Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Oregon 5:00: Close call here, for Wisconsin is a dangerous bowl team rattling off 5 straight wins; however, both teams have explosive offenses and rock solid defensively. The key determinent is Oregon's QB Herbert who is a big time player. He has a veteran offensive line protecting him including LT Sewell (Outland Trophy) and a really good wideout in Johnson. And what makes the pass game click is RB Verdell who ran all over the nation's #1 run stop unit Utah. Sure, Wisconsin's RB Taylor is as good as they get but the jury is still out on QB Coan. Oregon has a really good defense, tough vs the run and oportunistic. Wisky 0-5 ATS as a neutral favorite and I believe this one will be close, therefore, we'll grab the points. |
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01-01-20 | Minnesota v. Auburn -6.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
Minnesota/Auburn 1:00: Minnesota stepped up significantly this year under HC Fleck. They're well disciplined, solid in every facet of the game as exhibited against their biggest win of the season at home vs Penn State November 9th. QB Morgan was awesome and well surrounded with RB Rodney Smith, and big time receivers Johnson and Bateman. And defensively, stout and strong; however, the Gophers still a recruiting class or two away from hanging with the likes of Auburn. Sure, Auburn lost three games but all competive games and against Top 7 teams including a hard fought 23-20 loss at #1 LSU! And keep in mind that Auburn beat bowl teams Oregon (neutral site), Texas A&M in College Station and Alabama in Iron Bowl. Minnesota lost in their step up games to Wisconsin and Iowa and was the beneficiary of not having to play Ohio State and Michigan. Auburn's veteran offensive line, big time skill personnel and a Top 20 defense should be too much for the Gophers. Auburn 17-3 ATS after allow 35+ in their last game vs an opponent off a SU loss. And Malzahn lost his OC but calls a pretty good game. Auburn should deliver. |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama -7 | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Michigan/Alabama 1:00: Can't side with the Wolves with Harbaugh on account of their horrible road record and bowl games vs Top 10 teams at 0-6! Sure, Alabama won't have LB Lewis and CB Diggs as they prep for NFL draft. Nevertheless, Saban's cupboard is still full of quality goods for star receivers Jeudy, Ruggs and Smith will be at the disposal of QB Mac Jones. And 1000+ rusher Harris, whom Michigan lost the recruiting battle too, should find room behind the rock solid 'Bama offensive line. Michigan's defense brings back bad memories of how Wisconsin moved them around like furniture. On the other hand, the Wolve's offense isn't exactly explosive with Patterson at the helm. And he won't have Tarik Black (transfer) to go to. Alabama the call. |
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12-31-19 | Texas +7.5 v. Utah | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -3 | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
12-31-19 | Kentucky +3 v. Virginia Tech | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Kentucky/Virginia Tech Noon: Hard to fade Virginia Tech, which will be playing for long term tenured DC Bud Foster who will be retiring this year. But Kentucky is more sound in a variety of areas. Their offensive line is outstanding significantly producing the #4 run game in the FBS. QB Bowden Jr. sports a 5-2 mark since he was inserted in the lineup and he won the Paul Hornung Award for his versatility. VT is impressive offensively too behind QB Hooker who is 6-2 as a starter this year; however, offensive line question marks at times and they face a fierce KY defense. 'Cats 4-0 ATS vs teams above .500 and 6-0 ATS in non-conference games. Got to take the field goal here. |
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12-30-19 | Illinois +6.5 v. California | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
Illinois/California 4:00: Impressed with the Fighting Illini who snuck up on foes of the Big Ten. Illinois turned in a strong season finish with a 6-0 ATS run down the stretch with QB Peters, including outrights over Wisconsin, at Purdue and at Michigan State. He was concussed in the finale loss to NW. He's back for this one and Illinois should deliver. California started strong but injuries curtailed their progress throughout the season. Their offense, ranked in the bottom tier of the NCAA, does not scare anyone. And their defense, which was outstanding last year, regressed a bit this season. Cali is 1-6 ATS in December and 1-6 ATS on a neutral field. With the Illini at 5-0 ATS as a dog, we'll ride Lovie and his boys here. |
