizona all they can handle and then some. The Bulls went 18-3 this season in MAC play, and all 3 of their defeats came by 3 points or less. They also lost to Cincinnati by just 6 and led Syracuse with less than 5 minutes to play at the Carrier Dome before falling short. The Bulls are an explosive offensive team and they possess quality depth. Unlike other mid-majors this Buffalo team will be difficult to wear down, and their ability to knock down 3-point shots will keep them in the game throughout. This will also be Buffalo’s 3rd trip to the NCAA Tournament in 4 years, so they won’t be in awe of the situation. They lost by 6 to West Virginia in 2015 and by 7 to Miami in 2016. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see a huge upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-10-18 | Stephen F Austin v. Southeastern Louisiana +6.5 | Top | 59-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
SE Louisiana vs. SF Austin 9:00 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: SE Louisiana +6.5 (10*) The underdog SE Louisiana enters today riding a sizzling hot 9-game winning streak. During its past 5 games, SE Louisiana has made 52.9% of its field goal attempts and shot an impressive 41.0% from 3-point territory. During that stretch, they held their opponents to just 39.6% shooting. There’s a wealth of value on the underdog in this contest. Bet on SE Louisiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-09-18 | Eastern Michigan +2 v. Toledo | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo 9:00 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: Eastern Michigan +2.0 (10*) Eastern Michigan enters this MAC Tourney Semifinal on a 7-game win streak, and they’ve covered 6 straight times. They won both of their regular season meetings against Toledo and shot a red-hot 53.9% in those contests. Eastern Michigan has shot 51.9% over their previous 5 games. They will be facing a Toledo team who’s calling card isn’t on the defensive side of the floor. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-08-18 | Oregon v. Utah +2.5 | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Utah vs. Oregon 11:30 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Utah +2.5 (10*) Oregon enters the PAC-12 Tournament on a modest 2-game win streak. However, the Ducks are 0-3 straight up in their last 3 games following 2 wins in a row. Utah has plenty of momentum going into postseason action after winning 6 of its last 7 regular season games. Bet on Utah plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-06-18 | South Dakota v. South Dakota State OVER 145.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
South Dakota vs. South Dakota State 9:00 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Over 145.5 (10*) Both these teams love to play at a fast tempt. South Dakota is averaging a lofty 60 field goal attempts per game while South Dakota State hoists up 61 per contest. These teams saw both their regular season matchups stay under the total. However, the totals in those games were 156.5 and 161.0 which is substantially higher than tonight’s number. Furthermore, there was a combined 148 and 145 points scored in those contests which is right in line with tonight’s total. South Dakota is coming off yesterday’s 76-58 win over Denver. South Dakota has gone over the total in all 7 games this season following a contest in which they allowed 60 points or less. There was a combined average of 153.5 points scored in those contests. South Dakota State is 9-2 over the total this season in games played on a neutral floor or on the road when facing teams with a winning record. Those 11 contests averaged an enormous 172.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-04-18 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -5.5 | Top | 93-88 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
NC-Wilmington vs. Hofstra 8:30 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Hofstra -5.0 (10*) This Colonial Conference Tournament game will be played at a neutral site in Charleston, South Carolina. The last time these teams met was on 2/10 when Wilmington walked away with a 90-70 win. Hofstra has gone 4-0 SU&ATS and that’s improved their season record to 19-11 (.633). Despite a win in their previous game, Wilmington enters today with a poor 10-20 record this season. Any neutral court team that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a road loss, possessing a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a losing record, resulting in those teams going 25-3 ATS (89.3%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line for those teams in those 28 games was -6.4 and they won by 12.2 points per contest. Bet on Hofstra minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-03-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Lakers @ Spurs 9:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Lakers +5.5 (10*) San Antonio is coming off a 121-116 home loss to New Orleans in a game in which they were a 5.0-point favorite. They’ve now lost 5 of their last 6 and 7 of its last 9 games. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 games, and the last 3 have come on the road. Their last 2 margin of victory margins came by a decisive 18 and 19 points. Any team (Lakers) coming off road wins by 10 points or more in each of their previous 2 games and is facing an opponent (San Antonio) coming off a home favorite straight up loss, resulted in those teams going 30-11 (73.2%) straight up since 1996. Since this straight up betting angle sides with the underdog in this contest it adds that much more betting value. Bet on the Lakers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-02-18 | Ohio v. Miami-OH OVER 141 | Top | 75-66 | Push | 0 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Ohio @ Miami-Ohio 7:00 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Over 141.0 (5*) Ohio enters today averaging 76.0 point scored per game. The Bobcats have scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. They’ll be facing a Miami-Ohio team that allows 70.2 points per game this season. Any road team (Ohio) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 that averages 74 to 78 points scored per game, and they scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 4 games, versus an opponent that allows 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those contests going 29-8 (78.4%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 37 contests was 145.0, and there was 153.9 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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02-28-18 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 149.5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