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12-30-19 | Western Michigan v. Western Kentucky -3 | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Western Michigan/Western Kentucky 12:30: Both teams have productive offenses but like the team with the defensive edge in Western Kentucky. Sure, WM has explosive RB Bellamy and veteran QB Wassink behind an experienced offensive line; however, defensively give up way too many yards and points. On the other hand, WK has a top 20 defense that ranks 6th nationally in 3rd down conversion % and 15th nationally in the red zone. Helton did a great job in developing his backup QB Storey who meshed well with a good offensive line and some solid skill personnel. And remember, WK defeated 4 Conference USA Bowl teams and a Power 5 Conference team in Arkansas. Western Kentucky the call. |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
Clemson/Ohio State 8:00: Been riding OSU most of the season but got to go with Swinney and his boys here. Clemson is loaded on both sides of the ball and defensively a Top 10 defense across the board including TFLs and Sacks. And an opposing QB with a brace on his knee will never strike fear in a defense of this magnitude. Fields is still not at his best as a runner and that lack of a step will be costly tonight. What makes Fields and the Buckeyes' potent offensive machine work is Fields' ability to fake throws in single coverage and use his feet to gobble up chunks of yardage. His knee troubles limit that threat especially against a fast Clemson secondary. Sure, OSU loaded with skill personnel and arguably one of the best RBs in country in J.K. Dobbins; however, Clemson's QB Lawrence has found his rhythm 20 TDs/0 INTs last 6 games and RB Etienne and amazing wideouts of Clemson just a bit too much in prime time. Clemson 10-1 ATS in December, 9-1 ATS in bowls, 4-0 ATS neutral favorite. Clemson. |
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12-28-19 | Iowa State +4 v. Notre Dame | 9-33 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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12-27-19 | USC v. Iowa -2 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Iowa/USC 8:00: USC hasn't won a meaningful bowl game since Pete Carroll departed. Helton, who amazingly got his contract renewed, has question marks on if his offensive coordinator will stay or not. And sure, QB Slovis threw for 400+ in 4 of the last 5 games; however, none of those secondaries were in the top 100 defensively. USC will face the best defense of the season. Hawkeyes, rank #11 defensively with a ball hawking secondary and a DE Epenesa who is a sack machine NFL ready. Yes, Iowa's offense not that explosive but steady and physical with QB Nate Stanley at the helm. He has the current Big 10 Lineman of the Year at OT in Wirfs. Moreover, special teams a significant advantage. Iowa in the Top 10 nationally whereas USC 129th of 130 FBS teams covering kicks. Iowa the call. |
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12-27-19 | Oklahoma State +5.5 v. Texas A&M | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Texas A&M: 6: 45: We'll take the points with Gundy and his Cowboys. Okie State's Gundy always dangerous as a dog let alone a Bowl Dog. Gundy has gone 3-1 SU/ATS as a bowl dog. In season finales, A&M coming off a humiliating loss to LSU while Okie State comes off a competitive loss to Oklahoma. The LSU loss typified Coach Fisher's frustration with his recruits. In step up games vs Top 10 bowl teams, Fisher went 0-5 SU. Clearly Oklahoma State is not in the category as a Top 10 team but very competitive. And now that Cowboys' RB Hubbard has decided to play in this one to up his NFL status to perhaps a late #1 draft choice, State has fighting chance. He makes the play action game run smoothly for either Sanders or Dru Brown. As for A&M, their top defensive player - Madubuike decided to skip this bowl to prepare for the NFL draft. We'll grab the points. |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech/Mia Fla 4:00: Skip Holtz a dangerous dog in his career at 50-26-1 ATS. We'll take a TD here with Holtz and his Bulldogs who will be playing in their home state. Moreover, the Bulldogs come into this one sporting a 5-0 SU bowl run. Miami U, on the other hand, lost 8 of its last 9 bowl games and, again, underachieved, this time under first year HC Diaz. Sure, the former Miami U defensive coordinator still has a suffocating defense; however, their offense (88th in nation) does not scare anyone. Quarterback issues and, even worse, offensive line problems were a direct result in not able to establish a quality run game (120th nationally). And their leading rusher Deejay Dallas will not play. LT, which wasn't great defensively, does possess the 3rd best defense in the nation in the red zone which means a lot against a non-explosive team. And LT's offense, lead by QB J'mar Smith (17/4 TD/INT) should be rolling again. He was suspended for the Marshall and UAB losses but made a difference back for the season finale with a win over UTSA. We'll grab the dog here. |