SIU-Edwardsville vs. Tennessee Tech 7:30 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Under 149.5 (10*) These teams have met twice this season, and both easily went under the total. Those contests produced just a combined 135 and 138 points scored. Tennessee Tech has seen 4 of its last 5 contests go under the total, and there was a combined 141.4 points scored per game. Edwardsville has also gone 4-1 under the total in its previous 5 and there was a combined 145.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-18 | Boise State v. San Diego State UNDER 143.5 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Boise State @ San Diego State 11:00 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Under 143.5 (10*) San Diego State will be playing with revenge stemming from that 3-point loss at Boise State earlier this season. The Aztecs will enter tonight riding a modest 4-game winning streak. They won each of those contests over conference opponents and all were by double-digit margins. Those results coupled with the present total on this contest sets up a very profitable betting angle. Any home team (San Diego State) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 3 points or less, and they’re coming off conference wins by 10 points or more in each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those contests going 26-8 (76.5%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 34 contests was 144.0, and there was a combined 137.5 points scored per game. The previously mentioned betting angle is difficult to ignore when making my college basketball pick on Tuesday. Furthermore, San Diego State has gone under the total in 3 straight contests, and there was a combined average of just 134.3 points scored per game. Meanwhile, Boise State has seen each of their previous 6 conference road games go under the total, and there was a combined 138.5 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total since 1997. |
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02-24-18 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 221 | Top | 106-104 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Portland @ Phoenix 10:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Over 221.0 (10*) Phoenix has gone over the total in each of their previous 5 home games, and there was a combined average of 228.4 points scored per contest. The Suns are coming off a 128-117 home lost to the Clippers last night. They’ve gone 26-6 (81.3%) over the total during the past 2 seasons after scoring 115 points or more in their previous game. Phoenix is also 7-1 over the total in its last 8 games this season when playing with no rest and there was a combined 226.5 points scored per contest. The Suns are averaging a robust 93 field goal attempts and have allowed 123.2 points per game throughout its last 5 outings. Meanwhile, Portland has gone 4-1 over the total in its last 5 games when playing with no rest, and there were a combined 224.4 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-23-18 | Blazers v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 100-81 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Portland @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 817-818 Play On: Utah -4.5 (10*) Let’s keep things simple. Portland is 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and lost by an average of 11.6 points per contest. Utah will enter this contest riding a red-hot 11-game winning streak. Utah is also 2-0 SU&ATS versus Portland this season and won by a decisive average of 14.0 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-22-18 | Tennessee State +1 v. Tennessee Tech | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech 8:30 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Tennessee State +1.0 (10*) Tennessee State is coming off a 72-59 loss to Eastern Kentucky in a game they were a 9.0-point home favorite. The surprising defeat ended an 8-game win streak. The good news in that regard is that Tennessee State is 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 games following a loss. They’ll also be playing with same season revenge stemming from an 87-81 home loss to Tennessee Tech as a 3.0-point favorite. Furthermore, Tennessee State is 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 road games and Tennessee Tech has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Bet on Tennessee State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-17-18 | Montana v. Idaho | Top | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Montana @ Idaho 10:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Idaho (Pick) (10*) Montana is coming off their first conference loss of the year in their previous game while falling 74-65 at Eastern Washington. Idaho will enter this contest on a 5-game win streak and has a stellar 18-7 overall record. During this current win streak, the Vandals have shot a red-hot 52.3% and converted on very good 40.3% of their 3-point attempts. Bet on Idaho for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-13-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 126-108 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Houston @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Minnesota +3.0 (10*) I’m not going to waste time trying to point out any flaws pertaining to Houston. Quite frankly, there are very few to point out, and all would most likely would be labeled as nit picking. This top-rated pick is all about betting value. We have an underdog tonight in Minnesota that’s won 13 consecutive home games, and sometimes it’s just best to keep things simple. Minnesota is outscoring its opponents by an average of +3.2 points per game this season. The Timberwolves have also allowed 106 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. This sets up a powerful NBA straight up betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team with a +3.0 or greater points per game differential on the season, and they’ve allowed 105 points or more in each of its last 3 contests, resulted in those home teams going 123-35 (77.8%) straight up since 1996. Bet on Minnesota plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-11-18 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 215.5 | Top | 123-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
Toronto @ Charlotte 1:05 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Over 215.5 (10*) These teams have met twice this season and both games went over the total. They combined to score 240 and 239 points in those contests. Charlotte has gone 5-1 over the total in their and those contests averaged a combined 226.5 points scored per game. Charlotte is averaging 118.0 points scored per contest during its last 6 home games. Toronto has seen 7 of their previous 8 away games go over the total. The average total in those contests was 215.9 and there were a combined 228.7 points scored per game. The Raptors are averaging 115.1 points scored per game during its last 7 outings. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-10-18 | South Dakota State v. Oral Roberts +6 | Top | 85-75 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts 8:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Oral Roberts +6.0 (10*) Oral Roberts gave South Dakota State all they can handle in a narrow 78-75 loss back on 1/11. The Golden Eagles easily covered that contest as an 11.0-point road underdog. Oral Roberts is a money making 4-0 ATS and 3-1 straight up this season as a home underdog. Oral Roberts is coming off a 67-66 home win over North Dakota State and they did so as a 2.0-point underdog. Meanwhile, South Dakota State won 81-77 at Denver in their previous game while failing to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. Those pair of results qualify this Summit League contest for a profitable college basketball ATS betting angle illustrated below. Any underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points that’s coming off a straight up underdog win, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a road win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those underdogs going 65-28 ATS (69.9%) since 1997. Bet on Oral Roberts plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-09-18 | Clippers +3.5 v. Pistons | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
LA Clippers @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: LA Clippers +3.5 (10*) Today will be the finale of a 6-game home stand for Detroit in which they’re 5-0 thus far. However, the Pistons went just 2-3 ATS during those contests, and are also 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 2.5-points or more. The Clippers are 4-1 during their previous 5 games and have also gone a very profitable 5-1 SU&ATS in their last 6 away games. The Clippers are coming off home wins in each of their previous 2 games played. They’ve gone 8-1 straight up in road games over the past 2 seasons following 2 straight home wins. The Clippers will be playing on 3 days rest tonight and this will be just their 3rd game in 11 days. In comparison, Detroit will be playing in its 5th game in 9 days. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-08-18 | Thunder v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 81-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: LA Lakers +3.5 (10*) These teams met on Super Bowl Sunday in Oklahoma City, and the Lakers walked off with a 108-104 win. Oklahoma City is a dismal 2-10 ATS during this 2017-2018 NBA campaign when playing with same season revenge. It would be difficult to envision OKC being as emotionally charged up as they were in a 125-105 upset win as a 10.5-point underdog at Golden State on Tuesday night. That win snapped an 0-4 SU&ATS slide for OKC. Don’t look now but the Lakers are 11-4 over its last 15 games overall, and that includes 7-0 SU&ATS (+13.9 PPG) at home. Bet on the Lakers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-06-18 | Xavier v. Butler -3.5 | Top | 98-93 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
Xavier @ Butler 6:30 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Butler -3.5 (10*) A red flag always appears to me when an unranked team like Butler is favorite over a ranked opponent. Especially considering that Xavier isn’t only ranked, but they’re #5 in the country. Butler is 12-1 at home this season and that includes an extremely profitable 10-2 ATS in lines games. The Bulldogs will also be seeking revenge stemming from a 7-point defeat at Xavier last month. Butler enters today having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games overall while outscoring those opponents by a decisive 17.5 points per contest. Bet on Butler minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +4.5 v. Patriots | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs. New England 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Philadelphia +4.5 (10*) New England defeated Jacksonville 24-20 in the AFC Championship Game but failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2002, Super Bowl teams coming off a game in which they failed to cover as a favorite have gone 0-4 SU&ATS. The Eagles took the unusual route of entering this Super Bowl after winning each of their last postseason contests as an underdog. Since 2002, any Super Bowl team that’s coming off a straight up underdog win has gone 9-0 ATS and won straight up on 7 of those occasions. If those teams were a favorite or underdog of less than 6.0 points they were 5-0 SU&ATS and won by 10.8 points per game. Turnovers will play a huge part in winning Super Bowl LII. Philadelphia is averaging just 1.23 turnovers per game this season. Meanwhile, New England has forced just 18 turnovers in 18 games this season. As a matter of fact, the Patriots have not forced a turnover in their previous 4 games. Any team (Philadelphia) playing after Game 8 of their season, and they average 1.25 or fewer turnovers committed per game, and they’re facing an opponent (New England) who averages forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, resulted in those teams going 60-15 (80%) straight up since 2008. Since this straight up betting angle sides with the underdog on Sunday, there’s a ton of betting value to be had on the Eagles. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-03-18 | Mavs v. Kings +4.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
Dallas @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Sacramento +4.5 (10*) Dallas has lost 5 straight and 8 of its last 9 games. During this current 5-game losing streak, they’re averaging an abysmal 91.0 points scored per game and shooting just 39.3%. That certainly doesn’t bode well for the road favorite Mavericks. Dallas’s tendency is to step up against quality teams, and then struggle versus the ones they should beat. Case in point, the Mavericks are 1-9 ATS this season versus teams that are being outscored by an average of 3.0 or more points per game. Sacramento is coming off a 15-point home loss to Golden State last night, and the game was much closer than the final score indicates. Despite the defeat, the Kings are 3-2 in their last 5 games. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-03-18 | Drake v. Bradley -7 | Top | 78-68 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Drake @ Bradley 8:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Bradley -7.0 (10*) Bradley has gone a perfect 12-0 at home this season, and that includes 9-0 ATS in lined games. Bradley will be out to revenge a 2-point loss earlier this season. Drake will enter tonight’s contest on a 3-game losing streak and will be facing a Bradley team which allows just 55.8 points per game at home while limiting its opponent to a paltry 34.2% shooting. Bet on Bradley minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-31-18 | Knicks +8 v. Celtics | Top | 73-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
New York @ Boston 8:05 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: New York +8.0 (10*) Boston will be playing on just 1 day of rest after returning from a 4-game in 7-day west coast road trip. Additionally, the Celtics are 0-3 SU&ATS during their previous 3 home games. New York has shot a sizzling hot 50.5% from the field and converted on a superb 42.9% of its 3-point attempts. The Knicks are a more than respectable 6-3 SU&ATS in division games this season. New York is coming off a 111-95 home win over Brooklyn in their previous game. Boston is coming off a 111-10 win at Denver on Monday night. Any NBA team coming off a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Boston) coming off a road win by 3 points or less, resulted in those teams going 37-17 (68.5%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Bet on New York plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-27-18 | Wizards v. Hawks +3.5 | Top | 129-104 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Washington @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Atlanta +3.5 (10*) Atlanta is coming off a 121-110 loss at Charlotte last night, and it was a game that was much closer than the final score indicates. Despite their poor overall record, Atlanta is 6-3 SU&ATS during their previous 9 home games. Washington has gone a terrible 8-23 ATS as a favorite this season. The Wizards have endured bad starts to each of their last 2 games, and especially so on the offensive end. They scored 40 and 37 in during the first half of each of those previous 2 contests. Washing has lost 4 of their last 5 contests in addition to going 1-9 ATS during their previous 10 games. Any home team (Atlanta) that’s coming off a game in which there was a combined 215 points or more scored, and they’re facing an opponent (Washington) who scored 40 points or less in the 1st half of each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 58-21 (73.4%) straight up since 1996. Considering the home team is an underdog in this contest it makes this straight up betting angle that much more powerful. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-25-18 | Wizards +5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Washington @ Oklahoma City 8:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Washington +5.5 (10*) Oklahoma City will enter tonight’s contest on a 5-game win streak. However, they’re just 2-4 straight up and 1-5 ATS during its last 6 home games. Oklahoma City is coming off a narrow 1-point home win against Brooklyn in their previous game. Betting Washington as an underdog has been extremely profitable this season. The Wizards have gone a stellar 12-4 ATS (75%) as an underdog, and that includes winning straight up on 10 of those 16 occasions. Washington will look to bounce back from a horrendous performance in their previous game. The Wizards were blown out 98-75 at Dallas in that contest, and they did so as a 2.0-point favorite. Any road team that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss, versus an opponent (OKC) coming off a home win by 3 points or less, resulted in those road teams going 22-8 straight up during the past 5 seasons. Considering the road team is a 5.0-point underdog in this contest, the above NBA straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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01-24-18 | Air Force v. Utah State OVER 142 | Top | 49-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Air Force @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: Over 142.0 (10*) Utah State has seen each of their previous 5 home games go over the total, and there was a combined 160.8 points scored per contest. Utah State has seen each of their previous 4 game against Air Force all go over the total. Air Force will enter tonight’s game sporting an 8-10 (.444) season record and Utah State is at 10-11 (.476). Air Force has covered in 3 straight games and did so by a combined 26.0 points. Any team (Air Force) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, and they covered the spread by 18.0 points or more during their previous 3 games, and it involves teams that each have a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those games going 31-9 (77.5%) over the total since 1997. There was a combined average of 150.0 points scored per game during those 40 contests. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 35 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Philadelphia 6:40 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Philadelphia +3.5 (10*) For starters, this is an Eagles team that’s 8-1 at home this season, and their only defeat came against Dallas in a meaningless Week 17 regular season game. They were also a 2.5-point home underdog during last Sunday’s 15-10 Divisional Round win over the defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons. Counting last week’s playoff game, Philadelphia is 14-3 (.823) this season. Since 1980, NFL playoff home underdogs have gone an extremely profitable 27-13 ATS (67.5%). If those postseason home underdogs had a win percentage of .750 or better, they improved to 9-2 ATS (81.8%) and won straight up on 8 of those occasions. Minnesota is also an identical 14-3 (.823) this season. Since 1985, any NFL home underdog of 2.0-points or more that’s playing after Game 5 of their season, possessing a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was 13.5 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 53 h 3 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ New England 3:05 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Under 46.5 (10*) Despite the Jaguars defense looking less than impressive during last week’s 45-42 Divisional Round win at Pittsburgh, they’re still a force to be reckoned with. Jacksonville has allowed 10 points or less in 9 of 18 games this season, and they’re at or near the top of every defensive category. New England’s explosive offense led by future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady gets a plethora of attention and rightfully so. Nevertheless, the Patriots defense has allowed 17 points or less in 11 of their last 13 games played, and that includes each of it previous 5 at home. Any road team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, coming off a road win in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 31-5 (86.1%) under the total since 1985. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-18-18 | Michigan v. Nebraska +5 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Michigan @ Nebraska 9:00 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Nebraska +5.0 (10*) Nebraska is a stellar 10-1 at home this season, and their lone defeat came by a narrow 1-point margin against #10 Kansas. They will also be out to earn their first victory against Michigan since joining the Big 10 Conference after losing 8 straight in this head to head series. Nebraska is 0-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Michigan barely escaped with a 68-67 win at home versus Maryland in their previous game, and didn’t come close to covering as an 8.0-point favorite. Bet on Nebraska plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +6 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Golden State @ Cleveland 8:05 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Cleveland +6.0 (10*) Cleveland is a dismal 1-10 ATS during its last 11 games. However, 8 of their previous 9 games have been played on the road. The Cavaliers will enter tonight’s contest riding a 13-game home winning streak, and has an overall record of 26-16. Monday will be Golden State’s 3rd road game in 4 nights. They’re are coming off a narrow 2-point win at Toronto on Saturday, and nearly squandered a huge 27-point halftime lead in that contest. Golden State enters today with a stellar overall record of 35-9. Any home team (Cleveland) which has failed to cover in 8 or more of their previous 10 games, and they own a winning record, versus an opponent (Golden State) who possesses a winning record, resulted in those home teams going 31-5 (86.5%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Those 36 home teams also held a decisive +10.8 points per game differential in those contests. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -4 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Minnesota 4:40 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Minnesota -4.0 (10*) New Orleans is 8-1 at home this season but a mediocre 4-4 on the road. As a matter of fact, the Saints are a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in its last 3 away games. Ironically, New Orleans opened the season at Minnesota, and lost that contest 29-19 in a game wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicates. New Orleans was outgained by Minnesota in that game by a decisive margin of 470-344. Since Mike Zimmer has taken over the Minnesota Vikings head coaching duties in 2014, Minnesota is 14-1 ATS as a non-division home favorite. Considering the sample size and continuity pertaining to this precise situation, it’s a team betting trend that I certainly can’t ignore. Additionally, we can’t dismiss how dominating the Vikings defense has been this season, and especially so at home. Minnesota has allowed a paltry 12.5 points and 248.5 yards per game in their 8 home contests this season. Furthermore, the Vikings have given up 10 points or less in 5 of its last 7 games, and that includes in each of their previous 3 outings. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-18 | Louisiana-Monroe v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 144.5 | Top | 48-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
UL-Monroe @ UL-Lafayette 8:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Under 144.5 (10*) Any home team with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, averaging 76 points or more scored per game, and they’re coming off 2 straight wins that each came by 15 points or more, versus an opponent which is playing after Game 14 of the season and allows 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those contests going 32-7 (82.1%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 39 games was 145.3 and there were a combined 135.6 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 71 h 4 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Philadelphia 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Philadelphia +3.0 (10*) Granted there’s significant drop off from going with Nick Foles as opposed to Carson Wentz at quarterback. However, Foles is experienced enough to play within himself and not try to do too much. He’s also confident in knowing that this is an Eagles defense which has allowed 13.4 points and 321 yards per game at home this season. Philadelphia was a stellar 7-1 at home this season, and their only defeat came in their meaningless regular season finale to Dallas. The Eagles used primarily backups in that 6-0 loss to ensure it starters could avoid injury. Besides all that I’ve already pointed out, home playoff teams in this precise scenario have won at an extremely high rate over the past 26 years. Any playoff home team (Philadelphia) playing that had a bye the week before, versus an opponent (Atlanta) coming off a playoff win, and they possess a win percentage of less than .705 (Atlanta .647), resulted in those home teams going 43-7 (86%) straight up since 1992. Considering the home team is an underdog in this instance, it takes on added betting value. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-18 | Cavs v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Indiana +2.5 (10*) Cleveland has struggled during road losses in their last 2 games played. The Cavaliers were blown out by Toronto 133-94 and Minnesota 127-99 in those contests. As a matter of fact, Cleveland has allowed 129.0 points per game and allowed its opponents to shoot 50.7% over their previous 3 games. Indiana enters this confidence in knowing that defeated Cleveland both times they faced them this season by scores of 124-107 and 106-102. The Pacers have been very efficient offensively throughout its last 3 games. During that span, they averaged a lofty 113.8 points per game shot a sizzling hot 53.8%. Indiana also possessed a dominating +9.3 rebound per contest differential over that 3-game span. Any home team (Indiana) facing an opponent that’s playing with same season double revenge stemming from losses in which they allowed 100 points or more on each occasion, and they’re (Cleveland) coming off road losses by 10 points or more during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in the home teams going 53-7 (88.3%) since 1996. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia +5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Alabama vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET Game# 155-156 Play On: Georgia +5.0 (10*) In my mind, this is an even matchup across the board with a lone exception, Georgia’s passing game is more consistent than Alabama’s aerial attack. This is also a Georgia team that averages 267 yards rushing per game, and has run for 238 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, they torched Oklahoma for 317 yards son the ground in their thrilling double overtime win in the New Year’s Day national semifinal. Any neutral field underdog (Georgia) that averages 225 yards or more rushing per game, and has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those underdogs going 23-3 ATS (88.5%) since 1992. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +7 v. Saints | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
Carolina @ New Orleans 4:35 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Carolina +7.0 (5*) New Orleans has already defeated Carolina twice this season. It’s extremely difficult to be a very good football team 3 times in a season. Make no mistake, the 11-5 Panthers are a very good football team. If not for losing on the road to the defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons last week, it would be Carolina hosting this playoff contest on Sunday and not New Orleans. New Orleans is very lucky that didn’t transpire after losing to a then 4-11 Tampa Bay team last Sunday. After going on a torrid 8-game win streak, New Orleans went just 3-3 during its last 6 games. At the very least, I like Carolina to take this game right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. Bet on Carolina plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-18 | Northern Colorado v. Montana -7.5 | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Northern Colorado @ Montana 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Montana -7.5 (10*) Montana has opened Big Sky Conference play by going 3-0 SU&ATS and their average victory margin is a decisive 26.0 points per game. Even more impressive is that 2 of those 3 games took place on the road. Both these teams love to play a fast-paced game and put up a lot of points. The main difference is Montana is a vastly superior defensive team in comparison to Northern Colorado. Bet on Montana minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams UNDER 48.5 | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta @ LA Rams 8:15 ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Atlanta enters this postseason after seeing each of their last 5 regular season games go under the total. As a matter of fact, during the past 3 seasons Atlanta is 19-6 under following an under in their previous game, and that includes 11-1 under if there’s a total of 46.5 to 53.5. The Falcons defense has flown under the radar this season with no pun intended. Atlanta has allowed just 19.6 points and 318.0 yards per game during its regular season slate. This Falcons offense is far from the offensive juggernaut we saw a season ago. Much can be attributed to the loss of last season’s offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan who accepted the head coaching job in San Francisco. The Rams have been a dynamic offensive team this season. However, they have very little playoff experience on their roster, and this will be the Rams franchise first postseason appearance since 2005. This is an extremely talented Rams defense, and they’re masterminded by one of the best coordinators in football in Wade Phillips. Atlanta concluded its regular season last Sunday with a 22-10 home win over division rival Carolina. That victory improved their final regular season record to 10-6 (.625). They will be facing a Rams team that went 11-5 (.687). Any road team (Atlanta) playing in a playoff game that coming off a division home win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (LA Rams) with a win percentage of .687 or worse, resulted in those postseason games going 12-0 under the total since 2008. There was a combined average of 37.1 points scored per game during those 12 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-04-18 | Thunder v. Clippers +2 | Top | 127-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: LA Clippers +2.0 (10*) Oklahoma City has been much better on the road of late, and last night’s 133-96 trashing of the Lakers in indicative of such. However, the fact remains, they’re still only 7-10 straight up and 6-12 ATS in away games this season. The Clippers have really turned it on of late, going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 contests, and 6-0 SU&ATS during its previous 6 home games. They’re also 9-1 ATS during their last 10 games, and are a +69.5-points against the point-spread during that span. Any team (Clippers) that’s +54.0-points or more against the spread over their last 10 contests, and they’re facing an opponent (OKC) that covered their last game by 18.0-points or more, resulted in those teams going 27-10 (73%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Bet on the LA Clippers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-03-18 | Illinois v. Minnesota OVER 152 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Illinois @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Over 152.0 (10*) Both teams love to play a fast-paced game with Minnesota averaging 64 field goal attempts and Illinois at 63 per contest. Minnesota is averaging 83.8 points scored per game and Illinois 80.3 per contest. Minnesota has held its last 3 opponents to 39.4% or less shooting from the floor. However, keep in mind, those opponents included Harvard, Oral Roberts, and Florida Atlantic. The Gophers are converting on 35.9% of their 3-point attempts this season, and Illinois has made 33.3% of its long distance tries. Any team that’s playing after Game 14 of the season with a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and they allowed their last 3 opponents to shoot 40% or less from the floor, and both teams have converted 32.0 to 36.5$ of their 3-point attempts on the season, resulted in those games going 25-5 (83.3%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 30 contests was 152.0, and there was a combined 163.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama -3 v. Clemson | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
Alabama vs. Clemson 8:45 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Alabama -3.0 (10*) This line tells me everything. We have the #4 seed Alabama as a favorite against top seeded Clemson in a playoff semifinal game. The Crimson Tide will also be out to revenge last year’s national title game last second loss to Clemson. Alabama is just as good as they were a season ago. Despite what the so-called experts on television are professing, I don’t believe that to be the case for Clemson. Bet on Alabama minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-31-17 | Bills -2 v. Dolphins | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
Buffalo @ Miami 4:25 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Buffalo -2.0 (10*) Buffalo is still alive for an AFC Wild Card berth. First and foremost, the Bills must win, or they’ll be eliminated from any postseason possibilities. Buffalo starting quarterback Tyron Taylor has enjoyed much success in his 5 starts against Miami since 2015. Taylor completed 65% of his passes for 1232 yards and 9 touchdowns while throwing 0 interceptions. Taylor also ran for 193 yards and 2 touchdowns in those outings. Buffalo went 3-2 in those games, and their only 2 losses came by just 3 points each. During Taylor’s 14 starts this season, Buffalo turned the ball over just 10 times. Miami quarterback Jay Cutler had a miserable day against Buffalo just 2 weeks ago. Cutler was intercepted 3 times during that 24-16 loss and looked totally disinterested and frustrated for most of the game. Miami has an awful -13 turnover margin this season, and they’ll be facing a Bills team which is +8 in that category. Don’t be surprised if you don’t see Dolphins backup quarterback at some point in this game. Fales has been taking a high volume of first team reps in practice this week. I’m going with the team that will be playing with a sense of urgency. Bet on Buffalo minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-17 | Heat -1.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Miami @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Miami -1.5 (10*) Orlando is coming off a 102-89 home win over Detroit. That victory snapped a 9-game losing streak for the Magic. Orlando is 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win, and they’re overall season record is 12-24 (.333). Miami is coming off an embarrassing 111-87 loss to Brooklyn last night, and the Heat were a 6.0-point favorite in that contest. Miami is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Heat’s season record is now 18-17. Miami is also a stellar 12-2 straight up this season when facing a team with a losing record. Any team (Miami) with a winning record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they’ve failed to cover in 8 of more of its previous 10 games, resulted in those teams going 45-7 (86.5%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -4 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
Iowa State vs. Memphis 12:30 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Memphis -4.0 (10*) Memphis will be playing on its own home field and that’s significant. Since 2014, Memphis is 21-4 at home and that includes 10-0 when facing non-conference opponents. The Tigers are also 7-0 at home this season which included wins over bowl teams in Navy, SMU, and UCLA. Memphis has an outstanding season record of 11-2 with their only 2 defeats coming against undefeated and 10th ranked Central Florida. Any team playing at home in a bowl game with a win percentage of .666 or better, and they’re a favorite of 6.5-points or less, resulted in those teams going 5-0 ATS since 1980. There was a decisive average margin of victory of 18.4 points per game. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-17 | USC v. Ohio State -7.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
USC vs. Ohio State 8:30 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Ohio State -8.0 (10*) Both these teams are offensively explosive. It comes down to who will be better defensively, and my money unequivocally goes to Ohio State in that regard. USC has surrendered 26.0 points and 404.8 yards per game this season. Conversely, the Buckeyes defense is allowing just 19.9 points and 292.3 yards per game. Another key factor will be Ohio State’s potent rushing attack versus the porous run defense of USC. The Buckeyes are averaging 250 yards rushing per game and average a lofty 5.9 yards per carry. USC is allowing 158 yards rushing per contest. This isn’t a good matchup for USC, and I see a similar result to when they faced Notre Dame earlier this season. The Trojans were blown out in that contest 49-14, and they allowed Notre Dame to rush for 377 yards and average 8.0 yards per carry. Bet on USC as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss v. Florida State UNDER 49 | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
Southern Miss vs. Florida State 1:30 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) Southern Miss averaged outgaining their first 12 opponents of the season by a decisive 116.4 yards per game. Conversely, Florida State has outgained their opponents by a narrow 6.6 yards per game. Any non-conference team with a total of 42.5-49.0 that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, and they’re outgaining their opponents by an average of 100 yards or more per game, versus an opponent which possesses a +50 to -50 yard per game differential, resulted in those contests going 25-4 (86.2%) under the total since 1992. There was a combined average of 38.0 points scored per game during those 29 contests. |
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12-26-17 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 204.5 | Top | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Utah @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Under 204.5 (5*) Denver will be playing with revenge stemming from a 106-77 blowout loss at Utah on 11/28. During the past 3 seasons, these Northwest Divisional rivals have seen 9 of their 10 meetings go under the total, and that includes all 4 played in Denver. The Nuggets will enter today’s game with a 18-15 (.545) season record. Conversely, Utah is sporting a mark of 15-19. Any team (Denver) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that’s playing with same season revenge, and they have a win percentage of .510 to .600, and they’re facing an opponent with a losing record, resulted in those games going 38-12 under the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 50 contests was 204.7. and there were a combined 196.1 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
Rams @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Titans +7.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a 42-7 blowout win at Seattle that put them in full control of the NFC West. That victory improved their season record to 10-4 (.714). The Rams start running back Todd Gurley has been on fire. However, he’ll be facing a Titans defense which allows just 87.2 yards rushing per game. Only Philadelphia and Minnesota have been better at stopping the run this season. Tennessee is coming off damaging road losses against San Francisco and Arizona. Despite those defeats, the Titans 8-6 (.571) record is still good enough to hold onto one of the AFC wild card spots. The Titans return home where they’ve gone 9-1 in their last 10 games, and that includes winning its previous 5 played in Nashville. Regardless of the quality of the opponent, that type of success at home couple with being a touchdown underdog creates substantial betting value. Any home team playing after Game 9 of the season, coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they own a winning record, versus an opponent coming off a win, and they have a win percentage of .444 to .714, resulted in those home teams going 20-1 ATS (95.2%) since 1983. Those home teams also won 18 of those 21 contests straight up. Bet on the Titans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |